United States v. Hudson ( 2016 )


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  •           United States Court of Appeals
    For the First Circuit
    No. 14-2124
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,
    Appellee,
    v.
    JEROME HUDSON,
    Defendant, Appellant.
    APPEAL FROM THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF MAINE
    [Hon. Jon D. Levy, U.S. District Judge]
    Before
    Howard, Chief Judge,
    Selya and Stahl, Circuit Judges.
    Jane Elizabeth Lee for appellant.
    Renée M. Bunker, Assistant United States Attorney, with whom
    Thomas E. Delahanty II, United States Attorney, was on brief, for
    appellee.
    May 9, 2016
    HOWARD, Chief Judge.    Jerome Hudson pled guilty, without
    a plea agreement, to possession of ammunition by a felon.     See 18
    U.S.C. § 922(g)(1).      Based upon his criminal history he was
    sentenced as an armed career criminal.     See 18 U.S.C. § 924(e)(1).
    On appeal, he claims error in his designation as an armed career
    criminal and also in the calculation of his Guideline Sentencing
    Range ("GSR").     We affirm Hudson's classification as an armed
    career criminal.   In light of the government's concession of error
    in the calculation of Hudson's GSR, we vacate his sentence and
    remand.
    I. Facts1
    At 7:50 in the morning on January 13, 2014, officers in
    Lewiston, Maine responded to a reported shooting near an apartment
    complex.   Their investigation quickly identified Hudson -- who had
    fled the scene -- as the perpetrator.     The police learned through
    witnesses that an altercation had occurred between Hudson and the
    father of Hudson's girlfriend's children.    That argument escalated
    until Hudson fired a number of shots at the other man at "point
    blank range."    All of this took place as a number of school-aged
    children began to come out of their homes to catch the school bus.2
    1 Because Hudson pled guilty, we recite the facts as drawn
    from the pre-sentence investigation report ("PSR"), change-of-plea
    hearing, and sentencing transcript. See, e.g. United States v.
    Rossignol, 
    780 F.3d 475
    , 476 (1st Cir. 2015).
    2 During the change-of-plea colloquy, Hudson admitted to these
    events sufficiently to support conviction, but he maintained that
    - 2 -
    The police retrieved four spent shell casings from the scene and
    made contact with Hudson's girlfriend at the apartment that he and
    she shared.       With her consent, the police searched the home and
    located an open safe containing 35 rounds of 9mm ammunition, one
    loose round of .45 caliber ammunition, and two loose rounds of
    Winchester 9mm ammunition.       Officers found Hudson hiding in a
    stairwell a short distance away, and upon being apprehended he
    stated "you guys have my ammo and that's all you're getting, you
    won't find my gun."     Hudson would later admit to firing the shots,
    but claimed that he did so as a "warning" because the other man
    was reaching for something in his waistband.
    II. Procedural History
    On April 4, 2014, a federal grand jury indicted Hudson
    for possession of ammunition by a felon.      The indictment included
    notice that the government intended to classify Hudson as an armed
    career criminal, specifying five separate prior Massachusetts
    convictions.3      See 18 U.S.C. § 924(e).   Prior to his October 14,
    the shots were fired in the air and that there were no children
    around.
    3   The convictions were for:
        Assault and Battery
        Possession of Drugs with Intent to
    Distribute
        Assault to Rob and Assault and Battery
    with a Dangerous Weapon
        Unarmed Robbery
    - 3 -
    2014 sentencing, Hudson objected to a recommendation in the PSR
    that he be designated as an armed career criminal.                   At sentencing,
    the court identified three of the five enumerated offenses as
    qualifying convictions for violent crime under the Armed Career
    Criminal Act ("ACCA"), 18 U.S.C. § 924(e), and the sentencing judge
    imposed a 216-month incarcerative term followed by 5 years of
    supervised release.
    One of the three predicate convictions on which the
    district court relied was a 1997 conviction for larceny from a
    person, see Mass. Gen. Laws ch. 266, § 25.                  But that offense had
    qualified as a predicate under the residual clause of the ACCA, a
    provision subsequently invalidated by the Supreme Court.                          See
    Johnson v. United States (Johnson II), ___ U.S. ___, 
    135 S. Ct. 2551
    ,    2557    (2015)   (holding      the   residual      clause    of   the   ACCA
    unconstitutionally vague).         The government does not argue that the
    larceny conviction would otherwise qualify as a predicate offense,
    but     rather   seeks    to   substitute       in   its     place    a    different
    Massachusetts        conviction   for    assault     with    a   dangerous    weapon
    ("ADW").     In this timely appeal, Hudson argues that both his ADW
    conviction and a prior conviction for possession of drugs with
       Assault with a Dangerous               Weapon   and
    Assault and Battery
    - 4 -
    intent to distribute them do not qualify as predicate offenses
    under the ACCA.4
    III. Analysis
    The    ACCA   requires    the    imposition    of   more   severe
    sentences on repeat offenders when they are convicted of certain
    new crimes.         See 18 U.S.C. § 924.       In this case, if Hudson has
    "three previous convictions . . . for a violent felony or a serious
    drug offense, or both," then a mandatory 15-year prison sentence
    and   other    sentencing    enhancements      follow.      
    Id. § 924(e)(1).
    Whether a prior conviction qualifies as a "serious drug offense"
    or a "violent felony" under the ACCA is a question of law, and
    where, as here, the question is preserved, we undertake a de novo
    review.   See United States v. Holloway, 
    630 F.3d 252
    , 256 (1st
    Cir. 2011); United States v. McKenney, 
    450 F.3d 39
    , 42 (1st Cir.
    2006).
    A.    Possession with Intent to Distribute
    The ACCA defines a "serious drug offense" as:
    [A]n offense under State law, involving
    manufacturing, distributing, or possessing
    with intent to manufacture or distribute, a
    controlled substance . . . for which a maximum
    term of imprisonment of ten years or more is
    prescribed by law[.]
    4Hudson does not challenge the district court's inclusion of
    his prior conviction for assault to rob as a qualifying predicate
    offense under the ACCA.
    - 5 -
    18 U.S.C. § 924(e)(2)(A)(ii).         Hudson challenges the district
    court's finding that a Massachusetts conviction for possession
    with intent to distribute a "class B substance" qualifies as a
    "serious drug offense."5
    In arguing that this conviction does not qualify, Hudson
    focuses on the bifurcated nature of the sentences provided for in
    the state statute.       See Mass. Gen. Laws ch. 94C, § 32A(a).      That
    statute,   like   many    other   felony   statutes    in   Massachusetts,
    provides for concurrent jurisdiction in the district and superior
    courts.    At the discretion of the district attorney, a defendant
    (such as Hudson) charged with possession with intent to distribute
    a class B substance may be prosecuted in either venue.             If the
    defendant's case remains in the district court, then the maximum
    term of incarceration is two and one-half years in the house of
    corrections; indictment and prosecution in the superior court
    subjects a defendant to a maximum of ten years in state prison.
    See 
    id. Because he
    was prosecuted in the district court, Hudson
    argues that he was not subject to a "maximum term of imprisonment
    of ten years or more," as required by the ACCA.               That claim,
    however, is foreclosed by circuit precedent.          In United States v.
    Moore, we held that conviction under Mass. Gen. Laws ch. 94C,
    5 Hudson's PSR specified that his possession with intent
    conviction was for a class B substance.   See Mass. Gen. Laws
    ch. 94C, § 32A(a).
    - 6 -
    § 32A(a) qualifies as a "serious drug offense" irrespective of
    which Massachusetts court entered the conviction.                 
    286 F.3d 47
    ,
    48-50 (1st Cir. 2002)
    When a claim runs headlong into circuit precedent, our
    law of the circuit doctrine must be confronted.                  That doctrine
    "dictates that '[i]n a multi-panel circuit . . . newly constituted
    panels    ordinarily     are   constrained     by    prior     panel   decisions
    directly (or even closely) on point."            
    Holloway, 630 F.3d at 258
    (quoting United States v. Guzman, 
    419 F.3d 27
    , 31 (1st Cir. 2005)).
    Absent special circumstances, we are duty bound to follow our prior
    holding.    See United States v. Chhien, 
    266 F.3d 1
    , 11 (1st Cir.
    2001) (listing exceptions).
    Hudson offers no new or previously unaddressed reason to
    deviate from our prior holdings on the issue.             He argues only that
    the Supreme Court's decision in United States v. Rodriguez, 
    553 U.S. 377
    (2008), represents a shift in authority that requires us
    to revisit Moore.        This argument is not a novel one; we have
    already    held   that   there   is   "nothing      in   the   Supreme   Court's
    intervening decision in United States v. Rodriguez to require us
    to revisit" our holding in Moore.             United States v. Weekes, 
    611 F.3d 68
    , 72 (1st Cir. 2010) (citation omitted).                 Accordingly, a
    Massachusetts conviction for possession with intent to distribute
    a class B substance continues to qualify as a "serious drug
    offense" under the ACCA.
    - 7 -
    B.   Assault with a Dangerous Weapon
    The government maintains that Hudson's prior felony
    conviction for Assault with a Dangerous Weapon, Mass. Gen. Laws
    ch. 265, § 15B(b), also qualifies as a predicate "violent felony"
    under the ACCA.        See 18 U.S.C. § 924(e)(2)(B).                 Although the
    ACCA's residual clause is no longer effective, the government
    argues that a Massachusetts ADW conviction fits within the ACCA's
    "force clause" (also referred to as the "elements clause").
    The force clause requires that a qualifying conviction
    stem from a crime punishable by more than one year in prison "that
    has as an element the use, attempted use, or threatened use of
    physical force against the person of another."                 
    Id. The Supreme
    Court defines the phrase "physical force" within the context of
    the force clause to "mean[s] violent force - that is, force capable
    of causing physical pain or injury to another person."                     Johnson
    v. United States (Johnson I), 
    559 U.S. 133
    , 140 (2010).
    In    determining     whether    a    prior       state    conviction
    qualifies   as    a   violent    felony   under   the    ACCA,   we    apply   the
    "categorical approach, looking only to the statutory definitions
    of the prior offenses, and not to the particular facts underlying
    those convictions."       Taylor v. United States, 
    495 U.S. 575
    , 600
    (1990).      We   thus    "may    consider    only      the    offense's     legal
    definition, foregoing any inquiry into how the defendant may have
    - 8 -
    committed the offense."      
    Holloway, 630 F.3d at 256
    (citing Begay
    v. United States, 
    553 U.S. 137
    , 141 (2008)).6
    Massachusetts law provides that "[w]hoever, by means of
    a dangerous weapon, commits an assault upon another shall be
    punished . . . ."      Mass. Gen. Laws ch. 265, § 15B(b).    And we have
    held that a Massachusetts ADW conviction qualifies as a predicate
    offense under the force clause of the ACCA.      See United States v.
    Am, 
    564 F.3d 25
    , 33-34 (1st Cir. 2009).     As noted earlier, however,
    intervening authority, such as a Supreme Court decision, can
    undermine   a   once   well-settled   holding.   Hudson     argues   that
    intervening authority renders Am unpersuasive and urges us to
    undertake a new categorical analysis.       He suggests two separate
    reasons why his ADW conviction now falls outside the bounds of the
    force clause: 1) because the statute lacks the necessary element
    of "physical force," and 2) because the statute fails to require
    a sufficient mens rea.
    Hudson first argues that, because a Massachusetts ADW
    constitutes an attempted or threatened battery, and because in
    Massachusetts a battery can be committed with a "mere touching,
    6 The government does not suggest that the statute of
    conviction is divisible, see Descamps v. United States, ___ U.S.
    ___, 
    133 S. Ct. 2276
    , 2281, 2293 (2013), and consequently that
    there is any need to examine so-called Shepard documents, see
    Shepard v. United States, 
    544 U.S. 13
    , 26 (2005). Accordingly,
    Hudson's claim will rise or fall on a categorical inquiry, rather
    than on the modified categorical approach.
    - 9 -
    however slight," United States v. Fish, 
    758 F.3d 1
    , 9 (1st Cir.
    2014)    (internal    citation   and   quotation   marks   omitted),   ADW
    necessarily lacks the requisite level of physical force.               The
    argument thus identifies the combination of the Supreme Court's
    decision in Johnson I (violent force required) and our observation
    in Fish that battery may be accomplished by mere touching as
    abrogating Am.       We have already directly addressed and rejected
    this same argument.       See United States v. Whindleton, 
    797 F.3d 105
    , 115-16 (1st Cir. 2015) (holding that "ADW can be a violent
    felony under the [f]orce [c]lause, even if simple assault is not,
    by virtue of the additional dangerous-weapon element.").
    The same law of the circuit principles that guide our
    analysis with respect to the drug conviction apply equally to this
    claim.    Hudson points to no post-Whindleton authority that would
    require us to revisit our prior holding, and we see no good reason
    to do so.    Thus, we reaffirm that a Massachusetts ADW conviction
    meets the physical force requirement under the force clause of the
    ACCA.
    Hudson's second theory, which also relies on Fish, is
    that his ADW conviction does not qualify as a predicate offense
    because the Massachusetts ADW statute does not require a sufficient
    mens rea.   In Fish, we held that a prior Massachusetts conviction
    for assault and battery with a dangerous weapon ("ABDW"), see Mass.
    Gen. Laws ch. 265, § 15A(b), did not qualify as a "crime of
    - 10 -
    violence" as defined in 18 U.S.C. § 16(b).      
    See 758 F.3d at 17
    .
    Fish's analysis applied the principles first espoused by the
    Supreme Court in Leocal v. Ashcroft, 
    543 U.S. 1
    , 9-10 (2004),
    wherein the Court held that "use" as contained within a similarly
    worded federal statute7 requires "active employment" and thus does
    not encompass crimes that may be committed       with a mens rea of
    negligence or less.    Fish determined that, because a Massachusetts
    ABDW can be committed with "the intentional commission of a
    reckless act" it "falls short of the mens rea required" for use of
    physical 
    force. 758 F.3d at 16
    .      Reasoning from Leocal, the
    majority in Fish observed that "sister circuits have concluded .
    . . that section 16(b) does not reach recklessness offenses," and
    "[o]n the force of Leocal's logic, we hold the same."         
    Id. at 9-10.
       Hudson seeks to apply Fish's mens rea analysis to disqualify
    his ADW conviction.
    In Whindleton we left open the question of whether, in
    light of Fish, "ADW fails to qualify as a violent felony under the
    ACCA because it lacks any requirement that the use or threat be
    intentional."    
    Whindleton, 797 F.3d at 116
    n.12.   We now conclude
    that under Massachusetts decisional law an ADW conviction requires
    7 Fish and Leocal dealt with the interpretation of 18 U.S.C.
    § 16. The Supreme Court has noted that section 16 is "very similar
    to § 924(e)(2)(B)(i)." Johnson 
    I, 559 U.S. at 140
    . To the extent
    that Hudson relies on a section 16 analysis to inform his ACCA
    claim, we assume without deciding that a similar bridge can be
    built between the mens rea requirements of the two sections.
    - 11 -
    that       the   use   or   threat     of   physical   force   be   intentional.
    Commonwealth v. Porro, 
    939 N.E.2d 1157
    , 1163-64 (Mass. 2010).
    Thus, we hold that a conviction under Mass. Gen. Laws ch. 265,
    § 15B(b) includes a mens rea requirement sufficient to qualify the
    conviction as a predicate under the ACCA's force clause.8
    The Massachusetts cases observe that "an assault may be
    perpetrated in either of two ways[:]             the crime may consist of 'an
    attempted        battery'   or   'an    immediately    threatened    battery.'"
    Commonwealth v. Melton, 
    763 N.E.2d 1092
    , 1096 (Mass. 2002) (quoting
    Commonwealth v. Gorassi, 
    733 N.E.2d 106
    (Mass. 2000)).                      For
    convictions under either theory, proof of specific intent is
    required.         See e.g., Commonwealth v. Musgrave, 
    649 N.E.2d 784
    ,
    787-88 (Mass. App. Ct. 1995) aff'd 
    659 N.E.2d 284
    (Mass. 1996).
    8
    Hudson's claim that ADW lacks a sufficient mens rea
    requirement to qualify as a predicate offense is grounded in his
    assertion that ADW is a general intent crime in Massachusetts.
    That conclusion is based on a mistaken interpretation of dicta
    contained within our decision in Am. At one point, Am refers to
    ADW as a "general intent" crime, accompanied by a citation to
    Commonwealth v. Ford, 
    677 N.E.3d 1149
    , 1151 (Mass. 1997). See 
    Am, 564 F.3d at 34
    .    Ford, however, dealt not with ADW, but with
    assault and battery by means of a dangerous weapon, ABDW.     See
    
    Ford, 677 N.E.3d at 1151
    . To accept Hudson's reading of Am would
    be to ignore our reasoning in that case accompanying the "general
    intent" label. See 
    Am, 564 F.3d at 33-34
    . Although ABDW may be
    committed recklessly, we made clear in Am that ADW cannot be,
    holding that "because the state . . . had to show Am acted
    intentionally, his conviction for [ADW] thus constituted a 'crime
    of violence' for purposes of career offender status." 
    Id. at 34
    (emphasis added); cf. Commonwealth v. Jones, 
    383 N.E.2d 527
    , 533
    n.8 (Mass. 1978) (holding that "assault and battery by means of a
    dangerous weapon is a crime requiring general intent." (citing
    Commonwealth v. Randall, 
    4 Gray 36
    , 38-39 (Mass. 1855))).
    - 12 -
    Under the threatened battery variant, "conviction of
    assault by means of a dangerous weapon requires proof of an overt
    act undertaken with the intention of putting another person in
    fear of bodily harm and reasonably calculated to do so, whether or
    not   the   defendant    actually     intended     to    harm    the    victim."
    Commonwealth v. Domingue, 
    470 N.E.2d 799
    , 802 (Mass. App. Ct.
    1984).      Thus,   in   order   to   meet   its   burden       at   trial,   the
    Commonwealth must show that "the defendant intended to place the
    victim in fear of an imminent battery" with a dangerous weapon.
    
    Porro, 939 N.E.2d at 1163
    .       This intent requirement fits squarely
    within the ACCA's definition of "threatened use" of physical force
    as contemplated in 18 U.S.C. § 924(e)(2)(B)(i).
    Similarly, "[u]nder the attempted battery theory, the
    Commonwealth must prove that the defendant intended to commit a
    battery, took some overt step toward accomplishing that intended
    battery, and came reasonably close to doing so."                     
    Melton, 763 N.E.2d at 1096
    .      It follows that "[a] defendant must intend a
    battery to be guilty under the attempted battery theory."                 
    Porro, 939 N.E.2d at 1163
    .      Thus, a conviction for ADW under this variant
    necessarily entails the "attempted use . . . of physical force" as
    required by 18 U.S.C. § 924(e)(2)(B)(i).
    The cases also make clear that a mens rea of recklessness
    is not enough to support an ADW conviction.             ADW requires specific
    intent, because "the central aspect of an assault is an attempted
    - 13 -
    application of physical force or a threat of the use of physical
    force, either by an attempt to do bodily harm, or by placing the
    victim in fear of imminent bodily harm."                   
    Gorassi, 733 N.E.2d at 110
    .     This framework, coupled with the "additional dangerous-
    weapon     element,"      
    Whindleton, 797 F.3d at 115
    ,    places      a
    Massachusetts       ADW     conviction        within       the     language      of    §
    924(e)(2)(B)(i).          Accordingly, a Massachusetts ADW conviction
    meets both the physical force and mens rea requirements necessary
    to qualify as a predicate offense under the ACCA's force clause.
    C.     Sentencing Guidelines Calculation
    The district court sentenced Hudson to an incarcerative
    term of 216 months, within an advisory GSR of 188-235 months.                         As
    previously discussed, however, after the sentencing in this case
    was    concluded,     the   Supreme     Court      decided       Johnson   II.        The
    government concedes that Johnson II's invalidation of the ACCA's
    residual     clause       renders     erroneous      the     sentencing       court's
    calculation of the applicable sentencing range.                        Despite this
    concession, the government maintains that the sentence should
    nevertheless be affirmed.
    First, the government accepts that Johnson II's holding
    that the ACCA's residual clause is unconstitutionally "vague in
    all its 
    applications," 135 S. Ct. at 2561
    , invalidates the district
    court's    application       of     United    States       Sentencing      Guidelines
    ("USSG") §4B1.4(b)(3)(A) to set a Base Offense Level (BOL) of 34.
    - 14 -
    That section of the armed career criminal guideline requires a
    finding that a defendant "used or possessed the . . . ammunition
    in connection with . . . a crime of violence." In turn, the
    definition of "crime of violence" applicable to the sentencing in
    this case is found in USSG §4B1.2(a)(2), the residual clause of
    the career offender guideline.9     As that definition of "crime of
    violence" is the same as in the ACCA, the government acknowledges
    that it is invalid after Johnson II.      See, e.g., United States v.
    Winter, 
    22 F.3d 15
    , 18 n.3 (1st Cir. 1994) (noting "substantial
    similarity" between the ACCA and §4B1.2 and that "interpreting one
    phrase frequently is found to be persuasive in interpreting the
    other phrase").     The government and Hudson agree that, instead,
    the armed career criminal guideline's default offense level should
    be applied in this case. See USSG §4B1.4(b)(3)(B).          The parties
    agree that the appropriate BOL is therefore 33, and, after a
    reduction for acceptance of responsibility, Hudson's total offense
    level (TOL) should be 30, rather than the 31 that was assigned at
    sentencing.
    Second,    the   government    says   that   Johnson   II   also
    operates to invalidate Hudson's placement in Criminal History
    Category (CHC) VI, again because that determination relied upon
    the career offender guideline's definition of crime of violence.
    9 The government expressly eschews reliance on the career
    offender guideline's force clause, §4B1.2(a)(1).
    - 15 -
    See 
    id. §4B1.4(c)(2). The
    parties agree that CHC V is appropriate,
    and that combining the correct TOL of 30 with CHC V yields a proper
    GSR calculation of 151-188 months' imprisonment rather than the
    GSR of 188-235 months calculated at sentencing.      For purposes of
    this appeal, we accept the government's concessions, but after
    accepting them we vacate and remand for resentencing.
    Hudson did not object to the guidelines calculations at
    sentencing, so we review for plain error.     See e.g., United States
    v. Duarte, 
    246 F.3d 56
    , 60 (1st Cir. 2001).    Having conceded error,
    see United States v. Paneto, 
    661 F.3d 709
    , 715 (1st Cir. 2011)(a
    sentencing court "is obligated to calculate the GSR correctly"),
    the government argues only that Hudson's substantial rights have
    not been affected.10
    In a sentencing appeal under plain error review, to show
    that an error affected his substantial rights, a defendant must
    demonstrate "a reasonable likelihood 'that, but for the error, the
    district court would have imposed a different, more favorable
    sentence.'"   United States v. Ortiz, 
    741 F.3d 288
    , 293-94 (1st
    Cir. 2014) (quoting United States v. Turbides-Leonardo, 
    468 F.3d 10
    Ordinarily, to benefit from plain error review, an
    appellant must establish that "(1) an error occurred which was (2)
    clear or obvious and which not only (3) affected his substantial
    right but also (4) seriously impaired the fairness, integrity, or
    public reputation of the judicial proceedings." United States v.
    Savarese, 
    686 F.3d 1
    , 12 (1st Cir. 2012).
    - 16 -
    34, 39 (1st Cir. 2006)).         Relevant to Hudson's claim, the Supreme
    Court has observed recently that "[w]hen a defendant is sentenced
    under    an     incorrect    guidelines    range   --    whether    or    not   the
    defendant's ultimate sentence falls within the correct range --
    the error itself can, and most often will, be sufficient to show
    a reasonable probability of a different outcome absent the error."
    Molina-Martinez v. United States, ___ U.S. ___, 
    136 S. Ct. 1338
    ,
    1345 (2016); see also 
    Ortiz, 741 F.3d at 294
    (noting that "a
    calculation error that artificially increases the GSR is unlikely
    to be harmless").           Our approach has been to attempt to discern
    whether there exists "a 'clear statement by the [sentencing] court'
    that    would    be   sufficient     to   'diminish     the   potential    of   the
    [Guideline Sentencing Range] to influence the sentence actually
    imposed.'"       United States v. Marchena-Silvestre, 
    802 F.3d 196
    , 201
    (1st Cir. 2015) (quoting 
    Ortiz, 741 F.3d at 294
    ).                If such a clear
    statement exists, then we may affirm the sentence.                  See Molina-
    
    Martinez, 136 S. Ct. at 1346-47
    .
    In announcing the sentence, the district judge described
    Hudson's      crime   as    "quite   serious"   and     stated   that    "[f]iring
    multiple rounds of ammunition at point-blank range at any person
    is absolutely outrageous."           The court observed that "[t]his is not
    a situation in which you simply were found to be in possession of
    ammunition or in possession of a firearm as a felon."                    Moreover,
    the court made repeated references to Hudson's extensive criminal
    - 17 -
    history and the need to keep the community safe.            And finally,
    when   addressing   Hudson's   request    for    a   variance   below   the
    guidelines range, the court stated:
    I see no basis to vary from the [GSR] in this
    case, certainly [none] to vary underneath the
    guidelines in this case, and considering
    [Hudson's] personal circumstances and the
    nature and circumstances of this particular
    offense, I conclude that a sentence of about
    the middle [of] that range is appropriate.
    These observations, though appropriately severe, do not
    suggest to us that the court intended to untether Hudson's sentence
    from the GSR that had been calculated.        On the contrary, it appears
    that the sentencing court may well have "used the GSR as an
    anchoring point" to reach its 216-month sentence.         
    Ortiz, 741 F.3d at 294
    .   While the court viewed Hudson's conduct as reprehensible
    and noted his extensive criminal history, it nonetheless chose a
    sentence well within the incorrectly calculated GSR.
    Finding no clear contrary expression in the record, the
    "district court's evident intent to sentence" Hudson to a within-
    guidelines sentence is an insufficient basis to "demonstrate that
    the    district   court's   failure"     to   calculate   correctly     the
    "sentencing range did not affect the sentence it imposed."         United
    States v. Tavares, 
    705 F.3d 4
    , 27-28 (1st Cir. 2013).              With a
    correctly calculated GSR "there is at least a reasonable likelihood
    that the [district court] would have landed on" a shorter sentence,
    and "[n]othing in this record provides any indication clear enough
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    to overbear the probative force of this logical presumption."
    
    Marchena-Silvestre, 802 F.3d at 202
    .
    IV. Conclusion
    Hudson's convictions for possession with intent to
    distribute    and   assault   with   a   dangerous   weapon    qualify   as
    predicates under the Armed Career Criminal Act, but we vacate his
    guidelines sentence for the reasons stated above.             Accordingly,
    the judgment of the district court is affirmed in part, vacated in
    part, and remanded for resentencing consistent with this opinion.
    So ordered.
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