Metzler Asset Mgmt. GMBH v. Kingsley , 928 F.3d 151 ( 2019 )


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  •           United States Court of Appeals
    For the First Circuit
    Nos. 18-1369, 18-1472
    METZLER ASSET MANAGEMENT GMBH, on behalf of itself and all other
    similarly situated parties;
    ERSTE-SPARINVEST KAPITALANANLAGEGESELLSCHAFT MBH, on behalf of
    itself and all other similarly situated parties,
    Plaintiffs, Appellants/Cross-Appellees,
    v.
    STUART A. KINGSLEY; GEORGE A. SCANGOS; PAUL J. CLANCY;
    BIOGEN INC.,
    Defendants, Appellees/Cross-Appellants.
    APPEALS FROM THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF MASSACHUSETTS
    [Hon. F. Dennis Saylor, IV, U.S. District Judge]
    Before
    Lynch, Stahl, and Barron,
    Circuit Judges.
    Gregg S. Levin, with whom Christopher F. Moriarity, William
    H. Narwold, Motley Rice LLC, Jonathan Gardner, Labaton Sucharow
    LLP, Robert M. Rothman, Mark T. Millkey, Susan K. Alexander, Andrew
    S. Love, and Robbins Geller Rudman & Dowd LLP were on brief, for
    appellants/cross-appellees.
    James R. Carroll, with whom Michael S. Hines, Sara J. van
    Vliet, and Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP were on brief,
    for appellees/cross-appellants.
    June 27, 2019
    BARRON, Circuit Judge.         Metzler Asset Management GmbH
    ("Metzler")     and   Erste–Sparinvest    Kapitalanlagegesellschaft      mbH
    ("Erste–Sparinvest") have been designated the lead plaintiffs,
    pursuant   to    the    Private   Securities    Litigation     Reform     Act
    ("PSLRA"), 15 U.S.C. § 78u-4, in a federal securities class action
    that they brought against Biogen Inc. and three Biogen executives
    ("Biogen").      The suit alleges that Biogen and its executives
    committed fraud, in violation of regulations promulgated by the
    Securities and Exchange Commission pursuant to the Securities
    Exchange Act, 15 U.S.C. § 78a et seq, by falsely stating that
    Biogen's product, Tecfidera, was both safer and more widely used
    than it was.     The putative class is comprised of all purchasers of
    Biogen common stock from July 23, 2014, through July 23, 2015.
    The    defendants   moved   to   dismiss   the   suit   on   claim
    preclusion grounds, based on this Court's earlier decision in In
    re Biogen Inc. Securities Litigation, 
    857 F.3d 34
    (1st Cir. 2017)
    ("Biogen I"), and for failing to plead facts "giving rise to a
    strong inference" of scienter, 15 U.S.C. § 78u-4(b)(2)(A), as the
    PSLRA requires that a complaint alleging fraud must in order for
    it to survive such a motion.           The District Court rejected the
    defendants' claim preclusion argument but dismissed the suit under
    the PSLRA for failing to adequately plead scienter.           We affirm.
    - 3 -
    I.
    The corporate defendant, Biogen, is a multinational
    biotechnology company based in Cambridge, Massachusetts.                               Its
    stock trades on the NASDAQ.               
    Id. at 37.
              The three individual
    defendants are George Scangos, who was Biogen's Chief Executive
    Officer from July 23, 2014, through July 23, 2015; Paul Clancy,
    who   was   Biogen's    Chief      Financial       Officer      and       Executive   Vice
    President of Finance during that time; and Stuart Kingsley, who
    was its Executive Vice President of Global Commercial Operations
    during the same period.           
    Id. The plaintiffs'
          complaint          sets    forth      the    following
    allegations.      Biogen developed and sold a United States Food and
    Drug Administration ("FDA") approved drug for multiple sclerosis
    ("MS") called Tecfidera during the relevant time period. Tecfidera
    accounted for a third of Biogen's total revenue in this time frame.
    As of July 23, 2014, Tecfidera bore a label that warned patients
    taking the drug of an increased risk of developing lymphopenia -- a
    condition of having low lymphocyte counts, leading to a weakened
    immune system.
    On    October    22,        2014,   Biogen        held    a    third-quarter
    earnings call with its investors.                 The company announced for the
    first time publicly that an MS patient who had been regularly
    taking      Tecfidera       had         died      of     progressive            multifocal
    leukoencephalopathy ("PML"), a rare neurological disease which
    - 4 -
    counts lymphopenia as one of its precursors.       One month later,
    Biogen amended the Tecfidera label to include a warning about the
    risk of PML.
    On January 29, 2015, Biogen provided full-year revenue
    guidance for 2015.    It predicted a 14% to 16% overall growth rate
    for the company for the year.     However, on April 24, 2015, Biogen
    released first-quarter financial results for the year that showed
    that Tecfidera's revenue had fallen below the market estimates.
    On July 24, 2015, Biogen released its second-quarter
    earnings report.     The report amended the company's 2015 revenue
    guidance. It lowered Biogen's predicted revenue growth from 14-16%
    to 6-8% for the year. Biogen attributed its tempered expectations,
    in part, to slowing Tecfidera growth.
    Biogen's stock fell by more than 20% in one day due to
    the second quarter earnings report.       On October 9, 2015, Biogen
    announced that Kingsley was leaving the company.      Less than two
    weeks later, the company announced that it was cutting roughly 11%
    of its workforce.    
    Id. at 39.
    On August 18, 2015, a putative federal securities fraud
    class action was filed in the District of Massachusetts against
    the company and the same three individual defendants in the case
    before us in this appeal.    
    Id. at 36-39.
        The putative class in
    that action consisted of persons who had purchased common stock of
    Biogen between January 29, 2015, and July 23, 2015.       Tehrani v.
    - 5 -
    Biogen, Inc., No. 15-13189, 
    2015 WL 7302132
    , at *1 (D. Mass. Nov.
    18, 2015).      The suit alleged that Biogen and the three executives
    had fraudulently misled investors, in violation of Sections 10(b)1
    and 20(a)2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, see 15 U.S.C.
    §§ 78j(b), 78t(a), regarding Tecfidera's usage rates in light of
    the PML incident.         Tehrani, 
    2015 WL 7302132
    , at *1.
    Notice of the action was published pursuant to the PSLRA,
    which       establishes    procedures     for   bringing   securities     class
    actions.      See 
    id. at *2.
         In accordance with those procedures, on
    November 17, 2015, the District Court preliminarily appointed GBR
    Group Ltd. ("GBR") "lead plaintiff" in the matter, a status that
    Congress created in the PSLRA "to increase the chances that
    securities      fraud     cases   are    brought   by   investors   who    have
    substantial and genuine interests in the litigation."               
    Id. On January
    19, 2016, GBR filed an amended complaint.
    The amended complaint changed the class period, such that it ran
    from December 2, 2014, through July 23, 2015.              Biogen 
    I, 857 F.3d at 36
    .
    1
    Section 10(b), as set forth in 15 U.S.C. § 78j(b), makes it
    unlawful "[t]o use or employ, in connection with the purchase or
    sale of any security . . . any manipulative or deceptive device or
    contrivance in contravention of such rules and regulations as the
    Commission may prescribe."
    2
    Section 20(a), as set forth in 15 U.S.C. § 78t(a), creates
    "[j]oint and [s]everal" liability for "[e]very person who,
    directly or indirectly, controls any person liable under any
    provision of this chapter or of any rule or regulation thereunder."
    - 6 -
    Biogen moved to dismiss the complaint.     The District
    Court granted that motion as to both the Section 10(b) and 20(a)
    claims.   See Biogen I, 
    193 F. Supp. 3d 5
    , 56 (D. Mass. 2016).
    GBR moved to vacate the order of dismissal and for leave
    to file a second amended complaint with the District Court under
    Federal Rules 59(e) and 60(b)(2).     In re Biogen Inc. Sec. Litig.,
    No. 15-13189, 
    2016 WL 5660329
    , at *3 (D. Mass. Sept. 28, 2016).
    The motion requested that the District Court vacate the order of
    dismissal based on the new scienter allegations in the proposed
    second amended complaint.      
    Id. The District
    Court denied the
    motion.      
    Id. at *6.
       The District Court determined that the
    plaintiffs could have discovered the evidence on which they were
    based earlier with reasonable diligence.     
    Id. GBR appealed
    both the dismissal of the complaint for
    failure to state a claim as well as the denial of its motion to
    vacate that dismissal and for leave to file the second amended
    complaint.     As discussed below, that appeal ultimately ended in
    affirmance of the District Court.        During the pendency of the
    appeal in that case, however, separate Biogen stockholders filed
    a subsequent putative class action in the District Court on October
    20, 2016, against Biogen and certain of its executives on behalf
    of a class of investors in the company.     Metzler Asset Mgmt. GmbH
    v. Kingsley ("Biogen II"), 
    305 F. Supp. 3d 181
    , 205, 202 (D. Mass.
    2018).    They alleged that, through its comments to investors,
    - 7 -
    Biogen misled the market about Tecfidera's safety profile and
    discontinuation rates.
    This new action is the one before us on appeal.               It,
    too,    asserts   violations   of   Sections   10(b)   and   20(a)   of   the
    Securities Exchange Act.       Nonetheless, it differs from the first
    putative class action that had been filed against Biogen in three
    ways.    First, the class period for the putative class in the new
    suit began on July 23, 2014, as opposed to December 2, 2014.
    Second, the complaint in the new suit alleged that Biogen had made
    additional misleading statements not referenced in the prior suit
    and also set forth statements from confidential witnesses ("CWs")
    to prove scienter that had not been referenced in the complaint in
    the earlier suit.      These newly alleged statements included ones
    that had been set forth in the amended complaint in the earlier
    putative class action that the District Court rejected for not
    having been included in a timely manner.         See Biogen 
    I, 857 F.3d at 45-46
    .   Third, the new suit alleged that, in addition to making
    fraudulent statements regarding Tecfidera's usage rate, Biogen
    executives also made fraudulent statements about the drug's safety
    profile.
    On February 1, 2017, the District Court preliminarily
    appointed Metzler and Erste–Sparinvest -- not GBR -- to be the
    lead plaintiffs in this new suit pursuant to the PSLRA.                   See
    Metzler Asset Mgmt. GmbH v. Kinglsey, No. 16-12101, 
    2017 WL 438731
    - 8 -
    (D. Mass. Feb. 1, 2017).      Plaintiffs also filed a motion to stay
    the District Court proceedings pending resolution of the appeal of
    the earlier action.      That motion was denied.       
    Id. at *4.
    On May 12, 2017, we affirmed the District Court's order
    of dismissal for lack of sufficient allegations of scienter in
    Biogen I.     Biogen 
    I, 857 F.3d at 46
    .       In so doing, we also held
    that   the    confidential   witness      statements     provided   by   the
    plaintiffs were "insufficiently particular" to prove scienter.
    
    Id. at 41.
        Finally, we denied the plaintiffs' motion to vacate
    and file a second amended complaint.        
    Id. at 45.
    Following   Biogen   I,    Biogen   moved    to   dismiss   the
    complaint in the putative class action that is now before us for
    failing to adequately plead scienter and on claim preclusion
    grounds. The District Court rejected the claim preclusion argument
    but agreed that the complaint in the new suit failed to plead facts
    sufficient to create a strong inference of scienter.             Biogen 
    II, 305 F. Supp. 3d at 205
    , 222.           The appeal from that ruling then
    followed.
    II.
    To establish claim preclusion, the defendant must show
    that "(1) the earlier suit resulted in a final judgment on the
    merits, (2) the causes of action asserted in the earlier and later
    suits are sufficiently identical or related, and (3) the parties
    in the two suits are sufficiently identical or closely related."
    - 9 -
    Airframe Sys., Inc. v. Raytheon Co., 
    601 F.3d 9
    , 14 (1st Cir.
    2010).   The District Court rejected Biogen's claim preclusion
    argument.    See Biogen 
    II, 305 F. Supp. 3d at 205
    .           The District
    Court did not question whether Biogen I represented a final
    judgment, as it plainly did.       
    Id. at 204.
           Nor did the District
    Court rule that that the causes of action in the two cases were
    not related or identical, as it found that they were. 
    Id. Instead, the
    District Court rejected the contention that GBR, as lead
    plaintiff   under   the   PSLRA   in   Biogen    I,   could   "adequate[ly]
    represent" the class in Biogen II, such that the plaintiffs in the
    two actions may be deemed to be sufficiently "identical," as they
    must be for claim preclusion to apply.          
    Id. at 205.
    The District Court explained that the putative class in
    Biogen I was not certified through Federal Rule of Civil Procedure
    23 and thus remained merely a "proposed class action[.]"               
    Id. (citing Smith
    v. Bayer Corp., 
    564 U.S. 299
    , 316 (2011)).           For that
    reason, the District Court ruled, GBR could not, by virtue of its
    role as the lead plaintiff under the PSLRA in Biogen I, be deemed
    to have "adequate[ly] represented" the putative class in Biogen
    II.
    In reaching this conclusion about whether the members of
    the putative class in Biogen II were adequately represented by GBR
    in Biogen I, the District Court relied on the Supreme Court's
    ruling in Smith.    There, the Supreme Court held that a consumer's
    - 10 -
    motion for class certification was not precluded by a previous
    decision denying a similar motion for class certification to a
    different party.    
    Smith, 564 U.S. at 304-05
    .     The Court stated,
    "[w]e could hardly have been more clear [in Taylor v. Sturgell,
    
    553 U.S. 880
    (2008)] that a 'properly conducted class action,'
    with binding effect on nonparties, can come about in federal courts
    in just one way -- through the procedure set out in Rule 23."      
    Id. at 316.
    Biogen argues that the District Court erred in this
    aspect of its claim preclusion analysis.     Biogen contends that the
    PSLRA's process for appointing a lead plaintiff sufficed to ensure
    that GBR, in its role as lead plaintiff of the putative class in
    Biogen I, did adequately represent the interests of the putative
    class in Biogen II, even though the class in Biogen I had not been
    certified at the time of the dismissal of that action.         Thus,
    Biogen contends that the dismissal in Biogen I could be preclusive
    of the claims brought by the putative class in Biogen II, even
    though GBR is not the lead plaintiff for that putative class.
    In challenging Biogen's claim preclusion argument, the
    appellants contend that the protections afforded absent parties by
    the PSLRA are not as robust as those afforded by the requirements
    set forth in Rule 23 itself, due to the preliminary nature of the
    PSLRA's   lead   plaintiff   appointment   procedures.   Indeed,    as
    multiple courts have recognized, nothing about lead plaintiff
    - 11 -
    appointment pursuant to the PSLRA is "dispositive with respect to
    the ultimate certification of the class and designation of a class
    representative."      Greebel v. FTP Software, Inc., 
    939 F. Supp. 57
    ,
    62 n.4 (D. Mass 1996); Dempsey v. Vieau, 
    130 F. Supp. 3d 809
    , 813
    (S.D.N.Y. 2015) ("Lead plaintiff designation does not abnegate the
    necessity of class certification . . . .").                Consequently, the
    argument proceeds, lead plaintiff appointment pursuant to the
    PSLRA   is   simply   too   preliminary   for   a   lead   plaintiff   of   an
    as-yet-uncertified class to be deemed on that basis alone to be an
    adequate representative for claim preclusion purposes of a class
    in a subsequent action.       
    Dempsey, 130 F. Supp. 3d at 813
    .
    In addition to this potential problem with Biogen's
    claim preclusion contention here, there is another that is more
    particular to this case.      The proposed class in Biogen II includes
    stockholders who purchased Biogen securities between July 23,
    2014, and December 2, 2014.         This group of purchasers was not
    included in the class proposed in Biogen I.                 Biogen does not
    explain how the lead plaintiff in Biogen I could be thought to
    have adequately represented those members of the proposed class in
    Biogen II who are not only represented by different lead plaintiffs
    but also were not even members of the putative class in Biogen I.
    We need not, however, resolve the claim preclusion issue
    definitively here.      Even if we were to assume that the adequate
    representation requirement could not be satisfied here, such that
    - 12 -
    the plaintiffs' claim is not precluded, the suit in Biogen II would
    still have to be dismissed. As we next explain, the District Court
    properly ruled that, under the PSLRA, the plaintiffs failed to
    adequately plead scienter for purposes of surviving a motion to
    dismiss for failure to state a claim.
    III.
    To state a claim under Section 10(b)3 of the Securities
    Exchange Act, plaintiffs must adequately plead "(1) a material
    misrepresentation or omission; (2) scienter; (3) a connection with
    the purchase or sale of a security; (4) reliance; (5) economic
    loss; and (6) loss causation."     Biogen 
    I, 857 F.3d at 41
    .    Scienter
    is defined as either the "intentional or willful conduct designed
    to   deceive   or     defraud   investors"   or   "a   high   degree   of
    recklessness."      
    Id. (internal quotations
    omitted).
    Under the PSLRA, to survive a motion to dismiss for
    failure to state a claim, plaintiffs must "state with particularity
    facts giving rise to a strong inference that the defendant acted
    with [scienter]."      15 U.S.C. § 78u-4(b)(2)(A) (emphasis added).
    "For an inference of scienter to be strong, 'a reasonable person
    3 As the plaintiffs' Section 20(a) claims are necessarily
    dependent on the existence of a Section 10(b) violation, our
    analysis need only address the deficiencies in the plaintiffs'
    Section 10(b) claims in order to uphold the District Court's
    decision. See ACA Fin. Guar. Corp. v. Advest, Inc., 
    512 F.3d 46
    ,
    67 (1st Cir. 2008) ("The plain terms of [S]ection 20(a) indicate
    that it only creates liability derivative of an underlying
    securities violation.").
    - 13 -
    would [have to] deem [it] cogent and at least as compelling as any
    opposing inference one could draw from the facts alleged.'" Biogen
    
    I, 857 F.3d at 41
    (alterations in original) (quoting Tellabs, Inc.
    v. Makor Issues & Rights, Ltd., 
    551 U.S. 308
    , 324 (2007)).
    The District Court dismissed the plaintiffs' suit in
    Biogen II after determining that none of the statements that the
    plaintiffs allege that the individual Biogen executive defendants
    made were of a kind that could give rise to the "strong inference"
    of scienter that the PSLRA requires.   On that basis, the District
    Court concluded that the claims against each of these executives
    individually, as well as the claims against Biogen itself, must be
    dismissed.   Cf. Biogen 
    I, 857 F.3d at 37
    , 41.    Our review of the
    District Court's ruling on scienter is de novo.    See 
    id. at 41.
    To make their case on appeal, the plaintiffs focus on
    six statements in their complaint that the District Court held, in
    making its scienter ruling, were at least "plausibly misleading."
    Biogen 
    II, 305 F. Supp. 3d at 206
    , 212.4    These statements fall
    into two general categories: (1) those that pertain to Tecfidera's
    4 For the purpose of this appeal, we will assume, favorably
    to plaintiffs, that the District Court was correct in concluding
    that these six statements were, in fact, "plausibly misleading."
    Although we do not definitively conclude that these six statements
    are plausibly misleading, we will nonetheless refer to them
    throughout the opinion as the six "plausibly misleading"
    statements for clarity's sake.
    - 14 -
    safety profile, and (2) those that pertain to Tecfidera's usage
    rate.   We consider the statements in each category in turn.
    Before doing so, however, we note that although the
    statements that we focus on were made by, respectively, Alfred
    Sandrock (Biogen's Chief Medical Officer), Doug Williams (Biogen's
    Executive    Vice    President     of    Research    and    Development)     and
    Kingsley, only Kingsley is a defendant in his own right.              Thus, it
    is unclear what role, if any, the statements by Sandrock and
    Williams serve in the plaintiffs' fraud claims against Kingsley,
    Scangos, and Clancy.        But, even if we assume that Williams's and
    Sandrock's statements somehow could be imputed to these three
    individual defendants, as the plaintiffs appear implicitly to
    assume in their briefing to us in contending that the District
    Court erred in dismissing the claims against them, the plaintiffs'
    argument would still fail.
    A.
    The first category of statements on which the plaintiffs
    in   this   appeal   rely   with   respect   to     the   claims   against   the
    individual defendants concerns Tecfidera's safety profile.                   The
    plaintiffs point to two such statements, the first of which was
    made on September 11 by Sandrock.            According to the complaint,
    Sandrock stated at that time that "Tecfidera continues to provide
    patients with effective oral treatment for MS that is supported by
    - 15 -
    a growing body of data reinforcing its benefits and favorable
    safety profile."
    The complaint alleges that Sandrock made this statement
    before Biogen's October announcement of the PML-related death, and
    the plaintiffs do not contend that any of the individual defendants
    knew about that death before Sandrock made this statement.5                 The
    plaintiffs nevertheless contend that the District Court erred in
    concluding that the complaint failed adequately to allege that
    Sandrock made the statement with the "intentional or willful"
    design to deceive investors.
    To make this case, the plaintiffs point out that, in
    August and September of 2014, Dr. Ben Thrower, the medical director
    at the Shepherd Center in Atlanta, notified Keith Ferguson, the
    company's senior sales director, and Eric Hall, the medical science
    liaison for Biogen, that his research showed that patients who
    were       taking   Tecfidera   had   a   higher   risk   of   developing   low
    lymphocyte counts than Biogen had originally disclosed.                     The
    complaint further alleges that, for this reason, Dr. Thrower chose
    to discontinue Tecfidera prescriptions for approximately 200 of
    his patients and to stop issuing new prescriptions for the drug.
    5
    CW 15's statements that Biogen had already prepared a
    response for a potential PML-related death is not to the contrary.
    That the company had a PML-related contingency in place for a drug
    that it already knew -- and disclosed -- caused low lymphocyte
    counts is not surprising and does not indicate that Sandrock made
    the statement at issue deceitfully.
    - 16 -
    The complaint also alleges that he told Ferguson and Hall about
    this development.
    But,    according       to    the     complaint,    Sandrock         in   his
    September 2014 statement said only that Tecfidera was "effective"
    at treating MS and that its safety profile was "supported by a
    growing body of data."                Nothing about Dr. Thrower's alleged
    statements      to    Hall      and    Ferguson       about      his    own       research
    findings -- especially given the limited slice of the market on
    which those findings were based -- contradicts the statements that
    the complaint alleges that Sandrock made.                   See Geffon v. Micrion
    Corp., 
    249 F.3d 29
    , 36 (1st Cir. 2001) ("Even if the statements at
    issue were material and false or misleading, the evidence does not
    support   a    finding    that    defendants         knew   the   statements        would
    materially mislead the investing public." (emphasis omitted)).
    Thus,   even    assuming     that     Sandrock's       statement       was    "plausibly
    misleading" and made with knowledge of Thrower's conclusions, we
    find insufficient support for a "strong inference" that Sandrock
    spoke   with    the    intent    to    deceive       investors.        And    thus,     the
    allegations     regarding       Sandrock       fail    to     establish       a   "strong
    inference" of scienter as to even him, let alone as to any
    individual defendant.
    The only other "plausibly misleading" statement that
    concerns the drug's safety profile to which the plaintiffs point
    is one that, according to the complaint, Williams made in April of
    - 17 -
    2015.   In it, Williams allegedly stated that "there's no real
    change in the benefit/risk profile of the drug for patients with
    MS.   So it's pretty much status quo at the moment."
    By April of 2015, according to the complaint, Biogen had
    already disclosed the PML death and updated the drug's label to
    account for the increased understanding of its risk.           Given that
    none of the findings by the researchers that the plaintiffs cite
    aver that the drug was less safe than these revised disclosures,
    we do not see how the plaintiffs can plausibly suggest that
    Williams was aware that the drug was less safe than these revised
    disclosures suggested.    Therefore, even if, drawing all inferences
    in favor of the plaintiff, one could conclude that Williams's
    statement -- read in a vacuum -- was misleading, one could not
    draw a "strong inference" from that statement that it was said
    with an "intent to deceive," given what the record shows about
    Biogen's earlier disclosures and the state of Williams's knowledge
    of the drug's safety profile.        See City of Dearborn Heights Act
    345 Police & Fire Ret. Sys. v. Waters Corp., 
    632 F.3d 751
    , 760
    (1st Cir. 2011) ("[A]ttempts to provide investors with warnings of
    risks generally weaken the inference of scienter." (alteration in
    original) (quoting Ezra Charitable Tr. v. Tyco Int'l, Ltd., 
    466 F.3d 1
    , 8 (1st Cir. 2006)).
    We   turn,   then,   to   the   four   "plausibly   misleading"
    statements that pertain to Tecfidera's usage rates.              All four
    - 18 -
    statements were allegedly made by Kingsley, who is an individual
    defendant.      But, we find no basis for concluding that any of these
    statements permit us to infer the necessary intent to deceive that
    could suffice to create the "strong inference" of scienter that
    the PSLRA requires.          And, even the cumulative weight of these
    statements and the CW evidence discussed below would not suffice.
    We first address the January 29, 2015 statement by
    Kingsley    that      "Tecfidera    [was]    on     track   to   become     the      most
    prescribed therapy for MS worldwide."                The plaintiffs argue that
    this statement was misleading and creates the "strong inference"
    of   scienter    on    Kingsley's    part,     because      at   the   time    of     the
    statement, Kingsley knew about both the PML death and about
    Tecfidera's declining sales and discontinuation rates.
    At the time that Kingsley made the statement, however,
    Biogen had already disclosed to the public the news of the PML
    death, had already changed the drug's label, had already publicized
    that it expected the drug's growth rate to "slow," and had already
    disclosed that the drug's discontinuation rates were higher than
    expected.    Moreover, during the conference call on which Kingsley
    made the statement at issue, he also noted that the company had
    observed "moderating" growth for the drug at the end of 2014 and
    expected that trend to continue into the new year.                      Given these
    disclosures      pointing    against        sales    growth,     it    is     hard     to
    characterize Kingsley's statement that he believed Tecfidera would
    - 19 -
    "become the most-prescribed therapy for MS worldwide" as anything
    other than misguided optimism.         See Fire & Police Pension Ass'n of
    Colo. v. Abiomed, Inc., 
    778 F.3d 228
    , 244 (1st Cir. 2015) (holding
    that defendants' informative disclosures "undercut any inference
    of   scienter").       Accordingly,    we     fail   to   see   how    one   could
    characterize Kingsley as having had the requisite intent to deceive
    when he made this statement, such that one could draw the "strong
    inference" of scienter required by the PSLRA.
    We, turn, then, to three statements of Kingsley's from
    January 29, 2015, to February 25, 2015, in which, according to the
    complaint, he stated that there had not been any "meaningful
    change" in Tecfidera's discontinuation rates and that those rates
    were   "consistent     with   historical      averages."        As    previously
    mentioned, at the time that Kingsley made these statements, the
    company   had   already    disclosed    to     investors     that     Tecfidera's
    discontinuation rate was higher than Biogen would have hoped but
    that   the   company    aimed   to    "get     better     performance    in    the
    discontinuation rates over a longer period of time."                   Given the
    statements in which Kingsley had been forthcoming about the status
    of Tecfidera's discontinuation rates, we do not see how Kingsley's
    early 2015 refrain that the company had not seen "meaningful
    change" in the drug's discontinuation rate and that the rates were
    "consistent with historical averages" may fairly be characterized
    as having been made with the "intent to deceive."               
    Id. - 20
    -
    In arguing otherwise, plaintiffs point to statements set
    forth in the complaint that were allegedly made by CWs.                        The
    complaint contains statements made by seventeen CWs regarding
    their observations on Tecfidera's sales, discontinuation rates,
    and safety profile.         Ten of the seventeen CWs referenced in the
    complaint were also referenced in the complaint in Biogen I (CWs
    1-10).6   In addition to referring to seven new CWs (CWs 11-17),
    the Biogen II complaint also includes multiple new statements from
    four of the CWs (CWs 1, 3, 7, and 8) who were included in the
    original Biogen I complaint.
    In Biogen I, our Court found that none of the CWs'
    statements    included      in   that    complaint   were   probative     of   the
    defendants' scienter because they were imprecise, did not contain
    information    that   was    directly      communicated     to   the   individual
    defendants, or concerned events that occurred after the individual
    defendants made the plausibly misleading statements at issue in
    that case.     See Biogen 
    I, 857 F.3d at 42-43
    .             That logic applies
    with equal force here, insofar as the plaintiffs have reprised
    their argument that the statements by CWs set forth in the Biogen
    I complaint illustrate that Kingsley made his four plausibly
    misleading statements with the requisite scienter.
    6 Of the seven "new" confidential witnesses included in the
    present complaint (CWs 11-17), two (CWs 11 and 12) were included
    in the Second Amended Complaint that our Court rejected as untimely
    in Biogen I. See Biogen 
    I, 857 F.3d at 45-46
    .
    - 21 -
    As to the additional statements not included in the
    Biogen I complaint, the District Court similarly rejected them as
    not probative of the defendants' scienter because they failed to
    "set forth specific facts" that directly conflicted with the six
    "plausibly     misleading"          statements      that     the   District        Court
    highlighted.        Biogen 
    II, 305 F. Supp. 3d at 214-15
    (emphasis in
    original).     The District Court went on to note -- based on logic
    similar to that which we applied in Biogen I -- that these
    statements' relevance is further diminished by the fact that the
    complaint does not allege that any of the CWs ever spoke with any
    of the individual defendants or otherwise shared with them their
    observations.       
    Id. at 215
    n.29.
    On appeal, the plaintiffs do reference the statements of
    one CW in particular, CW 13.            According to the plaintiffs, CW 13
    explained that "everyone in leadership had access to reporting
    metrics" and that leadership frequently monitored the "new start"
    rates for Tecfidera as part of the process for producing their
    sales projections.
    But,    the     fact    that    Biogen's      leadership        monitored
    Tecfidera's reporting metrics does not in and of itself suffice to
    create   the    "strong      inference"       that    Kingsley      made    his    four
    statements     about    Tecfidera's         discontinuation        rates    with    the
    requisite     intent    to    deceive.         We    would    expect       responsible
    management to engage in such monitoring.                As a result, before one
    - 22 -
    could infer what plaintiffs ask, one would need to know what
    Kingsley learned from such monitoring, and whether what he learned
    was at odds with any of his "plausibly misleading" statements.
    Yet, the complaint alleges no facts that are illuminating in that
    regard.
    The only additional confidential witness statement that
    the plaintiffs expressly reference in their brief's section on
    individual scienter is the statement made by CW 1.               That witness
    allegedly said that Biogen instructed Area Business Managers to
    "downplay the significance of the PML death" when attempting to
    convince doctors to prescribe the drug.               But, the complaint does
    not allege that Sandrock, Williams, or Kingsley was aware of this
    alleged instruction by the company.              Nor do we see why such an
    instruction gives rise to an inference that Kingsley's public
    assessment of the drug's actual usage was inaccurate, let alone
    intentionally deceitful.
    As to the statements concerning safety, the plaintiffs
    do not dispute that Biogen disclosed the PML death to investors
    and the public.       Moreover, nothing in CW 1's alleged statement
    reveals that what Sandrock and Williams actually said publicly
    about the drug's safety was known by them to be misleading.
    In     their   briefing    to   us,   the    plaintiffs    expressly
    reference a number of other confidential witness statements to
    support   their    arguments   that    the    three    individual    defendants
    - 23 -
    possessed the requisite scienter.                But, the plaintiffs do not
    allege that any of the confidential witnesses who made these
    statements spoke with Kingsley before he made his statements about
    the    discontinuation       rates,    and      most   of    these   confidential
    witnesses are, by the complaint's account, several levels removed
    from the company's executive team.            See Biogen 
    II, 305 F. Supp. 3d at 215
      n.29   ("The     complaint    does     not      allege   that    any   of
    the . . . confidential witnesses ever spoke with one of the named
    defendants."); see also Fire & Police Pension Ass'n of 
    Colo., 778 F.3d at 245
    (noting that "none of the witnesses were in senior
    management positions, and they appear to have had relatively little
    ongoing     contact   with    senior     management"        (internal     quotations
    omitted)).
    B.
    The plaintiffs do separately argue that they can meet
    their burden to allege that Biogen (though, we presume, not any of
    the individual defendants) had the requisite scienter under a
    theory of "corporate scienter."                 Specifically, the plaintiffs
    contend that, if the complaint plausibly alleges that one of the
    company's    employees     made   a    misleading      statement     to   investors
    without scienter and "an individual within Biogen’s management
    team . . . knew or had access to information" that showed that
    this misleading statement was not true, then Biogen can be found
    to have had the requisite scienter on a corporate scienter theory.
    - 24 -
    The plaintiffs then proceed to contend that the record provides
    support for finding a "strong inference" of scienter on this basis,
    in light of the six "plausibly misleading" statements in the
    complaint that we have just reviewed, the company's failure to
    correct them, and the allegations that the complaint sets forth
    regarding what persons within the company knew or what the company
    may itself be charged with having known.            And, the plaintiffs
    further contend, the District Court erred by failing even to
    address this basis for finding scienter vis à vis the claims
    against Biogen.
    The plaintiffs attempt to make the case for their showing
    of corporate scienter as follows.          They allege that Ferguson and
    Hall knew, due to their conversation with Dr. Thrower, that
    Tecfidera was less safe than the company stated publicly when
    Sandrock said that "Tecfidera continues to provide patients with
    effective oral treatment for MS that is supported by a growing
    body   of   data   reinforcing   its   benefits   and   favorable   safety
    profile," and when Williams said that "there's no real change in
    the benefit/risk profile of the drug for patients with MS.             So
    it's pretty much status quo at the moment."         The plaintiffs argue
    that Ferguson and Hall may be understood to have had this knowledge
    because, as the complaint alleges, Dr. Thrower discussed with
    Ferguson and Hall his research that Tecfidera could cause lower
    lymphocyte counts than the company originally disclosed.
    - 25 -
    But, the fact that Dr. Thrower and researchers like Dr.
    Zamvil concluded on the basis of their own research that Tecfidera
    could cause lower lymphocyte counts than was originally understood
    does not, in and of itself, suffice to contradict the assertions
    that Tecfidera was "effective" at treating MS and that this fact
    was "supported by a growing body of research."                For that reason,
    even   if   we    were   to   assume   that     the   statement   was   plausibly
    misleading       and   that   Hall's   and    Ferguson's    knowledge     of   Dr.
    Thrower's research -- or any of the other research cited by the
    plaintiffs -- could be imputed to the company as a whole, that
    knowledge would still fail to create the "strong inference" of
    scienter on Biogen's part.           That is so, we emphasize, even if we
    were to accept the plaintiffs' theory of corporate scienter.
    Similarly,       the   plaintiffs    argue   that    Dr.   Thrower's
    statements to Hall and Ferguson show that the company knew that
    the drug's usage rates were lower than was publicized.                   But, we
    fail to see how the knowledge that one doctor -- whose patients
    constituted less than 0.2% of all Tecfidera users -- would no
    longer prescribe Tecfidera could suffice to show that the company
    understood the drug's usage rate to be at odds with any statement
    regarding its usage that had been made publicly.              For that reason,
    once again, Ferguson and Hall's knowledge of what Dr. Thrower had
    allegedly told them about his own experience with the drug does
    not suffice to establish the "strong inference" of scienter, even
    - 26 -
    if we were inclined to impute what Ferguson and Hall knew to the
    company overall in the way that the plaintiffs contend that we
    must under their expansive theory of "corporate scienter."7
    The plaintiffs also point to statements made by the
    confidential   witnesses   to    support   their   contention    that   the
    complaint adequately alleges that employees in the company knew
    that the statements by Kingsley that the District Court found to
    be "plausibly misleading" were untrue.      They then proceed to argue
    from that contention that the complaint's allegations suffice to
    create a "strong inference" of scienter on the company's part, in
    consequence    of   Kingsley's     plausibly   misleading       statements
    regarding the drug's usage.      But, the alleged statements at issue
    either were not made with sufficient particularity, see Biogen 
    I, 875 F.3d at 42
    (noting that the confidential witness statements
    did not "quantify the magnitude of the sales decline at the company
    level.   [Nor did they] explain with any precision" the cause of
    7 Plaintiffs' reliance on CW 12's statements as evidence of
    corporate scienter does little to strengthen their position.
    According to the plaintiffs, Craig Brown, Biogen's Regional
    Director, noted that CW 12's regional sales numbers declined after
    Dr. Thrower stopped prescribing Tecfidera to his patients. This
    statement simply speaks to the fact that individuals in the company
    were aware that, at least for a time, Dr. Thrower's decision would
    have an impact on their sales in the Atlanta region where CW 12
    was stationed. CW 12's observation does not indicate that anyone
    in the company knew Kingsley's statements about Tecfidera's
    discontinuation rate nationally were in any way untrue such that
    those observations would create the "strong inference" of scienter
    necessary to survive a motion to dismiss under the PSLRA.
    - 27 -
    the decline in sale) or did not describe events that took place
    before    Kingsley's   three     statements   concerning   the   drug's
    discontinuation rates, see 
    id. at 42-43
    (describing "a significant
    timing problem" with many of the confidential witness statements,
    as most of them described declines in Tecfidera sale that occurred
    after Kingsley made the three plausibly misleading statements at
    issue here).
    For example, plaintiffs reference the statements made by
    CW 11 that Biogen was aware that Tecfidera sales would decline
    after the PML death was announced and "drastically lowered sales
    targets for the drug."         But, the plaintiffs never explain how
    reductions in sales targets in November of 2014 indicate that that
    anyone in the company was aware that discontinuation rates were
    higher than Kingsley's statements indicated in early 2015.       After
    all, the fact that the company reduced sales targets does not,
    necessarily, mean that actual sales fell at a commensurate rate.
    Accordingly, while these statements do indicate that employees in
    the company were concerned about the impact the PML death would
    have on Tecfidera sales, they do not create a "strong inference"
    that someone in the company's management team knew that Kingsley's
    generalized statements about the drug's discontinuation rates were
    untrue.
    Similarly, CW 14's statements that there were "lots of
    discontinuations" in the New York region after the PML death was
    - 28 -
    announced do not suffice to support the plaintiffs attempt to show
    that the District Court erred in dismissing the claims against
    Biogen.       The fact that one employee observed an unspecified
    increase in discontinuation rates in New York in November of 2014
    does not create a strong inference that the Biogen management team
    knew   that    Kingsley's    early       2015     statements    about    the   drug's
    discontinuation      rates       company-wide       were   untrue.        In   fact,
    according to the complaint, at the time that Kingsley made those
    statements, the company had already disclosed to investors that
    the drug's discontinuation rates were higher than expected.
    Finally, the plaintiffs point to CW 1's statement about
    having participated in "emergency" conference calls in December of
    2014 and January of 2015 regarding Tecfidera's declining sales.
    But,   the    plaintiffs     do    not     describe     what     specifically     was
    communicated to the employees during those calls, and nothing in
    the complaint suggests that CW 1 received any information during
    them that directly conflicted with the four "plausibly misleading"
    statements attributed to Kingsley.
    Moreover,    the     few     confidential        witness   statements
    alleged      in   the     complaint        that     were   particularized         and
    appropriately timed concerned narrow slices of the market for the
    sale of the drug.         For example, CW 17 -- an Executive Territory
    Business Manager -- reported that his Tecfidera sales dropped 25%
    after the PML death.         But, the fact that his individual sales
    - 29 -
    experienced    a   decline   does    not   indicate   that   he   knew   that
    Kingsley's generalized assessments of the magnitude of the change
    in discontinuation rates nationally for the company were untrue.8
    C.
    Finally, we address the plaintiffs "additional scienter"
    arguments.    Here, the plaintiffs argue that the District Court did
    not properly credit their allegations that the defendants knew or
    should have known that the public statements that had been made by
    Kingsley regarding Tecfidera were misleading because Tecfidera was
    part of the company's "core operations"; many of the plausibly
    misleading statements were "repeated" and "specific"; and Biogen
    operates in a highly regulated industry.         We disagree.9
    8 The plaintiffs additionally point to CW 15's and CW 16's
    knowledge that the company had prepared a response to a PML-linked
    death well in advance of the October 2014 announcement. According
    to the plaintiffs, the fact that the company did so reveals that
    the company knew for some time that the drug could cause PML and
    yet failed to acknowledge this reality in its public disclosures.
    However, as stated previously with regard to the plaintiffs'
    individual scienter claims, we fail to see how a company's
    preparation for a worst-case scenario indicates that the company
    knew that such a scenario would come to pass. Consequently, we
    similarly reject the plaintiffs' reliance on CW 15's and CW 16's
    statements   as  they   pertain   to   their  corporate   scienter
    contentions, as we conclude that even if we were to impute CW 15's
    and CW 16's knowledge to the company, the plaintiffs would still
    fail to create a "strong inference" of scienter.
    9 Plaintiffs also argue that, because only a short period of
    time passed between the defendants' "plausibly misleading"
    statements and the fraud's alleged "disclosure," it can be assumed
    that the plaintiffs knew that their statements were misleading at
    the time that they were made.      However, it appears that the
    plaintiffs did not make this argument to the District Court below,
    - 30 -
    In pressing the "core operations" theory, the plaintiffs
    contend that, when "facts critical to a business’s core operations
    or an important transaction generally are so apparent[,] knowledge
    [of those facts] may be attributed to the company and its key
    officers," even if those officers did not, in actuality, know the
    critical information.     Bodri v. GoPro, Inc., 
    252 F. Supp. 3d 912
    ,
    932 (N.D. Cal. 2017).      But, as we have explained, the plaintiffs
    fail to identify any allegations in the complaint that show that
    anyone in the company had knowledge regarding the drug's safety
    profile   and    sales   that        contradicted    the   company's    public
    representations. So, the "core operations" theory also does little
    to aid the plaintiffs' case.          S. Ferry LP, No. 2 v. Killinger, 
    542 F.3d 776
    , 784-85 (9th Cir. 2008) ("As a general matter, 'corporate
    management's general awareness of the day-to-day workings of the
    company's business does not establish scienter -- at least absent
    some additional allegation of specific information conveyed to
    management     and   related    to    the   fraud'   or    other   allegations
    supporting scienter." (quoting Metzler Inv. GmbH v. Corinthian
    Colls., Inc., 
    534 F.3d 1068
    , 1087 (9th Cir. 2008))).
    In this regard, the precedents on which the plaintiffs
    rely -- see, e.g., Stratte-McClure v. Morgan Stanley, 
    784 F. Supp. 2d
    373, 389 (S.D.N.Y. 2011); Crowell v. Ionics, Inc., 343 F. Supp.
    and we thus do not consider it. See United States v. Swiss American
    Bank, Ltd., 
    191 F.3d 30
    , 37 (1st Cir. 1999).
    - 31 -
    2d 1, 19 (D. Mass. 2004) -- are distinguishable.                In each, the
    record contained much stronger evidence of knowledge within the
    company   of   fraudulent   practices       than   is   set   forth   in    the
    allegations in the plaintiffs' complaint here.             Compare 
    Crowell, 343 F. Supp. 2d at 19
    (explaining that the low-level witnesses had
    received an email stating that a mid-level vice president ordered
    a company-wide practice of fraudulently inflating sales numbers
    and thus that, even if the corporate officers were personally
    unaware   of   the   fraudulent   sales     practice,    generally    --   that
    knowledge could be imputed to them though the core operations
    theory), with Lenartz v. Am. Superconductor Corp., 
    879 F. Supp. 2d 167
    , 183 n.9 (D. Mass. 2012) (rejecting the plaintiffs' core
    operations theory where the facts offered to prove that the
    defendant's actions were fraudulent were "less clear" than the
    "particularized facts" of Crowell).
    The   plaintiffs'      "highly    regulated    industry"    theory
    suffers from the same defect. According to the plaintiffs, because
    "Biogen   operates     in   the    heavily    regulated       pharmaceuticals
    industry," one can infer "that the Individual Defendants were
    acutely aware of safety-related concerns [related to Tecfidera]."
    But, if by "safety concerns" the plaintiffs mean the alleged
    statements from Dr. Thrower to Ferguson and Hall regarding Dr.
    Thrower's research on Tecfidera, then we have already explained
    the problem with this theory.       Even if we were to assume that the
    - 32 -
    individual defendants were aware of Dr. Thrower's comments to
    Ferguson   and   Hall,   none   of   the   six   "plausibly   misleading"
    statements so clearly conflicts with Dr. Thrower's assessment of
    the drug -- especially given the other safety disclosures the
    company made prior to those statements -- that there exists a
    "strong inference" that any of those six statements were made with
    the intent to deceive.
    Nor can the plaintiffs succeed in pressing their case on
    appeal based on their contention that the defendants' repeated
    specific statements about the drug show that they knew that their
    public disclosures were misleading when made and thus that there
    is a "strong inference" of scienter not only as to them but also
    as to Biogen.    We may assume that a plausibly misleading statement
    was made publicly more than once.          But nothing in the complaint
    alleges facts that indicate that anyone in Biogen's management had
    knowledge that was sufficiently in conflict with any of the six
    "plausibly misleading" public statements to permit the conclusion
    that the company had the requisite intent to deceive in permitting
    those statements to have been made and in not having corrected
    them in some respect.
    IV.
    For the foregoing reasons we affirm the District Court's
    judgment granting the motion to dismiss.
    - 33 -