New Hope Family Services, Inc. v. Poole ( 2020 )


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  • 19-1715-cv
    New Hope Family Services, Inc. v. Poole
    In the
    United States Court of Appeals
    for the Second Circuit
    AUGUST TERM 2019
    No. 19-1715-cv
    NEW HOPE FAMILY SERVICES, INC.,
    Plaintiff-Appellant,
    v.
    SHEILA J. POOLE, in her official capacity as Acting Commissioner for
    the Office of Children and Family Services for the State of New York,
    Defendant-Appellee.
    On Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the Northern District of New York
    ARGUED: NOVEMBER 13, 2019
    DECIDED: JULY 21, 2020
    Before: CABRANES, RAGGI, Circuit Judges, KORMAN, District Judge. *
    _____ ______
    Plaintiff, New Hope Family Services, Inc., is a voluntary,
    privately funded Christian ministry devoted to providing adoption
    services and authorized to do so in the State of New York for more
    than 50 years. New Hope professes that, consistent with its religious
    beliefs, it cannot recommend adoptions by unmarried or same-sex
    couples. It does not itself disapprove such couples; rather, it refers
    them to other adoption agencies.         In 2018, the State’s Office of
    Children and Family Services (“OCFS”) informed New Hope that its
    policy respecting unmarried and same-sex couples violates the anti-
    discrimination mandate of N.Y. Comp. Codes R. & Regs. tit. 18,
    § 421.3(d). OCFS advised New Hope that it either had to change its
    policy or close its operation. Rather than do either, New Hope sued
    OCFS in the United States District Court for the Northern District of
    New York (D’Agostino, J.) for violations of its First and Fourteenth
    Amendment rights. It now appeals from a judgment dismissing its
    complaint for failure to state a claim and denying its motion for a
    preliminary injunction as moot. New Hope argues that the district
    court erred in concluding that it failed to state plausible claims for
    violations of its rights of Free Exercise of Religion and Free Speech
    and, therefore, in rejecting its preliminary injunction motion as moot.
    *Judge Edward R. Korman, of the United States District Court for the Eastern
    District of New York, sitting by designation.
    2
    New Hope urges this court both to reinstate these claims and to grant
    it preliminary injunctive relief.
    We agree that New Hope’s Free Exercise and Free Speech
    claims should not have been dismissed at the pleadings stage and,
    therefore, that its preliminary injunction motion is not moot. We
    remand the case to the district court for further proceedings consistent
    with this opinion, including whether to grant New Hope a
    preliminary injunction preventing OCFS from mandating the closure
    of New Hope’s adoption operation while the merits of this case are
    litigated.   Pending the district court’s ruling on that preliminary
    injunction motion, the narrow injunction granted by this court shall
    remain in effect.
    REVERSED IN PART, VACATED IN PART, AND REMANDED.
    ROGER G. BROOKS (Jeana J. Hallock, Alliance
    Defending Freedom, Scottsdale, Arizona,
    John J. Bursch, Alliance Defending
    Freedom, Washington, District of Columbia,
    Christopher P. Schandevel, Alliance
    Defending Freedom, Ashburn, Virginia,
    Robert E. Genant, Genant Law Office,
    Mexico, New York, on the brief), Alliance
    Defending Freedom, Scottsdale, Arizona, for
    Plaintiff-Appellant.
    LAURA ETLINGER, Assistant Solicitor General
    (Barbara D. Underwood, Solicitor General,
    3
    Andrea Oser, Deputy Solicitor General, on
    the brief) for Letitia James, Attorney General
    of the State of New York, Albany, New
    York, for Defendant-Appellee.
    Lori H. Windham, Nicholas R. Reaves, for
    Amicus Curiae The Becket Fund for Religious
    Liberty, Washington, District of Columbia.
    Gregory Dolin, University of Baltimore
    School of Law, Baltimore, Maryland, for
    Amici Curiae The Jewish Coalition for
    Religious Liberty, Agudath Israel of
    America, The Rabbinical Alliance of
    America, and The Coalition for Jewish
    Values.
    Geoffrey T. Blackwell, American Atheists,
    Inc., Washington, District of Columbia,
    Monica L. Miller, American Humanist
    Association, Washington, District of
    Columbia, Nicholas J. Little, Center for
    Inquiry, Washington, District of Columbia,
    Rebecca Markert, Freedom From Religion
    Foundation, Madison, Wisconsin, for Amici
    Curiae American Atheists, Inc., American
    Humanist Association, Center for Inquiry,
    and Freedom From Religion Foundation.
    Cathren Cohen, Lambda Legal Defense and
    Education Fund, Inc., Los Angeles,
    California, Currey Cook, Karen L. Loewy,
    Lambda Legal Defense and Education
    4
    Fund, Inc., New York, New York, Richard B.
    Katskee, Kenneth D. Upton, Jr., Carmen N.
    Green, Patrick Grubel, Americans United
    for Separation of Church and State,
    Washington, District of Columbia, for Amici
    Curiae Civil Rights Organizations.
    REENA RAGGI, Circuit Judge:
    An important question of law animates this case: What is the
    proper relationship between the First Amendment—specifically, its
    guarantees of free exercise of religion and free speech—and laws
    protecting against various forms of discrimination? The question has
    arisen most recently when religious organizations, like Plaintiff here,
    seek some exemption from laws prohibiting discrimination on the
    basis of sexual orientation, arguing that such laws compel them to
    speak and behave contrary to the dictates of their consciences. The
    answer to this question—whether, in particular circumstances, anti-
    discrimination      laws     violate    First    Amendment         rights—may
    profoundly affect our system of ordered liberty. 1
    1 See Thomas I. Emerson, Toward a General Theory of the First Amendment, 72 YALE
    L.J. 877, 880 (1963) (observing that “freedom of expression” is “an essential
    element in a good society” that cannot be regulated or restricted even to achieve
    “other or more inclusive ends—such as virtue, justice, equality . . . ”; these must
    be pursued by “counter-expression and the regulation or control of conduct which
    is not expression”).
    5
    But at this early stage in the case, we need not answer that
    ultimate question. Instead, we need decide only whether Plaintiff has
    stated a plausible claim for the violation of its First Amendment
    rights, affirming the district court if we conclude that Plaintiff has not
    stated a plausible claim, or reversing if we conclude that Plaintiff has.
    Plaintiff, New Hope Family Services, Inc. (“New Hope”), is a
    voluntary, privately funded Christian ministry located in Syracuse,
    New York. Its avowed mission is to assist women with unplanned
    pregnancies and to provide temporary foster care and adoptive
    homes for children whose birth parents cannot care for them. In its
    more than 50 years of operation, New Hope has placed approximately
    1,000 children with adoptive parents. There appears to be no question
    that each of these placements has been in the best interests of the
    adopted child.    While New Hope operates under a certificate of
    incorporation authorizing it to provide adoption services in New
    York State, it has no contract with any government entity, and it does
    not receive any public funding.
    At issue on this appeal is whether New Hope will be permitted
    to continue its adoption ministry in New York State. That comes into
    question because New Hope’s ministry is informed by its religious
    belief in the biblical model of marriage as one man married for life to
    one woman. New Hope asserts that, consistent with this belief, it
    cannot recommend adoption by unmarried or same-sex couples
    because it does not think such placements are in the best interests of
    a child. Accordingly, it does not itself work with such couples but,
    rather, refers them to other adoption agencies. In 2018, officials of the
    6
    New York State Office of Children and Family Services (“OCFS”)
    informed New Hope that such a policy violates a 2013 state regulation
    prohibiting discrimination against applicants for adoption services on
    the basis of “race, creed, color, national origin, age, sex, sexual
    orientation, gender identity or expression, marital status, religion, or
    disability . . . .” N.Y. Comp. Codes R. & Regs. tit. 18 (“18 NYCRR”),
    § 421.3(d) (emphases added). OCFS officials told New Hope that it
    either had to change its policy to conform to the regulation or close its
    adoption operation.
    Unwilling to do either, New Hope initiated this action in the
    United States District Court for the Northern District of New York
    (Mae A. D’Agostino, Judge). Pursuant to 42 U.S.C. § 1983, New Hope
    charged OCFS’s Acting Commissioner Sheila J. Poole with violating
    its rights under the Constitution’s Free Exercise of Religion, Free
    Speech, and Equal Protection Clauses, see U.S. CONST. amends. I, XIV,
    and requested declaratory and injunctive relief. 2 On cross-motions by
    New Hope for a preliminary injunction and by OCFS for dismissal,
    the district court granted dismissal pursuant to Fed. R. Civ. P.
    12(b)(6), concluding that New Hope failed to plead any plausible
    constitutional claims. Consequently, the court denied New Hope’s
    preliminary injunction motion as moot. See New Hope Family Servs.
    Inc. v. Poole, 
    387 F. Supp. 3d 194
    (N.D.N.Y. 2019). New Hope appeals
    from so much of the district court judgment, entered on May 16, 2019,
    2Because Acting Commissioner Poole is sued only in her official capacity, in this
    opinion we refer to defendant as the State agency Poole heads, i.e., “OCFS.”
    7
    as dismissed its Free Exercise and Free Speech claims and rejected its
    preliminary injunction motion.
    For the reasons stated in this opinion, we reverse the challenged
    dismissal judgment, vacate the denial of New Hope’s motion for a
    preliminary injunction, and remand the case to the district court for
    further proceedings consistent with               this opinion,       including
    consideration of whether to grant a preliminary injunction.
    Background
    In recounting the background to this case, we follow the
    standard applicable to the review of motions to dismiss, i.e., we accept
    all factual allegations pleaded by New Hope in its complaint as true,
    and we draw all reasonable inferences in its favor. See, e.g., DiFolco v.
    MSNBC Cable L.L.C., 
    622 F.3d 104
    , 110–11 (2d Cir. 2010).
    A.     New York Adoption Law
    Private charities—many of them religiously affiliated—have
    long played an important role in caring for orphans and abandoned
    children in New York. 3 Adoption in New York, however, is now
    3 For example, in 1806, a group of New York City women—including Mrs.
    Alexander Hamilton—founded the Orphan Asylum Society, the city’s first private
    charity devoted to caring for orphaned children who would otherwise have been
    consigned to public almshouses. See 1 CHILDREN AND YOUTH IN AMERICA: A
    DOCUMENTARY HISTORY 280 (Robert H. Bremner et al., eds., 1970); Mary Kelley,
    Book Review, 90 J. OF AM. HIST. 1023, 1023 (2003) (reviewing ANNE M. BOYLAN,
    THE ORIGINS OF WOMEN’S ACTIVISM: NEW YORK AND BOSTON, 1797–1840 (2002)).
    In 1817, Catholic nuns affiliated with the Sisters of Charity began caring for New
    8
    “solely the creature of . . . statute,” Matter of Jacob, 
    86 N.Y.2d 651
    , 657
    (1995) (internal quotation marks omitted), and requires “a judicial
    proceeding” for a person (or couple) to “take[] another person into
    the relation of child and thereby acquire[] the rights and incur[] the
    responsibilities of parent in respect of such other person,” N.Y. Dom.
    Rel. Law § 110.
    Since first enacted in 1873, New York’s adoption law has had
    as its primary purpose ensuring the “best interest[s]” of the child to
    be adopted. Matter of 
    Jacob, 86 N.Y.2d at 658
    –59. But if that objective
    has remained constant, not so the factors informing it. Over a century
    and a half, New York’s adoption law has been amended
    “innumerable times,” such that its many requirements and
    prohibitions—both        those    established      by    statute    and    those
    York City orphans at the St. Patrick’s Asylum. See ROBERT ERNST, IMMIGRANT LIFE
    IN NEW YORK CITY, 1825–1863, 35 (1949). The Hebrew Orphan Asylum was
    established in Manhattan in 1822. See REPORT OF THE PRESIDENT, THE HEBREW
    BENEVOLENT AND ORPHAN ASYLUM SOCIETY OF THE CITY OF NEW YORK,
    PROCEEDINGS OF THE SEVENTY-FOURTH ANNUAL MEETING 15–16 (1897). The
    Catholic Orphan Society of Brooklyn was founded in 1826. See MARY J. OATES,
    THE CATHOLIC PHILANTHROPIC TRADITION IN AMERICA 6 (1995). New York’s
    Episcopal Church created an Orphan Home and Asylum in New York City in 1851.
    See COMMITTEE ON THE HISTORY OF CHILD-SAVING WORK, NATIONAL CONFERENCE
    ON SOCIAL WELFARE, HISTORY OF CHILD-SAVING IN THE UNITED STATES 158 (1893).
    New York’s two best known institutions devoted to caring for orphaned,
    abandoned, and otherwise needy children, the Children’s Aid Society and the
    New York Foundling Hospital, were created, respectively, in 1853 by private
    philanthropists and in 1869 by the Sisters of Charity. See Joseph M. Hawes,
    Creating New Families: The History of Adoption in the United States, 32 REVIEWS IN
    AM. HIST. 90, 91 (2004) (book review); MARTIN GOTTLIEB, THE FOUNDLING 11–12
    (2001).
    9
    propounded by regulation—have aptly been described as “a complex
    and not entirely reconcilable patchwork.”
    Id. at 659.
    Nevertheless,
    because some understanding of that law is necessary to discuss New
    Hope’s claims, we begin by discussing relevant statutory and
    regulatory provisions, starting with those pertaining to authorized
    adoption agencies.
    1.      Authorized Agencies
    Adoption services in New York can only be provided by
    “authorized agencies,” i.e., entities incorporated or organized under
    New York law with corporate or legal authority “to care for, to place
    out or to board out children.” N.Y. Soc. Serv. Law §§ 371(10)(a),
    374(2). 4 More than 130 authorized agencies presently operate in New
    York. Fifty-eight such agencies are public, each operating as a unit of
    one of the State’s social services districts. More than 70 authorized
    agencies are private, non-profit organizations that voluntarily
    provide adoption services. Some do so pursuant to contracts with
    local social services districts and with government funding; others,
    such as New Hope, operate independently.
    The need for adoption services in New York, whether public or
    private, is undeniably great. In fiscal year 2017, more than 27,000
    4Children are “placed out” for adoption; they are “boarded out” for foster care.
    See N.Y. Soc. Serv. Law § 371(12), (14).
    10
    children in the State were in foster care. Some 4,400 were awaiting
    adoption. Nevertheless, only 1,729 were actually adopted that year.
    To facilitate adoptions, state law empowers authorized
    agencies to receive legal custody of children whose parents cannot
    care for them.
    Id. § 384;
    18 NYCRR § 421.6. Authorized agencies can
    then board such children in foster homes or place them in prospective
    adoptive homes based on the agencies’ assessment of the children’s
    “best interests.” Most relevant here, authorized agency approval, or
    consent, is required to finalize the adoption of any child placed by
    that agency. See N.Y. Dom. Rel. Law §§ 111(1)(f), 113(1).
    A thicket of regulations applies to an authorized agency’s
    placement of a child for adoption. These regulations detail numerous
    areas for agency consideration, but they comprise no mere
    quantitative checklist.   Rather, most regulations, by their nature,
    entrust authorized agencies with considerable discretion in
    determining the best interests of a child. For example, agencies are
    instructed that in “[m]ak[ing] placement decisions,” a consideration
    of the child’s “best interests” shall “includ[e], but [is] not limited to”
    three factors. 18 NYCRR § 421.18(d). First is “the appropriateness of
    placement in terms of the age of the child and of the adoptive
    parent(s).”
    Id. § 421.18(d)(1).
    “Appropriateness” is hardly a matter of
    mathematical calculation; rather, it calls for the exercise of judgment.
    That same conclusion obtains for the second factor: “the physical and
    emotional needs of the child in relation to the characteristics,
    capacities, strengths and weaknesses of the adoptive parent(s).”
    Id. § 421.18(d)(2).
    Judgment is also called for by the third factor, which
    11
    requires placing sibling children together absent documented
    findings, made by the agency in consultation with identified
    professionals, that such placement would inure to the detriment of
    one or more of the children. See
    id. § 421.18(d)(3).
    Judgment and discretion also necessarily inform the “adoption
    study process” that must precede any placement.
    Id. § 421.15.
    This is
    evident from the litany of topics that an authorized agency is expected
    to discuss in “explor[ing] each applicant’s ability to be an adoptive
    parent.”
    Id. § 421.15(d).
    Among these are the “characteristics and
    needs of children available for adoption”; principles of child
    development; the applicant’s “reasons” for wishing to adopt;
    “understanding of the adoptive parent role”; “psychological
    readiness to assume responsibility for a child”; and “self-assessment”
    of “capacity to provide a child with a stable and meaningful
    relationship.”
    Id. The agency
    is further expected to explore other
    household members’ “attitudes . . . about adoption,” and “the[ir]
    awareness of the impact that adoptive responsibilities have upon
    family life.”
    Id. Again, none
    of these matters is quantifiable; rather,
    they call for qualitative assessments by authorized agencies.
    Agency judgment will also have to inform the required
    assessment of a prospective adoptive parent’s,
    (1)    capacity to give and receive affection;
    (2)    ability to provide for a child’s physical and
    emotional needs;
    (3)    ability to accept the intrinsic worth of a child, to
    respect and share his past, to understand the
    12
    meaning of separation he has experienced, and to
    have realistic expectations and goals;
    (4)    flexibility and ability to change;
    (5)    ability to cope with problems, stress and
    frustration;
    (6)    feelings about parenting an adopted child and the
    ability to make a commitment to a child placed in
    the home; and
    (7)    ability to use community resources to strengthen
    and enrich family functioning.
    Id. § 421.16(a).
    While this sampling of applicable regulations indicates a
    largely holistic approach to identifying the best interests of an
    adopted child, regulations single out certain factors that should not
    be considered or, at least, not be determinative. For example, a
    prospective adoptive parent cannot “be rejected on the basis of low
    income, or because of receipt of income maintenance payments.”
    Id. § 421.16(j).
    Nor can rejection be based on marital status, subject to
    certain caveats.
    Id. § 421.16(d).
    5 “Race, ethnic group, and religion”
    also cannot be a basis for rejection,
    id. § 421.16(i),
    though here too
    5   18 NYCRR § 421.16(d) states with respect to “[m]arital status”:
    Agencies must not consider marital status in their acceptance or
    rejection of applicants. However, one married partner may not adopt
    without the other unless one partner is living separate and apart from
    his or her spouse pursuant to a legally recognizable separation
    agreement or decree of separation, or one partner has been or will be
    living separate and apart from his or her spouse for a period of three
    years or more prior to the commencement of the adoption proceeding.
    13
    other statutory and regulatory provisions appear to qualify the
    prohibition. 6
    At the same time, regulations instruct an agency to reject
    adoption applicants who fail to cooperate in the study process. See
    id. § 421.15(g)(1).
    Rejection is also warranted if the agency finds an
    applicant “physically” or “emotionally” “incapable of caring for an
    adopted child,”
    id. § 421.15(g)(2)(i)–(ii),
    or if the agency concludes that
    “approval would not be in the best interests of children awaiting
    adoptions,”
    id. § 421.15(g)(2)(iii)—both
    matters requiring an exercise
    of judgment.        Rejection, however, triggers certain procedural
    safeguards, including the opportunity for a hearing before OCFS. See
    id. § 421.15(g)(3)–(8).
    On the other hand, if, after completion of the required study,
    an authorized agency decides to approve adoption by a particular
    applicant or applicants—thereby concluding that adoption by that
    applicant or applicants is “in the best interests of children awaiting
    adoptions,”
    id. § 421.15(g)(2)(iii)—the
    agency creates “a written
    6See 18 NYCRR § 421.18(c) (requiring authorized agency to place child in adoptive
    home “as similar to and compatible with his or her religious background as
    possible with particular recognition that section 373(3) of the Social Services Law
    requires a court, when practicable, to give custody through adoption only to
    persons of the same religious faith as that of the child”);
    id. § 421.18(d)(2)
    (permitting authorized agency, when making placement decisions, to “consider
    the cultural, ethnic or racial background of the child and the capacity of the
    adoptive parent to meet the needs of the child with such a background as one of a
    number of factors used to determine best interests,” but only where “[r]ace, color
    or national origin of the child or the adoptive parent . . . can be demonstrated to
    relate to the specific needs of an individual child”).
    14
    summary of the study findings and activities, including significant
    characteristics of . . . family members, the family interaction, the
    family’s relationship to other persons and the community, the
    family’s child rearing practices and experiences, and any other
    material needed to describe the family for adoption purposes,” and
    provides that summary “to workers in the agency . . . responsible for
    making placement decisions about children,”
    id. § 421.15(e)(1).
    The
    agency works with the approved prospective parents to identify an
    adoptive child to be placed with them, “[m]ak[ing] placement
    decisions on the basis of the best interests of th[at] child.”
    Id. § 421.18(d).
    The agency and prospective parents then submit to a
    court a verified petition for adoption and an adoptive placement
    agreement, see N.Y. Dom. Rel. Law § 112(2)–(3), (5), and the court
    decides whether to accept the agency’s approval and to order
    adoption,
    id. §§ 113,
    114. Generally, “no order of adoption shall be
    made until [the adoptive] child has resided with the adoptive parents
    for at least three months.”
    Id. § 112(6).
    New York law authorizes the Commissioner of OCFS to enforce
    laws and rules pertaining to adoption.             See N.Y. Soc. Serv. Law
    § 34(3)(e). 7 By law, OCFS is authorized to visit, inspect, and supervise
    authorized adoption agencies.            See
    id. § 371(10).
    Where OCFS
    determines that an agency has placed or boarded a child (1) “for
    7  It is undisputed on this appeal that this enforcement authority, originally
    conferred on the Commissioner of the New York State Department of Social
    Services, see N.Y. Soc. Serv. Law § 34(3)(e), now rests with OCFS, a branch of the
    New York State Department of Family Assistance, the successor agency to the
    Department of Social Services, see 1997 N.Y. Laws 2922.
    15
    purposes of gain,” (2) “without due inquiry as to the character and
    reputation of the person with whom such child is placed,” (3) “in such
    manner that such child is subjected to cruel or improper treatment or
    neglect or immoral surroundings,” or (4) “in such manner that the
    religious faith of the child is not preserved and protected as provided
    [by law],” OCFS is specifically authorized, upon notice and an
    opportunity to be heard, to “issue an order prohibiting such an
    authorized agency . . . from thereafter placing out or boarding out any
    child.”
    Id. § 385(1).
    2.     18 NYCRR § 421.3(d)
    We now turn to the regulation at issue in this case, 18 NYCRR
    § 421.3(d), beginning with some background to its pronouncement.
    As the New York Court of Appeals has observed, the “pattern
    of amendments” to New York adoption law over the last 75 years
    “evidences a successive expansion of the categories of persons
    entitled to adopt.” Matter of 
    Jacob, 86 N.Y.2d at 660
    –61. Consistent
    with a general purpose to assure that “as many children as possible
    are adopted into suitable family situations,” certain of these
    amendments reflect “fundamental changes that have taken place in
    the makeup of the family.”
    Id. at 661
    (internal quotation marks
    omitted).
    As relevant here, until 2010, New York’s Domestic Relations
    Law permitted only “[a]n adult unmarried person or an adult
    husband and his adult wife together” to adopt a child. N.Y. Dom. Rel.
    Law § 110 (2009). This law did not prohibit a homosexual person from
    16
    adopting as a single “adult unmarried person.” See Matter of 
    Jacob, 86 N.Y.2d at 662
    (stating that “New York does not prohibit adoption by
    homosexuals,” and observing that administrative regulation forbids
    denial of agency adoption on basis of homosexuality 8). But it was
    understood not to permit an unmarried couple, whatever their sexual
    orientation, jointly to adopt a child.
    That conclusion was eroded, however, by court rulings
    beginning with the 1995 decision in Matter of Jacob, 
    86 N.Y.2d 651
    . In
    that case, the New York Court of Appeals construed § 110’s “adult
    unmarried person” phrase to allow the same-sex partner of a child’s
    biological mother to adopt the child without the mother surrendering
    her rights, thereby effectively allowing a same-sex couple to become
    the child’s parents. See
    id. at 660–62,
    665–68. A decade later, the
    Fourth Department construed Jacob’s reasoning to compel the
    conclusion that an unmarried, same-sex couple—neither member of
    which was the child’s biological parent—could jointly petition for
    adoption of a child rather than being required to file separately. See
    In re Adoption of Carolyn B., 
    6 A.D.3d 67
    , 68–70, 
    774 N.Y.S.2d 227
    (4th
    Dep’t 2004).
    8The referenced regulation stated that adoption “[a]pplicants shall not be rejected
    solely on the basis of homosexuality.” 18 NYCRR § 421.16(h)(2) (2009). Rather,
    “[a] decision to accept or reject when homosexuality is at issue shall be made on
    the basis of individual factors as explored and found in the adoption study process
    as it relates to the best interests of adoptive children.”
    Id. This regulation,
    promulgated in or about 1981, remained in effect until 2013, when it was
    supplanted by 18 NYCRR § 421.3(d), discussed infra at 19–21.
    17
    Mindful of these decisions, the New York State legislature, in
    2010, amended § 110 to state that “[an] adult unmarried person, an
    adult married couple together, or any two unmarried adult intimate
    partners together may adopt another person.” N.Y. Dom. Rel. Law
    § 110. In a signing statement accompanying his approval of the bill,
    then-Governor David Paterson observed that the amendment
    expanded qualified adoption applicants to include same-sex couples,
    “mak[ing] absolutely clear a principle that has already been
    established by the courts, and that ensures fairness and equal
    treatment to families that are ready, willing and able to provide a
    child with a loving home . . . includ[ing] same-sex couples, regardless
    of whether they are married.” Gov. Mem., New York Bill Jacket, 2010
    S.B. 1523, ch. 509 (internal citation omitted).    At the same time,
    however, the Governor stated that “since the statute is permissive, it
    would allow for such adoptions without compelling any agency to
    alter its present policies.”
    Id. In sum,
    he characterized amended § 110
    as “a wise, just and compassionate measure that expands the rights of
    New Yorkers, without in any way treading on the views of any citizen
    or organization.”
    Id. The new
    law went into effect on September 17, 2010, and
    prompted OCFS to issue two “informational letters” to authorized
    agencies.   The first letter, dated January 11, 2011, and entitled
    “Adoption by Two Unmarried Adult Intimate Partners,” stated that
    amended § 110 “codifies . . . court decisions that authorize unmarried
    persons to adopt a child together,” but “does not change or alter the
    standards currently in place for the approval of an individual as an
    18
    adoptive parent.” OCFS Informational Ltr., 11-OCFS-INF-01. A copy
    of the Governor’s quoted signing statement was attached to this letter.
    The second letter, dated July 11, 2011, and entitled
    “Clarification of Adoption Study Criteria Related to Length of
    Marriage and Sexual Orientation,” addressed the effect of amended
    § 110 on two existing OCFS regulations: 18 NYCRR § 421.16(e)
    (prohibiting rejection of applicants for adoption study on basis of
    “length of time they have been married, provided that time is at least
    one year”) and 18 NYCRR § 421.16(h)(2) (prohibiting rejection of
    applicants “solely on the basis of homosexuality”). As to the first
    regulation, OCFS instructed authorized agencies that the amended
    statute no longer permitted rejecting an adoption applicant “solely on
    the basis that the length of marriage is less than one year.” OCFS
    Informational Ltr., 11-OCFS-INF-05. As to the second regulation,
    OCFS stated that its purpose “is to prohibit discrimination based on
    sexual orientation in the adoption study assessment process,” and
    that “OCFS cannot contemplate any case where the issue of sexual
    orientation would be a legitimate basis, whether in whole or in part,
    to deny the application of a person to be an adoptive parent.”
    Id. Two years
    later, in November 2013, OCFS replaced both
    regulations with the provision here at issue: 18 NYCRR § 421.3(d). See
    19
    35 N.Y. Reg. 3 (Nov. 6, 2013). 9            It requires authorized adoption
    agencies,
    [to] prohibit discrimination and harassment against
    applicants for adoption services on the basis of race,
    creed, color, national origin, age, sex, sexual orientation,
    gender identity or expression, marital status, religion, or
    disability, and[] [to] take reasonable steps to prevent
    such discrimination or harassment by staff and
    volunteers,    promptly      investigate     incidents    of
    discrimination and harassment, and take reasonable and
    appropriate corrective or disciplinary action when such
    incidents occur.
    18 NYCRR § 421.3(d).
    In promulgating this provision, OCFS stated that the
    regulation would “promote fairness and equality in the child welfare
    adoption program by eliminating archaic regulatory language that
    implies the sexual orientation of gay, lesbian and bisexual prospective
    adoptive parents—but not of heterosexual prospective adoptive
    918 NYCRR § 421 concerns “Standards of Practice for Adoption Services.” Section
    421.3 lists “General Requirements.” At the time of the proposed amendment, the
    provision required adoption agencies (a) to have written policies and procedures;
    (b) to make provisions for those policies to be available and provide them to
    parents, adoptive applicants, and legal guardians; and (c) to maintain appropriate
    records.
    20
    parents—is relevant to evaluating their appropriateness as adoptive
    parents.” 35 N.Y. Reg. 4 (Aug. 7, 2013) (proposed rulemaking). 10
    B.      New Hope’s Adoption Services
    New Hope’s Christian ministry was conceived by clergyman
    Clinton H. Tasker who, in 1958, sensed a “call of God” to care for
    women facing unplanned pregnancies and for their children.11
    Compl. ¶ 40. Tasker’s idea was realized in 1965, when Evangelical
    Family Service, Inc.—New Hope’s predecessor agency—sought and
    obtained from New York’s Board of Social Welfare a two-year
    certificate of incorporation authorizing it “to accept legal custody and
    guardianship of children; to provide protective service for children;
    to provide foster care service to child[ren] and unwed mother[s]; to
    place children for adoption; and [to] function in complete cooperation
    with all existing social welfare agencies.” J. App’x at 66; see N.Y. Soc.
    10In opposing New Hope’s motion for a preliminary injunction in this litigation,
    OCFS assigned three other purposes to 18 NYCRR § 421.3(d): (1) it helps “provide
    a broad and diverse pool of adoptive parents” and “maximizes the number of
    prospective adoptive parents who may be assessed”; (2) it “seeks to prevent the
    trauma and social harm caused by discrimination against [LGBTQ] people” and
    “provides support and affirmation to LGBTQ youth awaiting an adoptive
    placement”; and (3) it reinforces “the State[’s] . . . strong interest in preventing
    discrimination in the provision of government services.” J. App’x at 168–69
    (McCarthy Decl.).
    11 New Hope traces the long tradition of Christian adoption ministries to the
    following biblical passage: “Religion that God our Father accepts as pure and
    faultless is this: to look after orphans and widows in their distress.” James 1:27
    (quoted in Compl. ¶ 35).
    21
    Serv. Law § 371(10)(a). Two years later, in 1967, New York made the
    certificate “perpetual.” J. App’x at 73–76. 12 Thus, when in a 2008
    letter, OCFS—as successor to the Board of Social Welfare—traced
    New Hope’s authorization history, it confirmed that New Hope’s
    “authority to place children for adoption and to perform other
    adoption services, including home studies . . . in New York is
    perpetual.”
    Id. at 79
    .
    
    New Hope maintains that its “Christian faith and religious
    beliefs motivate and permeate its mission and all of its activities.”
    Compl. ¶ 52.        In defending dismissal, OCFS does not contend
    otherwise, nor does it challenge the sincerity of New Hope’s religious
    beliefs.
    Consistent with its religious identity, New Hope requires all
    board members, staff, and volunteers to “be in agreement with and
    sign New Hope’s statement of faith, . . . be in agreement with and
    supportive of [its] religious mission, and . . . conduct themselves
    consistent with Christian faith and belief.”
    Id. ¶ 53.
    Moreover, “to
    scrupulously ensure its autonomy to operate in accordance with its
    religious beliefs, New Hope accepts no government funding.”
    Id. ¶ 51.
    12See N.Y. Bus. Corp. Law § 202(a)(1) (“Each corporation, subject to any limitations
    provided in this chapter or any other statute of this state or its certificate of
    incorporation, shall have power in furtherance of its purposes . . . [t]o have
    perpetual duration.”).
    22
    New Hope asserts that its religious beliefs prompt it to conduct
    its adoption ministry in such a way as to convey a “system of values
    about life, marriage, family and sexuality to both birthparents and
    adoptive parents.”
    Id. ¶ 270.
    Thus, when prospective parents attend
    an initial orientation session, “New Hope . . . open[s] the meeting with
    prayer, . . . provid[es] information about the organization’s history
    and religious mission,” and uses “scripture passages” to explain that
    “children are to be valued as gifts from God.”
    Id. ¶ 105.
    New Hope also uses prayer and religious literature in
    conducting the second, “home study,” step of the adoption process.
    See
    id. ¶¶ 109,
    111–112. During this study, a New Hope caseworker
    “explore[s] the prospective adoptive parents’ experience with
    children, family support, parenting philosophy, ability to parent a
    child of a different race or culture, faith and religious practice, and
    family dynamics, including interviews of any children in the home.”
    Id. ¶ 114.
    At the third step of the process, a New Hope caseworker
    explores in still more detail the prospective parents’ “strengths and
    weaknesses,” their “family dynamics, thoughts on discipline and
    affection, work responsibilities, marital stability . . . , mental-health
    history, financial stability, and parenting philosophy.”
    Id. ¶ 117.
    Married couples are interviewed together and separately to
    determine the “intimacy and strength of the marriage” in order to
    ensure that their home “will be a safe, stable environment for the
    [adopted] child.”
    Id. ¶¶ 116,
    118, 120.
    23
    Following this session, the caseworker and New Hope’s
    Executive Director together review the entire case file to decide
    whether to approve or disapprove applicants as prospective adoptive
    parents based on “the best interest of any child who may be placed in
    the home.”
    Id. ¶ 121.
    Approved adoptive parents then participate in the fourth step
    of the process where, among other things, New Hope instructs them
    as to how to prepare their “profiles.”             New Hope shows
    approximately five such profiles to a birthmother for her to “select the
    adoptive family with whom she feels comfortable entrusting her
    child.”
    Id. ¶¶ 66,
    97, 125. New Hope states that “[a]ll” birthmothers
    with whom it has worked “have been able to find a family with whom
    they were comfortable placing their child for adoption from the
    profiles” thus provided.
    Id. ¶ 99.
    At the fourth step, New Hope also asks approved adoptive
    parents whether they are willing to participate in “open adoptions,”
    i.e., adoptions where birth parents maintain some contact with the
    adopted child pursuant to a “Contact Agreement” facilitated by New
    Hope until the child turns 18.        Because almost all New Hope’s
    adoptions are “open,” its involvement in adoptions thus continues
    well after a court finalizes transfer of a child’s custody.
    Id. ¶¶ 78–81.
    Finalization does not occur, however, until after a child spends
    no fewer than three months, and sometimes as much as a year, living
    with approved adoptive parents under New Hope’s supervision.
    During this period, New Hope maintains legal custody of the child
    24
    and conducts regular visits to ensure that the child is being well cared
    for and to assess the degree of attachment developing between the
    adoptive parents and the child. See
    id. ¶¶ 133–138.
    New Hope’s “field reports” about the placement, together with
    its home study report, are then finalized and notarized and become
    its “official recommendation of the adoptive family for the adoption
    of the specific child.”
    Id. ¶¶ 139–141.
    C.     New Hope’s Religious Beliefs and 18 NYCRR § 421.3(d)
    The particular religious belief subscribed to by New Hope and
    relevant to this appeal is that “[t]he biblical model for the family as
    set out in the Bible—one man married to one woman for life for their
    mutual benefit and the benefit of their children—is the ideal and
    healthiest family structure for mankind and specifically for the
    upbringing of children.”
    Id. ¶ 56.
    Because of this belief, New Hope
    asserts that it “will not recommend or place children with unmarried
    couples or same-sex couples as adoptive parents.”
    Id. ¶ 153.
    It does
    not believe that such a placement is in a child’s best interests.
    New Hope maintains that its religious views about marriage do
    not otherwise limit its ministry. In providing pregnancy counseling,
    New Hope routinely works with unmarried women and does so
    without regard to their sexual orientation. But, as to adoption, New
    Hope’s religious views about marriage are formalized in a “Special
    Circumstances” policy, which states,
    25
    If the person inquiring to adopt is single . . . [t]he Executive
    Director [of New Hope] will talk with them to discern if they
    are truly single or if they are living together without the
    benefit of marriage. . . . [B]ecause New Hope is a Christian
    Ministry it will not place children with those who are living
    together without the benefit of marriage.
    If the person inquiring to adopt is in a marriage with a same
    sex partner . . . [t]he Executive Director will . . . explain that
    because New Hope is a Christian Ministry, we do not place
    children with same sex couples[].
    Id. ¶ 154.
    13
    Nevertheless, mindful that its religious beliefs are not
    universal, New Hope does not itself “reject” unmarried or same-sex
    couples as adoptive parents. See supra at 14 (discussing rejection of
    adoption applicants).         Rather, it effectively recuses itself from
    considering their adoption applications, referring them at the outset
    to “the appropriate county social services office or another
    [authorized adoption services] provider.”
    Id. ¶ 156.
    New Hope
    asserts on information and belief that “no same-sex couple or
    unmarried couple who has inquired with New Hope about adoption
    has ever complained to OCFS about how New Hope handled their
    inquiry.”
    Id. Nor is
    there anything in the present record indicating
    13While it appears that New Hope’s religious view of marriage has remained
    constant throughout its history, it is not clear from the record exactly when this
    policy was committed to writing.
    26
    that New Hope’s policy has prevented any same-sex or unmarried
    couple wishing to adopt from doing so.
    OCFS appears not to have questioned New Hope’s practice
    respecting unmarried and same-sex couples until 2018 when,
    pursuant to what OCFS characterized as a “new policy” implemented
    that year, it conducted a “comprehensive on-site review[] of each
    private provider’s procedures.”
    Id. ¶ 182.
    14   In advance of a
    September 6, 2018 site review of New Hope, OCFS Permanency
    Specialist Suzanne Colligan requested, and New Hope’s then-Acting
    Executive Director Judith Geyer provided, a copy of New Hope’s
    policies and procedures manual, which included the above-quoted
    Special Circumstances policy.
    Approximately one month after the site visit, on October 1,
    2018, Colligan sent Geyer a review letter issued by OCFS’s Regional
    Director for Child Welfare and Community Services. That letter
    commends New Hope for “a number of strengths” in providing
    adoption services, specifically, (1) “the strong emphasis [placed] on
    assisting the birth parents in making an informed decision for their
    newborn,” (2) “providing them time to make the [adoption]
    decision,” and—perhaps most notably for purposes of this appeal—
    (3) “a supportive and detailed adoptive family selection process.”
    Id., Exh. 6.
    It identifies only three areas for follow-up: (1) “[i]mmediate
    implementation” of OCFS’s “Foster/Adoptive Home Certification
    14The record does not indicate the impetus for this new policy or detail how it
    departs from previous practice.
    27
    Approval Process,” (2) better procurement of health information
    pertaining to adoptive families, the adoptee, or birth parent; and (3)
    New Hope’s role and limitations regarding the exchange of
    information pertinent to surrender of custody.
    Id. The review
    letter
    makes no mention of New Hope’s Special Circumstances policy or of
    18 NYCRR § 421.3(d).
    A week later, however, in an October 9, 2018 telephone call to
    Geyer, Colligan stated that she had read New Hope’s manual, and
    that its Special Circumstances policy violated § 421.3(d). Colligan
    presented New Hope with two options: comply with the regulation
    by agreeing to place children with unmarried and same-sex couples,
    or “choos[e] to close.”
    Id. ¶¶ 188–190.
    Geyer responded that New
    Hope was unwilling to violate its religious beliefs by placing children
    with unmarried or same-sex couples, and that it would “never choose
    to close.”
    Id. ¶¶ 191,
    193. Rather, OCFS would be “forcing” New
    Hope to close in violation of its religious freedom.
    Id. ¶ 193.
    Colligan
    told Geyer that “[s]ome Christian ministries have decided to
    compromise and stay open.”
    Id. ¶ 192
    (brackets in original). 15
    15 As evidence that OCFS forced religious adoption agencies that did not
    compromise their beliefs to close, New Hope points to the 2018 disappearance of
    a number of religious authorized adoption agencies from OCFS’s website. See
    Compl. ¶ 202. It also observes that in a Buffalo News report about Catholic Charities
    Buffalo ending its 95-year history of adoption and foster care services, an OCFS
    spokeswoman is quoted as saying, “[d]iscrimination of any kind is illegal and in
    this case OCFS will vigorously enforce the laws designed to protect the rights of
    children and same sex couples. In New York State, we welcome all families who
    are ready to provide loving and nurturing homes to foster or adoptive children.
    28
    On October 11, 2018, Colligan advised Geyer that New Hope
    would be receiving a letter requesting a formal written response to
    the choices it had been given. The referenced letter from Laura Velez,
    Deputy Commissioner of Child Welfare and Community Services,
    states that New Hope’s “policy pertaining to not placing ‘children
    with those who are living together without the benefit of marriage’ or
    ‘same sex couples’ violates Title 18 NYCRR § 421.3, and is
    discriminatory and impermissible.”
    Id., Exh. 7.
    The letter requests
    that “within 15 days of receipt of this letter,” New Hope state in
    writing whether it will or will not “revise the policy so as to comply
    with the above-cited regulation” and, thus, “continue the existing
    adoption program.”
    Id. It advises
    that should New Hope “fail to
    bring the policy into compliance with the regulation, OCFS will be
    unable to approve continuation of [New Hope’s] current adoption
    program and [New Hope] will be required to submit a close-out plan
    for the adoption program.”
    Id. D. Procedural
    History
    Rather than accept either of OCFS’s options, New Hope
    commenced this action on December 6, 2018. On December 12, 2018,
    it moved preliminarily to enjoin OCFS from forcing the closure of
    New Hope’s adoption services. OCFS opposed the motion, and on
    There is no place for providers that choose not to follow the law.”
    Id. ¶ 204
    (quoting Stephen T. Watson & Harold McNeil, Catholic Charities Ending Foster,
    Adoption Programs Over Same-Sex Marriage Rule, BUFFALO NEWS, August 23, 2018).
    29
    January 14, 2019, moved to dismiss New Hope’s complaint pursuant
    to Fed. R. Civ. P. 12(b)(6).
    Following oral argument, the district court granted OCFS’s
    motion to dismiss and denied New Hope’s motion for a preliminary
    injunction as moot. See New Hope Family Servs., Inc. v. Poole, 387 F.
    Supp. 3d 194. The district court ruled that New Hope failed to state a
    plausible Free Exercise claim because 18 NYCRR § 421.3(d) is “[o]n its
    face . . . generally applicable and . . . neutral,” and no evidence
    indicated that the regulation “was drafted or enacted with the object
    to infringe upon or restrict practices because of their religious
    motivation.”
    Id. at 213–14
    (internal quotation marks omitted). The
    district court ruled that New Hope failed to state a plausible Free
    Speech claim because § 421.3(d) “simply do[es] not compel speech,”
    or only compels “government[] speech.”
    Id. at 217.
    Insofar as New
    Hope also cast its Free Speech claim as one of “expressive
    association,” the district court ruled that § 421.3(d) caused only “slight
    impairment to New Hope’s expressive activity,” which, in any event,
    was outweighed by “the state’s compelling interest in prohibiting the
    discrimination at issue.”
    Id. at 219–20.
    16
    16In granting dismissal, the district court observed that “OCFS does not contend
    that New Hope is not acting in the best interests of the children” it places for
    adoption, New Hope Family Servs. v. 
    Poole, 387 F. Supp. 3d at 224
    , and expressed
    regret that the parties had not themselves been able to reach some accommodation:
    Until recent events, the parties have had a fruitful relationship; a
    relationship that has benefitted New York’s children in immeasurable
    ways. For this reason, the Court would prefer that the parties seek out
    30
    New Hope timely filed this appeal, moving for a preliminary
    injunction that would allow it, pending a final ruling by this court, to
    continue servicing pending adoptions subject to New Hope’s
    agreement not to accept any new adoption applications. This court
    granted such an injunction on November 4, 2019. On June 18, 2020,
    New Hope moved for this court to expand its injunction pending
    appeal to allow New Hope to accept new adoption applications.
    Discussion
    A.      Motion To Dismiss
    1.     Standard of Review
    We review de novo the dismissal of a complaint for failure to
    state a claim. See DiFolco v. MSNBC Cable 
    L.L.C., 622 F.3d at 110
    . In
    doing so, we “accept[] all factual allegations in the complaint as true,
    and draw[] all reasonable inferences in the plaintiff’s favor.” Shomo
    v. City of New York, 
    579 F.3d 176
    , 183 (2d Cir. 2009) (internal quotation
    marks omitted); accord DiFolco v. MSNBC Cable 
    L.L.C., 622 F.3d at 111
    (“When there are well-pleaded factual allegations, a court should
    assume their veracity and then determine whether they plausibly give
    rise to an entitlement to relief.” (emphasis in original) (quoting
    Ashcroft v. Iqbal, 
    556 U.S. 662
    , 679 (2009))).
    some compromise to their current dispute without further judicial
    intervention . . . to avoid what may appear . . . to be harsh legal results.
    Id. at 225
    (internal quotation marks omitted).
    31
    2.     Free Exercise Claim
    New Hope argues that the district court erred in concluding
    that it failed to plead a plausible Free Exercise claim against OCFS.
    Specifically, New Hope challenges the district court’s determination
    that OCFS was simply enforcing a neutral and generally applicable
    anti-discrimination regulation when it insisted that New Hope either
    agree to approve unmarried and same-sex applicants for adoption or
    close its adoption service. For reasons explained herein, we conclude
    that the dismissal of New Hope’s Free Exercise claim was premature.
    The pleadings allege that OCFS’s actions preclude New Hope from
    pursuing its adoption ministry consistent with its religious beliefs.
    Even if such intrusion on the exercise of religion would not violate the
    First Amendment if compelled by a valid and neutral law (or
    regulation) of general application, the pleadings here, when viewed
    in the light most favorable to New Hope, do not permit a court to
    conclude, as a matter of law, that OCFS’s actions in promulgating and
    enforcing the regulation at issue were neutral and not informed by
    hostility toward certain religious beliefs.
    a.    Applicable Legal Principles
    To explain that conclusion, we start with the First Amendment,
    which famously states that “Congress shall make no law respecting
    an establishment of religion, or preventing the free exercise thereof
    . . . .” U.S. CONST. amend. I. The Fourteenth Amendment extends the
    protections of these Establishment and Free Exercise Clauses against
    32
    state and local governments. See U.S. CONST. amend. XIV; Cantwell v.
    Connecticut, 
    310 U.S. 296
    , 303 (1940).
    As the Supreme Court reiterated only last term, “[t]he Religion
    Clauses of the Constitution aim to foster a society in which people of
    all beliefs can live together harmoniously,” not a society devoid of
    religious beliefs and symbols. American Legion v. Am. Humanist Assoc.,
    
    139 S. Ct. 2067
    , 2074 (2019); see also County of Allegheny v. ACLU, 
    492 U.S. 573
    , 623 (1989) (O’Connor, J., concurring in part and concurring
    in the judgment) (observing that First Amendment does not require
    courts     to   “sweep    away    all    government   recognition   and
    acknowledgment of the role of religion”). The Free Exercise Clause,
    in particular, guarantees to all Americans the “right to believe and
    profess whatever religious doctrine [they] desire[],” even doctrines
    out of favor with a majority of fellow citizens. Employment Div. v.
    Smith, 
    494 U.S. 872
    , 877 (1990). Thus, it has long been the rule—as
    famously pronounced by Justice Jackson—that no government
    “official, high or petty, can prescribe what shall be orthodox in
    politics, nationalism, religion, or other matters of opinion.” West Va.
    Bd. of Educ. v. Barnette, 
    319 U.S. 624
    , 642 (1943); accord Masterpiece
    Cakeshop v. Colo. Civil Rights Comm’n, 
    138 S. Ct. 1719
    , 1731 (2018).
    Rather, “[t]he Constitution commits government itself to religious
    tolerance, and upon even slight suspicion that proposals for state
    intervention stem from animosity to religion or distrust of its
    practices, all officials must pause to remember their own high duty to
    the Constitution and to the rights it secures.” Masterpiece Cakeshop v.
    33
    Colo. Civil Rights 
    Comm’n, 138 S. Ct. at 1731
    (internal quotation marks
    omitted).
    These principles are particularly relevant to beliefs about
    family and marriage, where society’s views have sometimes proved
    more fluid than religion’s. As pertinent here, the Supreme Court
    recently traced how society’s view of same-sex marriage has evolved
    over the last forty years, such that what was once prosecuted as a
    criminal offense is now recognized as a fundamental right.         See
    Obergefell v. Hodges, 
    135 S. Ct. 2584
    , 2596–605 (2015). Nevertheless,
    some religions maintain that same-sex marriage is morally wrong,
    just as some religions view unmarried co-habitation, remarriage after
    divorce, or conception without marriage as morally wrong
    notwithstanding society’s general acceptance of such conduct. The
    Supreme Court has declined to fault such religious views about
    marriage, observing that “[m]any who deem same-sex marriage to be
    wrong reach that conclusion based on decent and honorable religious
    or philosophical premises, and neither they nor their beliefs are
    disparaged here.”
    Id. at 2602.
    Indeed, the Court has suggested that
    differing secular and religious views in this area should be allowed to
    coexist. This is evident from the fact that, at the same time that the
    Court ruled that the Constitution does not permit government to
    prohibit same-sex marriage, it “emphasized that religions, and those
    who adhere to religious doctrines, may continue to advocate with
    utmost, sincere conviction that, by divine precepts, same-sex
    marriage should not be condoned.”
    Id. at 2607.
      Indeed, such
    advocacy is constitutionally protected:
    34
    The First Amendment ensures that religious
    organizations and persons are given proper protection as
    they seek to teach the principles that are so fulfilling and
    so central to their lives and faiths, and to their own deep
    aspirations to continue the family structure they have
    long revered.
    Id. The Court
    reiterated the point the next year: “[R]eligious and
    philosophical objections to gay marriage are protected views and in
    some instances protected forms of expression.” Masterpiece Cakeshop
    v. Colo. Civil Rights 
    Comm’n, 138 S. Ct. at 1727
    ; cf. Bostock v. Clayton
    Cty., 
    140 S. Ct. 1731
    , 1753–54 (2020) (construing Title VII of Civil
    Rights Act of 1964, 42           U.S.C. § 2000e–2(a)(1),      to   prohibit
    discrimination on the basis of sexual orientation, but recognizing fear
    that compliance “may require some employers to violate their
    religious convictions” and expressing “deep[] concern[] with
    preserving the promise of the free exercise of religion enshrined in
    our Constitution”).
    But if some accommodation on this matter is the Court’s
    expectation, delineating constitutional boundaries is challenging. As
    the Chief Justice observed in Obergefell, anticipating the very case now
    before us, “[h]ard questions arise when people of faith exercise
    religion in ways that may be seen to conflict with the new right to
    same-sex marriage—when, for example, . . . a religious adoption
    agency declines to place children with same-sex married couples.”
    Obergefell v. 
    Hodges, 135 S. Ct. at 2525
    –26 (Roberts, C.J., joined by Scalia
    and Thomas, JJ., dissenting).
    35
    In confronting those hard questions here, we are mindful that
    the Supreme Court has recognized that the exercise of religion can
    involve not only belief and expression, but also “physical acts,” such
    as “assembling with others for a worship service, participating in
    sacramental use of bread and wine, proselytizing, abstaining from
    certain foods or certain modes of transportation.” Employment Div. v.
    
    Smith, 494 U.S. at 877
    . The Free Exercise Clause does not permit
    government to “ban such acts or abstentions only when they are
    engaged in for religious reasons, or only because of the religious belief
    that they display,”
    id., at least
    not without showing that the ban “is
    justified by a compelling interest and is narrowly tailored to advance
    that interest,” Church of the Lukumi Babalu Aye, Inc. v. City of Hialeah
    (“Lukumi v. Hialeah”), 
    508 U.S. 520
    , 533 (1993).      But the law has
    permitted government to avoid showing a compelling interest and
    narrow tailoring if the challenged ban on a religious practice is
    required by a valid and neutral law of general applicability.
    Employment Div. v. 
    Smith, 494 U.S. at 879
    (stating that Free Exercise
    Clause does “not relieve an individual of the obligation to comply
    with a valid and neutral law of general applicability on the ground
    that the law proscribes (or prescribes) conduct that his religion
    prescribes (or proscribes)” (internal quotation marks omitted)).
    Almost from its pronouncement, Smith’s construction of the
    Free Exercise Clause has prompted criticism. See, e.g., Michael W.
    McConnell, The Origins and Historical Understanding of Free Exercise of
    Religion, 103 HARV. L. REV. 1409, 1420 & n.43 (1990); see also Kennedy v.
    Bremerton Sch. Dist., 
    139 S. Ct. 634
    , 637 (2019) (Alito, J., joined by
    36
    Thomas, Gorsuch, and Kavanaugh, JJ., concurring in denial of
    certiorari) (observing that case did not ask Court to revisit Employment
    Division v. Smith, which “drastically cut back on the protection
    provided by the Free Exercise Clause”). The Supreme Court has
    recently agreed to revisit its decision in Smith, with argument
    expected some time next term. See Fulton v. City of Philadelphia, 140 S.
    Ct. 1104 (Feb. 24, 2020) (mem.). We need not delay deciding this case,
    however, to see if Fulton yields a more protective Free Exercise
    standard than Smith because we conclude that New Hope’s Free
    Exercise claim should not have been dismissed even under the Smith
    standard as presently applied. A court construing the pleadings in
    the light most favorable to New Hope could not conclude as a matter
    of law that OCFS was simply applying a valid neutral law of general
    application when it instructed New Hope either to agree to approve
    unmarried and same-sex couples as adoptive parents or to close its
    50-year adoption ministry.
    The Supreme Court has instructed that a law is not neutral if its
    object “is to infringe upon or restrict practices because of their
    religious motivation.”     Lukumi v. 
    Hialeah, 508 U.S. at 533
    .        To
    determine the object of a law, a court “begin[s] with its text, for the
    minimum requirement of neutrality is that a law not discriminate on
    its face” against religion.
    Id. Like the
    district court, we conclude that
    the regulation here at issue, 18 NYCRR § 421.3(d), does not on its face
    discriminate against religion because its prohibitions apply equally to
    all adoption services, both secular and religious.
    37
    But facial neutrality is only the first, and by no means the
    determinative, step in a Free Exercise inquiry. See Lukumi v. 
    Hialeah, 508 U.S. at 534
    . Mindful that government hostility to religion can be
    “masked, as well as overt,” a court must proceed to a second step of
    inquiry to identify even those “subtle departures from neutrality,” or
    “covert suppression of particular religious beliefs” that will be not be
    tolerated unless supported by a compelling interest and narrow
    tailoring.
    Id. at 534,
    546 (internal quotation marks omitted); accord
    Masterpiece Cakeshop v. Colo. Civil Rights 
    Comm’n, 138 S. Ct. at 1731
    . At
    this second step, a court must “survey meticulously” the totality of
    the evidence, “both direct and circumstantial.” It must consider “the
    historical background of the decision under challenge, the specific
    series of events leading to the enactment or official policy in question,
    and    the     legislative   or   administrative   history,   including
    contemporaneous        statements    made     by   members      of   the
    decisionmaking body.”        Lukumi v. 
    Hialeah, 508 U.S. at 534
    , 540
    (internal quotation marks omitted); accord Masterpiece Cakeshop v. Colo.
    Civil Rights 
    Comm’n, 138 S. Ct. at 1731
    . It must also carefully consider
    “the effect of a law in its real operation,” which “is strong evidence of
    its object.” Lukumi v. 
    Hialeah, 508 U.S. at 535
    .
    Applying those principles here, we conclude that the pleadings
    give rise to a sufficient “suspicion” of religious animosity to warrant
    “pause” for discovery before dismissing New Hope’s claim as
    implausible. Masterpiece Cakeshop v. Colo. Civil Rights Comm’n, 138 S.
    Ct. at 1731.
    38
    b.    The District Court’s Cited Authorities Do
    Not Support Dismissal
    New Hope maintains that the following pleadings indicate that
    18 NYCRR § 421.3(d), as promulgated and enforced, is not neutral and
    generally applicable.
    (1) Amended Dom. Rel. Law § 110—the law OCFS contends 18
    NYCRR § 421.3(d) “is consistent with” and “implements,”
    Appellee Br. at 6–7—is permissive, not mandatory.
    Moreover, New York’s then-Governor, in signing the law,
    specifically stated that it “allow[s] for . . . adoptions [by
    unmarried and same-sex couples] without compelling any
    agency to alter its present policies.” Compl. ¶ 7.
    (2) Initially, OCFS took the position that amended § 110 “does
    not change or alter the standards currently in place for the
    approval of an individual as an adoptive parent.”
    Id. ¶ 162.
    (3) OCFS then shifted its position.    Despite the Governor’s
    statement that the amended statute did not require agencies
    to “alter [their] present policies,” OCFS asserted that it
    “cannot contemplate any case where the issue of sexual
    orientation would be a legitimate basis, whether in whole or
    in part, to deny the application of a person to be an adoptive
    parent.”
    Id. ¶ 164.
    (4) During the rulemaking process preceding promulgation of
    18 NYCRR § 421.3(d), OCFS stated that the regulation was
    needed to “eliminate archaic regulatory language, which
    39
    implies that the sexual orientation of gay, lesbian and
    bisexual prospective parents . . . is relevant to evaluating
    their appropriateness as adoptive parents.”
    Id. ¶ 166
       (emphasis in original).
    (5) When New Hope told OCFS that its comply-or-close order
    violated New Hope’s freedom of religion, OCFS told the
    agency that “some Christian ministries have decided to
    compromise and stay open.”
    Id. ¶ 192
    (brackets removed).
    (6) Since § 421.3(d) took effect, “several voluntary faith-based
    authorized [adoption] agencies that were listed on OCFS’[s]
    website in January of 2018” and that “share similar beliefs”
    to New Hope’s “have been removed by OCFS from that
    posted list.” These include “several Catholic providers, a
    Jewish provider, an LDS provider, and a Muslim provider.”
    Id. ¶¶ 202–203.
    (7) In a 2018 news report about the closure of a Christian
    adoption ministry operating for 95 years in Buffalo, New
    York, an OCFS spokeswoman is quoted stating that
    “[d]iscrimination of any kind is illegal . . . . There is no place
    for providers that choose not to follow the law.”
    Id. ¶ 204
    .
    (8) The State’s statutory and regulatory scheme governing
    adoption “provides exemptions for secular, nonreligious
    purposes” and “allow[s] adoption providers to consider
    protected characteristics when making placements,” while
    40
    imposing an “absolute bar” against consideration of sexual
    orientation.
    Id. ¶¶ 248–250.
    In concluding that these allegations were insufficient to state a
    plausible Free Exercise claim, the district court observed that the
    allegations did not indicate “[the] type of hostility or bias
    demonstrated in Masterpiece Cakeshop or Lukumi.” New Hope Family
    Servs., Inc. v. 
    Poole, 387 F. Supp. 3d at 214
    . Instead, the district court
    thought that New Hope’s pleadings “more closely align with Fulton
    [v. City of Philadelphia, 
    922 F.3d 140
    (3d Cir. 2019), cert. granted, 140 S.
    Ct. 1104, see supra at 37], where the Third Circuit found that the
    plaintiff was unlikely to succeed on its claim because the record
    demonstrated that the defendant respected the plaintiff’s sincerely
    held beliefs while enforcing the anti-discrimination provision at
    issue.”
    Id. We cannot
    agree. At first glance, Fulton may appear similar to
    this case in that, there, a religious foster care agency, Catholic Social
    Services (“CSS”), claimed that a government entity, the City of
    Philadelphia, violated its Free Exercise and Free Speech rights by
    insisting that CSS not discriminate against same-sex couples as a
    condition of its continuing to provide foster care services. But, in fact,
    this case differs from Fulton in ways important to our review.
    First, the relationship between CSS and Philadelphia was
    contractual and compensatory. See Fulton v. City of 
    Philadelphia, 922 F.3d at 147
    –48 (discussing contract between Philadelphia and CSS,
    which provided for City to compensate CSS for certain services at per
    41
    diem rate for each child placed in foster care). By contrast, while New
    Hope is authorized by New York to provide adoption services, it does
    not do so pursuant to any government contract, nor does it receive
    any government funding. Thus, whatever authority a government
    entity might claim to limit the free exercise of religion by those who
    become its agents or accept its funding, no such authority can be
    claimed here.
    Second, in Fulton, the issue under review was not the
    sufficiency of the pleadings, but the denial of CSS’s motion for a
    preliminary injunction. To secure such relief, CSS had to demonstrate
    a reasonable likelihood of success on its Free Exercise claim, a heavier
    burden than New Hope bears in pleading the plausible claim
    necessary to avoid dismissal. See
    id. at 151–52.
    The Third Circuit
    agreed with the district court that CSS failed to carry its burden “at
    the preliminary injunction stage” under the Smith standard.
    Id. at 158–59.
    Whether or not this ruling survives Supreme Court review,
    what is important here is that in making it, the Fulton courts were not
    required to accept all CSS’s allegations as true or to draw all
    reasonable inferences in its favor. Compare
    id. at 152
    (setting forth
    preliminary injunction standard), with Shomo v. City of New 
    York, 579 F.3d at 183
    (stating motion to dismiss standard). Nowhere in Fulton
    does the Third Circuit suggest that CSS’s allegations, if assumed true,
    were insufficient to state a Free Exercise claim. 17
    17This case also differs from Fulton in that OCFS does not identify New Hope as a
    “public accommodation,” see Fulton v. City of Philadelphia, 
    320 F. Supp. 3d 661
    , 678–
    42
    As for Masterpiece Cakeshop and Lukumi, the Supreme Court
    there discussed Free Exercise violations based on fully developed
    evidentiary records. See Masterpiece Cakeshop v. Colo. Civil Rights
    
    Comm’n, 138 S. Ct. at 1726
    (reviewing rulings made on cross-motions
    for summary judgment); Lukumi v. 
    Hialeah, 508 U.S. at 528
    (reviewing
    findings of fact and conclusions of law following nine-day bench
    trial). Where, as here, the parties have not yet commenced discovery,
    New Hope can hardly be required to plead facts as specific and
    detailed as those referenced in Masterpiece Cakeshop and Lukumi to
    avoid dismissal.
    c.     The Pleadings Raise a Plausible Suspicion
    of Hostility to Certain Religious Beliefs
    In any event, New Hope’s pleadings easily give rise to the
    “slight suspicion” of religious animosity that the Supreme Court, in
    both Lukumi and Masterpiece Cakeshop, indicated could raise
    constitutional concern. Lukumi v. 
    Hialeah, 508 U.S. at 547
    ; Masterpiece
    Cakeshop v. Colo. Civil Rights 
    Comm’n, 138 S. Ct. at 1731
    . In explaining
    this conclusion, we are obliged to discuss certain pleadings
    individually, but it is the totality that precludes dismissal.
    First, suspicion is raised by an apparent disconnect between 18
    NYCRR § 421.3(d) and the law it purports to implement, N.Y. Dom.
    Rel. Law § 110. As New Hope correctly observes, the statutory text is
    permissive, expanding the persons who “may adopt” to include
    79 (E.D. Pa. 2018) (identifying CSS foster care services as such), aff’d on other
    grounds, 
    922 F.3d 140
    , a point we discuss further infra at 46.
    43
    unmarried and same-sex couples. It contains no mandate requiring
    adoption agencies to approve adoption by any persons. Moreover,
    the wording choice appears to have been deliberate, and even
    intended to allow for accommodation of religious beliefs. This can be
    inferred from § 110’s enactment history. In a letter to the Governor
    that is included in the bill jacket, the New York State Catholic
    Conference voiced concern that the new legislation might be
    construed to require faith-based adoption agencies “to facilitate
    adoption for same-sex [couples] in violation of our religious beliefs
    and faith.” Ltr. from N.Y.S. Catholic Conf. to Governor (July 29, 2010),
    New York Bill Jacket, 2010 S.B. 1523, ch. 509. The letter urged an
    amendment to ensure that authorization certifications were not
    denied or revoked on that ground. See
    id. The enacted
    law contained
    no such amendment, but the Governor, in his signing statement,
    sought to assuage concern. He explained that the statutory text was
    permissive, i.e., it allowed adoptions by more persons than before, but
    “without compelling any agency to alter its present policies.” Gov. Mem.,
    New York Bill Jacket, 2010 S.B. 1523, ch. 509 (emphasis added).
    Indeed, the Governor stated that the law was “a wise, just and
    compassionate measure that expands the rights of New Yorkers,
    without in any way treading on the views of any citizen or organization.”
    Id. (emphasis added).
    In short, the statutory text and history, viewed
    in the light most favorable to New Hope, can reasonably be construed
    to have alerted OCFS that what the legislature and executive intended
    in amending § 110 was to expand the class of potential adoptive
    parents to include unmarried and same-sex couples, but with
    44
    reasonable accommodation for religious adoption agencies whose
    faiths compelled narrower views. 18
    Section 421.3(d) is not consistent with this intent. Its language
    is not permissive, but mandatory. It unqualifiedly prohibits any
    “discrimination and harassment” against adoption applicants based
    on “race, creed, color, national origin, age, sex, sexual orientation,
    gender identity or expression, marital status, religion, or disability.”
    18 NYCRR § 421.3(d) (emphases added). Of course, OCFS has wide
    discretion in promulgating regulations setting forth the “standards
    and procedures to be followed by authorized agencies in evaluating”
    adoption applicants. N.Y. Soc. Serv. Law § 372-e(2). And a generally
    applicable anti-discrimination regulation will usually be understood
    to indicate neutrality rather than religious animosity. But where, as
    here, a regulation purports to implement a statute whose text and
    history signal an intent for some accommodation of religious beliefs,
    further inquiry is warranted to determine if agency actions affording
    no such accommodation are grounded in any animosity to the
    particular religious beliefs at issue.
    Second, a suspicion of religious animosity is further raised here
    by the fact that for five years after 18 NYCRR § 421.3(d) was
    promulgated—from 2013 until 2018—OCFS voiced no objection to the
    practice New Hope appears to have adopted to avoid being seen as
    18Gubernatorial signing statements are routinely relied on in construing the reach
    of New York statutes. See, e.g., People v. Cagle, 
    7 N.Y.3d 647
    , 651 (2006); Greer v.
    Wing, 
    95 N.Y.2d 676
    , 680–81 (2001).
    45
    “discriminat[ing]” against unmarried or same-sex couples wishing to
    adopt, i.e., New Hope recused itself from considering such couples’
    adoption applications and referred them to other agencies whose
    consideration would not be limited by New Hope’s particular
    religious beliefs about family and marriage.
    To be sure, New Hope’s recusal policy meant that unmarried
    and same-sex couples could not obtain adoption services from New
    Hope. We need not here consider what discrimination concerns this
    might raise if New Hope qualified as a public accommodation under
    New York law, see N.Y. Exec. Law §§ 292(9), 296, because OCFS does
    not attempt formally to denominate it as such. This is not surprising.
    New Hope’s adoption services are not easily analogized to traditional
    public accommodations such as barbershops that provide haircuts,
    accounting firms that offer tax advice, or bakeshops that make
    wedding cakes. And children awaiting adoption hardly equate to a
    commodity, even if their “supply” in New York (unfortunately)
    greatly exceeds “demand.” Moreover, it appears that an authorized
    agency offers adoption services not only for the benefit of a public
    clientele (prospective parents) but, also, so that the agency itself can
    render a judgment: whether it is in the best interests of a child to be
    adopted by a particular applicant or applicants. Recusal is a familiar
    and accepted way for decisionmakers to step aside when they
    recognize that personal interest, predispositions, or even religious
    beliefs might unduly influence (or appear to influence) their ability to
    render impartial judgment. Thus, when an agency such as New Hope
    knows that, although New York law allows adoption by unmarried
    46
    and same-sex couples, its religious beliefs will not permit it to
    conclude that adoption by such a couple is in a child’s best interests,
    recusal and referral might be understood as a means to avoid its
    religious views adversely informing its assessment of a couple’s
    particular adoption application. 19 The pleadings suggest that New
    Hope’s recusal still leaves scores of other authorized agencies
    available to consider the referred adoption applications. And New
    Hope’s recusal would not seem to diminish the number of children
    available for adoption. 20
    This is not to suggest that no legal concerns can arise when a
    decisionmaker uses recusal to avoid rendering judgments for
    members of a protected class. We here conclude simply that, in the
    circumstances described, OCFS’s abrupt—and as yet unexplained—
    2018 change of mind on the matter of whether New Hope’s recusal-
    and-referral practice adequately avoided violating 18 NYCRR
    19See generally Ward v. Polite, 
    667 F.3d 727
    , 735 (6th Cir. 2012) (reinstating Free
    Exercise and Free Speech claims of graduate student dismissed from counseling
    program because, based on her religious views on homosexuality, she had sought
    to refer certain gay and lesbian clients to other counselors, observing, “[t]he point
    of the referral request was to avoid imposing her values on gay and lesbian clients”
    (emphasis in original)).
    20In its letter brief opposing New Hope’s motion to expand this court’s injunction
    pending appeal, OCFS asserts that “each time New Hope accepts a new placement
    request, there are fewer adoption opportunities available elsewhere,” particularly
    for newborns—the focus of New Hope’s ministry—for whom there is “especially
    high demand.” Appellee Ltr. Br., ECF Doc. No. 199, at 7. OCFS offers no evidence
    to support this conclusion but will have the opportunity to do so on remand
    during discovery.
    47
    § 421.3(d), coupled with its insistence that New Hope agree to
    approve unmarried and same-sex couples as adoptive parents or shut
    down a 50-year adoption ministry, raise a sufficient suspicion of
    hostility toward New Hope’s particular religious beliefs to warrant
    further inquiry. See Lukumi v. 
    Hialeah, 508 U.S. at 538
    (stating that
    where law “proscribe[s] more religious conduct than is necessary to
    achieve [its] stated ends[,] [i]t is not unreasonable to infer” that such
    a law “seeks not to effectuate the stated governmental interests, but
    to suppress the conduct because of its religious motivation”). 21
    Third, even before discovery, New Hope points to some
    statements by OCFS personnel that are similar to statements in
    Masterpiece Cakeshop that the Supreme Court interpreted as arguably
    evincing religious hostility. Notably, New Hope asserts that when it
    invoked religious freedom to protest OCFS’s directive that it either
    agree to approve unmarried and same-sex adoption applicants or
    close its adoption services, OCFS responded that “[s]ome Christian
    ministries have decided to compromise and stay open.” Compl. ¶ 192
    (brackets in original). See Masterpiece Cakeshop v. Colo. Civil Rights
    
    Comm’n, 138 S. Ct. at 1729
    (quoting statement by Colorado Civil
    21Recusal and referral might also be understood to avoid another constitutional
    concern—compelled speech—that could arise from OCFS using 18 NYCRR
    § 421.3(d) to compel New Hope to render adoption judgments contrary to its
    religious beliefs as a condition for its continued authorization to pursue an
    adoption ministry. See, e.g., Agency for Int’l Dev. v. All. for Open Soc’y Int’l, Inc., 
    570 U.S. 205
    , 213 (2013) (reiterating “basic First Amendment principle that freedom of
    speech prohibits the government from telling people what they must say”
    (internal quotation marks omitted)). We pursue this point further infra at 53–55,
    65–70, in discussing New Hope’s Free Speech claim.
    48
    Rights Commissioners that businessman who “wants to do business
    in the state and he’s got an issue with the—the law’s impacting his
    personal belief system, he needs to look at being able to compromise”
    (emphasis added) (internal quotation marks omitted)). Further, when
    OCFS was asked by a reporter to comment on the closure of a long-
    established Christian adoption agency in Buffalo, its spokeswoman
    stated that “[t]here is no place for providers that choose not to follow
    the law.” Compl. ¶ 204; see Masterpiece Cakeshop v. Colo. Civil Rights
    
    Comm’n, 138 S. Ct. at 1729
    (quoting Commissioners that plaintiff “can
    believe ‘what he wants to believe’ but cannot act on his religious
    beliefs ‘if he decides to do business in the state’”). As in Masterpiece
    Cakeshop, these statements are subject to various interpretations, some
    benign. 22 But on a motion to dismiss, we must draw the inference
    most favorable to New Hope, i.e., that OCFS did not think New
    Hope’s     religious    beliefs   about     family    and    marriage      could
    “legitimately be carried into the public sphere.” Masterpiece Cakeshop
    v. Colo. Civil Rights 
    Comm’n, 138 S. Ct. at 1729
    . Indeed, for OCFS, it
    was not enough that New Hope used recusal and referral to avoid
    denying adoption approval to unmarried and same-sex couples based
    on its own religious beliefs. Rather, for New Hope to continue its
    22In Masterpiece Cakeshop, the Supreme Court acknowledged that the statements
    from that case quoted here—not the most egregious at issue, see
    id. at 1729—
    might
    mean “simply that a business cannot refuse to provide services based on sexual
    orientation.”
    Id. But it
    observed that the statements could also be understood to
    endorse the impermissible view “that religious beliefs cannot legitimately be
    carried into the public sphere or commercial domain, implying that religious
    beliefs and persons are less than fully welcome in Colorado’s business
    community.”
    Id. 49 adoption
       ministry   in   New     York,   OCFS     insisted   that   it
    “compromise”—i.e., abandon—its own religious views about family
    and marriage and subscribe to the state’s orthodoxy on such matters.
    See generally West Va. Bd. of Educ. v. 
    Barnette, 319 U.S. at 642
    .
    Construed in this light, the allegations cannot be dismissed for failing
    to state a plausible Free Exercise claim.
    Fourth, another matter bearing on religious hostility and
    making dismissal premature is the severity of OCFS’s actions in
    ordering New Hope’s closure. It is plainly a serious step to order an
    authorized adoption agency such as New Hope—operating without
    complaint for 50 years, taking no government funding, successfully
    placing approximately 1,000 children, and with adoptions pending or
    being supervised—to close all its adoption operations. All the more
    serious when, as just discussed, the agency has, for five years and
    without objection by OCFS, used recusal and referral to avoid
    rejecting applicants on the basis of its religious beliefs. A court
    properly starts by asking what authority OCFS had to order such a
    shut down, and what procedures attend such a decision. There may
    be clear answers for these questions, but they are not apparent on the
    present record.
    New York Soc. Serv. Law § 371(10)(a) authorizes OCFS to
    “visit[], inspect[] and supervise[]” adoption agencies. Thus, OCFS
    was well within its authority in visiting and inspecting New Hope in
    2018. But § 371(10)(a) makes no mention of closing adoption agencies
    or invalidating the certificates of incorporation authorizing them to
    provide adoption services. C.f. N.Y. Bus. Corp. Law § 109(a)(1), (2)
    50
    (empowering Attorney General to maintain action to dissolve
    corporation). And while N.Y. Soc. Serv. Law § 385 does authorize
    OCFS to issue an order prohibiting an authorized agency from
    “thereafter placing out or boarding out any child,” that authority is
    limited to four circumstances: where OCFS determines that a child
    was placed (1) for “gain,” (2) “without due inquiry as to the character
    and reputation of the person with whom such child is placed,” (3) “in
    such manner that such child is subjected to cruel or improper
    treatment or neglect or immoral surroundings,” or (4) “in such
    manner that the religious faith of the child is not preserved and
    protected” as provided by law. N.Y. Soc. Serv. Law § 385(1). None
    of these circumstances obtains here. To the contrary, in October 2018,
    OCFS commended New Hope for its “supportive and detailed
    adoptive family selection process.” J. App’x at 84.
    In response to an inquiry from this court as to the source of its
    authority to order New Hope’s closure, OCFS cites N.Y. Soc. Serv.
    Law § 34(3)(e), which authorizes the agency to “enforce,” inter alia,
    laws and regulations pertaining to adoption. But nothing in that
    section, or any other authority cited by OCFS, indicates the scope of
    the enforcement authority conferred by § 34(3)(e), specifically,
    whether OCFS’s enforcement authority is akin to that of police and
    prosecutors, who investigate and charge violators, or whether it also
    extends to judicial-like authority to prescribe the punishment for
    violations, specifically, the punishment of closure.
    We do not here decide whether OCFS’s closure authority
    reaches further than that expressly afforded by N.Y. Soc. Serv. Law
    51
    § 385(1). We conclude only that until the source of any broader
    authority is identified and considered in light of the circumstances of
    this case, the severity of OCFS’s comply-or-close decision adds some
    weight to New Hope’s claim of hostility toward its religious beliefs.
    Fifth, New Hope asserts that OCFS’s 2018 actions in enforcing
    18 NYCRR § 421.3(d) has forced the closure of several other adoption
    agencies sharing its religious beliefs about family and marriage. This
    warrants further inquiry because “the effect of a law in its real
    operation” can be “strong evidence of its object.” Lukumi v. 
    Hialeah, 508 U.S. at 535
    . If we assume, as we must on dismissal, that the effect
    of OCFS’s comply-or-close method for enforcing § 421.3(d) fell almost
    exclusively on adoption services holding particular religious beliefs,
    that is some reason to suspect that the object of the law was to target
    those beliefs and to exclude those who maintain them from the
    adoption process. This suspicion is reinforced by circumstances,
    already discussed, indicating OCFS’s awareness (at the pleadings
    stage) (1) that neither the state legislature nor executive intended for
    adoption agencies to have to compromise religious beliefs in order to
    continue operating in the state, and (2) that recusal and referral were
    available means for agencies to avoid having their religious beliefs
    adversely affect the adoption applications of unmarried and same-sex
    couples.
    In sum, the pleadings, if accepted as true and viewed in the
    light most favorable to New Hope, do not permit a court to conclude
    as a matter of law that 18 NYCRR § 421.3(d), as promulgated and
    enforced by OCFS, was neutral and not based on some hostility to
    52
    New Hope’s religious beliefs. Thus, dismissal of New Hope’s Free
    Exercise claim was premature. The matter warrants discovery.
    3.     Free Speech Claim
    New Hope claims that OCFS also violated its constitutional
    right to Free Speech in two ways:          (a) by compelling it to say
    something it does not believe, i.e., that adoption by unmarried or
    same-sex couples can be in the best interests of a child; and (b) by
    requiring it to associate with such couples, thereby impeding New
    Hope’s ability to promote its own beliefs and values about religion,
    marriage, and family.
    The district court dismissed the compelled speech part of this
    claim on two grounds: (1) any speech at issue is “government[]
    speech,” for which New Hope cannot claim First Amendment
    protection; and (2) New Hope failed plausibly to plead that its speech
    was being compelled in any way. These two conclusions, in turn,
    informed the district court’s decision to dismiss New Hope’s
    expressive association claim because it could not plausibly plead
    more than “slight” injury to its expressive activities. See New Hope
    Family Servs., Inc. v. 
    Poole, 387 F. Supp. 3d at 217
    , 219.
    For the reasons explained herein, the pleadings, viewed most
    favorably to New Hope, do not permit a court to reach these
    conclusions now as a matter of law.
    53
    a.     Compelled Speech
    “At the heart of the First Amendment” is the principle “that
    each person should decide for himself or herself the ideas and beliefs
    deserving of expression, consideration, and adherence.” Agency for
    Int’l Dev. v. All. for Open Soc’y Int’l, 
    Inc., 570 U.S. at 213
    (quoting Turner
    Broad. Sys., Inc. v. FCC, 
    512 U.S. 622
    , 641 (1994)). Consistent with this
    principle, freedom of speech means that the “government may not
    prohibit the expression of an idea,” even one that society finds
    “offensive or disagreeable.” Texas v. Johnson, 
    491 U.S. 397
    , 414 (1989);
    see generally Barr v. Am. Ass’n of Political Consultants, Inc., No. 19-631,
    
    2020 WL 3633780
    , at *12 (U.S. July 6, 2020) (plurality opinion)
    (describing First Amendment as “a kind of Equal Protection Clause
    for ideas” (internal quotation marks omitted)). For much the same
    reason, government also cannot tell people that there are things “they
    must say.” Agency for Int’l Dev. v. All. for Open Soc’y Int’l, 
    Inc., 570 U.S. at 213
    (quoting Rumsfeld v. Forum for Acad. and Institutional Rights, Inc.
    (“FAIR”), 
    547 U.S. 47
    , 61 (2006)); accord Janus v. Am. Fed’n of State, Cty.
    & Mun. Emps., Council 31, 
    138 S. Ct. 2448
    , 2463 (2018) (stating that First
    Amendment prevents government from “[c]ompelling individuals to
    mouth support for views they find objectionable”).              Thus, when
    government “direct[ly] regulat[es] . . . speech” by mandating that
    persons explicitly agree with government policy on a particular
    54
    matter, it “plainly violate[s] the First Amendment.” Agency v. Int’l
    Dev. v. All. for Open Soc’y Int’l, 
    Inc., 570 U.S. at 213
    . 23
    The pleadings here, viewed most favorably to New Hope,
    plausibly charge OCFS with an impermissible direct regulation of
    speech.    As discussed supra at 21–25, all New Hope’s adoption
    services—from       counseling     birthmothers,      to       instructing   and
    evaluating prospective adoptive parents, to filing its ultimate reports
    with the court—are laden with speech. But, more to the point, these
    services are provided so that, at their end, New Hope itself can speak
    on the determinative question for any adoption: whether it would be
    in the best interests of a child to be adopted by particular applicants.
    New Hope asserts that, based on its religious beliefs about marriage
    and family, it does not believe and, therefore, cannot state, that
    adoption by unmarried or same-sex couples would ever be in the best
    interests of a child. It charges OCFS with requiring it to say just that—
    or to close down its voluntary, privately funded adoption ministry.
    See Compl. ¶ 271 (alleging that OCFS “requires New Hope to engage
    in speech and expression that it does not wish to convey—speech and
    expression that violate[] its core religious beliefs—by compelling it to
    23At issue in Agency for International Development was a challenged mandate that
    federal funding recipients “explicitly agree with the Government’s policy to
    oppose prostitution and sex 
    trafficking.” 570 U.S. at 213
    . The Supreme Court
    observed that if that requirement had been “enacted as a direct regulation of
    speech,” it “would plainly violate the First Amendment.”
    Id. The Court
    then
    proceeded to explain why the requirement violated the First Amendment even as
    a funding condition. See
    id. at 213–18.
    55
    recommend same-sex couples or unmarried couples as adoptive
    parents”). These pleadings are sufficient to withstand dismissal.
    Moreover, neither reason cited by the district court supports a
    contrary conclusion at this stage of the case.
    i.     Government Speech
    The district court concluded that because New Hope is a state-
    authorized adoption agency, any speech involved in its provision of
    adoption services is “government[] speech” for which New Hope
    cannot claim First Amendment protection. New Hope Family Servs.,
    Inc. v. 
    Poole, 387 F. Supp. 3d at 217
    (“New Hope’s speech, to the extent
    any is required when performing its services as an authorized
    [adoption] agency, constitutes governmental speech. . . .”); see, e.g.,
    Matal v. Tam, 
    137 S. Ct. 1744
    , 1757 (2017) (collecting cases recognizing
    that Government’s own speech is exempt from First Amendment
    scrutiny). The Supreme Court, however, has held that the mere fact
    that government authorizes, approves, or licenses certain conduct
    does not transform the speech engaged therein into government
    speech. The reason is plain: “If private speech could be passed off as
    government speech by simply affixing a government seal of approval,
    government could silence or muffle the expression of disfavored
    viewpoints.” Matal v. 
    Tam, 137 S. Ct. at 1758
    (holding that federal
    registration of trademark does not make the mark government
    speech); see also National Inst. of Family and Life Advocates v. Becerra, 
    138 S. Ct. 2361
    , 2375 (2018) (rejecting idea that government acquires
    “unfettered power to reduce a group’s First Amendment rights by
    56
    simply imposing a licensing requirement”); 24 44 Liquormart, Inc. v.
    Rhode Island, 
    517 U.S. 484
    , 513 (1996) (plurality opinion) (holding
    advertising limits on liquor retailers violated First Amendment,
    explaining that state decision to license its liquor retailers did not
    permit it to condition license on “surrender of a constitutional right”).
    The district court relied primarily on two cases to support its
    identification of “government[] speech” here. Both are inapt because
    the       speech-challenged         conditions      were   there   imposed    on
    government-funded services. See Legal Servs. Corp. v. Velazquez, 
    531 U.S. 533
    (2001) (challenging federal funding condition prohibiting
    legal services corporations from using funds to “challenge existing
    welfare law”); Fulton v. City of Philadelphia, 
    320 F. Supp. 3d 661
    (challenging non-discrimination provision of contract with City to
    provide foster care services). 25            In Velazquez, the Supreme Court
    observed that “[w]hen the government disburses public funds to private
    entities to convey a governmental message, it may take legitimate and
    appropriate steps to ensure that its message is neither garbled nor
    distorted by the 
    grantee.” 531 U.S. at 541
    (brackets in original)
    (emphasis added) (internal quotation marks omitted); see also Agency
    for Int’l Dev. v. All. for Open Soc’y Int’l, 
    Inc., 570 U.S. at 214
    (collecting
    cases recognizing that, under Spending Clause, Congress can impose
    24In Becerra, the Supreme Court ruled, inter alia, that requiring a licensed
    pregnancy center to provide women with notice of certain state services, including
    abortion, violated the First Amendment by altering the content of the clinic’s
    
    speech. 138 S. Ct. at 2371
    –76.
    25   See supra at 37, 41–42 (discussing Fulton history).
    57
    some conditions on federal funding that it could not impose directly
    without violating First Amendment). The district court in Fulton
    relied on Velazquez’s quoted language in holding that Philadelphia
    permissibly included a non-discrimination condition in its contract
    with CSS funding a part of the organization’s foster care services. See
    Fulton v. City of 
    Philadelphia, 320 F. Supp. 3d at 696
    –97. The reasoning
    of these cases does not apply here because New Hope receives no
    government funding, either by way of a grant program or a contract.
    Indeed, New Hope alleges that it avoids government funding
    precisely to “ensure its autonomy to operate in accordance with its
    religious beliefs.” Compl. ¶ 51. Thus, “subsidized speech” cases
    cannot support the identification of “government speech” here. See
    Matal v. 
    Tam, 137 S. Ct. at 1760
    –61 (Alito, J., plurality opinion). 26
    26In Matal v. Tam, a Supreme Court plurality treated the questions of “government
    speech” and “subsidized speech” as distinct, noting that subsidized speech can
    “implicate a notoriously tricky question of constitutional law” because, at the same
    time that the law recognizes that “government is not required to subsidize
    activities that it does not wish to promote,” it also prohibits government from
    “deny[ing] a benefit to a person on a basis that infringes his constitutionally
    protected . . . freedom of speech even if he has no entitlement to that 
    benefit.” 137 S. Ct. at 1760
    –61 (internal quotation marks omitted). Applying these principles in
    Agency for International Development and Velazquez, the Supreme Court ruled that
    the latter was determinative and that the challenged speech conditions there
    violated the First Amendment even as applied to funding recipients. See Agency
    for Int’l Dev. v. All. for Open Soc’y Int’l, 
    Inc., 570 U.S. at 214
    –15, 217–18 (holding
    unconstitutional funding condition requiring recipients to affirm opposition to
    prostitution because it compelled grant recipient “to adopt a particular belief as a
    condition of funding”); Legal Servs. Corp. v. 
    Velazquez, 531 U.S. at 540
    –41, 548–49
    (holding challenged funding condition on legal services unconstitutional because
    it “exclude[d] certain vital theories and ideas”). In Matal v. Tam, the plurality
    58
    Insofar as a particular viewpoint might be identified as
    “government speech” without regard to government funding, the
    Matal Court urged “great caution” in extending the doctrine beyond
    its established precedents.
    Id. at 1758.
    As Justice Alito explained, the
    government-speech doctrine is both “essential” and “dangerous”:
    essential to avoid “paralyzing” government,
    id. at 1757
    (observing
    that when “government entity embarks on a course of action, it
    necessarily takes a particular viewpoint and rejects others”), but
    dangerous because, as we have already noted, “[i]f private speech
    could be passed off as government speech by simply affixing a
    government seal of approval, government could silence or muffle the
    expression of disfavored viewpoints,”
    id. at 1758.
    27
    In Matal v. 
    Tam, 137 S. Ct. at 1759
    –60, the Court identified three
    circumstances       where      Supreme        Court     precedents       identified
    government speech:          a federally created advertising program to
    explained that there was no need to weigh the identified competing principles in
    that case because trademarks involved no government subsidy or expenditure
    beyond that associated with any government service. 
    See 137 S. Ct. at 1761
    . The
    same conclusion obtains with respect to New Hope’s privately funded, authorized
    adoption services.
    27Members of the Court had also expressed reservations about the government-
    speech doctrine in Pleasant Grove City v. Summum, 
    555 U.S. 460
    (2009), discussed
    infra at 60–62, 64. See Pleasant Grove City v. 
    Summum, 555 U.S. at 481
    (Stevens, J.,
    joined by Ginsburg, J., concurring) (stating that “decisions relying on the recently
    minted government speech doctrine to uphold government action have been few,
    and, in my view, of doubtful merit”);
    id. at 484
    (Breyer, J., concurring) (expressing
    understanding that doctrine is “a rule of thumb, not a rigid category”);
    id. at 485
    (Souter, J., concurring in judgment) (urging Court to “go slow in setting” bounds
    of government-speech doctrine).
    59
    promote the sale of beef, see Johanns v. Livestock Mktg. Ass’n, 
    544 U.S. 550
    (2005); a local government’s acceptance of a Ten Commandments
    monument for display in a city park, see Pleasant Grove City v.
    Summum, 
    555 U.S. 460
    ; and a state’s allowance of specialty license
    plates, see Walker v. Texas Div., Sons of Confederate Veterans, Inc., 
    576 U.S. 200
    (2015).
    In the first circumstance, the Court held that the ads were
    government speech because “[t]he message set out in the beef
    promotions [was] from beginning to end the message established by
    the Federal Government.” Matal v. 
    Tam, 137 S. Ct. at 1759
    (brackets in
    original) (quoting Johanns v. Livestock Mktg. 
    Ass’n, 544 U.S. at 560
    , and
    noting that Congress and Secretary of Agriculture provided
    guidelines for content of ads, Agriculture officials attended meetings
    at which content of ads was discussed, and Secretary could edit or
    reject any proposed ad).
    In the monuments case, “many factors” indicated that park
    monuments represented government speech, among them, (a)
    government’s historic use of monuments to speak to the public, (b) a
    tradition of parks selectively accepting and displaying donated
    monuments, (c) the public’s close identification of public parks with
    the government owning the parkland, and (d) the accepted
    monuments were meant to and had the effect of conveying a
    government message.
    Id. at 1759–60
    (citing Pleasant Grove City v.
    
    Summum, 555 U.S. at 472
    ).
    60
    Finally, in the specialty plates case—described by Matal as
    “likely mark[ing] the outer bounds of the government-speech
    doctrine”—three factors were determinative: (a) States had long used
    license plates to convey government messages; (b) the public closely
    identified license plates with the State because it manufactured and
    owned the plates, generally designed them, and used them as a form
    of government identification; and (c) Texas maintained direct control
    over the messages conveyed on specialty plates.
    Id. at 1760
    (citing
    Walker v. Texas Div., Sons of Confederate Veterans, 
    Inc., 576 U.S. at 207
    –
    13). 28
    The factors highlighted in these cases are either not present
    here, or not sufficiently present at the pleading stage to warrant
    reliance on government speech as a ground for dismissal.
    First, by contrast to the monuments discussed in Pleasant Grove
    and the license plates at issue in Walker, adoption has not historically
    been treated by government as a means for it to communicate with
    the public on various matters. Rather, adoption’s singular focus is on
    identifying a placement that is in the best interests of a child.
    Second, by contrast to any of the three precedents cited in Matal,
    nothing in the pleadings suggests that the public understands New
    Hope’s expressive activities, either in generally providing adoption
    28This court has relied on these three Walker factors in considering government-
    speech claims. See, e.g., Wandering Dago, Inc. v. Destito, 
    879 F.3d 20
    , 34–36 (2d Cir.
    2018) (considering factors in determining that names of food vendors at state-
    organized lunch program were not government speech).
    61
    services or, ultimately, in recommending a child’s placement, to be
    the State’s own message.         The general principle that State
    authorization by itself does not transform the authorized actor’s
    speech into government speech, see Matal v. 
    Tam, 137 S. Ct. at 1758
    ,
    applies with particular force here, where New York itself operates 58
    state-denominated adoption agencies at the same time that it
    authorizes some 70 private, non-profit organizations also to offer
    adoption services.    Many of those organizations, including New
    Hope, have done so for decades and have long established private
    identities.
    The pleadings further indicate that, from its first meeting with
    prospective adoptive parents, New Hope makes its private identity
    clear, specifically, its identity as a religious ministry.    It starts
    meetings with a prayer and uses scripture passages and religious
    texts to explore “how faith in God can help [adoption] applicants.”
    Compl. ¶¶ 105, 109, 111–112. A person listening to such explicitly
    religious messages from a private entity operating from a non-state
    location would not be likely to understand the messages conveyed as
    those of the State of New York, rather than New Hope’s own. Cf.
    Pleasant Grove City v. 
    Summum, 555 U.S. at 472
    (holding government’s
    acceptance of monument for public parkland, where government had
    used monuments to convey its messages to public, identified
    monument as “government speech”); Johanns v. Livestock Mktg. 
    Ass’n, 544 U.S. at 560
    (stating that message set out in challenged promotion
    was “from beginning to end the message established by the Federal
    Government”). Indeed, OCFS itself does not seem to think there is
    62
    much risk of misattribution because it nowhere suggests that there is
    anything improper in New Hope conveying religious messages or
    employing religious rituals in providing adoption services, which
    presumably New Hope could not do if it were speaking for the State.
    Viewed most favorably to New Hope, then, the pleadings
    suggest that OCFS is not seeking to avoid having New Hope’s views
    attributed to the State but, rather, is demanding that New Hope—in
    order to continue operating as an authorized adoption agency—
    express a State view with which it disagrees, i.e., that it can be in the
    best interests of a child to be adopted by an unmarried or same-sex
    couple.    In Walker, the Supreme Court stated that “the First
    Amendment stringently limits a State’s authority to compel a private
    party to express a view with which the private party disagrees.”
    Walker v. Texas Div., Sons of Confederate Veterans, 
    Inc., 576 U.S. at 219
    .
    Indeed, this limitation may apply even when the government is
    looking to communicate its own message through a private entity. See
    id. at 208
    (stating that “Free Speech Clause itself may constrain the
    government’s speech if . . . the government seeks to compel private
    persons to convey the government’s speech”).
    Third, although the adoption process in New York is certainly
    more regulated than the trademark process at issue in Matal v. 
    Tam, 137 S. Ct. at 1758
    –59, a court cannot conclude at the pleadings stage
    that “from beginning to end” the messages conveyed by New Hope
    are so controlled by New York as to be the State’s own, Johanns v.
    Livestock Mktg. 
    Ass’n, 544 U.S. at 560
    . As discussed supra at 11–16, the
    laws and regulations identifying factors relevant to determining the
    63
    best interests of a child awaiting adoption appear to afford authorized
    agencies considerable discretion in weighing those factors and in
    exercising independent judgment as to the propriety of any particular
    placement.    By contrast to the extensive involvement of federal
    officials in the promotional campaign at issue in Johanns, it seems no
    New York officials engage directly with private authorized agencies
    as they recruit, instruct, evaluate, and ultimately recommend
    adoptive parents to a child’s birth parents and to the court. Nothing
    in the pleadings indicates that OCFS officials ever review, edit, or
    reject a private authorized agency’s best-interests assessment before
    a child’s placement in an adoptive family. Cf. Walker v. Texas Div.,
    Sons of Confederate Veterans, 
    Inc., 576 U.S. at 213
    (highlighting State’s
    maintenance of direct control over messages conveyed on specialty
    plates); Pleasant Grove City v. 
    Summum, 555 U.S. at 471
    –72 (referencing
    tradition of parks selectively accepting and displaying donated
    monuments); Johanns v. Livestock Mktg. 
    Ass’n, 544 U.S. at 561
    (stating
    that government could edit, or even reject, proposed advertisement).
    In sum, on the pleadings record, none of the three factors that
    courts rely on in identifying “government speech” weighs in favor of
    identifying any speech by New Hope as such. Nor do they compel
    that conclusion as a matter of law when considered together. Further
    proceedings may produce additional evidence that casts these
    pleadings in a different light. We here hold only that New Hope’s
    First Amendment compelled speech claim cannot be dismissed now
    on the ground that any speech at issue is government speech.
    64
    ii.   No Compelled Speech
    Alternatively, the district court dismissed New Hope’s free
    speech claim because OCFS and 18 NYCRR § 421.3(d) “simply do not
    compel speech” or even compel New Hope “to change the message it
    wishes to convey.” New Hope Family Servs. v. 
    Poole, 387 F. Supp. 3d at 217
    –18.   The court acknowledged New Hope’s assertion that it
    provides “extensive” information to potential adoptive parents and
    birthparents consistent with its religious views on marriage and the
    family.
    Id. at 218.
       Nevertheless, it concluded that “nothing is
    preventing New Hope from continuing to share its religious beliefs
    throughout the entire process.”
    Id. Indeed, the
    court expressed “no
    doubt that New Hope’s general disapproval of cohabitating
    unmarried couples and same sex couples will continue to be made
    clear.”
    Id. Similarly, while
    acknowledging New Hope’s complaint
    that forcing it to approve and recommend unmarried and same-sex
    couples as adoptive parents would “send a message . . . that [New
    Hope] accepts such relationships as appropriate and believes that
    adoption by such couples can be in the best interests of the child,”
    id. at 217
    (brackets in original) (internal quotation marks omitted), the
    district court concluded that, in fact, “the only message that would be
    conveyed” by New Hope’s approving an unmarried or same-sex
    couple for adoption “is that, applying the [relevant] regulatory
    criteria . . . , placement with such a couple would be in the child’s best
    interest,” id.; see also
    id. at 218
    (“[T]he only statement being made by
    approving such couples as adoptive parents is that they satisfy the
    65
    criteria set forth by the state, without regard to any views as to the
    marital status or sexual orientation of the couple.”).
    Both conclusions are premature. It is hardly evident from the
    pleadings that OCFS, in requiring New Hope to conform its policies
    to 18 NYCRR § 421.3(d), would permit New Hope to counsel
    unmarried and same-sex couples that it is in the best interests of a
    child to be adopted by a heterosexual married couple and not in the
    best interests of a child to be adopted by an unmarried or same-sex
    couple. The regulation, after all, prohibits harassment as well as
    discrimination and, as the district court itself recognized in a colloquy
    exchange, if New Hope were to express such views, it would likely
    face a lawsuit “the next day.” J. App’x at 237.
    In its brief to this court, OCFS no longer disclaims the
    possibility of it restricting New Hope’s speech in providing adoption
    services. Rather, OCFS acknowledges that “any restriction on New
    Hope’s expressive activities within the contours of its provision of
    adoption activities remains unclear.” Appellee Br. at 54. 29 While
    OCFS maintains that “New Hope remains free to espouse its beliefs
    about marriage and family,” and to “advocat[e] for adoptions by
    married heterosexual couples, outside the contours of its provision of
    . . . adoption services,”
    id. (emphasis added),
    that concession is
    meaningless. New Hope does not claim that OCFS would compel or
    29This represents a departure from OCFS’s position before the district court. It
    there asserted that 18 NYCRR § 421.3(d) “neither compels, nor prohibits, New
    Hope from . . . expressing its beliefs, religious or otherwise.” J. App’x at 188.
    66
    limit its speech if it loses authorization to provide adoption services.
    Rather, New Hope sues OCFS for violating its right to free speech as
    an authorized adoption agency.          The pleadings record admits a
    plausible inference that New Hope cannot both comply with 18
    NYCRR § 421.3(d), as required to retain its authorization to provide
    adoption services, and express its view that adoption by unmarried
    and same-sex couples is not in the best interests of a child. Thus,
    discovery is warranted to determine the extent to which the required
    compliance will restrict or compel New Hope’s speech.
    Nor is a different conclusion warranted by OCFS’s assertion
    that “all” it has done to date is “regulate New Hope’s conduct—its
    refusal to provide adoption services to or place children with
    unmarried and same-sex couples.”
    Id. at 51.
    As the Supreme Court
    has long recognized, even conduct can claim the protections of Free
    Speech where “[a]n intent to convey a particularized message [is]
    present, and . . . the likelihood [is] great that the message would be
    understood by those who viewed” or learned of the conduct. Texas v.
    
    Johnson, 491 U.S. at 404
    (first brackets in original) (internal quotation
    marks omitted); see Church of Am. Knights of the Ku Klux Klan v. Kerik,
    
    356 F.3d 197
    , 205 (2d Cir. 2004) (same). In any event, the pleadings
    here, viewed most favorably to New Hope, demonstrate more than
    conduct. New Hope asserts that, consistent with New York law, it
    can only place a child with an adoptive couple if it approves the
    placement as in the best interests of the child.        See 18 NYCRR
    § 421.18(d). Thus, New Hope has a plausible claim that by compelling
    it to place children with unmarried and same-sex couples, OCFS is
    67
    necessarily compelling New Hope to engage in the speech required
    for that conduct—speech with which New Hope does not agree.
    The district court recognized the inextricable link between New
    Hope’s speech and conduct in the placement of a child for adoption.
    Nevertheless, the court dismissed New Hope’s free speech claim
    upon concluding that the only message that its approval would
    convey is that an unmarried or same-sex couple satisfies the State
    regulations’ criteria for an adoptive placement. See New Hope Family
    Services v. 
    Poole, 387 F. Supp. 3d at 217
    . This implies that approval
    communicates no judgment by New Hope itself.                      Again, this
    conclusion cannot be reached at the pleadings stage.
    As we have already observed, the regulatory criteria applicable
    to adoption provide agencies with no mere quantitative checklist. 30
    Rather, the regulations, by their nature, entrust authorized agencies
    with considerable discretion to exercise judgment in determining the
    best interests of a child.      See supra at 11–16 (discussing various
    regulations). OCFS acknowledges as much in stating that “[t]he
    statutory [and regulatory] scheme bestows significant authority on
    authorized agencies.” Appellee Br. at 4. Nowhere do the regulations
    define “best interests.” They state only that the determination should
    consider, (1) “the appropriateness of placement in terms of the age of
    the child and of the adoptive parent(s)”; (2) “the physical and
    emotional needs of the child in relation to the characteristics,
    30We have no occasion here to consider whether other regulations, including
    quantitative factors, might implicate compelled speech in certain circumstances.
    68
    capacities, strengths and weaknesses of the adoptive parent(s)”; and
    (3) “the requirement . . . to place minor siblings or half-siblings
    together . . . unless . . . such placement [is determined] to be
    detrimental to the best interests of one or more of the children.”
    Id. § 421.18(d).
    These factors admit no single answer, but require the
    exercise of agency judgment. Moreover, the regulation states that a
    best-interests determination is “not limited to” these factors,
    id., which further
    cautions against a narrow characterization of the
    message conveyed by such a determination.
    Related regulations are similarly broadly cast. For example, in
    the home study that adoption agencies must conduct before deciding
    whether it is in the particular interest of a child to be placed with an
    applicant, the agency must “explore each applicant’s ability to be an
    adoptive parent,” discussing a range of topics including “principles
    related to the development of children,” “reasons a person seeks to
    become an adoptive parent,” the applicant’s “understanding of the
    adoptive parent role,” the applicant’s “psychological readiness to
    assume responsibility for a child,” and the agency’s role in
    “supervising and supporting the adoptive placement.”
    Id. § 421.15(d).
    Agencies must also “explore” an applicant’s “capacity to
    give and receive affection,” and “ability to provide for a child’s
    physical and emotional needs.”
    Id. § 421.16(a).
    The regulations do
    not instruct authorized agencies as to how they should evaluate or
    weigh these factors. Rather, these matters are left to the exercise of
    agency judgment and discretion, which will necessarily be informed,
    69
    to at least some degree, by the agency’s conception of a child’s best
    interests.
    In New Hope’s case, that conception has, as its starting point,
    the “biblical model for the family” as “one man married to one
    woman for life.” Compl. ¶ 56. Given the discretion inherent in New
    York laws and regulations pertaining to the identification of adoption
    placements that are in the best interests of a particular child, a court
    could not conclude on the pleadings that New Hope can identify a
    child’s best interests, and, therefore, approve an adoption placement,
    without communicating its viewpoint—or the one that it complains
    OCFS is compelling it to adopt. Thus, it was premature for the district
    court to conclude that requiring New Hope to provide adoption
    services to unmarried and same-sex couples compelled no speech
    subject to First Amendment protection.
    b.     Expressive Association
    As a second part of its Free Speech claim, New Hope charges
    OCFS with impeding its right of association.
    “Association” occupies a clearer place in American history than
    in American law.     As to the former, what Tocqueville famously
    observed in 1835 has remained true for almost two centuries: “In no
    country in the world has the principle of association been more
    successfully used or applied to a greater multitude of objects than in
    America.” 1 ALEXIS DE TOCQUEVILLE, DEMOCRACY IN AMERICA 191
    (Phillips Bradley ed., Vintage Books 1990) (1835). As pertinent here,
    one of the “objects” for which Americans have laudably associated
    70
    throughout their history has been to care for orphaned and
    abandoned children. See supra at 8 n.3.
    The law, however, recognizes no fundamental “right of
    association.” The First Amendment does not, by its terms, pronounce
    such a right. See City of Dallas v. Stanglin, 
    490 U.S. 19
    , 23–24 (1989).
    Nevertheless, the Supreme Court has applied the First Amendment
    to association claims in two limited circumstances: “choices to enter
    into and maintain certain intimate human relationships,” and
    “associat[ion] for the purpose of engaging in those activities protected
    by the First Amendment—speech, assembly, petition for the redress
    of grievances, and the exercise of religion.” Roberts v. U.S. Jaycees, 
    468 U.S. 609
    , 617, 618 (1984); see Jacoby & Meyers, LLP v. Presiding Justices
    of the First, Second, Third & Fourth Dep’ts, Appellate Div. of the Supreme
    Court of N.Y., 
    852 F.3d 178
    , 187–88 (2d Cir. 2017). It is the latter—so-
    called “expressive association”—that New Hope invokes in this case.
    New Hope asserts that its adoption ministry is an expressive
    association in that it employs protected speech to “convey[] a system
    of values about life, marriage, family and sexuality to both
    birthparents and adoptive parents through its comprehensive
    evaluation, training, and placement programs.” Compl. ¶ 270. New
    Hope alleges that OCFS’s actions in applying 18 NYCRR § 421.3(d)
    impair New Hope’s ability to advocate for its values. Specifically,
    New Hope maintains that requiring it to “[i]nclud[e] unmarried or
    same-sex couples in [its] comprehensive evaluation, training, and
    placement programs and adoptive-parent profiles would change
    71
    New Hope’s message and counseling to adoptive families and
    birthparents.”
    Id. ¶ 273.
    31
    In dismissing New Hope’s association claim, the district court
    concluded that the adoption agency could show only “slight
    impairment” to its expressive activity because New Hope was “not
    being required to hire employees that do not share [its] same religious
    values,” and was not “prohibited in any way from continuing to voice
    [its] religious ideals.” New Hope Family Servs., Inc. v. Poole, 387 F.
    Supp. 3d at 219. For the same reasons the latter conclusion cannot be
    reached at the pleading stage with respect to New Hope’s compelled
    speech claim, see supra at 65–70, it cannot be reached with respect to
    New Hope’s expressive association claim.
    As for the “slight impairment” conclusion, it too is premature.
    Compelled hiring, like compelled membership, may be a way in
    which a government mandate can “affect[] in a significant way [a]
    31OCFS argues on appeal that New Hope is not engaged in expressive association
    because it is “not open to membership and was not organized for the purpose of
    engaging in expressive activities.” Appellee Br. at 58. The membership argument
    fails for reasons stated in text infra at 72–74 with respect to compelled hiring. As
    for “purpose,” even if OCFS’s urged conclusion could be reached at the pleadings
    stage, it would not compel dismissal. The Supreme Court has required that an
    organization “engage in some form of expression”—not that it be expressly
    constituted for that purpose—to claim expressive association protection. See Boy
    Scouts of Am. v. Dale, 
    530 U.S. 640
    , 648 (2000); Pi Lambda Phi Fraternity, Inc. v. Univ.
    of Pittsburgh, 
    229 F.3d 435
    , 443 (3d Cir. 2000), as amended (Nov. 29, 2000) (stating
    that Supreme Court has not required organization to be “primarily expressive[] in
    order to receive constitutional protection for expressive associational activity”).
    The pleadings easily satisfy this standard.
    72
    group’s ability to advocate public or private viewpoints.” Boy Scouts
    of Am. v. 
    Dale, 530 U.S. at 648
    . But it is not the only way. Cf. Rumsfeld
    v. 
    FAIR, 547 U.S. at 69
    (acknowledging that “freedom of expressive
    association protects more than just a group’s membership decisions”).
    The pleadings, viewed most favorably to New Hope, indicate
    that OCFS, in enforcing 18 NYCRR § 421.3(d), may require New Hope
    to “correct[] or disciplin[e]” employees who, sharing New Hope’s
    religious beliefs, act on, or even express, those beliefs in interacting
    with birthparents or prospective adoptive parents.          18 NYCRR
    § 421.3(d) (prohibiting discrimination and harassment and requiring
    authorized agencies to correct or discipline employees who engage in
    such). In short, New Hope complains that OCFS is not only directly
    limiting its own ability to promote its beliefs and values through its
    adoption services, but also, OCFS is requiring New Hope to use
    discipline to enforce those same expressive limitations as to its
    employees. This admits a plausible inference that OCFS is making
    association with New Hope “less attractive” for those who would
    otherwise combine their voices with the agency’s in order to convey
    their shared beliefs and values more effectively. See Rumsfeld v. 
    FAIR, 547 U.S. at 68
    –69.
    In Rumsfeld, the Supreme Court rejected an expressive
    association challenge to a federal law requiring schools to afford
    equal campus access to military recruiters. The Court observed that
    such compelled access did not affect “a law school’s associational
    rights” because “[s]tudents and faculty” remained “free to associate
    to voice their disapproval of the military’s message” and “nothing
    73
    about the statute affect[ed] the composition of the group by making
    group membership less desirable.”
    Id. at 69–70.
    By contrast, here, the
    pleadings admit a plausible inference that neither New Hope nor any
    employees that associate with it in its adoption ministry will be free
    to voice their religious beliefs about the sorts of marriages and
    families that they believe best serve the interests of adopted children.
    Thus, discovery is required to determine what, if any, leeway OCFS
    will grant New Hope and its like-minded employees in expressing
    their religious views before any determination can be made as to how
    significantly OCFS’s challenged actions will impede New Hope’s
    associational ability to advocate its religious viewpoints.
    Because New Hope’s expressive association claim survives
    dismissal on these grounds, we need not now conclusively decide
    whether a claim of compelled association with unmarried and same-
    sex couples pursuing adoption implicates expressive association.
    While such couples may not be seeking the sort of affiliation with
    New Hope generally associated with membership organizations, see
    Boy Scouts of Am. v. Dale, 
    530 U.S. 640
    , neither is theirs the “chance
    encounter[]” of dance-hall patrons, City of Dallas v. 
    Stanglin, 490 U.S. at 25
    . Rather, the pleadings, viewed most favorably to New Hope,
    indicate that OCFS is requiring New Hope to associate with
    unmarried and same-sex couples for the purpose of providing
    services leading to adoption, an outcome that could tie New Hope,
    the couple, and an adopted child together for months, or even years.
    See supra at 21–25. To the extent New Hope maintains that such
    compelled association would impede its ability to convey its religious
    74
    beliefs about adoption in a way distinct from that resulting from the
    compelled speech of which it complains, it will have the opportunity
    to develop supporting evidence during discovery. We do not here
    predict whether New Hope will be able to do so. Cf. Telescope Media
    Grp. v. Lucero, 
    936 F.3d 740
    , 760 (8th Cir. 2019) (holding expressive
    association challenge to law prohibiting videographers from
    discriminating between heterosexual and same-sex weddings was
    “really a disguised free-speech claim” duplicative of claim on
    compelled-speech theory, and allowing only latter to proceed). We
    conclude only that the expressive association claim does not fail as a
    matter of law on the pleadings.
    In sum, we conclude that none of New Hope’s First
    Amendment claims—for Free Exercise of Religion, for Free Speech on
    a theory of compelled speech, and for Free Speech on a theory of
    expressive association—can be dismissed at the pleadings stage.
    Accordingly, we reverse the judgment of dismissal as to these claims.
    Preliminary Injunction
    We review the denial of a motion for a preliminary injunction
    for abuse of discretion, which we will identify only if the decision
    rests on an error of law or a clearly erroneous finding of fact, or cannot
    be located within the range of permissible decisions. See, e.g., North
    Am. Soccer League, LLC v. U.S. Soccer Fed'n, Inc., 
    883 F.3d 32
    , 36 (2d Cir.
    2018).     The district court’s denial of New Hope’s preliminary
    injunction motion as moot rests on an error of law, specifically, the
    court’s dismissal of all New Hope’s claims. For reasons stated in the
    75
    preceding sections of this opinion, New Hope’s Free Exercise and
    Free Speech claims should not have been dismissed and, thus, its
    preliminary injunction motion was not moot.
    New Hope urges that in vacating the denial of its preliminary
    injunction motion, this court direct entry of the requested injunction
    on remand. We recognize our authority to do so. See, e.g., New York
    Progress & Prot. PAC v. Walsh, 
    733 F.3d 483
    , 489 (2d Cir. 2013); Hsu v.
    Roslyn Union Free Sch. Dist. No. 3, 
    85 F.3d 839
    , 873 (2d Cir. 1996)
    (“Although reversal of an order denying an application for a
    preliminary injunction is customarily accompanied by a directive that
    the district court conduct a new hearing on remand, an appellate
    court, on a finding of merit in plaintiff’s case, can in the alternative
    direct the district court to issue the injunction.” (quoting Patton v.
    Dole, 
    806 F.2d 24
    , 31 (2d Cir. 1986))). But we leave it to the district
    court in the first instance to decide if such equitable relief is warranted
    and its exact scope. Nevertheless, a few observations may be useful
    to guide the district court’s exercise of its discretion on remand.
    First, because New Hope seeks a preliminary injunction to stay
    government action taken in the public interest pursuant to a statutory
    (and regulatory) scheme, it must establish both a likelihood of success
    on the merits and irreparable harm in the absence of an injunction.
    See Alliance for Open Soc’y Int’l, Inc. v. Agency for Int’l Dev., 
    651 F.3d 218
    , 230 (2d Cir. 2011), aff’d., 
    570 U.S. 205
    ; Alleyne v. N. Y. State Educ.
    Dep’t, 
    516 F.3d 96
    , 101 (2d Cir. 2008). The “loss of First Amendment
    freedoms . . . unquestionably constitutes irreparable injury.”
    International Dairy Foods Ass’n v. Amestoy, 
    92 F.3d 67
    , 71 (1996)
    76
    (internal quotation marks omitted). Thus, “the dominant, if not the
    dispositive, factor” in deciding whether to grant a preliminary
    injunction in this case is New Hope’s ability to demonstrate likely
    success on the merits of its Free Exercise and Free Speech claims. New
    York Progress & Prot. PAC v. 
    Walsh, 733 F.3d at 488
    .
    Second, when the pleadings are viewed in the light most
    favorable to New Hope, serious concerns arise as to whether OCFS’s
    challenged actions violate the Free Exercise and Free Speech Clauses.
    See supra at 32–53 (discussing Free Exercise claim);
    id. at 65–70
    (discussing compelled speech claim). In considering a motion for an
    injunction, however, a court is not required to view the pleadings in
    the light most favorable to New Hope. See Pope v. Cty. of Albany, 
    687 F.3d 565
    , 570 (2d Cir. 2012). Nevertheless, because New Hope’s
    complaint is verified, the district court can treat its detailed factual
    allegations as evidence. See Colon v. Coughlin, 
    58 F.3d 865
    , 872 (2d Cir.
    1995); 5A CHARLES A. WRIGHT & ARTHUR R. MILLER, FEDERAL
    PRACTICE AND PROCEDURE § 1339 (4th ed. 1990).
    In doing so here, the district court should consider that the facts
    alleged in the verified complaint, as well as those in sworn affidavits
    submitted by New Hope in support of a preliminary injunction, are
    largely unrefuted in OCFS’s filings in opposition to injunctive relief.
    The single opposing affidavit submitted by OCFS asserts that 18
    NYCRR § 421.3(d) applies uniformly and neutrally to all authorized
    adoption agencies in New York. J. App’x at 169. But the assertion is
    conclusory and, while true as applied to the statutory text, see supra at
    37, does not address pleaded circumstances raising neutrality
    77
    concerns, detailed supra at 43–53. The district court may properly
    consider the lack of evidence assuaging these concerns in determining
    the likelihood of New Hope succeeding on its Free Exercise claim.
    Similarly, in determining the likelihood of New Hope
    succeeding on its Free Speech claim, the district court can consider
    OCFS’s failure to provide factual support for its contention that a
    privately funded, faith-based adoption agency such as New Hope
    engages in “government speech” when it makes adoption
    recommendations based on its determination of the best interests of a
    child. Nothing in the existing record indicates that any listener has
    ever understood New Hope to be speaking or acting as an agent of
    the State in providing adoption services.         Indeed, an affidavit
    submitted by New Hope indicates the contrary. See generally J. App’x
    131–134 (Bleuer Aff.). Nor is there existing record evidence that state
    officials exercise the degree of control over New Hope’s expressive
    activities generally reflective of government speech. See supra at 63–
    64.
    As to the likelihood of New Hope showing that OCFS is
    compelling it to speak contrary to its beliefs, the district court should
    consider whether an agency’s adoption recommendation—expressly
    or implicitly—pronounces a particular placement to be in the “best
    interests” of the child. It should also consider the possibility of New
    Hope’s expressive activities in the provision of adoption services
    being restricted or penalized, particularly in light of OCFS’s inability
    to assure otherwise in this court. See supra at 66.
    78
    Third, in opposing a preliminary injunction, OCFS characterizes
    “adoptive services” as “government services.” J. App’x at 168–69. To
    the extent this characterization bears on the likelihood of New Hope
    succeeding on its claims, the district court can consider whether laws
    permitting only State “authorized” agencies to provide adoption
    services and establishing criteria for the provision of such services
    warrant recognizing the services themselves as governmental.
    Factors relevant to this determination can include that (a) authorized
    agencies, as in New Hope’s case, can be privately funded and faith
    based; (b) the State does not preclude faith-based organizations from
    referencing religious beliefs and using religious rituals in providing
    adoption services, something that the State itself could not do; (c) the
    State itself operates over 50 adoption agencies at the same time it
    authorizes some 70 private adoption agencies; (d) the State’s criteria
    for adoption services appear to afford authorized agencies
    considerable discretion in the final identification of the best interests
    of an adopted child; and (e) State regulations prohibit (or at least limit)
    consideration of certain facts, including a prospective parent’s sexual
    orientation and marital status, in identifying the best interests of an
    adopted child.
    Fourth, OCFS’s declaration stresses the State’s strong interest in
    preventing discrimination against prospective unmarried and same-
    sex couples. It maintains that preventing such discrimination serves
    the bests interests of children awaiting adoption by “provid[ing] a
    broad and diverse pool of adoptive parents” and, thereby,
    “maximiz[ing] the number of prospective adoptive parents.”
    Id. at 79
    168. It also serves “to prevent the trauma and social harm caused by
    discrimination against lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender, queer or
    questioning (LGBTQ) people.”
    Id. Should the
    district court determine that New Hope is likely to
    succeed in demonstrating that 18 NYCRR § 421.3(d) is not being
    applied neutrally but, rather, is being used to exclude its religious
    beliefs from the public arena or to compel (or preclude) its speech,
    OCFS must do more than identify a State interest.                It must
    demonstrate that its challenged actions are narrowly tailored to serve
    that interest without unnecessarily impairing New Hope’s Free
    Exercise of Religion or Free Speech. See, e.g., Lukumi v. 
    Hialeah, 508 U.S. at 546
    .   Should the district court consider tailoring, record
    evidence raises certain concerns.
    To state the obvious, it is no small matter for the State to order
    the closure of a privately funded, religious adoption ministry that has,
    over 50 years of authorized operation, successfully placed
    approximately 1,000 children in adoptive homes, particularly when
    there is no suggestion that any placement was not in the best interests
    of the adopted child.     While there is no question that OCFS is
    authorized to enforce 18 NYCRR § 421.3(d), the exact source of its
    authority to order closure for a violation of that regulation is not clear
    on the present record. See supra at 50–51. Thus, identifying that
    authority may be important to any tailoring determination.
    Even assuming such authority, however, other tailoring
    concerns warrant consideration. For example, New Hope asserts that
    80
    it does not provide adoption services to unmarried and same-sex
    couples because its religious beliefs do not permit it to state that it
    would be in the best interests of a child to be placed for adoption with
    such couples. To avoid its beliefs preventing such couples’ pursuit of
    adoption, New Hope is willing now, as it has in the past, to recuse
    itself from their cases, and to refer them to other adoption agencies,
    including those operated by the State. The question arises: Is this
    recusal-and-referral practice a narrowly tailored means for avoiding
    discrimination without impairing New Hope’s Free Exercise and Free
    Speech rights?
    To be sure, recusal and referral do not permit unmarried and
    same-sex couples to obtain adoption services from New Hope. But
    the existing record reveals no complaint from any referred couple.
    Nor does it indicate that any couple was unable to adopt as a result of
    referral. In the absence of any such evidence, it is not evident that,
    pending resolution of the merits of this case, recusal and referral
    poses such a risk of trauma and social harm to unmarried and same-
    sex adoption applicants that nothing less than the closure of New
    Hope’s adoption operation can adequately safeguard the State’s
    interests. 32   Should OCFS adduce such evidence on remand, the
    district court can properly consider it in light of the totality of the
    32Insofar as OCFS also asserts a State interest in avoiding trauma and social harm
    to LGBTQ children awaiting adoption, that appears not to be at issue in this case
    given that New Hope professes to focus its adoption efforts on infants under the
    age of two. But, of course, if OCFS thinks otherwise, it can clarify its position on
    remand.
    81
    circumstances, including how, if at all, New Hope’s recusal-and-
    referral practice limits the ability of unmarried and same-sex couples
    easily to obtain adoption services; 33 and how well the State’s interest
    in maximizing both the number and diversity of prospective adoptive
    parents is served by (a) allowing New Hope to continue providing
    adoption services subject to a recusal-and-referral practice, as
    compared to (b) requiring New Hope to close its adoption operation.
    These questions, like adoption itself, must also take into account the
    best interests of the many children awaiting adoption in a State where
    they number far more than the persons willing to adopt them.
    In sum, because we reverse the dismissal of New Hope’s Free
    Exercise and Free Speech claims, we also vacate the denial of New
    Hope’s preliminary injunction motion as moot. This court does not
    order the district court on remand to grant such an injunction. Rather,
    we leave it to the district court, in the first instance, to weigh the
    merits of the motion consistent with this opinion.
    Conclusion
    To summarize,
    (1) The pleadings, viewed in the light most favorable to plaintiff
    New Hope, state plausible claims under the Free Exercise
    33   See supra at 47 n.20.
    82
    and Free Speech Clauses of the Constitution. Among other
    things, the pleadings,
    (a) raise a plausible suspicion that OCFS acted with
    hostility towards New Hope because of the latter’s
    religious beliefs,
    (b) plausibly allege that New Hope would be compelled
    to speak or associate in violation of those beliefs if the
    regulation in question were enforced, and
    (c) do not permit a court to conclude as a matter of law
    that New Hope’s speech equates to government
    speech    merely because       New York        State   has
    authorized New Hope to provide adoption services.
    (2) This case is not analogous to Fulton v. City of Philadelphia, 
    922 F.3d 140
    (3d Cir. 2019), cert. granted, 
    140 S. Ct. 1104
    (2020),
    now pending before the Supreme Court, because,
    (a) New Hope is not under contract with and receives no
    funding from OCFS,
    (b) OCFS has not identified New Hope as a public
    accommodation, and
    (c) the issue on this appeal is whether New Hope has
    pleaded sufficiently plausible claims to defeat
    dismissal, not whether it has demonstrated the
    83
    likelihood of success on the merits required for the
    injunctive relief denied in Fulton.
    (3) Because New Hope’s Free Exercise and Free Speech claims
    should not have been dismissed, its motion for a
    preliminary injunction was not moot and should not have
    been denied on that ground.
    Accordingly, we REVERSE the district court’s judgment insofar
    as it dismissed New Hope’s Free Exercise and Free Speech claims, and
    we VACATE that judgment insofar as it denied New Hope’s motion
    for a preliminary injunction. We REMAND the case to the district court
    for further proceedings consistent with this opinion, including
    prompt consideration of the merits of the reinstated preliminary
    injunction motion. To facilitate prompt review, we ORDER any party
    wishing to supplement its initial preliminary injunction filings in the
    district court to do so within ten days of the issuance of this court’s
    mandate. Any appeal from a ruling by the district court on the
    preliminary injunction motion shall return to this panel. The limited
    injunction entered by this court pending appeal shall remain in effect
    unless and until vacated or modified by the district court. New
    Hope’s June 18, 2020 motion for this court to expand this injunction
    pending appeal is DENIED as moot.
    84