United States v. Vaknin ( 1997 )


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    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE FIRST CIRCUIT FOR THE FIRST CIRCUIT

    _________________________


    No. 96-1394


    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,

    Appellee,

    v.

    MOSHE VAKNIN,

    Defendant, Appellant.

    _________________________


    No. 96-1393


    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,

    Appellee,

    v.

    E. ERIC YEGHIAN,

    Defendant, Appellant.

    _________________________


    No. 96-1373


    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,

    Appellee,

    v.

    MICHAEL J. FONSECA,

    Defendant, Appellant.

    _________________________

    APPEALS FROM THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT












    FOR THE DISTRICT OF RHODE ISLAND

    [Hon. Francis J. Boyle, Senior U.S. District Judge] __________________________

    _________________________

    Before

    Selya, Circuit Judge, _____________

    Bownes, Senior Circuit Judge, ____________________

    and Stahl, Circuit Judge. _____________

    _________________________

    Mark J. Gillis, by appointment of the court, for appellant ______________
    Vaknin.
    C. Leonard O'Brien for appellant Yeghian. __________________
    John A. MacFadyen for appellant Fonseca. _________________
    Ira Belkin, Assistant United States Attorney, with whom __________
    Sheldon Whitehouse, United States Attorney, and Margaret E. ___________________ ____________
    Curran, Assistant United States Attorney, were on brief, for the ______
    United States.

    ________________________

    May 6, 1997
    _________________________





































    SELYA, Circuit Judge. These consolidated appeals SELYA, Circuit Judge. ______________

    raise, inter alia, an interesting question anent the standard of _____ ____

    causation that courts must apply in fashioning restitutionary

    orders under the Victim and Witness Protection Act (VWPA), 18

    U.S.C. 3663(a), 3664(a) (1994). The appeals arise out of a

    multi-count indictment: each of the three appellants bribed the

    same bank official in connection with the making of loans; some

    of the loans soured; the bank failed; and the Federal Deposit and

    Insurance Corporation (FDIC) was left holding an empty bag. When

    the appellants pled guilty to criminal charges, the district

    court imposed sentences which included orders of restitution to

    cover what the court considered to be the attributable losses.

    The appellants now challenge these impositions, and, in

    addition, one appellant, citing his cooperation with the

    prosecution, assails the district court's refusal to depart

    downward from the guideline sentencing range (GSR). We affirm

    the court's eschewal of a downward departure, uphold one

    restitutionary order (albeit with a modest modification), vacate

    the other two, and remand for further findings.

    I. AN HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE I. AN HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE

    Compulsory restitution as a societal response to

    criminal wrongdoing dates back over 4,000 years to the Code of

    Hammurabi and the Old Testament. See, e.g., Exodus 22:1-3 ("If a ___ ____ ______

    man shall steal . . . he should make full restitution."). In its

    earliest iterations, the practice was designed to forfend against

    the high social costs of blood feuds and the wreaking of personal


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    vengeance by compensating victims in a more civilized way. See ___

    generally Thomas M. Kelly, Note, Where Offenders Pay for Their _________ ______________________________

    Crimes: Victim Restitution and Its Constitutionality, 59 Notre _______________________________________________________

    Dame L. Rev. 685, 686-88 (1984). By the Middle Ages, however,

    the sovereign had begun to administer the criminal law directly,

    and criminal restitution fell into desuetude. See id. The ___ ___

    device remained moribund for several centuries. In the United

    States, for example, federal judges were not able to impose

    criminal restitution as a condition of probation until 1925 when

    Congress passed the Federal Probation Act, 18 U.S.C. 3651

    (repealed 1984). Even then, judges used the power sparingly.

    See Peggy M. Tobolowsky, Restitution in the Federal Criminal ___ _____________________________________

    Justice System, 77 Judicature 90, 90-91 (1993). ______________

    The tectonic plates shifted in 1982 when Congress

    enacted the VWPA in response to a growing cognizance of victims'

    rights. Notable for the speed of its election-year passage the

    legislation was introduced in the Senate on April 22, 1982, and

    signed into law by President Reagan less than six months later

    the VWPA transmogrified criminal restitution from a sporadically

    imposed condition of probation into the sentencing norm in cases

    involving quantifiable economic loss.

    The congressional purpose that animated the VWPA is no

    secret: "the court in devising just sanctions for adjudicated

    offenders, should insure that the wrongdoer make good[], to the

    degree possible, the harm he has caused his victim." S. Rep. No.

    532, at 31 (1982), reprinted in 1982 U.S.C.C.A.N. 2515, 2536. To _________ __


    4












    accomplish this purpose, a district court, when pronouncing

    sentence, "may order, in addition to . . . any other penalty

    authorized by law, that the defendant make restitution to any

    victim of such offense." 18 U.S.C. 3663(a). In determining

    whether to award restitution (and, if so, in what amount), the

    sentencing court "shall consider the amount of the loss sustained

    by any victim as a result of the offense, the financial resources

    of the defendant, the financial needs and earning ability of the

    defendant and the defendant's dependents, and such other factors

    as the court deems appropriate." Id. at 3664(a). ___

    In general, restitution under the VWPA is limited to

    "the loss caused by the specific conduct that is the basis of the

    offense of conviction." Hughey v. United States, 495 U.S. 411, ______ _____________

    413 (1990).1 When the fact, cause, or amount of the loss is
    ____________________

    1The defendant in Hughey had used credit cards in an ______
    unauthorized manner, and the Court limited restitution to the
    loss attributable to the lone count on which he had pled guilty
    (as opposed to the total loss from all his fraudulent conduct).
    Congress reacted by amending the VWPA in November of 1990, adding
    3663(a)(2) [the former 3663(a) became 3663(a)(1), but its
    substance remained essentially unchanged]. This amendment
    provides that "a victim of an offense that involves as an element
    a scheme, a conspiracy, or a pattern of criminal activity means
    any person directly harmed by the defendant's criminal conduct in
    the course of the scheme, conspiracy, or pattern." As we
    explained in United States v. Hensley, 91 F.3d 274, 276-77 (1st _____________ _______
    Cir. 1996), restitution for all criminal conduct done in the
    course of a single scheme, conspiracy, or pattern of activity is
    now appropriate, whether or not the defendant has been convicted
    of (or even charged with) the specific acts, as long as the
    offense of conviction has as an element the broader scheme,
    conspiracy, or pattern.
    There are two reasons why the 1990 amendment has no bearing
    here. In the first place, the criminal conduct of which the
    appellants stand convicted occurred prior to the date of the
    amendment. Thus, the pre-1990 version of the VWPA governs our
    inquiry. See United States v. Royal, 100 F.3d 1019, 1032 (1st ___ _____________ _____

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    disputed, the government must establish it by a preponderance of

    the evidence. See United States v. Baker, 25 F.3d 1452, 1454-55 ___ _____________ _____

    (9th Cir. 1994); United States v. Diamond, 969 F.2d 961, 967 _____________ _______

    (10th Cir. 1992); see also 18 U.S.C. 3664(d). ___ ____

    II. THE FACTUAL PREDICATE II. THE FACTUAL PREDICATE

    We present the facts relevant to these appeals as best

    they have presented themselves, mindful that the record is

    noticeably underdeveloped.

    Kenneth Annarummo was a bad apple. While working as a

    loan officer for Attleboro-Pawtucket Savings Bank (APSB or the

    Bank), he solicited and accepted bribes from numerous customers.

    Annarummo's skulduggery came to light after the Bank failed and

    the FDIC intervened. In due course, the government indicted

    Annarummo and several complicit borrowers, including appellants

    Moshe Vaknin, Michael J. Fonseca, and E. Eric Yeghian (all real

    estate developers).2 We recount the circumstances of each

    appellant's involvement.

    A. Vaknin's Troubles. A. Vaknin's Troubles. _________________

    Vaknin first approached APSB in 1987, seeking to

    refinance several properties. Informed by Annarummo that his

    request for funds would be facilitated if he greased the wheels,

    ____________________

    Cir. 1996); United States v. Gilberg, 75 F.3d 15, 20-21 (1st Cir. _____________ _______
    1996). In the second place, the offenses of conviction here do
    not have as an element any broader scheme, conspiracy, or
    pattern.

    2Annarummo eventually pled guilty to three counts of bank
    bribery, 18 U.S.C. 215 (1994), and one count of subscribing to
    a false tax return, 26 U.S.C. 7206(1) (1994).

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    Vaknin paid Annarummo $17,500 and thereafter received the loan.

    In 1988, Vaknin sought to borrow more money and Annarummo again

    asked for a bribe in exchange for his assistance in getting the

    loan underwritten. Vaknin paid him $12,500 prior to securing

    loan approval. This sequence repeated itself later that same

    year, when Vaknin slipped Annarummo another bribe and secured a

    third loan (which was approved by the bank after a series of

    machinations in which Annarummo presented false information to

    the credit committee). Although Vaknin repaid the initial

    refinancing in full, he defaulted on both the 1988 loans and the

    Bank sustained losses in excess of $900,000.

    When indicted, Vaknin pled guilty to a single count of

    bank bribery. See 18 U.S.C. 215 (1994). The Presentence ___

    Investigation Report (PSI Report) did not recommend restitution.

    In response to the prosecution's objection, the probation officer

    explained:

    [I]t is not clear as to whether the
    losses incurred by the bank were a direct
    result of a fraudulent loan being negotiated
    as a result of the bank bribery or whether
    the losses were attributable to other
    factors, such as a downturn in the economy
    which affected the real estate market.

    At the disposition hearing, Judge Boyle sentenced

    Vaknin to an incarcerative term of twelve months and one day, two

    years' supervised release, and a $50 special assessment. On the

    restitution issue, the judge sided with the prosecution;

    concluding that there would have been no funds advanced if the

    bribes had not been paid, the judge held Vaknin liable for the


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    losses resulting from the defaulted loans, rejected the probation

    officer's "downturn in the economy" hypothesis, and ordered

    Vaknin to pay restitution to the FDIC in the sum of $1,000,000.

    B. Fonseca's Troubles. B. Fonseca's Troubles. __________________

    By the time Annarummo arrived on the scene, Fonseca was

    a valued customer of the Bank, having roughly $750,000 in

    outstanding loans. This debt had been incurred through normal

    channels and without subterfuge, mostly in connection with

    single-family residential properties in Rhode Island. Annarummo

    made no immediate demands on Fonseca, and Fonseca succeeded in

    securing additional financing through APSB.

    In 1987, Fonseca encountered business difficulties and

    became fearful that he would not be able to meet the repayment

    schedule on an outstanding APSB note. When he voiced concern to

    Annarummo, the banker demanded a bribe for his help in warding

    off trouble should a default ensue. Fonseca paid Annarummo

    $3,000 but proved able to meet his payment obligation on time and

    in full.

    In 1988, Fonseca applied for a $4,250,000 loan to cover

    the development of a much larger project than he had ever tackled

    a subdivision of more than 50 lots in Bristol, Rhode Island.

    The record suggests (though it does not pin down) that, after

    approval of the loan request but prior to its disbursement,

    Annarummo demanded one of the lots as a bribe. Fonseca

    acquiesced and transferred title to Annarummo's nominee, leaving

    one less lot as security for APSB's loan.


    8












    The Bank terminated Annarummo's employment in March

    1990. Fonseca's subdivision loan (which had a remaining

    principal balance of $611,500) was then 30 days in arrears, and

    Annarummo's successor recommended foreclosure. Fonseca

    negotiated with APSB (which knew nothing of the bribes), and the

    parties agreed to enter into a forbearance agreement (FA) under

    which Fonseca would make a lump-sum payment of $450,000 in full

    satisfaction of the outstanding indebtedness. Fonseca tendered

    the funds within the agreed 35-day period. In time, the Bank

    failed, the FDIC intervened, the bribes were discovered, and the

    indictment materialized.

    Fonseca pled guilty to a single count of bank bribery.

    The district court sentenced him to serve twelve months and one

    day in prison and a three-year term of supervised release. The

    court also imposed a $5,000 fine and a $50 special assessment.

    The matter of restitution proceeded much as in Vaknin's case.

    The probation officer recommended against a restitutionary

    impost; the prosecution objected; and the district judge

    sustained the objection, ordering Fonseca to make restitution in

    the sum of $161,500 (the difference between the loan balance and

    the amount that Fonseca paid pursuant to the FA).

    C. Yeghian's Troubles. C. Yeghian's Troubles. __________________

    Yeghian, a newcomer to APSB, applied for a loan of

    $2,930,000 in 1988 to fund the purchase of real property located

    in Providence, Rhode Island. Annarummo demanded a bribe of

    $20,000 (although the record is tenebrous as whether he


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    approached Yeghian before or after the loan had been approved).

    In any event, Yeghian, using a corrupt lawyer as an internuncio,

    paid the bribe out of the loan proceeds.

    Later that same year, Yeghian sought a loan of

    $1,400,000 to acquire and develop a parcel of real estate in

    Seekonk, Massachusetts. Once again, Annarummo demanded a bribe

    and received $22,909.52.3 Both loans turned sour. The Bank's

    demise, the FDIC's entry onto the scene, the deterration of the

    bribes, and the indictment followed.

    Yeghian pled guilty to one count of bank bribery. At

    sentencing, Judge Boyle imposed a ten-month prison sentence, a

    three-year supervised release term, a $10,000 fine, and a $50

    special assessment. Rejecting a recommendation contained in the

    PSI Report, the judge ordered Yeghian to pay restitution in the

    sum of $2,213,654.74.

    III. THE DEPARTURE DECISION III. THE DEPARTURE DECISION

    Vaknin challenges the incarcerative portion of his

    sentence. The salient facts are as follows. The court sentenced

    Vaknin under the 1988 edition of the federal sentencing

    guidelines. The court figured the GSR as 8-14 months (adjusted

    offense level 11; criminal history category I), and this

    calculation is not in dispute. At the time of sentencing, the

    government asked the court to depart downward because Vaknin had

    made a good faith effort to render substantial assistance. See ___
    ____________________

    3The odd amount stems from the fact that the bribe took the
    form of a payment by Yeghian to liquidate an outstanding loan
    encumbering Annarummo's Porsche.

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    USSG 5K1.1 ("Upon motion of the government stating that the

    defendant has made a good faith effort to provide substantial

    assistance in the investigation or prosecution of another person

    who has committed an offense, the court may depart from the

    guidelines."). For his part, Vaknin solicited an even more

    generous departure. Nevertheless, departure decisions are

    entrusted primarily to the courts, and the sentencing judge's

    role cannot be usurped by agreements between the prosecutor and

    the defendant. See United States v. Mariano, 983 F.2d 1150, 1154 ___ _____________ _______

    n.3, 1155-56 (1st Cir. 1993). Exercising this authority, the

    court refused to impose a sentence below the GSR. Vaknin assigns

    error.

    Vaknin's claim of error is doubly flawed. The short,

    entirely dispositive answer to it is that he stakes out his

    position in a perfunctory manner. For that reason, the argument

    is deemed waived. See, e.g., United States v. Tardiff, 969 F.2d ___ ____ _____________ _______

    1283, 1287 (1st Cir. 1992); United States v. Zannino, 895 F.2d 1, _____________ _______

    17 (1st Cir. 1990).

    The slightly longer but equally dispositive answer is

    that, in the main, departure decisions are discretionary, and

    appellate review of refusals to depart is tightly circumscribed.

    See Koon v. United States, 116 S. Ct. 2035, 2046-47 (1996); Bruce ___ ____ _____________

    M. Selya & Matthew Kipp, An Examination of Emerging Departure ______________________________________

    Jurisprudence Under the Federal Sentencing Guidelines, 67 Notre ______________________________________________________

    Dame L. Rev. 1, 13-14 (1991). Jurisdiction will only attach

    "when it appears that the failure to depart stemmed from the


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    sentencing court's mistaken impression that it lacked the legal

    authority to depart or, relatedly, from the court's

    misapprehension of the rules governing departure." Mariano, 983 _______

    F.2d at 1153. No such bevue occurred here.

    To be sure, Vaknin labors to find a cognizable error.

    In this vein, he contends that the district court believed itself

    unable to depart downward because Vaknin had not provided

    information about his fellow borrowers' criminal activities but

    only about the bribe-taker's criminal activities. He builds this

    contention on scraps drawn from counsel's colloquy with the judge

    at the disposition hearing. But an appellate court, seeking to

    ascertain a sense of what transpired at sentencing, must look to

    the whole of the record rather than isolated snippets extracted

    from it. See, e.g., United States v. Santiago, 83 F.3d 20, 25 ___ ____ ______________ ________

    (1st Cir. 1996); United States v. Rostoff, 53 F.3d 398, 407 (1st _____________ _______

    Cir. 1995); cf. United States v. Tavano, 12 F.3d 301, 304 (1st ___ _____________ ______

    Cir. 1993). Applying this tenet here, the record, read as a

    seamless whole, belies Vaknin's contention.

    We need not tarry. The sentencing transcript shows

    with pristine clarity that Judge Boyle knew he could depart once

    the government invoked USSG 5K1.1, but chose instead to impose a

    sentence within the GSR. As we read the record, his reasons for

    demurring were clear and entirely permissible. In his view,

    Vaknin's cooperation had been adequately rewarded because (a) the

    government had prosecuted only one count of bribery despite the

    fact that Vaknin had paid multiple bribes referable to separate


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    borrowings, and (b) Vaknin's offense level (and, hence, the GSR)

    already had been reduced for acceptance of responsibility under

    USSG 3E1.1.

    The transcript also reveals that the court weighed the

    quintet of factors under which a substantial assistance motion

    must be evaluated: the nature and extent of the assistance

    provided; its significance and utility to the prosecution; its

    timeliness; the truthfulness and reliability of the information

    conveyed; and the injury to, or risk exposure of, the defendant

    resulting from his cooperation. See Mariano, 983 F.2d at 1156 ___ _______

    (enumerating factors and explaining that "[a] district court,

    faced with a section 5K1.1 motion, must at a bare minimum

    indicate its cognizance of these factors"). After mulling these

    and other relevant considerations, the court determined that,

    under the specific circumstances of Vaknin's case, no departure

    was warranted. Such a decision is quintessentially a judgment

    call, and, thus, within the sentencing court's discretion. See ___

    Tardiff, 969 F.2d at 1290. Consequently, we lack both the _______

    authority to second-guess the departure decision and the

    inclination to do so.

    IV. THE CAUSATION QUANDARY IV. THE CAUSATION QUANDARY

    All three appellants challenge the district court's

    restitutionary orders. Those challenges are similar insofar as

    they implicate the standard of causation. Therefore, we treat

    them in the ensemble to that extent.

    A. Standard of Review. A. Standard of Review. __________________


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    Restitution orders customarily are reviewed under an

    abuse of discretion rubric. See United States v. Hensley, 91 ___ _____________ _______

    F.3d 274, 277 (1st Cir. 1996). In the course of this review, the

    sentencing court's subsidiary factual findings must be credited

    unless they are clearly erroneous. See id. To the extent that a ___ ___

    challenge to a restitution order hinges on a legal question,

    however, the sentencing court's answer to that question is

    reviewed de novo. See United States v. Gilberg, 75 F.3d 15, 20 ___ _____________ _______

    (1st Cir. 1996); United States v. Savoie, 985 F.2d 612, 619 (1st _____________ ______

    Cir. 1993). The appellants' allegation that the district judge

    employed an improper legal standard of causation presents such a

    question.

    B. The Legal Landscape. B. The Legal Landscape. ___________________

    The level of causation required under the VWPA is not

    immediately apparent, and the parties' views on the subject are

    sharply divergent. The appellants advance a theory of "direct"

    causation, exhorting us to rule that restitution can be imposed

    only if the victim's losses result directly from the offense of

    conviction and therefore that restitution cannot be imposed when

    an intervening phenomenon (e.g., a collapsing real estate market)

    is the more immediate cause of the loss.4 Transposed into the

    m tier of this case, the appellants' theory seemingly would

    require the government to eliminate the possibility of concurrent
    ____________________

    4While the appellants profess to know direct causation when
    they see it, they have been unable either to muster a
    comprehensive definition of the term or to suggest a viable
    limiting principle. The government's arguments in support of but
    for causation, see infra, suffer from much the same vice. ___ _____

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    causes and prove that the FDIC's losses occurred as a direct

    result of the bribes that Annarummo solicited and received. The

    government cannot do so, the appellants posit, because stimuli

    unrelated to the bribes, such as intervening market forces,

    caused the ultimate losses.

    The government's counter-argument is that "but for"

    causation suffices; it urges us to rule that restitution can be

    imposed as long as the victim's losses would not have eventuated

    but for the criminal activity. But for the bribes, this thesis

    runs, there would have been no loans, without which there would

    have been no losses. In this very general sense, the bribes

    caused the losses and that, to the government's way of

    thinking, is enough.

    The appellants' rejoinder is twofold. First, they

    debunk the legal standard articulated by the government. Second,

    they say that even if this articulation accurately reflects the

    state of the law, it does not justify the district court's

    restitutionary orders. On the appellants' shared hypothesis, the

    loans would have issued whether or not the bribes were

    forthcoming; thus, the Bank would have incurred the losses even

    if the appellants had played it straight.

    The parties' positions stand at opposite ends of a

    continuum. Our effort to determine where on the continuum the

    correct legal standard is housed starts with the language of the

    VWPA itself. Section 3663(a) authorizes restitution to "any

    victim" for a covered offense. This provision must be read in


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    tandem with section 3664(a), which directs the sentencing court

    to consider "the amount of the loss sustained by any victim as a

    result of the offense." For purposes of this case, see supra ___ _____

    note 1, restitution is appropriate only for "the loss caused by

    the specific conduct that is the basis of the offense of

    conviction." Hughey, 495 U.S. at 413. ______

    Since the text of the VWPA does not speak explicitly to

    the dimensions of the requisite standard of causation,5 we must

    consult other sources in our quest to discover it. Next on the

    list is legislative history. This material, like the statute

    itself, does not specifically limn the standard of causation.

    Nonetheless, it offers some important insights.

    In enacting the VWPA, Congress strove to encourage

    greater use of a restitutionary remedy. See S. Rep. No. 532, ___

    supra, 1982 U.S.C.C.A.N. at 2536-37. At the same time, it _____
    ____________________

    5Though the amended version of the VWPA does not apply to
    this case, see supra note 1, the appellants asseverate that the ___ _____
    amendment's use of the adverb "directly" heralds Congress' intent
    vis- -vis the type of causation that it envisioned. We do not
    agree. The legislative history of the 1990 amendment plainly
    indicates that the language employed, albeit containing the word
    "directly," does not support the appellants' theory of causation.
    As Congress explained:

    The use of "directly" precludes, for example,
    an argument that a person has been harmed by
    a financial institution offense that results
    in a payment from the insurance fund because,
    as a taxpayer, a part of a person's taxes go
    to the insurance fund.

    H.R. Rep. No. 681(I), at 177 n.8 (1990), reprinted in 1990 _________ __
    U.S.C.C.A.N. 6472, 6583 n.8. This definition ranges far afield
    from the definition of direct that the appellants tout. Thus, we
    conclude that the 1990 amendment did not alter the standard of
    causation applicable to VWPA cases.

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    disclaimed any intent to convert the main event the sentencing

    hearing into a time-consuming sideshow prolonged litigation

    over restitution-related issues. This disclaimer was made

    manifest in a variety of ways. For example, rather than

    requiring great precision in fixing the amount of restitution

    due, Congress visualized the VWPA as "authoriz[ing] the court to

    reach an expeditious, reasonable determination of appropriate

    restitution by resolving uncertainties with a view towards

    achieving fairness to the victim." Id. at 2537. ___

    In short, the legislative history clearly signals a

    congressional preference for rough remedial justice, emphasizing

    victims' rights. In our view, this preference counsels against

    importing a stringent standard of causation (such as might be

    appropriate in a tort context) into the VWPA.

    Of course, rough remedial justice does not mean leaving

    matters to the whim of the sentencing judge, and Congress did not

    conceive of restitution as being an entirely standardless

    proposition. The government must bear the burden of establishing

    the loss, 18 U.S.C. 3664(d), and an award cannot be woven

    solely from the gossamer strands of speculation and surmise. See ___

    United States v. Neal, 36 F.3d 1190, 1200-01 (1st Cir. 1994). By _____________ ____

    like token, just as insisting upon a modicum of reliable evidence

    reinforces the specific advantages of the restitutionary remedy,

    so too does insisting upon a certain degree of causal precision.

    As the Supreme Court has noted, demanding a "direct relation

    between the harm and the punishment gives restitution a more


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    precise deterrent effect than a traditional fine." Kelly v. _____

    Robinson, 479 U.S. 36, 49 n.10 (1986). ________

    Finding the legislative history suggestive rather than

    compelling, we examine the caselaw. In previous decisions, this

    court has remarked the broad policy goals of the VWPA and

    concluded that difficulty in achieving an exact measurement of

    victim loss should not preclude the imposition of restitution.

    See Savoie, 985 F.2d at 617. On the subject of causation, ___ ______

    however, our decisions have tended to involve either situations

    in which the closeness of the causal link could not seriously be

    questioned, see, e.g., United States v. Lilly, 80 F.3d 24, 28 ___ ____ _____________ _____

    (1st Cir. 1996), or those in which we found restitution to have

    been ordered in contravention of Hughey, see, e.g., United States ______ ___ ____ _____________

    v. Newman, 49 F.3d 1, 11 (1st Cir. 1995). Neither polar extreme ______

    brings much light to the vexing issue which these appeals

    present.

    Neal is the only notable exception to this taxonomy. ____

    That case featured a defendant who had been found guilty both of

    being an accessory after the fact to a bank robbery and of

    laundering funds. The district court imposed a restitutionary

    award that equalled the bank's entire loss from the thievery. We

    vacated the award, noting that it could not be determined on the

    sparse record available "whether the court calculated, pursuant

    to Hughey, the portion of [the bank's] losses that were actually ______

    caused by the specific criminal conduct forming the basis for

    Neal's convictions." 36 F.3d at 1200 (italics omitted). We


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    instructed the district court, on remand, to hold a hearing on

    the causation issue and modify the award to the extent that any

    portion of the loss was not "attributable to" Neal's criminal

    conduct. Id. at 1201. In dictum, we cautiously suggested that ___

    some varietal of but for causation might suffice. See id. at ___ ___

    1201 n.10 ("If . . . evidence is presented indicating that Neal

    played a significant role in helping the other defendants escape

    and that but for his actions, there was a substantial likelihood

    that the full proceeds would have been recovered, the court could

    well be within its statutory authority in imposing the full

    [restitutionary amount]."). Thus, circuit precedent furnishes a

    weak indication that but for causation can suffice under the

    VWPA.

    Reading the out-of-circuit cases is like attending a

    bar association meeting in a small town; one can find congenial

    cases, like friendly faces in the crowd, to support almost any

    standard of causation for the VWPA. We have found decisions

    which appear at least superficially to reject but for causation

    in favor of a "direct result" standard. See, e.g., United States ___ ____ _____________

    v. Silkowski, 32 F.3d 682, 689-90 (2d Cir. 1994); Ratliff v. _________ _______

    United States, 999 F.2d 1023, 1026-27 (6th Cir. 1993). By ______________

    contrast, we have found decisions which seem to accept

    unqualified but for causation as sufficient under the VWPA. See, ___

    e.g., United States v. Keith, 754 F.2d 1388, 1393 (9th Cir. ____ ______________ _____

    1985); United States v. Richard, 738 F.2d 1120, 1122-23 (10th _____________ _______

    Cir. 1984). We have found decisions which straddle the question,


    19












    see Government of the Virgin Islands v. Davis, 43 F.3d 41, 46 (3d ___ ________________________________ _____

    Cir. 1994) (seemingly endorsing, in a single paragraph, both but

    for and direct causation), and those which confess confusion on

    the issue, see United States v. Cloud, 872 F.2d 846, 856 n.13 ___ _____________ _____

    (9th Cir. 1989) (acknowledging "a conflict in this circuit

    regarding the nexus the government must establish between the

    defendant's criminal conduct and the victim's losses to support a

    VWPA restitution order").



    C. Choosing a Standard. C. Choosing a Standard. ___________________

    Upon close perscrutation, the extreme positions

    advocated by the parties do not hold out much promise in our

    quest for a serviceable standard of causation.

    On the one hand, the sort of direct causation standard

    that the appellants propose is simply too rigid. Under their

    theory of intervening forces, a court could not impose

    restitution even if the defendant's conduct were a substantial

    cause of a loss, unless it were the last cause. Such a standard

    would flout the basic purpose of the VWPA.6 In our judgment,

    Congress did not contemplate such adamantine formalism when it

    moved to expand the availability of restitutionary remedies by
    ____________________

    6Imagine a situation in which D, a convicted felon who is
    carrying a handgun, is speeding down a highway, fleeing from the
    authorities. D's car slams into an unregistered automobile, with
    defective brakes, owned and operated by Stranger (S), causing S
    to swerve and hit V, who suffers severe injuries. D is then
    prosecuted for reckless endangerment and found guilty. S's
    miscreancy should not preclude a court from ordering D to make
    restitution for V's medical expenses. Yet the appellants' theory
    would erect just such a barrier.

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    enacting the VWPA. See S. Rep. No. 532, supra, 1982 U.S.C.C.A.N. ___ _____

    at 2537.

    On the other hand, concerns of fairness require us to

    reject the unbridled but for causation standard that the

    government propounds. Under it, a court could impose restitution

    based on the most tenuous of connections.7 While it is true that

    for want of a nail the kingdom reputedly was lost, cf. Benjamin ___

    Franklin, Poor Richard's Almanac (1758), it could hardly have _______________________

    been Congress' intent to place the entire burden on the

    blacksmith if the nail was an insignificant factor in the

    calculus of concurrent causes. Such a result would countervail

    principles of fundamental fairness and, in the bargain, would be

    at odds with the majority of reported cases. See, e.g., United ___ ____ ______

    States v. Holley, 23 F.3d 902, 914-15 (5th Cir. 1994); United ______ ______ ______

    States v. Tyler, 767 F.2d 1350, 1351-53 (9th Cir. 1985). ______ _____

    Having rejected the parties' proposals, it falls to us

    to fashion the appropriate legal standard. Despite the gaps in

    the statute and in its legislative history, and notwithstanding

    the contradictions that permeate the cases, we think it is

    possible to distill certain bedrock principles from the sources
    ____________________

    7Imagine a situation similar to that described in note 6,
    supra; but, instead of being prosecuted for a vehicular offense, _____
    D is charged with and convicted of being a felon in possession of
    a handgun. While but for causation may be present after all,
    but for his unlawful possession of a weapon, D would have had no
    occasion to flee from the authorities, and, thus, would not have
    been careening down the road and would not have precipitated the
    accident it is hard to make a principled argument that the
    offense of conviction (felon in possession) supports an order
    against D to make restitution for V's medical expenses. Yet the
    government's theory ordains just such a result.

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    that we have consulted.

    First: Restitution should not be ordered in respect to First: _____

    a loss which would have occurred regardless of the defendant's

    conduct. A good illustration of this principle in operation is

    found in United States v. Blackburn, 9 F.3d 353 (5th Cir. 1993). _____________ _________

    There, the sentencing court included foreclosure expenses in

    calculating the amount of restitution due. The Fifth Circuit

    reversed, citing proof that the foreclosure would have happened

    even if the defendant had not committed the crime. See id. at ___ ___

    359; see also United States v. Walker, 896 F.2d 295, 305-06 (8th ___ ____ _____________ ______

    Cir. 1990) (holding that when defendants, who owned a company,

    defrauded the United States, restitution to laid-off company

    employees was improper because the record failed to show that the

    fraud caused the company to cease operations).

    Second: Even if but for causation is acceptable in Second ______

    theory, limitless but for causation is not. Restitution should

    not lie if the conduct underlying the offense of conviction is

    too far removed, either factually or temporally, from the loss.

    We offer two examples of remoteness in fact. The first arises in

    a case that bears some similarity to the instant case.

    In Diamond, 969 F.2d at 963-64, the defendant pled _______

    guilty to filing false financial reports with a lender. The loan

    had already been made before Diamond authored the reports, but

    the reports apparently helped in obtaining an extension. The

    loan proved uncollectible. The sentencing court ordered the

    defendant to make restitution, reasoning that the loss stemmed


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    from the false reports. The court of appeals refused to equate

    the extension of an existing loan with the granting of the loan

    in the first place, and negated the restitutionary order because

    there was no proof that the extension worsened the lender's

    position. See id. at 966. ___ ___

    A somewhat different example of factual remoteness is

    found in United States v. Sablan, 92 F.3d 865 (9th Cir. 1996). _____________ ______

    There, the defendant had been convicted of computer fraud. The

    district court ordered restitution for expenses incurred by the

    victim in meeting with investigators to discuss the case. The

    Ninth Circuit struck these amounts from the award, ruling that

    the expenses were not connected closely enough to the fraudulent

    conduct. See id. at 870; see also United States v. Kenney, 789 ___ ___ ___ ____ _____________ ______

    F.2d 783, 784 (9th Cir. 1986) (invalidating that portion of a

    restitution order which was designed to reimburse the corporate

    victim for the cost of having its employees testify at the

    defendant's trial, but upholding that part of the order

    encompassing the cost of removing film chronicling the robbery

    from the bank's surveillance cameras).

    Typical of the situations in which but for causation

    existed but restitution was denied because the claimed losses

    were temporally remote is Holley, in which the court deemed ______

    restitution improper when the victim, who received foreclosure

    property from the defendant in the course of the criminal

    activity, unnecessarily held onto the property for a lengthy

    interval after the crime was discovered, and the property


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    declined in value during that period. 23 F.3d at 914-15.

    Similarly, in Tyler, the defendant cut down a tree in a national _____

    forest and was apprehended as he tried to take it to a nearby

    lumber mill. 767 F.2d at 1351. The government retained the

    lumber, needlessly, for a long period of time, then sold it in a

    fallen market for considerably less than it would have fetched if

    sold promptly. See id. The district court ordered restitution, ___ ___

    pegging the loss by reference to the reduced price. The

    appellate court disagreed, pointing out that, although abstract

    but for causation existed, it was too attenuated to support the

    award. See id. at 1351-53. ___ ___

    Consistent with these two principles and with our

    dictum in Neal, 36 F.3d at 1201 & n.10, we hold that a modified ____

    but for standard of causation is appropriate for restitution

    under the VWPA. This means, in effect, that the government must

    show not only that a particular loss would not have occurred but

    for the conduct underlying the offense of conviction, but also

    that the causal nexus between the conduct and the loss is not too

    attenuated (either factually or temporally). The watchword is

    reasonableness. A sentencing court should undertake an

    individualized inquiry; what constitutes sufficient causation can

    only be determined case by case, in a fact-specific probe.

    D. Applying the Standard. D. Applying the Standard. _____________________

    Having elucidated the appropriate legal standard, we

    turn finally to the causation questions embedded in the appeals

    that are before us. These appeals, like the decisions canvassed


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    above, provide some insights into the standard's operation.

    1. In Vaknin's case, restitution is appropriate. The 1.

    district court specifically found that the bribes which Vaknin

    paid were a but for cause of the Bank's losses on the defaulted

    loans. The record contains no basis on which to mount a credible

    challenge to this finding. After all, the arrangements for the

    bribes preceded the making of the loans, and the bribes were

    admittedly paid in exchange for Annarummo's assistance in

    procuring the loans.

    Moreover, common sense must inform inquiries into

    restitution under the VWPA. See S. Rep. No. 532, supra, 1982 ___ _____

    U.S.C.C.A.N. at 2536-37. In Vaknin's case, the evidence clearly

    shows not only that the loans were procured by bribery but also

    that the bribe-taker connived to bend the rules; in at least one

    instance Annarummo shaded the presentation to APSB's credit

    committee to increase the likelihood that the loan would be

    forthcoming. We believe that where, as here, the government

    establishes that arrangements for a bribe precede and relate to

    the making of a loan, a commonsense inference arises that

    subsequent losses referable to the loan's uncollectibility are

    causally linked in reasonable proximity to the bribe. Cf., e.g., ___ ____

    Blinzler v. Marriott Int'l, Inc., 81 F.3d 1148, 1158-59 (1st Cir. ________ ____________________

    1996) (discussing commonsense inference that arises from proof

    that a relevant document has been destroyed); United States v. ______________

    Olbres, 61 F.3d 967, 971-72 (1st Cir.) (discussing commonsense ______

    inference that arises in tax evasion case from proof of


    25












    expenditures in excess of declared income and disposable assets),

    cert. denied, 116 S. Ct. 522 (1995). Of course, the inference _____ ______

    can be rebutted if the defendant produces specific evidence of

    factual or temporal remoteness. Here, however, Vaknin made no

    such showing. To the contrary, there is no compelling proof

    either of an unforeseeable intervening cause or of any cognizable

    remoteness, factual or temporal.

    That ends the matter. Because the record adequately

    supports Judge Boyle's finding of but for causation, and contains

    no sufficient suggestion of factual or temporal remoteness,

    restitution for the losses resulting from the tainted loans is

    altogether appropriate.

    2. We treat Fonseca's and Yeghian's appeals in tandem. 2.

    In both instances, the record is so exiguous that the very

    existence of but for causation seems problematic. As to Fonseca,

    the single loan in respect to which the court ordered restitution

    may have been approved by the Bank independent of, and prior in

    time to, Annarummo's solicitation of a bribe.8 On the present

    record, we simply cannot tell and the lower court made no

    specific finding on the point. The question is potentially

    important because, if it turns out that the Bank approved the

    loan prior to any arrangements for a bribe, then in such event

    the circumstances would not support an inference of but for

    causation; and, in the absence of such an inference, it is
    ____________________

    8Fonseca's past lending relationship with the Bank tends to
    support this inference. It suggests, at the least, that the Bank
    considered him creditworthy well before Annarummo hove into view.

    26












    difficult (although not impossible) to conceive how a sufficient

    causal link between bribe and loss could be forged.

    Moreover, the record suggests that even if but for

    causation exists, the requisite connectedness might be lacking.

    Fonseca argues with some force that the Bank's loss, if one

    occurred at all, was occasioned by its need for an immediate cash

    infusion; that this exigency gave birth to the FA; and therefore,

    no cognizable loss occurred.9 But this argument, too, depends on

    facts which the record does not contain, and on which the lower

    court made no particularized findings. It is clear that

    Fonseca's loan was overdue and that the Bank had a right to call

    the loan. From that point forward, it is unclear whether the

    Bank entered into the FA merely as a quick fix for its own

    problems or because it wanted to mitigate an inevitable loss.

    As to Yeghian, the record is similarly inexplicit about

    the timing of his arrangements with Annarummo vis- -vis the

    Bank's approval of the subject loans. There is some indication

    that one (if not both) of the loans on which he defaulted may

    have been approved independent of any deal with Annarummo, but

    the sentencing court made no detailed findings and the extant

    record is too sparse to permit us to answer the causation

    questions with confidence.
    ____________________

    9In substance, Fonseca asserts that by accepting an
    accelerated $450,000 payment under a consensual pact (the FA) in
    satisfaction of the outstanding loan balance ($611,500), APSB did
    no more than make a business judgment designed not to salvage a
    failing loan Fonseca says he could have paid it off in full,
    given time but to shore up a failing bank. On that basis, he
    reasons that APSB (and ultimately the FDIC) suffered no loss.

    27












    It would be unprofitable to delve more deeply into

    these matters. We are confronted by a largely undeveloped

    record, embellished with few specific findings. Given that

    enigmatic reality, remand is required. We envision that the

    district court, the next time around, will direct the parties to

    augment the record with respect to (a) the presence or absence of

    a causal link between Fonseca's and Yeghian's criminal conduct

    and the FDIC's losses, (b) if that causal link is demonstrated,

    the closeness of the connection, factually and temporally,

    between that conduct and the ultimate losses, and (c) such other

    matters as the court may deem suitable. We anticipate further

    that the court will make particularized findings on each disputed

    issue. Weintimateno viewastothe properoutcomeof thoseproceedings.

    V. MISCELLANEOUS V. MISCELLANEOUS

    Three final matters require brief attention. The first

    is a matter raised by Fonseca and Yeghian. The others relate

    solely to Vaknin's obligations.

    A. Picking up the Tab. A. Picking up the Tab. __________________

    It is apodictic that restitution only can be ordered to

    redress a loss to a victim. See United States v. Gibbens, 25 ___ _____________ _______

    F.3d 28, 33 (1st Cir. 1994). Using this truism as a lever,

    Fonseca and Yeghian question whether the VWPA allows the court to

    order restitution to the FDIC for losses originally sustained by

    the (now failed) Bank. The question is easily answered.

    Following existing circuit precedent, we hold that the

    benefit of the VWPA's remedial provisions extends to a government


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    agency which, in the exercise of duly delegated powers, steps

    into the shoes of the original victim. See id. at 32-35. Thus, ___ ___

    if a failed bank was a victim of the defendant's criminal

    activity, the FDIC, as its insurer and receiver, itself qualifies

    as a victim for purposes of a restitutionary order under the

    VWPA. See United States v. Phaneuf, 91 F.3d 255, 265 (1st Cir. ___ _____________ _______

    1996).

    B. Ability to Pay. B. Ability to Pay. ______________

    Vaknin argues that the district court abused its

    discretion by ordering him to make restitution without

    considering his ability to pay. We agree with Vaknin's premise

    that judicial consideration of a defendant's ability to pay is

    statutorily mandated as a prerequisite to an order for

    restitution. See 18 U.S.C. 3664(a). We disagree, however, ___

    with his conclusion that the lower court neglected to touch this

    base.

    We have stated with a regularity bordering on the

    monotonous that the consideration requirement does not mean that

    a judge must decide the question in a particular way or even that

    he must make express findings on the record as to the defendant's

    ability to pay. See, e.g., Newman, 49 F.3d at 10; Savoie, 985 ___ ____ ______ ______

    F.2d at 618. It is enough if "the record on appeal reveals that

    the judge made implicit findings or otherwise adequately evinced

    his consideration" of this factor. Savoie, 985 F.2d at 618. ______

    Here, the PSI Report spelled out Vaknin's past earnings

    history and current financial condition in appreciable detail.


    29












    The sentencing transcript indicates that the judge absorbed this

    information, voiced his skepticism about Vaknin's ability to

    comply with the restitution order as matters stood,10 but

    nonetheless impliedly found that a sufficient possibility of

    eventual repayment existed. We think that this finding is

    supportable. A defendant's impoverishment today is no assurance

    of future poverty, and, hence, present impecuniousness is not a

    bar to the imposition of restitution. See United States v. ___ ______________

    Brandon, 17 F.3d 409, 461 (1st Cir. 1994); United States v. _______ ______________

    Lombardi, 5 F.3d 568, 573 (1st Cir. 1993). A sentencing court ________

    permissibly may take into account a defendant's earning capacity

    and the prospect that his fortunes will improve. See Lombardi, 5 ___ ________

    F.3d at 573; Savoie, 985 F.2d at 619. ______

    Here, the judge apparently issued a restitution order

    as a hedge against his founded belief that the defendant an

    individual of demonstrated entrepreneurial bent might well

    acquire assets in the future. While this conclusion would have

    been less controversial had the judge made a more pointed

    reference to Vaknin's past accomplishments and future financial

    prognosis, we cannot say that an abuse of discretion transpired.

    See Lombardi, 5 F.3d at 572-73. ___ ________

    C. The Government's Concessions. C. The Government's Concessions. ____________________________

    The district court ordered Vaknin to make restitution

    in the amount of $1,000,000. This figure is vulnerable on two
    ____________________

    10Indeed, the judge explicitly declined to levy a fine
    against Vaknin, noting on the judgment form that no fine would be
    imposed due to an inability to pay.

    30












    fronts. First, the government has brought to light on its own

    initiative a mathematical error that, when corrected, will reduce

    the amount of restitution owed.11 Second, the sentencing court

    premised the loss calculation on the amount which the Bank

    received when it resold the property Vaknin had pledged to secure

    the defaulted loans, rather than on its fair market value at the

    time of foreclosure. Because the district court used fair market

    value as of the foreclosure date when determining the amount of

    restitution that Yeghian owed, the government concedes that it

    would be fair to employ the same barometer in respect to Vaknin

    (a similarly situated codefendant). We accept the government's

    concessions at face value, without passing substantively upon

    them, and direct the district court to make these two adjustments

    to the restitutionary award. The resultant obligation thus will

    be reduced to $902,000.

    VI. CONCLUSION VI. CONCLUSION

    We need go no further. For the reasons set forth

    herein, we affirm the convictions of all the defendants; modify

    the restitution order imposed against Vaknin, and, as modified,

    affirm it; vacate the restitution orders imposed on Fonseca and

    Yeghian, respectively; and remand for further proceedings as to

    them.



    Affirmed in part; vacated in part; remanded. Affirmed in part; vacated in part; remanded. ___________________________________________

    ____________________

    11This is very professional behavior, and we commend the
    prosecutors for it.

    31