United States v. Soto-Arreola ( 2012 )


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  •                                                                            FILED
    United States Court of Appeals
    Tenth Circuit
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS                 July 12, 2012
    TENTH CIRCUIT                   Elisabeth A. Shumaker
    Clerk of Court
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,
    Plaintiff-Appellee,
    No. 11-3348
    (D.C. No. 2:11-CR-20051-KHV-1)
    v.
    (D. Kan.)
    RIGOBERTO SOTO-ARREOLA,
    Defendant-Appellant.
    ORDER AND JUDGMENT*
    Before BRISCOE, Chief Judge, McKAY and HOLMES, Circuit Judges.
    In 2011, Rigoberto Soto-Arreola pleaded guilty to one count of illegal reentry after
    deportation subsequent to an aggravated felony conviction, in violation of 
    8 U.S.C. § 1326
    (a), (b). Although the government recommended a sentence of seventy to eighty-
    seven months—the advisory range under the United States Sentencing Guidelines
    (“U.S.S.G.”)—the district court varied upward and imposed a sentence of 120 months.
    On appeal, Mr. Soto-Arreola contests the procedural reasonableness of his sentence,
    *
    After examining appellant’s brief and the appellate record, this panel has
    determined unanimously that oral argument would not materially assist the determination
    of this appeal. See Fed. R. App. P. 34(a)(2) and 10th Cir. R. 34.1(G). This order and
    judgment is not binding precedent except under the doctrines of law of the case, res
    judicata and collateral estoppel. It may be cited, however, for its persuasive value
    consistent with Fed. R. App. P. 32.1 and 10th Cir. R. 32.1.
    arguing that the district court’s upward variance was impermissibly based upon
    unadorned reports of prior arrests that were referenced in his presentence report (“PSR”).
    Due to Mr. Soto-Arreola’s failure to preserve this objection, we apply the plain-error
    standard; under it, we affirm.
    I
    A
    Although Mr. Soto-Arreola is now in his mid-twenties, his brushes with the law
    began much earlier. According to his PSR, he was the subject of eight separate juvenile
    adjudications in Kansas state and municipal courts. See R., Vol. 3, at 7–9 (Presentence
    Investigation Report, filed Nov. 4, 2011). At age fourteen, he was charged with
    interference with city officers and driving without a license and was assessed monetary
    fines. At fifteen, he was found guilty of criminal damage to property and theft and was
    placed on twelve months’ probation for each offense. He was also fined for several
    traffic violations. At sixteen, he was charged with criminal damage to property and
    placed on Juvenile Intensive Supervised Probation for twenty-four months. At seventeen,
    he was fined for numerous traffic violations and also received an unknown sentence for a
    charge of disorderly conduct.
    When Mr. Soto-Arreola turned eighteen, his criminal behavior continued and
    intensified. According to the PSR, he was twice cited for transporting an open container
    of alcohol, once while a passenger in a stolen vehicle. He was also convicted of
    possession of methamphetamine and obstructing the legal process. For the former
    -2-
    offense, he was sentenced to fifteen months’ imprisonment; for the latter, eight months’
    imprisonment followed by twelve months of supervised release. The two sentences were
    set to run concurrently, though Mr. Soto-Arreola was granted eighteen months’ probation
    for each offense. He failed to report for bond supervision, however. Consequently, his
    probation was revoked, and he was ordered to serve his original sentences.
    At age twenty, Mr. Soto-Arreola was convicted of aggravated battery for shooting
    an individual in the arm. Although sentenced to twelve months’ imprisonment, he was
    paroled to a detainer in August 2010, charged by United States Immigration and Customs
    Enforcement with entry without inspection, and deported to Mexico in September 2010.
    He returned to the United States without authorization sometime thereafter. In March
    2011, at age twenty-three, he pleaded no contest in state court to a charge of obstructing
    the legal process and received a deferred sentence.
    In July 2011, Mr. Soto-Arreola was arrested by federal authorities and charged
    with illegal reentry after deportation subsequent to an aggravated felony conviction, in
    violation of 
    8 U.S.C. § 1326
    (a), (b). He entered a guilty plea, and in anticipation of
    sentencing, the PSR was prepared. The PSR assigned Mr. Soto-Arreola a total offense
    level of twenty-one.1 Only four of his adult criminal convictions (and none of his
    juvenile offenses) garnered criminal history points, which totaled eight. Two criminal
    1
    This consisted of a base offense level of eight under U.S.S.G. § 2L1.2, plus
    a sixteen-level enhancement under § 2L1.2 because his prior aggravated-battery
    conviction qualified as a crime of violence, minus three levels for acceptance of
    responsibility under § 3E1.1.
    -3-
    history points were added because he illegally reentered the United States while still on
    parole for his aggravated-battery conviction. He was assigned a criminal history category
    of V, yielding an advisory Guidelines range of seventy to eighty-seven months.
    Pages twelve and thirteen (paragraphs forty-one through forty-seven) of the PSR
    also noted seven other arrests of Mr. Soto-Arreola throughout his life. We call this
    portion of the PSR the “other-arrests section.” There were two arrests at age thirteen for
    theft and criminal damage; one at age fourteen for possession of crack cocaine; one at age
    seventeen for reckless driving; one at age eighteen for burglary; and one at age twenty-
    three for discharge of a firearm into an occupied dwelling and for felony obstruction. The
    notations in the PSR concerning the first three offenses briefly detailed the circumstances
    surrounding them.2 By contrast, the notations for the latter three offenses were
    2
    For the charge of theft, the PSR stated that “[a]ccording to a Kansas
    Standard Arrest Report, the defendant stuffed a pair of Southpole jeans down his pants
    and walked out the east doors of J.C. Penney without paying for them. The defendant
    was not arrested in this matter, he was issued a summons to appear in Court.” R., Vol. 3,
    at 14. The PSR concluded, “No further information has been provided to the U.S.
    Probation Office regarding this matter,” and noted the disposition of the case as
    “Unknown.” Id.
    For the charge of criminal damage, the PSR stated that “[a]ccording to an Offense
    Report provided by the Topeka Police Department,” Mr. Soto-Arreola was caught
    “shooting a BB gun at [a victim’s] vehicle.” Id. Officers contacted Mr. Soto-Arreola’s
    father, who turned over the gun and asked that it be destroyed. The PSR concluded that
    “[t]he victim decided she did not want to pursue charges,” and noted the disposition of the
    case as “Not prosecuted.” Id.
    For the charge of possession of crack cocaine, the PSR stated that “[a]ccording to a
    Kansas Standard Arrest Report provided by the Topeka, Kansas Police Department,” Mr.
    Soto-Arreola was a passenger in a stolen vehicle being driven by his cousin, Vicente
    (continued...)
    -4-
    accompanied only by the statement, “No further information has been provided to the
    U.S. Probation Office.” R., Vol. 3, at 15. None of these arrests resulted in convictions,
    and none garnered criminal history points. The seventh arrest mentioned in this section
    was for entry without inspection, for which Mr. Soto-Arreola was deported to Mexico in
    September 2010. This offense, too, did not garner criminal history points.
    A sentencing hearing was held in November 2011. Mr. Soto-Arreola asked the
    district court to impose a sentence of seventy months. The government recommended a
    sentence within the Guidelines range of seventy to eighty-seven months. The district
    court declined to follow either recommendation, instead imposing a sentence of 120
    months. Because the court’s statements at sentencing form the basis of Mr.
    Soto-Arreola’s appeal, we review the sentencing hearing in relevant detail.
    B
    At the beginning of the hearing, the court asked defense counsel whether Mr.
    Soto-Arreola had any objections to the PSR. Counsel responded, “No,” and
    acknowledged that the Guidelines range was properly calculated. R., Vol. 2, at 5 (Tr. of
    Sentencing Proceedings, dated Nov. 15, 2011). The court then stated,
    Just so you know, this defendant has a very lengthy criminal history.
    He has a drug felony. He’s got another violent felony. He apparently
    2
    (...continued)
    Martinez. Id. at 15. Police stopped the vehicle and discovered a large quantity of cocaine
    in Mr. Martinez’s pocket. During an interview, Mr. Soto-Arreola “admitted Martinez
    provided him with crack cocaine and that they smoked a rock earlier.” Id. Mr. Martinez
    was arrested and charged with numerous offenses. Mr. Soto-Arreola “was transported to
    his residence and released to his parents without being charged.” Id.
    -5-
    is a gang member. He’s got past revocations of supervision. He has a
    history of substance abuse. It looks to me like he’s at a high risk to
    recidivate and probably a sentence of higher than the guideline range
    is appropriate. So in addressing what you think the sentence should be,
    please address those concerns.
    Id.
    Defense counsel responded by detailing some of Mr. Soto-Arreola’s personal
    history and requesting a seventy-month sentence. The government followed up with its
    own recommendation for a within-Guidelines sentence. The government also highlighted
    other criminal activity of this defendant where there were either no
    charges pursued or -- various instances were dismissed, beginning on
    page 12 of the presentence report and carrying over to page 13. The
    one of obviously great concern is in January of this year with some sort
    of a shooting into an occupied dwelling in Topeka. I don’t know why
    that case was not pursued.
    Id. at 11.
    During allocution, the court told Mr. Soto-Arreola, “[I]t looks like you have total
    contempt for American law. You have been in trouble since you were 14.” Id. at 14.
    Confirming that Mr. Soto-Arreola was then twenty-three years old, the court continued:
    So it’s been nonstop for the last nine years with no evidence of any
    willingness or ability to lawfully support yourself or your family. You
    committed this crime while you were on parole. As I said before, it
    looks to me that you’re a great danger to society because of your
    lengthy criminal history, your violent background, your drug-related
    felony, your gang affiliations; and so even though the custody range is
    70 to 87 months, the sentence I’m proposing is 120 months. The
    custody sentence under the statute is up to 20 years, and this is right in
    the middle of that.
    Id. at 14–15.
    -6-
    In response, defense counsel objected “to any departure or variance upward from
    the guideline range” and stated that “the primary reasons the court is using to justify a
    sentence above the guideline range are all completely accounted for with respect to the
    offense level calculation in this case in the first place and the criminal history calculation
    in the second place.” Id. at 15. The court noted its understanding of the objection but
    found that a longer sentence was appropriate, stating,
    [W]hen I look at all the factors under Section 3553(a), I am
    underscoring the seriousness of his criminal history, the need to provide
    protection to the public from further crimes by this defendant, and the
    fact that I believe he’s at an extremely high risk to recidivate because
    of his gang membership and the history of pretty much unrelenting
    criminal activity since a very young age, at 14.
    Id. at 16–17.
    The court invited further comment from the parties on the proposed sentence. The
    government highlighted “the nature and circumstances of the offense as well as the
    history and characteristics of the defendant, particularly the lack of employment, the gang
    membership, the long-time criminal history.” Id. at 17. It continued:
    [T]he presentence report, beginning at Paragraph 24 details all of his
    criminal history, and that continues until Paragraph 37, with each of
    those being separate convictions. Then Paragraphs 41 through 47 are
    additional incidents of contact that the defendant had with law
    enforcement where either charges were not pursued or charges were
    dismissed, with one of those being an entry without inspection in
    August of 2010, and he was then deported in September of 2010, which
    would have been an offense similar to this offense, and then based upon
    the type of criminal history and the crimes of which he’s been
    convicted, as well as the various revocations and committing this
    offense while on supervision, it appears as though there needs to be
    extra attention paid to afford adequate deterrence to criminal conduct
    -7-
    and to protect the public from further crimes of this defendant based
    upon the types of convictions that he’s had.
    Id. at 17–18.
    The court stated in response,
    Also his drug use, I think, makes him at a higher risk of recidivism, but
    yes, I agree with what you just said; and, I mean, it’s obvious to me that
    much of this defendant’s prior criminal history and his contacts with
    law enforcement are not scored in any way in the guideline
    calculations.
    Id. at 18. Having considered the factors at 
    18 U.S.C. § 3553
    (a), the court went on to
    impose a 120-month sentence.
    Mr. Soto-Arreola timely appealed.3
    3
    We appointed counsel to represent Mr. Soto-Arreola on appeal. After Mr.
    Soto-Arreola and the government filed principal briefs, counsel for Mr. Soto-Arreola
    moved to withdraw, citing a breakdown in communication and disagreement over
    appellate strategy. We invited Mr. Soto-Arreola to respond, which he did, indicating his
    desire to proceed pro se and to file a pro se supplemental brief. Noting among other
    things that principal briefs had already been filed and that there was no constitutional
    right to hybrid representation (i.e., a defendant’s simultaneous representation by counsel
    and himself acting pro se), we denied counsel’s motion to withdraw and did not grant Mr.
    Soto-Arreola’s pro se request to file a supplemental brief. Mr. Soto-Arreola then
    submitted a letter to this court, again seeking permission to file a pro se supplemental
    brief. We construed the letter as a motion to reconsider our denial of counsel’s motion to
    withdraw, and we denied it. In the letter, Mr. Soto-Arreola stated that he is “entitled to a
    degree of representation that is consistent with the tenets of the Sixth Amendment” and
    that appointed counsel’s representation “falls short of those tenets.” Letter from Mr.
    Soto-Arreola, at 1 (filed June 4, 2012). To the extent that Mr. Soto-Arreola wishes to
    articulate a claim of ineffective assistance of appellate counsel, there will be time enough
    for that, though it is not in this proceeding. He will have the opportunity on collateral
    review to present this claim, at which time the district court will be poised to develop an
    adequate factual record. See United States v. Hahn, 
    359 F.3d 1315
    , 1327 n.13 (10th Cir.
    2004) (en banc) (per curiam) (“Generally, we only consider ineffective assistance of
    counsel claims on collateral review.”).
    -8-
    II
    When a defendant challenges his sentence on appeal, our task is to determine
    whether the sentence is reasonable. See United States v. Martinez, 
    610 F.3d 1216
    , 1223
    (10th Cir. 2010). Review for reasonableness embraces two distinct concepts: procedural
    reasonableness and substantive reasonableness. United States v. Friedman, 
    554 F.3d 1301
    , 1307 (10th Cir. 2009); see United States v. McGehee, 
    672 F.3d 860
    , 875 (10th Cir.
    2012). Mr. Soto-Arreola’s appeal implicates only the former.
    “Procedural reasonableness focuses on whether the district court erred in
    ‘calculating or explaining the sentence.’” United States v. Halliday, 
    665 F.3d 1219
    , 1222
    (10th Cir. 2011) (quoting Friedman, 
    554 F.3d at 1307
    ). Examples of procedural errors
    include “failing to calculate (or improperly calculating) the Guidelines range, treating the
    Guidelines as mandatory, failing to consider the [18 U.S.C.] § 3553(a) factors, selecting a
    sentence based on clearly erroneous facts, or failing to adequately explain the chosen
    sentence—including an explanation for any deviation from the Guidelines range.” United
    States v. Sayad, 
    589 F.3d 1110
    , 1116 (10th Cir. 2009) (quoting Gall v. United States, 
    552 U.S. 38
    , 51 (2007)) (internal quotation marks omitted). And it is most significant for
    resolving Mr. Soto-Arreola’s challenge that “[g]enerally, a district court’s use of an
    improper factor invokes procedural review.” 
    Id.
    Typically, we apply a deferential abuse-of-discretion standard when reviewing
    sentences for reasonableness. See 
    id.
     However, if a defendant fails to lodge a
    contemporaneous objection to the district court’s commission of a procedural error, then
    -9-
    plain-error review applies. See United States v. Robertson, 
    568 F.3d 1203
    , 1210 (10th
    Cir. 2009) (“We have consistently held that plain error review obtains when counsel fails
    to render a contemporaneous objection to a procedural sentencing error.” (quoting United
    States v. Uscanga-Mora, 
    562 F.3d 1289
    , 1293 (10th Cir. 2009)) (internal quotation marks
    omitted)); see also United States v. Romero, 
    491 F.3d 1173
    , 1177 (10th Cir. 2007)
    (“[W]hile a defendant need not object after pronouncement of sentence based on
    substantive reasonableness, i.e. the length of that sentence, he must object to any
    procedural flaws or receive, on appeal, only plain error review.”). Under the plain-error
    standard, we may reverse only if a defendant demonstrates (1) error (2) that is plain, (3)
    that prejudices his substantial rights, and (4) that “seriously affects the fairness, integrity,
    or public reputation of judicial proceedings.” Robertson, 
    568 F.3d at 1210
    .
    On appeal, Mr. Soto-Arreola contends that the district court procedurally erred by
    basing its sentencing decision on the other-arrests section of the PSR. He argues that
    prior unconvicted conduct, evidenced only by “bare reports of arrests,” cannot be the
    basis for an upward variance. Aplt. Br. at 11. Mr. Soto-Arreola did not register this
    specific objection with the district court, so we will review his sentencing challenge for
    plain error. Although Mr. Soto-Arreola did object to the district court’s decision to vary
    upward, arguing that his offense level and criminal history category adequately accounted
    for the court’s concerns about his lengthy criminal history, this is insufficient. Our
    precedent requires a defendant “to specifically object to a procedural error in order to
    preserve that issue for our review.” Robertson, 
    568 F.3d at 1210
    . Here, the district court
    - 10 -
    was never alerted to the alleged error—reliance on bare arrest records—that Mr. Soto-
    Arreola now assails on appeal, and consequently, the court never had the opportunity to
    correct the alleged error in the first instance. See Uscanga-Mora, 
    562 F.3d at 1294
    .
    Mr. Soto-Arreola thus faces an uphill battle. He must demonstrate to our
    satisfaction that all four prongs of the plain-error test are met. For the reasons below, we
    conclude that he at least fails two prongs of the test: the second prong because any error
    by the district court was not plain, and the fourth prong because he cannot show (and
    indeed, has not argued) that the district court would impose a significantly lesser sentence
    on remand.
    A
    The second prong of plain-error review requires the defendant to demonstrate that
    the district court’s error was plain, that is, “clear or obvious under well-settled law.”
    United States v. Trujillo-Terrazas, 
    405 F.3d 814
    , 818 (10th Cir. 2005) (quoting United
    States v. Whitney, 
    229 F.3d 1296
    , 1309 (10th Cir. 2000)) (internal quotation marks
    omitted). We conclude that, assuming arguendo the district court relied on the other-
    arrests section of the PSR in imposing the upward variance, it did not plainly err in doing
    so.
    We have previously entertained sentencing challenges like Mr. Soto-Arreola’s. In
    United States v. Mateo, 
    471 F.3d 1162
    , 1165–66 (10th Cir. 2006), the district court varied
    upward from a Guidelines sentence, relying in part on the PSR’s notations concerning
    several prior arrests of the defendant, even though none of the arrests resulted in
    - 11 -
    convictions. On appeal, the defendant argued that his sentence was procedurally
    unreasonable and, as support, pointed to U.S.S.G. § 4A1.3. Section 4A1.3 pertains to
    upward departures from advisory Guidelines sentences. It allows consideration of
    “[p]rior similar adult criminal conduct not resulting in a criminal conviction,” U.S.S.G.
    § 4A1.3(a)(2)(E), but prohibits consideration of “[a] prior arrest record itself” for
    purposes of an upward departure, id. § 4A1.3(a)(3). Although the district court in Mateo
    had varied, not departed, upward,4 the defendant pointed out that one of the factors the
    sentencing court must consider under § 3553(a) is “any pertinent policy statement” from
    the Guidelines. Mateo, 
    471 F.3d at 1167
     (quoting 
    18 U.S.C. § 3553
    (a)(5)) (internal
    quotation marks omitted). He therefore argued that it was unreasonable for the district
    court to base its upward-variance decision on his prior arrest record.
    We rejected the defendant’s argument. We found that the district court
    did not rely on Mr. Mateo’s arrest record itself in making its
    determination as to the reasonableness of the advisory Guidelines
    sentence. Rather, it extrapolated from the uncontested facts in the
    PSR—including the number, frequency, and seriousness of Mr.
    Mateo’s various arrests and convictions—to draw conclusions about
    characteristics relevant to sentencing factors enumerated in 
    18 U.S.C. § 3553
    (a).
    
    Id.
    4
    As we explained in United States v. Sells, “[a] departure occurs ‘when a
    court reaches a sentence above or below the recommended Guidelines range through
    application of Chapters Four or Five of the Sentencing Guidelines.’” 
    541 F.3d 1227
    ,
    1237 n.2 (10th Cir. 2008) (quoting United States v. Atencio, 
    476 F.3d 1099
    , 1101 n.1
    (10th Cir. 2007)). “A variance occurs ‘[w]hen a court enhances or detracts from the
    recommended range through application of § 3553(a) factors.’” Id. (alteration in original)
    (quoting Atencio, 
    476 F.3d at
    1101 n.1).
    - 12 -
    Three years later, we decided Robertson. That case concerned a district court’s
    decision to depart upward from the advisory Guidelines sentence—a decision based in
    part on the PSR’s reference to prior conduct (criminal discharge of a firearm) for which
    the defendant had been arrested but not convicted. On appeal, the defendant challenged
    his sentence as procedurally unreasonable, citing U.S.S.G. § 4A1.3. We acknowledged
    that “the mere fact” that the defendant had been previously arrested for certain crimes
    “could not serve as valid grounds for an upward departure.” 
    568 F.3d at 1212
    . Relying
    on Mateo, however, we held that “nothing in the Guidelines excludes the district court
    from considering the conduct underlying those arrests.” 
    Id.
     We explained that while
    § 4A1.3 prohibits reliance “on bare reports of prior arrests,” id. (quoting United States v.
    Berry, 
    553 F.3d 273
    , 281 (3d Cir. 2009)) (internal quotation marks omitted), “[t]he facts
    underlying those arrests are fair game,” 
    id.
     Because the PSR “recounted the factual bases
    for [the defendant’s] arrests for Criminal Discharge of a Firearm in some detail[,] . . . the
    district court was free to rely on these facts to depart upward.” 
    Id.
    In light of both Mateo and Robertson, it was not plainly erroneous for the district
    court to vary upward based in part on the other-arrests section of Mr. Soto-Arreola’s PSR.
    The other-arrests section detailed seven arrests: six that did not result in convictions and
    one that resulted in deportation. Three of the arrests—for theft, criminal damage, and
    possession of crack cocaine—were accompanied by an adequate explanation of Mr.
    Soto-Arreola’s underlying conduct. See supra note 2. Because Mr. Soto-Arreola lodged
    no objections to the PSR, the factual notations concerning these arrests were “fair game”
    - 13 -
    for the district court. Robertson, 
    568 F.3d at 1212
    . Furthermore, it would not have been
    clear or obvious error for the district court to rely on Mr. Soto-Arreola’s prior arrest for
    entry without inspection because the disposition of that case—deportation to Mexico by
    federal authorities—suggests that the arrest had a reliable factual basis. See United States
    v. Lopez-Velasquez, 
    526 F.3d 804
    , 807 (5th Cir. 2008) (“[The defendant’s] eleven prior
    arrests by immigration officials do not ‘stand alone’—here they are corroborated by more
    than half a dozen deportations. These arrests are sufficiently ‘supported by evidence’ to
    constitute reliable grounds for a variance in this case.” (quoting United States v. Jones,
    
    444 F.3d 430
    , 434 (5th Cir. 2006))).
    This narrows Mr. Soto-Arreola’s claim of procedural error to the other three arrest
    records, the ones for reckless driving, burglary, and discharge/felony obstruction. In the
    PSR, these lacked any descriptive accompaniment save that “[n]o further information has
    been provided to the U.S. Probation Office.” R., Vol. 3, at 15. We agree that these
    qualify as “bare” arrest records. We do not agree, however, that reliance on these
    constituted plain error under our case law.
    In Mateo, we faced a factual situation similar to the one here. There, the
    defendant’s PSR disclosed “records of seven additional prior arrests that did not lead to
    convictions, and one additional pending charge,” 
    471 F.3d at 1165
    , but contained factual
    detail for only four of those arrests, see 
    id.
     at 1165–66. We found no error in the district
    court’s reliance on the “uncontested facts in the PSR[,] including the number, frequency,
    and seriousness of Mr. Mateo’s various arrests and convictions.” 
    Id. at 1167
    . Later, in
    - 14 -
    Robertson, we did nothing to call into question Mateo’s conclusion that the number,
    frequency, and seriousness of prior arrests are permissible considerations for upward
    variances, even if the PSR does not describe the defendant’s underlying conduct.
    Read in conjunction with Robertson, Mateo suggests that district courts may vary
    upward based not only on the factual bases for a defendant’s arrests, but also on the fact
    of various arrests when the “number, frequency, and seriousness” of those arrests are
    relevant to the § 3553(a) sentencing factors. 
    471 F.3d at 1167
    . According to this reading,
    a district court may consider bare arrest records in the context of a broader criminal
    history in order to construct a holistic picture of the defendant that would be relevant to
    its sentencing analysis under § 3553(a). For purposes of our analysis under the second
    plain-error prong, we need not definitively opine on whether this is the correct reading of
    Mateo; it certainly is a reasonable one, and that is enough. In this regard, we note that
    such a reading of Mateo would have placed our case law in line with the approach taken
    by some of our sister circuits. They have suggested that a district court may rely on bare
    arrest records when the frequency of arrests or the nature of the charges plausibly
    establishes a pattern of unlawful behavior. See Berry, 
    553 F.3d at 284
     (“[T]here may be
    situations where the number of prior arrests, and/or the similarity of prior charges to the
    offense of conviction, becomes so overwhelming and suggestive of actual guilt that they
    become exceedingly difficult to ignore.”); United States v. Zapete-Garcia, 
    447 F.3d 57
    ,
    61 (1st Cir. 2006) (“[A] series of past arrests might legitimately suggest a pattern of
    unlawful behavior even in the absence of any convictions . . . .”); United States v. Walker,
    - 15 -
    
    98 F.3d 944
    , 948 (7th Cir. 1996) (stating that twenty-three offenses for which the
    defendant had been arrested but not convicted were valid sentencing considerations
    because “[t]hey were pieces in a lifelong pattern of criminality”). We conclude that the
    district court would not have committed clear or obvious error in sentencing Mr. Soto-
    Arreola in a manner consistent with this reasonable reading of Mateo. And, under a fair
    and natural interpretation of its analysis, we conclude that the district court did precisely
    that.
    According to Mr. Soto-Arreola’s PSR, he has an extensive juvenile and adult
    criminal history, a history that is apparent even apart from the other-arrests section of the
    PSR. Clearly, it was this much broader history that drove the district court’s upward-
    variance decision. See R., Vol. 2, at 5 (noting Mr. Soto-Arreola’s “very lengthy criminal
    history,” including a “drug felony,” “another violent felony,” “gang member[ship],” “past
    revocations of supervision,” and “history of substance abuse”); id. at 14 (noting that Mr.
    Soto-Arreola has “been in trouble since [he was] 14” and “it’s been nonstop for the last
    nine years”). In light of that lengthy history, the district court could reasonably have
    considered in its § 3553(a) analysis the three bare arrest records in conjunction with the
    other arrest records, juvenile adjudications, and adult convictions in developing an
    accurate portrait of Mr. Soto-Arreola’s long and unwavering pattern of unlawful
    behavior. We need not hold that the district court would have been correct in following
    this decisional course. It suffices for us to hold—and we do—that the court would not
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    have committed clear or obvious error in light of Mateo in doing so. Mr. Soto-Arreola
    thus fails to satisfy the second prong of plain-error review.
    B
    Although this is sufficient to dispose of Mr. Soto-Arreola’s appeal, we underscore
    the fatal infirmities of his sentencing challenge by turning to the fourth prong of plain-
    error review. Under this prong, Mr. Soto-Arreola must show that the district court’s
    procedural error “seriously affects the fairness, integrity, or public reputation of judicial
    proceedings.” Robertson, 
    568 F.3d at 1210
    . To evaluate this prong in the sentencing
    context, we look to a number of factors, the most prominent of which is whether “the
    district court would likely impose a significantly lighter sentence on remand.” United
    States v. Andrews, 
    447 F.3d 806
    , 813 (10th Cir. 2006) (quoting United States v. Thomas,
    
    410 F.3d 1235
    , 1249 (10th Cir. 2005)) (internal quotation marks omitted). “[W]here a
    defendant demonstrates a strong possibility of receiving a significantly lower sentence,
    the fourth prong is met.” 
    Id.
    Mr. Soto-Arreola has not even attempted to argue that he would receive a
    significantly lesser sentence on remand. Nor do we think such an argument plausible.
    Mr. Soto-Arreola’s PSR details his numerous juvenile adjudications and adult criminal
    convictions. In varying upward, the district court pointed to this “unrelenting criminal
    activity since a very young age,” R. Vol. 2, at 16, as well as to his violent background,
    past drug usage, and gang affiliations. Furthermore, Mr. Soto-Arreola’s criminal history
    category does not reflect his true criminal history since none of his juvenile adjudications,
    - 17 -
    and only some of his adult convictions, were assessed criminal history points. This
    serious pattern of unlawful activity was relevant to the sentencing factors under 
    18 U.S.C. § 3553
    (a). See, e.g., United States v. Chavez-Calderon, 
    494 F.3d 1266
    , 1270 (10th Cir.
    2007) (“The sentencing court is well within its discretion and, indeed, is required to
    carefully consider the facts contained in the PSR when evaluating the § 3553(a)
    sentencing factors, including the history and characteristics of the defendant, and the need
    for a sentence to afford adequate deterrence to criminal conduct, and to protect the public
    from further crimes of the defendant.” (quoting Mateo, 
    471 F.3d at 1167
    ) (internal
    quotation marks omitted)); Mateo, 
    471 F.3d at 1167
     (“[N]o limitation should be placed on
    the information concerning the background, character, and conduct of a person . . . for the
    purpose of imposing an appropriate sentence.” (ellipsis in original) (quoting United States
    v. Magallanez, 
    408 F.3d 672
    , 684 (10th Cir. 2005)) (internal quotation marks omitted)).
    It also provides ample support for the district court’s decision to vary upward. See
    United States v. Gantt, 
    679 F.3d 1240
    , 1249 (10th Cir. 2012) (in upholding upward
    variance, noting that “it was reasonable for the court to read the police reports as showing
    conduct that fit into a pattern of criminal behavior involving the use of firearms”); United
    States v. Pinson, 
    542 F.3d 822
    , 836 (10th Cir. 2008) (permissible for district court to vary
    upward based on juvenile misconduct); see also United States v. Shaw, 
    560 F.3d 1230
    ,
    1239 (11th Cir. 2009) (upholding district court’s decision to vary upward to the statutory
    maximum based primarily on defendant’s “single-minded devotion to a life of crime”);
    United States v. Solis-Bermudez, 
    501 F.3d 882
    , 887 (8th Cir. 2007) (holding that
    - 18 -
    defendant’s “history of deportation and illegal reentry, together with his serious criminal
    record, justified the district court’s upward variance”). And, given the gravity of this
    criminal pattern, we are hard-pressed to conclude that on remand the district court would
    have imposed a “significantly lighter” sentence on Mr. Soto-Arreola. Andrews, 447 F.3d
    at 813 (quoting Thomas, 
    410 F.3d at 1249
    ) (internal quotation marks omitted). Mr. Soto-
    Arreola therefore fails to satisfy the fourth prong of plain-error review.
    III
    For the foregoing reasons, we AFFIRM Mr. Soto-Arreola’s sentence.
    ENTERED FOR THE COURT
    Jerome A. Holmes
    Circuit Judge
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