Austin Williams v. Globus Medical Inc ( 2017 )


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  •                                   PRECEDENTIAL
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE THIRD CIRCUIT
    ________________
    No. 16-3607
    ________________
    AUSTIN J. WILLIAMS; MARK SILVERSTEIN,
    Individually and on behalf of all others similarly situated
    v.
    GLOBUS MEDICAL, INC.; DAVID C. PAUL; RICHARD
    A. BARON; DAVID M. DEMSKI; STEVEN M. PAYNE
    Austin J. Williams,
    Appellant
    _______________________
    On Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the Eastern District of Pennsylvania
    (D.C. Civil Action No. 2-15-cv-05386)
    District Judge: Honorable: Wendy Beetlestone
    ______________
    ARGUED: April 5, 2017
    Before: CHAGARES, SCIRICA, and FISHER,
    Circuit Judges
    (Opinion Filed: August 23, 2017)
    Jacob A. Goldberg         [ARGUED]
    Keith R. Lorenze
    Rosen Law Firm
    101 Greenwood Avenue
    Suite 440
    Jenkintown, PA 19046
    Robert V. Prongay
    Jason L. Krajcer
    Charles H. Linehan
    Glancy Prongay & Murray
    1925 Century Park East
    Suite 2100
    Los Angeles, CA 90067
    Counsel for Appellant
    Cheryl W. Foung
    Wilson Sonsini Goodrich & Rosati
    650 Page Mill Road
    Palo Alto, CA 94304
    Barry M. Kaplan           [ARGUED]
    Gregory L. Watts
    Wilson Sonsini Goodrich & Rosati
    701 Fifth Avenue
    Suite 5100
    Seattle, WA 98104
    2
    Marc J. Sonnenfeld
    Timothy D. Katsiff
    Morgan Lewis & Bockius
    1701 Market Street
    Philadelphia, PA 19103
    Counsel for Appellees
    _________________
    OPINION OF THE COURT
    _________________
    SCIRICA, Circuit Judge
    In the spring of 2014, Globus Medical, Inc., a medical
    device company, terminated its relationship with one of its
    product distributors. Several months later, in August 2014,
    Globus executives alerted shareholders that sales growth had
    slowed, attributed this decline in part to the decision to
    terminate its contract with the distributor, and revised
    Globus’s revenue guidance downward for fiscal year 2014.
    The price of Globus shares fell by approximately 18% the
    following day.
    Globus shareholders contend the company and its
    executives violated the Securities Exchange Act and
    defrauded investors by failing to disclose the company’s
    decision to terminate the distributor contract and by issuing
    revenue projections that failed to account for this decision.
    The trial court dismissed the shareholders’ suit, and the
    shareholders appealed. We will affirm.
    3
    I.     BACKGROUND
    A.     Facts
    Globus is a publicly traded medical device company
    that designs, develops, and sells musculoskeletal implants,
    particularly for individuals with spine disorders. Globus
    relies on both in-house sales representatives and independent
    distributors to sell its products to surgeons and surgical staff
    nationwide. Vortex Spine, LLC, was one of Globus’s
    independent distributors, serving as the exclusive distributor
    for Globus’s spine implant products in certain portions of
    Louisiana and Mississippi.            Vortex signed its initial
    Exclusive Distributorship Agreement with Globus in 2004,
    and the parties renewed the agreement in 2008 and 2010. The
    2010 agreement was scheduled to expire on December 31,
    2013.
    Globus’s statements and actions in the wake of the
    December 31, 2013, expiration of the agreement have become
    the focus of this case. Plaintiffs allege that Globus decided to
    terminate its partnership with Vortex around the time of the
    expiration of the agreement. This was in line with the
    company’s strategy to increase its reliance on in-house sales
    representatives in the hopes of controlling commission costs
    and strengthening its control over its sales team. Nonetheless,
    Globus extended the existing distributorship agreement for
    four months—through April 2014—and allegedly told Vortex
    the companies would use this period to negotiate terms for a
    new distributorship agreement. Plaintiffs contend Globus
    instead used this period to establish a new in-house sales
    position to cover the geographic territory being handled by
    Vortex.
    4
    On February 26, 2014—in the midst of the period
    covered by the extension of the agreement with Vortex—
    Globus Chief Financial Officer Richard A. Baron projected
    “sales in the range of $480 million to $486 million, earnings
    per fully diluted share of $0.90 to $0.92 per share” for fiscal
    year 2014 during an earnings conference call. A51. A few
    weeks later, on March 14, 2014, Globus filed its 2013 10-K
    with the Securities & Exchange Commission. In a section of
    the 10-K titled “Risks Related to Our Business and Our
    Industry,” Globus cautioned, “If we are unable to maintain
    and expand our network of direct sales representatives and
    independent distributors, we may not be able to generate
    anticipated sales.” A46. The risk disclosure added:
    We face significant challenges and risks in
    managing our geographically dispersed
    distribution network and retaining the
    individuals who make up that network. If any
    of our direct sales representatives were to leave
    us, or if any of our independent distributors
    were to cease to do business with us, our sales
    could be adversely affected. Some of our
    independent distributors account for a
    significant portion of our sales volume, and if
    any such independent distributor were to cease
    to distribute our products, our sales could be
    adversely affected. In such a situation, we may
    need to seek alternative independent distributors
    or increase our reliance on our direct sales
    representatives, which may not prevent our
    sales from being adversely affected.
    A47.
    5
    Globus met with Vortex’s founder and manager on
    April 18, 2014. Globus leadership notified him that Globus
    had designated a new in-house sales representative to handle
    distribution for the geographic territory covered by Vortex.
    Globus proposed a new agreement with Vortex which would
    require Vortex to turn over its customers to Globus in
    exchange for a royalty payment and would require Vortex’s
    sales representatives to become Globus employees. Vortex
    rejected the proposed terms.
    Approximately ten days later, on another earnings
    conference call, CFO Baron again projected Globus would
    achieve $480 to $486 million in sales, with $0.90 to $0.92
    earnings per fully diluted share for fiscal year 2014—
    estimates identical to those he projected in February 2014.
    The next day, April 30, 2014, Globus filed with the SEC its
    Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the period ended March
    31, 2014. In a section titled “Quantitative and Qualitative
    Disclosure About Market Risk,” Globus stated, “We have
    evaluated the information required under this item that was
    disclosed in our 2013 Annual Report on Form 10-K and there
    have been no significant changes to this information.” A49–
    50.
    Months later, on August 5, 2014, Globus issued a press
    release announcing its results for the second fiscal quarter of
    2014 and revising its revenue guidance. According to the
    release, Globus “now expect[ed] full year net sales to be in
    the range of $460 to $465 million” but added that its earnings
    per share guidance “remained unchanged.” A53. In an
    earnings conference call held the same day, Globus Chief
    Operating Officer David M. Demski explained that “domestic
    sales growth in the quarter was below our historical
    6
    standards” attributing this development, in part, to the fact
    that “early in the quarter we made the decision not to renew
    our existing contract with a significant U.S. distributor,
    negatively impacting our sales.” A53. Demski observed that
    the company “understood the risks to our short-term results.”
    A53. Globus shares fell $4.05 per share (17.9%) in the wake
    of the revised revenue guidance to close at $18.51 per share
    on August 6, 2014. Ultimately, at the fiscal year’s end,
    Globus announced it had achieved $474.4 million in sales,
    with earnings per share at $0.97—meaning sales for the fiscal
    year ultimately finished just 1.17% below the initial
    projection made in February 2014 and earnings per share
    exceeded the projection by 5.4%.
    B.      Procedural History
    Plaintiff Mark Silverstein filed this action in the
    United States District Court for the Eastern District of
    Pennsylvania on September 29, 2015, on behalf of “all those
    who purchased or otherwise acquired Globus securities traded
    on the New York Stock Exchange [between February 26,
    2014 and August 5, 2014] and were damaged upon the
    revelation of the alleged corrective disclosure.” A54. On
    January 14, 2015, the District Court granted the motion of
    Austin J. Williams to be appointed lead plaintiff as the person
    most capable of adequately representing the class.1
    1
    The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act amended the
    Securities Exchange Act to provide that “[n]ot later than 90
    days” after notice to shareholders of the pending securities
    action, “the court shall consider any motion made by a
    purported class member in response to the notice, . . . and
    shall appoint as lead plaintiff the member or members of the
    7
    By stipulation of the parties, plaintiffs filed an
    Amended Complaint on February 19, 2016. The Amended
    Complaint names as defendants Globus, Globus CEO David
    C. Paul, Globus CFO Richard A. Baron, Globus COO David
    M. Demski, and Globus Chief Accounting Officer Steven M.
    Payne. The Amended Complaint alleges the 2013 10-K, 2014
    1Q 10-Q, and related earnings calls violated §§ 10(b) and
    20(a) of the Securities Exchange Act and Rule 10b-5
    promulgated under that Act by the Securities and Exchange
    Commission.
    On March 28, 2016, Globus filed a motion to dismiss
    the Amended Complaint. The District Court granted that
    motion and dismissed all claims against all defendants by
    Memorandum and Order dated August 25, 2016. Plaintiff
    filed a motion for reconsideration, which the District Court
    denied on September 12, 2016. This timely appeal followed.
    II.    JURISDICTION AND STANDARD OF REVIEW
    The District Court had jurisdiction under Section 27 of
    the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, 15 U.S.C. § 78aa, and
    
    28 U.S.C. §§ 1331
     and 1337. We have jurisdiction over the
    appeal from a final order granting a motion to dismiss under
    Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 12(b)(6) under 28 U.S.C. §
    purported plaintiff class that the court determines to be most
    capable of adequately representing the interests of class
    members[.]” 15 U.S.C. § 78u-4(a)(3)(B)(i). The statute
    provides a rebuttable presumption that the most adequate
    plaintiff is the person that “in the determination of the court,
    has the largest financial interest in the relief sought by the
    class.” 15 U.S.C. § 78u-4(a)(3)(B)(iii)(bb).
    8
    1291. “We exercise plenary review over the order dismissing
    the complaint, as well as the District Court’s interpretation of
    securities law.” Morrison v. Madison Dearborn Capital
    Partners III L.P., 
    463 F.3d 312
    , 314 (3d Cir. 2006).
    III.   ANALYSIS
    A.     Legal Standard
    Section 10(b) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
    prohibits any person “[t]o use or employ, in connection with
    the purchase or sale of any security . . . any manipulative or
    deceptive device or contrivance in contravention of such rules
    and regulations as the [Securities and Exchange] Commission
    may prescribe . . . .” 15 U.S.C. § 78j(b). Rule 10b-5,
    promulgated by the Securities and Exchange Commission
    under the Exchange Act, makes it unlawful:
    (a) To employ any device, scheme, or artifice to
    defraud,
    (b) To make any untrue statement of a material
    fact or to omit to state a material fact necessary
    in order to make the statements made, in the
    light of the circumstances under which they
    were made, not misleading, or
    (c) To engage in any act, practice, or course of
    business which operates or would operate as a
    fraud or deceit upon any person,
    in connection with the purchase or sale of any
    security.
    
    17 C.F.R. § 240
    .10b-5.
    9
    To state a claim for relief under section 10(b), a
    plaintiff must plead facts demonstrating that (1)
    the defendant made a materially false or
    misleading statement or omitted to state a
    material fact necessary to make a statement not
    misleading; (2) the defendant acted with
    scienter; and (3) the plaintiff’s reliance on the
    defendant’s misstatement caused him or her
    injury.
    Cal. Pub. Emps.’ Ret. Sys. v. Chubb Corp., 
    394 F.3d 126
    , 143
    (3d Cir. 2004).
    All securities fraud claims are subject to Rule 9(b),
    which requires plaintiff to “state with particularity the
    circumstances constituting fraud or mistake.” Fed. R. Civ. P.
    9(b). In addition, the Public Securities Litigation Reform Act
    (PSLRA) imposes two heightened pleading requirements
    above the normal Rule 12(b)(6) standard. First, “the
    complaint must specify each allegedly misleading statement,
    why the statement was misleading, and if an allegation is
    made on information and belief, all facts supporting that
    belief with particularity.” Institutional Investors Grp. v.
    Avaya, Inc., 
    564 F.3d 242
    , 252 (3d Cir. 2009) (internal
    quotations omitted) (citing 15 U.S.C. § 78u-4(b)(1)). Second,
    the complaint must “with respect to each act or omission
    alleged to violate this chapter, state with particularity facts
    giving rise to a strong inference that the defendant acted with
    the required state of mind.” 15 U.S.C. § 78u-4(b)(2)(A).
    Accordingly, “[f]ailure to meet the threshold pleading
    requirements demanded by [Rule 9(b) and the PSLRA]
    justifies dismissal apart from Rule 12(b)(6).” Cal. Pub.
    Emps.’ Ret. Sys., 
    394 F.3d at 145
    .
    10
    B.     Application
    Plaintiffs’ claims can be divided into two categories:
    challenges to historical statements, namely the risk
    disclosures found in Globus’s 2013 10-K and 2014 1Q 10-Q;
    and challenges to forward-looking statements, namely the
    sales and earnings projections made in the February and April
    earnings conference calls. We address each category in turn.
    1.     Historical Statements
    The District Court held that plaintiffs failed to plead
    actionable omissions from Globus’s risk disclosures because
    Globus had no duty to disclose either its decision to terminate
    its relationship with Vortex or the completed termination of
    that relationship. Plaintiffs argue the District Court erred
    because the absence of that information rendered the risk
    disclosures materially misleading. We disagree and conclude
    there was no duty to disclose.
    “[Section] 10(b) and Rule 10b-5(b) do not create an
    affirmative duty to disclose any and all material information.
    Disclosure is required under these provisions only when
    necessary ‘to make . . . statements made, in light of the
    circumstances under which they were made, not misleading.’”
    Matrixx Initiatives, Inc. v. Siracusano, 
    563 U.S. 27
    , 44 (2011)
    (quoting 
    17 C.F.R. § 240
    .10b–5(b)). “Silence, absent a duty
    to disclose, is not misleading under Rule 10b-5.” Basic Inc.
    v. Levinson, 
    485 U.S. 224
    , 239 n.17 (1988). As we have
    previously held, “[e]ven non-disclosure of material
    information will not give rise to liability under Rule 10b-5
    unless the defendant had an affirmative duty to disclose that
    11
    information.” Oran v. Stafford, 
    226 F.3d 275
    , 285 (3d Cir.
    2000). The duty to disclose arises “when there is insider
    trading, a statute requiring disclosure, or an inaccurate,
    incomplete or misleading prior disclosure.” 
    Id.
     at 285–86.
    Plaintiffs contend Globus’s omission of its decision to
    terminate its relationship with Vortex falls into the final
    category because, without that information, Globus’s existing
    risk disclosures were inaccurate, incomplete, or misleading.
    Globus’s risk disclosures in the 2013 10-K and 2014 1Q 10-Q
    warned that the loss of an independent distributor could have
    a negative impact on sales—but it omitted to warn investors,
    plaintiffs argue, that Globus had in fact lost an independent
    distributor.
    Once a company has chosen to speak on an issue—
    even an issue it had no independent obligation to address—it
    cannot omit material facts related to that issue so as to make
    its disclosure misleading. Kline v. First W. Gov’t Sec., Inc.,
    
    24 F.3d 480
    , 490–91 (3d Cir. 1994) (“[E]ncompassed within
    that general obligation [to speak truthfully] is also an
    obligation or ‘duty’ to communicate any additional or
    qualifying information, then known, the absence of which
    would render misleading that which was communicated.”)
    (internal citation omitted). Consistent with this principle,
    courts are skeptical of companies treating as hypothetical in
    their disclosures risks that have already materialized.
    For example, in In re Harman International Industries,
    Inc. Securities Litigation, the United States Court of Appeals
    for the District of Columbia Circuit considered a company—a
    manufacturer of information and entertainment systems for
    automobiles—that touted its considerable inventory of
    12
    personal navigational devices (PNDs) while also warning
    generally that its sales depended on its ability to develop new
    products in a competitive market. 
    791 F.3d 90
    , 103–04 (D.C.
    Cir. 2015). But the company did not disclose to investors that
    much of its PND inventory had already been rendered
    obsolete by new technology, forcing the company to cut its
    prices and reducing its sales revenue. The District of
    Columbia Circuit suggested the company’s general warnings
    about product obsolescence could be misleading and
    emphasized, “there is an important difference between
    warning that something ‘might’ occur and that something
    ‘actually had’ occurred.” 
    Id. at 103
    .
    Similarly, in the United States Court of Appeals for the
    Ninth Circuit, a government intelligence and surveillance
    contractor was sued after its revenue dropped by 25%
    following the cancellation of several contracts. Berson v.
    Applied Signal Tech., Inc., 
    527 F.3d 982
     (9th Cir. 2008). The
    contracts at issue were subject to “stop-work” orders—which
    immediately stop payment to the company and often signal
    eventual cancellation of the contract—but the company
    included revenue from these contracts as part of its “backlog”
    of work the company had contracted to do, but had not yet
    performed. The company warned that “future changes in
    delivery schedules and cancellations of orders” might mean
    sales for the year would not match the full backlog value, but
    the court found the company’s representations could be
    misleading. 
    Id. at 986
    . The company’s warning, the court
    held, “speaks entirely of as-yet-unrealized risks and
    contingencies. Nothing alerts the reader that some of these
    risks may already have come to fruition, and that what the
    company refers to as backlog includes work that is
    substantially delayed and at serious risk of being cancelled
    13
    altogether.” Id.; see also Siricusano v. Matrixx Initiatives,
    Inc., 
    585 F.3d 1167
    , 1181 (9th Cir. 2009) (finding actionable
    a statement that “speaks about the risks of product liability
    claims in the abstract, with no indication that the risk ‘may
    already have come to fruition.’”), aff’d 
    563 U.S. 27
     (2011).
    We agree that a company may be liable under Section
    10b for misleading investors when it describes as hypothetical
    a risk that has already come to fruition. But this is not such a
    case. In the 2013 10-K filed in March 2014, and incorporated
    by reference in the 2014 1Q 10-Q a month later, Globus
    warned, “if any of our independent distributors were to cease
    to do business with us, our sales could be adversely affected.”
    A47. The risk actually warned of is the risk of adverse effects
    on sales—not simply the loss of independent distributors
    generally. Accordingly, the risk at issue only materialized—
    triggering Globus’s duty to disclose—if sales were adversely
    affected at the time the risk disclosures were made.
    Plaintiffs have not plead that Globus’s sales were
    adversely affected by the decision to terminate Vortex at the
    time the risk disclosures were made. The 2013 10-K was
    filed in March 2014, while Vortex was still distributing
    Globus’s products under the four-month extension of the
    existing distributorship agreement. Nothing in the Amended
    Complaint suggests sales had decreased at that time. The
    2014 1Q 10-Q was filed on April 30, 2014—less than two
    weeks after Vortex rejected Globus’s proposed terms for a
    new agreement. Plaintiffs have not pleaded facts sufficient to
    show that Globus’s sales were adversely affected within that
    short window. To the contrary, plaintiffs allege Globus had
    spent months preparing to end its relationship with Vortex
    and had an in-house sales representative prepared to take over
    14
    the territory previously covered by Vortex. Nothing in the
    Amended Complaint permits the inference that Globus was
    aware of adverse effects on sales prior to the August 5, 2014,
    earnings conference call when the company revised its
    revenue projections.
    Accordingly, this case is unlike the materialization of
    risk cases cited by plaintiffs, in which the adverse effects at
    issue had in fact been realized. In Harman, at the time of the
    company’s general warnings about the need to develop new,
    competitive products, the obsolescence of its PNDs had
    already led to a reduction in prices and missed sales targets.
    791 F.3d at 107 (“by April, inventory obsolescence was
    becoming a problem; by September it had fully materialized
    into a serious problem effecting Company revenues”)
    (internal citations omitted). Similarly, in Berson, the court
    noted that stop-work orders—like those that were not
    disclosed by the company in conjunction with its backlog
    report—“immediately interrupt the company’s revenue
    stream.”2 
    527 F.3d at 986
    . Accordingly, the circumstances in
    2
    In re Facebook, Inc. IPO Securities & Derivative Litigation
    is also illustrative. 
    986 F. Supp. 2d 487
     (S.D.N.Y. 2013).
    Facebook’s risk disclosures warned that increased mobile
    usage might negatively affect the company’s revenue, but the
    court found the plaintiffs had sufficiently plead that the
    disclosure was misleading.       It explained, “Facebook’s
    Registration Statement did not disclose that increased mobile
    usage and the Company’s product decisions had already had a
    negative impact on the Company’s revenues and revenue
    growth. The Company’s purported risk warnings
    misleadingly represented that this revenue cut was merely
    15
    these cases differ from the circumstances here because
    plaintiffs have not plead that Globus was already
    experiencing an adverse financial impact at the time of the
    risk disclosures.
    Nor have plaintiffs sufficiently pleaded that a drop in
    sales was inevitable. Plaintiffs suggest Globus should have
    known that its sales would be adversely affected by the
    company’s decision to end its relationship with Vortex based
    on the company’s experience with “distributor turnover” in
    2010. Plaintiffs note that defendant Paul acknowledged that
    it took “almost two years” to get Globus back to the same
    level financially in the wake of that turnover. A48–49. But
    the Amended Complaint provides no details about the
    “distributor turnover” in 2010, including how many
    distributors were involved, whether the distributor or
    distributors involved were of comparable significance to
    Globus’s sales as Vortex was, whether the turnover was
    expected, and what, if any, contingencies were in place at the
    time of the distributor turnover. Absent this information, we
    cannot conclude that Globus and its executives should have
    expected a similar financial impact from its decision to
    terminate its relationship with Vortex as from the 2010
    “distributor turnover.”
    Because plaintiffs have failed to adequately plead that
    the risk about which Globus warned—the risk of adverse
    effects on sales as a result of the loss of a single independent
    distributor—had actually materialized at the time of either the
    2013 10-K or the 2014 1Q 10-Q, Globus had no duty to
    possible when, in fact, it had already materialized.” 
    Id. at 516
    .
    16
    disclose its decision to terminate its relationship with Vortex,
    and the risk disclosures were not materially misleading. We
    will affirm the District Court’s dismissal of the claims based
    on historical statements.
    2.     Forward-Looking Statements
    Plaintiffs contend Globus and its executives violated
    Section 10(b) and Rule 10b-5 by issuing revenue projections
    in February and April 2014 that failed to account for the
    company’s decision to terminate its relationship with Vortex.
    The District Court dismissed these claims because it found
    that plaintiffs failed to plead facts sufficient to show that the
    revenue projections were false when made, or in the
    alternative, the challenged statements were entitled to the
    protection of PSLRA’s safe harbor.
    a.     Falsity
    Because plaintiffs allege that the revenue projections at
    issue were false or misleading, their allegations must meet the
    “[e]xacting pleading requirements” of the PSLRA. City of
    Edinburgh Council v. Pfizer, Inc., 
    754 F.3d 159
    , 168 (3d Cir.
    2014) (alteration in original, internal quotations omitted). “In
    addition to requiring plaintiffs to specify each statement
    alleged to have been misleading, . . . the PSLRA directs
    plaintiffs to specify ‘the reason or reasons why the statement
    is misleading.’” Calif. Pub. Emps., 
    394 F.3d at 145
     (quoting
    15 U.S.C. § 78u–4(b)(1)). These “true facts” allegations
    cannot rely exclusively on hindsight, but must be sufficient to
    show that the challenged statements were “actionably
    unsound when made.” See In re Burlington Coat Factory
    Sec. Litig., 
    114 F.3d 1410
    , 1430 (3d Cir. 1997); see also In re
    17
    NAHC, Inc. Sec. Litig., 
    306 F.3d 1314
    , 1330 (3d Cir. 2002)
    (“To be actionable, a statement or omission must have been
    misleading at the time it was made; liability cannot be
    imposed on the basis of subsequent events.”). Accordingly,
    “it is not enough merely to identify a forward-looking
    statement and assert as a general matter that the statement
    was made without a reasonable basis.” Burlington, 
    114 F.3d at 1429
    . Instead, plaintiffs were required to plead factual
    allegations that show the projections were “made with either
    (1) an inadequate consideration of the available data or (2) the
    use of unsound forecasting methodology.” 
    Id.
    In this case, plaintiffs’ allegations hinge on their
    conclusory assertion that Globus’s “announced forecast
    incorporated Vortex’s projected sales figures for the
    remainder of the 2014 fiscal year.” A51. To support this
    claim, plaintiffs draw numerous inferences based on
    statements made by Globus executives during the August
    2014 call explaining the revisions to the revenue guidance.
    First, they cite defendant Baron’s statement that “the decision
    not to renew the distributor, and the impact to pricing will
    affect our top line expectations. We now expect full year
    revenue to be in the range of $460 million to $465 million.”
    A327. This statement, they contend, shows Globus must
    have incorporated Vortex revenue into their earlier
    projections—otherwise they would not have needed to revise
    the revenue forecast downward. Further, because defendant
    Baron responded, “I don’t think we should comment on that,”
    when asked whether the revenue guidance would have been
    revised “if not for the distributor issue,” A336, plaintiffs
    contend we should infer the loss of Vortex’s revenue
    accounted for the full $20 million downward revision.
    We agree with the District Court that these allegations
    18
    fall short of the exacting pleading standards imposed by the
    PSLRA. Plaintiffs were required to plead “true facts”
    sufficient to show the February and April revenue projections
    were false or misleading when made. But instead of citing
    contemporaneous sources to show Globus knowingly
    incorporated Vortex revenue into those projections, plaintiffs
    rely on conjecture based on subsequent events. This is
    insufficient. See In re NAHC, 
    306 F.3d at 1330
     (“[L]iability
    cannot be imposed on the basis of subsequent events.”); see
    also Burlington, 
    114 F.3d at 1430
     (“Plaintiffs’ Complaint
    contains a number of vague factual assertions regarding the
    period prior to November 1, 1993, but plaintiffs have failed to
    link any of these allegations to their claim that the November
    1 forecast was actionably unsound when made.”).
    Even assuming plaintiffs’ conclusory assertions were
    sufficient to infer that Globus’s projections incorporated some
    revenue from Vortex, the Amended Complaint would still
    fail. Plaintiffs fail to plead specific facts regarding the
    amount of sales revenue from Vortex projected by Globus;
    how far short of the projections Vortex sales ultimately fell;
    and, how significant the shortfall was in the context of
    Globus’s sales overall. Without these facts, plaintiffs do not
    sufficiently plead that, at the time the projections were made,
    Globus failed to adequately account for the imminent change
    in distributorship and any resulting effect on sales. Absent
    these details, plaintiffs have done nothing more than “assert
    as a general matter that the [revenue projections were] made
    without a reasonable basis.” Burlington, 
    114 F.3d at 1429
    .
    Further, at the end of the fiscal year, Globus achieved
    $474.4 million in sales—just less than its initial projection of
    $480 million to $486 million—and earnings of $0.97 per
    19
    share—compared to an initial projection of $0.90 to $0.92. In
    other words, Globus exceeded its projections for earnings per
    fully diluted share and missed its initial revenue projection by
    just 1.17%. While the ultimate touchstone is whether the
    projections were false or misleading when made, plaintiffs’
    claim that the projections were impossible to achieve is
    undermined by the fact that the company ultimately
    substantially achieved the challenged projections. See Avaya,
    
    564 F.3d at
    266–67. On these facts, we conclude plaintiffs
    have not adequately pleaded the revenue projections were
    false or misleading when made.
    b.     Safe Harbor
    In the alternative, like the trial court, we find the
    challenged revenue projections are entitled to protection
    under the PSLRA’s safe harbor. The statute “immunizes
    from liability any forward-looking statement, provided that:
    the statement is identified as such and accompanied by
    meaningful cautionary language; or is immaterial; or the
    plaintiff fails to show the statement was made with actual
    knowledge of its falsehood.” Avaya, 
    564 F.3d at
    254 (citing
    15 U.S.C. § 78u–5(c)). We find plaintiffs have failed to
    adequately plead that the revenue projections were made with
    actual knowledge of falsehood.
    The PSLRA requires plaintiffs in securities class
    actions to “state with particularity facts giving rise to a strong
    inference that the defendant acted with the required state of
    mind.” 15 U.S.C. § 78u–4(b)(2). To meet this standard, “an
    inference of scienter must be more than merely plausible or
    reasonable—it must be cogent and at least as compelling as
    any opposing inference of nonfraudulent intent.” Tellabs,
    20
    Inc. v. Makor Issues & Rights, Ltd., 
    551 U.S. 308
    , 314
    (2007).
    Plaintiffs primarily point to three facts in asking us to
    infer actual knowledge of falsity on the part of Globus and its
    executives: (1) during the August 5, 2014, call explaining the
    revisions to the sales projections, COO Demski stated that the
    company “understood the risks to our short-term results”
    when it terminated its relationship with Vortex, A53; (2)
    during that same call, CEO Paul and CFO Baron
    acknowledged that they recalled Globus’s 2010 experience
    with “distributor turnover” and the two-year period it took to
    get the company “back to where [it was],” A45–46; and (3)
    the nature of the market for spinal implant products and the
    importance of goodwill between salespeople and customers.
    From these facts, it may be plausible to infer that
    Globus knew or should have known that ending its
    relationship with Vortex could have some effect on its sales.
    But, as the District Court correctly noted, actual knowledge
    that sales from one source might decrease is not the same as
    actual knowledge that the company’s overall sales projections
    are false. Silverstein v. Globus Medical, Inc., No. 15-5386,
    
    2016 WL 4478826
    , at *8 (E.D. Pa. Aug. 25, 2016) (“But
    simply knowing that the loss of a distributor may cause a drop
    in sales does not mean that Globus failed to account for this
    drop in its projections.”). Plaintiffs have not pleaded any
    facts to support their claim that Globus incorporated
    anticipated revenue from Vortex in its projections. Indeed,
    given plaintiffs’ allegations regarding Globus’s extensive,
    months-long planning for the end of its relationship with
    Vortex—including the company’s broad strategy to transition
    its sales force from independent distributors to in-house sales
    21
    representatives and the fact that a new in-house sales
    representative was in place to take over Vortex’s geographic
    territory before the relationship was terminated—the more
    plausible inference from the Amended Complaint is that
    Globus accounted for the change in strategy when it devised
    its sales projections for the year. Globus’s later revision of
    those projections does not sufficiently show that Globus knew
    the projections were false when made—particularly when
    Globus ultimately achieved sales for the fiscal year within
    1.17% of the original, challenged projection and exceeded its
    projection for earnings per share. Absent facts giving rise to
    a strong inference of scienter, Globus’s forward-looking
    revenue projections are entitled to the protection of the
    PSLRA safe harbor.
    3.     Section 20(a) Claims
    Section 20(a) of the Securities Exchange Act permits
    plaintiffs to bring a cause of action against individuals who
    control a corporation that has violated Section 10(b). 15
    U.S.C. § 78t(a). “[L]iability under Section 20(a) is derivative
    of an underlying violation of Section 10(b) by the controlled
    person.” Avaya, 
    564 F.3d at 252
    . Because we affirm the
    dismissal of plaintiffs’ claims under Section 10(b), we also
    affirm the District Court’s dismissal of their Section 20(a)
    claims.
    IV.    CONCLUSION
    For these reasons, plaintiffs have failed to adequately
    plead any violation of the Securities Act on the part of Globus
    or its controlling officers. We will affirm the District Court’s
    dismissal of all claims.
    22