United States v. Knox ( 2018 )


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  •                                                                                   FILED
    United States Court of Appeals
    PUBLISH                                Tenth Circuit
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS                      February 27, 2018
    Elisabeth A. Shumaker
    FOR THE TENTH CIRCUIT                             Clerk of Court
    _________________________________
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,
    Plaintiff - Appellee,
    v.                                                           No. 16-3324
    JEMEL T. KNOX,
    Defendant - Appellant.
    _________________________________
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the District of Kansas
    (D.C. No. 2:14-CR-20022-JAR-1)
    _________________________________
    Daniel T. Hansmeier, Appellate Chief (Melody Brannon, Federal Public Defender,
    Chekasha Ramsey, Assistant Federal Public Defender, with him on the briefs), Kansas
    Federal Public Defender, Kansas City, Kansas, appearing for Appellant.
    Jared S. Maag, Assistant United States Attorney (Thomas E. Beall, United States
    Attorney with him on the brief), Office of the United States Attorney, Topeka, Kansas,
    appearing for Appellee.
    _________________________________
    Before BRISCOE, EBEL, and MATHESON, Circuit Judges.
    _________________________________
    EBEL, Circuit Judge.
    _________________________________
    Defendant Jemel Knox was indicted in 2014 on one count of possession of a
    firearm by a convicted felon under 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(1). He moved to suppress the
    firearm that formed the basis for this charge as the product of an unconstitutional
    search.
    The firearm had been seized during the execution of a search and arrest
    warrant issued by a Kansas state magistrate. The district court held that although
    there was insufficient evidence of probable cause to justify the warrant, the officers
    executing the warrant were entitled to rely in good faith on the magistrate’s probable
    cause determination and the firearm was not subject to suppression. After his motion
    was denied, Knox entered a conditional guilty plea which preserved his right to
    appeal the district court’s suppression decision. Exercising jurisdiction under 28
    U.S.C. § 1291, we AFFIRM the district court.
    I.   BACKGROUND
    In mid-January 2014, after Jemel Knox failed to appear in Johnson County
    District Court on a state charge, the merits of which are unrelated to this appeal,
    Kansas officers discovered that Knox had cut off his GPS monitor and fled from the
    apartment at which he had been staying. Based on these events, a Kansas court
    issued a warrant for Knox’s arrest, and Detective Kevin Finley from the Johnson
    County Sheriff’s office was assigned to locate Knox and take him into custody.
    A. The Investigation
    Detective Finley’s investigation took two primary tacks. First, Finley obtained
    an order to track a phone number he believed to be Knox’s. On February 1, 2014, the
    phone was turned on, and several phone calls were placed to Lindsey Kurtz—with
    whom Knox had previously been living—and a young woman named Alecia Young.
    2
    Two days later, on February 3, 2014, technicians tracked Mr. Knox’s phone to the
    general vicinity of an apartment complex located at 431 Freeman Ave., Wyandotte
    County, Kansas City, Kansas.
    On February 6, 2014, police received a “ping” from Mr. Knox’s cell-phone
    that placed him at 431 Freeman. As Detective Finley told the magistrate in seeking a
    warrant to search 431 Freeman based in part on this information, a “ping” is “a
    notification from T-Mobile that the phone is active and turned on and provides a
    distance between the nearest cell phone tower and the phone.” (R. Vol. I at 36)
    (“Finley Aff.”) ¶ 10. In this case the “ping” was accurate within a range of six
    meters. Officers then confirmed that Ms. Young resided at 431 Freeman, and
    observed a white Cadillac in the parking lot registered to Ms. Kurtz.
    The second aspect of Detective Finley’s investigation involved speaking with a
    former girlfriend of Knox’s, Cynthia McBee. Ms. McBee indicated that Knox had
    “become violent with her lately,” that he had threatened her and her neighbor on one
    occasion, and her father on another, and that he “always” carries a firearm. (Finley
    Aff. ¶ 4). As a previously convicted felon, Knox is prohibited from possessing
    firearms. 
    Id. ¶ 1
    On the basis of this investigation, Detective Finley swore an affidavit in
    Johnson County District Court, and a judicial warrant was issued on February 6, 2014
    authorizing the search of 431 Freeman “to obtain the person of Jemel T. Knox,” and
    the seizure of “The body of Jemel T. Knox” and “Firearms.” (R. Vol. I at 37.)
    3
    B. The Search
    That same afternoon Detective Finley and other Kansas officers executed the
    warrant. The officers found Knox hiding underneath the bed in the master bedroom
    and took him into custody. After his arrest, the officers searched the residence and
    seized a rifle from a suitcase located on the floor next to the bed under which Knox
    had been hiding. On this basis the United States indicted Knox on one count of being
    a felon in possession of a firearm in violation of § 922(g)(1).1
    C. The Motion to Suppress
    At the district court, Knox moved to suppress the rifle, arguing that Detective
    Finley’s affidavit did not provide probable cause that a firearm would be located at
    431 Freeman.2 The district court agreed that the affidavit did not establish probable
    cause. The court based its decision on three things: (1) there was no information in
    the affidavit to establish Ms. McBee’s reliability, (2) there was no information in the
    affidavit to establish the timeliness of Ms. McBee’s assertions, particularly that the
    defendant “always” carried a gun, and (3) there was no information in the affidavit to
    establish a nexus between the firearm and 431 Freeman.
    1
    Knox was also charged with receiving and possessing an unregistered firearm in
    violation of 26 U.S.C. §§ 5841, 5861(d), 5861(f), and 5871, but that charge was later
    dismissed.
    2
    The weapon was ultimately discovered near where Knox had been hiding from
    officers. However, it was not argued that the rifle was validly seized pursuant to the
    search-incident-to-arrest exception to the warrant requirement. That exception only
    applies when the search and the arrest are substantially contemporaneous. See, e.g.,
    Lavicky v. Burnett, 
    758 F.2d 468
    , 474 (10th Cir. 1985). Because the seizure of the
    rifle here occurred well after Knox had been arrested and removed from the house,
    that exception does not apply and it was not argued here.
    4
    The district court nonetheless declined to suppress the firearm, deciding
    instead to apply the good-faith exception to the warrant requirement. In doing so, the
    court considered not only the information in Detective Finley’s affidavit, but also
    information gleaned from Detective Finley at the suppression hearing that was not
    included in the affidavit, specifically: (1) that the affidavit had been prepared by an
    assistant district attorney, (2) the threat to Ms. McBee’s father occurred less than two
    months prior to the warrant application, and (3) that a police report corroborated Ms.
    McBee’s story about the threat to her and her neighbor.
    Considering these facts alongside the information in the affidavit, the district
    court could not say it was “entirely unreasonable for Detective Finley to rely on the
    magistrate’s authorization to search the apartment for firearms.” (R. Vol. I at 83.)
    Therefore, it applied the Leon3 good-faith exception to the warrant requirement.
    Following this ruling, Knox entered a conditional guilty plea to one count of being a
    felon in possession, judgment was entered, and Knox perfected our appellate
    jurisdiction by timely appealing.
    II.   DISCUSSION
    The basic question presented in this appeal is whether the Leon good-faith
    exception to the warrant requirement should apply to the firearm found at 431
    Freeman. Before reaching this question, however, we first address the standard of
    review on appeal, and whether it was appropriate for the district court to consider
    information outside the affidavit in assessing the executing officer’s good-faith.
    3
    United States v. Leon, 
    468 U.S. 897
    , 922 (1984).
    5
    A. The standard of review is de novo.
    Under ordinary circumstances we review a district court’s application of the
    good-faith exception to the warrant requirement de novo. See United States v.
    Augustine, 
    742 F.3d 1258
    , 1262 (10th Cir. 2014) (citing United States v. Danhauer,
    
    229 F.3d 1002
    , 1005 (10th Cir. 2000)). This standard, however, is predicated on the
    appellant having objected to the challenged action at the district court. United States
    v. Burgess, 
    576 F.3d 1078
    , 1096 (10th Cir. 2009).
    Here, there is no question that Knox objected to the weapon being introduced
    into evidence against him. Furthermore, Knox’s suppression motion adequately
    considered, addressed, and briefed whether the good-faith exception would apply
    were the district court to find—as it did—that the warrant lacked probable cause.
    The government argues, nonetheless, that Knox’s Leon argument on appeal is subject
    to plain-error review.
    The government’s position is predicated on the form of Knox’s argument
    against the application of the good-faith exception, namely that he did not elaborate
    sufficiently on his argument that the district court was wrong to consider information
    beyond the scope of the affidavit. However, the government’s characterization of
    Knox’s arguments below as deficient is incorrect, so we need not address whether an
    insufficient elaboration would trigger a plain error standard of review.
    In his Reply to the Government’s Response to Defendant’s Motion to
    Suppress, Knox says: “the reviewing Court must examine ‘the text of the warrant and
    the affidavit to ascertain whether the agents might have ‘reasonably presume[d] it to
    6
    be valid.’ Any additional information that Detective Finley possessed, as well as
    information provided by the Government, is irrelevant to [the suppression] Court’s
    determination.” (R. Vol. I at 59–60) (quoting United States v. Corral-Corral, 
    899 F.2d 927
    , 932 (10th Cir. 1990) (internal quotations omitted)).
    Furthermore, at the suppression hearing, defense counsel objected multiple
    times to Detective Finley’s testimony regarding information that would tend to
    support probable cause but was not included in the affidavit nor presented orally to
    the issuing magistrate. Counsel’s basis for doing so was that it was “not relevant as
    to the proceeding, what additional information was provided to the [issuing] judge
    outside the four corners of the [affidavit.]” (R. Vol. I at 107–10). During her
    colloquy with the suppression judge following testimony, defense counsel further
    argued that “[i]f the [suppression] Court finds that the affidavit was devoid of any
    facts that would establish the probability of evidence that the criminal activity would
    be located in that desired search area, then the Leon good-faith exception does not
    apply . . . [notwithstanding] additional information given to the [suppression] Court
    to now establish this nexus.” (Id. 126–27) (emphasis added). It is possible to cite
    several more instances where defense counsel either in writing or orally described the
    standard as whether the affidavit was so lacking in indicia of probable cause as to
    render the officer’s belief in the existence of probable cause unreasonable. See, e.g.,
    R. Vol. I at 73 (emphasis added).
    7
    Accordingly we decline the government’s invitation to review the district
    court’s decision for plain error. We will consider the district court’s application of
    the good-faith exception de novo. 
    Augustine, 742 F.3d at 1262
    .4
    B. The district court erred in considering information not disclosed under
    oath to the issuing magistrate.
    In determining that Detective Finley acted in good-faith reliance on the
    approved warrant, the suppression court apparently relied in part on information
    allegedly known to the detective at the time he sought the warrant, but not included
    in his affidavit in support of the warrant application or otherwise provided under oath
    to the issuing magistrate. (R. Vol. I at 82) (“Detective Finley also testified that the
    attorney did not detail in the affidavit every piece of information the detective
    obtained during his investigation.”).
    Specifically, there are three facts the suppression court may have considered in
    its good-faith analysis that were not provided under oath to the issuing magistrate:
    1. The affidavit was prepared in consultation with an Assistant District Attorney,
    who chose what information to include in the affidavit and what information
    not to include in the affidavit.5
    4
    Both parties agree, regardless of any confusion created by language we have
    included in previous cases, see, e.g., United States v. Danhauer, 
    229 F.3d 1002
    , 1005
    (10th Cir. 2000), that this de novo review does not involve viewing the evidence “in
    the light most favorable to the government,” Gov’t Br. at 31–32 (detailing the source
    of the confusion and concluding that “there is no question” that good-faith review is
    entirely de novo without deference to the government).
    5
    We agree with both parties that this information, relating to the so-called “warrant
    application process” may be considered by a suppression court in assessing an
    officer’s good-faith reliance on a warrant. Cf. Messerschmidt v. Millender, 
    565 U.S. 8
       2. The detective knew that the threats to Ms. McBee, her neighbor, her father,
    and her father’s co-workers all occurred in December of 2013, and all likely
    included weapons.
    3. A police report obtained by Detective Finley corroborated Ms. McBee’s
    assertion that the defendant had threatened her and her neighbor twenty-five
    days before the search.
    In general, even if a warrant is not supported by probable cause, evidence
    seized in good-faith reliance on that warrant is not subject to suppression. United
    States v. Leon, 
    468 U.S. 897
    , 922 (1984)). However, an exception to this general
    rule is that “when the affidavit in support of the warrant is ‘so lacking in indicia of
    probable cause as to render official belief in its existence unreasonable[,]’” the
    officer cannot be said to have acted in good-faith reliance on the magistrate’s
    determination, and suppression is appropriate. 
    Danhauer, 229 F.3d at 1007
    (10th Cir.
    2000) (quoting 
    Leon, 468 U.S. at 923
    ).
    At issue here is whether, in assessing this exception, the suppression court may
    consider information known to the officer when he executed the deficient warrant but
    not disclosed in the affidavit or otherwise sworn to the issuing magistrate. The Tenth
    Circuit has not unequivocally resolved this question.
    535, 553–55 (2012) (holding in the qualified immunity context that having secured
    the approval of their warrant application from both a superior and a deputy district
    attorney was “certainly pertinent in assessing whether [the officers] could have held a
    reasonable belief that the warrant was supported by probable cause”).
    9
    Our most extensive discussion of this issue can be found in United States v.
    Danhauer, 
    229 F.3d 1002
    , (10th Cir. 2000). In Danhauer, we held an affidavit
    insufficient to establish probable cause because the allegations it contained from a
    confidential informant did not bear sufficient indicia of reliability or independent
    corroboration of the informant’s 
    information. 229 F.3d at 1006
    . We nonetheless
    upheld the denial of the suppression motion on Leon good-faith grounds because the
    affidavit contained “more than conclusory statements based on the informant’s
    allegation about the alleged criminal activity.” 
    Id. at 1007.
    Our decision, then,
    rested on the information contained within the four corners of the affidavit. See also
    
    id. at 1006
    (describing suppression court’s responsibility as to review the “underlying
    documents” to determine whether they meet the Leon standard).
    However, in dicta, we noted that “the absence of information establishing the
    informant’s reliability or basis of knowledge does not necessarily preclude an officer
    from manifesting a reasonable belief that the warrant was properly issued,
    particularly when the officer takes steps to investigate the informant’s allegations.”
    
    Id. at 1007.
    At least arguably, then, Danhauer leaves open the question of whether a
    suppression court, in conducting a Leon analysis, may consider information known to
    an executing officer but not sworn to the issuing magistrate.
    Since Danhauer, a series of unpublished opinions have further failed to
    provide clarity. Our clearest language can be found in United States v. Martinez-
    Martinez, 25 F. App’x 733, 737 (10th Cir. 2001) (unpublished) in which we held that
    when “determining whether Leon’s good faith exception applies, the question is not
    10
    what is absent from the affidavit, but what is present.” Five years later another
    unpublished opinion included dicta which could arguably be read to support the
    opposite conclusion. United States v. Perry, 181 F. App’x 750, 753 (10th Cir. 2006)
    (unpublished) (“[A] well-trained officer who knew facts establishing probable cause
    could reasonably err in relying on approval of a warrant based on an affidavit that
    inadvertently omitted some of those facts.”).6 Reviewing our binding and non-
    binding precedent in 2009, one panel of this Court acknowledged that the question of
    whether a suppression court could consider information not disclosed to the issuing
    magistrate “remains an open one in our circuit.” United States v. Burgess, 357 F.
    App’x 974, 978 (10th Cir. 2009) (unpublished) (holding on plain-error review that
    the lack of a resolution in the circuit precluded a finding of plain error).
    From this review, it is clear our own precedent provides no clear resolution for
    our present inquiry. Beyond our own geographic boundaries, this is a question that
    has split our sister circuits. In the Seventh and Ninth Circuits, judges may not
    consider information unless it is presented to the warrant-issuing magistrate. See,
    e.g., United States v. Koerth, 
    312 F.3d 862
    , 871 (7th Cir. 2002); United States v.
    6
    The Perry court’s decision to apply the Leon exception did not have to rest on the
    existence of factual information known to the officer but not included in the affidavit.
    181 F. App’x at 753. Rather, the Court held that the information contained in the
    affidavit, even without the information known to the officer but not included,
    “provide[d] significant corroboration to the [confidential informant’s] assertion[.]”
    
    Id. 11 Hove,
    848 F.2d 137
    , 140 (9th Cir. 1988).7 The reasoning adopted by these courts is
    that the relevant Leon exception is an objective consideration of whether the affidavit
    and any accompanying sworn information is “so lacking in indicia of probable cause
    as to render official belief in its existence entirely unreasonable.” 
    Leon, 468 U.S. at 923
    (quoting Brown v. Illinois, 
    422 U.S. 590
    , 610–11 (1975) (Powell, J., concurring
    in part)).
    In the Fourth, Eighth, and Eleventh Circuits, however, district courts are
    allowed to consider uncontroverted facts known to the officers who executed the
    warrant but inadvertently not disclosed to the issuing judge. See, e.g., United States
    v. McKenzie-Gude, 
    671 F.3d 452
    , 460 (4th Cir. 2011); United States v. Robinson,
    
    336 F.3d 1293
    , 1297 n.6 (11th Cir. 2003); United States v. Marion, 
    238 F.3d 965
    ,
    969 (8th Cir. 2001). These circuits reasoned that not to consider such information
    “risks the anomalous result of suppressing evidence ‘obtained pursuant to a warrant
    7
    The Sixth Circuit arguably also lies on this side of the split. In 2005 that court held
    that “a determination of good-faith reliance . . . must be bound by the four corners of
    the affidavit.” United States v. Laughton, 
    409 F.3d 744
    , 751 (6th Cir. 2005). It later
    softened this approach, holding that suppression courts could consider information
    disclosed to the issuing judge but not included in the affidavit. United States v.
    Frazier, 
    423 F.3d 526
    , 535 (6th Cir. 2005). In explaining its reasoning, the Sixth
    Circuit quoted one case from the Eighth Circuit that permits consideration of all
    information known to an executing officer. 
    Id. at 536
    (quoting United States v.
    Marion, 
    238 F.3d 965
    , 969 (8th Cir. 2001) (internal quotation marks omitted) (“When
    assessing the objective [reasonableness] of police officers executing a warrant, we
    must look to the totality of the circumstances, including any information known to
    the officers but not presented to the issuing judge.”)). District courts in the Sixth
    Circuit have generally interpreted Frazier to stand for the proposition that
    information outside the four corners of the affidavit can be considered only when that
    information had been disclosed to the issuing magistrate. See, e.g., United States v.
    Wilhere, 
    89 F. Supp. 3d 915
    , 920 n.4 (E.D. Ky. 2015).
    12
    supported by the affidavit of an officer, who, in fact, possesses probable cause, but
    inadvertently omits some information from his affidavit.’” 
    McKenzie-Gude, 671 F.3d at 460
    (quoting United States v. Bynum, 
    293 F.3d 192
    , 199 (4th Cir. 2002)). 8
    After reviewing these authorities and our own discussions on the issue, we
    return nonetheless to the plain text of Leon itself. In outlining an exception to the
    general rule of Leon which allowed an officer’s good faith reliance on a defective
    affidavit, the Court specified that reliance is not allowed when a reviewing court
    determines the officer did not “manifest objective good-faith” because the “affidavit
    [was] ‘so lacking in indicia of probable cause as to render official belief in its
    existence entirely unreasonable.’” 
    Leon, 468 U.S. at 923
    (emphasis added) (quoting
    
    Brown, 422 U.S. at 610
    –11). Elsewhere the Leon Court talks about the requirement
    that “the officer’s reliance on the magistrate’s probable-cause determination and on
    the technical sufficiency of the warrant he issues must be objectively reasonable.”
    
    Leon, 468 U.S. at 922
    (emphasis added). In a lengthy footnote, the Court decides to
    “eschew inquiries into the subjective beliefs of law enforcement officers who seize
    evidence pursuant to a subsequently invalidated warrant[, believing] that ‘sending
    state and federal courts on an expedition into the minds of police officers would
    produce a grave and fruitless misallocation of judicial resources.’” 
    Id. at 922
    n.23
    (quoting Massachusetts v. Painten, 
    389 U.S. 560
    , 565 (1968) (White, J., dissenting)).
    8
    For a survey of the split as of 2005, see John E. Taylor, Using Suppression Hearing
    Testimony to Prove Good Faith Under United States v. Leon, 54 U. Kan. L. Rev. 155,
    174–84 (2005).
    13
    This comports with the Court’s general trend of preferring objective tests of law
    enforcement reasonableness over subjective inquiries into the knowledge or
    motivations possessed by individual officers. See, e.g., Whren v. United States, 
    517 U.S. 806
    , 813 (1996) (“Subjective intentions play no role in ordinary, probable-cause
    Fourth Amendment analysis.”).
    Accordingly, based on the plain text of Leon, we hold that a suppression
    court’s assessment of an officer’s good faith is confined to reviewing the four corners
    of the sworn affidavit and any other pertinent information actually shared with the
    issuing judge under oath prior to the issuance of the warrant, as well as information
    relating to the warrant application process.9 Not only is this rule faithful to the text
    of Leon, it will enhance administrability and encourage law enforcement officers to
    provide issuing courts with the type of comprehensive affidavits upon which proper
    probable cause determinations should rest. See Illinois v. Gates, 
    462 U.S. 213
    , 239
    (1983) (holding an affidavit “must provide the magistrate with a substantial basis for
    determining the existence of probable cause” and that “wholly conclusory”
    9
    In assessing good faith a suppression court must ask whether “the magistrate so
    obviously erred that any reasonable officer would have recognized the error.”
    Messerschmidt v. Millender, 
    565 U.S. 535
    , 556 (2012). Our opinion does not restrict
    a suppression court’s ability to receive testimony illuminating how a reasonable
    officer would interpret factual information contained in an affidavit. Our holding
    today only precludes a suppression court from considering new factual information
    that is undisclosed to the issuing magistrate. In fact, we believe this is the most
    appropriate reading of Danhauer: That a suppression court may consider information
    known generally to reasonable officers that sheds light on the reasonableness of an
    officer’s reliance on a warrant, but may not consider new factual information that
    was not disclosed to the issuing magistrate. 
    See 229 F.3d at 1006
    ; see also footnote 5
    (discussing the availability of so-called “warrant application” information).
    14
    statements about the officer’s beliefs are insufficient). We therefore confine our
    good-faith inquiry in this case to whether the affidavit itself is sufficiently detailed to
    merit application of the good-faith exception to the warrant requirement.
    C. Here, the affidavit had enough indicia of reliability to support Detective
    Finley’s good-faith reliance on the magistrate’s warrant.
    While the Fourth Amendment offers people the right to be “secure in their
    persons, houses, papers, and effects, against unreasonable searches and seizures,” the
    amendment is silent as to what repercussions should follow a violation of that right.
    U.S. Const. amend. IV. In response, courts have created the exclusionary rule, under
    which “evidence obtained in violation of the Fourth Amendment cannot be used in a
    criminal proceeding against the victim of the illegal search and seizure.” United
    States v. Calandra, 
    414 U.S. 338
    , 347 (1974) (citing Weeks v. United States, 
    232 U.S. 383
    (1914)).
    The exclusionary rule, however, is not itself a constitutional guarantee. The
    constitutional violation occurs when an unreasonable search occurs, not when
    evidence seized in the course of that search is later introduced in a subsequent
    criminal proceeding. Penn. Bd. of Probation & Parole v. Scott, 
    524 U.S. 357
    , 362
    (1998). “Instead, the [exclusionary] rule’s prime purpose is to deter future unlawful
    police conduct and thereby effectuate the guarantee of the Fourth Amendment against
    unreasonable searches and seizures[.]” 
    Calandra, 414 U.S. at 347
    . Put succinctly,
    the exclusionary rule is not a constitutional right of the defendant, but rather is a
    disincentive for law enforcement to engage in unconstitutional activity.
    15
    Therefore, whether to apply the exclusionary rule in a given case turns on
    whether such application will be an effective deterrent against future Fourth
    Amendment violations. Herring v. United States, 
    555 U.S. 135
    , 141 (2009) (citing
    Stone v. Powell, 
    428 U.S. 465
    , 486 (1976); 
    Calandra, 414 U.S. at 347
    –55). Even
    when exclusion would provide deterrence, courts must further inquire whether the
    benefits of that deterrence outweigh the “substantial social costs”— of excluding
    relevant and incriminating evidence of wrongdoing. 
    Herring, 555 U.S. at 141
    (quoting Illinois v. Krull, 
    480 U.S. 340
    , 352–53 (1987)). Ultimately, then, for the
    exclusionary rule to apply, “police conduct must be sufficiently deliberate that
    exclusion can meaningfully deter it, and sufficiently culpable that such deterrence is
    worth the price paid by the justice system.” 
    Herring, 555 U.S. at 144
    .
    Conducting this balancing in Leon, the Supreme Court concluded that when a
    law enforcement officer relies in objective good faith on a warrant issued by a
    detached and neutral magistrate, and that warrant is later invalidated as not being
    supported by probable cause, evidence obtained as a result of that reliance should not
    be subject to suppression. 
    Leon, 468 U.S. at 922
    . This rule, which became known as
    the Leon good-faith exception to the warrant requirement, recognizes that ordinarily
    an officer “cannot be expected to question the magistrate’s probable-cause
    determination or his judgment that the form of the warrant is technically sufficient.”
    
    Id. at 921.
    One exception to the general rule of Leon holds that evidence will be
    suppressed notwithstanding the warrant “when the affidavit in support of the warrant
    16
    is so lacking in indicia of probable cause as to render official belief in its existence
    entirely unreasonable.” United States v. Edwards, 
    813 F.3d 953
    , 970 (10th Cir.
    2015) (quoting United States v. Augustine, 
    742 F.3d 1258
    , 1262 (10th Cir. 2014)). 10
    Given the “substantial social costs” of exclusion, 
    Herring, 555 U.S. at 141
    , this
    exception applies not when an officer’s reliance on the warrant is merely
    “misplaced,” but rather only when his reliance is so “wholly unwarranted that good
    faith is absent[,]” United States v. Corral-Corral, 
    899 F.2d 927
    , 938–39 (10th Cir.
    1990) (quoting United States v. Cardall, 
    773 F.2d 1128
    , 1133 (10th Cir. 1985)). The
    Supreme Court has recently admonished that “the threshold for establishing this
    exception [to Leon admissibility] is a high one, and it should be. . . . [Because] ‘[i]n
    the ordinary case, an officer cannot be expected to question the magistrate’s
    probable-cause determination.’” 
    Messerschmidt, 565 U.S. at 547
    (quoting 
    Leon, 468 U.S. at 923
    )). In recognition of this high standard, we have said that an officer is
    wholly unwarranted in relying on a warrant “only if the affidavit submitted in support
    10
    There are four exceptions to the general rule of Leon:
    (1) when the issuing magistrate was misled by an affidavit containing
    false information or information that the affiant would have known was
    false if not for his reckless disregard of the truth; (2) when the issuing
    magistrate wholly abandon[s her] judicial role; (3) when the affidavit in
    support of the warrant is so lacking in indicia of probable cause as to
    render official belief in its existence entirely unreasonable; and (4)
    when a warrant is so facially deficient that the executing officer could
    not reasonably believe it was valid.
    United States v. Edwards, 
    813 F.3d 953
    , 970 (10th Cir. 2015) (quoting United States
    v. Augustine, 
    742 F.3d 1258
    , 1262 (10th Cir. 2014)).
    17
    of the warrant is devoid of factual support.” United States v. Henderson, 
    595 F.3d 1198
    , 1201-02 (10th Cir. 2010).11
    Knox urges us to suppress the rifle because no reasonable officer could have
    believed that the affidavit which the magistrate found to establish probable cause to
    search 431 Freeman for weapons actually established probable cause that weapons
    would be located at this address. (Aplt. Br. at 32–45.) Paragraph four of the
    affidavit, the only paragraph that discusses the likelihood weapons will be found at
    431 Freeman, relies on the statements of Cynthia McBee, a former girlfriend of
    Knox’s.
    4. On 01/22/2014, affiant contacted a previous girlfriend of Knox’s,
    Cynthia McBee. She advised she and Knox broke up and no longer lived
    together. She advised that Knox had become violent with her lately and
    she had a Protection Order issued against him. She did advise he
    always carried a gun and had threatened her and her neighbor in
    December. He had also gone to her father’s job in Kansas City,
    Missouri and threatened him and his employees with a gun. She said he
    always carries a pistol in his pants and has numerous weapons to
    include an AR15 assault type rifle and a Desert Eagle pistol. Cynthia
    did advise that Knox had numerous girlfriends and most were only
    known by their street names. She did provide two friends names of
    11
    Defendant urges us not to employ this standard, arguing that “it allows district
    courts to identify any fact within the affidavit to support the application of the good-
    faith exception, even a fact that this Court has rejected as sufficient to establish
    probable cause.” Aplt. Br. at 30 n.6. We disagree with this characterization of our
    precedent. Law enforcement officers are responsible for having a “reasonable
    knowledge of what the law prohibits,” 
    Leon, 468 U.S. at 919
    n.20, and for
    conforming their conduct to these rules, Davis v. United States, 
    564 U.S. 229
    , 241
    (2011). The “devoid of factual support” standard does not mean that the district
    court may use facts clearly insufficient to establish probable cause as a reason to
    nonetheless apply the good-faith exception. A fact that is clearly insufficient to
    support probable cause under settled law is not “factual support” for a warrant absent
    context or other facts which, in total, could support the good-faith exception.
    18
    Michael Dupree Jr, and Alecia Young. Cynthia was able to identify both
    parties by Knox’s Facebook posts that the officer provided.
    (Finley Aff. ¶ 4.)
    “An affidavit establishes probable cause for a search warrant if the totality of
    the information it contains establishes the ‘fair probability that contraband or
    evidence of a crime will be found in a particular place.’” United States v.
    Soderstrand, 
    412 F.3d 1146
    , 1152 (10th Cir. 2005) (quoting United States v. Rice,
    
    358 F.3d 1268
    , 1274 (10th Cir. 2004), judgment vacated on other grounds, 
    543 U.S. 1103
    (2005)). Whether probable cause exists in a given case is a “flexible, common-
    sense standard,” and no single factor or factors is dispositive. Illinois v. Gates, 
    462 U.S. 213
    , 238–39 (1983).
    In this circuit, we have identified three non-exclusive considerations that help
    guide a probable cause inquiry, particularly one in which the affiant relies on an
    informant or other witness’s information:12 1) the reliability of the informer, 2) the
    12
    There is a difference between traditional informants, who are often themselves
    criminals, and “citizen-informers,” who are generally witnesses or victims rather than
    associates. See, e.g., United States v. Neff, 
    300 F.3d 1217
    , 1221 (10th Cir. 2002)
    (citing 2 Wayne R. LaFave, Search and Seizure: A Treatise on the Fourth
    Amendment § 3.3, at 88–89 (3d ed. 1996)). Ms. McBee is almost certainly an
    example of the latter, rather than the former, and we have previously noted that these
    citizen-informers tend to be more reliable than traditional informants, particularly
    when their information derives from first-hand knowledge. See 
    Neff, 300 F.3d at 1221
    ; LaFave, supra, § 3.4 (“Courts are much more concerned with veracity when the
    source of the information is an informant from the criminal milieu rather than an
    average citizen who has found himself in the position of a crime victim or witness.”).
    Regardless, we have no occasion to decide into which category Ms. McBee should be
    placed, because we find that her information bears sufficient indicia of reliability for
    Leon purposes regardless of whether we asses it as that of an informer, or as that of a
    fact witness.
    19
    timeliness of the informer’s allegations, and 3) the nexus between the item to be
    seized and the place to be searched. See United States v. Pulliam, 
    748 F.3d 967
    , 971
    (10th Cir. 2014) (reliability); United States v. Snow, 
    919 F.2d 1458
    , 1459 (10th Cir.
    1990) (timeliness); United States v. Gonzales, 
    399 F.3d 1225
    , 1228 (10th Cir. 2005)
    (nexus). Our inquiry is not whether the information in paragraph four in fact
    establishes probable cause that an illegal weapon will be found at 431 Freeman, but
    rather whether the affidavit is so facially deficient that reliance on a warrant issued in
    response to that affidavit cannot have been in good faith.
    1. Reliability of the Informer
    We have said that where, as here, the information contained in a warrant
    application comes largely from an informer, “we pay close attention to the veracity,
    reliability, and basis of knowledge of the informant about the target of the proposed
    search.” 
    Pulliam, 748 F.3d at 971
    (citing 
    Gates, 462 U.S. at 230
    ). We consider an
    informer more reliable if she is willing to identify herself to authorities, 
    Pulliam, 748 F.3d at 971
    , 971 n.2 (citing United States v. Johnson, 
    364 F.3d 1185
    , 1190 (10th Cir.
    2004)), and the affiant is able to identify or at least describe her to the magistrate.
    And while hearsay evidence can support probable cause, the most powerful basis of
    knowledge for an informer is personal knowledge of the alleged wrongdoing, see
    
    Pulliam, 748 F.3d at 971
    .
    Here, the informer, Ms. McBee, spoke from personal knowledge about the
    defendant’s gun habits. As a former girlfriend she expressed knowledge of Knox’s
    routines and whether he frequently carried firearms on his person. She spoke with
    20
    specificity about the particular types of weapons Knox was known to carry.
    Furthermore, while corroboration of non-predictive information cannot itself
    establish sufficient reliability for probable cause, see, e.g., United States v. Tuter,
    
    240 F.3d 1292
    , 1297 (10th Cir. 2001), Detective Finley was able to corroborate Ms.
    McBee’s information about the friendship between Knox and Young.
    Knox encourages us to hold that Ms. McBee’s statements were particularly un-
    reliable because she was the defendant’s ex-girlfriend, and therefore “a reasonably
    well trained [sic] officer would have viewed her statements with skepticism.” (Aplt.
    Br. at 35–36). We decline to do so. The only Tenth Circuit case cited by Knox for
    this proposition does not cast doubt upon an ex-girlfriend’s allegations because of her
    status as an ex-girlfriend, but rather because of the general unreliability of her
    particular statements. United States v. Fennell, 
    65 F.3d 812
    , 813 (10th Cir. 1995).
    Furthermore, Fennell is easily distinguishable from the case at bar for two reasons.
    First, in Fennell, authorities were unable to corroborate any aspect of the ex-
    girlfriend’s unsworn testimony. Here, Detective Finley was able to corroborate Ms.
    McBee’s allegation of a relationship between Knox and Young. Second, the officer
    in Fennell spoke with the ex-girlfriend over the phone, and thus “did not have an
    opportunity to observe her demeanor during the interview and therefore could not
    form any opinion as to her 
    veracity.” 65 F.3d at 813
    . Here, Detective Finley
    apparently spoke with Ms. McBee in person, offering him an opportunity to gauge
    21
    her reliability.13 Accordingly, we decline to hold—or even suggest—that statements
    from ex-girlfriends are somehow less reliable than those from other sources.14
    Therefore, based on Ms. McBee’s personal knowledge of Knox’s habits,
    acquired through the close proximity of a personal relationship, the information she
    provided bore some indicia of reliability.
    2. Timeliness
    Regardless of the source of the information, probable cause “cannot be based
    on stale information that no longer suggests that the items sought will be found in the
    place to be searched.” 
    Snow, 919 F.2d at 1459
    –60 (citing United States v. Shomo,
    
    786 F.2d 981
    , 983 (10th Cir. 1986)). Whether information is sufficiently stale to
    foreclose probable cause “depends on the nature of the criminal activity, the length of
    the activity, and the nature of the property to be seized.” 
    Snow, 919 F.2d at 1460
    (internal quotation marks omitted). When the illegal activity in question is
    “continuous and ongoing,” we are less likely to foreclose probable cause on the basis
    13
    The affidavit indicates that “Cynthia was able to identify both parties from Knox’s
    Facebook posts that the officer provided.” This at least implies that Detective Finley
    met in person with Ms. McBee. (Finley Aff. ¶ 4).
    14
    This should not imply that ex-girlfriends will always make particularly reliable
    informers. Rather, issuing judges are responsible for making a comprehensive
    assessment of an informer’s credibility, taking into account basis of knowledge,
    motivation to lie, and all other “circumstances set forth in the affidavit.” See 
    Gates, 462 U.S. at 238
    . In some cases ex-girlfriends will make particularly reliable
    informers given their close, personal relationship with the target of the investigation.
    In other situations, the particular circumstances of their present relationship may cast
    a shadow on the reliability of their information. There is no per se rule for when
    statements from an ex-girlfriend will bear sufficient indicia of reliability and when
    they will not.
    22
    of otherwise dated information. United States v. Mathis, 
    357 F.3d 1200
    , 1207 (10th
    Cir. 2004).
    Even if the district court was correct in holding that there was insufficient
    evidence of timeliness in this affidavit to establish probable cause (a matter on which
    we do not express an opinion), that decision was not so obvious as to preclude good-
    faith reliance on the magistrate’s decision. Ms. McBee indicated that Knox had
    become violent with her “lately,” establishing timeliness regarding her testimony.
    (Finley Aff. ¶ 4). She similarly indicated that Knox “always” carried a gun and—
    listed in the same sentence of the affidavit—“had threatened her and her neighbor in
    December,” less than a month before she spoke with Detective Finley. 
    Id. Taken together,
    it is a reasonable assumption that Ms. McBee had seen Knox “lately” and he
    had guns on his person at that time. That the conduct described is a “continuous and
    ongoing” felony further militates in favor of probable cause. See 
    Mathis, 357 F.3d at 1207
    .
    Armed with the testimony that Knox “always” carried a gun and owned
    “numerous weapons,” Detective Finley also established in the affidavit that a phone
    tied to Knox was tracked to 431 Freeman on February 3, 2014, and then again on
    February 6, 2014. (Finley Aff. ¶¶ 9,10). That he was there twice in four days
    suggested that Knox was not only visiting 431 Freeman, but establishing a longer-
    term presence at the residence. Given that the affidavit was sworn on February 6,
    and the warrant issued later the same day, this location information was timely.
    23
    3. Nexus
    Finally, it is the conjunction of Ms. McBee’s timely statement that Knox
    always carried a gun and the officers’ timely information concerning Knox’s location
    that provided the critical nexus between the illegal firearm sought in the search and
    431 Freeman. In order for an affidavit to establish probable cause there must be “a
    ‘nexus between the contraband to be seized . . . and the place to be searched.’”
    Gonzales, 
    399 F.3d 1225
    , 1228 (10th Cir. 2005) (internal alterations omitted)
    (quoting United States v. Rowland, 
    145 F.3d 1194
    , 1203–04 (10th Cir. 1998)). This
    nexus exists when the affidavit “describes circumstances which would warrant a
    person of reasonable caution in the belief that the articles sought are in a particular
    place.” United States v. Villanueva, 
    821 F.3d 1226
    , 1236 (10th Cir. 2016) (internal
    quotation marks omitted) (quoting United States v. Biglow, 
    562 F.3d 1272
    , 1279
    (10th Cir. 2009)).
    In this case, Ms. McBee’s timely statement that Knox “always” carried a gun,
    combined with the evidence that Knox was located at 431 Freeman, provides facially
    sufficient evidence that Knox’s illegally possessed firearm would be at 431 Freeman
    when he was there. Furthermore, the affidavit established that as of the afternoon the
    affidavit was presented to the issuing magistrate, the cell phone was still “pinging” in
    the location of 431 Freeman, indicating that Knox likely remained inside the
    residence. (Finley Aff. ¶ 11.) In light of Ms. McBee’s reliability, the timeliness of
    the information in the affidavit, and the nexus the affidavit created between Knox’s
    firearms and 431 Freeman, we cannot say the affidavit was “so lacking in indicia of
    24
    probable cause as to render official belief in its existence entirely unreasonable.”
    
    Leon, 468 U.S. at 923
    .15
    Therefore, regardless whether the district court was correct in concluding that
    the affidavit was insufficient to establish probable cause, the good-faith exception to
    the warrant requirement precludes suppression of the fruit of the subsequent search.
    Accordingly the district court’s decision denying Knox’s suppression motion is
    AFFIRMED.
    15
    While we do not hold that it is such a close question so as to necessitate reliance on
    this fact, that Detective Finley relied on an Assistant District Attorney to draft the
    affidavit and warrant application, would weigh in favor of applying the good-faith
    exception. Cf. 
    Messerschmidt, 565 U.S. at 553
    –55 (holding in the qualified
    immunity context that having secured the approval of their warrant application from
    both a superior and a deputy district attorney was “certainly pertinent in assessing
    whether [the officers] could have held a reasonable belief that the warrant was
    supported by probable cause”).
    25