United States v. Fletcher ( 2022 )


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  •          United States Court of Appeals
    For the First Circuit
    No. 20-1131
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,
    Appellee,
    v.
    TIMOTHY FLETCHER,
    Defendant, Appellant.
    APPEAL FROM THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF MASSACHUSETTS
    [Hon. Richard G. Stearns, U.S. District Judge]
    Before
    Kayatta, Selya, and Gelpí,
    Circuit Judges.
    K. Hayne Barnwell for appellant.
    Abigail Frisch Vice, Bristow Fellow, Office of the Solicitor
    General, United States Department of Justice, with Rachael S.
    Rollins, United States Attorney, and Alexia R. De Vincentis,
    Assistant United States Attorney, on brief, for appellee.
    December 28, 2022
    KAYATTA,      Circuit      Judge.      A    jury   convicted       Timothy
    Fletcher    of   being    a    felon    in    possession       of   a    firearm    and
    ammunition, and of possessing cocaine and cocaine base with intent
    to distribute.      The district court then imposed a sentence above
    the range provided by the United States Sentencing Guidelines.
    Fletcher requests a new trial because the district court did not
    allow him to call a witness who would have asserted her Fifth
    Amendment right to avoid incriminating herself and because one of
    the court's instructions ran afoul of Rehaif v. United States, 
    139 S. Ct. 2191
     (2019).           He also raises numerous challenges to his
    sentence. For the following reasons, we affirm both the conviction
    and the sentence.
    I.
    Shortly before 10:00 p.m. on April 2, 2015, local police
    officers trailed Brooke Cotell, a known heroin dealer, to "Simple
    Storage,"    a   storage      facility       in   the   village     of    Hyannis   in
    Barnstable, Massachusetts.             An officer observed Fletcher exit
    Cotell's vehicle and walk toward Simple Storage, returning fifteen
    minutes later.      Continuing to follow Cotell's vehicle, officers
    observed Fletcher selling one gram of cocaine in what he did not
    realize was a controlled buy.                After the vehicle parked at the
    Clarion    Hotel,   the    officers      proceeded       to    execute     a   warrant
    authorizing the search of Cotell, Fletcher, the vehicle, and a
    room reserved at the Clarion by Cotell and Fletcher.                     The officers
    - 2 -
    found on Fletcher's person eleven individually wrapped baggies
    containing what was later confirmed to be cocaine and crack
    cocaine.    They also found on Fletcher $1,168 in cash, two cell
    phones, a key fob for entry to the Simple Storage facility, and a
    key to a U-Haul lock.
    When questioned, Cotell sought to trade information for
    leniency, telling the officers about Fletcher's drug dealing and
    his use of a storage unit at Simple Storage.   The officers obtained
    a warrant to search the storage unit.      They also questioned the
    owner of the facility, Andrew Adair. At trial, Mr. Adair testified
    that Fletcher's mother, accompanied by Fletcher, had rented a
    storage unit one year and eight months previously, stating a desire
    to store her son's sneaker collection in the unit.           During the
    ensuing one year and eight months, Mr. Adair saw Fletcher access
    the unit about once per month.    He saw Fletcher's mother only two
    or three times, and never saw anyone else access the unit with
    Fletcher.    Simple Storage's software confirmed that the fob found
    on Fletcher had been used to access the facility on the evening of
    Fletcher's arrest.
    In the unit rented by Fletcher's mother, the officers
    found 223 boxes of sneakers, in and among which were three pistols
    and   ammunition,    bags   containing   179.11 grams   of     cocaine,
    2.89 grams of crack cocaine, cutting agents, scales, $1,420 in
    cash, and paperwork of various types in Fletcher's name.           They
    - 3 -
    also obtained Fletcher's prints from one of the pistols and from
    a magazine for one of the other pistols.
    Fletcher's defense at trial was that the contraband
    found in the storage unit did not belong to him.              His counsel
    theorized    that   Cotell   or   a    prior   girlfriend,   Erica   Lopes,
    exclusively controlled possession of the drugs.          Unconvinced, the
    jurors found Fletcher guilty of being a felon in possession of a
    firearm and ammunition, and of possessing cocaine and cocaine base
    with intent to distribute.        The district court imposed a sentence
    of 168 months, 31 months above the top of the Guidelines sentencing
    range of 110–137 months.
    II.
    Fletcher's first claim of error during his trial is the
    district court's decision not to allow him to call his mother to
    testify.    Toward the end of the trial, the following discussion
    ensued:
    [Defense    Counsel]:       With   regard    to
    Ms. Fletcher, Your Honor, my understanding is
    she's going to invoke her Fifth Amendment
    privilege with respect to items in the storage
    unit. I subpoenaed her because of the very
    fact that I believe that this information is
    exculpatory to my client. I also understand
    that -- you know, my intention was to ask other
    questions with regard to Ms. Fletcher that did
    not pertain to the storage unit, but did
    pertain to conversations with Mr. Adair, or
    what she saw when she arrived to that unit.
    - 4 -
    My desire would be to elicit some questioning
    not -- that I know will not cover the immediate
    search or the items inside, other than to say
    what she found when she arrived to the Simple
    Storage area.
    She will also talk about this individual named
    Erica Lopes.
    She will also reference any knowledge that she
    might have of Brooke Cotell.
    But I do know that she is going to be invoking
    her Fifth Amendment privilege, and as a
    result, I think that -- that's why I brought
    it to the Court's attention.
    THE COURT:     You're doing the appropriate
    thing, although I think under our rules, a
    witness can't be selective about what he or
    she chooses to testify to. Generally, if you
    take the oath, you -- and I can't believe that
    [the prosecutor] wouldn't be asking questions,
    and why she would take the Fifth Amendment is
    perfectly apparent to me.
    [Defense Counsel]: Your Honor, I would -- I
    want to ask those questions myself, right.
    And so I was contacted just this past week by
    attorneys for Ms. Fletcher, and I do know --
    the court may be aware, but she was charged in
    the state court for possession without -- you
    know, improper storage, and then that was
    dropped without prejudice to being refiled.
    That was only on the one weapon that was
    physically registered to her.
    So, as a result, I do know -- I understand the
    Court's position, Your Honor, but it is -- it
    was our intention to call her.
    I would ask, at the very least, that if she is
    called, that I could call her on the stand and
    - 5 -
    then she can invoke her Fifth Amendment
    privilege on the stand, Your Honor.
    THE COURT: Well, as you know, in state court
    that would never be permitted because the rule
    is pretty absolute.      It's a little more
    flexible in federal court.       I think the
    leading case is United States v. Johnson,
    which it's a matter of discretion for the
    court.     Rather   than   put   her  to   the
    embarrassment of being on the witness stand
    and then being taken off . . . I would be
    willing to simply instruct the jury that it
    was the intention to call her, that she
    indicated that she will not testify under her
    Fifth Amendment right as to any matter that
    involves the storage locker or its contents.
    I think that might be better than having her
    on the stand in front of the jury.
    So why don't we handle it that way?
    Fletcher did not call his mother, and the court instructed the
    jury as follows:
    I'm going to tell you now that he would have
    called his mother, T[]eresa Fletcher, but I've
    been informed by her lawyer that, if called,
    she would assert the Fifth Amendment privilege
    and refuse to answer any question regarding
    the storage locker or its content. A witness
    obviously can't selectively testify. So she
    understands that the defendant under statute
    will not be called.
    As the foregoing excerpts from the trial transcript
    demonstrate, no one expressed any doubt that Fletcher's mother
    would invoke the Fifth Amendment privilege and refuse to answer
    questions "as to any matter that involves the storage locker or
    its contents."     And given her name on the lease, the contents of
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    the locker, and the specter of refiled criminal charges in state
    court, no one disputed that the invocation of her right not to
    testify about that subject matter was justified.        Finally, no one
    objected to the instruction given by the court.
    On appeal, Fletcher now reasserts his contention that he
    should have been permitted to call his mother to the stand to ask
    specific questions such as he proposed.         Instead of allowing a
    "blanket   assertion"   of   privilege,   Fletcher   contends   that   the
    district court should have enforced the trial subpoena to bring
    his mother and her counsel into court and then conducted a voir
    dire inquiry to determine whether any lines of questioning fell
    outside the scope of the privilege and could be fairly explored by
    both parties.
    As to the content of his proposed questions, Fletcher
    asserts on appeal that he would have elicited testimony from his
    mother "about her observations and knowledge of Lopes and Cotell
    including whether she ever saw them access the Simple Storage
    building or Unit 26 itself and if so, when, whether she ever saw
    them with the key fob and keys to Unit 26, whether she saw either
    of them put items in or take items out of Unit 26, whether she
    knew anything about their drug dealing or drug possession and/or
    whether she knew anything about their motivations or biases against
    Fletcher."   Fletcher submits that this proposed testimony would
    have "put enough meat on the bones" of the defense's theory that
    - 7 -
    "Brooke Cotell or Erica Lopes stored the cocaine in the storage
    unit without Fletcher's knowledge."            More particularly, Fletcher
    contends that the testimony would have bolstered his theory that
    Cotell "could have taken his keys and put the cocaine in Unit 26,
    allowing her to pass blame to Fletcher if she were ever caught."
    We   review   rulings   sustaining     invocations       of   Fifth
    Amendment privilege for abuse of discretion.           See United States v.
    Ramos, 
    763 F.3d 45
    , 53 (1st Cir. 2014).             Generally speaking, our
    case law prefers that the trial court conduct a "particularized
    inquiry" to see whether there are specific questions that are
    outside the scope of the privilege and can be explored by both
    parties without unfairness.        United States v. Pratt, 
    913 F.2d 982
    ,
    990 (1st Cir. 1990); see United States v. Cascella, 
    943 F.3d 1
    , 5–
    6 (1st Cir. 2019) (noting that "a blanket assertion . . . is
    'extremely disfavored,'" but stating that "[w]e have nevertheless
    at least once allowed such a blanket assertion of privilege when
    the district court itself confirmed the witness's inability to
    offer    any       relevant,    non-privileged      testimony"     (citations
    omitted)).
    Here, the district court did not question Fletcher's
    mother   or    her    counsel   regarding     the   scope   of   her   asserted
    privilege, nor did it provide any analysis as to how testifying
    about certain topics, such as general knowledge about Lopes and
    Cotell, could possibly incriminate Fletcher's mother. On the other
    - 8 -
    hand, this was likely the result of Fletcher's rather flimsy
    descriptions of what testimony he sought to elicit at trial.
    Certainly, Fletcher's description to the district court of the
    proposed testimony was much vaguer than his description on appeal.
    At trial, his counsel stated only that he wanted to ask questions
    of Fletcher's mother about (1) her "conversations with Mr. Adair";
    (2) "what she found when she arrived to the Simple Storage area";
    (3) "this individual named Erica Lopes"; and (4) "any knowledge
    that she might have of Brooke Cotell."     Those vague proffers did
    not provide much detail to suggest that the testimony would be
    both relevant and beyond the scope of the privilege.
    In any event, we need not decide whether the district
    court abused its discretion because we agree with the government
    that the exclusion of Fletcher's mother as a witness was harmless
    beyond a reasonable doubt.   See Delaware v. Van Arsdall, 
    475 U.S. 673
    , 681 (1986); Cascella, 943 F.3d at 6; United States v. Kaplan,
    
    832 F.2d 676
    , 685 (1st Cir. 1987).    "Caught red-handed" comes to
    mind as a fair description of Fletcher.    The local police saw him
    -- not Cotell -- go to the storage unit before the sale; his
    paperwork was in the unit; his prints were on one of the pistols;
    he carried the key fob and the key to the storage unit; and he was
    carrying cocaine when arrested just after making a controlled sale.
    Given that evidence, no reasonable jury would find that he used
    the storage unit only to store sneakers.   See, e.g., United States
    - 9 -
    v.    Highgate,    
    521 F.3d 590
    ,    595   (6th    Cir.   2008)   ("Although
    questioning the arresting officer's credibility could marginally
    benefit [the] defense, this testimony would not have altered the
    jury's verdict in light of the overwhelming evidence of guilt.").
    III.
    Fletcher also argues that he is entitled to a new trial
    due to a flawed jury instruction on the felon-in-possession charge.
    Section 922(g) makes it unlawful for "any person . . . who has
    been convicted in any court of, a crime punishable by imprisonment
    for   a   term    exceeding     one   year . . .      to . . .   possess   in   or
    affecting commerce, any firearm or ammunition . . . ."                
    18 U.S.C. § 922
    (g).    Section 924(a)(8), in turn, makes it a crime punishable
    by up to fifteen years to "knowingly violate[]" section 922(g).
    
    18 U.S.C. § 924
    (a)(8). In Rehaif, decided after Fletcher's verdict
    but before sentencing, the Supreme Court held that "the Government
    must prove both that the defendant knew he possessed a firearm and
    that he knew he belonged to the relevant category of persons barred
    from possessing a firearm."             
    139 S. Ct. at 2200
    .        The district
    court's instructions to the jury, delivered before Rehaif was
    decided, did not inform jurors of the need to find beyond a
    reasonable doubt that Fletcher knew that a crime for which he had
    previously been convicted was punishable by more than one year in
    prison.     Fletcher requests a new trial on this basis.
    - 10 -
    The parties agree that we review this claim for plain
    error, given that Fletcher did not object to the jury instructions.
    Under the plain error standard, Fletcher "must show '(1) an error,
    (2) that is clear or obvious, (3) which affects his substantial
    rights . . .   ,   and    which   (4) seriously     impugns    the   fairness,
    integrity or public reputation of the proceeding.'"             United States
    v. Burghardt, 
    939 F.3d 397
    , 403 (1st Cir. 2019) (alteration in
    original) (quoting United States v. Correa-Osorio, 
    784 F.3d 11
    , 18
    (1st Cir. 2015)).
    The parties also appear to agree that the instructions
    were clearly erroneous, if only because the district court had no
    foreknowledge of the Rehaif decision.          So we ask, next, whether
    the error was prejudicial.         Id.; United States v. Guzmán-Merced,
    
    984 F.3d 18
    , 20 (1st Cir. 2020).            In this context, prejudicial
    means that, but for the error, there is a "reasonable probability"
    that the jury would have acquitted Fletcher on this count.               Greer
    v. United States, 
    141 S. Ct. 2090
    , 2098 (2021).
    We see no such probability.          Fletcher served over four
    years of post-conviction imprisonment on a 2005 conviction, and an
    additional   one   year    and    eleven   months    on   a   2011   probation
    violation.     It would require something quite extraordinary to
    convince a jury that a person who actually served a sentence well
    in excess of a year did not know that his offense had been
    punishable by more than a year in prison.           See Burghardt, 939 F.3d
    - 11 -
    at 404 (reasoning that a defendant's receipt of actual sentences
    in excess of one year "would certainly have made clear . . . that
    his offenses were punishable by more than one year in prison").1
    Fletcher nevertheless points to the passage of time, his
    learning difficulties, his use of drugs and alcohol, and his mental
    illness as reasons he may not have understood the nature of his
    prior convictions.   But nothing in the record describes the nature
    and severity of those afflictions in a manner that would raise a
    reasonable probability that jurors would conclude that Fletcher
    had forgotten spending over four years in prison as a result of a
    conviction, much less that he had also forgotten about another
    imprisonment of almost two years.
    We therefore conclude that Fletcher has not shown a
    reasonable probability that a proper instruction in light of Rehaif
    would have resulted in acquittal.      This closes out Fletcher's
    grounds for a new trial, so we turn to his complaints regarding
    sentencing.
    1  Fletcher argues that he "received a substantial amount of
    credit for time served" on the 2005 conviction and that "it is
    reasonably likely that he did not understand that the amount of
    time served in pretrial detention counted towards his sentence."
    See Greer, 141 S. Ct. at 2103 (Sotomayor, J., concurring in part
    and dissenting in part) (noting that a defendant "might not
    understand that pretrial detention was included in his ultimate
    sentence"). But the credit he received for time-served still left
    over four years of his sentence that he served after his
    conviction.
    - 12 -
    IV.
    At    sentencing,   the     district   court   rejected   the
    government's argument that Fletcher qualified as a career offender
    and adopted a Guidelines sentencing range calculation of 110–
    137 months.    The court then said the following:
    However, this is one of those rare cases which
    I think an upward departure is in order, given
    the nature and just astonishing criminal
    record that Mr. Fletcher has compiled. It is
    not the longest I have ever seen, but it is,
    certainly given his age, perhaps the most
    replete that I have encountered.2     So I am
    going to depart upward to a sentence of 168
    months.
    Mr. Fletcher, if you would stand, please.
    Mr. Fletcher, pursuant to the Sentencing
    Reform Act of 1984 and having considered the
    sentencing     factors     more     importantly
    enumerated   at   18,   United   States   code,
    Section 3553(a), it is the judgment of the
    court that you be committed to the custody of
    the Bureau of Prisons for a term of 168 months.
    This term consists of a term of 120 months on
    Count One, and terms of 168 months on Counts
    Two and Three to be served concurrently with
    Count One.
    2  Fletcher's "replete" criminal history was summarized by
    the government in its sentencing memorandum as follows: Fletcher
    "indicate[d] that he ha[d] spent well over a third of his life in
    custody," and he had "numerous arrests and convictions for serious
    crimes," "repeated violations of his conditions of probation," and
    "many disciplinary incidents while in custody." The presentence
    report chronicled this record in detail.
    - 13 -
    Fletcher raises several challenges to this 168-month
    sentence, 31 months in excess of the Guidelines sentencing range.
    Three of those challenges are based on Fletcher's claims that the
    district court disregarded certain procedures that district courts
    must follow in issuing departing (as opposed to varying) sentences.
    He also contends that the district court did not provide adequate
    explanation      for     his   sentence          and    that    his     sentence    was
    substantively unreasonable.               We address these challenges in turn.
    A.
    Fletcher contends that the above-Guidelines sentence was
    a departure and, therefore, that the district court erred by
    failing to follow certain procedures that must accompany departing
    sentences.      Specifically, Fletcher argues that the district court
    (1) failed to provide reasonable notice that it was contemplating
    a   departure    under    Federal         Rule   of    Criminal    Procedure 32(h);
    (2) misapplied Guidelines section 4A1.3(a)(4) in determining the
    extent of the departure; and (3) failed to set forth in writing
    the   specific    reasons      why    the     criminal        history   category    was
    inadequate, as required by Guidelines section 4A1.3(c)(1).
    Before      turning       to    these      three    arguments,   we     first
    consider their common premise: that the sentence reflected a
    departure, rather than a variance.                 Fletcher points out that the
    district court twice described its sentence as "departing" during
    the sentencing hearing.          And on the administrative statement of
    - 14 -
    reasons form, the court checked the box for "depart[ing]" and
    completed    the        section    titled     "Departures    Pursuant    to    the
    Guidelines Manual" while leaving blank the section titled "Court
    Determination      for     a    Variance."      The   government    nevertheless
    contends that the district court engaged in a variance, rather
    than   a   departure,      as     evidenced   by   the   court's   reference    to
    section 3553(a) factors, which could be used to explain a variance.
    We can hardly be surprised that skilled counsel for the
    parties can advance cogent but opposing views on whether Fletcher's
    above-Guidelines sentence is a departure or a variance.                  We have
    observed that "a departure is just a variance by another name."
    United States v. Santini-Santiago, 
    846 F.3d 487
    , 490 (1st Cir.
    2017).      That is because for practical purposes, there is no
    departure that could not be justified as a variance.                    Id.; see
    also United States v. Ríos-Rivera, 
    913 F.3d 38
    , 45 (1st Cir. 2019)
    ("[T]here    is    no    discernable    difference       between   departure   and
    variance sentences."). Yet we have also stated that the difference
    between departures and variances "is hardly semantic."                    United
    States v. Miranda-Díaz, 
    942 F.3d 33
    , 40 (1st Cir. 2019); see also
    United States v. Díaz-Lugo, 
    963 F.3d 145
    , 153 n.1 (1st Cir. 2020)
    (observing, even while citing Santini-Santiago, that "we have made
    it luminously clear that departures and variances are not of the
    same genre"); United States v. Rodríguez-Reyes, 
    925 F.3d 558
    , 567
    (1st Cir. 2019) ("There are significant differences between a
    - 15 -
    departure and a variance.").   Although all these statements by our
    court are literally correct, it is fair to say that they may invite
    confusion.    This confusion is, to a certain extent, unavoidable
    given that the notion of departures is largely an artifact of the
    pre-Booker era, "when the guidelines were mandatory and variances
    were little more than a gleam in the eye of the Supreme Court."
    Santini-Santiago, 846 F.3d at 490; see United States v. Booker,
    
    543 U.S. 220
    , 259–60 (2005).   But until the rules (see, e.g., Fed.
    R. Crim. P. 32(h)) fully reflect the implications of Booker's
    decree that courts can vary outside Guidelines sentencing ranges
    based on section 3553(a) factors (that are, in turn, broad enough
    to encompass the grounds for departures), we cannot entirely
    abandon the nomenclature.
    So we treat departures and variances like two roads, one
    of which can always get you to every place that the other may lead,
    yet each of which has acquired its own set of directions.   Nor, we
    add, are the respective directions as different as some presume.
    For example, while Rule 32(h) requires advance notice of the
    grounds for any contemplated departure, our case law requires that
    sentencing courts also avoid unfair surprise when adopting a
    variance.    United States v. Vega-Santiago, 
    519 F.3d 1
    , 5 (1st Cir.
    2008) (en banc) ("[W]hen proposing to adopt a variant sentence
    relying on some ground or factor that would unfairly surprise
    competent and reasonably prepared counsel, a judge must either
    - 16 -
    provide advance notice or, on request, grant a continuance in order
    to accommodate a reasonable desire for more evidence or further
    research.").
    With the foregoing in mind, we accept Fletcher's premise
    that he received a sentence based on an upward departure, as the
    district court twice stated.    We turn next to Fletcher's three
    arguments based on that premise.
    1.
    Fletcher's principal challenge points to the district
    court's failure to give advance notice of its intention to depart,
    as required by Rule 32(h).   We review this unpreserved challenge
    only for plain error.   Fletcher's counsel knew at the sentencing
    hearing that the court was departing from the Guidelines, that the
    court had not given notice under Rule 32(h), and that the court's
    rationale for the departure was Fletcher's extensive criminal
    history.    Yet his counsel neither expressed surprise at the
    departure nor otherwise objected to the court's procedure. Indeed,
    after explaining its reasoning, the district court expressly asked
    counsel whether they "ha[d] anything further," to which Fletcher's
    counsel replied, "I do not."       See Ríos-Rivera, 913 F.3d at 45
    (finding forfeiture of Rule 32(h) argument where, after announcing
    the sentence, the district court asked if there was "anything else"
    counsel wanted to discuss and defense counsel replied, "That is
    all").
    - 17 -
    Under plain error review, Fletcher must show, among
    other things, that the error prejudiced him.          United States v.
    Turbides-Leonardo, 
    468 F.3d 34
    , 39 (1st Cir. 2006).            In a case
    such as this, involving a purported error in adopting a departure,
    there is no prejudice where the district court would have properly
    imposed the same sentence as a variance.       United States v. Laboy-
    Nadal, 
    992 F.3d 41
    , 43 (1st Cir. 2021).
    In   explaining   its   reasoning   for   the   departure,   the
    district court effectively made clear that it would have issued
    the same sentence under the rubric of a variance.           It explained
    why it found the Guidelines range insufficient, particularly as to
    Fletcher's criminal history, without going beyond the scope of the
    section 3553(a) factors.     More specifically, the district court
    explained its sentence by pointing to Fletcher's "astonishing
    criminal record . . . given his age."         This extensive criminal
    history was detailed in the presentence report and the government
    urged that the court rely on it as a basis for a bracing sentence
    of 210 months.3    Similarly, the district court's statement of
    reasons form indicates that the reason for the departure was
    3  Referring to some of Fletcher's prior convictions that were
    chronicled in the presentence report but not accounted for in the
    Guidelines calculation, the government argued that "even if
    they're too old to count, . . . they're important for the Court to
    look to consider the overall history of this defendant. He's been
    in and out of jail, in and out of state prison, yet he has not
    deterred [sic] his criminal ways."
    - 18 -
    Guidelines section 4A1.3, i.e., "that the defendant's criminal
    history category substantially under-represents the seriousness of
    the   defendant's      criminal   history       or   the   likelihood    that   the
    defendant will commit other crimes."                 These considerations fall
    squarely within the section 3553(a) factors.                See United States v.
    Flores-Machicote, 
    706 F.3d 16
    , 21 (1st Cir. 2013) (stating that "a
    sentencing     judge   may   consider       whether    a   defendant's    criminal
    history score substantially under[-]represents the gravity of his
    past conduct" as part of the "history and characteristics" factor);
    
    18 U.S.C. § 3553
    (a)(2)(C) (requiring consideration of "the need
    for the sentence imposed . . . to protect the public from further
    crimes of the defendant"). And the district court expressly stated
    that its sentence was based on "having considered the sentencing
    factors" in section 3553(a).           Thus, "[e]ven if the district court
    imposed a departure rather than a variance, its analysis tracked
    the § 3553(a) factors."        Laboy-Nadal, 992 F.3d at 43.              In short,
    whether labeled a departure or a variance, Fletcher's sentence was
    going to be the same.
    Fletcher nevertheless contends that even if the sentence
    could   have   been    imposed    as    a   variance,      the   lack   of   notice
    prejudiced him because, had he more notice, he likely would have
    "argued that he was not a hardened criminal but a man whose prior
    crimes were inextricably linked to his struggles with mental
    illness and trauma which are best addressed through treatment."
    - 19 -
    But arguments in this vein were centrally germane regardless of
    whether any departure was anticipated.      Indeed, these arguments
    would have been directly relevant even if a Guidelines sentence
    -- or a low Guidelines sentence -- had been anticipated.          And
    Fletcher had plenty of notice that his criminal history was
    especially pertinent given the government's focus on it in its
    objection to the presentence report, its sentencing memorandum,
    and its argument at the sentencing hearing.    So we cannot see how
    Fletcher's arguments can be said to have been omitted due to lack
    of notice.
    Fletcher refers us to United States v. Mangone, 
    105 F.3d 29
     (1st Cir. 1997), which held that a district court's failure to
    provide notice before departing prejudiced the defendant because
    "[a]n increase of two years in time spent behind bars cannot help
    but affect one of the most precious rights an individual has, to
    live in freedom."   
    Id. at 36
    .   But Mangone was decided pre-Booker,
    before it was clear that a sentencing court could simply impose
    the same sentence through a variance.     Moreover, in Mangone, the
    government stated that the Guidelines adequately addressed the
    enormity of the offense and did not argue for an upward sentence
    based on the rationale relied on by the court.    
    Id.
     at 34–35.    So
    the defendant in that case had far less reason to anticipate an
    upward sentence on the grounds relied on than Fletcher had in this
    case, where the government expressly argued for a higher sentence
    - 20 -
    on the same basis that the district court relied on in imposing
    the above-Guidelines sentence.
    2.
    Fletcher next argues that an error in calculating the
    extent of the departure generated a gravitational pull on the
    district court's thinking, such that we cannot say that it would
    have settled on its 168-month sentence, whether by departure or
    variance, absent that pull.   See United States v. Rodriguez, 
    630 F.3d 39
    , 43 (1st Cir. 2010) (citing Vega-Santiago, 
    519 F.3d at 5
    ).
    Due to the lack of objection below, plain error applies to this
    argument as well.4
    The    alleged   error       here   concerns   Guidelines
    section 4A1.3(a)(4), which describes a process for departing based
    on the extent and nature of a defendant's criminal history.
    Fletcher seems to contend that because the presentence report
    assigned him a criminal history category of V, an upward departure
    should have moved him only to VI, and that such a move would have
    generated a range of only 120–150 months, still below the sentence
    of 168 months.
    4  Fletcher suggests that his counsel lacked the opportunity
    to object because the district court did not expressly state that
    it was applying Guidelines section 4A1.3(a)(4) at the sentencing
    hearing.    But it was clear at the hearing that the court's
    rationale for the departure was Fletcher's extensive criminal
    history, such that section 4A1.3(a)(4) was in play.
    - 21 -
    But nothing in the Guidelines limited the district court
    to merely changing the criminal history category to VI.                     Rather,
    if the court felt that a category of VI also understated the extent
    and nature of the actual criminal history, section 4A1.3(a)(4)
    expressly    supported      an   effective          departure   above   the   range
    generated by category VI by means of "incrementally" increasing
    the offense level "until [the court] finds a guideline range
    appropriate to the case."          Such a move here, in turn, generated a
    range encompassing 168 months.
    Two conclusions flow from the foregoing.                First, it is
    not clear to us that any error was committed merely because the
    court's qualitative assessment of the criminal history drove its
    selection of a sentencing range.                Section 4A1.3(a)(4) expressly
    allows adoption of a range that is "appropriate to the case."
    Second,     the   court's    use    of    its       departure   authority     under
    section 4A1.3(a)(4) to select a sentence appropriate to the case
    based on its assessment of the extent and nature of Fletcher's
    "replete" criminal history makes clear that it would have reached
    the same endpoint had it started out down the variance road.                     So
    Fletcher cannot show any prejudice from the alleged misapplication
    of section 4A1.3(a)(4) in calculating the extent of the departure.
    3.
    Fletcher   argues      that       the    district   court   failed   to
    provide a written statement of reasons required by Guidelines
    - 22 -
    section 4A1.3(c)(1),         which     he     contends     was   necessary     for
    meaningful      appellate     review    of    the     upward   departure.      The
    government appears to concede that we review this argument under
    an abuse of discretion standard, because Fletcher and his counsel
    would not have become aware of the court's failure to comply with
    the writing requirement until after the sentencing hearing.                    But
    "[t]he district court's oral explanation provided this Court with
    an   adequate    record      to   evaluate      the   appropriateness     of   its
    departure," and, given that explanation, "we believe that the
    district court would have imposed the same sentence" had it
    provided a written statement of reasons. United States v. Vázquez-
    Martínez, 
    812 F.3d 18
    , 25 (1st Cir. 2016).                 Therefore, any such
    error was harmless.         See id.5
    B.
    Shifting       tacks    slightly,      Fletcher     argues   that   the
    explanation for his enhanced sentence -- whether called a departure
    or variance -- was inadequate.              We review this argument for plain
    error because Fletcher did not object to the court's explanation
    at the sentencing hearing.         United States v. Carrasquillo-Sánchez,
    
    9 F.4th 56
    , 58 (1st Cir. 2021).
    5 For the same reasons, we reject Fletcher's challenge under
    section 3553(c)(2), which similarly requires a written statement
    of reasons. 
    18 U.S.C. § 3553
    (c)(2).
    - 23 -
    We    find    no   plain    error     in    the   district     court's
    explanation of its sentence.         An explanation, "though brief," may
    nonetheless be sufficient if it "contain[s] a clear, cogent, and
    coherent rationale for its decision."            United States v. Madera-
    Ortiz, 
    637 F.3d 26
    , 31 (1st Cir. 2011).              All that is required is
    that the sentencing court "identify the main factors behind its
    decision"; the explanation "need not 'be precise to the point of
    pedantry.'"     United States v. Merced-García, 
    24 F.4th 76
    , 80–81
    (1st Cir. 2022) (first quoting United States v. Vargas-García, 
    794 F.3d 162
    , 166 (1st Cir. 2015); then quoting United States v. Del
    Valle-Rodríguez, 
    761 F.3d 171
    , 177 (1st Cir. 2014)).
    Here, the explanation that the district court gave for
    its sentence identified the main factors behind its decision.
    Specifically,    the   district      court    explained     that   the   nature,
    length, and repleteness of Fletcher's criminal history, especially
    for someone of his age, made this a "rare case[]" warranting an
    upward departure.      We do not find this explanation lacking.
    Fletcher contends that his "age is an unremarkable fact
    and the Guidelines range already accounts for his criminal record."
    "[A] sentencing court must indicate why the defendant's situation
    differs from the mine-run of cases when basing an upward variance
    on a factor already generally accounted for by the [Guidelines
    sentencing range]."      Del Valle-Rodríguez, 761 F.3d at 176 (citing
    United States v. Zapete-Garcia, 
    447 F.3d 57
    , 60 (1st Cir. 2006)).
    - 24 -
    But the district court did not merely consider Fletcher's age and
    his criminal record independently as two separate factors. Rather,
    its decision was based on the repleteness of Fletcher's criminal
    record (of 25 years) "given his age" (of 38), and the Guidelines
    range did not account for the relationship between these factors.
    Moreover, "[t]he explanation must be read in light of
    the record as a whole," Madera-Ortiz, 
    637 F.3d at 31
    , and here the
    record   as    a   whole   shows   why   the   district      court    thought   the
    Guidelines range insufficient.           The government pointed out in its
    sentencing memorandum and at the hearing that some of Fletcher's
    prior convictions were not considered in the Guidelines range
    because they had "aged out."         The government also argued that the
    facts underlying some of Fletcher's past crimes were violent, even
    though the presentence report did not treat them as violent crimes.
    The district court concluded that precedent foreclosed treating
    those crimes as predicate offenses for career offender status.
    Finally, the Guidelines range did not account for the dozens of
    disciplinary reports -- many of which were violent -- that Fletcher
    incurred      while   incarcerated,      which   the    court        thought    were
    "relevant and merit[ed] some consideration, not perhaps, decisive
    consideration."        Accordingly,       we   find    the    district     court's
    explanation, especially when read in light of the record as a
    whole, to be adequate.
    - 25 -
    Nor did the district court fail to consider mitigating
    circumstances.     Our case law is clear that a district court "need
    not tick off each and every factor in a mechanical sequence" and
    that "we presume -- absent some contrary indication -- that a
    sentencing court considered all the mitigating factors and that
    those   not    specifically     mentioned       were   simply       unpersuasive."
    United States v. Saccoccia, 
    10 F.4th 1
    , 10 (1st Cir. 2021); see
    also United States v. Millán-Román, 
    854 F.3d 75
    , 78 (1st Cir. 2017)
    ("[W]e do not require an express                weighing of mitigating and
    aggravating      factors   or    that        each   factor     be    individually
    mentioned." (quoting United States v. Lozada-Aponte, 
    689 F.3d 791
    ,
    793 (1st Cir. 2012))).        Here, the district court expressly stated
    that it had considered the section 3553(a) factors, a statement
    that is "entitled to some weight."            United States v. Vega-Salgado,
    
    769 F.3d 100
    , 105 (1st Cir. 2014) (quoting United States v.
    Clogston, 
    662 F.3d 588
    , 592 (1st Cir. 2011)).                And Fletcher points
    to nothing in the record suggesting the contrary.
    C.
    Fletcher's final contention is that his sentence was
    substantively unreasonable.        He argues, in the same vein as his
    procedural arguments, that "this is a mine-run case where the
    Guidelines cover the seriousness and length of his record."
    The government concedes that Fletcher preserved this
    claim by requesting a 110-month sentence.                But even under the
    - 26 -
    applicable abuse of discretion standard, "we will set aside a
    sentence only if the district court's determination falls outside
    the 'expansive boundaries' of the entire range of reasonable
    sentences."    United States v. Vargas-Dávila, 
    649 F.3d 129
    , 130
    (1st Cir. 2011) (quoting United States v. Martin, 
    520 F.3d 87
    , 92
    (1st Cir. 2008)).     "A sentence will stand so long as there is 'a
    plausible sentencing rationale and a defensible result.'"        United
    States v. Reyes-Rivera, 
    812 F.3d 79
    , 89 (1st Cir. 2016) (quoting
    Martin, 
    520 F.3d at 96
    ).
    We cannot say that Fletcher's sentence falls outside the
    range of reasonable sentences.          As described above, the record
    contained various reasons for the district court to conclude that
    Fletcher's extensive criminal history was not adequately covered
    by the Guidelines sentencing range and brought this case out of
    the "mine-run" of similar cases.        Therefore, we reject Fletcher's
    final challenge to his sentence.
    V.
    For    the    foregoing   reasons,     we   affirm   Fletcher's
    conviction and his sentence.
    - 27 -