Richard E. Lynch v. Secretary, Florida Department of Corrections , 776 F.3d 1209 ( 2015 )


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  •            Case: 12-15188   Date Filed: 01/08/2015   Page: 1 of 48
    [PUBLISH]
    IN THE UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE ELEVENTH CIRCUIT
    ________________________
    No 12-15188
    ________________________
    D.C. Docket No. 6:09-cv-00715-CEH-DAB
    RICHARD E. LYNCH,
    Petitioner-Appellee
    Cross Appellant,
    versus
    SECRETARY, FLORIDA DEPARTMENT OF CORRECTIONS,
    FLORIDA ATTORNEY GENERAL,
    Respondents-Appellants
    Cross Appellees.
    ________________________
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the Middle District of Florida
    ________________________
    (January 8, 2015)
    Before ED CARNES, Chief Judge, TJOFLAT and JORDAN, Circuit Judges.
    ED CARNES, Chief Judge:
    Case: 12-15188      Date Filed: 01/08/2015     Page: 2 of 48
    This is an appeal and cross-appeal from a judgment granting in part and
    denying in part the federal habeas petition of Florida death row inmate Richard
    Lynch. See 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    . He was sentenced to death in 2001 for the 1999
    murder of thirty-year-old Roseanna Morgan and her thirteen-year-old daughter,
    Leah Caday. The State of Florida’s appeal is from the part of the judgment
    granting Lynch habeas relief based on his claim that he was denied the effective
    assistance of counsel because his attorneys advised him, after he had entered a
    guilty plea, to waive his right to a jury in the sentence stage of his capital trial.
    Lynch cross-appeals the part of the judgment denying three of his other ineffective
    assistance claims that he raised in his habeas petition.
    I.
    Lynch murdered Morgan and Caday on March 5, 1999, because he could not
    accept Morgan’s decision to end their extramarital affair. See Lynch v. State, 
    841 So. 2d 362
    , 366 (Fla. 2003). The affair had lasted from August 1998 until
    February 1999. 
    Id.
     While it was underway, although Lynch was unemployed and
    relied on his wife for financial support, he obtained three credit cards that were
    used to make more than $6,000 worth of purchases for Morgan. See Lynch v.
    State, 
    2 So. 3d 47
    , 66 (Fla. 2008). She ended the affair on February 9, 1999 after
    her husband returned from Saudi Arabia where he had been working as a military
    contractor. See Lynch, 
    841 So. 2d at 374
    . While Morgan moved on, Lynch did
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    not. He began stalking Morgan, hanging around her apartment complex, showing
    up at her job, following her on her way home from work, and calling her
    apartment. Morgan’s husband confronted Lynch several times and told him to
    leave her alone, but it did no good. Lynch persisted.
    On March 3, 1999, about three weeks after Morgan had ended the affair,
    Lynch wrote a letter to his wife declaring his intention to kill Morgan and then
    himself. See 
    id. at 366, 368
    . In that letter he asked his wife to send Morgan’s
    parents copies of the letters and cards Morgan had written to him, as well as nude
    pictures of Morgan that he had taken. 
    Id. at 366
    . He wrote that “I want them to
    have a sense of why it happened, some decent closure, a reason and understanding
    . . . . I want them to know what she did, the pain she caused, that it was not just a
    random act of violence.” Lynch, 2 So. 3d at 64 (emphasis omitted). Lynch went
    on in the letter about the debts that had been run up on the credit cards, his fear that
    Morgan would not pay him back for any of the purchases, and the pain that she had
    caused him by ending their affair. After describing in explicit and unnecessary
    detail the various sexual acts he and Morgan had engaged in and how much he had
    enjoyed them, on the last page of the letter Lynch apologized to his wife “for all
    the pain, suffering, expense, embarrassment and hardship I will cause and give to
    you,” but concluded that Morgan “must pay the price.” Lynch left the letter in his
    garage.
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    Two days later, on March 5, he packed three pistols and ammunition into a
    black bag and drove to Morgan’s apartment. See id. at 59. He parked his car
    down the street and around the corner from the apartment complex so that Morgan
    and her daughter Caday would not see it when they arrived at the complex. Id.;
    Lynch, 
    841 So. 2d at
    367 n.3. Lynch grabbed the bag with the three pistols and
    ammunition from the trunk of his car, walked to the complex, and picked an
    inconspicuous spot to wait for Morgan to return. See Lynch, 2 So. 3d at 76.
    Caday got home first. See id. Lynch talked the thirteen-year-old into letting
    him inside by telling her that he wanted to speak with her mother. See id. at 62.
    Once inside the apartment, he pulled one of the pistols from the black bag and held
    Caday at gunpoint for thirty or forty minutes while waiting for Morgan to arrive.
    See Lynch, 
    841 So. 2d at 366
    . All the while, the young girl was “terrified.” 
    Id.
    She asked Lynch “why he was doing this to her.” 
    Id.
    When Morgan finally returned home, Lynch met her at the door with a pistol
    in his hand. See Lynch, 2 So. 3d at 59. Sensing what Lynch was going to do,
    Morgan refused to come inside. They had a heated discussion, which ended when
    Lynch fired seven shots. See id. at 58, 70. Three of the shots hit Morgan in the
    legs. See id. at 53, 69–70. One hit her eye and tore through her neck. See id. at
    69–70. She fell to the floor in the hallway outside her apartment, bleeding and
    screaming for help. See Lynch, 
    841 So. 2d at 366, 371
    . Lynch walked outside the
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    apartment into the hallway where Morgan lay, and the door closed behind him. He
    dragged Morgan’s bleeding body by her wrist back to the door, where he knocked
    and told Morgan’s daughter to “Hurry up, open the door, your mom is hurt.” 
    Id. at 367
    . When Caday opened the door, Lynch dragged her mother inside, closing the
    door behind him. 
    Id.
    Inside the apartment, Lynch pulled a second pistol from his bag, and several
    minutes after he had first shot Morgan he killed her in front of her daughter by
    firing a single, execution-style shot to her head. See 
    id.
     at 370–73; Lynch, 2 So. 3d
    at 69. He then called his wife at their home, Lynch, 
    841 So. 2d at 366
    , and told her
    he was “sorry for what I’m going to do.” During that phone call, Lynch’s wife
    could hear Caday screaming hysterically in the background. See 
    id. at 369
    . After
    Lynch hung up, he killed the young girl by shooting her in the back. See 
    id. at 366
    .
    Lynch then called his wife again. 
    Id.
     He told her that he had accidentally
    shot Caday and told her that he had left a letter in the garage. See 
    id.
     When that
    call ended, Mrs. Lynch dialed 911. She told the operator about Lynch’s phone
    calls and asked for the police to investigate. She then began to look for the letter.
    Her sister Juliette, whom Mrs. Lynch had paged after Lynch’s first phone call,
    arrived at the home and joined in the search. Mrs. Lynch found the letter and
    started to read it but was interrupted when her husband called a third time. Both
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    she and Juliette talked to him, begging him not to kill himself. See 
    id.
     While
    Juliette was speaking with Lynch, Mrs. Lynch used her cell phone to call 911
    again. She told the operator about the murder-suicide letter she had just found and
    that Lynch was willing to turn himself in. After that 911 call ended and Lynch had
    ended his call to Mrs. Lynch, she returned to reading the letter he had left. Before
    she could finish reading it, several police officers arrived at her home. See Lynch,
    2 So. 3d at 68. One officer, after confirming that she was Mrs. Lynch, asked her
    for the letter. See id. She did not want to hand it over until she had finished
    reading it, but the officer kept asking and she gave him the letter.
    While Mrs. Lynch was talking with the officers, Lynch himself called 911.
    See Lynch, 
    841 So. 2d at 370
    . He talked with the 911 operator for the next thirty
    or forty minutes. See Lynch, 2 So. 3d at 57–58. By the time that call began, two
    officers were at Morgan’s apartment responding to the neighbors’ reports of shots
    fired. The officers attempted to enter the apartment, but quickly retreated when
    Lynch fired a shot at them. See Lynch, 
    841 So. 2d at 366
    . Eventually, the SWAT
    team arrived, there were negotiations, and Lynch gave himself up. Before he did
    that, Lynch told the 911 operator that he had killed two people, that he had shot
    Morgan to “put her out of her misery,” and that he had fired at the two police
    officers who tried to enter the apartment. 
    Id.
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    II.
    A Florida grand jury issued a four-count indictment on March 23, 1999,
    charging Lynch with: (1) first-degree premeditated murder of Roseanna Morgan;
    (2) first-degree premeditated murder of Leah Caday; (3) armed burglary of a
    dwelling; and (4) kidnapping. See 
    id.
     at 365–66. There was a mountain of
    evidence against Lynch, piled up stone by stone through the testimony of multiple
    witnesses, the presentation of documents, undisputed circumstances, and Lynch’s
    own words. It was conclusively proven that: Lynch had barricaded himself inside
    Morgan’s apartment, had fired from it at police officers, and when he emerged had
    left inside two dead bodies, one of which was riddled with five bullets. The
    prosecution also presented: the murder-suicide letter Lynch had written two days
    before the murders, the testimony of the neighbor across the hall who saw Lynch
    drag Morgan inside the apartment after she had been shot several times, the
    testimony of a second neighbor who described the five to seven minute pause
    between the two groups of gunshots, the testimony of Mrs. Lynch about his three
    phone calls to her, the recording of his own lengthy 911 call, the testimony of the
    police negotiator who talked Lynch out of the apartment, and a videotape of
    Lynch’s post-arrest interview confessing to the killings. See Lynch, 
    841 So. 2d at
    366–67, 371.
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    Together, the evidence showed that: (1) two days before the murder Lynch
    wrote about his intent to kill Morgan; (2) he packed a bag with three loaded pistols
    and took them to her apartment; (3) he intentionally parked away from the
    apartment complex so that neither victim would see his vehicle and know he was
    there; (4) he held the thirteen-year-old Caday in the apartment at gunpoint for
    thirty or forty minutes while waiting for Morgan to return home; (5) he shot at
    Morgan a total of eight times, hitting her five times; (6) Morgan was still breathing
    when he switched to a different pistol and fired the final shot into the back of her
    head; (7) he said that he had fired that last shot to “put her out of her misery,” but
    he had not done it until five to seven minutes after the first of the five shots he had
    fired into her; and (8) Caday watched her mother suffer from the other gunshot
    wounds for those five to seven minutes before he killed both of them. Lynch, 2 So.
    3d at 53, 59, 66, 69–70; Lynch, 
    841 So. 2d at 366
    , 368–69. The only evidence in
    Lynch’s favor, if it can be called that, was a few self-serving statements —
    sprinkled among his numerous incriminating admissions — in which he claimed
    that the initial shots he fired at Morgan through the doorway and the single shot
    fired into Caday had been accidental. See, e.g., Lynch, 2 So. 3d at 66. He never
    explained how the first pistol had accidentally discharged, not once, not twice, not
    three or four times, but seven times. See id. at 68–70; Lynch, 
    841 So. 2d at 378
    .
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    Lynch’s two trial attorneys, who had more than twenty-five years of capital
    case experience between them, understandably concluded that it would be
    impossible to persuade a jury that Lynch had accidentally killed Morgan. See
    Lynch, 2 So. 3d at 57–58. They believed from their experience that juries tended
    to be quite unsympathetic in the sentence stage to defendants who had murdered
    children. See id. at 57, 71. They also knew that the trial judge — Judge O.H.
    Eaton, Jr. — was a seasoned jurist and a recognized authority on Florida’s death
    penalty procedure, which they believed would make him more receptive to their
    mitigation arguments. See id. at 72, 82. For those reasons Lynch’s two
    experienced trial counsel advised him to plead guilty to all four counts and waive
    his right to a sentence-stage jury. He did so in October 2000. See id. at 52, 70–71;
    Lynch, 
    841 So. 2d at 366
    .
    III.
    At the sentence hearing, which was held in January 2001, the defense built
    its mitigation case on the testimony of forensic neuropsychologist Dr. Jacquelyn
    Olander. See Lynch, 
    841 So. 2d at 367
    ; Lynch, 2 So. 3d at 72. She testified that
    Lynch had a schizoaffective disorder, which was a combination of schizophrenia
    and a mood disorder. See Lynch, 
    841 So. 2d at 367
    . She concluded that he was
    “under the influence of an extreme mental and emotional disturbance” when he
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    committed the murders “and that his psychotic process substantially impaired his
    capacity to conform his conduct with the requirements of the law.” 
    Id.
    The State called its own expert, psychologist Dr. William Riebsame. See 
    id. at 374
    . He agreed with Dr. Olander that Lynch had mental health issues but
    disagreed about their severity. See 
    id.
     In Dr. Riebsame’s opinion, Lynch’s lack of
    delusions and his ability to recall the facts of the crime were inconsistent with a
    schizoaffective disorder. 
    Id.
     He concluded that while Lynch was “emotionally
    disturbed” he had not been acting under a severe mental or emotional disturbance
    during the crimes, and his ability to conform his conduct to the requirements of the
    law “was impaired, but not substantially impaired.” 
    Id.
    The trial court considered all of the expert testimony, along with the
    evidence establishing Lynch’s conduct before, during, and after the murders. See
    
    id. at 368
    . After having the matter under submission for two months, the court
    issued a written order sentencing Lynch to death for each murder. The order
    specified three statutory aggravating factors that supported imposing the death
    penalty for each of the two murders. See 
    id.
    The trial court rested the death sentence for Morgan’s murder in large part
    on the fact that Lynch had planned days in advance to kill Morgan and then had
    methodically carried out his plan. It placed “great weight” on the statutory
    aggravating circumstance that “the murder was cold, calculated, and
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    premeditated.” 
    Id.
     (applying 
    Fla. Stat. § 921.141
    (5)(i)). The court put “moderate
    weight” on the aggravating circumstance that Lynch “had previously been
    convicted of a violent felony.” 
    Id.
     (applying 
    Fla. Stat. § 921.141
    (5)(b)). It
    reasoned that the previously-convicted-of-a-violent-felony factor applied because
    the murder involved multiple victims 1 but decided that factor should receive only
    moderate weight because Morgan was the first victim killed. The court also found
    the aggravating circumstance that Lynch had committed the murder “while . . .
    engaged in committing one or more other felonies.” 
    Id.
     (applying 
    Fla. Stat. § 921.141
    (5)(d)). It reasoned that the circumstance applied because Lynch had
    killed Morgan in the course of committing armed burglary, 2 but it concluded that
    the factor should be given little weight since the armed burglary was part of
    Lynch’s premeditated plan and thus already covered by the “cold, calculated, and
    premeditated” aggravating circumstance.
    On the other side of the scale, the trial court found that the only statutory
    mitigating factor that applied was the one for “no significant history of prior
    criminal activity,” and that it should receive only “moderate weight.” 
    Id.
     at 368 &
    1
    In Florida, “a contemporaneous conviction of a violent felony may support the aggravating
    factor of prior conviction for a violent felony so long as the two crimes involved multiple victims
    or separate episodes.” Stein v. State, 
    632 So. 2d 1361
    , 1366 (Fla. 1994). As a result, the
    murders of Morgan and Caday each served as an aggravating factor for the other.
    2
    The Florida Supreme Court’s opinion explains in detail why, under Florida law, Lynch
    committed burglary when he reentered the apartment after shooting Morgan. See Lynch, 2 So.
    3d at 60–62.
    11
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    n.5. Lynch contended that two more statutory mitigating factors should apply —
    that he had committed the murders while “under the influence of extreme mental or
    emotional disturbance” and that his capacity “to conform his . . . conduct to the
    requirements of law was substantially impaired.” See 
    Fla. Stat. § 921.141
    (6)(b),
    (f). The court determined, however, that the circumstances on which Lynch based
    those contentions were entitled to only “moderate weight” as non-statutory
    mitigating circumstances because Lynch had not proven that his disturbance or
    impairment was great enough to meet the statutory mitigating circumstances
    definitions. See Lynch, 
    841 So. 2d at
    374–75. The court also found six other non-
    statutory mitigating circumstances for a total of eight. 3
    Concluding that the three aggravating factors outweighed the one statutory
    mitigating factor and the eight non-statutory mitigating factors, the court sentenced
    Lynch to death for the murder of Morgan. See 
    id.
     at 368 & n.5.
    3
    Those non-statutory mitigating factors were:
    (1) the crime was committed while defendant was under the influence of a mental
    or emotional disturbance (moderate weight); (2) the defendant’s capacity to
    conform his conduct to the requirements of law was impaired (moderate weight);
    (3) the defendant suffered from a mental illness at the time of the offense (little
    weight); (4) the defendant was emotionally and physically abused as a child (little
    weight); (5) the defendant had a history of alcohol abuse (little weight); (6) the
    defendant had adjusted well to incarceration (little weight); (7) the defendant
    cooperated with police (moderate weight); (8) the defendant’s expression of
    remorse, the fact that he has been a good father to his children, and his intent to
    maintain his relationship with his children (little weight).
    Lynch, 
    841 So. 2d at
    368 n.5.
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    For Caday’s murder, the trial court’s determination that a death sentence was
    warranted centered on the terror that Caday had experienced before she died. The
    court placed “great weight” on the fact “that the murder was heinous, atrocious, or
    cruel.” 
    Id. at 368
     (applying 
    Fla. Stat. § 921.141
    (5)(h)). It reasoned that the fear
    and emotional strain Caday had suffered from the time Lynch talked her into
    letting him into the apartment until he shot her to death made her murder heinous.
    It noted that Lynch had held the terrified young girl at gunpoint for thirty or forty
    minutes before her mother arrived and then shot her mother dead in front of her.
    Caday was screaming hysterically during Lynch’s first phone call to his wife.
    The court found that Lynch had been “previously convicted of a violent
    felony,” 
    id.
     (applying 
    Fla. Stat. § 921.141
    (5)(b)), and it placed “great weight” on
    that aggravating circumstance because Caday was the second victim killed in a
    multiple murder. The court also found the aggravating circumstance that Lynch
    had killed Caday while he “was engaged in committing one or more other
    felonies,” 
    id.
     (applying 
    Fla. Stat. § 921.141
    (5)(d)), because Caday was a minor.4
    But it decided that the factor should receive only moderate weight because Caday’s
    “killing was an afterthought” and would have been second-degree murder but for
    the felony murder rule.
    4
    The sentencing court explained that: “The [Florida] legislature has made the killing of any
    child her age first degree murder.” See State v. Sturdivant, 
    94 So. 3d 434
    , 442 (Fla. 2012)
    (holding that, under Florida’s felony-murder statute, “a felony-murder conviction [can be]
    predicated upon a single act of aggravated child abuse that caused the child’s death”).
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    The court found the same statutory and non-statutory mitigating
    circumstances it had in sentencing Lynch for the murder of Morgan, and concluded
    that the three aggravating circumstances outweighed that single statutory
    mitigating factor and the same eight non-statutory mitigating factors, justifying a
    sentence of death for Caday’s murder. See 
    id.
     at 368 & n.5.
    IV.
    On direct appeal, the Florida Supreme Court rejected all of Lynch’s many
    challenges to his convictions and sentences. See id. at 379. That happened in
    2003. Lynch then filed a motion for post-conviction relief raising a new set of
    issues. See Lynch, 2 So. 3d at 54–55. Many of those issues turned on the fact that
    his trial counsel had not obtained expert testimony showing that Lynch had a brain
    impairment. See id. at 54. The evidence that Lynch presented at the state post-
    conviction hearing included testimony: from his trial counsel explaining their
    representation of Lynch, from the two mental health experts who examined Lynch
    before the sentence hearing, and from three new mental health experts who had
    examined Lynch since the trial for signs of brain damage. See id. at 74–75. The
    state post-conviction court denied Lynch’s petition in October 2006, and the
    Florida Supreme Court affirmed that denial in November 2008. See id. at 55–56,
    86.
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    In April 2009 Lynch filed a petition for a writ of habeas corpus under 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    . In September 2012 the district court issued an order granting the
    petition as to the death sentence based on the claim that Lynch had been denied
    effective assistance of counsel when his attorneys advised him to waive a sentence-
    stage jury. Lynch v. Sec’y, Dep’t of Corr., 
    897 F. Supp. 2d 1277
    , 1306–09, 1351
    (M.D. Fla. 2012). The State appealed the grant, while Lynch sought a certificate of
    appealability for a cross-appeal of the denial of four additional claims. We granted
    him a certificate on three ineffective assistance of counsel claims involving his
    assertions that defense counsel had: (1) unreasonably advised Lynch to plead
    guilty to all four counts in the indictment; (2) failed to file a Fourth Amendment
    suppression motion to exclude his murder-suicide letter at the sentence stage; and
    (3) failed to conduct a reasonable mitigation investigation and present available
    mitigating circumstance evidence at the sentence stage.
    V.
    “When reviewing a district court’s grant or denial of habeas relief, we
    review questions of law and mixed questions of law and fact de novo, and findings
    of fact for clear error.” Reaves v. Sec’y, Fla. Dep’t of Corr., 
    717 F.3d 886
    , 899
    (11th Cir. 2013) (quotation marks omitted).
    The Florida Supreme Court denied on the merits all four of the claims that
    we are considering, so we review its decision under the standards set by AEDPA.
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    See Holsey v. Warden, Ga. Diagnostic Prison, 
    694 F.3d 1230
    , 1257 (11th Cir.
    2012). Those standards preclude federal habeas relief unless the state court’s
    decision was (1) “contrary to, or involved an unreasonable application of, clearly
    established Federal law, as determined by the Supreme Court of the United States;
    or (2) . . . was based on an unreasonable determination of the facts in light of the
    evidence presented in the State court proceeding.” 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    (d). That
    leaves Lynch with a difficult task. He must show that “no ‘fairminded jurist’ could
    agree” with the state court’s decision on an issue of federal law or on an issue of
    fact. Holsey, 694 F.3d at 1257 (citing Harrington v. Richter, 
    562 U.S. 86
    , 
    131 S. Ct. 770
    , 786 (2011)).
    Because the three issues raised in Lynch’s cross-appeal precede — either
    chronologically or logically — the issue raised in the State’s direct appeal, we
    address those three claims first. After that we will address the State’s challenge to
    the part of the district court’s judgment granting Lynch relief.
    VI.
    Lynch’s cross-appeal raises three ineffective assistance claims. The first
    claim faults defense counsel for advising him to plead guilty. The second criticizes
    defense counsel for failing to file a Fourth Amendment suppression motion to
    exclude his murder-suicide letter. And the third claim castigates defense counsel
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    for not procuring and presenting at the sentence stage expert testimony that Lynch
    suffers from a brain impairment.
    A.      Advice to Plead Guilty
    Lynch contends that he received ineffective assistance of counsel when his
    trial attorneys advised him to plead guilty to all four counts in the indictment. He
    argues that the advice to plead guilty was deficient because he had potential
    defenses to the charges of first-degree murder, burglary, and kidnapping. To
    succeed on this claim, Lynch must prove that: (1) counsel’s advice was deficient;
    and (2) “but for counsel’s errors, he would not have pleaded guilty and would have
    insisted on going to trial.” Hill v. Lockhart, 
    474 U.S. 52
    , 58–59, 
    106 S. Ct. 366
    ,
    370 (1985).
    The Florida Supreme Court held that Lynch failed to satisfy either prong of
    Hill. It concluded that counsel’s advice to plead guilty and “concentrate on
    presenting compelling mitigation evidence” was a “reasonable strategic
    determination” given the “overwhelming evidence” of Lynch’s guilt on all four
    charges. Lynch, 2 So. 3d at 57. The court then addressed the prejudice question.
    The defenses that Lynch claimed his counsel failed to inform him about were not
    affirmative defenses but instead were all based on the absence of an element of the
    crime. He faulted counsel for not telling him that: (1) lack of intent was a defense
    to first-degree murder, (2) entry with consent was a defense to burglary, and
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    (3) kidnapping requires the confinement of the victim to be both significant and not
    incidental to another crime. See id. at 57–62. The Florida Supreme Court
    concluded that Lynch was not prejudiced by counsel’s alleged failings because the
    evidence clearly established all of the elements of all three offenses. See id. at 59–
    63.
    The district court held that the Florida Supreme Court’s application of Hill
    was reasonable, in part, because Lynch had not established prejudice. Lynch, 897
    F. Supp. 2d at 1328–33. We agree.5 The evidence of Lynch’s guilt, which we
    have already recounted, was overwhelming. See supra Part II. And the Florida
    Supreme Court’s thorough assessment of the evidence and the facts it established
    convinces us that Lynch had no viable innocence defense at trial. See Lynch, 2 So.
    3d at 59–63. He was not prejudiced by his attorneys’ alleged failure to inform him
    of possible defenses, and his claim to the contrary completely lacks merit.
    Lynch does not challenge the Florida Supreme Court’s explanation about
    why he had no viable defenses to the charges. Instead, he asserts that the court
    unreasonably applied Hill by focusing on whether Lynch’s defenses likely would
    have prevailed at trial. That is, however, what Hill instructs courts to do in
    5
    Because we conclude that the Florida Supreme Court’s prejudice determination was
    reasonable, we need not consider its assessment of trial counsel’s performance. See Strickland v.
    Washington, 
    466 U.S. 668
    , 697, 
    104 S. Ct. 2052
    , 2069 (1984) (“[A] court need not determine
    whether counsel’s performance was deficient before examining the prejudice suffered by the
    defendant as a result of the alleged deficiencies.”).
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    determining whether the defendant would have insisted on going to trial. See 
    474 U.S. at 59
    , 
    106 S. Ct. at 371
     (“[W]here the alleged error of counsel is a failure to
    advise the defendant of a potential affirmative defense to the crime charged, the
    resolution of the ‘prejudice’ inquiry will depend largely on whether the affirmative
    defense likely would have succeeded at trial.”).6 The Florida Supreme Court did
    not unreasonably apply Hill. 7
    Lynch also claims that counsel were ineffective for advising him to enter “a
    blind guilty plea,” which is one entered without any benefit in return from the
    prosecution. In support of this claim, he cites our decision in Esslinger v. Davis,
    
    44 F.3d 1515
     (11th Cir. 1995). But Esslinger expressly disclaims the broad
    proposition for which Lynch cites it. See 
    id. at 1530
     (“We do not hold that an
    attorney who recommends a blind plea inherently fails to perform as required by
    the Sixth Amendment.”) (emphasis added). In that case, counsel had failed to
    6
    It makes no difference whether or not the defenses to which Lynch points are, like those in
    Hill, affirmative defenses. Hill makes clear that the prejudice inquiry in a case like this turns
    largely on an assessment of whether the defense likely would have changed the outcome at trial.
    See 
    474 U.S. at
    59–60; 
    106 S. Ct. at
    370–71.
    7
    Lynch argues that the Florida Supreme Court should have considered two other factors in
    assessing prejudice. First, he argues that he never completed high school, and claims that he was
    severely mentally ill, brain damaged, and had no prior experience with the judicial system. None
    of those personal characteristics would have affected the probability that Lynch could have
    negated one of the essential elements of the charges he faced. See Hill, 
    474 U.S. at 60
    , 
    106 S. Ct. at 371
    . Next, Lynch cites the post-conviction hearing testimony of his lead trial counsel that
    having evidence of Lynch’s brain damage “may have” impacted his advice that Lynch plead
    guilty. But that does not speak to the central question, which is whether the three asserted
    defenses (that trial counsel failed to advise Lynch about) would have succeeded at trial. See 
    id.
    19
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    adequately research the defendant’s prior criminal history before advising him to
    plead guilty to first-degree rape. See 
    id.
     at 1529–30. As a result, the defendant
    pleaded guilty because he believed that he would get a ten-year sentence, only to
    discover at the sentence hearing that his prior convictions triggered a statutorily
    mandated minimum sentence of ninety-nine years. 
    Id.
     at 1517–18. We held that
    Esslinger was denied the effective assistance of counsel because the evidence
    established a reasonable probability that he would not have pleaded guilty to first-
    degree rape if his counsel had advised him that doing so would result in a
    minimum ninety-nine-year sentence. See 
    id.
     at 1529–30. Lynch has not
    established such a probability here, and thus his claim fails.
    B.      Not Filing a Motion to Suppress the Murder-Suicide Letter
    Lynch also contends that his trial counsel were ineffective for failing to file a
    motion to suppress the murder-suicide letter on Fourth Amendment grounds and
    prevent it from being used at the sentence stage.8 He argues that counsel should
    have challenged the police’s entry into the Lynches’ home as an unreasonable
    search. The Florida Supreme Court denied the claim. See Lynch, 2 So. 3d at 68.
    It determined that Mrs. Lynch’s sworn deposition testimony established that:
    8
    Normally, prisoners cannot raise Fourth Amendment issues in a § 2254 petition. See Stone
    v. Powell, 
    428 U.S. 465
    , 494, 
    96 S. Ct. 3037
    , 3052 (1976). The Supreme Court has held,
    however, that federal habeas relief is available to state prisoners if their trial counsel’s failure to
    file a Fourth Amendment suppression motion deprived them of their Sixth Amendment right to
    the effective assistance of counsel. See Kimmelman v. Morrison, 
    477 U.S. 365
    , 382–83, 
    106 S. Ct. 2574
    , 2587 (1986).
    20
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    (1) the police officers had consent to enter the Lynches’ home, (2) the officers
    already knew about the murder-suicide letter because Mrs. Lynch had told the 911
    operator about it, and (3) she was reading the letter in front of the officers when
    they asked her for it. 
    Id.
     The court concluded that those facts showed that the
    officers were lawfully present in the home when they saw the letter and had
    probable cause to believe it was evidence of a crime — so the seizure was lawful
    under the plain view doctrine. See 
    id.
    As with all ineffective assistance claims, Lynch has the burden of showing
    that his counsel’s performance (or non-performance) was both deficient and
    prejudicial. See Green v. Nelson, 
    595 F.3d 1245
    , 1251 (11th Cir. 2010). To
    establish prejudice based on his attorneys’ failure to seek suppression, Lynch has
    the more specific burden of demonstrating “that (1) the underlying Fourth
    Amendment issue has merit and (2) there is a ‘reasonable probability that the
    verdict would have been different absent the excludable evidence.’” 
    Id.
     at 1251–
    52 (quoting Kimmelman v. Morrison, 
    477 U.S. 365
    , 375, 
    106 S. Ct. 2574
    , 2583
    (1986)). Because it is dispositive, we will focus on the question of whether the
    underlying Fourth Amendment issue has merit. 9
    9
    We note that Florida law provides for the exclusion of evidence from a sentence hearing in
    a capital case if it was acquired through an unconstitutional search or seizure. See 
    Fla. Stat. § 921.141
    (1); Harich v. State, 
    437 So. 2d 1082
    , 1085–86 (Fla. 1983). Therefore, we do not have
    to decide whether defendants have a right under the federal Constitution to exclude unlawfully
    obtained evidence from the sentence stage of a capital trial.
    21
    Case: 12-15188     Date Filed: 01/08/2015   Page: 22 of 48
    Lynch has not established the merits of his claim that the officers’ entry into
    the Lynches’ home was an unconstitutional search. Police may search a home
    without a warrant if they “obtain the voluntary consent of an occupant who shares,
    or is reasonably believed to share, authority over the area.” Georgia v. Randolph,
    
    547 U.S. 103
    , 106, 
    126 S. Ct. 1515
    , 1518 (2006). The Florida Supreme Court
    determined that the officers had consent to enter the Lynches’ home, see Lynch, 2
    So. 3d at 68, and that determination is not objectively unreasonable, see 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    (d)(2). As the district court pointed out, Mrs. Lynch’s deposition “does not
    explicitly state whether she invited the police into her home,” but it supports a
    finding that she did. Lynch, 897 F. Supp. 2d at 1313. Mrs. Lynch testified that she
    called 911, told them that her husband claimed to have killed someone, and asked
    them to investigate. Id. She also explained that, when the officer asked her for the
    letter, she “thought he was there to investigate or something.” At the state post-
    conviction hearing, lead trial counsel testified that “my understanding [was] the
    search of the home occurred first while they’re still on the phone with him, or
    shortly thereafter, and the wife is home and she gives them permission to enter.”
    Together, those statements support the Florida Supreme Court’s factual
    determination that the police got Mrs. Lynch’s consent before entering the home.
    Lynch does not point to anything in the record that shows that determination was
    22
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    objectively unreasonable, which is his burden as a habeas petitioner. See Green,
    
    595 F.3d at 1251
    . His failure to do so is fatal to his claim.
    C.     Investigation of Brain Impairment Evidence
    Lynch also claims that his trial attorneys were ineffective for not discovering
    and presenting evidence that he suffers from a brain impairment, and if they had,
    there is a reasonable probability that he would not have been sentenced to death.
    To better understand this issue, we first explain in detail the expert opinion
    evidence that trial counsel discovered, that which they presented at the sentence
    stage, and the additional expert opinion evidence that collateral counsel discovered
    and presented in Lynch’s state post-conviction proceedings.
    1.     Counsel’s Investigation, the Expert Testimony at the Sentence Stage,
    and the Testimony at the State Post-Conviction Hearing
    The first expert Lynch’s attorneys hired in preparation for the sentence
    hearing was Dr. David Cox, a clinical neuropsychologist. See Lynch, 2 So. 3d at
    74. After examining Lynch, he diagnosed him with cognitive disorder NOS (not
    otherwise specified) and a possible paranoid personality disorder. Id. Dr. Cox’s
    report also noted that Lynch might have a “cerebral dysfunction” and
    recommended neuropsychological testing to determine if he did. See id.
    Trial counsel were not satisfied with Dr. Cox’s report, so they brought in Dr.
    Olander, a forensic neuropsychologist, to evaluate Lynch. Id. While they told Dr.
    Olander that Dr. Cox had already evaluated Lynch, they did not tell her that his
    23
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    “cognitive testing suggest[ed] possible cerebral dysfunction in the form of
    significant right hemisphere weakness.” See id. Nor did they mention that Dr.
    Cox had recommended neuropsychological testing “to determine if there is further
    deficiency not detected by the intelligence and memory screening testing already
    conducted.” See id.
    Based on her personal respect for Dr. Cox and her belief that trial counsel
    would have informed her if Dr. Cox had found any signs of impairment, Dr.
    Olander assumed that he had already ruled out cognitive impairment. Id. As a
    result, she did not perform any neuropsychological testing, but limited her
    evaluation to psychological testing and diagnosed Lynch with a schizoaffective
    disorder. Id. Dr. Olander testified at the sentence hearing “that Lynch did not
    have any brain impairment.” Id.
    Through his collateral counsel, Lynch presented evidence at his state post-
    conviction hearing that he had a brain impairment. Five mental health experts
    testified for Lynch at that hearing. Dr. Cox testified that Lynch “had a dysfunction
    of thinking skills, ‘quite likely due to a brain damage situation.’” Lynch, 897 F.
    Supp. 2d at 1300.
    Dr. Olander testified at the hearing that she had not tested Lynch for brain
    damage before the sentence stage of his trial based partly on her assumption that
    his trial counsel would have informed her if Dr. Cox had recommended doing that.
    24
    Case: 12-15188     Date Filed: 01/08/2015     Page: 25 of 48
    Id. She then explained that if she had known Lynch had brain damage it would
    have changed her testimony at the sentence hearing. She would have instead
    testified that brain damage “would have had a significant impact on [Lynch’s] self
    control and would have added weight to the emotional state [he] was experiencing
    at the time of the murders.” Id.
    Dr. David McCraney, a neurologist, testified at the state post-conviction
    hearing that Lynch “had frontal lobe and right hemisphere brain damage and
    suffered from psychosis.” Id. He said that Lynch had likely suffered from those
    conditions his entire life, but that certain “stressors” — such as the credit card debt
    and his failing marriage — could have undermined Lynch’s “ability to compensate
    for his cognitive impairment.” Id. Dr. McCraney called Lynch’s combination of
    brain impairment and emotional stressors “the perfect storm.” Id. at 1303 n.4.
    Dr. Joseph Wu, a psychiatrist, testified at the state post-conviction hearing
    that after analyzing PET scans of Lynch’s brain he had identified “an abnormality
    in the distribution of activity in the frontal lobe of the brain relative to the back of
    the brain.” Id. at 1300. Finally, Dr. Joseph Sesta, a neuropsychologist, testified
    that Lynch “suffered from mild brain impairment and possible psychosis.” Id. He
    criticized the testing that the State’s mental health expert, Dr. Riebsame, did before
    the sentence hearing for failing to follow proper testing protocol. See id. at 1301.
    Dr. Sesta concluded that Lynch’s ability to conform his conduct to the law was
    25
    Case: 12-15188      Date Filed: 01/08/2015      Page: 26 of 48
    substantially impaired, but he did not offer an opinion about whether Lynch
    suffered from an extreme emotional disturbance. See id. at 1300–01.10
    The State countered Lynch’s new expert testimony at the state post-
    conviction hearing with two witnesses of its own: Dr. Riebsame and psychiatrist
    Dr. Jeffrey Danziger. Testifying to the same findings and opinion he had at the
    sentence hearing, Dr. Riebsame explained that he did not find any signs of
    psychotic or delusional thinking when he listened to the tape of Lynch’s 911 call,
    or when he viewed the videotape of Lynch’s post-arrest interview, or when he
    interviewed Lynch. Dr. Riebsame concluded that Lynch understood the
    criminality of his actions and that his “ability to conform his conduct to the law
    was not substantially impaired.” Id. at 1301.
    Dr. Danziger testified at the state post-conviction hearing that the planning
    and control Lynch had demonstrated in carrying out the murders and then deciding
    to back out of his suicide plan showed that he was able to control his impulses. Id.
    Dr. Danziger also concluded that “even if [Lynch] had a mild cognitive
    impairment, such an impairment would not have affected his behavior at the time
    10
    Because the experts Lynch presented at the state post-conviction hearing had different
    diagnoses — psychoaffective disorder, right hemisphere brain damage and psychosis, mild brain
    impairment and possible psychosis — and Lynch does not focus on any particular one of them
    when making his argument under the prejudice prong, we will use “brain impairment” as an
    umbrella term covering all of them.
    26
    Case: 12-15188   Date Filed: 01/08/2015   Page: 27 of 48
    of the murders,” and that his ability to conform his conduct to the law was not
    substantially impaired when he committed the murders. Id.
    2.      Lynch’s Challenge Based on Counsel’s Investigation
    Lynch contends that the district court erred in denying his ineffective
    assistance claim based on trial counsel’s failure to obtain and present expert
    evidence that he suffers from a brain impairment. To succeed on this claim, Lynch
    must show that his counsel’s failure to do so was (1) objectively unreasonable
    under the circumstances and (2) prejudicial to his defense. Strickland v.
    Washington, 
    466 U.S. 668
    , 687–88, 
    104 S. Ct. 2052
    , 2064 (1984). We begin by
    discussing the state court’s decision and explaining why it deserves deference
    under 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    .
    a.
    The Florida Supreme Court denied this ineffective assistance claim on
    prejudice grounds. After deciding that the investigation into mitigating
    circumstances was deficient because trial counsel knew from Dr. Cox’s report that
    “Lynch suffered from some type of cognitive impairment,” yet they “never fully
    investigated this condition,” the Florida Supreme Court concluded that trial
    counsel’s failure did not prejudice Lynch because the statutory aggravating factors
    still far outweighed the mitigating factors. Lynch, 2 So. 3d at 75–77. It found the
    testimony of the State’s witness, Dr. Danziger, to be “the most persuasive” of all
    27
    Case: 12-15188      Date Filed: 01/08/2015    Page: 28 of 48
    the expert testimony offered in the post-conviction proceeding because it was
    grounded in the facts of the murder and explained how those facts showed
    “planning, forethought, [and] organization, not impulsive action.” Id. at 75–76. At
    the end of its four-page discussion of Lynch’s new mental health evidence, the
    Florida Supreme Court concluded:
    Lynch has simply failed to present any evidence connecting any
    cognitive condition to his behavior. Even if we fully accepted the
    testimony of his postconviction mental-health experts, there has been
    little to no testimony establishing that any impairment or
    schizoaffective symptoms contributed to his actions on March 5,
    1999. Lynch had no prior history of criminal activity but by all
    defense accounts has always had this condition. Furthermore, he
    thoroughly planned and carried out his memorialized intent to murder
    Roseanna Morgan and then demonstrated critical impulse control by
    refusing to commit suicide. Cf., e.g., Hoskins v. State, 
    965 So. 2d 1
    ,
    17–18 (Fla. 2007) (affirming death sentence and stating, “the facts
    show an element of planning [and] are inconsistent with a claim that
    [the defendant] was under the influence of an extreme mental or
    emotional disturbance . . . . [Further,] there was no evidence that
    because of the frontal lobe impairment [the defendant] could not
    appreciate the criminality of his conduct at the time of the murder.”);
    Robinson v. State, 
    761 So. 2d 269
    , 277–79 (Fla. 1999) (affirming
    death sentence despite evidence of mild brain damage where no
    evidence existed that the defendant committed the murder as a result
    of his condition).
    Id. at 77.
    Although it ultimately concluded that Lynch had failed to establish the
    prejudice element of his ineffective assistance claim, the district court first
    determined that the Florida Supreme Court’s decision that there was no prejudice
    was not entitled to § 2254(d) deference. See Lynch, 897 F. Supp. 2d at 1303. It
    28
    Case: 12-15188     Date Filed: 01/08/2015    Page: 29 of 48
    did so based entirely on its conclusion that the first sentence in the paragraph
    quoted above — the “failed to present any evidence” sentence — was an
    objectively unreasonable factual determination. See id.; see also 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    (d)(2). The district court deemed that factual determination unreasonable
    because of testimony from Drs. Olander, McCraney, and Sesta, which the court
    believed did link the type of brain impairment those experts found in Lynch to an
    inability to conform his behavior to the law. See Lynch, 897 F. Supp. 2d at 1303.
    Although it reached the right result anyway, the district court erred in getting
    there. It erred by not giving the Florida Supreme Court’s decision on the prejudice
    element the deference that § 2254(d) requires. The “failed to present any
    evidence” sentence in the state court’s opinion comes at the beginning of a
    paragraph that explains it, and it comes at the end of four pages of analysis of the
    new mental health evidence. See Lynch, 2 So. 3d at 73–77. Lifting that one
    sentence off the page and interpreting it in isolation is inconsistent with the
    approach required by § 2254(d), one that imposes a “highly deferential standard for
    evaluating state-court rulings, which demands that state-court decisions be given
    the benefit of the doubt.” Woodford v. Visciotti, 
    537 U.S. 19
    , 24, 
    123 S. Ct. 357
    ,
    360 (2002) (citation and quotation marks omitted). We have repeatedly cautioned
    against “overemphasis on the language of a state court’s rationale” which “would
    lead to a ‘grading papers’ approach that is outmoded in the post-AEDPA era.”
    29
    Case: 12-15188     Date Filed: 01/08/2015    Page: 30 of 48
    Ferguson v. Sec’y, Fla. Dep’t of Corr., 
    716 F.3d 1315
    , 1337 (11th Cir. 2013)
    (quoting Parker v. Sec’y for Dep’t of Corr., 
    331 F.3d 764
    , 785 (11th Cir. 2003)).
    The district court took the “grading papers” approach by red-inking the language in
    that one sentence without considering its context in the Florida Supreme Court’s
    four-page discussion of Lynch’s new mental health evidence. See Lynch, 897 F.
    Supp. 2d at 1303 (interpreting Lynch, 2 So. 3d at 73–77).
    When we read that one sentence in the context of the entire paragraph and as
    part of the larger four-page discussion, giving the state court the benefit of the
    doubt that AEDPA requires, we conclude that what the court actually found was
    that Lynch’s experts’ generalized testimony (that his brain impairment rendered
    him unable to control his impulses) could not be squared with the facts of the case.
    In the three sentences following the one in question, the Florida Supreme Court
    explained what it meant. It said that there was “little to no testimony establishing
    that any impairment or schizoaffective symptoms contributed to [Lynch’s] actions
    on [the day of the murders].” Lynch, 2 So. 3d at 77. There was little or no
    evidence of a link because: “Lynch had no prior history of criminal activity but by
    all defense accounts has always had this condition. Furthermore, he thoroughly
    planned and carried out his memorialized intent to murder Roseanna Morgan and
    then demonstrated critical impulse control by refusing to commit suicide.” Id. The
    Florida Supreme Court cited one of its decisions for the proposition that facts
    30
    Case: 12-15188      Date Filed: 01/08/2015    Page: 31 of 48
    showing “an element of planning . . . are inconsistent with” claims that the
    defendant was acting under “an extreme mental or emotional disturbance” during
    the murder. Id. (quoting Hoskins, 
    965 So. 2d at
    17–18).
    And that is not all. There are other indications in the state court opinion of
    what the sentence in question means. First, the paragraph introducing the four-
    page analysis of the new mental health evidence frames the discussion that follows
    with this assessment: “Lynch has not connected any cognitive impairment to the
    events of [the day of the murder], which, in contrast, reveal a carefully crafted
    murder plot.” 
    Id. at 73
    . In other words, Lynch did not produce evidence
    explaining how, given the circumstances of the crime and the facts surrounding it,
    his “carefully crafted murder plot” could be the result of psychosis, brain damage,
    or any of the other mental problems his experts said he had.
    Not only that, but in reviewing the new mental health evidence, the Florida
    Supreme Court specifically noted the expert testimony that the district court
    thought it had failed to note. The district court justified its conclusion that the
    Florida Supreme Court’s factual determination was objectively unreasonable by
    citing statements from the testimony of Drs. Olander, McCraney, and Sesta. See
    Lynch, 897 F. Supp. 2d at 1303 (citing testimony from those three doctors as proof
    that the Florida Supreme Court made an unreasonable factual determination). The
    district court’s point was that the Florida Supreme Court must have overlooked
    31
    Case: 12-15188       Date Filed: 01/08/2015      Page: 32 of 48
    those cited statements from the experts’ testimony, all of which supported
    mitigating circumstances. See id. Instead of overlooking them, the Florida
    Supreme Court explicitly acknowledged those very statements in its review of the
    evidence. It stated that:
    Drs. Cox, Olander, McCraney, and Sesta (Dr. Wu was not offered for
    this purpose) believed that Lynch qualified for the statutory
    mitigators, and Dr. Sesta stated that Lynch’s frontal-lobe impairment
    is such that some neuropsychologists might have opined that Lynch
    was legally insane at the time of the crime, although he would not do
    so.
    Lynch, 2 So. 3d at 75. It went on to explain that Dr. Danziger’s testimony was
    much more persuasive than the testimony from Lynch’s experts because Dr.
    Danziger accounted for the actual facts of the murders. It also explained that the
    planning and organization that Lynch used to commit the murders undermined his
    claim that his actions were attributable to a brain impairment. See id. at 75–76.11
    In concluding that the Florida Supreme Court overlooked Lynch’s experts’
    testimony, the district court itself overlooked the Florida Supreme Court’s
    discussion of that testimony. See Ferguson, 716 F.3d at 1340 (“AEDPA’s
    command that we give state courts the benefit of the doubt . . . means, at the least,
    that we should avoid finding internal inconsistencies and contradictions in the
    11
    Compared to the State’s other expert, Dr. Riebsame, the Florida Supreme Court found that:
    “Dr. Danziger’s opinion is of much greater value because Dr. Riebsame eventually conceded that
    some of his psychological testing of Lynch was invalid due to the nonstandardized fashion in
    which the tests were administered.” Lynch, 2 So. 3d at 75.
    32
    Case: 12-15188     Date Filed: 01/08/2015    Page: 33 of 48
    decisions of state courts where they do not necessarily exist.”) (quotation marks
    omitted).
    Perhaps it would have been clearer, and easier for us, if the “failed to present
    any evidence” sentence in the Florida Supreme Court’s opinion had instead said
    that Lynch had “failed to present any persuasive evidence connecting any cognitive
    condition to his behavior.” But AEDPA does not require that state courts write
    every sentence in their opinions with maximum clarity to simplify our task.
    Instead, it requires that we give state courts the benefit of the doubt and resolve
    ambiguities in their opinions in favor of their judgments, not against them. See id.
    When the Florida Supreme Court’s assessment of the expert testimony is
    looked at in the light that AEDPA requires, it is far from unreasonable. None of
    Lynch’s experts squarely addressed his conduct and statements before, during, and
    after the murders and explained how they could be squared with a diagnosis of
    brain impairment. The district court’s reasoning does not dissuade us from our
    conclusion. Its opinion focused on three general statements about brain
    impairment that were taken from the testimony of three of Lynch’s testifying
    experts. See Lynch, 897 F. Supp. 2d at 1303. Considering each of those
    statements against the undisputed historical facts shows that, just as the Florida
    Supreme Court recognized, none of Lynch’s experts explained how their diagnosis
    33
    Case: 12-15188      Date Filed: 01/08/2015       Page: 34 of 48
    of brain impairment could be squared with Lynch’s conduct and statements before,
    during, and after the murders.
    First, Dr. Olander made the general observation that: “The interaction of
    [brain damage and psychotic disorders] can be incredibly disabling for the
    individual.” Of course. But she never explained how Lynch, if he was “incredibly
    disabl[ed]” could have carefully planned and carried out the murder of Morgan, as
    he did. Nor did she point to a single fact evidencing that Lynch actually was
    “incredibly disabl[ed]” when he committed the murders.
    Dr. McCraney was given a hypothetical approximating Lynch’s situation
    and replied that it was “more likely than not the brain impairment did contribute to
    the crime itself.”12 But when the attorney for the State asked him if his opinion
    accounted for the facts of the murders, Dr. McCraney clarified that his opinion was
    based on Lynch’s “constant conditions,” not on his actual conduct during the
    murders. In other words, in reaching his opinion about what may have contributed
    to the crime, this expert failed to consider the facts leading up to the crime, the
    facts of the crime, and the facts about what Lynch did and said after the crime.
    Unlike Lynch’s expert witnesses, state courts and federal courts must consider all
    of the relevant facts. The Florida Supreme Court did, and so do we.
    12
    Dr. McCraney’s full statement makes clear that his testimony was based on a hypothetical:
    “Now, I was asked a hypothetical on direct to take into account stress and the person’s mental
    state at the time. Based on that hypothetical my opinion was that more likely than not the brain
    impairment did contribute to the crime itself.”
    34
    Case: 12-15188    Date Filed: 01/08/2015    Page: 35 of 48
    Finally, Dr. Sesta testified that in his opinion Lynch’s brain impairment left
    him “less able to conform his behavior to the standards of the law than a normal
    individual,” and that people with Lynch’s condition can behave normally for long
    periods of time until emotional stressors trigger a “disaster.” But what about the
    critical facts involving Lynch’s conduct leading up to, during, and after the crime?
    Dr. Sesta used the ostrich technique to deal with them. He simply did not bother to
    find out what they were. He testified that he didn’t even know what the facts
    surrounding the murders were, and he never even attempted to analyze Lynch’s
    state of mind during the crimes.
    Given that none of Lynch’s experts accounted for Lynch’s conduct before,
    during, and just after the murders, the Florida Supreme Court’s factual
    determination that Dr. Riebsame’s testimony was more credible is a reasonable one
    within the meaning of § 2254(d)(2). That factual determination cannot be used as
    a basis for not granting § 2254(d) deference to the Florida Supreme Court’s
    decision.
    b.
    As our previous discussion about the expert testimony going to the prejudice
    issue implies, the Florida Supreme Court’s decision rejecting this ineffective
    assistance claim was not an unreasonable application of clearly established federal
    law. See 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    (d)(1).
    35
    Case: 12-15188     Date Filed: 01/08/2015    Page: 36 of 48
    Prejudice in the context of the sentence stage of a capital trial is gauged in
    terms of the mix of aggravating and mitigating circumstances. See Boyd v.
    Comm’r, Ala. Dep’t of Corr., 
    697 F.3d 1320
    , 1341 (11th Cir. 2012). We ask
    whether “without the errors, there is a reasonable probability that the balance of
    aggravating and mitigating circumstances would have been different.” Bolender v.
    Singletary, 
    16 F.3d 1547
    , 1556–57 (11th Cir. 1994). The answer comes from
    taking the mitigating circumstances that were presented and adding to them the
    ones that should have been but were not, and then considering the total mitigating
    circumstances against all of the aggravating circumstances. See Porter v.
    McCollum, 
    558 U.S. 30
    , 41, 
    130 S. Ct. 447
    , 453–54 (2009); Holsey, 694 F.3d at
    1268.
    The death sentence imposed on Lynch for Morgan’s murder was based in
    large part on the cold, calculated, and premeditated aggravating circumstance,
    while the death sentence imposed for Caday’s murder was based in large part on
    the heinous, atrocious, or cruel aggravating circumstance. See Lynch, 
    841 So. 2d at 368
    ; 
    Fla. Stat. § 921.141
    (5)(h), (i). Those “are two of the most serious
    aggravators set out in [Florida’s] statutory sentencing scheme.” Larkins v. State,
    
    739 So. 2d 90
    , 95 (Fla. 1999); see also Buzia v. State, 
    926 So. 2d 1203
    , 1216 (Fla.
    2006) (same). And they both accurately characterized the extreme circumstances
    of the two murders. See supra Parts I–II.
    36
    Case: 12-15188     Date Filed: 01/08/2015    Page: 37 of 48
    Those are not, however, the only aggravating circumstances on which the
    sentencing judge based the death sentences. For the murder of Morgan, as well as
    for the murder of Caday, the judge also found and relied on the aggravating
    circumstance that Lynch “had previously been convicted of a violent felony” and
    the aggravating circumstance that he had committed the murder “while . . .
    engaged in committing one or more other felonies.” Lynch, 
    841 So. 2d at 368
    (applying 
    Fla. Stat. § 921.141
    (5)(b) & (d)).
    Against the three aggravating circumstances supporting each death sentence,
    the only statutory mitigating circumstance was the one for “no significant history
    of prior criminal activity.” See 
    id.
     at 368 & n.5. There were also eight non-
    statutory mitigating circumstances. 
    Id.
     To make a difference, Lynch’s new brain
    impairment evidence would have to alter the balance between the aggravating and
    mitigating circumstances. See Ponticelli v. Sec’y, Fla. Dep’t of Corr., 
    690 F.3d 1271
    , 1300 (11th Cir. 2012); Sochor v. Sec’y Dep’t of Corr., 
    685 F.3d 1016
    , 1030
    (11th Cir. 2012). The Florida Supreme Court determined that the new evidence
    would not have altered the balance because the theory that Lynch suffered from a
    brain impairment that affected his conduct could not be squared with the fact that
    he “displayed organized, methodical planning in his perpetration of these
    offenses,” “displayed critical impulse control in electing not to inflict self-harm,”
    and “explained his actions in a detailed, specific fashion” both during and after the
    37
    Case: 12-15188     Date Filed: 01/08/2015   Page: 38 of 48
    crimes. Lynch, 2 So. 3d at 73, 76–77. The new evidence, in essence, adds little of
    value on the mitigation side of the scale.
    The Florida Supreme Court’s holding that Lynch failed to carry his burden
    of proving prejudice is objectively reasonable. We reached the same conclusion
    about that court’s holding in another case involving similar circumstances. See
    Rutherford v. Crosby, 
    385 F.3d 1300
    , 1316 (11th Cir. 2004). In that case, the
    § 2254 petitioner had planned and carried out the robbery and murder of an elderly
    widow. See id. at 1302. He contended that his counsel had rendered ineffective
    assistance by failing to present expert opinion testimony in the sentence stage
    showing that, as one expert put it, the petitioner had committed the murder while
    “under the influence of ‘stressors’ because of his drinking and getting back
    together with his wife.” Id. at 1314, 1316. Applying AEDPA deference, we held
    that reasonable jurists could conclude, as the Florida Supreme Court did, that there
    was no reasonable probability such mental state mitigation evidence would have
    altered the result given the evidence that the petitioner had planned and
    deliberately carried out the murder in a cold and calculated way. Id.
    The same reasoning applies here. The prosecution’s overwhelming evidence
    proving that the murders were committed in a calculated, premeditated, and
    deliberate manner undercuts the new evidence that he may have been mentally
    impaired at the time of the two murders. Reasonable jurists could conclude, as the
    38
    Case: 12-15188    Date Filed: 01/08/2015      Page: 39 of 48
    Florida Supreme Court did, that the strong aggravating circumstances would still
    have outweighed all of the mitigating circumstances. For that reason, Lynch’s
    claim fails. 13
    VII.
    In its direct appeal, the State contends that the district court erred in granting
    Lynch habeas relief on his claim that he was denied effective assistance of counsel
    when his attorneys advised him to waive his right to a sentence-stage jury before
    adequately investigating and advising him about his brain impairment as a
    potential mitigating factor. See Lynch, 897 F. Supp. 2d at 1306–09. The Florida
    Supreme Court held that trial counsel had not performed deficiently because they
    made a reasonable strategic decision to avoid what counsel felt would almost
    certainly be an emotional jury in favor of a potentially “less emotional, highly
    13
    Lynch also raised a separate but related claim in his federal habeas petition. Compare
    Lynch, 897 F. Supp. 2d at 1293–96 (faulting counsel for failing to find non-expert evidence
    about his background), with id. at 1296–98 (faulting counsel for failing to secure expert
    testimony about his brain impairment). Lynch contends that he was prejudiced by trial counsel’s
    failure to find and present additional background information from lay witnesses and documents.
    Id. at 1293. He argues that the additional evidence would have strengthened his mental health
    mitigation strategy, provided humanizing details about him, and given insight into his
    relationship with Morgan and his financial difficulties before the murder. See id. at 1293–96.
    The Florida Supreme Court pointed out that most of that lay witness testimony and documentary
    evidence had been covered by Dr. Olander at the sentence hearing, and the rest was either
    “irrelevant, cumulative, disputed, or contradicted.” Lynch, 2 So. 3d at 72–73. The state court
    rejected the claim on the grounds that: (1) it was not deficient performance for trial counsel to
    choose to present Lynch’s background information through a mental health expert instead of lay
    witnesses and documents; and (2) Lynch was not prejudiced by trial counsel’s failure to present
    that cumulative, disputed, or contradicted evidence. See id. The district court concluded that
    neither of those determinations was objectively unreasonable, Lynch, 897 F. Supp. 2d at 1296,
    and so do we.
    39
    Case: 12-15188     Date Filed: 01/08/2015    Page: 40 of 48
    experienced judge.” Lynch, 2 So. 3d at 71. It also held that Lynch was not
    prejudiced because his “asserted ignorance of . . . a comparatively minor mental-
    health diagnosis could not have affected his decision to waive a penalty-phase
    jury.” Id. at 700.
    The district court disagreed with both of the state court’s holdings. First, it
    determined that counsel’s advice could not be a reasonable strategic choice
    because it was based in part on counsel’s deficient investigation into mental health
    mitigation evidence. See Lynch, 897 F. Supp. 2d at 1308. The district court also
    concluded that the Florida Supreme Court’s prejudice determination had
    “unreasonably discounted the weight and the importance of the available mental
    health mitigation of which Petitioner was not apprised prior to his waiver of a
    jury.” Id. at 1309 (citing 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    (d)(2)). That conclusion was based on
    the district court’s reading of the “failed to present any evidence” sentence in the
    Florida Supreme Court’s discussion of Lynch’s failure-to-investigate claim. See
    
    id.
     (citing 
    id. at 1303
    ). For reasons we have already discussed at length, the district
    court misread that sentence. See supra Section VI.C.2.a. It should not have cast
    aside the § 2254(d) deference owed to the Florida Supreme Court’s decision on
    this issue.
    After conducting a de novo review of the record, the district court concluded
    that Lynch had been prejudiced. See id. at 1309. Its belief that there was a
    40
    Case: 12-15188       Date Filed: 01/08/2015      Page: 41 of 48
    reasonable probability that Lynch would have opted for a sentence-stage jury but
    for trial counsel’s deficient performance was based on three things: (1) at the state
    post-conviction hearing, lead trial counsel testified “that brain damage is a
    compelling mitigator for a jury to consider”; (2) Lynch’s mental health was “the
    only weighty mitigating factor in his defense”; and (3) in a letter to trial counsel,
    Lynch had “expressed concern that Judge Eaton would be harsher in sentencing
    than the judge initially assigned to the case.” Id. None of those three factors speak
    directly to the question of whether a jury might have been more favorable to Lynch
    than a judge, and thus none of them support the conclusion that if Lynch had been
    informed of the mental state mitigating evidence he would have rejected his
    counsel’s advice to waive a jury at the sentencing stage. We will discuss that more
    in a moment.
    We decide this claim on the prejudice issue. 14 In doing so, we assume —
    without deciding — that Lynch’s ineffectiveness claim is governed by the
    prejudice standard from Hill v. Lockhart, 
    474 U.S. 52
    , 58–59, 
    106 S. Ct. 366
    , 370
    (1985). The Hill decision requires a petitioner claiming that he pleaded guilty
    based on his trial counsel’s deficient advice to show “a reasonable probability that,
    14
    Because we conclude that the Florida Supreme Court’s prejudice determination was
    reasonable, we need not consider the issue of trial counsel’s performance. See Strickland, 
    466 U.S. at 697
    , 
    104 S. Ct. at 2069
     (“[A] court need not determine whether counsel’s performance
    was deficient before examining the prejudice suffered by the defendant as a result of the alleged
    deficiencies.”).
    41
    Case: 12-15188     Date Filed: 01/08/2015     Page: 42 of 48
    but for counsel’s errors, he would not have pleaded guilty and would have insisted
    on going to trial.” Id. at 59, 106 S. Ct. at 370. It is not entirely clear that Hill
    applies where, as here, the ineffective assistance claim is based on counsel’s advice
    to waive a jury at a sentence hearing, instead of on advice to plead guilty and
    waive a trial on guilt.
    In similar circumstances, two of our sister circuits have applied Strickland’s
    prejudice standard instead of Hill’s and asked if there was a reasonable probability
    that the ultimate outcome of the proceeding would have been different. See United
    States v. Lilly, 
    536 F.3d 190
    , 195–96 (3d Cir. 2008) (applying Strickland to
    counsel’s advice to opt for a bench trial in the guilt stage); Jells v. Mitchell, 
    538 F.3d 478
    , 510–11 (6th Cir. 2008) (applying Strickland to counsel’s advice to waive
    a jury at the guilt and sentence stages of a capital trial). But here both the Florida
    Supreme Court and the district court applied Hill’s prejudice standard, see Lynch,
    2 So. 3d at 57, 70–71; Lynch, 897 F. Supp. 2d at 1308–09, and Lynch urges us to
    do so as well. Because of that, we will assume for purposes of this case, as the
    parties both contend, that Hill applies.
    Hill instructs courts that, where a petitioner faults counsel for advising him
    without first finding and informing the petitioner about evidence relevant to that
    advice, the prejudice determination “will depend on the likelihood that discovery
    42
    Case: 12-15188       Date Filed: 01/08/2015      Page: 43 of 48
    of the evidence would have led counsel to change his recommendation.”15 
    474 U.S. at 59
    , 106 S. Ct. at 370. Assessing that likelihood “will depend in large part
    on a prediction whether the evidence likely would have changed the outcome” with
    a jury recommending a sentence to the judge as opposed to a judge determining a
    sentence without a jury’s recommendation. 16 Id. To justify habeas relief on this
    portion of his claim, Lynch must establish that the Florida Supreme Court’s
    prejudice analysis is either “contrary to” or “an unreasonable application of”
    clearly established federal law. 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    (d)(1).
    A state court decision “is not contrary to federal law unless it contradicts the
    United States Supreme Court on a settled question of law or holds differently than
    did that Court on a set of materially indistinguishable facts.” Evans v. Sec’y, Dep’t
    of Corr., 
    703 F.3d 1316
    , 1325 (11th Cir. 2013) (en banc) (quotation marks
    omitted). The Florida Supreme Court’s decision did neither. It applied an
    objective form of prejudice analysis that focused on two things: (1) how the
    “comparatively minor mental-health diagnosis” from Lynch’s new expert evidence
    would not have affected the balance of aggravating and mitigating circumstances,
    15
    As we already mentioned, the recommendation in Hill was to plead guilty instead of going
    to trial. Here, the recommendation was to waive the sentence-stage jury and have the trial judge
    determine Lynch’s sentence without a jury’s recommendation.
    16
    In Hill, the Supreme Court framed the inquiry as “a prediction whether the evidence likely
    would have changed the outcome of a trial.” 
    474 U.S. at 59
    , 106 S. Ct. at 370. That test does
    not fit here because the choice is not between a trial and no trial, but between a judge making a
    sentence determination with or without first receiving a jury’s recommendation. The Hill
    standard must be altered to fit the circumstances.
    43
    Case: 12-15188       Date Filed: 01/08/2015       Page: 44 of 48
    and (2) Lynch’s failure to offer any reason to conclude that a jury would be more
    receptive to that evidence than “a potentially less emotional, highly experienced
    jurist.” Lynch, 2 So. 3d at 71. The Supreme Court has not held that courts
    applying Hill’s prejudice standard must determine what the particular petitioner or
    his attorney would have done if the additional evidence had been discovered. And
    Hill itself teaches that prejudice determinations based on the “predictions of the
    outcome at a possible trial . . . should be made objectively.” 17 
    474 U.S. at
    59–60,
    106 S. Ct. at 371; see also Pilla v. United States, 
    668 F.3d 368
    , 373 (6th Cir. 2012)
    (“The [Hill] test is objective, not subjective . . . .”). Thus, the state court decision
    was not contrary to clearly established federal law. 18
    Nor was the Florida Supreme Court’s prejudice analysis an “unreasonable
    application of” clearly established federal law. A state court decision is not an
    unreasonable application of federal law unless the petitioner shows that there is no
    17
    The Florida Supreme Court’s acknowledgment that a judge is generally less apt to be
    emotionally swayed by the facts of the crime and better able to fully consider the evidence
    relating to possible brain impairment does not run afoul of Hill’s admonition that its prejudice
    inquiry should be made “without regard for the idiosyncrasies of the particular decisionmaker.”
    
    474 U.S. at 60
    , 106 S. Ct. at 371 (quotation marks omitted). Judges as a class and juries as a
    class are not particular decisionmakers.
    18
    Because the Florida Supreme Court properly adopted an objective approach, it had no need
    to address the subjective and equivocal testimony that Lynch’s trial counsel gave at the state
    post-conviction hearing. When first asked if the new mental health evidence would have
    changed his advice to Lynch, counsel said “I think so.” But he later retreated from that answer.
    After being asked again if he would have advised Lynch to waive the sentence-stage jury if he
    had all of the evidence presented at the state post-conviction hearing, he replied “I don’t know.”
    Such subjective assessments are irrelevant. See Pilla, 668 F.3d at 373.
    44
    Case: 12-15188     Date Filed: 01/08/2015   Page: 45 of 48
    possibility that “fairminded jurists” could debate whether the state court’s decision
    is inconsistent with the holding of a prior Supreme Court decision. Evans, 703
    F.3d at 1326 (quotation marks omitted). Here, the analysis turned on two factors.
    The first factor was the Florida Supreme Court’s determination that the new brain
    impairment evidence would not have affected the balance of aggravating and
    mitigating circumstances because: (1) the new evidence established only that
    Lynch had a “mild cognitive impairment”; (2) that impairment “ha[d] not affected
    his ability to lead an otherwise normal life”; (3) he was “of average overall
    intelligence”; and (4) he had “never connected this ‘impairment’ to his actions on
    March 5, 1999.” Lynch, 2 So. 3d at 70–71. That was not an unreasonable
    assessment. As we already explained when analyzing Lynch’s failure-to-
    investigate claim, the facts of the crime and the expert testimony offered by the
    State effectively undercut the brain impairment testimony of Lynch’s experts. See
    supra Section VI.C.2.
    The second factor in the Florida Supreme Court’s prejudice analysis was
    Lynch’s failure to offer any reason to think the jury would have been more
    receptive than the judge to the brain impairment evidence so that the new evidence
    “would have altered his decision to forgo a penalty-phase jury in favor of a
    potentially less emotional, highly experience jurist.” Lynch, 2 So. 3d at 71.
    Neither Lynch’s brief nor the district court’s opinion offers any reason why a jury
    45
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    would be more likely than a judge to be persuaded by such evidence, let alone a
    reason with which no “fairminded jurists” could disagree. See Evans, 703 F.3d at
    1326 (quotation marks omitted). The Florida Supreme Court’s prejudice analysis
    was therefore not an unreasonable application of clearly established federal law.
    Nor do the three things that the district court relied on in its de novo
    determination that there was prejudice overcome the § 2254(d) deference owed to
    the Florida Supreme Court’s determination. See Lynch, 897 F. Supp. 2d at 1309.
    None of them speaks directly to “whether the evidence likely would have changed
    the outcome” with a jury and a judge as opposed to a judge alone, which Hill
    identifies as the primary factor in its prejudice inquiry. 
    474 U.S. at 59
    , 106 S. Ct.
    at 370. Fairminded jurists could agree with the state court’s reasoning and
    disagree with the district court’s. See Evans, 703 F.3d at 1326.
    The district court focused first on lead trial counsel’s “admission that brain
    damage is a compelling mitigator for a jury to consider.” Lynch, 897 F. Supp. 2d
    at 1309. Counsel’s testimony at the state post-conviction hearing was that juries
    are “more receptive to a mitigator like brain damage than they are to the common
    scheme of poor upbringing and mental illness.” But that testimony simply reflects
    the fact that, as counsel put it, “showing a physical defect of the brain” is often
    more persuasive than “showing something amorphous like a mental illness.”
    46
    Case: 12-15188     Date Filed: 01/08/2015     Page: 47 of 48
    Counsel never suggested that juries are more receptive than judges to brain
    impairment evidence, which is what matters here.
    The district court also pointed out that Lynch’s “mental health [w]as the
    only weighty mitigating factor in his defense” and that in two letters to trial
    counsel Lynch expressed interest in presenting mental health mitigation evidence.
    Id. Again, those statements speak to mental health mitigation generally, not to the
    relevant question of whether a judge or a jury would be more receptive to that
    mitigation. There is absolutely nothing in the record to support the proposition,
    which the district court apparently relied on, that juries would be more receptive
    than judges to mental health mitigation evidence.
    Finally, the district court referred to Lynch’s letter to trial counsel dated
    August 29, 2000, which discussed the fact that the judge who initially had been
    scheduled to preside over the trial had been replaced by Judge Eaton. Id.
    Expressing the hope that the new judge would not be harsher on sentencing, Lynch
    wrote: “Also the change of judge from Alley to O.H. Eaton I don’t feel will help,
    he reminds me of a[] cranky old man & possibly harsher as concerning sentence. I
    hope not.” Lynch’s vague expression of concern does not make the Florida
    Supreme Court’s prejudice determination objectively unreasonable. He chose to
    waive a sentence-stage jury despite his initial concern about Judge Eaton, and his
    worry that Judge Eaton might be harsher than Judge Alley does not directly answer
    47
    Case: 12-15188       Date Filed: 01/08/2015     Page: 48 of 48
    the relevant question: Judge Eaton or a jury. 19 As the Florida Supreme Court
    recognized, in Lynch’s case the primary reason for choosing Judge Eaton instead
    of a jury was the likelihood that Judge Eaton would be less emotional and therefore
    more likely to fully and fairly consider any mitigation evidence. See Lynch, 2 So.
    3d at 47. That factor still favored choosing Judge Eaton even with the new mental
    health mitigation evidence. A reasonable jurist could conclude that Lynch was not
    prejudiced by his counsel’s advice to waive the sentence-stage jury. The district
    court erred in granting Lynch sentence-stage relief on this claim.
    VIII.
    Because Lynch was not denied the effective assistance of counsel, the part of
    the district court’s judgment denying habeas relief to Lynch is affirmed, and the
    part of the judgment granting him relief is reversed.
    AFFIRMED in part and REVERSED in part.
    19
    When Lynch waived his right to a sentence-stage jury, he knew that Judge Eaton would be
    the judge presiding at the sentence hearing. See Lynch, 2 So. 3d at 71. Counsel confirmed that
    fact during oral argument before this Court.
    48