Palmer Ranch Holdings LTD v. Commissioner of Internal Revenue ( 2016 )


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  •                Case: 14-14167       Date Filed: 02/05/2016      Page: 1 of 43
    [PUBLISH]
    IN THE UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE ELEVENTH CIRCUIT
    ________________________
    No. 14-14167
    ________________________
    Agency Docket No. 017017-11
    PALMER RANCH HOLDINGS LTD,
    PALMER RANCH HOLDINGS, INC.,
    TAX MATTERS PARTNER,
    Petitioners - Appellants
    Cross – Appellees,
    versus
    COMMISSIONER OF INTERNAL REVENUE SERVICE,
    Respondent - Appellee
    Cross - Appellant.
    _______________________
    Petitions for Review of a Decision
    of the U.S. Tax Court
    _______________________
    (February 5, 2016)
    Before ROSENBAUM and JULIE CARNES, Circuit Judges, and GOLDBERG, *
    Judge.
    *
    The Honorable Richard W. Goldberg, of the United States Court of International Trade, sitting
    by designation.
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    GOLDBERG, Judge:
    As recently as 2007, Southwestern Florida served as a proud home to the
    American, or bald, eagle. One bald eagle nest, SA-010, was located on the eastern
    side of an 82.19 acre parcel of land known as B-10, in Sarasota County. To the
    west of B-10 lies Sarasota Bay, where the eagles would fly to feed. To allow the
    eagles to reach their feeding grounds safely, B-10 sported a nest-to-coast flyway in
    the form of a “wildlife corridor.” The wildlife corridor also provided a habitat to
    small urban animals of considerably less patriotic interest.
    Freedom isn’t free. Concern over the eagle nest, wildlife corridor, and
    wetlands on B-10 thwarted plans by the parcel’s owner, Palmer Ranch, Inc.
    (“Palmer Ranch”) to sell B-10 and the adjacent B-9 for residential development.
    Ever resourceful, Palmer Ranch turned around and donated a conservation
    easement on B-10 to Sarasota County in 2006, a strategy that allowed the
    corporation to deduct the easement’s value from that year’s tax returns. But
    Palmer Ranch’s backup plan fell prey to a sharp-eyed IRS, who disallowed the
    deduction on grounds that Palmer Ranch had overvalued B-10 in calculating the
    associated easement’s worth. Palmer Ranch had valued B-10 at $25,200,000 on
    the assumption that B-10’s highest and best use was residential development, with
    development of 360 dwelling units being reasonably probable. The IRS did not
    share Palmer Ranch’s optimism.
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    Palmer Ranch challenged the IRS’s decision in tax court. There, Palmer
    Ranch insisted that B-10’s highest and best use was residential development under
    a Moderate Density Residential (“MDR”) zoning designation, which would allow
    between two and five units per acre, or 164 to 410 units total. Based on this
    highest and best use, Palmer Ranch stuck to its initial $25,200,000 valuation. The
    IRS countered with a maximum highest and best use of 100 units and a
    corresponding valuation of $7,750,000.
    The tax court held in favor of Palmer Ranch on B-10’s highest and best use,
    but nonetheless revalued B-10 at $21,005,278, instead of $25,200,000. The parties
    cross-appealed. The IRS argues that the tax court ballooned B-10’s highest and
    best use, and that the tax court’s valuation was therefore too rosy. Palmer Ranch
    likes the tax court’s highest-and-best-use analysis, but is not on board with the
    revaluation. For the reasons that follow, we affirm the tax court’s determination of
    B-10’s highest and best use, but reverse the tax court’s $21,005,278 valuation. We
    remand for further proceedings consistent with this opinion.
    BACKGROUND
    The reader might wonder, Why is the value of B-10 itself, or B-10’s highest
    and best use, at issue? After all, Palmer Ranch’s deduction was for the value of a
    conservation easement on B-10—not for the value of the underlying parcel—and it
    was that deduction that the IRS disallowed and the parties litigated in tax court.
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    The answer lies in the method Palmer Ranch used to determine the
    conservation easement’s value: the “before and after” method. Under 26 C.F.R.
    § 1.170A-14(h)(3)(i) (2015),
    [T]he fair market value of a perpetual conservation restriction [in this
    case, a conservation easement] is equal to the difference between the
    fair market value of the property it encumbers before the granting of
    the restriction [the “before” value] and the fair market value of the
    encumbered property after the granting of the restriction [the “after”
    value].
    So the reason that the value of B-10 itself (i.e. B-10’s before value) is at issue is
    because it determines the value of the conservation easement. And B-10’s highest
    and best use is in turn at issue because B-10’s before value is informed by the
    parcel’s highest and best use. 26 C.F.R. § 1.170A-14(h)(3)(ii) mandates that
    the [before value] take into account not only the current use of the
    property but also an objective assessment of how immediate or remote
    the likelihood is that the property, absent the restriction, would in fact
    be developed, as well as any effect from zoning, conservation, or
    historic preservation laws that already restrict the property’s potential
    highest and best use.
    Or, in the words of tax court case law, B-10’s before value must take into account
    the parcel’s highest and best “reasonable and probable use that supports the highest
    present value.” Symington v. Comm’r, 
    87 T.C. 892
    , 897 (1986). The “focus [is]
    on ‘the highest and most profitable use for which the property is adaptable and
    needed or likely to be needed in the reasonably near future.’” 
    Id. (quoting Olson
    v.
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    United States, 
    292 U.S. 246
    , 255, 
    54 S. Ct. 704
    , 708–09 (1934)). Hence the
    significance of B-10’s highest and best use in resolving this case.
    Another concept critical to disposing of this case is the “comparable sales”
    method for valuing land after the highest and best use has been determined. As 26
    C.F.R. § 1.170A-14(h)(3)(ii) makes clear, simply knowing a parcel of land’s
    highest and best use does not automatically result in a value for the parcel: There
    remains the task of arriving at a figure that “take[s] into account” the parcel’s
    highest and best use. One way to get there is through the comparable-sales
    method, which entails considering sales of similarly situated parcels. See Wolfsen
    Land & Cattle Co. v. Comm’r, 
    72 T.C. 1
    , 19 (1979) (“The ‘comparable sales’
    method functions by: (1) Locating [parcels] as physically similar (comparable) as
    possible to the subject [parcel] which (2) have been sold on the open market in
    noncollusive, nonforced sales for cash or cash equivalent, within (3) a reasonable
    time of the date for which a value of the subject property is desired.”). The
    relevance of the comparable sales approach will become apparent as we go along,
    but suffice to say for now that the approach bears on the propriety of the tax
    court’s determination that B-10 was worth $21,005,278, not $25,200,000.
    Having explained the concepts of before value, highest and best use, and the
    comparable-sales approach, we will now turn to the factual exposition necessary to
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    frame our discussion of the issues. We begin by recounting an event that informs
    B-10’s highest and best use: Palmer Ranch’s aforementioned attempt to sell B-10.
    A. The Failed Sale
    In 2003, Palmer Ranch agreed to sell 86.9 acres within B-10 and an adjacent
    parcel, B-9, to Pulte Homes (“Pulte”), a national home developer, for $8.25
    million. Pulte aimed to develop 240 dwelling units across the two parcels, with 84
    to be located on B-10. But in order for Pulte to develop this number of units, both
    B-9 and B-10 would have to be rezoned: B-10 was zoned as Residential Estate-1,
    which capped development to one unit per two acres, for 41 total units. Pulte
    would therefore have to submit a rezoning application to the Sarasota Board of
    County Commissioners (“BOCC”), which would then have to approve the
    application under the Sarasota County comprehensive plan. The comprehensive
    plan restricted B-10’s top future zoning to MDR.
    Another potential hurdle to Pulte’s development was the fact that both B-9
    and B-10 were part of the Palmer Ranch Development of Regional Impact
    (“DRI”). So, besides submitting a rezoning application to the BOCC, Pulte would
    also have to submit a separate development application. The BOCC would have to
    approve the development application under the DRI’s master development order,
    which protected the bald eagle nest and created the wildlife corridor.
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    In a word, at the time that Palmer Ranch contracted with Pulte, the odds that
    Pulte could successfully develop B-9 and B-10 were at least to some degree
    uncertain. To hedge for this uncertainty, Palmer Ranch and Pulte agreed that their
    sale would be contingent on the BOCC approving development and rezoning
    applications.
    The BOCC did not oblige, denying Pulte’s development application by a
    vote of three to two without addressing the rezoning application. Rather than
    giving up, though, Pulte and Palmer Ranch went back to the drawing board. They
    redrafted the sales contract to exclude any part of B-10. Pulte would purchase land
    on B-9 only, albeit at the same $8.25 million price. With the sales contract drawn
    up, Pulte submitted new development and rezoning applications to the BOCC, this
    time seeking to develop 184 dwelling units on B-9 only. Palmer Ranch and Pulte
    eagerly awaited the BOCC’s decision.
    Unrelenting, the BOCC denied Pulte’s development and rezoning
    applications three to two. With the second denial, the BOCC issued an ordinance
    offering guidance on the changes that “would be necessary in order to allow for a
    favorable consideration of the proposal.” To be approved, an amended
    development application would have to “set[] forth development plans which
    include[] both Parcel B-9 and B-10 (totaling 86.35 acres+/–) . . . ; this application
    should include Parcel B-10 and should endeavor to keep Parcel B-10 [intact] as it
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    relates to the Eagle Preservation Area, the wetlands, and the wildlife corridor.”
    Notwithstanding the BOCC’s hint, Pulte declined to submit a third set of
    applications, instead canceling the sales contract with Palmer Ranch.
    B. Palmer Ranch’s Altruistic Response
    Once the sales contract with Pulte fell through, Palmer Ranch donated a
    conservation easement on B-10 to Sarasota County. 1 This response allowed
    Palmer Ranch to deduct the value of the easement from its 2006 tax returns. See
    26 U.S.C. § 170(f)(3)(B)(iii), (h) (2012). To establish the value of the
    conservation easement, Palmer Ranch commissioned a land use analysis from
    WilsonMiller, a land use and planning firm, and an appraisal from Chad Durrance,
    a licensed appraiser. In the land use analysis, WilsonMiller considered whether
    and to what extent the BOCC would approve future development on B-10 in
    guiding light of the BOCC’s recent ordinance. According to WilsonMiller,
    although the ordinance required B-10 to remain intact as necessary to protect the
    eagle nest, wetlands, and wildlife corridor, the ordinance did not indicate that the
    BOCC had denied Pulte’s second development application for reasons “related to
    the zoning district that was being requested at the time, []or the number of units
    that were [then] being proposed [184].” WilsonMiller concluded that a
    1
    One might say Palmer Ranch confected a “donut of intent” regarding B-10. R. at 1439
    (“[We] included those exhibits when we believed the donut of intent and the charitable nature of
    the contribution was at issue.”) This presumably should not be confused with the more vanilla
    “donative intent.”
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    development of 360 units on B-10, as outlined in its analysis, “would be found to
    be consistent with . . . Sarasota County’s Comprehensive Plan, the Sarasota County
    Zoning Ordinance and Land Development Regulations, and the Palmer Ranch
    Master Development Order.”
    With WilsonMiller’s analysis in hand, Durrance appraised the value of the
    conservation easement on B-10 using the before and after method. Durrance
    concluded that the highest and best use of B-10 “before” the conservation
    easement was “residential development.” To support this conclusion, Durrance
    relied on WilsonMiller’s land use analysis, which Durrance paraphrased as
    indicating that “it is reasonably probable that a total of 360 dwelling units could be
    developed on [B-10] with potential for even more” and that “[t]his type of
    development could be accommodated . . . while still protecting and preserving the
    Eagle’s Nest and any environmentally sensitive areas.” Durrance then used the
    comparable-sales method to value B-10 in light of its highest and best use.
    Durrance identified seven sales of comparable properties whose per-acre prices
    ranged from $237,200 to $510,600. On the basis of these comparables, Durrance
    concluded that the per acre price for B-10 if put to the parcel’s highest and best use
    would be $307,000, or $25,200,000 for the whole shebang. Durrance explained
    that one reason his price fell on the lower end of the comparable-sales range was a
    “softening of the residential market in 2006,” when Palmer Ranch donated the
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    conservation easement. “For instance, the executed contract and agreed upon sales
    price for Comparable 1 at over $110,000 per unit [and $510,600 per acre] occurred
    in September 2005, which is estimated to be near the top of the market.”2
    Durrance further concluded that B-10’s value “after” the easement was $1,260,000,
    meaning that the value of the easement itself was $23,940,000.
    Palmer Ranch deducted Durrance’s $23,940,000 easement value from its
    2006 tax returns. The IRS disallowed a portion of Palmer Ranch’s deduction.
    Palmer Ranch sued the IRS in tax court.
    C. The Experts’ Take in Tax Court
    In tax court, both Palmer Ranch and the IRS relied on experts to establish
    the before value of B-10. For its part, Palmer Ranch looked to James Paulmann,
    who had been a senior vice president at WilsonMiller when the firm completed its
    land use analysis for B-10, and Durrance. Paulmann prepared an expert report in
    advance of trial, in which he concluded that “it is reasonably probable that Palmer
    Ranch Parcel B-10 would be approved for development of 360 multifamily units.”
    Paulmann also explained why “the [BOCC’s] 2004 denial of the Pulte rezoning
    application for Parcel B-9 does not change [this] conclusion”: “[T]he issues and
    circumstances present in 2004 related only to the specific development proposed
    2
    Comparable 1 did not actually switch hands until January 2006, although the parties
    (evidently) agreed on a price and executed the contract the preceding fall. The total price was
    $40,000,000 for 78.34 acres.
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    by Pulte for Parcel B-9” and do “not relate to whether, in 2006, B-10 could have
    been rezoned in a manner consistent with [WilsonMiller’s 360] multifamily unit
    development plan.” When asked at trial why the BOCC’s 2004 ordinance
    mentioned B-10 at all, Paulmann said “[it] didn’t make sense to me why [the
    BOCC] would put that in there.”
    Durrance also prepared additional documentation in advance of trial, for him
    in the form of a second appraisal. In the new appraisal, Durrance stuck by his
    original before valuation of $307,000 per acre, $25,200,000 total. Citing
    Paulmann’s report, Durrance explained that “residential development of B-10 at a
    density ranging from a minimum of 164 units (2 units per acre) to a maximum of
    410 units (5 units per acre)” was reasonably probable. Therefore, the highest and
    best use of B-10 was “residential development at a density of between two and five
    units per acre,” or MDR density. This version of B-10’s highest and best use
    constituted an update to what Durrance had offered in the first appraisal—that B-
    10’s highest and best use was simply “residential development.”
    The second appraisal also gave Durrance an opportunity to frame his before
    valuation as consistent with an appraisal the government had obtained in separate
    takings litigation. In Rogers v. United States, 
    90 Fed. Cl. 418
    (2009), the
    government hired appraiser John Underwood to value undeveloped land in the
    Palmer Ranch DRI, including B-9 and B-10, as of April 2004. Underwood
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    testified that the land’s highest and best use was residential development at MDR
    density. According to Durrance, Underwood “concluded undeveloped residential
    land in Palmer Ranch was worth $200,000 per acre in April 2004.” 3
    3
    Durrance’s claim that Underwood valued Palmer Ranch land at $200,000 conflicts with
    the Court of Federal Claims’ opinion in Childers v. United States, 
    112 Fed. Cl. 617
    (2013)
    (Childers being the opinion that actually recounts the takings litigation appraisals). The Childers
    court said Underwood valued B-9 and B-10 at $165,000 per 
    acre. 112 Fed. Cl. at 693
    –94.
    In his second appraisal, Durrance said Underwood’s $165,000 per-acre valuation was
    consistent with a $200,000 valuation because the $165,000 valuation featured a built-in “large
    tract discount” of 20%, which would not apply to the 82-acre B-10 standing alone (as opposed to
    B-0 and B-10 together). In Durrance’s words,
    Mr. Underwood generally concludes the land value of property in Palmer Ranch
    is worth $200,000 per gross acre for 10 to 25 acre tracts, including property that is
    not in the DRI. (Property in the DRI would be more valuable than property not in
    the Palmer Ranch DRI.) . . . But, for tracts of land larger than 25 acres, Mr.
    Underwood applied a size discount. In other words, Mr. Underwood concluded
    that simply because the owner held title to a larger tract of land, the property – by
    virtue of that fact alone – was less valuable. On this basis, Mr. Underwood
    discounted his $200,000 per acre value for the combined Parcel B-9 and Parcel B-
    10 by 20% for a value of $165,000 per acre in April 2004. But the Underwood
    size discount is not relevant to the appraisal of Parcel B-10, as it is only 82 acres.
    This summary at best oversimplifies the mechanics of Underwood’s large-lot discount.
    Underwood applied a large-lot discount to accommodate his observation that larger tracts of land
    sold at lower per-acre prices than smaller tracts of land. 
    Childers, 112 Fed. Cl. at 631
    –32.
    Based on this observation, Underwood attempted to neutralize size-based price discrepancies
    when using comparable sales to value B-9 and B-10. Specifically, B-9 and B-10 being of a
    determinate size, Underwood adjusted the prices of higher acreage sales upwards to approximate
    the higher per-acre price that B-9 and B-10 would themselves fetch. 
    Id. at 692–93.
    And
    Underwood did the same with lower acreage sales, only he adjusted downwards.
    In valuing B-9 and B-10, Underwood gave “the most weight” to a comparable sale of
    199.4 acres for $140,393 per 
    acre. 112 Fed. Cl. at 693
    –94. Because the comparable sale
    covered a larger acreage area than B-9 and B-10, Underwood adjusted the comparable’s per-acre
    price upwards 15%. 
    Id. at 692–93.
    Thus, Underwood deemed the closest comparable’s
    functional per-acre price (that is, the per-acre price the comparable would have had if the same
    size as B-9 and B-10 together) to be $161,452.
    Underwood also constructed functional prices for the other comparable sales he
    considered. Because some of the sales involved parcels smaller than B-9 and B-10, the
    functional per-acre prices were lower, not higher, than the actual prices. The largest downward
    [footnote continued]
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    Durrance explained that the 2004 valuation of $200,000 was consistent with
    his 2006 $307,000 valuation because Underwood had also proposed a monthly
    appreciation rate of 1.5%, which covered the difference. In Durrance’s words,
    “[w]hen the $200,000 per acre value of Palmer Ranch land is adjusted for the
    increase in value of Palmer Ranch land occurring between April 2004 to December
    2006 (using [Underwood’s 1.5% per month] rate . . . ) the value of Palmer Ranch
    land was $299,000 per acre.” Durrance continued,
    [t]he 2.7% monthly appreciation rate Underwood uses for the 2004 –
    2005 period is the more appropriate rate by which to adjust the
    increase in the value of Palmer Ranch during the 2004 – 2006 period.
    But, whether one chooses to adjust the increase in value at 2.7% per
    month over a 21-month period, or adjust the value using an average
    1.5% per month for 33 months (April 2004 – December 2006), the
    result is the same – an increase in the value of Palmer Ranch land
    between April 2004 and December 2006 of essentially 50%.
    Therefore, Durrance concluded, the 2004 valuation of $200,000 was consistent
    with his $307,000 valuation.
    adjustment Underwood made was 20%. On the basis of all these comparable sales, including the
    functional $161,452 sale to which he gave “the most weight,” Underwood valued B-9 and B-10
    at $165,000 per acre.
    What Underwood did not do was reach a valuation of $200,000 per acre and then lop off
    20% simply because B-9 and B-10 together covered a large acreage. While Underwood’s
    methodology might have led him to estimate a higher per-acre value than $165,000 were he to
    value B-10 alone, nothing in his methodology suggests that he would have arrived at $200,000.
    Durrance appears to have gotten the 20% figure (which he uses to alchemize $165,000 into
    $200,000) from the largest downward adjustment that Underwood made. But, in applying this
    adjustment directly to an imaginary valuation of $200,000, Durrance robbed Underwood’s
    appraisal of context and reason.
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    At trial, Durrance was asked whether he had made any “specific
    adjustments” to account for “the differences in . . . the state of the market between
    the properties that closed in 2005 and B-10 in December of ’06.” Durrance
    specified that he had not made any “quantitative adjustments,” explaining that
    there was no “notable nosedive” in property values in December 2006; instead,
    there was simply a “a pause in the market . . . a softening . . . of activity.”
    Durrance was also asked about the development calendar for Comparable 1,
    the comparable sale closest in time to Palmer Ranch’s donation of B-10.4
    Durrance acknowledged that the purchaser put development plans “on hold” due to
    unfavorable economic conditions, and that the land swapped in the sale lay vacant
    until “the last half of 2012 into 2013.” Durrance noted, however, that it was not
    clear exactly how much of the delay could be attributed to economic conditions,
    because the usual “site development and engineering process” always cost some
    amount of time. Durrance also conceded that, once development started, the
    purchaser “lowered the density” below the 303 units originally planned.
    Finally, Durrance was asked what he thought of B-10’s rezoning history.
    Durrance stated that he gave “no weight” to the history because “B-10 has never
    been up for rezoning as it is described in this appraisal.” Durrance also stated that
    4
    According to the tax court’s eventual opinion, “the parties agree[d] that comparable 1
    [wa]s the only true comparable.”
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    it did not matter that the BOCC had denied the rezoning of B-9 because that denial
    involved “[d]ifferent properties, different time periods.”
    The IRS rebutted Palmer Ranch’s before valuation with a planning and
    engineering report prepared by Richard Doyle and an appraisal prepared by
    Bradley Page. According to Doyle, “Based on the rezoning history of Parcel B-10,
    it is reasonably probable to expect 72 to 84 units to be approved for development.”
    Doyle lifted the 84 unit cap from Pulte’s first development application, in which
    Pulte had proposed to build that number of units on B-10. Page, relying on
    Doyle’s projection, deemed the highest and best use of B-10 to be “residential
    development,” with “the most likely and reasonably probable development [being]
    72 to 100 units.” Because a 100-unit development would fall well below the MDR
    minimum of 164 units (two units per each of B-10’s 82 acres), Page necessarily
    implied that MDR-level development was beyond B-10’s highest and best use.
    Based on his 100-unit highest and best use, Page concluded that B-10’s before
    value was $7,750,000, or approximately $94,000 per acre. Page reached this
    amount despite not only using the same valuation method as Durrance (comparable
    sales), but also working from four of the same benchmark sales—including “the
    only true comparable” sale of 78.34 acres for $40,000,000, $510,600 per acre, in
    January 2006.
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    D. The Tax Court’s Opinion
    The tax court issued a memorandum opinion in which it adopted Palmer
    Ranch’s proposed highest and best use for B-10—residential development at MDR
    density—but nonetheless revalued B-10 at $21,005,278, instead of $25,200,000.
    In siding with Palmer Ranch on the question of highest and best use, the tax court
    rejected the IRS’s view of B-10’s rezoning history. The IRS pointed to the
    BOCC’s 2004 ordinance in particular, maintaining that the ordinance was “a
    legally binding document that show[ed] a historical rezoning and development
    denial for parcel B-10.” The implication, said the IRS, was that the BOCC would
    deny any future MDR-density development.
    The tax court disagreed with the IRS’s reading of the ordinance, in part on
    grounds that the IRS had relied “on reams of hearsay evidence found in the BOCC
    meeting minutes.” Rather than resorting to this hearsay, the tax court instead
    looked at the BOCC ordinance in context. The tax court began by pointing out that
    the BOCC issued the ordinance in 2004, two years prior to the valuation date, and
    that the ordinance “applied to B-9 only” (because the BOCC had issued it after
    denying Pulte’s second, revised development application, which omitted B-10).
    The only BOCC decision that applied to B-10 was the BOCC’s June 2004 denial
    of Pulte’s first development application, an application that included B-10 but “not
    . . . the eagle nest zone.” Taking the June 2004 denial and the ordinance together,
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    the tax court figured that the BOCC “was concerned that the [June 2004]
    development application did not consider the nearby eagle nest zone, wetlands, and
    wildlife corridor.” This concern was exacerbated, not allayed, when Pulte dropped
    B-10 from the second development application altogether. That was why the
    ordinance instructed that a new application should “include Parcel B-10 and should
    endeavor to keep Parcel B-10 [intact] as it relates to the Eagle Preservation Area,
    the wetlands, and the wildlife corridor.” Far from indicating that the BOCC would
    deny MDR-density development on B-10, the ordinance instead mandated that B-
    10 be included in development applications, albeit in such a way as to shield the
    eagles and the environment. Because WilsonMiller’s 360-unit (MDR-density)
    development plan “included all of parcel B-10 (including the eagle nest zone)” and
    addressed the BOCC’s environmental concerns, it was reasonably probable for the
    BOCC to approve that plan.
    The tax court also pointed out two other reasons that the BOCC would, in
    reasonable probability, approve MDR-level development on B-10. First, the
    BOCC decided both the 2004 denial and the ordinance by a close three–two vote,
    “suggest[ing] that the BOCC’s decision could have changed over time.” Second,
    the BOCC approved development of the Hamptons, which “was built in a wildlife
    corridor on a tract of land adjoining parcel B-10, near the eagle nest.” On the basis
    of all this, the tax court concluded it was reasonably probable for the BOCC to
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    approve MDR-density development on B-10, rendering such development B-10’s
    highest and best use.
    Partly because the tax court held that B-10’s highest and best use was MDR-
    level development, the tax court deemed Durrance’s MDR-predicated appraisal
    ($25,200,000) to be “more accurate” than Page’s lower-use figure ($7,750,000).
    The tax court “also f[ound] compelling that both [Durrance and Page] used four of
    the same comparables, yet only Mr. Durrance’s appraisal is within the selected
    comparables’ price-per-acre range.” But after finding Durrance’s appraisal more
    accurate, the tax court nonetheless held that the appraisal was “not without fault”
    and warranted reduction. In the tax court’s own words,
    The judge in [the prior takings litigation] determined that undeveloped
    land in the DRI (including parcel B-10) was worth $200,000 per acre
    as of April 2004. Using that price as a starting point [in his second
    appraisal], Mr. Durrance states that a market condition (or time)
    adjustment must be made to account for the trend of increasing land
    values. He estimates that the value of parcel B-10 was about
    $300,000 per acre in December 2006. As support for his estimate,
    Mr. Durrance provides alternative calculations: (1) apply a 2.7%
    monthly appreciation rate to $200,000 for 21 months (April 2004
    through December 2005) or (2) apply a 1.5% monthly appreciation
    rate to $200,000 for 33 months (April 2004 through December 2006).
    Mr. Durrance borrowed these alternative time adjustment
    calculations from the Government’s appraiser (John Underwood) in
    the Rogers case. However, Mr. Durrance’s use of these calculations is
    incomplete. Mr. Underwood states in his Rogers appraisal that there
    was a 2.7% per month increase in values from 2004 to 2005.
    However, he said appreciation rates for raw land lag behind those for
    developed land, so he used a 1.5% per month adjustment for Palmer
    Ranch’s undeveloped land. Parcel B-10 is raw and, so we believe the
    1.5% per month time adjustment is appropriate.
    18
    Case: 14-14167     Date Filed: 02/05/2016   Page: 19 of 43
    Mr. Durrance applied the 1.5% appreciation factor over 33
    months, ending in December 2006. Citing numerous newspaper
    articles reporting a 2006 third-quarter decline in housing prices,
    respondent argues the appreciation rate is too high. On cross-
    examination, Mr. Durrance stated that the real estate market peaked in
    late 2005. He stated there was a softening in demand, but no notable
    nosedive or decrease in value in 2006. According to his own
    admission, Mr. Durrance should not have applied a steady 1.5%
    appreciation factor to parcel B-10 for the months after the market hit
    its peak in 2005. Even if property values did not decline in 2006, we
    think they likely stagnated. Accordingly, we will reduce petitioner’s
    appraisal by the amount of 2006 appreciation Mr. Durrance
    calculated. This results in a “before value” of $21,005,278.
    On the basis of this “before” value, and after finding an “after” value of
    $1,050,264, the tax court held that the fair market value of the conservation
    easement was $19,955,014.
    The parties appeal. According to the IRS, the tax court overshot B-10’s
    highest and best use. Palmer Ranch does not think so, but quibbles with the tax
    court’s revaluation of B-10 at $21,005,278.
    STANDARD OF REVIEW
    We review the tax court’s legal conclusions de novo and its findings of fact
    for clear error. Long v. Comm’r, 
    772 F.3d 670
    , 675 (11th Cir. 2014). “[W]hether
    the Tax Court used the correct standard to determine fair market value is a legal
    issue. . . . A determination of fair market value is a mixed question of fact and
    law: the factual premises are subject to a clearly erroneous standard while the legal
    19
    Case: 14-14167     Date Filed: 02/05/2016    Page: 20 of 43
    conclusions are subject to de novo review.” Estate of Jelke v. Comm’r, 
    507 F.3d 1317
    , 1321 (11th Cir. 2007).
    DISCUSSION
    A. The IRS is not Estopped from Appealing the Tax Court’s Highest-and-
    Best-Use Determination.
    At the outset, we must address a motion to dismiss filed by Palmer Ranch in
    which the corporation argues that the IRS is barred from pursuing its half of this
    appeal. Palmer Ranch offers two theories in this refrain. First, Palmer Ranch
    invokes the doctrine of judicial estoppel, which prevents a party from asserting
    inconsistent claims across different legal proceedings. Burnes v. Pemco Aeroplex,
    Inc., 
    291 F.3d 1282
    , 1285–86 (11th Cir. 2002). Palmer Ranch argues that the IRS
    cannot now claim a highest and best use below MDR-level development because
    in Rogers IRS expert John Underwood testified that B-10’s highest and best use
    was residential development at MDR density. Palmer Ranch also draws our
    attention to the IRS’s behavior after instituting its appeal. Evidently, in June 2015,
    the IRS sought to levy the personal assets of Hugh and Liza Culverhouse (Hugh
    Culverhouse having an interest in Palmer Ranch). According to Palmer Ranch, by
    doing so the IRS “embraced the [t]ax [c]ourt’s decision.” Palmer Ranch says the
    IRS’s present appeal is inconsistent with this embrace.
    20
    Case: 14-14167       Date Filed: 02/05/2016      Page: 21 of 43
    Second, Palmer Ranch conjures the acceptance of benefits doctrine, a kind
    of equitable estoppel.5 In the Eleventh Circuit, “[w]here one in whose favor a
    judgment is rendered accepts the benefits, he is estopped from questioning the
    validity[] of the judgment in any subsequent litigation.” Zaklama v. Mount Sinai
    Med. Ctr., 
    906 F.2d 645
    , 650 (11th Cir. 1990) (citation omitted). Palmer Ranch
    maintains that, by seeking to levy Hugh and Liza Culverhouse’s assets, the IRS
    accepted the benefits of the tax court’s judgment.
    Both of Palmer Ranch’s estoppel arguments fail. The hallmark of judicial
    estoppel is inconsistency: “Under this doctrine, a party is precluded from
    ‘asserting a claim in a legal proceeding that is inconsistent with a claim taken by
    that party in a previous proceeding.’” 
    Burnes, 291 F.3d at 1285
    (citation omitted).
    The Supreme Court has enumerated several nonexhaustive factors courts may
    consider in deciding whether to apply judicial estoppel:
    (1) whether the present position is “clearly inconsistent” with the
    earlier position; (2) whether the party succeeded in persuading a
    tribunal to accept the earlier position, so that judicial acceptance of the
    inconsistent position in a later proceeding creates the perception that
    either court was misled; and (3) whether the party advancing the
    inconsistent position would derive an unfair advantage on the
    opposing party.
    
    Id. (citing New
    Hampshire v. Maine, 
    532 U.S. 742
    , 750–51, 
    121 S. Ct. 1808
    , 1815
    (2001)). The Eleventh Circuit has its own formulation of the test. To prevail on a
    5
    This doctrine has also been coined the accord and satisfaction doctrine. See Crawford
    v. Andrew Sys., Inc., 
    39 F.3d 1151
    , 1153 (11th Cir. 1994).
    21
    Case: 14-14167        Date Filed: 02/05/2016   Page: 22 of 43
    judicial estoppel theory, the proponent must show (1) “that the allegedly
    inconsistent positions were made under oath in a prior proceeding [and (2) that]
    such inconsistencies . . . have been calculated to make a mockery of the judicial
    system.” 
    Id. (citation omitted).
    There is at least one rudimentary problem with Palmer Ranch’s judicial
    estoppel argument: The IRS’s positions have not been inconsistent. In Rogers, the
    IRS’s appraiser John Underwood testified that B-9 and B-10’s highest and best use
    as of April 2004 was residential development at MDR density. In this case, the
    IRS argues that B-10 could not achieve that same highest and best use as of
    December 2006. The IRS bases its argument on circumstances unique to 2006,
    including B-10’s rezoning history and the development outlook going forward at
    that time. The IRS’s more optimistic 2004 appraisal therefore is not inconsistent
    with its position in this appeal.
    The same goes for the IRS’s pursuit of a levy against Hugh and Liza
    Culverhouse’s personal assets. That route is consistent with the IRS’s position on
    appeal because, through both its pursuit of the levy and this appeal, the IRS
    maintains that Palmer Ranch owes taxes. Although the IRS advocates on appeal
    for a greater tax deficiency than the one the tax court found, the agency never
    undercuts its entitlement to at least the tax court’s figure. Besides, 26 U.S.C.
    § 7485 expressly authorizes the IRS to seek a levy simultaneous to an appeal. See
    22
    Case: 14-14167        Date Filed: 02/05/2016        Page: 23 of 43
    26 U.S.C. § 7485 (allowing such a course when the taxpayer appeals but fails to
    post an appeal bond). There is no inconsistency in the IRS following the course
    laid out in statute, and therefore no cause for judicial estoppel. 6
    Palmer Ranch’s acceptance of benefits argument fails as well. In the
    Eleventh Circuit, a party cannot be deemed to have accepted the benefits of a
    judgment unless his counterparty has offered a benefit for him to accept—
    generally in the form of payment in the judgment amount.7 Even payment does
    not always suffice: “[W]here a judgment is appealed on the ground that the
    damages awarded are inadequate, acceptance of payment of the amount of the
    unsatisfactory judgment does not, standing alone, amount to an accord and
    satisfaction of the entire claim.” United States v. Hougham, 
    364 U.S. 310
    , 312, 
    81 S. Ct. 13
    , 16 (1960). When a party has accepted payment on the judgment but still
    insists on his right to appeal, we look to “the parties’ objective manifestations of
    6
    We additionally note that judicial estoppel arguments are fueled by “inconsistent
    positions . . . [taken] under oath in a prior proceeding.” 
    Burnes, 291 F.3d at 1285
    . It is unclear
    to us how the IRS’s pursuit of a levy amounts to making a statement under oath in a proceeding.
    7
    See, e.g., Alvarez Perez v. Sanford-Orlando Kennel Club, Inc., 
    518 F.3d 1302
    , 1305–06
    (11th Cir. 2008) (considering whether “defendants paying the plaintiff not only the original
    amount of the judgment . . . but also trial level attorney’s fees . . . plus interest” and signing and
    filing “satisfaction of judgment” documents “rendered [defendants’ appeal for inadequate
    damages] moot”); 
    Crawford, 39 F.3d at 1153
    (considering whether plaintiffs’ withdrawal of
    funds associated with one undisputed judgment barred pursuit of appeal of second judgment);
    Fidelcor Mortg. Corp. v. Ins. Co. of North America, 
    820 F.2d 367
    (11th Cir. 1987) (considering
    whether full payment of judgment and execution and filing of a standard satisfaction of judgment
    form barred appeal).
    23
    Case: 14-14167        Date Filed: 02/05/2016       Page: 24 of 43
    intent” to determine whether the appeal can go forward. Alvarez Perez v. Sanford-
    Orlando Kennel Club, Inc., 
    518 F.3d 1302
    , 1307 (11th Cir. 2008).
    Palmer Ranch flunks at the very first step. To date, Palmer Ranch has paid
    not one deficiency-devoted dime to the IRS, nor tendered any other benefit, so
    there can be no acceptance of benefits by the IRS.8 There is therefore no basis for
    us to hold that the IRS is estopped from appealing the tax court’s judgment.
    Accordingly, Palmer Ranch’s motion to dismiss is denied. We now proceed to the
    merits.
    B. The Tax Court Did Not Err in Determining B-10’s Highest and Best
    Use.
    The IRS claims that the tax court erred in determining that B-10’s highest
    and best use was MDR-level development. The IRS argues that (1) contrary to the
    tax court’s reasoning, B-10’s rezoning history shows that the BOCC would not, in
    reasonable probability, approve a 360-unit, MDR-density development; (2) the tax
    court “failed to address whether [a] 360-unit development was needed or likely to
    be needed shortly after December 2006”; and (3) the tax court “failed to consider
    the effect of the zoning history on hypothetical willing buyers of B-10.” For the
    8
    We leave for another day the question of whether, had Palmer Ranch paid the IRS, “the
    parties’ objective manifestations of intent” would bar appeal. This strikes us as a thorny question
    in light of 26 U.S.C. § 7485, which authorizes the IRS to collect on a deficiency simultaneous to
    an appeal.
    24
    Case: 14-14167        Date Filed: 02/05/2016        Page: 25 of 43
    reasons that follow, we uphold the tax court’s determination of B-10’s highest and
    best use.
    1. The Tax Court Did Not Clearly Err in its Reading of B-10’s Rezoning
    History.
    We agree with the tax court that B-10’s rezoning history leaves open the
    reasonable probability that the BOCC would approve MDR-level development on
    B-10. To determine a property’s highest and best reasonably probable use, the
    court focuses on “[t]he highest and most profitable use for which the property is
    adaptable and needed or likely to be needed in the reasonably near future.”
    Symington, 
    87 T.C. 897
    (quoting 
    Olson, 292 U.S. at 255
    , 54 S. Ct. at 708–09). 9
    The IRS contends that it was not reasonably probable for the BOCC to approve
    MDR-density development on B-10 because “[t]he rezoning history, which
    culminated in the issuance of Ordinance No. 2004-055, strongly suggests that the
    BOCC would not have permitted [MDR-level] development.” Besides the
    rezoning history considered by the tax court (including the BOCC’s two three–two
    votes and the language of the ordinance), the IRS invokes the BOCC meeting
    minutes and an information packet from the second meeting. According to the
    IRS, the meeting minutes, which the tax court rejected as inadmissible hearsay,
    9
    See also 26 C.F.R. § 1.170A-14(h)(3)(ii) (conservation restriction’s fair market value
    must “take into account . . . an objective assessment of how immediate or remote the likelihood
    is that the property, absent the restriction, would in fact be developed, as well as any effect from
    zoning, conservation, or historic preservation laws that already restrict the property’s potential
    highest and best use”).
    25
    Case: 14-14167        Date Filed: 02/05/2016       Page: 26 of 43
    illustrate BOCC members’ far-reaching “density and wildlife corridor concerns”
    with approving development on B-10. And the information packet confirms these
    concerns by stating that at the first meeting the BOCC “advised [Pulte] to revise
    [its] request to decrease the number of units and only propose development in the
    northern half of the increment [B-9] in order to lessen the impact to the Eagle
    Protection Zone.” The IRS says that the tax court was wrong to reject the meeting
    minutes as hearsay because the statements show the BOCC members’ states of
    mind regarding whether to approve development on B-10. Once considered, the
    statements coalesce with the information packet and other rezoning history to show
    that the BOCC would not have approved MDR-level development. Therefore, the
    IRS argues, it was not reasonably probable for the BOCC to approve MDR-density
    development.
    The IRS is wrong. We may assume that the tax court erred by rejecting the
    BOCC meeting minutes as inadmissible hearsay and that the minutes evidence
    considerable apprehension by individual BOCC members about approving MDR-
    level development. 10 Whatever was said in the meeting minutes, the best evidence
    10
    We note, however, that some of the statements cannot possibly be construed as
    indicating BOCC members’ states of mind because the speakers are not BOCC members, but
    instead representatives of Pulte. See Fed. R Evid. 803(3) (excepting from the rule against
    hearsay any “statement of the declarant’s then-existing state of mind”). It also is not evident
    from the record on appeal that the IRS ever argued before the tax court that the meeting minutes
    were admissible on a state of mind theory, as opposed to the business-records exception to the
    [footnote continued]
    26
    Case: 14-14167       Date Filed: 02/05/2016      Page: 27 of 43
    of whether the BOCC would approve MDR-density development on B-10 is the
    BOCC’s actual voting record: what the BOCC set down as democratically vetted
    markers of its position. As the tax court noted, the BOCC voted to deny Pulte’s
    first development application, which, though it covered B-10, excluded the eagle
    nest zone. After the BOCC denied that development application, Pulte submitted a
    second application that left B-10 out altogether. The BOCC voted to deny this
    application as well, and issued an ordinance instructing that future development
    applications should “include Parcel B-10 and should endeavor to keep Parcel B-10
    [intact] as it relates to the Eagle Preservation Area, the wetlands, and the wildlife
    corridor.” We agree with the tax court that the ordinance and the votes leading up
    to it suggest that the BOCC would approve any development that (1) included B-
    10 and (2) addressed the BOCC’s environmental concerns. Because an MDR-level
    development (namely, a development under the WilsonMiller plan) could satisfy
    these criteria, the BOCC would, in reasonable probability, approve such
    development. The IRS tries to tell a different story by invoking the BOCC meeting
    hearsay rule. And even if the Pulte representatives’ statements are admissible as nonhearsay,
    they are of limited probative value in determining whether the BOCC itself would or would not
    approve MDR-level development.
    27
    Case: 14-14167      Date Filed: 02/05/2016       Page: 28 of 43
    minutes, but the minutes simply cannot compete with the final position that the
    BOCC memorialized in its votes and in the language of the ordinance.11
    2. Although the Tax Court Legally Erred By “Fail[ing] to Address
    Whether [Palmer Ranch’s] Proposed 360-unit Development Was
    Needed or Likely to Be Needed Shortly After December 2006,” the
    Error is Harmless.
    The IRS argues that the tax court should have included in its highest-and-
    best use analysis an inquiry into whether development on B-10 “was needed or
    likely to be needed shortly after December 2006.” According to the IRS, such an
    inquiry was legally required. The IRS further argues that, had the tax court made
    this mandatory inquiry, it would have concluded that development of 360 units was
    not needed or likely to be needed. Durrance testified that there was “a pause in the
    market . . . a softening . . . of activity in 2006.” And the property whose 2006 sale
    the parties considered “the only true comparable” lay vacant until “the last half of
    2012 into 2013” due to unfavorable economic conditions. Even when
    development started, the developer “lowered the density” below the 303 units
    11
    The IRS also argues that the tax court “largely assumed” that it was reasonably
    probable for the BOCC to approve MDR-level development, and improperly beset the IRS with
    the burden of proving otherwise. We are not persuaded. Concededly, some language in the tax
    court’s opinion can be read as imposing on the IRS a burden to disprove the reasonable
    probability of BOCC approval. (E.g., “[T]his rezoning history does not eliminate the reasonable
    probability on the valuation date of a successful rezoning.”) But at the end of the day the tax
    court rested its reasonable-probability-of-BOCC-approval determination on a thoroughgoing
    interpretation of the BOCC’s voting record and the ordinance as well as other supporting
    evidence—not on assumption.
    28
    Case: 14-14167        Date Filed: 02/05/2016        Page: 29 of 43
    originally planned. Therefore, the IRS concludes, development on B-10 was not
    needed or likely to be needed around December 2006.
    The IRS is half right. It is true that the highest-and-best-use test requires an
    inquiry into whether the proposed use will, in reasonable probability, be “needed
    or likely to be needed in the reasonably near future”—in other words, into whether
    the market will demand the use. Symington, 
    87 T.C. 897
    (quoting 
    Olson, 292 U.S. at 255
    , 54 S. Ct. at 708–09). 12 And no, the tax court did not undertake the
    requisite market-demand inquiry. The tax court limited its highest-and-best-use
    analysis to consideration of whether the BOCC would, in reasonable probability,
    approve MDR-density development on B-10. The tax court did not consider
    whether, were the BOCC to approve development, it was reasonably probable that
    12
    See also 26 C.F.R. § 1.170A–14(h)(3)(ii) (conservation restriction’s fair market value
    must “take into account . . . an objective assessment of how immediate or remote the likelihood
    is that the property, absent the restriction, would in fact be developed” at the proposed level).
    Esgar v. Commissioner, 
    744 F.3d 648
    (10th Cir. 2014), is also informative. In Esgar, the
    Tenth Circuit considered whether certain properties’ highest and best use was the current use,
    agriculture, or was instead gravel 
    mining. 744 F.3d at 658
    . In tax court, the parties had
    “stipulated that, absent the conservation easements, it was likely that the necessary permits to
    mine gravel could be obtained.” 
    Id. at 652
    n.4. Despite this stipulation, the tax court had
    selected agriculture (not gravel mining) as the properties’ highest and best use. The tax court
    had explained that “there was no unfilled demand [for gravel] and . . . no unmet market,” plus
    “no evidence” that “this was to change in the reasonably foreseeable future.” Esgar v. Comm’r,
    
    103 T.C.M. 1185
    (2012), Nos. 23676-08, 23688-08, 23689-08, 
    2012 WL 371809
    , at *19.
    On review, the Tenth Circuit held that the tax court had not clearly erred in its application of the
    highest-and-best-use 
    test. 744 F.3d at 658
    . According to the Tenth Circuit, “the [t]ax [c]ourt
    was not bound to accept gravel mining as the properties’ highest and best use if that use was not
    reasonably probable to manifest in the reasonably near future.” 
    Id. That is,
    just because the
    properties could be rezoned for gravel mining did not mean that gravel mining was the highest
    and best use. Determining the properties’ highest and best use necessitated a look at market
    demand, so the tax court could not be faulted for taking that look.
    29
    Case: 14-14167     Date Filed: 02/05/2016    Page: 30 of 43
    a developer would perceive enough MDR-level housing demand to actually break
    ground on B-10. This was error.
    But the error is harmless. The evidence clearly shows that, in 2006, the
    market for MDR-level development was bullish. Durrance reported that
    “multistory, attached residential housing developments within Palmer Ranch were
    effectively sold out” in 2006, thus increasing demand for B-10 as “one of a few
    large parcels that [wa]s available for residential development in the urban Sarasota
    area.” And although Durrance acknowledged a “softening” of demand for
    residential real estate in 2006, he noted that land values did not suffer a decrease.
    On the IRS’s side of the evidentiary ledger, Page agreed that in the beginning of
    2006 there was “high demand for open land in Sarasota.” The demand for MDR-
    level development is also illustrated by the 2006 sale of B-10’s “only true
    comparable” property for $40 million. The property sold on the expectation that it
    would be developed at a density on par with MDR, with no unusual delay in the
    development timeline (that is, no delay beyond the typical “site development and
    engineering process”). In other words, at the time that B-10’s only true
    comparable changed hands, MDR-level development on the parcel looked “needed
    30
    Case: 14-14167       Date Filed: 02/05/2016      Page: 31 of 43
    or likely to be needed in the reasonably near future.” It stands to reason that the
    same would be true for B-10.13
    As to the comparable sale, the IRS counters with retrospect. The underlying
    property lay vacant through “the last half of 2012 into 2013.” But the thing that
    matters is what appeared “needed or likely to be needed” as of 2006, not what
    turned out to be true. Besides, the IRS does not explain why a developer would
    not consider 2013 the “reasonably near future” from the vantage of 2006. As
    already noted, one reason development did not start until 2013 was “the site
    development and engineering process,” a process that is normal for any national
    development project and that developers would therefore expect.
    In sum, the highest-and-best-use test includes within it an analysis of
    whether the proposed use is “needed or likely to be needed in the reasonably near
    future.” The tax court erred by omitting this analysis. But the error is harmless in
    this case because in 2006 the Sarasota market clearly demanded MDR-level
    development.
    3. The Tax Court Did Not Clearly Err by “Failing to Consider the Effect
    of the Zoning History on Hypothetical Willing Buyers of B-10.”
    The IRS next argues that the tax court should have considered the effect that
    B-10’s failed rezoning history would have on “hypothetical willing buyers.”
    13
    Comparable 1’s $40 million price tag also independently suggests that B-10 could be
    valued at (at least) $25.2 million. Of course, as Durrance acknowledged, there are other facts
    that indicate that B-10’s value should be at least somewhat lower than Comparable 1’s.
    31
    Case: 14-14167     Date Filed: 02/05/2016    Page: 32 of 43
    According to the IRS, hypothetical buyers would glean from B-10’s rezoning
    history a risk that B-10 could not be developed to MDR density, and would
    respond by discounting the purchase price. The IRS says that the tax court should
    have calibrated B-10’s “before” value to the hypothetical buyers’ discounted price.
    Although the IRS frames this as an argument against the tax court’s highest-
    and-best-use determination, it is really an attack on the tax court’s subsequent
    “before” valuation. That is, the tax court first determined that B-10’s highest and
    best use was MDR-level residential development, and subsequently calculated B-
    10’s before value. In calculating the before value, the tax court did not discount
    for the risk that B-10 could not be developed to MDR density. The IRS argues that
    this was error.
    The IRS’s argument does not convince. In certain cases, it can be
    appropriate to discount a property’s before value to account for a risk that the
    property cannot be developed to the highest and best use. See, e.g., Frazee v.
    Comm’r, 
    98 T.C. 554
    , 578 (1992) (“[E]ven if it was reasonably foreseeable that an
    attempt to rezone the Carlsbad property would be favorable, its value would have
    to be discounted due to the uncertainty associated with the rezoning process . . . .”)
    But such a discount will not always be suitable because the process for determining
    a property’s highest and best use itself eliminates proposed uses on the basis of
    development risk. In order to constitute the highest and best reasonably probable
    32
    Case: 14-14167        Date Filed: 02/05/2016        Page: 33 of 43
    use, a proposed use must be one “for which the property is adaptable and needed or
    likely to be needed in the reasonably near future.” Symington, 
    87 T.C. 897
    (quoting 
    Olson, 292 U.S. at 255
    , 54 S. Ct. at 708–09). If there is too high a chance
    that the property will not achieve the proposed use in the near future, then the use
    is too risky to qualify. 
    Id. 14 So
    the test for highest and best use already bakes in
    some adjustment for development risk. In some cases, the test’s culling of
    proposed uses is enough, and no further accommodation to development risk needs
    to be made at the valuation stage.
    This is just such a case. In this case, the tax court undertook a
    thoroughgoing analysis of the parcel’s rezoning history—in particular the BOCC’s
    vote on Pulte’s first development application and the language of the ordinance.
    On the basis of this evidence, the tax court concluded that it was reasonably
    probable for the BOCC to approve development at MDR density. And the
    evidence clearly shows that, had the BOCC approved MDR-level development on
    B-10, the 2006 market was poised to demand that development as “needed or
    likely to be needed.” Put another way, from the vantage of 2006, there was
    substantially no risk that B-10 would not be developed at MDR density in the near
    14
    See also 26 C.F.R. § 1.170A–14(h)(3)(ii) (conservation restriction’s fair market value
    must “take into account . . . an objective assessment of how immediate or remote the likelihood
    is that the property, absent the restriction, would in fact be developed” at the proposed level).
    The principle can also be articulated in terms of willingness to pay. If a proposed use is too risky
    for “a hypothetical willing buyer [to] consider [the use] in deciding how much to pay for the
    property,” then the use should not be deemed the highest and best available. Whitehouse Hotel
    Ltd. P’ship v. Comm’r, 
    615 F.3d 321
    , 335 (5th Cir. 2010).
    33
    Case: 14-14167        Date Filed: 02/05/2016        Page: 34 of 43
    future. No risk means no reason for a risk-based discount at the valuation stage.
    The tax court’s failure to provide such a discount therefore was not clear error.
    Nor are the cases cited by the IRS to the contrary. None of the cases suggest
    that courts must always discount properties’ before values to account for a risk of
    nondevelopment, even when no such risk exists. See Frazee, 
    98 T.C. 578
    –79;
    Mathis v. Comm’r, 
    57 T.C.M. 519
    (1989), No. 37395-85, 
    1989 WL 53828
    ;
    Hay v. Comm’r, 
    64 T.C.M. 228
    (1992), Nos. 27785-89, 27786-89, 
    1992 WL 166154
    . Also, Mathis is distinguishable because it involved a tax-deductible
    contribution of property, not of a conservation easement on property. Because the
    issue was the value of the property itself (not the easement), there was no highest-
    and-best-use inquiry to capture some of the risk of nondevelopment. And Hay did
    not discuss risk discounts at all, but rather discounts for “the cost of removing the
    [zoning] restriction and for the time needed to accomplish such removal.” 
    64 T.C.M. 228
    . Because these cases do not counsel a different result, we
    conclude that the tax court was not required to discount its before valuation of B-
    10 to account for nondevelopment risk.15 That is the last issue raised by the IRS,
    so we now move to Palmer Ranch’s appeal.
    15
    In a footnote, the IRS argues that
    the [t]ax [c]ourt gave no consideration to [i.e. provided no discount for] the
    fact that an actual willing buyer (Pulte) was willing to pay only $8.25 million for
    B-9 and B-10 together before any of these zoning proceedings made development
    [footnote continued]
    34
    Case: 14-14167       Date Filed: 02/05/2016      Page: 35 of 43
    C. The Tax Court Erred By Reducing Durrance’s Proposed “Before”
    Value from $25,200,000 to $21,005,278 to Account for a Stagnation of
    Property Values in 2006.
    Palmer Ranch claims error in the tax court’s decision to reduce Durrance’s
    proposed before value from $25,200,000 to $21,005,278. The tax court tailored
    the reduction to fit “the amount of 2006 appreciation Mr. Durrance calculated” in
    his second appraisal of B-10. In the second appraisal, Durrance had framed his
    valuation of B-10 as consistent with John Underwood’s IRS-side appraisal in the
    Rogers takings litigation. Durrance did so by factoring a $200,000 per-acre
    valuation with two “monthly appreciation rate[s]” that stemmed from
    Underwood’s work: 1.5% over 33 months (April 2004 through December 2006) or
    the 2.7% rate over 21 months (April 2004 through December 2005). Whichever
    rate Durrance applied, he wound up with an “increase in the value of [B-10]
    between April 2004 and December 2006 of essentially 50%.” This result pretty
    much matched Durrance’s 2006 valuation of $307,000 per acre, $25,200,000 total.
    But the tax court was critical of Durrance’s use of the appreciation rates, calling
    the work “incomplete.” According to the tax court, although Underwood “stated in
    less attractive. . . . Notably, the parties assigned virtually no value to B-10 [when
    they dropped the parcel from the sale in 2004], as they did not reduce the $8.25
    million purchase price.
    The IRS’s argument fails because it is premised on sales contracts from 2003 and 2004, while
    the tax court was valuing B-10 in 2006. As evidenced by “the only true comparable” sale—a
    sale of 78.34 acres for $40 million completed in January 2006—prices from 2003 and 2004 have
    little bearing on prices two years down the road.
    35
    Case: 14-14167    Date Filed: 02/05/2016   Page: 36 of 43
    his Rogers appraisal that there was a 2.7% per month increase in values from 2004
    to 2005,” he also “said appreciation rates for raw land [like B-10] lag[ged] behind”
    the 2.7% rate. Underwood pegged the raw-land rate at 1.5%, and B-10 was raw
    land, so Durrance should have limited his calculations to the 1.5% rate. And
    Durrance should not have applied the 1.5% appreciation rate across 33 months,
    including 2006, because Durrance had conceded on cross-examination “that the
    real estate market peaked in late 2005.” The tax court sought to cure the issue by
    removing all 1.5% appreciation that Durrance had included for 2006. This left the
    tax court with a before value of $21,005,278.
    Palmer Ranch is not happy. According to Palmer Ranch, once the tax court
    accepted Durrance’s appraisal as “more accurate” than Page’s, the burden shifted
    to the IRS to prove Palmer Ranch’s tax liability. But Page’s appraisal could not
    serve to discharge this burden because that appraisal was predicated on a lowball
    highest-and-best use that the tax court had already rejected. Therefore, says
    Palmer Ranch, the tax court was bound to adopt Durrance’s valuation dollar for
    dollar without entertaining any reduction. Palmer Ranch further argues that the tax
    court legally erred by “concoct[ing] sua sponte a valuation method [that was (1)]
    advanced by neither party” and (2) “contrary to established [comparable-sales]
    appraisal principles.” Next, Palmer Ranch argues that the tax court impermissibly
    ventured beyond the evidentiary record in its discussion of Underwood’s monthly
    36
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    appreciation rates. Finally, Palmer Ranch argues that the tax court clearly erred “in
    finding that there was no appreciation throughout 2006,” and in any case
    incorrectly calculated the amount of pre-2006 appreciation.
    We disagree with Palmer Ranch’s first contention, that the tax court erred by
    entertaining any reduction to Durrance’s valuation of B-10. Palmer Ranch
    marshals three cases in support of this argument, but none of them provide the
    necessary backing. To begin with, both Estate of Elkins v. Commissioner, 
    767 F.3d 443
    (5th Cir. 2014), and Carson v. United States, 
    560 F.2d 693
    (5th Cir.
    1977), are different from this case because in those cases the IRS presented no
    evidence whatsoever to substantiate the position it was taking. The Fifth Circuit
    held that, regardless of whether the IRS or the taxpayer bore the burden of proof,
    the tax court was bound to accept the taxpayer’s stance when the IRS countered
    with nothing at all. 
    Elkins, 767 F.3d at 450
    ; 
    Carson, 560 F.2d at 696
    . That rule
    does not apply to this case because the IRS presented a suite of evidence on the B-
    10’s value, including but not limited to Page’s thoroughgoing appraisal.
    Therefore, neither Elkins nor Carson effectuate Palmer Ranch’s argument that the
    tax court was obligated to accept Durrance’s valuation of B-10 point blank.
    The same goes for Palmer Ranch’s last case purportedly on point, Caracci v.
    Commissioner, 
    456 F.3d 444
    (5th Cir. 2006). Caracci is an excise tax case in
    which the Fifth Circuit held that the burden of proof shifted to the IRS when the
    37
    Case: 14-14167        Date Filed: 02/05/2016        Page: 38 of 43
    agency conceded that its tax deficiency notices were excessive and 
    erroneous. 456 F.3d at 457
    . This case is different from Caracci because it is a deduction case:
    Palmer Ranch claimed a deduction on its 2006 tax returns, and the IRS disputes the
    amount of the deduction claimed. In deduction cases, there is no burden shifting.
    Instead, the taxpayer retains the burden of proving the amount of his deduction
    “[a]t all times.” Gatlin v. Comm’r, 
    754 F.2d 921
    , 923–24 (11th Cir. 1985). At
    least in these kinds of cases, the tax court is not bound to accept the taxpayer’s
    valuation in full merely because the IRS’s valuation is unsatisfactory: The tax
    court may determine its own valuation based on the whole of the evidentiary
    record. Id.16 It necessarily follows that the tax court is free to treat the work of the
    taxpayer’s expert as a starting point, which is what the tax court did here. Because
    Caracci does not mandate a different rule, we hold that the tax court did not err
    merely by looking past Durrance’s face valuation of B-10.17
    However, we still find fault in the tax court’s valuation, insofar as we agree
    with Palmer Ranch that the tax court’s choice of valuation method was
    16
    Cf. Lukens v. Comm’r, 
    945 F.2d 92
    , 96–97 (5th Cir. 1991) (deduction case in which the
    Fifth Circuit affirmed tax court’s rejection of three expert valuations in favor of “its own [lower]
    valuation [based on] what credible testimony was proffered”); Orth v. Comm’r, 
    813 F.2d 837
    ,
    841–42 (7th Cir. 1987) (26 U.S.C. § 170 charitable deduction case in which the Seventh Circuit
    affirmed the tax court’s calculation of its own valuation, notwithstanding two expert appraisals
    on record).
    17
    Actually, Elkins and Carson are both distinguishable from this case on grounds that
    they are not deduction cases and that the burden of proof therefore operated in a different
    manner. 
    Elkins, 767 F.3d at 449
    –50; 
    Carson, 560 F.2d at 696
    . But in both cases the Fifth
    Circuit declined to rely on the burden of proof in reaching its holding, so the more honest
    distinction is the one offered above.
    38
    Case: 14-14167    Date Filed: 02/05/2016   Page: 39 of 43
    problematic. As the tax court recognized, “[b]oth parties’ appraisers used the
    comparable sales method as a basis for their before and after valuations.” The tax
    court never gave any indication that it considered the comparable-sales method
    inappropriate. To the contrary, the tax court endorsed Durrance’s appraisal as
    “more accurate” than Page’s in part because Durrance’s valuation fell within the
    “price-per-acre range” of both appraisers’ comparable sales. Yet—without even
    acknowledging that it was doing so or explaining why—the tax court departed
    from the comparable-sales method in the course of reducing Durrance’s valuation
    from $25,200,000 to $21,005,278.
    Specifically, to reach a value of $21,005,278, the tax court looked not to
    the comparable sales both Durrance and Page had vetted, but instead to a 2004
    valuation of B-10. Durrance had included the 2004 valuation in his second
    appraisal only to frame his own valuation as consistent with Underwood’s work in
    Rogers. Doing so required carrying the $200,000 2004 valuation forward to 2006,
    which Durrance accomplished using “monthly appreciation rate[s]” that he had
    gotten from Underwood. The tax court valued B-10 by wiping all 2006 interest
    from Durrance’s carry-forward calculation on grounds that “Durrance stated that
    the real estate market peaked in late 2005.” Therefore, the tax court’s $21,005,278
    valuation was derived entirely from Durrance’s cross-check reconciliation
    exercise—not from comparable sales. In other words, the tax court’s valuation
    39
    Case: 14-14167        Date Filed: 02/05/2016        Page: 40 of 43
    was premised on an old appraisal as modified by monthly appreciation rates,
    instead of on comparable sales. Without being based on comparable sales, the
    valuation cannot have been a comparable-sales valuation. Because the parties’
    appraisers both used the comparable-sales method, and because the tax court
    neither voiced disapproval nor acknowledged (much less explained) its departure
    from the method, that departure was error. The tax court must at minimum explain
    why it departed from the comparable-sales method in valuing B-10.18
    Even were the tax court’s unexplained departure from the comparable-sales
    method proper, the tax court still erred by relying on evidence outside the record to
    18
    To be as clear as the Sarasota sky, we do not hold that the tax court is obligated to use
    the comparable-sales method to value B-10. According to Palmer Ranch, the tax court is
    forbidden from adopting (or, in Palmer Ranch’s ostensibly outraged parlance, “sua sponte
    concocting”) an appraisal method proposed by neither party. But we recognize the tax court’s
    expertise in adjudicating tax disputes, and therefore will not lay down a hardline rule confining
    the tax court to the parties’ preferred appraisal method(s) in every case. The tax court has
    discretion to adopt a valuation method befitting the matter before it—even if the parties have not
    proposed that method. The cases relied upon by Palmer Ranch are not to the contrary because in
    each there was some identifiable flaw with the tax court’s method besides that it had not been
    suggested by the parties. 
    Elkins, 767 F.3d at 445
    (tax court erred by discounting valuation ten
    percent “despite the absence of any record evidence whatsoever on which to base the quantum of
    its self-labeled nominal discount”); Succession of McCord v. Comm’r, 
    461 F.3d 614
    , 626 (5th
    Cir. 2006) (tax court erred by engaging in the “long-prohibited practice of relying on post-gift
    events” for valuation), 
    Caracci, 456 F.3d at 458
    (tax court should have rejected valuation
    method that had “no legal support” and that both parties’ experts had recognized as “inferior”
    and “less rigorous”).
    In sum, then, we hold only that, when the parties both use one method to value a parcel of
    land, the tax court errs by departing from that method without acknowledgment and explanation.
    We do additionally note that it might be difficult to explain why valuing B-10 using data from a
    two-year-old appraisal in a different case makes more sense than relying on the valuations
    actually presented to the tax court.
    40
    Case: 14-14167        Date Filed: 02/05/2016       Page: 41 of 43
    value B-10. To execute its chosen valuation method, the tax court had to decide
    between Underwood’s 1.5% monthly appreciation rate and his 2.7% rate. The tax
    court settled on the 1.5% rate on the basis of information from Underwood’s
    appraisal report. Underwood stated in his appraisal report that the 1.5% rate
    pertained to raw land like B-10, whereas the 2.7% rate did not, so the tax court
    went with the 1.5% rate. But Underwood’s appraisal report was not in the
    evidentiary record before the tax court, so the tax court erred by relying on the
    report in selecting an appreciation rate. Cf. Johnson v. United States, 
    780 F.2d 902
    , 910 (11th Cir. 1986) (“The trial judge may not . . . undertake an independent
    mission of finding facts ‘outside the record of a bench trial over which he
    [presides].’” (citation omitted)). 19
    Finally and relatedly, the tax court may have erred in how it applied the
    1.5% monthly appreciation rate. The tax court reached a valuation of $21,005,278
    by reducing Durrance’s proposed before value by “the amount of 2006
    appreciation Mr. Durrance calculated” at the 1.5% rate. At least on the limited
    record before this court (which does not include month-to-month interest
    calculations by Durrance—only a narrative description of Durrance’s formula), we
    do not discern how removing 1.5% appreciation per each of the twelve months in
    19
    Palmer Ranch also argues that the tax court erred by considering hearsay newspaper
    articles in order to reach the conclusion that Sarasota property values did not appreciate during
    2006. No the tax court did not. The tax court referenced the newspaper articles only while
    summarizing the IRS’s no-appreciation argument. In its analysis, however, the tax court relied
    exclusively on Durrance’s testimony during cross-examination.
    41
    Case: 14-14167       Date Filed: 02/05/2016      Page: 42 of 43
    2006 brought the valuation to $21,005,278. To avoid muddying the waters on
    remand, we will leave our mathematical critique at that.
    On remand, then, the tax court must either stick with the comparable-sales
    analysis or explain its departure. Whatever the tax court chooses to do, the court
    must keep its sights set strictly on the evidentiary record for purposes of selecting
    an appreciation rate, and ensure that it crunches the numbers correctly. 20
    20
    Our holding in no way precludes the tax court from valuing B-10 below $25,200,000.
    For example, suppose the tax court applies the comparable-sales method to value B-10. Both
    appraisers agreed on four comparable sales ranging from $237,200 to $510,600 in per-acre price.
    Durrance’s appraisal, which the tax court found “more accurate” than Page’s equates to
    $307,000 per acre. In his appraisal reports, Durrance noted that the market stagnated in 2006.
    However, Durrance admitted at trial that he made no “quantitative adjustments” to the appraisal
    value to account for the state of the market in 2006. The tax court could certainly make its own
    quantitative adjustment, particularly since Durrance’s appraisal falls well within the range of
    comparables. Any quantitative adjustment, however, would have to account for the qualitative
    adjustment that Durrance did make. See R. at 111 (reaching $70,000 per-acre valuation—at low
    end of comparable sales range—in light of the “softening of the residential market in 2006”).
    Alternatively, the tax court could simply perform its own comparable-sales analysis on the basis
    of the agreed-upon comparables. (Incidentally, the tax court’s original appraisal worked out to
    $255,570 per acre, also within the range of comparables.) Whatever route the tax court pursues,
    it retains its obligation to base its valuation on the evidence.
    42
    Case: 14-14167       Date Filed: 02/05/2016   Page: 43 of 43
    CONCLUSION
    With regard for B-10’s proudest avian residents and for the enduring
    American principles they have come to symbolize, it is time now to close. We
    affirm the tax court’s determination of B-10’s highest and best use, but reverse the
    ensuing valuation. We remand for the tax court to revalue B-10 in a manner not
    inconsistent with this opinion.
    AFFIRMED IN PART, REVERSED IN PART, AND REMANDED
    FOR FURTHER PROCEEDINGS.
    43