United States v. Guerrero-Narvaez ( 2022 )


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  •             United States Court of Appeals
    For the First Circuit
    No. 19-2209
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,
    Appellant,
    v.
    EDDIE GUERRERO-NARVÁEZ and KEYVAN CARTAGENA-SUAREZ,
    Defendants, Appellees.
    APPEAL FROM THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF PUERTO RICO
    [Hon. Juan M. Pérez-Giménez, U.S. District Judge]
    Before
    Thompson and Lipez, Circuit Judges,
    and Laplante,* District Judge.
    John M. Pellettieri, with whom W. Stephen Muldrow, United
    States Attorney, Mariana E. Bauzá-Almonte and David T. Hanek,
    Assistant United States Attorneys, Brian A. Benczkowski, Assistant
    Attorney General, David P. Burns, Acting Assistant Attorney
    General, Robert A. Zink, Acting Deputy Assistant Attorney General,
    and Kirby A. Heller, Criminal Division, Appellate Section, U.S.
    Department of Justice, were on brief, for appellant.
    Alejandra Bird López, Research and Writing Specialist, with
    whom Eric Alexander Vos, Federal Public Defender, and Franco L.
    Pérez-Redondo, Assistant Federal Public Defender, were on brief,
    for appellee Eddie Guerrero-Narváez.
    *   Of the District of New Hampshire, sitting by designation.
    Wilfredo Ríos Méndez for appellee Keyvan Cartagena-Suarez.
    March 16, 2022
    LIPEZ, Circuit Judge.       A jury convicted Eddie Guerrero-
    Narváez and Keyvan Cartagena-Suarez of aiding and abetting each
    other in the commission of a carjacking in violation of 
    18 U.S.C. §§ 2
     and 2119.          Guerrero-Narváez and Cartagena-Suarez then filed
    separate          post-verdict     motions        for     judgment     of   acquittal.
    Guerrero-Narváez          argued    that     the        government's    evidence   was
    insufficient to support the jury's conclusion that he possessed
    the requisite specific intent to violate the federal carjacking
    statute.          The district court agreed, granting Guerrero-Narváez's
    motion and explaining that no reasonable trier of fact could find
    from        the   evidence   presented       at    trial     that    Guerrero-Narváez
    possessed the intent to seriously harm or kill, if necessary, at
    the time he took the car.            See 
    18 U.S.C. § 2119
    .             With Guerrero-
    Narváez acquitted, the court granted Cartagena-Suarez's motion,
    too.1        The government appeals from the district court's orders
    granting the motions for acquittal.                 We affirm.
    Surveillance video and witness testimony indicated that
    1
    Cartagena-Suarez was present at the gas station before and after
    the taking of the vehicle, but that Guerrero-Narváez took
    possession of the car by himself.      Intent "at the moment the
    defendant demanded or took control over" the car is an element of
    the federal crime of carjacking. United States v. Díaz-Rosado,
    
    857 F.3d 116
    , 121 (1st Cir. 2017) (quoting Holloway v. United
    States, 
    526 U.S. 1
    , 12 (1999)).      If Guerrero-Narváez did not
    possess the requisite intent at the moment he took possession of
    the car, there was no federal carjacking crime. Hence, there was
    no basis for finding Cartagena-Suarez guilty as an aider and
    abettor. See Rosemond v. United States, 
    572 U.S. 65
    , 71 (2014)
    (recognizing that, for aiding and abetting liability to attach,
    someone must commit the underlying crime). The government makes
    - 3 -
    I.
    A. Factual Background
    We recount the facts in the light most favorable to the
    verdict.      United   States   v.    Mubayyid,   
    658 F.3d 35
    ,   41   (1st
    Cir. 2011).    On January 3, 2018, Keysha Silva-Rivera parked her
    silver BMW SUV adjacent to a gas pump at a Puma gas station in
    Carolina, Puerto Rico.2     Silva-Rivera's two children were in the
    backseat.     As Silva-Rivera began to exit her vehicle, Guerrero-
    Narváez approached her.     Guerrero-Narváez, who is five feet, nine
    inches tall and weighs over two-hundred pounds, is significantly
    larger than    Silva-Rivera, who       is    just under five feet       tall.
    Guerrero-Narváez was dressed in a red T-shirt and red shorts, and
    Silva-Rivera testified that she thought he was going to "offer
    [her] to serve gas."      Silva-Rivera remained partially within the
    vehicle -- with one foot inside and one foot on the ground -- while
    Guerrero-Narváez spoke to her for about twenty seconds from a
    distance of two to three feet.
    Silva-Rivera testified that Guerrero-Narváez told her
    that he "was sent" to "take the vehicle from [her]."         She "thought
    no argument that there would be any basis for finding Cartagena-
    Suarez guilty of aiding and abetting a carjacking independently of
    Guerrero-Narváez's culpability.
    2 In addition to witness testimony, the government introduced
    into evidence the recorded surveillance camera video, which we
    have viewed as part of the record in this case.
    - 4 -
    it was a prank" at first and asked if the taking "had something to
    do with the owner of the vehicle."    Guerrero-Narváez said that "if
    [she] cooperate[d], he [was not] going to harm either [her] or
    [her] children."    Silva-Rivera testified that Guerrero-Narváez
    touched his shirt in a "sort of intimidating" manner as he spoke
    to her.   Silva-Rivera understood the gesture to indicate that
    Guerrero-Narváez was armed, although Guerrero-Narváez never showed
    her a gun or any weapon.
    Silva-Rivera asked Guerrero-Narváez if he would allow
    her children to get out of the car, and he agreed to do so.   Silva-
    Rivera stepped out of the car and Guerrero-Narváez stepped back,
    leaving enough space for Silva-Rivera to move past him unimpeded.
    Guerrero-Narváez remained standing by the driver's door as Silva-
    Rivera walked to the back door on that side of the car.       Silva-
    Rivera opened the door to let her two children exit the SUV, and
    the three of them walked to the back of the car.       Silva-Rivera
    opened the trunk.    After a few seconds, Guerrero-Narváez also
    walked to the back of the car and stood at the left edge of the
    trunk with his hand resting on the now-uplifted hatch.    Guerrero-
    Narváez and Silva-Rivera conversed periodically throughout this
    time.
    As Silva-Rivera removed items from the trunk of the car,
    Guerrero-Narváez neither rushed nor threatened her.    At one point,
    Guerrero-Narváez reached into the trunk and handed Silva-Rivera an
    - 5 -
    umbrella.    He then assisted her with retrieving another item.
    After she removed items from the trunk, Silva-Rivera walked along
    the non-driver side of the car to the front door to "check that
    [she]   didn't   leave   anything."      Silva-Rivera's   two    children
    remained standing at the back of the car, next to Guerrero-Narváez.
    While   Silva-Rivera     was   rummaging   in    the   front    passenger
    compartment, Guerrero-Narváez returned to the front of the car and
    climbed into the driver's seat.        He asked Silva-Rivera "how to
    push the seat back."     Silva-Rivera finished rummaging in the car
    after Guerrero-Narváez got into the vehicle.       Silva-Rivera walked
    to the back of the car and attempted to close the hatch, but
    Guerrero-Narváez began to drive away before she could close it.
    Silva-Rivera and her children remained standing near the gas pump
    while Guerrero-Narváez, driving the silver SUV, exited the gas
    station.
    After   Guerrero-Narváez   left,    Silva-Rivera    --   still
    standing near the gas pump with her children -- called her husband.
    She then called her mechanic, who was the prior owner of the BMW,
    and asked him to look out for the stolen vehicle.              About five
    minutes after Guerrero-Narváez drove off in the car, Silva-Rivera
    and her children entered the store of the gas station.          She called
    the police about twenty minutes after Guerrero-Narváez took the
    - 6 -
    car,3 telling the 911 operator that "an individual held me up with
    the children and took my SUV."      She reported that the individual
    "stood at the door" and said "You have to get out with the
    children."    The 911 operator asked if the individual had a weapon,
    to which Silva-Rivera replied:
    No. No. No.      He had -- he said it was
    supposedly an order that they gave him. But
    they tell me here at the gas station that he's
    been going around for a while already, asking
    people for money. That they supposedly gave
    him an order that he has to take the SUV.
    That's what he told me.    I stayed calm.    I
    didn't want to argue . . . . Because I have
    two minors in the backseat.
    Silva-Rivera did not see Cartagena-Suarez during the
    incident, but surveillance camera footage shows Cartagena-Suarez
    and Guerrero-Narváez loitering at the gas station over an hour
    before the carjacking and interacting in the minutes preceding the
    incident.     When Silva-Rivera called her mechanic after Guerrero-
    Narváez drove away in her car, she described the appearance of the
    man who stole the car.    The mechanic subsequently observed the BMW
    drive by with its hatch open and two men inside, including a man
    who matched Silva-Rivera's description of the car thief and a
    second "short and thin" man in the passenger seat.      Silva-Rivera
    learned of the second man prior to calling 911, and she informed
    3 Silva-Rivera testified that she waited so long to call the
    police "[b]ecause I knew they weren't going to come fast." Silva-
    Rivera waited at the gas station for approximately 40 minutes but
    the police never arrived.
    - 7 -
    the dispatcher that her car was being driven by two men.                 Later
    that evening, the mechanic observed the short and thin man driving
    the stolen BMW.        Cartagena-Suarez's driver's license was found
    inside the vehicle when it was recovered.
    B. Procedural History
    A superseding indictment charged both appellants with
    "aiding and abetting each other" in the commission of a carjacking
    in violation of 
    18 U.S.C. § 2119
    . At the close of the government's
    case at trial,4 appellees each moved for a judgment of acquittal
    under Federal Rule of Criminal Procedure 29.              The court took the
    motions under advisement, and the jury subsequently convicted
    appellees of aiding and abetting a carjacking in violation of
    
    18 U.S.C. §§ 2
     and 2119.        Appellees renewed their Rule 29 motions,
    which the court denied.       After appellees submitted written motions
    for judgment of acquittal, however, the court granted Guerrero-
    Narváez's    motion.      The    court   then    issued   an   order   finding
    Cartagena-Suarez's motion "moot" in light of the relief granted to
    Guerrero-Narváez       but      granting        Cartagena-Suarez's      motion
    "[n]otwithstanding."         The court entered a judgment of acquittal
    for both Guerrero-Narváez and Cartagena-Suarez.
    In a thoughtful opinion, the district court explained
    that the evidence at trial was insufficient to prove beyond a
    4   Appellees did not present any evidence.
    - 8 -
    reasonable doubt that         Guerrero-Narváez   possessed the specific
    intent required by the statute. United States v. Guerrero-Narvaez,
    
    415 F. Supp. 3d 281
    , 288-94 (D.P.R. 2019).              The government had
    argued in response to         Guerrero-Narváez   and Cartagena-Suarez's
    motions that, in the absence of a weapon or evidence of force,5
    Guerrero-Narváez's specific intent could be inferred from five
    facts    "proven"   at    trial:   Guerrero-Narváez's    size   relative   to
    Silva-Rivera's; the fact that Guerrero-Narváez -- not the smaller
    Cartagena-Suarez -- committed the taking of the vehicle; Guerrero-
    Narváez's arrival on foot; Guerrero-Narváez's constant "following"
    of Silva-Rivera during the taking; and the nature of Guerrero-
    Narváez's threat.         After reviewing the gas station surveillance
    camera footage, Silva-Rivera's trial testimony, and an audiotape
    of Silva-Rivera's 911 call, the district court analyzed each of
    the factors cited by the government and concluded that they did
    "not comport with any case in which § 2119's intent element has
    been satisfied."         Guerrero-Narvaez, 415 F. Supp. 3d at 293.         We
    summarize the court's analysis.
    5 Silva-Rivera did not observe a weapon and no weapon was
    recovered from the car or Guerrero-Narváez's person.      In the
    absence of direct evidence of a weapon, however, the government
    now argues on appeal that it was reasonable for the jury to infer
    that Guerrero-Narváez nevertheless possessed a weapon at the time
    of the taking. This argument, and the significance of possession
    of a weapon during a carjacking, are discussed infra.
    - 9 -
    1. Guerrero-Narváez's Size
    The court rejected the government's argument that the
    fact that "Guerrero[-Narváez] is a large individual, in fact much
    larger than Silva[-Rivera], . . . by itself ([]or in conjunction
    with the other factors the government proposes) indicate[s] that
    he intended to seriously harm or kill her."             Id. at 291.
    2. Guerrero-Narváez rather than Cartagena
    The district court likewise found that "a reasonable
    factfinder   cannot      conclude   that     choosing   to   send   a   larger
    individual" -- in this case, Guerrero-Narváez rather than his
    smaller codefendant -- "sufficiently proves, beyond a reasonable
    doubt, the conditional intent to seriously harm or kill the
    victim."   Id.
    3.    Arrival on Foot
    The   court    concluded   that    "the   fact    that   Guerrero[-
    Narváez] arrived on foot sufficiently establishes just one thing:
    he did not have a car before taking Silva[-Rivera]'s."                Id.   The
    court rejected as "impermissible speculation" the government's
    suggestion that Guerrero-Narváez's intent could be inferred from
    the proposition that he "would need a car to flee and would be
    unable to abandon the carjacking without the use of force."                 Id.
    4.    Following Silva-Rivera Closely
    The court characterized "the government's proposition
    that Guerrero[-Narváez] followed Silva[-Rivera] around the vehicle
    - 10 -
    and kept her close at all times" as "false," noting that "the
    evidence   conclusively     demonstrates    [from   the   security   camera
    video] that Guerrero[-Narváez] neither followed Silva[-Rivera]
    around the vehicle nor kept in constant physical proximity to her
    throughout the taking."      Id. at 291-92.
    5.    Nature of Guerrero-Narváez's Threat
    Finally, the district court rejected the government's
    reliance on the manner and content of Guerrero-Narváez's threat to
    Silva-Rivera.      The court explained that "the fact that Guerrero[-
    Narváez] touched his t-shirt in a manner that signaled he was armed
    weighs against an inference that he intended to use brute force to
    harm or kill Silva[-Rivera], if necessary to take the vehicle."
    Id. at 292.      "Had Guerrero[-Narváez] intended to use brute force,"
    the court reasoned, "he would have framed his threat in that
    fashion. But, instead, Guerrero[-Narváez] relied on faking he had
    a gun to obtain Silva[-Rivera]'s compliance.          That is a textbook
    bluff."    Id.    (emphasis omitted).   The court concluded:
    The evidence presented at trial tells the
    story of an unarmed defendant who takes a
    victim's vehicle after delivering an empty
    threat and bluffing he is carrying a
    weapon. . . . The evidence here is not
    sufficient for a reasonable factfinder to
    conclude that Guerrero[-Narváez] possessed
    the    requisite   mens   rea.   As   such,
    Guerrero[-Narváez]'s Rule 29 motion must be
    granted.
    Id. at 293.      The government appealed.
    - 11 -
    II.
    A. Standard of Review
    We review de novo a district court's order granting a
    post-verdict motion for judgment of acquittal.             Mubayyid, 
    658 F.3d at 47
    .   We will uphold the judgment "only if the evidence, viewed
    in the light most favorable to the government, could not have
    persuaded any trier of fact of the defendants' guilt beyond a
    reasonable doubt."         
    Id.
        In other words, we must reverse the
    acquittal and let the guilty verdict stand if the verdict "finds
    support in a plausible rendition of the record."                  
    Id.
     (quoting
    United States v. Rivera Rangel, 
    396 F.3d 476
    , 482 (1st Cir. 2005)).
    However,    we    need   not   credit   "unreasonable,     insupportable,    or
    overly   speculative"      interpretations     of    the   evidence.    United
    States v.        Pothier, 
    919 F.3d 143
    , 146 (1st Cir. 2019) (quoting
    Leftwich v. Maloney, 
    532 F.3d 20
    , 23 (1st Cir. 2008)).
    We consider the evidence "in its totality," meaning that
    "[i]ndividual pieces of evidence that might not be enough on their
    own . . . might add up to tell th[e] tale" of a defendant's guilt
    beyond a reasonable doubt.           United States v. Guzman-Ortiz, 
    975 F.3d 43
    , 54 (1st Cir. 2020).         But, just as "a judge may not pursue
    a   'divide      and   conquer'   strategy    in    considering   whether   the
    circumstantial evidence [] adds up . . ., neither may a judge
    'stack inference upon inference in order to uphold the jury's
    verdict.'"        
    Id. at 55
     (quoting United States v. Valerio, 48 F.3d
    - 12 -
    58, 64 (1st Cir. 1995)).   "[I]f the evidence, when viewed in the
    light most favorable to the government, 'gives equal or nearly
    equal circumstantial support' to theories of guilt and innocence,
    the convictions must be reversed."       United States v. Martin, 
    228 F.3d 1
    , 10 (1st Cir. 2000) (quoting United States v. Andújar, 
    49 F.3d 16
    , 20 (1st Cir. 1995)).
    B. The Federal Carjacking Statute
    The federal carjacking statute punishes "[w]hoever, with
    the intent to cause death or serious bodily harm[,] takes a motor
    vehicle . . . from the person or presence of another by force and
    violence or by intimidation, or attempts to do so."         
    18 U.S.C. § 2119
     (emphasis added).     Like much of federal criminal law,
    Congress enacted the carjacking statute pursuant to its authority
    under the Commerce Clause.      See United States v. Comstock, 
    560 U.S. 126
    , 136 (2010) (describing the sources of congressional
    authority to make federal criminal law); Torres v. Lynch, 
    578 U.S. 452
    , 457 (2016) (identifying an interstate commerce nexus as a
    common jurisdictional hook in federal criminal law); 
    18 U.S.C. § 2119
     (limiting the statute's application to vehicles involved in
    interstate or foreign commerce).
    Although Congress's authority to regulate interstate
    commerce is broad, United States v. Lopez, 
    514 U.S. 549
    , 558-59
    (1995), it may not "regulate noneconomic, violent criminal conduct
    based solely on that conduct's aggregate effect on interstate
    - 13 -
    commerce," United States v. Morrison, 
    529 U.S. 598
    , 617 (2000).
    Instead, so as not to infringe on the states' police power -- the
    "broad authority to enact legislation for the public good" that is
    reserved to the states, Bond v. United States, 
    572 U.S. 844
    , 854
    (2014) -- the Constitution requires that federal criminal law
    distinguish between conduct that "is truly national and what is
    truly local."     Morrison, 
    529 U.S. at 617
    ; see also 
    id. at 618
    ("[W]e can think of no better example of the police power, which
    the Founders denied the National Government and reposed in the
    States, than the suppression of violent crime and vindication of
    its victims.").
    In its decisions policing the boundary between federal
    and state criminal law, the Supreme Court has cautioned that
    "'unless Congress conveys its purpose clearly, it will not be
    deemed to have significantly changed the federal-state balance' in
    the prosecution of crimes."   Jones v. United States, 
    529 U.S. 848
    ,
    858 (2000) (quoting United States v. Bass, 
    404 U.S. 336
    , 349
    (1971)); accord Bond, 572 U.S. at 860.   The Court has stringently
    construed the mens rea requirement of federal criminal statutes to
    ensure that expansive interpretations of those statutes' intent
    provisions do not "transform relatively minor state offenses into
    federal felonies."    Rewis v. United States, 
    401 U.S. 808
    , 812
    (1971); see also Fowler v. United States, 
    563 U.S. 668
    , 684 (2011)
    (Scalia, J., concurring) (cautioning against construing a federal
    - 14 -
    statute's mens rea requirement in a way that would "federalize
    crimes" that lack a federal nexus).
    The federal carjacking statute reflects congressional
    intent to target "a particular type of robbery" with the goal of
    deterring especially violent crime.               Holloway v. United States,
    
    526 U.S. 1
    , 8-9 (1999); United States v. Rosario-Díaz, 
    202 F.3d 54
    , 63 (1st Cir. 2000) (describing congressional intent to narrowly
    define    § 2119's     mens   rea    element).      To    ensure   that   federal
    jurisdiction does not extend "beyond the point envisioned by
    Congress and intrud[e] into realms specifically left to" the states
    and territories, the mens rea element is narrow in two respects.
    United States v. Díaz-Rosado, 
    857 F.3d 116
    , 125 (1st Cir. 2017)
    (Torruella, J., concurring).
    First, by requiring that a defendant specifically intend
    to   cause   serious    bodily      harm   or   death,6   the   federal   statute
    criminalizes vehicle theft only where the risk of violence is real.
    Holloway, 
    526 U.S. at 11
     ("While an empty threat, or intimidating
    bluff, would be sufficient to satisfy the [force or intimidation]
    element, such conduct, standing on its own, is not enough to
    satisfy § 2119's specific intent element."); see also Rosario-
    6The Supreme Court has held that this specific intent
    encompasses both unconditional and conditional intent "at the
    moment the defendant demanded or took control over" the vehicle.
    Holloway, 
    526 U.S. at 11-12
    . In other words, the government must
    prove that a defendant "possessed the intent to seriously harm or
    kill the driver if necessary to steal the car." 
    Id. at 12
    .
    - 15 -
    Díaz, 
    202 F.3d at
    63 (citing Holloway, 
    526 U.S. at 1
    ).          State and
    territorial   governments   retain    the   authority   to    criminalize
    nonviolent car theft.
    Second, mere intent to harm is not enough to bring a car
    theft within the reach of federal criminal enforcement.                By
    requiring intent to cause at least "serious bodily harm," the
    statute ensures that federal prosecutorial authority extends only
    to those car thefts where a defendant possessed particularly
    violent intent.   See Díaz-Rosado, 857 F.3d at 126 (Torruella, J.,
    concurring) (suggesting that the level of harm contemplated by the
    statute involves extreme physical pain, protracted and obvious
    disfigurement,    or   protracted    loss   or   impairment   of   bodily
    function).
    We have held that touching or threatening a victim while
    brandishing a firearm is sufficient evidence of intent "to cause
    death or serious bodily harm" within the meaning of § 2119.         E.g.,
    United States v. Catalán-Roman, 
    585 F.3d 453
    , 474 (1st Cir. 2009);
    see also Díaz-Rosado, 857 F.3d at 126 (Torruella, J., concurring)
    (citing cases).   Other circuits have reached the same conclusion.
    See, e.g., United States v. Felder, 
    993 F.3d 57
    , 68 (2d Cir. 2021);
    United States v. Lake, 
    150 F.3d 269
    , 272 (3d Cir. 1998); United
    States v. Small, 
    944 F.3d 490
    , 499-500 (4th Cir. 2019); United
    States v. Adams, 
    265 F.3d 420
    , 425 (6th Cir. 2001); United States
    v. Wright, 
    993 F.3d 1054
    , 1065 (8th Cir. 2021); United States v.
    - 16 -
    Vallejos, 
    421 F.3d 1119
    , 1123-24 (10th Cir. 2005).          But proof of
    intent to cause serious bodily harm or death does not require proof
    of the involvement of a weapon.       Díaz-Rosado, 857 F.3d at 121;
    United States v. Rodríguez-Berríos, 
    573 F.3d 55
    , 66-67 (1st Cir.
    2009).     "Just as one can use brute force or a variety of items to
    kill or cause serious harm, one can also use such force or items
    to manifest an intent to cause death or serious harm if necessary."
    Díaz-Rosado, 857 F.3d at 121.
    Generally, the key fact distinguishing a situation in
    which a defendant possesses the requisite specific intent from a
    situation in which a defendant merely makes an "empty threat,"
    Holloway, 
    526 U.S. at 11
    , is the defendant's actual and willing
    use of force in carrying out the carjacking.          E.g., Díaz-Rosado,
    857 F.3d    at 121;   Rodríguez-Berríos,   
    573 F.3d at 66-67
    .   Even
    "plac[ing] a 'cold and hard' item to [a victim's] neck" -- behavior
    that the victim likely would interpret as a threat involving a
    weapon -- and "sa[ying] '[d]rive, drive, drive, drive'" has been
    held insufficient to establish § 2119's requisite intent, absent
    evidence that the defendant actually had a weapon or threatened to
    harm the victim.      United States v. Bailey, 
    819 F.3d 92
    , 97 (4th
    Cir. 2016) (third alteration in original).7
    7 The district court relied on Bailey to conclude that
    Guerrero-Narváez's threat was "a textbook bluff."    Guerrero-
    Narvaez, 415 F. Supp. 3d at 292. Bailey appears to be the only
    reported case in which a court has vacated a conviction under
    - 17 -
    C. Application
    To establish § 2119's intent element, the government had
    to prove that Guerrero-Narváez "would have at least attempted to
    seriously harm or kill . . . if that action had been necessary to
    complete the taking of the car."    Holloway, 
    526 U.S. at 12
    .   At
    trial, the government bore the burdens of persuasion and production
    on the intent element of the crimes.     See Pothier, 919 F.3d at
    148; see also Jackson v. Virginia, 
    443 U.S. 307
    , 316 (1979) ("[N]o
    person shall be made to suffer the onus of a criminal conviction
    except upon sufficient proof -- defined as evidence necessary to
    convince a trier of fact beyond a reasonable doubt of the existence
    of every element of the offense.").    We consider the totality of
    evidence on which the government relies to determine whether -- as
    the government argues -- it was reasonable for the jury to infer
    beyond a reasonable doubt that Guerrero-Narváez possessed the
    necessary intent.
    On appeal, the government argues that "a reasonable
    juror could rely on Guerrero[-Narváez]'s threatening words alone
    to conclude that he acted with the requisite intent."8   According
    § 2119 because the evidence presented at trial was insufficient to
    establish the requisite specific intent.      The district court
    initially denied Bailey's motion for acquittal. On appeal, the
    Fourth Circuit vacated the conviction and remanded for entry of
    judgment of acquittal. See 819 F.3d at 94, 98.
    8 As noted, Guerrero-Narváez told Silva-Rivera that he had
    been "sent" to "take the vehicle from [her]" and that "if [she]
    cooperate[d], he [was] not going to harm either [her] or her
    - 18 -
    to the government, "[t]he 'or else' in that threat, while implicit,
    was clear."    But this rationale ignores Holloway's admonition that
    an empty threat or intimidating bluff, standing on its own, cannot
    satisfy § 2119's intent requirement.     See Holloway, 
    526 U.S. at 11
    .   Accepting the government's argument would collapse Holloway's
    distinction between an empty threat and a credible manifestation
    of intent to harm.   This is exactly the type of conflation Congress
    sought to avoid by imposing the stringent mens rea requirement.
    See 
    id. at 11-12
    .    Because an empty threat does not satisfy this
    requirement, it was necessary for the district court to consider
    Guerrero-Narváez's words in conjunction with his "'visible conduct
    and what the victim might reasonably conclude'" from that conduct
    "[t]o determine whether [Guerrero-Narváez's] threat [wa]s empty,
    or [whether] the defendant in fact intended to follow through (if
    necessary)."    Guerrero-Narvaez, 415 F. Supp. 3d at 292 (quoting
    Ovalles v. United States, 
    905 F.3d 1300
    , 1303 (11th Cir. 2018)).9
    In assessing Guerrero-Narváez's conduct during and after
    his initial confrontation with Silva-Rivera, the district court
    children."    When Guerrero-Narváez threatened Silva-Rivera, he
    touched his shirt in a "sort of intimidating" manner, which Silva-
    Rivera interpreted as an indication that Guerrero-Narváez was
    armed.
    9  We note that, although our review is de novo, we may
    properly reference the district court's analysis when we think it
    is on the mark. See Doe v. Brown Univ., 
    943 F.3d 61
    , 70 (1st Cir.
    2019).
    - 19 -
    focused, in part, on what it described as the absence of a weapon.
    Possession (or lack) of a weapon is significant because, as the
    court observed, proving intent under § 2119 "is a cut-and-dried
    endeavor [where] the defendant utilized a loaded firearm to take
    the vehicle" or "carried, brandished[,] or used a weapon such as
    a knife or a baseball bat."   Guerrero-Narvaez, 415 F. Supp. 3d at
    288 (citing cases).
    Recognizing the import of evidence of a weapon, the
    government argues for the first time on appeal that it would have
    been reasonable for the jury to infer that Guerrero-Narváez was
    carrying a weapon when he threatened Silva-Rivera and gestured to
    his shirt.10   This inference, in turn, would support a conclusion
    that he possessed the requisite intent at the time of the taking
    on that basis alone.     The fact that Guerrero-Narváez was not
    carrying that weapon when he was arrested later in the day does
    not undermine this theory, according to the government, because
    Guerrero-Narváez could have discarded the weapon by then.
    But the evidence here is, at best, ambiguous as to the
    presence of a weapon. True, when Guerrero-Narváez first confronted
    10During the trial, the government did not present evidence
    or argue that Guerrero-Narváez had a weapon.      In its opening
    statement, the government informed the members of the jury that
    they would not "see either of these two men pulling out a gun or
    throwing the victim to the ground." And, in its closing argument,
    the government asked rhetorically, "how would this man inflict
    injury upon that woman if he didn't have a gun, if he didn't have
    a knife?"
    - 20 -
    Silva-Rivera and gestured at his shirt while threatening harm, she
    understood that gesture as an indication that Guerrero-Narváez
    carried a weapon.          However, after her brief interaction with
    Guerrero-Narváez as she took her children out of the car and
    removed personal possessions from it, and shortly after Guerrero-
    Narváez drove off in her car, Silva-Rivera repeatedly answered
    "No, no, no" when the 911 operator asked her if he had a weapon.
    Throughout the entire interaction, Silva-Rivera never observed
    Guerrero-Narváez in possession of a weapon, and the security video
    discloses none.      Due to the inescapable ambiguity about whether
    Guerrero-Narváez     had    a   weapon,   this      case    lacks   the   sort    of
    categorical indication of intent to seriously harm or kill that we
    have often observed in other cases when a weapon is present.                  See,
    e.g., Díaz-Rosado, 857 F.3d at 126 (Torruella, J., concurring)
    (citing cases); Catalán-Roman, 585 F.3d at 474.
    However, as our case law makes clear, even though using
    a   weapon   to   effect   a    carjacking    may    be    sufficient     alone   to
    establish § 2119's specific intent, neither the statute nor common
    sense "require[] the presence of such an item."                Díaz-Rosado, 857
    F.3d at 121.      The ambiguity about whether Guerrero-Narváez had a
    weapon is simply one of many factors we consider in addressing the
    dispositive inquiry here: whether the evidence, taken as whole and
    viewed in the light most favorable to the jury's verdict, permits
    a reasonable factfinder to conclude beyond a reasonable doubt that
    - 21 -
    Guerrero-Narváez possessed the requisite intent to seriously harm
    or kill, if necessary to take the car, and was not instead making
    a mere empty threat when he confronted Silva-Rivera.
    We have previously addressed how the government can
    prove § 2119's demanding mens rea element absent evidence of a
    weapon.     In Rodríguez-Berríos, we held that evidence that the
    defendant struck the victim in her car immediately before she and
    her car disappeared, combined with evidence of the defendant's
    prior abuse of and stated desire to harm the victim, was sufficient
    to establish the defendant's intent to kill or cause serious bodily
    harm to the victim at the time of the carjacking.               
    573 F.3d 55
    ,
    66-67 (1st Cir. 2009).       And we determined in Díaz-Rosado that a
    defendant's "initiat[ion of] the heist in circumstances where it
    was virtually certain that violence would be necessary," and the
    use of force at "each juncture" of the carjacking -- including
    grabbing, shoving, struggling with, and ultimately throwing a
    grandmother to the ground -- was sufficient evidence that the
    defendant   intended   to    seriously   harm   or    kill    the   victim   if
    necessary to take the car.      857 F.3d at 121-22.          Yet we described
    Díaz-Rosado as "close" because of the demanding standard of intent
    required by § 2119.         See id. at 121-22; see also id. at 126
    (Torruella, J., concurring) ("This level of harm contemplated by
    the statute is significant, and requires more than simply injuring
    or threatening to injure the victim.").              As the district court
    - 22 -
    observed,   "[t]he    case   now    before   the   Court    stands     in    stark
    contrast" to these cases.          Guerrero-Narvaez, 415 F. Supp. 3d at
    290. Whereas other § 2119 cases have involved unambiguous evidence
    of a weapon or "some degree of forceful physical contact," the
    district court correctly found it "crucial to the inquiry at hand"
    that "Guerrero[-Narváez] did not use violence or employ force
    against Silva[-Rivera]" or even "touch her at all."              Id.    Nor was
    this a circumstance where it was virtually certain that violence
    would be necessary to take the car.
    The government paradoxically argues that the lack of
    force nevertheless supports the jury's conclusion that Guerrero-
    Narváez   possessed    the   necessary       intent.       According    to    the
    government,    Silva-Rivera's       quick     acquiescence     to      Guerrero-
    Narváez's demand for her car reflects her "reasonable belief that
    Guerrero-Narváez would harm her and her children if she resisted."
    Because Silva-Rivera's feelings of fear and intimidation obviated
    the need for Guerrero-Narváez to use force, the government suggests
    that the lack of force -- combined with Guerrero-Narváez's size,
    threatening words, and allusion to a weapon -- are sufficient to
    establish that Guerrero-Narváez possessed the conditional specific
    intent required by § 2119. In other words, the government suggests
    that, at the moment he confronted Silva-Rivera, Guerrero-Narváez
    intended to cause serious bodily harm or death if necessary to
    - 23 -
    take the car but the circumstances of his approach, and Silva-
    Rivera's quick capitulation, made his resort to force unnecessary.
    The district court         properly rejected this argument.
    Although it acknowledged that "a victim's perception is usually
    instructive as to a perpetrator's intent," the court noted that
    Silva-Rivera's fear did not change its analysis of the other
    factors to which the government pointed as evidence of Guerrero-
    Narváez's specific intent.          Guerrero-Narvaez, 415 F. Supp. 3d at
    292-93; see also Bailey, 819 F.3d at 98 n.4 (cautioning against
    "focus[ing]   unduly   on    [the    victim']s    understandable    fear    and
    apprehension that he would be killed," as "virtually any robbery
    victim . . . will be intimidated and frightened"). As the district
    court explained:
    An empty threat delivered in a convincing
    manner will typically instill fear in its
    recipient. Still, the recipient's distress
    does nothing to transform the threat itself.
    . . . [A]n empty threat's success in achieving
    its intended purpose -- scaring the recipient
    into compliance -- does not suddenly imbue its
    issuer with an actual intent to injure, maim
    or kill. Put simply, an empty threat is empty
    for a reason.
    Guerrero-Narvaez, 415 F. Supp. 3d at 293.
    The government argues that Guerrero-Narváez's "size and
    heft" -- though "not evidence by itself of Guerrero[-Narváez]'s
    mental   state"   --   "at   minimum     supported      the   inference    that
    Guerrero[-Narváez]     would    have    been     able   to    seriously    harm
    - 24 -
    Silva[-Rivera] if necessary."      But an individual's capacity to do
    harm tells us nothing about his intention to cause harm at that
    particular time.    We agree with the district court that a theory
    relying on capacity as evidence of intention is not only off the
    mark, but it also improperly presumes capacity based simply on
    observations    about   the   defendant's     physical   form.     Like   the
    district court, we "refuse[] to criminalize a defendant's heft and
    tall stature.    An argument to that effect is no more than an off-
    the-cuff, desperate Hail Mary attempt," Guerrero-Narvaez, 415 F.
    Supp. 3d at 291, at best, and -- at worst -- a step away from more
    invidious propositions.
    The district court acknowledged that Guerrero-Narváez's
    size and the fact that he "cornered Silva[-Rivera] at the front
    door and temporarily blocked her from exiting the SUV" made his
    threat to Silva-Rivera more credible.           Id. at 292.      "But," the
    court emphasized, "he did not touch or physically restrain her,
    nor did he apply even a modicum of force."        Id. (emphasis omitted).
    Rather, Guerrero-Narváez stayed out of the way while Silva-Rivera
    escorted her children from the car and retrieved her belongings
    from both the trunk and the front passenger compartment.           Contrary
    to   the   government's   assertion    that     Guerrero-Narváez    closely
    followed Silva-Rivera around the car, he assisted her in retrieving
    her possessions from the car.         As the district court observed,
    "Guerrero[-Narvaez]'s conduct does not evince a willingness to use
    - 25 -
    his size for anything other than posturing in a menacing way."
    Id.
    As noted earlier, in concluding that Guerrero-Narváez's
    threat     was     empty,     the     court     found     it     significant     that
    "Guerrero[-Narváez] touched his t-shirt in a manner that signaled
    he was armed" and "relied on faking he had a gun to obtain
    Silva[-Rivera]'s compliance," rather than "fram[ing] his threat in
    [a] fashion" suggesting an "inten[t] to use brute force."                         Id.
    (emphasis omitted).11          He did not, for example, say that he was
    armed when he made the "intimidating" gesture.                          Although the
    government       argues   that      Guerrero-Narváez's         threat    contained   a
    clear, implicit "or else," the district court explained that
    Guerrero-Narváez's behavior "weighs against an inference that he
    intended to use brute force to harm or kill Silva[-Rivera], if
    necessary to take the vehicle."                Id.      (emphasis added).        "Had
    Guerrero[-Narváez]          intended    to    use    brute     force,"    the   court
    reasoned, "he would have framed his threat in that fashion."                      Id.
    The government argues that the district court's analysis
    of Guerrero-Narváez's gesture and threat was incompatible with its
    obligation to construe the evidence in the light most favorable to
    the government. But this is a superficial criticism of the court's
    11To repeat, Guerrero-Narváez told Silva-Rivera that "if
    [she] cooperate[d], he [was] not going to harm either [Silva] []or
    [her] children."
    - 26 -
    reasoning.      The district court was aware that § 2119 requires more
    than just intent to harm.       See 
    18 U.S.C. § 2119
     (requiring "intent
    to cause death or serious bodily harm" (emphasis added)).                 After
    all, our understanding of the phrase "serious bodily harm" draws
    meaning from the reference to             "death" in the same statutory
    provision.      See United States v. García-Ortiz, 
    904 F.3d 102
    , 107
    (1st Cir. 2018) (invoking the canon of noscitur a sociis to discern
    the meaning of a phrase with reference to neighboring words).               The
    district   court's     reasoning     reflects     the   conclusion   that    no
    reasonable jury could infer from Guerrero-Narváez's conduct that
    he intended to harm Silva-Rivera in the serious way that the
    statute requires.
    The other facts on which the government relies do nothing
    to tip the balance of evidence in its favor.            The government points
    to Guerrero-Narváez and Cartagena-Suarez's behavior in the hours
    preceding the carjacking as evidence of Guerrero-Narváez's intent
    to use whatever force was necessary to steal the car.                       The
    government argues that Guerrero-Narváez was highly motivated to
    successfully carry out the carjacking -- i.e., to leave the scene
    in a stolen vehicle -- because the two men had been waiting at the
    gas   station    for   more   than   an   hour,   and   failure   would   leave
    Guerrero-Narváez with "no ready means of escape" in the midst of
    individuals who just witnessed an unsuccessful carjacking.                  But
    there is no evidentiary basis in this case for inferring an intent
    - 27 -
    to   cause   serious    bodily   harm    or    death    from    the   defendants'
    loitering at the gas station with the motivation to steal the
    vehicle.     The district court described this argument as "nothing
    short of impermissible speculation," noting that "[a] car is not
    a    prerequisite      to    abandoning       the      scene     of   a    botched
    crime -- criminals often flee on foot."              Guerrero-Narvaez, 415 F.
    Supp. 3d at 291.       Surely most carjackers are highly motivated to
    steal cars and have reason to wait patiently for the opportune
    moment to do so.        Indeed, the government's evidence is equally
    consistent with the theory that Guerrero-Narváez and Cartagena-
    Suarez waited at the gas station for a victim against whom using
    force would be unnecessary.        The government's "escape" theory, so
    speculative at its core, does nothing to advance the government's
    claim   that   a   reasonable    factfinder         could    conclude     beyond   a
    reasonable doubt that Guerrero-Narváez possessed the requisite
    intent.
    The government's final argument -- that appellants chose
    Guerrero-Narváez, rather than the smaller Cartagena-Suarez -- to
    carry out the carjacking because he would "likely be more menacing
    to the victim, and thus more likely to succeed," id., actually
    undermines the government's case.             "Undoubtedly," as the district
    court   observed,      "a   commanding    stature      can     amplify    and   lend
    credibility to a threat."        Id.    But sending a larger individual to
    effect a carjacking says nothing about the larger individual's
    - 28 -
    conditional intent to seriously harm or kill the victim of a
    carjacking.   Indeed, the district court observed that, "[p]erhaps
    paradoxically, . . . [a] smaller carjacker may be likelier to
    necessitate violence to obtain a victim's compliance."          Id. at 291
    n.8.
    III.
    To distinguish "intent to cause death or serious bodily
    harm" from a mere empty threat, § 2119 requires evidence of more
    than just intimidation. Even viewing the evidence in its totality,
    see Guzman-Ortiz, 975 F.3d at 54, Guerrero-Narváez's actions in
    this case fall far from the line we have drawn in prior cases.
    See Díaz-Rosado, 857 F.3d at 121-22. The ambiguity of the evidence
    of a weapon and the lack of evidence indicating that Guerrero-
    Narváez used any other type of force to achieve the taking of
    Silva-Rivera's vehicle, in combination with the other, equivocal
    evidence on which the government relies, dooms the government's
    case.   "We would have to engage in [] impermissible inference
    stacking here to conclude. . . that there was proof beyond a
    reasonable    doubt,"   Guzman-Ortiz,    975   F.3d   at   55   (internal
    quotation marks omitted), that Guerrero-Narváez possessed the
    intent to kill or to cause serious bodily harm to Silva-Rivera, if
    necessary, to effect the taking.    Whereas Díaz-Rosado was "close,"
    857 F.3d at 121, the facts of this case make it, as the district
    court aptly noted, "a ten-mile long shot" even considering the
    - 29 -
    deferential standard owed to jury verdicts.                     Guerrero-Narvaez,
    415 F. Supp. 3d at 291.       At best, viewing the evidence in the light
    most favorable to the government "gives equal or nearly equal
    circumstantial   support      to    theories      of    guilt    and   innocence."
    Martin, 
    228 F.3d at 10
     (quoting Andújar, 
    49 F.3d at 20
    ).                    That is
    not good enough to meet the government's burden to prove its case
    beyond a reasonable doubt.
    We emphasize, however, that our decision to affirm the
    decision of the district court does not mean that appellees did
    not commit a serious criminal act.             Guerrero-Narváez intimidated
    Silva-Rivera    into    relinquishing       her    vehicle      in     particularly
    frightening circumstances, given that her children were in the
    backseat   of   the    car.        That   crime    is    certainly      worthy   of
    prosecution, even if the evidence does not support conviction under
    the federal carjacking statute. See 
    P.R. Laws Ann. tit. 33, § 4827
    (making robbery of a motor vehicle a second-degree felony).                      As
    the district court observed:
    The record before the Court reflects that
    Guerrero-Narváez is a criminal who should reap
    what he has sowed. But, for Guerrero-Narváez
    to be convicted, he must be prosecuted for the
    right crime, and all elements of that crime
    must be proven. As it stands, Guerrero-Narváez
    did not violate § 2119.        His conviction
    pursuant to that statute cannot pass muster.
    Guerrero-Narvaez, 415 F. Supp. 3d at 293.               We agree.
    Affirmed.
    - 30 -