United States v. Tovarchavez ( 2019 )


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  •        This opinion is subject to revision before publication
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE    ARMED FORCES
    _______________
    UNITED STATES
    Appellee
    v.
    Juventino TOVARCHAVEZ, Specialist
    United States Army, Appellant
    No. 18-0371
    Crim. App. No. 20150250
    Argued February 21, 2019—Decided May 31, 2019
    Military Judges: Gregory Gross (trial) and
    Timothy P. Hayes Jr. (DuBay hearing)
    For Appellant: Captain Augustus Turner (argued); Lieu-
    tenant Colonel Christopher P. Carrier, Lieutenant Colonel
    Tiffany D. Pond, and Major Todd W. Simpson (on brief).
    For Appellee: Captain KJ Harris (argued); Colonel Steven
    P. Haight, Lieutenant Colonel Eric K. Stafford, and Major
    Wayne H. Williams (on brief); Captain Joshua B. Banister.
    Judge RYAN delivered the opinion of the Court, in
    which Judges OHLSON and SPARKS joined. Judge
    MAGGS filed a separate dissenting opinion, in which
    Chief Judge STUCKY joined.
    _______________
    Judge RYAN delivered the opinion of the Court.
    Appellant was charged with two specifications of sexual
    assault in violation of Article 120, Uniform Code of Military
    Justice (UCMJ), 10 U.S.C. § 920 (2012), for sexually assault-
    ing a fellow soldier, Specialist (SPC) JR, on two separate oc-
    casions. A panel of officer and enlisted members sitting as a
    general court-martial convicted Appellant, contrary to his
    plea, of one specification, and acquitted him of the other
    specification. He was sentenced to confinement for two
    years, reduction to E-1, forfeiture of all pay and allowances,
    and a dishonorable discharge. The convening authority ap-
    proved the sentence.
    The United States Army Court of Criminal Appeals
    (ACCA) affirmed the findings and the sentence as approved
    United States v. Tovarchavez, No. 18-0371/AR
    Opinion of the Court
    by the convening authority. United States v. Tovarchavez,
    No. ARMY 20150250, 2018 CCA LEXIS 371, at *28, 
    2018 WL 3570591
    , at *11 (A. Ct. Crim. App. July 19, 2018). We
    granted Appellant’s petition to review the following issue:
    Whether the Army court erred, first, in finding that
    this Court overruled sub silencio the Supreme
    Court holding in Chapman v. California, 
    386 U.S. 18
    , 24 (1967), and this Court’s own holdings in
    United States v. Wolford, 
    62 M.J. 418
    , 420
    (C.A.A.F. 2006), and in United States v. Hills, 
    75 M.J. 350
    , 357 (C.A.A.F. 2016), and, consequently, in
    testing this case using the standard for
    nonconstitutional error.
    As an initial matter, we note that the ACCA made no
    such findings. Rather, it distinguished United States v.
    Wolford, 
    62 M.J. 418
    (C.A.A.F. 2006), from this case, found
    that this Court’s precedent established that forfeited United
    States v. Hills, 
    75 M.J. 350
    , 357 (C.A.A.F. 2016), errors are
    tested for “plain error,” and conducted an Article 59(a),
    UCMJ, 10 U.S.C. § 859(a) (2012), 1 analysis to determine
    whether the forfeited constitutional error “materially
    prejudiced Appellant’s substantial rights.” Tovarchavez,
    2018 CCA LEXIS 371, at *4–8, *15–19, 
    2018 WL 3570591
    ,
    at *2–3, *6–8. However, the ACCA did not determine
    whether the constitutional error in this case 2 was harmless
    beyond a reasonable doubt. 
    Id. at *19,
    2018 WL 3570591
    , at
    *8. Instead, it evaluated prejudice for nonconstitutional
    error using the effect-on-the-trial test announced in Molina-
    Martinez v. United States, 
    136 S. Ct. 1338
    , 1343 (2016). See
    
    id. at *16–19,
    2018 WL 3570591
    , at *7–8.
    This was an incorrect application of the law and flatly
    inconsistent with established precedent of this Court.
    1  Article 59(a), UCMJ, provides that “[a] finding or sentence of
    a court-martial may not be held incorrect on the ground of an er-
    ror of law unless the error materially prejudices the substantial
    rights of the accused.”
    2  The error at issue in this case was a Hills error.
    Tovarchavez, 2018 CCA LEXIS 371, at *3, 
    2018 WL 3570591
    , at
    *1. In Hills, this Court concluded “that the instructions that ac-
    companied the so-called propensity evidence in this case constitut-
    ed constitutional 
    error.” 75 M.J. at 353
    , 356–57.
    2
    United States v. Tovarchavez, No. 18-0371/AR
    Opinion of the Court
    Contrary to the ACCA’s holding, 3 the options available to a
    court in the military justice system under Article 59, UCMJ,
    are not a choice between “plain error” or “the Chapman
    standard.” Rather, just as a “substantial right” can be either
    constitutional or nonconstitutional, “material prejudice” for
    purposes of Article 59, UCMJ, must be understood by
    reference to the nature of the violated right. Consistent with
    our precedent, we hold that where a forfeited constitutional
    error was clear or obvious, “material prejudice” is assessed
    using the “harmless beyond a reasonable doubt” standard
    set out in Chapman v. California, 
    386 U.S. 18
    (1967). United
    States v. Jones, 
    78 M.J. 37
    , 45 (C.A.A.F. 2018).
    That standard is met where a court is confident that
    there was no reasonable possibility that the error might
    have contributed to the conviction. 
    Chapman, 386 U.S. at 24
    . We are unable to say with certainty that the erroneous
    propensity instruction at issue in this case “did not taint the
    proceedings or otherwise ‘contribute to [Appellant’s]
    conviction or sentence.’ ” United States v. Williams, 
    77 M.J. 459
    , 464 (C.A.A.F. 2018) (quoting 
    Hills, 75 M.J. at 357
    ). The
    decision of the ACCA is reversed.
    Facts and Procedural History
    SPC JR testified at trial about two sexual assaults as fol-
    lows. On September 5, 2014, SPC JR was sitting with Appel-
    lant in his truck. Appellant twice tried to kiss SPC JR, but
    she refused. Appellant then attempted to pull down SPC
    JR’s pants, and, after a period of resistance, she gave up and
    Appellant penetrated her vagina with his penis. She did not
    report the incident, which was the basis for Specification 1 of
    the Charge.
    On September 10, 2014, Appellant texted SPC JR about
    returning some military gear that he had borrowed from
    her. SPC JR agreed, and Appellant met her at her barracks
    room. After a brief interaction with Appellant, SPC JR went
    3  The lone dissenter at the ACCA, in contrast, persuasively
    and succinctly explained that the ACCA majority incorrectly ap-
    plied this Court’s controlling precedent. Tovarchavez, 2018 CCA
    LEXIS 371, at *28, 
    2018 WL 3570591
    , at *12 (Campanella, S.J.,
    dissenting).
    3
    United States v. Tovarchavez, No. 18-0371/AR
    Opinion of the Court
    to her bedroom to grab her keys to leave. Appellant followed
    her, closed the bedroom door, and tried to kiss her. Appel-
    lant then pushed her onto her bed and tried to pull down her
    sweatpants. Once again, SPC JR attempted to resist, but
    Appellant was able to pull her sweatpants down far enough
    to penetrate her vagina with his penis. This incident was the
    basis for Specification 2 of the Charge.
    The next day, SPC JR informed two friends as well as
    her parents about the sexual assault. Her father called the
    Criminal Investigation Division and reported the incident.
    SPC JR received a medical exam that revealed DNA profiles
    linked to both Appellant and an unknown individual.
    As part of the investigation, SPC JR sent Appellant the
    following pretext messages:
    [SPC JR:] I’m not going to allow you to make me
    your sex toy anymore
    ....
    [Appellant:] What are talking about, this is just
    weird ill [sic] leave it at the company.
    [SPC JR:] What’s weird is I told you no and you
    still forced me to have sex anyway
    [Appellant:] Im [sic] sorry for what ever happened
    between us . . . . [F]rom now on Im [sic] going to
    leave you alone. Im [sic] sorry.
    [SPC JR:] If your [sic] sorry why did you do it
    [Appellant:] I made a mistake by crossing the line,
    and I’m sorry for that, you deserve much more than
    that.
    Appellant did not testify at trial. The defense theory of
    the case was that SPC JR did not credibly recount the
    events forming the basis of Specifications 1 and 2 of the
    Charge. Defense counsel also sought an instruction for a
    mistake of fact as to consent defense for both specifications.
    The military judge concluded that there was insufficient
    evidence to give the requested instructions.
    At the close of evidence, the military judge informed
    counsel that he planned to give the panel the standard
    Military Rule of Evidence (M.R.E.) 413 instruction. Defense
    4
    United States v. Tovarchavez, No. 18-0371/AR
    Opinion of the Court
    counsel did not object. The military judge instructed the
    panel:
    If you determine by a preponderance of the
    evidence the offense alleged in Specification 1
    occurred, even if you are not convinced beyond a
    reasonable doubt that the accused is guilty of that
    offense, you may nonetheless then consider the
    evidence of that offense for its bearing on any
    matter to which it is relevant in relation to
    Specification 2 of the Charge. You may also
    consider the evidence of such other sexual offense
    for its tendency, if any, to show the accused’s
    propensity or predisposition to engage in sexual
    offenses.
    Appellant was convicted of Specification 2 of the Charge,
    and the case came to the ACCA for review under Article 66,
    UCMJ, 10 U.S.C. § 866, where it was initially remanded for
    a DuBay hearing 4 on an unrelated matter. In between
    Appellant’s court-martial and the final resolution of his
    appeal, this Court decided Hills, which held that the M.R.E.
    413 propensity instruction violated the constitutional right
    of an accused to be presumed innocent until proven 
    guilty. 75 M.J. at 357
    . Consequently, Appellant’s failure to object
    constituted forfeiture rather than waiver and the ACCA was
    required to determine whether giving a constitutionally
    infirm instruction constituted “material prejudice.”
    Tovarchavez, 2018 CCA LEXIS 371, at *3–4, 
    2018 WL 3570591
    , at *1–2.
    The ACCA recognized that the instruction given in the
    instant case “was for all substantive purposes identical to
    the instruction . . . found to be in error in United States v.
    Hills.” 
    Id. at *3,
    2018 WL 3570591
    , at *1. Yet it also
    determined that the Hills error was forfeited here, and
    despite clear precedent to the contrary, chose to assert that
    this Court’s precedent required Appellant to “ ‘show a
    reasonable probability that, but for the error,’ the outcome of
    4  United States v. DuBay, 
    37 C.M.R. 411
    (1967). DuBay hear-
    ings are an oft-utilized and “well-accepted procedural tool [used by
    appellate courts in the military] for addressing a wide range of
    post-trial collateral issues.” United States v. Fagan, 
    59 M.J. 238
    ,
    241 (C.A.A.F. 2004).
    5
    United States v. Tovarchavez, No. 18-0371/AR
    Opinion of the Court
    the proceeding would have been different”—the prejudice
    analysis articulated in 
    Molina-Martinez, 136 S. Ct. at 1343
    (quoting United States v. Dominguez Benitez, 
    542 U.S. 74
    , 82
    (2004)). 5 Tovarchavez, 2018 CCA LEXIS 371, at *11–19,
    
    2018 WL 3570591
    , at *5–7.
    Of course, the error in Molina-Martinez was not a
    constitutional error, and its test is the “material prejudice”
    showing this Court requires for both preserved and
    unpreserved nonconstitutional errors. United States v.
    Lopez, 
    76 M.J. 151
    , 154, 156 (C.A.A.F. 2017) (internal
    quotation marks omitted) (citation omitted). But the test for
    constitutional error set forth in Chapman and long followed
    by this Court was not disturbed by Molina-Martinez, and
    “[w]hen [this Court reviews] a constitutional issue . . . for
    plain error, the prejudice analysis considers whether the
    error was harmless beyond a reasonable doubt.” 
    Jones, 78 M.J. at 45
    .
    Discussion
    An appellant gets the benefit of changes to the law
    between the time of trial and the time of his appeal. See
    Griffith v. Kentucky, 
    479 U.S. 314
    , 328 (1987); United States
    v. Mullins, 
    69 M.J. 113
    , 116–17 (C.A.A.F. 2010) (“[O]n direct
    review, we apply the clear law at the time of the appeal, not
    the time of trial.” (citing United States v. Harcrow, 
    66 M.J. 154
    , 159 (C.A.A.F. 2008))). Consequently, despite a failure to
    object at trial, the Hills error in this case is forfeited rather
    than waived. 
    Harcrow, 66 M.J. at 157
    –58. Consonant with
    Article 59, UCMJ, for an appellant to prevail under plain
    error review, there must be an error, that was clear or
    5   While this formulation may resemble the harmless beyond a
    reasonable doubt standard applied to constitutional errors, it is
    distinct. In the context of nonconstitutional errors, courts consider
    whether there is a “reasonable probability that, but for the error,
    the outcome of the proceedings would have been different.” Moli-
    
    na-Martinez, 136 S. Ct. at 1343
    (emphases added) (internal quota-
    tion marks omitted) (citation omitted). For constitutional errors,
    rather than the probability that the outcome would have been dif-
    ferent, courts must be confident that there was no reasonable pos-
    sibility that the error might have contributed to the conviction.
    
    Chapman, 386 U.S. at 24
    .
    6
    United States v. Tovarchavez, No. 18-0371/AR
    Opinion of the Court
    obvious, and which prejudiced a substantial right of the
    accused. United States v. Sweeney, 
    70 M.J. 296
    , 304
    (C.A.A.F. 2011).
    Whether preserved or forfeited error, a finding or
    sentence may thus only be corrected for interference with a
    substantial right involving an error of law. See Article 59,
    UCMJ; see also, e.g., United States v. Humphries, 
    71 M.J. 209
    , 215 (C.A.A.F. 2012) (“The error here . . . implicates [the
    accused]’s substantial right to notice under the Fifth and
    Sixth Amendments.”); 
    Sweeney, 70 M.J. at 303
    –04
    (determining that the erroneously admitted testimonial
    hearsay did not satisfy appellant’s confrontation rights);
    United States v. Wilson, 
    54 M.J. 57
    , 59 (C.A.A.F. 2000)
    (finding that the accused failed to carry his burden where he
    only showed “a minor clerical error . . . , which falls short of
    the substantive legal error required by Article 59(a),
    UCMJ”). Where the error is constitutional, Chapman directs
    that the government must show that the error was harmless
    beyond a reasonable doubt to obviate a finding of prejudice. 6
    See 
    Chapman, 386 U.S. at 24
    (“Certainly . . . constitutional
    error . . . casts on someone other than the person prejudiced
    by it a burden to show that it was harmless.”); see also
    
    Sweeney, 70 M.J. at 304
    ; 
    Harcrow, 66 M.J. at 160
    .
    Whether an error, constitutional or otherwise,
    constitutes “plain error” is a question of law that we review
    de novo. United States v. Bowen, 
    76 M.J. 83
    , 87 (C.A.A.F.
    6  While a different question than what prejudice must be es-
    tablished, which is clear, we recognize that this Court’s precedent
    is less than clear regarding the party that bears the burden with
    respect to prejudice. Nonetheless, Chapman—a case just like this
    one—clearly dictates that, in the case of a constitutional error, the
    “beneficiary of the error,” the Government here, must show that
    the error was harmless beyond a reasonable 
    doubt. 386 U.S. at 24
    .
    To the extent that the discussion in United States v. Olano, 
    507 U.S. 725
    (1993), suggests a different allocation of the burden, its
    interpretation is based on the text of Fed. R. Crim. P. 52(a) (pre-
    served error) and Fed. R. Crim. P. 52(b) (forfeited error). 
    Olano, 507 U.S. at 734
    –35. (“This burden shifting is dictated by a subtle
    but important difference in language between the two parts of
    [Fed. R. Crim. P.] 52.”). In contrast, Article 59, UCMJ, does not
    delineate between preserved and forfeited error.
    7
    United States v. Tovarchavez, No. 18-0371/AR
    Opinion of the Court
    2017). In this case, all agree that there was error, that the
    error was constitutional in nature, and that, in light of Hills,
    the error was clear or obvious. The sole question is whether
    the error “materially prejudiced a substantial right of the
    accused.” In answering that question, we must first
    determine under what standard we assess prejudice in this
    case. Appellant contends that “material prejudice” under
    Article 59(a), UCMJ, requires the application of Chapman to
    determine prejudice in the context of a forfeited
    constitutional error. We agree.
    First, the overwhelming weight of this Court’s precedent
    demonstrates that material prejudice for forfeited
    constitutional errors under Article 59, UCMJ, is assessed
    using Chapman’s “harmless beyond a reasonable doubt”
    test. 
    Jones, 78 M.J. at 45
    . Second, and relatedly, any
    interpretation of “material prejudice” must be squared with
    Chapman’s requirement that constitutional error requires
    reversal of a conviction unless it can be shown “beyond a
    reasonable doubt that the error complained of did not
    contribute to the verdict 
    obtained.” 386 U.S. at 24
    . Third, we
    are unpersuaded that the federal circuit courts’ frequent
    application of a lower standard when assessing prejudice
    arising from forfeited constitutional errors either permits or
    requires us to jettison the Chapman standard for
    constitutional error when assessing prejudice under Article
    59, UCMJ.
    A.
    This Court applies Chapman’s “harmless beyond a
    reasonable doubt” standard when assessing prejudice for a
    forfeited constitutional error under Article 59, UCMJ. See,
    e.g., 
    Jones, 78 M.J. at 44
    –45; United States v. Hoffmann, 
    77 M.J. 414
    , 414 (C.A.A.F. 2018); United States v. Payne, 
    73 M.J. 19
    , 24–26 (C.A.A.F. 2014); 
    Harcrow, 66 M.J. at 158
    ,
    160; United States v. Powell, 
    49 M.J. 460
    , 464 (C.A.A.F.
    1998). We are neither given, nor are we able to find, a
    persuasive reason to depart from this long-standing and
    settled precedent. See United States v. Andrews, 
    77 M.J. 393
    , 399 (C.A.A.F. 2018) (observing that horizontal stare
    decisis requires an appellate court to “ ‘adhere to its own
    prior decisions, unless it finds compelling reasons to
    overrule itself’ ” (quoting United States v. Quick, 
    74 M.J. 8
              United States v. Tovarchavez, No. 18-0371/AR
    Opinion of the Court
    332, 343 (C.A.A.F. 2015) (Stucky, J., with whom Ohlson, J.,
    joined, dissenting))).
    Despite this precedent, the Government, the ACCA, and
    the dissent assert that a different standard is warranted in
    this case. Tovarchavez, 2018 CCA LEXIS 371, at *19, 
    2018 WL 3570591
    , at *8. To support this flawed conclusion, they
    resort to the absence of a complete recitation of the
    Chapman standard in a fraction of our prior decisions
    involving forfeited constitutional errors—even though the
    overall structure and conclusion of those cases clearly
    embrace and apply Chapman. 
    Id. at *15–19,
    2018 WL
    3570591
    , at *6–8.
    For example, the Government points to our decision in
    Humphries, 
    71 M.J. 209
    . In that case, defense counsel failed
    to object to the government’s failure to allege a terminal
    element on one of the charges—violations of the appellant’s
    constitutional rights to notice under the Fifth and Sixth
    Amendment, a practice that had been permitted prior to our
    decision in United States v. Fosler, 
    70 M.J. 225
    (C.A.A.F.
    2011)—and we reviewed for plain error. 
    Humphries, 71 M.J. at 211
    , 215. Consistent with the requirements of Article
    59(a), UCMJ, we assessed prejudice for “material[]
    prejudice[] to a substantial right of the 
    accused.” 71 M.J. at 214
    (first alteration in the original) (internal quotation
    marks omitted) (citation omitted). The Government gleans
    from this unremarkable incantation of a statutory
    requirement the conclusion that evaluating prejudice arising
    from forfeited constitutional errors using a lower standard
    “is not beyond the realm of this Court’s precedent.” But this
    interpretation of Humphries blithely ignores both our
    conclusion that assessing material prejudice in that case
    required us to “determine whether the constitutional error
    was harmless beyond a reasonable doubt” and our express
    refusal to apply the “reasonable probability” test from
    Dominguez 
    Benitez, 542 U.S. at 82
    . 
    Humphries, 71 M.J. at 215
    & n.7. 7
    7  It further ignores the obvious: the dissent in that case specif-
    ically argued that we erred in failing to apply Dominquez Benitez
    9
    United States v. Tovarchavez, No. 18-0371/AR
    Opinion of the Court
    Along the same lines, both the ACCA and the
    Government suggest that our recent decisions in United
    States v. Guardado, 
    77 M.J. 90
    (C.A.A.F. 2017), and
    Williams, 
    77 M.J. 459
    , are contrary to, or undermine, our
    precedent applying the Chapman standard to forfeited
    constitutional errors. Tovarchavez, 2018 CCA LEXIS 371, at
    *10–11, *15–19, 
    2018 WL 3570591
    , at *4, *6–7. We disagree.
    Guardado stated that plain error review for forfeited
    Hills errors requires a determination that: “(1) there was
    error, (2) such error was clear or obvious, and (3) the error
    materially prejudiced a substantial right of the 
    accused.” 77 M.J. at 93
    (emphasis added). Williams cited this articulation
    of the plain error standard from Guardado but revised the
    third prong of the analysis to require that the error simply
    be 
    “prejudicial.” 77 M.J. at 462
    . Grasping at thin reeds
    indeed, both the ACCA and the Government unreasonably
    cling to the fact that in both Guardado and Williams, this
    Court concluded that the respective Hills errors were not
    “harmless”—as opposed to finding they were not “harmless
    beyond a reasonable doubt”—and thus concluded that a
    lower standard was required by our precedent. 8
    Tovarchavez, 2018 CCA LEXIS 371, at *10–11, *15–19, 
    2018 WL 3570591
    , at *4, *6–7.
    The absence of the precise “harmless beyond a
    reasonable doubt” articulation in Guardado and Williams
    notwithstanding, it is again clear that both decisions rely on
    the Chapman standard when assessing material prejudice.
    In Guardado, this Court concluded that it was not
    “convinced that the erroneous propensity instruction played
    no role in Appellant’s 
    conviction.” 77 M.J. at 95
    (emphasis
    and Olano to forfeited constitutional error. See 
    Humphries, 71 M.J. at 220
    –22 (Stucky, J., dissenting).
    8 The ACCA also points to this Court’s use of the Molina-
    Martinez test in both 
    Lopez, 76 M.J. at 154
    , and United States v.
    Robinson, 
    77 M.J. 294
    , 299 (C.A.A.F. 2018) (quoting 
    Lopez, 76 M.J. at 154
    ). However, in both Lopez and Robinson that test was
    only used to evaluate prejudice arising from forfeited
    nonconstitutional errors. There was also a preserved constitutional
    error in Robinson that was evaluated for harmlessness beyond a
    reasonable doubt. See 
    Robinson, 77 M.J. at 298
    –99.
    10
    United States v. Tovarchavez, No. 18-0371/AR
    Opinion of the Court
    added). And we stated in Williams that “we simply cannot
    be certain that the erroneous propensity instruction did not
    taint the proceedings or otherwise contribute to the
    defendant’s conviction or 
    sentence.” 77 M.J. at 464
    (internal
    quotation marks omitted) (citation omitted).
    Both articulations are clear applications of the language
    from Fahy v. Connecticut, 
    375 U.S. 85
    , 86–87 (1963)
    (requiring “a reasonable possibility that the evidence
    complained of might have contributed to the conviction”),
    which Chapman said was no different than its “harmless
    beyond a reasonable doubt” standard. 
    9 386 U.S. at 24
    . Thus,
    while the language certainly could have been more precise,
    we reject any suggestion that our decisions in Guardado and
    Williams endorsed a different standard for material
    prejudice or sub silentio overruled precedent that holds
    squarely to the contrary. 10
    This precedent, viewed in tandem with our cases
    assessing    prejudice    for   nonconstitutional    errors,
    demonstrates clear direction running through our case law:
    we test for prejudice based on the nature of the right
    violated, whether the error is preserved or not. Compare,
    e.g., 
    Bowen, 76 M.J. at 87
    (evaluating preserved
    nonconstitutional evidentiary error based on whether it
    “ha[d] a substantial influence on the findings” (internal
    quotation marks omitted) (citation omitted)), 11 and Lopez,
    9 Even the Government recognized that “this language sounds
    close to that used for a harmless beyond a reasonable doubt
    standard.”
    10  We separately note that the ACCA’s analysis inexplicably
    appears to confuse and conflate the statutory standard required
    by Article 59(a), UCMJ, to set aside errors of law (“materially
    prejudices the substantial rights of the accused”), which applies to
    both preserved and forfeited error, with the specific test for de-
    termining material prejudice in the context of nonconstitutional
    errors (“reasonable probability that, but for the error, the outcome
    of the proceeding would have been different”) articulated most re-
    cently in 
    Molina-Martinez, 136 U.S. at 1343
    (internal quotation
    marks omitted) (citation omitted).
    11 The analysis of prejudice in Bowen bears close resemblance
    to the effect-on-the-trial analysis required by Molina-Martinez.
    Compare 
    Bowen, 76 M.J. at 89
    (finding no prejudice because “we
    11
    United States v. Tovarchavez, No. 18-0371/AR
    Opinion of the 
    Court 76 M.J. at 154
    (evaluating forfeited nonconstitutional
    evidentiary error using Molina-Martinez’s effect-on-the-trial
    test), with, e.g., United States v. Hukill, 
    76 M.J. 219
    , 222
    (C.A.A.F. 2017) (evaluating preserved Hills error under
    Chapman’s “harmless beyond a reasonable doubt” rubric),
    and 
    Jones, 78 M.J. at 45
    (evaluating forfeited Confrontation
    Clause error using the Chapman test). 12 The ACCA’s
    contrary conclusion was misplaced.
    We further note that given our clear precedent, to the
    extent a few outlying cases are purportedly contrary (and we
    repeat, they are not), it is for this Court, not the ACCA, to
    overrule our precedent. United States v. Davis, 
    76 M.J. 224
    ,
    228 n.2 (C.A.A.F. 2017) (“It is this Court’s prerogative to
    overrule its own decisions.” (citing Rodriguez de Quijas v.
    Shearson/Am. Exp., Inc., 
    490 U.S. 477
    , 484 (1989))). Both
    the Government and the ACCA should be well familiar with
    the proposition that “overruling by implication is
    disfavored.” United States v. Pack, 
    65 M.J. 381
    , 383
    (C.A.A.F. 2007); see also Agostini v. Felton, 
    521 U.S. 203
    , 237
    (1997) (“[Lower courts] should follow the case which directly
    controls, leaving to this Court the prerogative of overruling
    its own decisions.” (internal quotation marks omitted)
    (citation omitted)). 13
    lack confidence that the panel members were not influenced by
    the improper hearsay testimony in this case”), with Molina-
    
    Martinez, 136 S. Ct. at 1343
    (requiring a “reasonable probability
    that, but for the error, the outcome of the proceedings would have
    been different.” (internal quotation marks omitted) (citation
    omitted)).
    12  This makes sense: the statutory requirement to determine
    whether an appellant has sustained “material[] prejudice[] [to a]
    substantial right[]” is only given legal effect when a standard is
    employed to determine whether a “substantial right[]” of the ap-
    pellant has been prejudiced. See, e.g., 
    Lopez, 76 M.J. at 154
    ; Hum-
    
    phries, 71 M.J. at 214
    –15.
    13 For example, while the ACCA understood that it was bound
    by our decision setting forth the burden-shifting prejudice analysis
    in United States v. Paige, 
    67 M.J. 442
    , 449 (C.A.A.F. 2009), it not-
    ed that our recent cases reviewing forfeited constitutional error
    have omitted Paige’s burden shift, Tovarchavez, 2018 CCA
    LEXIS 371, at *9–10, 
    2018 WL 3570591
    , at *4, and it rightly
    12
    United States v. Tovarchavez, No. 18-0371/AR
    Opinion of the Court
    B.
    The Government nonetheless argues that we need not
    apply the Chapman standard to the forfeited constitutional
    error in this case because Chapman is distinguishable. The
    Government argues that the Supreme Court in Chapman
    was primarily concerned with defining the “harmless beyond
    a reasonable doubt” standard, rather than drawing
    distinctions between preserved and unpreserved errors, and
    therefore it may not be the appropriate standard in all cases
    involving forfeited constitutional error. This effort to
    distinguish Chapman is unpersuasive.
    First, whatever the Supreme Court’s primary concern,
    Chapman itself clearly involved forfeited constitutional
    error. At the time of petitioners’ trial in Chapman, the
    California Constitution permitted the prosecution to argue
    to the jury that it should draw adverse inferences regarding
    petitioners’ guilt due to their failure to 
    testify. 386 U.S. at 19
    . After Chapman’s trial, but before his appeal to the
    California Supreme Court, the Supreme Court decided
    Griffin v. California, 
    380 U.S. 609
    (1965), which invalidated
    the California constitutional provision at issue. 
    Chapman, 386 U.S. at 19
    . There is no indication that petitioners
    objected at trial to the prosecution’s argument, yet the
    Supreme Court in Chapman did not treat the error as
    waived. See 
    id. at 19–20.
    The Supreme Court has since
    clearly acknowledged that when there is a change in the law
    during the pendency of the appeal, the error is deemed
    forfeited rather than waived. Johnson v. United States, 
    520 U.S. 461
    , 467 (1997).
    The Supreme Court granted certiorari in Chapman to
    determine whether a violation of petitioners’ Griffin rights
    emphasized the illogic of that burden-shifting standard.
    Tovarchavez, 2018 CCA LEXIS 371, at *9–10, 
    2018 WL 3570591
    , at *4, *6 (“As a matter of logic, if appellant has estab-
    lished material prejudice to a substantial right, how could the
    government ever be able to show that the error was harmless be-
    yond a reasonable doubt?”). We agree this standard is illogical,
    because, of course, material prejudice in this context means that
    the constitutional error is not harmless beyond a reasonable
    doubt. 
    Chapman, 386 U.S. at 24
    .
    13
    United States v. Tovarchavez, No. 18-0371/AR
    Opinion of the Court
    was, or could ever be, a harmless 
    error. 386 U.S. at 20
    . In
    fashioning its “harmless-constitutional-error rule,” the
    Supreme Court recognized that, while “some constitutional
    rights [are] so basic to a fair trial that their infraction can
    never be treated as harmless error,” there could be certain
    constitutional errors that “in the setting of a particular case
    are so unimportant and insignificant that they may . . . not
    requir[e] the automatic reversal of the conviction.” 
    Id. at 22–
    23 (discussing structural error and harmless error). The
    Supreme Court further emphasized that the applicable
    federal statute demonstrated an intention not to treat errors
    that “affect [the] substantial rights” of a party as harmless.
    
    Id. at 22.
    Restating and reaffirming its articulation of
    “harmless error” from 
    Fahy, 375 U.S. at 86
    –87 (requiring “a
    reasonable possibility that the evidence complained of might
    have contributed to the conviction”), the Supreme Court held
    “that before a constitutional error can be held harmless, the
    court must be able to declare a belief that it was harmless
    beyond a reasonable doubt.” 
    Chapman, 386 U.S. at 24
    .
    Here, as in Chapman, Appellant’s case involves an error
    of constitutional dimension that arose only during the
    pendency of his appeal. Where the precedent of the Supreme
    Court has direct application to a case, “[this Court] should
    follow the case which directly controls.”). Rodriguez de
    
    Quijas, 490 U.S. at 484
    . There is no Supreme Court
    precedent that meaningfully narrows Chapman’s application
    to this case. Nothing in Chapman’s logic limits it in the way
    that the Government proposes, nor is there any legitimate
    military justification for interpreting “material prejudice”
    under Article 59(a), UCMJ, differently for preserved and
    forfeited constitutional errors. And, “[a]bsent articulation of
    a legitimate military necessity or distinction, or a legislative
    or executive mandate to the contrary, this Court has a duty
    to follow Supreme Court precedent.” United States v. Cary,
    
    62 M.J. 277
    , 280 (C.A.A.F. 2006). We thus reject the
    Government’s invitation to overrule our precedent that
    relies on Chapman.
    C.
    The ACCA relied on federal circuit courts’ precedent in
    ignoring Chapman’s application to forfeited constitutional
    error. Tovarchavez, 2018 CCA LEXIS 371, at *16–19, 2018
    14
    United States v. Tovarchavez, No. 18-0371/AR
    Opinion of the Court
    WL 3570591, at *7. To be certain, the federal circuit courts
    appear to regularly evaluate prejudice arising from forfeited
    constitutional errors by requiring an appellant to establish
    that, “had the error not occurred, there is a ‘reasonable
    probability’ that” the outcome would have been different.
    United States v. Guzmán, 
    419 F.3d 27
    , 30 (1st Cir. 2005)
    (citation omitted) (reviewing a forfeited Booker error); see,
    e.g., United States v. Ameline, 
    409 F.3d 1073
    , 1078 (9th Cir.
    2005) (same); United States v. Rodriguez, 
    398 F.3d 1291
    ,
    1299 (11th Cir. 2005) (same). And we often both review and
    give persuasive weight to the decisions of the federal circuit
    courts of appeal. See, e.g., Loving v. United States, 
    62 M.J. 235
    , 248, 259 (C.A.A.F. 2005) (citing with approval and
    relying on cases from the United States Courts of Appeal for
    the Tenth and D.C. Circuits for their persuasive reasoning).
    Nevertheless, we decline to follow their lead because we do
    not find a satisfactory rationale for the federal courts’ side
    stepping of Chapman and we must interpret our own statute
    consistent with our precedent.
    Article 59(a), UCMJ, only permits appellate error
    correction where the error “materially prejudices . . .
    substantial rights.” This is true regardless of whether the
    error was preserved or forfeited. As discussed supra pp. 8–
    12, the settled practice of this Court, consonant with the
    statutory requirements of Article 59(a), UCMJ, is to assess
    prejudice—whether an error is preserved or not—based on
    the nature of the right.
    The federal circuit courts review errors under a different
    framework: preserved error under Fed. R. Crim. P. 52(a) and
    forfeited error under Fed. R. Crim. P. 52(b). For forfeited
    errors they apply the four-prong test set out in 
    Olano, 507 U.S. at 734
    : (1) “There must be an error or defect” that the
    appellant has not affirmatively waived; (2) it “must be clear
    or obvious”; (3) it “must have affected the appellant’s
    substantial rights,” i.e., “ ‘affected the outcome of the district
    court proceedings’ ”; and (4) if the three other prongs are
    satisfied, the court of appeals has the discretion to remedy
    the error if it “ ‘seriously affect[s] the fairness, integrity or
    public reputation of judicial proceedings.’ ” Puckett v. United
    15
    United States v. Tovarchavez, No. 18-0371/AR
    Opinion of the Court
    States, 
    556 U.S. 129
    , 135 (2009) (alteration in original)
    (citing 
    Olano, 507 U.S. at 732
    –36). 14
    Nothing in Olano purported to overrule Chapman—
    indeed, it dealt with an unpreserved nonconstitutional error
    rather than constitutional error. 15 Nonetheless, in the time
    since Olano was decided, the federal courts have not applied
    Chapman when assessing prejudice for unpreserved
    constitutional errors; instead, they have applied several
    formulations of lower standards for assessing prejudice
    without discussion of Chapman. See, e.g., United States v.
    Benford, 
    875 F.3d 1007
    , 1016–17 (10th Cir. 2017) (applying
    Molina-Martinez to test prejudice); United States v.
    Cardena, 
    842 F.3d 959
    , 998 (7th Cir. 2016) (same); United
    States v. Hastings, 
    134 F.3d 235
    , 243–44 (4th Cir. 1998)
    (reviewing for plain error “[b]ecause [the appellant] failed to
    object in a timely fashion to the instruction” and assessing
    prejudice based on whether “the erroneous ‘use’ instruction
    given by the district court resulted in [the appellant’s]
    conviction”); United States v. Wibhey, 
    75 F.3d 761
    , 769 (1st
    Cir. 1996) (finding Chapman inapplicable to a forfeited
    constitutional error without analysis and assessing
    prejudice based on whether it “ ‘affected the outcome of the
    [d]istrict [c]ourt proceedings’ ” (quoting 
    Olano, 507 U.S. at 734
    )). 16
    14  In cases applying “plain error” review, this Court does not
    apply the fourth prong of the Olano test. See, e.g., Hum
    phries, 71 M.J. at 214
    ; United States v. Girouard, 
    70 M.J. 5
    , 11 (C.A.A.F.
    2011) (applying the three-prong military “plain error” test). This
    divergence from federal practice is regularly justified by the dif-
    ferences between Article 59, UCMJ, and Fed. R. Crim. P. 52(b).
    See, e.g., United States v. Tunstall, 
    72 M.J. 191
    , 196–97 & n.7
    (C.A.A.F. 2013); 
    Powell, 49 M.J. at 463
    –65.
    15  Later cases—Johnson and Cotton—involved forfeited consti-
    tutional error, but in both cases the Supreme Court side stepped
    the issue of prejudice and resolved the case on the fourth prong of
    Olano (which has not been adopted in the military system, see su-
    pra note 14). 
    Johnson, 520 U.S. at 469
    ; Cotton, 
    535 U.S. 625
    , 632–
    33 (2002).
    16  While it does not apply Chapman to forfeited constitutional
    errors, the United States Court of Appeals for the Tenth Circuit
    qualifies its application of the plain error test in cases involving
    16
    United States v. Tovarchavez, No. 18-0371/AR
    Opinion of the Court
    While we need not reconcile the decisions of other courts
    with Supreme Court precedent, a few observations explain
    why we decline to adopt their practice. First, none of these
    cases addresses the readily apparent tension between their
    prejudice analysis, based on Olano’s analysis of a forfeited
    nonconstitutional error, and Chapman’s, which involved a
    forfeited constitutional error.
    Second, Olano did not suggest that Fed. R. Crim. P. 52(a)
    and Fed. R. Crim. P. 52(b) require different standards for
    determining whether an error is prejudicial. 
    Olano, 507 U.S. at 734
    . Regarding the prejudice analysis, the Supreme Court
    stated, “[Fed. R. Crim. P.] 52(b) normally requires the same
    kind of inquiry [as Fed. R. Crim. P. 52(a)]. . . .” 
    Id. Nevertheless, many
    federal circuit courts have relied on
    Olano’s “affected the outcome of the district court
    proceedings” articulation, see, e.g., 
    Wibhey, 75 F.3d at 769
    ;
    United States v. Turcks, 
    41 F.3d 893
    , 898 (3d Cir. 1994),
    which is strikingly similar to the “reasonable probability
    that, but for the error, the outcome of the proceeding would
    have been different” articulation from Molina-Martinez and
    Dominguez Benitez.
    Third, both Fed. R. Crim. P. 52(a), which covers
    “harmless error,” and Fed. R. Crim. P. 52(b), which covers
    “plain error,” limit appellate review to errors that “affect
    substantial rights,” and an error that “affect[s] substantial
    rights,” is one that is prejudicial. 
    Olano, 507 U.S. at 732
    ,
    734. And while the text of Fed. R. Crim. P. 52(a) itself draws
    no distinction between constitutional and nonconstitutional
    errors, federal courts regularly evaluate prejudice arising
    from preserved errors based on the nature of the right. 17
    potential constitutional errors. See 
    Benford, 875 F.3d at 1016
    (not-
    ing that it applies the plain error rule “less rigidly when reviewing
    a potential constitutional error” (quoting United States v. James,
    
    257 F.3d 1173
    , 1182 (10th Cir. 2001)).
    17  We separately note that the Supreme Court’s stated inter-
    est in a prejudice standard that “encourage[s] timely objections
    and reduce[s] wasteful reversals,” Dominguez 
    Benitez, 542 U.S. at 82
    , is inapposite to this case given that “any objection by
    Appell[ant] at trial would have been futile based on the law at the
    time.” 
    Humphries, 71 M.J. at 215
    n.7. The “sandbagging” concerns
    17
    United States v. Tovarchavez, No. 18-0371/AR
    Opinion of the Court
    See, e.g., United States v. Hasting, 
    461 U.S. 499
    , 507–12
    (1983) (applying Chapman to evaluate prejudice arising
    from Griffin error); Kotteakos v. United States, 
    328 U.S. 750
    ,
    763–65      (1946)     (determining    prejudice    from     a
    nonconstitutional error based on the effect on the outcome of
    the proceeding). Fed. R. Crim. P. 52(b) utilizes the same
    “affect substantial rights” language, yet federal courts
    inexplicably evaluate prejudice arising from both
    constitutional and nonconstitutional errors using the same
    “effect-on-the-trial” analysis.
    Fourth, the position taken by the ACCA has been raised
    in dissent myriad times. See 
    Humphries, 71 M.J. at 220
    –22
    (Stucky, J., dissenting); 
    Paige, 67 M.J. at 452
    –54 (Stucky, J.,
    dissenting in part and concurring in the result); United
    States v. Gilley, 
    56 M.J. 113
    , 127–30 (C.A.A.F. 2001)
    (Sullivan, J., concurring in part and dissenting in part);
    United States v. Kho, 
    54 M.J. 63
    , 65 (C.A.A.F. 2000)
    (Sullivan, J., concurring); 
    Wilson, 54 M.J. at 60
    –62
    (Sullivan, J., concurring in part and dissenting in part);
    
    Powell, 49 M.J. at 466
    (Sullivan, J., concurring in the
    result). And we have repeatedly rejected the argument,
    presented in each of those cases, that, when assessing
    prejudice under Article 59, UCMJ, we either should or must
    follow the plain error doctrine applied in the federal courts.
    The mere existence of the labored and erroneous CCA
    opinion in this case or dissents in other cases from this
    Court neither undermines the force of stare decisis nor
    makes our precedent unworkable. See Payne v. Tennessee,
    
    501 U.S. 808
    , 827 (1991).
    We are simply unable to cogently distill a compelling, let
    alone persuasive, rationale based on the federal courts’
    treatment of Supreme Court precedent or their analysis of
    Fed. R. Crim. P. 52(a) and (b) to jettison our precedent
    regarding Article 59, UCMJ. Therefore, when interpreting
    this separate statute that governs the military justice
    system, we will still apply the Chapman standard when
    assessing prejudice for forfeited constitutional errors—cases
    identified in 
    Puckett, 556 U.S. at 134
    (internal quotation marks
    omitted) (citations omitted), are simply not present here.
    18
    United States v. Tovarchavez, No. 18-0371/AR
    Opinion of the Court
    just like Chapman. See Rodriguez de 
    Quijas, 490 U.S. at 484
    (“If a precedent of this Court has direct application in a
    case . . . [this Court] should follow the case which directly
    controls. . . .”); 
    Pack, 65 M.J. at 385
    (“[L]ower courts should
    follow the case which directly controls, leaving to [the
    Supreme] Court the prerogative of overruling its own
    decisions.” (internal quotation marks omitted) (quoting
    
    Agostini, 521 U.S. at 237
    )).
    Prejudice
    Given our holding in Hills, the propensity instruction at
    issue is undeniably clear or obvious error at the time of the
    appeal. 
    Williams, 77 M.J. at 463
    . Thus, the question before
    us is whether such error materially prejudiced Appellant’s
    substantial rights. At issue here is Appellant’s right to be
    presumed innocent until proven guilty, a “foundational
    tenet” of the Fifth Amendment’s Due Process Clause, and a
    substantial right infringed upon by the erroneous
    instruction. 
    Hills 75 M.J. at 356
    (citing In re Winship, 
    397 U.S. 358
    , 363 (1970)). Under Article 59(a), UCMJ, there is
    material prejudice where “we simply cannot be certain that
    the erroneous propensity instruction did not taint the
    proceedings or otherwise ‘contribute to the defendant’s
    conviction or sentence.’ ” 
    Williams, 77 M.J. at 464
    (quoting
    
    Hills, 75 M.J. at 358
    ); see also 
    Chapman, 386 U.S. at 24
    .
    The ACCA, while finding that the evidence against
    Appellant in this case was significant, was not convinced
    that the error was harmless beyond a reasonable doubt.
    Tovarchavez, 2018 CCA LEXIS 371, at *19–22, 
    2018 WL 3570591
    , at *8–9. Noting that “there is a wide gulf between
    testing for plain error and testing for constitutional
    harmlessness,” the ACCA determined that the weight of the
    evidence fell between the two standards of review. 18 
    Id. at *22,
    2018 WL 3570591
    , at *9.
    18  In the interest of clarity, we note, as demonstrated through-
    out this opinion, that distinguishing between plain error and con-
    stitutional harmlessness is analytically flawed. The proper dis-
    tinctions, rather, are between preserved and forfeited error and
    constitutional and nonconstitutional rights. Forfeited errors are
    subject to plain error review, while preserved errors are not. Un-
    19
    United States v. Tovarchavez, No. 18-0371/AR
    Opinion of the Court
    The ACCA’s conclusion that this Hills error was not
    harmless beyond a reasonable doubt was supported by two
    specific observations. First, while SPC JR’s testimony
    describing the event was supported by DNA evidence, the
    DNA evidence did not directly contradict the defense theory
    of the case. 
    Id. at *22,
    2018 WL 3570591
    , at *9. Second,
    Appellant’s text message apologies do not unassailably
    establish his consciousness of guilt.
    First, the presence of DNA was entirely consistent with
    the defense theories that that SPC JR either consented or
    that Appellant acted under a reasonable mistake of fact as
    to consent, the mere presence of his DNA does not defeat his
    defense. Second, while Appellant’s text message apologies
    could be interpreted as establishing consciousness of guilt,
    they could also have been “statements from someone who
    knows they have acted inappropriately, but not criminally.”
    Id., 
    2018 WL 3570591
    , at *9. Third, Appellant was acquitted
    of the Specification 1, making it less clear that the
    bootstrapping effect of the instruction did not “tip[] the
    balance” with respect to the members’ ultimate
    determination regarding Specification 2. 
    Hills, 75 M.J. at 358
    .
    Accordingly, we are unable to say with certainty that the
    erroneous propensity instruction did not taint the
    proceedings or otherwise contribute to Appellant’s conviction
    or sentence. Because the error was not harmless beyond a
    reasonable doubt, we must set aside the findings and
    sentence.
    Judgment
    The judgment of the United States Army Court of
    Criminal Appeals is reversed, and the findings and sentence
    are set aside. The record is returned to the Judge Advocate
    General of the Army. A rehearing is authorized.
    der Article 59, UCMJ, all errors of law—preserved or not—must
    have prejudiced an appellant’s rights, and the test we employ to
    determine prejudice depends on the nature of the right. See supra
    pp. 8–12.
    20
    United States v. Tovarchavez, No. 18-0371/AR
    Judge MAGGS, with whom Chief Judge STUCKY joins,
    dissenting.
    Article 59(a), Uniform Code of Military Justice (UCMJ),
    provides: “A finding or sentence of a court-martial may not
    be held incorrect on the ground of an error of law unless the
    error materially prejudices the substantial rights of the ac-
    cused.” 10 U.S.C. § 859(a) (2012). This statutory provision
    establishes a test of material prejudice, not a test of harm-
    lessness beyond a reasonable doubt. This Court must accept
    the “balance achieved by Congress” in enacting the UCMJ
    unless its provisions are unconstitutional. Weiss v. United
    States, 
    510 U.S. 163
    , 181 (1994). Accordingly, when this
    Court hears an appeal, we must review errors for material
    prejudice under Article 59(a), UCMJ, unless the United
    States Constitution requires us to apply a different test.
    No one disputes that the material prejudice test of Arti-
    cle 59(a), UCMJ, is constitutional when we review cases that
    do not involve constitutional errors. See, e.g., United States
    v. Hamilton, __ M.J. __ (12) (C.A.A.F. 2019) (applying the
    material prejudice test of Article 59(a), UCMJ, when review-
    ing an error under the Rules for Courts-Martial). In addi-
    tion, no one disputes that when we review a preserved objec-
    tion to a constitutional error, we cannot apply the material
    prejudice test of Article 59(a), UCMJ, because to do so would
    be unconstitutional. The United States Supreme Court held
    in Chapman v. California that “before a federal constitu-
    tional error can be held harmless, the court must be able to
    declare a belief that it was harmless beyond a reasonable
    doubt.” 
    386 U.S. 18
    , 24 (1967).
    The question in this case is whether the Constitution al-
    so requires us to apply Chapman’s harmlessness beyond a
    reasonable doubt test when we review a forfeited objection to
    a nonstructural constitutional issue. Unlike the Court, I
    conclude that the answer is no. 1 Although the Supreme
    Court did not distinguish between preserved and forfeited
    objections in Chapman, the Supreme Court in subsequent
    1 Judge Sullivan previously reached the same conclusion in
    his separate opinion in United States v. Powell, 
    49 M.J. 460
    ,
    466 (C.M.A. 1998) (Sullivan, J., concurring in the result).
    United States v. Tovarchavez, No. 18-0371/AR
    Judge MAGGS, dissenting
    cases has not applied Chapman’s test when reviewing for-
    feited constitutional objections.
    In United States v. Olano, 
    507 U.S. 725
    (1993), a district
    court allowed an alternate juror to observe the jury’s delib-
    erations during the respondent’s criminal trial. 
    Id. at 727.
    The respondent did not object to this procedure at trial, but
    argued on appeal that the presence of the alternate juror vi-
    olated the Federal Rules of Criminal Procedure. 
    Id. at 728−30.
    The Supreme Court ruled that the respondent had
    forfeited his objection to this error by not raising it at trial.
    
    Id. at 730−31.
    The Court then announced that under Fed. R.
    Crim. P. 52(b), an appellate court may consider a forfeited
    objection to an error at trial only if the appellate court de-
    termines that three conditions are met: (1) that “there in-
    deed be an ‘error,’ ” 
    id. at 732
    (quoting Fed. R. Crim. P.
    52(b)); (2) that “the error be ‘plain,’ ” a term which is “synon-
    ymous with ‘clear’ or, equivalently, ‘obvious,’ ” 
    id. at 734
    (same); and (3) that the plain error “affec[t] substantial
    rights,” 
    id. If all
    three conditions are met, the Supreme
    Court held, an appellate court may correct the error if the
    error “ ‘seriously affect[s] the fairness, integrity, or public
    reputation of judicial proceedings.’ ” 
    Id. at 736
    (quoting
    United States v. Atkinson, 
    297 U.S. 157
    , 160 (1936)). Under
    the Olano test, the appellate court need not determine that
    the error was harmless. See 
    id. at 734
    .
    The Olano decision concerned a forfeited objection to a
    nonconstitutional error and therefore does not directly an-
    swer the question of what test an appellate court should ap-
    ply when reviewing a forfeited objection to a constitutional
    error. But four years later, in Johnson v. United States, 
    520 U.S. 461
    (1997), the Supreme Court applied Olano’s plain
    error test to a forfeited objection to a constitutional error. In
    that case, the petitioner was charged with making a false
    material declaration before a grand jury. 
    Id. at 463.
    The dis-
    trict court ruled that the court, rather than the jury, should
    determine whether the petitioner’s declaration was material.
    
    Id. at 464.
    The petitioner argued for the first time on appeal
    that this ruling violated United States v. Gaudin, 
    515 U.S. 506
    (1995), which held that the Fifth Amendment’s Due Pro-
    cess Clause and the Sixth Amendment right to a jury trial
    require that a jury determine that the defendant is guilty of
    2
    United States v. Tovarchavez, No. 18-0371/AR
    Judge MAGGS, dissenting
    each element of the charged crime. 
    Gaudin, 515 U.S. at 509
    −10. The standard of review was an important issue on
    appeal in Johnson. The government argued that the Su-
    preme Court should apply the Olano test because the peti-
    tioner had forfeited her objection, while the petitioner ar-
    gued that the error was a structural constitutional error and
    could not be reviewed under either the Olano test or a harm-
    lessness test. 2 The Supreme Court sided with the Govern-
    ment and reviewed the constitutional error using the Olano
    test. 
    Johnson, 520 U.S. at 465
    −66. The Supreme Court nota-
    bly did not require the government to prove that the forfeit-
    ed constitutional error was harmless beyond a reasonable
    doubt.
    The Supreme Court also applied the Olano test when re-
    viewing a forfeited objection to a constitutional error in
    United States v. Cotton, 
    535 U.S. 625
    (2002). In that case,
    the respondents argued that their indictments unconstitu-
    tionally failed to allege a fact that increased the statutory
    maximum sentence in violation of Apprendi v. New Jersey,
    
    530 U.S. 466
    (2000). As in Johnson, the parties disputed
    what standard of review should apply. 3 The Supreme Court
    sided with the government and applied the Olano test be-
    cause the respondents had forfeited their objection by not
    preserving it at 
    trial. 535 U.S. at 631
    (citing 
    Olano, 507 U.S. at 731
    , and 
    Johnson, 520 U.S. at 466
    −67). Again, the Su-
    preme Court did not require the government to prove that
    the forfeited constitutional error was harmless beyond a
    reasonable doubt.
    The Supreme Court’s decisions in Johnson and Cotton
    show that the Constitution does not require courts to apply
    Chapman’s harmlessness beyond a reasonable doubt test
    when reviewing forfeited objections to constitutional errors.
    2 Compare Brief of the Petitioner at 19−23, Johnson v. United
    States, 
    520 U.S. 461
    (1997) (No. 96-203), 
    1996 WL 741434
    , at
    *19−23, with Brief for the United States at 10−12, Johnson, 
    520 U.S. 461
    , 
    1997 WL 37887
    , at *10−12.
    3 Compare Brief for the United States at 34−37, United States
    v. Cotton, 
    535 U.S. 625
    (2002) (No. 01-687), 
    2002 WL 264766
    ,
    *34−37, with Brief of Respondents at 38−44, Cotton, 
    535 U.S. 625
    ,
    
    2002 WL 463382
    , at *38−44.
    3
    United States v. Tovarchavez, No. 18-0371/AR
    Judge MAGGS, dissenting
    The standard of review was contested in both cases and in
    both cases the Supreme Court did not test the constitutional
    error for harmlessness beyond a reasonable doubt. All of the
    other United States Courts of Appeals that hear criminal
    cases agree with this position; none of them applies the
    Chapman harmlessness beyond a reasonable doubt test
    when reviewing forfeited constitutional objections. 4 Among
    all these federal courts, our Court is the outlier, and our po-
    sition is incorrect.
    In this case, the Court should apply the material preju-
    dice test required by Article 59(a), UCMJ. The Constitution
    does not mandate that we reject Article 59(a), UCMJ, and
    apply a test of harmlessness beyond a reasonable doubt. 5
    Under the material prejudice test, I would affirm the judg-
    4  The courts in all of the following cases reviewed forfeited ob-
    jections to constitutional errors using the Olano test rather than a
    test of harmlessness beyond a reasonable doubt: United States v.
    Soto, 
    720 F.3d 51
    , 57 (1st Cir. 2013); United States v. Bruno, 
    383 F.3d 65
    , 78 (2d Cir. 2004); United States v. Vazquez, 
    271 F.3d 93
    ,
    98 (3d Cir. 2001); United States v. Hughes, 
    401 F.3d 540
    , 547 (4th
    Cir. 2005); United States v. Mudekunye, 
    646 F.3d 281
    , 289 (5th
    Cir. 2011); United States v. Yancy, 
    725 F.3d 596
    , 600−01 (6th Cir.
    2013); United States v. Cardena, 
    842 F.3d 959
    , 979 (7th Cir. 2016);
    United States v. Elmardoudi, 
    501 F.3d 935
    , 943−44 (8th Cir.
    2007); United States v. Moreland, 
    622 F.3d 1147
    , 1158 (9th Cir.
    2010); United States v. Turiettta, 
    696 F.3d 972
    , 976, 983−84 (10th
    Cir. 2012); United States v. Garcia, 
    906 F.3d 1255
    , 1260 (11th Cir.
    2018); United States v. McGill, 
    815 F.3d 846
    , 875 (D.C. Cir. 2016).
    The United States Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit, which
    does not hear criminal cases, has not addressed the issue.
    5  The principle of stare decisis does not require a different re-
    sult. As the Court acknowledges, although most of this Court’s
    prior cases have applied the harmlessness beyond a reasonable
    doubt test to both preserved and unpreserved objections to consti-
    tutional errors, some of our precedents have not. See United States
    v. Guardado, 
    77 M.J. 90
    , 93−95 (C.A.A.F. 2017). We thus current-
    ly have no clear law on this point—a situation dramatically shown
    by the majority and dissenting opinions of the Court of Criminal
    Appeals in this case. See Graves v. Schmidlapp, 
    315 U.S. 657
    , 665
    (1942) (declining to apply the principle of stare decisis when faced
    with multiple conflicting precedents). In addition, reaching the
    correct conclusion on this issue is very important because in a
    great many of the cases that we review, the Appellant has forfeit-
    ed an objection by failing to raise it at trial.
    4
    United States v. Tovarchavez, No. 18-0371/AR
    Judge MAGGS, dissenting
    ment of the United States Army Court of Criminal Appeals.
    I agree with that court’s conclusion that, while the forfeited
    constitutional error in this case may not have been harmless
    beyond a reasonable doubt, it did not result in material
    prejudice. United States v. Tovarchavez, No. ARMY
    20150250, 2018 CCA LEXIS 371, at *21−22, 
    2018 WL 3570591
    , at *9 (A. Ct. Crim. App. July 19, 2018).
    5