In Re Amarin Corp. PLC Securities Litigation ( 2017 )


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  •                                                   NOT PRECEDENTIAL
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE THIRD CIRCUIT
    No. 16-2640
    IN RE: AMARIN CORPORATION PLC SECURITIES LITIGATION
    James L. Reiss, Lead Plaintiff on behalf of all plaintiffs,
    Appellants
    On Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the District of New Jersey
    (D.N.J. No.: 3-13-cv-06663)
    District Judge: Honorable Freda L. Wolfson
    Argued on April 25, 2017
    Before: SMITH, Chief Judge, MCKEE and RENDELL, Circuit Judges
    (Opinion filed: May 23, 2017)
    Robert C. Finkel   [ARGUED]
    Lester L. Levy
    Sean M. Zaroogian
    Wolf Popper
    845 Third Avenue, 12th Floor
    New York, NY 10022
    Jeffrey W. Herrmann
    Cohn Lifland Pearlman Herrmann & Knopf
    Park 80 West - Plaza One
    250 Pehle Avenue, Suite 401
    Saddle Brook, NJ 07663
    Counsel for Appellants
    Christina L. Costley
    Bruce G. Vanyo
    Katten Muchin Rosenman
    2029 Century Park East, Suite 2600
    Los Angeles, CA 90067
    Howard R. Rubin [ARGUED]
    Robert T. Smith
    Katten Muchin Rosenman
    2900 K Street, N.W.
    Suite 200, North Tower
    Washington, DC 20007
    Jason C. Vigna
    Katten Muchin Rosenman
    575 Madison Avenue, 11th Floor
    New York, NY 10022
    Counsel for Appellees
    OPINION*
    RENDELL, Circuit Judge:
    Appellant-Plaintiff James Reiss (the “Plaintiff”) appeals an Order of the District
    Court dismissing his putative securities fraud class action complaint (the “Second
    Consolidated and Amended Class Action Complaint” or “SAC”) against the Appellee-
    Defendant Amarin Plc., a biopharmaceutical corporation, and certain of its individual
    officers (the “Defendants”). The District Court held that the Plaintiff failed to state a
    claim because none of the eighty-seven statements made by the Defendants and
    *
    This disposition is not an opinion of the full Court and pursuant to I.O.P. 5.7
    does not constitute binding precedent.
    2
    recounted in the SAC were false or misleading. For the reasons that follow, we agree
    with the District Court’s reasoning and will affirm.
    I. BACKGROUND
    A. Factual Background
    Amarin’s primary drug is Vascepa, an ultra-pure omega-3 fatty acid product
    designed to reduce triglycerides in the blood stream. Triglycerides (“TGs”) are a common
    form of fat molecule. During the Class Period (November 29, 2010 through October 16,
    2013), the Defendants sought FDA approval of Vascepa for treatment of patients with
    elevated TGs who are already taking a statin drug like Lipitor (the “ANCHOR
    Indication”). The Defendants theorized that administering Vascepa in this regime would
    result in a statistically significant reduction of major adverse cardiac events like heart
    attacks. They have vigorously pursued ANCHOR because the potential treatment
    population is thirty-six million people.1
    To support its application for the ANCHOR Indication, Amarin proposed
    conducting a 12-week trial (the “ANCHOR Study”) to demonstrate the efficacy of the
    drug. Given its short duration, the ANCHOR Study could not measure cardiovascular
    outcomes directly as the clinical endpoint of the study. Such a measurement would
    require an expensive and time-consuming long-term outcomes study. Rather, Amarin
    1
    Amarin secured FDA approval of Vascepa for another indication, the MARINE
    indication, to treat persons with “very high” TGs at risk of pancreatitis. But this
    population contained approximately four million potential patients.
    3
    proposed to rely on the reduction of TGs as a “surrogate endpoint,” on the assumption
    that a significant reduction of TGs would lead to reduced major adverse cardiac events.
    On July 14, 2008, senior Amarin officials met with the FDA to determine whether
    the design of its ANCHOR Study was “adequate to provide the clinical efficacy data
    necessary to support the proposed [ANCHOR] indication[.]” SAC ¶ 114. The FDA
    responded, as documented in the official minutes of that meeting (the “2008 Minutes”)
    that it was “not aware” of any long-term outcomes trials demonstrating that the reduction
    of TGs in patients on statin therapy significantly reduces the risk of major adverse cardiac
    events. SAC ¶115. It then noted that three then-ongoing outcome studies, titled AIM-
    HIGH, ACCORD, and IMPROVE-IT, “while not designed to address this specific gap in
    knowledge, [would] provide important information on the incremental benefit of adding a
    second lipid-active drug to statin therapy.” JA.483; SAC ¶¶ 4; 116. Consequently, the
    FDA stated that “before [it] would entertain granting [Vascepa] an indication . . . ,”
    Amarin would “at a minimum” have to submit data from the ANCHOR Study and
    “initiate an appropriately-designed cardiovascular outcomes study” that was “well under
    way” by the time the FDA began its review. JA.484; SAC ¶21. The Defendants did not
    share the 2008 Minutes with investors.
    Amarin later entered a Special Protocol Assessment (“SPA”) Agreement with the
    FDA memorializing some of this feedback in July 2009 (the “2009 SPA”). An SPA
    Agreement binds the FDA as to design, methodological, and approval criteria for a given
    drug application, although the FDA may rescind an SPA if it identifies “a substantial
    scientific issue essential to determining the safety or effectiveness of [a] drug . . . after
    4
    the testing has begun.” 21 U.S.C § 355(b)(5)(C)(ii). In the 2009 SPA, the FDA agreed
    with the proposed “design” of the ANCHOR Study, including Amarin’s proposed
    “endpoints.” JA.508. But when asked whether statistically significant results from the
    ANCHOR Study would “provide an adequate basis for approval” of the indication, the
    FDA responded only that “[t]his is a review issue.” SAC ¶ 127. The Defendants did not
    share all of the FDA’s comments in connection with the 2009 SPA with investors.
    In April 2011, Amarin announced that the results of the ANCHOR Study showed
    statistically significant reduction of TGs in the ANCHOR population. However, around
    this time, two of the three outcomes studies mentioned by the FDA in 2008 (ACCORD
    and AIM-HIGH) failed to achieve their endpoints.2 On a conference call between Amarin
    and the FDA on April 14, 2011, the FDA told Amarin that an advisory committee “was
    likely before the indication could possibly be granted.”3 SAC ¶ 247.
    Four months later, the FDA and Amarin entered into a second SPA agreement (the
    “2011 SPA”) covering the design and endpoints of the long-term outcomes study
    mentioned as a “minimum” requirement in 2008 (the “REDUCE-IT Study”). The FDA
    agreed with Amarin’s design of the REDUCE-IT Study, but again declined to commit to
    approval criteria. See SAC ¶ 278 (noting that “approvability of the indication will be a
    review issue”).
    2
    IMPROVE-IT, although not completed until after the Class Period, demonstrated
    “modest favorable results.” In re Amarin Corp. PLC Sec. Litig., No. CV-13-6663 (FLW)
    (TJB), 
    2016 WL 1644623
    , at *2 n.6 (D.N.J. Apr. 26, 2016); SAC ¶¶165–66.
    3
    In reviewing a drug application the FDA may—or may not—convene an
    advisory committee (“AdCom”) of experts for guidance. The FDA is not bound by this
    guidance.
    5
    By February 2013, the REDUCE-IT Study was substantially underway, so Amarin
    submitted a supplemental New Drug Application for ANCHOR. On October 16, 2013,
    however, the FDA convened an advisory committee and voted to reject the ANCHOR
    application because it found that there was insufficient data to support the use of reducing
    TGs as a surrogate endpoint. The FDA, shortly thereafter, rescinded the 2009 SPA citing
    the results from ACCORD, AIM-HIGH, and a third study not mentioned in the 2008
    Minutes, HPS2-THRIVE, as establishing a substantial scientific issue.
    The Defendants appealed the FDA’s decision to rescind the 2009 SPA, but the
    appeal was denied. Reviewers, such as Drs. Rosebraugh and Jenkins, rejected Amarin’s
    arguments and made clear that the 2008 Minutes “indicate[d] the fragile nature of the
    evidence supporting TG’s hold onto surrogate status,” SAC ¶134, and “that there were
    still concerns regarding [TG lowering],” SAC ¶137. Dr. Ketchum, one of the individual
    defendants, acknowledged understanding as much from these minutes in post-Class
    Period correspondence. The appeal decisions emphasized, however, that at the time of the
    2008 Minutes and 2009 SPA, the FDA believed the scientific data supported TG
    lowering and thus that the FDA was justified in entering the 2009 SPA. The decision to
    rescind, Dr. Jenkins added, “was based on the accumulation and totality of scientific data
    and information, including reevaluation and improved understanding of the relevant
    scientific knowledge, that have become available since the ANCHOR trial began . . . .”
    JA.685.
    6
    B. Alleged Material Misrepresentations
    Lead Plaintiff James Reiss then brought this securities fraud action, claiming
    violations of §§ 10(b) and 20(a) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. He alleges that
    the Defendants intentionally misled investors as to the material risk that the FDA would
    require Amarin to complete an outcomes study at great cost and delay before granting the
    ANCHOR Indication, by omitting to disclose the FDA’s “reservations” as stated in the
    2008 Minutes and 2009 SPA. SAC ¶ 204. The Plaintiff then identifies eighty-seven
    statements drawn from press releases, offering announcements, prospectuses, and
    earnings call transcripts during the Class Period (the “Statements”) that he alleges were
    false and misleading in light of these omissions.
    The Plaintiff organizes the Statements into eight categories, but focuses on the
    first in this appeal. In that category, he identifies fourteen statements wherein the
    Defendants represented that a long-term outcome trial (REDUCE-IT) was “not required”
    to be completed or that the Defendants “[did] not believe” one “[would] be required” to
    be completed before the FDA approved the ANCHOR Indication.4 SAC ¶¶ 235; 353.
    The Plaintiff alleges that these statements are false and misleading because the FDA had
    indicated approval would be a “review issue,” and that an outcomes trial, “given the
    4
    The other seven categories included: (1) statements purportedly representing that
    TGs were an accepted surrogate endpoint; (2) a statement characterizing the SPA
    agreement as “strong endorsement” of Amarin’s strategy; (3) statements allegedly
    mispresenting the import of the AIM-HIGH and ACCORD studies; (4) statements
    misrepresenting the import of a Japanese TG study; (5) statements concerning the
    placebo in the ANCHOR Study; (6) statements purportedly mischaracterizing the level of
    enrollment required in the REDUCE-IT study; and (7) statements allegedly
    misrepresenting market demand of the drug.
    7
    failure of the ACCORD and AIM-HIGH trials, [was] almost certainly going to be
    required by the FDA prior to approval of ANCHOR.” SAC ¶209(i) (emphasis added).
    The Plaintiff also alleges that various statements to the effect that Amarin was optimistic
    that the FDA would approve ANCHOR based on the ANCHOR Study amplified the
    misleading nature of the Statements.
    C. The District Court Opinion
    The District Court, in two comprehensive and thoughtful opinions, separately
    analyzed each category of statement and held that the Plaintiff failed to allege any false
    or misleading statements. See In re Amarin Corp. PLC Sec. Litig., No. CV-13-6663
    (FLW) (TJB), 
    2016 WL 1644623
    , at *1 (D.N.J. Apr. 26, 2016); In re Amarin Corp. PLC,
    No. 13-CV-6663 (FLW) (TJB), 
    2015 WL 3954190
    , at *1 (D.N.J. June 29, 2015).
    It reasoned, inter alia, that had the FDA wished to condition approval of
    ANCHOR on completion of an outcomes trial, it would have explicitly said so. When
    viewed in context, the “use of the language ‘review issue’ impl[ied] that it [was] possible,
    although not guaranteed, that [the ANCHOR Study] would be an adequate basis for
    approval.” In re Amarin, 
    2016 WL 1644623
    , at *10. Therefore, the Defendants’
    statements that completion of an outcomes trial was not required before approval were
    not misleading because “[t]hese statements merely accurately reflected the agreed terms
    of the 2008 Meeting and the 2009 SPA.” 
    Id. Similarly, any
    statements allegedly implying
    that TG lowering was an accepted surrogate endpoint were not misleading because
    “[u]nder the facts alleged, it is clear that at the time the 2009 SPA and the 2011 SPA
    were executed, the reduction of TGs was still an accepted surrogate for the reduction of
    8
    [major adverse cardiac events].” 
    Id. at *17.
    For similar reasons, the District Court
    concluded that none of the other Statements were misleading as to the FDA’s feedback in
    2008 or 2009.
    The Plaintiff appeals and argues that the District Court erred by “applying a
    heightened pleading standard,” “weighing competing evidence,” and “not considering the
    [S]tatements in the aggregate.” Reiss Br. 20. He maintains that a reasonable investor
    would have been misled by the totality of the Defendants’ Statements into believing that
    there was a “clear path to approval” for the ANCHOR Indication, when, in fact, there was
    not.5
    After independently reviewing the record, we perceive no reason to disturb the
    District Court’s reasoning and rulings.
    II. DISCUSSION6
    Section 10(b) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 prohibits fraud in connection
    with the purchase or sale of securities. See 15 U.S.C. § 78j(b). Rule 10b-5, in particular,
    5
    Oral Argument at 14:20–17:10, In re: Amarin Corp. PLC Sec. Litig, No. 16–
    2640, available at http:// www2.ca3.uscourts.gov/oralargument/audio/16-
    2640InReAmarinCorpPLC.mp3.
    6
    The District Court had jurisdiction under 28 U.S.C. §1331. We have jurisdiction
    under 28 U.S.C § 1291. We exercise plenary review over the District Court’s Order to
    grant a Rule 12(b)(6) motion to dismiss. See In re Aetna, Inc. Sec. Litig., 
    617 F.3d 272
    ,
    277 (3d Cir. 2010). In so doing, we apply the Private Security Litigation Reform Act’s
    heightened pleading standards, which require a private securities fraud complaint to
    “specify each statement alleged to have been misleading, [and] the reason or reasons why
    the statement is misleading.” 15 U.S.C. § 78u–4(b)(1).
    At this stage we may rely on, in addition to the complaint itself, documents
    incorporated by reference and undisputed in authenticity, including publically-filed SEC
    disclosures. See Winer Family Tr. v. Queen, 
    503 F.3d 319
    , 327 (3d Cir. 2007).
    9
    makes it unlawful to “make any untrue statement of a material fact or to omit to state a
    material fact necessary in order to make the statements made, in the light of the
    circumstances under which they were made, not misleading.” City of Edinburgh Council
    v. Pfizer, Inc., 
    754 F.3d 159
    , 167 (3d Cir. 2014) (quoting 17 C.F.R. § 240.10b–5(b)). To
    state a claim for securities fraud, a plaintiff must show (1) a material misrepresentation or
    omission, (2) scienter, (3) a nexus between the misrepresentation or omission and the
    purchase or sale of a security, (4) reliance, (5) economic loss, and (6) loss causation. See
    In re Aetna, Inc. Sec. Litig., 
    617 F.3d 272
    , 277 (3d Cir. 2010).
    The District Court dismissed the SAC under the first element, concluding that the
    Defendants’ Statements contained no material misrepresentations or omissions because
    they were not materially misleading. A statement or omission is materially misleading if
    “there is ‘a substantial likelihood that the disclosure of the omitted fact would have been
    viewed by the reasonable investor as having significantly altered the “total mix” of
    information available’” to that investor. Matrixx Initiatives, Inc. v. Siracusano, 
    563 U.S. 27
    , 38 (2011) (quoting Basic Inc. v. Levinson, 
    485 U.S. 224
    , 231–32 (1988)).
    We keep in mind, however, that Rule 10b-5 “do[es] not create an affirmative duty
    to disclose any and all material information.” 
    Id. at 44;
    accord Oran v. Stafford, 
    226 F.3d 275
    , 285 (3d Cir. 2000) (“Silence, absent a duty to disclose, is not misleading under Rule
    10b–5.” (quoting Basic 
    Inc., 485 U.S. at 239
    n.17)). Rather, disclosure of material
    information is required “only when necessary ‘to make . . . statements made, in the light
    of the circumstances under which they were made, not misleading.’” Matrixx Initiatives,
    
    10 563 U.S. at 44
    (alteration in original) (quoting 17 C.F.R. § 240.10b–5(b)).7 As the
    Supreme Court has recently emphasized, “[e]ven with respect to information that a
    reasonable investor might consider material, companies can control what they have to
    disclose under these provisions by controlling what they say to the market.” 
    Id. at 45.
    Here, we agree with the District Court that none of the Statements, in context,
    were misleading as to the FDA’s feedback; consequently, we hold that the Defendants
    were not obligated to disclose the 2008 Minutes or 2009 SPA.
    The lynchpin of the Plaintiff’s omission theory of liability is his allegation that as
    the AIM-HIGH and ACCORD studies failed, it became increasingly likely, if not certain,
    that the FDA would reject TG lowering as a validated surrogate endpoint. Given this, he
    contends, the FDA was “certain” to require an outcomes trial to be completed prior to
    approval, rendering the Defendants’ representations misleading.
    But, in so arguing, we think the Plaintiff mischaracterizes the FDA’s position on
    TG lowering during the Class Period. Viewed in their entirety, the SAC and documents
    incorporated by reference reveal that TG lowering, despite the open nature of the
    scientific question, remained a viable surrogate endpoint until 2013. In view of this, the
    Statements, even taken together with the Defendants’ optimism, are not actionable.
    7
    We therefore reject the Plaintiff’s argument that the District Court applied an
    improper burden or weighed competing evidence. Rather, the District Court properly
    considered whether, in context, any of the Statements were false or misleading and
    appropriately relied on documents incorporated by reference into the SAC. Its analytical
    approach was sound.
    11
    We begin with the 2008 Minutes. At oral argument, the Plaintiff’s counsel urged
    us to read the FDA’s statement that it was “not aware” of any long-term studies to reflect
    its position that there was “no association” between TG lowering and reduction of
    cardiovascular risk.8 But the FDA never stated that there was “no association.” The FDA
    never stated that TG Lowering was not a valid surrogate endpoint either. To the contrary,
    the FDA expressly provided “minimum” requirements for consideration of Amarin’s
    application based on this theory of proving efficacy. JA.484. Moreover, in the FDA’s
    decision letter rejecting Amarin’s appeal (from which the Plaintiff quotes extensively in
    support of his characterizations), Dr. Jenkins confirmed that “at the time of the [2008
    Meeting], (as well as at the time of the ANCHOR SPA agreement) [the FDA] was still
    willing to accept TG lowering as a validated surrogate for reducing CV risk . . . .”
    JA.682. Thus, the 2008 Minutes actually show that TG lowering was an accepted
    surrogate endpoint in 2008.
    Nonetheless, the Plaintiff urges us to focus on the failure of the ACCORD and
    AIM-HIGH studies. He insists the Defendants’ application was doomed as a result of
    their failure because the FDA commented in 2008 that these studies would provide
    “important information.” SAC ¶ 116. But the full text of that quote reads that ACCORD
    and AIM-HIGH, while important, were “not designed to address this specific gap in
    knowledge.” JA.483. The FDA, thus, did not opine that AIM-HIGH and ACCORD
    would decide the issue conclusively. The post-Class Period documents show that in
    8
    Oral Argument at 4:21.
    12
    reaching its decision to rescind, the FDA was swayed not only by ACCORD and AIM-
    HIGH, but also by a third study not mentioned in the 2008 Minutes, HP2S-THRIVE. See
    JA.947 (noting in a December 16, 2013 meeting that three studies, ACCORD, AIM-
    HIGH, and HP2S-THRIVE, “reduced the [FDA’s] level of confidence”). We cannot say
    then, as the Plaintiff insists, that the FDA viewed the outcome of the AIM-HIGH or
    ACCORD as definitively deciding the TG question in 2008 or in 2011 after those studies
    failed.
    The Plaintiff next points to the 2009 SPA, particularly that approval was a “review
    issue.” SAC ¶ 127. But we do not see how this advances his argument. In the 2009 SPA,
    the FDA actually “agreed” with the design of the ANCHOR Study, meaning that it
    agreed with its selected surrogate endpoint. JA.508. As the District Court aptly noted, the
    FDA’s use of the phrase “review issue” meant only that “it [was] possible, although not
    guaranteed” that a twelve-week efficacy would suffice. In re Amarin, 
    2016 WL 1644623
    ,
    at *10. The FDA’s entering into the 2011 SPA for REDUCE-IT after the ACCORD and
    AIM-HIGH studies failed further confirms that the FDA had yet to decide the issue, but
    was still willing to consider the application on this theory.
    We think it clear from the 2008 Minutes, 2009 SPA, and 2011 SPA that the FDA
    never explicitly or even implicitly indicated that a long-term outcome trial would be
    required to be completed for approval. The FDA only wished to see that a long-term
    study was “well under way,” JA.484, or “approximately 50% percent enroll[ed],” JA.406.
    While quantification of that requirement, in terms of enrollment figures, appears to have
    13
    been a matter of negotiation throughout the Class Period, there is no dispute, based on
    these documents, that completion of such a trial was not required for approval.
    Finally, we note that documents incorporated by reference make it abundantly
    clear that the FDA did not conclusively reformulate its thinking on the state of the
    scientific literature supporting the TG lowering hypothesis until after it considered the
    “new” scientific evidence in 2013. JA.686; see also JA.685 (noting that the FDA’s
    decision to rescind “was based on the accumulation and totality of scientific data and
    information, including revaluation and improved understanding of the relevant scientific
    knowledge, that have become available since the ANCHOR trial began” (emphasis
    added)); JA.686 (noting that the FDA “could not know the outcome of the ongoing
    [outcome studies]” and characterizing the “cumulative results” of those studies as “new
    scientific information” (underline in original)); JA.687–88 (concluding that “weight of
    evidence no longer supports” the use of TG lowering as a surrogate endpoint because of
    the “important new scientific evidence” (emphasis added)).
    In sum, far from being “extremely likely (if not certain)” to reject TG lowering as
    a validated surrogate endpoint and require a completed outcomes study before granting
    the ANCHOR Indication, Reiss Br. 22, the FDA remained open to Amarin’s strategy of
    demonstrating efficacy; no well-pled allegation supports the claim that the FDA
    reformulated its thinking prior to the advisory committee meeting.9 We therefore decline
    9
    At oral argument, the Plaintiff emphasized his allegation regarding the April
    2011 teleconference wherein the FDA stated that an AdCom was likely. But we fail to
    see how this indicated that the FDA was correspondingly “likely” to require an outcomes
    study. It meant at most that the FDA would seek guidance on the TG issue.
    14
    to accept as true the allegation that the FDA was “certain” to require an outcomes study
    at the time of the Defendants’ Statements, even in light of ACCORD’s and AIM-HIGH’s
    failure to produce supportive results.
    Accordingly, we agree with the District Court that none of the Statements were
    false or misleading given the FDA’s position on TG lowering. The Defendants never
    expressly stated or implied that the 2009 SPA guaranteed approval,10 or that the FDA had
    conclusively accepted TG lowering as a validated surrogate during the Class Period.11 As
    the District Court correctly noted, the Defendants are merely alleged to have stated,
    accurately, the minimum requirements for consideration as laid out in the 2008 Minutes.
    We also find the Plaintiff’s argument that a reasonable investor would have
    interpreted the Defendants’ Statements as presenting a “clear path to approval” to be
    unpersuasive given Amarin’s contemporaneous disclosures. The Defendants’ publically-
    filed Form 10-Ks repeatedly warned investors that the FDA may rescind an SPA if it
    identifies a “substantial scientific issue.” See JA.496, 521, 529, 536. The Defendants’
    2011 Form 10-K, in particular, acknowledges that: “no outcomes study has been
    conducted evaluating [Vascepa for the ANCHOR Indication];” “Outcomes studies of
    10
    The Defendants warned investors that SPAs, in fact, did not guarantee approval.
    See JA.536 (“Our SPAs with the FDA are not guarantees of FDA approval of Vascepa
    for the proposed ANCHOR and REDUCE-IT indications.”).
    11
    On this point, we disagree with Plaintiff’s characterization of his second
    category of statements. He claims the Defendants represented, in his words, that “TG
    lowering was an accepted surrogate endpoint for a long-term CVD outcomes benefit.”
    Reiss Br. 35. The text of the statements actually says that TGs were a “risk factor” for
    cardiovascular disease. SAC ¶ 194. The statements say nothing about the FDA’s position
    on surrogacy and are therefore not actionable because the Plaintiff does not allege that
    TGs were not considered a risk factor at the time of the statements.
    15
    certain other lipid modifying therapies have failed to achieve the endpoints of such
    studies;” “[t]here can be no assurance as to the final indication approved by the FDA,”
    JA.196–97; and “the agency could assert that additional studies or data are required to
    support a regulatory submission,” JA.529.
    As other courts have recognized, a reasonable investor understands that a
    “[c]ontinuous dialogue between the FDA and the proponent of a new drug is the essence
    of the product license application process.” Tongue v. Sanofi, 
    816 F.3d 199
    , 211 (2d Cir.
    2016) (alteration in original) (internal quotation marks omitted) (quoting In re Sanofi Sec.
    Litig., 
    87 F. Supp. 3d 510
    , 542 (S.D.N.Y. 2015)). Here, a reasonable investor would not
    have been misled by the Defendants’ Statements unless the FDA had foreclosed (or
    provided conditions that obtained during the class period under which it would foreclose)
    reliance on TG lowering as a surrogate endpoint. Because neither the 2008 Minutes nor
    the 2009 SPA, fairly characterized, bear out the Plaintiff’s characterizations of the FDA’s
    position, we agree that the Defendants did not have a duty to disclose them under the
    securities laws.
    The Plaintiff also emphasizes to us the Defendants’ optimistic projections of
    approval. But just because the Defendants were aware of the TG issue and optimistic that
    it would be decided in their favor does not necessarily mean their omissions are
    actionable. See OFI Asset Mgmt. v. Cooper Tire & Rubber, 
    834 F.3d 481
    , 496–97 (3d
    Cir. 2016) (holding that statement to that there was “no pending or . . . threatened . . .
    labor strike” was not misleading when all the plaintiff pled with particularity was a risk
    of a labor dispute and that the defendant “was aware of and was preparing for that risk”
    16
    (first alteration in original)); City of Edinburgh 
    Council, 754 F.3d at 170
    (noting that
    opinions are not actionable unless they are (1) not honestly believed and (2) lack a
    reasonable basis); accord In re Merck & Co., Inc. Sec., Derivative & “ERISA” Litig., 
    543 F.3d 150
    , 166 (3d Cir. 2008).12 The Plaintiff fails to allege that the Defendants did not
    honestly believe their projections (or their assessments of the scientific literature
    underlying those projections); nor are there allegations that the Defendants lacked a
    reasonable basis for so believing. To the contrary, the 2008 Minutes, taken in context,
    show that they did have a reasonable basis for believing the FDA would approve the
    ANCHOR Indication. The Plaintiff’s reliance on the fact the FDA ultimately rejected TG
    lowering after a review of “new” scientific data would amount to pleading “fraud by
    hindsight, something our Court has long rejected.” 
    OFI, 834 F.3d at 497
    (internal
    quotation marks omitted).
    Finally, we disagree that Zak v. Chelsea Therapeutics Int’l, Ltd., 
    780 F.3d 597
    (4th
    Cir. 2015), “compel[s]” reversal. Reiss Br. 26. In Zak, the FDA explicitly told the
    Defendants in an SPA that it “expected two successful efficacy studies before it would
    grant regulatory approval of the new drug” and later “warned . . . that a single successful
    study typically was not sufficient to support approval of a new drug.” 
    Zak, 708 F.3d at 602
    . Here, the FDA never required an outcomes study be completed prior to submission,
    12
    Although the Plaintiff cites Omnicare, Inc. v. Laborers District Council
    Construction Industry Pension Fund, 
    135 S. Ct. 1318
    , 1329 (2015), a §11 case, as
    supporting its argument, we decline to decide whether Omnicare is applicable to §10(b)
    claims because even under the principles set forth in the Supreme Court’s opinion in that
    case, our decision here would remain unchanged.
    17
    or even, like in Zak, indicated that one would typically be required in this situation.
    Rather, the FDA declined to adopt criteria for approval one way or the other, and waited
    to see how the scientific literature developed. See SAC ¶126 (noting ultimate approval is
    “a review issue”). Zak, therefore, does not help the Plaintiff.
    We have considered the remainder of the Plaintiff’s arguments as to why the
    Statements were false and misleading, but find them unavailing.
    III. Conclusion
    For the foregoing reasons, we will affirm the Order of the District Court.
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