United States v. Vega-Santiago ( 2008 )


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  •           United States Court of Appeals
    For the First Circuit
    No. 06-1558
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,
    Appellee,
    v.
    MANUEL A. VEGA-SANTIAGO,
    Defendant, Appellant.
    APPEAL FROM THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF PUERTO RICO
    [Hon. José Antonio Fusté,   U.S. District Judge]
    Before
    Boudin, Chief Judge,
    Torruella, Lynch, Lipez and Howard, Circuit Judges.
    Mark S. Davies and Johnny Rivera-González, with whom Walter
    Dellinger, Ryan W. Scott, and O'Melveny & Myers LLP were on
    supplemental brief for appellant.
    Vijay Shanker, U.S. Department of Justice, Criminal Division,
    Appellate Section, with whom Rosa Emilia Rodríguez-Vélez, United
    States Attorney, Nelson Pérez-Sosa, Assistant United States
    Attorney, Chief, Appellate Division, and Thomas F. Klumper,
    Assistant United States Attorney, were on supplemental brief for
    appellee.
    February 21, 2008
    OPINION EN BANC
    BOUDIN, Chief Judge.   Manuel Vega-Santiago appealed from
    his conviction on one count of armed carjacking, 
    18 U.S.C. § 2119
    (1) (2000), and two counts of related weapons offenses, 
    id.
     §§
    924(c)(1)(A), 922(k), asserting various trial errors.       He also
    appealed from his prison sentence of 240 months, which represented
    an upward variance from the sentencing guidelines range of 177 to
    191 months that would otherwise have applied to him.
    A panel of this court affirmed Vega's conviction and
    sentence, remanding only to correct a discrepancy between the
    written and oral judgments.   United States v. Vega-Santiago, ---
    F.3d ---, 
    2007 U.S. App. LEXIS 25420
     (1st Cir. Oct. 31, 2007).   We
    granted rehearing en banc to consider the panel's ruling that the
    district judge must provide "notice" to litigants before imposing
    a sentence outside the guideline range--a requirement that the
    panel found satisfied in this case.
    The facts in detail can be found in the panel opinion.
    Vega, 
    2007 U.S. App. LEXIS 25420
    , at *2-*9.    Pertinently, here the
    district judge chose--pursuant to the sentencing regime established
    by the Supreme Court, United States v. Booker, 
    543 U.S. 220
     (2005);
    see also United States v. Jimenez-Beltre, 
    440 F.3d 514
     (1st Cir.
    2006) (en banc)--to impose a sentence above the range applicable
    under the sentencing guidelines.       He did so after weighing the
    sentencing factors outlined in 
    18 U.S.C. § 3553
    (a)--in particular,
    the nature of the offense and the background of the offender.
    -2-
    Neither the presentence report nor the government's pre-hearing
    submissions had suggested varying from the guidelines.
    The question before us is whether a district court,
    before sua sponte imposing a sentence outside the recommended
    guideline range, must automatically provide advance notice to the
    parties of its intent to do so and its contemplated reasoning.   The
    circuit courts being divided,1 the Supreme Court is now likely to
    decide the issue, United States v. Irizarry, 
    458 F.3d 1208
    , 1212
    (11th Cir. 2006), cert. granted, 
    2008 U.S. LEXIS 409
     (Jan. 4, 2008)
    (No. 06-7517), but until it does, district judges in this circuit
    are entitled to guidance on an issue potentially present in every
    sentencing.   Our answer is that notice is sometimes, but not
    always, required.
    1
    Five circuits have held that notice is required.       United
    States v. Anati, 
    457 F.3d 233
    , 237 (2d Cir. 2006); United States v.
    Davenport, 
    445 F.3d 366
    , 371 (4th Cir. 2006); United States v.
    Cousins, 
    469 F.3d 572
    , 580 (6th Cir. 2006); United States v. Evans-
    Martinez, 
    448 F.3d 1163
    , 1164 (9th Cir. 2006); United States v.
    Atencio, 
    476 F.3d 1099
    , 1104 (10th Cir. 2007).
    Four have concluded to the contrary. United States v. Vampire
    Nation, 
    451 F.3d 189
    , 195 (3d Cir. 2006); United States v. Mejia-
    Huerta, 
    480 F.3d 713
    , 722 (5th Cir. 2007), petition for cert.
    filed, 
    75 U.S.L.W. 3585
     (Apr. 18, 2007) (No. 06-1381); United
    States v. Long Soldier, 
    431 F.3d 1120
    , 1122 (8th Cir. 2005); United
    States v. Irizarry, 
    458 F.3d 1208
    , 1212 (11th Cir. 2006), cert.
    granted, 
    2008 U.S. LEXIS 409
     (Jan. 4, 2008) (No. 06-7517); see also
    United States v. Walker, 
    447 F.3d 999
    , 1006 (7th Cir. 2006)
    (holding notice no longer required even for traditional
    departures).
    -3-
    Much   of   the   dispute    among   our    sister    circuits    has
    concerned the applicability of Federal Rule of Criminal Procedure
    32(h).      The rule provides that:
    Before   the  court   may  depart   from  the
    applicable sentencing range on a ground not
    identified for departure either in the
    presentence report or in a party's prehearing
    submission, the court must give the parties
    reasonable notice that it is contemplating
    such a departure. The notice must specify any
    ground on which the court is contemplating a
    departure.
    Prior to Booker, the guidelines were mandatory save for
    "departures" that could be allowed by the district judge only in
    accordance with rules imposed both by the governing statute and the
    guidelines themselves.            The term "departures" refers specifically
    to   just       such   deviations.        Rule   32(h)     speaks    explicitly    of
    "departures," a term with a precise legal meaning.                         U.S.S.G. §
    1B1.1 cmt. n. 1(E) (2007); United States v. Diaz-Villafane, 
    874 F.2d 43
    , 49 (1st Cir. 1989).             Departures continue to be available
    after Booker and it is to them that Rule 32(h) is addressed.
    Booker has created new latitude for district judges by
    permitting them to treat the guidelines as advisory and, after
    calculating the guideline sentence (including any departure), to
    impose      a    different    sentence      based    on    the   broader     criteria
    identified in the statute.               Such deviations have been variously
    labeled--"variance"          is    one    common     term--but      they    are   not
    "departures" either in technical terminology or in common parlance.
    -4-
    On its face, Rule 32(h) cannot apply of its own force to variances,
    a distinct concept developed after the rule was promulgated.
    It is far from clear whether the drafters of the rule
    would have included variances within the rule if they had then
    existed, but it does not matter: a formal rule can be changed
    through     the   statutorily    prescribed   rulemaking   process,      which
    includes congressional oversight of proposed changes, but it cannot
    be rewritten ad hoc by an individual judge or panel.                      "[A]
    legislature says in a statute what it means and means in a statute
    what it says there."        Conn. Nat'l Bank v. Germain, 
    503 U.S. 249
    ,
    253-54 (1992).      So, too, with formally adopted rules.
    The more difficult question is whether the reasoning that
    prompted Burns v. United States, 
    501 U.S. 129
     (1991)--the decision
    that Rule 32(h) codified--should be extended without qualification
    to   this   new   context   to   establish    a   judicially   created    rule
    requiring automatic advance notice for variances.                The Supreme
    Court could, and might in the end, choose to do so.            But this would
    be an expansion of Burns' holding, which was specifically directed
    to departures.2
    2
    The government, which has an obvious interest in obtaining
    notice of contemplated downward variances, has reversed the
    position it took before the panel and now insists that Rule 32(h)
    does apply.    But it imbues the notice requirement with such
    flexibility as to whether and when notice must be given that its
    position is ultimately quite different from Vega's.
    -5-
    The Court in Burns held that courts may not depart from
    the guidelines if neither the presentence report nor the pre-
    hearing submissions of the parties had requested such a departure,
    unless reasonable notice is provided. That requirement was said to
    be implicit in the demands of a federal rule giving parties the
    right    to     comment    on   "matters    relating    to   the    appropriate
    sentence."3      Without notice, the Court reasoned, counsel will be
    unprepared      to    comment   meaningfully   on    grounds    for   departure
    proposed by the judge, resulting in a lack of adversarial testing.
    Burns, 
    501 U.S. at 135
    .
    There are competing arguments as to whether and how far
    Burns and its rationales bear on variances; and the Supreme Court
    will answer those questions in due course.             But our view is that,
    in this different context, adopting a mechanical rule would be a
    mistake: it would not respond to the realities of a system in which
    judges are afforded much broader discretion than in the recent
    past,    it   would    reinforce   guideline      sentencing,   and    it   would
    considerably complicate and prolong the sentencing process.
    A bright-line advance notice requirement for potential
    departures fit sensibly within the mandatory guideline regime in
    place    when    Burns    was   decided.    The    guidelines      provided   for
    departures, and articulated specific grounds upon which they can
    3
    This rule remains in force, Fed. R. Crim. P. 32(i)(C), but
    reflects only a general policy on the right to comment and does not
    specify at all whether and when notice of anything must be given.
    -6-
    (and cannot) be premised.         E.g., U.S.S.G. §§ 4A1.3, 5K1.1-2.23.
    Although   in     theory   the   possible   grounds   for   departure   were
    unbounded, in practice they functioned almost as a set of auxiliary
    guidelines.     See United States v. Koon, 
    518 U.S. 81
    , 95-96 (1996)
    ("The court must bear in mind the Commission's expectation that
    departures based on grounds not mentioned in the Guidelines will be
    'highly infrequent.'").
    Thus, departures presented a finite number of specific,
    discrete   (and    often   binary)   determinations    that   would   govern
    departures and thus the ultimate sentence. It made sense to advise
    the parties in advance of any proposed departure so as allow them
    to dispute the facts critical to the departure and to assist the
    court on pertinent legal questions.4            The premised facts were
    reviewable for clear error; the legal rulings, fully reviewable.
    
    18 U.S.C. § 3742
    (e).        In short, departures looked much like the
    customary fare of adversarial litigation.
    Under Booker, Rita v. United States, 
    127 S. Ct. 2456
    (2007), and now Gall v. United States, 
    128 S. Ct. 586
     (2007), the
    sentencing inquiry, after calculating the guideline range, is far
    more broad, open-ended and discretionary.              Under Booker, the
    district court must independently consider the statutory sentencing
    4
    Departures often required the judge to analyze not only the
    guidelines, but also the policy statements of the Commission (which
    were binding, Stinson v. United States, 
    508 U.S. 36
     (1993)), and
    the circuit law relating to appropriate and inappropriate grounds.
    -7-
    factors, 
    18 U.S.C. § 3553
    (a), which are phrased in very general
    terms    (e.g., "the nature and circumstances of the offense"; the
    need for the sentence to "to reflect the seriousness of the
    offense").       A variant sentence may then be imposed based on a
    complex of factors whose interplay and precise weight cannot even
    be precisely described.
    The district judge draws on information from the trial,
    the     pre-sentence     report     and     the    parties'    commentary,     the
    defendant's      allocution,   victims'         statements,   letters,   its   own
    review    of    these   materials    before       the   sentencing   hearing   and
    whatever is added during the hearing.              Throughout the hearing, the
    judge may well be revising his views depending on what is presented
    and how counsel respond to questions.              This is a fluid and dynamic
    process and the court itself may not know until the end whether a
    variance will be adopted, let alone on what grounds.
    Yet in order to provide advance notice of any value, a
    district court would have to advise not only that a variance is
    possible but also the ground and reasoning behind it before he has
    even heard the full presentation.               This is very different than the
    identification in advance of a particular ground of departure that
    may or may not be invoked.           "[R]equiring advance notice of 'any
    ground' . . . would undoubtedly prove to be unworkable."                  United
    States v. Vampire Nation, 
    451 F.3d 189
    , 197 (3d Cir. 2006).
    -8-
    Further, a mechanical requirement of such notice is
    unnecessary.     In the normal case a competent lawyer--and for
    incompetence other remedies are available--will anticipate most of
    what might occur at the sentencing hearing--based on the trial, the
    pre-sentence report, the exchanges of the parties concerning the
    report, and the preparation of mitigation evidence. Garden variety
    considerations of culpability, criminal history, likelihood of re-
    offense, seriousness of the crime, nature of the conduct and so
    forth should not generally come as a surprise to trial lawyers who
    have prepared for sentencing.
    Were a mechanical notice rule imposed, some judges would
    shy away from imposing non-guideline sentences that the parties had
    not proposed in advance, increasing the "gravitational pull" of the
    guidelines, United States v. Trujillo-Terrazas, 
    405 F.3d 814
    , 819
    (10th Cir. 2005), and compromising the greater freedom sought by
    Booker and Rita.     See, e.g., Rita, 
    127 S. Ct. at 2465
     (holding that
    a district judge "does not enjoy the benefit of a legal presumption
    that the Guidelines sentence should apply").          Alternatively, the
    judge would often have to employ a burdensome two-stage regime,
    explaining at the end of the first hearing his proposed sentence
    and then conducting a follow-up hearing based on such notice.
    The preferable solution is thus not a mechanical rule
    mandating   formal    notice   in   every   case   where   the   judge   may
    conceivably vary from the guidelines.         Rather, when proposing to
    -9-
    adopt a variant sentence relying on some ground or factor that
    would unfairly surprise competent and reasonably prepared counsel,
    a judge must either provide advance notice or, on request, grant a
    continuance in order to accommodate a reasonable desire for more
    evidence or further research.    No formal rule is required for us to
    adopt such a prudential policy as a matter of precedent.
    In practice such cases of unfair surprise, probably rare,
    are not that hard to identify; and this case is not one of them.
    Here, the district judge relied primarily on three particular
    details of the crime--that it involved the invasion of a home,
    death threats and a near-miss firing of a gun--and that Vega had
    been previously arrested (but not convicted) on charges of violent
    crime.   The details of the crime were well known to counsel; and
    Vega had admitted his prior "brushes with the law" which were noted
    in the pre-sentence report.5
    Defense   counsel    may   not   have   anticipated   that   the
    district judge would rely upon those particular facts to impose an
    above-guideline sentence, but having that knowledge in advance
    would not have made any obvious difference.        The facts themselves
    were familiar and undisputed, so there is no concern here that
    5
    Vega points out that the district judge agreed to strike that
    portion of the PSR at the start of the sentencing hearing. But, as
    the judge explained when delivering the sentence, it was removed
    only because Vega's counsel was concerned that the Bureau of
    Prisons would use it to "jack up his security level." The truth of
    the admission was not contested.
    -10-
    counsel might have been able, with notice, to challenge them.    And
    nowhere else in the law is the judge required to explain his
    reasoning before counsel have argued to him.
    In granting rehearing en banc we invited supplemental
    briefing not only on the panel's automatic notice requirement but
    on whether there was unfair surprise in this case. Defense counsel
    have added new arguments to those earlier presented to the panel.
    But we agree with the panel's original view that unfair surprise
    has not been established.   At sentencing defense counsel had ample
    opportunity and incentive, without any advance notice of a possible
    variance, to make the same arguments now offered to us.
    First, Vega submits that mitigating evidence about his
    family circumstances could have been offered.       But mitigating
    evidence would have been relevant to sentencing with or without a
    variance from the guideline range. The principal factor cited, the
    death of Vega's father shortly before the crime, was readily
    detectable by counsel and potentially useful to argue for a lower
    sentence within or (under Booker) below the guideline range.
    Next, Vega contends that a carjacking that involves
    invading a home is no worse, for purposes of the section 3553(a)
    factors, than an ordinary carjacking.   We fail to see how further
    notice was necessary in order to prepare that argument about the
    seriousness   of    the   offense   facts--a   typical    sentencing
    consideration.   Comparing and contrasting a defendant's particular
    -11-
    crime to its "heartland" prototype is always relevant.     That the
    judge might think that a home invasion carried an extra sense of
    menace is hardly a surprise.
    Finally, Vega says that the death threat and firing of
    the gun were already taken into account by the guidelines, and that
    with more notice, defense counsel would have been prepared to point
    that out.   But a factor that is worked into the guideline calculus
    may still be considered by a district judge in the section 3553(a)
    analysis. See, e.g., United States v. Scherrer, 
    444 F.3d 91
    , 93-94
    (1st Cir. 2006) (en banc), cert. denied, 
    127 S. Ct. 927
     (2007).
    Anyway Vega's counsel did emphasize--without requiring any special
    notice--that the enhancements provided in the guidelines were
    sufficient.    The district judge simply did not agree.
    Parts I, II, III(A), and III(C) of the panel opinion are
    reinstated; Vega's conviction and sentence are affirmed; and the
    case is remanded for correction of the written judgment.
    It is so ordered.
    Dissents follow.
    -12-
    TORRUELLA, Circuit Judge (Reserving and Dissenting).
    The circumstances that force me to state my views at this time
    leave me no alternative but to partially emulate Justice Felix
    Frankfurter's response to similar constraints, about which he
    stated:
    Time is required not only for the
    primary task of analyzing in detail the
    materials on which the Court relies. It is
    equally required for adequate reflection upon
    the meaning of these materials and their
    bearing on the issues now before the Court.
    Reflection is a slow process. Wisdom, like
    good wine, requires maturing.
    Moreover, the judgments of this Court
    are collective judgments. They are neither
    solo performances nor debates between two
    sides, each of which has its mind quickly made
    up and then closed. The judgments of this
    Court   presuppose  full    consideration   and
    reconsideration by all of the reasoned views
    of each. Without adequate study there cannot
    be adequate reflection.       Without adequate
    reflection    there    cannot    be    adequate
    deliberation and discussion. And without
    these, there cannot be that full interchange
    of minds which is indispensable to wise
    decision and its persuasive formulation.
    The circumstances being what they are,
    I am forced, deeply as I regret it, to reserve
    for a later date [the full] expression of my
    views.
    Reid   v.   Covert,   
    351 U.S. 489
    ,    492   (1956)   (Frankfurter,   J.,
    reserving).
    This solution is, of course, hardly a satisfactory one,
    as it would leave me, an active member of this Court, without an
    effective voice and vote at a crucial juncture in this proceeding
    -13-
    -- a result which affects the substantive rights of the parties to
    this appeal.    I believe that the parties are entitled to the
    benefit of my views, even if they are considered to be in error by
    some of my colleagues.
    Although I am in substantial agreement with the views
    expressed by Judge Lipez in his excellent dissent, I am also deeply
    concerned by the serious policy, procedural, and substantive issues
    raised by the unwarranted haste which has characterized this en
    banc proceeding.   Accordingly, I must state my views, even if in a
    preliminary and incomplete fashion.
    The convocation of this particular en banc proceeding
    highlights the whimsical and uneven manner in which this circuit
    often applies the rehearing rules.     Indeed, both the granting and
    denying of petitions for these extraordinary proceedings evince a
    double-standard with respect to which issues are deemed meritorious
    of such review. See, e.g., Cerqueira v. American Airlines, No. 07-
    1824 (1st Cir. XXXX) (Torruella, J. dissenting).    Time constraints
    do not allow for an exhaustive inventory of this asseveration, but
    the circumstances of this present appeal demonstrate one such
    example.
    In this case, before either the appellant or the appellee
    had the opportunity to seek en banc review, the court undertook a
    rather unusual procedure and ordered en banc rehearing sua sponte.
    The appeal thus metamorphosed into one more relevant to, and
    -14-
    reflective of, a judicially fueled agenda.              That agenda became
    evident in light of the Government's own change of heart:               both
    sides now agree that Rule 32(h) applies to post-Booker variances.
    Furthermore, the issue for which the en banc court was convened is
    presently before the Supreme Court, see United States v. Irizarry,
    
    458 F.3d 1208
     (11th Cir. 2006), cert. granted, 
    128 S. Ct. 828
    (2008), and will most likely be decided in a definitive way before
    June.   At a minimum, circumstances would seem to counsel awaiting
    the   decision   of   the   Supreme    Court   rather   than   unnecessarily
    investing our limited judicial resources on this one.
    In any event, I am opposed to the majority's disregard
    for the unequivocal language of Rule 32(h) and the clear mandate of
    the Supreme Court in Burns v. United States, 
    501 U.S. 129
     (1991).
    Specifically, in Burns, the Court observed that the purpose of Rule
    32 was to promote "focused, adversarial resolution of the legal and
    factual issues."      
    Id. at 137
    .      The Court recognized that in the
    absence of notice, parties would make arguments "in a random and
    wasteful way by trying to anticipate and negate every conceivable
    ground on which the district court might choose to depart on its
    own initiative" or, worse yet, "the parties [may] not even try to
    anticipate such a development," and leave the contemplated grounds
    untested by the adversarial process.           
    Id.
    The majority's opinion substitutes these requirements
    with what is, in effect, an unauthorized rule-making amendment to
    -15-
    Rule 32 by this court.       The majority has concocted a vague standard
    for pre-sentence notice which will inevitably lead to interminable
    litigation as to what a "competent and reasonably prepared counsel"
    would have anticipated.        Slip Op. at 10.          This will undoubtedly
    have the effect of causing more delay and a greater waste of
    judicial resources than the occasional continuance forecast by the
    majority's opinion were the Rule 32 standard to be followed.                  See
    Slip Op. at 8.          The fact is that such continuances might be
    necessary   in   only    a   handful    of    cases.6     In   any   event,   the
    postponement of sentencing is a minor inconvenience to the judicial
    system when weighed against the basic due process protections
    afforded by the Rule 32 notice requirements.              See Burns, 
    501 U.S. at 138
     (noting that "were we to read Rule 32 to dispense with
    notice, we would then have to confront the serious question whether
    notice in this setting is mandated by the Due Process Clause"
    (emphasis added)).       I dissent.
    6
    Of the federal post-Booker cases, only 1.5% of cases had
    sentences above the Guidelines and only 11.9% were below (53.5% of
    which arose in the five circuits which already require the Rule 32
    notice). See U.S. Sentencing Comm'n, 4th Quarter Report (2006),
    available at
    http://www.ussc.gov/sc_cases/Quarter_Report_4th_07.pdf.
    -16-
    LIPEZ, Circuit Judge, dissenting. I respectfully dissent
    from the majority's conclusion that the reasonable notice required
    by Burns v. United States, 
    501 U.S. 129
     (1991), and Federal Rule of
    Criminal Procedure 32(h) is inapplicable to Guidelines variances.
    The majority's rejection of a reasonable notice requirement in
    favor of a new standard based on whether "some ground or factor
    . . . would unfairly surprise competent and reasonably prepared
    counsel" leaves district court judges without the very guidance
    the majority purports to offer them.         Indeed, the government now
    also agrees that the reasonable notice required by Burns and Rule
    32(h) must apply to Guidelines variances to ensure full adversarial
    testing of the issues related to sentencing.
    Moreover, having further considered the issue in the
    context of en banc briefing and argument, I have become convinced
    that the reasonable notice requirement means notice of a possible
    variance   being   contemplated   by   the   judge   in   advance   of    the
    sentencing hearing. Such prehearing notice is most consistent with
    Rule 32's directive that parties be given the opportunity to
    comment on matters "relating to an appropriate sentence."           Fed. R.
    Crim. P. 32(i)(1)(C).    This rule does not mean that every failure
    to give prehearing notice will require a new proceeding.                 Such
    errors lend themselves to harmless error review.            In this case,
    however, I cannot find that the error was harmless, and I therefore
    -17-
    would vacate Vega's sentence and remand for a new sentencing
    hearing.
    I.
    My conclusion that notice may be deemed "reasonable" only
    if given in advance of the sentencing hearing is informed by
    multiple considerations.   Most importantly, the interest at stake
    for the defendant – the length of incarceration – could not be more
    critical, even when the potential difference in a defendant's
    sentence would be "merely" a matter of months.   Whether or not the
    Due Process Clause is implicated,7 the defendant's opportunity to
    comment meaningfully when a court contemplates a sentence outside
    the Guidelines is of utmost importance.
    It also is significant, as the panel opinion observed,
    that implicit in Burns and Rule 32(h) "is the understanding that
    Rule 32(h) notice would serve as an alternative to the forms of
    prehearing notice expressly referenced" in the rule, i.e., the
    presentence report or a party's prehearing submission.       United
    States v. Vega-Santiago,   --- F.3d ---, 
    2007 U.S. App. LEXIS 25420
    (1st Cir. Oct. 31, 2007), at *38 (emphasis in original).    Thus, a
    rule of pre-hearing notice is more consistent with the principles
    7
    The Supreme Court noted in Burns that its construction of
    Rule 32 avoided "the serious question whether notice in this
    setting is mandated by the Due Process Clause." 
    501 U.S. at 138
    .
    -18-
    articulated in Burns and incorporated into Rule 32.8              To require
    counsel   to   respond   off-the-cuff      to   a   previously   unannounced
    rationale for a non-Guidelines sentence is to deny the very period
    of deliberation that "notice" is intended to guarantee.            Even when
    competent counsel is familiar with all of the facts of the crime
    and the general principles of sentencing law, he or she may not
    immediately appreciate their relevance to the proposed variance
    from the Guidelines.      Accord United States v. Calzada-Maravillas,
    
    443 F.3d 1301
    , 1304 (10th Cir. 2006) (observing that the "key
    component" of the notice requirement is "notice in advance of the
    sentencing hearing").
    In addition, a bright-line rule of prehearing notice
    would provide unambiguous direction to both the parties and the
    court, with minimal burden.      We must keep in perspective the small
    number of cases at issue here.          At the en banc oral argument, the
    government represented that, in most instances, departures or
    variances are either proposed by the Probation Department in the
    presentence report or requested by one of the parties.                   This
    understanding    that    sua   sponte    variances    by   the   court   occur
    infrequently informed the conclusion reached by the original panel,
    which included an experienced district court judge. It will be the
    8
    I am, of course, well aware that Rule 32(h) applies by its
    terms only to sentencing departures.     It is the principles of
    Burns, which are reflected in Rule 32(h), that make the notice
    requirement equally applicable to sentencing variances.
    -19-
    exceptional occasion when a court must provide its own prehearing
    notice of a contemplated ground for a variance; in such instances,
    the court would be able to alert the parties with a brief written
    order.   A continuance would be necessary even more rarely, when a
    rationale for a variance first arises at the sentencing hearing.
    Moreover, requiring that notice be given as a matter of
    course before the hearing reduces the possibility that the court
    will be blind-sided by a party's last-minute attempt to secure a
    non-Guidelines sentence.        The judge is obviously in a better
    position to evaluate the merits of a variance if it is proposed in
    advance.    With a rule of advance notice, the government and
    defendant will have greater incentive to present all arguments for
    a   non-Guidelines   sentence    in   their   prehearing   submissions,
    facilitating sentencing proceedings that most fairly take into
    account all relevant considerations.
    However, even a rule of advance notice will not eliminate
    some questions of reasonableness.        The content of the notice and
    its timing in relation to the date of the hearing and the issues to
    be addressed are elements of reasonableness.       As for content, the
    panel opinion pointed to the requirement in Burns that the notice
    "specifically identify the ground on which the district court is
    contemplating an upward departure." 
    501 U.S. at 138-39
    . A similar
    requirement should apply to a contemplated variance.          Any less
    exacting requirement would impose on the parties "the burden of
    -20-
    guessing the particular grounds on which the court might choose to
    increase [or decrease] the sentence."    Vega-Santiago, --- F.3d at
    ---, 
    2007 U.S. App. LEXIS 25420
    , at *36.
    As for timing, reasonableness will depend on whether the
    parties were given sufficient opportunity to prepare meaningful
    comment on the previously unannounced ground for deviating from the
    Guidelines. If addressing the court's contemplated rationale would
    require minimal legal research or investigation of facts, a brief
    period of time would be adequate.     But if, for example, the court
    announced that it might rely on mitigation evidence presented in
    letters submitted by multiple individuals, the parties might need
    time to review the submissions and conduct further investigation.
    In such circumstances, reasonable notice would have to be given far
    enough in advance of the hearing to accommodate such preparation.
    Regardless of the complexity or novelty of the court's
    sua sponte rationale, at least some advance warning is crucial to
    ensure the most effective advocacy and, in turn, "the thorough
    adversarial testing contemplated by federal sentencing procedure,"
    Rita v. United States, 
    127 S. Ct. 2456
    , 2465 (2007).          Other
    circuits also have explicitly adopted this view. See, e.g., United
    States v. Cole, 
    496 F.3d 188
    , 191 (2d    Cir. 2007) ("[N]otice given
    during the course of the sentencing hearing and put into effect
    less than two hours later was insufficient."); United States v.
    Flanders, 
    491 F.3d 1197
    , 1220 (10th Cir. 2007) (finding that the
    -21-
    court's announcement on the first day of sentencing that it might
    impose a non-Guidelines sentence was "plainly insufficient under
    Rule 32(h)").
    A failure to provide reasonable notice will not always
    require resentencing.      In some cases, the reviewing court may be
    satisfied that lack of proper notice was harmless because it would
    not have placed the defendant in a position to comment more
    effectively on the proposed variance.        Where, for example, counsel
    had the opportunity to provide a thoughtful response to the court's
    rationale for a variance and where the defendant on appeal offered
    no additional rebuttal to the court's rationale, it would be
    appropriate to conclude that the lack of notice was harmless.              If,
    however, a defendant identifies plausible rebuttals to the court's
    rationale that could have been made if counsel had been given time
    to    prepare,   the   principles    of    Burns   require      resentencing.
    Otherwise, "a critical sentencing determination will go untested by
    the    adversarial     process   contemplated      by    Rule   32   and   the
    Guidelines."     Burns, 
    501 U.S. at 137
    .
    The harmless error analysis addresses many of the same
    considerations     that   were   included    in    the   panel's     favorable
    evaluation of the reasonableness of the notice provided near the
    outset of the sentencing hearing in this case.             However, for the
    reasons stated, I now conclude that the better approach is to make
    advance notice the rule and to engage in harmless error review when
    -22-
    the rule is violated.       As I explain in the following section, the
    error in this case was not harmless.
    II.
    As soon as the government proposed at Vega's sentencing
    hearing that the court go beyond the Guidelines term of 57 to 71
    months, his counsel protested that the defense should have been
    advised    in    advance   "so    it     can    be   prepared     to   rebut   these
    arguments."       The court disagreed that notice was required, heard
    testimony from the victims, and explained that the crime warranted
    a higher sentence because, inter alia, it involved a home invasion
    with a shooting and was therefore "not a regular car jacking."
    Counsel unsuccessfully argued in response that the presentence
    report and the Guidelines recommendation took the particular facts
    of the crime into account.             In announcing the sentence, the court
    referred to defendant's "invad[ing] the privacy of a home in the
    middle    of    the   night,"    the    victim's     plea   for   mercy,   and   the
    discharge of the weapon.
    In his en banc brief, Vega offers several arguments that
    could have been made at the sentencing hearing if counsel had
    received advance notice that the court was contemplating a variance
    based on the specific details of the offense:9
    9
    Although these arguments were not made to the panel, I deem
    it appropriate to consider them on en banc review because we
    specifically invited argument on the notice issue.
    -23-
    ! In response to the court's concern that the
    carjacking was unusual because it involved a
    home    invasion     that    caused   serious
    psychological injury to the victims, counsel
    could [have] challenged the veracity of the
    victims' claims of paralyzing fear, noting
    that [the victim] responded to the robbery by
    getting a gun, firing 13 shots at Mr. Vega-
    Santiago as he drove away on a public street,
    and then reloading and "go[ing] after the
    defendant" with his friend in an SUV. Counsel
    also could have argued that being robbed and
    fired upon by an armed gunman in any location
    causes serious emotional trauma, and that the
    marginal cost of enduring the crime at home,
    as   opposed   to   numerous   other  private
    locations, does not justify a variance from
    the guideline range.
    ! In response to the court's reliance on the
    shot fired during the robbery, counsel could
    have   pointed   out   that   the  mandatory
    consecutive sentence on Count Two already
    reflected a three-year increase because "the
    firearm [was] discharged" rather than merely
    "brandished."      Compare    
    18 U.S.C. § 924
    (c)(1)(A)(iii)     (ten-year    mandatory
    minimum), with 
    18 U.S.C. § 924
    (c)(1)(A)(ii)
    (seven-year mandatory minimum).
    ! In response to the court's reliance on the
    death threat and pleas for mercy, counsel
    could have explained the effect of the
    guideline   adjustment  for   death  threats,
    U.S.S.G. § 2B3.1(b)(2)(F), which was applied
    in this case, and could have reminded the
    court of "the need to avoid unwarranted
    sentence disparities among defendants with
    similar records who have been found guilty of
    similar conduct," 
    18 U.S.C. § 3553
    (a)(6).
    Appellant's En Banc Brief at 21-22 (citations omitted).
    These arguments, which directly challenge the need for a
    non-Guidelines sentence to meet the court's objectives, are neither
    frivolous nor tangential to the court's reasoning.   We cannot know
    -24-
    their impact on the court if counsel had had the opportunity to
    present them at the sentencing hearing.        The court expressed
    concern that Vega's sentence "reflect how serious this offense
    was."   Although defense counsel argued at the hearing that the
    Guidelines sentencing range would accomplish that purpose, the
    brief adds specific content, supported by authority, to the more
    general argument that the Guidelines already accounted for the
    facts that bothered the judge.        It is precisely this sort of
    developed presentation by counsel, reinforced by legal and factual
    references, that is denied a defendant who is not given advance
    notice of the court's contemplated grounds for a non-Guidelines
    sentence. Moreover, in its explanation for the sentence, the court
    also referred to Vega's admission that he had "previous brushes
    with the law which included violent crime allegations for which he
    was not convicted" – a basis for deviating that the court had not
    previously mentioned and for which, therefore, no notice was
    provided.
    Where, as here, a defendant demonstrates that lack of
    notice deprived him of "full adversary testing of the issues
    relevant" to his sentence, Burns, 
    501 U.S. at 135
    , the error cannot
    be deemed harmless and a remand for resentencing is necessary.
    III.
    The majority predicts that "a mechanical notice rule"
    would cause undesirable consequences.      In their view, it would
    -25-
    cause judges to "shy away from imposing non-guideline sentences
    that the parties had not proposed in advance," or, alternatively,
    "the judge would often have to employ a burdensome two-stage
    regime."    Neither of these assertions has merit.
    A. Multiple Proceedings
    The majority's concern that an advance notice rule would
    often require a two-stage sentencing process reveals a fundamental
    misunderstanding of the sentencing process.        My colleagues appear
    to believe that a judge enters the courtroom for a sentencing
    hearing with little sense of the sentence he or she intends to
    impose or the factors that will affect that sentence.           They assume
    that these factors will become apparent only during the course of
    the hearing and that, if notice is required for a decision to
    deviate    from   the   Guidelines,   many   variances   will    require   a
    continuance and second hearing.
    That concern is at odds with reality. While the majority
    may be correct that a judge will not make a final sentencing
    decision until the end of the hearing, and "may well be revising
    his views depending on what is presented and how counsel respond to
    questions," the judge will arrive at that hearing after a review of
    the presentence report and other relevant materials.             He or she
    will already have a developed view of what the appropriate sentence
    is, including its length.       To be sure, the judge's views may be
    altered by what he or she hears at the hearing.          But a judge will
    -26-
    almost always have considered in advance of the hearing whether an
    upward or downward variance is appropriate.             To suggest less
    forethought on the part of the sentencing judge is to suggest that
    the judge enters the hearing unprepared.
    In other words, the ultimate decision to deviate from the
    Guidelines – made at the conclusion of the sentencing hearing,
    after adversary testing of the issues – should not be confused with
    the earlier inclination – developed before the hearing – to focus
    attention    on   particular   factors   that   might   warrant   such   a
    deviation.    The notice required by Rule 32(h) is not that a court
    will impose a variance, but only that it is considering factors
    that may justify a variance.      Hence, it would pose no burden for
    the court to provide notice in advance of the hearing that such a
    variance is contemplated. In those few instances where the court's
    inclination to impose a variance is based on a factor or factors
    raised for the first time at the hearing, the principles of Burns
    and Rule 32(h) require the court to provide sufficient notice to
    enable both the defendant and the government to consider, research
    and thoughtfully respond to the new ground.             In that case a
    continuance of the sentencing hearing would be required.             Such
    continuances would be a small price to pay for the fairness to all
    parties of the advance notice requirement.
    -27-
    B. The Role of the Guidelines
    The     notion     that   a    rule     of     advance     notice    would
    inappropriately      incline     judges     toward       the   Guidelines   is   also
    seriously flawed.        In multiple cases this term, the Supreme Court
    has explicitly confirmed that the Guidelines remain a central part
    of the sentencing process post-Booker.                   The Guidelines are "the
    starting point and the initial benchmark" for sentencing decisions,
    Gall v. United States, 
    128 S. Ct. 586
    , 596 (2007), entitled to
    "respectful consideration," Kimbrough v. United States, 
    128 S. Ct. 558
    , 570 (2007), because "in the ordinary case, the [Sentencing]
    Commission's recommendation of a sentencing range will 'reflect a
    rough approximation of sentences that might achieve § 3553(a)'s
    objectives,'" id. at 574 (quoting Rita, 
    127 S. Ct. at 2465
    ).                      See
    also United States v. Jiménez-Beltre, 
    440 F.3d 514
    , 518 (1st Cir.
    2006 (en banc) (holding that the district court normally should
    begin with a Guidelines calculation).
    The majority does not dispute the continuing centrality
    of   the   Guidelines     to    the   sentencing         process.      Indeed,   they
    acknowledge the Guidelines' "gravitational pull."                       They worry,
    however, that an advance notice requirement will increase the
    Guidelines'       pull   on    district     court    judges      and    hence    could
    compromise the changes in the sentencing process effected by the
    Supreme Court in Booker and its progeny.                       The suggestion that
    district court judges would shy away from sua sponte variances as
    -28-
    a matter of convenience is misguided.           It is inconceivable to me
    that, having given the Guidelines due consideration and finding
    them lacking, a judge would suppress the independent judgment
    required by the Supreme Court simply to avoid providing the parties
    with reasonable prehearing notice.          The modest burden of preparing
    a brief notice or, in the rare case, continuing an already convened
    sentencing hearing to a later date would not deter a judge from
    imposing a variance.
    Rather    than    justifying      less     notice,       the   broader
    sentencing    discretion    afforded   to    district      judges    post-Booker
    requires that defendants be given the same advance warning of the
    court's contemplated rationale for deviating from the Guidelines
    that Burns required for sentencing departures.                  As the panel
    opinion observed, the need for notice remains acute because of the
    virtually limitless number of factors that may be used to support
    a variance.     Although notice under Rule 32 is owed to both the
    defendant and the government, the defendant's interest in preparing
    the most persuasive argument available against an upward variance
    is obviously of particular significance.            Defendants should not be
    placed in the untenable position of "trying to anticipate and
    negate every conceivable ground on which the district court might
    choose to depart on its own initiative" or risk allowing "a
    critical     sentencing    determination      [to]    go    untested      by   the
    adversarial process."       Burns, 
    501 U.S. at 137
    .
    -29-
    The majority acknowledges that there are some cases
    where, as a matter of fairness, notice must be provided.             But the
    majority's proposed approach – providing notice or granting a
    continuance when the court proposes to rely on a ground that would
    "unfairly surprise competent and reasonably prepared counsel" – has
    at least three serious flaws.          First, it gives no guidance at all
    to district judges.       Without an anchor in either the Due Process
    Clause or a bright-line rule, the majority's standard offers
    sentencing judges no framework within which to evaluate the need
    for notice.   Fairness, surprise and reasonable preparation are all
    elusive concepts that individual judges will see differently.
    Second, the ambiguity of the standard leaves every non-
    Guidelines    sentence    that   was    imposed   without   notice   open    to
    challenge on appeal.      Surprise arguably exists any time the court
    announces, for the first time at the sentencing hearing, its sua
    sponte intention to deviate from the Guidelines, and surprise will
    rarely be deemed "fair" by a defendant who has a right, under Rule
    32,   to   comment   on    matters       affecting   the    length   of     his
    incarceration. See Fed. R. Crim. P. 32(i)(1)(C). Debate over what
    it means for counsel to be "reasonably prepared" for a sentencing
    hearing surely will consume more judicial time than judges would
    expend in giving prehearing notice.           Moreover, the standard is so
    vague that appellate courts could rarely, if ever, conclude that
    the sentencing court had erred.
    -30-
    Third, the majority suggests that most cases would not
    involve   unfair        surprise      because   courts       typically     would    base
    variances       on    "[g]arden    variety      considerations"       such    as    the
    likelihood of recidivism or the seriousness of the crime.                     But the
    commonality of such factors is not the issue.                   What matters is how
    the court is processing all of the information relevant to those
    factors and its inclination to take an exceptional view of them.
    In the absence of advance notice, neither the defendant nor the
    government has reason to anticipate that the usual factors may lead
    to a non-Guidelines sentence, and advocating for a lower sentence
    or higher sentence within a Guidelines range is not the same as
    advocating against the court's inclination to sentence outside the
    Guidelines.          That difference is reflected in the new arguments
    asserted in Vega's en banc brief, which specifically emphasize why
    the   court's        concerns   did    not   require     a    sentence     beyond    the
    Guidelines.
    In sum, an easily administered bright-line rule requiring
    advance notice in all cases would promote both actual fairness in
    sentencing and "the perception of fair sentencing," Gall, 128 S.
    Ct. at 597, without undue burdens on the courts.                  The Supreme Court
    already has recognized the need for a reasonable notice requirement
    in the context of departures.                In the post-Booker era, when the
    court has broader discretion to go outside the Guidelines, notice
    remains     a    critical       component     of   the       defendant's    right     to
    -31-
    meaningfully comment on the appropriateness of a non-Guidelines
    sentence.   I therefore respectfully dissent.
    -32-