United States v. Steed , 879 F.3d 440 ( 2018 )


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  •           United States Court of Appeals
    For the First Circuit
    No. 17-1011
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,
    Appellant,
    v.
    VINCENT STEED,
    Defendant, Appellee.
    APPEAL FROM THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF MAINE
    [Hon. Nancy Torresen, U.S. District Judge]
    Before
    Kayatta, Selya, and Barron,
    Circuit Judges.
    Richard W. Murphy, Acting United States Attorney, and Julia
    M. Lipez, Assistant United States Attorney, on brief for appellant.
    Molly Butler Bailey and Strike, Gonzalez & Butler Bailey on
    brief for appellee.
    January 12, 2018
    BARRON, Circuit Judge.      In this appeal, the government
    challenges the 2016 sentence that Vincent Steed received for his
    conviction -- following his guilty plea -- for possession with
    intent to distribute Cocaine Base and Heroin in violation of
    21 U.S.C.    §   841(a)(1),   (b)(1)(C).      The    District     Court,    in
    sentencing Steed, concluded that he did not qualify as a "career
    offender" under the United States Sentencing Guidelines and thus
    was not subject to the sentencing enhancement that otherwise would
    apply.      The District Court then calculated Steed's guidelines
    sentencing range on that basis, and sentenced Steed to a prison
    term of 63 months, which was at the high end of the resulting
    guidelines sentencing range.
    The government now contends that the District Court
    erred in concluding that Steed did not qualify as a "career
    offender"    under   the   Sentencing   Guidelines   and   thus    that    the
    District Court sentenced him based on an unduly low guidelines
    sentencing range.     Accordingly, the government argues that Steed's
    sentence must be vacated so that Steed may be re-sentenced.
    As has become common in cases of this type, we must
    address a number of complexities regarding the particularities of
    state law to resolve the issues on appeal.      And, as has also become
    common in cases of this type, such complexities of state law in
    turn raise additional questions -- knotty in themselves -- about
    the requirements of the federal provision that seeks to identify
    - 2 -
    those offenders whose past violence warrants the imposition of an
    enhanced sentence.   After working our way through these questions,
    we conclude that the government has not identified a sufficient
    basis for vacating the sentence.        Accordingly, we affirm the
    judgment below.
    I.
    On June 27, 2016, in the United States District Court
    for the District of Maine, Steed pleaded guilty to violating
    21 U.S.C. § 841(a)(1), (b)(1)(C).      The Presentence Investigation
    Report ("PSR") prepared by the Probation Office recommended that
    Steed be classified as a "career offender" under § 4B1.1 of the
    United States Sentencing Guidelines, as set forth in the 2015
    version of the United States Sentencing Guidelines Manual.
    That guideline defines a "career offender" to include
    those defendants who have two prior convictions, whether for a
    "controlled substance offense," U.S. Sentencing Guidelines Manual
    § 4B1.1(a) (U.S. Sentencing Comm'n 2015), any "crime of violence,"
    
    id. § 4B1.1(a),
    or any combination thereof.    A "crime of violence"
    is defined as:
    [A]ny offense under federal or state law, punishable by
    imprisonment for a term exceeding one year, that[] (l)
    has as an element the use, attempted use, or threatened
    use of physical force against the person of another, or
    (2) is burglary of a dwelling, arson, or extortion,
    involves use of explosives, or otherwise involves
    conduct that presents a serious potential risk of
    physical injury to another.
    - 3 -
    
    Id. § 4B1.2(a).
    The first subpart of the language just quoted ("has as
    an element the use, attempted use, or threatened use of physical
    force against the person of another") is commonly referred to as
    the "force clause" of the "crime of violence" definition.               See
    United States v. Ball, 
    870 F.3d 1
    , 3 (1st Cir. 2017).            The final
    clause of the second subpart ("otherwise involves conduct that
    presents a serious potential risk of physical injury to another")
    is known as the "residual clause" of that definition.            
    Id. The PSR
    based the conclusion that Steed was a career
    offender under the guideline on his conviction in 2012 for two
    counts of drug trafficking under Maine law and his conviction in
    2000 for attempted robbery in the second degree under New York
    law.   Having determined that the drug trafficking and robbery
    convictions each qualified as predicate offenses under the career
    offender guideline, the PSR applied the career offender sentencing
    enhancement, which resulted in the PSR identifying Steed's total
    offense level under the guidelines to be 29.                The PSR also
    determined   Steed's   criminal   history   category   to   be    VI.    In
    consequence, the PSR calculated Steed's sentencing range under the
    guidelines to be 151 to 188 months of imprisonment.
    The District Court thereafter held a sentencing hearing.
    The District Court determined at the hearing that the variant of
    second-degree robbery under New York law that Steed had been
    - 4 -
    convicted of attempting to commit did not have as an element the
    use of "violent force" under Johnson v. United States, 
    559 U.S. 133
    , 140 (2010) (Johnson I).          Thus, the District Court reasoned
    that Steed had been convicted of an offense that did not fall
    within   the   force   clause   of    the    career   offender    guideline's
    definition of a "crime of violence."             The District Court then
    bypassed the question whether that offense fell within the residual
    clause of that guideline's definition of a "crime of violence"
    because the government conceded that, after Johnson v. United
    States, 
    135 S. Ct. 2551
    (2015) (Johnson II), the residual clause
    was unconstitutionally vague.          Accordingly, the District Court
    concluded that the career offender enhancement did not apply to
    Steed, as he had only one prior conviction that qualified as a
    conviction for a predicate offense under the career offender
    guideline -- namely, his conviction under Maine law for two counts
    of drug trafficking, which was a qualifying "controlled substance"
    offense.
    Partly in consequence of this ruling, the District Court
    determined that Steed's total offense level was 19, rather than
    29, as the PSR had stated.           The District Court also determined
    that, as the PSR had stated, Steed's criminal history category was
    VI.   The District Court then accepted the government's recommended
    two-level reduction of Steed's total offense level.              The District
    Court thus calculated Steed's guidelines sentencing range to be 51
    - 5 -
    to 63 months of imprisonment.    The District Court then sentenced
    Steed to a sentence at the high end of that range -- 63 months of
    imprisonment.
    The parties do not dispute that Steed's conviction for
    two counts of drug trafficking under Maine law qualifies as a
    conviction for a "controlled substance" offense under the career
    offender guideline.   See U.S.S.G. § 4B1.2(b).   The dispute before
    us therefore concerns only whether the government is right in
    contending that, contrary to the District Court's ruling, Steed's
    conviction for attempted second-degree robbery under New York law
    qualifies as a predicate conviction under the career offender
    guideline as a "crime of violence."       For, if the government is
    right on that point, then Steed is subject to the career offender
    enhancement under that guideline.
    II.
    We begin with the government's contention that Steed's
    2000 conviction for attempted second-degree robbery under New York
    law is for an offense that "has as an element the use, attempted
    use, or threatened use of physical force against the person of
    another" and thus is for an offense that the force clause of the
    career offender guideline's definition of a "crime of violence"
    encompasses.    U.S.S.G. § 4B1.2(a)(1).     Our review is de novo.
    United States v. Almenas, 
    553 F.3d 27
    , 31 (1st Cir. 2009).
    - 6 -
    A.
    In    assessing     whether    a   conviction      qualifies   as   a
    predicate conviction under the force clause of the career offender
    guideline's definition of a "crime of violence," we apply what is
    known as the "categorical approach."                United States v. Dávila-
    Félix, 
    667 F.3d 47
    , 55-56 (1st Cir. 2011) (internal quotation marks
    omitted).        Under   that   approach,      we   consider    "the   statutory
    definition of the offense in question, as opposed to the particular
    facts underlying the conviction." 
    Id. at 56
    (quoting United States
    v. Piper, 
    35 F.3d 611
    , 619 (1st Cir. 1994)); see also Taylor v.
    United States, 
    495 U.S. 575
    , 602 (1990).                  We undertake this
    analysis by focusing on the elements of the offense.                    Dávila-
    
    Félix, 667 F.3d at 57
    .          If the elements of the state statute of
    conviction "encompass[] only conduct that constitutes a predicate
    offense," then the conviction qualifies as a predicate conviction
    under the force clause of the career offender guideline's "crime
    of violence" definition.         
    Id. at 56
    .
    In cases where the state criminal statute at issue "sets
    out one or more elements of the offense in the alternative[,]"
    such that the offense is divisible into more than one offense, we
    must first identify the specific offense for which the defendant
    was convicted.      Descamps v. United States, 
    133 S. Ct. 2276
    , 2281
    (2013); United States v. Tavares, 
    843 F.3d 1
    , 10 (1st Cir. 2016),
    reh'g denied, 
    849 F.3d 529
    (1st Cir. 2017).                 The parties agree
    - 7 -
    that Steed's conviction was for attempting the type of second-
    degree robbery that § 160.10(2)(a) of the New York Penal Law sets
    forth.     Accordingly, we must determine whether Steed's conviction
    for that offense categorically qualifies as a conviction for a
    "crime of violence" under the force clause of the career offender
    guideline's definition of that term.
    B.
    New York Penal Law § 160.00 sets forth the general
    definition of the offense of robbery by providing that:
    A person forcibly steals property and commits robbery
    when, in the course of committing a larceny, he uses or
    threatens the immediate use of physical force upon
    another person for the purpose of . . . [p]reventing or
    overcoming resistance to the taking of the property or
    to the retention thereof immediately after the taking;
    or . . . [c]ompelling the owner of such property or
    another person to deliver up the property or to engage
    in other conduct which aids in the commission of the
    larceny.
    Section 160.10 then sets forth four variants of robbery
    in   the   second   degree.      N.Y.    Penal   Law   § 160.10.       Section
    160.10(2)(a), which is the variant that the parties agree is
    relevant here, defines that offense to occur when "when [someone]
    forcibly steals property," and "[i]n the course of the commission
    of the crime or of immediate flight therefrom, he or another
    participant in the crime: . . . [c]auses physical injury to any
    person who is not a participant in the crime."                  N.Y. Penal Law
    § 160.10(2)(a).       Finally,    New    York    defines   an    "attempt"   as
    - 8 -
    occurring when someone, "with intent to commit a crime . . .
    engages in conduct which tends to effect the commission of such
    crime[.]"    N.Y. Penal Law § 110.00.
    We set to one side the fact that Steed was convicted of
    attempting to commit second-degree robbery under § 160.10(2)(a).
    Doing so allows us to focus on whether this variant of second-
    degree robbery is an offense that falls under the force clause.
    For, if that offense does not fall under that clause, then the
    offense of attempting to commit that offense does not either.
    We begin our review by following the lead of the parties
    and considering our recent precedent in United States v. Mulkern,
    
    854 F.3d 87
    (1st Cir. 2017).     The parties recognize that Mulkern
    considered a similar issue to the one that we confront here, even
    though that case did not concern a potential application of the
    career offender guideline.
    Mulkern concerned a defendant's contention that his
    prior state law conviction under Maine law for a robbery offense
    did not qualify as a predicate conviction under the Armed Career
    Criminal Act (ACCA).    
    Id. at 92.
         Mulkern's analysis of ACCA is
    relevant here because of that statute's similarities with the
    career offender guideline.
    ACCA penalizes those who possess firearms if they have
    three or more prior convictions for a "violent felony."     18 U.S.C.
    § 924(e)(1).    Moreover, ACCA's definition of a "violent felony,"
    - 9 -
    
    id. § 924(e)(2)(B),
    contains a force clause that is worded nearly
    identically to the force clause of the career offender guideline's
    definition of a "crime of violence."   Thus, as we have explained
    before, precedents that, like Mulkern, construe the force clause
    in the definition of a "violent felony" under ACCA are directly
    relevant to the analysis that we must undertake in construing the
    force clause of the career offender guideline's definition of a
    "crime of violence."   See United States v. Hart, 
    674 F.3d 33
    , 41
    n.5 (1st Cir. 2012) (explaining that, because ACCA's definition of
    a "violent felony" is "almost identical[]" to the Sentencing
    Guidelines' definition of a "crime of violence," we have held that
    "'decisions construing one term inform the construction of the
    other'") (quoting United States v. Holloway, 
    630 F.3d 252
    , 254 n.1
    (1st Cir. 2011)).
    We explained in Mulkern that the robbery offense under
    Maine law for which the defendant had been convicted in that case
    required that the defendant had "use[d] physical force on another
    with the intent . . . (1) to prevent or overcome resistance to the
    taking of the property, or to the retention of the property" or
    "(2) to compel the person in control of the property to give it up
    or to engage in other conduct which aids in the taking or carrying
    away of the 
    property." 854 F.3d at 91
    (quoting Me. Stat. tit.
    17-A, § 651(1)). We then held that neither variant of this robbery
    offense under Maine law qualified under the force clause of ACCA's
    - 10 -
    definition of a "violent felony" because of the way that Maine
    defined the robbery offense.   
    Id. at 93-94.
    In so holding, we relied on the decision of Maine's
    highest court in Raymond v. State, 
    467 A.2d 161
    , 165 (Me. 1983).
    There, the Maine Law Court explained that the drafters of Maine's
    robbery statute, Me. Stat. tit. 17-A, § 651, "made a conscious
    decision that any physical force with the intent specified in" the
    relevant portion of the statute that defined that offense sufficed
    to satisfy the force element of that offense.    
    Raymond, 467 A.2d at 165
    (emphasis in original). The Maine Law Court concluded that,
    in light of this statutory definition of the offense of robbery,
    "a case where the victim was at the time unaware of a stealthy
    taking of her purse" did not constitute a robbery, but that a purse
    "snatching" effected with the requisite intent did.    
    Id. at 164.
    Raymond explained that "the mere act of snatching a purse from the
    hand of a victim is a sufficient act of physical force required
    for robbery," because of the amount of physical force that the act
    of "snatching" necessarily requires the perpetrator to use.   
    Id. Raymond relied
    for this conclusion on the reasoning of
    Commonwealth v. Jones, 
    283 N.E.2d 840
    (Mass. 1972).   In that case,
    the Massachusetts Supreme Judicial Court had explained, in holding
    that a purse snatching constituted a robbery under Massachusetts
    law, that "where, as here, the actual force used is sufficient to
    produce awareness, although the action may be so swift as to leave
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    the victim momentarily in a dazed condition, the requisite degree
    of force is present to make the crime robbery."              
    Id. at 845.
    In   light   of   Raymond,   we   concluded     in   Mulkern    that
    "Maine's   highest    court     recognizes     that   'any    physical    force'
    suffices to satisfy the 'physical force' element" of the offense
    of robbery, because Maine defines that offense's physical force
    requirement to be satisfied by a use of physical force that
    suffices to produce mere awareness in the victim.                 
    Mulkern, 854 F.3d at 93
    (quoting 
    Raymond, 467 A.2d at 165
    ) (emphasis omitted).
    We thus concluded that the robbery offense at issue could, under
    Maine law, be satisfied by proof of "'the mere act of snatching a
    purse from the hand of a victim' . . . even if the robber never
    made 'direct bodily contact' with the victim."                    
    Id. (quoting Raymond,
    467 A.2d at 164, 165).
    On that basis, we then concluded that the force clause
    of ACCA's definition of a "violent felony" did not encompass the
    offense of robbery in Maine that was at issue.               
    Id. at 93-94.
       We
    reasoned that such a minimal use of force as would be required
    merely to snatch a purse was too slight a use of force to constitute
    force   "'capable    of    causing   physical    pain   or     injury'"     under
    Johnson I.    
    Id. at 93-94
    (quoting Johnson 
    I, 559 U.S. at 140
    ); see
    also Johnson 
    I, 559 U.S. at 140
    -41 ("We think it clear that in the
    context of a statutory definition of 'violent felony,' the phrase
    'physical force' means violent force -- that is, force capable of
    - 12 -
    causing physical pain or injury to another person. . . . When the
    adjective   'violent'   is    attached      to   the     noun   'felony,'   its
    connotation of strong physical force is even clearer."); accord
    United States v. Ramos–González, 
    775 F.3d 483
    , 504 (1st Cir. 2015).
    Against this precedential background, we turn back,
    then, to the question at issue here: whether the type of robbery
    that Steed was convicted of attempting to commit -- a variant of
    second-degree robbery under New York law -- falls within the force
    clause of the career offender guideline's definition of a "crime
    of violence." The answer to this key question is one that concerns
    the state of New York law as it stood at the time that Steed was
    convicted of attempting to commit that crime, which was in 2000.
    That is so because we apply an historical approach to determine
    whether an offense categorically matches the elements of the force
    clause of the definition of a "crime of violence" under the career
    offender guideline.     After all, that is the approach that we use
    in construing the force clause of the definition of a "violent
    felony" under ACCA, United States v. Faust, 
    853 F.3d 39
    , 57 (1st
    Cir. 2017) (holding that categorical analysis under ACCA must be
    conducted as to the state of the law at the time of the defendant's
    conviction), and, as we have explained, our precedents concerning
    the   proper   construction   of    ACCA's       force   clause   inform    our
    construction of the career offender guideline's force clause as
    well, see 
    Hart, 674 F.3d at 41
    n.5.
    - 13 -
    C.
    The government contends that a review of the relevant
    New York state court precedent shows that § 160.10(2)(a) falls
    within   the    force   clause   of    the     career    offender    guideline's
    definition of a "crime of violence" because that offense requires
    more than the use or threatened use of "any physical force."
    
    Mulkern, 854 F.3d at 93
    .           And, the government contends, that
    conclusion is supported by the precedent that shows that New York
    law -- unlike Maine law, as Mulkern had held -- does not make a
    mere   purse    snatching   a    robbery     in    the   second    degree   under
    § 160.10(2)(a), and that this was the case, presumably, even as of
    2000, when Steed was convicted.
    The government relies for this assertion chiefly on a
    relatively recent New York Court of Appeals case, People v.
    Jurgins, 
    46 N.E.3d 1048
    (N.Y. 2015).              We are, of course, bound by
    how a state's highest court defines a crime in that state.                    See
    
    Tavares, 843 F.3d at 14
    .         But, even setting aside the fact that
    Jurgins was decided long after Steed's conviction, we do not find
    Jurgins to support the government's contention about the state of
    New York law at the time of that conviction.                      Jurgins simply
    assumed, based on the representations of the parties in that case,
    that a purse snatching would not qualify as a robbery under New
    York 
    law. 46 N.E.3d at 1053
    .       For that reason, Jurgins makes no
    holding with respect to the issue that we must resolve.
    - 14 -
    The government does also point to several New York
    intermediate appellate court precedents that pre-date Steed's
    conviction.   These cases address the conduct that may qualify as
    either second-degree or third-degree robbery under New York law.
    State   intermediate    appellate   court   precedents   are
    certainly potentially relevant to our present inquiry.       But the
    precedents on which the government relies do not suffice to support
    its contention.   Those cases find there to have been a robbery
    under New York law based on the use of seemingly greater force
    than was necessary to prove robbery under the Maine robbery statute
    considered in Mulkern.   See, e.g., People v. Bennett, 
    631 N.Y.S.2d 834
    , 834 (N.Y. App. Div. 1995) (creation of a "human wall" was
    sufficient force for second-degree robbery); People v. Lee, 
    602 N.Y.S.2d 138
    , 139 (N.Y. App. Div. 1993) (a "bump" and "forcibly
    block[ing]" the victim's pursuit was sufficient force for second-
    degree robbery); see also People v. Safon, 
    560 N.Y.S.2d 552
    , 552
    (N.Y. App. Div. 1990) (tugging money was sufficient force for
    third-degree robbery); cf. United States v. Moncrieffe, 167 F.
    Supp. 3d 383, 404-05 (E.D.N.Y.), appeal withdrawn, No. 16-965 (July
    31, 2016) (discussing cases). But, even if the government is right
    that bumping, tugging, and forming a wall constitute conduct that
    falls within the force clause of the provision of the career
    offender guideline that defines a "crime of violence," but see
    United States v. Childers, 
    2017 WL 2559858
    at 10 (D. Me. June 6,
    - 15 -
    2017); 
    Moncrieffe, 167 F. Supp. 3d at 406
    ; United States v.
    Johnson, 
    220 F. Supp. 2d 264
    , 272 (E.D.N.Y. 2016), these precedents
    do not rule out the possibility that less significant uses or
    threatened uses of force, including purse snatching, could have
    been used to commit a robbery under § 160.10(2)(a) as of the time
    of Steed's 2000 conviction.      Thus, these precedents, in and of
    themselves, do not suffice to support the government's cause.
    As it happens, there are precedents that the government
    does not reference but that pre-date Steed's 2000 conviction and
    that directly address whether the act of snatching property falls
    within New York's definition of robbery either in the second or
    the third degree.     We thus must consider these precedents.        If
    they indicate that, as of 2000, a snatching may have constituted
    a   second-degree   robbery   under   §   160.10(2)(a),   then   Steed's
    conviction would not be one for an offense that falls within the
    force clause.   For there need be only "'a realistic probability
    . . . that the [state] would apply its statute . . .'" to include
    that minimal conduct in order for the state statutory offense to
    fall outside the force clause.    United States v. Ellison, 
    866 F.3d 32
    , 38 (1st Cir. 2017) (quoting Gonzales v. Duenas-Alvarez, 
    549 U.S. 183
    , 193 (2007)) (alteration in original).
    A number of these precedents do favor the government's
    position that snatching does not constitute robbery in the second
    degree under § 160.10(2)(a) and did not do so prior to Steed's
    - 16 -
    conviction.    See People v. Middleton, 
    623 N.Y.S.2d 298
    (N.Y. App.
    Div. 1995) (holding that a purse snatching where the victim was
    not   "intimidated,   knocked   down,    struck,    or    injured"   did   not
    constitute third-degree robbery); People v. Chessman, 
    429 N.Y.S.2d 224
    , 227 (N.Y. App. Div. 1980) (concluding that a purse snatching
    where the victim "did not feel anything on her body" would not
    constitute third-degree robbery); People v. Davis, 
    418 N.Y.S.2d 127
    , 128 (N.Y. App. Div. 1979) (modifying judgment of third-degree
    robbery where there was no evidence the victim was in danger or
    saw the defendant approach her).         But, not all of them do.          In
    particular, People v. Lawrence, 
    617 N.Y.S.2d 769
    (N.Y. App. Div.
    1994), suggests that, at least as of 1994, New York third-degree
    robbery included purse snatching.
    Lawrence held that the defendant committed a robbery in
    the third degree in "snatching" a purse because the court was "'not
    persuaded     that   [the]   defendant    engaged    in     a   nonphysical,
    unobtrusive snatching' of the victim's purse." 
    Id. at 770
    (quoting
    People v. Rivera, 
    554 N.Y.S.2d 115
    , 116 (N.Y. App. Div. 1990))
    (emphasis added).     Lawrence indicates that a snatching not unlike
    one that would qualify as a robbery under the statute considered
    in 
    Mulkern, 854 F.3d at 93
    , could be considered physical and
    obtrusive enough to constitute a robbery in New York, at least in
    the third degree, even if a mere "stealthy taking," see 
    Raymond, 467 A.2d at 164
    , can never be a robbery.       After all, although such
    - 17 -
    a snatching would involve no bodily contact with the victim, it
    could involve the use of just enough force to "produce awareness,
    although the action may be so swift as to leave the victim
    momentarily in a dazed condition."      
    Mulkern, 854 F.3d at 92
    –93
    (citing 
    Jones, 283 N.E.2d at 845
    ).
    Moreover, in People v. Santiago, 
    402 N.E.2d 121
    (N.Y.
    1980), which was decided more than a decade before Lawrence, an
    intermediate appellate court considered whether a defendant who
    was on a moving train and had snatched a purse from a victim
    standing on a subway platform had thereby committed a robbery in
    the second degree under § 160.10(2)(a).    People v. Santiago, 
    405 N.Y.S.2d 752
    , 753 (N.Y. App. Div. 1978) 
    aff'd, 402 N.E.2d at 121
    .
    In the course of addressing that issue, the intermediate appellate
    court canvassed the relevant precedents in New York and other
    states -- including the decision by the Massachusetts Supreme
    Judicial Court in Jones on which the Maine Law Court in Raymond
    had relied in finding a purse snatching to constitute a robbery.
    
    Santiago, 405 N.Y.S.2d at 757
    ; see 
    Raymond, 467 A.2d at 164
    (citing
    
    Jones, 283 N.E.2d at 845
    ).   That court concluded from this review
    that it appeared to be an open question under New York law whether
    "purse snatching, per se, constitutes a robbery" under New York
    law.   
    Santiago, 405 N.Y.S.2d at 757
    .
    That court ultimately determined that there was no need
    to resolve that issue definitively because "there was sufficient
    - 18 -
    evidence to support a jury finding that the victim resisted by
    clinging to her purse and that the overcoming of this resistance,
    through   the   use   of   the   overwhelming    momentum     of    the   train,
    constituted a robbery by any definition of that term."               
    Id. And, on
    appeal, the New York Court of Appeals affirmed the intermediate
    appellate court's ruling in a one paragraph decision that also did
    not resolve the issue of whether purse snatching per se constitutes
    a robbery.      
    Santiago, 402 N.E.2d at 121
    .         But, in light of the
    intermediate appellate court's opinion, it appears that, as of the
    time of Santiago, it was an open question under New York law as to
    whether second-degree robbery under § 160.10(2)(a) encompassed
    purse snatchings like those that Maine counts as robberies.
    To be sure, neither the third-degree robbery offense at
    issue in Lawrence nor the robbery offense at issue in Mulkern
    required, as second-degree robbery under § 160.10(2)(a) does, that
    the defendant or another participant in the crime "[i]n the course
    of the commission of the crime or of immediate flight therefrom
    . . .   [c]ause[]     physical   injury   to   any   person   who    is    not   a
    participant in the crime."         N.Y. Penal Law § 160.10(2)(a).            And
    the government contends that this injury requirement means that
    this variant of second-degree robbery in New York on its face
    requires the use of more force (or threatened force) than a robbery
    offense like the one at issue in Mulkern, which could be committed
    by a mere snatching.
    - 19 -
    But, it appears that, at least prior to Steed's 2000
    conviction, this injury requirement would not in and of itself
    have ruled out a snatching from qualifying as a robbery in the
    second degree under § 160.10(2)(a).     A 1997 intermediate appellate
    court precedent from New York had ruled that an injury that
    occurred when the victim of the offense fell while chasing the
    perpetrator satisfied the injury requirement under § 160.10(2)(a),
    as long as such injury could be "foreseen as being reasonably
    related to the acts of the accused." People v. Brown, 
    653 N.Y.S.2d 301
    , 303 (N.Y. App. Div. 1997).         That is significant because
    Lawrence indicated that, as of 2000, a snatching that engendered
    awareness of the theft in the victim constituted a robbery in the
    third degree.    See 
    Lawrence, 617 N.Y.S.2d at 770
    .    It thus would
    appear that such a snatching, by producing awareness, would have
    made it reasonably foreseeable that the victim would have given
    chase and thus that any resulting injury that victim suffered while
    doing so would have been reasonably foreseeable.     As a result, the
    injury requirement would not appear to have precluded snatchings
    from constituting robberies under § 160.10(2)(a), at least as of
    the time of Steed's conviction, if, as Lawrence indicates, such
    snatchings would otherwise have constituted robberies under that
    provision.    And that conclusion would be consistent with, though
    not required by, the intermediate appellate court decision in
    
    Santiago. 405 N.Y.S.2d at 757
    .
    - 20 -
    Accordingly,    as    we   read    the   relevant    New   York
    precedents,    there   is   a    realistic    probability   that    Steed's
    conviction was for attempting to commit an offense for which the
    least of the acts that may have constituted that offense included
    "purse snatching, per se."        
    Santiago, 405 N.Y.S.2d at 757
    .        As
    Mulkern held that such conduct falls outside the scope of the
    nearly identically-worded force cause at issue there, 
    Mulkern, 854 F.3d at 93
    -94, we cannot say that, under the categorical approach,
    Steed's conviction was for an offense that the force clause of the
    career offender guideline's definition of a "crime of violence"
    encompasses.     We note in this regard that other courts have held
    that the force clause fails to encompass second-degree robbery in
    New York.      Childers, 
    2017 WL 2559858
    at 10; 
    Moncrieffe, 167 F. Supp. 3d at 406
    ; 
    Johnson, 220 F. Supp. 3d at 272
    .            We thus see
    no error in the District Court's conclusion that Steed's conviction
    was not for an offense that falls within the force clause of
    § 4B1.2(a) of the United States Sentencing Guidelines.
    III.
    We turn, then, to the government's alternative argument.
    Here, the government contends that Steed's conviction was for an
    offense that, even if not covered by the force clause of the career
    offender guideline's definition of a "crime of violence," is
    covered   by   that    definition's       residual   clause.       U.S.S.G.
    § 4B1.2(a)(2).    But, we do not agree.
    - 21 -
    A.
    As an initial matter, Steed argues that the government
    waived this argument when it conceded that the residual clause was
    unconstitutional under Johnson II.           As the government points out,
    however, there has been a "significant change[] in the legal
    landscape" since Steed's sentencing.           Shortly after the District
    Court sentenced Steed, the Supreme Court decided Beckles v. United
    States, 
    137 S. Ct. 886
    (2017).        In that case, the Court held that
    the residual clause of the career offender guideline's definition
    of "crime of violence" -- at least insofar as the career offender
    guideline was no longer mandatory -- was not unconstitutionally
    vague.   
    Id. at 892.
       And, in the wake of Beckles, as the government
    also notes, we have repeatedly rejected the argument that the
    government may not invoke the residual clause to argue that a
    defendant's prior conviction qualifies as a "crime of violence"
    under the career offender guideline merely because the government
    conceded   prior   to     Beckles    that     the   residual   clause   was
    unconstitutionally vague under Johnson II.          See 
    Ball, 870 F.3d at 3
    ; United States v. Thompson, 
    851 F.3d 129
    , 131 (1st Cir. 2017)
    (per curiam); United States v. Gonsalves, 
    859 F.3d 95
    , 114 n.9
    (1st Cir. 2017) ("Although the government conceded in its brief
    that the Guidelines' residual clause was unconstitutionally vague,
    this court is not bound by the government's concession, which,
    - 22 -
    while understandable before Beckles, turned out to be incorrect."
    (internal citation omitted)).
    There is a wrinkle, however.         Each of the post-Beckles
    cases in which we declined to hold the government to its earlier
    concession concerned an appeal by the defendant who was challenging
    his   sentence   for   being   too    harsh.     Here,   by   contrast,   the
    government brings the appeal, and the government does so in order
    to subject the defendant to a more severe sentence than he had
    received.     But even if we assume that, notwithstanding this
    wrinkle, the government is not bound by its concession below, the
    government's argument still fails under the demanding standard of
    review that the government concedes that we must apply.             In that
    regard, we note that, ordinarily, the question of whether a
    conviction is for a "crime of violence" under the residual clause
    is one of law, for which our review would be de novo when the issue
    has been properly preserved below.             See United States v. Soto-
    Rivera, 
    811 F.3d 53
    , 56 (1st Cir. 2016). But, here, the government
    asks us to review the question only for plain error because of its
    pre-Beckles      concession     that      the     residual     clause     was
    unconstitutionally vague.
    Given the government's concession regarding the proper
    standard of review and our general rule that "a party who neglects
    to call a looming error to the trial court's attention" is subject
    to plain error review, United States v. Sánchez–Berríos, 424 F.3d
    - 23 -
    65, 73 (1st Cir. 2005), we apply the plain error standard of
    review.   Accordingly, the government faces the "onerous burden" of
    showing "(1) that an error occurred (2) which was clear and obvious
    and which not only (3) affected the [party's] substantial rights,
    but also (4) seriously impaired the fairness, integrity, or public
    reputation of judicial proceedings."      United States v. Ríos-
    Hernández, 
    645 F.3d 456
    , 458, 462 (1st Cir. 2011) (quoting United
    States v. Duarte, 
    246 F.3d 56
    , 60 (1st Cir. 2001)).
    Significantly, as the Court explained in United States
    v. Olano, 
    507 U.S. 725
    (1993), plain error review:
    [I]s permissive, not mandatory. If the forfeited error
    is plain and affects substantial rights, the court of
    appeals has authority to order correction, but is not
    required to do so . . . . a plain error affecting
    substantial rights does not, without more, satisfy the
    [fourth prong of the plain error test], for otherwise
    the discretion afforded by [plain error review] would be
    illusory.
    
    Id. at 735-37
    (internal citations and alterations omitted).     And,
    we conclude, the government has failed to make the required showing
    under the fourth prong of the plain error standard.   Accordingly,
    we conclude that the government's argument under the residual
    clause fails.
    B.
    The parties start with the first two prongs of the plain
    error standard and vigorously dispute whether it is a clear or
    obvious error to conclude that the residual clause of the career
    - 24 -
    offender guideline's definition of a "crime of violence" does not
    encompass an attempt to commit this type of second-degree robbery
    under New York law.      The parties do so chiefly by contesting
    whether the offense of robbery at issue in this case matches the
    generic definition of robbery, as robbery is one of the offenses
    listed in the Application Note to the career offender guideline.
    U.S.S.G. § 4B1.2, comment. (n.1); see also 
    Ball, 870 F.3d at 5
    (holding that the offense listed in the Application Note may be
    treated "as additional enumerated offenses").1
    We do not need to resolve this dispute, however.            In
    order to meet the plain error standard, the government must show
    that the error, in addition to being clear or obvious, affected
    the   government's   substantial   rights   --   prong   three   --   and
    "seriously impaired the fairness, integrity, or public reputation
    of judicial proceedings" -- prong four.     
    Ríos-Hernández, 645 F.3d at 462
    .   But, the government does not expressly address either the
    third or fourth prongs of the plain error standard.        And even if
    we assume that the government has impliedly satisfied the third
    prong by identifying the significant difference in the sentencing
    range that it contends should have been applied relative to the
    one that was applied, the government's failure to make any express
    1The parties also dispute whether New York's definition of
    attempt falls within the generic definition of attempt.
    - 25 -
    argument as to the fourth prong of the plain error standard is
    more problematic.
    We are aware of no precedent in which we have addressed
    whether a sentencing error that favors the defendant, if not
    corrected so that a much harsher sentence may be imposed, would
    impair the "fairness, integrity, or public reputation of judicial
    proceedings."    
    Id. Some courts
       of   appeals    have   said   that
    "sentencing errors raised by the government on appeal require
    correction because failure to correct such errors may damage the
    reputation of the judicial system by allowing district courts to
    sentence without regard to the law."        United States v. Gordon, 
    291 F.3d 181
    , 194 (2d Cir. 2002) (citing United States v. Barajas–
    Nunez, 
    91 F.3d 826
    , 833 (6th Cir. 1996)).           Another has looked to
    the difference in the length of the sentence imposed and the
    correct   sentence   to   determine       whether   that    difference     is
    significant enough to create a "miscarriage of justice" if the
    error is not corrected.    United States v. Posters ‘N’ Things Ltd.,
    
    969 F.2d 652
    , 663 (8th Cir. 1992), aff'd 
    511 U.S. 513
    (1994).             And
    the Fifth Circuit has declined to correct even clear and obvious
    errors when "refusal to remedy the error would provide a future
    incentive to the government to raise all available arguments
    below."   
    Gordon, 291 F.3d at 194
    (citing United States v. Garcia–
    Pillado, 
    898 F.2d 36
    , 39–40 (5th Cir. 1990)); United States v.
    Rodriguez, 
    15 F.3d 408
    , 416-17 (5th Cir. 1994).
    - 26 -
    But,    regarding   which     standard   we    should   apply,     the
    government makes no argument at all. Nor does the government argue
    why, under whichever test we might apply, a decision to let this
    sentence stand -- following the government's express concession as
    to its lawfulness below -- would impair the "fairness, integrity,
    or public reputation of judicial proceedings," 
    Ríos-Hernández, 645 F.3d at 462
    , such that remand so that a new and harsher sentence
    may be imposed is required.
    Given    the    defendant's    interest       in   repose   that    is
    implicated, and the fact that our refusal to permit resentencing
    here appears unlikely to be the precipitating cause for the
    government to decline to make concessions based on its own best
    guess (wrong though it may turn out to be) as to what the
    Constitution requires, we do not see how the government could be
    said to have satisfied its burden under the fourth prong by not
    even addressing it.       Thus, we hold that the government has failed
    to meet its burden of showing plain error by failing -- in a
    situation in which the claimed sentencing error does not obviously
    impair   the   fairness,    integrity,    or   public     reputation    of    the
    underlying judicial proceeding -- to make any argument as to how
    the fourth prong of that demanding standard is met.                See United
    States v. Savarese, 
    385 F.3d 15
    , 22-23 (1st Cir. 2004) (rejecting
    defendant's sentencing challenge where defendant had not raised
    the issue below and had not met the fourth prong of the plain error
    - 27 -
    test on appeal); see also United States v Zannino, 
    895 F.2d 1
    , 17
    (1st Cir. 1990) (holding that undeveloped arguments are waived).
    IV.
    Accordingly, the sentence is affirmed.
    - 28 -