Michael A. McGuire v. Steven T. Marshall ( 2022 )


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  • USCA11 Case: 15-10958    Date Filed: 10/03/2022   Page: 1 of 81
    [PUBLISH]
    In the
    United States Court of Appeals
    For the Eleventh Circuit
    ____________________
    No. 15-10958
    ____________________
    MICHAEL A. MCGUIRE,
    Plaintiff-Appellant
    Cross Appellee,
    versus
    STEVEN T. MARSHALL,
    DERRICK CUNNINGHAM,
    JOHN RICHARDSON,
    Defendants-Appellees
    Cross Appellants,
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958         Date Filed: 10/03/2022       Page: 2 of 81
    2                       Opinion of the Court                   15-10958
    CITY OF MONTGOMERY,
    et al.,
    Defendants-Appellees.
    ____________________
    Appeals from the United States District Court
    for the Middle District of Alabama
    D.C. Docket No. 2:11-cv-01027-WKW-CSC
    ____________________
    ∗
    Before JILL PRYOR, ED CARNES, and RIPPLE, Circuit Judges.
    PER CURIAM:
    Plaintiff Michael McGuire is required to register as a sex
    offender under the Alabama Sex Offender Registration and
    Community Notification Act (“ASORCNA” or the “Act”), 
    Ala. Code § 15
    -20A-1 et seq. For as long as he lives in Alabama, Mr.
    McGuire must report in person each quarter to law enforcement.
    ASORCNA also subjects individuals, like Mr. McGuire, who are
    required to register as sex offenders (“registrants”) to a variety of
    other restrictions. A registrant generally cannot live or work within
    ∗
    Honorable Kenneth F. Ripple, United States Circuit Judge for the Seventh
    Circuit, sitting by designation.
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958          Date Filed: 10/03/2022      Page: 3 of 81
    15-10958                 Opinion of the Court                           3
    2,000 feet of a school or childcare center. 1 A registrant who is
    homeless must report in person each week to provide law
    enforcement with updated information. And a registrant must
    notify law enforcement before traveling away from his residence
    for three or more consecutive days. In addition, when a registrant
    moves to a new home, the Act requires law enforcement to mail
    flyers to the registrant’s neighbors informing them of the
    registrant’s status as a sex offender.
    In this lawsuit, Mr. McGuire sued the Alabama Attorney
    General and others, claiming that some provisions of ASORCNA
    impose retroactive punishment in violation of the Constitution’s
    Ex Post Facto Clause. U.S. Const. art. I, § 10, cl. 1. After a bench
    trial, the district court entered judgment against Mr. McGuire,
    concluding that the retroactive application of these provisions did
    not amount to punishment. After careful review, we agree with the
    district court. Accordingly, we affirm in part and vacate and
    remand in part. 2
    In Part I, we discuss the factual background and procedural
    history of Mr. McGuire’s challenge to ASORCNA. In Part II, we
    walk through ASORCNA’s relevant provisions. In Part III, we
    identify the applicable standard of review. In Part IV, we address
    1 ASORCNA includes some exceptions to the employment and residency
    restrictions. See infra n.12.
    2
    We vacate and remand in part because some of Mr. McGuire’s challenges are
    now moot. See infra Section IV.
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    4                       Opinion of the Court              15-10958
    mootness. In Part V, we set forth the “intent-effects” framework
    used to determine whether the Ex Post Facto Clause prohibits a
    law’s retroactive application. In Part VI, we apply this framework
    to analyze whether the Ex Post Facto Clause bars the retroactive
    application of the challenged provisions.
    I.     FACTUAL BACKGROUND
    A.    Factual History
    In 1986, Michael McGuire was convicted in Colorado of: (1)
    first-degree sexual assault (rape) of his girlfriend “through the
    actual application of physical force and physical violence” using a
    knife “to cause submission”; (2) second-degree assault by causing
    and attempting to cause bodily injury “by means of a deadly
    weapon, to-wit: a knife and wine bottle”; and (3) menacing by
    placing another “in fear of imminent serious bodily injury.” At the
    time of the crime, both Mr. McGuire and his girlfriend were 30
    years old. Mr. McGuire served three years in prison and completed
    one year of parole. After his release from prison, Mr. McGuire
    spent much of the next 20 years working as a hair stylist and jazz
    musician in the Washington, D.C. area. During that time, he met
    a woman with whom he entered a common-law marriage in 2001.
    In 2010, Mr. McGuire and his wife decided to move to
    Montgomery, Alabama, to live with and assist his elderly mother.
    Upon arriving in Montgomery, Mr. McGuire registered as a sex
    offender. He learned that he could not live with his mother because
    her home was too close to a childcare center.
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    15-10958               Opinion of the Court                        5
    Mr. McGuire looked for a compliant home. He asked local
    law enforcement about the suitability of dozens of homes for rent
    but was told that ASORCNA prevented him from living at any of
    those addresses. He and his wife stayed at a motel until their money
    ran out. The couple briefly stayed with Mr. McGuire’s brother. But
    when his brother’s minor children returned from a vacation, Mr.
    McGuire had to move out because ASORCNA prevented him from
    staying overnight with minors present. Unable to find housing, Mr.
    McGuire began living beneath an interstate overpass. He spent his
    days at the home where his wife lived and his nights underneath
    the interstate. Later he did find compliant housing. See infra n.20.
    Upon returning to Montgomery, Mr. McGuire also faced
    difficulties finding a job. The district court found that ASORCNA’s
    employment restrictions prevented him from accepting or
    applying for a number of jobs, including music-related
    engagements. The court noted that he occasionally performed as a
    musician at a venue in Montgomery that is more than 2,000 feet
    from a school or childcare center.
    Before filing this lawsuit, Mr. McGuire began receiving
    Social Security disability benefit payments and has continued to
    receive them since then. He testified that he started receiving those
    disability benefits after he had confined himself to his house for
    four years due to agoraphobia and after he had what he describes
    as a “psychotic break” and “was diagnosed as schizophrenic.” He
    also receives non-service-related benefit payments from the
    Veterans Administration for the same mental disabilities.
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    6                           Opinion of the Court                        15-10958
    When Mr. McGuire was asked during the bench trial if he
    was “completely unable to work,” he testified: “I can’t really
    answer that question because I –– I don’t –– I haven’t been in a
    work environment for a while, so I don’t know what my reactions
    would be, due to my schizophrenia. I don’t know if I could –– if I
    could function correctly on a job, but I’m willing to find out.” 3
    3 Federal regulations permit the payment of social security disability benefits
    only when a person’s disabilities render him unable to perform “any
    substantial gainful activity.” 
    20 C.F.R. § 404.1505
    (a); see also 
    id.
     (explaining
    that a person is disabled when he has an impairment that meets or equals “the
    listing for a finding of disability”); 20 C.F.R., pt. 404, subpt. P, app. 1, pt. A2,
    §§ 12.03 (listing schizophrenia as a qualifying disability), 12.06 (listing
    agoraphobia as a qualifying disability). “The regulations define ‘substantial
    gainful activity’ as work that involves significant mental and physical activities
    and that is the kind of work that is usually done for pay or profit.” Johnson v.
    Sullivan, 
    929 F.2d 596
    , 597 (11th Cir. 1991) (citing 
    20 C.F.R. § 404.1572
    ). In
    determining whether work is substantial and gainful, a variety of factors are
    considered, such as “the time spent in the work; quality of the performance;
    whether the worker is self-employed; the need for special conditions or
    supervision; use of experience, skills and responsibilities; and whether the
    worker contributes substantially to the operation of the business.” 
    Id.
     (citing
    
    20 C.F.R. § 404.1573
    ); see also 
    20 C.F.R. § 404.1574
    (b) (an employed person
    earning more than a certain monthly income is generally considered to be
    engaging in substantial gainful activity). The Social Security Administration’s
    and the Veteran Administration’s determinations that Mr. McGuire was
    disabled because of his mental health conditions are not necessarily
    inconsistent with his performing either occasional work as a musician (as he,
    in fact, did) or limited part-time work (as he testified that he wanted to do).
    See Johnson, 
    929 F.2d at 597
    ; U.S. Dep’t of Veterans Affs., Individual
    Unemployability                    Fact                Sheet                 (2018),
    https://www.benefits.va.gov/BENEFITS/factsheets/serviceconnected/IU.p
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    15-10958                  Opinion of the Court                              7
    During the time that he was homeless, Mr. McGuire had to
    register in person each week. He was required to report in person
    each week to both the Montgomery County Sheriff’s Office and
    the Montgomery City Police Department.4
    B.     Procedural Background
    Mr. McGuire filed this lawsuit naming the Attorney General
    of Alabama as defendant. 5 As relevant to this appeal, he challenged
    portions of ASORCNA as unconstitutional ex post facto laws.
    After a bench trial, the district court entered detailed
    findings of fact and conclusions of law. In the findings of fact, the
    court described the difficulties that Mr. McGuire faced in trying to
    find housing and work outside of ASORCNA’s exclusion zones. It
    also addressed the effect the residency and employment
    restrictions had on other registrants in Montgomery. The court
    found that these two restrictions made approximately 80 percent
    of the City of Montgomery’s housing stock and 85 percent of its
    df (stating that a veteran may receive disability benefits at a 100% rate when
    he is unable to “maintain[] substantial gainful employment”).
    4Since that time, ASORCNA has been amended, and homeless registrants are
    no longer subject to dual reporting requirements with the county and the city.
    See 
    2015 Ala. Laws 463
    ; 
    Ala. Code § 15
    -20A-12(b).
    5 Mr. McGuire also named as defendants the City of Montgomery,
    Montgomery’s Chief of Police, Montgomery’s Mayor, Montgomery County’s
    Sheriff, and the Director of the Alabama Department of Public Safety. For
    convenience, in discussing the defendants we refer only to the Attorney
    General, who represents the positions of all the defendants.
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    8                         Opinion of the Court                    15-10958
    jobs off limits to registrants. But many registrants were able to find
    housing and jobs in Montgomery nonetheless. Of the 430
    registrants who lived or worked in the city, the court found only
    three were homeless.6 And approximately 50 percent of these
    registrants had jobs. Although this meant that roughly half of the
    Montgomery registrants lacked jobs, the court noted that this
    number included some registrants who were not actively seeking
    employment. 7
    6 The record also contains evidence about the number of homeless registrants
    in Montgomery County, which encompasses the City of Montgomery.
    Looking at those registrants who were registered with the County only, the
    district court found that there were about 70 additional registrants, none of
    whom was homeless. Considering the total number of registrants in both the
    city and the remainder of the county, only three of 500, or six-tenths of one
    percent of the registrants, were homeless.
    7 The court made no findings of fact about the effect of the residency and
    employment restrictions on registrants in communities outside of
    Montgomery County. The record contains limited evidence about that. One
    of Mr. McGuire’s experts opined that the residency and employment
    restrictions likely would have a similar effect in Alabama’s other largest
    cities—Birmingham, Hoover, Huntsville, Mobile, and Tuscaloosa. The expert
    explained that there was a direct correlation between a city’s population
    density and the proportion of the city that was covered by exclusion zones.
    Because these other cities had similar population densities to Montgomery, he
    expected that the residency and employment restrictions would impact
    registrants in those communities similarly. Mr. McGuire offered no other
    evidence addressing the effect of the residency and employment restrictions
    on registrants living in any other part of Alabama, even though ASORCNA
    applies statewide to the 577 cities, towns, and Census Designated Places
    (CDPs) in Alabama and the 66 counties other than Montgomery. Instead, he
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    15-10958                  Opinion of the Court                              9
    The court’s conclusions of law addressed the merits of Mr.
    McGuire’s ex post facto claims. The court explained that to prevail
    Mr. McGuire had to establish either that the legislature intended
    ASORCNA to impose punishment or that the challenged
    restrictions were sufficiently punitive in purpose or effect to
    overcome the legislature’s nonpunitive intent. The court found
    that in enacting ASORCNA the Alabama legislature expressly
    intended to create a civil regulatory scheme, not to impose
    punishment. For most of the challenged restrictions, the district
    court concluded that Mr. McGuire failed to carry his burden of
    demonstrating that the restrictions were so punitive in purpose or
    effect that the legislature’s nonpunitive intent was overridden.
    There were two exceptions: ASORCNA’s dual reporting
    provisions, which required homeless registrants living in cities to
    report to both municipal and county law enforcement, and its
    travel permit requirement, which mandated that registrants living
    in cities obtain permission from both municipal and county law
    enforcement before traveling outside the area. The court
    determined that these two restrictions were so punitive in purpose
    or effect that the legislature’s stated intent to create a civil
    regulation was negated. The district court declared the retroactive
    application of these two provisions unenforceable under the Ex
    Post Facto Clause.
    presented evidence about only a single city where half of the registrants have
    jobs and more than 99 percent of them have housing.
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    10                     Opinion of the Court                 15-10958
    Both Mr. McGuire and the Attorney General appealed parts
    of the district court’s judgment. While this appeal was pending, the
    Alabama legislature amended ASORCNA. It removed the travel
    permit requirement and clarified that registrants simply needed to
    notify law enforcement before traveling. See 
    2017 Ala. Laws 414
    . It
    also modified the dual reporting requirements. Registrants who
    lived in cities no longer needed to report to both city and county
    law enforcement officers if they were homeless or planned to
    travel. See 
    2015 Ala. Laws 463
    .
    In addition, the State changed how it implemented
    ASORCNA’s requirement that a registrant carry a driver’s license
    or state-issued identification card reflecting his status as a sex
    offender. At the time the district court ruled, the Alabama Law
    Enforcement Agency (“ALEA”) implemented this requirement by
    issuing to registrants driver’s licenses or identification cards with
    the label “CRIMINAL SEX OFFENDER” appearing in red letters
    on the face of the license or card. In a different lawsuit, a group of
    registrants challenged the labeling requirement under the First
    Amendment. The district court in that case declared that the
    identification requirement as implemented by ALEA was
    unconstitutional. See Doe v. Marshall, 
    367 F. Supp. 3d 1310
    , 1339
    (M.D. Ala. 2019). After that ruling, ALEA changed the designation
    it used on licenses and identification cards by replacing the words
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    15-10958                    Opinion of the Court                              11
    “CRIMINAL SEX OFFENDER” with a code. Since then, ALEA has
    issued to registrants new driver’s licenses and identification cards. 8
    II.    ASORCNA’S REGULATION OF SEX OFFENDERS
    We now discuss the relevant restrictions that ASORCNA in
    its current form imposes on sex offenders in Alabama. 9 These
    measures include: requiring in-person quarterly registration;
    providing direct notification to the public when a registrant lives
    nearby; barring registrants from living, working, or volunteering
    within 2,000 feet of schools or childcare centers; requiring
    homeless registrants10 to report to law enforcement once a week;
    and compelling registrants to notify law enforcement before
    traveling.
    8We take judicial notice of the district court’s order and judgment in Doe v.
    Marshall as well as ALEA’s change in policy. See Cunningham v. Dist. Att’y’s
    Off. for Escambia Cnty., 
    592 F.3d 1237
    , 1255 (11th Cir. 2010); United States v.
    Rey, 
    811 F.2d 1453
    , 1457 n.5 (11th Cir. 1987) (noting that we may take judicial
    notice of district courts’ records).
    9When a challenged statute has been amended, we “review the judgment of
    the district court in light of the law as it now stands.” Naturist Soc’y, Inc. v.
    Fillyaw, 
    958 F.2d 1515
    , 1520 (11th Cir. 1992) (alteration adopted) (internal
    quotation marks omitted).
    10ASORCNA defines “homeless” as “[t]he state of lacking a fixed residence.”
    
    Ala. Code § 15
    -20A-4(7). Applying the statutory language, we use the term to
    refer to registrants who lack a fixed residence.
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    12                          Opinion of the Court                        15-10958
    A.      Registration and Direct Community Notification
    ASORCNA requires adult sex offenders, 11 individuals who
    were age 18 or older when they committed a crime defined under
    Alabama law as a sex offense, to register with law enforcement.
    
    Ala. Code §§ 15
    -20A-4(1), 15-20A-10. Adult sex offenders are
    subject to ASORCNA for life. 12 
    Id.
     § 15-20A-3(b). The Act went into
    effect on July 1, 2011, 
    2011 Ala. Laws 640
     § 52, but its provisions
    apply to persons convicted prior to this effective date. See 
    Ala. Code § 15
    -20A-3(a) (explaining that ASORCNA applies to all “adult
    sex offender[s] . . . without regard to when his or her crime or
    11Alabama imposes a separate set of restrictions on individuals who were not
    yet 18 at the time of their sex offense. See 
    Ala. Code §§ 15
    -20A-4(11), 15-20A-
    26 to -34. Because Mr. McGuire committed his offense as an adult, we have no
    occasion to address the restrictions that Alabama imposes on juvenile sex
    offenders.
    12 Some classes of registrants may be excused from ASORCNA’s restrictions.
    Under the so-called “Romeo and Juliet” exception, a state court may excuse
    an individual convicted of a sex offense from complying with ASORCNA if the
    court finds that the sex offense did not involve force and was a crime only
    because of the victim’s age, the victim was at least 13 years old at the time of
    the offense, and the registrant was less than five years older than the victim.
    
    Ala. Code § 15
    -20A-24(b), (i). Alabama also allows registrants to petition for
    relief on a number of other grounds: relief from the employment restriction if
    the offender was not convicted of certain serious sex crimes and poses little
    risk of committing a future sex crime; relief from the residency restriction if
    the offender is seriously ill or disabled; and relief from a registration period of
    life for juvenile offenders. See 
    id.
     §§ 15-20A-23, 15-20A-25, 15-20A-34.
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    15-10958                   Opinion of the Court                              13
    crimes were committed or his or her duty to register arose”). Thus,
    it has retroactive application for those persons.
    ASORCNA requires registrants to report in person to law
    enforcement on a quarterly basis. Id. § 15-20A-10(f). A registrant,
    like Mr. McGuire, who lives in a city has a dual reporting
    requirement, meaning he13 must register each quarter both with
    his county sheriff and with his municipality’s chief of police. See id.
    §§ 15-20A-4(12), 15-20A-10(f). Each time a registrant reports he
    must provide, among other things, information about where he is
    living, working, or attending school.14 Id. § 15-20A-7(a). He also
    must notify law enforcement when his registration information
    changes. Id. § 15-20A-10(e)(1). A person who knowingly fails to
    register or otherwise knowingly violates the reporting requirement
    may be imprisoned for up to 10 years. Id. §§ 13A-5-6(a)(3), 15-20A-
    7(f), 15-20A-10(j).
    The Alabama legislature imposed the reporting requirement
    to promote public safety. It explained that reporting creates
    “constant contact between sex offenders and law enforcement,
    providing law enforcement with priceless tools to aid them in their
    investigations including obtaining information for identifying,
    13 We refer to registrants using male pronouns for simplicity’s sake. Of course,
    sex offenders of all genders must comply with ASORCNA.
    14 Unless they have already been collected and have not been altered, a
    registrant must provide (1) a photograph, (2) fingerprints, (3) a DNA sample,
    (4) a copy of his identification card, and (5) a copy of his passport or
    immigration documents. 
    Ala. Code § 15
    -20A-7(b).
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    14                      Opinion of the Court                 15-10958
    monitoring, and tracking sex offenders.” 
    Id.
     § 15-20A-2(1). It
    specified that the purpose of the registration requirement was “not
    to punish.” Id. § 15-20A-2(5). It stated that the registration
    requirements were instead designed to “increas[e] public safety” by
    “mandating the release of certain information to the public.” See
    id. § 15-20A-2(1). The legislature believed these registration
    requirements would “aid in public awareness and not only protect
    the community but serve to deter sex offenders from future crimes
    through frequent in-person registration.” Id.
    ASORCNA also requires law enforcement to notify
    community residents about the presence of a registrant in that
    community. The purpose of community notification is to “protect
    the community” by “inform[ing] the public of the presence of sex
    offenders in the community.” Id. Again, the legislature specified
    that the purpose of community notification was “not to punish.”
    Id. § 15-20A-2(5).
    ASORCNA mandates two types of community notification:
    (1) indirectly through the internet on Alabama’s public sex offender
    registry website and (2) directly by either mailing or hand
    delivering notices to a registrant’s neighbors. Id. §§ 15-20A-8(a), 15-
    20A-21(a), (b).
    First, law enforcement must maintain a public registry
    website with information about sex offenders. Id. § 15-20A-8(a).
    The statute requires that the website include certain information
    about each registrant in the state: his name, his home address, the
    address of his school or job, his picture, and a list of his qualifying
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    15-10958                Opinion of the Court                         15
    crimes. Id. And the website cannot include certain other
    information: the registrant’s social security number; information
    about arrests that did not result in conviction; travel and
    immigration document numbers; the identity of victims; and the
    registrant’s email addresses, instant message addresses, other
    online identifiers, or internet service providers. Id. The website
    must include “instructions on how to seek correction of
    information that a person contends is erroneous.” Id. § 15-20A-8(g).
    The website must include a warning that the information
    contained on it “should not be used to unlawfully injure, harass, or
    commit a crime against any person named in the registry or
    residing or working at any reported address and that any such
    action may result in civil or criminal penalties.” Id. § 15-20A-8(h). It
    also must disclose that ALEA “did not consider or assess the
    individual’s specific risk of reoffense or current dangerousness; that
    inclusion on the website is based solely on an individual’s
    conviction record and state law; and that the Legislature’s purpose
    in providing this data is to make the information more easily
    available and accessible, not to warn about any specific individual.”
    Id.
    Second, ASORCNA requires law enforcement to notify the
    nearby members of the community directly by mailing or hand
    delivering flyers about registrants. Id. § 15-20A-21(b). Self-
    identifying as a “Sex Offender Notification Flyer” issued by the
    Alabama Public Safety Community Information Center, the flyer
    contains the same information about a registrant that is included
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    16                          Opinion of the Court                        15-10958
    on the public registry website. Id. Law enforcement must send the
    flyers to a registrant’s neighbors when he first establishes a
    residence. 15 Id. § 15-20A-21(a), (b). Law enforcement may also use
    other notification methods such as posting a copy of the flyer in a
    prominent place, including it in a local newspaper, or posting it
    electronically. Id.
    B.      Residency Restrictions
    ASORCNA’s residency restrictions impose geographic
    restrictions on where registrants may live and bar them, between
    the hours of 10:30 p.m. and 6:00 a.m., from places where minors
    are present. 16 See 
    Ala. Code §§ 15
    -20A-11(a), (d), 15-20A-4(14). The
    Alabama legislature intended these restrictions to “protect[]
    vulnerable populations, particularly children.” 
    Id.
     § 15-20A-2(5). A
    registrant who knowingly violates these restrictions may be
    punished by up to 10 years’ imprisonment. Id. §§ 13A-5-6(a)(3), 15-
    20A-11(i).
    15How widely law enforcement distributes the flyers depends on where the
    registrant lives. In Birmingham, Mobile, Huntsville, and Montgomery, law
    enforcement must distribute flyers to anyone who lives within 1,000 feet of
    the registrant’s residence. 
    Ala. Code § 15
    -20A-21(a)(1). In any other city with a
    population of 5,000 or more, the distance is 1,500 feet. 
    Id.
     § 15-20A-21(a)(2). In
    any other area, the distance is 2,000 feet. Id. § 15-20A-21(a)(3). In addition, law
    enforcement must notify all schools and childcare facilities within three miles
    of the registrant’s residence. Id. § 15-20A-21(a).
    16 ASORCNA also prohibits a registrant from living within 2,000 feet of a
    former victim or the victim’s immediate family. 
    Ala. Code § 15
    -20A-11(b). Mr.
    McGuire does not challenge this restriction, so we do not address it.
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    15-10958                  Opinion of the Court                              17
    The geographic residency restriction prohibits registrants
    from “resid[ing]” in exclusion zones that extend 2,000 feet from the
    property line of each school and childcare center 17 in Alabama. 
    Id.
    § 15-20A-11(a). A registrant need not stay overnight at a place to
    “reside” there. Id. § 15-20A-4(20). By definition, a registrant, even
    one who is homeless, resides anywhere he is “habitually or
    systematically present” and thus may reside at more than one place
    at a time. Id. Whether a registrant resides at a place depends on
    “the totality of the circumstances, including the amount of time the
    person spends at the place and the nature of the person’s conduct
    at the place.” Id. A registrant is considered to reside at a place if he
    spends (1) “more than four hours a day” there “on three or more
    consecutive days”; (2) “more than four hours a day” there “on 10
    or more aggregate days during a calendar month”; or (3) “any
    amount of time” there “coupled with statements or actions that
    indicate an intent to live at the place or to remain at the place for
    the periods specified in this sentence.” Id.
    A registrant may live in an exclusion zone if, after
    establishing his residence, changes occur to the surrounding area
    that render the location noncompliant. See id. § 15-20A-11(c). For
    17 ASORCNA also bars a registrant from residing within 2,000 feet of a
    “resident camp facility.” 
    Ala. Code § 15
    -20A-11(a). “[A] resident camp facility
    includes any place, area, parcel, or tract of land which contains permanent or
    semi-permanent facilities for sleeping owned by a business, church, or
    nonprofit organization used primarily for educational, recreational, or
    religious purposes for minors[.]” 
    Id.
     As we have stated, registrants can apply
    for relief from these residency restrictions. See 
    id.
     § 15-20A-23.
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958           Date Filed: 10/03/2022        Page: 18 of 81
    18                        Opinion of the Court                      15-10958
    example, if a registrant lives outside an exclusion zone and a new
    childcare center opens 500 feet away, the registrant generally may
    stay in his home. In addition, the Attorney General represents to
    us that the geographic residency restriction permits a registrant to
    continue living in a residence that he established before
    ASORCNA’s effective date unless the registrant was released or
    convicted of a new offense after ASORCNA’s enactment. The
    record supports that this is indeed how the law has been applied in
    practice.18
    Beyond the geographic residency restriction, ASORCNA
    prohibits a registrant from “conduct[ing] an overnight visit with a
    minor” unless the registrant is the parent, grandparent, stepparent,
    sibling, or stepsibling of the minor. Id. § 15-20A-11(d). An overnight
    visit means “[a]ny presence between the hours of 10:30 p.m. and
    6:00 a.m.” Id. § 15-20A-4(14). Thus, during those hours, a registrant
    may not be present—for any period or any reason—where a minor
    18 There are two other exceptions to ASORCNA’s geographic residency
    restrictions. First, before moving, a registrant may ask law enforcement to
    determine whether his intended new residence complies with ASORCNA. If
    law enforcement states in writing that the residence complies with
    ASORCNA, the registrant has not violated the law if it later turns out that the
    residence is within an exclusion zone. 
    Ala. Code § 15
    -20A-11(g). Second, a
    registrant who is terminally ill or permanently immobile, has a debilitating
    medical condition requiring substantial care or supervision, or requires
    placement in a residential health care facility may be permitted to live inside
    an exclusion zone if a state court finds by clear and convincing evidence that
    he does not a pose a “substantial risk” of committing a future sex offense. 
    Id.
    § 15-20A-23(a), (g).
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958            Date Filed: 10/03/2022          Page: 19 of 81
    15-10958                   Opinion of the Court                                19
    is present, unless the registrant and the minor are related in one of
    the ways listed in § 15-20A-11(d).
    C.      Employment Restriction
    ASORCNA limits where registrants may work or volunteer.
    The Act bars registrants from “accept[ing] or maintain[ing]
    employment or a volunteer position within 2,000 feet of the
    property on which a school or childcare facility is located.” 
    Ala. Code § 15
    -20A-13(b). 19 An exception permits a registrant to
    continue to work in an exclusion zone if, after he accepts
    employment, a new school or childcare center opens within 2,000
    feet of his workplace. See 
    id.
     § 15-20A-13(d). Additionally, a
    registrant may petition for relief from these employment
    restrictions if he was not convicted of certain sexual offenses and
    the court finds by clear and convincing evidence that he does not
    pose a substantial risk of committing another sexual offense. Id.
    § 15-20A-25(a), (f).
    Like the residency restrictions, the Alabama legislature
    enacted the employment restriction to “further[] the primary
    governmental interest of protecting vulnerable populations,
    19  ASORCNA includes two other employment restrictions. One
    bars registrants from working or volunteering at schools, childcare centers, or
    businesses that primarily serve children. 
    Ala. Code § 15
    -20A-13(a). The other
    bars registrants convicted of sex offenses involving children from working or
    volunteering within 500 feet of a playground, park, athletic field or facility, or
    other business or facility having a principal purpose related to children. 
    Id.
    § 15-20A-13(c).
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958      Date Filed: 10/03/2022     Page: 20 of 81
    20                     Opinion of the Court               15-10958
    particularly children.” Id. § 15-20A-2(5). A registrant who
    knowingly violates the employment restriction may be punished
    with up to 10 years’ imprisonment. Id. §§ 13A-5-6(a)(3), 15-20A-
    13(g).
    D.    Homeless Registration Requirement
    Registrants who are homeless must report to law
    enforcement far more frequently than registrants who have fixed
    residences. Homeless registrants must report 56 times a year
    because, in addition to the quarterly reports required of all
    registrants, they must make weekly reports to law enforcement.
    
    Ala. Code §§ 15
    -20A-10(f), 15-20A-12(b). Each week, a registrant
    who is homeless must provide a detailed description of where he
    “resided during the week” and a list of locations where he “plans to
    reside in the upcoming week with as much specificity as possible.”
    
    Id.
     § 15-20A-12(d)(1).
    The Alabama legislature required homeless sex offenders to
    report more often than other registrants because of “their
    mobility,” finding that more frequent registration would protect
    the public. Id. § 15-20A-2(3). It found that “[a]s the number of
    homeless sex offenders increases, locating, tracking, and
    monitoring these offenders becomes more difficult.” Id. The
    legislature expressly “declare[d] that its intent in imposing” this
    monitoring requirement was “not to punish.” Id. § 15-20A-2(5). If a
    homeless registrant “knowingly violates” the registration
    requirements, he faces up to 10 years’ imprisonment. Id. §§ 13A-5-
    6(a)(3), 15-20A-12(f).
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958          Date Filed: 10/03/2022    Page: 21 of 81
    15-10958                Opinion of the Court                         21
    E.     Travel Notification Requirement
    The Act requires registrants to notify law enforcement
    when traveling. Before leaving his county of residence for three or
    more consecutive days, a registrant must report to the county
    sheriff and “sign a travel notification document.” 
    Ala. Code § 15
    -
    20A-15(a). He must disclose his dates of travel, intended
    destination, and temporary lodging information. 
    Id.
     § 15-20A-15(b).
    For domestic travel, a registrant must complete the document
    within three business days of beginning his trip. Id. §§ 15-20A-4(9),
    15-20A-15(a). For international travel, he generally must complete
    the travel form 21 days prior to travel. Id. § 15-20-15(c). A registrant
    who knowingly violates the travel notification requirement faces
    up to 10 years’ imprisonment. Id. §§ 13A-5-6(a)(3), 15-20A-15(h).
    The Alabama legislature imposed the travel notification
    requirement “to protect the public, and, most importantly, [to]
    promote child safety,” not to punish registrants. Id. § 15-20A-2(5).
    III.   STANDARD OF REVIEW
    Because Mr. McGuire appeals the district court’s judgment
    entered after a bench trial, “we review the district court’s
    conclusions of law de novo and the district court’s factual findings
    for clear error.” Proudfoot Consulting Co. v. Gordon, 
    576 F.3d 1223
    , 1230 (11th Cir. 2009).
    IV.     MOOTNESS
    Before turning to the merits of Mr. McGuire’s claims, we
    must address whether any of Mr. McGuire’s claims are moot. As
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958       Date Filed: 10/03/2022    Page: 22 of 81
    22                     Opinion of the Court                15-10958
    we noted above, while this appeal was pending, the Alabama
    legislature amended ASORCNA, and ALEA changed the way it
    implemented ASORCNA’s identification-labeling requirement.
    See supra Section I-B.
    The Constitution’s “cases” and “controversies” requirement
    “subsists through all stages of federal judicial proceedings.” Lewis
    v. Cont’l Bank Corp., 
    494 U.S. 472
    , 477 (1990). “[I]t is not enough
    that a dispute was very much alive when [the] suit was filed.” 
    Id.
    “The parties must continue to have a personal stake in the outcome
    of the lawsuit.” 
    Id. at 478
     (internal quotation marks omitted).
    Otherwise, we lack jurisdiction.
    When a plaintiff challenges a law as unconstitutional and
    seeks only declaratory and injunctive relief, as Mr. McGuire does
    here, a subsequent change to the law or relevant policy can moot
    his claims. See Crown Media, LLC v. Gwinnett Cnty., 
    380 F.3d 1317
    , 1324 (11th Cir. 2004); Jews for Jesus, Inc. v. Hillsborough
    Cnty. Aviation Auth., 
    162 F.3d 627
    , 629 (11th Cir. 1998). In a case
    like this one involving multiple challenges, the entire case becomes
    moot only when the superseding statute removes all challenged
    features of the law. Coral Springs St. Sys., Inc. v. City of Sunrise,
    
    371 F.3d 1320
    , 1342–43 (11th Cir. 2004). Challenges to individual
    features may become moot, however. See Crown Media, 
    380 F.3d at 1324
    .
    Whether a defendant’s voluntary cessation of conduct
    moots a claim is subject to a “stringent” test. Coral Springs,
    
    371 F.3d at 1328
     (internal quotation marks omitted). But we give
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958       Date Filed: 10/03/2022     Page: 23 of 81
    15-10958               Opinion of the Court                        23
    “governmental entities and officials . . . considerably more leeway”
    than private parties. 
    Id.
     at 1328–29. The repeal or amendment of a
    statute or policy generally will moot a challenge unless there is a
    “substantial likelihood” that the challenged statute or policy will be
    reenacted or reinstated. 
    Id. at 1329
    ; Jews for Jesus, 
    162 F.3d at 629
    .
    We agree with the parties that amendments to ASORCNA
    have not mooted Mr. McGuire’s entire case. Some of the
    challenged provisions—the residency and employment
    restrictions, the homeless registration requirement, the travel
    notification requirement, and community notification—remain in
    effect. Accordingly, we address the merits of these claims based on
    ASORCNA as it currently exists. See Naturist Soc’y, Inc. v. Fillyaw,
    
    958 F.2d 1515
    , 1520 (11th Cir. 1992).
    But Mr. McGuire’s objections to other requirements of
    ASORCNA are moot. These include challenges to the dual
    reporting requirements for city-dwelling registrants who are
    homeless or plan to travel. After the district court declared these
    requirements unconstitutional, ASORCNA was amended to
    remove those particular dual reporting requirements. Mr. McGuire
    does not contend that there is a substantial likelihood that those
    dual reporting provisions will be reenacted; thus we conclude that
    the claims challenging these requirements are moot.
    Mr. McGuire’s challenge to the identification-labeling
    requirement also is moot. Under ASORCNA, a registrant must
    carry a valid driver’s license or other identification card issued by
    ALEA. 
    Ala. Code § 15
    -20A-18(a). The identification must “bear a
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958        Date Filed: 10/03/2022      Page: 24 of 81
    24                      Opinion of the Court                  15-10958
    designation that, at a minimum, enables law enforcement officers
    to identify the licensee as a sex offender.” 
    Id.
     § 15-20A-18(c). ALEA
    implemented the labeling requirement by placing the phrase
    “CRIMINAL SEX OFFENDER” in red, capital letters on the front
    of registrants’ driver’s licenses and identification cards. While this
    appeal was pending, however, ALEA changed its policy and no
    longer uses the “CRIMINAL SEX OFFENDER” label.
    Given ALEA’s policy change, Mr. McGuire’s challenge is
    moot. ALEA ceased using the “CRIMINAL SEX OFFENDER”
    label after a district court in another case declared it
    unconstitutional, and the Attorney General did not appeal that
    decision. See Doe, 
    367 F. Supp. 3d at 1339
    . We presume that ALEA
    will not reinstate the policy. Therefore, Mr. McGuire’s challenge
    to the identification-labeling requirement is moot. See Coral
    Springs, 
    371 F.3d at
    1328–29.
    To recap: the part of Mr. McGuire’s appeal challenging the
    identification-labeling requirement is moot. Also moot is the
    Attorney General’s cross-appeal challenging the district court’s
    order striking the dual reporting requirements for homeless
    registrants and for travel notification. As a result, we will vacate the
    district court’s judgment as to those requirements and remand
    with directions to dismiss as moot Mr. McGuire’s claims
    challenging them. See CIA v. Holy Spirit Ass’n for the Unification
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958            Date Filed: 10/03/2022         Page: 25 of 81
    15-10958                   Opinion of the Court                               25
    of World Christianity, 
    455 U.S. 997
    , 997 (1982); Great W. Sugar Co.
    v. Nelson, 
    442 U.S. 92
    , 93 (1979). 20
    20 While this appeal was pending, the Attorney General sought to dismiss Mr.
    McGuire’s challenge to the homeless registration requirement as moot
    because Mr. McGuire was no longer homeless. After oral argument, we
    remanded the case to the district court for the limited purpose of finding facts
    to determine whether this challenge was moot. Although Mr. McGuire had
    lived in a house for a time, the district court found that he was homeless again.
    Even when he was not homeless, the court found, there existed a reasonable
    expectation and demonstrated probability that he would return to being
    homeless in the future. The court also concluded that if Mr. McGuire ceased
    to be homeless in the future, his period of homelessness would be too short to
    litigate fully his challenge to the homeless registration provision.
    It appears from Alabama’s sex offender registry website that Mr. McGuire’s
    current address is at a house in Montgomery, and he is no longer homeless.
    ALEA’s        Sex       Offender       Registry     is     available      here:
    https://www.icrimewatch.net/results.php?AgencyID=
    54247&SubmitNameSearch=1&OfndrCity=montgomery&OfndrLast=&Of
    ndrFirst=&level=&AllCity=&altaddr=home_addr&excludeIncarcerated=0
    &page=1 (last visited Sept. 29, 2022). We may take judicial notice of it. See
    Fed. R. Evid. 201(b), (d); United States v. Howard, 
    28 F.4th 180
    , 186 n.2 (11th
    Cir. 2022) (“Absent some reason for mistrust, courts have not hesitated to take
    judicial notice of agency records and reports.”) (internal quotation marks
    omitted). Still, given the district court’s findings, we conclude that his
    challenge to the homeless reporting requirement is not moot under the
    capable-of-repetition-yet-evading-review exception to the mootness doctrine.
    See Kingdomware Techs., Inc. v. United States, 
    579 U.S. 162
    , 170 (2016).
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958           Date Filed: 10/03/2022     Page: 26 of 81
    26                         Opinion of the Court                 15-10958
    V.     THE LEGAL FRAMEWORK FOR EVALUATING EX
    POST FACTO CLAIMS
    The Constitution forbids states from “pass[ing] any . . . ex
    post facto Law.” U.S. Const. art. I, § 10, cl. 1. The Ex Post Facto
    Clause prohibits retroactive punishment; that is, it “forbids the
    application of any new punitive measure to a crime already
    consummated.” Kansas v. Hendricks, 
    521 U.S. 346
    , 370 (1997)
    (internal quotation marks omitted). By prohibiting retroactive
    punishments, “the Framers sought to assure that legislative Acts
    give fair warning of their effect and permit individuals to rely on
    their meaning until explicitly changed.” Weaver v. Graham,
    
    450 U.S. 24
    , 28–29 (1981). The framers of the Constitution intended
    provisions that serve as a check on a state’s power, like the Ex Post
    Facto Clause, to protect disfavored groups:
    Whatever respect might have been felt for the state
    sovereignties, it is not to be disguised that the framers
    of the constitution viewed, with some apprehension,
    the violent acts which might grow out of the feelings
    of the moment; and that the people of the United
    States, in adopting that instrument, have manifested
    a determination to shield themselves and their
    property from the effects of those sudden and strong
    passions to which men are exposed.
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958           Date Filed: 10/03/2022         Page: 27 of 81
    15-10958                   Opinion of the Court                              27
    Fletcher v. Peck, 10 U.S. (6 Cranch) 87, 137–38 (1810). 21 Because
    the Ex Post Facto Clause prohibits the retroactive application only
    of laws imposing punishment, a statutory scheme that is civil and
    regulatory in nature rather than criminal may apply retroactively
    without violating the Constitution. See Collins v. Youngblood,
    
    497 U.S. 37
    , 43 (1990); United States v. W.B.H., 
    664 F.3d 848
    , 852
    (11th Cir. 2011).
    To show entitlement to relief under the Ex Post Facto
    Clause, Mr. McGuire must establish that the challenged provisions
    in ASORCNA are criminal in nature. To determine whether a law
    is criminal in nature, we apply a two-part “intent-effects” test. See
    Smith v. Doe, 
    538 U.S. 84
    , 92 (2003). In the first step of the inquiry,
    we ask whether the legislature intended to impose punishment. 
    Id.
    If the legislature intended to impose punishment, the inquiry ends,
    and the statutory scheme is punitive. 
    Id.
     If the intent of the
    legislature was to create a civil and nonpunitive scheme, we
    proceed to the second step and ask whether the statutory scheme
    is “so punitive either in purpose or effect as to negate” the
    legislature’s intent to deem it civil. 
    Id.
     (internal quotation marks
    omitted). The Supreme Court has cautioned, “[b]ecause we
    21 See also The Federalist No. 44, at 249 (James Madison) (E.H. Scott ed., 1898)
    (describing the Ex Post Facto Clause as a “constitutional bulwark in favor of
    personal security and private rights”); The Federalist No. 84, at 468 (Alexander
    Hamilton) (E.H. Scott ed., 1898) (“[T]he subjecting of men to punishment for
    things which, when they were done, were breaches of no law . . . ha[s] been,
    in all ages, [a] favorite and most formidable instrument[] of tyranny.”).
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958        Date Filed: 10/03/2022    Page: 28 of 81
    28                     Opinion of the Court                 15-10958
    ordinarily defer to the legislature’s stated intent, only the clearest
    proof will suffice to override legislative intent and transform what
    has been denominated a civil remedy into a criminal penalty.” 
    Id.
    (emphasis added) (internal quotation marks and citation omitted).
    We discuss each step of the intent-effects analysis below.
    A.     The Intent Analysis
    At the first step in our analysis, we ask “whether the
    legislature, in establishing the penalizing mechanism, indicated
    either expressly or impliedly a preference for [a civil or criminal]
    label.” Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 93
     (internal quotation marks omitted).
    For this inquiry into legislative intent, we “consider the statute’s
    text and its structure.” 
    Id. at 92
    .
    When the legislature states in a statute’s text that the
    objective of the statutory scheme is to protect the public, it
    indicates an exercise of the State’s power to protect the health and
    safety of its citizens and evidences an intent to enact a civil
    regulatory scheme. See 
    id.
     at 93–94. In Smith, a group of sex
    offenders challenged Alaska’s statute that required sex offenders to
    register with law enforcement and made much of the registration
    information public. 
    Id.
     at 90–91. The plaintiffs claimed that
    retroactive application of the statute violated the Ex Post Facto
    Clause. 
    Id. at 89
    . Under the Alaska law, individuals who had
    committed sex offenses were required to register with local law
    enforcement either quarterly for life or annually for fifteen years,
    depending on the number and the seriousness of their prior sex
    offense convictions. 
    Id. at 90
    . The law also required the State to
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958        Date Filed: 10/03/2022      Page: 29 of 81
    15-10958                Opinion of the Court                         29
    maintain a publicly available registry of sex offenders, which it
    made available on a website. 
    Id.
     at 90–91.
    The Supreme Court concluded that the Alaska legislature
    intended the registration and community notification scheme to be
    civil. 
    Id. at 93
    . The Court explained that the statute included a
    finding that sex offenders posed a high risk of reoffending and
    identified protecting the public as the primary governmental
    interest behind the law. 
    Id.
     The Court accepted these statements
    on their face as sufficient to indicate that the legislature intended to
    create “a civil scheme designed to protect the public from harm.”
    
    Id.
     (alteration adopted) (internal quotation marks omitted). It
    stated that the “imposition of restrictive measures on sex offenders
    adjudged to be dangerous is a legitimate nonpunitive
    governmental objective and has been historically so regarded.” 
    Id.
    (internal quotation marks omitted).
    The Court rejected the registrants’ argument that other
    features of the statute showed that the legislature intended it to be
    punitive. See 
    id.
     at 93–94. The registrants argued that the
    codification of the registration provisions in the state’s criminal
    procedure code showed a legislative intent to punish. 
    Id.
     The Court
    acknowledged that the placement of the provisions in the criminal
    procedure code could be probative of the legislature’s intent. 
    Id. at 94
    . But it found this placement “not dispositive” because the
    “location and labels of a statutory provision do not by themselves
    transform a civil remedy into a criminal one.” 
    Id.
     The Court thus
    determined that “[t]he partial codification” of the registration
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958       Date Filed: 10/03/2022     Page: 30 of 81
    30                     Opinion of the Court                 15-10958
    provisions in the criminal procedure code was insufficient “to
    support a conclusion that the legislative intent was punitive.” 
    Id. at 95
    .
    B.     The Purpose or Effect Analysis
    In the second step of the inquiry, we “examine whether the
    statutory scheme is so punitive either in purpose or effect as to
    negate the State’s intention to deem it civil.” Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 92
    (alteration adopted) (internal quotation marks omitted). To
    determine whether a regulatory scheme is “so punitive” in purpose
    or effect when applied retroactively, we consider several factors
    that the Supreme Court originally adopted in Kennedy v.
    Mendoza-Martinez, 
    372 U.S. 144
    , 168–69 (1963), and later applied
    in the ex post facto context, see Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 97
    . Mendoza-
    Martinez directed us to consider:
    whether, in its necessary operation, the regulatory
    scheme: has been regarded in our history and
    traditions as a punishment; imposes an affirmative
    disability or restraint; promotes the traditional aims
    of punishment; has a rational connection to a
    nonpunitive purpose; or is excessive with respect to
    this purpose.
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958            Date Filed: 10/03/2022          Page: 31 of 81
    15-10958                   Opinion of the Court                                
    31 Smith, 538
     U.S. at 97. 22 These factors, which were “designed to
    apply in various constitutional contexts,” are “neither exhaustive
    nor dispositive” and instead function as “useful guideposts.” 
    Id.
    (internal quotation marks omitted). Because courts “ordinarily
    defer to the legislature’s stated intent, only the clearest proof will
    suffice to override legislative intent and transform what has been
    denominated a civil remedy into a criminal penalty.” 
    Id. at 92
    (internal quotation marks and citation omitted). The Supreme
    Court has described this as a “heavy burden.” Hendricks, 
    521 U.S. at 361
    . As our sister circuit has observed, “[t]his is a challenging
    standard for plaintiffs.” Hope v. Comm’r of Ind. Dep’t of Corr., 
    9 F.4th 513
    , 530–31 (7th Cir. 2021) (en banc).
    As we apply the listed factors, Smith, following Mendoza-
    Martinez, commands that we consider the challenged statutory
    scheme in its “necessary operation.” Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 97
    . Courts
    generally use one of three distinct frameworks to review a
    constitutional challenge to a statutory provision, treating it as an
    22   Mendoza-Martinez identified two other factors, “whether the regulation
    comes into play only on a finding of scienter and whether the behavior to
    which it applies is already a crime.” Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 105
    . In Smith, the Court
    gave these factors “little weight.” 
    Id.
     The Court explained that Alaska’s
    scheme applied “only to past conduct, which was, and is, a crime.” 
    Id.
    Although the duty to register applied to individuals with prior convictions for
    sexual offenses only, the Court found it significant that the duty to register was
    based on prior crimes and “not predicated upon some present or repeated
    violation.” 
    Id.
     Following the Supreme Court’s lead, we likewise give these
    factors little weight and find it unnecessary to address them further.
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958         Date Filed: 10/03/2022      Page: 32 of 81
    32                       Opinion of the Court                   15-10958
    as-applied, a facial, or a quasi-facial challenge. After considering
    Smith, we conclude that “necessary operation” review does not fit
    neatly into any of these frameworks. Let us explain why.
    In an as-applied challenge, a plaintiff seeks to vindicate only
    her own constitutional rights. Jacobs v. Fla. Bar, 
    50 F.3d 901
    , 906
    (11th Cir. 1995). In evaluating an as-applied challenge, a court
    “addresses whether a statute is unconstitutional on the facts of a
    particular case” or in its application “to a particular party.” Harris
    v. Mexican Specialty Foods, Inc., 
    564 F.3d 1301
    , 1308 (11th Cir.
    2009) (internal quotation marks omitted). By contrast, in a facial
    challenge, a plaintiff seeks “to invalidate a statute . . . itself” and to
    vindicate not only her own rights “but also those of others who
    may be adversely impacted by the statute.” DA Mortg., Inc. v. City
    of Miami Beach, 
    486 F.3d 1254
    , 1262 (11th Cir. 2007) (internal
    quotation marks omitted). A plaintiff who brings a facial challenge
    “bears the burden of proving that the law could never be applied
    in a constitutional manner.” 
    Id.
     To prevail, the plaintiff “must
    establish that no set of circumstances exists under which the
    [statute] could be valid.” Am. Fed’n of State, Cnty. & Mun. Emps.
    Council 79 v. Scott, 
    717 F.3d 851
    , 863 (11th Cir. 2013) (internal
    quotation marks omitted). In a “quasi-facial” challenge, the plaintiff
    contends that the law cannot be constitutionally applied to a
    defined subset of people the law covers, which includes herself. 
    Id.
    To prevail in a quasi-facial challenge, he must satisfy the standard
    for a facial challenge to the extent that his claim “reach[es] beyond
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958       Date Filed: 10/03/2022    Page: 33 of 81
    15-10958               Opinion of the Court                       33
    [her] particular circumstances.” Doe v. Reed, 
    561 U.S. 186
    , 194
    (2010).
    At first blush, Mr. McGuire appears to have brought an as-
    applied challenge because in his complaint he sought to vindicate
    his individual rights alone through a determination that the
    defendants had applied an ex post facto law to him. He did not ask
    the court to provide relief from ASORCNA’s provisions to any
    other registrants. But an ex post facto challenge is different: we do
    not review it as we would an as-applied claim, where we focus
    exclusively on a law’s application to a particular party. See Seling
    v. Young , 
    531 U.S. 250
    , 263–65 (2001).
    In Young, the plaintiff challenged his confinement under a
    state law that authorized the civil commitment of sexually violent
    individuals who suffered “from a mental abnormality or
    personality disorder” that made them “likely to engage in
    predatory acts of sexual violence.” 
    Id. at 253
    . Shortly before Young
    completed his prison sentence for a sex crime, he was civilly
    committed. 
    Id.
     at 255–56. After years of confinement, he filed a
    federal habeas petition claiming that his continued detention
    violated the Ex Post Facto and Double Jeopardy Clauses. 
    Id. at 258
    .
    He alleged that the confinement statute was punitive as applied to
    him because of the length of time he had been confined and the
    conditions of his confinement, which were more restrictive than
    those placed on other civil commitment detainees. 
    Id. at 259
    . The
    Ninth Circuit concluded that Young had adequately alleged the law
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958        Date Filed: 10/03/2022     Page: 34 of 81
    34                      Opinion of the Court                 15-10958
    was punitive as applied to him and remanded for further
    proceedings. 
    Id. at 260
    .
    The Supreme Court rejected the Ninth Circuit’s conclusion
    that Young “could raise an ‘as-applied’ challenge to the [statute] on
    . . . ex post facto grounds.” 
    Id. at 262
    . It explained that a court may
    not evaluate the “civil nature of an Act by reference to the effect
    that Act has on a single individual.” 
    Id. at 262
    ; see also Flemming
    v. Nestor, 
    363 U.S. 603
    , 614 (1960) (noting that a civil law is “not
    punishment even though it may bear harshly upon one affected”).
    The Court warned that considering the effect of a law on only a
    single individual was “unworkable” because such an analysis
    would “never conclusively resolve whether a particular scheme is
    punitive.” Young, 
    531 U.S. at 263
    . Young makes clear that an ex
    post facto claim cannot be treated as an as-applied challenge. See
    
    id.
     at 262–63; Does v. Wasden, 
    982 F.3d 784
    , 791 (9th Cir. 2020)
    (explaining that “ex post facto claims based on the punitive effect
    of purportedly civil statutes cannot be construed as ‘as-applied’
    challenges”).
    Nor do ex post facto claims fit the frameworks used to
    review facial or quasi-facial challenges. In Smith, after concluding
    that the legislature intended to create a civil scheme, the Supreme
    Court considered whether Alaska’s registration and community
    notification provisions were sufficiently punitive in effect to
    override the Alaska legislature’s expressed intent. See 538 U.S at 97.
    In applying the Mendoza-Martinez factors, the Court did not use
    the words “facial” or “quasi-facial,” and it did not inquire whether
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958            Date Filed: 10/03/2022          Page: 35 of 81
    15-10958                   Opinion of the Court                                35
    there was at least one sex offender to whom the registration or
    notification provisions could retroactively be applied without
    violating the Constitution. 
    Id.
     at 97–106. Instead, the Court’s
    reasoning reflects that it considered the effects of the registration
    and notification provisions as they were generally felt by those who
    were subject to them. See 
    id. at 100
     (evaluating whether the
    challenged law imposed an affirmative disability or restraint, a
    Mendoza-Martinez factor, by looking for evidence that the
    statutory provisions “led to substantial occupational or housing
    disadvantages for former sex offenders that would not have
    otherwise occurred through the use of routine background checks
    by employers and landlords”).
    Regardless of how the framework is described, we can distill
    that a plaintiff has a “heavy burden,” Hendricks, 
    521 U.S. at 361
    ,
    when seeking to override a legislative expression of intent that a
    challenged provision is civil, and “only the clearest proof will
    suffice” to meet that burden, Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 92
    . 23 We
    23 Our decision in Doe v. Miami-Dade County, 
    974 F.3d 1333
     (11th Cir. 2020),
    is not to the contrary. That case involved an ex post facto challenge to a county
    ordinance that barred sex offenders whose victims were children from living
    within 2,500 feet of a school. 
    Id. at 1335
    . Before trial, the registrants
    “affirmatively disavowed” that they were seeking as-applied relief, telling the
    court they sought “only” facial relief. 
    Id.
     at 1339 n.3, 1340. During trial, the
    registrants shifted gears and sought to amend their complaint to add an as-
    applied claim. 
    Id.
     at 1336–37. The district court refused to allow the registrants
    to amend their complaint at that point. 
    Id. at 1337
    . We affirmed, holding that
    the district court did not abuse its discretion in denying leave to amend,
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958            Date Filed: 10/03/2022          Page: 36 of 81
    36                         Opinion of the Court                        15-10958
    understand that a plaintiff cannot carry his heavy burden by
    demonstrating the law’s effects only as to him. At the same time, a
    plaintiff need not satisfy the standard for a facial or quasi-facial
    challenge, which would require a showing that the law could never
    be applied retroactively in a constitutional manner.
    VI. ANALYSIS OF ASORCNA’S CHALLENGED
    PROVISIONS UNDER THE INTENT-EFFECTS TEST
    At last, we apply the intent-effects test to determine whether
    ASORCNA is civil or punitive. Because we conclude that the
    Alabama legislature intended to enact a civil legislative scheme, we
    must assess whether Mr. McGuire has shown by “the clearest
    proof” that ASORCNA’s challenged provisions are so punitive in
    purpose or effect as to override the Alabama legislature’s stated
    intent to enact a civil regulatory scheme. See Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 92
    .
    We hold that he has failed to meet that heavy burden. See
    Hendricks, 
    521 U.S. at 361
    .
    emphasizing that the county had no notice that the registrants intended to
    bring an as-applied claim and thus no opportunity to prepare to rebut that
    claim. 
    Id.
     at 1339–41.
    We questioned whether there was any actual distinction between an “as-
    applied” and “facial” ex post facto challenge. 
    Id.
     at 1339 n.3. But given the
    registrants’ litigation strategy and their express disavowal in the district court
    that they were bringing an as-applied challenge, we assumed, without
    deciding, that different frameworks were used to review “as-applied” and
    “facial” ex post facto challenges. See 
    id.
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958        Date Filed: 10/03/2022      Page: 37 of 81
    15-10958                Opinion of the Court                          37
    A.     The Alabama Legislature Intended to Create a Civil,
    Nonpunitive Scheme
    We begin by looking to the Alabama legislature’s intent. In
    its legislative findings, the legislature explained that it had enacted
    the employment and residency restrictions along with the
    “monitoring and tracking” and community notification provisions
    to “further[] the primary governmental interest of protecting
    vulnerable populations, particularly children.” 
    Ala. Code § 15
    -20A-
    2(5). It also declared that “its intent in imposing certain registration,
    notification, monitoring, and tracking requirements on sex
    offenders [was] not to punish sex offenders but to protect the public
    and, most importantly, promote child safety.” 
    Id.
     We conclude that
    by expressly disavowing an intent to punish sex offenders and
    setting forth public-safety-related goals for the statutory scheme,
    the Alabama legislature intended the legislation to be nonpunitive.
    See Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 93
     (holding that Alaska legislature intended
    to enact a civil scheme when statutory text identified protecting the
    public as the primary governmental interest).
    Mr. McGuire argues that despite the Alabama legislature’s
    expressed intent, before turning to the Mendoza-Martinez factors
    we should infer from the structure of ASORCNA that the
    legislature intended the scheme to be punitive because the statute
    is codified in Alabama’s criminal procedure code and imposes
    criminal penalties on registrants who violate its provisions. He also
    argues that a canon of statutory construction indicates that the
    Alabama legislature had a punitive intent. But neither the structure
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958       Date Filed: 10/03/2022    Page: 38 of 81
    38                     Opinion of the Court                15-10958
    of the Act nor the application of the canons of construction reveals
    a punitive intent.
    We are not persuaded by Mr. McGuire’s codification
    argument. Even though a state legislature’s decision to codify a
    statutory scheme in its criminal code may indicate a legislative
    intent to enact a punitive scheme, Smith tells us that when the
    legislature stated expressly in the statute that it intended the
    legislative scheme to have a nonpunitive objective, the location of
    the statutory provisions alone is insufficient to conclude otherwise.
    
    Id.
     at 94–95. We acknowledge that Mr. McGuire’s codification
    argument is somewhat stronger here than the registrants’
    argument in Smith because all (not just part) of ASORCNA is
    codified in Alabama’s criminal procedure code. But Smith’s
    reasoning leads us to reject this argument. 
    Id.
     As the Court pointed
    out, “[i]nvoking the criminal process in aid of a statutory regime
    does not render the statutory scheme itself punitive.” 
    Id. at 96
    .
    Mr. McGuire’s related structural argument, that the
    legislature intended ASORCNA to be punitive because violations
    of it are criminal, is foreclosed by our decision in W.B.H. In
    W.B.H., we considered whether Congress intended SORNA, the
    federal statute requiring in-person sex offender registration, to be
    civil or punitive. 664 F.3d at 854. We rejected the argument that
    Congress implicitly intended to create a punitive scheme by
    imposing a criminal penalty for violating the registration
    requirement because “civil regimes may impose criminal penalties
    for violations of their regulatory requirements.” Id. Given
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958                Date Filed: 10/03/2022         Page: 39 of 81
    15-10958                       Opinion of the Court                             39
    Congress’s statement that the objective of the statute was to
    protect children from sex offenders, we held that Congress
    intended to enact a civil, nonpunitive scheme despite making
    failure to register a crime. Id. at 854–55. W.B.H. dictates our
    conclusion that the Alabama legislature intended ASORCNA to be
    civil even though the statute imposes criminal penalties on
    registrants who fail to comply with its provisions.
    Mr. McGuire’s next argument is that we should conclude
    the Alabama legislature intended the residency and employment
    restrictions to be punitive based on the expressio unius est exclusio
    alterius canon of construction. The legislature specified that the
    registration, notification, monitoring, and tracking requirements
    were not intended to punish sex offenders without mentioning the
    residency and employment restrictions in that particular sentence,
    though they are addressed in the same paragraph. 
    Ala. Code § 15
    -
    20A-2(5). 24 Mr. McGuire argues that under the expressio unius
    24   In its entirety, the paragraph states:
    Sex offenders, due to the nature of their offenses, have a
    reduced expectation of privacy. In balancing the sex offender’s
    rights, and the interest of public safety, the Legislature finds
    that releasing certain information to the public furthers the
    primary governmental interest of protecting vulnerable
    populations, particularly children. Employment and residence
    restrictions, together with monitoring and tracking, also
    further that interest. The Legislature declares that its intent in
    imposing certain registration, notification, monitoring, and
    tracking requirements on sex offenders is not to punish sex
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958          Date Filed: 10/03/2022    Page: 40 of 81
    40                         Opinion of the Court               15-10958
    canon, we must infer that the legislature intended the omitted
    residency and employment restrictions to be punitive. We cannot
    agree.
    Under this canon of construction, “when a legislature has
    enumerated a list or series of related items, the legislature intended
    to exclude similar items not specifically included in the list.”
    Christian Coal. of Fla., Inc. v. United States, 
    662 F.3d 1182
    , 1193
    (11th Cir. 2011). But the canon “can be overcome by contrary
    indications that adopting a particular rule or statute was probably
    not meant to signal any exclusion.” Marx v. Gen. Revenue Corp.,
    
    568 U.S. 371
    , 381 (2013) (internal quotation marks omitted).
    We reject Mr. McGuire’s argument because the expressio
    unius canon is overcome here. In context, ASORCNA’s exclusion
    of the residency and employment restrictions from the list of
    provisions that the legislature stated in one sentence were intended
    “not to punish” does not signal that it intended for them to be
    punitive. 
    Ala. Code § 15
    -20A-2(5). It does not because in the
    immediately preceding sentence of the very same paragraph, the
    legislature stated that the residency and employment restrictions
    “also further” the interest in “protecting vulnerable populations,
    particularly children.” 
    Id.
     That indicates a civil, nonpunitive intent.
    See Smith, 
    538 U.S. at
    93–94.
    offenders but to protect the public and, most importantly,
    promote child safety.
    
    Ala. Code § 15
    -20A-2(5).
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958             Date Filed: 10/03/2022          Page: 41 of 81
    15-10958                    Opinion of the Court                                 41
    B.      Mr. McGuire Failed to Establish by the Clearest Proof
    that the Challenged Restrictions Are Sufficiently
    Punitive to Override the Legislature’s Intent
    Having determined that the Alabama legislature intended
    ASORCNA to be civil and regulatory rather than punitive, we
    move to the second step of the ex post facto analysis: whether the
    challenged restrictions are “so punitive either in purpose or effect
    as to negate [Alabama’s] intention to deem” the restrictions civil.
    Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 92
     (internal quotation marks omitted). We
    consider each restriction in turn. 25
    25For ease of analysis, we consider the residency and employment provisions
    of ASORCNA together because even in combination, we conclude that they
    do not violate the Ex Post Facto Clause. We recognize, however, that if our
    conclusion were different, we would be bound to preserve as much of the Act
    as possible. See Alaska Airlines, Inc. v. Brock, 
    480 U.S. 678
    , 684 (1987) (“A court
    should refrain from invalidating more of the statute than is necessary.
    Whenever an act of [the legislature] contains unobjectionable provisions
    separable from those found to be unconstitutional, it is the duty of this court
    to so declare, and to maintain the act in so far as it is valid.” (alterations
    adopted) (internal quotation marks omitted)). Every statute codified as part of
    the 1975 Code of Alabama, including ASORCNA, is subject to a strong
    severability clause. See 
    Ala. Code § 1-1-16
     (“If any provision of this Code or
    any amendment hereto, or any other statute, or the application thereof to any
    person, thing or circumstances, is held invalid by a court of competent
    jurisdiction, such invalidity shall not affect the provisions or application of this
    Code or such amendment or statute that can be given effect without the
    invalid provisions or application, and to this end, the provisions of this Code
    and such amendments and statutes are declared to be severable.”).
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958        Date Filed: 10/03/2022     Page: 42 of 81
    42                      Opinion of the Court                 15-10958
    1. Mr. McGuire Failed to Carry His Heavy Burden to Prove
    that the Residency and Employment Restrictions Are
    Sufficiently Punitive in Purpose or Effect
    We first consider whether Mr. McGuire has established by
    the clearest proof that ASORCNA’s residency and employment
    restrictions are sufficiently punitive in purpose or effect to override
    the legislative intent that they be civil. After careful consideration,
    we conclude that Mr. McGuire failed to carry the heavy burden
    required to override the legislature’s stated nonpunitive intent.
    a. Resemblance to a Traditional Punishment
    Mr. McGuire argues that the residency and employment
    restrictions, which jointly prohibit registrants from residing,
    working, or volunteering within a 2,000-foot radius of any school
    or childcare facility in Alabama, sufficiently resemble the
    traditional punishment of banishment. We are not convinced.
    With the first factor, we consider whether the statutory
    scheme imposes what has been regarded in our history and
    tradition as punishment. This type of “historical survey can be
    useful because a State that decides to punish an individual is likely
    to select a means deemed punitive in our tradition, so that the
    public will recognize it as such.” Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 97
    . But a
    statutory restriction need not be identical to a traditional
    punishment for this factor to be satisfied. The relevant question is
    whether the challenged provision sufficiently “resemble[s]” or is
    “analogous” to a historical and traditional form of punishment. 
    Id.
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958      Date Filed: 10/03/2022     Page: 43 of 81
    15-10958               Opinion of the Court                      43
    at 97, 99; see also W.B.H., 664 F.3d at 855 (explaining that we
    consider whether a restriction “resemble[s] historical and
    traditional forms of punishment”). The amount of resemblance
    required must be something more than “initial resemblance.” See
    Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 98
     (“Any initial resemblance to early
    punishments is, however, misleading. Punishments such as
    whipping, pillory, and branding inflicted physical pain and staged a
    direct confrontation between the offender and the public. Even
    punishments that lacked the corporal component, such as public
    shaming, humiliation, and banishment, involved more than the
    dissemination of information.”).
    The question we face here is whether the residency and
    employment restrictions bear a sufficient resemblance to the
    traditional punishment of banishment. Banishment dates back
    more than 4,000 years. See Wm. Garth Snider, Banishment: The
    History of Its Use and a Proposal for Its Abolition Under the First
    Amendment, 24 New. Eng. J. on Crim. & Civ. Confinement 455,
    459 (1998). It is a form of punishment contained in the Code of
    Hammurabi, Mosaic law, the Old Testament Book of Esther, the
    Laws of Manu, and the T’ang Code. 
    Id.
     at 459–60. It became most
    familiar to Americans in the early 1700s, when the United Kingdom
    passed the Transportation Act of 1718 and banished around 50,000
    of its criminals to America. 
    Id.
     at 461–62.
    As its history reflects, banishment punishes by “expell[ing]”
    a person “from the community.” Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 98
    . Sometimes
    it has been referred to as “exile, deportation, [or] relegation.”
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958        Date Filed: 10/03/2022     Page: 44 of 81
    44                      Opinion of the Court                 15-10958
    United States v. Ju Toy, 
    198 U.S. 253
    , 269 (1905) (Brewer, J.,
    dissenting). Whatever the name, it was considered a punishment
    of the “severest sort.” 
    Id. at 273
    . Those who suffered it could
    “neither return to their original community nor, reputation
    tarnished, be admitted easily into a new one.” Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 98
    . Banished offenders were rendered “absolutely dead in law” and
    “entirely cut off from society.” 1 William Blackstone,
    Commentaries on the Laws of England *132.
    Although the residency and employment restrictions limit
    where registrants may live or work, we hold that the restrictions
    do not sufficiently resemble the traditional punishment of
    banishment to be considered punitive. Registrants are not totally
    prohibited from entering the exclusion zones that ASORCNA
    creates. It is true that they may not reside, work, or volunteer in
    the exclusion zones. But they remain able to enter exclusion zones
    for other purposes. For example, they may go into exclusion zones
    to see health care providers, visit friends or family, eat meals, shop,
    or worship. Indeed, a registrant may visit the same location in an
    exclusion zone every day, so long as he does not spend more than
    four hours a day in the place on three or more consecutive days or
    on ten or more aggregate days during a calendar month and does
    not indicate an intention to live there. See 
    Ala. Code § 15
    -20A-
    4(20). In addition, the Attorney General concedes that registrants
    are permitted to work in jobs that require them to perform some
    tasks inside exclusion zones. For example, the Attorney General
    says a registrant working as a delivery person may drop off
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958           Date Filed: 10/03/2022         Page: 45 of 81
    15-10958                   Opinion of the Court                              45
    packages at locations inside exclusion zones and a registrant
    working as a landscaper may tend to yards inside exclusion zones.
    Mr. McGuire nevertheless argues that the residency and
    employment restrictions resemble banishment because they
    “effectively” bar registrants from the City of Montgomery.
    Appellant’s Br. at 17. We assume for purposes of this appeal that
    restrictions prohibiting registrants from entering exclusion zones
    for some, but not all, purposes could in some circumstances
    resemble banishment. But Mr. McGuire has not shown that
    ASORCNA’s residency and employment restrictions operate to
    effectively bar registrants from Montgomery.
    In arguing that the residency and employment restrictions
    effectively cast registrants out of Montgomery, Mr. McGuire points
    to two categories of evidence. First, he points to evidence about
    the difficulties he faced in finding a home or job outside the
    exclusion zones. Second, he points to evidence supporting the
    district court’s finding that the residency and employment
    restrictions excluded registrants from more than 80 percent of the
    housing stock and jobs in Montgomery. 26
    26Mr. McGuire’s argument assumes that he can carry his heavy burden to
    show that the residency and employment restrictions in their necessary
    operation resemble banishment through evidence addressing the effect of
    these restrictions on registrants in his community of Montgomery, without
    establishing that the statewide restrictions also have a similar effect in other
    parts of Alabama. We do not decide whether this assumption is correct
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958          Date Filed: 10/03/2022       Page: 46 of 81
    46                       Opinion of the Court                    15-10958
    Mr. McGuire’s evidence about his individual circumstances
    and the particular difficulties that he faced in finding compliant
    housing and work outside of the exclusion zones does not establish
    that the residency and employment restrictions resemble
    banishment. In relying on this evidence, Mr. McGuire effectively
    treats his ex post facto claim as an as-applied challenge in which he
    can establish a constitutional violation through evidence about the
    restrictions’ application solely to him. But the Supreme Court’s
    decision in Young forecloses the as-applied avenue. The Court
    made clear that we cannot evaluate whether a restriction is
    punitive “by reference to the effect that [it] has on a single
    individual.” Young, 
    531 U.S. at 262
    .
    Setting aside evidence of the restrictions’ effects on Mr.
    McGuire personally, we consider his other evidence. He argues
    that the residency and employment restrictions effectively cast
    registrants out of Montgomery because they make approximately
    80 percent of the housing stock and 85 percent of the jobs off limits
    to registrants.
    The district court found that the residency and employment
    restrictions seriously limit registrants’ housing and employment
    options in Montgomery, and these findings are not clearly
    because, even assuming Mr. McGuire could carry his burden by introducing
    evidence only as to Montgomery, he failed to establish by the clearest proof
    that the residency and employment restrictions exclude registrants from
    Montgomery in a way that resembles banishment.
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958       Date Filed: 10/03/2022    Page: 47 of 81
    15-10958               Opinion of the Court                       47
    erroneous given the evidence in the record. But even so, we cannot
    say that Mr. McGuire established that the restrictions are so severe
    that they resemble banishment and effectively cast registrants out
    of the community. The evidence of record demonstrates that
    registrants have remained able to find housing and jobs in
    Montgomery. As the district court found, of the approximately 430
    registrants in Montgomery, only three were homeless. This means
    that more than 99 percent of the individuals required to register in
    Montgomery were able to find housing. Approximately half of the
    registrants in Montgomery were able to find jobs. And of the half
    who were not working, the district court explained that some were
    not actively seeking work (perhaps because they were retired,
    attending school, or physically unable to work). The question is not
    whether there are houses or jobs off-limits to registrants because of
    the exclusion zones; the question is whether there are houses or
    jobs sufficiently open to them notwithstanding the exclusion
    zones. Obviously there are, and Mr. McGuire does not point to any
    evidence that the available houses or jobs are so undesirable that
    they should not be counted.
    Nothing in ASORCNA bars registrants from going into
    exclusion zones for any purpose besides employment or
    establishing a residence, as defined in the statute. And ASORCNA
    does not restrict registrants from going into non-exclusion zones as
    much as they like, as long as they aren’t conducting an “overnight
    visit” with a minor. See 
    Ala. Code § 15
    -20A-4(14); 
    id.
     § 15-20A-
    11(d).
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958           Date Filed: 10/03/2022         Page: 48 of 81
    48                         Opinion of the Court                      15-10958
    ASORCNA does not banish registrants from the jurisdiction,
    whether a city or a state, or “expel[] [them] from the community.”
    Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 98
    . It does not cut them off from interacting with
    other adults, or even with minors during the daytime. As the
    district court explained, registrants are “not barred from
    frequenting any part of the city during the day.” McGuire v.
    Strange, 
    83 F. Supp. 3d 1231
    , 1253 (M.D. Ala. 2019) (emphasis
    added). And “any part” includes all of the exclusion zones.
    Registrants may enter the exclusion zones for any purpose
    except residency or employment there, so long as they do not
    exceed the specified frequency and duration limits. Mr. McGuire’s
    evidence about the restrictions’ effects on housing and
    employment prospects for registrants does not establish that
    registrants are effectively cast out of Montgomery in a way that
    resembles banishment. 27
    27 We note the Sixth Circuit’s decision holding that a Michigan law establishing
    exclusion zones for sex offenders resembled banishment. See Doe v. Snyder,
    
    834 F.3d 696
    , 701–02 (6th Cir. 2016). But the Michigan law barred registrants
    from engaging in a broader range of conduct in the exclusion zones. It
    prohibited registrants not only from living or working in exclusion zones but
    also from “loitering” in these areas. 
    Id. at 698
     (internal quotation marks
    omitted). It also effectively barred registrants from working any job that
    required “traveling from jobsite to jobsite” because “work will surely take
    place within a school zone at some point.” 
    Id. at 702
    . In contrast, ASORCNA
    imposes no bar on loitering, and registrants may hold jobs that occasionally
    require them to perform tasks inside, or to cross through, an exclusion zone.
    Given the differences, even after considering the Sixth Circuit’s analysis, we
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958            Date Filed: 10/03/2022          Page: 49 of 81
    15-10958                   Opinion of the Court                                49
    b. Affirmative Disability or Restraint
    We next ask whether the residency and employment
    restrictions impose an affirmative disability or restraint. We accept,
    and the Attorney General seems to concede, that these restrictions
    impose some affirmative disability or restraint by limiting where
    registrants may live or work.
    In considering whether the legislative scheme imposes an
    affirmative disability or restraint, we ask “how the effects of the
    [law] are felt by those subject to it.” Smith, 
    538 U.S. at
    99–100. If
    the restraint imposed is only “minor and indirect, its effects are
    unlikely to be punitive.” 
    Id.
    In Smith, the Court concluded that Alaska’s registration and
    notification scheme imposed no affirmative disability or restraint.
    The Court began by noting that because the scheme imposed no
    physical restraint, it did not “resemble the punishment of
    imprisonment, which is the paradigmatic affirmative disability or
    restraint.” 
    Id.
     The Court further concluded that the scheme did not
    impose any other type of affirmative disability or restraint. It
    explained that Alaska’s scheme “[did] not restrain activities sex
    offenders may pursue” and left them “free to change jobs or
    are not persuaded that Alabama’s residency and employment restrictions
    resemble banishment. Cf. Shaw v. Patton, 
    823 F.3d 556
    , 567–68, 577 (10th Cir.
    2016) (holding that a 2,000-foot residency restriction did not cause the plaintiff
    to be “expelled from a community” although he was restricted from living in
    some areas, and the statute also contained a 500-foot loitering provision).
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958       Date Filed: 10/03/2022     Page: 50 of 81
    50                     Opinion of the Court                 15-10958
    residences,” meaning they could “live and work as other citizens.”
    
    Id.
     at 100–01. The Court determined that the record contained no
    evidence that the Alaska Act had “led to substantial occupational
    or housing disadvantages for former sex offenders that would not
    have otherwise occurred through the use of routine background
    checks by employers and landlords.” 
    Id. at 100
    .
    In this case, the district court found that ASORCNA’s
    residency and employment restrictions imposed “direct . . .
    restraints and disabilities.” McGuire, 83 F. Supp. 3d at 1258. But the
    imposition of an affirmative disability or restraint “does not
    inexorably lead to the conclusion that the government has imposed
    punishment.” Hendricks, 
    521 U.S. at 363
     (internal quotation marks
    omitted). Rather, we must consider “the degree of the restraint
    involved in light of the legislature’s countervailing nonpunitive
    purpose,” meaning we also must consider “whether the law is
    rationally connected to a nonpunitive purpose, and whether it is
    excessive in relation to that purpose.” Doe v. Miller, 
    405 F.3d 700
    ,
    721 (8th Cir. 2005). As we explained, Mr. McGuire presented
    evidence that the residency and employment restrictions impose
    some housing and occupational disadvantages on registrants in
    Montgomery by limiting where they can live and work. All
    residency and employment restrictions do. But as we explain in
    more detail below, ASORCNA’s residency and employment
    restrictions are rationally connected to a nonpunitive purpose and
    are not excessive in relation to that purpose. After weighing the
    degree of disability imposed and the legislature’s nonpunitive
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    15-10958                Opinion of the Court                        51
    purpose, we conclude that the affirmative disability or restraint
    imposed by the residency and employment restrictions is not
    sufficiently punitive to override the legislature’s expressed intent to
    create a civil, nonpunitive scheme. See Shaw v. Patton, 
    823 F.3d 556
    , 570 (10th Cir. 2016) (concluding that Oklahoma’s 2,000-foot
    residency restriction did “not amount to a disability or restraint
    that has a punitive effect”).
    c. Traditional Goals of Punishment
    Mr. McGuire argues that the residency and employment
    restrictions are punitive because they further two traditional goals
    of punishment: deterrence and retribution. But the restrictions do
    not have such a strong deterrent or retributive effect that it renders
    them punitive.
    Whether the statutory scheme “promotes the traditional
    aims of punishment” is the third factor the Supreme Court
    considered in Smith. 
    538 U.S. at 97
    . The traditional aims, or
    theories, of punishment are deterrence and retribution. See
    Hudson v. United States, 
    522 U.S. 93
    , 101 (1997).
    The deterrence theory of punishment refers to “the
    prevention of criminal behavior by fear of punishment.”
    Deterrence, Black’s Law Dictionary (10th ed. 2014). The Supreme
    Court’s decision in Smith tells us little about how to determine
    whether a statutory scheme furthers deterrence. Alaska conceded
    that its registration and notification scheme promoted deterrence,
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    52                     Opinion of the Court                15-10958
    so the Court did not need to decide the question. Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 102
    .
    The residency and employment restrictions promote the
    goal of deterrence, Mr. McGuire contends, by imposing an
    additional penalty for past sex offenses and thus preventing future
    crimes. We accept that the restrictions in some sense function as a
    deterrent by preventing future crime. As the statutory text reflects,
    the Alabama legislature intended the restrictions to protect
    children by preventing future sex offenses, suggesting that the
    legislature understood the restrictions would prevent, or deter,
    future crimes. See 
    Ala. Code § 15
    -20A-2(1), (5).
    Even though the residency and employment restrictions
    have some deterrent effect, we cannot say that they are so punitive
    that they override the legislature’s intent to enact a civil scheme.
    The registrants in Smith pointed to the concession that Alaska’s
    scheme promoted deterrence to argue that the law was punitive.
    But the Court rejected the argument as “prov[ing] too much.”
    Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 102
    . Because “[a]ny number of governmental
    programs might deter crime without imposing punishment,” the
    Court cautioned, “[t]o hold that the mere presence of a deterrent
    purpose renders such sanctions criminal would severely
    undermine the Government’s ability to engage in effective
    regulation.” 
    Id.
     (alteration adopted) (internal quotation marks
    omitted).
    The retribution theory of punishment reflects that it is
    “fitting and just that one who has caused harm to others should
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958        Date Filed: 10/03/2022      Page: 53 of 81
    15-10958                Opinion of the Court                          53
    himself suffer for it.” Wayne R. LaFave, Substantive Criminal Law
    § 1.5(a)(6) (2d ed. 2003). “A statute is retributive if it is intended to
    express condemnation for a crime and to restore moral balance.”
    Shaw, 823 F.3d at 571.
    Mr. McGuire argues that the residency and employment
    restrictions advance the goal of retribution because the restrictions
    “are not tailored to the crime, the offender, the victim, the length
    of time since the crime, or any other metric,” and thus they must
    be “a blunt and indiscriminate tool designed simply to punish
    registrants for past offenses.” Appellant’s Suppl. Br. at 38.
    The residency and employment restrictions in ASORCNA
    may have a retributive effect, to some extent. The restrictions are
    imposed on registrants solely because of their earlier criminal
    convictions, prompting one court to infer that they reflect societal
    condemnation for a registrant’s underlying crime. See Shaw,
    823 F.3d at 571. But we find any expression of condemnation
    insufficiently clear or strong to negate the legislature’s stated
    nonpunitive intent.
    The fact that the statutory scheme may have had a
    retributive effect did not convince the Supreme Court in Smith that
    the scheme was so punitive in effect that it overrode the
    legislature’s civil intent. 
    538 U.S. at 102
    . Under Alaska’s registration
    scheme, the scope of a registrant’s reporting requirement
    depended solely on the nature of his underlying crime or crimes. A
    person who committed a single, non-aggravated sex crime was
    required to register annually as a sex offender for 15 years. 
    Id. at 90
    .
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958        Date Filed: 10/03/2022     Page: 54 of 81
    54                      Opinion of the Court                 15-10958
    But a person who committed an aggravated sex offense, or two or
    more sex offenses, was required to register quarterly as a sex
    offender for life. 
    Id.
     Because the duration of the duty to register
    depended on the nature of the sex offender’s underlying crime
    rather than an individualized assessment of the risk he posed, the
    Ninth Circuit held that Alaska’s registration requirement had a
    retributive purpose and was punitive in effect. 
    Id. at 102
    .
    The Supreme Court disagreed. It acknowledged that the
    Alaska statute differentiated among registrants based on the nature
    of the underlying criminal conduct—whether the offense was
    aggravated or repeated. 
    Id.
     Still, the Court determined that the
    Ninth Circuit “was incorrect to conclude that the Act’s registration
    obligations were retributive.” 
    Id.
     The Court explained that the
    registration requirement was “reasonably related to the danger of
    recidivism” in a way that was “consistent with the regulatory
    objective.” 
    Id.
     The Court also recognized: “The legislature’s
    findings are consistent with grave concerns over the high rate of
    recidivism among convicted sex offenders and their dangerousness
    as a class.” 
    Id. at 103
    . “The risk of recidivism posed by sex offenders
    is frightening and high.” 
    Id.
     (internal quotation marks omitted).
    Although Alabama imposes the restrictions on registrants as
    a class without making individualized risk assessments, following
    Smith, we conclude that “[t]he Ex Post Facto Clause does not
    preclude a State from making reasonable categorical judgments
    that conviction of specified crimes should entail particular
    regulatory consequences.” 
    Id.
     As we explain below, the restrictions
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    15-10958                  Opinion of the Court                            55
    have a rational connection to a nonpunitive purpose and are not
    excessive.
    d. Rational Connection to a Nonpunitive Purpose
    We next consider whether the residency and employment
    restrictions lack a rational relationship to a nonpunitive purpose.
    This inquiry is a most—if not the most—significant factor. Smith,
    
    538 U.S. at 102
    . 28 In Smith, the Supreme Court held that this factor
    was satisfied when the purpose of the sex offender registration and
    notification legislation was to protect public safety by “alerting the
    public to the risk of sex offenders in their community.” 
    Id.
     at 102–
    03 (alteration adopted) (internal quotation marks omitted). We
    conclude that ASORCNA’s residency and employment restrictions
    are likewise consistent with the nonpunitive purpose of promoting
    public safety.
    The Attorney General argues that the residency and
    employment restrictions protect public safety because (1) sex
    offenders are likely to commit future offenses against children, and
    (2) the restrictions prevent future sex offenses against children by
    keeping registrants away from children. Mr. McGuire disagrees
    and says that the record evidence established that sex offenders
    have lower recidivism rates than the Attorney General suggests
    and that creating zones of exclusion does not actually protect
    28We have described this factor “as the most ‘significant’ one in the ex post
    facto analysis.” Waldman v. Conway, 
    871 F.3d 1283
    , 1294 (11th Cir. 2017)
    (emphasis added) (quoting Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 102
    ).
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958      Date Filed: 10/03/2022     Page: 56 of 81
    56                     Opinion of the Court               15-10958
    children from future sex crimes. Importantly, though, with respect
    to this factor, the question is not whether the weight of the
    evidence shows that sex offenders are likely to recidivate or
    whether residency and employment restrictions in fact prevent
    future sex crimes. Instead, our inquiry is limited to whether it
    would be rational for a legislature to draw these conclusions. Given
    the narrow scope of our inquiry, we find a rational connection to a
    nonpunitive purpose here.
    To begin, we conclude it was rational for the Alabama
    legislature to conclude that sex offenders pose a risk of committing
    future sex crimes against children. The Attorney General points to
    research in the record showing that sex offenders generally pose a
    greater threat of committing future sex crimes than the general
    population does, including research showing that sex offenders are
    four times more likely than non-sex offenders to be rearrested for
    a sex crime after release from prison.
    Mr. McGuire responds that social science research in the
    record indicates that sex offenders may have lower recidivism rates
    than previously thought. But we need not resolve this dispute
    about the relative rate of recidivism for sex offenders. Again, to
    apply this factor, we simply ask whether it was rational for the
    Alabama legislature to conclude that sex offenders are more likely
    than the general population to commit future sex crimes. And
    based on evidence in this record, we cannot say that it was
    irrational.
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    15-10958               Opinion of the Court                       57
    Mr. McGuire also argues that the residency and
    employment restrictions lack a rational relationship to the State’s
    legitimate purpose because, he asserts, registrants whose previous
    crimes involved adult victims are unlikely to commit future sex
    offenses against children. Record evidence reflects, however, that
    sex offenders are not specialists with respect to the gender and age
    of their victims. This is not to say that sex offenders whose prior
    offenses involved adults pose the same risk of committing future
    sex offenses against minors as do sex offenders whose prior offenses
    involved minors. But, again, because there is some evidence that
    adult sex offenders pose a greater threat to children than does the
    general population, we cannot deem irrational the Alabama
    legislature’s conclusion that children are protected by restraints on
    sex offenders whose previous victims were adults.
    Next, we consider whether residency and employment
    restrictions are a reasonable way to protect children from future
    sex offenses. The assumption underlying these restrictions is that
    limiting registrants’ access to public areas that children frequent
    will reduce crime. The Attorney General introduced into evidence
    a study showing that removing registrants from the areas near
    schools and childcare centers reduced crime. Mr. McGuire points
    to other evidence showing that most sex crimes against children
    are committed not by a stranger who happens to encounter a child
    in public but instead by someone the child knows—which calls into
    question whether broad exclusion zones actually protect children
    from sex crimes. Mr. McGuire’s expert testified, and other evidence
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958        Date Filed: 10/03/2022   Page: 58 of 81
    58                     Opinion of the Court               15-10958
    in the record supports, that there is no significant relationship
    between a person reoffending and his proximity to schools or day
    care.
    The Attorney General presented evidence showing that
    residency and employment restrictions reduce the risk of future
    crimes, and we afford great deference to the Alabama legislature’s
    statement in ASORCNA that it intended for the Act to protect
    public safety, not to impose punishment. See 
    Ala. Code §§ 15
    -20A-
    2(1) (“[T]he number of sex offenders continues to rise. The
    increasing numbers coupled with the danger of recidivism place
    society at risk.”); 15-20A-2(3) (“Homeless sex offenders are a group
    of sex offenders who need to be monitored more frequently for the
    protection of the public. Homeless sex offenders present a growing
    concern for law enforcement due to their mobility.”); 15-20A-2(5)
    (noting that residency and employment restrictions “further[] the
    primary governmental interest of protecting vulnerable
    populations, particularly children”). Mr. McGuire failed to
    establish by the clearest proof that the residency and employment
    restrictions lack a rational connection to the nonpunitive purpose
    of protecting the public. This factor weighs against finding that
    these restrictions are punitive in effect.
    e. Excessiveness
    The final factor requires us to consider whether Mr.
    McGuire has met his burden to show that ASORCNA’s residency
    and employment restrictions are excessive. A restriction is not
    excessive so long as the State has chosen a reasonable means to
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958        Date Filed: 10/03/2022      Page: 59 of 81
    15-10958                Opinion of the Court                         59
    achieve its nonpunitive objective. See Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 105
    . In this
    inquiry, we do not ask whether the legislature made the “best
    choice possible” to achieve its nonpunitive aim. 
    Id.
     As the Supreme
    Court has cautioned, “[a] statute is not deemed punitive simply
    because it lacks a close or perfect fit with the nonpunitive aims it
    seeks to advance.” 
    Id. at 103
    .
    On appeal, Mr. McGuire argues that the residency and
    employment restrictions are excessive for three reasons: (1) they
    apply to all registrants for life; (2) other state laws are less severe;
    and (3) the restrictions caused Mr. McGuire to be homeless and
    unable to find a job. After considering these arguments, we
    conclude that Mr. McGuire has not carried his burden.
    First, Mr. McGuire argues that the residency and
    employment restrictions are excessive because they apply to
    registrants for life. We understand Mr. McGuire to be saying that
    the restrictions are excessive because they apply to all registrants as
    a class without any individualized risk assessment.
    The Supreme Court rejected a similar argument in Smith.
    The registrants argued that Alaska’s registration scheme was
    excessive because it applied to all convicted sex offenders without
    regard to their future dangerousness. 
    Id.
     But the Court rejected this
    argument, explaining that the Ex Post Facto Clause permits a State
    to make “reasonable categorical judgments that conviction of
    specified crimes should entail particular regulatory consequences”
    and to “legislate with respect to convicted sex offenders as a class,
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958          Date Filed: 10/03/2022        Page: 60 of 81
    60                        Opinion of the Court                    15-10958
    rather than require individual               determination       of    their
    dangerousness.” 
    Id. at 104
    .
    We thus cannot say that the residency and employment
    restrictions are excessive simply because Alabama applied them to
    registrants as a class without making any individual determinations
    about dangerousness. Importantly, as we explained above, the
    legislature could reasonably try to advance its goal of protecting
    the public by creating a categorical rule that subjects registrants to
    residency and employment restrictions. See Part VI-B-1-c & d;
    Shaw, 823 F.3d at 576 (holding that Oklahoma’s residency
    restriction was not excessive even though it created “a categorical
    rule for sex offenders”); Miller, 
    405 F.3d at 722
     (rejecting argument
    that Iowa’s residency restriction was excessive because it applied to
    registrants as a class).
    Second, Mr. McGuire argues that the residency and
    employment restrictions are excessive when combined because
    they are more severe than the restrictions imposed by other
    states. 29 This argument rests on the premise that a state’s restriction
    may be shown to be excessive merely because of its severity in
    29 It appears that the other states’ laws that impose both residency and
    employment restrictions establish smaller exclusion zones, which extend
    between 300 and 1,000 feet around schools and daycare centers. See, e.g.,
    O.C.G.A. § 42-1-15 (geographic residency and employment restrictions with
    1,000-foot exclusion zones); 
    Mont. Code Ann. § 45-5-513
     (geographic
    residency and employment restrictions for “high-risk sexual offender[s]” with
    300-foot exclusion zones); 
    Tenn. Code Ann. § 40-39-211
     (geographic residency
    and employment restrictions with 1,000-foot exclusion zones).
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    15-10958               Opinion of the Court                       61
    relation to other states’ restrictions or because other states have
    chosen less restrictive means to achieve their regulatory purpose.
    But Mr. McGuire cites no authority holding that such a showing
    satisfies a plaintiff’s burden. And we are not persuaded by this
    argument, which seems in tension with the role of the states as
    “laboratories for experimentation” that may “devise various
    solutions where the best solution is far from clear.” United States
    v. Lopez, 
    514 U.S. 549
    , 581 (1995) (Kennedy, J., concurring); see
    also Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 105
     (explaining that “[t]he excessiveness
    inquiry of our ex post facto jurisprudence is not an exercise in
    determining whether the legislature has made the best choice
    possible to address the problem it seeks to remedy,” but instead
    “whether the regulatory means chosen are reasonable in light of
    the nonpunitive objective”).
    Third, Mr. McGuire says the residency and employment
    restrictions are excessive because of the difficulty he had finding a
    job or a house outside the exclusion zones. With this argument Mr.
    McGuire again seeks to establish that the residency and
    employment restrictions are punitive in effect through evidence of
    the law’s effect on himself alone. But, as we explained above,
    Supreme Court precedent forecloses this argument. See Young,
    
    531 U.S. at 262
    .
    On the record before us, we conclude that Mr. McGuire did
    not establish by the clearest proof that the residency and
    employment restrictions are so punitive in purpose or effect that
    they override the Alabama legislature’s stated nonpunitive intent.
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958           Date Filed: 10/03/2022         Page: 62 of 81
    62                         Opinion of the Court                      15-10958
    Accordingly, we affirm the district court’s determination that the
    retroactive application of the residency and employment
    restrictions does not violate the Ex Post Facto Clause.
    2. Mr. McGuire Failed to Carry His Heavy Burden to Prove
    that the Homeless Registration Requirement Is
    Sufficiently Punitive in Purpose or Effect
    Next, we address ASORCNA’s homeless-reporting
    requirement. As a refresher, the Act requires homeless registrants
    to report in person every week and to identify the locations where
    they resided during the previous week and plan to reside in the
    upcoming week. See 
    Ala. Code § 15
    -20A-12(b), (d). After
    considering the Mendoza-Martinez factors, we conclude that Mr.
    McGuire failed to establish by the clearest proof that the homeless
    registration restriction is so punitive in purpose or effect as to
    negate the legislature’s intent to deem it civil.
    a. Resemblance to a Traditional Punishment
    Mr. McGuire argues that the homeless registration
    requirement resembles the traditional punishment of probation or
    parole. 30 We disagree.
    30 Although in Smith the Supreme Court discussed parole, it did not consider
    whether parole qualified as a traditional or historical punishment. See 
    538 U.S. at
    101–02 (considering whether reporting requirements imposed an
    affirmative disability or restraint similar to probation or parole, not whether
    probation or parole had been regarded in our history and tradition as a
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    15-10958                   Opinion of the Court                                63
    Probation and parole are closely related punishments.31
    Individuals on probation and parole “do not enjoy the absolute
    liberty to which every citizen is entitled, but only conditional
    liberty properly dependent on observance of special probation [or
    parole] restrictions.” Griffin v. Wisconsin, 
    483 U.S. 868
    , 874 (1987)
    (alteration adopted) (internal quotation marks omitted). Probation
    and parole involve a series of mandatory conditions, which may
    include requiring a person to report regularly to law enforcement
    and to comply with other conditions including maintaining
    employment, obtaining consent from a probation or parole officer
    before moving or changing jobs, and abstaining from drugs or
    alcohol. See Shaw, 823 F.3d at 565. When a probationer or parolee
    violates the conditions of his probation or parole, the supervising
    officer seeks revocation in a proceeding that is part of the original
    punishment). We assume for purposes of this appeal only that parole would
    qualify as a traditional or historical punishment. See Shaw, 823 F.3d at 565.
    31Parole refers to “[t]he conditional release of a prisoner from imprisonment
    before the full sentence has been served” and generally requires “that the
    parolee regularly report to a supervising officer for a specified period.” Parole,
    Black’s Law Dictionary (11th ed. 2019). Probation refers to “[a] court-imposed
    criminal sentence that, subject to stated conditions, releases a convicted
    person into the community instead of sending the criminal to jail or prison,
    usu[ally] on condition of routinely checking in with a probation officer over a
    specified period of time.” Probation, Black’s Law Dictionary (11th ed. 2019).
    Succinctly, “[p]arole is based on good conduct in the penitentiary while
    probation is set as a substitute for incarceration.” 59 Am. Jur. 2d Pardon &
    Parole § 8 (2016).
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958        Date Filed: 10/03/2022     Page: 64 of 81
    64                      Opinion of the Court                 15-10958
    offense. See Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 102
    ; Griffin, 
    483 U.S. at 874
    ; Black v.
    Romano, 
    471 U.S. 606
    , 611 (1985).
    It is certainly true that registrants, like probationers and
    parolees, are subject to periodic reporting requirements. But
    ASORCNA’s homeless registration requirement does not so
    closely resemble probation or parole that “the public [would]
    recognize” it as a punishment. Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 97
    . The homeless
    registration requirement is markedly different from probation and
    parole in two ways. First, the registration requirement is limited to
    a reporting. It does not entail the type of supervision that is a
    hallmark of probation and parole. Homeless registrants are not, for
    example, required to maintain employment, obtain consent before
    moving or changing jobs, or abstain from drugs or alcohol. Second,
    the consequences of violating the homeless reporting requirement
    are different from the consequences of probation and parole
    violations. With probation and parole, a violator of a term or
    condition of supervision may be imprisoned for the original crime.
    See Romano, 
    471 U.S. at 609, 611
    . By contrast, if a homeless
    registrant fails to comply with the weekly reporting requirement,
    he may be subjected to a criminal prosecution for violation of
    ASORCNA, separate and apart from his original offense. See 
    Ala. Code § 15
    -20A-12(f); see also Smith, 
    538 U.S. at
    101–02.
    b. Affirmative Disability or Restraint
    The second factor requires us to consider whether the
    homeless reporting requirement imposes an affirmative disability
    or restraint. Even though the in-person weekly reporting
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958      Date Filed: 10/03/2022     Page: 65 of 81
    15-10958               Opinion of the Court                      65
    requirement imposes an affirmative disability or restraint, we
    cannot say that the requirement is punitive.
    In assessing whether the weekly, in-person reporting
    requirement imposes an affirmative disability or restraint, we look
    to precedent addressing whether other sex offender registration
    schemes imposed these burdens. In Smith, the Supreme Court held
    that Alaska’s scheme requiring yearly or quarterly registration by
    mail imposed no affirmative disability or restraint. 
    538 U.S. at 91
    ,
    100–101. Likewise, in W.B.H., we held that a federal law requiring
    sex offenders to register in person four times per year imposed no
    affirmative disability or restraint. See 664 F.3d at 857–58. Even
    though the in-person reporting requirement was “inconvenient,”
    we concluded that no affirmative disability or restraint resulted
    because the quarterly in-person reporting requirement did not
    prohibit registrants from changing residences, jobs, or student
    status without prior approval and “only require[d] that changes be
    reported.” Id. at 857.
    The reasoning in Smith and W.B.H. perhaps suggests that
    the homeless reporting requirement imposes no affirmative
    disability or restraint. True, ASORCNA requires homeless
    registrants to provide regular updates to law enforcement officers,
    but they remain able to move into a fixed residence and to change
    where they stay throughout the week without obtaining prior
    approval. Still, ASORCNA’s weekly reporting requirement is more
    burdensome than the registration schemes reviewed in Smith and
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958       Date Filed: 10/03/2022    Page: 66 of 81
    66                     Opinion of the Court                15-10958
    W.B.H. because neither case considered a weekly reporting
    requirement or its effect specifically on homeless individuals.
    Given the reporting frequency, we are persuaded that the
    homeless registration requirement imposes an affirmative
    disability or restraint. But even considering this factor, we cannot
    say that the homeless registration requirement is so punitive in
    effect that it overrides the legislature’s nonpunitive intent. See
    Hendricks, 
    521 U.S. at 363
     (explaining that the imposition of an
    affirmative disability or restraint does not necessarily mean that a
    restriction is punitive). We must weigh the extent of the disability
    or restraint that the weekly registration requirement imposes on
    homeless registrants against the legislature’s nonpunitive purpose
    of protecting the public. See Miller, 
    405 F.3d at 721
    . As we explain
    below, the weekly registration requirement has a rational
    connection to the nonpunitive purpose of protecting the public and
    is not excessive in relation to that purpose. In the circumstances
    before us, even though the law imposes an affirmative disability or
    restraint, we conclude that it is not sufficiently punitive to negate
    the legislature’s intent.
    c. Traditional Goals of Punishment
    Turning to the next factor, we ask whether the homeless
    registration requirement furthers a traditional goal of punishment.
    We see no sufficiently strong deterrent or retributive effect to
    render the homeless registration requirement punitive.
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958      Date Filed: 10/03/2022    Page: 67 of 81
    15-10958               Opinion of the Court                      67
    We accept that the requirement has a general deterrent
    effect by potentially preventing future crime. Indeed, the Alabama
    legislature expressly stated that it imposed the more frequent
    reporting requirement for homeless registrants “for the protection
    of the public,” 
    Ala. Code § 15
    -20A-2(3), suggesting it understood
    that the reporting requirement would prevent registrants who
    were homeless from committing future crimes. But Smith
    recognized that governmental programs might deter crime
    without imposing punishment. 
    538 U.S. at 102
    . So it cannot be true
    that the presence of some general deterrent effect establishes that
    the registration requirement is punitive. Sex offender restrictions
    and requirements generally are intended to protect the public by
    reducing the number of future crimes that sex offenders commit.
    If that made them punitive, none would survive judicial scrutiny.
    See 
    id.
     (“To hold that the mere presence of a deterrent purpose
    renders such sanctions criminal would severely undermine the
    Government’s ability to engage in effective regulation.” (alteration
    adopted) (internal quotation marks omitted)).
    We agree with Mr. McGuire that, like the residency and
    employment restrictions, the homeless registration requirement
    furthers the goal of retribution to some extent. See Shaw, 823 F.3d
    at 572. For a restriction to be so retributive that it constitutes
    punishment, though, the statute’s effect must “lack[] a reasonable
    relationship to non[]punitive objectives.” Id. As we explain when
    we apply the next factor, the Alabama legislature could rationally
    set out to protect public safety by requiring weekly registration
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958       Date Filed: 10/03/2022    Page: 68 of 81
    68                     Opinion of the Court                15-10958
    from homeless registrants. In light of the rational connection
    between the reporting requirement and protecting public safety,
    this factor weighs against a finding of punitive effect.
    d. Rational Connection to a Nonpunitive Purpose
    Without a doubt, Alabama’s homeless registration
    requirement has a rational connection to a nonpunitive purpose.
    As the Supreme Court recognized in Smith, requiring registrants
    to report to law enforcement is rationally connected to the
    legitimate, nonpunitive purpose of promoting public safety. See
    
    538 U.S. at
    102–03. It therefore is rational for a state to require
    registrants to report periodically to law enforcement to verify their
    information as well as to report when information changes—for
    example, after changing where they stay.
    Relatedly, because homeless registrants lack a fixed address,
    they may be more transient than other registrants. To ensure that
    law enforcement and the public have accurate information about
    these registrants’ whereabouts and to protect public safety, a state
    legislature could rationally conclude that homeless registrants need
    to report more frequently. See 
    Ala. Code § 15
    -20A-2(3) (“Homeless
    sex offenders . . . need to be monitored more frequently for the
    protection of the public.”). Whether or not we agree with the
    legislature’s conclusion, it was not an unreasonable one. See Shaw,
    823 F.3d at 572.
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958           Date Filed: 10/03/2022       Page: 69 of 81
    15-10958                  Opinion of the Court                             69
    e. Excessiveness
    As to the final factor, Mr. McGuire has not shown that the
    reporting requirement is excessive. Given the requirement’s
    rational connection to a nonpunitive purpose, Mr. McGuire bears
    the burden to show that the requirement is nonetheless excessive
    in relation to this purpose. But he does not argue that the frequency
    or manner of reporting imposed upon homeless registrants—in-
    person reporting once per week—is excessive in light of this
    nonpunitive purpose. 32
    On the record before us, we conclude that Mr. McGuire
    failed to establish by the clearest proof that the weekly reporting
    requirement for homeless registrants is sufficiently punitive to
    negate the Alabama legislature’s stated intention to enact a civil
    regulatory scheme. We thus affirm the district court’s judgment
    32On appeal, Mr. McGuire focuses his argument on why it was excessive for
    Alabama to require homeless registrants who live in cities to report in person
    twice per week (once each week to city law enforcement and once each week
    to county law enforcement). See Appellant’s Br. at 34 (arguing that the
    homeless registrant requirement is excessive because, due to the dual
    reporting requirement, “homeless registrants must also report twice per week,
    amounting to a minimum of 112 registrations per year”). But the Alabama
    legislature has removed the homeless registrants’ dual reporting requirement.
    See 
    2015 Ala. Laws 463
    . As explained above, we limit our analysis to the
    version of ASORCNA currently in effect, which requires homeless registrants
    to report 56 times per year (four quarterly registrations and 52 weekly
    registrations). See supra Section IV.
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    70                        Opinion of the Court                    15-10958
    that the weekly reporting requirement does not violate the Ex Post
    Facto Clause.
    3. Mr. McGuire Failed to Carry His Heavy Burden to Prove
    that the Travel Notification Requirement Is Sufficiently
    Punitive in Purpose or Effect 33
    Next is ASORCNA’s travel notification requirement.
    ASORCNA requires a registrant to provide notice to law
    enforcement before he may “temporarily leave[]” his county of
    residence for three or more consecutive days. 
    Ala. Code § 15
    -20A-
    15(a). After applying the Mendoza-Martinez factors, we conclude
    that Mr. McGuire has failed to show by the clearest proof that this
    requirement is punitive.
    Mr. McGuire argues that the travel notification provision
    resembles probation or parole because it (1) bars registrants from
    spontaneous travel by requiring them to give notice at least three
    business days before traveling and (2) requires registrants to
    receive permission before traveling. But because ASORCNA, as
    33 We continue to weigh the same factors to evaluate the remaining challenged
    provisions. But because the parties’ arguments for each of the remaining
    challenged provisions are less complex, we cease using separate subheadings
    as we discuss each factor.
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    15-10958                  Opinion of the Court                             71
    amended, imposes neither restriction, we hold that it does not
    resemble probation or parole. 34
    First, Mr. McGuire contends that the travel notification
    provision restricts registrants from any form of spontaneous travel
    because they must notify law enforcement at least three business
    days before traveling. But he slightly misreads ASORCNA with
    respect to domestic travel. The law permits registrants to give
    notice within three business days of such travel. 
    Id.
     §§ 15-20A-4(9),
    15-20A-15(a). Because a registrant may give notice immediately
    before departing on a trip, we reject Mr. McGuire’s argument that
    the provision resembles probation or parole by restricting
    spontaneous travel.
    Mr. McGuire also argues that because he must disclose in
    advance where he will be staying, he cannot spontaneously decide
    to stay at a different hotel or in a different town. Mr. McGuire
    argues that innocuous changes in travel plans may trigger felony
    violations. But barring registrants from making spontaneous
    changes to their travel plans does not mean the travel notification
    requirement resembles probation or parole. Only “knowing[]”
    violations of the travel restrictions are punishable as felonies. 
    Ala. Code § 15
    -20A-15(h). Also, allowing a registrant to travel to a
    destination different from the one disclosed in advance would
    34 Aswe have mentioned, permission to travel is no longer required in light of
    the 2017 amendments to ASORCNA, but notification of intent to travel is
    required. See 
    2017 Ala. Laws 414
    .
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    72                     Opinion of the Court                15-10958
    thwart the regulatory purpose of informing local authorities where
    the registrant would be and allowing them to inform law
    enforcement in that other location.
    Mr. McGuire contends that the travel notification provision
    resembles probation or parole because it requires registrants to
    obtain permission from law enforcement before traveling. Under
    the amended version of ASORCNA, however, no permission is
    required. A registrant must report to his county sheriff to
    “complete and sign a travel notification document” before
    traveling outside his county of residence for three or more days. 
    Id.
    § 15-20A-15(a). But ASORCNA gives the sheriff no discretion or
    authority to forbid a registrant who completes the travel
    notification form from leaving the county. Id. § 15-20A-15(a), (d).
    Mr. McGuire’s argument that law enforcement might do so rests
    on unfounded speculation. We therefore reject his argument that
    this provision resembles probation or parole.
    Turning to the second factor, the travel notification
    provision places some burden on registrants by requiring them to
    report in person before traveling. But because ASORCNA, in its
    current form, requires registrants to report in person to law
    enforcement only once before a trip, we cannot say that the
    reporting requirement imposes a burden rising to the level of an
    affirmative disability or restraint. See W.B.H., 664 F.3d at 857
    (addressing why in-person reporting requirement did not impose
    affirmative restraint).
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958        Date Filed: 10/03/2022     Page: 73 of 81
    15-10958                Opinion of the Court                        73
    Now the third factor. Even if we assume that the travel
    notification provision has some deterrent effect, that effect does
    not make the provision punitive because the “mere presence” of a
    deterrent effect does not make a statute punitive. See Smith,
    
    538 U.S. at 102
     (internal quotation marks omitted). Likewise, even
    if the travel notification serves some retributive purpose, the
    provision is not punitive because, as we conclude below, it has a
    rational connection to a nonpunitive purpose and is not excessive.
    See 
    id.
    As to the fourth factor, the travel notification requirement
    has a rational connection to a nonpunitive purpose. The Attorney
    General argues that requiring a registrant to report travel outside
    the county “[e]ncourages personal contact with law enforcement”
    and “[p]rovides for continuity of contact between jurisdictions.”
    Appellees’ Br. at 47. In requiring registrants to disclose their travel
    plans to law enforcement shortly before traveling, the provision
    serves these rational purposes.
    With respect to the final factor, the travel notification
    provision is not excessive. The provision appropriately serves the
    purpose of protecting public safety by requiring that registrants
    give notice shortly before traveling, with some flexibility (within
    three days) about when the notification must occur. Because the
    scope of the restriction is “reasonable in light of the nonpunitive
    objective,” Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 105
    , it is not excessive.
    After considering the relevant factors, we conclude that Mr.
    McGuire has failed to establish by the clearest proof that the travel
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    74                        Opinion of the Court                     15-10958
    notification restriction is so punitive in purpose or effect that it
    overrides the legislature’s stated nonpunitive intent.
    4. Mr. McGuire Failed to Carry His Heavy Burden to
    Prove that the Direct Community Notification
    Requirement Is Sufficiently Punitive in Purpose or Effect
    The last provision of ASORCNA Mr. McGuire challenges is
    the requirement that local law enforcement notify a registrant’s
    neighbors that a sex offender plans to establish or has established a
    residence nearby. Looking to the Supreme Court’s decision in
    Smith, we conclude that Mr. McGuire has failed to show by the
    clearest proof that this provision is punitive.
    Mr. McGuire argues that the direct community notification
    requirement resembles a traditional shaming punishment. Some
    historical punishments, like forcing an offender to wear a sign
    broadcasting his offense, were meant to inflict public disgrace. See
    Smith, 
    538 U.S. at
    97–98. The required community notification
    bears at least an initial resemblance to traditional shaming
    punishments. When a registrant establishes a new residence, local
    law enforcement is to mail or hand deliver to a registrant’s
    neighbors a flyer that discloses the registrant’s name, address,
    photograph, and status as a sex offender. 35 See 
    Ala. Code §§ 15
    -20A-
    35 ASORCNA also provides for a second type of community notification
    through the State’s maintenance of an online database for the public to access
    information about registrants. See 
    Ala. Code § 15
    -20A-8(a). The Supreme
    Court held in Smith that including a registrant’s information in an online
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    15-10958                  Opinion of the Court                            75
    8(a), 15-20A-21(a), (b). We recognize that a registrant will likely
    experience a degree of humiliation and public disgrace when these
    flyers are distributed to his neighbors. See Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 98
    (recognizing registrants may face stigma as a result of the public
    being notified about their status as sex offenders).
    But Smith is clear that our inquiry does not end there. Even
    though the registrants in Smith experienced public stigma due to
    being listed in Alaska’s internet database of sex offenders, the Court
    concluded that Alaska’s community notification scheme did not
    resemble a historical shaming punishment. 
    Id.
     at 98–99. This was
    because registrants were not subjected to “face-to-face shaming.”
    
    Id. at 98
    . Instead, any stigma resulted solely “from the
    dissemination of accurate information about a criminal record,
    most of which is already public.” 
    Id.
     The Court analogized the way
    database did not resemble a historical shaming punishment. 
    538 U.S. at 99
    .
    Smith compels us to conclude that this aspect of Alabama’s community
    notification is nonpunitive.
    At least one court has determined that community notification through an
    internet registry database has a punitive effect. See, e.g, Commonwealth v.
    Muniz, 
    164 A.3d 1189
    , 1212 (Pa. 2017) (holding that Pennsylvania’s
    community notification requirements violated the Ex Post Facto Clauses of
    the United States and Pennsylvania constitutions when registrants were listed
    on a public internet website because the publication provision “when viewed
    in the context of our current internet-based world [is] comparable to shaming
    punishments”). But even after considering this decision, we conclude that
    Alabama’s use of an online registry is not punitive.
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958            Date Filed: 10/03/2022         Page: 76 of 81
    76                         Opinion of the Court                       15-10958
    the public could access information in the database to “a visit to an
    official archive of criminal records” because a member of the public
    would receive information about a sex offender only after
    voluntarily taking several steps, including “going to the
    Department of Public Safety’s Web site, proceed[ing] to the sex
    offender registry, and then look[ing] up the desired information.”
    
    Id. at 99
    .
    The Supreme Court’s decision in Smith does not answer
    directly whether ASORCNA’s direct community notification
    resembles public shaming.36 On the one hand, Smith’s discussion
    of “face-to-face shaming” suggests that ASORCNA’s notification
    36 Nor does our decision in W.B.H. answer whether Alabama’s direct
    community notification provision resembles a historical punishment. In
    W.B.H., an individual who was required under SORNA to register due to a
    juvenile conviction for a sex offense claimed that SORNA’s community
    notification requirement was punitive. 664 F.3d at 851. He argued that
    including his information in a government sex offender database on the
    internet resembled a traditional shaming punishment because his underlying
    juvenile conviction for a sex offense was not a public record. Id. at 856. We
    concluded that placing his information in a database would not subject him to
    face-to-face public shaming. Id. We stated that “[e]ven if the fact that a person
    had been convicted of a sex offense as a youthful offender were to be
    permanently sealed under state law, dissemination of that truthful
    information in a [] registry” would not be punitive. Id. Because W.B.H.
    involved a challenge to a community notification scheme that involved
    dissemination of information about registrants through an internet database
    only, however, the opinion did not address whether direct community
    notification in which the government, unsolicited, sends out information
    about a registrant’s presence to his neighbors would resemble a traditional
    shaming punishment.
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958        Date Filed: 10/03/2022     Page: 77 of 81
    15-10958                Opinion of the Court                        77
    scheme does not resemble a historical punishment because a
    registrant ordinarily is not present when his neighbors receive the
    notice disclosing his status as a sex offender. Id. at 98. On the other
    hand, other parts of Smith’s analysis suggest that ASORCNA’s
    requirement does resemble public shaming. Direct community
    notification under ASORCNA is substantially different from the
    public’s searching out information either online or in a physical
    archive because information about registrants is automatically sent
    to their neighbors without requiring the neighbors to take any
    steps to obtain the information. See 
    Ala. Code § 15
    -20A-21(a). So,
    the Court’s analogy in Smith does not hold here.
    We leave the difficult question whether the Act’s
    community notification requirement sufficiently resembles
    historical shaming for another day, however. Even assuming that
    it does, Mr. McGuire still has not met his heavy burden to show
    that it is punitive in purpose or effect when we consider the other
    factors.
    For the second factor, the direct community notification
    requirement does not impose an affirmative disability or restraint.
    The Supreme Court told us in Smith that a community notification
    provision “imposes no physical restraint.” 
    538 U.S. at 100
    . And
    although community notification “may have a lasting and painful
    impact on the convicted sex offender, these consequences flow not
    from [ASORCNA’s] . . . dissemination provision[], but from the
    fact of conviction, already a matter of public record.” 
    Id. at 101
    .
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    78                        Opinion of the Court                      15-10958
    The third factor, too, weighs in the Attorney General’s
    favor. Even if the community notification requirement has some
    deterrent effect, some deterrent effect does not establish that the
    measure is punitive. See 
    id. at 102
    . And even if the community
    notification requirement in some sense promotes retribution, this
    factor on its own does not make the requirement punitive. See 
    id.
    It is beyond dispute that the direct community notification
    provision meets the fourth factor, a rational connection to a
    legitimate governmental purpose. It was rational for the Alabama
    legislature to conclude that requiring law enforcement to notify
    neighbors, schools, and childcare centers of a registrant’s presence
    would serve the civil purposes of promoting public safety and
    reducing recidivism.37 See 
    Ala. Code § 15
    -20A-2(1) (“This release of
    information creates better awareness and informs the public of the
    presence of sex offenders in the community, thereby enabling the
    public to take action to protect themselves.”). As the Supreme
    Court said in Smith, such notification “has a legitimate nonpunitive
    purpose of public safety, which is advanced by alerting the public
    37 Some social science research in the record reflects that community
    notification may reduce recidivism. At the same time, other research of record
    suggests that community notification fails to reduce the recidivism rate for
    registrants. At trial, Mr. McGuire’s expert discussed some evidence indicating
    that notification can increase recidivism rates by making it more difficult for
    registrants to find jobs and stable housing and to enter personal or business
    relationships. We need not resolve the policy dispute about whether
    community notification actually reduces recidivism because it was rational for
    Alabama’s legislature to determine that it would.
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958       Date Filed: 10/03/2022     Page: 79 of 81
    15-10958               Opinion of the Court                        79
    to the risk of sex offenders in their community.” 
    538 U.S. at
    102–03
    (alteration adopted) (internal quotation marks omitted).
    Finally, considering the fifth factor, we conclude that the
    means of notification Alabama has chosen—mailing and hand
    delivering flyers identifying the registrant to nearby neighbors,
    schools, and childcare centers—can reasonably be expected to
    achieve Alabama’s nonpunitive objective of protecting the public.
    There is no argument here that the direct community notification
    requirement is excessive due to the formatting of the flyer or the
    way that it displays information about the registrants. Indeed, a
    flyer contains only factual information about a registrant, such as
    his name, race, sex, date of birth, physical description, address, and
    a brief description of his underlying offense. See 
    Ala. Code §§ 15
    -
    20A-8, 15-20A-21. The inclusion of this information is entirely
    consistent with Alabama’s stated purpose: to inform the public
    about the registrant’s presence in the community. See 
    id.
     § 15-20A-
    2(1).
    After weighing the factors, we conclude that Mr. McGuire
    failed to establish by the clearest proof that the direct community
    notification requirement is so punitive in purpose or effect that it
    overrides the Alabama legislature’s intent to create a civil
    regulatory scheme. Even if we assume that the direct community
    notification resembles a historical punishment, we hold that Mr.
    McGuire failed to carry his heavy burden, particularly given the
    community notification requirement’s rational connection to a
    nonpunitive purpose that is not excessive in relation to that
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    80                        Opinion of the Court                     15-10958
    purpose. 38 Accordingly, we agree with the district court that the
    retroactive application of the direct community notification
    requirement does not violate the Ex Post Facto Clause.
    VII.    CONCLUSION
    We VACATE the district court’s judgment insofar as it
    involves Mr. McGuire’s claims that it is unconstitutional to apply
    retroactively the following provisions of the Alabama Sex Offender
    Registration and Community Notification Act, and REMAND
    WITH INSTRUCTIONS that it dismiss those claims as moot: (1)
    the identification-labeling requirement and (2) the dual registration
    requirements for homeless registrants and for registrants providing
    travel notification.
    We AFFIRM the district court’s judgment insofar as it rejects
    Mr. McGuire’s claims that it is unconstitutional to apply
    retroactively the following provisions of ASORCNA: (1) the
    residency and employment restrictions, (2) the homeless
    registration requirement, (3) the travel notification requirement,
    and (4) the community notification requirement. 39
    38To the extent that it is necessary to do so, and we pass no judgment on
    whether it is, we have also considered how the community notification
    provision interacts with other provisions in ASORCNA and conclude that it is
    not punitive in effect.
    39Also pending before the Court is Mr. McGuire’s motion to dismiss the
    Attorney General’s cross-appeal as moot. Because we have vacated and
    remanded with instructions to dismiss as moot the part of the district court’s
    judgment challenged in the cross-appeal, we DENY that motion.
    USCA11 Case: 15-10958   Date Filed: 10/03/2022   Page: 81 of 81
    15-10958           Opinion of the Court                     81
    VACATED AND REMANDED IN PART, AFFIRMED IN
    PART.