Horace Branch v. Cindy Sweeney , 758 F.3d 226 ( 2014 )


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  •                                         PRECEDENTIAL
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE THIRD CIRCUIT
    ______________
    No. 13-1657
    ________________
    HORACE BRANCH,
    Appellant
    v.
    CINDY SWEENEY, ASSOCIATE ADMINISTRATOR;
    THE ATTORNEY GENERAL OF THE
    STATE OF NEW JERSEY
    ________________
    On Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the District of New Jersey
    (D.C. Civ. No. 2-10-cv-05933)
    Honorable Susan D. Wigenton, District Judge
    ________________
    Argued March 24, 2014
    BEFORE: FUENTES, GREENBERG, and
    VAN ANTWERPEN, Circuit Judges
    (Filed: July 9, 2014)
    ______________
    Sean E. Andrussier
    Phillip Barber
    Melissa Boatner
    Adam Garmezy
    Elyse Lyons (argued)
    Duke University School of Law
    Science Drive and Towerview Road
    Box 90360
    Durham, NC 27708
    Attorneys for Appellant
    Carolyn A. Murray
    Acting Essex County Prosecutor
    Sara A. Friedman (argued)
    Essex County Office of Prosecutor
    Room 358
    50 West Market Street
    Essex County Veterans Courthouse
    Newark, NJ 07102
    Attorneys for Appellees
    ______________
    OPINION OF THE COURT
    ______________
    GREENBERG, Circuit Judge.
    2
    I. INTRODUCTION
    What is more believable: that an experienced criminal
    would risk his life by attempting to rob armed drug dealers in
    close quarters, or that while unarmed he would go into a drug
    den to demand a refund of $50 that he spent at the den for
    cocaine that he discovered was fake? And once inside, is it
    more likely that, while taking open gun fire from behind, he
    would turn around to shoot back rather than flee, or that he
    would dive at a weapon about to be discharged at him? The jury
    in the criminal trial of the allegedly defrauded habeas corpus
    petitioner, Horace Branch, the appellant in this case, struggled
    with these questions. It sent a stream of notes to the trial court,
    prompting the court to respond at one point that it “can give you
    no more than what you heard.” J.A. 330. In the end, the jury
    returned a mixed verdict, crediting the part of the prosecution’s
    case charging that Branch shot the victim after entering the
    premises, but not the part charging Branch with robbing some of
    the den’s occupants at the time of the shooting.
    We are not concerned on this appeal from the denial of a
    petition for habeas corpus with whether the evidence supported
    the verdict to the extent that the jury found Branch guilty. But
    we are concerned with the jury’s apparent struggle in reaching
    its verdict, as well as the questionable theory of the
    prosecution’s case and the questionable character of its shaky
    witnesses, as these factors are relevant to the question we face
    today: whether the state courts that reviewed Branch’s petition
    for post-conviction relief (“PCR”) unreasonably applied federal
    law in holding that his trial counsel was not constitutionally
    ineffective for failing to call two potentially exculpatory
    3
    witnesses. In particular, Branch anticipated that these witnesses,
    in testimony consistent with their written sworn pretrial
    statements, which he claims he passed on to his counsel before
    the trial, would have corroborated his account of the events at
    the time of the shooting and alleged robberies. Branch
    submitted these witnesses’ sworn statements to the state PCR
    court and asked for an evidentiary hearing on his counsel’s
    effectiveness.1 The PCR court rejected his request and denied
    Branch relief. Branch appealed, and the Appellate Division of
    the New Jersey Superior Court affirmed the PCR court’s order
    denying Branch relief with respect to the ineffective assistance
    of counsel claim before us.
    Branch subsequently filed a petition for habeas corpus in
    the District Court pursuant to 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    . Without
    holding an evidentiary hearing, the Court adopted the PCR
    court’s reasoning and, by order of February 11, 2013, denied
    1
    In our November 21, 2013 order granting a certificate of
    appealability, we allowed Branch to expand the record to the
    extent of permitting him to submit documents filed in the trial
    level state PCR court, showing that he had raised the precise
    claim in that court that he later made in the habeas corpus
    proceedings in the District Court, and that he requested an
    evidentiary hearing in the state PCR court on his trial counsel’s
    effectiveness. Appellees, who we will call the State, do not
    contend that Branch’s petition is untimely, that Branch has not
    fully exhausted his state court remedies, or that for any reason
    he is procedurally barred from raising the issues we address on
    this appeal.
    4
    Branch’s petition. In reaching its conclusion, the Court
    indicated that the proposed witnesses’ testimony was
    “cumulative” and that Branch’s trial counsel could have based
    his decision not to call the witnesses on his trial strategy.
    After examining the state-court record, we cannot find
    any justification for Branch’s trial counsel’s failure to call the
    two potential witnesses to testify at Branch’s trial. If Branch’s
    counsel had called those witnesses and they adhered to their
    pretrial written statements, there is a reasonable probability that
    the relatively balanced scale of evidence at Branch’s trial would
    not have been tilted in the State’s favor. The state courts’
    conclusions that Branch’s counsel’s representation was not
    deficient and that his counsel’s failure to call the witnesses did
    not prejudice Branch were unreasonable applications of federal
    law, and the District Court therefore was required to review
    Branch’s petition de novo. That review, in turn, would have
    required the Court to hold a hearing to ascertain trial counsel’s
    reasons for not calling the potential witnesses. Because the
    Court did not take these steps, it abused its discretion, and
    therefore we will vacate the order of February 11, 2013, denying
    the petition for habeas corpus and will remand the case to the
    District Court for further proceedings. We specifically direct
    the Court to hold an evidentiary hearing to ascertain whether
    Branch’s counsel provided him with ineffective assistance of
    counsel because he did not call these potential witnesses to
    testify at trial.
    II. FACTUAL BACKGROUND
    5
    On November 4, 1993, Branch entered the apartment
    building at 260 Prince Street in Newark, New Jersey—a
    premises infested with a criminal element including drug dealers
    and addicts. At Branch’s criminal trial the parties sharply
    disputed the reason why Branch went to the premises and what
    happened once he was inside. It is undisputed, however, that
    Branch had some role in the fatal shooting of Randolph Mosley
    in the building. It is also undisputed that when the police
    arrested Branch on the day following the shooting he had
    possession of the weapon that had been used to kill Mosley.
    Branch testified at the criminal trial that he went to 260
    Prince Street to retrieve $50 that he had paid for “beat,” or fake,
    cocaine at that premises. He said that he obtained the drugs
    from Phillip Murphy, who was outside of the building serving as
    a lookout for drug dealers inside the building. Murphy multi-
    tasked as he also procured drugs from a dealer inside when a
    purchaser arrived. Branch determined that the dealer supplying
    his cocaine gave him a product that was partially baking soda
    and he wanted a refund of the purchase price. Branch, though
    he claims to have been unarmed, insisted that he and Murphy go
    inside the building to get his money back but he soon found out
    that in the narcotics retail market all sales are final. Upon
    entering, Branch saw eight to ten people, including Kenneth
    Dortch, Michael Davis, and Patricia Lee, standing against the
    walls.
    Branch testified that, addressing everyone in the hallway,
    he asked who had supplied the beat cocaine. Branch contended
    that Lee responded by pulling out a gun and telling Branch to
    “get the fuck out of here.” J.A. 263. Branch—a slender man of
    6
    5’5”—rushed the taller Lee to avoid getting shot. Though
    someone tried to intercept Branch from behind, he managed to
    get his hands on Lee’s wrist. In the ensuing scramble Lee and
    Branch fell to the floor and, according to Branch, as they fell
    Lee’s gun discharged firing bullets that struck Mosley. Branch
    claims that when he was on the floor, he overheard Lee
    remarking that she thought she had shot Mosley. In a critical
    assertion, he states that Lee dropped her gun at a place within
    his reach, so he grabbed it and ran out of the building. But Lee
    obtained a second gun and joined a group of four individuals
    that chased him down the street. Branch, however, eventually
    eluded his pursuers and escaped.
    Branch called two witnesses who confirmed his account
    of the events. First, Davis, who was at 260 Prince Street when
    Branch sought his refund, indirectly corroborated Branch’s
    reason for going inside the building as Davis testified that he,
    too, had purchased bad cocaine from Lee. Moreover, Davis
    heard Branch complain to Lee about the “beat” drugs and then
    saw Lee pull out a gun and start “tussling” with Branch. Davis
    testified that Lee’s gun went off two or three times, and he then
    ran out of the building.
    Branch also called Keith Barnhill, Mosley’s childhood
    friend, as a witness. Although Barnhill was not present at the
    time of the shooting, he testified that he later had a conversation
    with Lee in which she largely confirmed Branch’s description of
    Mosley’s shooting. Barnhill testified that Lee told him that
    Branch complained to her about the sale of bad cocaine, that she
    pulled a gun on him, and that “they got into a struggle.” He also
    testified that Lee “was saying that she thinks she might have
    7
    shot [Mosley].” J.A. 246-47.
    The State called several eyewitnesses who contradicted
    Branch’s account. The collective thrust of their testimony was
    that Branch went to the building to rob its occupants and ended
    up shooting and killing Mosley. Murphy stated that Branch
    came to 260 Prince Street to purchase cocaine and that he,
    Murphy, went into the building to obtain the cocaine. At that
    time, instead of paying him for the cocaine, Branch took out a
    gun, pointed it at Murphy, and told him to lead the way inside.
    As he entered, Branch exclaimed, “all-right, mother-fuckers, this
    is a stick-up.” J.A. 72. Everyone then followed his command to
    put their hands up against the wall. According to Murphy,
    Branch ordered him to get his “stash,” thus giving Murphy the
    opportunity to run upstairs to his apartment. When Murphy got
    upstairs, he heard gunshots and came down to see Mosley
    bleeding on the ground. Following the incident, Murphy told
    one of the investigators that Lee openly wondered if she had
    shot Mosley.
    Dortch supplied additional details. Though his testimony
    is confusing, we understand that he claimed that he was outside
    of 260 Prince Street when Branch arrived, and that Branch
    robbed him of money when he was going inside and took
    cocaine from Murphy. Dortch testified that when Branch
    entered the building, he robbed Lee but overlooked her “little”
    gun (“maybe a .22 or .25[mm]”), J.A. 129-30, which she took
    out to shoot him; Branch shot back. Like Murphy, Dortch also
    conceded that Lee originally thought that she had shot Mosley,
    quoting her saying, “oh, my God, I think I got [Mosley].” J.A.
    131-32.
    8
    The State called Lee and Eddie Ratchford as additional
    eyewitnesses. Lee, who was a defendant in unrelated pending
    criminal proceedings, testified for the State in the hope of
    obtaining favorable treatment in those cases. Lee testified that
    Branch walked into 260 Prince Street, shooting and demanding
    drugs. She said that Mosley fled when Branch fired a warning
    shot as he entered the building. She also testified that while
    Branch was waiting for delivery of cocaine, he robbed her,
    taking her jewelry, coat, and money. Lee said that Branch
    patted her down but did not notice a gun which she then used to
    shoot at Branch as he was leaving the building. According to
    Lee, Branch fired back at her, but, instead, hit Mosley who had
    reentered the building. Lee admitted that she originally thought
    she had shot Mosley.
    The next witness, Ratchford, stated only that he came
    downstairs from his apartment in the middle of the “stick-up,”
    and that when he exited the elevator, he saw a man with a “big
    gun” that “[c]ould have been like a nine millimeter.” J.A. 207.
    At first, Ratchford identified that man as Branch to the police,
    though at trial he said that he did not have an independent
    recollection of the incident or of the identification he had given.
    Although the witnesses testifying to the events at 260
    Prince Street for Branch and the prosecution recounted two
    irreconcilable and confusing versions of the events, they had one
    thing in common: long records of criminal activity, some
    involving violent crimes. Inasmuch as the witnesses were asked
    about their criminal records, the jury was well aware of their
    criminal backgrounds.
    9
    In addition to the witnesses from the criminal world, the
    State offered witnesses from a different milieu. The officer who
    arrested Branch testified that when he was attempting to arrest
    Branch, Branch ran from him, fought him, and even tried to pull
    a weapon as the officer was arresting him. A ballistics expert,
    Detective Gary Prystauk, explained that the weapon was the
    nine millimeter gun used to fire the bullets that struck Mosley.
    Prystauk did not test the gun for fingerprints because it had not
    been seized immediately after the crime. The State’s next
    witness, Dr. Joan Obe, described the places where the two
    bullets entered Mosley’s body. The first bullet hit Mosley in the
    chest and passed through multiple organs; the second entered the
    back of his knee. She testified that at least one of the shots that
    hit Mosley had not been fired at close range.
    The jury, hearing these confusing and conflicting
    eyewitness accounts and inconclusive expert testimony, quite
    clearly was torn, and understandably sent a number of questions
    to the court during deliberations seeking assistance. Thus, it
    asked why Branch had not been charged with armed robbery of
    Lee as the jury knew that he had been charged with robbing
    Mosley, Murphy, and Dortch and there was testimony that he
    also robbed Lee. It also asked whether Lee had been charged
    with any crime, whether the police had found the bullets that
    struck any part of the hallway, and whether it could obtain
    additional information about Lee. When the New Jersey
    Supreme Court reviewed the jury’s stream of questions on
    Branch’s direct appeal from his convictions, it said that the jury
    was, “[o]bviously struggling with a cast of characters that
    included three drug pushers, one of whom was armed with a
    gun, and a disgruntled drug buyer, who was also said to be
    10
    armed.” State v. Branch, 
    714 A.2d 918
    , 923-24 (N.J. 1998).
    Despite its apparent reservations, the jury found Branch
    guilty of a homicide offense in Mosley’s killing, as it convicted
    him, among other crimes, of felony murder, aggravated
    manslaughter, and resisting arrest. But it acquitted him of
    purposeful murder and of robbing Mosley, Murphy, and Dortch.
    In October 2005, after direct state appellate proceedings and
    two remands of his case to the trial court with results that we
    need not describe, the trial court sentenced Branch to life in
    prison for aggravated manslaughter. Branch appealed again but
    the Appellate Division of the New Jersey Superior Court
    affirmed the trial court’s decision in relevant part. As we have
    indicated, Branch unsuccessfully sought state PCR relief after
    which he initiated these habeas corpus proceedings.
    III. PROCEDURAL BACKGROUND
    When Branch petitioned for post-conviction relief in the
    state courts he based his petition, among other grounds, on
    multiple claims of ineffective assistance of trial counsel. Branch
    included with his petition to the PCR court sworn statements
    predating the start of his trial from the two potential witnesses.
    Their statements tended to corroborate Branch’s trial testimony,
    but Branch’s trial counsel did not call them to testify.
    In a “certification of oath” dated August 10, 1994, one of
    the uncalled witnesses, Abdul Samee, essentially verified
    Branch’s account of the events at the time of the shooting, in
    11
    particular that (1) Branch went to 260 Prince Street to obtain a
    refund for the $50 he spent for fake cocaine, (2) Mosley’s
    shooting was accidental, and (3) Branch fled with Lee’s gun.
    The other uncalled witness, Stan Robinson, gave a more cryptic
    statement, signed on August 1, 1994, averring that Murphy said
    that Lee “was selling beat cocaine because she fuck Geoge [sic],
    money up,” J.A. 346, apparently meaning that Lee had lost
    money for her boss, George Phillips, and was selling inferior or
    bad cocaine to make up for it.
    Although the state PCR court orally found trial counsel’s
    decision not to call the two witnesses “more troubling” than
    other issues Branch raised in his petition, J.A. 362, it concluded
    that Branch had not established a prima facie case for relief, a
    prerequisite for a PCR court to require an evidentiary hearing on
    the petition. The court explained that trial counsel chose to call
    certain witnesses who “stood for the proposition for which they
    were called,” J.A. 363-64, and the additional witnesses only
    could have repeated the same “cumulative” testimony, J.A. 364.
    The PCR court concluded that even if Branch’s counsel had
    called the witnesses there was no “reasonable probability that
    the outcome would have been different.” J.A. 364.
    The PCR court adhered to its oral ruling in a subsequent
    written opinion but added that it believed that Branch’s trial
    counsel must have made a strategic determination with respect
    to the use of the two potential witnesses. First, the court
    repeated its belief that the proposed testimony from the two
    witnesses would not have changed the result at the trial because
    it would have covered the same ground as Davis’s and
    Barnhill’s testimony. The PCR court believed that Davis
    12
    offered information that the uncalled witnesses could not have
    offered. Second, the court held that trial counsel’s omission in
    not calling these witnesses was potentially strategic. The court
    did not set forth the details of the purported strategy beyond
    paraphrasing the State’s argument that “it is possible that neither
    of the proposed witnesses [was] available to the defense attorney
    at the time of trial or that perhaps they had prior criminal records
    that would damage their credibility.” J.A. 374.
    The Appellate Division affirmed the order denying PCR
    relief “substantially for the reasons expressed” by the PCR
    court. J.A. 385. With respect to most of Branch’s claims of
    ineffective assistance of counsel, including the claim based on
    counsel’s failure to call Robinson and Samee as witnesses, the
    court stated only that the arguments were “without sufficient
    merit to warrant discussion in a written opinion.”2 J.A. 385.
    Following the exhaustion of his state remedies, Branch
    filed a pro se habeas corpus petition in the District Court. In the
    habeas corpus proceedings, Branch claimed, as he had in the
    2
    The Appellate Division did reverse the PCR court on one
    ground not at issue here: it remanded the case to the PCR court
    for an evidentiary hearing on Branch’s claim that his counsel
    had been ineffective for not requesting a charge of
    passion/provocation manslaughter. The PCR court held a
    hearing on this issue at which Branch’s trial counsel testified.
    The PCR court subsequently rejected this claim and, on appeal,
    the Appellate Division affirmed; the New Jersey Supreme Court
    denied Branch’s petition for certification including on the
    effective assistance of claim at issue here.
    13
    PCR court, that his trial counsel had been ineffective because he
    failed to investigate the two witnesses even though Branch, prior
    to the trial, had provided their statements to him along with
    information about their whereabouts. J.A. 409-12. The District
    Court denied Branch’s petition, quoting extensively from the
    PCR court’s opinion without substantially expanding on it.
    Rather, it simply indicated that the state courts properly
    identified and applied the governing Supreme Court standard as
    set forth in Strickland and “[t]he decisions of the state courts
    were not based on an unreasonable determination of the facts
    based on the evidence presented to them.” J.A. 30. The District
    Court denied Branch a certificate of appealability, but on
    September 25, 2013, we granted Branch a certificate of
    appealability and directed that counsel be appointed to represent
    him.3
    IV. JURISDICTION AND STANDARD OF REVIEW
    The District Court had jurisdiction over Branch’s habeas
    petition under 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    ; we have jurisdiction under 
    28 U.S.C. §§ 1291
     and 2253. Because the District Court did not
    hold an evidentiary hearing and, instead, based its decision on its
    review of the state court record, we apply a plenary standard of
    review of its decision and order. Duncan v. Morton, 
    256 F.3d 3
    We note that students from Duke University School of Law
    have represented Branch on this appeal with great skill. We
    thank them—and Elyse Lyons, who argued this appeal, in
    particular—for this fine representation.
    14
    189, 196 (3d Cir. 2001).
    Even though our review of the District Court’s order is
    plenary, we analyze the state PCR court’s decision with
    considerable deference. Congress, by its enactment of the
    Antiterrorism and Effective Death Penalty Act of 1996 (the
    “AEDPA”), 
    28 U.S.C. §§ 2241-2254
    , which is applicable to this
    case, significantly limited the federal courts’ power to grant a
    writ of habeas corpus. Thus, under the AEDPA a district court
    may grant a petition for habeas corpus based on a claim that a
    state court previously had rejected on the merits only if the state
    court’s adjudication of the petitioner’s claim had been “based on
    an unreasonable determination of the facts in light of the
    evidence presented,” 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    (d)(2), or, as is more
    pertinent to this appeal, if the state court’s decision “was
    contrary to, or involved an unreasonable application of, clearly
    established federal law, as determined by the Supreme Court of
    the United States,” 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    (d)(1).
    A state court’s decision is “contrary to clearly established
    federal law if it (1) contradicts the governing law set forth in
    [the Supreme] Court’s cases or (2) confronts a set of facts that
    are materially indistinguishable from [those in] a decision of
    [the Supreme] Court and [the state court] nevertheless arrives at
    a [different] result.” Outten v. Kearney, 
    464 F.3d 401
    , 413 (3d
    Cir. 2006) (first, third, and fifth alterations in original) (internal
    quotation marks omitted). A state court decision unreasonably
    applies clearly established law if it either “unreasonably applies
    [the law] to the facts” of the case or “unreasonably extends,” or
    fails to extend, Supreme Court precedent in the case before it.
    
    Id.
    15
    Congress has effectuated its intention to limit the
    circumstances in which a federal court may grant a writ of
    habeas corpus by requiring a petitioner to surmount a high
    barrier as a prerequisite for the court to grant him the writ. As
    the Supreme Court has put it, “[a] state court’s determination
    that a claim lacks merit precludes federal habeas relief so long
    as fairminded jurists could disagree on the correctness of the
    state court’s decision.” Harrington v. Richter, __ U.S. __, __,
    
    131 S.Ct. 770
    , 786 (2011) (internal quotation marks omitted).
    Nevertheless, if the state courts unreasonably applied
    federal law in rejecting Branch’s petition, the District Court
    should have reviewed Branch’s ineffective assistance of counsel
    claim de novo. See Breakiron v. Horn, 
    642 F.3d 126
    , 138 (3d
    Cir. 2011); see also Panetti v. Quarterman, 
    551 U.S. 930
    , 953,
    
    127 S.Ct. 2842
    , 2858 (2007) (“When a state court’s adjudication
    of a claim is dependent on an antecedent unreasonable
    application of federal law, the requirement set forth in §
    2254(d)(1) is satisfied. A federal court must then resolve the
    claim without the deference AEDPA otherwise requires.”);
    Frantz v. Hazey, 
    533 F.3d 724
    , 735 (9th Cir. 2008) (en banc)
    (“[I]t is now clear both that we may not grant habeas relief
    simply because of § 2254(d)(1) error and that, if there is such
    error, we must decide the habeas petition by considering de
    novo the constitutional issues raised.”).
    V. DISCUSSION
    The governing standard for ineffective-assistance-of-
    16
    counsel claims emanates from the seminal decision in Strickland
    v. Washington, 
    466 U.S. 668
    , 
    104 S.Ct. 2052
     (1984). Strickland
    supplied a two-prong test: counsel’s performance must have
    been deficient and this deficiency must have prejudiced the
    defense. In this case, no court, state or federal, has held an
    evidentiary hearing at which Branch’s trial counsel had an
    opportunity to explain why he did not call Robinson and Samee
    to testify at the trial as exculpatory witnesses.4 Accordingly, we
    4
    We note that Branch claimed before the PCR court and the
    District Court that his trial counsel failed to interview and
    investigate potential witnesses Samee and Robinson properly.
    See Mem. of Law in Support of Habeas Corpus Relief 20-28;
    Appellant’s Consent Motion to Modify the Record. Da51-52,
    89-91. He also raises this issue in passing in his brief on appeal.
    Appellant’s br. at 51. The PCR court found that Branch had
    “failed to meet his burden of providing competent evidence that
    trial counsel’s representation was in any way deficient.” J.A.
    373. Specifically, it noted that nothing existed “to suggest . . .
    that the decisions of trial counsel were” uninvestigated. J.A.
    373. Branch does not argue on appeal that the PCR court erred
    in placing the burden on him to show a prima facie case of
    ineffective assistance under Strickland. Nor do his briefs cite
    any evidence in the record to support his claim that his trial
    counsel failed to investigate Samee and Robinson properly.
    Indeed, he concedes that counsel may have interviewed the
    witnesses. See Appellant’s br. at 51 (noting that an evidentiary
    hearing could resolve factual issues such as “whether counsel
    interviewed the witnesses”). However, we must determine
    whether the state court reasonably applied Strickland based on
    the bare record before it, which, as far as we are aware, did not
    17
    must ground our decision on the bare record developed in the
    state courts.5
    On the record as it now stands, we cannot find any
    justification for counsel not calling these two individuals as
    witnesses at Branch’s trial. The record does not support the
    PCR court’s conclusion that trial counsel may have had
    legitimate strategic reasons for not calling these witnesses and
    therefore its conclusion was an unreasonable application of
    Strickland. We also find that there is a reasonable probability
    that this omission prejudiced Branch because if those potential
    witnesses had testified consistently with their pretrial statements,
    the verdict could have been different at Branch’s criminal trial.
    As we conclude that no fair-minded jurist could disagree with
    our finding that the PCR court’s conclusion was incorrect,
    Harrington, ____ U.S. at ____, 
    131 S.Ct. at 786
    , we also find
    contain any evidence of trial counsel’s efforts—or lack
    thereof—with respect to investigating or interviewing the
    witnesses. See Cullen v. Pinholster, __U.S.__, __, 
    131 S.Ct. 1388
    , 1398 (2011). “[T]he absence of evidence cannot
    overcome the ‘strong presumption that counsel’s conduct [fell]
    within the wide range of reasonable professional assistance.’”
    Burt v. Titlow, __ U.S. __, __, 
    134 S.Ct. 10
    , 17 (2013). Given
    these limitations, we believe it appropriate to focus only on what
    we know: that Branch’s trial counsel did not call Samee and
    Robinson to testify at trial.
    5
    Branch’s trial counsel did testify at an evidentiary hearing in
    the PCR court, but on a different issue than that with which we
    are concerned. See supra note 2.
    18
    that the PCR court’s conclusion was an unreasonable application
    of Strickland.      Accordingly, Branch has satisfied the
    “unreasonable application” prong of 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    (d)(1).
    A. Deficient Performance
    Although the state PCR court grounded its decision
    primarily on Strickland’s prejudice prong, we begin our analysis
    by examining counsel’s performance at trial. To obtain habeas
    corpus relief, Branch must show that his counsel’s performance
    was so inadequate that he “was not functioning as the ‘counsel’
    guaranteed . . . by the Sixth Amendment,” Strickland, 
    466 U.S. at 687
    , 
    104 S.Ct. at 2064
    , and that the PCR court’s failure to so
    conclude was an unreasonable application of Strickland.
    Strickland’s test is demanding as there is a “strong” presumption
    that counsel “rendered adequate assistance and made all
    significant decisions in the exercise of reasonable professional
    judgment.” Burt v. Titlow, __ U.S. __, __,
    134 S.Ct. 10
    , 17
    (2013). Even when the petitioner can point to evidence
    supporting a conclusion that in some respects counsel was
    deficient, the standard for prevailing under the first prong of
    Strickland remains stringent: a petitioner must establish that,
    “in light of all the circumstances,” counsel’s mistake was so
    egregious that it fell “outside the wide range of professionally
    competent assistance.” Strickland, 
    466 U.S. at 690
    , 
    104 S.Ct. at 2066
    . A court must assess “counsel’s reasonableness . . . on the
    facts of the particular case, viewed as of the time of counsel’s
    conduct.” Jacobs v. Horn, 
    395 F.3d 92
    , 102 (3d Cir. 2005).
    Where, as here, the petitioner claims that his counsel had
    been ineffective for failing to call potentially important
    19
    exculpatory witnesses, the assessment of trial counsel’s
    judgment requires another layer of deference: we are “required
    not simply to give [the] attorney[ ] the benefit of the doubt, but
    to affirmatively entertain the range of possible reasons
    [petitioner’s] counsel may have had for proceeding as [he] did.”
    Cullen v. Pinholster, __U.S.__, __, 
    131 S.Ct. 1388
    , 1407 (2011)
    (first alteration in original) (internal quotation marks and
    citation omitted). Thus, the nexus of the AEDPA and Strickland
    compels us to be “doubly deferential,” and “give[] both the state
    court and the defense attorney the benefit of the doubt.” Burt,
    __ U.S. at __, 
    134 S.Ct. at 13
     (quoting Pinholster, __ U.S. at __,
    131 S.Ct. at 1403.)
    Branch argues that his trial counsel provided him with
    unreasonably deficient representation when he failed to call
    Samee and Robinson as witnesses at his trial. Branch claims
    that taken together, these potential witnesses could have: (1)
    corroborated his account of the events at 260 Prince Street at the
    time of the shooting, and (2) discredited the State’s witnesses
    who contradicted his version of the events. Specifically, Branch
    contends that Samee, as one of his only two eyewitnesses to the
    shooting—the other being Davis—would have confirmed that
    Lee pulled out the nine millimeter gun, and that its discharge
    was accidental. Samee also would have explained that Lee
    obtained a second, smaller gun by running upstairs and
    retrieving it.
    Robinson, for his part, would have given evidence
    impeaching one of the State’s witnesses, Murphy, with a prior
    inconsistent statement. Robinson would have testified that,
    contrary to Murphy’s statements at trial, Murphy told Robinson
    20
    that Lee was selling “beat cocaine” and that Branch entered 260
    Prince Street to complain about that cocaine. Robinson also
    would have given evidence that Lee, not Branch, drew a gun,
    and that Branch fled with that gun.
    Branch contends that these witnesses’ statements did not
    repeat testimony presented at trial—because, as described
    above, these witnesses could have offered information that other
    witnesses did not—and their testimony was not “cumulative”
    because it went to a “central and hotly contested issue.”
    Appellant’s br. at 33. He supports the latter assertion with our
    opinion in United States v. Bergrin, in which we observed that
    testimony that would have “added much to the probative force
    of the other evidence in the case and contribut[ed] to the
    determination of truth . . . cannot properly be said to be
    cumulative.” 
    682 F.3d 261
    , 280 n.23 (3d Cir. 2012) (alteration
    in original) (internal quotation marks omitted).
    On the record before the state court, we see no reason
    why Branch’s trial counsel did not call the potential witnesses at
    Branch’s trial. The PCR court’s conclusion that trial counsel’s
    decision not to call these witnesses was an exercise of
    reasonable trial strategy was an unreasonable application of
    federal law. After all, rather than addressing matters that were
    peripheral or that other testimony covered adequately and
    conclusively, Samee’s and Robinson’s written statements
    addressed matters that at trial were both sharply disputed and
    critical. See Brown v. Wenerowicz, 
    663 F.3d 619
    , 631 (3d Cir.
    2011) (finding that testimony about a fact conceded by the
    prosecution and consistent with its theory of the case was
    cumulative); United States v. Williams, 
    81 F.3d 1434
    , 1443 (7th
    21
    Cir. 1996) (defining “cumulative evidence” as evidence that
    “adds very little to the probative force of the other evidence in
    the case, so that if it were admitted its contribution to the
    determination of truth would be outweighed by its contribution
    to the length of the trial”).
    The situation here is similar to that which we considered
    recently in Grant v. Lockett, in that we face the question of why
    having another “eyewitness testify that the defendant was not
    the shooter would have been ‘cumulative.’” 
    709 F.3d 224
    , 239
    (3d Cir. 2013) (reversing denial of a habeas petition on the
    ground of ineffective assistance of counsel). In Grant, the
    defendant was convicted of murder primarily on the basis of the
    testimony of one eyewitness. 
    Id. at 227
    . But two other
    eyewitnesses contradicted this testimony and testified that the
    defendant was not the shooter. 
    Id.
     There were two more
    witnesses who also would have denied that the defendant was
    the shooter but the defense attorney did not call them to testify.
    
    Id. at 227-28
    . The district court concluded that this additional
    testimony would have been “cumulative” because it would have
    repeated the testimony of other witnesses. 
    Id. at 239
    . But the
    uncalled witnesses had executed affidavits that exonerated the
    defendant and went to the very heart of the prosecution’s case
    by identifying another person as the shooter. 
    Id. at 239-40
    .6
    6
    See also Toliver v. Pollard, 
    688 F.3d 853
    , 862 (7th Cir. 2012)
    (finding counsel’s performance deficient where he failed to call
    two eyewitnesses related to defendant who could have
    corroborated his account and impeached prosecution’s witness);
    Washington v. Smith, 
    219 F.3d 620
    , 634 (7th Cir. 2000)
    (“Washington’s whereabouts on the day of the robbery was far
    22
    The testimony of the two uncalled witnesses in Branch’s case
    was almost as significant. Indeed, it is difficult to see how the
    jury could have returned a guilty verdict against Branch on the
    homicide charges if it credited their testimony.
    The State counters that Branch’s defense theory left one
    void—what it calls “the crux of the case”—that neither witness
    could have filled: a plausible explanation for why Branch would
    have entered 260 Prince Street unarmed to demand a refund
    from hardened drug dealers, surely a perilous undertaking.
    Appellees’ br. at 21-22. In these circumstances, the jury could
    have doubted the credibility of Branch’s explanation of why he
    entered the building. Yet even though Branch contends that he
    followed what was an obviously dangerous path when he
    entered 260 Prince Street, he also reasonably contends that
    competent counsel would not have withheld testimony that
    would have provided critical details corroborating his account of
    the events at the time of the shooting.
    In addition to challenging the plausibility of Branch’s
    defense as part of its argument that Branch’s counsel’s
    representation of Branch was not deficient, the State offers
    several other explanations why trial counsel did not call the
    potential witnesses, but we do not find any persuasive. In
    considering these explanations, as we mentioned above, we
    must go beyond giving trial counsel “the benefit of the doubt” as
    from established—it was the issue in the case. The fact that
    Pickens had already testified to facts consistent with
    Washington’s alibi did not render additional testimony
    cumulative.”).
    23
    we are required to “affirmatively entertain” counsel’s potential
    reasons for not calling Samee and Robinson as witnesses.
    Pinholster, __ U.S. at __, 131 S.Ct. at 1407. But the State’s
    attempts fail because “courts may not indulge post hoc
    rationalization for counsel’s decisionmaking that contradicts the
    available evidence.” Harrington, __U.S. at __, 131 S.Ct. at 790.
    Purporting to retrace counsel’s steps, the State argues that
    Samee’s testimony would have been inconsistent with Branch’s
    explanation of what happened. It explains that, in summation,
    Branch’s counsel argued that his client was asking for a return
    of his money in a reasonable way, hoping that the dealer was
    “honorable.” Samee, on the other hand, in his statement
    described an assertive Branch who threw the bad cocaine on the
    floor with a warning that no one should buy it.
    Yet Samee’s statement is not inconsistent with Branch’s
    testimony. At trial, Branch did not describe himself as a
    particularly amicable visitor offering pleasantries and charm in
    seeking his refund. Instead, he said that he burst in and
    demanded to know who sold the “beat” drugs: “the first thing I
    said when I went inside was who Murphy came in here and got
    some cocaine from and then they just looked at me like I was
    crazy.” J.A. 263. Moreover, if Samee repeated the contents of
    his written statement when testifying, trial counsel could have
    adjusted his closing statement to conform with the evidence. In
    any event, regardless of possible inconsistencies between trial
    counsel’s argument and Samee’s statement, the inconsistencies
    are insignificant when compared to the importance of Samee’s
    testimony to Branch’s defense as Samee’s account of Branch’s
    entry into 260 Prince Street corroborated Branch’s testimony on
    24
    that point.
    The State’s explanation for why Branch’s counsel did not
    call Robinson as a witness is even weaker. The State finds
    contradictions where we do not—between Robinson’s statement
    that Branch “got the gun out of her hand” and Branch’s
    recollection that he heard the gun drop. Appellees’ br. at 24-25.
    Yet the State concedes that the accounts can be reconciled. Id.
    at 24 (allowing that Robinson “could have meant Branch
    knocked or forced [the gun] out of her hand”). We agree. And
    again, even if this statement had been inconsistent with Branch’s
    testimony, the value of Robinson’s statements outweighs the
    significance of the differences. That is particularly true as
    Robinson was not an eyewitness and merely was recounting
    what Murphy had told him, thus making his description of how
    the gun was displaced from Lee’s hand understandably
    imprecise and much less significant than his recitation of
    Murphy’s admission.7
    7
    As the State correctly points out, Robinson’s testimony at least
    would have impeached Murphy’s testimony, which is significant
    as Murphy was a key witness for the prosecution. We note also
    that when the trial court admitted Barnhill’s testimony it
    overruled the prosecution’s hearsay objection and thus it
    allowed Barnhill to describe what Lee had told him about the
    incident. We see no reason why trial counsel, after having
    cleared the hearsay hurdle once, would have withheld
    Robinson’s statement out of a concern that the court would not
    have admitted it for the truth of its content.
    25
    The same is true of the tension that the State finds
    between the witnesses’ statements that Branch grabbed Lee’s
    gun and Branch’s testimony that he grabbed her wrist and took
    her gun after she dropped it. Id. at 25. The witnesses’ brief
    statements essentially summarized Branch’s more detailed
    account. Branch described step by step how he came to possess
    Lee’s gun; Samee and Robinson stated more succinctly that
    Branch grabbed Lee’s gun, omitting the intermediate step that
    he grabbed her wrist first and that the gun discharged while they
    struggled. Though it is true that Samee’s statement did indicate
    that Branch “grabbed the gun to get it out of [Lee’s] hand,” J.A.
    344, it would be expected that essentially consistent accounts of
    the event would vary to some degree given the chaotic situation
    at 260 Prince Street. Overall, we see little or no inconsistency
    between Branch’s account on the one hand and Samee’s and
    Robinson’s more abbreviated accounts on the other hand.
    Thus, the record as it was developed in the state courts
    disclosed no reason—strategic or otherwise—to support trial
    counsel’s failure to call Samee and Robinson as witnesses.
    Their pretrial statements tended to exculpate Branch and aligned
    almost perfectly with Branch’s account of what happened at 260
    Prince Street. The PCR court’s conclusion that trial counsel’s
    decision not to call these witnesses was a reasonable trial
    strategy was an unreasonable application of federal law.
    Consequently, we continue on and analyze whether counsel’s
    performance could have prejudiced Branch at the trial.
    B. Prejudice
    26
    In the PCR court’s evaluation of the prejudice question,
    Strickland required it to determine whether “there is a
    reasonable probability that, but for counsel’s unprofessional
    errors, the result of the proceeding would have been different.”
    
    466 U.S. at 694
    , 
    104 S.Ct. at 2068
    . Branch was not required to
    establish that his “counsel’s deficient performance more likely
    than not altered the outcome of the case”; he only must have
    shown “a probability sufficient to undermine confidence in the
    outcome.” Grant, 709 F.3d at 235 (internal quotation mark
    omitted). We look to the “totality of the evidence at trial,”
    meaning that “a verdict . . . only weakly supported by the record
    is more likely to have been affected by errors than one with
    overwhelming record support.” Id.
    We often have said that this standard is not “stringent.”
    See, e.g., Thomas v. Varner, 
    428 F.3d 491
    , 502 (3d Cir. 2005).
    In fact, it is “less demanding than the preponderance standard.”
    Jermyn v. Horn, 
    266 F.3d 257
    , 282 (3d Cir. 2001). See
    also Woodford v. Visciotti, 
    537 U.S. 19
    , 22, 
    123 S.Ct. 357
    , 359
    (2002) (observing that Strickland “specifically rejected the
    proposition that the defendant had to prove it more likely than
    not that the outcome would have been altered”). But see
    Harrington, __ U.S. at __, 131 S.Ct. at 792 (“[T]he difference
    between Strickland’s prejudice standard and a more-probable-
    than-not standard is slight and matters only in the rarest case.”
    (internal quotation marks omitted)). At the same time, as the
    Supreme Court recently cautioned, the “likelihood of a different
    result must be substantial, not just conceivable.” Id. at __, 131
    S.Ct. at 792. We therefore ask whether the state courts
    unreasonably concluded that there was not a substantial
    likelihood that Samee’s and Robinson’s testimony would have
    27
    changed the outcome of Branch’s trial.
    We start our prejudice analysis by pointing out that no
    fair-minded jurist would agree with the state courts’ finding that
    Samee’s and Robinson’s testimony would not have materially
    aided Branch’s case. These witnesses would have verified
    Branch’s account of what happened at 260 Prince Street and
    undermined the State’s case, which, even in the absence of their
    unheard evidence, was far from airtight. But our prejudice
    analysis goes beyond considering the significance of the missing
    evidence for, in accordance with Grant’s admonition, we go on
    to consider the record as a whole so that we can evaluate the
    weaknesses in the State’s case. See Grant, 709 F.3d at 238.
    The State called witnesses who stated that Lee thought
    she had shot Mosley. This testimony is difficult to square with
    the prosecution’s theory of the case, particularly when coupled
    with Lee’s account placing both Mosley and Branch by the door,
    and Dr. Obe’s testimony that at least one of Mosley’s wounds
    was inflicted from a gun not fired at close range. The image that
    the prosecution painted was one of Mosley getting caught in the
    crossfire—after he inexplicably reentered a hallway in which
    Branch already had fired a shot—standing in between Lee and
    Branch, but much closer to Branch than to Lee. But Mosley’s
    wounds suggested that he more likely was struck by a shot that
    Lee fired, as she was the shooter at a greater distance from
    Mosley.8
    8
    We do not have the benefit of a diagram that Lee drew at trial
    that purported to demonstrate the positions of all the individuals
    28
    The State’s case had other weaknesses. All of its
    eyewitnesses to the events at 260 Prince Street had criminal
    records. Indeed, perhaps sensing the jury’s unease with his
    witnesses, the prosecutor reminded it in summation that “when
    you cast a play in hell you don’t have angels for characters.”
    J.A. 303. Lee, who seems to have been the prosecution’s most
    important witness, had used 15 aliases and has a criminal history
    reflecting the commission of violent crimes. Moreover, it is fair
    to infer that Lee knew that she stood to benefit in two ways from
    Branch’s conviction. First, because she was testifying under a
    grant of use immunity, she surely knew that if the jury convicted
    Branch it would have validated her testimony. Second, she must
    have recognized that if Branch was convicted her bargaining
    position would have been enhanced in the other pending cases in
    which she was a defendant.
    Another weakness in the State’s case was that one of its
    critical witnesses, Murphy, was Lee’s underling, and a heroin
    addict to boot, who admitted to consuming a “bag, bag and a
    half [of heroin] a day.” J.A. 85-86. It is fair to infer that
    Murphy was motivated to vouch for Lee’s version of the events,
    in which she had a secondary role in Mosley’s shooting. And
    the State’s witnesses had the opportunity to harmonize their
    testimony as they admitted to discussing the events with one
    another prior to their police interviews.
    In addition, the physical evidence was inconclusive and
    even might have favored Branch. We recognize that, when
    arrested, Branch had the weapon used to shoot Mosley, though
    in the hallway.
    29
    he offered an explanation of why he nevertheless did not shoot
    Mosley. In any event, inasmuch as the prosecution’s theory
    included a scenario in which there had been a gunfight between
    Lee and Branch, rather than, as Branch argues, that two shots
    had been fired from Lee’s gun that struck Mosley, the jury
    understandably expected the police to find bullet strikes in the
    walls from Lee’s smaller gun. When the jury sent the trial court
    a question asking whether the police found “the bullets strike
    anywhere,” J.A. 323, 329, the court indicated to trial counsel
    that it would respond that it did not “know of any such
    testimony,” J.A. 323, but that the jury would have to rely on its
    own recollection of the evidence on the point. In fact, the police
    did not find any bullet strikes.
    There was yet another physical evidence problem for the
    State because, according to Lee, Branch fired a warning shot
    when he entered 260 Prince Street, and then fired two more
    shots that he aimed at Lee but that struck Mosley. But the police
    recovered only two shell casings and did not recover any bullet
    strikes. Judging by the jury’s question to the court the jury was
    aware of the missing shell casing and bullet strike problem.
    We recognize that in summation at trial and in its brief on
    appeal, the State points to the straight paths that the two bullets
    took through Mosley’s body. The State argues that these paths
    of the bullets refute Branch’s assertion that the gun discharged
    as he and Lee were falling to the floor because if that were true,
    the argument goes, the bullets would have struck Mosley at an
    angle.
    We are not convinced by this logic and note that, as far as
    30
    we can tell, the State did not make this argument at trial and, in
    any event, did not support it with expert testimony. Moreover,
    even if a gun is likely to be angled up or down when the person
    holding it is falling, this is not necessarily so as the barrel might
    remain level when the gun drops with the person holding it.
    Here, if anything, the autopsy undercuts the State’s theory
    because Mosley’s two wounds were separated significantly in
    height, one hitting his lungs and the other the back of his knee.
    The State has not explained how Branch’s gun could have
    caused these non-angled bullet wounds while Branch was
    allegedly shooting Lee from about ten feet away.
    And for all of the State’s efforts to find inconsistencies in
    Samee’s and Robinson’s statements, it was the State’s case that
    was plagued by serious contradictions. The State admits to
    some of these inconsistencies but dismisses them as not going to
    the “major element” of the case. Appellees’ br. at 32
    (acknowledging that the “prosecution witnesses had various
    inconsistencies”).
    Though we recognize that it is not surprising that the
    witnesses did not describe the chaotic events at 260 Prince
    Street consistently in every detail, still some of the
    contradictions in the State’s case give us pause. For instance,
    Lee unequivocally testified that, contrary to Murphy’s account,
    Murphy did not enter 260 Prince Street with Branch, and that
    she, in fact, did not even know him. That evidence, was, of
    course, at odds with Murphy’s testimony that he was there and
    that he even discussed the incident with Lee “not too long after
    it happened.” J.A. 105. Whether Murphy—an important
    participant in the State’s version of the events and an
    31
    eyewitness—was actually in the building at the time of the
    shooting was quite relevant to the State’s case.
    Dortch, for his part, repeatedly struggled to keep his
    testimony consistent with his prior statements to the police and
    to the grand jury as he acknowledged, over and over, that his
    earlier accounts had been inaccurate. The jury evidently took
    note of his vacillation because effectively it discredited him
    when it acquitted Branch on the robbery counts as the State
    based its case on those counts heavily on Dortch’s testimony.
    Though we have approached our analysis of the PCR
    court’s decision on the prejudice prong of Strickland by
    assessing weaknesses in the State’s case, we are not implying
    that Branch’s defense was strong. After all, he tried to convince
    the jury that he entered a drug den unarmed to seek a refund for
    his purchase of fake cocaine, that he lunged at a gun that was
    about to be discharged, and that he had possession of the murder
    weapon when the police arrested him only because he grabbed
    the weapon when the real culprit dropped it. And Branch’s two
    witnesses were felons, brought to the courthouse to testify
    directly from prison. One of them, Davis, used many different
    names, and, after telling the jury that Branch did not rob anyone,
    he admitted that he, Davis, had been convicted of attempted
    burglary, among other offenses.
    Nevertheless, for purposes of undermining confidence in
    the trial’s outcome Branch’s defense was no less plausible than
    the defense that we accepted as sufficient in a similar context in
    Rolan v. Vaughn, 
    445 F.3d 671
     (3d Cir. 2006). There, trial
    counsel did not call a witness who would have testified that the
    32
    defendant, Florencio Rolan, entered an abandoned building
    armed only with a beer bottle to use against the eventual victim
    who was wielding a kitchen knife. 
    Id. at 682-83
    . This
    testimony would have bolstered Rolan’s improbable claim at
    trial that when he entered the building he saw a “loaded rifle
    lying nearby,” which he picked up to kill the victim in self-
    defense. 
    Id. at 674, 683
    . We “marvel[ed] at Rolan’s
    serendipitous rifle” but we saw enough holes in the
    prosecution’s case for Rolan to have satisfied Strickland’s
    prejudice inquiry when focusing on trial counsel’s failure to call
    the beer bottle witness at trial, rendering the state court’s
    conclusion to the contrary unreasonable on habeas corpus
    review. 
    Id. at 683
    . By comparison, Branch’s defense, while
    also a bit strained, is more believable than Rolan’s.
    Given the weaknesses in the prosecution’s case and our
    conclusion based on their statements that Samee and Robinson
    would have materially aided Branch’s case, we find that fair-
    minded jurists would not disagree that there was a reasonable
    probability that Samee’s and Robinson’s testimony at trial
    would have changed the jury’s verdict. Accordingly, in the
    absence of an explanation from Branch’s trial counsel as to why
    he did not call Samee and Robinson as witnesses, we find the
    state courts’ application of Strickland’s second prong to have
    been unreasonable. As a result, the District Court should have
    made a de novo review of Branch’s ineffective assistance claim.
    C. Evidentiary Hearing
    We are satisfied from our review of the case that the
    33
    District Court, when reviewing Branch’s ineffective assistance
    of counsel claim, should have conducted an evidentiary hearing
    and that it abused its discretion when it failed to do so. See
    Grant, 709 F.3d at 229 (reviewing district court’s “denial of an
    evidentiary hearing for abuse of discretion”). We are aware that
    
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    (e)(2) bars federal habeas corpus courts from
    holding evidentiary hearings if “the applicant has failed to
    develop the factual basis of a claim in State court proceedings.”
    But that prohibition does not apply in this case because Branch
    unsuccessfully sought an evidentiary hearing in the PCR court
    and unsuccessfully appealed from the denial of his PCR petition.
    We therefore cannot attribute the incomplete developments of
    all the facts to Branch’s “lack of diligence, or some greater
    fault.” Thomas, 
    428 F.3d at 498
    ; see also Hurles v. Ryan, __
    F.3d __, __, 
    2014 WL 1979307
    , at *19 (9th Cir. May 16, 2014)
    (“A petitioner who has previously sought and been denied an
    evidentiary hearing has not failed to develop the factual basis of
    his claim.”).
    Relatedly, the Supreme Court recently held that new
    evidence produced in a hearing before a habeas corpus court
    may not be used to assess whether the state court’s decision
    satisfied 
    28 U.S.C. §2254
    (d)(1), that is, whether it was “contrary
    to, or involved an unreasonable application of, clearly
    established Federal law.” See Pinholster, __ U.S. at __, 131
    S.Ct. at 1398. In other words, for purposes of clearing the §
    2254(d)(1) bar to obtain a writ of habeas corpus, the record on
    which a court decides the case ordinarily is frozen when the case
    leaves the state-court system. But this prohibition against
    expanding the state-court record in a federal court does not
    affect the proceedings on Branch’s petition because, at an
    34
    evidentiary hearing in the District Court, Branch will rely on the
    witnesses’ pretrial statements that he submitted to the PCR
    court. Thus, in seeking habeas corpus relief, Branch does not
    base his case on facts that he believes could be developed at a
    hearing in the habeas corpus court.
    As we have explained, we can discern no reason on the
    current record to support counsel’s decision not to call Samee
    and Robinson as witnesses to testify at trial. Nevertheless,
    because a determination of whether to grant Branch’s petition
    turns on the reasons why his counsel did not call Samee and
    Robinson to testify and those reasons have not been developed
    in the record, an evidentiary hearing is required here. See, e.g.,
    Wilson v. Butler, 
    813 F.2d 664
    , 672 (5th Cir. 1987) (remanding
    for evidentiary hearing because the record did not reflect
    whether trial counsel made a reasonable strategic decision not to
    present certain evidence); see also Thomas, 
    428 F.3d at 501
    (“Of course, overcoming the strategic presumption does not, in
    itself, entitle Thomas to relief. It merely gives him the
    opportunity to show that counsel’s conduct fell below objective
    standards of attorney conduct.”).9
    9
    We note that if the state courts had concluded without an
    evidentiary hearing that Branch’s trial counsel’s performance
    had been deficient but nevertheless had denied Branch PCR
    relief because he did not satisfy the prejudice prong of
    Strickland, it is possible that we would have granted Branch’s
    petition without ordering that the District Court hold an
    evidentiary hearing. See Browder v. Dir., Dep't of Corr., 
    434 U.S. 257
    , 267 n.10, 
    98 S.Ct. 556
    , 562 n.10 (1978) (observing
    35
    At the hearing Branch’s trial counsel will be able to
    explain the circumstances surrounding his decision not to call
    Samee and Robinson as witnesses. In this regard, we point out
    that he might have interviewed them and concluded that their
    accounts deviated in significant respects from their written
    statements. Furthermore, it is possible, as the State seems to
    suggest, that the witnesses did not want to testify and that
    Branch’s counsel may have thought that it would be risky to call
    them to do so. But to the extent that the state courts adopted
    theoretical justifications for Branch’s counsel not calling Samee
    and Robinson as witnesses, the courts lacked a factual basis for
    doing so and we will not allow the outcome of this case to
    depend on sheer speculation. We are satisfied, instead, that the
    District Court should have reviewed Branch’s claim on a de
    novo basis after considering the evidence developed at an
    evidentiary hearing along with the rest of the record before the
    Court.
    that courts of appeals have permitted district courts to
    “discharge a habeas corpus petitioner from state custody without
    conducting an evidentiary hearing”); Noble v. Kelly, 
    246 F.3d 93
    , 101 (2d Cir. 2001) (holding that a remand for an evidentiary
    hearing was unnecessary in part because the record negated the
    possibility that counsel’s omission was strategic); Fed. R.
    Governing § 2254 Cases 8 advisory committee’s note
    (commenting that in “unusual cases the court may grant [a
    habeas petition] without a hearing”). As the case stands,
    however, there are factual questions that must be resolved
    concerning the first Strickland prong before the District Court
    may adjudicate the habeas corpus petition.
    36
    VI. CONCLUSION
    For the foregoing reasons, we will vacate the District
    Court’s February 11, 2013 order denying Branch’s petition for
    habeas corpus relief and will remand the case to the District
    Court for an evidentiary hearing on Branch’s petition for a writ
    of habeas corpus.
    37