Garcia-Gonzalez v. Puig-Morales ( 2014 )


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  •           United States Court of Appeals
    For the First Circuit
    No. 12-2357
    MANUEL A. GARCÍA-GONZÁLEZ,
    Plaintiff, Appellant,
    v.
    JUAN C. PUIG-MORALES,
    Defendant, Appellee,
    RAMÓN L. CRUZ-COLÓN,
    Defendant.
    APPEAL FROM THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF PUERTO RICO
    [Hon. Daniel R. Domínguez, U.S. District Judge]
    Before
    Torruella, Lipez, and Kayatta,
    Circuit Judges.
    Jorge Martínez-Luciano, with whom Pedro E. Ortiz-Álvarez and
    Pedro E. Ortiz-Álvarez, LLC, were on brief for appellant.
    Michelle   Camacho-Nieves,   Assistant  Solicitor    General,
    Department of Justice, with whom Margarita Mercado-Echegaray,
    Solicitor General, were on brief for appellee Puig-Morales.
    August 1, 2014
    TORRUELLA, Circuit Judge. This case involves due process
    and political discrimination claims related to the procurement of
    public contracts by independent contractors.   Plaintiff-Appellant
    Manuel A. García-González ("García") alleges First and Fourteenth
    Amendment violations and seeks compensatory and punitive damages
    under 42 U.S.C. § 1983 over the rescission of a bid award for a
    potential, but unexecuted, insurance brokerage contract with the
    Puerto Rico government (the "Commonwealth" or the "government").
    Defendant-Appellee Juan C. Puig-Morales ("Puig") was Puerto Rico's
    Secretary of the Treasury at the time of these events.
    The district court granted summary judgment in favor of
    Puig on García's Fourteenth Amendment claim, holding that García
    had no constitutionally protected property interest in the initial
    bid award.   Subsequently, the district court also granted Puig's
    motion for summary judgment on García's First Amendment claim.
    For the reasons set forth below, we affirm the district
    court's grant of summary judgment on García's Fourteenth Amendment
    due process claim, and we reverse the grant of summary judgment on
    his First Amendment claim for political discrimination.   We remand
    that claim for further proceedings consistent with this opinion.
    I.   Background
    A.   Factual Background
    Over an eight-year period, from April 28, 2001, through
    May 30, 2009, García, a licensed insurance broker, held annual
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    contracts with the Puerto Rico Department of the Treasury (the
    "Treasury") for the acquisition of insurance policies for various
    government agencies.       García received sizable commissions for
    brokering these insurance contracts.
    On October 1, 2008, García entered into a one-year
    professional    services   contract    with    the   Treasury        to   acquire
    insurance    policies   for   the   Commonwealth's          Public    Buildings
    Authority, the Americas Port Authority, the Administration of
    General Services, and the "Portal del Futuro" Public Corporation.
    Pursuant to the agreement signed by García and the Treasury, the
    professional services contract could be terminated by either party
    upon thirty days' written notice.
    García   self-identifies      as   a   member    of   the     Popular
    Democratic Party ("PDP"). For all but the final five months of the
    eight-year period during which García held contracts with the
    Treasury, the executive branch of the Puerto Rico government was
    controlled by governors from the PDP.
    On November 4, 2008, however, the incumbent PDP governor
    lost a general election to Luis Fortuño, a gubernatorial candidate
    from the opposing New Progressive Party ("NPP").             Governor Fortuño
    and his Treasury Secretary, Puig, were both sworn into their new
    offices on January 2, 2009.
    Less than three months later, in a letter dated March 20,
    2009, Puig notified García that his existing brokerage contract --
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    which was scheduled to expire on September 30, 2009 -- would
    instead be terminated early, with an effective end date of May 30,
    2009.      The letter further announced that Puig's office would
    receive new proposals for insurance brokerage contracts between
    March 25, 2009, and April 17, 2009.           On March 26, 2009, the
    Treasury published a Request for Proposals ("RFP") regarding the
    provision of professional services for the acquisition of insurance
    policies. The RFP document contained the terms and conditions that
    were to govern the adjudication proceedings for selecting insurance
    brokers.    The RFP provided, among other things, that:
    (1) "[t]he Secretary [of the Treasury] fully reserves the
    right to revise this RFP, in part or whole";
    (2) the Treasury's Agency for Public Insurance ("API")
    "reserves the absolute right to reject any or all proposals
    submitted and to limit selections to a determined number of all the
    best qualified Producer[s] deemed sufficient to handle the amount
    of work involved";
    (3) "[a]s part of the process," API "will evaluate prior
    perform[ance]    of   the   Producer,   if   any,   as   well   as   their
    qualifications and experience reflected on their proposals";
    (4) the government "will not be liable in any way
    whatsoever for any costs or expenses incurred by any person in the
    preparation of proposals in response to this RFP, nor for the
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    presentation    of    its     proposal     and/or   participation   in   any
    discussions or negotiations";
    (5) the selection of contractors "shall be final, except
    for the right of the Secretary and API to terminate any designation
    for reasonable cause";
    (6) selected providers will be informed "about their
    selection and what next steps are to be taken in relation to such
    selection";
    (7) "[a]fter the evaluation takes place and the Secretary
    makes the corresponding decisions, the selected proposals will be
    subject   to   the   normal    Government's     procedural   approvals   for
    professional services contracts";
    (8) "[t]he Producer will be compensated with commissions
    as stated on the Professional Services Contract"; and
    (9) "API retains the right to terminate any contracted
    Producer at any time due to unacceptable performance."
    García submitted his proposal on April 15, 2009, within
    the deadline prescribed by the RFP.          His proposal was received by
    API on April 17, 2009.         On May 15, 2009, the Treasury issued an
    "Adjudication Notification" letter to García.          The letter informed
    him that his proposal was "favorably considered" by the evaluating
    board to "continue the process of finalizing the contract," before
    he could ultimately sign a professional services contract for the
    procurement of insurance policies.          The accounts contemplated for
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    García's putative contract were for the purchase of insurance
    policies for the following governmental instrumentalities: (a) the
    Corrections Administration, (b) the Administration of Juvenile
    Institutions, (c) the Department of Education, and (d) the Puerto
    Rico Technological Institute. These policies accounted for a total
    of $7,881,350 in estimated insurance premiums, and García asserts
    that the brokerage contract would have yielded him approximately
    $450,000 in commissions.   The Adjudication Notification requested
    that García sign and return it; it further outlined the subsequent
    steps for the ultimate execution of a final professional services
    contract between the parties.
    García proceeded to sign the Adjudication Notification,
    accepting all of the adjudicated accounts.     On May 18, 2009, the
    Treasury received García's timely acceptance of the adjudication,
    along with the corresponding documents required prior to the
    execution of the brokerage contract, pursuant to the specifications
    of the Adjudication Notification.     A final contract, however, was
    not executed by the parties.
    On May 28, 2009, García received a Treasury letter
    rescinding the Adjudication Notification, explaining that "[t]he
    processes carried out produced countless errors in issuing [his]
    letter, as well as other letters that were also issued."         The
    letter also stated that García would soon receive a corrected
    adjudication letter, or that he would be notified of a new date for
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    the distribution of corrected letters.                     No further details were
    provided regarding the nature of the "countless errors" or whether
    there     were     procedures    available       to       contest   the   Treasury's
    determinations.
    García never received a corrected adjudication letter.
    Instead,    García       was   presented    with      a    contract   for     accounts
    different from those that he had been originally awarded.                       These
    new accounts represented significantly lower insurance policy
    premiums, and correspondingly, much lower commissions.                      Under the
    proposed new contract, García's expected commissions were around
    $15,000 -- between approximately three and four percent of the
    expected commissions for the accounts in his original award.
    García refused to sign the contract.
    B.    Procedural History
    On     May   26,   2010,   García      filed      a   complaint    against
    Treasury Secretary Puig and Ramón L. Cruz-Colón ("Cruz"), who was
    then serving as the Insurance Commissioner.                   The complaint sought
    declaratory and injunctive relief pursuant to 42 U.S.C. § 1983 for
    alleged    political      discrimination        and    due    process     violations.
    García also sought compensatory damages under Puerto Rico law.
    On February 9, 2011, García filed a motion for partial
    summary judgment in connection with his due process claim, alleging
    that he had "a legitimate claim of entitlement to the signing of
    the     relevant     contracts"     and    that       he     "was   entitled    to   a
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    pre-deprivation proceeding before [Puig] materially changed the
    terms of the adjudication."
    Puig,   in   turn,   opposed     García's   motion    for   partial
    summary   judgment    on   April   1,    2011,   claiming   that    government
    agencies may revoke the award of a contract at any time prior to
    its execution. Puig further claimed that García's expectations did
    not amount to a vested property interest in the signing of the
    brokerage contract, and that the Parratt-Hudson doctrine barred
    relief under the Due Process Clause because García could have
    availed himself of an adequate post-deprivation remedy, but failed
    to do so.1    In his opposition to summary judgment, Puig requested
    the dismissal of García's due process claim.
    On June 30, 2011, García filed a notice voluntarily
    dismissing all claims against Cruz and requesting that those claims
    be dismissed with prejudice.
    On September 29, 2011, the district court denied García's
    Motion for Partial Summary Judgment and granted summary judgment in
    favor of Puig on García's Fourteenth Amendment claim. The district
    1
    The Parratt-Hudson doctrine establishes that "a deprivation of
    a constitutionally protected property interest caused by a state
    employee's random, unauthorized conduct does not give rise to a
    § 1983 procedural due process claim, unless the State fails to
    provide an adequate postdeprivation remedy." Zinermon v. Burch,
    
    494 U.S. 113
    , 115 (1990) (citing Hudson v. Palmer, 
    468 U.S. 517
    (1984), and Parratt v. Taylor, 
    451 U.S. 527
    (1981), overruled in
    part on other grounds by Daniels v. Williams, 
    474 U.S. 327
    (1986));
    see also San Gerónimo Caribe Project, Inc. v. Acevedo-Vilá, 
    687 F.3d 465
    , 478-81 (1st Cir. 2012) (outlining the Parratt-Hudson
    doctrine).
    -8-
    court further gave Puig sixty days to file a dispositive motion as
    to García's First Amendment claim.          On September 30, 2011, García
    filed a motion for reconsideration, which Puig opposed.                  On
    December 2, 2011, Puig filed a motion for summary judgment as to
    García's First Amendment claim.
    On September 27, 2012, the district court denied García's
    motion for reconsideration and granted Puig's motion for summary
    judgment   on   the    First   Amendment    claim.   The   district   court
    dismissed García's federal causes of action with prejudice and
    dismissed his claims under Puerto Rico law without prejudice. This
    appeal followed.
    II.   Discussion
    We review a district court's grant of summary judgment de
    novo, crediting the evidence favorable to the nonmoving party and
    drawing all reasonable inferences in favor of the nonmovant.           See,
    e.g., Eastman Kodak Co. v. Image Technical Servs., Inc., 
    504 U.S. 451
    , 456 (1992); Shafmaster v. United States, 
    707 F.3d 130
    , 135
    (1st Cir. 2013).      Summary judgment shall be granted if "the movant
    shows that there is no genuine dispute as to any material fact and
    the movant is entitled to judgment as a matter of law."           Fed. R.
    Civ. P. 56(a).        "A fact is material if it carries with it the
    potential to affect the outcome of the suit under the applicable
    law."   Newman v. Advanced Tech. Innovation Corp., 
    749 F.3d 33
    , 36
    -9-
    (1st Cir. 2014) (quoting One Nat'l Bank v. Antonellis, 
    80 F.3d 606
    ,
    608 (1st Cir. 1996)).
    A genuine issue of material fact "must be built on a
    solid foundation -- a foundation constructed from materials of
    evidentiary quality."         Nieves-Romero v. United States, 
    715 F.3d 375
    ,    378   (1st    Cir.   2013).       "'[C]onclusory      allegations,      empty
    rhetoric,     unsupported     speculation,         or    evidence     which,   in   the
    aggregate, is less than significantly probative' will not suffice
    to ward off a properly supported summary judgment motion."                          
    Id. (alteration in
    original) (quoting Rogan v. City of Bos., 
    267 F.3d 24
    , 27 (1st Cir. 2001)).
    A party may assert that a fact can, or cannot, be
    genuinely disputed by citing to the presence or absence of facts
    found    in    "materials     in    the       record,     including     depositions,
    documents,      electronically      stored         information,       affidavits     or
    declarations,        stipulations     .   .    .   ,    admissions,    interrogatory
    answers, or other materials."             Fed. R. Civ. P. 56(c)(1).            When an
    affidavit or declaration is used for these purposes, it "must be
    made on personal knowledge, set out facts that would be admissible
    in evidence, and show that the affiant or declarant is competent to
    testify on the matters stated."               
    Id. 56(c)(4). Relatedly,
    a party
    may object that the material cited "cannot be presented in a form
    that would be admissible in evidence," 
    id. 56(c)(2), and
    "[a]
    witness may testify to a matter only if evidence is introduced
    -10-
    sufficient to support a finding that the witness has personal
    knowledge of the matter," Fed. R. Evid. 602.
    Here, García seeks compensatory and punitive damages
    under 42 U.S.C. § 1983 for alleged constitutional violations under
    the First and Fourteenth Amendments.             Section 1983 establishes a
    civil cause of action for the deprivation of constitutional rights.
    See 42 U.S.C. § 1983.         In order to prevail on a § 1983 claim, a
    plaintiff must demonstrate: "(i) that the conduct complained of has
    been committed under color of state law, and (ii) that the alleged
    conduct worked a denial of rights secured by the Constitution or
    laws of the United States."            Cepero-Rivera v. Fagundo, 
    414 F.3d 124
    ,      129     (1st     Cir.    2005)      (quoting       Romero–Barceló     v.
    Hernández–Agosto, 
    75 F.3d 23
    , 32 (1st Cir. 1996)).                  There must be
    a causal connection between the defendant's conduct and the alleged
    deprivation:       "only   those   individuals    who    participated     in   the
    conduct that deprived the plaintiff of his rights can be held
    liable."    
    Id. We begin
    with García's due process claim under the
    Fourteenth Amendment and then turn to his political discrimination
    claim under the First Amendment.
    A.   García's Due Process Claim
    García argues that the Adjudication Notification letter
    "created a legitimate expectancy" that he "would be engaged to
    provide     insurance      brokerage       services     to    the   government."
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    Therefore, in his view, he "was entitled to some type of hearing
    prior to being deprived of the adjudication to which he was
    selected."
    García concedes that, as a general matter, a contractual
    relationship -- without more -- does not create a constitutionally
    protected property interest that can give rise to damages under
    § 1983. Yet he nonetheless argues that a letter merely offering to
    begin negotiations to establish a contractual relationship does, in
    fact, establish such a protected interest.             As further explained
    below, based on clear precedent, we reject this illogical argument.
    1.    Procedural Due Process
    The   Due   Process   Clause   of   the   Fourteenth   Amendment
    provides that no state shall "deprive any person of life, liberty,
    or property, without due process of law."          U.S. Const. amend. XIV,
    § 1.   Accordingly, "certain substantive rights -- life, liberty,
    and    property     --    cannot   be   deprived       except   pursuant   to
    constitutionally adequate procedures."           Cleveland Bd. of Educ. v.
    Loudermill, 
    470 U.S. 532
    , 541 (1985). "'[T]he root requirement' of
    the Due Process Clause" is that an individual must be provided
    notice and an opportunity to be heard prior to being "'deprived of
    any significant property interest.'" 
    Id. at 542
    (quoting Boddie v.
    Connecticut, 
    401 U.S. 371
    , 379 (1971)).
    In evaluating a procedural due process claim under the
    Fourteenth Amendment, we must determine "whether [the plaintiff]
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    was deprived of a protected interest, and, if so, what process was
    his due."    Logan v. Zimmerman Brush Co., 
    455 U.S. 422
    , 428 (1982).
    Accordingly, "[t]o establish a procedural due process violation,
    the plaintiff 'must identify a protected liberty or property
    interest and allege that the defendants, acting under color of
    state law, deprived [him] of that interest without constitutionally
    adequate process.'"          González-Droz v. González-Colón, 
    660 F.3d 1
    ,
    13 (1st Cir. 2011) (second alteration in original) (quoting Aponte-
    Torres v. Univ. of P.R., 
    445 F.3d 50
    , 56 (1st Cir. 2006)); see also
    Rocket Learning, Inc. v. Rivera-Sánchez, 
    715 F.3d 1
    , 11 (1st Cir.
    2013)   ("To      establish        a    procedural      due   process     violation,    a
    plaintiff must show that (1) it was deprived of a protected
    property    interest,        and       (2)    the    procedures   attendant    to    that
    deprivation were constitutionally inadequate.").                          Therefore, if
    García has failed to establish that he had a protected property
    interest    in     the   rescinded           Adjudication     Notification,    his    due
    process claim must fail. See Redondo-Borges v. U.S. Dep't of Hous.
    & Urban Dev., 
    421 F.3d 1
    , 11 (1st Cir. 2005) ("Because the
    plaintiffs        identify     no       constitutionally          protected    property
    interest, it is unnecessary to delve any deeper into the section
    1983 inquiry.").
    2.    Property Interests and Bids for Government Contracts
    We have stated that, to demonstrate a constitutionally
    protected      property       interest,          a    plaintiff    must    identify    a
    -13-
    "legitimate claim of entitlement" to the property in question and
    must show more than an abstract need, desire, or unilateral
    expectation of that property.          
    Id. at 8
    (quoting Bd. of Regents of
    State Colls. v. Roth, 
    408 U.S. 564
    , 577 (1972)); see also 
    id. at 9
    ("[D]ashed hopes of receiving future government work, without more,
    cannot yield a constitutionally protected property interest.");
    Centro Médico del Turabo, Inc. v. Feliciano de Melecio, 
    406 F.3d 1
    ,
    8 (1st Cir. 2005) (same).          We have also made clear that "[a]ward
    procedures are not assigned to establish private entitlements to
    public contracts but to produce the best possible contracts for the
    government."     Smith & Wesson v. United States, 
    782 F.2d 1074
    , 1081
    (1st Cir. 1986).
    Additionally, we have repeatedly held that "a simple
    breach   of    contract     does   not   amount    to   an    unconstitutional
    deprivation of property," and that "the existence of a state
    contract, simpliciter, does not confer upon the contracting parties
    a constitutionally protected property interest."               
    Redondo-Borges, 421 F.3d at 10
    .        We have explained that this rule "makes eminently
    good   sense,"    as    "[t]o   hold   otherwise   would     run   the   risk   of
    transmogrifying virtually every dispute involving an alleged breach
    of contract by a state or a state agency into a constitutional
    case."   
    Id. In Redondo-Borges,
    we also held that the plaintiffs'
    interest in a revoked bid award did "not rise to the level of a
    constitutionally protected property interest." 
    Id. In so
    holding,
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    we cautioned that to reach the opposite result "would lead us down
    a slippery slope to an untenable result: the constitutionalization
    of all contract law in cases in which a state actor is a party."
    
    Id. at 11.
    While a government contract does not per se create a
    protected    property   interest,    there   may   be   certain   "special
    circumstances" that can justify an exception to this general rule.
    See 
    id. at 10.
       The Third Circuit, for example, has identified two
    types of contracts that can create protected property rights: (1)
    where the contract confers a protected status upon the plaintiff,
    or (2) where the contract provides that the government entity may
    only terminate the contract "for cause." Linan-Faye Constr. Co. v.
    Hous. Auth. of Camden, 
    49 F.3d 915
    , 932 (3d Cir. 1995), cited in
    
    Redondo-Borges, 421 F.3d at 10
    .
    Although the RFP is not a contract, García nevertheless
    hangs his hopes on this second exception.          He notes that the RFP
    specifies that once the insurance brokers were selected, such
    selections would only be set aside "for reasonable cause."          In his
    view, this "reasonable cause" language gave him a constitutionally
    protected property interest in the contracts for which he bid, and
    for which the Adjudication Notification stated that he had been
    "favorably considered."     García argues that "the RFP created a
    legitimate expectancy that, if selected, a proponent would be
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    engaged to provide insurance brokerage services to the government."
    We disagree.
    3.    The Relevant Documents
    Admittedly, the "Introduction" section of the RFP does
    state -- albeit in a subsection titled "Inquiries" -- that the
    selections of insurance brokers "shall be final, except for the
    right of the Secretary and API [the Agency for Public Insurance] to
    terminate any designation for reasonable cause."   However, the RFP
    also provides that Puig "fully reserves the right to revise this
    RFP, in part or whole." The RFP further states that the government
    "reserves the absolute right to reject any or all proposals
    submitted."    There is no express language temporally limiting this
    "absolute right" of rejection to the period prior to adjudication
    or selection.
    Moreover, the RFP makes clear that the initial selections
    of providers will then be subject to the government's "normal . . .
    procedural approvals" before the finalization of any contractual
    relationship.    Neither the RFP nor the Adjudication Notification
    makes any promise or guarantee regarding the outcome of this
    approval process.    In a subsection titled "Goals of the Program,"
    the RFP also states that "[t]he Secretary reserves the right to
    limit individual Producer participation in the program based on
    criteria such as its capacity to handle a particular amount of
    business, its number of qualified professional[s], the size of its
    -16-
    operation or any other valid criteria."               The foregoing language
    reinforces the government's significant discretion in the bidding
    and contracting process, such that provisionally successful bidders
    do not have a guaranteed right to profits from their putative
    contracts.
    The RFP's statement that the government retains the
    "absolute right" to reject any proposal -- together with the RFP's
    explanation    that   successful      bidders   are    required   to    provide
    additional documents, submit to contract approval processes, and
    engage in contract negotiations -- undermines García's argument
    that selected bidders have a "legitimate expectancy" of being
    "engaged to provide insurance brokerage services to the government"
    that is sufficient to engender constitutional protection.                    In a
    similar case, the Seventh Circuit held that under Illinois law, the
    express reservation of the right to reject any and all bids
    precludes a finding of a protected property interest.                   See Kim
    Constr. Co. v. Bd. of Trs. of Mundelein, 
    14 F.3d 1243
    , 1246 (7th
    Cir.   1994)   ("[W]hen   a   state    entity's   advertisement        for   bids
    contains explicit language reserving its right to reject any and
    all bids, no bidder can claim a constitutionally protected property
    interest in being awarded the contract.").              Similarly, following
    Supreme Court precedent, we have recognized that "a benefit is not
    a protected entitlement if government officials may grant or deny
    it in their discretion."      Clukey v. Town of Camden, 
    717 F.3d 52
    , 56
    -17-
    (1st Cir. 2013) (quoting Town of Castle Rock, Colo. v. Gonzales,
    
    545 U.S. 748
    , 756 (2005)) (internal quotation marks omitted).
    The language of the Adjudication Notification further
    weakens García's position.           To be sure, this letter does inform
    García that he had "been favorably considered."                  However, in the
    next paragraph, the letter also specifies that García or his
    representative must sign the letter "[i]n order to continue with
    [the] process of formalizing the contract."                The letter continues
    to describe additional procedures and requirements necessary before
    a contract could be executed between the parties.                 Nowhere in the
    Adjudication    Notification       is    there   any   suggestion        that    the
    government is obligated to execute and approve a final contract
    with García unless it has "reasonable cause" to cease negotiations
    or reject the contract.
    Read together, the RFP and the Adjudication Notification
    establish    that   García   was     not     granted   a    right   to    a     final
    professional services contract and its attendant commissions, but
    rather   was   provisionally       selected      merely     to   begin    contract
    negotiations and to take part in a standard approval process with
    multiple    requirements     prior      to   signing   a    contract     with    the
    government.    As García readily concedes, no such contract was ever
    executed.   Nor does García argue that the RFP and the Adjudication
    Notification established a contractual relationship -- such as a
    "contract to execute a contract" -- between him and the government.
    -18-
    Had    a   final     contract   been    executed,    García   further
    concedes that, under our precedent, he would not have a protected
    property interest in that contract.               Accepting this concession, we
    cannot see how the government's non-binding offer to begin contract
    negotiations and the "normal" contract-approval process granted
    García a constitutionally protected property interest.
    García's putative economic damages, he alleges, consist
    of lost commissions amounting to approximately $450,000.                           The
    Adjudication Notification specifies the accounts for which García
    was "favorably considered" and their corresponding premiums, but it
    does not provide any information regarding commissions for those
    accounts.      And the RFP clearly states that a broker's commissions
    are to be set by the final professional services contract.                    As no
    contract was executed, García's hoped-for commissions and profits
    were merely speculative. The language of the RFP also contemplates
    further "discussions or negotiations" between the parties prior to
    signing   a    contract.           For   these    reasons,   García's     "claim   of
    entitlement," 
    Roth, 408 U.S. at 577
    , to any profits or commissions
    would be stronger if a final professional services contract had
    been executed by the parties.               Given García's concession that he
    would   have    no       constitutionally        protected   entitlement    to     the
    commissions     under       such    a    contract,    it   would   defy   logic    to
    nonetheless embrace his argument that the Constitution protects his
    weaker claim to those commissions by means of a unilateral offer to
    -19-
    begin negotiations and a contract-approval process.              Cf. Jones v.
    City of Boston, 
    752 F.3d 38
    , 56 (1st Cir. 2014) (holding that a
    plaintiff was not entitled to due process because "[i]t is clear
    . . . that the [property] interest created by a conditional job
    offer can be no stronger than that created by an unconditional job
    offer, and that this interest in turn rises no higher than that
    possessed    by    someone   who   has     recently    begun    work   in   the
    position").2
    García's argument thus fails as a matter of logic.              As
    explained below, it also necessarily fails under governing Puerto
    Rico law.
    4.    Property Interests as Defined by Puerto Rico Law
    The   property   interests     protected    by     the   Fourteenth
    Amendment "are defined by state law."         Harron v. Town of Franklin,
    
    660 F.3d 531
    , 537 (1st Cir. 2011).           The Supreme Court of Puerto
    2
    In Jones, one plaintiff received a conditional job offer via a
    letter that read: "If you successfully pass the medical examination
    and hair drug testing components of the screening process, you will
    be tendered a final offer of employment." 
    Id. If the
    plaintiff
    had been hired, she would have been subject to "a six-month
    probationary period during which [she would] not have the
    protection from termination without just cause afforded to tenured
    employees." 
    Id. In Massachusetts,
    such a probationary employee
    with a job terminable with or without cause does not a have a
    protected property interest in continued employment.       
    Id. We reasoned
    that "even had [the plaintiff] begun to work, she would
    have had no cognizable property interest in continued employment
    during the entirety of her probationary period." 
    Id. Therefore, we
    concluded that "[a] fortiori, having not begun work, [the
    plaintiff] also had no cognizable property interest based on the
    job offer alone." 
    Id. -20- Rico
    has explicitly held that a Puerto Rico government "agency has
    the right to revoke the award of a contract at any time before the
    corresponding contract is entered into, since a contract is not
    binding on an agency until [the] formal contract containing all the
    legal requirements for the performance of the work is executed in
    writing." Cancel v. Municipio de San Juan, 
    101 P.R. Dec. 296
    , 300-
    01, 
    1 P.R. Offic. Trans. 416
    , 422 (1973) (quoting Justiniano v.
    Commonwealth, 
    100 P.R. Dec. 334
    (1971)); see also Rocket Learning,
    Inc. v. Rivera-Sánchez, 
    851 F. Supp. 2d 384
    , 395 (D.P.R. 2012),
    aff'd on other grounds, 
    715 F.3d 1
    (1st Cir. 2013) ("[U]nder Puerto
    Rico law, a bidder for a contract with the government does not
    acquire   a     property      interest   until   the     contract       has   been
    formalized.").
    García identifies no Puerto Rico law -- not a single case
    or statute -- demonstrating that the RFP and the Adjudication
    Notification gave him a protected property interest.                 Because the
    parties   here    did   not    execute   in   writing    a    "formal    contract
    containing all the legal requirements for the performance of the
    work," Puerto Rico law makes clear that García did not have a
    protected property interest in the Adjudication Notification.                 See
    
    Cancel, 1 P.R. Offic. Trans. at 422
    ; Rocket Learning, 
    851 F. Supp. 2d
    at 395.      Therefore, given his failure to establish that he had
    a   protected    property     interest   in   the   rescinded       Adjudication
    Notification,      García's     due   process    claim       must   fail.     See
    -21-
    
    Redondo-Borges, 421 F.3d at 10
    (recognizing that "[a] recurrent
    theme in this court's jurisprudence" supported a holding that the
    plaintiffs' interest in a rescinded bid award "d[id] not rise to
    the level of a constitutionally protected property interest"); 
    id. at 11
    (holding that the plaintiffs' § 1983 claim failed due to the
    lack of a constitutionally protected property interest).3
    B.    García's First Amendment Claim for Political Discrimination
    The second issue before us is whether there is a genuine
    issue of material fact precluding affirmance of summary judgment in
    favor of Puig as to his liability under 42 U.S.C. § 1983 for
    political discrimination against García. García alleges that Puig,
    Secretary of the Treasury in an NPP administration, rescinded his
    bid   award    because   of   García's   political   affiliation   with   an
    opposing political party, the PDP.         Based on the cumulative weight
    of the limited evidence put forth by García, we cannot say that
    there is no genuine issue of material fact on his First Amendment
    claim. Therefore, as further explained below, the grant of summary
    judgment in favor of Puig on this issue requires reversal.
    3
    Given our conclusion that García has failed to demonstrate a
    constitutionally protected property interest, we need not address
    Puig's argument that García's due process claim would be barred
    under the Parratt-Hudson doctrine based on Puig's assertion that
    Puerto Rico law provides adequate post-deprivation remedies. See,
    e.g., Gardner v. City of Balt. Mayor & City Council, 
    969 F.2d 63
    ,
    69 n.1 (4th Cir. 1992).
    -22-
    1.    Political Discrimination in Public Contracting
    "Section 1983 is the conventional vehicle through which
    relief is sought for claims of political discrimination by state
    actors." Rodríguez-Reyes v. Molina-Rodríguez, 
    711 F.3d 49
    , 54 (1st
    Cir. 2013).         "For this purpose, Puerto Rico is the functional
    equivalent of a state."        
    Id. "The right
    to associate with the political party of one's
    choice is an integral part of the basic constitutional freedom to
    associate with others for the common advancement of political
    beliefs and ideas protected by the First Amendment."              Carrasquillo
    v. Puerto Rico ex rel. Justice Dep't, 
    494 F.3d 1
    , 4 (1st Cir. 2007)
    (citing Kusper v. Pontikes, 
    414 U.S. 51
    , 56-57 (1973)).               The First
    Amendment therefore bars government officials from taking adverse
    employment action on the basis of a person's political affiliation,
    "unless political affiliation is an appropriate requirement for the
    position."        Méndez–Aponte v. Bonilla, 
    645 F.3d 60
    , 64 (1st Cir.
    2011)); see also Welch v. Ciampa, 
    542 F.3d 927
    , 938 (1st Cir.
    2008).4      The     Supreme   Court     has    held   that   First   Amendment
    protections also extend to independent contractors with preexisting
    commercial        relationships   with    the    government,    "where   [the]
    4
    Puig does not argue that the insurance broker independent
    contractor position sought by García is a policymaking position or
    a position for which "political affiliation is an appropriate
    requirement." See 
    Méndez–Aponte, 645 F.3d at 64
    ; see also Foote v.
    Town of Bedford, 
    642 F.3d 80
    , 83 (1st Cir. 2011). Thus, we need
    not consider whether this exception applies here.
    -23-
    government retaliates against a contractor, or a regular provider
    of services, for the exercise of rights of political association or
    the expression of political allegiance."       O'Hare Truck Serv., Inc.
    v. City of Northlake, 
    518 U.S. 712
    , 715 (1996); 
    id. at 726
    ("We
    decline to draw a line excluding independent contractors from the
    First Amendment safeguards of political association afforded to
    employees."); see also Bd. of Cnty. Comm'rs, Wabaunsee Cnty., Kan.
    v. Umbehr, 
    518 U.S. 668
    , 681-84 (1996) (expressing some skepticism
    of the practices of patronage and political bias in government
    contracting); 
    id. at 685
    (concluding that "independent contractors
    do enjoy some First Amendment protection").
    To date, we have not found it necessary to rule on
    whether such protections extend to first-time bidders or applicants
    for new government contracts.     See Centro 
    Médico, 406 F.3d at 9
    ;
    Prisma Zona Exploratoria de P.R., Inc. v. Calderón, 
    310 F.3d 1
    , 7
    (1st Cir. 2002); see also 
    Umbehr, 518 U.S. at 685
    ("Because
    Umbehr's suit concerns the termination of a pre-existing commercial
    relationship   with   the   government,   we   need   not   address   the
    possibility of suits by bidders or applicants for new government
    contracts who cannot rely on such a relationship."). Nor does this
    case present such an opportunity.
    Although García is protesting his failed bid for an
    unexecuted government contract, the record also shows that García
    held various annual contracts with the Treasury for several years
    -24-
    prior to 2008.       Indeed, the district court found that García had a
    pattern of annual contracting with the Treasury during the eight-
    year period beginning on April 28, 2001, and ending on May 30,
    2009. This period was interrupted only by a two-month gap in 2003.
    On that basis, the district court concluded that García had a
    preexisting commercial relationship with the Treasury.
    Furthermore,       it    is     undisputed     that    García      and    the
    Treasury entered into a one-year professional services contract on
    October 1, 2008 -- a contract which the department terminated
    immediately prior to the RFP and the Adjudication Notification at
    issue. In the written notice the Treasury sent to García informing
    him that his existing contract would be cancelled, the department
    also   specified     that   if     he    was     "interested     in   continuing     to
    participate     in    the   Program,"       he    could   apply       in   writing   by
    responding to the RFP.           Although previously we have "take[n] no
    view" on whether "the protections recognized in Umbehr . . . extend
    to unsolicited bids for new government contracts," Centro 
    Médico, 406 F.3d at 10
    (emphasis added), this case involves a request for
    proposals rather than an "unsolicited" bid for a new contract.                        In
    essence, García was solicited to reapply for an existing contract
    -- a contract similar to the annual contracts he held every year
    since 2001.
    We    therefore         find    that,      under      these     particular
    circumstances, García had a preexisting commercial relationship
    -25-
    with the Commonwealth and is thus subject to First Amendment
    protections against retaliation for his political affiliation. See
    O'Hare 
    Truck, 518 U.S. at 715
    ; 
    Umbehr, 518 U.S. at 685
    ; Prisma
    
    Zona, 610 F.3d at 7
    ; Centro 
    Médico, 406 F.3d at 9
    ; cf. Rutan v.
    Republican Party of Ill., 
    497 U.S. 62
    , 75 (1990) ("[P]romotions,
    transfers, and recalls after layoffs based on political affiliation
    or support are an impermissible infringement on the First Amendment
    rights of public employees.").
    As an additional preliminary matter, we pause to note
    that the district court clearly erred by applying the balancing
    test articulated in Pickering v. Bd. of Educ. of Twp. High Sch.
    Dist. 205, Will Cnty., Ill., 
    391 U.S. 563
    (1968), instead of the
    principles established by the line of cases following Elrod v.
    Burns, 
    427 U.S. 347
    (1976), and Branti v. Finkel, 
    445 U.S. 507
    (1980). The Pickering balancing test applies to free speech cases,
    "where a government employer takes adverse action on account of an
    employee or service provider's right of free speech."               O'Hare
    
    Truck, 518 U.S. at 719
    .      Because García's First Amendment claim is
    premised solely on discrimination for his political affiliation,
    and   does   not   involve   factual   allegations   of   unconstitutional
    infringement upon his freedom of speech,5 the Pickering test is
    5
    García's complaint captions his "First Cause of Action" as
    "Freedom of Speech/Association" and alleges that the defendants'
    actions "violate plaintiff's rights to freedom of speech and
    freedom of association." However, for this cause of action, the
    specific factual allegations in the complaint pertain solely to
    -26-
    inapplicable.    See id.; see also Acevedo-Delgado v. Rivera, 
    292 F.3d 37
    , 45 (1st Cir. 2002) ("Pickering is inapposite to this case,
    which does not involve an asserted state interest that allegedly
    was compromised by an employee's statements."). Having disposed of
    these threshold matters, we now turn to examine the elements of
    García's prima facie claim for political discrimination, beginning
    with a summary of the relevant evidence.
    2.    Evidence Relevant to García's First Amendment Claim
    At the outset of this inquiry, we note that several facts
    on which García relies, including which bidders gained and lost
    contracts, are likely inadmissible hearsay.   However, Puig did not
    object to these statements below, and evidentiary objections not
    discrimination based on political affiliation.       The complaint
    states that García "belongs to a political party that espouses
    philosophies and ideas different to those of the defendants,
    something that was known to defendants when they decided to take
    adverse employment actions against him, moved and/or motivated by
    plaintiff's affiliation to the PDP."
    García's opposition to summary judgment and briefs also make
    no specific factual allegations regarding any protected speech or
    violations of his freedom of speech, but instead address only a
    claim of discrimination based on political affiliation. Moreover,
    in his appellate brief, García states that "[i]t is plain from the
    face of the complaint and from every single document filed by the
    parties thereafter that plaintiff's claim for violation of his
    First Amendment rights stems from a political discrimination theory
    of liability under the so-called Elrod/Branti rubric . . . ."
    For these reasons, we see no reason to construe García's
    "First Cause of Action" as including two causes of action so as to
    find that he pleaded a freedom-of-speech claim in addition to his
    freedom-of-association claim.     See, e.g., EBI, Inc. v. Gator
    Indus., Inc., 
    807 F.2d 1
    , 4-5 (1st Cir. 1986) (finding that the
    plaintiff had not asserted a claim for breach of contract when the
    complaint's breach-of-contract caption was "totally unsupported by
    any factual allegations which would signal" such a claim).
    -27-
    raised before the district court are deemed waived on appeal. See,
    e.g., Dorpan, S.L. v. Hotel Meliá, Inc., 
    728 F.3d 55
    , 67 n.14 (1st
    Cir. 2013).      We further note that several pieces of evidence
    proffered by García are, in isolation, of questionable value.
    Nonetheless, in the aggregate, the cumulative weight of García's
    evidence -- together with the reasonable inferences drawn therefrom
    -- is sufficient to defeat summary judgment.
    In support of his theory of the case as to political
    discrimination, García offers the following evidence: (1) his
    deposition testimony stating that he spoke to multiple contractors
    affiliated with the PDP who also had their initial bid awards
    rescinded; (2) his deposition testimony that he personally knew of
    NPP-affiliated brokers who were awarded the contracts originally
    adjudicated to him; (3) a copy of a contract awarded to an alleged
    NPP-affiliated    broker;   (4)    a   table   outlining   the   Treasury's
    numerical evaluation of the fifty-four independent contractors who
    submitted proposals through the RFP; (5) a certification from the
    Treasury denying that it has any documents concerning the alleged
    errors involved with the original Adjudication Notification; and
    (6) Puig's deposition testimony (in another case) that he had the
    authority to make the final determinations regarding the awarding
    of the Treasury contracts.        Each category of evidence is examined
    in more detail below.
    -28-
    First, when asked at his deposition whether he knew any
    of the other contractors who had received the letter rescinding the
    original adjudication, García replied, "I know all of them.                      After
    thirty-five years in this business, I think I know all of them,
    except the new ones . . . ."            He testified that, after receiving
    the   letter     informing   him   of    the   "countless         errors"    in    the
    Adjudication      Notification,    he     reached     out    to    several       other
    insurance brokers he knew to be affiliated with the PDP, including:
    Benjamín Hernández, Consuelo Revuelta, Roberto Fonseca, and Tito
    Casellas.       He later saw three of these brokers at the Treasury
    Department on May 26, 2009, and he confirmed with them that they
    had received the letter. Together, they surmised that there was an
    improper    "external     motivation"       for     the     rescission      of     the
    adjudications -- namely, their affiliation with the PDP.
    Second, when asked about his allegation that all the
    contracts that originally had been adjudicated to him were later
    awarded    to    NPP   insurance   brokers,        García    explained      in     his
    deposition that he personally knew of five different NPP-affiliated
    contractors that were awarded such contracts: Lone Star Producers,
    Inc. ("Lone Star"), Christiansen Insurance, Inc., Jorge Urrutia
    Vallés, Ikon Group, and Luis Bonnet.              García stated that "[a]ll I
    know is that they were on May 15, all of them were in the
    adjudication and what happened after May 15, was that all that were
    not [NPP] people, [they were] stricken out . . . significantly the
    -29-
    amount of accounts that were given, and those accounts were
    distributed among those [NPP-affiliated brokers] who already had
    accounts."     In context, this deposition testimony implies that
    García -- based on his personal relationships built over the course
    of his thirty-five years of experience in the industry -- knew the
    political affiliations of most of the insurance brokers involved in
    the bidding process.      It further implies that he knew that the
    reallocation of the rescinded bid awards favored brokers affiliated
    with the NPP over those affiliated with the PDP.
    Third, García provided a copy of the contract awarded to
    Lone Star, one of the NPP-affiliated contractors he identified in
    his deposition.     The contract was awarded on May 25, 2009, for a
    total amount of $1,363,813.02; the signing parties were Andrés
    Guillemard for Lone Star and Secretary Puig for the government. We
    need not rely solely on García's deposition testimony for the
    proposition that Lone Star is affiliated with the NPP.          Instead,
    García points us to political discrimination cases filed by Lone
    Star and its principals, in which they self-identified as NPP
    members and were awarded $4.7 million in § 1983 damages for
    political discrimination by the preceding PDP administrations.
    See, e.g., Guillemard-Ginorio v. Contreras-Gómez, 
    585 F.3d 508
    , 510
    (1st   Cir.    2009)   (stating   that   plaintiffs-appellees     Andrés
    Guillemard–Ginorio and his wife, María Noble–Fernández, each fifty-
    percent owners of Lone Star, are both "prominent members of the
    -30-
    NPP, having contributed substantial time and financial support to
    NPP candidates").         Thus, there is some evidence that an NPP-
    affiliated broker was awarded a high-value contract in the wake of
    the rescinded Adjudication Notification.
    Fourth, García points to a table detailing the numerical
    evaluation       scores   given       to    all   fifty-four     contractors       who
    participated in the RFP; he asserts that the higher numerical
    scores    were    given   to    the    most   qualified   brokers.          The    PDP-
    affiliated       contractors     identified       by   García    were      given   the
    following scores: (1) Consuelo Revuelta - 57.5; (2) Tito Casellas
    & Co. - 52.5; (3) García himself - 47.5; and (4) Benjamín Hernández
    - 45.5.      By comparison, the contractors García identified as
    affiliated with the NPP received the following scores: (1) Luis
    Bonnet - 56; (2) Lone Star - 46; (3) Nicolás Muñoz - 41; (4)
    Christiansen Insurance - 40; (5) Ikon Group - 36;                    and (6) Jorge
    Urrutia Vallés - 31.           All four PDP providers in the former group
    had higher scores than all but two NPP providers in the latter
    group. Nonetheless, García asserts that all of the PDP contractors
    were     "victims    of   the     purported       'errors'      in   the     original
    adjudication" and had their contract awards reduced, despite having
    higher scores than several NPP providers.6
    6
    This table, García's explanation of it, and his allegations
    concerning a subset of the producers listed therein are far from
    complete, clear, and conclusive. Nonetheless, the table provides
    some support and corroboration for García's assertions in his
    deposition testimony, particularly in light of the Treasury's
    -31-
    Fifth,    García     introduced    a    certification     from   the
    Treasury, sent in response to his subpoena, stating that the
    department    has     no   documents   or     records   concerning:     (1)   any
    investigations into irregularities in the original adjudication of
    bids submitted in response to the April 2009 RFP; (2) the letters
    notifying all bidders of problems or irregularities with the
    initial adjudications; (3) any measures taken by the Treasury to
    correct the alleged errors in the adjudication process; or (4)
    Secretary Puig's second adjudication of contracts under the RFP.
    To date, the Treasury has offered no explanation of the alleged
    "countless    errors"      that   prompted     the   rescission   of   García's
    original Adjudication Notification.
    Finally, García provided an excerpt of the transcript of
    a deposition of Puig taken in a different case on August 19, 2011.
    In that deposition, Puig testified that he was responsible for the
    selection of independent contractors for the Treasury, and that his
    "authority is that of having to make a determination as to who is
    going to be granted certain professional services contracts and who
    is not."
    3.   The Elements of a Political Discrimination Claim
    A plaintiff seeking to establish a prima facie claim of
    political discrimination under the First Amendment must show four
    failure to provide additional documents in response to García's
    subpoena.
    -32-
    elements: "'(1) that the plaintiff and defendant have opposing
    political affiliations, (2) that the defendant is aware of the
    plaintiff's affiliation, (3) that an adverse employment action
    occurred, and (4) that political affiliation was a substantial or
    motivating        factor     for    the     adverse   employment   action.'"
    Torres-Santiago v. Municipality of Adjuntas, 
    693 F.3d 230
    , 236 (1st
    Cir. 2012) (quoting 
    Méndez–Aponte, 645 F.3d at 64
    ).7
    On de novo review, if there is no genuine issue of fact
    on the summary judgment record with respect to any of these
    elements, then García's First Amendment claim must fail.            See Fed.
    R. Civ. P. 56(a).          For purposes of summary judgment, we consider
    only "materials of evidentiary quality." Hannon v. Beard, 
    645 F.3d 45
    ,   49   (1st    Cir.    2011).     Accordingly,    "both   affidavits   and
    7
    After a plaintiff has established a prima facie case for
    political discrimination by showing these four elements, the burden
    shifts to the defendant to "'prove by a preponderance of the
    evidence that the adverse action would have been taken regardless
    of any discriminatory political motivation.'" 
    Cepero-Rivera, 414 F.3d at 132
    (quoting LaRou v. Ridlon, 
    98 F.3d 659
    , 661 (1st Cir.
    1996)); see also Mt. Healthy City Sch. Dist. Bd. of Educ. v. Doyle,
    
    429 U.S. 274
    , 287 (1977); Barry v. Moran, 
    661 F.3d 696
    , 703-04 (1st
    Cir. 2011). At this stage of the litigation, however, Puig has
    advanced no evidence or argument that the adverse action would have
    been taken absent any discriminatory motive; indeed, Puig has
    offered no explanation of the "countless errors" in the
    adjudication process that allegedly prompted rescission of the
    original award. Accordingly, for purposes of the current appeal,
    we need not consider the burden shift and we may confine our
    inquiry to the elements of the prima facie case. See, e.g., 
    Jones, 752 F.3d at 54-55
    (declining to consider, in the first instance, a
    post-burden-shift defense not yet considered by the trial court);
    
    id. at 55
    ("Federal appellate courts have discretion in deciding
    whether to take up questions not considered below, but they
    generally should not do so.").
    -33-
    deposition testimony are effective in opposing summary judgment
    only when they are given on personal knowledge, set out facts that
    would be admissible in evidence, and show that the affiant or
    deponent (as the case may be) is competent to testify about the
    matter in question."            
    Id. With these
    principles in mind, we address each element of
    García's prima facie case in turn.8
    a.    Opposing Political Affiliations
    To    survive        summary   judgment,     García    must   first
    demonstrate that there is a genuine issue of fact as to whether he
    and    Puig        have        opposing   political      affiliations.       See
    
    Torres-Santiago, 693 F.3d at 236
    .                He has done so.    First, García
    has provided deposition testimony that he is affiliated with the
    PDP.   The nature of his own political affiliation is certainly
    8
    We note that, on appeal, Puig has squarely presented challenges
    to García's proof on only the first two elements: (1) whether the
    parties have opposing political affiliations, and (2) whether Puig
    was aware of García's political affiliation.        Puig has thus
    arguably waived any argument concerning the final two elements.
    See, e.g., United States v. Zannino, 
    895 F.2d 1
    , 17 (1st Cir. 1990)
    ("[I]ssues adverted to in a perfunctory manner, unaccompanied by
    some effort at developed argumentation, are deemed waived. It is
    not enough merely to mention a possible argument in the most
    skeletal way, leaving the court to do counsel's work, create the
    ossature for the argument, and put flesh on its bones." (internal
    citations omitted)). Nonetheless, as we may affirm the district
    court's "entry of summary judgment on any basis made manifest by
    the record," Demelo v. U.S. Bank Nat'l Ass'n, 
    727 F.3d 117
    , 121
    (1st Cir. 2013), we will examine the summary judgment evidence with
    respect to all four elements of García's political discrimination
    claim.
    -34-
    within García's personal knowledge and could serve as proper trial
    testimony.
    Therefore, for Puig to demonstrate that there is no
    genuine   issue   of   material   fact    as   to   the    parties'   opposing
    political affiliations, he would have to establish that there is no
    basis in the record for reasonably concluding that Puig is a member
    of an opposing political party.          This Puig has failed to do, as
    "[t]he NPP and PDP are opposing political parties in Puerto Rico,"
    
    Guillemard-Ginorio, 585 F.3d at 511
    , and the facts of this case
    permit a reasonable inference that Puig is affiliated with the NPP.
    We find Puig's arguments to the contrary unavailing.
    Admittedly, García does not personally know Puig and has presented
    no documentary evidence that Puig belongs to the NPP.             And, in an
    unsworn "Statement Under Penalty of Perjury" signed on December 5,
    2011 (the "Unsworn Statement"), Puig declared that he was not
    personally affiliated with the NPP.             In Puig's view, this is
    sufficient to demonstrate that "the uncontested facts establish
    that Plaintiff and Defendant did not belong to opposing political
    parties."
    Puig argues that "the only reason" for García's belief
    that Puig is a member of the NPP consists of an assumption grounded
    upon Puig's nomination and service as the Secretary of the Treasury
    under Governor Fortuño's NPP administration.                This assumption,
    however, is sufficient for present purposes.              Reviewing the grant
    -35-
    of summary judgment, we must resolve all reasonable inferences from
    the   evidence   in    the    light    most   favorable     to    García.      See
    
    Shafmaster, 707 F.3d at 135
    .             No party disputes that Governor
    Fortuño was a member of the NPP or that Puig, as Secretary of the
    Treasury, was a high-ranking official in an NPP administration.
    And "[i]t is no secret that political leaders most often choose
    political   allies     to    fill     important   policymaking         positions."
    Grajales v. P.R. Ports Auth., 
    682 F.3d 40
    , 47 (1st Cir. 2012).                  It
    is therefore reasonable to infer that Puig was affiliated with the
    NPP during the relevant period.          See 
    id. at 47-48
    (reasoning that
    "a plausible inference can be drawn that the plaintiff, who was
    named to a prestigious trust position by a PDP hierarch under a PDP
    administration, was a member of the PDP," and remarking that a
    court is not required "to blind itself to what is obvious").
    b.    Puig's Awareness of García's Affiliation
    To   establish      the    second     element    of    a    political
    discrimination claim, García would have to show that Puig was aware
    of García's political affiliation.            See 
    Torres-Santiago, 693 F.3d at 236
    .     Puig argues that there is no genuine issue of fact
    regarding this element, because (1) there is no evidence showing
    that Puig was aware that García was a member of the PDP, and (2)
    Puig's Unsworn Statement conclusively resolves the issue in Puig's
    favor.
    -36-
    Indeed, there is some support for Puig's position. It is
    uncontested that García has never run for or held public office as
    a PDP candidate and that he has not worked for the campaign of a
    PDP candidate.      He has not appeared on television or radio in
    support of the PDP.       Furthermore, in his Unsworn Statement, Puig
    declared that: (1) he did not know who García was; (2) he did not
    know of García's political affiliation; (3) he had not seen García
    participate in political activities for the PDP; and (4) he had no
    knowledge of García being an active member of the PDP.
    García, for his part, testified in his deposition that he
    was, in fact, affiliated with the PDP.              He elaborated that he
    publicly displayed his PDP affiliation by talking with his friends
    and attending political rallies, meetings, gatherings, and cocktail
    events for the 2008 election.            He stated that he contributed
    financially to the campaigns of several PDP candidates, including
    the then-incumbent PDP governor who lost to Governor Fortuño in the
    2008 election.
    In his deposition, García further testified that he and
    Cruz -- the Insurance Commissioner serving under Puig at the time
    -- were friends and had worked together for several years.            García
    testified that Cruz "absolutely" knew his political "color" because
    they   had   "talk[ed]    about   it."     Puig,    in   his   statement    of
    uncontested    material    facts,   agrees   that    García    "has   had   an
    excellent relationship with the Insurance Commissioner Ramón L.
    -37-
    Cruz-Colón and considers him to be his friend."                   Puig does not
    dispute   that     he   and   Cruz    worked    together     in    the    Fortuño
    administration      during    the    relevant     period,     or      that   Cruz
    participated in the RFP adjudication process at issue.                        Puig
    declared, however, that Cruz had never informed him of García's
    political affiliation.
    Viewing these facts in the light most favorable to
    García, and drawing all reasonable inferences in his favor, see
    
    Shafmaster, 707 F.3d at 135
    ,         we conclude that there was a genuine
    issue of material fact as to whether Puig was aware of García's
    political affiliation, see 
    Torres-Santiago, 693 F.3d at 236
    .                    In
    his deposition, García testified that he made no secret of his
    political affiliation and that he actively supported PDP candidates
    with financial contributions and his presence at campaign rallies
    and other events.        Given García's friendship with Cruz, their
    working relationship, and García's testimony that they talked about
    politics and Cruz knew that he was a member of the PDP, it is
    reasonable    to   conclude   that    Cruz     knew   of   García's      political
    affiliation.
    Accepting as true García's testimony that high-scoring
    insurance brokers associated with the PDP had their contract awards
    reduced while the awards for lower-scoring brokers associated with
    the NPP were either unchanged or increased, the factfinder could
    infer that whoever was making the decision must have been doing so
    -38-
    based largely on party affiliation.              Puig does not dispute on
    appeal    that   he    was   the    decision    maker   who   was   ultimately
    responsible for the rescission of the initial awards and their
    subsequent reallocation.9          Nor has he provided any explanation for
    the apparent correlation between results and partisan affiliation,
    or for the supposed "errors" that led to the initial award to
    García.     Given that apparent correlation between results and
    partisan affiliation, and the unexplained reasons for the changes,
    a reasonable jury could infer that Puig likely learned of García's
    political affiliation, an inference that is all the more plausible
    because Puig had a ready source for that knowledge:              Cruz.
    For all these reasons, there is a genuine issue of fact
    as   to   whether     Puig   knew   of    García's   political   affiliation.
    Answering this question calls for "[c]redibility determinations,
    the weighing of the evidence, and the drawing of legitimate
    9
    Similarly, we note that Puig has waived any argument that he was
    not personally involved in the decision to rescind García's bid
    award. See, e.g., United States v. Dellosantos, 
    649 F.3d 109
    , 126
    n.18 (1st Cir. 2011) (finding an appellate argument waived due to
    the government-appellee's "perfunctory treatment" of a case and
    "lack of developed argumentation").     Moreover, on this summary
    judgment record, any such argument would fail. García put forth
    evidence of Puig's personal involvement, including that the RFP's
    terms provide that Puig was responsible for selecting the insurance
    brokers to receive contracts, that Puig gave deposition testimony
    in another case stating that he chose the insurance company
    providers, and that Puig himself signed the letter terminating
    García's 2008-2009 contract early. Under these circumstances, such
    evidence is sufficient to establish a genuine issue of material
    fact as to whether Puig personally "participated in the conduct"
    that allegedly deprived García of his rights. See 
    Cepero-Rivera, 414 F.3d at 129
    .
    -39-
    inferences from the facts" -- all tasks for the jury, not the
    judge.   Anderson v. Liberty Lobby, Inc., 
    477 U.S. 242
    , 255 (1986);
    see also Rodríguez v. Municipality of San Juan, 
    659 F.3d 168
    , 175
    (1st Cir. 2011).10
    c.   Adverse Action
    With respect to the third element of a prima facie
    political discrimination claim, García would have to prove that an
    adverse action occurred. See 
    Torres-Santiago, 693 F.3d at 236
    . In
    order to show an adverse action, García need not show a right to a
    denied government benefit. The fact that a plaintiff has "no legal
    entitlement" to a valuable government benefit is "immaterial" to
    such a First Amendment claim.    
    Rutan, 497 U.S. at 72
    (citing Perry
    v. Sindermann, 
    408 U.S. 593
    , 596-98 (1972)).   Rather, "[t]he First
    Amendment prevents the government, except in the most compelling
    circumstances, from wielding its power to interfere with its
    employees' freedom to believe and associate, or to not believe and
    not associate."   
    Rutan, 497 U.S. at 76
    .
    We need not linger long upon this third element of the
    analysis.   Puig does not seriously contest that no adverse action
    occurred.   Nor could he.   Through his deposition testimony and the
    10
    We also note that even if Puig is telling the truth and did not
    personally know García's political affiliation, he could still be
    liable if he told Cruz to rescind awards to PDP-affiliated bidders
    and that instruction resulted in the revocation of García's award.
    -40-
    various letters he received from the Treasury, García has put forth
    evidence that he suffered an adverse action.
    First, García has provided the letter from Puig notifying
    him of the early termination of his 2008-2009 contract. García has
    also averred that he stood to profit by approximately $450,000 in
    commissions from the contracts originally awarded in the rescinded
    Adjudication Notification.      He has further provided deposition
    testimony to the fact that the substitute contracts offered by the
    Treasury would result in commissions of approximately $15,000 --
    less than four percent of the expected commissions for his original
    award.   These facts -- the early termination of García's existing
    contract, the rescission of the Adjudication Notification, and the
    significant reduction in commissions from his original bid award to
    the final contracts offered him -- together can be considered to
    constitute an adverse action.       Puig has offered no argument to the
    contrary.
    d.   Causation
    Finally, in order to meet the fourth element for a prima
    facie political discrimination claim, García must show that his
    political affiliation with the PDP was a substantial or motivating
    factor for the adverse action.        See 
    Torres-Santiago, 693 F.3d at 236
    ; see also Vázquez v. López Rosario, 
    134 F.3d 28
    , 36 (1st Cir.
    1998); 
    LaRou, 98 F.3d at 661
    .
    -41-
    While "unsupported and speculative assertions regarding
    political discrimination will not be enough to survive summary
    judgment," 
    Vázquez, 134 F.3d at 36
    , we have also made clear that
    "one    rarely     finds       'smoking    gun'   evidence    in   a   political
    discrimination case," Ocasio-Hernández v. Fortuño-Burset, 
    640 F.3d 1
    , 17 (1st Cir. 2011) (quoting Lamboy-Ortiz v. Ortiz-Vélez, 
    630 F.3d 228
    , 240 (1st Cir. 2010)), and that "circumstantial evidence
    must, at times, suffice," 
    id. Considering all
    of the evidence on the summary judgment
    record, we find that García has presented evidence sufficient to
    establish a genuine issue of fact as to causation.                       Indeed,
    García's evidence presents a credible narrative of a paradigmatic
    political discrimination case.             He had an eight-year tenure as an
    independent contractor for the Puerto Rico government under PDP
    administrations, only to have his existing contract terminated
    early, less than three months into a new NPP administration.                   He
    was    then   awarded      a   lucrative    set   of   new   contracts   in   the
    Adjudication Notification, only to have that award rescinded on the
    basis of "countless" -- but unspecified and as yet unsubstantiated
    -- errors.       Ultimately, he was offered contracts for drastically
    lower amounts: less than four percent of his original award.                  He
    offers some evidence that PDP-affiliated brokers had their awards
    reduced, while the awards of NPP-affiliated brokers were either
    unchanged or increased.
    -42-
    To date, the government has never explained the nature of
    the alleged errors prompting the rescission of the original award.
    Puig's refusal to provide any explanation regarding the "countless
    errors" leading to the adverse action provides some circumstantial
    evidence of causation.     See 
    id. (providing that
    circumstantial
    evidence may be sufficient in a political discrimination case).
    Moreover, "temporal proximity between a change of administration
    and an adverse employment action," as happened here, "is relevant
    to whether political affiliation was a substantial or motivating
    factor in that adverse employment decision."    
    Torres-Santiago, 693 F.3d at 240
    ; see also 
    Grajales, 682 F.3d at 50
    ("[T]he close
    temporal proximity between the regime change and the [adverse
    action], coupled with the absence of any legitimate reason for much
    of the offending conduct, permits a plausible inference . . . that
    political animus was a motivating factor behind the [conduct].").
    And a "politically charged employment atmosphere" resulting from a
    major shift in power from one political party to another, together
    with evidence that a plaintiff and defendant are from opposing
    parties,    may   be     probative     of   discriminatory   animus.
    
    Torres-Santiago, 693 F.3d at 240
    (quoting 
    Ocasio–Hernández, 640 F.3d at 17-18
    ).
    Viewing the facts in the light most favorable to García,
    and drawing all reasonable inferences therefrom, see 
    Shafmaster, 707 F.3d at 135
    , we cannot say -- with respect to the final element
    -43-
    of   causation     --     that    García's     position     is    based    merely    on
    "conclusory allegations" or "unsupported speculation," see 
    Rogan, 267 F.3d at 27
    .         Rather, we conclude that there is a genuine issue
    of material fact as to whether García's political affiliation was
    a substantial or motivating factor for the adverse action.                          See
    
    Torres-Santiago, 693 F.3d at 236
    .
    4.   Summary
    While the summary judgment record here is relatively
    sparse, making this a close case, we find that García has met his
    burden of demonstrating a genuine issue of material fact on the
    prima facie elements of his political discrimination claim.                         See
    Montfort-Rodríguez v. Rey-Hernández, 
    504 F.3d 221
    , 222 (1st Cir.
    2007) ("Although the record is meager and the case is therefore
    close, we conclude that appellants met their burden to generate a
    genuine issue of material fact on the elements of their claim.").
    The individually weak pieces of evidence relied upon by García are
    nonetheless,       in    the   aggregate,      sufficient     to    defeat   summary
    judgment. See González-de-Blasini v. Family Dep't, 
    377 F.3d 81
    , 86
    (1st   Cir.    2007)      (recognizing        that   a    prima    facie   political
    discrimination case may be built on circumstantial evidence if a
    plaintiff has shown "'the specific facts necessary to take the
    asserted      claim     out      of   the    realm   of    speculative,      general
    -44-
    allegations'" (quoting Kauffman v. P.R. Tel. Co., 
    841 F.2d 1169
    ,
    1173 n.5 (1st Cir. 1988))).11
    III.   Conclusion
    For the foregoing reasons, we affirm the district court's
    grant of summary judgment on García's Fourteenth Amendment claim,
    and we reverse the grant of summary judgment on his First Amendment
    claim. We therefore remand García's political discrimination claim
    for further proceedings consistent with this opinion.
    AFFIRMED IN PART, AND REVERSED IN PART. Each party shall
    bear its own costs.
    11
    As a final matter, we note that Puig makes a half-hearted
    attempt to raise a qualified-immunity defense with respect to
    García's First Amendment claim. Puig's brief states "there is no
    need to enter into an in depth analysis of the qualified immunity
    defense regarding the political discrimination claim because there
    is no evidence on the record that shows the existence of a
    constitutional violation."      The two-sentence "argument" that
    follows is really no argument at all, but instead is a merely
    conclusory assertion that Puig is entitled to qualified immunity.
    We have consistently held that such lackluster arguments will be
    disregarded    on  appeal.       See,  e.g.,   United   States   v.
    Delgado–Marrero, 
    744 F.3d 167
    , 203 (1st Cir. 2014) (stating that
    the court may ignore "conclusory allegations" and "bare assertions"
    in a party's brief).
    -45-