In Re: Biogen Inc. Sec. Litig. v. ( 2017 )


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  •           United States Court of Appeals
    For the First Circuit
    No. 16-1976
    IN RE: BIOGEN INC. SECURITIES LITIGATION
    GBR GROUP, LTD.,
    Plaintiff, Appellant,
    NICOLE TEHRANI,
    Plaintiff,
    v.
    BIOGEN INC.; GEORGE A. SCANGOS;
    PAUL J. CLANCY; STUART A. KINGSLEY,
    Defendants, Appellees.
    APPEAL FROM THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF MASSACHUSETTS
    [Hon. F. Dennis Saylor, IV, U.S. District Judge]
    Before
    Lynch, Lipez, and Kayatta,
    Circuit Judges.
    Michael P. Canty, with whom Jonathan Gardner, Guillaume
    Buell, Labaton Sucharow LLP, Andrea M. Landry, Thornton Law Firm
    LLP, Peretz Bronstein, Yitzchak E. Soloveichik, and Bronstein
    Gewirtz & Grossman LLC were on brief, for appellants.
    James R. Carroll, with whom Michael S. Hines, Sara J. van
    Vliet, and Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP were on brief,
    for appellees.
    May 12, 2017
    LYNCH, Circuit Judge.         This securities case involves
    allegations that corporate officials misled the public about the
    effect of one patient's death on sales of Tecfidera, a drug for
    multiple sclerosis ("MS") and the company's leading source of
    revenue.
    GBR Group, Ltd. ("GBR") is the lead plaintiff in a
    putative class action against Biogen Inc. ("Biogen") and three
    Biogen executives (together, "the defendants") alleging violations
    under Sections 10(b) and 20(a) of the Securities Exchange Act of
    1934 (the "Exchange Act").     See 15 U.S.C. §§ 78j(b), 78t(a).        The
    plaintiffs'      initial   amended     complaint    alleged   that,   from
    December 2, 2014 to July 23, 2015 (the "Class Period"), the
    defendants knowingly misled the investing public regarding the
    impact that the death of a patient taking Tecfidera had on sales
    of Tecfidera.
    The    district   court     dismissed    the   initial   amended
    complaint with prejudice, for failure to meet the heightened
    pleading requirements of the Private Securities Litigation Reform
    Act ("PSLRA").      In re: Biogen Inc. Sec. Litig. (Biogen), 193 F.
    Supp. 3d 5, 12–13 (D. Mass. 2016); see 15 U.S.C. §§ 78u-4, 78u-5.
    The court then denied the plaintiffs' subsequent motion under
    Federal Rules of Civil Procedure 59(e) and 60(b)(2) to vacate the
    judgment and for leave to file a second amended complaint to
    include purportedly new evidence.            GBR appeals the dismissal of
    - 3 -
    the initial amended complaint and particularly emphasizes its
    appeal from the denial of the motion to vacate the judgment and
    for leave to amend the complaint.
    We reject these claims and affirm on both issues.                  We
    agree, on de novo review, that the initial amended complaint fails
    to plead particularized facts giving rise to a strong inference of
    scienter, as required by the PSLRA.            And there was no error or
    abuse of discretion in the denial of the motion to vacate the
    judgment and for leave to file a second amended complaint.
    I.
    Biogen,    whose      stock    trades   on    the   NASDAQ,   is    a
    biopharmaceutical company that develops, manufactures, and markets
    medication for the treatment of neurological disorders.                  During
    the relevant period, defendant George Scangos was Biogen's Chief
    Executive Officer, defendant Paul Clancy was its Chief Financial
    Officer and Executive Vice President of Finance, and defendant
    Stuart   Kingsley    was   its    Executive   Vice      President   of   Global
    Commercial Operations.      The Class Period is from December 2, 2014
    to July 23, 2015.
    One of the four principal drugs Biogen markets for MS
    treatment is Tecfidera, which the FDA approved for use in March
    2013 and which Biogen began selling during the second fiscal
    quarter of 2013.       Tecfidera has been a significant source of
    revenue for Biogen, and it was regularly accounting for a third of
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    Biogen's total quarterly revenues by the start of the Class Period.
    Tecfidera's revenue growth depended on three factors: (1) the
    number of patients recently diagnosed with MS who started their
    treatment on Tecfidera ("new starts"); (2) the number of patients
    who switched over to Tecfidera from other drugs; and (3) the growth
    of the MS drug market.
    Biogen released its third-quarter 2014 financial results
    on October 22, 2014.    The company reported total revenues of $2.51
    billion, an increase of 3.7% from the previous quarter, as well as
    third-quarter revenue from Tecfidera alone of $787.1 million: a
    12.4% increase from the previous quarter, but a lower growth rate
    than those of the previous four quarters (growth rates of 49.1%,
    39.0%, 27.1%, and 38.5%, respectively).       On the same date, Biogen
    held an earnings call to discuss the third-quarter report and
    announced, for the first time, that an MS patient had died of
    progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (the "PML death" or
    "PML incident").    The patient had taken Tecfidera for more than
    four years in a clinical study.     At the time this information was
    released,   Kingsley   stated   publicly   that   Tecfidera   growth   was
    "moderat[ing]."
    The FDA issued a warning to the public about the PML
    death on November 25, 2014, and Tecfidera's label in the United
    States was updated to describe the risk of PML death on December
    3, 2014, one day after the beginning of the Class Period.               On
    - 5 -
    December 2, 2014, the first day of the Class Period, Clancy told
    analysts that investors should be "mindful" of the fact that
    Tecfidera    discontinuation     rates   (the   rates   at   which    patients
    discontinued use of Tecfidera) were higher than the company had
    hoped.
    On January 29, 2015, Biogen issued full-year revenue
    guidance for 2015, in which it stated that it expected overall
    revenue growth of 14% to 16%.            The initial amended complaint
    alleges     that   the    "[d]efendants     reiterated       that    Tecfidera
    performance remained strong and stated that they had not seen any
    meaningful    change     in   discontinuation   rates,"      and    that   stock
    analysts accepted this characterization.            At the time of this
    announcement, Kingsley also stated that there was a moderation in
    new Tecfidera starts and cited, among other things, the updated
    label describing the PML incident.          He then made similar remarks
    during a conference on February 25, 2015 -- that is, about halfway
    through the first quarter of 2015.
    On April 24, 2015, Biogen released its first-quarter
    results for 2015, announcing Tecfidera revenue of $825 million,
    "below the market's consensus estimates."          Scangos stated at that
    time that "Tecfidera had a more challenging quarter, due to a
    number of issues, including an overall slowing of the MS market,
    the recent launch of Plegridy, the single PML case reported last
    year, and some first-quarter financial dynamics . . . ."                      He
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    emphasized that "our long-term outlook for Tecfidera, and for our
    entire MS portfolio, remains strong."         From April to July, the
    defendants continued to express optimism about Tecfidera, stating
    that its performance had "stabilized" since the announcement of
    the PML incident and that data suggested positive "momentum."        At
    four analyst conferences in May 2015, Biogen executives noted that
    Tecfidera's growth was slowing and named the PML incident as one
    factor in that slowed growth.
    On July 24, 2015, the day after the end of the Class
    Period,   Biogen   released   its    second-quarter   earnings   report.
    Biogen announced revenue of $883 million from Tecfidera, which was
    a 7.1% increase from the first quarter but less than the $916
    million of Tecfidera revenue from the last quarter of 2014.         Also
    that day, the company revised its 2015 revenue guidance, lowering
    its estimate of overall revenue growth from 14–16% to 6-8%.          The
    decrease in the guidance was "based largely on revised expectations
    for the growth of Tecfidera."       Biogen's stock fell over 20% in one
    day in response to the announcement.
    Nearly two months after the end of the Class Period, on
    September 18, 2015, Kingsley stated at a health care conference
    that "some kind of a downtick in the safety profile that would
    have some kind of an impact on physician behavior" had been
    expected in the wake of the PML incident, but that "we couldn't
    tell," and that the PML incident was "a pretty big change statement
    - 7 -
    for a broad base of physicians."         [The plaintiffs characterize
    these as "evidentiary admissions."]       On October 9, 2015, Biogen
    announced that Kingsley was leaving the company.       On October 21,
    2015, Biogen announced cuts that would eliminate about 11% of its
    workforce.
    II.
    Nicole Tehrani filed the initial "bare-bones" complaint
    alleging securities fraud on August 18, 2015.         After a status
    conference on November 17, 2015, the district court appointed GBR
    as the lead plaintiff and granted the plaintiffs an additional
    sixty days, as they requested, to file an amended complaint.
    The plaintiffs filed their amended complaint on January
    19, 2016.      The amended complaint alleges claims under Section
    10(b) of the Exchange Act and Rule 10b-5 thereunder (Counts I &
    II), and under Section 20(a) of the Exchange Act (Count III).
    The amended complaint alleges that throughout the Class
    Period, the defendants knowingly misled the investing public by
    never "provid[ing] any indication that the PML death had materially
    impacted Tecfidera sales, or caused physicians to stop prescribing
    Tecfidera or [to] switch patients onto other therapies out of
    safety concerns."     The complaint specifies over twenty allegedly
    misleading statements that the defendants made across ten dates
    during the Class Period.
    - 8 -
    As proof that the statements were misleading and made
    with scienter, the complaint makes several other allegations, many
    of which are based on statements from ten confidential witnesses
    ("CWs").      The    confidential     witness     statements    purportedly
    establish   that    Biogen     experienced    a   significant   decline   in
    Tecfidera sales following the announcement of the PML incident and
    throughout the Class Period.       The confidential witness statements
    also describe corporate events and policy changes that purportedly
    establish the defendants' private acknowledgment of this decline
    in Tecfidera sales and its connection to the PML death.1
    The    complaint    further     alleges   that   Tecfidera    was
    Biogen's core product and that the defendants had access to sales
    data and physician feedback following the PML death.             It alleges
    that Kingsley, due to his proximity to the sales team, would have
    been aware of the significant impact the PML death had on Tecfidera
    sales.   Finally, it alleges that Scangos and Clancy had motive and
    1    For example, CW 2 alleges that during a November 2014
    Biogen town hall meeting, Scangos gave a presentation stating that
    "the overall sense of the trajectory [at Biogen] was changing,"
    and that another speaker talked of "potential organizational
    changes," which CW 2 understood to come from "executive
    management's expectation that the PML death would have 'an impact
    on performance.'" CW 1 and CW 3 reported attending a March 2015
    national sales meeting at which the PML incident was described as
    a "market event." "[S]peakers at the meeting stated that sales
    would need to pick up again if [Biogen] was going to meet expected
    14–16% revenue growth [forecast publically in January]" and
    unidentified "senior Biogen leaders at the meeting acknowledged
    that the PML death definitely was impacting Tecfidera sales."
    - 9 -
    opportunity to make false statements concerning Tecfidera sales
    because they had personal bonus targets based on revenue growth,
    which in turn depended on Tecfidera sales.
    The   defendants   moved   to   dismiss   the   complaint   with
    prejudice.     The plaintiffs conceded in their opposition to the
    motion to dismiss that Count II should be dismissed.
    The district court granted the motion to dismiss in a
    careful and thoughtful opinion filed on June 23, 2016.              
    Biogen, 193 F. Supp. 3d at 12
    –13.        Drawing all reasonable inferences in
    favor of the plaintiffs, the court determined that, of the more
    than twenty statements alleged to be material misstatements or
    omissions, three were plausibly misleading or false.2            
    Id. at 42–
    2    These three statements, all made in the first quarter of
    2015, were:
    •    Kingsley on the January 29, 2015 earnings call:
    "Importantly, we have not noticed a meaningful change in
    [Tecfidera] discontinuation rates."
    •    Kingsley on the same earnings call: "[T]he lack of any
    meaningful change that we see -- or we believe we're seeing -- in
    the discon[tinuation] rate is encouraging, because it doesn't
    suggest there's such a change in the profile that people are
    anxious to pull patients out, but on the contrary."
    •     Kingsley at the February 25, 2015 health care
    conference: "We have not seen any change in the discontinuation
    rate. There is a natural discontinuation rate for a product like
    Tecfidera in terms of tolerability and other things.        You'd
    obviously get very concerned if you saw a spike in the
    discontinuation rate.     No evidence of that. . . . [The
    discontinuation rate has] been consistent with -- I mean, we look
    at it relative to the growth of the product.      There's nothing
    that's a signal that says it's not consistent with historical
    averages."
    - 10 -
    43.         But     the   court    found     that,   although    the   complaint's
    allegations,          including    the     statements   from     the   confidential
    witnesses, gave rise to a plausible inference of scienter, they
    did not give rise to the strong one required by the PSLRA.                      
    Id. at 45.
          Moreover, the court found that the record gave rise to
    compelling inferences in the defendants' favor.                  
    Id. at 51–54.
    The district court dismissed Count I's allegations under
    Section 10(b) with prejudice on June 23, 2016.                   
    Id. at 54.
       Given
    that the plaintiffs had not adequately pled an underlying violation
    of the Exchange Act, the district court also dismissed Count III's
    allegations under Section 20(a) with prejudice.3                  
    Id. at 54–55.
    On July 21, 2016, the plaintiffs filed a proposed second
    amended complaint and moved under Federal Rules of Civil Procedure
    59(e)       and    60(b)(2)   to    vacate    the    dismissal    based   on   newly
    discovered scienter evidence.                  The court found that the new
    evidence could have been discovered earlier with the exercise of
    reasonable diligence and denied the plaintiffs the "extraordinary"
    
    Id. at 42–
    43.
    3 The district court noted that the plaintiffs had
    requested, on the final page of their opposition to the motion to
    dismiss, that they be given leave to amend their complaint if the
    motion to dismiss were granted. 
    Id. at 55.
    The court refused,
    noting that the plaintiffs had had over five more months after the
    filing of the initial complaint to investigate and that the
    plaintiffs had not moved for leave to amend either after the filing
    of the motion to dismiss or after the motion hearing, during which
    the court had expressed skepticism about the complaint's
    viability. 
    Id. - 11
    -
    relief requested under Rules 59(e) and 60(b)(2).                   GBR's timely
    appeal followed.
    III.
    A.      Allowance of Motion to Dismiss the Initial Amended Complaint
    GBR argues that the district court erred by dismissing
    its claims under Sections 10(b) and 20(a) of the Exchange Act.               In
    particular, GBR contends that the district court wrongly held that
    two statements4 specified in the complaint were inadequately pled
    as misleading and that the complaint failed to give rise to a
    strong inference of scienter.            We disagree.        Our review is de
    novo.       See ACA Fin. Guar. Corp. v. Advest, Inc., 
    512 F.3d 46
    , 58
    (1st Cir. 2008).
    Plaintiffs alleging violations of Section 10(b) must
    plead (1) a material misrepresentation or omission; (2) scienter;
    (3) a       connection   with   the   purchase   or   sale    of   a   security;
    (4) reliance; (5) economic loss; and (6) loss causation.                 Fire &
    4 GBR argues that the district court improperly rejected
    the following two statements by defendants specified in the
    complaint: Kingsley's statement on April 24, 2015, that "internal
    market research" suggested that physician intent to prescribe
    Tecfidera was improving; and a May 13, 2015 statement by Doug
    Williams (Biogen's Executive Vice President of Research &
    Development) that "survey work" showed that "physicians have kind
    of digested" the PML death and that physician "perspective about
    the safety profile of the drug" was "back to where it was before
    the PML event." We agree with the district court that there were
    no allegations supporting any inference that these statements were
    misleading.   But even assuming GBR were correct, the complaint
    would still fail to meet the PSLRA's requirements as to scienter.
    - 12 -
    Police Pension Ass'n of Colo. v. Abiomed, Inc. (Fire & Police
    Pension), 
    778 F.3d 228
    , 240 (1st Cir. 2015).             A complaint alleging
    a violation of Section 10(b) must also meet the heightened pleading
    standards of the PSLRA, which requires that the complaint "specify
    each statement alleged to have been misleading" as well as "the
    reason or reasons why the statement is misleading."                    15 U.S.C.
    § 78u-4(b)(1).
    As to scienter, the PSLRA requires that a complaint
    allege specific facts giving rise to a "strong inference," 
    id. § 78u-4(b)(2)(A),
          either    of     "intentional    or    willful    conduct
    designed    to   deceive   or    defraud     investors    by    controlling    or
    artificially affecting the price of securities," City of Dearborn
    Heights Act 345 Police & Fire Ret. Sys. v. Waters Corp., 
    632 F.3d 751
    , 757 (1st Cir. 2011) (quoting Ernst & Ernst v. Hochfelder, 
    425 U.S. 185
    , 199 (1976)), or of "a high degree of recklessness," 
    id. (quoting Aldridge
    v. A.T. Cross Corp., 
    284 F.3d 72
    , 82 (1st Cir.
    2002)).     "Recklessness, as used in this context, 'does not include
    ordinary negligence, but is closer to being a lesser form of
    intent.'"     Fire & Police 
    Pension, 778 F.3d at 240
    (quoting Greebel
    v. FTP Software, Inc., 
    194 F.3d 185
    , 188 (1st Cir. 1999)).                    For
    an inference of scienter to be strong, "a reasonable person would
    [have to] deem [it] cogent and at least as compelling as any
    opposing    inference    one     could    draw   from   the    facts     alleged."
    - 13 -
    Tellabs, Inc. v. Makor Issues & Rights, Ltd., 
    551 U.S. 308
    , 324
    (2007).
    The complaint fails to meet this rigorous standard.                       The
    confidential witness statements are insufficiently particular, do
    not make misleading the defendants' public disclosures, and do not
    speak     with    specificity     as    to     why   the      defendants'        alleged
    misstatements       were    untrue      or     misleading.              Likewise,     the
    complaint's "core operations" allegations are consistent with the
    defendants'      statements     to     investors.          And    the     most     cogent
    inferences from the record favor the defendants.
    1.    Confidential       Witness    Statements        and     "Evidentiary
    Admissions"
    The     complaint's        allegations      as       to     scienter     rest
    substantially on the confidential witness statements and on the
    core operations allegations.              The statements, very often made
    about events occurring after the defendants' statements at issue,
    are so lacking in connecting detail that they cannot give rise to
    a strong inference of scienter.              At bottom, the majority of the
    confidential      witness   statements       say     merely      that    Biogen     sales
    regions experienced a serious decline in Tecfidera sales after the
    PML incident and after the purportedly misleading statements were
    made, that corporate changes were discussed at company events in
    - 14 -
    relation to the PML incident, and that the company changed the
    sales goals of at least some employees.5
    The   statements   do    not   even   begin   to   quantify   the
    magnitude of the sales decline at the company level.          They do not
    explain with any precision whether the sales decline resulted from
    higher discontinuations, fewer new starts, changes in the market,
    or some combination of these factors.6          Nor do they purport to
    contradict any of the financial information released by Biogen in
    its quarterly and yearly reports during the Class Period.
    5    GBR's own briefing only confirms this point.      In its
    argument that the confidential witness statements are sufficiently
    particularized to give rise to a strong inference of scienter, GBR
    writes "the seven former [Area Business Managers] indicate that
    sales 'dropped steeply and immediately,' [that] there was a 'large
    drop in new prescription sales,' that 'sales dropped dramatically'
    and 'appreciably,' [and] that there was a 'big slowdown' in market
    expansion and a 'serious downturn' in new prescriptions."
    6    Similarly, the internal meetings and policy changes
    described by the confidential witness statements do not make up
    for the complaint's deficiencies.     Scangos's statement at the
    November 2014 town hall meeting that the "trajectory" of the
    company was changing has no content about that change or its
    connection to the PML incident. Likewise, the presentation at the
    November 2014 meeting that suggested there may be "organizational
    changes" and that the PML death had an "impact" on sales does
    nothing to show that the defendants' public statements were made
    with any knowledge of falsity.
    The statements by unidentified "senior Biogen leaders"
    at the March 2015 national sales meeting that the PML event
    "definitely was impacting sales" and that the PML death was a
    "market event" are no more concrete, and, coming as they do in the
    middle of the Class Period, they shed no light on the alleged
    misrepresentations that occurred before March 2015.            The
    confidential witness statements about lowered sales goals are not
    connected to the defendants.
    - 15 -
    Indeed,    the   confidential        witness     statements      are
    consistent with the defendants' public disclosures.                   See In re
    Genzyme Corp. Sec. Litig., 
    754 F.3d 31
    , 42–43 (1st Cir. 2014)
    (noting that prompt disclosures by corporate defendants "undercut
    any inference of fraudulent intent"); Auto. Indus. Pension Tr.
    Fund v. Textron Inc., 
    682 F.3d 34
    , 40 (1st Cir. 2012) (declining
    to find a strong inference of scienter where confidential witness
    allegations     and    defendants'    public   statements      were    "not   in
    conflict").     As the district court observed, the "defendants were
    cautious in projecting Tecfidera's growth, and they repeatedly
    warned investors about the downside risks, including moderating
    growth and the PML label change."         
    Biogen, 193 F. Supp. 3d at 51
    –
    52.   The defendants made such warnings on the first day of the
    Class Period and continued to make them throughout.                See Fire &
    Police 
    Pension, 778 F.3d at 243
    ("The argument is undercut by the
    fact that [defendant] explicitly warned investors . . . .").
    We emphasize that there is a significant timing problem.
    The later confidential witness statements do not go to how the
    defendants' statements, which were earlier, were knowingly or
    recklessly misleading at the time they were made.                     The three
    statements    found    plausibly     misleading    by   the   district     court
    concerned Tecfidera discontinuation rates and were made in January
    and February 2015.      The confidential witness statements concerning
    drops in Tecfidera sales after these months do not address what
    - 16 -
    the defendants knew about discontinuation rates at the time they
    spoke to the public.        And none of the earlier confidential witness
    statements go specifically to what the defendants knew at the time
    they made those three statements.
    One example suffices.             Two of the statements that the
    district court found to be plausibly misleading were Kingsley's
    remark at a January 29, 2015 health care conference that the
    company     had    not    seen       a   "meaningful   change      in   [Tecfidera]
    discontinuation rates," and his remark at a February 25, 2015
    health care conference that discontinuation rates were "consistent
    with historical averages."               Clancy had told investors on December
    2, 2014, the first day of the Class Period, that investors should
    be "mindful" of the fact that Tecfidera's discontinuation rates
    were "tracking in the teens," higher than the company had hoped.
    So scienter allegations would have to suggest strongly that between
    Clancy's statement on December 2, 2014 and Kingsley's statements
    in   January      and    February,        Kingsley   came   into    possession   of
    information that the Tecfidera discontinuation rates had risen
    above the teens and were clearly inconsistent with historical
    averages.      The confidential witness statements provide no such
    particularized allegations.
    As    in     Fire    &   Police    Pension,     confidential    witness
    statements are "not described with sufficient 
    particularity," 778 F.3d at 245
    , to give rise to a strong inference of scienter as to
    - 17 -
    senior management if none of the witnesses were senior managers
    and they had little contact with such managers.      The statements
    here fail to give rise to a strong inference of scienter because
    they lack "specific descriptions of the precise means through which
    [the defendants' alleged fraud] occurred."7   In re: Cabletron Sys.,
    Inc., 
    311 F.3d 11
    , 30 (1st Cir. 2002); see also Brennan v. Zafgen,
    Inc., No. 16-2057, 
    2017 WL 1291194
    , at *5 (1st Cir. Apr. 7, 2017)
    (news articles insufficient for scienter because they did not
    "support . . . the complaint's allegation that the defendants knew,
    or were reckless in not knowing, that they risked misleading
    7    It is true that CW 10 served as an executive assistant
    in Biogen's "program leadership and management team," and had
    responsibilities   including   supporting  Uthra   Sundaram,   the
    Tecfidera program director. Sundaram was a "dotted line" report
    to Scangos. According to CW 10, "Biogen's sales and commercial
    teams monitored sales numbers through various reports" after the
    PML incident and the company "reached out to the top prescribing
    doctors as well as big pharmaceutical companies such as CVS
    Caremark and Walgreens."      CW 10 further asserted that the
    company's commercial team performed "deep drill downs" into sales
    data, and that Sundaram accompanied Biogen medical-science
    liaisons on "ride-alongs" to meet doctors and "discuss the PML
    death." CW 10 said that the Tecfidera team met weekly to discuss
    sales data and the effect of the PML death on sales, and that
    Sundaram regularly communicated with Scangos and senior management
    following that meeting.
    But although CW 10's information has a tighter connection to
    the defendants, it still lacks the necessary particularity. And
    nothing about CW 10's statements contradicts the company's public
    position or gives further context to the alleged misstatements.
    The fact that the company's Tecfidera team was actively monitoring
    sales in the wake of the PML incident and reported findings to
    senior management is unremarkable.        It comports with the
    defendants' public statements, which repeatedly returned to the
    PML incident as one factor impacting Tecfidera's performance.
    - 18 -
    investors"    and     they    had   no    particularized        connection   to   the
    defendants).
    Likewise,       the    various     "evidentiary      admissions"     GBR
    points to as indicative of scienter all involve statements made by
    the defendants, well after the end of the Class Period, that do
    not provide particularized insight into the defendants' knowledge
    at the time of the alleged misstatements.                See In re: Ariad Pharm.,
    Inc. Sec. Litig., 
    842 F.3d 744
    , 751 (1st Cir. 2016) (finding no
    strong inference of scienter where complaint failed to plead "any
    specific facts about when the defendants learned of the[] adverse
    events or even when the adverse events occurred").                        The use of
    these statements amounts to little more than pleading fraud by
    hindsight.        See Miss. Pub. Emps.' Ret. Sys. v. Bos. Sci. Corp.,
    
    523 F.3d 75
    , 90 (1st Cir. 2008) ("Fraud by hindsight refers to
    allegations       that   assert     no   more     than   that   because    something
    eventually went wrong, defendants must have known about the problem
    earlier."); M. Gulati et al., Fraud by Hindsight, 98 Nw. U. L.
    Rev. 773, 787 (2004) (discussing hindsight bias).
    2.     "Core Operations" Allegations
    GBR claims that the district court wrongly discounted
    the amended complaint's "core operations" allegations because
    there was no "smoking gun" or "plus factor," and argues that to
    - 19 -
    impose such a requirement runs afoul of the Supreme Court's
    guidance in Tellabs.
    We    need   not   resolve      the   standard    by     which    "core
    operations" allegations may give rise to a strong inference of
    scienter, because the allegations here clearly fall short.                       The
    allegations are inapt because the evidence does not establish that,
    at the time the challenged statements were made, there existed
    reasonably        accessible    data    within      the     company    materially
    contradicting those statements.
    The    defendants'     compensation          structure    and     stock
    holdings also weaken any inference of scienter.                As the complaint
    says, Scangos's and Clancy's compensation was keyed in part to
    revenue growth.         But the complaint never alleges that there was
    any misreporting of revenue.            Further, the individual defendants
    increased their stock holdings in Biogen during the Class Period,
    and the defendants in fact suffered losses as a result of Biogen's
    decline in stock price.         This too cuts against scienter.           See Fire
    & Police 
    Pension, 778 F.3d at 246
    (finding that an increase in
    stock holdings during the Class Period on the part of a defendant
    "negate[d] any inference that he had a motive to artificially
    inflate [the company's] stock during that period"); Maldonado v.
    Dominguez, 
    137 F.3d 1
    , 12 n.9 (1st Cir. 1998) (defendants' personal
    losses cut against inference of scienter); cf. Brennan, 
    2017 WL 1291194
    ,   at      *6   (finding   insider      trading    allegations    of   only
    - 20 -
    "marginal" benefit because the corporate "insiders [had] kept the
    vast majority of their [stock] holdings").
    Ultimately, the scienter analysis involves evaluating
    the   complaint        as     a    whole,      including     "plausible          opposing
    inferences."       
    Tellabs, 551 U.S. at 323
    .               Here, we agree with the
    district court that the strongest inferences are in favor of the
    defendants.       See Brennan, 
    2017 WL 1291194
    , at *8 ("[T]he facts
    alleged in the complaint at the very least support a strong
    competing    inference        that      the   defendants     disclosed         what   they
    considered        to    be,        at    the      time,      the        most     relevant
    information . . . .").
    3.    Section 20(a) Claim
    Given that the Section 10(b) claim fails, GBR's Section
    20(a) claim necessarily fails as well, because GBR has not stated
    an underlying violation of the Exchange Act.                      See ACA Fin. Guar.
    
    Corp., 512 F.3d at 67
    –68.
    B.    Denial of Motion to Vacate and for Leave to File Second
    Amended Complaint
    GBR argues that the district court erred by not granting
    its motion to vacate the judgment and for leave to file a second
    amended   complaint.          It     insists    it   was    put    in    an    impossible
    situation.     GBR claims that it diligently secured new evidence and
    that it could not have done so earlier.                [The district court found
    to the contrary].       GBR argues that the obligations of Federal Rule
    - 21 -
    of Civil Procedure 11 -- which requires parties to "certif[y] that
    to the best of [their] knowledge, information, and belief, formed
    after an inquiry reasonable under the circumstances . . . the
    factual contentions [in the motion] have evidentiary support,"
    Fed. R. Civ. P. 11(b) -- precluded the plaintiffs from raising
    this new information until they had completed an ethics review of
    the new materials and completely vetted the allegations.               GBR
    argues that the district court did not properly evaluate the
    timeline in which the plaintiffs could reasonably secure and vet
    this new evidence in compliance with Rule 11 before moving for
    leave to amend the complaint.     The argument fails.
    "We review a district court's decision to grant or deny
    a motion for reconsideration under Rules 59(e) and 60(b) of the
    Federal Rules of Civil Procedure for manifest abuse of discretion."
    Ruiz Rivera v. Pfizer Pharm., LLC, 
    521 F.3d 76
    , 81 (1st Cir. 2008).
    There was no abuse of discretion at all in denying the motion.
    GBR has not shown either that the purportedly new evidence would
    have made a difference to the district court's decision whether to
    grant the motion to dismiss or that the plaintiffs could not have
    gotten the evidence earlier.       GBR's argument that the district
    court abused its discretion by failing to account for the time
    needed for the plaintiffs to comply with Rule 11 is misplaced.
    The   new   evidence   consisted   of   allegations   from   two
    additional confidential witnesses, CW 11 and CW 12, and a sworn
    - 22 -
    declaration by Dr. Ben Thrower, Medical Director of the Shepherd
    Center Multiple Sclerosis Institute in Atlanta.
    Dr.   Thrower's    declaration     states   that   the    Shepherd
    Center determined "in approximately August 2014 that Tecfidera
    compromised patients' immune systems (as was reinforced by the PML
    death    announced   on   October   22,   2014),"   and    that   the   Center
    immediately    "completely     stopped    prescribing     Tecfidera     for   MS
    patients" and "discontinued at least half of the 400 patients
    taking Tecfidera."8       As counsel for GBR conceded at oral argument,
    Dr. Thrower does not say that the Shepherd Center took its actions
    in response to the PML incident.             His statement merely alleges
    that the Shepherd Center stopped prescribing Tecfidera and took
    many patients off the drug around August 2014, which was well
    before the PML incident and the start of the Class Period.9              There
    can be no abuse of discretion in denying the motion, and GBR's
    Rule 11 argument does nothing to address this.
    The district court also acted well within its discretion
    by denying the motion because the plaintiffs could have presented
    8    CW 12, a former Biogen Area Business Manager in Atlanta,
    alleges that Biogen was aware of the Center's decision.
    9    The information from CW 11, a former Biogen Senior
    Territory Business Manager in Pennsylvania, is also inadequate.
    CW 11's information does not quantify the impact of the PML
    incident on Tecfidera sales nationally, it has no particularized
    connection to the defendants, and it does not contradict the
    defendants' public positions.
    - 23 -
    the evidence earlier.10           It is undisputed that the plaintiffs were
    aware of all three of the new sources they now identify before the
    district court entered its order of dismissal.                   And GBR does not
    offer        a   "cogent   reason"   for   why   it   could   not   have   obtained
    information          about     Tecfidera    discontinuations        from    medical
    institutions sooner.            Fisher v. Kadant, Inc., 
    589 F.3d 505
    , 513
    (1st Cir. 2009).             Without showing that the plaintiffs could not
    in the exercise of reasonable diligence have obtained this new
    evidence earlier, GBR's argument that the district court abused
    its discretion by failing to account for the time the plaintiffs
    needed to vet the evidence to meet their Rule 11 obligations has
    no force.
    The district court did not err in denying the second
    motion to amend, which was filed post-dismissal.                     It commented
    that     the      plaintiffs    could   have     alerted   the   court     to   their
    intentions earlier, but did not.                 Here, the district court gave
    the plaintiffs the full time they requested in order to file the
    initial amendment and allowed that amended complaint, and the
    plaintiffs had the motion to dismiss in hand for nearly four months
    10See Fed. R. Civ. P. 60(b)(2) (court may relieve party
    from final judgment if party presents "newly discovered evidence
    that, with reasonable diligence, could not have been discovered in
    time to move for a new trial under Rule 59(b)"); Emmanuel v. Int'l
    Bhd. of Teamsters, Local Union No. 25, 
    426 F.3d 416
    , 422 (1st Cir.
    2005) (Rule 59(e) motions on the basis of new evidence succeed
    only when evidence could not "have been presented earlier" "in the
    exercise of due diligence").
    - 24 -
    before the district court ruled.      As we have said before, under
    circumstances like these, we wish to discourage any expectation
    that there will be "leisurely repeated bites at the apple." ACA
    Fin. Guar. 
    Corp., 512 F.3d at 57
    .
    IV.
    Affirmed.   Costs are awarded to the defendants.
    - 25 -