Justiniano v. Social Security Administration , 876 F.3d 14 ( 2017 )


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  •            United States Court of Appeals
    For the First Circuit
    No. 16-2227
    DANIEL JUSTINIANO; FRANCISCO MENÉNDEZ; PERSON A,
    Plaintiffs, Appellants,
    v.
    SOCIAL SECURITY ADMINISTRATION; NANCY A. BERRYHILL, Acting
    Commissioner of the Social Security Administration,*
    Defendants, Appellees.
    APPEAL FROM THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF PUERTO RICO
    [Hon. Jay A. García-Gregory, U.S. District Judge]
    Before
    Howard, Chief Judge,
    Torruella and Barron, Circuit Judges.
    Javier Andrés Colón Volgamore for appellants.
    Thomas Pulham, Attorney, Appellate Staff, Civil Division,
    U.S. Department of Justice, with whom Benjamin C. Mizer, Principal
    Deputy Assistant Attorney General, Rosa E. Rodríguez-Vélez, United
    States Attorney, and Mark B. Stern, Attorney, Appellate Staff,
    Civil Division, were on brief, for appellees.
    * Pursuant to Fed. R. App. P. 43(c)(2), Acting Commissioner
    of the Social Security Administration Nancy A. Berryhill has been
    substituted for former Acting Commissioner of the Social Security
    Administration Carolyn W. Colvin as defendant-appellee.
    November 21, 2017
    BARRON,    Circuit    Judge.        The        Social    Security
    Administration ("SSA") terminated the disability benefits that
    Daniel   Justiniano   and   Francisco    Menéndez    --    the   plaintiffs-
    appellants -- had been receiving.1         The SSA did so based on a
    concern that the medical evidence that supported Justiniano's and
    Menéndez's applications for those benefits was fraudulent because
    in each case that evidence was traceable to a physician who was
    the subject of a federal fraud investigation.
    Justiniano and Menéndez each challenged administratively
    the SSA's decision to terminate the benefits for which they had
    applied.    Justiniano and Menéndez contended that, among other
    things, the SSA, in so deciding, neither adequately notified them
    of the evidence of fraud nor provided them with an opportunity to
    challenge that evidence.     Justiniano and Menéndez contended that,
    in consequence, the SSA violated their constitutional right to due
    process of law and their rights under the Social Security Act and
    its implementing regulations.
    Before the two men had exhausted the administrative
    review process, however, they filed suit in federal court.                In
    that suit, they sought various kinds of relief based presumably on
    the same grounds as the claims that they had presented to the SSA
    1 The complaint also names "Person A" as a plaintiff. But,
    because the plaintiffs do not discuss this third plaintiff in their
    appellate brief, neither do we do so here.
    - 3 -
    in seeking to continue to receive their benefits.           The government
    moved to dismiss the suit, and the District Court did so for lack
    of subject matter jurisdiction based on the plaintiffs' failure to
    have exhausted their administrative remedies.
    Justiniano and Menéndez now appeal that jurisdictional
    ruling.    Because they have failed to show that they could not
    obtain a restoration of their benefits through the administrative
    review process, despite evidence suggesting that they would have
    a substantial chance of doing so, we affirm.
    I.
    The undisputed facts are drawn from the complaint and
    certain documents and affidavits that were filed by the parties
    below.    See Aversa v. United States, 
    99 F.3d 1200
    , 1209–10 (1st
    Cir. 1996).       For several years, Justiniano and Menéndez received
    benefits under the Social Security disability insurance program
    established by Title II of the Social Security Act, 42 U.S.C.
    §§ 401-34.
    In   November   of   2013,    however,   the   SSA   notified
    Justiniano and Menéndez that their benefits were being suspended
    pending a redetermination of their entitlement to them.           The SSA
    was acting pursuant to a provision in the Social Security Act, 42
    U.S.C. § 405(u), by which "[t]he Commissioner of Social Security
    shall immediately redetermine the entitlement of individuals to
    monthly insurance benefits . . . if there is reason to believe
    - 4 -
    that fraud or similar fault was involved in the application of the
    individual for such benefits." 
    Id. § 405(u)(1)(A).
    Section 405(u)
    provides that, during the redetermination process, the SSA "shall
    disregard" any evidence in an application for benefits that the
    agency has "reason to believe" is fraudulent.            
    Id. § 405(u)(1)(B).
    And, the provision further specifies, the SSA "may terminate" a
    claimant's benefits if, after reviewing what evidence is left in
    the application for benefits, "there is insufficient evidence to
    support [an] entitlement" to benefits.            
    Id. § 405(u)(3).
    Here,   the    SSA's     notices   to   Justiniano   and   Menéndez
    explained that a redetermination of the disability benefits that
    each had been receiving was necessary because each of their
    applications    for   those      benefits    possibly    contained   medical
    evidence from one of several suspects who was under federal
    investigation for fraud in connection with the filing of disability
    benefits applications.        Those notices indicated, however, that
    additional evidence could be presented to the SSA in support of
    the disability benefits application.          Medical reports from doctors
    whom Justiniano and Menéndez allege they consulted were received
    by the agency following those notices.
    Within two months of sending the notices regarding the
    suspension of the benefits, the SSA completed the process of
    redetermining   the     benefits    for     Justiniano   and   Menéndez   and
    separately notified each of them of the termination of the benefits
    - 5 -
    that they had been receiving.       Each termination notice explained
    that the SSA had "disregarded" medical evidence in the benefits
    application that had been provided by a physician who had pleaded
    guilty in the fraud investigation.         In consequence, each notice
    explained that, based on a review of the evidence that remained in
    each application for benefits, the applicant was "not disabled"
    and thus not entitled to disability benefits.
    Each plaintiff requested reconsideration of the SSA's
    decision to terminate benefits.           The SSA then confirmed its
    termination decisions in the summer of 2014.           The SSA advised both
    Justiniano and Menéndez that they could appeal from the benefits
    termination     decisions    by   requesting     a     hearing   before   an
    administrative law judge ("ALJ").         Both Justiniano and Menéndez
    did so.
    In October of 2015, however, in advance of any hearing
    before an ALJ on either Justiniano's or Menéndez's administrative
    appeal, they jointly filed this suit in the United States District
    Court for the District of Puerto Rico.           Their complaint in that
    suit challenges the SSA's termination of their benefits on the
    following grounds.
    The    complaint    alleges     that   the    SSA's    termination
    decision in each case was made without providing (1) adequate
    notice of the evidence of fraud that the SSA relied on in making
    its decision to disregard the medical evidence contained in the
    - 6 -
    plaintiffs' benefits' applications and (2) any opportunity to
    challenge the finding of fraud in their individual cases.2                The
    plaintiffs also deny in their complaint that any medical evidence
    in their benefits applications was fraudulent.             Their complaint
    thus alleges that the SSA "reopen[ed]" the plaintiffs' cases "in
    bulk" simply by relying on evidence of fraud from "unrelated" cases
    that merely happened to contain medical evidence from the same
    physicians who provided evidence in the plaintiffs' cases.
    The    complaint    further   alleges    that   the   termination
    notices that the SSA sent to the plaintiffs were "boilerplate"
    that neither informed the plaintiffs "what actions (if any) by the
    plaintiffs constituted fraud" nor identified "what evidence the
    [SSA] relied on to make its decision."        In addition, the complaint
    alleges that the plaintiffs were "not allowed to challenge the
    decision   that   fraud   or   similar     fault   was   present   in   their
    individual cases" and that, during the redetermination process,
    "[t]he only evidence that would be received was evidence of [a]
    medical nature and only evidence in support of a finding of the
    2 The complaint also alleges that the SSA "failed to provide
    the plaintiffs with adequate notice of the intent to terminate
    benefits." The government pointed out at oral argument that the
    plaintiffs have not developed any argument as to why the SSA's
    initial notices of suspension pending a redetermination of
    eligibility for benefits provided insufficient notice of the SSA's
    intent to terminate benefits. We agree, and we therefore consider
    the issue waived. See United States v. Zannino, 
    895 F.2d 1
    , 17
    (1st Cir. 1990).
    - 7 -
    existence of impairment," thus excluding any "[e]vidence of the
    existence or inexistence of fraud."
    On    the     basis    of    these   allegations,   the    complaint
    contends that the SSA's benefits termination decisions violated
    various legal requirements.             In particular, the complaint alleges
    that "[t]he presumption of fraud inherent in the [SSA's] decisions
    violates the plaintiffs' Fifth Amendment right to the due process
    of law."    In this regard, the complaint asserts that "[t]he basic
    [tenets] of due process require that the [SSA] carry the initial
    burden of proof of fraud in the specific cases before the cases
    can be reopened, the medical determinations revised and benefits
    terminated.      Due process further requires adequate notification of
    any accusation against the plaintiffs . . . ."
    The complaint also alleges that the SSA's termination
    process violated the Social Security Act and its implementing
    regulations.      Specifically, the complaint alleges that the SSA had
    "reopen[ed]"      the     cases     without      complying   with     20     C.F.R.
    § 404.988(c)(1), which provides that "[a] determination, revised
    determination, decision, or revised decision may be reopened . . .
    [a]t any time if . . . [i]t was obtained by fraud or similar
    fault."    The complaint contends that the regulation’s reference to
    the   reopening      of     “[a]    determination”      (singular)         requires
    redeterminations to be made "on a case by case basis" based on
    evidence of fraud specifically tied to each individual case.
    - 8 -
    The     relief    that   the    plaintiffs       seek    in    their    suit
    includes       a     declaratory      judgment         that     the        SSA's     bulk
    redetermination of their disability benefits violated the federal
    Constitution, the Social Security Act, and certain regulations;
    actual   and       statutory    damages;     and   a    reinstatement         of    their
    benefits.3     The plaintiffs also request payment of benefits that
    were not paid during the termination period and an injunction
    against billing them for an overpayment of benefits.                       Moreover, in
    their complaint, Justiniano and Menéndez seek to assert not only
    their own claims but also those of a putative class of similarly
    situated people whose disability benefits had been terminated in
    connection with the same federal fraud investigation that formed
    the basis for the decision to terminate their benefits.
    Before    Justiniano      and    Menéndez    moved       to    have    their
    putative class certified, however, the SSA filed a motion to
    dismiss. The motion sought dismissal, in part, under Rule 12(b)(6)
    3  A second count in the complaint alleges additional
    constitutional, statutory, and regulatory violations based on the
    plaintiffs' allegation that the SSA hearing office to which the
    plaintiffs' cases had been assigned was not processing their
    administrative appeals.    The complaint includes a request for
    declaratory and injunctive relief on this count as well. However,
    on appeal, although the plaintiffs' statement of facts in their
    opening   brief  states   that   the  hearing   office  "received
    instructions to not process the cases until SSA provided further
    instructions," the plaintiffs' arguments pertain only to their
    complaint's first count that the SSA's termination process was
    unlawful.   They have thus waived any arguments with respect to
    their second count. See 
    Zannino, 895 F.2d at 17
    .
    - 9 -
    of the Federal Rules of Civil Procedure on the ground that the
    plaintiffs had failed to state a claim upon which relief could be
    granted.   The motion also sought dismissal under Rule 12(b)(1) on
    the ground that, regardless of the merits of the plaintiffs' legal
    claims, the District Court lacked subject matter jurisdiction
    under 42 U.S.C. §§ 405(g) and (h) because the plaintiffs had failed
    to exhaust the administrative remedies available to them before
    filing suit.
    Section 405(g) provides that "[a]ny individual, after
    any final decision of the Commissioner of Social Security made
    after a hearing to which he was a party . . . may obtain review of
    such decision" in federal district court.    And Section 405(h) in
    turn states:
    No action against the United States, the
    Commissioner of Social Security, or any
    officer or employee thereof shall be brought
    under   section    1331    [federal   question
    jurisdiction] or 1346 [federal defendant
    jurisdiction] of Title 28 to recover on any
    claim arising under this subchapter [governing
    the Social Security old-age, survivors, and
    disability insurance programs].
    In consequence of these two provisions, a claim for
    benefits that "arises under" the Social Security Act must comply
    with Section 405(g) in order for a federal district court to have
    jurisdiction over that claim. There are generally two requirements
    that must be met in order for a claim for benefits that "arises
    - 10 -
    under" the Social Security Act to be in compliance with Section
    405(g).
    First, "a claim for benefits shall have been presented
    to the Secretary."    Mathews v. Eldridge, 
    424 U.S. 319
    , 328 (1976).4
    Second, "the administrative remedies prescribed by the Secretary
    [must] be exhausted."    
    Id. These two
    requirements together ensure
    that an individual seeking federal judicial relief in a case
    "arising under" the Social Security Act is doing so, as Section
    405(g) requires, "after any final decision of the Commissioner of
    Social Security made after a hearing to which he was a party."
    Importantly     for        present    purposes,    although    the
    presentment   requirement       is     not     waivable,    the   exhaustion
    requirement may be.     
    Id. Moreover, in
    some cases, the exhaustion
    requirement is waived by the federal court itself and thus without
    the Secretary's consent through what is known as a judicial waiver
    of exhaustion. Heckler v. Ringer, 
    466 U.S. 602
    , 618 (1984) (citing
    
    Eldridge, 424 U.S. at 330-32
    ).5
    4 The Court's reference to a "claim for benefits" with respect
    to the presentment requirement does not necessarily indicate that
    the claim pertains to a substantive entitlement to benefits. In
    Eldridge itself, for example, the Court found that the presentment
    requirement was satisfied because a "claim for benefits" had been
    presented to the agency, even though the claim was deemed "entirely
    collateral to [the plaintiff's] substantive claim of 
    entitlement." 424 U.S. at 328
    , 330-31.
    5 The term "waiver" is, arguably, a misnomer insofar as the
    court itself -- as opposed to the agency -- would not seem to have
    any authority to "waive" a statutory requirement. More precisely,
    the judicial waiver doctrine approved by the Supreme Court reflects
    - 11 -
    With    respect   to   the   jurisdictional   question,   the
    government argued in its motion to dismiss that the plaintiffs'
    claims in their complaint "arise under" the Social Security Act.
    The government further argued that the plaintiffs had not yet
    received "final decisions" from the SSA because although the
    plaintiffs presented their claims to the SSA, they failed to
    exhaust the administrative appeals process.         Accordingly, the
    government contended that the District Court lacked subject matter
    jurisdiction.
    The plaintiffs responded below to the motion to dismiss
    for lack of subject matter jurisdiction by arguing that the claims
    in their complaint did not "arise under" the Act.       The plaintiffs
    contend on appeal that they also argued below, in the alternative,
    that -- even assuming that their claims did "arise under" the Act
    -- the plaintiffs qualified for a judicial waiver of the exhaustion
    requirement.     With respect to judicial waiver, the plaintiffs
    contend that they asserted that the claims set forth in their
    complaint in federal court were "fit for resolution" and "outside
    of the Commissioner's discretion," and that "exhaustion of the
    current administrative procedure would be futile" and further
    an interpretation of Section 405(g) according to which Congress is
    understood not to have intended the statutory requirement to apply
    in certain types of cases, notwithstanding that the agency contends
    otherwise.
    - 12 -
    delays would result in "undue hardships, dire need and undue
    suffering."
    The   plaintiffs       also    argued      that,   insofar     as   the
    exhaustion requirement would otherwise bar their claims from being
    heard in federal court, the plaintiffs were still entitled to bring
    their suit in federal court pursuant to Shalala v. Illinois Council
    on Long Term Care, Inc., 
    529 U.S. 1
    (2000).              Illinois Council held
    that where Section 405(h) "would not simply channel review through
    the agency, but would mean no review at all" by the federal courts
    of the agency action, then Section 405(h)'s jurisdictional bar
    does not apply.       
    Id. at 19.
    The District Court granted the government's motion to
    dismiss for lack of subject matter jurisdiction (and thus did not
    address whether the complaint failed to state a claim).                         The
    District Court reasoned that the plaintiffs' claims arose under
    the Social Security Act, and thus that the plaintiffs had to meet
    the presentment and exhaustion requirements in order to comply
    with the requirements of Section 405(g).                   The District Court
    concluded     that,    although     the     plaintiffs     complied      with   the
    presentment    requirement,       the     plaintiffs    did    not   satisfy    the
    exhaustion requirement because the plaintiffs had neither obtained
    a decision from an ALJ nor appealed from that decision to the SSA's
    Appeals Council.
    - 13 -
    As for the possibility of a judicial waiver of the
    exhaustion     requirement,     the    District    Court     stated     that    the
    plaintiffs     "have   not    asked     the    Court    to   waive    the      . . .
    requirement, nor does the Court see a reason to do so."                 Finally,
    the District Court ruled that the Illinois Council exception to
    Section 405(h)'s jurisdictional bar, encompassing situations where
    channeling the claims through the agency would result in "no review
    at all," did not 
    apply. 529 U.S. at 19
    .
    The   plaintiffs     now     appeal       the   District       Court's
    jurisdictional ruling.       The plaintiffs bear the burden of proving
    subject matter jurisdiction.          
    Aversa, 99 F.3d at 1209
    .          Where, as
    here, the facts are largely uncontested and the issue is a "nearly
    pure" question of law, we review de novo a district court's
    decision to grant the motion to dismiss for lack of subject matter
    jurisdiction.      Valentín v. Hosp. Bella Vista, 
    254 F.3d 358
    , 363
    (1st Cir. 2001).
    II.
    We begin with the plaintiffs' contention that their
    federal court claims do not “arise under” the Social Security Act
    and are therefore not subject to the jurisdictional limitations
    set forth in Section 405(h).          We do not find this contention to be
    persuasive.
    In Weinberger v. Salfi, 
    422 U.S. 749
    (1975), the Supreme
    Court held that a claim for relief in a lawsuit "arise[s] under"
    - 14 -
    the Social Security Act where "the Social Security Act . . .
    provides both the standing and the substantive basis for the
    presentation of [the plaintiffs'] . . . contentions."               
    Id. at 760-
    61.    There, the plaintiffs sought the payment of Social Security
    survivors insurance benefits that had been denied to them on the
    basis of a statutory restriction that they alleged violated their
    constitutional rights.         
    Id. at 753-56.
    The Supreme Court held that the plaintiffs' claims in
    their complaint did "arise under" the Social Security Act.                  
    Id. at 760-
    61.      The Court explained that the plaintiffs not only sought
    the provision of Social Security benefits as relief but also would
    have   had    no   standing    or   substantive   basis    for     their   claims
    -- including their constitutional claims -- absent the request for
    benefits under the Social Security Act.            
    Id. Many years
    later, in Illinois Council, the Supreme Court
    elaborated on its holding from Salfi. In Illinois Council, a group
    of nursing homes challenged the process by which the federal
    government imposed sanctions on nursing homes that participated in
    Medicare for the failure of such nursing homes to meet certain
    performance 
    standards. 529 U.S. at 6-7
    .           The nursing homes
    contended,     among   other    things,   that    the    process    the    federal
    government used for sanctioning nursing homes violated both the
    federal constitutional guarantee of due process of law and the
    Medicare statute.      
    Id. at 7.
    - 15 -
    The Court held that both the plaintiffs' constitutional
    claims and their statutory claims arose under the Medicare Act.
    
    Id. at 11-15.
       The Court explained that Section 405(h)'s phrase
    "any claim arising under" the Social Security Act -- or the
    Medicare Act, which incorporates Section 405(h) -- clearly covers
    a typical Social Security or Medicare benefits
    case, where an individual seeks a monetary
    benefit from the agency (say, a disability
    payment,   or   payment   for   some   medical
    procedure), the agency denies the benefit, and
    the individual challenges the lawfulness of
    that denial . . . irrespective of whether the
    individual challenges the agency's denial on
    evidentiary,      rule-related,     statutory,
    constitutional, or other legal grounds.
    
    Id. at 10.
        The Court then acknowledged that the nursing homes
    were bringing a slightly different kind of claim -- a claim where
    "one who might later seek money or some other benefit from (or
    contest the imposition of a penalty by) the agency challenges in
    advance . . . the lawfulness of a policy, regulation, or statute
    that might later bar recovery of that benefit (or authorize
    imposition of the penalty)."      
    Id. Nevertheless, the
      Court    held   that    its    precedent,
    including    Salfi,   "foreclose[d]     distinctions     based   upon   the
    'potential future' versus the 'actual present' nature of the claim,
    the 'general legal' versus the 'fact-specific' nature of the
    challenge, the 'collateral' versus 'noncollateral' nature of the
    - 16 -
    issues, or the 'declaratory' versus 'injunctive' nature of the
    relief sought."     
    Id. at 13-14.
      Instead, the Court concluded,
    [c]laims for money, claims for other benefits,
    claims of program eligibility, and claims that
    contest a sanction or remedy may all similarly
    rest      upon     individual      fact-related
    circumstances, may all similarly dispute
    agency policy determinations, or may all
    similarly      involve     the     application,
    interpretation,    or   constitutionality    of
    interrelated     regulations    or    statutory
    provisions. There is no reason to distinguish
    among them in terms of the language or in terms
    of the purposes of § 405(h).
    
    Id. at 14.
    In this case, the plaintiffs' claims that the agency
    unlawfully terminated their benefits without adequate notice of
    the evidence of fraud or an opportunity to challenge that evidence
    are, like the claims in Illinois Council, predicated on the
    plaintiffs' potential future entitlement to those benefits.         For
    that reason, the plaintiffs' claims here, like those in Illinois
    Council, "arise under" the Act because the Act provides "the
    standing and the substantive basis" for the claims they bring in
    their suit.     
    Id. at 12
    (quoting 
    Salfi, 422 U.S. at 760-61
    ).
    In challenging this conclusion, the plaintiffs contend
    that their claims do not "arise under" the Social Security Act
    because the claims are based, in part, on their constitutional
    right to due process and not merely on the agency's purported
    violations of the Act and its implementing regulations.        But Salfi
    - 17 -
    and Illinois Council make clear that the fact that the plaintiffs
    have a constitutional basis for their claims does not change the
    fact that those claims "arise under" the Act.    See Ill. 
    Council, 529 U.S. at 11-14
    ; 
    Salfi, 422 U.S. at 760-61
    .      What matters is
    that those claims are predicated on -- and thus "arise under"
    -- the plaintiffs' interest in obtaining the benefits to which
    they contend they are entitled under the Act.
    III.
    Because the plaintiffs' claims "arise under" the Social
    Security Act, those claims may be heard in federal court only if
    the plaintiffs are in compliance with Section 405(g). The District
    Court determined, and the parties agree, that although the relevant
    claims have been presented to the SSA, the plaintiffs have neither
    exhausted their administrative remedies nor obtained a waiver from
    the agency.
    Although the plaintiffs contend that they are entitled
    to a judicial waiver of the exhaustion requirement, before diving
    into that issue, we first consider whether we even need to address
    judicial waiver at all.   As we explained above, if the plaintiffs
    can show that subjecting their claims to the requirement of Section
    405(g) would result in "no review at all," as they contend is the
    case, then there is no need for the plaintiffs to show that their
    claims qualify for a judicial waiver of exhaustion.   Ill. Council,
    - 18 
    - 529 U.S. at 19
    .        And so we first address the merits of this
    alternative ground for reversing the jurisdictional ruling below.
    The plaintiffs contend that the agency's choice to bar
    them    from    presenting       evidence      challenging     the      agency's
    determination of fraud in their individual cases prohibits them
    from developing a full evidentiary record that would allow a
    federal     district   court   to    meaningfully    review       the   agency's
    decision.    As a result, the plaintiffs argue that, insofar as they
    are unable to meet the exhaustion requirement of Section 405(g),
    it does not matter because the result would be "no review at all"
    of the agency's fraud determination.             They thus assert that the
    exception to Section 405(g)'s exhaustion requirement set forth in
    Illinois Council applies here.         We do not agree.
    In Illinois Council, the Supreme Court rejected the very
    line of reasoning on which the plaintiffs rely.              There, the Court
    explained that:
    The fact that the agency might not provide a
    hearing for [a] particular contention . . . is
    beside the point . . . . After the action has
    been so channeled [through the agency], the
    court will consider the contention when it
    later reviews the action.        And a court
    reviewing an agency determination under
    § 405(g) has . . . , where necessary, the
    authority to develop an evidentiary record.
    
    Id. at 23-24
      (citations    omitted).       The   plaintiffs       do   not
    satisfactorily      explain    why    the     opportunity    to    develop     an
    evidentiary record for the first time in federal district court,
    - 19 -
    after exhaustion, regarding the agency's determination of fraud,
    would be insufficient.       Thus, we reject the plaintiffs' argument
    that applying the jurisdictional bar of Section 405(h) would result
    in no judicial review at all, because we have no reason to think
    that review under Section 405(g) will not offer them an adequate
    opportunity to present their claims in federal court following the
    exhaustion of the administrative review process.
    IV.
    With the "no review at all" exception out of the way, we
    now   confront   the    judicial   waiver   of   exhaustion    issue,   which
    provides the last route by which the plaintiffs may show that,
    notwithstanding their failure to have exhausted their claims in
    the   manner     Section    405(g)    otherwise     requires,      there   is
    jurisdiction for a federal district court to hear their suit.              The
    District Court concluded that the plaintiffs had not sought a
    judicial waiver of exhaustion and that, in any event, there was no
    reason to grant such a judicial waiver.
    In    challenging   the    District     Court's    jurisdictional
    ruling, the plaintiffs take aim at each of the District Court's
    determinations regarding their entitlement to a judicial waiver of
    exhaustion.      And,    notwithstanding     the    government's    contrary
    contention on appeal, the plaintiffs do appear to have made the
    judicial waiver argument below in their memorandum in opposition
    to the government's motion to dismiss.           In fact, the government's
    - 20 -
    own reply memorandum to that filing by the plaintiffs recognized
    as much, in stating that the "[p]laintiffs . . . assert that the
    Act's   administrative   exhaustion   requirement     should   be     waived
    because exhaustion would be futile."         Thus, even assuming our
    review of a finding as to waiver is only for clear error, we hold
    that the District Court clearly erred in deeming the request for
    a judicial waiver waived.
    The   government   nevertheless   argues   that,    if    we   are
    "inclined to overlook the forfeiture," we should not reverse the
    decision below.      Instead, the government contends, we at most
    should remand to the District Court for it to consider the issue
    of judicial waiver of exhaustion in the first instance.             But, the
    District Court appears to have passed on the merits of that issue
    below by concluding that, insofar as the plaintiffs had made a
    request for a judicial waiver of exhaustion, it would be denied on
    the ground that there was no reason to grant such a judicial waiver
    in this case.    In light of that ruling on the merits, we thus do
    not see why there is any necessary reason to remand, as the
    government agrees that the question whether a request for a
    judicial waiver of exhaustion must be granted is a legal one that
    we review de novo.    See Wilkerson v. Bowen, 
    828 F.2d 117
    , 119 (3d
    Cir. 1987).
    We thus turn to the merits of the judicial waiver issue,
    so that we may decide whether, on the record developed below, there
    - 21 -
    is any reason to disturb the District Court's apparent conclusion
    that no judicial waiver of exhaustion is warranted.                     We begin by
    laying out the precedent that guides us in undertaking that
    inquiry.     We then apply that precedent to the facts of the present
    case.
    A.
    The Supreme Court first recognized that a court may waive
    the   exhaustion     requirement    under       Section    405(g)      without   the
    Secretary's consent in Eldridge.              There, the Court explained that
    judicial    waiver   of   exhaustion      is    proper     "where   a    claimant's
    interest in having a particular issue resolved promptly is so great
    that deference to the agency's judgment is 
    inappropriate." 424 U.S. at 330
    .
    In Eldridge, the plaintiff, without first exhausting his
    administrative remedies, had brought a constitutional claim in
    federal district court in which he contended that he was entitled
    to    an   evidentiary    hearing   prior       to   the   termination      of   his
    disability    benefits.      
    Id. at 324-25.
            The   Court    waived   the
    exhaustion requirement in that case for two reasons.                    
    Id. at 330-
    32.
    First, the Court explained that the plaintiff's claim
    was "entirely collateral to his substantive claim of entitlement,"
    
    id. at 330,
    given that it pertained to the process to which he
    alleged he was constitutionally entitled, rather than to a claim
    - 22 -
    to the benefits themselves.             See 
    id. at 333.
           The Court reached
    that conclusion even though the plaintiff's complaint requested a
    reinstatement of benefits pending an evidentiary hearing.                        See 
    id. at 325.
    Second, the Court concluded that the plaintiff could
    show “at least a colorable claim” that an erroneous termination
    would irreparably harm him.               
    Id. at 331.
              In reaching that
    conclusion,    the     Court    pointed       to   the    plaintiff's      allegation
    concerning     "his    physical       condition     and    dependency          upon   the
    disability benefits."          
    Id. The Supreme
    Court next elaborated on the circumstances
    in which judicial waiver of the exhaustion requirement under
    Section 405(g) is appropriate in Bowen v. City of New York, 
    476 U.S. 467
    (1986).       And, once again, as in Eldridge, the Court found
    the conditions for judicial waiver of the exhaustion requirement
    satisfied.     See 
    id. at 482-86.
    In City of New York, a class of plaintiffs challenged
    the   SSA's    unpublished       policy       of   presuming,       in    determining
    eligibility for disability insurance benefits, that people with
    certain types of disabilities were capable of performing unskilled
    labor.    
    Id. at 473.
         The class alleged that the policy violated
    the   Constitution,       the        Social    Security      Act,        and    certain
    regulations.     
    Id. The district
    court had certified a class to
    - 23 -
    challenge the policy and that class included claimants who had not
    exhausted their administrative remedies.      
    Id. at 475.
    The Supreme Court held that the district court did not
    err by waiving the exhaustion requirement with respect to those
    class members.   
    Id. at 486.
      The Court reasoned, first, that the
    plaintiffs' claims were collateral to their substantive claim for
    benefits, because "[t]he class members neither sought nor were
    awarded benefits in the District Court, but rather challenged the
    Secretary's failure to follow the applicable regulations."   
    Id. at 483.
      The Court reasoned, second, that the plaintiffs might be
    irreparably injured if forced to exhaust their administrative
    remedies because the district court had found that "[t]he ordeal
    of having to go through the administrative appeal process may
    trigger a severe medical setback."      
    Id. Importantly, however,
    City of New York explained that
    those two factors from Eldridge -- concerning the collateral nature
    of the claim and the irreparable harm the plaintiff faces -- are
    not the only considerations in assessing whether to permit a
    judicial waiver of exhaustion.   After noting Eldridge's admonition
    that the exhaustion doctrine is "intensely practical," the Court
    in City of New York explained that "[t]he ultimate decision of
    whether to waive exhaustion should not be made solely by mechanical
    application of the Eldridge factors, but should also be guided by
    - 24 -
    the policies underlying the exhaustion requirement."                 
    Id. at 484
    (quoting 
    Eldridge, 424 U.S. at 331
    n.11).
    The    Court   in     City   of    New    York    then   undertook    an
    "intensely practical" inquiry in which it determined that the
    policies underlying the exhaustion requirement weighed in favor of
    immediate review.      
    Id. The Court
    determined in this regard that
    the district court had not prematurely interfered with the agency's
    processes because, although it took jurisdiction of the case, it
    ordered "simply that the claims be reopened at the administrative
    level."    
    Id. at 485.
         The      Court    also    observed   "unique
    circumstances" in the case that warranted immediate review.                    
    Id. Specifically, the
    plaintiffs challenged a "systemwide" policy
    -- rather than a deviation in the agency's application of its
    regulations to individual cases -- that did not depend on the
    particular facts of the underlying cases and which policy the
    agency seemed unlikely to abandon in light of the "pressure" the
    agency placed on state agencies to enforce the policy.                  
    Id. In addition,
    the Court noted that the agency's policy was "unrevealed"
    insofar as the agency had not disclosed it to claimants.                
    Id. Both before
    and after City of New York, we have explained
    more generally that the exhaustion doctrine serves the following
    important interests:
    [Exhaustion] allows the agency to develop a
    factual record, to apply its expertise to a
    problem, to exercise its discretion, and to
    - 25 -
    correct its own mistakes, all before a court
    will intervene.       Insofar as specialized
    administrative understanding is important,
    the   doctrine   thereby    promotes   accurate
    results, not only at the agency level, but
    also by allowing more informed judicial
    review. By limiting judicial interruption of
    agency proceedings, the doctrine can encourage
    expeditious decision making.        Insofar as
    Congress has provided that an agency will
    decide a matter in the first instance, to
    apply the doctrine normally furthers specific
    Congressional intent.      And, as a general
    matter, the doctrine promotes a sensible
    division of tasks between the agency and the
    court:   litigants    are    discouraged   from
    weakening the position of the agency by
    flouting its processes, while court resources
    are reserved for dealing primarily with those
    matters   which    could    not   be   resolved
    administratively. Thus, the doctrine serves
    the interests of accuracy, efficiency, agency
    autonomy and judicial economy.
    Doyle v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., 
    848 F.2d 296
    , 300 (1st
    Cir. 1988); Wilson v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., 
    671 F.2d 673
    , 677-78 (1st Cir. 1982).6
    Doyle is our only post-City of New York precedent that
    squarely addresses the circumstances in which it may be proper to
    permit a judicial waiver of exhaustion under Section 405(g).
    There, we concluded, in dicta, that City of New York establishes
    that
    6Although Wilson predates City of New York, there
    -- consistent with what City of New York would later require -- we
    applied the two Eldridge factors in our waiver analysis and also
    considered whether the interests underwriting the exhaustion
    requirement would be served by insisting on exhaustion in that
    case. See 
    Wilson, 671 F.2d at 677-79
    .
    - 26 -
    when a plaintiff attacks the lawfulness of an
    important 'systemwide' agency policy (say, a
    constitutional    challenge   to    a   policy
    disqualifying a large class of potential
    Social Security recipients), the Supreme Court
    has held that the agency must waive its
    exhaustion requirements. In that sort of case
    exhaustion serves little purpose; the agency's
    policy is well-established and unlikely to
    change; agency expertise is not particularly
    likely to help the court; and, at the same
    time, to insist upon exhaustion of agency
    procedures might well physically harm a
    plaintiff needing 
    benefits. 848 F.2d at 300
    (citing City of New 
    York, 476 U.S. at 482-87
    ).
    In Doyle itself, however, we did not ultimately permit
    a judicial waiver of exhaustion.         
    Id. There, a
    physician who had
    been sanctioned with a ban from treating Medicare patients claimed
    that the sanctioning body had not properly applied the factors
    that, by regulation, it was required to consider in recommending
    such a sanction to the agency.        
    Id. at 299.
      In declining to waive
    the exhaustion requirement for the physician, we pointed to three
    features of the case.       See 
    id. at 300.
    We   noted   that   the    plaintiff   was    not    challenging   a
    systemwide policy, as had been the case in City of New York.              
    Id. Rather, the
      plaintiff    was   challenging    only   how    the   relevant
    regulatory factors were weighed in his particular case.
    We also explained that there was no reason to think that
    the agency had a "closed mind" on the matter.             
    Id. We explained
    - 27 -
    in that regard that it was not a "long-standing policy that [was]
    under attack."   
    Id. at 300-01.
    Finally, we reasoned that the court would benefit from
    the exercise of agency expertise that would be brought to bear
    through the playing out of the full administrative review process,
    as well as from the complete administrative record that would be
    developed through that process.       
    Id. at 300.
       We noted that such
    a process would permit the agency to bring its expertise to bear
    on the issues of both how the regulatory factors ought to be
    weighed under the agency's own regulation and whether any deviation
    from the norm had prejudiced the physician.         
    Id. B. It
    is against this legal background that we must assess
    whether the plaintiffs in this case are entitled to have the
    exhaustion requirement waived judicially.     As in Eldridge and City
    of New York, their claims are collateral to the claim for benefits,
    and we may assume that they have sufficiently alleged irreparable
    harm.7   However,   the   practical    considerations     underlying   the
    7Because neither factor was present in Wilson, that precedent
    does not control here, despite the government's reliance on it.
    
    See 671 F.2d at 679
    ("[T]his case neither involves a
    'constitutional challenge entirely collateral to . . . [a]
    substantive claim of entitlement' . . . nor some special 'damage'
    caused by failure to give a predetermination hearing 'not
    recompensable through retroactive payments.'" (quoting 
    Eldridge, 424 U.S. at 330
    , 331)).    Rather, there, the plaintiff sought a
    one-time refund payment of $173.47, rather than claiming that she
    - 28 -
    exhaustion requirement that we identified in Doyle would be served
    by applying that requirement -- rather than its exception -- in
    the circumstances of this case.          Accordingly, we conclude that the
    District     Court   correctly     concluded     that    a   waiver      of   that
    requirement was not warranted.
    1.
    We   start   with   the     issue   whether     the   claims     that
    Justiniano    and    Menéndez    bring    in   federal   court     are   entirely
    collateral to the claim for benefits that would be the subject of
    the administrative appeals process that they seek to bypass. Their
    federal court complaint alleges that the SSA applied an unlawful
    presumption in the agency's eligibility determination process in
    terminating their benefits.        That presumption was that the medical
    evidence in the plaintiffs' applications was fraudulent simply
    because the evidence was provided by a physician who had been
    convicted of fraud with respect to other, "unrelated" applications
    for disability benefits.
    Given the nature of that contention, a win for the
    plaintiffs in federal court would not necessarily entitle them to
    benefits. Rather, a win in federal court would necessarily provide
    them with only the process for having determined their eligibility
    for benefits to which they claim they are legally entitled.
    was entitled to particular process rights going forward, without
    which there would be a risk of irreparable harm. 
    Id. at 674-77.
    - 29 -
    Accordingly, their claims in federal court are entirely collateral
    to their claim for benefits, just as were the claims in federal
    court that were at issue in Eldridge and City of New York.8
    Of    course,   the   plaintiffs   have   asked,   among    other
    relief, for a reinstatement of benefits. But that feature of their
    suit does not require -- as the government contends -- a different
    conclusion regarding whether their claims are collateral to a
    substantive claim of entitlement to those benefits.              Like in
    
    Eldridge, 424 U.S. at 325
    , the plaintiffs have simply sought a
    reinstatement    of   benefits    pending    the    completion   of     the
    redetermination process to which they claim they are entitled.
    8 We reject the government's contention that, on this factor,
    the case is instead more like Ringer. The plaintiffs in Ringer
    sought a declaration that a particular surgical procedure was
    reimbursable under the Medicare Act and an injunction compelling
    such 
    reimbursement. 466 U.S. at 610-11
    . The Court held that, at
    bottom, the plaintiffs' claims were not wholly collateral to a
    claim for benefits. 
    Id. at 618.
    The Court so held even though
    -- in its separate analysis of the presentment requirement -- it
    observed that "[a]rguably" the plaintiffs raised procedural
    objections both to the agency's "decision to issue a generally
    applicable rule rather than to allow individual adjudication" and
    to the agency's alleged failure to comply with the Administrative
    Procedure Act in issuing that rule. 
    Id. at 614.
    But, "ALJs were
    consistently ruling in favor of individual . . . claimants" in
    individual adjudication before ALJs who were not bound by the rule.
    
    Id. at 607-08.
    Ringer is therefore unlike Eldridge or City of New
    York, in which there was no similarly foregone conclusion that the
    plaintiffs would obtain the benefits they sought if their
    procedural challenges succeeded. And, on that score, the case at
    hand is more like Eldridge and City of New York, rather than
    Ringer, given that there is no dispute that the policy the
    plaintiffs challenge on "procedural" grounds here is hardly the
    only impediment to their establishing their entitlement to
    benefits.
    - 30 -
    They    are   in   no     way   seeking    to   adjudicate        their    substantive
    eligibility for benefits in their federal suit.
    Finally, the government is also wrong to contend that
    the plaintiffs' claims in federal court are not entirely collateral
    to their claim for benefits because the plaintiffs assert that the
    SSA     violated    the    Social    Security        Act    and   its     implementing
    regulations.       The Court made clear in City of New York that a claim
    does not lose its status as being entirely collateral to a claim
    for benefits just because that entirely collateral claim asserts
    a   violation      of    the    Social    Security    Act    or    its    implementing
    
    regulations. 476 U.S. at 483
    .
    2.
    The plaintiffs also have arguably presented a colorable
    claim that they will be irreparably harmed absent a judicial waiver
    of exhaustion.          They allege that they depended on the disability
    benefits for income to pay, among other things, for medical care
    and water and electric services, and that they have now become
    dependent on family members to pay for such services.                            Thus,
    because they allege that they are no longer financially self-
    sufficient as a result of the loss of income from their disability
    benefits, they may be unable to access those essential services
    during the time it would take them to exhaust the administrative
    remedies available to them, seemingly resulting in irreparable
    harm.
    - 31 -
    The Court's observation in Illinois Council that an
    "occasional individual, delay-related hardship" may be an expected
    price of Section 405(h)'s exhaustion 
    requirement, 529 U.S. at 13
    ,
    does not appear to undermine the conclusion that Justiniano and
    Menéndez face irreparable harm, as the government contends it does.
    In Illinois Council, the Court was justifying the presentment
    requirement, which the parties agree is satisfied in this case,
    not the irreparable harm showing in the context of a judicial
    waiver of exhaustion.     Moreover, the risk of forgoing access to
    essential medical, water, and electric services is hardly the type
    of "occasional individual, delay-related hardship" that we think
    the Court had in mind in justifying a routine feature of the
    administrative process.     
    Id. Therefore, with
    respect to the
    judicial waiver analysis, we may assume that retroactive payment
    would not be a sufficient remedy for the harm the plaintiffs may
    incur in the meantime, if their claims are ultimately successful.
    Moreover, to the extent that a showing of irreparable
    harm must necessarily rest on a showing of at least a colorable
    claim of ultimate success on the merits, the plaintiffs arguably
    have made that showing, too.      In the very cases to which the
    government points as having recently presented similar challenges
    to the SSA’s redetermination procedures, we note that the plaintiff
    in at least one of those cases succeeded on her constitutional
    - 32 -
    claim.    See Hicks v. Colvin, 
    214 F. Supp. 3d 627
    , 633-46 (E.D. Ky.
    2016).
    3.
    Nevertheless,   we   still   must   consider    the    practical
    considerations that bear on waiving the exhaustion requirement
    judicially.    We must do so in order to assess whether the policies
    underlying the exhaustion requirement would be undermined by so
    waiving    that   requirement.         And,   although      some    practical
    considerations weigh in favor of the plaintiffs' request for a
    judicial waiver of that requirement, ultimately the plaintiffs
    fail to carry their burden to show that a judicial waiver of
    exhaustion is warranted.
    In trying to make the case that there is no practical
    reason to require exhaustion, the plaintiffs argue that, like in
    City of New York, they challenge a "systemwide" agency policy and
    thus not a case-specific agency decision that necessarily may be
    properly evaluated only after the agency has had a full opportunity
    to assess 
    it. 476 U.S. at 485
    .     To be sure, the plaintiffs' suit
    challenges only how the systemwide policy has been applied to
    applications for benefits cases that have been affected by a
    particular    fraud   investigation.       But   hundreds    of    disability
    benefits cases have been affected by the application of that
    systemwide policy to that fraud investigation, and the legal basis
    for the challenge itself is applicable to the systemwide policy
    - 33 -
    rather than to the policy's specific application to the particular
    fraud investigation.        In addition, the government does not dispute
    the   plaintiffs'        contention     that    they   challenge      a   systemwide
    policy.
    Relatedly, the plaintiffs argue that exhaustion would be
    "futile"     because       the     policies        underlying   the       exhaustion
    requirement would not, in fact, be served here for an additional
    reason.    Specifically, the plaintiffs point out that, since this
    litigation began, the agency has formalized the policy that they
    challenge.       The agency has done so in both its internal manual for
    adjudicating       benefits      claims    --    the   Hearings,      Appeals,    and
    Litigation Law Manual ("HALLEX"), § I-1-3-25 -- and two Social
    Security Rulings.          See SSR 16-1p, 81 Fed. Reg. 13436 (Mar. 14,
    2016); SSR 16-2p, 81 Fed. Reg. 13439 (Mar. 14, 2016).                            Those
    rulings (albeit not the manual) are binding on the agency.                        See
    Sullivan v. Zebley, 
    493 U.S. 521
    , 530 n.9 (1990); Schweiker v.
    Hansen,    
    450 U.S. 785
    ,    789     (1981)    (per   curiam).       Thus,   the
    plaintiffs contend that, unlike in Doyle, there is good reason to
    think that the agency has "a closed mind on these matters" at this
    
    point. 848 F.2d at 300
    .9
    9On this score, this case is unlike Wilson.       There, the
    agency had not taken "a final position" on the plaintiff's
    challenge to a policy whereby, under the agency's interpretation
    of its regulations, representative payees for recipients of
    supplemental security income benefits were liable for overpayments
    of 
    benefits. 671 F.2d at 678
    . The policy was included in the
    - 34 -
    The government, again, does not suggest otherwise.          And
    we can see why.         Both parties agree that, under the agency's
    formalized    policy,    the   administrative   appeal   process   in    the
    plaintiffs' cases would be limited to reviewing the remaining
    medical evidence that the agency has not disregarded as potentially
    fraudulent.10     For that reason, administrative review would not
    appear to provide any occasion for an ALJ or the SSA's Appeals
    Council to bring expertise to bear on the interpretation of the
    implementing regulations that the plaintiffs seek to challenge in
    federal court.    Rather, an administrative adjudicator would simply
    apply those administrative rulings to the case at hand.11               As a
    agency's Claims Manual, but the agency had not otherwise bound
    itself to the policy.    
    Id. at 675.
       Thus, we observed that
    completion of the administrative process "might have led to a
    narrowing interpretation of the regulations or their revision."
    
    Id. at 678.
         10 The reason is that the fraud investigation in this case
    originated in the SSA’s Office of Inspector General, and the agency
    "will not administratively review information provided by SSA’s
    Office of the Inspector General . . . regarding its reason to
    believe that fraud was involved in the individual’s application
    for benefits.” SSR 16-1p, 81 Fed. Reg. at 13438; see also HALLEX,
    § I-1-3-25.
    11We indicated, in dicta, in McDonald v. Secretary of Health
    & Human Services, 
    834 F.2d 1085
    (1st Cir. 1987), that we were "not
    necessarily persuaded" that "there was nothing to be gained from
    permitting the compilation of a detailed factual record, or from
    agency expertise" through exhaustion, 
    id. at 1091,
    where the
    plaintiffs challenged an agency policy that had been formalized in
    a Social Security ruling. 
    Id. at 1087.
    We were commenting on the
    plaintiffs' argument that they did not need to administratively
    exhaust their claim that what is known as "step 2" in the
    sequential evaluation used by the Secretary of Health and Human
    Services to determine eligibility for disability insurance
    - 35 -
    result, on this score, this case is more like City of New York, in
    which the Supreme Court reasoned that a federal agency was unlikely
    to change an unpublished policy because it had been pressuring
    state agencies to enforce 
    it. 476 U.S. at 485
    .12
    Nevertheless, we conclude that, in the circumstances of
    this case, plaintiffs have failed to meet the burden of showing
    that exhaustion would not provide sufficient practical benefit.
    We explained in Wilson that the exhaustion doctrine "encourage[s]
    expeditious decision making" and that, accordingly, an agency
    benefits violated the Social Security Act. See 
    id. However, we
    provided no explanation for why agency expertise might be helpful
    in that context, and "we expressly [made] no determination of this
    [issue] one way or the other" because we resolved the appeal on
    other grounds. 
    Id. at 1091.
    In any event, even if there were an
    opportunity in the administrative appeals process for the agency
    to bring its expertise to bear on Justiniano and Menéndez's
    regulatory claim, as McDonald might suggest, the same would not be
    true with respect to the plaintiffs' constitutional claim. And,
    McDonald did not involve a constitutional claim. 
    Id. 12The government
    does seek to distinguish this case from City
    of New York with respect to practical considerations on the ground
    that this case does not involve "a claim of a covert policy which,
    because of its secrecy, undermined the efficacy of normal
    administrative and judicial review processes." 
    McDonald, 834 F.2d at 1091
    (citing City of New York, 
    476 U.S. 467
    ). But Doyle did
    not indicate that a policy must be covert in order for a judicial
    waiver to be permissible. In fact, Doyle suggested otherwise in
    the passage that we quoted above about when a judicial waiver of
    the exhaustion requirement must be granted.      See supra at 27
    (quoting 
    Doyle, 848 F.2d at 300
    ). Nor can we see why the rule
    should be otherwise. The mere fact that the agency has not hidden
    the policy under challenge from view in the early stages of the
    administrative process does not mean that the policies underlying
    the exhaustion requirement would be served by requiring
    exhaustion. That determination must be made with reference to the
    particular facts at hand in a given case.
    - 36 -
    should be given "a chance to rectify a litigant's problems and
    save judicial time and 
    effort." 671 F.2d at 678
    .      In this regard,
    the government points out that the administrative proceedings will
    provide each plaintiff with an evidentiary hearing on the remaining
    medical evidence in their records and that, in seemingly comparable
    cases, a substantial number of claimants succeeded in obtaining a
    reinstatement    of    benefits,   notwithstanding    the    exclusion   of
    evidence deemed by the SSA to be fraudulent.         The government thus
    suggests that the exhaustion of the administrative appeals process
    may provide the plaintiffs with a restoration of their benefits
    and, in that way, would not be "futile."13
    More        specifically,   the   government       submitted    a
    declaration by a senior SSA official with its motion to dismiss
    that described the process by which the SSA is reviewing the
    13 We note that in City of New York, the Court observed that
    the government "correctly assert[ed] that, had class members
    exhausted administrative remedies, some might have received
    benefits despite the illegal policy. . . .     Such observations,
    however, merely serve to remind us why exhaustion is the rule in
    the vast majority of cases; they do not aid the Court in deciding
    when exhaustion should be 
    excused." 476 U.S. at 485-86
    . We do
    not read this passage to indicate that, contrary to our view in
    
    Wilson, 671 F.2d at 678
    , the likelihood of the agency process
    mooting out the plaintiffs' claim -- either by disqualifying the
    plaintiff from receiving benefits for an unrelated reason or by
    granting benefits to the plaintiff -- has no role to play in the
    analysis of whether judicial waiver of the exhaustion requirement
    is warranted. Rather, we read it to mean that the mere possibility
    of the agency process mooting out the plaintiffs' claim does not
    in and of itself counsel in favor of or against judicial waiver of
    exhaustion, but that the relative probability of it might.
    - 37 -
    benefits     termination    decisions    connected     to    the   same    fraud
    investigation at issue in this case.            The declaration indicated
    that, of the more than 2,000 administrative appeals, 423 hearings
    had been held and the claimants received favorable decisions in
    145 cases.    The government also states in its appellate brief that
    of a narrower group of 1,280 individuals who, like the plaintiffs,
    originally had benefits awarded by the Puerto Rico Disability
    Determination Services (as opposed to by an ALJ on review of an
    unfavorable DDS decision), 100 hearings had been held, 56 decisions
    had been issued, and 43 of those decisions were favorable to the
    claimants.      That means, as the government points out, that a
    "majority" of the issued decisions have been favorable among this
    narrower group.
    Of course, we do not know the exact posture of the cases
    in which claimants obtained a reinstatement of benefits through
    their administrative appeals.         And the plaintiffs did argue below
    that their administrative appeals were assigned to a different
    administrative    hearing    office     than   the   one    from   which   these
    statistics are drawn.        But the plaintiffs bear the burden of
    showing that they are entitled to a judicial waiver of exhaustion,
    and they have made no argument that they would not be able to
    obtain the benefits to which they claim they are entitled through
    the normal course of their administrative appeals.             Given that, as
    the case comes to us, the plaintiffs' chances of obtaining benefits
    - 38 -
    through the administrative process appear to be substantial, we do
    not see how we could waive the requirement that would give the
    agency an opportunity "to rectify" the problem by giving them the
    benefits that were terminated.   
    Id. Thus, we
    hold that judicial
    waiver of the exhaustion requirement is not warranted on these
    facts.
    V.
    For the foregoing reasons, the judgment of the District
    Court is affirmed.
    - 39 -