Jerome Williams v. United States ( 2021 )


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  •          USCA11 Case: 19-10308      Date Filed: 01/13/2021   Page: 1 of 27
    [PUBLISH]
    IN THE UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE ELEVENTH CIRCUIT
    ________________________
    No. 19-10308
    ________________________
    D.C. Docket Nos. 2:16-cv-08101-CLS,
    2:97-cr-00377-CLS-RRA-2
    JEROME WILLIAMS,
    Petitioner-Appellant,
    versus
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,
    Respondent-Appellee.
    ________________________
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the Northern District of Alabama
    ________________________
    (January 13, 2021)
    Before JORDAN, LAGOA, and BRASHER, Circuit Judges.
    BRASHER, Circuit Judge:
    This appeal comes to us from a post-judgment challenge to a 1998 federal
    sentence. The question on appeal is under what circumstances the legal landscape at
    USCA11 Case: 19-10308       Date Filed: 01/13/2021    Page: 2 of 27
    the time of a defendant’s sentencing can establish, as a matter of historical fact, that
    the sentencing court relied on the unconstitutionally vague residual clause of the
    Armed Career Criminals Act (“ACCA”) to classify a prior felony as violent and, so,
    to increase the defendant’s statutory sentencing range. After the Supreme Court
    ruled that the ACCA’s residual clause is unconstitutionally vague and held that its
    ruling was retroactive to collateral review, Jerome Williams filed a “Johnson
    motion” challenging his sentence for bank robbery. He argued that case law at the
    time of his sentencing established that the sentencing court relied on the residual
    clause alone to increase his statutory range of sentences and not on one of the
    ACCA’s other clauses left unaffected by the Supreme Court’s ruling. The district
    court denied this motion, concluding that Williams had not met his burden of proof
    to establish that the unconstitutionally vague residual clause affected his sentence.
    We affirm.
    I.
    In 1998, Williams was convicted of robbing a bank while carrying a firearm.
    The ACCA provides a statutory sentencing enhancement for certain previously
    convicted felons who use a firearm. 
    18 U.S.C. § 924
    (e)(1). To qualify for this
    enhancement, a defendant must have committed three previous “violent” felonies as
    defined by one of the ACCA’s clauses. The sentencing court found that Williams
    had committed the following “violent” felonies: Kentucky first-degree robbery,
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    Georgia armed robbery, and federal kidnapping. As to the federal kidnapping
    conviction, the presentence report recounted that Williams “accosted” a man at a
    Kentucky motel, threatened him with a revolver, and demanded a ride to Tennessee.
    When they reached Knoxville, the victim leapt from the car and signaled a police
    officer, who promptly arrested Williams. Williams was convicted of violating 
    18 U.S.C. § 1201
    (a)(1), which provides that a person commits a federal kidnapping
    when he “unlawfully seizes, confines, inveigles, decoys, kidnaps, abducts, or carries
    away and holds for ransom or reward or otherwise any person, except in the case of
    a minor by the parent thereof,” and “the person is willfully transported in interstate
    or foreign commerce.”
    At the sentencing hearing on his bank robbery conviction, Williams did not
    object to the application of the ACCA, and the sentencing court never addressed why
    any of his previous felonies counted as violent. Applying the ACCA, the sentencing
    court sentenced Williams to concurrent terms of 300 months of imprisonment for
    bank robbery and 327 months for possession of a firearm by a convicted felon, with
    a consecutive term of 60 months for carrying a firearm during and in relation to a
    crime of violence.
    After serving about 220 months of his sentence, Williams moved for leave to
    file his third motion under 
    28 U.S.C. § 2255
    . We granted him leave, and he filed the
    motion underlying this appeal. He did not dispute that the two robbery convictions
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    were violent felonies, but he did argue that the sentencing court had improperly
    found his federal kidnapping conviction to be a “violent felony” under the “residual
    clause” of the ACCA. Because the Supreme Court had held this clause
    unconstitutional and had made its ruling retroactive in Johnson v. United States, 
    576 U.S. 591
     (2015), and Welch v. United States, 
    136 S.Ct. 1257
     (2016), respectively,
    Williams argued that he was due to be resentenced. Williams did not support his
    motion with case-specific evidence that the “residual clause” affected his sentence.
    Instead, he argued only that case law at the time of his sentencing established that
    more likely than not the sentencing court relied on the residual clause.
    After reviewing the then-existing legal landscape, the district court denied
    Williams’s motion. The same judge who had sentenced Williams nearly two decades
    ago found that the sentencing record failed to illuminate which clause of the ACCA
    he had relied on to qualify the kidnapping conviction as a violent felony. As for the
    then-existing legal landscape, the district court concluded it was, at best, unclear
    which clause or clauses the sentencing court would have relied on. Instead,
    persuasive authority supported a sentence under either or both the residual and
    elements clauses. Because Williams did not prove the sentencing court more likely
    than not relied on only the residual clause to enhance his sentence, the district court
    denied his motion.
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    We granted Williams a certificate of appealability on the question whether the
    district court erred in concluding that he had not made the requisite showing under
    Beeman v. United States, 
    871 F.3d 1215
     (11th Cir. 2017), as to his kidnapping
    conviction under 
    18 U.S.C. § 1201
    . We have jurisdiction to decide this question
    under 
    28 U.S.C. § 1291
     and 
    28 U.S.C. § 2253
    .
    II.
    This appeal raises a mixed question of law and fact. Mixed questions of law
    and fact are “questions in which the historical facts are admitted or established, the
    rule of law is undisputed, and the issue is whether the facts satisfy the statutory
    standard, or to put it another way, whether the rule of law as applied to the
    established facts is or is not violated.” Lincoln v. Bd. of Regents of Univ. Sys. of Ga.,
    
    697 F.2d 928
    , 940 n.15 (11th Cir. 1983) (quoting Pullman-Standard v. Swint, 
    456 U.S. 273
    , 289 n.19 (1982)). Our review of a mixed question of law and fact depends
    “on whether answering it entails primarily legal or factual work.” U.S. Bank N.A. v.
    Village at Lakeridge, LLC, 
    138 S.Ct. 960
    , 967 (2018). We apply de novo review
    when the question requires a court to “expound on the law, particularly by
    amplifying or elaborating on a broad legal standard.” 
    Id.
     We apply clear error review
    when the question requires a court to “marshal and weigh evidence, make credibility
    judgments, and otherwise address . . . ‘multifarious, fleeting, special, narrow facts
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    that utterly resist generalization.’” 
    Id.
     (quoting Pierce v. Underwood, 
    487 U.S. 552
    ,
    561–62 (1988)).
    A district court may resolve a Johnson motion by making a finding of
    historical fact that the sentencing court did or did not rely on a specific clause of the
    ACCA. See Beeman, 871 F.3d at 1224 n.5 (“What we must determine is a historical
    fact: was [the defendant] in 2009 sentenced solely per the residual clause?”); United
    States v. Pickett, 
    916 F.3d 960
    , 967 (11th Cir. 2019) (vacating and remanding
    because “[t]he district court obviously is in a better position than we are to evaluate
    what likely happened . . . , especially since we are remanding this case to the very
    judge who initially sentenced [the defendant]”). We would review such a finding for
    clear error. But because Williams’s Johnson motion relies exclusively on the state
    of the law in 1998 and the district court resolved it by reference to legal principles
    alone, the issue before this Court is a mixed question of law and fact that entails
    primarily legal work. Accordingly, we review this mixed question of law and fact
    de novo. Our decision to apply a de novo standard of review under the circumstances
    of this case is consistent with authority from other circuits. See Dimott v. United
    States, 
    881 F.3d 232
    , 236 (1st Cir. 2018) (“We review de novo the district courts’
    denials of [the defendants’] habeas petitions” under Johnson.); Golinveaux v. United
    States, 
    915 F.3d 564
    , 568 (8th Cir. 2019) (“Determining the legal environment
    requires a ‘legal conclusion’ about the controlling law at the time of sentencing,”
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    which the court reviews de novo.); United States v. Copeland, 
    921 F.3d 1233
    , 1242
    (10th Cir. 2019) (“our review of a district court’s denial of a [Section] 2255 Johnson
    claim is de novo[,] unless the court conducted an evidentiary hearing from which it
    made findings”).
    III.
    Before we address the specifics of Williams’s argument, a little background
    is necessary. The ACCA defines the kind of crimes that count as a “violent felony”
    in three ways. First, a felony may qualify as violent under the elements clause of the
    ACCA because it “has as an element the use, attempted use, or threatened use of
    physical force against the person of another.” 
    18 U.S.C. § 924
    (e)(2)(B)(i). Second,
    a felony may qualify as violent under the enumerated-offenses clause of the ACCA
    because it is for “burglary, arson, or extortion, [or] involves use of explosives.” 
    Id.
    § 924(e)(2)(B)(ii). Third, a felony may qualify as violent under the residual clause
    of the ACCA because it “otherwise involves conduct that presents a serious potential
    risk of physical injury to another.” Id.
    The Supreme Court held in Johnson that the residual clause is
    unconstitutionally vague such that “imposing an increased sentence under the
    residual clause of the Armed Career Criminal Act violates the Constitution's
    guarantee of due process.” Johnson, 576 U.S. at 606. But the Court emphasized that
    its “decision does not call into question application of the Act to the four enumerated
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    offenses, or the remainder of the Act’s definition of a violent felony.” Id. The
    Supreme Court made its decision in Johnson retroactive in Welch, which means the
    Court’s decision in Johnson applies even to convictions and sentences that have long
    been final. Welch, 
    136 S.Ct. at 1268
    .
    Thus, because of Johnson and Welch, Williams has filed a Section 2255
    motion that seeks resentencing nearly two decades after his original sentence was
    imposed. Everyone agrees that Williams is due to be resentenced if the sentencing
    court relied on the residual clause of the ACCA to classify his federal kidnapping
    conviction as “violent.” To that end, Williams must establish that the residual clause
    “actually adversely affected the sentence he received” because “more likely than
    not[] it was use of the residual clause that led to the sentencing court’s enhancement
    of his sentence.” Beeman, 871 F.3d at 1221–22. And the sentencing court must have
    relied only on the residual clause in qualifying the felony as violent. Id. at 1221.
    Williams’s Johnson claim fails “[i]f it is just as likely that the sentencing court relied
    on the elements . . . clause, solely or as an alternative basis for the enhancement.”
    Id. at 1222. Williams can prove this historical fact through direct evidence, such as
    “comments or findings by the sentencing judge,” or circumstantial evidence, such as
    “statements in the PSR” or “the law . . . at the time of sentencing.” Id. at 1224 nn.4–
    5.
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    Williams argues that more likely than not the sentencing court classified his
    federal kidnapping conviction as a violent felony under the residual clause. He
    makes two main arguments. First, Williams argues that it is unlikely the sentencing
    court relied on any other clause. Everyone agrees that the second clause for
    enumerated offenses has no application here, and Williams argues that case law at
    the time of his sentencing makes it unlikely the sentencing court relied on the
    elements clause. Williams argues that, before he was sentenced in 1998, we had held
    that a defendant could be convicted of federal “kidnapping by inveiglement” without
    using force as long as the defendant “formed the intent to use forcible action, in the
    event his deception failed, to complete the kidnapping.” United States v. Boone, 
    959 F.2d 1550
    , 1555, 1557 (11th Cir. 1992); see also United States v. Lewis, 
    115 F.3d 1531
    , 1535 (11th Cir. 1997) (listing elements of federal kidnapping). And we had
    instructed sentencing courts applying the ACCA at the time to look “only to the
    statutory definitions of the prior offense, and not to the particular facts underlying
    those convictions” to determine whether the elements clause applied. United States
    v. Oliver, 
    20 F.3d 415
    , 418 n.4 (11th Cir. 1994) (quoting Taylor v. United States,
    
    495 U.S. 575
    , 600 (1990)). Because we had recognized in Boone that the statutory
    definition of federal kidnapping includes kidnapping accomplished by inveiglement
    and because we had instructed lower courts to look at the elements of a statute to
    determine whether an offense is “violent” under the ACCA’s elements clause,
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    Williams argues that the sentencing court would have erred under our precedents
    had it counted his federal kidnapping conviction as violent under the elements
    clause. Second, Williams cites to various courts that, at the time of his sentencing,
    had held that federal kidnapping was a violent crime under the ACCA’s residual
    clause. E.g., United States v. Phelps, 
    17 F.3d 1334
    , 1342 (10th Cir. 1994). Thus, he
    suggests that the sentencing court would more likely than not have made the same
    decision.
    The government’s response is three-fold. First, it argues that Williams is
    reading too much into Boone and Lewis, which concerned jury instructions and a
    guilty plea, not sentencing. Second, the government cites persuasive authority to
    argue that the sentencing court just as likely used the elements clause to categorize
    the federal kidnapping conviction as “violent.” The Second Circuit, for example, had
    relied on the elements clause to declare a federal kidnapping conviction to be
    “violent,” reasoning it “cannot be questioned” that “the crime of kidnapping involves
    the threatened use of physical force against a person and is thus a crime of violence
    under this statute.” United States v. Patino, 
    962 F.2d 263
    , 267 (2d Cir. 1992). The
    government also points out that we had held that federal kidnapping is a crime of
    violence under the elements clause of an identically worded Sentencing Guidelines
    provision. United States v. Salemi, 
    26 F.3d 1084
    , 1087 (11th Cir. 1994). Third, and
    in any event, the government argues that Williams has not met his burden of proof
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    merely by showing the elements clause would not likely have justified the sentence;
    he must show that the residual clause alone led to the sentencing court’s
    enhancement as a matter of historical fact. Case law that merely suggests the
    elements clause would not have properly applied in a hypothetical case, the
    government argues, is not enough to establish that the residual clause did apply in
    this case.
    We agree with the government. Because no case-specific evidence exists to
    suggest which clause the sentencing court relied on, the only available evidence is
    the state of the law at the time of Williams’s sentencing. But this category of
    circumstantial evidence tells us very little.
    In 1998, our most on-point precedent was Salemi. There, we reversed a district
    court when it held that federal kidnapping was not a crime of violence under the
    elements clause of a sentencing guideline. Salemi, 
    26 F.3d at 1087
    . At the time, the
    Sentencing Guidelines were “binding on judges” and carried “the force and effect of
    laws.” United States v. Booker, 
    543 U.S. 220
    , 234 (2005). And the guideline in
    Salemi, like the ACCA, provided that a crime would count as violent if it had as “an
    element the use, attempted use, or threatened use of physical force.” 
    26 F.3d at 1087
    (quoting U.S.S.G. § 4B1.2)(internal quotations marks omitted). We explained that
    the Sentencing Commission had “recognized that kidnapping inherently involves the
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    threat of violence.” Id. And we held that “[k]idnapping is a violent crime” under this
    elements clause. Id.
    In response to Salemi, Williams cites Boone and Lewis. These authorities
    discuss the statutory elements of federal kidnapping, and they do not include “force”
    as one of those elements. But neither Boone nor Lewis affirmed a conviction for
    nonforcible kidnapping or categorized federal kidnapping for sentencing purposes.
    In Boone, the defendant was convicted of kidnapping when he tricked his victim into
    crossing state lines “to murder and rob him.” 
    959 F.2d at 1556
    . The trial judge had
    instructed the jury that tricking someone to cross “state lines is … in and of itself
    conduct proscribed by the federal kidnapping statute.” 
    Id. at 1555
    . We reversed. We
    held that “a kidnapping by inveiglement requires the alleged kidnapper to have
    formed the intent to use forcible action” to carry out the kidnapping. 
    Id. at 1557
    . In
    Lewis, we affirmed a guilty plea for federal kidnapping where the defendant “beat
    [the victim] into unconsciousness.” 
    115 F.3d at 1533
    . Even though the defendant
    said that he did not intend to take his victim across state lines, we held his plea to be
    knowing and voluntary. 
    Id. at 1535-36
    .
    Based on these precedents and the equally ambiguous precedents from our
    sister circuits, we cannot say that the sentencing judge did not rely in part on the
    elements clause when he sentenced Williams. A sentencing judge looking at the
    legal landscape in 1998 could have thought that he would be reversed like the
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    sentencing judge in Salemi if he held that federal kidnapping did not satisfy the
    ACCA’s identical elements clause. Or he could have treated the issue as one of first
    impression, held that there was no force element to a federal kidnapping, and relied
    exclusively on the residual clause. Had a hypothetical sentencing court confronted
    this question in the 1990s, we cannot say how it would have answered it. Thus, it is
    doubly difficult for us to conclude that the particular sentencing court in Williams’s
    case—as a matter of historical fact—answered it by not applying the elements
    clause.
    We previously faced a similarly uncertain legal landscape in Pickett, where
    the defendant argued that his felony offense qualified under the residual clause and
    it was “uncertain at best” whether it also qualified under the elements clause. 916
    F.3d at 964. We held that such a motion fails if it was “just as likely that the
    sentencing court relied on the elements or enumerated offenses clause, solely or as
    an alternative basis for the enhancement.” Id. at 963 (quoting Beeman, 871 F.3d at
    1222). Even if the residual clause were the “most obvious clause under which the
    convictions qualified,” it “does not necessarily mean even by implication that the
    elements clause could not also have been relied on.” Id. at 965.
    In Pickett, the defendant relied on two opinions from this Court, neither of
    which was binding. The first was an unpublished table decision stating that the
    offense at issue “did not categorically satisfy the elements clause.” Id. (citing United
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    States v. Rozier, 37 F. App’x 499 (11th Cir. 2002)). The second was an unpublished
    opinion holding that the offense at issue was not always a violent felony—based
    only on another circuit’s holding that the offense did not always satisfy the elements
    clause. Id. (citing United States v. Wright, 181 F. App’x 914 (11th Cir. 2006)). We
    explained that, legally, “[n]othing in this collection of cases amounts to binding
    precedent” and that, practically, it was doubtful the district court even saw the table
    decision. Id. The government in turn relied on dicta from this Court that an offense
    was a crime of violence under an analogous elements clause in the Sentencing
    Guidelines. Id. at 965–66. After reviewing these decisions, we found they offered a
    “very weak circumstantial read” of the sentencing judge’s thoughts, and we were
    “unable to conclude that it is more likely than not that the district court relied only on
    the residual clause.” Id. at 966. “[A]bsent clear precedent showing that the court
    could only have used one clause or another,” merely persuasive authority on the state
    of the law is insufficient to determine the sentencing court’s reasoning. Id. at 964.
    The legal landscape here is as uncertain as it was in Pickett. As in Pickett, we
    conclude that, “[f]aced with this uncertain precedential landscape,” the sentencing
    court “likely would have quickly determined” that Williams’s federal kidnapping
    conviction “qualified under the residual clause.” Id. at 966. “[B]ut we do not know
    what else it might have thought.” Id. These authorities do not establish “either what
    the court thought about the elements clause—or even whether the court thought
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    about it at all.” Id. Of course, “[w]ith the residual clause plainly available, the district
    court would not have needed to consider the elements clause.” Id. But that is beside
    the point. As a matter of historical fact, “we genuinely do not know what actually
    happened.” Id.
    The otherwise smooth application of Pickett to this case does have one
    wrinkle. Unlike in Pickett, Williams argues that if the sentencing court had relied on
    the elements clause, it would have been an error under binding precedents from this
    Court, namely our view of the federal kidnapping statute and our categorical
    approach to the elements clause. Our dissenting colleague agrees with Williams. He
    says that Pickett is “easily distinguishable” because here “Supreme Court and
    Eleventh Circuit precedent required the use of the categorical approach under the
    elements clause of the ACCA (Taylor and Oliver), and Eleventh Circuit precedent
    held that federal kidnapping could be accomplished without the use, attempted use,
    or threatened use of physical force (Boone and Lewis).” Dissenting Op. at 24.
    We are unpersuaded that our 1990s case law meaningfully distinguishes this
    case from Pickett. This is so for two reasons.
    First, Williams and our dissenting colleague too quickly discount our decision
    in Salemi, in which we held that federal kidnapping was violent under the elements
    clause of an identically worded sentencing guideline. By clouding our case law on
    this point, Salemi greatly diminishes the relevance of Boone and Lewis. To be
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    certain, Salemi is distinguishable because it concerned a sentencing guideline, not a
    statute. It is possible—maybe even highly likely—that we would hold today that
    federal kidnapping does not satisfy the elements clause of the ACCA. See United
    States v. Gillis, 
    938 F.3d 1181
    , 1210 (11th Cir. 2019) (holding, as a matter of first
    impression, that federal kidnapping is not a crime of violence under 
    18 U.S.C. § 373
    (a)). But we had not decided this issue in 1998. And the question before us now
    is not how a hypothetical sentencing court should have ruled on a question that was
    never presented. The question under Pickett is what the sentencing court could have
    done, as a matter of historical fact, when it sentenced Williams. And, in part because
    of Salemi, case law provides no satisfactory answer in Williams’s favor.
    Second, because Williams and our dissenting colleague’s approach requires
    carefully parsing circa-1998 precedents, it necessarily sheds too little light on the
    historical question at issue here. Absent authority that would have compelled a
    particular result in 1998, Williams cannot meet his burden of proof through case law
    alone. The question for us is, as a matter of historical fact, on which clause did the
    sentencing court hang Williams’s sentence? Because there is no clear precedent on
    point, we believe the answer is simple, if unsatisfying: we do not know. The
    sentencing court in 1998 had read an unobjected-to presentence report that described
    a violent kidnapping at gunpoint, no one objected to the application of the ACCA at
    the time, and there were authorities from this Court and others that supported the
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    notion that kidnapping is an inherently violent offense. Against this backdrop, we
    would merely be guessing if we were to say that the sentencing court had relied on
    the residual clause alone.
    Williams argues that this result is unfair and arbitrary, but we disagree. Our
    case law in this area “reflects longstanding and fundamental interests in finality.”
    Beeman, 871 F.3d at 1223. Williams has raised a very particular kind of claim—a
    retroactive claim about an unconstitutionally vague sentencing enhancement. At his
    sentencing two decades ago, Williams could have raised a constitutional claim or
    litigated the statutory issue of whether the elements clause could justify the
    enhancement. But, only now, after more than eighteen years, has Williams
    challenged whether his kidnapping conviction counts as a violent felony. For
    Williams’s collateral attack to succeed, he needs to establish that the sentencing
    court committed a specific kind of error, a retroactive constitutional one. It is not
    enough that the sentencing court might have committed a statutory error—the
    application of the elements clause in a case that did not warrant it—because that
    error would not be retroactive on collateral review.
    Williams also argues that, in requiring him to come forward with “clear
    precedent showing that the court could only have used one clause or another,”
    Pickett, 916 F.3d at 964, we are applying something higher than a more-likely-than-
    not standard. Again, we disagree. The root problem here is that Williams is relying
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    on circumstantial evidence which, when unclear, has little to no bearing on the
    ultimate issue. As a hypothetical, imagine a jury trying to determine who was at fault
    in a car accident. As in this case, the sole evidence is circumstantial—a local
    business’s security footage, focused not on the intersection where the accident
    occurred, but on the street a few yards away. If the footage shows the traffic suddenly
    stop shortly before the time of the accident, the jury might be persuaded that the cars
    had stopped at a red light that the offending car ran, causing the accident. If the
    footage shows an empty street or stalled rush hour traffic, the circumstantial
    evidence does not tell the factfinder much about the disputed issue at all. The law at
    the time of Williams’s sentencing is more like these latter examples than the former.
    Because the authorities that Williams cites are not clear, they fail to shed light on
    what the sentencing court did as a matter of historical fact.
    We have held that “[i]t is no more arbitrary to have a movant lose in a
    [Section] 2255 proceeding because of a silent record than to have the [g]overnment
    lose because of one.” Beeman, 871 F.3d at 1224. When a case turns on an issue of
    historical fact, the available evidence, whether traffic footage or the legal landscape
    of yesteryear, must satisfy the burden of proof on the disputed issue. If the evidence
    is silent or in equipoise, then the party with the burden fails. So it is here.
    IV.
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    Because the district court did not err in denying Williams’s motion, the district
    court’s judgment is AFFIRMED.
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    JORDAN, Circuit Judge, dissenting:
    I agree with my colleagues in the majority—and with the Eighth and Tenth
    Circuits—that de novo review is appropriate because we, like the district court, are
    only reviewing the legal landscape in 1998 to determine whether the residual clause
    was used to classify Mr. Williams’ federal kidnapping conviction as a violent felony
    under the ACCA, 
    18 U.S.C. § 924
    (e). See Golinveaux v. United States, 
    915 F.3d 564
    , 568 (8th Cir. 2019); United States v. Driscoll, 
    892 F.3d 1127
    , 1132–33 (10th
    Cir. 2017). But that plenary review leads me to a different conclusion—that Mr.
    Williams has proven, by a preponderance of the evidence, that the district court
    enhanced his sentence in reliance only on the ACCA’s residual clause. With respect,
    therefore, I dissent.
    I
    Mr. Williams was convicted in 1998 of, among other crimes, possession of a
    firearm by a convicted felon. At his sentencing, the district court found that Mr.
    Williams had previously committed three violent felonies as defined in the ACCA,
    and therefore enhanced his sentence. See 
    18 U.S.C. § 924
    (e).
    One of those prior felonies was federal kidnapping, in violation of 
    18 U.S.C. § 1201
    (a)(1). The presentence investigation report was silent as to which ACCA
    clause made the federal kidnapping conviction a violent felony. At sentencing,
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    neither the parties nor the district court discussed or identified the ACCA clause
    under which federal kidnapping constituted a violent felony.
    After Mr. Williams was sentenced, the Supreme Court struck down the
    ACCA’s residual clause in Johnson v. United States, 
    576 U.S. 591
     (2015), and later
    made that ruling retroactive in Welch v. United States, 
    136 S. Ct. 1257
     (2016). So,
    if Mr. Williams can establish that the district court classified his federal kidnapping
    conviction as a violent felony under only the ACCA’s unconstitutional residual
    clause, he can have his sentence vacated and be resentenced. See 
    28 U.S.C. § 2255
    .
    II
    For Mr. Williams to succeed, he must show, by a preponderance of evidence,
    that the district court relied only on the ACCA’s residual clause with respect to his
    federal kidnapping conviction. See Beeman v. United States, 
    871 F.3d 1215
    , 1221–
    22 (11th Cir. 2017). The preponderance of evidence standard does not require Mr.
    Williams to make that showing to a high degree of certainty. Instead, “the
    preponderance-of-the-evidence standard results in a roughly equal allocation of the
    risk of error between litigants.” Grogan v. Garner, 
    498 U.S. 279
    , 286 (1991).
    Accordingly, Mr. Williams meets his evidentiary burden so long as the evidence
    “tip[s] the scales just one little bit in [his] favor.” Blossom v. CSX Transp., Inc., 
    13 F.3d 1477
    , 1479 (11th Cir. 1994).
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    USCA11 Case: 19-10308      Date Filed: 01/13/2021    Page: 22 of 27
    To meet that burden, Mr. Williams can rely on direct evidence. Or he can rely
    on circumstantial evidence, such as the legal landscape at the time of sentencing. See
    Beeman, 871 F.3d at 1224 nn.4–5. Circumstantial evidence is “[e]vidence based on
    inference.” Black’s Law Dictionary 698 (11th ed. 2019). See also United States v.
    Henderson, 
    693 F.2d 1028
    , 1031 (11th Cir. 1982). The tests for the sufficiency of
    direct and circumstantial evidence are identical. See United States v. Doe, 
    661 F.3d 550
    , 560 (11th Cir. 2011).
    III
    Because the record in Mr. Williams’ criminal case does not indicate which of
    the ACCA’s clauses the district court relied on to classify his federal kidnapping
    conviction as a violent felony, the parties and the majority properly focus on the
    legal landscape at the time of his sentencing. Based on that legal landscape, I believe
    that it is more likely than not that the district court relied only on the ACCA’s
    residual clause to classify Mr. Williams’ federal kidnapping conviction as a violent
    felony.
    At the time of Mr. Williams’ 1998 sentencing, we (and the Supreme Court)
    had instructed district courts to employ a categorical approach to determine whether
    an offense constituted a violent felony under the ACCA’s elements clause, i.e., by
    “looking only to the statutory definitions of the prior offense.” United States v.
    Oliver, 
    20 F.3d 415
    , 418 (11th Cir. 1994) (quoting Taylor v. United States, 
    495 U.S. 22
    USCA11 Case: 19-10308       Date Filed: 01/13/2021    Page: 23 of 27
    575 (1990)). See also United States v. Gonzalez-Lopez, 
    911 F.2d 542
    , 546 (11th Cir.
    1990). As a result, for federal kidnapping to constitute a violent felony under the
    ACCA’s elements clause, its statutory elements must have required the use,
    attempted use, or threatened use of physical force. See 
    18 U.S.C. § 924
    (e)(2)(B)(i).
    We had also ruled by 1998 that federal kidnapping did not require the use,
    attempted use, or threatened use of physical force. For example, in United States v.
    Boone, 
    959 F.2d 1550
    , 1555 (11th Cir. 1992), we held that federal kidnapping could
    be accomplished through inveiglement (i.e., seduction) or decoy given the text of 
    18 U.S.C. § 1201
    (a)(1).
    The majority argues that in Boone we held that “a kidnapping by inveiglement
    requires the alleged kidnapper to have formed the intent to use forcible action.”
    Boone 
    959 F.2d at 1558
    . But the suggestion that Boone is unclear as it relates to an
    elements clause analysis fails for two reasons. First, the “force” discussed in Boone
    can be either psychological or physical, see 
    id.,
     while the ACCA’s elements clause
    requires that physical force be an essential element of the predicate offense. Second,
    what we held in Boone was that kidnapping by inveiglement or deception requires
    the kidnapper to have subjectively intended to employ force (psychological or
    physical) if the inveiglement or deception were to fail. See 
    id.
     at 1555–58. Logically,
    the victim need not be aware of the kidnapper’s subjective intent to employ force if
    the victim were to discover that he is being inveigled or deceived. See 
    id. at 1556
    . In
    23
    USCA11 Case: 19-10308       Date Filed: 01/13/2021    Page: 24 of 27
    short, Boone establishes that federal kidnapping does not require the use, attempted
    use, or threatened use of physical force.
    Additionally, in United States v. Lewis, 
    115 F.3d 1531
    , 1535 (11th Cir. 1997),
    we identified the elements of federal kidnapping under § 1201(a)(1) without any
    reference to physical force. The majority notes that in Lewis the defendant used
    physical force against the victim to effect the kidnapping. But, as everyone agrees,
    in 1998 courts were required to use the categorical approach to determine whether
    an offense constituted a violent felony under the ACCA’s elements clause. Thus,
    what is relevant about Lewis is its statement on the elements of federal kidnapping.
    Indeed, it would have been reversible error for the Lewis panel (or for this court in
    any other case) to have relied on the underlying offense conduct when employing
    the categorical approach.
    In the Eleventh Circuit, therefore, a district court in 1998 could not have
    properly used the ACCA’s elements clause to classify federal kidnapping as a violent
    felony. After all, district courts are “presumed to know the law and apply it in making
    their decisions.” Walden v. Arizona, 
    497 U.S. 639
    , 653 (1990). Accord United States
    v. $242,484.00, 
    389 F.3d 1149
    , 1155 (11th Cir. 2004) (en banc) (noting the
    “presumption that a judge knows and correctly applied the law”). Stated differently,
    a district court in the Eleventh Circuit in 1998 could only have used the ACCA’s
    residual clause to characterize federal kidnapping as a violent felony. Indeed, before
    24
    USCA11 Case: 19-10308      Date Filed: 01/13/2021   Page: 25 of 27
    1998 the Ninth and Tenth Circuits had applied the categorical approach and ruled
    that similar state kidnapping statutes—statutes which permitted kidnapping to be
    carried out without force—constituted violent felonies only under the ACCA’s
    residual clause. See United States v. Sherbondy, 
    865 F.2d 996
    , 1009 (9th Cir. 1988);
    United States v. Phelps, 
    17 F.3d 1334
    , 1342 (10th Cir. 1994).
    To recap, as things stood in 1998, Supreme Court and Eleventh Circuit
    precedent required the use of the categorical approach under the elements clause of
    the ACCA (Taylor and Oliver), and Eleventh Circuit precedent held that federal
    kidnapping could be accomplished without the use, attempted use, or threatened use
    of physical force (Boone and Lewis). Those cases render United States v. Pickett,
    
    916 F.3d 960
    , 965–66 (11th Cir. 2019), where the relevant legal landscape was void
    of binding precedent, easily distinguishable.
    IV
    The majority reasons that United States v. Salemi, 
    26 F.3d 1084
    , 1087 (11th
    Cir. 1994), which held that federal kidnapping was a violent crime under U.S.S.G.
    § 4B1.2, “diminished the relevance of Boone.” I disagree for a couple of reasons.
    First, Salemi relied on Application Note 2 to § 4B1.2, which “include[d]
    kidnapping in its listing of crimes that are crimes of violence.” Salemi, 
    26 F.3d at 1087
    . Salemi seems to have been correctly decided given that commentary in the
    Sentencing Guidelines Manual that “interprets or explains a guideline is
    25
    USCA11 Case: 19-10308        Date Filed: 01/13/2021     Page: 26 of 27
    authoritative unless it violates the Constitution or a federal statute, or is inconsistent
    with, or a plainly erroneous reading of, that guideline.” Stinson v. United States, 
    508 U.S. 36
    , 38 (1993). But there is (and was) no such binding commentary to the
    ACCA’s elements clause. Salemi, therefore, cannot cast doubt on Boone.
    Second, Salemi—a guideline decision—could not overrule Boone, an earlier
    opinion explaining how federal kidnapping could be accomplished without the use,
    attempted use, or threatened use of force. See United States v. Steele, 
    147 F.3d 1316
    ,
    1318 (11th Cir. 1998) (en banc) (explaining the prior panel precedent rule). And to
    the extent that Salemi may have caused some confusion, Lewis later confirmed that
    federal kidnapping did not have as an element the use, attempted use, or threatened
    use of force. Boone and Lewis were binding precedent in 1998 and remained more
    relevant to an elements clause analysis than Salemi.
    In my view, it is more likely than not that the district court relied only on the
    residual clause in Mr. Williams’ case to conclude that federal kidnapping was a
    violent felony under the ACCA. Given the legal landscape in 1998, that is an easier
    inference to make than the alternatives—that the district court (i) did not apply the
    categorical approach (contrary to Supreme Court and Eleventh Circuit precedent);
    (ii) found that the use, attempted use, or threatened use of physical force was an
    essential statutory element of federal kidnapping (contrary to Eleventh Circuit
    26
    USCA11 Case: 19-10308      Date Filed: 01/13/2021   Page: 27 of 27
    precedent); or (iii) otherwise erred in applying, or failing to apply, existing law
    (contrary to the presumption that district courts know and follow the law).
    V
    Under de novo review, I conclude that the legal landscape in 1998 tips the
    scales in favor of Mr. Williams. And given the preponderance of evidence standard,
    that is all that is required. I would reverse and remand for Mr. Williams to be
    resentenced without the ACCA enhancement.
    27