Hakimoglu v. Trump Taj Mahal Associates , 70 F.3d 291 ( 1995 )


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  •                                                                                                                            Opinions of the United
    1995 Decisions                                                                                                             States Court of Appeals
    for the Third Circuit
    11-20-1995
    Hakimoglu v Trump Taj Mahal
    Precedential or Non-Precedential:
    Docket 95-5022
    Follow this and additional works at: http://digitalcommons.law.villanova.edu/thirdcircuit_1995
    Recommended Citation
    "Hakimoglu v Trump Taj Mahal" (1995). 1995 Decisions. Paper 293.
    http://digitalcommons.law.villanova.edu/thirdcircuit_1995/293
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    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE THIRD CIRCUIT
    ____________
    No. 95-5022
    ____________
    AYHAN HAKIMOGLU,
    Appellant
    v.
    TRUMP TAJ MAHAL ASSOCIATES;
    TRUMP TAJ MAHAL, INC.;
    DONALD TRUMP; THE TRUMP TAJ
    MAHAL CORPORATION; TM/GP
    CORPORATION
    No. 95-5087
    ______________
    AYHAN HAKIMOGLU,
    Appellant
    v.
    BOARDWALK REGENCY CORP.
    ____________________
    ON APPEAL FROM THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF NEW JERSEY
    (D.C. Civil Nos. 93-02084 and 93-01874)
    ____________________
    Argued: July 24, 1995
    Before:   BECKER, NYGAARD, and ALITO, Circuit Judges
    (Opinion Filed: November 20, 1995)
    ____________________
    Michael M. Mustokoff, Esq. (Argued)
    Ronald F. Kidd, Esq.
    Teresa N. Cavenagh, Esq.
    Duane, Morris & Heckscher
    4200 One Liberty Place
    Philadelphia, PA 19103-7396
    1
    Counsel for Appellants
    Gerard W. Quinn, Esq. (Argued)
    Lloyd D. Levenson
    Cooper, Perskie, April,
    Niedelman, Wagenheim & Levenson
    1125 Atlantic Avenue
    Suite 320
    Atlantic City, New Jersey 08401-4891
    Counsel for Trump Taj Mahal Associates,
    Trump Taj Mahal, Inc, Donald Trump,
    The Trump Taj Mahal Corporation,
    TM/GP Corporation
    Robert L. Hollingshead, Esq. (Argued)
    Joy M. Sperling, Esq.
    Pitney, Hardin, Kipp & Szuch
    Post Office Box 945
    Morristown, New Jersey 07962-1945
    Counsel for Boardwalk Regency
    ____________________
    OPINION OF THE COURT
    ____________________
    ALITO, Circuit Judge:
    This case presents the question whether under New
    Jersey law a casino patron may recover from a casino for gambling
    losses caused by the casino's conduct in serving alcoholic
    beverages to the patron and allowing the patron to continue to
    gamble after it becomes obvious that the patron is intoxicated.
    2
    The plaintiff in this case, Ayhan Hakimoglu, filed two
    separate actions in the United States District Court for the
    District of New Jersey against defendants associated with two
    Atlantic City casinos.   Invoking the district court's diversity
    jurisdiction, his complaints alleged that the defendants had
    "intentionally and maliciously enticed him" to gamble at the
    casinos on numerous occasions by providing him with free
    alcoholic beverages and other amenities; that while he gambled he
    was served free alcoholic beverages until he became intoxicated;
    that after he became "visibly and obviously intoxicated" the
    defendants "invited and permitted him to continue to gamble in
    that condition" for lengthy periods; and that he consequently
    incurred "substantial gambling losses."    Asserting claims for
    negligence, intentional and malicious conduct, and unjust
    enrichment, he sought to recover compensatory and punitive
    damages, as well as other relief.
    In both cases, the district court dismissed the
    plaintiff's claims for failure to state a claim on which relief
    could be granted.    The court issued a detailed published opinion
    in one case, Hakimoglu v. Trump Taj Mahal, 
    876 F.Supp. 625
    (D.N.J.), and it relied on this opinion in the other.   Although
    the defendants' counterclaims for gambling-related debts had not
    been completely adjudicated, the court directed the entry of
    final judgment on the plaintiff's claims under Fed. R. Civ. P.
    54(b).   The plaintiff appealed in both cases, and the appeals
    were consolidated.
    3
    Our task in this appeal is to predict whether the
    Supreme Court of New Jersey would recognize claims such as those
    asserted by the plaintiff.     Unfortunately, we must make this
    prediction without specific guidance from the New Jersey
    appellate courts, for neither the Supreme Court of New Jersey nor
    the Appellate Division has addressed the question that is now
    before us or any closely related question.     If New Jersey law,
    like that of some other states,0 permitted us to certify the
    question at issue to the Supreme Court of New Jersey, we would
    seek to do so here, because the question is both difficult and
    important.    New Jersey law, however, does not allow such
    certification, and therefore we are relegated to predicting what
    the Supreme Court of New Jersey would do if it were confronted
    with this question.0
    While we are required to venture this prediction and
    while we recognize the need to issue a published opinion for the
    guidance of the district courts in the circuit, we understand
    that our decision here is unlikely to have -- and should not
    have -- lasting precedential significance.    We expect that claims
    such as those advanced by the plaintiff in this case will work
    their way up through the New Jersey court system and that the New
    Jersey appellate courts will provide a definitive answer to the
    question before us.     For this reason and because most of the
    0
    See e.g., Del. Const., art. IV, sec. 9; Del. Sup. Ct. R.
    41(a)(ii).
    0
    Judges Nygaard and Alito join section V of Judge Becker's
    Dissent, and enthusiastically endorse his recommendations
    therein.
    4
    chief arguments on both sides of this question have already been
    set out in excellent published district court opinions, we do not
    find it necessary to engage in a lengthy discussion here.          The
    opinion in GNOC v. Aboud, 
    715 F. Supp. 644
     (D.N.J. 1993), argues
    forcefully that the New Jersey Supreme Court would recognize
    claims like those in this case.       By contrast, the published
    opinion of the district court in one of the cases now before us
    and the opinion in Tose v. Greate Bay Hotel and Casino, 
    819 F. Supp. 1312
    , 1317 n.8 (D.N.J. 1993), aff'd, 
    34 F.3d 1227
     (3d Cir.
    1994), persuasively set out the opposite case.0
    0
    On appeal in this case, we did not decide the question that is
    now before us. See Greate Bay Hotel & Casino v. Tose, 
    34 F.3d 1227
    , 1232 n.7 (3rd Cir. 1994). In that case, the casino sued
    Tose for gambling debts, and Tose responded with a counterclaim
    similar to the claims of the plaintiff here. The district court
    judge to whom the case was initially assigned ruled, in
    accordance with Aboud, that the plaintiff's allegations stated a
    claim on which relief could be granted under New Jersey law. The
    case was later reassigned to a different district court judge,
    and that judge allowed the counterclaim to go to trial based on
    the law-of-the-case doctrine, but in his published opinion he
    expressed his reservations concerning Aboud. See 
    819 F. Supp. at
    1317 n.8. The counterclaim was tried to a jury, and Tose lost.
    Tose appealed the district court's denial of his motion for a new
    trial, and the casino argued, among other things, that the
    district court should not have exercised jurisdiction over the
    counterclaim because it lay within the exclusive primary
    jurisdiction of the state Casino Control Commission. We rejected
    this argument, as well as Tose's contentions regarding the denial
    of the new trial motion. We expressly declined to predict
    whether the state supreme court would hold that Tose's
    counterclaim stated a claim on which relief could be granted. See
    
    34 F. 3d at
    1232 n.7. We did observe: "[W]hile we do not make a
    ruling on the point, a reasonable argument can be made that a
    casino owes a common law duty to a patron to prevent him from
    gambling when it knows he is intoxicated." 
    Id.
     This comment did
    not decide the question presented in this case; nor do we
    interpret it as inconsistent with our holding in this appeal. We
    completely agree that "a reasonable argument can be made" in
    support of a result contrary to the one we reach. However,
    5
    Although it is not clear which way the New Jersey
    Supreme Court would rule on this question--as the conflicting
    district court opinions illustrate--it seems to us more likely
    that the New Jersey Supreme Court would not recognize claims such
    as those that the plaintiff asserted.   In reaching this
    conclusion, we find it significant that, except in cases
    involving minors, the New Jersey courts have not extended "the
    liability of servers of alcoholic beverages beyond injuries
    related to drunken driving, barroom accidents and barroom
    brawls."   Hakimoglu, 
    876 F. Supp. at 632
    .   The intense state
    regulation of casinos is also important because, as the district
    court observed in this case:
    [e]xtending common law dram-shop liability into an area
    so fully regulated, without a glimmer of legislative
    intent, is not a predictable extension of common law
    tort principles, and has not been foreshadowed by the
    New Jersey courts.
    676 F. Supp. at 633 (footnote omitted).   And as the district
    court noted in Tose:
    [c]onsidering the breadth of areas covered by statute
    and regulation, it would seem that if it were indeed
    the public policy of New Jersey to impose liability on
    casinos for allowing intoxicated patrons to gamble,
    that policy would have been enacted. The State has
    regulated the minutiae of gaming rules and alcohol
    service and expressly permitted the serving of free
    drinks to patrons at the gambling tables. Surely it
    could not have been unaware that the cognitive
    functioning of many gamblers would be impaired
    by drinking or of the consequences of permitting
    persons so impaired to gamble.
    
    819 F. Supp. at
    1317 n.8.
    forced to predict whether the New Jersey Supreme Court would
    accept that argument, we predict that it would not.
    6
    We are also influenced by the difficult problems of
    proof and causation that would result from the recognition of
    claims such as those involved here.   As the district court judge
    in this case aptly put it:
    [e]nlargement [the doctrine of dram-shop liability] to
    casino gambling losses could present almost
    metaphysical problems of proximate causation, since
    sober gamblers can play well yet lose big, intoxicated
    gamblers can still win big, and under the prevailing
    rules and house odds, "the house will win and the
    gamblers will lose" anyway in the typical transaction.
    Hakimoglu, 
    876 F. Supp. at 636
     (quoting Greate Bay, 
    34 F.3d at
    1233 n.8).   Moreover,
    [s]uch a cause of action could be fabricated with
    greater ease than a dram-shop action involving personal
    injury, since in the accident case the occurrence of
    the accident is a specific notable event and reliable
    evidence of blood alcohol content is usually obtained;
    in the gambling loss case, on the other hand, a dram-
    shop negligence claim might be brought up to two years
    after the gambling events concerning plays of which no
    casino dealer or server could have reason to recollect.
    Although sometimes highstakes table games are
    videotaped using surveillance cameras, such tapes from
    multiple cameras would amount to hundreds of hours of
    films per day that are routinely recycled rather than
    retained if no incident is reported within thirty days.
    The New Jersey Supreme Court has expressed concern for
    the reliability of evidence of intoxication and its
    effects, . . . and such reliability is largely absent
    after-the-fact in the casino gaming environment.
    
    876 F. Supp. at 637
    .
    For these reasons and many of the others mentioned in
    the district court opinions in this case and Tose, we predict
    that the New Jersey Supreme Court would not permit recovery on
    claims such as those asserted by the plaintiff here. Accordingly,
    we affirm the district court's dismissal of the plaintiff's
    7
    claims in both cases, and we remand to the district court for
    further proceedings on the defendants' counterclaims.
    8
    AYHAN HAKIMOGLU, Appellant in No. 95-5022 v. TRUMP TAJ MAHAL
    ASSOCIATES; TRUMP TAJ MAHAL, INC.; DONALD TRUMP; THE TRUMP TAJ
    MAHAL CORPORATION; TM/GP CORPORATION
    AYHAN HAKIMOGLU, Appellant in No. 95-5087 v. BOARDWALK REGENCY
    CORP.
    BECKER, Circuit Judge, Dissenting Opinion.
    Ayhan Hakimoglu played his hand, and lost.   Now we are
    being asked to make our own bet.     Sitting in diversity, we must
    predict how the highest court of New Jersey would rule.    See
    Robertson v. Allied Signal, Inc., 
    914 F.2d 360
    , 378 (3d Cir.
    1990).   As the majority points out, we must make this prediction
    with little guidance from New Jersey law.    But that is an
    incident -- and a flaw -- of the regime of diversity
    jurisdiction.   I believe that the New Jersey Supreme Court would
    recognize a cause of action, in tort, allowing patrons to recover
    gambling debts from casinos that serve them alcohol after they
    are visibly intoxicated.0   This prediction is founded on long
    0
    In addition to the tort theory Hakimoglu has pursued, a gambler
    in his position may have a claim in contract. The gambler's
    obvious intoxication, one might argue, voided the gambling
    contract. See, e.g., Feighner v. Sauter, 
    259 N.J. Super. 583
    ,
    590, 
    614 A.2d 1071
    , 1075 (App. Div. 1992) (listing grounds for
    contract rescission, including intoxication); Onderdonk v.
    Presbyterian Homes of New Jersey, 
    85 N.J. 171
    , 183, 
    425 A.2d 1057
    , 1062 (1981) (every contract has "implied covenant of good
    faith and fair dealing"). The district court seemed to doubt the
    existence of this "so-called gambling 'contract'" because "there
    is no mutuality." Dist. Ct. Op. at 17 n.7. "The patron does not
    negotiate the terms of his relationship with the casino," the
    court explained, "nor can the patron or the casino vary the rules
    of the game, the odds, or the payoffs." Id.; see also Tose v.
    Greate Bay Hotel and Casino, Inc., 
    819 F. Supp. 1312
    , 1317 n.8
    (D.N.J. 1993) ("[B]ecause every aspect of the relationship
    between the gambler and the casino is minutely regulated by the
    state[,] there is little of freedom contract in the usual
    sense."). But the patron retains the choice whether to play, and
    how much to bet. Thus, this situation is little different from
    9
    standing trends in New Jersey law recognizing new causes of
    action, even in areas pervaded by legislation.
    In my view, the New Jersey Supreme Court is especially
    likely to create a cause of action where a defendant profits from
    conduct causing the foreseeable injury, and has the ability, in
    the exercise of due care, to prevent such injury at small cost to
    itself.   Because this case presents these factors, and because I
    am unpersuaded by the majority's arguments, I would reverse the
    judgment of the district court and remand for trial on the
    merits.   I also write to underscore a crucial point mentioned by
    the majority:   as New Jersey has no certification procedure, we
    are forced to make important state policy with little guidance. I
    therefore suggest that New Jersey, to serve its own interests and
    ours, enact a certification provision.
    I.
    In predicting the course of New Jersey law, we must
    focus on policies and trends in the jurisprudence of New Jersey.0
    most sales contracts. Purchasing a hair dryer, for example,
    forms a contract even though the price is set and the
    characteristics of the good are heavily regulated. On what other
    basis is the casino legally able to keep the gambler's money
    after he loses? Moreover, the pervasive regulation of the
    gambling relationship does not nullify its contractual nature.
    New Jersey courts have held that gambling on credit markers forms
    a contract between the casino and the patron, see Lomonaco v.
    Sands Hotel, 
    259 N.J. Super. 523
    , 
    614 A.2d 634
     (Law Div. 1992),
    and that the Casino Control Act did not abrogate traditional
    common law contract defenses such as intoxication. See 
    id.
    However, Hakimoglu has declined to press a contract claim and
    hence we do not decide the question.
    0
    Precedent from Nevada, the only other state in which casino
    gambling is legal, provides no help, for Nevada does not
    10
    See McKenna v. Ortho Pharmaceutical Corp., 
    622 F.2d 657
    , 662 (3d
    Cir. 1980) (in evaluating state law, "relevant state precedents
    must be scrutinized with an eye toward the broad policies that
    informed those adjudications and to the doctrinal trends which
    they evince"), cert. denied, 
    449 U.S. 976
     (1980).   The New Jersey
    Supreme Court has long been a leader in expanding tort liability.
    For example, it was one of the first courts to announce the
    doctrine of strict liability, applying it to automobiles.     See
    Henningsen v. Bloomfield Motors, Inc., 
    32 N.J. 358
    , 
    161 A.2d 69
    (1960).   Moreover, the court's recent cases show its continuing
    willingness to expand tort liability in a variety of contexts.
    See, e.g., Weinberg v. Dinger, 
    106 N.J. 469
    , 
    524 A.2d 366
     (1987)
    (imposing a duty of care on water companies to ensure adequate
    water pressure for firefighters); T&E Industries, Inc. v. Safety
    Light Corp., 
    123 N.J. 371
    , 
    587 A.2d 1249
     (1991) (recognizing a
    cause of action by the owner of contaminated property against a
    previous owner who allegedly caused the contamination); Hopkins
    v. Fox & Lazo Realtors, 
    132 N.J. 426
    , 
    625 A.2d 1110
     (1993)
    (imposing a duty of care for the safety of visitors to open
    houses); Dunphy v. Gregor, 
    136 N.J. 99
    , 
    642 A.2d 372
     (1994)
    (expanding bystander liability to include a fianceé).         Most
    relevant for our purposes, the New Jersey Supreme Court has
    recognize dram shop liability at all. See Hamm v. Carson City
    Nugget, Inc., 
    450 P.2d 358
     (Nev. 1969). The federal government
    has virtually complete authority over Native American Indian
    reservations, see James J. Belliveau, Casino Gambling Under The
    Indian Gaming Regulatory Act: Narragansett Tribal Sovereignty
    Versus Rhode Island Gambling Law, 
    27 Suffolk U. L. Rev. 389
    (1994), but there is no federal law in this area.
    11
    consistently imposed liability on providers of alcohol for
    foreseeable drinking-related injuries -- even though the sale of
    alcoholic beverages has been intensely regulated for many years.
    See, e.g., Rappaport v. Nichols, 
    31 N.J. 188
    , 
    156 A.2d 1
     (1959)
    (recognizing action for death and damages against tavern that
    sold alcohol to minor).    The court has imposed common law tort
    liability upon tavern owners and restaurateurs for furnishing
    alcohol to intoxicated persons who subsequently cause injury
    through drunk driving.    See Sorenen v. Olde Milford Inn, Inc., 
    46 N.J. 582
    , 
    218 A.2d 630
     (1966) (extending dram shop liability to
    patron's own injuries), modified in part by Lee v. Kiku
    Restaurant, 
    127 N.J. 170
    , 
    603 A.2d 503
     (1992).     Importantly,
    under New Jersey law, the person who was served while intoxicated
    himself can sue the tavernkeeper even for damages to his car. See
    N.J.S.A. 2A:22A-5(a).    Additionally, the court has extended this
    liability to social hosts, even though they, unlike tavern
    owners, do not profit from the transaction.    It "makes little
    sense to say that [a licensed defendant] is under a duty to
    exercise care, but give immunity to a social host who may be
    guilty of the same wrongful conduct merely because he is
    unlicensed."   Linn v. Rand, 
    140 N.J. Super. 212
    , 
    356 A.2d 15
    (1976); accord Kelly v. Gwinnell, 
    96 N.J. 538
    , 
    476 A.2d 1219
    (1984) (extending dram shop liability to social hosts).
    The only two New Jersey cases to address the present
    issue, both from a federal district court, have predicted that
    New Jersey would recognize this cause of action.    In GNOC Corp.
    v. Aboud, 
    715 F. Supp. 644
     (D.N.J. 1989), Judge Cohen opined that
    12
    "New Jersey has unambiguously communicated a strong policy
    against the noxious potential of excessive alcohol consumption in
    the twin contexts of common law dram shop liability and
    statutory/administrative regulation of casino alcoholic beverage
    service."   
    Id. at 653
    .   In extending dram shop liability to the
    defendant casino, the court explained that its decision was
    "merely furthering the public policy goals underlying the Casino
    Control Act and the regulations promulgated thereunder."        
    Id. at 654
    .0
    Then, in Tose v. Greate Bay Hotel And Casino, Inc., 
    819 F. Supp. 1312
     (D.N.J. 1993), the district court, following Aboud,
    held that the casino could be liable for losses flowing from its
    allowing an intoxicated patron to gamble.     
    Id. at 1321-23
    .    Tose
    subsequently tried his case to a jury, which rejected his claim.
    Greate Bay Hotel And Casino, Inc. v. Tose, 
    34 F.3d 1227
    , 1228 (3d
    Cir. 1994).   On appeal, which focused mainly on the question
    whether the Casino Control Commission had exclusive primary
    jurisdiction over gamblers' claims against casinos, the judgment
    for the defendant was affirmed.    
    Id.
       Because Tose lost his
    0
    The holding of Aboud is actually broader than necessary for
    Hakimoglu: "In sum, a casino has a duty to refrain from
    knowingly permitting an invitee to gamble where that patron is
    obviously and visibly intoxicated and/or under the influence of a
    narcotic substance." Id. at 655. This raises the interesting
    question about the scope of putative liability: is it liability
    for continuing to serve the intoxicated gambler (essentially a
    dram-shop theory), or liability for failure to stop him from
    gambling (essentially an invitee theory). While in practical
    terms there may be little difference between the two, doctrinally
    I think that the proper issue is liability for continuing to
    serve. At all events, Hakimoglu does not present a claim for
    failing to stop him from gambling.
    13
    trial, we did not need to decide whether New Jersey would
    recognize this cause of action.     Id. at 1232 n.7.
    II.
    Analysis of this case under the principles of New
    Jersey tort law supports the conclusions of Aboud and Tose that
    New Jersey's highest court would recognize Hakimoglu's cause of
    action.   In Hopkins v. Fox & Lazo Realtors, 
    132 N.J. 426
    , 
    625 A.2d 1110
     (1993), the New Jersey Supreme Court set out its
    standard for determining when a tort duty, and thus a cause of
    action in negligence, exists.   The inquiry, "ultimately a
    question of fairness," requires the court to weigh (1) the
    relationship of the parties; (2) the nature of the risk; (3) the
    opportunity and ability to exercise care; and (4) the public
    interest in the proposed solution.     
    Id.
       These factors support a
    cause of action in this case.
    First, the relationship of the parties argues strongly
    for casino liability.   Casinos, perhaps the ultimate for-profit
    institution, make their money from patrons' losses.     Gambling
    losses are the casino's business.      The casino and the gambler,
    therefore, are linked in an immediate business relationship much
    like that from which dram shop liability sprang -- the tavern and
    the patron.   See Rappaport, 
    31 N.J. at 188
    , 
    156 A.2d at 1
    .    Like
    the tavern owner, the casino's control over the environment into
    which the patron places himself, and its ability to open or close
    the alcohol spigot, imposes on the casino some concomitant
    responsibility toward that patron.      Just as the tavern owner must
    14
    make sure that drinking does not cause her patron to hurt himself
    or others, the casino should ensure that its alcohol service does
    lead its patron to hurt himself through excessive gambling.
    Second, the nature of the risk -- essentially a test of
    foreseeability -- also points to casino liability.   Gamblers come
    to the casino to gamble; the casino supplies free alcohol; the
    odds favor the casino.    Losses are the natural result, if not the
    intent, of this situation.    Unacceptable losses due to alcohol
    consumption are certainly foreseeable.
    This foreseeability factor explains the inapplicability
    of contrary authority.    The New Jersey Supreme Court's recent
    limitations of dram shop liability, fairly read, all turn on a
    lack of foreseeability.   See, e.g., Lombardo v. Hoag, 
    269 N.J. Super. 36
    , 
    634 A.2d 550
     (App. Div. 1993), certif. denied, 
    135 N.J. 469
    , 
    640 A.2d 850
     (1994) (rejecting duty of passenger to
    stop owner of vehicle from driving because imposing such an
    "overbroad duty would open a Pandora's box of potential liability
    and responsibility problems"); Jensen v. Schooley's Mountain Inn,
    Inc., 
    216 N.J. Super. 79
    , 
    522 A.2d 1043
     (App. Div.) certif.
    denied, 
    528 A.2d 11
     (N.J. 1987) (tavern not liable for
    intoxicated customer's death after he climbed to top of tree,
    fell, and drowned in river); Griesenbeck v. Walker, 
    199 N.J. Super. 132
    , 
    488 A.2d 1038
     (N.J. Super Ct. App. Div. 1985),
    certif. denied, 
    501 A.2d 932
     (1985) (no cause of action against
    social host for physical injuries from a fire at guest's
    residence which occurred after the guest returned intoxicated).
    15
    Lack of foreseeability also explains why the New Jersey
    courts and legislature have never extended liability for tavern
    owners and social hosts (as opposed to casinos) beyond physical
    injuries and property damage.   See Griesenbeck, 
    199 N.J. Super. at 144
    , 
    488 A.2d at 1043
     (App. Div. 1985) (observing that the
    court has never extended liability for servers of alcohol beyond
    injuries related to drunken driving, barroom accidents and
    barroom brawls); see also N.J.S.A. 2A:22A-1 et seq. (1987)
    (codifying liability for physical injury and property damages for
    "licensed alcoholic beverage server[s]").0   Casinos, on the other
    hand, can plainly foresee large and unacceptable losses from
    patrons they help get drunk.    And the New Jersey Supreme Court
    has made clear that tort is an appropriate basis for liability
    (possibly in addition to a contract theory, see supra n.1), even
    if no physical damage occurs, when the losses are foreseeable.
    See, e.g., People Express Airlines, Inc. v. Consolidated Rail
    Corp., 
    100 N.J. 246
    , 
    495 A.2d 107
     (1985) (allowing airline to
    recover economic damages in tort when defendant's tank car
    accident required it to vacate its offices).
    Finally, the presence of foreseeability rebuts the
    casinos complaint that recognizing liability in this case would
    lead to unfair and extreme results.    A restaurant located near a
    casino would be held liable, the casinos argue, if it served
    alcohol to a patron who became intoxicated, entered the casino,
    0
    Because casinos are not "licensed alcoholic beverage server[s]"
    under the act, this law does nothing to limit casino liability
    directly.
    16
    and lost money.   This, they imply, would be unfair.   That may be
    so.   But because foreseeability is lacking in the casinos'
    hypothetical, the analogy to the present case does not withstand
    scrutiny.   The restaurant and its customer, in the casinos'
    hypothetical, do not stand in a similar posture to a casino and
    its gambling patron.    The restaurant is not in the gambling
    business and does not necessarily know whether the dining patron
    would later be gambling.    The loss involved, therefore, is too
    remote to fairly and rationally hold the restaurant accountable.
    By contrast, in a casino setting with gambling as the primary
    activity, there is no difficulty in foreseeing that the patron
    will engage in that activity and the high chance that he will
    suffer financial losses under a state of intoxication.
    The third factor -- the opportunity and ability to
    exercise care -- further suggests liability here.    To a much
    greater degree than tavern owners, casino operators can readily
    protect themselves against the type of liability sought to be
    imposed here.   Unlike most tavern owners, restaurateurs or social
    hosts, casinos generally have huge staffs and sophisticated
    surveillance cameras.   Gamblers, particularly high rollers, are
    constantly monitored by a dealer, floor persons, a pit boss,
    hidden cameras, and sometimes even officials of the New Jersey
    Casino Control Commission.    See Tose, 
    819 F. Supp. at 1320
    .    When
    the line is crossed, the casino need only refuse to serve more
    alcohol.0
    0
    Again, on the theory that Hakimoglu pursues (based on dram shop
    liability), the casino presumably would need only to stop serving
    17
    Of course, the patron is also in a position to exercise
    care by not getting drunk.    But this does not undermine my
    argument.    New Jersey has made it clear that if the intoxicated
    person sues for injuries to himself, he may be charged with
    contributory negligence.    See Kiku, 
    127 N.J. at 170
    , 
    603 A.2d at 503
    .   Imposing contributory negligence is not a retreat from the
    policy underlying dram shop liability; rather, it is best
    explained as an effort to fairly apportion the loss among all who
    bear some responsibility.    See Fisch v. Bellshot, 
    135 N.J. 374
    ,
    387, 
    640 A.2d 801
    , 807 (1994) ("[P]ublic policy is best served by
    limiting a licensee's dram shop liability through the application
    of comparative negligence rather than by eliminating such
    liability altogether.").    This holding also ensures, from the
    standpoint of deterrence, that both parties in a position to
    avert the harm take steps to prevent it.
    Finally, the public interest in the proposed solution
    also leads to the conclusion that New Jersey would recognize this
    cause of action.   Throughout its history, New Jersey has
    exercised strict control over various types of gambling.       See
    Tose, 
    819 F. Supp. at 1319
    .    Indeed, only by a constitutional
    provision or amendment can any type of gambling be lawfully
    conducted in this state, subject to approved "restrictions and
    control."    N.J. Const., Art. IV, § VII, par. 2.   In an
    the patron alcohol after he became obviously and visibly
    intoxicated. It would not need to bar him from further gambling,
    though hopefully the refusal to serve might serve as a "wake-up
    call." On the broader theory articulated in Aboud, however, the
    casino might have to keep a patron from gambling, even if he had
    become drunk elsewhere.
    18
    environment where gambling has been regarded as "an activity rife
    with evil," the state's general ban on casino gambling should be
    no surprise.   See Petition of Soto, 
    236 N.J. Super. 303
    , 314, 
    565 A.2d 1088
    , 1094 (App. Div. 1989), cert. denied, 
    496 U.S. 937
    (1990).
    Concern for the struggling city's welfare drove New
    Jersey citizens to allow casino operations, with strict controls,
    in Atlantic City.   See Tose, 
    819 F. Supp. at 1319
    .   The 1977
    Casino Control Act establishes a comprehensive and elaborate
    regulatory framework for the casino industry, reflecting a
    concern that casinos be restrained in order to protect the
    public.   See N.J.S.A. 5:12-1 to 190; see also Knight v. City of
    Margate, 
    86 N.J. 374
    , 380, 
    431 A.2d 833
    , 836-37 (1981).    The Act
    typically regulates the gambling operators rather than penalizing
    the individual gamblers.   For instance, casinos, rather than an
    underage gambler, are held liable when the latter enters a
    casino.   See N.J.S.A. 5:12-119; see also Department of Law &
    Public Safety v. Boardwalk Regency, 
    227 N.J. Super. 549
    , 
    548 A.2d 206
     (App. Div. 1988) (holding casino responsible for allowing two
    underage persons to gamble).
    When it passed the Act, the New Jersey legislature
    recognized that casinos -- with their concentration of wealth --
    have disproportionate power over the political process.    See
    Petition of Soto, 
    236 N.J. Super. at 313
    , 
    565 A.2d at 1093-94
    . As
    expressed in the Act, it is New Jersey's pronounced policy to
    regulate casinos "with the utmost strictness to the end that
    public confidence and trust in the honesty and integrity of the
    19
    State's regulatory machinery can be sustained."    
    Id.
     (emphasis
    added).   The historical background reveals that New Jersey
    recognizes an important public interest in protecting gamblers.
    From New Jersey's perspective, requiring casinos to protect
    gamblers from losses flowing from their excessive service of
    alcohol would probably also be in the public interest.
    The most plausible objection to my position is that
    torts of negligence generally seek to deter and compensate for
    the destruction of wealth, while the tort in this case is
    arguably merely allocative.    In other words, a typical economic
    tort would redress negligence that shut down a factory, causing a
    loss in production, while in this case the alleged tortfeasor
    casino coaxes the money from the gambler and then retains it.
    Society is no worse off; different parties just possess the
    wealth.   But allocative economic torts, at least for intentional
    acts of conversion, are no stranger to New Jersey law.   See,
    e.g., Atlantic Northern Airlines v. Schwimmer, 
    12 N.J. 293
    , 
    96 A.2d 652
     (1953); Charles Bloom & Co. v. Echo Jewelers, 
    279 N.J. Super. 372
    , 
    652 A.2d 1238
     (App. Div. 1995); Lombardi v. Marzulli,
    230 N.J. Super 205, 
    553 A.2d 67
     (Law Div. 1988).
    For all the foregoing reasons, application of the
    Hopkins criteria, see supra at 6, counsels us to recognize this
    cause of action under New Jersey law, particularly when analyzed
    against the background of New Jersey tort doctrine.
    III.
    20
    The arguments of the majority and the district court do
    not compel a different result.     These arguments, drawn largely
    from Judge Irenas's footnote in Tose,0 rest on two main
    assertions:    (1) that Miller v. Zoby, 
    250 N.J. Super. 568
    , 
    595 A.2d 1104
     (App. Div.), cert. denied, 
    606 A.2d 366
     (N.J. 1991),
    undermined Aboud; and (2) that the intense legislative regulation
    of gambling precluded the court from finding this cause of
    action.   In the present case, Judge Simandle relied on both
    assertions, see Hakimoglu v. Trump Taj Mahal Associates, 
    876 F. Supp. 625
    , 630-31, 633 (D.N.J. 1994), and the majority places
    most of its stock in the legislative "scope preemption" argument.
    Both of these assertions are incorrect.
    First, it is untrue that the Appellate Division's
    decision in Zoby undermined Aboud.     In Zoby, the court denied an
    implied cause of action against a casino for violating credit
    regulations.    Id. at 1104.   But this court in Tose carefully
    distinguished Zoby as involving the availability of an implied
    right of action under the Casino Control Act -- analytically a
    very different issue from the applicability of common law tort
    liability.    Greate Bay, 
    34 F.3d at
    1232 n.7.   Like the case at
    bar, neither Aboud nor Tose was based on an implied cause of
    action under the Casino Control Act or its regulations.     Rather,
    0
    The complicated procedural posture of the Tose case served as a
    sounding board for both sides of this debate. Judge Rodriguez,
    to whom the case was originally assigned, elected to follow
    Aboud. The case was then reassigned to Judge Irenas, who
    acknowledged that he was bound by Aboud as the law of the case,
    but noted his disagreement with that case in a footnote. Tose,
    
    819 F. Supp. at
    1316 n.8.
    21
    all involve common law causes of action, which I believe the New
    Jersey Supreme Court would recognize.
    Second, the argument that legislation regulation of
    casinos precludes this common law cause of action both
    misapprehends New Jersey jurisprudence and overstates its own
    force.   This scope preemption argument, which forms the bulk of
    the majority opinion, mistakes New Jersey jurisprudence by
    viewing this issue through the lens of federal court interpretive
    assumptions, including great deference to legislative bodies.      If
    this case presented an issue of federal law, a federal court
    might view the extensive legislative regulation of casinos as
    precluding it from properly recognizing this cause of action. But
    many factors might fundamentally affect how a state supreme court
    would interpret and make the law.    To reiterate, this case
    requires us to predict what the New Jersey Supreme Court would do
    if presented with this situation.    See Robertson, 914 at 378.
    In my view, as explained above, New Jersey's
    jurisprudence differs from that of the federal courts:    New
    Jersey is likely to recognize a cause of action when the Hopkins
    factors are present, even where, because of extensive legislative
    regulation, federal courts would not.   New Jersey's high court
    has made clear that tort liability, historically a judicial
    matter, falls squarely in its bailiwick.    "[W]e do not agree that
    the issue addressed in this case is appropriate only for a
    legislative resolution.   Determination of the scope of duty in
    negligence cases has traditionally been a function of the
    judiciary."   Gwinnell, 
    96 N.J. at 552
    , 
    476 A.2d at 1226
    ; accord
    22
    Hopkins, 
    132 N.J. at 439
    , 
    625 A.2d at 1116
     ("[D]etermining the
    scope of tort liability has traditionally been the responsibility
    of the courts.").   In Dunphy, the court's most recent expansion
    of tort liability, the court stated:
    We have recognized, in numerous settings, that
    traditional principles of tort liability can be adapted
    to address areas in which recognition of a cause of
    action and the imposition of a duty of care are both
    novel and controversial.
    
    136 N.J. at 109
    , 
    642 A.2d at 376-77
     (citations omitted).
    As I have explained, the New Jersey Supreme Court has
    long been hospitable to the recognition of liability for
    drinking-related injuries.   See, e.g., Sorenen, 
    46 N.J. at 582
    ,
    
    218 A.2d at 630
     (extending dram shop liability to patron's own
    injuries); Gwinnell, 
    96 N.J. at 538
    , 
    476 A.2d at 1219
     (extending
    dram shop liability to social hosts).   This willingness to define
    the scope of liability exists even where the conduct at issue is
    the subject of legislative or administrative regulation.   See,
    e.g., Kiku, 
    127 N.J. at 170
    , 
    603 A.2d at 503
     (creating
    contributory negligence defense in dram shop action against
    restaurant despite intense legislative regulation of alcohol,
    restaurants, and codification of dram shop liability).
    Indeed, even the authority cited by the casinos as
    "indicative of the firm efforts of the New Jersey courts to limit
    the liability of a server of alcohol for a plaintiff's injuries"
    acknowledges that the state supreme court is free to recognize
    new causes of action.   In Lombardo, 
    269 N.J. Super. at 36
    , the
    court reversed the trial court's decision to extend dram shop
    23
    liability.     In doing so, it noted "that it is generally not
    considered the function of a trial court to create an exception
    to an established rule of law.     Such a function is generally
    reserved for the Supreme Court or the legislature."     
    Id. at 48
    (citations omitted).     To emphasize again, our task here is to
    determine what the New Jersey Supreme Court -- not a trial court
    -- would do in this situation.    See Pennsylvania Glass Sand Corp.
    v. Caterpillar Tractor Co., 
    652 F.2d 1165
    , 1167 (3d Cir. 1981).
    Moreover, even given federal jurisprudential
    assumptions, the scope preemption argument is overstated.        As I
    will explain, the logical extension of this argument would lead
    to an absurd result:     namely, absolving casinos for liability
    when patrons they have continued to serve kill others in drunk
    driving accidents.     As the majority points out, the Casino
    Control Act closely regulates casino operation.    In particular,
    the casinos, like the taverns, are not permitted to serve visibly
    and obviously intoxicated persons.     See N.J.S.A. 5:12-103(d) &
    (f)(2); N.J.A.C. 13:2-23.1(b).    The other act on which the
    majority leans for scope preemption, the Licensed Alcoholic
    Beverage Server Act, N.J.S.A. 2A:22A-1 et seq., imposes liability
    for physical and property injury when licensed alcoholic beverage
    servers (not including casinos) serve already intoxicated
    persons.     Under the majority's approach, because of this lacuna,
    casinos would not be liable for deaths caused by a gambler that
    it nevertheless continues to serve after the gambler is obviously
    intoxicated.     In passing these two acts, the legislature must
    have thought of this possibility, and yet made no provision for
    24
    it.   It cannot be the case, however, that a host is liable for
    injuries that his guest sustained after drinking at a dinner
    party while casinos are absolved from liability for drunk driving
    accidents, even to third parties, under New Jersey law.     The
    scope preemption argument is thus flawed for this reason as well.
    IV.
    While our job is not to make policy for New Jersey (and
    we should be careful not to do so accidently by interpreting New
    Jersey law under assumptions of legislative deference it does not
    share), policy rationales would, in fact, guide the state's high
    court in appraising this putative cause of action.     The district
    court enumerated seven problems to recognizing this cause of
    action.   I will set out and rebut these objections below.
    The first objection is essentially that the aggrieved
    gambler, as such, had no inhibitions that alcohol could overcome.
    Hakimoglu, 
    876 F. Supp. at 636
    .      The second objection is that the
    gambler, seeking risk, got just what he came for.     
    Id.
       These two
    objections seem to state the same point; hence I deal with them
    together.   The point is that, inhibitions or not, the gambler got
    much more than he came for.    Tavern patrons, of course, come to
    drink, but injury results if they become so drunk that they hurt
    themselves or someone else, and dram shop liability attaches.        It
    is surely true, as Judge Simandle observed, that sober gamblers
    can lose big and intoxicated gamblers can win big.     However, ex
    ante, gambling is a form of consumption because the odds favor
    the casino.    In other words, because the casino wins in the long
    25
    run, statistically the patron is paying to gamble.      The patron is
    consuming a nondurable good like someone dining out, taking a
    vacation -- or drinking liquor.    Alcohol, by impairing judgment
    and lowering inhibitions, can lead the patron to consume more
    than he would if he were sober.     As with drinking itself,
    excessive consumption in the form of alcohol-induced gambling can
    cause quite severe injury -- just ask the spouse of a gambler
    whose house is foreclosed and kids withdrawn from their schools
    because the gambler lost the family's savings.      And the damage
    can be wrought in an instant.     This is more than even the most
    uninhibited person bargains for.
    The third, also related objection is that alcohol
    cannot interfere with responsible gambling because gambling
    requires no particular skill.    
    Id.
         To begin with, the latter
    part of this assertion is wrong.       Although slot machines require
    no particular ability, many others games do require skill in
    counting cards and making strategic choices.      See Tose, 
    819 F. Supp. at
    1319 n.9 (discussing how card counting improves a
    bettor's odds).    As a whole, this assertion is also beside the
    point.    Even if a gambler plays a game requiring no skill,
    alcohol can have a critical effect on his judgment about when to
    stop playing.
    The fourth objection is that problems of proof --
    principally regarding proximate causation -- would confound fact-
    finders in evaluating such claims.      Hakimoglu, 
    876 F. Supp. at 636
    .     Once again, the relevant concern here is not, as the
    casinos suggest, whether the intoxicated gambler reduces his odds
    26
    of winning because of his inability to play "prudently."    Rather,
    the issue is whether the intoxication impairs the gambler's
    ability to determine when to stop gambling when his losses grow
    beyond a level which he can afford.   And proof of the nexus
    between the intoxicated status of a high roller such as Hakimoglu
    and his losses seems less difficult than determining the
    causation of cancer in many medical malpractice and toxic tort
    cases.   Regardless, it does not furnish a basis on which to
    conclude that New Jersey would shy away from recognizing a cause
    of action.   See People Express Airlines v. Consolidated Rail, 
    100 N.J. 246
    , 254, 
    495 A.2d 107
    , 111 (1985) (explaining that an
    "asserted inability to fix crystalline formulae for recovery on
    the differing facts of future cases simply does not justify the
    wholesale rejection of recovery in all cases").
    I acknowledge that it is not always easy to determine
    when a gambler is intoxicated.   But this matter is before us on a
    motion under Fed. R. Civ. Pro. 12(b)(6), and we must take the
    well pleaded facts as true.   And when we do, the alleged
    (mis)conduct of the defendant casinos, i.e., that they continued
    to serve a visibly intoxicated gambler who was losing millions of
    dollars, should be sufficient to state a claim for relief under
    the federal rules.   I do not mean to pin a medal on the gambler,
    especially one such as Hakimoglu, who knows full well what he is
    doing when he goes repeatedly to the casino and loses big.     The
    jury may have no sympathy for him and find him contributorily
    negligent, or find the casino not liable at all, as it did in the
    Tose case.   But that is a question for the jury:   whether as the
    27
    result of the casino's (mis)conduct, the gambler has lost his
    ability to make a reasonable judgment as to whether to continue.
    In my view, such an individual, at such a time, appears to be
    within the class that the New Jersey jurisprudence protects.
    The district court's fifth objection is that
    recognizing this tort could open the floodgates to fraudulent
    claims.     Hakimoglu, 
    876 F. Supp. at 637
    .   A typical dram shop
    claim, defendants argue, will follow an accident at which the
    police will be called, the blood alcohol content of the driver
    examined and witnesses interviewed.     But that is not always the
    case.     Many a dram shop claim -- and they are recognized by New
    Jersey without any prerequisite of prompt investigation -- are
    filed "out of the blue" from the vantage point of the defendant.
    Moreover, lawsuits such as Hakimoglu's are both extremely costly
    to pursue and quite risky, and lawyers will not undertake them
    except in the rare case where losses are substantial.       The
    "floodgates" argument, therefore, is unconvincing.     And since the
    high rollers who are both losing and drinking big are surely
    identified at the time of their losses, the surveillance cameras
    can be concentrated on them and the tapes can be specially marked
    and preserved.    In other words, the casinos can protect
    themselves.
    The sixth objection is that sufficient deterrence
    already exists because casinos cannot enforce credit markers
    entered into by drunk patrons.    
    Id.
       A remedy in the marker
    situation, however, does nothing to deter losses in the many
    cases when, as here, the loss in question was not on credit. This
    28
    objection could be restyled as one against overdeterrence (and
    its corresponding inefficiency), which is always a potential
    problem for torts.   If the casino had little to gain and much to
    lose from its behavior -- as it might if, say, New Jersey law
    allowed large recoveries for minor physical injuries sustained in
    a casino -- it might take overly zealous steps to prevent this
    occurrence.   Overdeterrence is not likely to be problematic here,
    however, because the casinos would be liable only up to the
    amount that they had gained by their tortious conduct.    They have
    much to gain and little to lose from continuing to serve
    intoxicated gamblers, even if this tort were recognized.     If
    anything, underdeterrence probably would remain the biggest
    problem:   only in some percentage of cases will the gambling
    losers claim and win their money back.0
    Finally, the district court argues that the court
    should not recognize this cause of action because New Jersey's
    casino regulators have never required "a casino to refund such
    gaming losses allegedly incurred by an intoxicated patron at any
    time in sixteen years of casino gambling in New Jersey."     
    Id.
       In
    addition to undermining its sufficient deterrence argument,0 this
    objection also misses the point.     The legal authority and policy
    choices of the casino commission have no bearing on how the New
    0
    For more analysis of the economics of a gambling tort, and the
    connection between gambling and alcohol, see Jeffrey C. Hallam,
    Note, Rolling the Dice: Should Intoxicated Gamblers Recover
    Their Losses, Nw. U. L. Rev. 240 (1990).
    0
    How can there be sufficient deterrence in the nonmarker
    situation when enforcement has been totally lacking?
    29
    Jersey Supreme Court, as a matter of common law, might choose to
    regulate this situation.
    For all of the foregoing reasons, I am satisfied
    that the New Jersey Supreme Court would recognize Hakimoglu's
    cause of action.
    V.
    This case is its own best evidence, as the majority
    observes, of the utility of a certification procedure; I
    respectfully urge New Jersey to adopt one.0    The lack of a
    certification procedure disadvantages both New Jersey and the
    federal judiciary.     Especially in cases such as this where little
    authority governs the result, the litigants are left to watch the
    federal court spin the wheel.     Meanwhile, federal judges, by no
    means a high-rolling bunch, are put in the uncomfortable position
    of making a choice.0    In effect, we are forced to make important
    state policy, in contravention of basic federalism principles.
    See Dolores K. Sloviter, A Federal Judge Views Diversity
    Jurisdiction Through the Lens of Federalism, 78 VA. L. REV. 1671
    (1992).   The possibility that federal courts may make
    interpretive assumptions that differ from those of the state
    court further complicates this process.    States like New Jersey
    lacking certification procedures face the threat that federal
    courts will misanalyze the state's law, already open to varied
    0
    Judges Nygaard and Alito have expressed their agreement with the
    recommendations contained in this part of my opinion.
    0
    I am, needless to say, not the first to make this observation.
    See, e.g., McKenna, 
    622 F.2d at 661
     ("Although some have
    characterized this assignment as speculative or crystal-ball
    gazing, nonetheless it a task we may not decline.")
    30
    interpretations, by inadvertently viewing it through the lens of
    their own federal jurisprudential assumptions.
    The mischief created by the lack of a certification
    procedure was demonstrated by Judge Sloviter when she catalogued
    some of the Third Circuit's missteps in interpreting the law of
    Pennsylvania, which also lacks a certification procedure:
    [W]e have guessed wrong on questions of the
    breadth of arbitration clauses in automobile
    insurance policies (we predicted they would
    not extend to disputes over the entitlement
    to coverage [Myers v. State Farm Ins. Co.,
    
    842 F.2d 705
     (3d Cir. 1988)], but they do
    [Brennan v. General Accident Fire & Life
    Assurance Corp., 
    574 A.2d 580
     (Pa. 1990)],
    the availability of loss of consortium
    damages for unmarried cohabitants (we
    predicted that they would be available
    [Bulloch v. United States, 
    487 F. Supp. 1078
    (D.N.J. 1980)], but they are not [Leonardis
    v. Morton Chem. Co., 184 N.J. Super 10, 
    445 A.2d 45
     (App. Div. 1982)], and the
    "unreasonably dangerous" standard in products
    liability cases (we predicted the Restatement
    would not apply [Beron v. Kramer-Trenton Co.,
    
    402 F. Supp. 1268
     (E.D. Pa. 1975), aff'd, 
    538 F.2d 319
     (3d Cir. 1976)], but it does
    [Azzarello v. Black Bros. Co., Inc., 
    480 Pa. 547
    , 
    391 A.2d 1020
     (1978)].
    Sloviter, 78 Va. L. Rev. at 1679-80.0
    0
    For additional examples of our difficulty predicting state law,
    and a call for the State of Pennsylvania to adopt a certification
    procedure, see Stella L. Smetanka, To Predict or To Certify
    Unresolved Questions of State Law: A Proposal for Federal Court
    Certification to the Pennsylvania Supreme Court, Temp. L. Rev.
    725 (1995). In particular, Smetanka describes the Third
    Circuit's troubles in assessing the scope of Pennsylvania's
    public-policy exception to at-will employment in the wake of
    Geary v. United States Steel Corp., 
    319 A.2d 174
     (Pa. 1974). For
    recent examples of this difficulty, see Borse v. Piece Goods
    Shop, Inc., 
    963 F.2d 611
     (3d Cir. 1992), and Smith v. Calgon
    Carbon Corp., 
    917 F.2d 1338
     (3d Cir. 1990).
    31
    New Jersey, in failing to adopt a certification
    procedure, is in a small minority.   At present, forty-three state
    supreme courts, the court of last resort in Puerto Rico, and the
    Court of Appeals of the District of Columbia can answer certified
    questions of law from federal circuit courts.   See American
    Judicature Society ("AJS"), Certification of Questions of Law:
    Federalism in Practice 15-17 (1995).0   Granting certification
    power is also supported by the federal judiciary's Long Range
    Plan for the Federal Courts.   Recommendation 8 of that Plan
    states:   "The states should be encouraged to adopt certification
    procedures, where they do not currently exist, under which
    federal court (both trial and appellate) could submit novel or
    difficult state law questions to state supreme courts." Committee
    on Long Range Planning, Judicial Conference of the United States,
    Proposed Long Range Plan for the Federal Courts 32 (March 1995).0
    Certification is not a panacea, and can inflict delay on
    litigants.   See Geri Yonover, A Kinder, Gentler Erie: Reining in
    the Use of Certification, 
    47 Ark. L. Rev. 305
     (1994). But this is
    an argument for exercising the authority wisely --not for denying
    it altogether.
    0
    [hereinafter "AJS Report"]. The states vary widely on whether
    the source of this authority is a constitutional provision,
    statute, court rule -- or a combination of the three. 
    Id.
     The
    states also differ considerably on their standard for accepting
    certified questions. Eleven states require that the certified
    question be determinative of the litigation; twenty-six states,
    Puerto Rico, and the District of Columbia require only that the
    question may be determinative; and six others require that there
    be -- or appear to be -- no controlling precedent or authority.
    AJS Report, supra, at 18-20.
    0
    Recommendation 8 was adopted by the Judicial Conference as part
    of the approved long range plan on September 19, 1995.
    32
    Fifty-four percent of United States Circuit judges
    responding to the AJS survey indicated they were "willing" or
    "very willing" to certify questions, AJS Report, supra, at 43,
    and eighty percent of state supreme court justice said they were
    "willing" or "very willing" to answer these questions.   AJS
    Report, supra, at 46.   Ninety-five percent of the United States
    Circuit Judges and ninety percent of the United States District
    Judges were either "very satisfied" or "somewhat satisfied" with
    the certification process in their most recent certified case.
    Id. at 42.   In terms of overall satisfaction, eighty-seven
    percent of the state court justices said they were either "very
    satisfied" or "somewhat satisfied" with their most recent
    certification experience.   Id. at 43.
    While this is not a forum for drafting a certification
    statute, I believe that a federal court should be authorized to
    certify a question of law to the state court when:    (1) the issue
    is one of importance; (2) it may be determinative of the
    litigation; and (3) state law does not provide controlling
    precedent through which the federal court could resolve the
    issue.   This is a textbook case for certification.   The issue is
    determinative of the litigation; important public policy issues
    are at stake; and little authority guides our decision. Moreover,
    neither the casinos nor Hakimoglu, with all their resources,
    require immediate resolution of the matter.   Yet, alas, New
    33
    Jersey lacks a certification procedure, and still we must
    "predict."0
    VI. CONCLUSION
    The majority fairly observes that this case is a
    difficult one and that reasonable arguments support either side.
    Nevertheless, I believe that the better arguments should lead us
    to predict that New Jersey would find a cause of action here,
    subject to the defense of contributory fault.    The New Jersey
    Supreme Court has been highly hospitable to recognizing causes of
    action, even in areas where the legislature has acted, for
    foreseeable injuries.   The four factors the court uses for
    evaluating whether a duty exists -- (1) the relationship of the
    parties; (2) the nature of the risk; (3) the opportunity and
    ability to exercise care; and (4) the public interest -- all
    point toward finding a cause of action here.    And the policy
    objections of the majority and the litigants either miss the
    point or are overstated.   For all of the foregoing reasons, I
    believe the New Jersey Supreme Court would recognize a cause of
    action, in tort, allowing patrons to recover gambling debts from
    casinos that serve them alcohol after they are visibly
    intoxicated.   I therefore respectfully dissent.
    0
    In order to bring this proposal to the attention of the
    appropriate New Jersey authorities, I request that the Clerk mail
    copies of this opinion, referencing Part V of the dissent, to the
    Chief Justice of the New Jersey Supreme Court, the Director of
    the Administrative Office of New Jersey Courts, the Chair of the
    Judiciary Committees of the New Jersey House and Senate, and the
    Attorney General of New Jersey.
    34