United States v. Alphas ( 2015 )


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  •           United States Court of Appeals
    For the First Circuit
    No. 14-2228
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,
    Appellee,
    v.
    JOHN S. ALPHAS,
    Defendant, Appellant.
    APPEAL FROM THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF MASSACHUSETTS
    [Hon. Douglas P. Woodlock, U.S. District Judge]
    Before
    Barron, Selya and Stahl,
    Circuit Judges.
    Tracy A. Miner, with whom Megan A. Siddall and Demeo LLP were
    on brief, for appellant.
    Brian A. Pérez-Daple, Assistant United States Attorney, with
    whom Carmen M. Ortiz, United States Attorney, was on brief, for
    appellee.
    May 7, 2015
    SELYA, Circuit Judge.           When a criminal defendant is
    convicted   of    a   fraud    offense,    the   Sentencing    Commission   has
    established amount of loss — generally the higher of actual or
    intended loss — as a rough proxy for determining the seriousness of
    the offense and the relative culpability of the offender. Although
    this concept is easily stated, its application often has vexed
    sentencing courts.      As in so many other instances, the devil is in
    the details.
    This appeal requires us to decide two issues of first
    impression in this circuit.           The first involves the method for
    calculating the guideline enhancement for amount of loss in an
    insurance fraud context.           The second involves the method for
    calculating the amount of statutory restitution in that context.
    Concluding, as we do, that the court below erred in adopting its
    calculation methods, we vacate the appellant's sentence and remand
    for resentencing.
    I.   BACKGROUND
    Because this sentencing appeal follows a guilty plea, we
    distill the pertinent facts from the plea agreement, the change-of-
    plea   colloquy,      the     undisputed    portions   of     the   presentence
    investigation report (PSI Report), and the transcript of the
    disposition hearing.        See United States v. Almonte-Nuñez, 
    771 F.3d 84
    , 86 (1st Cir. 2014).
    -2-
    Defendant-appellant John S. Alphas owns and operates The
    Alphas Company, a wholesale produce distributor located in Chelsea,
    Massachusetts.        During the relevant time frame, the appellant
    purchased     large    quantities   of     produce,   often   from   distant
    purveyors.     To protect his investment, the appellant routinely
    obtained insurance on these produce shipments.
    In or around March of 2007, the appellant devised a
    scheme to defraud.        Over the next four and one-half years, he
    submitted at least ten fraudulent claims to his insurers for lost,
    stolen, or damaged produce.1        The appellant sought reimbursement
    for the value of allegedly lost, stolen, or damaged produce,
    together with disposal expenses, shipping fees, and the cost of
    procuring replacement stock.        These claims were largely bogus: in
    each instance, the appellant either invented fictitious losses or
    artificially inflated legitimate losses. To make matters worse, he
    supported his submissions with documents that had been fraudulently
    altered or, in some cases, constructed out of whole cloth.               He
    compounded his mendacity by making false and misleading statements
    to insurance adjusters.
    The insurance policies at issue contained void-for-fraud
    clauses.    A representative clause stated:
    1
    Nine of these claims were submitted to Zurich North American
    and the final claim to Selective Insurance Company. Though all of
    the claims were submitted in the name of The Alphas Company, the
    sentencing context requires us to attribute those claims and the
    underlying losses to the appellant.
    -3-
    This Coverage Part is void in any case of
    fraud by you as it relates to this Coverage
    Part at any time. It is also void if you or
    any other insured, at any time, intentionally
    conceal or misrepresent a material fact
    concerning:
    1.   This Coverage Part;
    2.   The Covered Property;
    3.   Your interest in the Covered Property; or
    4.   A claim under this Coverage Part.
    Four of the appellant's claims were never paid: three
    were   withdrawn    after   suspicions   surfaced   and   the   lone   claim
    submitted to Selective Insurance Company was thwarted by early
    detection of the fraud. The other six claims were paid, but mostly
    in amounts less than their face value.          In sum, the ten claims
    totaled over $490,000, yet the appellant received payments totaling
    only $178,568.41.
    The appellant's persistent pattern of chicanery sparked
    a federal criminal investigation.        In May of 2014, the government
    filed an information charging the appellant with a single count of
    wire fraud.        See 
    18 U.S.C. § 1343
    .       Waiving prosecution by
    indictment, the appellant pleaded guilty to the charge.                In an
    accompanying plea agreement, the parties stipulated to a base
    offense level of 7.     See USSG §2B1.1(a)(1).
    The parties could not agree, however, as to the amount of
    loss — a necessary step in determining the guideline sentencing
    range (GSR).       To fill this void, the PSI Report recommended
    boosting the appellant's offense level by 14 levels based on an
    -4-
    intended loss of approximately $480,000.               See id. §2B1.1(b)(1)(H)-
    (I) (increasing offense level by 14 for losses exceeding $400,000
    but not greater than $1,000,000).                This calculation derived from
    the probation officer's conclusion that intended loss should be
    measured by the face amount of the appellant's claims, less a $1000
    per claim deductible.
    The appellant objected to the recommendation.               He argued
    that the loss figure should exclude legitimate losses embedded in
    the fraudulent claims.           In conjunction with this argument, he
    submitted a competing set of calculations that purported to show
    which component amounts were legitimate.               This set of calculations
    yielded      an    intended   loss    amount      of   roughly    $178,000      which
    corresponded to an increase of 10 (rather than 14) in his adjusted
    offense level.       See id. §2B1.1(b)(1)(F).
    The    PSI   Report     also    dealt    with    restitution.        It
    recommended an award of $178,568.41 (the aggregate amount actually
    paid   out    on    the    claims).        The   appellant     objected    to    this
    recommendation,       envisioning      a     finding   of     actual    loss    (and,
    therefore, a restitution amount) of $58,931.36.                  Once again, the
    appellant attributed the reduced figure to the fact that a portion
    of the claims paid corresponded to legitimate losses.
    The probation officer stood by her calculations regarding
    both the guideline enhancement and restitution.                        Although she
    conceded that the appellant may have incurred legitimate losses,
    -5-
    she maintained that the appellant's fraud rendered the claims
    altogether illegitimate.
    The disposition hearing was held on November 6, 2014.
    The district court concluded as a matter of law that where, as
    here, insurance policies contain void-for-fraud clauses, intended
    loss is equal to the aggregate face value of the claims submitted.
    Starting with this premise, the court overruled the appellant's
    objections; enhanced his offense level by 14 levels; deducted 3
    levels for acceptance of responsibility, see id. §3E1.1; placed the
    appellant in Criminal History Category I; and set the GSR at 27 to
    33 months, see id. Ch.5, Pt.A, sentencing table.                  The court then
    varied     sharply    downward,    sentencing      the      appellant       to   an
    incarcerative term of 12 months and 1 day.           In addition, the court
    fined the appellant $60,000; attached a 36-month term of supervised
    release;     and   ordered   payment     of   restitution    to    Zurich    North
    American in the amount of $178,568.41.
    This timely appeal ensued. The district court refused to
    stay the appellant's sentence pending appeal. This court, however,
    granted a stay. See United States v. Alphas, No. 14-2228 (1st Cir.
    Dec.   31,   2014)    (finding    that    appeal   presented       "'substantial
    question' within the meaning of 
    18 U.S.C. § 3143
    (b)(1)(B)").
    II.    ANALYSIS
    The appellant assigns error to the district court's
    determination of the amount of loss with respect to both the
    -6-
    guideline enhancement and the award of restitution.            Because these
    determinations     are    controlled     by   different    authorities,      we
    bifurcate our analysis.
    A.   The Guideline Enhancement.
    The appellant first contends that the sentencing court
    used an improper method of calculating intended loss and, thus,
    erred in enhancing his offense level by 14 levels. This contention
    is met at the threshold by the government's assertion that we need
    not reach the merits because any calculation error was harmless.
    We begin with that assertion and then proceed to the merits.
    1.     Harmlessness.        The   government's     argument      for
    harmlessness rests on the district court's imposition of a below-
    the-range sentence coupled with the court's later remark, made
    while denying the appellant's motion to stay the sentence pending
    appeal, that a recalculation of the GSR would be unlikely to result
    in   a   lower   sentence.    This     argument   flies   in   the   teeth   of
    conventional wisdom, which teaches that the improper calculation of
    a defendant's guideline range comprises a significant procedural
    error.    See Gall v. United States, 
    552 U.S. 38
    , 51 (2007).           Such an
    error ordinarily requires resentencing.             See United States v.
    Ramos-Paulino, 
    488 F.3d 459
    , 463-64 (1st Cir. 2007).                 Indeed, a
    defendant normally can appeal from an error in calculating his GSR
    even though the district court imposed a sentence beneath the
    -7-
    bottom of the GSR.   See United States v. Paneto, 
    661 F.3d 709
    , 715
    (1st Cir. 2011).
    To be sure, an appellate court may deem such an error
    harmless if, after reviewing the entire record, it is sure that the
    error did not affect the sentence imposed.          See Williams v. United
    States, 
    503 U.S. 193
    , 203 (1992).        In other words, resentencing is
    required if the error either affected or arguably affected the
    sentence.   See Ramos-Paulino, 
    488 F.3d at 463
    .
    The case at hand does not fit within these narrow
    confines.   Although the court below imposed a sentence beneath the
    bottom of the GSR, there is at least a possibility that the court
    would have imposed an even more lenient sentence had it started
    with a lower GSR.    See United States v. Foley, ___ F.3d ___, ___
    n.13 (1st Cir. 2015) [Nos. 13-1048, 13-1118, slip op. at 31 n.13].
    While the court stated that a lower GSR was "unlikely" to result in
    a   different   sentence,   we   have    recently   reaffirmed   that   the
    possibility of a lesser sentence is enough to preclude a finding
    that an error in calculating the GSR is harmless.          See 
    id.
       Such a
    possibility exists here: saying that an event is unlikely is not
    the same as a categorical assurance that the event will not come to
    pass.   It follows that if the court below erred on the high side in
    fashioning the guideline enhancement for amount of loss (and, thus,
    the GSR), we cannot regard that error as harmless.
    -8-
    2.   Calculating Intended Loss.           Our rejection of the
    government's harmlessness argument brings us to the merits of the
    appellant's claim that the district court committed a calculation
    error.    We   review   de   novo   the   court's    interpretation   and
    application of the sentencing guidelines, including the propriety
    of its loss-computation method.      See United States v. Prange, 
    771 F.3d 17
    , 35 (1st Cir. 2014); United States v. Walker, 
    234 F.3d 780
    ,
    783 (1st Cir. 2000).
    In fraud cases like this one, the guidelines direct the
    sentencing court to augment the defendant's offense level based on
    the amount of loss. See USSG §2B1.1(b)(1). For this purpose, loss
    is defined as "the greater of actual loss or intended loss."          Id.
    §2B1.1, comment. (n.3(A)).      Here, the district court based its
    guideline calculation on intended loss.            That term means "the
    pecuniary harm that was intended to result from the offense."         Id.
    at n.3(A)(ii). Intended loss is not synonymous with probable loss.
    Rather, the term "includes intended pecuniary harm that would have
    been impossible or unlikely to occur."       Id.     Seen in this light,
    intended loss "is a term of art meaning the loss the defendant
    reasonably expected to occur at the time he perpetrated the fraud."
    United States v. Innarelli, 
    524 F.3d 286
    , 290 (1st Cir. 2008).
    This standard focuses primarily on the offender's objectively
    reasonable expectations, see 
    id.,
     though subjective intent may play
    -9-
    some role, see 
    id.
     at 291 n.6; United States v. McCoy, 
    508 F.3d 74
    ,
    79 (1st Cir. 2007).
    In this case, the sentencing court concluded that the
    intended loss was equal to the aggregate face value of the claims
    submitted by the appellant to his insurers, not the aggregate
    amount by which the appellant fraudulently inflated those claims.2
    The court reasoned that had the insurers known of the fraud when
    they received the claims, they would have invoked the void-for-
    fraud clauses and paid nothing.     The court did not explain what
    bearing the void-for-fraud clauses may have had on the amount of
    loss that the appellant intended to cause.    It said only that if
    intended loss were to be viewed solely as the amount of fraudulent
    inflation, fraudsters would have an incentive to inflate claims
    because, if caught in the act, they would be punished only for the
    inflated amount.
    The government applauds this reasoning, but the appellant
    decries it.   He notes that the sentencing guidelines treat loss as
    a proxy for relative culpability.   In his view, basing an intended
    loss computation on the entire amount of an insurance claim rather
    than on the amount fraudulently claimed irrationally conflates the
    2
    We express no opinion on whether any portion of the
    appellant's claims was legitimate. This is a matter the district
    court will need to address on remand. See text infra. For present
    purposes, we assume — as the appellant contends — that he did
    suffer some legitimate losses.
    -10-
    culpability    of   fraudsters         who       commit   significantly    different
    offenses.
    Fraud has many manifestations, and calculating the loss
    associated with a particular scheme is sometimes more art than
    science.    As a result, we have eschewed rigid rules and instead
    taken "a pragmatic, fact-specific approach" to loss calculation.
    Prange, 771 F.3d at 35 (internal quotation mark omitted).                     Such a
    pragmatic view suggests that loss computation should distinguish
    between an outright swindler who peddles, say, a forged title to a
    bridge in Brooklyn and a fraudster who contrives to render some
    value (albeit less than promised) to the victim.                     See id. at 36;
    United States v. Blastos, 
    258 F.3d 25
    , 30 (1st Cir. 2001).                     By any
    practical measure, the former seems more culpable than the latter.
    Applying       the   degree-of-culpability             approach   to   the
    insurance fraud context, it is appropriate for the loss-computation
    method to distinguish between a fraudster who wholly fabricates a
    non-existent claim and a fraudster who artificially inflates a
    legitimate claim.      A fraudster who has suffered no loss at all but
    invents a $100,000 claim out of thin air is not the same as a
    fraudster     who   has     suffered         a    legitimate     $50,000   loss    but
    artificially inflates his claim to $100,000.                    See United States v.
    Smith, 
    951 F.2d 1164
    , 1167 (10th Cir. 1991).
    This    gets    to   the    heart       of    the   matter.    Under   the
    sentencing guidelines, loss generally does not include sums that a
    -11-
    victim would have paid to the defendant absent the fraud.                      See,
    e.g., United States v. Evans, 
    155 F.3d 245
    , 253 (3d Cir. 1998)
    (holding that actual loss in insurance fraud case does not include
    value of legitimate claims); United States v. Parsons, 
    109 F.3d 1002
    , 1004 (4th Cir. 1997) (same, in context of government benefits
    fraud); see also United States v. Miller, 
    316 F.3d 495
    , 498-99 (4th
    Cir. 2003) (applying this principle to intended loss).               Given this
    rule, the question reduces to whether the presence of a void-for-
    fraud clause makes a dispositive difference when calculating loss
    under the sentencing guidelines.
    In resolving this question, we find instructive the line
    of cases involving government benefits fraud.                    When a person
    fraudulently     obtains    government      benefits,     the    United       States
    typically   is   entitled    to   recover    all   sums   paid    (in     a    civil
    forfeiture proceeding) even though some benefits would have been
    paid anyway (that is, absent the fraud).                See, e.g., 
    5 U.S.C. § 8148
    (a); 
    28 U.S.C. § 2514
    .       But when the same fraudulent conduct
    undergirds a criminal conviction, courts have steadfastly refused
    to equate the amount of loss under the sentencing guidelines with
    the amount recoverable by the government through civil forfeiture.
    That is because "[f]orfeiture is a penalty imposed on a criminal
    independent of any loss to the crime victim." Parsons, 
    109 F.3d at 1005
    .   Consequently, "[t]he loss itself (whether the actual or
    intended loss) is limited to the tangible economic loss of the
    -12-
    victim."    
    Id. at 1004
    .    The forfeitable amount does not count
    toward the government's loss, which is measured by the amount of
    benefits that was (and, in the case of intended loss, would have
    been) paid as a result of the fraud.    See United States v. Harms,
    
    442 F.3d 367
    , 380 (5th Cir. 2006); United States v. Dawkins, 
    202 F.3d 711
    , 715 (4th Cir. 2000).
    To be sure, government benefits fraud is governed by a
    special application note, which explains that in such cases loss
    "shall be considered to be not less than the value of the benefits
    obtained by unintended recipients or diverted to unintended uses."
    USSG §2B1.1, comment. (n.3(F)(ii)).     We believe that this note
    merely represents a specialized application of the guidelines'
    general focus on a defendant's relative culpability.    See, e.g.,
    Dawkins, 
    202 F.3d at 714
    ; Parsons, 
    109 F.3d at 1004-05
    . Since this
    is so, it makes good sense to transplant the reasoning of the
    government benefits cases to the analogous context of insurance
    fraud.
    We discern no sound basis for treating a void-for-fraud
    clause (in the insurance fraud context) differently than a civil
    forfeiture (in the benefits fraud context).     Both the void-for-
    fraud clause and the civil forfeiture anodyne afford relief after
    the fact.    So, too, such a clause, like the sword of Damocles
    inherent in a threat of civil forfeiture, serves the salutary
    purpose of encouraging transactional honesty.   And such a clause,
    -13-
    like a civil forfeiture, imposes a penalty on the fraudster for
    acting corruptly: if the insurer discovers the fraud, the insured
    forfeits everything.
    The concept of loss under the sentencing guidelines
    serves a completely different purpose.             See United States v.
    Hamaker, 
    455 F.3d 1316
    , 1337 (11th Cir. 2006); Dawkins, 
    202 F.3d at 715
    .     The guidelines are designed to ensure that the sentence
    imposed on a defendant "reflect[s] the nature and magnitude of the
    loss caused or intended by [his] crimes."           USSG §2B1.1, comment.
    (backg'd.).       Consonant with this design, the guidelines use amount
    of loss as the primary metric by which "the seriousness of the
    offense and the defendant's relative culpability" are measured.
    Id.    Sums forfeited under a void-for-fraud clause (which is really
    nothing    more    than   an   after-the-fact   penalty)   do   not   conform
    naturally to this metric.          Cf. id. §2B1.1, comment. (n.3(D)(i))
    (providing that "loss" does not include "[i]nterest of any kind,
    finance charges, late fees, penalties, amounts based on an agreed-
    upon return or rate of return, [and] other similar costs").                It
    would therefore be anomalous to read the guidelines to distinguish
    between two fraudsters who fraudulently inflate their claims by
    exactly the same amount simply because one is covered by an
    insurance policy that contains a void-for-fraud clause and the
    -14-
    other is covered by an insurance policy that does not contain such
    a clause.3
    The government resists this reasoning, asseverating that
    the appellant intended to deprive his insurers of the entire amount
    claimed   regardless    of   whether    some   portion   of   that   amount
    represented legitimate losses.         To achieve this counterintuitive
    result, the government asks us to consider what an objectively
    reasonable fraudster standing in the appellant's shoes would have
    expected to be paid were the fraud discovered.            Because such a
    fraudster would be aware of the void-for-fraud clauses and know
    that the misrepresentation would relieve his insurers of their
    payment obligation, the government's thesis runs, the fraudster
    would expect his insurers to suffer losses in the full amount of
    the submitted claims.
    We reject the government's thesis, which approaches
    intended loss from the wrong angle. Fraudsters do not expect to be
    found out but, rather, expect to reap the benefits of their
    contrivance.     The relevant inquiry, then, is what the fraudster
    reasonably expected to euchre out of his victim, cf. id. at
    3
    We base this conclusion on the language and purpose of the
    sentencing guidelines, not the language of the particular policies
    at issue. Whether and to what extent an insurance contract is void
    or voidable is often a thorny issue and we do not need to resolve
    that issue here. For the reasons discussed above, an insurer's
    loss for guideline purposes is distinct from any recovery to which
    it might be entitled under a void-for-fraud clause in a civil
    proceeding.
    -15-
    n.3(A)(ii) (defining "intended loss" as "the pecuniary harm that
    was intended to result from the offense" (emphasis supplied)), not
    what would have slipped through his fingers had he been caught in
    the act.
    That   amount   necessarily   excludes   any   sums   that   the
    fraudster would have been paid absent the fraud.          See Burrage v.
    United States, 
    134 S. Ct. 881
    , 887-88 (2014) (explaining that the
    phrase "results from" implies "a requirement of actual causality,"
    which typically "requires proof that the harm would not have
    occurred in the absence of — that is, but for — the defendant's
    conduct" (internal quotation marks omitted)).             The sentencing
    court, then, should have determined whether and to what extent
    legitimate claims were embedded in the fraud.
    Structuring "intended loss" in this way makes good sense.
    After all, loss is meant to serve as a proxy for the seriousness of
    the crime and the relative culpability of the offender.          The best
    way to gauge the seriousness of a fraud offense is to determine how
    much the fraudster set out to swindle — and no fraudster sets out
    to swindle sums that he would have been paid anyway.        That is also
    the best way to gauge a fraudster's culpability.
    The best case for the government's contrary position is
    United States v. Torlai, 
    728 F.3d 932
     (9th Cir. 2013) — but Torlai
    -16-
    cannot carry the weight that the government loads upon it.4             Torlai
    involved a defendant who had obtained crop insurance policies from
    private insurers through a federal program.               See id. at 935-36.
    Those policies and their application documents included void-for-
    fraud clauses.     See id. at 940 & n.8.       The defendant made a number
    of misrepresentations both when he procured the policies and when
    he submitted claims under them.         See id. at 936, 941-43.
    Appealing his sentence, the defendant argued that the
    district court erred in calculating loss by failing to determine
    which portions of his indemnity claims were legitimate.              The Ninth
    Circuit disagreed, noting that the case involved a government
    benefits program and, therefore, loss constituted "the value of the
    benefits obtained by unintended recipients."             Id. at 938 (emphasis
    omitted) (quoting USSG §2B1.1, comment. (n.3(F)(ii))).               The court
    stated that "[b]y virtue of his fraud, [the defendant] was not
    eligible for any government benefit under the crop insurance
    program, and therefore, he was not an 'intended beneficiary.'" Id.
    at 943.
    Certain     facts     underlying    the   court's    "unintended
    beneficiary" rationale help to distinguish Torlai from this case.
    First,    the   Ninth   Circuit    found    sufficient    evidence   that   the
    4
    The government's citation to United States v. Ostrom, 
    80 F. App'x 67
     (10th Cir. 2003), need not detain us. That decision lacks
    precedential force even in the circuit of its origin. See 10th
    Cir. R. 32.1(A).
    -17-
    defendant had suffered no reimbursable losses, see id. at 941-43,
    so he would not have received anything absent his fraudulent
    claims.   Second, the defendant made material misrepresentations to
    procure the crop insurance policies, see id., making it unlikely
    that the insurer would have issued the policies had it been told
    the truth.    This latter fact indicates that, regardless of the
    legitimacy vel non of the claimed losses, the insurer would not
    have been obliged to pay.    Cases in which an insurer would have
    paid nothing absent the fraud are materially different from those
    in which the insurer would have paid something (but less than the
    full amount claimed) absent the fraud.       See United States v.
    Sharma, 
    703 F.3d 318
    , 324-25 (5th Cir. 2012).5
    To recapitulate, we conclude that the district court
    erred in calculating the amount of intended loss attributable to
    the fraud and, thus, in fashioning the guideline enhancement.   We
    are, therefore, constrained to remand for resentencing. On remand,
    the district court should compare what the appellant sought to
    bamboozle his insurers into paying with what they would have paid
    had the appellant submitted only bona fide claims.
    We add a coda. It is apodictic that the government bears
    the burden of proving the applicability of a sentencing enhancement
    by preponderant evidence.   See Paneto, 
    661 F.3d at 715
    .   But in a
    5
    To the extent that Torlai can be read to support the
    position advocated by the government here, we decline to adopt its
    reasoning.
    -18-
    case such as this — where a defendant's claims were demonstrably
    rife with fraud — a sentencing court may use the face value of the
    claims as a starting point in computing loss. See United States v.
    Campbell, 
    765 F.3d 1291
    , 1304-05 & n.13 (11th Cir. 2014); United
    States v. Hebron, 
    684 F.3d 554
    , 562-63 (5th Cir. 2012). The burden
    of production will then shift to the defendant, who must offer
    evidence to show (if possible) what amounts represent legitimate
    claims. See Hebron, 684 F.3d at 563; United States v. Jimenez, 
    513 F.3d 62
    , 86 (3d Cir. 2008).        After the record is fully formed, the
    sentencing court must determine the amount of loss that the
    government    (which    retains    the   burden   of   proof)   is   able   to
    establish.        The court, however, "need only make a reasonable
    estimate of the loss."            USSG §2B1.1, comment. (n.3(C)); see
    Blastos, 
    258 F.3d at 30
    .          Depending on the defendant's offer of
    proof, the court might well conclude that the amount of loss is
    equal to the face value of the submitted claims.
    B.   The Restitution Order.
    The appellant further contends that the district court
    erred in calculating restitution.           The government counters both
    that this claim is waived and that it is impuissant.
    1.    Purported Waiver.     Waiver typically occurs when a
    party intentionally relinquishes a known right.          See United States
    v. Rodriguez, 
    311 F.3d 435
    , 437 (1st Cir. 2002). In the sentencing
    context, an appellant may waive an issue when he initially raises
    -19-
    it as an objection to the PSI Report but later explicitly withdraws
    the objection.    See United States v. Eisom, 
    585 F.3d 552
    , 556 (1st
    Cir. 2009); Rodriguez, 
    311 F.3d at 437
    .         Once an issue is waived,
    there is nothing for an appellate court to review.            See Rodriguez,
    
    311 F.3d at 437
    .
    Here, the appellant challenged the loss computation both
    in objections to the PSI Report and in his sentencing memorandum.
    His objection was directed to the calculation of both the guideline
    enhancement and the restitution award. A common thread ran through
    both halves of his argument: loss simply does not include amounts
    that   the   victim   would   have   paid   absent   the   fraud.    At   the
    disposition hearing, the appellant's trial counsel forcefully
    presented this argument in connection with the calculation of the
    guideline enhancement.        The court rejected it.          Later on, the
    appellant's counsel was asked whether he wanted the court to
    consider any other modifications to the PSI Report.                 Counsel
    responded in the negative.
    The sentencing proceeding continued.          At one point, the
    court remarked that it did not understand the amount of restitution
    to be disputed and asked defense counsel whether he was looking at
    the same set of numbers.       Counsel responded that he was.
    The government urges us to find that these (and similar)
    statements amounted to an intentional relinquishment of the right
    to contest the amount of restitution.          This exhortation has some
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    superficial appeal: taken in a vacuum, the sentencing colloquy can
    be read as an acknowledgment that the appellant was not pressing
    any arguments about the amount of restitution.     It surely would
    have been better practice for counsel to have clarified that he had
    no objections to the restitution amount save for the method of
    calculation (that is, the court's announced unwillingness to deduct
    any legitimate portions of the claims from the loss calculation).
    But reading the sentencing transcript as a whole, we do not think
    that defense counsel's statements clear the high bar needed for a
    finding of waiver.
    Waivers are strong medicine, see Pike v. Guarino, 
    492 F.3d 61
    , 72 (1st Cir. 2007), and that medicine should not be
    dispensed in criminal cases where ambiguity lurks, see United
    States v. Bradstreet, 
    207 F.3d 76
    , 79-80 (1st Cir. 2000).    On this
    scumbled record, defense counsel's statements, taken in the context
    of the sentencing hearing as a whole, were ambiguous.       The main
    event at sentencing was the battle over the method of calculating
    loss.6   Having lost that battle after a full airing, counsel's
    statements can fairly be read as an acknowledgment that the court's
    arithmetic (though not its method of calculation) was correct with
    respect to restitution.   Any other reading would be illogical: it
    6
    Although the district court specifically addressed the
    method of calculation only in connection with the guideline
    enhancement, its reasoning plainly encompassed restitution as well.
    Indeed, the government, both before us and in the court below, has
    made identical arguments concerning the two issues.
    -21-
    would have been odd for the appellant to press his computational
    argument    to   the   bitter    end    with       respect   to   the    guideline
    enhancement and then impliedly abandon the very same argument with
    respect to restitution.
    The short of it is that there was no waiver.                   Defense
    counsel's statements are most sensibly read as a recognition that
    the critical issue already had been decided against his client, not
    as a concession of that issue.
    As a fallback, the government suggests that the appellant
    forfeited    the   restitution     issue      by    not   raising   it     at   the
    disposition hearing, thus engendering review for plain error.                   See
    Rodriguez, 
    311 F.3d at 437
    .             This argument is fruitless: the
    appellant raised the issue in written objections to the PSI Report
    and in his sentencing memorandum, and his attorney presented a
    legal basis for the argument to the sentencing court.                   No more was
    exigible to avoid a finding of forfeiture.                See United States v.
    Theodore, 
    468 F.3d 52
    , 58 (1st Cir. 2006).
    2.     Amount.      The district court ordered restitution
    pursuant to the Mandatory Victims Restitution Act (MVRA), 18 U.S.C.
    § 3663A.    Since the appellant's challenge to the restitution order
    is based on an alleged error of law, our review is plenary.                     See
    United States v. Cutter, 
    313 F.3d 1
    , 6 (1st Cir. 2002); see also
    Walker, 
    234 F.3d at 783
     (explaining that proper method of loss
    computation is "a prototypical question of legal interpretation").
    -22-
    The MVRA authorizes a court to award restitution only in
    the amount of a victim's actual loss.     See Innarelli, 
    524 F.3d at 294-95
    .   Thus, the question boils down to whether the presence of
    the void-for-fraud clauses in the insurance policies converts the
    entire amount paid in response to the appellant's claims into an
    actual "loss."
    The answer depends, in relevant part, on the MVRA's
    definition of a victim as a "person directly and proximately harmed
    as a result of the commission of an offense for which restitution
    may be ordered."7    18 U.S.C. § 3663A(a)(2).        Mindful of this
    definition, we have held that, under the MVRA, a court may only
    order restitution for losses that have an adequate causal link to
    the defendant's criminal conduct.      See Cutter, 
    313 F.3d at 7
    .
    Importantly, we have made it pellucid that "restitution
    should not be ordered if the loss would have occurred regardless of
    the defendant's misconduct."   
    Id.
         This means that the government
    must establish a but-for connection between the defendant's fraud
    and the victim's loss.   See United States v. Vaknin, 
    112 F.3d 579
    ,
    590 (1st Cir. 1997) (interpreting parallel provision in Victim and
    Witness Protection Act, 
    18 U.S.C. § 3663
    ).      Our case law on this
    7
    Because the appellant's offense of conviction involves, as
    an element, a "scheme or artifice to defraud," 
    18 U.S.C. § 1343
    ,
    victims include those "directly harmed by the defendant's criminal
    conduct in the course of the scheme," 
    id.
     § 3663A(a)(2).      This
    language does not alter the direct causation requirement.      See
    United States v. Hensley, 
    91 F.3d 274
    , 277 (1st Cir. 1996).
    -23-
    point is consistent with the weight of authority under the MVRA.
    Actual loss is widely (and correctly) thought to be limited to
    pecuniary harm that would not have occurred but for the defendant's
    criminal activity.      See, e.g., Sharma, 703 F.3d at 324; United
    States v. Petruk, 
    484 F.3d 1035
    , 1038 (8th Cir. 2007); United
    States v. Feldman, 
    338 F.3d 212
    , 220-21 (3d Cir. 2003); Dawkins,
    
    202 F.3d at 715
    .
    Applying the MVRA and the case law interpreting it, we
    think   it   evident   that   the   district   court   erred   in   ordering
    restitution in the full amount paid to the appellant simply because
    the insurance policies included void-for-fraud clauses. While such
    clauses may suffice to ground claims for disgorgement in civil
    proceedings, an insurer's recoverable loss for MVRA purposes is
    confined to the amount the insurer would not have paid but for the
    fraud. See United States v. Chalupnik, 
    514 F.3d 748
    , 754 (8th Cir.
    2008); Petruk, 
    484 F.3d at 1038-39
    .
    This gets the grease from the goose.       The appellant has
    contended all along that some portion of his claims represented
    legitimate losses.     This remains to be proven.      But if it is true,
    Zurich North American presumably would have reimbursed him for
    those losses had he presented them without embellishment.                The
    district court must, therefore, reconsider its restitution order,
    taking into account the extent (if at all) to which the appellant's
    -24-
    claims encompassed legitimate losses.8        The district court need
    only make "a reasonable determination of appropriate restitution by
    resolving uncertainties with a view towards achieving fairness to
    the victim."       United States v. Burdi, 
    414 F.3d 216
    , 221 (1st Cir.
    2005) (internal quotation marks omitted).
    III.       CONCLUSION
    We need go no further. For the reasons elucidated above,
    we vacate the appellant's sentence (including the restitution
    order) and remand for resentencing consistent with this opinion.
    On remand, the only issues open to consideration shall be the
    appropriate amount of intended loss for purposes of the guideline
    enhancement, the appropriate amount of actual loss for purposes of
    restitution, and, of course, the dimensions of the sentence to be
    imposed.
    Vacated and Remanded.
    8
    The appellant alternatively suggests for the first time      on
    appeal that if the void-for-fraud clauses dictate the amount        of
    loss, the restitution award should be offset by the amount          of
    premiums paid. Given our holding, we do not have any occasion       to
    consider this alternative suggestion.
    -25-