United States v. Adams ( 2020 )


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  •           United States Court of Appeals
    For the First Circuit
    No. 18-1465
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,
    Appellee,
    v.
    ERICK LEVAR ADAMS,
    a/k/a X, a/k/a DEUCE,
    Defendant, Appellant.
    APPEAL FROM THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF MAINE
    [Hon. George Z. Singal, U.S. District Judge]
    Before
    Thompson, Selya, and Barron,
    Circuit Judges.
    Mary June Ciresi for appellant.
    Benjamin M. Block, Assistant United States Attorney, with
    whom Halsey B. Frank, United States Attorney, was on brief, for
    appellee.
    August 18, 2020
    SELYA, Circuit Judge.     Under the Constitution, a warrant
    authorizing the search of property cannot issue except upon a
    showing of probable cause.        See U.S. Const. amend. IV.      Under this
    standard, such a warrant may issue only upon a showing that a crime
    has been committed and that evidence of that crime is likely to be
    found by a search of the designated property.             See United States
    v. Clark, 
    685 F.3d 72
    , 78 (1st Cir. 2012).            In the case at hand,
    defendant-appellant     Erick      Levar     Adams,   convicted    of    drug-
    trafficking and firearms offenses, challenges the district court's
    refusal to suppress the avails of a number of warrant-backed
    searches.     Concluding, as we do, that each of the challenged
    warrants issued upon a sufficient showing of probable cause and
    that the defendant's other claims of error lack bite, we affirm
    his conviction and sentence.
    I. BACKGROUND
    We   rehearse   the   facts     as   supportably   found    by   the
    district court following an omnibus hearing on several of the
    defendant's motions to suppress.           When appropriate, we supplement
    these findings with uncontested facts drawn from the broader
    record.     See United States v. Dancy, 
    640 F.3d 455
    , 458 (1st Cir.
    2011).
    In December of 2014, two state police troopers stopped
    a rental car being driven by the defendant near Sanford, Maine.
    After learning that the defendant was driving without a valid
    - 2 -
    license, the troopers arrested him.              A post-arrest search of the
    defendant's person revealed that he was carrying approximately
    $500 in cash.
    During the course of the stop, Special Agent Randall
    Medeiros of the Maine Drug Enforcement Agency (MDEA) was summoned
    to the scene.       The officers then conducted two separate canine
    sniffs directed at the car.         Both dogs alerted to the presence of
    drugs in the passenger compartment.                   An ensuing search of the
    passenger compartment and a backpack found in the backseat of the
    car disclosed three cellphones, the cut corner of a plastic bag
    (resembling a "Dominican tie" commonly used to package drugs), and
    two loose screws (suggesting that parts of the rental car had been
    disassembled, perhaps to hide drugs).
    The car was towed to a police barracks, and a search
    warrant   was    procured.       The    search        revealed    two   additional
    cellphones but no contraband.          The defendant was allowed to leave
    but — approximately one month later — Medeiros obtained search
    warrants for the contents of the five cellphones.
    The   MDEA   was   not      the     only    law   enforcement    agency
    interested in the defendant.           Roughly two months after the 2014
    traffic stop, police officers in Connecticut obtained a search
    warrant for an apartment rented by the defendant.                       During the
    ensuing   search,     officers    found        (among     other   things)    large
    - 3 -
    quantities    of   cocaine   and   heroin,   along   with   drug-packaging
    accoutrements.
    Meanwhile, the MDEA continued its investigation of the
    defendant's activities.      Several confidential informants told the
    authorities that the defendant and his associates were dealing
    drugs in and around Biddeford, Maine.        Agents proceeded to arrange
    a number of controlled drug buys from the defendant's associates
    and coordinated one buy from the defendant himself.             The Maine
    probe reached a climax in January of 2016 when agents secured
    arrest warrants for the defendant and one of his associates,
    pinpointed their location at a hotel in Saco, and secured a no-
    knock search warrant for the particular hotel room in which the
    two men were staying.        Prior to executing the arrest warrant,
    agents observed the defendant leave the hotel and retrieve a black
    bag from a parked blue Volkswagen.           Later — when executing the
    arrest   warrants     —   the   officers     observed   drugs   and   drug
    paraphernalia scattered in plain view throughout the hotel room.
    They also saw drugs in the bag the defendant had retrieved from
    the blue Volkswagen.
    Based on these observations, the officers obtained an
    additional warrant authorizing searches of both the hotel room and
    the Volkswagen.      A thorough search of the hotel room unearthed
    substantial quantities of heroin, cocaine, and cocaine base (crack
    cocaine), together with approximately $27,000 in cash.
    - 4 -
    One thing sometimes leads to another, and the Volkswagen
    search turned up paperwork for a storage locker in the name of the
    girlfriend of one of the defendant's associates.                   The agents
    visited the storage facility and viewed video footage depicting
    the man who had been sharing the hotel room with the defendant
    driving the Volkswagen and entering the storage unit about twenty-
    four hours earlier.      Once a canine sniff produced a positive alert
    for the presence of narcotics inside the storage locker, another
    search warrant was obtained.        This search yielded firearms and
    additional drugs.
    In due season, a federal grand jury sitting in the
    District   of   Maine    charged   the   defendant     (in    a    superseding
    indictment) in five counts.        Only two counts are relevant for
    present purposes:       count 1 charged the defendant with conspiracy
    to possess with intent to distribute and to distribute at least
    280 grams of cocaine base and unspecified quantities of other
    drugs, see 
    21 U.S.C. §§ 841
    (a)(1), 846, and count 4 charged him
    with   possession   of    a   firearm    by    a   felon,    see   
    18 U.S.C. §§ 922
    (g)(1), 924(e).         The defendant initially maintained his
    innocence and filed a flurry of motions to suppress evidence
    stemming from the seizures and searches of the cellphones, the
    hotel room, and the storage locker.           After an omnibus evidentiary
    hearing, the district court denied all of the motions.                    The
    defendant subsequently moved to suppress evidence gleaned from the
    - 5 -
    search of the Connecticut apartment, and the court denied this
    motion on the papers.
    Jury selection was set to begin on June 5, 2017.                    A few
    days before, the defendant entered a conditional guilty plea to
    counts 1 and 4, see Fed. R. Crim. P. 11(a)(2), reserving the right
    to appeal the district court's denials of his suppression motions.
    Specifically, his conditional plea allowed him only "to have an
    appellate court review" the district "court's decisions dated
    November 29, 2016 and May 12, 2017 on [his] Motions to Suppress."
    In exchange, the government agreed to dismiss the remaining charges
    and to recommend a sentence of between 180 and 300 months.                      The
    district court accepted this binding plea agreement.
    A   little   under        one   month   after      the    change-of-plea
    hearing, the defendant moved to retract his guilty plea. Following
    a further hearing, the district court denied the motion.                      Some
    months   later,    the         defendant      moved       unsuccessfully        for
    reconsideration   of     the    earlier     denials     of    the    plethora    of
    suppression   motions.         At   the   disposition     hearing,      the   court
    sentenced the defendant to a 300-month term of immurement.                    This
    timely appeal followed.
    - 6 -
    II. ANALYSIS
    We    subdivide      our    discussion     of      the    defendant's
    asseverational array into four segments.1             First, we treat with
    the 2014 traffic stop.          Second, we deal sequentially with the
    defendant's     attacks    on   the   cellphone     warrants,       the    warrant
    authorizing the search of the Connecticut apartment, the no-knock
    warrant, and the storage locker warrant.2              Third, we summarily
    dispose of the defendant's vain attempt to secure review of the
    district court's denial of his motion to reconsider its earlier
    suppression rulings.       Fourth, we train the lens of our inquiry on
    the district court's denial of the defendant's motion to withdraw
    his guilty plea.
    A.   The Traffic Stop.
    We start with the defendant's remonstrances about the
    2014 traffic stop that led to the seizure of the five cellphones.
    Although   we   start     there,   these      remonstrances    soon       encounter
    1 We note that the defendant has augmented his counsel's
    briefing with pro se briefing. For simplicity's sake, we address
    the preserved and properly developed arguments contained in these
    various briefs without attributing particular arguments to
    particular briefs.   Any claims of error not addressed in this
    opinion are either insufficiently developed, patently meritless,
    or both, and all such claims are rejected without further
    elaboration.
    2 Each of the challenged warrants was issued following the
    submission of a warrant application. In turn, each application
    incorporated a supporting affidavit or affidavits executed by one
    or more law enforcement officers. We refer throughout to these
    affidavits without pausing to identify the particular affiant(s).
    - 7 -
    insurmountable obstacles.      The defendant never raised any of them
    in his myriad motions to suppress and, in all events, they are
    foreclosed by the terms of his conditional plea.
    Federal Rule of Criminal Procedure 11(a)(2) allows a
    defendant, "[w]ith the consent of the court and the government,"
    to enter a conditional guilty plea "reserving in writing the
    right to have an appellate court review an adverse determination
    of a specified pretrial motion."          A primary purpose of this rule
    is   to   "'identify    precisely    what   pretrial   issues    have   been
    preserved for appellate review,' and to husband scarce judicial
    resources by permitting a defendant fully to litigate hoarded
    issues while at the same time lessening the burden on busy
    district courts and sparing the sovereign the expense of trial."
    United States v. Caraballo-Cruz, 
    52 F.3d 390
    , 392 (1st Cir.
    1995) (quoting Fed. R. Crim. P. 11 advisory committee's note to
    1983 amendment).       Virtually any and all nonjurisdictional issues
    not explicitly preserved for appeal in the conditional plea
    agreement    —   and   certainly    all   Fourth   Amendment    suppression
    issues — are deemed waived.3        See United States v. Anderson, 
    374 F.3d 955
    , 958 (10th Cir. 2004); United States v. Ramos, 961 F.2d
    3We say "[v]irtually" because the Supreme Court has made
    clear that a guilty plea does not waive a subsequent challenge to
    "the Government's power to 'constitutionally prosecute'" the
    defendant.   Class v. United States, 
    138 S. Ct. 798
    , 805 (2018)
    (quoting United States v. Broce, 
    488 U.S. 563
    , 575 (1989)).
    - 8 -
    1003, 1005-06 (1st Cir. 1992), overruled on other grounds by
    United States v. Caron, 
    77 F.3d 1
     (1st Cir. 1996) (en banc);
    United States v. Simmons, 
    763 F.2d 529
    , 533 (2d Cir. 1985).
    Under the terms of his conditional plea, the defendant
    reserved the right to appeal only the district court's two
    suppression   rulings,    namely,   the   omnibus   order   entered   on
    November 29, 2016, and the order entered on May 12, 2017 (which
    denied the motion to suppress the fruits of the Connecticut
    apartment search).    Neither of those rulings was directed to the
    validity of the traffic stop or the actions that followed at the
    site of the stop.     On its face, then, the conditional plea did
    not reserve any right to challenge the traffic stop on appeal.
    To be sure, the district court's first suppression
    ruling (November 29, 2016) touched on the traffic stop.               But
    this was purely by way of background.        For instance, the court
    memorialized that "there [was] no issue concerning whether the
    officers unreasonably prolonged the stop to effectuate the dog
    sniffs" since the defendant had already been arrested at the
    time of the sniffs.      So, too, the court wrote that the roadside
    search of the defendant's vehicle and backpack were justified
    by the dogs' positive alerts for the presence of contraband and
    by the automobile exception to the warrant requirement.           See,
    e.g., Carroll v. United States, 
    267 U.S. 132
    , 153-56 (1925);
    United States v. Maldonado, 
    356 F.3d 130
    , 137 (1st Cir. 2004).
    - 9 -
    We   conclude   that   the   court's   references    to   these
    matters are plainly insufficient to reserve the traffic stop for
    appeal when the motions to suppress never challenged that stop
    and the defendant himself never raised any such challenge during
    the suppression hearing.        This conclusion is strengthened by the
    fact   that    the defendant, during the        lead-up   to    the   omnibus
    suppression hearing, never argued that the traffic stop was
    unsupported by reasonable suspicion or probable cause; that the
    stop was unlawfully prolonged; or that the canine sniffs and
    subsequent search of the car were unlawful.             And to remove all
    doubt, the district court stated unequivocally in its omnibus
    suppression ruling that the defendant did "not appear to challenge
    the basis for the initial stop of the vehicle," and the defendant's
    subsequent filings did not contradict this statement.
    It is a commonsense proposition that defendants who
    choose to enter conditional guilty pleas must "use care and
    precision in framing the issues to be preserved for appeal."
    Simmons, 
    763 F.2d at 533
     (quoting United States v. Pinto-Mejia,
    
    720 F.2d 248
    , 256 (2d Cir. 1983)).             The natural corollary of
    this proposition is that conditional plea agreements are to be
    construed according to their tenor.             See Ramos, 961 F.2d at
    1005-06; Simmons, 
    763 F.2d at 533
    .            Here, the conditional plea
    agreement, fairly read, does not encompass the traffic-stop
    claims that the defendant now seeks to pursue.                 Consequently,
    - 10 -
    those claims have been waived, and the defendant is foreclosed
    from raising them in this appeal.          See Anderson, 
    374 F.3d at 958
    (explaining   that     entry    of   conditional      plea    waives     all
    suppression arguments not specifically preserved for appeal);
    cf. United States v. Dietz, 
    950 F.2d 50
    , 55 (1st Cir. 1991)
    ("[A]rguments not seasonably addressed to the trial court may
    not be raised for the first time in an appellate venue.").
    B.    The Warrants.
    The defendant contends that a constellation of search
    warrants used to gather evidence against him were unsupported by
    probable cause or were otherwise infirm.          The contested warrants
    authorized, respectively, searches of the five seized cellphones,
    a search of the defendant's Connecticut apartment, an entry into
    the defendant's hotel room, and a search of the storage locker.
    Before turning to the warrants, we offer a handy primer
    on some matters of general application.        When reviewing a district
    court's disposition of a motion to suppress, we screen the court's
    factual findings for clear error and assay its ultimate conclusions
    about the existence of probable cause de novo.         See United States
    v. Almonte-Báez, 
    857 F.3d 27
    , 31 (1st Cir. 2017).            In conducting
    this tamisage, we construe the record in the light most congenial
    to the district court's ruling and will affirm the court's denial
    of a suppression motion "as long as that denial is supported by
    any   particularized   and     objectively     reasonable    view   of   the
    - 11 -
    evidence."        United States v. Tanguay, 
    811 F.3d 78
    , 81 (1st Cir.
    2016).
    As    relevant      here,    a   finding    of   probable    cause    is
    righteous "when the totality of the circumstances create 'a fair
    probability that contraband or evidence of a crime will be found
    in a particular place.'"            Almonte-Báez, 857 F.3d at 31 (quoting
    United States v. Tanguay, 
    787 F.3d 44
    , 50 (1st Cir. 2015)); see
    United States v. Coombs, 
    857 F.3d 439
    , 446 (1st Cir. 2017).                       The
    probable cause standard "is not a high bar."                     Kaley v. United
    States, 
    571 U.S. 320
    , 338 (2014).                 It demands only "the kind of
    'fair probability' on which 'reasonable and prudent [people,] not
    legal technicians, act.'"            Florida v. Harris, 
    568 U.S. 237
    , 244
    (2013) (alteration in original) (quoting Illinois v. Gates, 
    462 U.S. 213
    , 231, 238 (1983)).
    A showing of probable cause may be premised on either
    direct or circumstantial evidence or some combination of the two.
    See Gates, 
    462 U.S. at 238
    ; Clark, 685 F.3d at 78.                   Such a showing
    leaves   ample      room   for    reasonable      inferences    based    on   common
    experience:        an affidavit submitted to show probable cause need
    not point to some straight-line connection but, rather, may rely
    on the affiant's connecting of a series of dots in a commonsense
    way.   See Harris, 
    568 U.S. at 244
    .
    It    is   against    this       backdrop   that   we   consider     the
    defendant's challenges to the sundry warrants.
    - 12 -
    1.    The Cellphone Warrants.          We start with the warrants
    authorizing searches of the five cellphones recovered in the wake
    of   the   traffic   stop.    As     might    be   expected,   the   affidavits
    underpinning the five cellphone warrants closely resemble one
    another, and we discuss them in the aggregate.                 The defendant's
    criticism    of   these   warrants    focuses      on   Medeiros's   statement,
    contained in the affidavits annexed to the warrant application,
    that the defendant had "been observed at several known drug
    locations in the Southern Maine area over the course of several
    months."     The defendant suggests that this statement lacked any
    factual context or indicia of reliability.              He adds that when this
    "unsubstantiated assertion" is removed from the probable cause
    equation, the remaining information is too meager to support a
    finding of probable cause to believe that the phones were likely
    to contain evidence of drug trafficking.
    It is true, of course, that an affidavit submitted in
    support of a warrant application must demonstrate probable cause
    "in some trustworthy fashion."         United States v. Nocella, 
    849 F.2d 33
    , 39 (1st Cir. 1988) (quoting United States v. Aguirre, 
    839 F.2d 854
    , 857 (1st Cir. 1988)).      Similarly, if data points limned in an
    affidavit derive from confidential informants, a reviewing court
    must take into account "the veracity and reliability of [those]
    informants, and the basis of their knowledge." 
    Id.
     Here, however,
    the disputed statement is not attributed to information gleaned
    - 13 -
    from an informant. And in our judgment, a neutral magistrate would
    be   fully   justified   in    deeming   the   sworn   statements   of   an
    experienced MDEA agent, presumably based on his knowledge of the
    ongoing investigation, as trustworthy.            After all, "[w]e have,
    with a regularity bordering on the echolalic, endorsed the concept
    that a law enforcement officer's training and experience may yield
    insights that support a probable cause determination."              United
    States v. Floyd, 
    740 F.3d 22
    , 35 (1st Cir. 2014).
    In any event, we need not probe this point too deeply.
    Even if we excise the disputed statement from the probable cause
    calculus, the remaining content of each affidavit amply supported
    a finding of probable cause.      The affidavits rehearsed the details
    of the traffic stop, including the $500 found on the defendant's
    person in small-denomination bills; the two positive dog sniffs;
    and the items found as a result of the traffic stop, including the
    five cellphones, the distinctively tied plastic bag, and the loose
    screws.       In   addition,   the   affidavits    contained   Medeiros's
    averments that drug traffickers often use multiple cellphones to
    arrange transactions, package drugs in plastic bags using the
    "Dominican tie" technique, and stow drugs in a vehicle's "natural
    voids" accessible only after the removal of plastic molding held
    in place by "screws or clips."
    Direct evidence is not necessary to ground a probable
    cause determination where, as here, the import of circumstantial
    - 14 -
    evidence is obvious.       See United States v. Gonzalez-Arias, 
    946 F.3d 17
    , 24 (1st Cir. 2019), cert. denied, __ S. Ct. __ (2020);
    United States v. Edmiston, 
    46 F.3d 786
    , 789 (8th Cir. 1995).
    Notwithstanding that the car itself was not found to contain a
    detectable quantity of drugs, all of the enumerated facts strongly
    suggested drug-trafficking activities.             See, e.g., Harris, 
    568 U.S. at 245-46
    , 246 n.2 (noting that police dogs alert to odor,
    but not necessarily presence, of drugs and that such alerts
    establish probable cause "that either drugs or evidence of a drug
    crime . . . will be found"). Taken in their totality, the inference
    that they suggest is inescapable.
    To cinch the matter, the affidavit also recounted that
    the   defendant   had   been   arrested    twice    before,   resulting     in
    narcotics charges.      Both arrests occurred in Rhode Island in 2013,
    and both involved facts strikingly similar to the 2014 traffic
    stop in Maine.    In each instance, the defendant was operating a
    rental   car,   driving    without   a   valid   license,     and   found   in
    possession of multiple cellphones and significant amounts of cash.
    These earlier arrests — in each of which several ounces of crack
    cocaine was seized — combined with the evidence harvested from the
    2014 traffic stop gave rise to probable cause to believe that the
    defendant had been, and continued to be, involved in a drug-
    trafficking enterprise.
    - 15 -
    The defendant has a fallback position.             He argues that
    the passage of approximately one month between the 2014 traffic
    stop    and    the   issuance    of   the   search   warrants     for   the   five
    cellphones undermined any finding of probable cause since "[n]o
    additional information" suggestive of drug trafficking emerged in
    the interim.         This argument lacks force.           We have "repeatedly
    refused to assess an affidavit's staleness by counting the number
    of days between the events described in the affidavit and a
    warrant's issuance, as a merchant would beads on an abacus."
    United States v. Tiem Trinh, 
    665 F.3d 1
    , 13 (1st Cir. 2011).
    Instead, we examine a variety of factors bearing on staleness,
    such as "the nature of the information [in the affidavit], the
    nature and characteristics of the suspected criminal activity, and
    the likely endurance of the information."                
    Id. at 13-14
     (quoting
    United States v. Morales-Aldahondo, 
    524 F.3d 115
    , 119 (1st Cir.
    2008)).       As we already have explained, the evidence garnered from
    the 2014 traffic stop, coupled with the known details of the
    defendant's 2013 arrests, gave rise to probable cause to believe
    that he had been engaged in a continuous course of drug-trafficking
    and that the multiple cellphones recovered from the traffic stop
    were tools of the trade and, thus, likely to contain evidence of
    criminal activity.          The passage of approximately one month between
    the seizure of the phones and the issuance of the warrant in no
    way    diminished     the    likelihood     that   the   phones   would   contain
    - 16 -
    incriminating evidence.   Cf. United States v. Schaefer, 
    87 F.3d 562
    , 568 (1st Cir. 1996) (explaining that "drug conspiracies tend
    to be ongoing operations, rendering timely information that might,
    in other contexts, be regarded as stale").
    That is game, set, and match.    The affidavits submitted
    in connection with the applications for the five cellphone warrants
    contained more than enough information to justify a finding of
    probable cause to believe that the defendant was engaged in drug
    trafficking and that the cellphones were likely to contain evidence
    of that activity.     The motion to suppress the fruits of the
    cellphone searches was, therefore, appropriately denied.
    2.   The Connecticut Apartment Warrant.   We turn next to
    the warrant authorizing a search of the apartment in Norwich,
    Connecticut.   The defendant contends that this warrant was not
    supported by probable cause sufficient to show that the apartment
    likely contained evidence of drug trafficking. The record, though,
    tells a different tale.   The affidavit annexed to the application
    for the challenged warrant contains more than enough information
    to underpin a finding of probable cause.
    Collectively, the two affidavits that underpinned the
    issuance of this warrant recount various encounters by police
    officers with the Connecticut apartment.     In December of 2014,
    officers observed a suspect in an unrelated murder investigation
    enter and leave an apartment (later identified as Apartment #3) on
    - 17 -
    the third floor of the apartment building. The following February,
    officers learned that the murder suspect had visited "Apartment
    #3" three months earlier to retrieve a handgun.         Also in February,
    officers   encountered    one   Larry   Miliner,   an   associate   of   the
    suspect, outside the apartment building and in possession of
    cocaine.   Miliner said that, roughly an hour before the officers'
    arrival, he had entered the same apartment that the murder suspect
    previously had visited.      The police identified this apartment as
    Apartment #3.   Upon further inquiry, Miliner stated that it was
    rented by his cousin "Eric" and also stated that the apartment
    housed both "an aggressive pitbull" and "several other dogs locked
    within a bedroom."       When pressed for further details about the
    apartment, he "became uncooperative."
    When queried, the property manager identified "Eric
    Adams" as the tenant renting Apartment #3.         He reported that Adams
    had not been seen in the vicinity for over a month.          The affiants
    then noted — drawing on their collective experience — that drug
    traffickers often maintain "stash houses" for the storage of drugs
    and firearms and that these sites are "commonly protected by
    canines" and frequented by dealers for only short periods of time.
    Finally, the affiants observed that Adams was known to be a
    "member[] of the Bloods street gang" and had "recently been
    investigated for trafficking large amounts of cocaine" in Maine.
    - 18 -
    While these facts, if taken in isolation, may leave room
    for innocent explanation, we conclude that, taken together, they
    form an adequate basis for a finding of probable cause to believe
    that Apartment #3 was being maintained as a stash house and would
    likely contain evidence of drug trafficking.         Cf. Bourjaily v.
    United States, 
    483 U.S. 171
    , 180 (1987) ("The sum of an evidentiary
    presentation may well be greater than its constituent parts.").
    The defendant resists this conclusion.       His argument, though, is
    easily dispatched.
    One pillar of the defendant's argument is that Miliner
    never told the officers that the drugs found on his person came
    from Apartment #3.   This is true as far as it goes, but it does
    not take the defendant very far.          According to the affidavit,
    Miliner was found with drugs on his person, and he stated that he
    had been in an apartment that the officers identified as Apartment
    #3 roughly an hour before the officers' arrival.      This information
    took on added importance when, after a search, Miliner's own
    apartment was found to be free of drugs.      One reasonable inference
    that could be drawn is that the drugs recovered from Miliner's
    person came from Apartment #3.        See Tanguay, 811 F.3d at 81
    (explaining   that   reviewing    courts    must   affirm   denials   of
    suppression motions that are "supported by any . . . objectively
    reasonable view of the evidence").
    - 19 -
    Another      pillar      of     the   defendant's        argument   is    his
    assertion that the information concerning the murder suspect's
    retrieval of a gun from Apartment #3 had grown stale by the time
    the officers were told about this event three months later.                            We
    think   that      the    district      court       had   room    to   find    that    this
    information was not stale, see Tiem Trinh, 
    665 F.3d at 13-14
    ; and
    in any event, the officers' encounter with Miliner took place on
    the   very   same       day   that    the    warrant     authorizing      a   search   of
    Apartment #3 was issued.                    The information gleaned from that
    encounter,     when      fused       with    the     officers'    knowledge      of    the
    defendant's involvement in gang activities and drug trafficking,
    was enough to support a finding of probable cause for the search.
    See Almonte-Báez, 857 F.3d at 32.
    That ends this aspect of the matter.                     The remainder of
    the defendant's arguments either depend upon information that is
    dehors the record or relate to matters that are only of marginal
    relevance to the probable cause calculus.                   Reading the affidavits
    in their entirety and drawing reasonable inferences to the district
    court's behoof, we hold that the court did not clearly err in
    denying the defendant's motion to suppress the fruits of the
    Connecticut apartment search.
    3.    The No-Knock Warrant.             The defendant next trains his
    fire on the warrant authorizing a no-knock entry into his hotel
    room for the purpose of executing previously issued arrest warrants
    - 20 -
    for the defendant and his confederate.                    Once again, he is shooting
    blanks.
    At the outset, the defendant suggests that the factual
    allegations contained in the underlying affidavit were inadequate
    to permit a finding of probable cause to search the hotel room.
    This suggestion is hopeless.             The affidavit remarked the existence
    of an outstanding arrest warrant for the defendant and described
    both     cellphone        location       data       and     physical        surveillance
    establishing the defendant's presence at the hotel.                         No more was
    exigible to make out a sufficient showing of probable cause.
    There is also a second, independently sufficient, reason
    why this challenge fails:            the defendant attempts to raise it for
    the    first     time   on     appeal.         We   have     held,    with     unrivaled
    consistency, that (subject to narrow exceptions, not relevant
    here) legal theories cannot make their debut in the court of
    appeals.       See Teamsters Union, Loc. No. 59 v. Superline Transp.
    Co., 
    953 F.2d 17
    , 21 (1st Cir. 1992) ("If any principle is settled
    in    this   circuit,     it    is   that,      absent      the   most     extraordinary
    circumstances, legal theories not raised squarely in the lower
    court cannot be broached for the first time on appeal.").
    The   defendant       does       have      one     preserved     argument
    implicating the hotel room warrant.                 In the court below, he argued
    that   the     no-knock      provision    of     the      warrant    was    unsupported.
    - 21 -
    Although the defendant renews this argument on appeal, he gains no
    traction from it.
    Urging us to find an insufficient factual basis for the
    no-knock    provision,         the   defendant     seizes      upon   the   affiant's
    statement that "drug traffickers often keep firearms with them to
    protect their product."           He insists that "boilerplate language" in
    the affidavit was inadequate to support a no-knock entry in the
    absence    of    some       particularized    basis      for   believing    that   the
    defendant was armed.           The defendant, however, leans too heavily on
    a dysphemism that does not fit.
    Although law enforcement officers executing a warrant
    ordinarily must knock and announce their presence, a magistrate
    may authorize a no-knock entry if the applicant offers reasonable
    grounds to expect that the typical knock-and-announce procedure
    "would be dangerous or futile, or . . . would inhibit the effective
    investigation          of   the   crime    by,     for    example,    allowing     the
    destruction of evidence."            United States v. Banks, 
    540 U.S. 31
    , 36
    (2003) (alteration in original) (quoting Richards v. Wisconsin,
    
    520 U.S. 385
    , 394 (1997)); see United States v. Jones, 
    523 F.3d 31
    , 36 (1st Cir. 2008).               In the case at hand, the affidavit
    submitted       with    the    no-knock     warrant      application    established
    reasonable grounds to think that the defendant and his confederate
    might be armed.         It described evidence gathered from confidential
    informants indicating that the two men were engaged in drug
    - 22 -
    trafficking.      This evidence included descriptions of controlled
    buys and contained assurances from an informant that the defendant
    "ke[pt] his shit" at the hotel.           We have previously deemed it "a
    commonsense inference" that drug traffickers often keep firearms
    on   hand   to   protect   "drug   cash    and   spoils    from   any    would-be
    robbers." United States v. Rivera, 
    825 F.3d 59
    , 65 (1st Cir. 2016)
    (explaining      that   this   inference      derives     "from   the    everyday
    understanding of the drug trade's violent nature").                Drawing this
    commonsense inference, we conclude that the facts delineated in
    the affidavit justified the inclusion of a no-knock provision in
    the warrant.
    4.    The Storage Locker Warrant.           This brings us to the
    warrant authorizing the search of the storage locker rented by the
    girlfriend of one of the defendant's associates.                  The defendant
    claims that this warrant was not supported by a showing of probable
    cause to believe that the storage locker was likely to contain
    contraband or other evidence of drug trafficking.                 Relatedly, he
    claims that the authorities had no reason to connect anything in
    the locker to him.      These claims do not withstand scrutiny.
    To    begin,   the     affidavit     underpinning      the    warrant
    painstakingly recounted the events leading up to the defendant's
    arrest, including the affiant's observations of the defendant
    leaving the hotel and retrieving a bag from the blue Volkswagen.
    This account went on to catalog the contraband seen inside the
    - 23 -
    hotel room and in the bag that the defendant had retrieved.                    Then,
    it described the paperwork for the storage locker found in a
    subsequent warrant-backed search of the blue Volkswagen and noted
    the existence of video footage showing the defendant's associate
    accessing         the   locker    shortly    before   the   defendant's      arrest.
    Finally, it revealed that a canine sniff performed immediately
    outside the storage locker had yielded a positive alert.                    Taken in
    the ensemble, the facts contained within the four corners of the
    affidavit comprised a solid predicate for a finding of probable
    cause to believe that the storage locker was likely to contain
    proof of the defendant's suspected drug trafficking.
    There is one loose end.       The defendant asserts that the
    affidavit          underpinning    the    storage     locker   warrant      included
    "intentionally          or   recklessly     false   information"    and     that   the
    district court brushed off his request for a hearing about these
    supposed infirmities.            See Franks v. Delaware, 
    438 U.S. 154
    , 155-
    56 (1978); see also United States v. Barbosa, 
    896 F.3d 60
    , 67-69
    (1st       Cir.    2018)     (outlining     requirements    for    Franks    hearing
    challenging veracity of warrant application).                     This assertion,
    though, lacks a foothold in the record:                     the defendant never
    requested a Franks hearing concerning this affidavit.4                       Seen in
    4
    The record citation that he furnishes in support of this
    claim of error relates to his request for a Franks hearing about
    the affidavit connected with the no-knock warrant for his hotel
    room. That Franks claim has not been pursued on appeal.
    - 24 -
    this light, the defendant's claim of error falls squarely within
    the general rule that a party cannot ask the court of appeals for
    relief that he did not seek in the district court.                 See United
    States v. Tkhilaishvili, 
    926 F.3d 1
    , 18 (1st Cir.), cert. denied,
    
    140 S. Ct. 412
     (2019); Beaulieu v. IRS, 
    865 F.2d 1351
    , 1352 (1st
    Cir. 1989).
    C.   The Motion to Reconsider.
    We need not linger long over the defendant's challenge
    to the district court's denial of his motion to reconsider various
    suppression rulings.     As we explain below, this challenge does not
    make it out of the starting gate.
    To begin, we note a temporal anomaly.         As said, the plea
    agreement makes pellucid that the defendant may appeal only the
    district court's orders denying his motions to suppress, that is,
    the   orders   entered   on   November   29,   2016,   and   May   12,   2017,
    respectively.    On its face, then, the order denying the motion to
    reconsider appears to fall outside the boundaries of these reserved
    appeal rights.    Because the conditional plea in this case reserved
    to the defendant only the right to appeal those suppression rulings
    specified in the plea condition, it would seem likely that the
    defendant has waived any right to appeal the denial of the motion
    to reconsider.
    The problem, though, is that the motion to reconsider
    was not filed until December 1, 2017, months after the district
    - 25 -
    court's acceptance of the defendant's conditional guilty plea.          We
    have been unable to find any persuasive authority applying a
    conditional   plea   agreement's    preclusive   effect   to   a   pretrial
    motion filed after the conditional plea was accepted.                 Here,
    however, we need not venture onto terra incognita and try to
    resolve this conundrum:    there is another — and fully dispositive
    — reason why this claim of error goes up in smoke.
    This dispositive reason rests on a familiar principle.
    That principle relates to the novelty of the contents of the
    motion to reconsider.     Although the motion purported to challenge
    the denial of the defendant's earlier suppression motions, it
    featured an array of entirely new arguments.           "[I]t is settled
    beyond hope of contradiction that, at least in the absence of
    exceptional circumstances, a party may not advance new arguments
    in a motion for reconsideration when such arguments could and
    should have been advanced at an earlier stage of the litigation."
    Carib. Mgmt. Grp. v. Erikon LLC, ___ F.3d ___, ___ (1st Cir. 2020)
    [No. 19-1421, slip op. at 21]; accord Mancini v. City of Providence
    ex rel. Lombardi, 
    909 F.3d 32
    , 48 (1st Cir. 2018); United States
    v. Allen, 
    573 F.3d 42
    , 53 (1st Cir. 2009).       Since the new arguments
    advanced in the motion for reconsideration were available to the
    defendant both at the times that he moved to suppress and when he
    entered his plea and since the circumstances of this case are in
    no way exceptional, he is foreclosed from raising those new
    - 26 -
    arguments for the first time on appeal.      Consequently, his claim
    of error dies aborning.
    D.   The Plea-Withdrawal Motion.
    The defendant has one last shot in his sling. He assigns
    error to the district court's denial of his motion to withdraw his
    conditional    guilty   plea.   Some   stage-setting   helps   to   lend
    perspective.
    A criminal defendant "has no absolute right to withdraw
    a guilty plea."     United States v. Caramadre, 
    807 F.3d 359
    , 366
    (1st Cir. 2015).    Where, as here, a defendant moves to withdraw a
    guilty plea after the district court has accepted the plea but
    before sentencing, he bears the burden of establishing "a fair and
    just reason for requesting the withdrawal."     
    Id.
     (quoting Fed. R.
    Crim. P. 11(d)(2)(B)).      The most important integer in the plea-
    withdrawal calculus is whether the defendant's "original guilty
    plea was knowing, intelligent, and voluntary."    
    Id.
       Of course, an
    inquiring court also should consider other factors, such as "the
    plausibility and weight of the reason given for the withdrawal,
    the timing of the request, whether the defendant is now colorably
    asserting legal innocence, and whether the original plea was
    pursuant to a plea agreement." 
    Id.
     (quoting United States v. Aker,
    
    181 F.3d 167
    , 170 (1st Cir. 1999)).        If the totality of these
    factors militates in favor of allowing the plea to be withdrawn,
    - 27 -
    the court should then consider whether, and to what extent,
    withdrawal would prejudice the government.         See 
    id.
    We review a district court's denial of a motion to
    withdraw a guilty plea for abuse of discretion.           See United States
    v. Dávila-Ruiz, 
    790 F.3d 249
    , 251 (1st Cir. 2015).            "An abuse of
    discretion 'occurs when a material factor deserving significant
    weight is ignored, when an improper factor is relied upon, or when
    all proper and no improper factors are assessed, but the court
    makes a serious mistake in weighing them.'"               United States v.
    Soto-Beníquez, 
    356 F.3d 1
    , 30 (1st Cir. 2003) (quoting Indep. Oil
    & Chem. Workers, Inc. v. Procter & Gamble Mfg. Co., 
    864 F.2d 927
    ,
    929 (1st Cir. 1988)).
    In this instance, the defendant submits that his guilty
    plea was neither knowing nor voluntary when tendered because he
    had insufficient time to digest late-breaking discovery and to
    consider the government's final plea offer.               In addition, the
    defendant says that the looming prospect of a potential life
    sentence and concerns about his family clouded his judgment and
    rendered his guilty plea involuntary. Following a hearing at which
    the   defendant   testified,   the   district     court    rejected    these
    importunings and found that the defendant's original plea was
    knowing, intelligent, and voluntary.           The court emphasized that
    the defendant — who was no "neophyte in dealing with the [criminal
    justice]   system"   —   had   engaged    in    "fairly    extensive   plea
    - 28 -
    negotiations" and had not made a "spur-of-the-moment" decision.
    In the court's view, the defendant was simply having "second
    thoughts" about his earlier capitulation.
    We discern nothing resembling an abuse of discretion in
    the district court's determination that the defendant failed to
    establish a fair and just reason for withdrawing his guilty plea.
    There is no indication that the court overlooked any material
    factor, relied upon any improper factor, or made a serious mistake
    in judgment when weighing the relevant considerations.                  We add
    only a few brief comments.
    To    begin,    the   defendant's      contention    that    he    had
    insufficient time to consider belated discovery is unconvincing.
    The defendant's chief complaint in this respect relates to the
    production,     shortly   before   the    planned       commencement   of    jury
    selection, of the full arrest record of one of the participants in
    a controlled drug buy.      This record included two arrests, at least
    one of which was for drug possession.            As the defendant tells it,
    this arrest record "bolstered his defense."
    But there is a rub.         The defendant had long been aware
    of the affidavit underpinning the no-knock search warrant, which
    made clear that this particular confidential informant had been
    arrested   for    drug    possession     after    the    controlled    buy    and
    subsequently terminated as an informant.            The upshot is that the
    defendant — when filing his motions to suppress and thereafter —
    - 29 -
    had available enough information to argue that the confidential
    informant's drug use and difficulties with the law rendered her
    unreliable.         And to seal the deal, the defendant and his counsel
    received all the remaining information about the confidential
    informant at least a few days before the defendant decided to enter
    a conditional guilty plea.5           It follows that, before deciding to
    plea,      the    defendant   had   adequate   time    to    weigh   whether   the
    confidential informant's full arrest history might strengthen his
    defense.
    The defendant's remaining arguments in favor of allowing
    him to withdraw his plea are equally unavailing.                 Although we do
    not doubt that the defendant may have felt "[p]ressured by the
    prospect of a life sentence" and the potential hardship such a
    sentence would inflict on "his ailing mother and his children,"
    many       criminal    defendants    labor     under   the     strain   of     such
    considerations.         See United States v. Pellerito, 
    878 F.2d 1535
    ,
    1541 (1st Cir. 1989) (explaining that criminal prosecutions are
    inherently "stressful experiences" and that "many defendants" are
    5
    The record is murky as to exactly when the defendant received
    this information — but it is beyond dispute that he received it
    before he entered his conditional plea. The government told the
    district court that full arrest histories had been provided to the
    defendant roughly three weeks before the defendant tendered his
    plea.    The defendant maintains, though, that he received the
    information just days before he pleaded.         Either way, it is
    apparent that the defendant and his counsel had at least a few
    days to review the confidential informant's full arrest record and
    decide whether to proceed with plea negotiations.
    - 30 -
    "sensitive     to     external   considerations"     such     as   familial
    pressures).     A defendant seeking to unravel a guilty plea "must
    show more than a mere 'sensitiv[ity] to external considerations.'"
    Caramadre, 807 F.3d at 369 (alteration in original) (quoting
    Pellerito, 
    878 F.2d at 1541
    ).      Instead, such a defendant must show
    that he pleaded guilty "under so much duress that [his plea] could
    no longer be considered a product of free will."        
    Id.
        Evidence of
    agitation arising out of familial circumstances does not, without
    more, show duress or lack of voluntariness.           See Pellerito, 
    878 F.2d at 1541
    .       In this case, there is no "more."
    Nor is the needle moved by the defendant's argument that
    he "did not have sufficient time" to consider the government's
    final plea offer. Although he says that he had only ninety minutes
    to weigh the offer, there is nothing to suggest that this was a
    hard deadline imposed by the government.        At any rate, the record
    makes manifest that plea negotiations were ongoing throughout the
    week that jury selection was slated to begin and that the defendant
    had several meetings with his attorney during the course of that
    week with respect to the government's offers.               A defendant's
    participation in the plea negotiation process is a highly relevant
    fact in considering whether his guilty plea was knowing and
    voluntary.    See Caramadre, 807 F.3d at 370.      So, too, is the length
    of the period during which plea negotiations persisted. See United
    States v. Pagan-Ortega, 
    372 F.3d 22
    , 29 (1st Cir. 2004).
    - 31 -
    We add, moreover, that the defendant has proffered no
    meaningful claim of actual innocence.              Although he made a vague
    assertion of innocence at the hearing on his plea-withdrawal
    motion, the district court gave that assertion "no credibility
    whatsoever."       Credibility determinations are normally grist for
    the factfinder's mill, see Caramadre, 807 F.3d at 372, and we see
    no abuse of discretion in the district court's determination that
    the defendant's stroke-of-midnight claim of innocence was not
    credible.       After all, a district court is not obliged "to give
    weight to a self-serving, unsupported claim of innocence."                 United
    States v. Ramos, 
    810 F.2d 308
    , 313 (1st Cir. 1987).                       This is
    especially true when — as in this case — such a belated claim of
    innocence      "flies    in   the   face    of   several   admissions     to   the
    contrary."      United States v. Santiago Miranda, 
    654 F.3d 130
    , 139
    (1st Cir. 2011) (quoting United States v. Isom, 
    580 F.3d 43
    , 53
    (1st Cir. 2009)).
    Refined to its essence, this case strikes a familiar
    note.        The defendant "affirmatively declared under oath at a
    properly conducted Rule 11 hearing that he was guilty of the crimes
    with which he was charged."            United States v. Flete-Garcia, 
    925 F.3d 17
    , 25 (1st Cir.) (quoting United States v. Dunfee, 
    821 F.3d 120
    , 128 (1st Cir. 2016) (per curiam)), cert. denied, 
    140 S. Ct. 388
     (2019).       He has failed to offer any persuasive reason as to
    why     we   should     permit   him   to   walk   away    from   those    solemn
    - 32 -
    declarations.     Consequently, the district court was free to give
    decisive weight to the statements made by the defendant at the
    change-of-plea colloquy.    See 
    id.
    To say more would be pointless.    "This court has not
    allowed defendants, absent coercion or mistake, to renege on plea
    agreements on the basis that they have miscalculated their risks
    and benefits or have belatedly discovered a new defense."    United
    States v. Muriel, 
    111 F.3d 975
    , 981 (1st Cir. 1997).        Buyer's
    remorse is not enough.    Hewing to that line, we conclude that the
    district court did not abuse its discretion in determining that
    the defendant failed to establish a fair and just reason for
    withdrawing his conditional guilty plea.
    III. CONCLUSION
    We need go no further. For the reasons elucidated above,
    the judgment of the district court is
    Affirmed.
    - 33 -