Producers of Renewables United v. EPA ( 2022 )


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  • Appellate Case: 19-9532            Document: 010110648841   Date Filed: 02/23/2022    Page: 1
    FILED
    United States Court of Appeals
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS         Tenth Circuit
    FOR THE TENTH CIRCUIT                     February 23, 2022
    _________________________________
    Christopher M. Wolpert
    Clerk of Court
    PRODUCERS OF RENEWABLES
    UNITED FOR INTEGRITY TRUTH AND
    TRANSPARENCY,
    Petitioner,
    v.                                                            No. 19-9532
    (EPA No. 8486)
    ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION                            (Environmental Protection Agency)
    AGENCY,
    Respondent.
    ------------------------------
    HOLLYFRONTIER CHEYENNE
    REFINING, LLC; HOLLYFRONTIER
    REFINING & MARKETING, LLC;
    SINCLAIR CASPER REFINING
    COMPANY; SINCLAIR WYOMING
    REFINING COMPANY,
    Intervenors.
    _________________________________
    ORDER*
    _________________________________
    Before HARTZ, BALDOCK, and EID, Circuit Judges.
    _________________________________
    *
    This order is not binding precedent, except under the doctrines of law of the case,
    res judicata, and collateral estoppel. It may be cited, however, for its persuasive value
    consistent with Fed. R. App. P. 32.1 and 10th Cir. R. 32.1.
    Appellate Case: 19-9532     Document: 010110648841         Date Filed: 02/23/2022     Page: 2
    Petitioner Producers of Renewables United for Integrity Truth and Transparency
    (“Producers of Renewables”) seeks to challenge Environmental Protection Agency
    (“EPA”) actions granting certain small refineries in Wyoming replacement fuel credits,
    known as Replacement Identification Numbers (“RINs”). These 2017 and 2018 agency
    decisions, on remand from judgment in this court, determined these refineries were
    entitled to exemptions from compliance with the Renewable Fuel Standard Program (the
    “Program” or “RFS”) in 2014 and 2015 based on a finding of “disproportionate economic
    hardship.” 
    42 U.S.C. § 7545
    (o)(9)(B). However, the lengthy judicial and regulatory
    proceedings caused the traditional relief—refunding the RINs each company had already
    retired for compliance—to be worthless as these credits had already expired. In order to
    provide a meaningful remedy, the EPA issued the refineries replacement RINs.
    Producers of Renewables seeks to challenge this relief. But because the group lacks
    constitutional standing, we dismiss for want of jurisdiction.
    I. BACKGROUND
    A. Statutory and Regulatory Background
    1. The Renewable Fuel Standard Program
    In 2005, Congress passed and President George W. Bush signed the Energy Policy
    Act, Pub. L. No. 109-58, 
    119 Stat. 594
     (2005). Among other things, this Act established
    the Clean Air Act’s Renewable Fuel Standard Program. 
    Id.
     § 1501, 119 Stat. at 106776
    (codified as amended at 
    42 U.S.C. § 7545
    (o)). In 2007, Congress amended the
    Renewable Fuel Standard Program as part of the Energy Independence and Security Act.
    See Pub. L. No. 110-140, §§ 201–202, 
    121 Stat. 1492
     (2007) (codified at 42 U.S.C.
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    § 7545(o)). As amended, the RFS requires the EPA to promulgate annual “renewable
    fuel obligation[s]” specifying volumes of renewable fuels to be introduced into the
    country’s supply of transportation fuel each year. See 
    42 U.S.C. § 7545
    (o)(2)(B), (3)(B).
    The RFS statute contemplates that certain participants in the transportation fuel
    market—namely, “refineries,” “blenders,” and “importers”—will be required to satisfy
    annual “renewable fuel obligation[s].” 
    Id.
     § 7545(o)(3)(B)(ii). To accomplish these
    goals, the Program regulates suppliers through “applicable volume[s]”—mandatory and
    annually increasing quantities of renewable fuels that must be “introduced into commerce
    in the United States” each year. Id. § 7545(o)(2)(A)(i). This volume is converted into
    “percentage standards” that apply to obligated parties, who must then ensure that for
    every gallon of nonrenewable fuel it produces or imports, adequate quantities of
    renewable fuels are introduced into the economy. Id. § 7545(o)(2)–(3); 
    40 C.F.R. § 80.1406
    –80.1407.
    2. Renewable Identification Numbers
    After the obligated parties have been identified and their percentage standards
    have been set, there remains the matter of compliance. For every gallon of renewable
    fuel entering the U.S. market, producers and importers may generate a set of “Renewable
    Identification Numbers.” 
    40 C.F.R. §§ 80.1426
    , 80.1429(b). The number of RINs
    assigned to each batch corresponds to the amount of ethanol-equivalent energy per gallon
    in that batch. See 
    id.
     § 80.1415. RINs remain attached to the renewable fuel until that
    fuel is purchased by an obligated party or blended into fossil fuels to be used for
    transportation fuel. At that point, the RINs become “separated,” meaning they are, in
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    effect, a form of compliance credit. A RIN may be used to demonstrate compliance
    during the calendar year it was generated, or the following calendar year, and thereafter is
    considered expired and cannot be used for compliance purposes. Id. §§ 80.1427(a)(6),
    80.1428(c), 80.1431(a).
    Each year, obligated parties must generate or purchase enough RINs to meet their
    renewable fuel obligations—which they then satisfy by “retir[ing]” RINs in an annual
    compliance demonstration to the EPA. Id. § 80.1427(a). This system gives obligated
    parties flexibility in demonstrating compliance by allowing them to generate RINs in
    several manners: producing renewable fuel on their own for use in the United States,
    purchasing and blending renewable fuels themselves, or purchasing RINs reflecting
    renewable fuel volumes blended by other entities. 72 Fed. Reg. at 23,900, 23,942
    (May 1, 2007).
    Obligated parties who have more RINs than they need may sell or trade their
    excess or they may “bank” those RINs for use to meet up to twenty percent of their
    obligations for the following compliance year. See 
    42 U.S.C. § 7545
    (o)(5)(B); 
    40 C.F.R. §§ 80.1425
    –29; 80 Fed. Reg. at 77,485 (Dec. 14, 2015). This system is predicated on the
    premise of empowering the renewable fuel market to operate “according to natural
    market forces,” allowing obligated parties a means to comply with the standards in the
    most economically efficient way by avoiding, if they wish, expenditures on infrastructure
    or changes in blending practices. See 72 Fed. Reg. at 23,904, 23,908, 23,930, 23,933
    (May 1, 2007).
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    3. The Temporary Exemption for Small Refineries
    Congress was aware the RFS Program might disproportionately impact small
    refineries because of the inherent scale advantages of large refineries and therefore
    temporarily exempted small refineries from RFS compliance until 2011.1 
    42 U.S.C. § 7545
    (o)(9)(A)(i). After a congressionally directed study by the Department of Energy
    (“DOE”) determined that a number of small refineries would suffer “disproportionate
    economic hardship” if they were required to comply with RFS, Congress extended the
    blanket exemption for two more years. See 
    id.
     § 7545(o)(9)(A)(ii). Thereafter, Congress
    provided a process for small refineries to petition the EPA “at any time” for an extension
    of the initial exemption “for the reason of disproportionate economic hardship.” Id.
    § 7545(o)(9)(B)(i).
    B. Factual Background
    1. Initial EPA Proceedings
    Sinclair Casper Refining Company, Sinclair Wyoming Refining Company
    (collectively “Sinclair”), and HollyFrontier Cheyenne Refining, LLC (“HollyFrontier”)
    are small refineries under 
    42 U.S.C. § 7545
    (o)(1)(K). Faced with various adverse
    economic conditions, each of these small refineries sought hardship exemptions. The
    EPA initially denied these refineries hardship exemptions under the RFS for the 2014 and
    2015 compliance years.
    1
    Small refineries—those with an average annual output of 75,000 barrels per day
    of crude oil or less—may face greater difficulty complying with the Program than other
    obligated parties. See 
    42 U.S.C. § 7545
    (o)(1)(K).
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    2. Sinclair and the EPA Decision on Remand
    HollyFrontier and Sinclair then petitioned this court for review of the EPA’s
    denials of their respective petitions. In Sinclair Wyo. Ref. Co. v. EPA, we held that the
    EPA—in the context of denying Sinclair’s petitions—interpreted “disproportionate
    economic hardship” too stringently by requiring refineries to demonstrate an existential
    threat to their viability. 
    887 F.3d 986
    , 999 (10th Cir. 2017). As a result, we granted
    Sinclair’s petition for review, vacated the EPA’s 2014 decisions for Sinclair’s two
    Wyoming refineries, and remanded for further proceedings. Because the EPA denied
    Sinclair’s and HollyFrontier’s 2015 petitions for a small refinery exemption on the same
    basis, we also granted EPA’s voluntary request for remand and vacatur of those petitions.
    On remand from this court, the EPA concluded that Sinclair and HollyFrontier
    were now entitled to small refinery exemptions. The EPA then turned to the appropriate
    remedy. During this lengthy administrative and judicial process, the facilities
    accumulated sufficient RINs to meet their respective 2014 and/or 2015 obligations. But
    by the time of this second agency decision, the RINs expired and were now “worthless.”
    App’x Vol. III at 908. The EPA explained it used its “discretion to find another way to
    give meaningful value to those RINs.” 
    Id.
     It chose to “replicat[e] as closely as possible
    the situation that would have existed” had the exemptions been issued before Sinclair.
    
    Id.
     Therefore, the EPA decided to “un-retire” the RINs these refineries used for their
    2014 and 2015 compliance and return them to each refinery. 
    Id.
     It did so by exchanging
    each refinery’s expired RINs on a one-for-one basis with trackable 2018 RINs. The
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    EPA’s remedy allowed each small refinery to replace expired RINs previously used for
    RFS compliance with the same number of unexpired RINs.
    3. D.C. Circuit Proceeding
    Producers of Renewables is a group consisting of companies that own and operate
    facilities that produce biomass-based diesel or ethanol and participate in the Program.
    Pet’r Br. at 17. As relevant here, it petitioned the D.C. Circuit to review these individual
    exemption remedies, arguing that the EPA improperly took this action without notice and
    comment and that it was not authorized to implement this remedy on remand from
    Sinclair.
    The D.C. Circuit ruled that review of the EPA’s decisions was locally
    applicable—as each one affected a small refinery in Wyoming. Producers of Renewables
    United for Integrity Truth and Transparency v. EPA, 778 F. App’x 1 (D.C. Cir. 2019)
    (unpublished). Because venue in the D.C. Circuit was only appropriate if the final action
    taken by the EPA was “nationally applicable,” or if the EPA published a finding that an
    otherwise local action is “based on a determination of nationwide scope or effect,”
    
    42 U.S.C. § 7607
    (b)(1), the D.C. Circuit transferred that portion of the proceeding to our
    court.
    II. ANALYSIS
    On appeal, Producers of Renewables renews its challenge to: (1) the EPA’s
    process in formulating these specific individual exemption remedies and (2) its authority
    to issue replacement RINs. Before proceeding to the merits of Producers of Renewables’
    challenge, we must find that this case satisfies the jurisdictional requirements of
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    Article III of the Constitution. The Constitution limits the “judicial Power of the United
    States” to “Cases” or “Controversies,” U.S. Const. art. III, §§ 1–2, and the requirements
    of standing are “rooted in the traditional understanding of a case or controversy,” Spokeo,
    Inc. v. Robins, 
    578 U.S. 330
    , 338 (2016). “To state a case or controversy under
    Article III, a plaintiff must establish standing.” Ariz. Christian Sch. Tuition Org. v. Winn,
    
    563 U.S. 125
    , 133 (2011) (citation omitted).
    We recognize that Intervenors have not challenged the standing of Producers of
    Renewables to raise their claims. Nevertheless, we have an independent obligation to
    verify that Producers of Renewables has Article III standing to bring its claims before
    proceeding further. See New England Health Care Emps. Pension Fund v. Woodruff,
    
    512 F.3d 1283
    , 1288 (10th Cir. 2008) (“It is well established that any party, including the
    court sua sponte, can raise the issue of standing for the first time at any stage of the
    litigation, including on appeal.”); see also Valenzuela v. Silversmith, 
    699 F.3d 1199
    ,
    1204–05 (10th Cir. 2012) (explaining that federal courts cannot “assume they have
    subject matter jurisdiction for the purpose of deciding claims on the merits”). Whether a
    plaintiff has Article III standing is a question we review de novo. S. Utah Wilderness All.
    v. Palma, 
    707 F.3d 1143
    , 1152 (10th Cir. 2013) (citation omitted).
    When, as here, an organization or association sues on behalf of its members,2 the
    organization has standing if:
    2
    Producers of Renewables includes biomass-based diesel producers that
    participate in the RFS Program. These companies generate and/or hold RINs. To the
    best of our understanding, there is only one specific member company (“Member”)
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    (a) [I]ts members would otherwise have standing to sue in their own right; (b) the
    interests it seeks to protect are germane to the organization’s purpose; and
    (c) neither the claim asserted nor the relief requested requires the participation of
    individual members in the lawsuit.
    Dine Citizens Against Ruining Our Environment v. Bernhardt, 
    923 F.3d 831
    , 840 (10th
    Cir. 2019) (quoting Hunt v. Wash. State Apple Advert. Comm’n, 
    432 U.S. 333
    , 343
    (1977)).
    The EPA and the Intervenors do not argue, nor do we have any reason to believe,
    that Producers of Renewables fails to satisfy the latter two requirements. The issue
    before us, then, is whether at least one member of Producers of Renewables has standing
    under Article III. In order to show its members would otherwise “have standing to sue in
    their own right,” 
    id.,
     an organization must demonstrate that: (1) at least one of its
    members “has suffered an ‘injury in fact’ that is (a) concrete and particularized and
    (b) actual or imminent, not conjectural or hypothetical; (2) the injury is fairly traceable to
    the challenged action of the defendant; and (3) it is likely, as opposed to merely
    speculative, that the injury will be redressed by a favorable decision.” Friends of the
    Earth, Inc. v. Laidlaw Envtl. Servs. (TOC), Inc., 
    528 U.S. 167
    , 180–81 (2000) (citation
    omitted). “We refer to these three familiar requirements as injury in fact, causation, and
    identified in this association. Other than this one company, Producers of Renewables has
    failed to identify a comprehensive list of its members. Ordinarily, a prerequisite for
    organizations alleging associational standing is to identify their affected members. See
    Summers v. Earth Island Inst., 
    555 U.S. 488
    , 497–99 (2009). But that omission is not
    fatal here, because Producers of Renewables purports to represent only biomass-based
    diesel producers and apparently represents no other interests. When “all the members of
    the organization are affected by the challenged activity,” there is no need to identify
    injured members. 
    Id. at 499
     (citation omitted).
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    redressability.” Habecker v. Town of Estes Park, 
    518 F.3d 1217
    , 1224 (10th Cir. 2008)
    (citation omitted).
    “The party invoking federal jurisdiction bears the burden of establishing”
    standing. Lujan v. Defenders of Wildlife, 
    504 U.S. 555
    , 561 (1992). The elements of
    standing “must be supported in the same way as any other matter on which the plaintiff
    bears the burden of proof, i.e., with the manner and degree of evidence required at the
    successive stages of the litigation.” 
    Id.
     When, as here, we entertain a direct appeal from
    an administrative decision, the petitioner “must produce evidence on each element of
    standing as if it were moving for summary judgment in district court.” N. Laramie Range
    Alliance v. FERC, 
    733 F.3d 1030
    , 1034 (10th Cir. 2013). If the opposing party contests
    these facts, the petitioner will “not enjoy the benefit of any inference” and must meet its
    burden of persuasion under a preponderance-of-the-evidence standard. 
    Id.
     (internal
    quotation marks and citation omitted). This standard requires the movant “to support its
    position with the greater weight of the evidence.” Nutraceutical Corp. v. Von
    Eschenbach, 
    459 F.3d 1033
    , 1040 (10th Cir. 2006) (citation omitted).
    Finally, we note the Supreme Court has counseled that “when the plaintiff is not
    himself the object of the government action or inaction he challenges, standing is not
    precluded, but it is ordinarily ‘substantially more difficult’ to establish.” Lujan, 
    504 U.S. at 562
     (citations omitted). Setting aside the first requirement of standing, we find that
    Producers of Renewables has not made the requisite demonstration of either the causation
    or redressability element of standing.
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    A. Causation
    To properly establish causation, the injury “must be ‘fairly traceable’ to the
    challenged action.” Allen v. Wright, 
    468 U.S. 737
    , 751 (1984) (citation omitted),
    abrogated in part on other grounds by Lexmark Int’l, Inc. v. Static Control Components,
    Inc., 
    572 U.S. 118
     (2014). That is, the plaintiff must show there is a “substantial
    likelihood,” Nova Health Sys. v. Gandy, 
    416 F.3d 1149
    , 1156 (10th Cir. 2005), that the
    injury is “fairly traceable to the challenged action of the defendant and not the result of
    the independent action of some third party.” Habecker, 
    518 F.3d at 1224
    .
    Producers of Renewables argues the challenged agency actions “have reduced the
    need to purchase physical gallons of biofuel to meet the RFS” and “reduced RIN prices.”
    Pet’r Br. at 18. Consequently, it broadly contends its members “have lost sales, lost
    value for their product under previously entered contracts, lost customers, and, in some
    cases, have had to strand investments, as a result of EPA’s actions and lost demand.” 
    Id.
    The organization also relies on a sealed declaration from the Director of Sales and
    Marketing for a member of Producers of Renewables (“Member”),3 to bolster its
    argument for standing. Member explains that “a series of press reports revealed the
    apparent expansion of the small refinery exemptions under the Renewable Fuel Standard
    program by EPA” to include “exemptions to refineries owned and operated by
    HollyFrontier Corporation and Sinclair Oil Corporation.” Supp. App’x at 4-5. And
    Member attributes a “drop in RIN prices” and “volatility of the RIN market” in part to
    3
    At the request of Producers of Renewables, we keep the association’s membership list
    confidential, and refer to the relevant company only as Member throughout this order.
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    news of the “EPA’s actions related to the small refinery exemption[s] . . . com[ing] to
    light.” Id. at 7.
    As Member tells it, “[g]ranting small refinery exemptions after EPA sets the
    standards for the coming year is perceived as allowing RINs to reenter the market.” Id.
    at 8. This awareness, in turn, “[t]ypically. . . results in a decrease in [RIN] prices,” id.,
    because approving small refinery exemptions in this manner reduces the required
    renewable volume obligations “and, thereby, reduces demand under the Renewable Fuel
    Standard program.” Id. at 10. To support these claims, Member notes that “EPA has
    indicated that it granted 19 small refinery exemptions for compliance year 2016 and
    29 small refinery exemptions for compliance year 2017.” Id. at 11. And these “small
    refinery exemptions have reduced the volume requirements for 2016 by 790 million
    gallons and for 2017 by 1.46 billion gallons.” Id. at 10. To demonstrate its concrete
    injury, Member described how “[p]rior to April 2018, D4 RINs were around $0.75. On
    October 18, 2018, D4 RIN values [were] reported at $0.31.”4 Id. at 9. Finally, seeking to
    tie the EPA’s actions challenged in this appeal to its alleged injury, Member offers one
    news article. See id. at 9 n.10. This article purports to demonstrate that the EPA’s
    decisions concerning Sinclair and HollyFrontier have “lowered RIN prices and created
    volatility in the RIN market.” Id. at 09.
    Producers of Renewables also provides a declaration from Collin Cain, an expert
    in the energy industry, to bolster its claim for standing. His report largely echoes many
    4
    One gallon of biodiesel that qualifies as biomass-based diesel under the
    Renewable Fuel Standard program generates 1.5 D4 RINs. See Supp. App’x at 9.
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    of the concerns raised by Member. He argues that “the sharp increase in [small refinery]
    exemptions provided by EPA has caused significant decreases in the renewable fuel
    volume obligations that EPA had set in advance of each compliance year.” Pet’r Br.
    Addendum, Cain Decl. ¶ 16. This results in a drop in RIN prices—“reflecting both the
    reduction in obligation volumes, and also the uncertainty caused by EPA’s complete lack
    of transparency [in granting these exemptions].” Id. ¶ 26. As evidence of this causal
    relationship, Cain includes reference to a series of articles which he claims depict how
    news of small refinery exemptions impacts RIN prices. See id. ¶¶ 27–28.
    We hold that Producers of Renewables has failed to show the required causal
    connection between its alleged injury and the challenged actions of the EPA. Because
    the organization must produce evidence on each element of standing “as if it were
    moving for summary judgment in district court,” N. Laramie, 733 F.3d at 1034,
    Producers of Renewables cannot establish causation “with conclusory allegations of an
    affidavit,” Lujan v. Nat’l Wildlife Fed’n, 
    497 U.S. 871
    , 888 (1990).
    Producers of Renewables asserts the EPA’s granting of nationwide small refinery
    exemptions has caused volatility in the market and devalued RINs. See, e.g., Supp.
    App’x at 7. Perhaps so, but it is an altogether separate notion to establish that there is a
    “substantial likelihood,” Nova Health Sys., 
    416 F.3d at 1156
    , that its injury is fairly
    traceable to the EPA’s individualized decisions to offer replacement RINs for three small
    refineries in Wyoming. Here, we find that Producers of Renewables has not adequately
    explained how falling RIN prices or market volatility was caused by the EPA’s decision
    to unretire RINs for HollyFrontier and Sinclair.
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    In Member’s declaration, for example, we find one attempt to directly tie the
    challenged actions in this appeal to its alleged injury. Member cites to a June 1, 2018,
    article from the Environmental and Energy Study Institute (“EESI”) to support its
    argument that “[r]eports of EPA . . . allowing HollyFrontier and Sinclair to generate 2018
    RINs as a result of reversing previously denied exemption requests. . . lowered RIN
    prices and created volatility in the RIN market.” Supp. App’x at 8–9. But the article
    does not focus on the EPA’s decisions that are contested in this appeal. While it briefly
    references HollyFrontier and Sinclair, the article goes on to state that “[u]nder a
    previously little-used authority, EPA had already taken steps to grant small refinery
    exemptions to approximately two dozen petroleum refiners, relinquishing them of their
    duty to either blend biofuels or buy compliance credits under the Renewable Fuel
    Standard.” 
    Id.
     at 9 n.10. From there, the EESI argues, “[t]he net effect of the waivers
    and continued uncertainty has been a tumble in RIN prices.” 
    Id.
     The EESI’s core
    concern is the fact that “the Trump Administration has been awarding [hardship waivers]
    to refiners of all sizes, including refining giants.” 
    Id.
    Further, this article, which reported on the breaking news of the EPA’s decision to
    issue replacement RINs for HollyFrontier and Sinclair, was published on June 1, 2018.
    According to Member, news of this decision negatively affected it—by causing RIN
    prices to drop and introducing volatility into the RIN market. See, e.g., Supp. App’x at 7.
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    But RIN prices were steadily falling prior to this announcement.5 Dating back as early as
    January 2018, RIN prices were in decline. In fact, the price of the D4 RIN, specifically
    highlighted by Member as evidence of its alleged injury, id. at 9, actually increased after
    news of the EPA’s challenged decision in this appeal went public. On May 28, 2018, the
    price of a D4 RIN was $0.56. By June 4, 2018, the price of a D4 RIN was $0.85.
    Cain fares no better in his attempt to link the EPA’s decision to issue replacement
    RINs for three small refineries in Wyoming to the alleged injuries suffered by Producers
    of Renewables’ members. Throughout his declaration, he repeatedly criticizes the EPA’s
    overarching decision to increase the number of small refinery exemptions it grants each
    year. See Pet’r Br. Addendum, Cain Decl. ¶ 23 (“EPA’s abrupt expansion of small
    refinery exemptions, granted after the renewable fuel volumes had been set, and in some,
    if not all, cases after the compliance period had ended, has reduced the renewable fuel
    obligations that biofuel producers had relied upon to plan and invest.”); see also ¶¶ 16,
    26, 31–34.
    His inclusion of Figure 3, id. ¶ 30, cuts against a claim for standing. It visually
    portrays falling RIN prices imposed over various events related to news of small refinery
    5
    See RIN Trades and Price Information, UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL
    PROTECTION AGENCY, https://www.epa.gov/fuels-registration-reporting-and-compliance-
    help/rin-trades-and-price-information (last updated Jan. 10, 2021). “It is not uncommon
    for courts to take judicial notice of factual information found on the world wide web.”
    O’Toole v. Northrop Grumman Corp., 
    499 F.3d 1218
    , 1225 (10th Cir. 2007); see also,
    e.g., Schaffer v. Clinton, 
    240 F.3d 878
    , 885 n.8 (10th Cir. 2001) (taking judicial notice of
    information found on an online political almanac); see also City of Monroe Emps. Ret.
    Sys. v. Bridgestone Corp., 
    399 F.3d 651
    , 655 n.1 (6th Cir. 2005) (taking judicial notice of
    a term defined on the website of the National Association of Securities Dealers, Inc.).
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    exemptions. Yet four out of the five depicted events deal with the EPA’s decision to
    increasingly grant nationwide small refinery exemptions—not the agency’s decision to
    unretire RINs. The first article, from January 25, 2018, “reported that EPA was
    reviewing 27 applications from small refineries to waive their RFS obligations.” Id. ¶ 27.
    And the April 2018 article was an “exclusive” report from Reuters that the EPA granted
    small refinery exemptions “to three small refineries owned by Andeavor, one of the
    largest U.S. refining companies.” Id. ¶ 28. Neither article concerned the issue at stake in
    this appeal. Indeed, Cain writes: “[t]he sustained fall in RIN prices and increased price
    volatility, caused by the progressive revelations of EPA’s actions on small refinery
    exemptions, and particularly the fact that EPA has been granting exemptions
    retroactively, represent substantial disruptions to the biofuel industry.” Id. ¶ 31.
    The common thread between the declarations of Member and Cain is a fixation on
    the EPA’s “sharp increase in granted [small refinery] exemptions” across the country. Id.
    ¶ 24. In so doing, we agree with the refineries that Producers of Renewables “fails to
    identify any basis for attributing market-wide fluctuations in RIN prices to the limited
    number of replacement RINs EPA issued to Sinclair and HollyFrontier.” Intervenor Br.
    at 14. Producers of Renewables does not delineate between the EPA’s decision to grant
    an increasing number of small refinery exemptions over the past several years—an issue
    not challenged in this appeal6—from the agency’s decision to issue replacement RINs to
    HollyFrontier and Sinclair. The failure to do so proves fatal to its ability to demonstrate
    6
    “Petitioner has not challenged the exemptions themselves.” Respondent Br. at 9.
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    there is a “substantial likelihood,” Nova Health Sys., 
    416 F.3d at 1156
    , that its injuries are
    fairly traceable to the EPA’s individualized decisions to unretire RINs for three small
    refineries in Wyoming.
    What is more, Producers of Renewables fails to contend with other potential
    causes of its alleged injuries. As the refineries point out, “[s]upply and demand for
    transportation fuels, renewable fuel, and RINs can be influenced by a host of factors,
    such as trade policies, consumer demand, and overall renewable fuel production.”
    Intervenor Br. at 16 (citation omitted); see also App’x Vol. II at 772 (discussing
    economic fundamentals such as “weather, driving demand, oil prices, [and] geopolitical
    factors” as influencers of RIN pricing). Indeed, its own brief betrays its position. See
    Pet’r Br. at 15 n.22 (“RIN prices were ‘relatively calm’ in 2015 and 2016, but, ‘with the
    administrative change,’ there was ‘policy uncertainty-driven price behavior.’” (citation
    omitted)).
    “Although the traceability of a plaintiff’s harm to the defendant’s actions need not
    rise to the level of proximate causation, Article III does require proof of a substantial
    likelihood that the defendant’s conduct caused plaintiff’s injury in fact.” Habecker, 
    518 F.3d at 1225
     (internal quotation marks and citation omitted). If “speculative inferences
    are necessary” to connect the alleged injury “to the challenged action, this burden has not
    been met.” 
    Id.
     (internal quotation marks and citations omitted). And even though “harm
    to a third party” resulting from a government policy imposed on a separate entity does
    not necessarily defeat standing, “it may make it substantially more difficult . . . to
    17
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    establish that, in fact, the asserted injury was the consequence of the defendants’ actions.”
    Warth v. Seldin, 
    422 U.S. 490
    , 505 (1975).
    The final element in our consideration is not that agency action merely negatively
    impacted a prospective litigant, but that the harm suffered by the party was a direct result
    of an “agency’s alleged failure to follow the [law].” Comm. to Save the Rio Hondo v.
    Lucero, 
    102 F.3d 445
    , 451–452 (10th Cir. 1996). Consistent with our logic in Committee
    to Save the Rio Hondo, our sister circuit has held that “[t]he issue in the causation inquiry
    is whether the alleged injury can be traced to the defendant’s challenged conduct, rather
    than to that of some other actor not before the court.” Ecological Rights Found. v.
    Pacific Lumber, 
    230 F.3d 1141
    , 1151 (9th Cir. 2000) (citing Lujan v. Defenders of
    Wildlife, 
    504 U.S. 555
     (1992)). Here, we do have an allegation of agency lawbreaking,
    but there is no nexus between the law breaking and the harm incurred. The harm, as
    argued by Producers of Renewables, was the volatility and unpredictability of the
    markets. This volatility, such as it was, was not the result of the unlawful conduct that
    Plaintiff alleges, but rather the result of permissible conduct. Conversely, the law
    breaking alleged, the replacement RINs, were not persuasively shown to have harmed the
    Plaintiff.
    Given Plaintiff’s inability to meet the burden prescribed by Committee to Save the
    Rio Hondo and the burden of persuasion in Warth, we find the asserted injury cannot be
    said to be fairly traceable to the challenged agency action.
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    B. Redressability
    “To demonstrate redressability, a party must show that a favorable court judgment
    is likely to relieve the party’s injury.” WildEarth Guardians v. Pub. Serv. Co. of Colo.,
    
    690 F.3d 1174
    , 1182 (10th Cir. 2012) (internal quotation marks and citation omitted).
    Although causation and redressability are closely related, Nova Health Sys., 
    416 F.3d at 1159
    , the twin requirements remain distinct and must be separately met, N. Laramie,
    733 F.3d at 1034–39. “A showing that the relief requested might redress the plaintiff’s
    injuries is generally insufficient to satisfy the redressability requirement.” WildEarth
    Guardians, 690 F.3d at 1182 (citation omitted).
    We hold Producers of Renewables has failed to show that a judgment against the
    EPA in this action would likely redress its alleged injuries. The record does not support a
    finding that a judgment instructing the EPA to claw back the replacement RINs issued to
    HollyFrontier and Sinclair would relieve its injuries. As noted above, Producers of
    Renewables repeatedly asserts that the EPA’s decision to increasingly grant small
    refinery exemptions across the nation caused volatility in the market and a subsequent
    drop in RIN prices. For that reason, we do not see how a decision reversing the EPA’s
    chosen remedy for three small refineries recoups lost demand for its biofuel or halts
    falling RIN prices.
    Most significantly, a judgment in Producers of Renewables’ favor would do
    nothing to stem the volume of small refinery exemptions granted by the EPA. In
    reaching this conclusion, we emphasize that Producers of Renewables “does not
    challenge the validity of the exemptions themselves.” Respondent Supp. Br. at 1. It only
    19
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    contests the appropriate remedy for these three small refineries in this unique context.7
    Accordingly, Producers of Renewables has not established that its requested relief “is
    likely to relieve the party’s injury.” WildEarth Guardians, 690 F.3d at 1182 (citation
    omitted).
    We also observe that it is uncertain what remedy the EPA would fashion on a
    potential remand. “Courts have been loath to find standing when redress depends largely
    on policy decisions yet to be made by government officials.” US Ecology, Inc. v. U.S.
    Dept. of Interior, 
    231 F.3d 20
    , 24 (D.C. Cir. 2000). That is because redressability in this
    case “depends on the unfettered choices made by [government] actors . . . whose exercise
    of broad and legitimate discretion the courts cannot presume either to control or to
    predict.” ASARCO Inc. v. Kadish, 
    490 U.S. 605
    , 615 (1989).
    Further, even if the EPA were to “offset the refinery’s future obligations,” Pet’r
    Br. at 30 n.31, as Producers of Renewables suggests, this would reduce the renewable
    fuel volume obligations for an upcoming year. In turn, there would likely be an increase
    in the available RINs for that upcoming year, thereby minimizing “the need for
    production of biodiesel gallons and reducing the price for current production.” Supp.
    App’x at 11. Consequently, this proposed remedy would likely have little to no impact
    on rectifying the alleged injuries. And as the refineries note, this recommendation is not
    practical. “It overlooks the very real possibility that, in the next compliance year, the
    7
    EPA’s counsel stated at oral argument this is “the only time [the replacement of
    RINs after they have expired] has ever happened. . . . It’s not happened before or since,. .
    . only in these five cases.” Oral Arg. at 29:26–29:39, No. 18-1202 (D.C. Cir. May 7,
    2019).
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    refinery would merit an exemption from future obligations. Offsetting future obligations
    in lieu of making the refineries whole would only serve to deny them a remedy in a
    different year.” Intervenor Supp. Br. at 12 n.4.
    At bottom, the Supreme Court has stated that “[p]etitioners must allege facts from
    which it reasonably could be inferred that . . . if the court affords the relief requested, the
    [injury] will be removed.” Warth, 
    422 U.S. at 504
    . But Producers of Renewables offers
    no reason to believe that a decision requiring the EPA to reclaim the replacement RINs
    issued to HollyFrontier and Sinclair would “be substantially likely to redress,” Nova
    Health Sys., 
    416 F.3d at 1160
    , its alleged injuries. Instead, it is likely that any potential
    remedy would result in a dilution in the value of the RINs that Producers of Renewables’
    members generate.
    C. Procedural Standing
    We next turn to the fact that Producers of Renewables alleges, at least in part, a
    procedural injury due to the EPA’s failure to hold notice and comment rulemaking. An
    alleged procedural injury is subject to a “somewhat relaxed, or at least conceptually
    expanded,” standard of standing. See WildEarth Guardians v. EPA, 
    759 F.3d 1196
    , 1205
    (10th Cir. 2014). For example, a plaintiff need only show that its alleged injury “could
    be redressed by requiring the agency to make a more informed decision.” 
    Id.
     Here,
    however, these more relaxed standards of standing do not help Producers of Renewables.
    That is because, as set forth above, Producers of Renewables cannot show that the EPA
    could do anything to redress their alleged injury, under any set of circumstances. In this
    case, we need not consider whether Producers of Renewables’ alleged injury could be
    21
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    redressed by notice and comment rulemaking, as it cannot be. We accordingly conclude
    that, to the extent that Producers of Renewables relies on procedural standing to establish
    standing, the attempt fails.
    D. Supplemental Briefing
    After oral argument, Producers of Renewables filed a notice of supplemental
    authority under Fed. R. App. P. 28(j) to highlight our court’s decision in Renewable Fuels
    Association v. EPA, 
    948 F.3d 1206
     (10th Cir. 2020). Of note, Producers of Renewables
    contends that in Renewable Fuels we rejected arguments similar to ones raised by the
    refineries in this case, which contested the petitioners’ standing to sue.
    For two reasons, we find that Renewable Fuels has no bearing on our obligation to
    ensure that Producers of Renewables “had Article III standing at the outset of [this]
    litigation.” Friends of the Earth, 
    528 U.S. at 180
    . First, the petitioners in Renewable
    Fuels—four organizations that make up the Biofuels Coalition—challenged an agency
    decision distinct from what is at stake in this appeal. There, the petitioners argued the
    EPA exceeded its statutory authority in granting extensions of several small refinery
    exemptions.
    We are confronted with a different issue. Unlike the petitioners in Renewable
    Fuels, Producers of Renewables does not challenge the validity of the EPA’s decision to
    grant HollyFrontier and Sinclair hardship exemptions. But in Renewable Fuels, the
    Biofuels Coalition argued the EPA improperly conducted its “disproportionate economic
    hardship” evaluation for certain small refineries. 948 F.3d at 1252. In so doing, the
    Biofuels Coalition claimed the EPA should never have granted these hardship
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    exemptions in the first place. That is not contested in this case. In order to effectuate the
    hardship exemptions to ensure it provided relief to HollyFrontier and Sinclair, the EPA
    granted the small refineries replacement compliance credits. As such, Producers of
    Renewables only challenges the decisions to grant replacement RINs—not the underlying
    small refinery exemptions.
    These differences have implications for our standing analysis. For example, in
    Renewable Fuels, we vacated the EPA’s grant of three small refinery extension petitions.
    But in this case, a remand would only reverse the chosen remedy—not the hardship
    exemptions. Therefore, the EPA would still need to fashion another solution so that the
    exemptions offer the refineries meaningful relief. It is this case-specific reason that
    influences our conclusion that a judgment against the EPA would not be substantially
    likely to redress Producers of Renewables’ alleged injuries.
    Second, the petitioners in Renewable Fuels met their burden of persuasion to
    prove their standing to bring suit. They detailed before our court their injury. And unlike
    Producers of Renewables, the Biofuels Coalition delineated how the challenged small
    refinery exemptions caused their injuries. Toward that end, one of the petitioners’
    economists “identifie[d], as a percentage [of total renewable fuel obligations for the
    refineries in question], what the [contested] extensions granted to the Refineries
    represent[ed] in terms of all exempted volumes.” Id. at 1232. He also provided specific
    calculations for estimated revenue reductions for some of the petitioners’ members “due
    to the Refineries’ extensions.” Id. at 1232–33. The economist even “attest[ed] that
    ethanol prices would have been $0.08 per gallon higher in February 2018 absent these
    23
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    extensions.” Id. at 1233. In contrast, Producers of Renewables provides no more than a
    broad, macro analysis of the RIN market.
    III. CONCLUSION
    Producers of Renewables lacks Article III standing. Accordingly, we DISMISS the
    petition for review.
    Entered for the Court
    Allison H. Eid
    Circuit Judge
    24