Charles Clark, III v. Governor of New Jersey ( 2022 )


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  •                                         PRECEDENTIAL
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE THIRD CIRCUIT
    ____________
    No. 21-2732
    ____________
    CHARLES CLARK, III; SOLID ROCK BAPTIST
    CHURCH, New Jersey not-for-profit corporation; BIBLE
    BAPTIST CHURCH OF CLEMENTON, New Jersey not-for-
    profit corporation; CHARLES CLARK, JR.;
    PASTOR ANDREW REESE,
    Appellants
    v.
    GOVERNOR OF THE STATE OF NEW JERSEY;
    ATTORNEY GENERAL OF THE STATE OF NEW
    JERSEY; PATRICK J. CALLAHAN, Superintendent of State
    Police and State Director of Emergency Management in his
    official capacities; JILL S. MAYER; THOMAS J. WEAVER;
    CHIEF CHARLES GROVER; RICK MILLER; MILLARD
    WILKINSON; RICHARD A. DE MICHELE; CHERYL R.
    HENDLER COHEN
    _________________
    On Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the District of New Jersey
    (District Court No. 1:20-cv-06805)
    District Judge: Honorable Renee M. Bumb
    _________________
    Argued August 23, 2022
    (Filed: November 28, 2022)
    Before: Greenaway, Jr., Matey, and Rendell, Circuit Judges.
    David C. Gibbs, Jr.
    Jonathan D. Gibbs
    Seth J. Kraus
    GIBBS & ASSOCIATES
    6398 Thornberry Court
    Mason, OH 45040
    Brian D. Tome         [Argued]
    REILLY MCDEVITT & HENRICH
    3 Executive Campus
    Suite 310
    Cherry Hill, NJ 08002
    Walter S. Zimolong, III
    ZIMOLONG LLC
    P.O. Box 552
    Villanova, PA 19085
    Counsel for Appellants
    Matthew J. Berns         [Argued]
    Jeremy Feigenbaum
    Robert J. McGuire
    Daniel M. Vannella
    
    Matthew J. Berns withdrew his appearance on October
    31, 2022 after oral argument.
    2
    OFFICE OF ATTORNEY GENERAL OF NEW JERSEY
    DIVISION OF LAW
    25 Market Street
    Hughes Justice Complex
    Trenton, NJ 08625
    Counsel for Appellees Governor of New Jersey,
    Attorney General of New Jersey, Patrick J. Callahan
    George J. Botcheos
    1202 Laurel Oak Road
    Suite 208
    Voorhees, NJ 08043
    Counsel for Appellee Thomas J. Weaver, Charles
    Grover, Cheryl R. Hendler-Cohen
    __________
    OPINION OF THE COURT
    _________
    RENDELL, Circuit Judge.
    Once again, we have been asked to decide whether a
    challenge to long defunct COVID-19 pandemic restrictions
    presents a justiciable controversy.1 Because the in-person
    gathering limits complained of here were rescinded over two
    1
    See Cnty. of Butler v. Governor of Pennsylvania, 
    8 F.4th 226
    (3d Cir. 2021).
    3
    years ago and it is absolutely clear their return could not
    reasonably be expected to recur, we hold that the case is moot.
    I. BACKGROUND
    A.
    In March 2020, New Jersey Governor Philip Murphy
    took a series of measures to respond to the spread of COVID-
    19. 2 In Executive Order (“EO”) 103, he declared a state of
    0F
    emergency pursuant to the Civilian Defense and Disaster
    Control Act, N.J. Stat. Ann. § A:9-33, et seq., as well as a
    public health emergency pursuant to the Emergency Health
    Powers Act, 
    N.J. Stat. Ann. § 26:13
    , N.J. Stat. Ann. These
    declarations empowered the Governor to issue follow-up
    orders addressing the pandemic, an authority he went on to use.
    On March 21, Governor Murphy issued EO 107, which,
    inter alia, prohibited in-person gatherings and ordered New
    Jersey residents to “remain home or at their place of
    residence,” except for certain approved purposes, such as an
    “educational, political, or religious reason.” See Solid Rock
    Baptist Church v. Murphy, 
    480 F. Supp. 3d 585
    , 589 (D.N.J.
    Aug. 20, 2020) (citing N.J. Exec. Order 107 ¶ 2 (Mar. 21,
    2
    Governor Murphy is the lead Defendant-Appellee named in
    this appeal, as he promulgated the relevant executive orders.
    Eight other state and local officials responsible for interpreting
    and enforcing the Governor’s orders are also named. In this
    opinion, we refer to these individuals and the Governor
    collectively as “Appellees” or “the State.”
    4
    2020)) (“Solid Rock I”). EO 107 excepted certain categories
    of businesses deemed “essential,” including grocery and liquor
    stores, which could continue to welcome any number of
    persons (consistent with social distancing guidelines). 
    Id.
     at
    588–89.      Violations of EO 107’s proscriptions were
    enforceable by criminal prosecution for “disorderly conduct,”
    N.J. Stat. Ann. § App. A:9-49. Further, the order granted
    Defendant-Appellee Colonel Patrick Callahan, Superintendent
    of the State Police, “discretion to make clarifications and issue
    [related] orders[.]” N.J. Exec. Order 107 ¶ 6 (Mar. 21, 2020).
    He exercised that power the same day EO 107 was signed,
    declaring in Administrative Order No. 2020-4 that gatherings
    of ten or fewer persons were presumptively permitted. 3         1F
    Neither EO 107 nor AO 2020-4 contained an exception for
    religious worship gatherings or other First Amendment-
    protected activity.
    B.
    Plaintiff-Appellants are two New Jersey-based,
    Christian congregations, Solid Rock Baptist Church and Bible
    Baptist Church of Clementon, and their respective pastors,
    Andrew Reese and (as co-pastors) Charles Clark III and
    Charles Clark, Jr. Appellants believe that the Holy Bible
    requires them to gather for in-person worship services.
    Although both congregations switched to online services in the
    wake of the Governor’s gathering restrictions, by late May
    3
    Colonel Callahan’s clarifying order would, itself, be adopted
    in Governor Murphy’s Executive Order 142, on May 13, 2020.
    5
    2020 they had resolved to defy those rules and return to in-
    person worship. After informing state authorities of their
    intention to do so, the two churches held services with more
    than ten persons in attendance. Local police, executive
    officials, and prosecutors—several of whom are named
    Defendant-Appellees 4—then participated in issuing and
    2F
    pursuing criminal complaints against the Pastors for their
    violations of EO 107 and AO 2020-4.
    Aggrieved by these actions, Appellants filed a
    complaint in the United States District Court for the District of
    New Jersey on June 3, 2020, naming Governor Murphy, New
    Jersey Attorney General Gurbir Grewal, Superintendent
    Callahan, and a slew of local officials as defendants. In the
    complaint, Appellants “challenge[d] Executive Order No. 107
    . . . as further clarified by Administrative Order No. 2020-4,”
    App. 36, asserting that the orders discriminated against religion
    by effectively closing churches while permitting secular
    activities deemed “essential” to operate unimpeded, App. 37.
    Appellants sought relief in the form of “a preliminary and
    permanent injunction enjoining Defendants or their designees
    or agents from enforcing the challenged Orders under any
    ‘social distancing’ requirements different from those
    4
    These include: Jill S. Mayer, Camden County Prosecutor for
    Clementon Borough; Thomas J. Weaver, Mayor of Clementon
    Borough; Charles Grover, Chief of Clementon Borough Police
    Department; Rick Miller, Mayor of Berlin Borough; Millard
    Wilkinson, Chief of Berlin Borough Police Department;
    Richard A. De Michele, Prosecutor for Berlin Borough; Cheryl
    R. Hendler Cohen, Prosecutor for Clementon Borough.
    6
    governing ‘essential’ businesses or services,” “a declaratory
    judgment and preliminary and permanent injunction that the
    challenged Orders are unconstitutional, on their face and as
    applied,” and an award of costs, including attorneys’ fees.
    App. 54. They did not seek damages.
    C.
    Less than a week after the complaint was filed, on June
    9, 2020, Governor Murphy rescinded EO 107 in relevant part.
    In EO 152, the Governor raised indoor gathering limits to fifty
    persons or twenty-five percent room capacity (whichever was
    less); the order also permitted outdoor religious gatherings
    without any gathering limits, in recognition of the “particular[]
    importan[ce]” of “religious services” to the functioning of
    society. See N.J. Exec. Order 152 at 4, ¶ 2(f) (June 9, 2020)
    (further excepting outdoor political gatherings, such as
    “protests”). The same day, EO 153 rescinded EO 107’s general
    stay-at-home requirement. N.J. Exec. Order 153 ¶ 11 (June 9,
    2020).
    EOs 152 and 153 presaged a trend; in the months that
    followed, Governor Murphy progressively relaxed the
    restrictions applicable to religious worship services. On June
    22, 2020, EO 156 further loosened the restrictions applicable
    to Appellants, raising the maximum number of persons
    allowed at an indoor gathering to 100. N.J. Exec. Order 156 ¶
    7
    1 (June 22, 2020). 5 On September 1, EO 183 permitted
    3F
    religious gatherings of up to 150 persons. N.J. Exec. Order 183
    ¶ 4 (Sept. 1, 2020) (retaining a twenty-five-person limit for
    generic secular gatherings). When COVID-19 case rates
    trended sharply upward in November, gathering limits were
    tightened for many contexts, but worship services were
    excepted and retained the limits set forth in EO 183. See N.J.
    Exec. Order 196 at 3, ¶ 1 (stating that “religious services” are
    “constitutionally protected”).
    On February 3, 2021, EO 219 increased the general
    gathering limit to 150 persons or thirty-five percent capacity
    and, on February 22, EO 225 set a new gathering limit for
    indoor religious services of fifty percent room capacity, with
    no numerical limit. See N.J. Exec. Order 219 ¶ 3 (Feb. 3,
    2021); N.J. Exec. Order 225 at 3–4, ¶ 1 (Feb. 22, 2021) (“[A]t
    certain times, restrictions on [religious worship] gatherings
    should be less aggressive than restrictions on other
    gatherings[.]”); see also N.J. Exec. Order 230 at 5 (Mar. 11,
    2021) (“[R]estrictions on [religious worship] gatherings should
    be less aggressive than restrictions on other gatherings[.]”).
    Ultimately, on May 12, 2021, Governor Murphy issued
    EO 239, which eliminated the remaining fifty percent capacity
    gathering restriction applicable to religious worship. See N.J.
    5
    Although not every executive order discussed herein was
    entered into the record below, we may take judicial notice of
    their content. See, e.g., Union Cnty. Jail Inmates v. Di Buono,
    
    713 F.2d 984
    , 988 n.4 (3d Cir. 1983) (taking judicial notice of
    state executive orders).
    8
    Exec. Order 239 ¶ 6 (May 12, 2021) (conditioning worship
    service attendance on the need for social distancing only). In
    EO 239, the Governor explained that this policy adjustment
    was driven by, among other things: (1) the “critical
    knowledge” that had been gained regarding COVID mitigation
    strategies; (2) “expanded access to testing, personal protective
    equipment, and other materials”; (3) reduced infection and
    hospitalization rates; and (4) the substantial progress in
    vaccination rollout. See id. at 4. On May 24, 2021, EO 242
    lifted all remaining numerical gathering limits for non-
    religious contexts and rescinded the general social distancing
    guideline for religious services. N.J. Exec. Order 242 ¶¶ 4–6
    (May 24, 2021). On June 4, 2021, EO 244 ended the public
    health emergency in the state. N.J. Exec. Order 244 ¶ 1 (June
    4, 2021).
    D.
    Governor Murphy’s gradual loosening of restrictions
    impacted Appellants’ parallel action in the District Court. On
    August 8, 2020, the District Court denied Appellants’ motion
    for a preliminary injunction—which had demanded permission
    to worship in groups larger than ten persons—holding that the
    very relief requested had been, “in effect, granted through the
    enactment of Executive Order 156 [permitting 100 persons or
    twenty-five percent capacity at all indoor gatherings].” Solid
    Rock I, 480 F. Supp. 3d at 588. The District Court reasoned
    that EO 156 thus mooted the claim for relief and denied
    without prejudice the remaining claims, which are not relevant
    to this appeal. Id. at 601.
    9
    One month later, Appellants filed an amended
    complaint. Solid Rock II, 555 F. Supp. 3d at 57. Again, they
    presented a narrow claim “challeng[ing] Executive Order
    (“EO”) No. 107” as “further clarified by Administrative Order
    (“AO”) No. 2020-4.” Id. at 56. The amended complaint
    focused exclusively on the ten-person gathering limit created
    by those Orders and demanded that said “challenged Orders”
    be declared unconstitutional. Id. at 61. On August 16, 2021,
    the District Court dismissed the amended complaint, holding
    that Appellants’ claims were all moot. Id. at 62. The District
    Court observed that “the contested EO 107 was rescinded by
    several of Governor Murphy’s additional orders” and there had
    been no limit on outdoor worship services since June 9, 2020;
    thus, “there can be no dispute that the alleged unlawful
    conduct—EO 107—has been terminated by Defendants.” Id.
    at 61. Nor did the District Court find it sufficiently plausible
    that such restrictions might return: “Plaintiffs present no
    evidence to suggest that the State will again enact measures
    restricting religious worship but worry about the possibility of
    the State’s future response.” Id. (citing Cnty. of Butler v.
    Governor of Pennsylvania, 
    8 F.4th 226
    , 233 (3d Cir. 2021)
    (Jordan, J., concurring)). 6 Finally, the District Court held that,
    4F
    insofar as Appellants’ claims invited the District Court to
    interfere in the ongoing prosecution of the Pastors, it would
    6
    The District Court also reasoned that intervening Supreme
    Court precedent, Roman Cath. Diocese of Brooklyn v. Cuomo,
    
    141 S. Ct. 63
     (2020) and Tandon v. Newsom, 
    141 S. Ct. 1294
    (2021), ensured that the State would not repeat the alleged
    harms. We discuss the relevance of those cases in detail below.
    10
    abstain under the doctrine of Younger v. Harris, 
    401 U.S. 37
    (1971). Solid Rock II, 555 F. Supp. 3d at 57.
    Appellants timely appealed.
    E.
    The COVID-19 pandemic and the State’s response
    thereto have continued to evolve since this appeal was filed.
    On December 15, 2021, the criminal cases against the
    Appellant Pastors were voluntarily dismissed. 7 Over the fall
    5F
    and winter of 2021–22, the Delta and Omicron variants led to
    a spike in the reported cases of COVID, prompting Governor
    Murphy to declare a new public health emergency in EO 280,
    issued on January 11, 2022. N.J. Exec. Order 280 at 8 (Jan. 11,
    2022). Although more COVID orders followed in the
    subsequent months, Governor Murphy refrained from
    reimposing any gathering restrictions. On March 4, he lifted
    the public health emergency once again in EO 292. N.J. Exec.
    Order 292 ¶ 1 (Mar. 4, 2022). When case reports trended
    7
    As explained above, the prosecutions of the Pastors were
    initiated in May 2020. At Oral Argument, the Panel was
    informed that, for some uncertain period between initiation and
    dismissal, the prosecutions were stayed at the request of the
    parties. The record in the District Court reveals that the action
    against Pastor Reese had been stayed by August 2020, at which
    time a request to stay the parallel prosecution of the Clarks was
    pending in state court. ECF Dkt. 20-cv-6805, Doc. No. 30.
    Both matters had been stayed by April 2021, “in anticipation
    of [the District Court’s ruling].” Doc. No. 74.
    11
    upward in May, no health emergency was declared, nor were
    any gathering restrictions implemented. 86F
    II. JURISDICTION AND STANDARD OF REVIEW
    The District Court had subject matter jurisdiction under
    
    28 U.S.C. § 1331
    . We have appellate jurisdiction under 
    28 U.S.C. § 1291
    , regardless of whether the case is moot. See
    Hartnett v. Pennsylvania State Educ. Ass’n, 
    963 F.3d 301
    , 305
    (3d Cir. 2020). We review the District Court’s legal
    conclusions de novo and its factual findings for clear error. 
    Id.
    III. THE DISTRICT COURT CORRECTLY HELD THIS
    CASE IS MOOT
    Before us, Appellants contend that this case is not moot.
    We disagree. The District Court correctly found that the
    Governor’s partial rescission of the orders challenged in the
    amended complaint ended any live controversy. Insofar as the
    prosecutions animated a continuing dispute, their voluntary
    dismissal leaves no escape from mootness. Moreover, it is
    absolutely clear there is not a reasonable likelihood that the
    8
    See New Jersey COVID-19 Dashboard, NEW JERSEY
    DEPARTMENT                      OF                  HEALTH,
    https://www.nj.gov/health/cd/topics/covid2019_dashboard.sht
    ml (last visited September 6, 2022); Valentine v. Collier, 
    960 F.3d 707
    , 708 (5th Cir. 2020) (taking judicial notice of state
    COVID statistics).
    12
    restriction orders will be reimposed, so the voluntary cessation
    doctrine does not save this case.
    A.
    The jurisdiction of the federal courts is limited to
    “Cases” and “Controversies”. U.S. Const. art. III, § 2, cl. 1.
    “Thus, [we] can entertain actions only if they present live
    disputes, ones in which both sides have a personal stake.”
    Hartnett v. Pennsylvania State Educ. Ass’n, 
    963 F.3d 301
    , 305
    (3d Cir. 2020) (citing Summers v. Earth Island Inst., 
    555 U.S. 488
    , 492–93 (2009)). The doctrine of mootness ensures that
    this condition remains “throughout the life of the lawsuit.” See
    Freedom from Religion Found. Inc. v. New Kensington Arnold
    Sch. Dist., 
    832 F.3d 469
    , 476 (3d Cir. 2016) (quoting Cook v.
    Colgate Univ., 
    992 F.2d 17
    , 19 (2d Cir. 1993)); see also
    Already, LLC v. Nike, Inc., 
    568 U.S. 85
    , 91 (2013) (“No matter
    how vehemently the parties continue to dispute the lawfulness
    of the conduct that precipitated the lawsuit, the case is moot if
    the dispute ‘is no longer embedded in any actual controversy
    about the plaintiffs’ particular legal rights.’” (quoting Alvarez
    v. Smith, 
    558 U.S. 87
    , 93 (2009))).
    If it is impossible for us to grant “any effectual relief
    whatever to the prevailing party,” then the case is moot. See,
    e.g., Campbell-Ewald Co. v. Gomez, 
    577 U.S. 153
    , 161 (2016)
    (quoting Knox v. Serv. Emps., 
    132 S. Ct. 2277
    , 2287 (2012));
    see also N.Y. State Rifle & Pistol Ass’n v. City of New York,
    
    140 S. Ct. 1525
    , 1526 (2020) (holding that case became moot
    when statutory amendments provided the relief sought); Trump
    v. Hawaii, 
    138 S. Ct. 377
     (2017) (Mem.) (holding that
    13
    challenge to expired provision of an executive order was
    moot). Yet, one “recurring situation” in which we are reluctant
    to dismiss a case as nonjusticiable—despite the absence of
    ongoing conduct to enjoin—occurs where the defendant claims
    the matter has become moot owing to his voluntary cessation
    of the challenged action. Hartnett, 963 F.3d at 306–07; see
    City of Mesquite v. Aladdin’s Castle, Inc., 
    455 U.S. 283
    , 289
    (1982) (“Such abandonment is an important factor bearing on
    the question whether a court should exercise its power to enjoin
    the defendant from renewing the practice, but that is a matter
    relating to the exercise rather than the existence of judicial
    power.”). In such cases, the defendant asserting mootness
    bears a particularly “heavy burden”: it must be “absolutely
    clear that the allegedly wrongful behavior could not reasonably
    be expected to recur.” See, e.g., Fields v. Speaker of the Pa.
    House of Representatives, 
    936 F.3d 142
    , 161 (3d Cir. 2019)
    (quoting Parents Involved in Cmty. Sch. v. Seattle Sch. Dist.
    No. 1, 
    551 U.S. 701
    , 719 (2007)). 97F
    Here, Appellees contend that Governor Murphy’s
    rescission of the relevant portions of EO 107 (which AO 2020-
    4 purported to apply) has rendered this case moot. Indeed,
    Appellees point out, indoor religious worship services in New
    Jersey have not been subject to any capacity restrictions for
    9
    Further, “[w]hen a plaintiff seeks declaratory relief, a
    defendant arguing mootness must show that there is no
    reasonable likelihood that a declaratory judgment would affect
    the parties’ future conduct.” Hartnett, 963 F.3d at 306
    (citations omitted).
    14
    well over a year; so, “[t]here is simply no prospective relief left
    for this Court to grant.” Appellees’ Br. at 13. Appellants reply
    that the case appears moot only because of the Governor’s
    unilateral rescission of his COVID orders, meaning that the
    voluntary cessation doctrine imposes its “heavy burden” on
    any claim of mootness. In turn, Appellees seek to meet that
    burden by pointing to several factors, including the radically
    changed public health situation and the lack of renewed
    gathering restrictions during the Delta and Omicron waves.
    Appellants also contend that the District Court
    incorrectly saddled them with the burden of showing a
    likelihood of recurrence. See Solid Rock II, 555 F. Supp. 3d at
    61 (“Plaintiffs present no evidence to suggest that the State will
    again enact measures restricting religious worship but worry
    about the possibility of the State's future response.”). We agree
    the District Court should have been clearer that the State, as
    “the party claiming mootness,” bore the burden of
    demonstrating that it was absolutely clear there was no
    reasonable likelihood of recurrence. See Hartnett, 963 F.3d at
    307 (citation omitted). As noted above, that burden is
    especially heavy where the claim of mootness is based on
    voluntary cessation of the challenged conduct. Id. at 307
    (citing Friends of the Earth, Inc. v. Laidlaw Envtl. Servs.
    (TOC), Inc., 
    528 U.S. 167
    , 189 (2000)). However, this error
    does not impact our analysis as we review whether this case is
    moot de novo. See Hamilton v. Bromley, 
    862 F.3d 329
    , 333
    (3d Cir. 2017).
    For the reasons discussed below, we conclude that the
    controversy over Governor Murphy’s orders ended with their
    15
    rescission and Appellees have carried their burden of showing
    that it is absolutely clear that recurrence is not reasonably
    likely.
    8F
    1.
    This case is facially moot. The relevant portions of EO
    107 and AO 2020-4 were rescinded by Governor Murphy over
    two years ago; thus, there is no “effectual relief whatsoever”
    that this Court may grant in relation to those orders. See
    Campbell-Ewald Co, 577 U.S. at 161. In the amended
    complaint, Appellants chose to put their challenge narrowly
    and identify those orders alone as the objects of their ire—
    despite knowing that New Jersey’s COVID regime had already
    begun to relax. The choice to confine the scope of litigation
    meant the Governor’s first steps towards reopening rendered
    Appellants’ amended complaint moot-on-arrival.
    More broadly, the Governor’s orders ceased to disfavor
    religion (even in relation to so-called “essential” businesses)
    no later than February 22, 2021, when EO 225 ended that
    suspect imbalance. Compare N.J. Exec. Order 225 ¶ 1 (Feb.
    22, 2021) (raising indoor religious worship capacity limit to
    fifty percent) with N.J. Exec. Order 122 ¶1(a) (Apr. 8, 2020)
    (setting maximum “essential retail business” occupancy at fifty
    percent). Even if we were to be charitable and read the
    9F
    amended complaint as raising a challenge to any COVID-
    based gathering restriction on religious worship, then
    Appellants still received the very relief sought in May 2021,
    when the last gathering restrictions ended. See N.J. Exec.
    Order 239 ¶ 6 (May 12, 2021) (limiting religious service
    16
    attendance based only on the need for social distancing); N.J.
    Exec. Order 242 ¶ 10 (May 24, 2021) (rescinding EO 239’s
    social distancing condition); Brach v. Newsom, 
    38 F.4th 6
    , 11
    (9th Cir. 2022) (challenge to executive COVID orders was
    moot after rescission of all such orders, where action had
    sought injunctive and declaratory relief); Eden, LLC v. Justice,
    
    36 F.4th 166
    , 169 (4th Cir. 2022) (same). It thus appears that
    this Court cannot grant any effectual relief to Appellants, so
    their claims are no longer justiciable. 1010F
    2.
    Nonetheless, Appellants insist the case remains
    justiciable under the voluntary cessation doctrine, correctly
    observing that “even if the government withdraws or modifies
    a COVID restriction in the course of litigation, that does not
    necessarily moot the case.” Tandon, 141 S. Ct. at 1297
    (emphasis added). They argue that the State has failed to meet
    its burden of showing that it is absolutely clear a return to
    10
    Appellants argue that their claim for attorneys’ fees has not
    been vindicated, thus keeping the case alive. Not so. See, e.g.,
    Steel Co. v. Citizens for a Better Env’t, 
    523 U.S. 83
    , 107 (1998)
    (“An ‘interest in attorney’s fees is . . . insufficient to create an
    Article III case or controversy where none exists on the merits
    of the underlying claim.’” (quoting Lewis v. Cont’l Bank Corp.,
    
    494 U.S. 472
    , 480 (1990))); Ivy Club v. Edwards, 
    943 F.2d 270
    ,
    276 (3d Cir. 1991) (“[A]n interest in attorneys’ fees does not
    save a matter from mootness.”).
    17
    restrictions on religious worship is not reasonably likely, so we
    ought to opine on the legality of the defunct orders.
    Before facing that proposition head-on, we pause to
    clarify the scope of our inquiry. For Appellants to prevail, we
    need not conclude it is likely that the exact same restrictions
    contained in EO 107 (and AO 20202-4) will return. At the
    same time, it is not as though the chance of any future COVID-
    related restrictions on Appellants’ religious exercise will do.
    Rather, the hypothesized restriction must be “‘similar’ enough
    to the [original restriction] to present substantially the same
    legal controversy as the one presented” here. See, e.g.,
    Resurrection Sch. v. Hertel, 
    35 F.4th 524
    , 528 (6th Cir. 2022)
    (citing Ne. Fla. Chapter of Associated Gen. Contractors v. City
    of Jacksonville, 
    508 U.S. 656
    , 662 n.3 (1993)).  1
    Appellants’ amended complaint attacked an indoor
    gathering limit of ten persons and observed that certain secular
    activities were subject to more generous rules. Logically, then,
    a reasonable likelihood that Governor Murphy will, say,
    impose a ninety percent capacity limit on all indoor gatherings,
    or create a restriction that treats churches more favorably than
    grocery stores, would not suffice. We would not be
    contemplating the resurrection of the current controversy, but
    the creation of a new one, even if some legal issues recurred.
    Thus, Appellees’ burden amounts to convincing us that it is
    absolutely clear that it is not reasonably likely they will re-
    impose severe in-person gathering restrictions applicable to
    religious worship services, nor differential burdens favoring
    18
    secular over religious gatherings.       Several considerations
    persuade us this burden is met.11
    First, as we have noted, mootness concerns itself with
    whether the same legal controversy will recur.                The
    controversy here has two aspects to it: (1) whether the same
    precise situation—the pandemic such as it presented itself in
    2020 and 2021—will occur again; and (2) whether the
    Governor will respond to that situation by imposing
    restrictions similar enough to those he imposed in 2020 and
    2021, such that it presents “substantially the same legal
    controversy as the one presented” here. Resurrection Sch., 35
    F.4th at 528. It is absolutely clear that neither of those aspects
    are reasonably likely to recur. Regarding the likelihood that
    the same pandemic conditions we faced in 2020-21 will repeat
    themselves, it is hard to imagine that we could once again face
    11
    The dissent appears to require some definitive statement or
    assurance from the Governor that, even if the same pandemic
    conditions reoccurred, he would not impose restrictions on
    religious gatherings.      First, why would we require a
    government official to engage in that kind of speculation based
    on hypothetical facts? The dissent does not say. Second, and
    more importantly, Appellees’ task is not to offer us absolute
    certainty that the restrictions will not happen again; instead,
    they must show it is “absolutely clear that the allegedly
    wrongful behavior could not reasonably be expected to recur.”
    Fields, 936 F.3d at 161 (quoting Parents Involved in Cmty.
    Sch. v. Seattle Sch. Dist. No. 1, 
    551 U.S. 701
    , 719 (2007))
    (emphasis added). Appellees have done precisely that.
    19
    anything quite like what confronted us then. Moreover, the
    public health outlook has changed dramatically since the dark
    days of March 2020, when the ten-person gathering limit was
    implemented. Our knowledge of the virus and its vectors of
    transmission, the rollout of vaccines, and the availability of
    therapeutic responses to infection have totally changed the
    nature of the disease itself, our understanding of it, and our
    response to it.       The accumulation of those changed
    circumstances thus make the return of the same pandemic and
    the same restrictions unlikely. See, e.g., Cnty. of Butler, 8 F.4th
    at 230 12; id. at 233 (Jordan, J., concurring); Lighthouse
    12F
    12
    In County of Butler v. Governor of Pennsylvania, 8 F.4th at
    226, we held that a challenge to various Pennsylvania COVID
    restriction orders was moot, id. at 232. That conclusion was
    based on changed circumstances (1) on “the health front” and
    (2) “on the legal front.” Id. at 230. Regarding the latter, we
    explained that “[a]n amendment to the Pennsylvania
    Constitution and a concurrent resolution of the
    Commonwealth’s General Assembly now restricts the
    Governor’s authority to enter the” sort of orders challenged in
    the case. Id. Here, Appellants and the dissent contend
    vigorously that Butler can be distinguished from the present
    action, as New Jersey’s Governor still has the legal authority
    to issue COVID restrictions. We disagree. Although the
    change in the law was a factor in Butler, because we noted that
    the Pennsylvania Health Secretary retained the authority to
    issue comparable COVID orders and yet still held the case was
    moot, the change was undoubtedly not a necessary condition
    for our holding. Id. at 231 (“Plaintiffs have not carried [their]
    burden [under the capable-of-repetition doctrine]. Plaintiffs
    20
    Fellowship Church v. Northam, 
    20 F.4th 157
    , 164 (4th Cir.
    2021); see also Brach, 38 F.4th at 15 (same medical factors
    suggest that school closures will not return). Governor
    Murphy relied on these facts when he eliminated the remaining
    gathering restrictions in May 2021. See, e.g., N.J. Exec. Order
    239 at 1–7. As we have no reason to doubt the sincerity of that
    justification, see Cnty. of Butler, 8 F.4th at 230–31 (describing
    the presumption of good faith accorded government officials),
    the Governor’s motivation further supports mootness: we are
    generally less skeptical of voluntary cessation claims where the
    change in behavior was unrelated to the relevant litigation, see
    id. (holding voluntary cessation burden did not save the case
    because the challenged orders were not terminated “as a
    response to the litigation”); Hartnett, 963 F.3d at 306–07
    (“[T]he defendant’s reason for changing its behavior is often
    probative of whether it is likely to change its behavior again. .
    . . [I]f the defendant ceases because of a new statute or a ruling
    in a completely different case, its argument for mootness is
    much stronger.”) (citations omitted). Thus, New Jersey’s
    acknowledged medical progress militates against a reasonable
    have pointed only to the fact that the Secretary of Health still
    claims the power to issue orders of the sort before us now.”).
    Our decision in Butler thus provides strong precedential
    support for mootness here. True, as the dissent notes, we were
    proceeding under the capable-of-repetition doctrine of
    mootness, but the health factors we identified as supporting
    mootness in Butler are still present here and point in the same
    direction, yet the dissent offers no reason why the voluntary
    cessation doctrine requires us to disregard those same health
    factors when evaluating mootness in this case.
    21
    likelihood of a recurrence of the same pandemic and similar
    future gathering restrictions.13
    Second, Appellees can point to a track record since May
    2021 of declining to reimpose gathering restrictions, even
    during periods when COVID case rates increased
    precipitously. The fact that such restrictions did not return
    during the Delta and Omicron waves—nor during the less
    extreme increase of May 2022—indicates that gathering
    restrictions are reasonably unlikely to return as a COVID
    mitigation measure. See, e.g., Eden, LLC, 36 F.4th at 171 (“If
    there were any reasonable chance that the [West Virginia]
    Governor might reimpose the safety measures at issue . . . then
    those waves of increased infection should have been the
    occasion for doing so. But they were not, and like other courts,
    we see that as a powerful signal that whatever course the
    COVID-19 pandemic takes, a return to restrictions like those
    challenged here is highly unlikely.”) (citation and quotation
    marks omitted); see also Brach, 38 F.4th at 14 (state’s
    13
    The dissent urges that this case should be controlled by West
    Virginia v. EPA, 
    142 S. Ct. 2587
     (2022). But that case is easily
    distinguishable. There, the event that would trigger recurrence
    of the challenged policy—i.e., the resolution of the litigation in
    the government’s favor—could very easily happen, and the
    government was unwilling to say it would not impose the
    policy again if it did. See 142 S. Ct. at 2607. Here, the
    triggering event of a similar pandemic is not likely to recur.
    And to be clear, the discussion of mootness in West Virginia
    consists of two paragraphs—another reason why the discussion
    there cannot bear the weight the dissent places on it.
    22
    continuation of in-person school instruction during variant
    wave supported mootness); Hertel, 35 F.4th at 530–31 (Moore,
    J., concurring) (state’s decision to forgo school mask mandate
    during variant waves supported mootness). Appellants have
    even demonstrated a unique reluctance to tighten restrictions
    on religious exercise. During the winter of 2020–21, when
    most gathering contexts were subjected to decreased
    occupancy limits, religious worship was excepted. See N.J.
    Exec. Order 196 ¶ 1. This made sense given the Governor’s
    expressed respect for religious freedom in his executive orders,
    starting with EO 152 in early June 2020. 14 15
    13F
    14
    Granted, the early executive orders did burden religious
    worship gatherings, a fact we address further below. But the
    point remains: if New Jersey officials were remotely likely to
    reimpose some form of gathering restriction, then they would
    have done so when case rates exploded because of the more
    transmissible Delta and Omicron variants, but they did not.
    15
    Appellants point out that Governor Murphy has continued to
    extend the state of emergency pursuant to the Disaster Control
    Act, despite ending the public health emergency declared
    under the Emergency Health Powers Act. See N.J. Exec. Order
    292 at ¶ 1–2. The continuation of the emergency state means,
    in turn, that Governor Murphy still has the authority to issue
    COVID restrictions—a condition Appellants and the dissent
    tell us defeats the State’s ability to meet its voluntary cessation
    burden. But the mere fact that Governor Murphy retains the
    power to reinstate the restrictions complained of does not mean
    we have a live controversy. See, e.g., Rendell v. Rumsfeld, 
    484 F.3d 236
    , 242 (3d Cir. 2007) (“[S]tatutory changes that
    23
    Third, in the years since EO 107 was promulgated, there
    has been significant, intervening Supreme Court precedent. In
    Roman Cath. Diocese of Brooklyn v. Cuomo, 141 S. Ct. at 63,
    and Tandon v. Newsom, 141 S. Ct. at 1294, the Court
    emphasized that “government regulations are not neutral and
    generally applicable, and therefore trigger strict scrutiny under
    the Free Exercise Clause, whenever they treat any comparable
    secular activity more favorably than religious exercise,”
    Tandon, 141 S. Ct. at 1296. This rule provided state officials
    with crucial guidance in shaping any future COVID
    restrictions, instructing them that such regulations must be
    neutral and generally applicable in all but the narrowest of
    circumstances. We believe there is no reasonable likelihood
    that the State will tempt fate by reimposing restrictions
    disfavoring religion in the teeth of this caselaw. See, e.g.,
    Hawse v. Page, 
    7 F.4th 685
    , 693 (8th Cir. 2021) (“Even in the
    hypothetical event that the County were to reinstate gathering
    limits of fewer than ten persons, there is no reasonable
    expectation that the County would flout the Supreme Court’s
    discontinue a challenged practice are usually enough to render
    a case moot, even if the legislature possesses the power to
    reenact the statute after the law suit is dismissed.”) (internal
    citations and quotation marks omitted); Bos. Bit Labs, Inc. v.
    Baker, 
    11 F.4th 3
    , 10 (1st Cir. 2021) (“That the Governor has
    the power to issue executive orders cannot itself be enough to
    skirt mootness, because then no suit against the government
    would ever be moot. And we know some are.”) (citations
    omitted). Nor does the existence of a state of emergency show
    that a return to gathering restrictions is reasonably likely. See,
    e.g., Eden, LLC, 36 F.4th at 172 n.5.
    24
    intervening pronouncements on equal treatment between
    religious exercise and comparable secular activity.”); Hertel,
    35 F.4th at 529.16
    Appellants argue that Governor Murphy has shown a
    lack of respect for these precedents by failing to issue relaxed
    COVID guidance fast enough after they were announced.
    16
    Appellants direct us to the Supreme Court’s holding in
    Diocese of Brooklyn that rescission of COVID restrictions
    might not moot a case where the defendant “regularly changes”
    the regime applicable to the plaintiffs. 141 S. Ct. at 68. There,
    New York had implemented a geographic risk classification
    system that resulted in rapid changes—sometimes several in a
    single week—to the capacity caps applicable to houses of
    worship. Id. at 69 n.3. That situation kept the case alive
    because petitioners lived under “a constant threat” that they
    would again be subjected to a harsher classification. Id. at 67–
    68. The instant case is plainly distinguishable. As detailed
    above, Governor Murphy progressively loosened restrictions
    on religious worship services starting in June 2020. The
    regulations applicable to religious exercise have moved in only
    one direction in New Jersey: towards increased freedom.
    Appellants have not been subject to any numerical or capacity
    limits on their worship gatherings since May 2021, well over a
    year ago. There is thus no comparison to be made with the
    New York system of sudden, inconsistent, and ongoing
    changes that gave the Diocese of Brooklyn Court pause. See
    Brach, 38 F.4th at 14–15. For the same reasons, we do not
    believe that Appellees have the “track record of ‘moving the
    goalposts’” that concerned the Court in Tandon. See 141 S. Ct.
    at 1297.
    25
    When pressed at oral argument, however, Appellants’ counsel
    conceded that the State’s regime already avoided strict scrutiny
    under the rule of these cases by the time they had both been
    decided. When Tandon came down in April 2021, religious
    worship gatherings were subject to the same fifty percent
    capacity limit applicable to essential businesses, and they had
    been since February 2021.
    Further, although the prosecution of the Pastors
    continued for months after the Supreme Court had implicitly
    cast doubt on the validity of EO 107’s proscriptions, we do not
    take this as persuasive evidence that the Governor and other
    high state officials are dismissive of precedent. As explained
    above, it appears the prosecutions had been stayed when
    Diocese of Brooklyn and Tandon were decided, and they would
    remain so for some time after. It is thus not as though the State
    was actively pressing for convictions in the face of ominous
    caselaw. And we are hesitant to read the actions of municipal
    prosecutors as reflecting directly on the views and intentions
    of New Jersey’s highest officials. 17 Although the Attorney
    14F
    General does exercise ultimate supervisory authority over local
    prosecutors (subject to the Governor’s oversight), there is no
    unified chain-of-command, and he is not responsible for their
    17
    Several local officials are named Appellees, but the scenario
    that Appellants fear is not that these individuals will sua sponte
    reinstitute the prosecutions. Rather, at this stage of the
    litigation, all mootness analysis centers on the Governor,
    asking if state-wide restrictions will return via executive
    orders. Local officials would presumably have no role in that
    critical decision.
    26
    day-to-day functioning. See Yurick v. State, 
    184 N.J. 70
    , 79
    (2005) (citations omitted). The delay in dismissing the
    prosecutions thus reflects on the Governor and his cabinet only
    indirectly.
    Finally, even assuming a reasonable likelihood of some
    COVID-based gathering restriction returning, it is implausible
    that a challenge to that restriction would constitute the same
    legal controversy as the one before us now. Given Diocese of
    Brooklyn and Tandon, the State is now on notice that religious
    exercise cannot be disfavored relative to comparable secular
    activity, even if the latter is deemed an “essential service”
    during emergency conditions. See Hertel, 35 F.4th at 529
    (“The Supreme Court and other courts have since blocked any
    number of [COVID orders], thereby providing concrete
    examples of mandates and restrictions that violate the Free
    Exercise Clause.”). We have no reason to doubt the sincerity
    of the State’s assurance that it will adhere to these precedents
    in the future. See Cnty. of Butler, 8 F.4th at 230–31 (citation
    15
    omitted). Consequently, any future restriction on religious
    worship would likely omit the key legal issue raised in
    Appellants’ amended complaint: that “[Appellees’] Orders are
    not neutral laws of general applicability because they target
    constitutionally protected activity . . . all the while providing
    broad exemptions for many secular activities[.]” Amend.
    Compl. ¶ 4.
    In any event, we need not hypothesize further about
    what a renewed COVID restriction regime in New Jersey
    might look like. The point is that the very possibility of such
    27
    renewed restrictions is itself speculative, and an analysis of the
    legal status of such hypothesized rules doubly-so.
    16
    *****
    In sum, we are persuaded that this case is moot, as the
    District Court correctly found. Appellants offer nothing more
    than speculation to suggest that we have a live controversy
    here. They invite us to hypothesize about future scenarios in
    which (a) not only does the COVID-19 pandemic reach crisis
    levels comparable to early-2020, but (b) New Jersey’s
    executive officials will choose to ignore everything—both
    legal and factual—we have learned since those early months
    and bluntly reintroduce legally-suspect gathering restrictions
    on religious worship. This will not do, and we will therefore
    affirm. 18 19
    17F   18F
    18
    Because the prosecutions of the Pastors were voluntarily
    dismissed, we have no occasion to discuss Younger abstention.
    The dismissed prosecutions do not serve as the sort of
    “continuing injury” that might defeat mootness. See Hartnett,
    963 F.3d at 308.
    19
    This conclusion addresses Appellants’ request for injunctive
    relief as well their request for a declaratory judgment. As it is
    absolutely clear there is no reasonable likelihood that EO 107
    will be reinstated, there is likewise no reason to think the
    declaratory judgment requested would affect the parties’
    conduct. See Hartnett, 963 F.3d at 306.
    28
    MATEY, Circuit Judge, dissenting.
    From the outbreaks of Athens, Byzantium, and London,
    to the ravages of smallpox, SARS, and “Swine Flu,” plagues
    punctuate the pages of history. When such a potent enemy
    appears, it is natural to reach for every weapon, every tool,
    anything that might turn the tide. Anything that ends the
    emergency. But emergencies have long been “the pretext on
    which the safeguards of individual liberty have been eroded—
    and once they are suspended it is not difficult for anyone who
    has assumed such emergency powers to see to it that the
    emergency will persist.” 3 F.A. Hayek, Law, Legislation and
    Liberty 124 (1979). Guarding against that threat is one reason
    the permanent guarantees of our natural rights were recognized
    in the Constitution. And examining whether those guarantees
    have been honored or breached is part of the “virtually
    unflagging obligation of the federal courts to exercise the
    jurisdiction given them.” Colo. River Water Conservation Dist.
    v. United States, 
    424 U.S. 800
    , 817 (1976).
    The majority concludes that Governor Murphy’s choice
    to place significant limitations on religious gatherings is no
    longer a live controversy because those restrictions were
    relaxed and eventually withdrawn. But the Governor changed
    course unilaterally, not as the result of any legal force. Neither
    Governor Murphy nor New Jersey’s Attorney General has ever
    hinted, let alone assured, that the Governor will not reimpose
    those same limits down the long COVID-19 road. And neither
    acknowledge any boundaries on the Governor’s emergency
    powers in the decisions of the Supreme Court, or even in the
    Constitution. Caveats all insufficient to carry the “heavy”
    burden, West Virginia v. EPA, 
    142 S. Ct. 2587
    , 2607 (2022), to
    sidestep judicial review of these restrictions on religion. As the
    longstanding limits on mootness do not relax for COVID-19
    controversies, I would remand the matter to the District Court
    and so respectfully dissent.
    I.
    Mootness means a once live dispute “is no longer
    embedded in any actual controversy about the plaintiffs’
    particular legal rights.” Alvarez v. Smith, 
    558 U.S. 87
    , 93
    (2009). But how a suit became moot matters. If a savvy
    defendant could simply say, “never mind,” and stop the
    offending conduct long enough to win dismissal, the federal
    courts would have little work to do. As a result, “[i]t is well
    settled that a defendant’s voluntary cessation of a challenged
    practice does not deprive a federal court of its power to
    determine the legality of the practice.” City of Mesquite v.
    Aladdin’s Castle, Inc., 
    455 U.S. 283
    , 289 (1982). Instead, we
    ask whether the “allegedly wrongful behavior” has ended, or
    merely paused. Parents Involved in Cmty. Sch. v. Seattle Sch.
    Dist. No. 1, 
    551 U.S. 701
    , 719 (2007). Understandably, any
    answer is no more than a prediction. So we look at the
    circumstances to see if the defendant “could reasonably be
    expected to engage in the challenged behavior again.” Hartnett
    v. Pa. State Educ. Ass’n, 
    963 F.3d 301
    , 306 (3d Cir. 2020).
    Naturally, “the defendant’s reason for changing its behavior is
    often probative.” 
    Id.
     Did the defendant merely “yield[] in the
    face of a court order” while still maintaining “that its conduct
    was lawful all along”? 
    Id.
     Or did the defendant stand down
    “because of a new statute or a ruling in a completely different
    case”? 
    Id. at 307
    . Either way, it must be “absolutely clear” that
    the same acts could not “reasonably be expected to recur.”
    West Virginia v. EPA, 142 S. Ct. at 2607 (quoting Parents
    Involved, 
    551 U.S. at 719
    ). A “heavy” burden that, as the
    2
    majority explains, rests solely with the State. Maj. Op. at 12;
    see also West Virginia v. EPA, 142 S. Ct. at 2607.
    A.
    Governor Murphy has not carried this formidable
    burden. The Governor starts by saying he has already taken
    back the limits on worship. But the Supreme Court has
    answered that excuse, explaining that “even if the government
    withdraws or modifies a COVID restriction in the course of
    litigation,” it “does not necessarily moot the case.” Tandon v.
    Newsom, 
    141 S. Ct. 1294
    , 1297 (2021). Governor Murphy then
    adds there are no current plans to reimpose the capacity limits.
    A carefully cabined answer more alarming than assuring. Next,
    he recalls the urgency of COVID-19, reminding us this
    “unprecedented pandemic” and “rapidly worsening crisis”
    required a wide “range of social mitigation measures” in March
    2020. Response Br. 5–6. Severe circumstances that left no
    room to accommodate religious services—but not severe
    enough to close liquor stores and pet shops. App. 85–86.
    Finally, Governor Murphy points to his decision to unilaterally
    “decline[] to reimpose indoor or outdoor capacity limits on
    religious gatherings.” Response Br. 8. From which we must
    infer that he and the New Jersey Attorney General consider the
    First Amendment subordinate to their emergency powers,
    powers they may or may not “decline” to exercise against
    religious worship. They will let us all know when the time
    arrives.
    Respectfully, that is not how the voluntary cessation
    doctrine works, a point emphasized by the Supreme Court
    mere months ago in West Virginia v. EPA. There, the Court
    considered whether a proposed rule to regulate carbon dioxide
    3
    fit within the authority provided by Congress. When faced with
    a challenge, the Government announced plans to change course
    and promised to promulgate a new regulation. A proposal, the
    Government claimed, that “mooted the prior dispute.” 142 S.
    Ct. at 2607. Not so, said the Court, because “the Government’s
    mootness argument boils down to its representation that EPA
    has no intention of enforcing” the old plan. Id. That does not
    shoulder the “heavy burden” of showing “it is absolutely clear
    that the allegedly wrongful behavior could not reasonably be
    expected to recur.” Id. (citation omitted). Indeed, the
    Government in that case “nowhere suggested that if the
    litigation were resolved in its favor it would not” reimpose the
    same challenged policy. Id. (cleaned up). Instead, it
    “vigorously defend[ed]” the legality of its proposal. Id.
    More so here. Governor Murphy does not suggest he
    has no intention to reimpose limits on worship, only that he has
    no current plans on the table. Not once has the Governor stated
    he lacks the power to curtail religious freedoms for
    emergencies. Nor has the New Jersey Attorney General ever
    questioned the prosecution of Plaintiffs for violating the
    challenged Executive Order, a case that lingered until briefing
    began on this appeal.1 Or acknowledged the Supreme Court’s
    decisions in Catholic Diocese and Tandon, which confirm that
    1
    Oral Argument at 22:50, Clark v. Governor of N.J., __
    F.4th     __      (3d     Cir.    2022)      (No.     21-2732),
    https://www2.ca3.uscourts.gov/oralargument/audio/21-2732_
    Clarkv.GovernorStateNJ.mp3. The Governor now tries to
    distance himself from the county prosecutions. But a “county
    prosecutor’s law enforcement function . . . remains at all times
    subject to the supervision and supersession of the State.”
    Yurick v. State, 
    184 N.J. 70
    , 79 (2005) (cleaned up).
    4
    emergencies do not permit state action to abandon the promise
    of freely exercised faith. “Trust me,” is all Governor Murphy
    serves up.
    That, of course, is the one answer we have not accepted.
    Take our recent decision in County of Butler v. Governor of
    Pennsylvania, 
    8 F.4th 226
     (3d Cir. 2021), cert. denied, 
    142 S. Ct. 772
     (2022), where we considered a challenge to
    Pennsylvania’s COVID-19 orders closing businesses and
    limiting secular gatherings. A moot challenge, we explained,
    because the “Governor’s orders are no longer in effect and . . .
    he has been stripped of his power to unilaterally act in
    connection with this pandemic.” 
    Id. at 230
     (emphasis added).
    Or consider our analysis in Hartnett. There, teachers
    challenged a Pennsylvania statute allowing unions to collect
    fees from nonmembers. While the lawsuit progressed, the
    Supreme Court invalidated a similar statute, a change of law
    the parties agreed made Pennsylvania’s law unenforceable.
    That, we held, satisfied the mootness exception. We explained
    that once the Supreme Court spoke, “the unions immediately
    stopped collecting agency fees.” Hartnett, 963 F.3d at 307.
    And the unions “conceded that Pennsylvania’s agency-fee
    arrangement violates the First Amendment and have forsworn
    collecting fees from nonmembers.” Id. (emphasis added). The
    holdings in Butler and Hartnett both turn on external legal
    constraints on the defendant’s prior conduct, where “the claims
    became moot for reasons outside the parties’ control.” Butler,
    8 F.4th at 232. Whether that new law is decisional, statutory,
    or constitutional, it is strong evidence that informs our focus
    “on whether the defendant made that change unilaterally and
    so may ‘return to [its] old ways’ later on.” Hartnett, 963 F.3d
    at 307 (quoting City of Mesquite, 
    455 U.S. at
    289 n.10)
    (alteration in original).
    5
    Nothing of the sort has occurred here: no concessions of
    illegality, no foresworn future restrictions, no divesting of
    power. Governor Murphy retains his statutory authority to act
    at his pleasure. The state’s Constitution has not been altered,
    and no court, including ours, has stepped up to consider the
    rights reserved by the First Amendment. Respectfully, that has
    never been enough to evade the powers vested in the judiciary
    by Article III. And I see three problems that will likely follow
    our holding today.
    B.
    First, while the majority invokes the old mootness test,
    it applies something softer. The majority points out that it must
    be “absolutely clear that the allegedly wrongful behavior could
    not reasonably be expected to recur.” Parents Involved, 
    551 U.S. at 719
     (emphasis added). But the majority only recites this
    standard, rather than rigorously holding the Governor to his
    “formidable burden,” Hartnett, 963 F.3d at 307, permitting
    him to dismiss, not defend, his decisions. Instead, the majority
    rests on its doubt “that the State will tempt fate by reimposing
    restrictions disfavoring religion.” Maj. Op. at 21. That flips the
    holdings of West Virginia v. EPA and a host of prior decisions,2
    recasting the heavy burden of absolute certainty with the light
    2
    What the majority points to as a distinction between
    this case and West Virginia v. EPA is in fact a similarity. The
    majority notes that the Court there did not find the dispute moot
    in part because “the government was unwilling to say it would
    not impose the policy again.” Maj. Op. at n.13. I agree. And
    the Government here has been similarly coy.
    6
    weight of mere skepticism and setting a much lower hurdle for
    the Governor to clear.
    Second, the majority repeats the error of the District
    Court and conflates two separate mootness exceptions that
    carry two distinct burdens. On the one hand, there are cases in
    which the plaintiff’s alleged injury has disappeared through no
    action of the defendant. That will make the matter moot unless
    the plaintiff can show the duration of the challenged action is
    too short to be fully litigated and “there is a reasonable
    expectation that the same complaining party will be subjected
    to the same action again.” United States v. Sanchez-Gomez,
    
    138 S. Ct. 1532
    , 1540–41 (2018) (citation omitted). This is the
    “capable of repetition, yet evading review” exception. 
    Id. at 1540
     (citation omitted). And the burden of showing the issue
    is “capable of repetition” rests only with the plaintiff.
    Voluntary cessation, on the other hand, places that “heavy
    burden” on the defendant. West Virginia v. EPA, 142 S. Ct. at
    2607.
    The majority yokes the wrong party.3 The opinion
    repeatedly looks to the facts in Butler. But that case involved
    the “capable of repetition” exception, not voluntary cessation.
    And the former “applies only in exceptional situations,” where
    the burden rests with the plaintiff. Butler, 8 F.4th at 230–31
    (citation omitted). That allocation makes all the difference. The
    plaintiffs, we explained, could not carry their burden because
    Pennsylvania changed the law to prevent the same measures
    3
    Indeed, the majority explicitly shifts the burden from
    the Governor to the challengers, concluding that “Appellants
    offer nothing more than speculation to suggest that we have a
    live controversy here.” Maj. Op. at 24.
    7
    from returning. Id. at 232. Nor did they offer anything to rebut
    the Commonwealth’s representations “that the public health
    landscape has so fundamentally changed” that future policies
    would not resemble the past. Id. at 231. A point, we noted,
    “[p]laintiffs here have given us little reason to disbelieve.” Id.
    Here, of course, there is every reason. That is the
    purpose of the heavy burden against accepting voluntary
    cessation claims on no more than the moving party’s say-so.
    Perhaps a presumption of governmental good-faith has some
    application in “capable of repetition” cases challenging state
    actions like Butler; the burden is already on the plaintiff who
    must offer facts showing “a reasonable expectation . . . [they]
    will be subject to the same action again.” Id. at 231 (citation
    omitted). Extending that “presumption,” if it truly exists,4 to
    voluntary cessation would give governmental actors the keys
    to get out of almost any lawsuit simply by citing their own good
    intentions. The result in West Virginia v. EPA confirms that is
    not correct.
    4
    Butler relies on Marcavage v. National Park Service,
    
    666 F.3d 856
    , 861 (3d Cir. 2012) for the proposition that “[w]e
    generally presume that government officials act in good faith.”
    Butler, 8 F.4th at 230. Language Marcavage borrowed from
    Bridge v. United States Parole Commission, 
    981 F.2d 97
    , 106
    (3d Cir. 1992). But Bridge took that concept from the
    dissenting opinion in Ward v. Rock Against Racism, 
    491 U.S. 781
     (1989), neglecting, it seems, to note that it is a dissenting
    view. Neither Bridge, a case about parole eligibility
    calculations, nor Ward, a First Amendment challenge to noise
    permits, involves mootness. All making for a most shaky
    foundation, one we should not casually extend into questions
    about Article III.
    8
    Finally, Plaintiffs, like the almost nine million residents
    of New Jersey, still do not know whether the First Amendment
    protects their religious obligations and faith tenets, even
    though at the Founding, “the right to religious liberty . . . was
    universally said to be an unalienable right.” Fulton v. City of
    Philadelphia, 
    141 S. Ct. 1868
    , 1900 (2021) (Alito, J.,
    concurring) (citation omitted); see also Vincent Phillip Muñoz,
    Religious Liberty and the American Founding 229 (2022)
    (“[T]he Founders declared religious liberty to be an inalienable
    natural right.”). A chilling prospect because Executive Order
    107 treats religious exercise worse than comparable secular
    activity. Comparability “must be judged against the asserted
    government interest that justifies the regulation at issue,” and
    is “concerned with the risks various activities pose, not the
    reasons why people gather.” Tandon, 141 S. Ct. at 1296
    (citation omitted). In Tandon, the Court found “at-home
    religious exercise” comparable to retail shopping. Id. at 1297.
    Here, Governor Murphy’s “severe in-person gathering
    restrictions,” Maj. Op. at 16, accommodated alcohol, protected
    pets, and honored home improvement, but found spaces for
    safe worship non-essential. That imposed “differential burdens
    favoring secular over religious gatherings,” id., demanding the
    Governor show a narrowly tailored restriction serving a
    compelling state interest. See Roman Cath. Diocese of
    Brooklyn v. Cuomo, 
    141 S. Ct. 63
    , 67 (2020).
    It is unclear why Governor Murphy urgently needs to
    shut down synagogues, churches, and mosques en masse while
    finding room to accommodate a laundry list of businesses. The
    majority implies answering that question can wait,
    rationalizing that it is “hard to imagine” a health emergency
    presenting the State an opportunity to reimpose the ban on
    9
    religious worship. Maj. Op. at 17. But no lively imagination is
    needed to conjure up future competitions between public
    health and religious liberty given the volatility of respiratory
    viruses,5 the increased probability of future pandemics,6 and
    the routine declaration of “emergencies” by Governor
    Murphy.7 I would take the opportunity to provide an answer
    now, giving the people of New Jersey, and its representatives,
    the guidance they are entitled to under the Constitution.
    II.
    COVID-19 did not change the standards for mooting a
    case or controversy arising under the laws of the United States.
    Governor Murphy elected to use an emergency power to
    eliminate public religious worship. He has not carried the
    5
    See, e.g., Jamie Crow, Telltale Signs of a
    ‘Tripledemic’, Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center
    (Nov. 3, 2022), https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/from-our-experts/
    telltale-signs-of-a-tripledemic (“[W]e’re starting to see an
    uptick in some [COVID] variants that are probably among the
    most immune-evasive variants that we’ve seen.”).
    6
    “Based on the increasing rate at which novel
    pathogens such as SARS-CoV-2 have broken loose in human
    populations in the past 50 years, . . . the probability of novel
    disease outbreaks will likely grow three-fold in the next few
    decades.” Michael Penn, Statistics Say Large Pandemics Are
    More Likely Than We Thought, Duke Global Health Institute
    (Aug. 23, 2021), https://globalhealth.duke.edu/news/statistics-
    say-large-pandemics-are-more-likely-we-thought.
    7
    Some eighteen since 2018. See Executive Orders, State
    of New Jersey, https://nj.gov/infobank/eo/056murphy/
    approved/eo_archive.shtml (last visited Nov. 22, 2022).
    10
    formidable burden of showing, with absolute clarity, there is
    no reasonable probability he will not do so again. Respectfully,
    we should decide whether the Governor’s actions satisfy the
    First Amendment before the next emergency arrives.
    11