In Re Avandia Marketing, Sales Practices & Product Liability Litigation ( 2015 )


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  •                                      PRECEDENTIAL
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE THIRD CIRCUIT
    ____________
    No. 14-1948
    ____________
    IN RE: AVANDIA MARKETING, SALES PRACTICES &
    PRODUCT LIABILITY LITIGATION
    GlaxoSmithKline, LLC,
    Appellant
    On Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the Eastern District of Pennsylvania
    (D. C. Nos. 2-09-cv-00730, 2-10-cv-02475,
    2-10-cv-05419, 2-07-md-01871)
    District Judge: Honorable Cynthia M. Rufe
    Argued on November 18, 2014
    Before: AMBRO, SCIRICA and ROTH, Circuit Judges
    (Opinion filed: October 26, 2015)
    John H. Beisner, Esquire             (Argued)
    Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom
    1440 New York Avenue, N.W.
    Washington, DC 20005
    Nina M. Gussack, Esquire
    Anthony C. Vale, Esquire
    Pepper & Hamilton
    18th & Arch Streets
    3000 Two Logan Square
    Philadelphia, PA 19103
    Counsel for Appellant
    Samuel Issacharoff, Esquire            (Argued)
    New York University Law School
    Room 411J
    40 Washington Square South
    New York, NY 10012
    James R. Dugan, II, Esquire
    David B. Franco, Esquire
    Douglas R. Plymale, Esquire
    The Dugan Law Firm
    365 Canal Street
    Suite 1000
    New Orleans, LA 70130
    Arnold Levin, Esquire
    Frederick S. Longer, Esquire
    Levin, Fishbein, Sedran & Berman
    510 Walnut Street
    Suite 500
    2
    Philadelphia, PA 19106
    Counsel for Appellees Allied Services
    Division Welfare Fund and UFCW Local
    1776 and Participating Employees
    Health and Welfare Fund
    Tracy D. Rezvani, Esquire
    Rezvani Volin & Rotbert
    1050 Connecticut Avenue, N.W.
    10th Floor
    Washington, DC 20036
    Counsel for Appellee United
    Benefit Fund
    Charles H. Moellenberg, Jr., Esq.
    Jones Day
    500 Grant Street
    Suite 4500
    Pittsburgh, PA 15219
    Counsel for Amicus Appellant Product
    Liability Advisory Council
    Peter D. St. Phillip, Jr., Esq.
    Lowey, Dannenberg, Cohen & Hart
    One North Broadway
    Suite 509
    White Plains, NY 10601
    Counsel for Amicus Appellees Aetna
    Inc, Louisiana Health Service Indemnity
    3
    Co, Premera Blue Cross, Caring for
    Montanans Inc, Blue Cross & Blue
    Shield of Minnesota, CareFirst of
    Maryland Inc, Cambia Health Solutions,
    Highmark Inc, EmblemHealth Services
    Co LLC, Group Health Cooperative,
    Blue Cross & Blue Shield of Rhode
    Island, Noridian Mutual Insurance Co,
    Health Net Inc, Government Employees
    Health Association, Blue Cross & Blue
    Shield of Florida, Blue Cross & Blue
    Shield of North Carolina, Wellpoint Inc,
    Blue Cross & Blue Shield of South
    Carolina, Blue Cross & Blue Shield of
    Massachusetts and AvMed Health Plans
    Robert N. Weiner, Esq.
    Arnold & Porter
    601 Massachusetts Avenue, N.W.
    Washington, DC 20001
    Counsel for Amicus Appellee
    Pharmaceuticals Research and
    Manufacturers of America
    OPINION
    ROTH, Circuit Judge:
    4
    This interlocutory appeal involves claims brought
    against GlaxoSmithKline LLC (GSK) by third-party payors
    (TPPs), based on GSK’s alleged misrepresentation and
    concealment of the significant safety risks associated with use
    of Avandia, Avandamet, and Avandaryl (collectively,
    Avandia), Type II diabetes drugs. GSK argues that the
    District Court erred in finding that the TPPs adequately
    alleged the elements of standing under the Racketeer
    Influenced and Corrupt Organizations Act (RICO).1 We
    agree with the District Court’s analysis, finding standing, and
    therefore we will affirm.
    I.
    A.2
    Plaintiffs, Allied Services Division Welfare Fund,
    UFCW Local 1776 and Participating Employers Health and
    Welfare Fund, and United Benefit Fund, are TPPs. They are
    union health and welfare funds and are suing GSK on behalf
    of themselves and other similarly situated TPPs. TPPs
    typically provide medical coverage, including prescription
    drug coverage, to their members and members’ dependents.
    1
    18 U.S.C. § 1961 et seq.
    2
    These facts are taken from the Complaints and treated as
    true because, in reviewing a denial of a motion pursuant to
    Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 12(b)(6), we accept as true
    all well-pleaded allegations and construe the complaint in the
    light most favorable to the plaintiffs. See Lewis v. Atlas Van
    Lines, Inc., 
    542 F.3d 403
    , 405 (3d Cir. 2008).
    5
    Whether a TPP will cover the cost of a member’s
    prescription, in whole or in part, depends on whether that
    drug is listed in the TPP’s “formulary.” Pharmacy Benefit
    Managers (PBMs) prepare TPPs’ formularies of drugs
    approved for use by the TPPs’ members. The formularies are
    prepared by analyzing research regarding a drug’s cost
    effectiveness, safety and efficacy. When a PBM determines
    that a drug offers advantages over a competing drug, it will
    give that drug preferred status on the formulary. A TPP will
    typically cover more of the cost of a particular drug when that
    drug has a higher preference status on the formulary. The
    greater coverage of cost by the TPP allows the member to pay
    a lower co-payment when prescribed that drug.
    Type II diabetes is the most common form of diabetes
    and results from the body’s failure to produce enough insulin
    or its inability to properly use insulin. Type II diabetes was
    first treated with oral medications, primarily metformin and
    sulfonylureas, or with injected insulin. In the 1990s,
    pharmaceutical companies began to develop a new form of
    Type II diabetes treatment known as thiazolidinediones
    (TZDs).       On May 25, 1999, the Food and Drug
    Administration (FDA) approved Avandia, a TZD, for sale in
    the United States. GSK marketed Avandia as a more
    effective and safer alternative to the cheaper, existing Type II
    oral medications. In turn, TPPs included Avandia in their
    formularies and covered Avandia prescriptions at a favorable
    rate.
    Soon after the FDA approved Avandia, concerns
    regarding its heart-related side effects began to surface. For
    example, in 2001, the FDA requested that GSK add a warning
    to the prescription label regarding the increased risk of fluid
    6
    retention resulting from Avandia use. Shortly thereafter,
    GSK’s sales representatives denied the existence of this risk.
    As a result, the FDA instructed GSK to stop minimizing the
    risk of heart attacks and heart-related diseases in its
    marketing. In 2006, the FDA required GSK to update the
    warning to include new data about the potential increased
    occurrence of heart attack and heart-related chest pain in
    some Avandia patients.
    In May 2007, Steven E. Nissen and Kathy Wolski
    published a paper in The New England Journal of Medicine,
    documenting the results of forty-two clinical trials of
    Avandia. The Nissen study concluded that, compared with
    the use of competing diabetes drugs, Avandia use was
    associated with a significant increase in the risk of myocardial
    infarction and a borderline-significant increase in the risk of
    death from heart-related diseases. According to the TPPs,
    GSK responded to the Nissen study with a marketing
    campaign designed to sway doctors and consumer
    confidence. This campaign included publishing full-page
    advertisements in more than a dozen newspapers and the
    release of promotional materials to prescribing physicians.
    Specifically, GSK challenged the Nissen study’s
    methodology and conclusions and described the results of its
    own favorable study.
    On May 23, 2007, the FDA recommended that GSK
    add a “black box” warning to Avandia’s label to warn of the
    risk of congestive heart failure in connection with the use of
    Avandia. On August 14, 2007, GSK added the warning,
    which stated that TZDs “cause or exacerbate congestive heart
    failure in some patients. . . . Avandia is not recommended in
    patients with symptomatic heart failure.” Three months later,
    the FDA added a second black box warning, describing the
    7
    Nissen study’s results as showing “Avandia to be associated
    with an increased risk of myocardial ischemic events such as
    angina or myocardial infarction.”
    In February 2010, the U.S. Senate Finance Committee
    released a report on Avandia. The Committee concluded that
    the “totality of the evidence suggests that GSK was aware of
    the possible cardiac risks associated with Avandia years
    before such evidence became public” and that GSK failed to
    notify the FDA and the public of these risks despite its duty to
    do so. The report also noted that GSK attempted to minimize
    or misrepresent those risks in order to contradict the Nissen
    study and to intimidate independent physicians.
    Ultimately, on September 23, 2010, the FDA restricted
    access to Avandia in response to increasing evidence of its
    cardiovascular risks. Specifically, the FDA limited access to
    existing users and to new patients whose blood sugar could
    not be controlled with other medications and who had decided
    with their doctor not to take Actos, a competing TZD drug.
    Doctors were required to advise existing Avandia users of
    Avandia’s cardiovascular risks before continuing to prescribe
    it.
    Since its release, Avandia has been used on a regular
    basis by at least one million individuals in the United States
    and has generated billions of dollars in revenue for GSK. A
    one-month supply of Avandia has sold for $90 to $220, with
    the TPP covering between $135 and $140 per prescription
    and the patient paying the balance. This was a dramatic
    increase in the cost of Type II diabetes treatment. Previously,
    the most prevalent oral drug therapy, metformin, cost
    approximately $45 to $55 for a one-month supply, with the
    8
    TPP covering $40 to $50 of that amount. Although plaintiffs
    identify Actos as another alternative to Avandia, they do not
    provide the price which TPPs typically covered for Actos
    prescriptions.
    B.
    Plaintiffs bring this class action on behalf of
    themselves and other similarly situated TPPs that covered the
    cost of Avandia after May 25, 1999. They assert that GSK’s
    failure to disclose Avandia’s significant heart-related risks
    violated RICO based on predicate acts of mail fraud,3 wire
    fraud,4 tampering with witnesses,5 and use of interstate
    facilities to conduct unlawful activity.6 They also assert
    claims for unjust enrichment and violations of the
    Pennsylvania Unfair Trade Practices and Consumer
    Protection Law7 and other states’ consumer protection laws.
    Plaintiffs allege that GSK deliberately concealed the
    significant safety risks associated with the use of Avandia and
    continued to promote Avandia as a safer treatment for
    diabetes despite the known risks of heart attack and disease.
    Specifically, plaintiffs allege that GSK selectively
    manipulated data and scientific literature, made false and
    misleading statements in its 2007 advertising campaign, and
    intimidated physicians to publish false and misleading
    articles—all in order to increase Avandia sales. According to
    3
    See 18 U.S.C. § 1341.
    4
    See 
    id. § 1343.
    5
    See 
    id. § 1512.
    6
    See 
    id. § 1952.
    7
    See 73 Pa. Cons. Stat. §§ 201-1-201-9.3.
    9
    plaintiffs, TPPs and PBMs included Avandia in their
    formularies and covered Avandia at favorable rates in
    reliance on these misrepresentations by GSK. Plaintiffs
    allege that Avandia was worth less than the favorable rates at
    which they covered it (their “excess price” theory). Similarly,
    they     allege    that   physicians     relied   on    GSK’s
    misrepresentations in deciding to prescribe Avandia and
    would have prescribed Avandia to fewer patients had GSK
    not concealed Avandia’s risks (their “quantity effect” theory).
    Plaintiffs seek compensatory, punitive, and statutory damages
    for the financial harm they suffered as a result of GSK’s
    conduct, and they seek injunctive relief to prevent GSK from
    continuing its allegedly unlawful activities.
    On November 3, 2010, GSK moved to dismiss, in
    part, because plaintiffs failed to adequately allege standing
    under Section 1964(c) of RICO. The District Court rejected
    GSK’s arguments, holding that plaintiffs plausibly alleged
    that they had suffered a concrete economic injury based on
    the substantial savings they would have experienced had they
    covered cheaper alternatives to Avandia. This was true
    regardless of whether any beneficiary who had ingested
    Avandia became ill.
    The District Court also rejected GSK’s argument that
    plaintiffs failed to adequately allege proximate causation.
    According to the District Court, it is sufficient that plaintiffs
    alleged that doctors relied upon GSK’s misrepresentations in
    prescribing Avandia and that the TPPs themselves relied upon
    those misrepresentations in making formulary decisions. The
    District Court noted, however, that plaintiffs may have
    difficulty in proving causation at the next litigation stage
    because they did not restrict access to Avandia after the
    10
    Nissen study publicized Avandia’s heart-related risks. The
    District Court also rejected GSK’s argument that prescribing
    doctors’ independent actions broke the chain of causation.
    The District Court relied on In re Neurontin Marketing and
    Sales Practices Litigation,8 in which the First Circuit Court of
    Appeals held that, where a TPP is a primary and intended
    victim and the injury is foreseeable, the doctor’s independent
    actions do not break the causal chain.9
    On February 19, 2014, the District Court certified its
    decision for interlocutory appeal under 28 U.S.C. § 1292(b).
    The certified questions are the following:
    1) Did the Court err in its application of Maio
    v. AETNA, Inc. 10
    2)   Did the TPPs sufficiently plead that
    Defendant’s alleged misrepresentation about
    Avandia’s safety caused their injuries, when the
    TPPs continued to include Avandia on their
    formularies and cover the cost of Avandia for
    8
    
    712 F.3d 21
    (1st Cir. 2013).
    9
    The District Court also made a number of other findings,
    including that plaintiffs failed to adequately allege a claim for
    unjust enrichment. Because plaintiffs did not allege that
    Avandia injured their beneficiaries or failed to perform as
    advertised, the District Court held that they “received the
    benefit of their bargains” and therefore could not maintain a
    claim for unjust enrichment. This holding is not currently on
    appeal.
    10
    
    221 F.3d 472
    (3d Cir. 2000).
    11
    their members after the alleged cardiovascular
    risks of Avandia were well-publicized, and
    3) Does the independent judgment of doctors
    and decision-making of the physicians who
    wrote the prescriptions for Avandia render the
    causal chain too attenuated to state a claim?11
    We granted permission to appeal on April 15, 2014.
    II.12
    We exercise plenary review over a district court’s
    denial of a motion to dismiss for failure to state a claim under
    Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 12(b)(6).13 “A motion to
    dismiss pursuant to Rule 12(b)(6) may be granted only if,
    accepting all well pleaded allegations in the complaint as true,
    and viewing them in the light most favorable to plaintiff,
    plaintiff is not entitled to relief.”14 The facts alleged in the
    complaint must state a “plausible claim for relief.”15 “The
    issue is not whether a plaintiff will ultimately prevail but
    11
    We do not address plaintiffs’ state-law claims in this appeal
    because they are not explicitly addressed within the questions
    that have been certified to us.
    12
    The District Court had jurisdiction pursuant to 28 U.S.C. §
    1331. We have appellate jurisdiction pursuant to 28 U.S.C. §
    1292(b).
    13
    See Farber v. City of Paterson, 
    440 F.3d 131
    , 134 (3d Cir.
    2006).
    14
    In re Burlington Coat Factory Sec. Litig., 
    114 F.3d 1410
    ,
    1420 (3d Cir. 1997).
    15
    See Ashcroft v. Iqbal, 
    556 U.S. 662
    , 679 (2009).
    12
    whether the claimant is entitled to offer evidence to support
    the claims.”16 We also exercise plenary review over a district
    court’s legal determination that plaintiffs have standing to
    pursue a civil RICO action.17
    III.
    The issue on appeal is whether plaintiffs have
    adequately pled standing to pursue a civil action under
    Section 1964(c) of RICO. Section 1964(c) provides that:
    Any person injured in his business or property
    by reason of a violation of section 1962 of this
    chapter may sue therefor in any appropriate
    United States district court and shall recover
    threefold the damages he sustains and the cost
    of the suit, including a reasonable attorney’s fee
    . . ..18
    16
    
    Maio, 221 F.3d at 482
    (quoting In re 
    Burlington, 114 F.3d at 1420
    ).
    17
    See 
    id. 18 18
    U.S.C. § 1964(c). Section 1962 prohibits, in part, “any
    person employed by or associated with any enterprise
    engaged in, or the activities of which affect, interstate or
    foreign commerce” from “conduct[ing] or participat[ing],
    directly or indirectly, in the conduct of such enterprise’s
    affairs through a pattern of racketeering activity.” 
    Id. § 1962(c).
    A “racketeering activity” can consist of a variety of
    predicate offenses, including, as alleged in this case, mail
    fraud, wire fraud, tampering with witnesses, and use of
    interstate facilities to conduct unlawful activity, see 
    id. § 13
    The language of § 1964(c) requires a RICO plaintiff to show
    that the plaintiff suffered an injury to business or property and
    that the plaintiff’s injury was caused by the defendant’s
    violation of 18 U.S.C. § 1962.19 Section 1964(c)’s “limitation
    of RICO standing to persons ‘injured in [their] business or
    property’ has a ‘restrictive significance, which helps to assure
    that RICO is not expanded to provide a federal cause of
    action and treble damages to every tort plaintiff.’” 20
    A.
    We must first determine whether plaintiffs adequately
    alleged injury to business or property within the meaning of
    RICO. “‘[A] showing of injury requires proof of a concrete
    financial loss, and not mere injury to a valuable intangible
    property interest.’”21 This requirement “can be satisfied by
    allegations and proof of actual monetary loss, i.e., an out-of-
    pocket loss.”22
    GSK claims that the TPPs fail to assert a concrete
    injury, citing our decision in Maio. In that case, we
    considered whether health insurance beneficiaries could
    maintain a RICO claim for economic injury against their
    1961(1), and a “pattern” of such activity requires at least two
    acts, 
    id. § 1961(5).
    19
    See 
    Maio, 221 F.3d at 483
    .
    20
    
    Maio, 221 F.3d at 483
    (quoting Steele v. Hospital Corp. of
    Am., 
    36 F.3d 69
    , 70 (9th Cir. 1994)) (internal citation
    omitted).
    21
    
    Id. (quoting Steele,
    36 F.3d at 70).
    22
    
    Id. 14 insurer,
    Aetna, based on alleged misrepresentations regarding
    the services included in their HMO plans.23 The insured
    parties claimed that the insurer’s failure to disclose restrictive
    internal policies caused them injury by causing them to “pa[y]
    too much in premiums for an ‘inferior’ health care product.”24
    They alleged that the internal policies were designed to
    improve profitability at the expense of quality of care,
    whereas the insurer’s marketing campaign represented that
    the purchased policy focused on quality of care.25 The
    insured parties also claimed that the internal policies
    “restrict[ed] the physicians’ ability to provide the high quality
    health care . . . promised.”26
    We rejected the plaintiffs’ claims, finding that the
    insured parties suffered no cognizable injury. We construed
    the insured parties’ property interests as the intangible
    “contractual right to receive benefits in the form of covered
    medical services,” and found that the insured parties had
    suffered no injury absent allegations that they had received
    “inadequate, inferior delayed care, personal injuries resulting
    therefrom, or [the] denial of benefits due under the insurance
    arrangement.27 Because the insured parties specifically
    disclaimed any contractual shortcoming on the part of the
    insurer, they “simply c[ould not] establish as a factual matter
    that they received anything less than what they bargained
    for.”28 Instead, the alleged economic harm was “contingent
    23
    See 
    id. at 483-84.
    24
    
    Id. at 484-85.
    25
    
    Id. at 474.
    26
    
    Id. at 475.
    27
    
    Id. at 490.
    28
    
    Id. at 494.
    15
    upon the impact of events in the future” – namely, inadequate
    care produced by the insurer’s internal policies.29 We
    concluded that plaintiffs could not establish that they had
    suffered a tangible economic harm because their theory of
    injury was premised solely on the possibility that they might
    receive inadequate healthcare in the future.30
    GSK argues that here too, the TPPs’ injury is
    predicated on the possibility that future events might occur –
    namely, that the drugs purchased by the TPPs will prove to be
    unsafe or ineffective. However, because the TPPs do not
    allege that they received unsafe or ineffective prescriptions,
    GSK argues that they have received exactly what they
    bargained for and that they have not suffered a concrete
    injury.
    The TPPs respond that their injury is one which has
    long been considered concrete: overpayment due to illegal or
    deceptive marketing practices. They cite our decision in In re
    Warfarin Sodium Antitrust Litigation,31 in which TPPs
    alleged that DuPont violated antitrust law by disseminating
    false and misleading information about a cheaper generic
    drug, causing the TPPs to cover the cost of duPont’s more
    expensive brand name drug.32 We held that “TPPs, like
    29
    
    Id. at 494-95.
    30
    
    Id. at 495.
    31
    391F.3d 516 (3d Cir. 2004).
    32
    Although Warfarin was an antitrust case, it is applicable
    here because RICO’s standing requirements were modeled on
    antitrust law. In drafting Section 1964(c), Congress “used the
    same words [as § 7 of the Sherman Act and § 4 of the Clayton
    Act], and we can only assume it intended them to have the
    16
    individual consumers, suffer[] direct economic harm when, as
    a result of [a pharmaceutical company’s] alleged
    misrepresentations, they pa[y] supracompetitive prices for
    [brand drugs] instead of purchasing lower-priced generic
    [drugs].”33     According to the TPPs, if allegedly
    anticompetitive behavior that leads to overpayment
    establishes a concrete injury, then so should allegedly
    fraudulent behaviorthat leads to overpayment.
    We agree with the TPPs that Warfarin offers the
    closest analogy to the facts of this case and that GSK’s
    reliance on Maio is distinguishable in one crucial respect:
    unlike the injury suffered by plaintiffs in Maio, the injury
    suffered by the TPPs here is not contingent on future events.
    The TPPs’ damages do not depend on the effectiveness of the
    Avandia that they purchased, but rather on the inflationary
    effect that GSK’s allegedly fraudulent behavior had on the
    price of Avandia. By contrast, the damages suffered by the
    plaintiffs in Maio were entirely dependent on the quality of
    the health care they received. Because the plaintiffs in that
    case did not allege that they had received inadequate care,
    their “theory of present economic loss require[d] a significant
    degree of factual speculation,”34 and was thus insufficient to
    establish standing.
    same meaning that courts had already given them.” See
    
    Holmes, 503 U.S. at 266-68
    ; see also Steamfitters Local
    Union No. 420 Welfare Fund v. Philip Morris, Inc., 
    171 F.3d 912
    , 921, 932 (3d Cir. 1999).
    33
    
    Warfarin, 391 F.3d at 531
    .
    34
    
    Maio, 221 F.3d at 495
    .
    17
    To further illustrate the point, suppose that the
    defendants in Warfarin had asserted that the TPPS had failed
    to establish standing because they had not alleged that the
    drugs they had purchased were ineffective. That argument
    would have been rejected by the court: the injury suffered by
    the TPPs in that case did not depend on the drug’s
    ineffectiveness but rather on the defendant’s anticompetitive
    behavior. That same logic would apply here. The injury
    suffered by the TPPs in this case does not depend on
    Avandia’s ineffectiveness, but rather on GSK’s fraudulent
    behavior. As such, the TPPs’ theory of economic loss does
    not require factual speculation. If we accept the plausible
    allegations in the complaint as true, the fraudulent behavior
    alleged in their complaint has already occurred, and its effect
    on the price of Avandia is not contingent on future events.
    Reliance on our decisions in In re Schering-Plough
    Corp. Intron/Temodar Consumer Class Action,35 and Horvath
    v. Keystone Health Plan East, Inc.,36 is similarly misplaced.
    In Schering-Plough, TPPs alleged that Schering’s off-label
    promotional activities of certain drugs caused them economic
    injury. Relying on Maio, the District Court held that the
    plaintiffs lacked standing to assert this injury because they
    failed to allege that any consumers or beneficiaries received
    inadequate drugs or suffered personal injuries.37 On appeal,
    we affirmed the District Court on causation grounds. To the
    35
    
    678 F.3d 235
    (3d Cir. 2012).
    36
    
    333 F.3d 450
    (3d Cir. 2003).
    37
    See No. 2:06-cv-5774, 
    2009 WL 2043605
    , at *16 (D.N.J.
    July 10, 2009).
    18
    extent we agreed with the District Court’s injury analysis in
    that case, we did so in dictum, not in binding precedent.38
    Horvath, an ERISA case, is distinguishable on the
    same basis as Maio. In Horvath, as in Maio, the plaintiff
    alleged that she overpaid for the healthcare provided by an
    HMO due to the HMO’s misleading statements.39 But the
    plaintiff “d[id] not allege . . . that the care she received from
    the Keystone HMO was defective or substandard in any
    way.”40 Accordingly, we noted that the plaintiff’’s claims
    “rest not only on the troublesome assumption that a factfinder
    can accurately determine the amount her [employer] allegedly
    overpaid [the HMO], but also on the notion that the
    [employer] would have passed these savings on to its
    employees in the form of a higher salary or additional
    benefits.41 We determined that such a claim was too
    speculative to establish standing.42 In this case, however, if
    we accept the TPPs’ plausible allegations as true – as we are
    required to do at this stage – then no speculation is required to
    determine whether they suffered an injury.
    GSK advances one final argument for its position that
    the TPPs have not suffered a concrete injury. Relying on the
    Eleventh Circuit Court of Appeals’ decision in Ironworkers
    Local Union 68 v. AstraZeneca Pharm., LP., 43 GSK argues
    that TPPs can statistically anticipate a certain level of fraud
    38
    See 
    Schering-Plough, 678 F.3d at 246
    .
    39
    
    Horvath, 333 F.3d at 452
    .
    40
    
    Id. at 453.
    41
    
    Id. at 457.
    42
    
    Id. 43 634
    F.3d 1352 (11th Cir. 2011).
    19
    and pass this risk on to their beneficiaries in the form of
    higher premiums. In Ironworkers, a case with facts similar to
    these, the court found the plaintiff insurance companies
    suffered no injury because they “adjust[] their premiums
    upward to reflect the projected value of claims” for payment
    of “medically unnecessary or inappropriate prescriptions of
    formulary drugs” – “even those caused by fraudulent
    marketing.44 Although GSK says that the TPPs “presumably”
    adjusted their premiums in this way, we are not entitled to
    make such a presumption at the motion-to-dismiss stage.
    Furthermore, the argument lacks a limiting principle.45
    B.
    In addition to cognizable injury, a RICO plaintiff must
    satisfy RICO’s proximate causation requirements.              In
    evaluating the requirement for proximate cause in a RICO
    case, we cannot look only to the language of § 1964(c). It is
    too broad: “Any person injured in his business or property by
    reason of a violation of section 1962 of this chapter . . . shall
    recover . . ..” The Supreme Court has been concerned about
    this breadth of language, which on its face might “be read to
    mean that a plaintiff is injured ‘by reason of’ a RICO
    violation, and therefore may recover, simply on showing that
    the defendant violated § 1962, the plaintiff was injured, and
    44
    
    Id. at 1364,
    1368.
    45
    Were it “[t]aken to its ultimate conclusion . . a retailer
    would be unable to claim injury from shoplifting, or a bank
    from robbery, on the ground that their business models
    presumably accounted for such losses in pricing their
    products and services.” Br. Amicus Curiae Third Party
    Payors at 10.
    20
    the defendant’s violation was a ‘but for’ cause of plaintiff’s
    injury.”46
    The Court addressed this overbreadth concern in
    Holmes v. Securities Investor Protection Corp.47 Noting that
    Congress had modeled the broad language of § 1964(c) on the
    language of the federal antitrust laws, the Court pointed out
    that historically the lower federal courts had read § 4 of the
    Clayton Act with the intent of adopting “the judicial gloss
    that avoided a simple literal interpretation . . ..”48 Thus, the
    Court had held in the antitrust case of Associated General
    Contractors that “the judicial remedy cannot encompass
    every conceivable harm that can be traced to alleged
    wrongdoing.”49
    The Holmes Court found the remedy for this
    overbreadth in the doctrine of “proximate cause.” The Court
    specified that “we use ‘proximate cause’ to label generically
    the judicial tools used to limit a person’s responsibility for the
    consequences of that person’s acts.”50 Because of the
    common language of § 1964(c) and of § 4 of the Clayton Act,
    the Court in Holmes then discussed the elements of proximate
    cause developed in the common law and, in doing so, referred
    46
    Holmes v. Securities Investor Protection Corp., 
    503 U.S. 258
    , 265-66 (1992) (comparing Associated General
    Contractors of California, Inc. v. California State Council of
    Carpenters, 
    459 U.S. 519
    , 529 (1983).
    47
    
    503 U.S. 258
    (1992).
    48
    
    Id. at 267-68
    (quoting Associated General 
    Contractors, 459 U.S. at 534
    .
    49
    Associated General 
    Contractors, 459 U.S. at 537
    .
    50
    
    Holmes, 503 U.S. at 268
    .
    21
    to Associated General Contractors.51 Among the “many
    shapes” that the doctrine of proximate cause took at common
    law “was a demand for some direct relation between the
    injury asserted and the injurious conduct alleged. Thus, a
    plaintiff who complained of harm flowing merely from the
    misfortunes visited upon a third person by the defendant’s
    acts was generally said to stand at too remote a distance to
    recover.”52
    The Holmes Court stated that there are three reasons
    behind the requirement of a directness of relationship
    between the injury and conduct alleged. First, the directness
    of the injury: indirect injuries make it difficult “to ascertain
    the amount of a plaintiff’s damages attributable to the
    violation, as distinct from other, independent factors.”53
    Second, the risk of multiple recoveries: indirect injuries may
    present such a risk and courts would have to adopt
    complicated rules apportioning damages to guard against this
    risk.54 Third, the likelihood of vindication by others: the
    need to grapple with the problems presented by indirect
    claims may be unjustified “since directly injured victims can
    generally be counted on to vindicate the law as private
    attorneys general.”55
    In Holmes, the Court concluded that the Securities
    Investor Protection Corporation (SIPC) had failed to satisfy
    51
    
    459 U.S. 519
    .
    52
    Holmes at 268-69 (citing 1 J. Sutherland, Law of Damages
    55-56 (1882)).
    53
    
    Id. at 269.
    54
    
    Id. 55 Id.
    at 269-70.
    22
    the proximate cause requirement.56 The SIPC, as a subrogee,
    alleged that the defendant engaged in a stock manipulation
    scheme, which caused two broker-dealers to become
    insolvent and, in turn, required that the SIPC reimburse the
    broker-dealers’ customers’ losses.57 The Supreme Court held
    that, even if plaintiffs stood in the shoes of the customers,
    “the link is too remote between the stock manipulation
    alleged and the customers’ harm, being purely contingent on
    the harm suffered by the broker-dealers.”58
    Since Holmes, the Court has found proximate cause
    lacking in RICO cases when the conduct directly causing the
    harm was distinct from the actions that gave rise to the fraud.
    In Anza v. Ideal Steel Supply Corp.,59 plaintiff alleged that a
    competing business caused it harm by defrauding the State
    tax authority and using the proceeds to offer lower prices to
    attract more customers.60 The Court held that the cause of
    plaintiff’s harm was “a set of actions (offering lower prices)
    entirely distinct from the alleged RICO violation (defrauding
    the State.).”61 A plurality of the justices reached a similar
    decision in Hemi Group, LLC v. City of New York,62 where
    New York City alleged that out-of-state cigarette sellers
    failed to file Jenkins Act reports with the State, and asserted
    injury in the form of lost taxes from City residents.63 The
    56
    See 
    id. at 261-63.
    57
    See 
    id. 58 Id.
    at 271.
    59
    
    547 U.S. 451
    (2006).
    60
    
    Id. at 457-58.
    61
    
    Id. at 458.
    62
    
    559 U.S. 1
    (2010).
    63
    
    Id. at 4-5.
    23
    plurality concluded that causation was even more attenuated
    than in Anza because “the City’s theory of liability rest[ed]
    not just on separate actions, but separate actions carried out
    by separate parties.”64 “Put simply, Hemi’s obligation was to
    file the Jenkins Act reports with the State, not the City, and
    the City’s harm was directly caused by the customers, not
    Hemi.”65
    In contrast, however, if there is a sufficiently direct
    relationship between the defendant’s wrongful conduct and
    the plaintiffs’ injury, the Court has held that a RICO plaintiff
    who did not directly rely on a defendant’s misrepresentation
    can still establish proximate causation.66 In Bridge v. Phoenix
    Bond & Indemnity Co., bidders at a county tax lien auction
    alleged that they were directly harmed by other bidders’
    fraudulent scheme to win more bids at the auction.67 The
    defendants argued that the plaintiffs could not establish
    proximate causation because even though the county may
    have relied on defendants’ misrepresentations, plaintiffs did
    not.68 Rejecting this argument, the Court held that the
    “alleged injury—the loss of valuable liens—[was] the direct
    result of petitioners’ fraud [because] . . . . [i]t was a
    foreseeable and natural consequence of petitioners’ scheme to
    obtain more liens for themselves that other bidders would
    obtain fewer liens.”69
    64
    
    Id. at 11.
    65
    
    Id. 66 553
    U.S. 639, 657-58 (2008).
    67
    See 
    id. at 642.
    68
    See 
    id. at 653.
    69
    
    Id. at 658.
    24
    Keeping in mind that at the motion-to-dismiss stage
    we must accept all plausible allegations in the complaint as
    true, we view the case before us as more akin to Bridge than
    to Holmes, Anza, or Hemi. The Court in Holmes, Anza, and
    Hemi was concerned that the conduct causing plaintiffs’
    injuries was different than the conduct allegedly constituting
    a RICO violation.70 Each of those cases featured plaintiffs
    alleging harm that was derivative of harm suffered by a more
    immediate victim of the RICO activity. Here, GSK focuses
    on the presence of intermediaries—physicians and patients—
    in the causal chain. But GSK does not argue that a doctor’s
    decision to prescribe Avandia or a patient’s decision to take
    Avandia caused plaintiffs’ injuries.       The conduct that
    allegedly caused plaintiffs’ injuries is the same conduct
    70
    See, e.g., 
    Holmes, 503 U.S. at 272
    (“[T]he link is too
    remote between the stock manipulation alleged and the
    customers’ harm, being purely contingent on the harm
    suffered by the broker-dealers . . .. The broker-dealers simply
    cannot pay their bills, and only that intervening insolvency
    connects the conspirators’ acts to the losses suffered by the
    nonpurchasing customers and general creditors.”); 
    Anza, 547 U.S. at 458
    (“Ideal asserts it suffered its own harms when the
    Anzas failed to charge customers for the applicable sales tax.
    The cause of Ideal’s asserted harms, however, is a set of
    actions (offering lower prices) entirely distinct from the
    alleged RICO violation (defrauding the State).”); 
    Hemi, 559 U.S. at 11
    (“[T]he conduct directly responsible for the City’s
    harm was the customers’ failure to pay their taxes. And the
    conduct constituting the alleged fraud was Hemi’s failure to
    file Jenkins Act reports. Thus, as in Anza, the conduct
    directly causing the harm was distinct from the conduct
    giving rise to the fraud.”).
    25
    forming the basis of the RICO scheme alleged in the
    complaint – the misrepresentation of the heart-related risks of
    taking Avandia that caused TPPs and PBMs to place Avandia
    in the formulary. The injury alleged by the TPPs is an
    economic injury independent of any physical injury suffered
    by Avandia users.71 And, as far as we can tell, prescribing
    physicians did not suffer RICO injury from GSK’s marketing
    of Avandia.
    Nor should there be difficulty in distinguishing
    between the amount of damages attributable to a defendant’s
    violation and to other, independent factors. The amount of
    damages is either the difference between what Avandia
    coverage cost and the cost of coverage of cheaper, safer drugs
    and/or the overvaluation of Avandia caused by GSK’s
    misrepresentations. This issue of damages, rather than
    demonstrating a lack of proximate causation, raises an issue
    of proof regarding the overall number of prescriptions (under
    the “quantity effect” theory) or amount of price inflation
    (under the “excess price” theory) attributable to GSK’s
    actions. This is a question of damages and, more specifically,
    a question for another day.
    GSK, however, claims that plaintiffs’ theory of
    causation—that TPPs relied on GSK’s misrepresentations
    when including Avandia on formularies—fails as a matter of
    law. According to GSK, plaintiffs cannot establish causation
    71
    See 
    Warfarin, 391 F.3d at 531
    (holding that TPPs had
    standing to assert antitrust claims because they suffered
    “direct and independent harm” as a result of paying
    supracompetitive prices for the defendant’s drug regardless of
    any injury suffered by the consumer plaintiffs).
    26
    because they continued to cover Avandia prescriptions after
    its safety risks were publicly exposed in May 2007. But this
    argument is based on two faulty assumptions. GSK first asks
    us to assume, in the absence of contrary allegations, that
    plaintiffs did not change their coverage of Avandia in 2007.72
    At this stage, however, we do not know that this is true.
    In addition, GSK’s argument assumes that plaintiffs
    knew the full scope of GSK’s alleged fraud based on the
    Nissen study. Other TPPs, however, may have chosen to
    remove Avandia from their formularies in May 2007 simply
    out of an abundance of caution, not due to knowledge of
    Avandia’s full scope of risks. In fact, GSK responded to the
    Nissen study with a marketing campaign, which plaintiffs
    allege was specifically designed to minimize the report’s
    effects on the medical community. Furthermore, the FDA
    merely added black box warnings to Avandia in 2007 and did
    not restrict Avandia usage until September 2010, over three
    years after the Nissen study’s release. Viewing these facts in
    the light most favorable to plaintiffs, we cannot conclude at
    this stage that Avandia’s cardiovascular risks were fully
    known in May 2007.
    GSK further argues that plaintiffs’ claim, that doctors
    relied on GSK’s misrepresentations when prescribing
    Avandia, fails because there are no allegations that alternative
    prescriptions would have been cheaper. As a preliminary
    matter, plaintiffs’ injury is not entirely contingent on the
    72
    See Oral Arg. Tr. at 9:19-10:2 (“There’s no allegation in
    the complaint [Plaintiffs] changed any behavior [in 2007].
    And so I think the Court should assume that no change in
    behavior occurred.”).
    27
    existence of cheaper alternative drugs. Although these
    allegations are central to plaintiffs’ “quantity effect” theory,
    they are less important to an “excess price” theory. Under
    that theory, plaintiffs may be able to show that Avandia cost
    too much regardless of whether cheaper drugs existed on the
    market.
    In any event, plaintiffs identify metformin as a cheaper
    alternative drug, which they allege was the most prevalent
    oral drug therapy for Type II diabetes prior to Avandia and
    cost substantially less than Avandia.           Despite GSK’s
    contention, it was not necessary for plaintiffs to have included
    a price comparison between Avandia and Actos, another Type
    II diabetes drug. Although metformin may belong to an older
    class of drugs, it is not entirely clear when -- or even if --
    Actos was a more popular alternative to Avandia than
    metformin. Again, GSK seeks a dismissal as a matter of law
    when there is a factual dispute between plaintiffs and GSK on
    the existence of alternative therapies. It is sufficient that a
    plaintiff identify in the pleadings a specific alternative drug
    that doctors would have prescribed and that would have cost
    less.
    Finally, GSK argues that the presence of
    intermediaries, doctors and patients, destroys proximate
    causation because they were the ones who ultimately decided
    whether to rely on GSK’s misrepresentations. But Bridge
    precludes that argument. The plaintiffs in Bridge were the
    “primary and intended victims of the scheme to defraud” and
    their injury was a “foreseeable and natural consequence of
    [the] scheme,” regardless of whether they relied on the
    28
    misrepresentations.73 The same is true here. Plaintiffs allege
    that drug manufacturers are well aware that TPPs cover the
    cost of their drugs and describe the alleged RICO scheme as
    consisting of “deliberately misrepresenting the safety of
    Avandia so that Plaintiff and members of the Class paid for
    this drug.”74 This fraudulent scheme could have been
    successful only if plaintiffs paid for Avandia, and this is the
    very injury that plaintiffs seek recovery for. We conclude
    therefore that plaintiffs’ alleged injury is sufficiently direct to
    satisfy the RICO proximate cause requirement at this stage.75
    Nor does this decision conflict with our holding in
    Steamfitters Local Union No. 420 Welfare Fund v. Philip
    Morris, Inc.76 There, we held that proximate causation was
    lacking where TPPs sued cigarette manufacturers based on
    alleged misrepresentations and sought damages for the money
    spent treating beneficiaries’ smoking-related health
    conditions.77 Analogizing to Holmes, we concluded that the
    smokers, like the broker-dealers there, were the “third party
    linking the plaintiffs and defendants.”78 In both cases,
    plaintiffs only “suffered a loss because of the harm that the
    defendants brought upon th[at] third party.”79 That is not
    73
    
    See 553 U.S. at 650
    , 658.
    74
    J.A.120, ¶ 184 (Allied Services Compl.); J.A.193, ¶ 178
    (UFCW Local 1776 Compl.); J.A.265, ¶ 235 (United Benefit
    Compl.).
    75
    See 
    Neurontin, 712 F.3d at 37-38
    .
    76
    
    171 F.3d 912
    (3d Cir. 1999).
    77
    
    Id. at 930.
    78
    
    Id. at 932.
    79
    
    Id. 29 what
    happened here. Although GSK identifies third parties,
    doctors and patients, within the causal chain, plaintiffs did not
    suffer economic harm because those third parties were
    injured.
    To sum up, this case does not present any of the three
    fundamental causation concerns expressed in Holmes. At
    least for the purposes of this motion to dismiss, the injury is
    sufficiently direct. There is no risk of duplicative recovery
    here. And, no one is better suited to sue GSK for its alleged
    fraud.80 At this stage in the litigation, plaintiffs “need only
    put forth allegations that raise a reasonable expectation that
    discovery will reveal evidence” of proximate causation.81
    They have done that here.
    IV.
    Plaintiffs have plausibly alleged the elements of RICO
    standing, and GSK has not offered a valid justification for
    limiting the claims at this stage of the litigation. While many
    of these issues will resurface in the future, we will not opine
    on the likelihood of plaintiffs’ success down the road. We
    simply hold that it would be premature to dismiss plaintiffs’
    well-pled RICO allegations at this juncture. Accordingly, we
    will affirm the judgment of the District Court.
    80
    See 
    Bridge, 553 U.S. at 658
    .
    81
    See Fowler v. UPMC Shadyside, 
    578 F.3d 203
    , 213 (3d
    Cir. 2009) (internal quotations omitted).
    30