Raymond Holloway, Jr. v. Attorney General United States ( 2020 )


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  •                                        PRECEDENTIAL
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE THIRD CIRCUIT
    ______________
    No. 18-3595
    ______________
    RAYMOND HOLLOWAY, JR.
    v.
    ATTORNEY GENERAL UNITED STATES OF AMERICA;
    DEPUTY DIRECTOR BUREAU OF ALCOHOL
    TOBACCO FIREARMS & EXPLOSIVES;
    DIRECTOR FEDERAL BUREAU OF INVESTIGATION;
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,
    Appellants
    ______________
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the Middle District of Pennsylvania
    (D.C. No. 1-17-cv-00081)
    District Judge: Hon. Christopher C. Conner
    ______________
    Argued October 2, 2019
    ______________
    Before: SHWARTZ, FUENTES, and FISHER, Circuit
    Judges.
    (Filed: January 17, 2020)
    ______________
    OPINION
    ______________
    Joseph H. Hunt
    Assistant Attorney General
    David J. Freed
    United States Attorney
    Mark B. Stern
    Thais-Lyn Trayer [ARGUED]
    Tyce R. Walters
    United States Department of Justice
    950 Pennsylvania Avenue, N.W.
    Civil Division, Room 7712
    Washington, D.C. 20530
    Counsel for Appellants United States of America,
    Attorney General United States of America, Deputy
    Director Bureau of Alcohol Tobacco Firearms &
    Explosives, and Director Federal Bureau of
    Investigation
    Adam J. Kraut
    Joshua Prince [ARGUED]
    Prince Law Offices
    646 Lenape Road
    Bechtelsville, PA 19505
    Counsel for Appellee Raymond Holloway, Jr.
    2
    Joseph G. S. Greenlee
    Firearms Policy Coalition
    1215 J Street, 17th Floor
    Sacramento, CA 95814
    Counsel for Amici Curiae Firearms Policy Coalition
    Inc, Firearms Policy Foundation, Madison Society
    Foundation Inc, and Second Amendment Foundation
    Inc
    SHWARTZ, Circuit Judge.
    Drunk driving is a dangerous and often deadly crime.
    “Approximately a quarter million people are injured annually
    in alcohol-related crashes,” Begay v. United States, 
    553 U.S. 137
    , 156-57 (2008) (Alito, J., dissenting), and the number
    “who are killed . . . by drunk drivers is far greater than the
    number of murders committed” during many other violent
    crimes, 
    id.
     at 157 & n.4. “[F]rom 1982 to 2016, alcohol-related
    accidents took roughly 10,000 to 20,000 lives in this Nation
    every single year. In the best years, that would add up to more
    than one fatality per hour.” Mitchell v. Wisconsin, 
    139 S. Ct. 2525
    , 2536 (2019) (emphasis omitted) (citations omitted).
    Today, we consider whether Pennsylvania’s driving
    under the influence (“DUI”) law, which makes a DUI at the
    highest blood alcohol content (“BAC”) a first-degree
    misdemeanor that carries a maximum penalty of five years’
    imprisonment, see 18 Pa. Cons. Stat. Ann. § 1104; 75 Pa. Cons.
    Stat. Ann. §§ 3802(c), 3803(b)(4), constitutes a serious crime
    3
    that requires disarmament. Plaintiff Raymond Holloway, Jr.,
    was convicted under this statute, and by the terms of 
    18 U.S.C. § 922
    (g)(1), he is prohibited from possessing a firearm.
    Holloway claims this prohibition violates his Second
    Amendment rights. The District Court agreed and enjoined
    applying § 922(g)(1) to him. Because Holloway was convicted
    of a serious crime as contemplated by Binderup v. Attorney
    General United States of America, 
    836 F.3d 336
     (3d Cir. 2016)
    (en banc), applying § 922(g)(1) to him does not offend the
    Second Amendment. Therefore, we will reverse the District
    Court’s order and remand for the entry of judgment in favor of
    the Government.
    I
    In 2002, Holloway was convicted of a DUI at the
    highest BAC, but the charge was dismissed upon his
    completion of an accelerated rehabilitation program. In 2005,
    Holloway was again arrested for driving under the influence
    and registered a BAC of 0.192%. Holloway pled guilty to
    violating 75 Pa. Cons. Stat. Ann. § 3802(c) for driving under
    the influence at the highest BAC (greater than 0.16%). He
    received a sentence of 60 months’ “Intermediate Punishment,”
    including 90-days’ imprisonment that allowed him work
    release, a $1,500 fine, and mandatory drug and alcohol
    evaluation.
    In 2016, Holloway sought to purchase a firearm but was
    unable to do so because of his disqualifying DUI conviction.
    Holloway sued the Attorney General of the United States and
    other federal officials (the “Government”) in the United States
    District Court for the Middle District of Pennsylvania,
    claiming that § 922(g)(1) is unconstitutional as applied to him
    4
    and seeking declaratory and permanent injunctive relief. The
    parties filed cross-motions for summary judgment.
    The District Court granted Holloway’s motion for
    summary judgment, awarded him a declaratory judgment, and
    entered a permanent injunction barring the Government from
    enforcing § 922(g)(1) against him. Holloway v. Sessions, 
    349 F. Supp. 3d 451
    , 463 (M.D. Pa. 2018). Applying Binderup, the
    Court held that § 922(g)(1) is unconstitutional as applied to
    Holloway because (1) Holloway’s DUI offense was a non-
    serious crime that has not historically been a basis for the
    denial of Second Amendment rights, id. at 459-60, and (2) the
    Government failed to demonstrate that disarmament of
    individuals like Holloway would promote the public safety,
    particularly given his decade of crime-free behavior, id. at 460-
    62. The Government appeals.
    II1
    1
    The District Court had jurisdiction under 
    28 U.S.C. § 1331
    . We have jurisdiction under 
    28 U.S.C. § 1291
    . Our
    review of a district court’s order granting summary judgment
    is plenary, Mylan Inc. v. SmithKline Beecham Corp., 
    723 F.3d 413
    , 418 (3d Cir. 2013), and we view the facts and make all
    reasonable inferences in the non-movant’s favor, Hugh v.
    Butler Cty. Family YMCA, 
    418 F.3d 265
    , 266-67 (3d Cir.
    2005). Summary judgment is appropriate where “there is no
    genuine dispute as to any material fact and the movant is
    entitled to judgment as a matter of law.” Fed. R. Civ. P. 56(a).
    The moving party is entitled to judgment as a matter of law
    when the non-moving party fails to make “a sufficient showing
    on an essential element of her case with respect to which she
    5
    A
    The sole issue on appeal is whether applying 
    18 U.S.C. § 922
    (g)(1)2 to Holloway, which makes it unlawful for him to
    possess a firearm due to his prior conviction, violates his
    Second Amendment rights.
    In District of Columbia v. Heller, the Supreme Court
    held that the Second Amendment protects the right of “law-
    abiding, responsible citizens to use arms in defense of hearth
    and home.” 
    554 U.S. 570
    , 635 (2008). This right, however,
    “is not unlimited.” 
    Id. at 626
    . Indeed, the Court cautioned that
    “nothing in [its] opinion should be taken to cast doubt on
    longstanding prohibitions on the possession of firearms by
    felons.” 
    Id.
     The Court described the felon ban as just one
    “example[]” of “presumptively lawful regulatory measures.”
    
    Id.
     at 627 n.26.
    Since Heller, we have been called upon to determine
    whether various laws unlawfully infringe the Second
    Amendment. Some of these laws regulate who can possess
    firearms, see, e.g., Beers v. Att’y Gen. U.S., 
    927 F.3d 150
    , 155-
    56 (3d Cir. 2019) (ban on possession by those adjudicated
    has the burden of proof.” Celotex Corp. v. Catrett, 
    477 U.S. 317
    , 323 (1986).
    2
    Section 922(g)(1) makes it unlawful for any person
    convicted of “a crime punishable by imprisonment for a term
    over one year” to possess a firearm. Excluded from this
    definition is any crime “classified by the laws of the State as a
    misdemeanor and punishable by a term of imprisonment of two
    years or less.” 
    18 U.S.C. § 921
    (a)(20)(B).
    6
    mentally defective or committed to mental institution);
    Binderup, 
    836 F.3d 336
     (ban on possession by certain
    convicts). Other laws regulate the type of firearms that may be
    possessed. See, e.g., Ass’n of N.J. Rifle & Pistol Clubs, Inc.
    v. Att’y Gen. N.J. (N.J. Rifle), 
    910 F.3d 106
     (3d Cir. 2018)
    (large capacity magazines). In each instance, we examined the
    challenged law by applying the two-part test first articulated in
    United States v. Marzzarella, 
    614 F.3d 85
     (3d Cir. 2010).
    Under that test, we first “ask whether the challenged law
    imposes a burden on conduct falling within the scope of the
    Second Amendment’s guarantee.” 
    Id. at 89
    . “If it does not,
    our inquiry is complete.” 
    Id.
     If it does, we move to the second
    step: we evaluate the law under some form of heightened
    scrutiny. See 
    id. at 96-97
    .
    After Marzzarella, we addressed a constitutional
    challenge to § 922(g)(1) in United States v. Barton, 
    633 F.3d 168
     (3d Cir. 2011). Barton recognized that § 922(g)(1) was
    one of the “presumptively lawful” measures referenced in
    Heller, id. at 172, but that individuals could challenge
    § 922(g)(1) on an as-applied basis, id. at 173. Barton,
    however, did not expressly apply Marzzarella’s two-step
    framework. Id. Rather, Barton held that a challenger could
    rebut the presumption that § 922(g)(1) constitutionally applied
    to him by “present[ing] facts about himself and his background
    that distinguish his circumstances from those of persons
    historically barred from Second Amendment protections.” Id.
    at 174. The “historically barred” class, Barton concluded, was
    individuals “likely to commit violent offenses.” Id. at 173-74.
    Thus, Barton held that if an individual could show that he
    posed no threat of future violence, then § 922(g)(1) could not
    constitutionally apply to him. Id. at 174.
    7
    We revisited Barton and as-applied challenges to
    § 922(g)(1) as an en banc Court in Binderup. Binderup
    resulted in several opinions from fifteen judges: (1) an opinion
    by Judge Ambro, joined in full by two judges and joined
    additionally in part by four other judges; (2) an opinion by
    Judge Hardiman, joined in full by four judges, and which
    concurred in part with Judge Ambro and concurred in the
    judgment; and (3) an opinion by Judge Fuentes, joined by six
    judges (some of whom joined parts of Judge Ambro’s opinion),
    which concurred in part, dissented in part, and dissented from
    the judgment.
    There are no specific rules for how to identify the
    holdings and legal standards from split circuit opinions. We
    can, however, look to the rules we use to identify such
    standards in fractured Supreme Court opinions, as set forth in
    Marks v. United States, 
    430 U.S. 188
     (1977), and its progeny.3
    We need not conduct an explicit Marks analysis of the
    Binderup opinions here because we already recited its
    holdings, as expressed by Judge Ambro’s controlling opinion,
    in Beers, 927 F.3d at 155-56;4 see also N.J. Rifle, 910 F.3d at
    3
    Marks is often applied by judges who did not
    participate in the opinion being reviewed. In this case, fourteen
    of the fifteen judges who participated in Binderup remain on
    our Court and know what it held and did not hold.
    4
    In Beers, we explained that at step one of Binderup, “a
    challenger ‘must (1) identify the traditional justifications for
    excluding from Second Amendment protections the class of
    which he appears to be a member, and then (2) present facts
    about himself and his background that distinguish his
    circumstances from those of persons in the historically barred
    class.’” 927 F.3d at 155 (quoting Binderup, 836 F.3d at 346-
    8
    130 (Bibas, J., dissenting) (describing Judge Ambro’s
    Binderup opinion as the “controlling opinion”), and it binds
    us.5 Mateo v. Att’y Gen. U.S., 
    870 F.3d 228
    , 231 n.6 (3d Cir.
    47). “If a challenger passes these two hurdles, ‘the burden
    shifts to the Government to demonstrate that the regulation
    satisfies some form of heightened scrutiny[.]’” 
    Id.
     (quoting
    Binderup, 836 F.3d at 347). Beers further explained that
    Binderup overruled Barton in large part and “[w]here the
    historical justification for disarming felons was because they
    had committed serious crimes, risk of violent recidivism was
    irrelevant, ‘and the seriousness of the purportedly
    disqualifying offense is our sole focus throughout
    Marzzarella’s first step.’” Id. at 156 (quoting Binderup, 836
    F.3d at 350) (emphasis omitted).
    5
    Although Beers did not explicitly conduct a Marks
    analysis, Beers set forth the Binderup majority holdings. In
    Marks, the Supreme Court held that when “no single rationale
    explaining the result enjoys the assent of five justices, the
    holding of the Court may be viewed as that position taken by
    those Members who concurred in the judgment on the
    narrowest grounds.” 
    430 U.S. at 193
     (internal quotation marks
    and citation omitted). Marks expresses one way to identify a
    holding from among separate opinions. The Supreme Court
    has adopted other approaches for examining fractured opinions
    to identify the rule or rules a majority endorsed. See, e.g.,
    United States v. Jacobsen, 
    466 U.S. 109
    , 117 n.12 (1984)
    (“[T]he disagreement between the majority and the dissenters
    in [a previous] case with respect to the [application of law to
    fact] is less significant than the agreement on the standard to
    be applied . . . .”); Moses H. Cone Mem’l Hosp. v. Mercury
    Constr. Corp., 
    460 U.S. 1
    , 17 (1983) (“[T]he Court of Appeals
    correctly recognized that the four dissenting Justices and
    9
    2017) (prior panel’s precedential opinion “binding on
    subsequent panels”); see also Jackson v. Danberg, 
    656 F.3d 157
    , 165 n.10 (3d Cir. 2011) (applying a legal standard derived
    from a previous panel opinion’s Marks analysis as the law of
    our Circuit).
    Nevertheless, both Beers and Marks reveal the
    following relevant Binderup holdings agreed to by a majority
    of judges:
    (1) Marzzarella’s two-step test—and not the test
    articulated in Barton—governs Second Amendment
    Justice Blackmun formed a majority to require application of
    the Colorado River test.”). Whatever the test, “our goal in
    analyzing a fractured [opinion] is to find ‘a single legal
    standard . . . [that] when properly applied, produce[s] results
    with which a majority of justices in the case articulating the
    standard would agree.’ . . . To that end, we have looked to the
    votes of dissenting justices if they, combined with the votes
    from plurality or concurring opinions, establish a majority
    view on the relevant issue.” United States v. Donovan, 
    661 F.3d 174
    , 182 (3d Cir. 2011) (quoting Planned Parenthood of
    Se. Pa. v. Casey, 
    947 F.2d 682
    , 693 (3d Cir. 1991), modified
    on other grounds, 
    505 U.S. 833
     (1992)) (first alteration added);
    see also Jacobsen, 
    466 U.S. at 115-17
     (deriving the rule
    established in a particular case by combining one opinion that
    garnered two votes with the opinion of the four dissenters);
    B.H. ex rel Hawk v. Easton Area Sch. Dist., 
    725 F.3d 293
    , 310
    (3d Cir. 2013) (stating that we have “count[ed] even dissenting
    justices’ votes that, by definition,” did not concur in the
    judgment to identify a majority’s holding).
    10
    challenges, 836 F.3d at 346-47 (Ambro, J.); id. at 387 (Fuentes,
    J.);6
    (2) At Marzzarella step one for challenges to
    § 922(g)(1), we determine whether an individual has
    committed a “serious” offense, and thus was an “unvirtuous
    citizen[]” who was historically barred from possessing
    firearms and fell out of the Second Amendment’s scope, id. at
    348-49 (Ambro, J.); id. at 387 (Fuentes, J.);7
    6
    Chief Judge Smith and Judge Greenaway, Jr., joined
    Judge Ambro’s opinion in its entirety, for a total of three
    judges. Then-Chief Judge McKee and Judges Vanaskie,
    Shwartz, Krause, Restrepo, and Roth joined Judge Fuentes for
    a total of seven judges. Thus, any agreement between Judge
    Ambro’s and Judge Fuentes’ opinions represents agreement by
    ten judges.
    Judges Fuentes, Vanaskie, Krause, and Roth also
    “expressly” joined the portions of Judge Ambro’s opinion
    laying out the framework for as-applied challenges, for a total
    of seven judges. Binderup, 836 F.3d at 339 n.1 (Ambro, J.);
    id. at 387 n.72 (Fuentes, J.). Judges McKee, Shwartz, and
    Restrepo did not “expressly” join Judge Ambro’s opinion
    “because they reject[ed] the notion that the Marzzarella
    framework can be reconciled with any aspect of Barton’s as-
    applied Second Amendment analysis, which they would
    overrule entirely.” Id. at 339 n.1 (Ambro, J.). Thus, ten
    Binderup judges rejected Barton and held that Marzzarella’s
    framework governs as-applied challenges.
    7
    Although Judge Ambro, joined by two judges,
    disagreed with Judge Fuentes, joined by six judges, over “how
    to decide whether any particular crime is serious enough” to
    warrant disarmament, 836 F.3d at 388 (Fuentes, J.) (emphasis
    11
    (3) Barton’s focus on whether the challenger’s crime
    was violent or whether the challenger poses a threat of violence
    is overruled, id. at 348-49 (Ambro, J.); id. at 387 n.72 (Fuentes,
    J.);
    (4) a challenger, otherwise barred from possession by
    § 922(g)(1), can make a factual showing that he falls outside
    of the historically barred class, id. at 347 & n.3, 349 (Ambro,
    J.); id. at 365-67 (Hardiman, J.);8
    (5) intermediate scrutiny applies at Marzzarella step
    two, id. at 353 (Ambro, J.); id. at 396-97 (Fuentes, J.).9
    omitted), a total of ten judges agreed that the correct test at step
    one for challenges to § 922(g)(1) is whether the offense is
    “serious,” not whether the offense is violent, and thus
    overruled Barton’s focus on violence for this inquiry.
    8
    Judges Fisher, Chagares, Jordan, and Nygaard joined
    Judge Hardiman’s opinion for a total of five judges.
    9
    Our dissenting colleague agrees that a majority in
    Binderup: (1) rejected the idea that the Second Amendment
    excludes only those who commit violent offenses and that,
    because that majority adopted the “virtuous citizenry” theory
    of serious offenses, the Second Amendment excludes “any
    person who has committed a serious criminal offense, violent
    or nonviolent,” Dissenting Op. at 2; Binderup, 836 F.3d at 348
    (Ambro, J.); id. at 388-91 (Fuentes, J.); (2) held that we
    evaluate § 922(g)(1) under intermediate scrutiny, not strict
    scrutiny, Dissenting Op. at 24; Binderup, 836 F.3d at 353
    (Ambro, J.); id. at 398 (Fuentes, J.); and (3) held that Barton
    was overruled to the extent it suggested that (a) the Second
    Amendment excludes only those who commit violent
    offenses, id. at 348-49 (Ambro, J.); id. at 388-91 (Fuentes, J.),
    12
    Thus, as we said in Beers, 927 F.3d at 155, Binderup
    held that “the two-step Marzzarella framework controls all
    Second Amendment challenges, including as-applied
    challenges to § 922(g)(1),” 836 F.3d at 356 (Ambro, J.). At
    step one, the challenger must “identify the traditional
    justifications for excluding from Second Amendment
    protections the class of which he appears to be a member[.]”
    Id. at 347. When the class at issue is historically excluded
    convicts, as here and in Binderup, the challenger must show
    that he was not previously convicted of a serious crime. Id. at
    350. A crime is “serious” based on circumstances related to
    the offense, id. at 350-53, and so evidence of a challenger’s
    rehabilitation or his likelihood of recidivism is not relevant, id.
    at 349-50. There are no fixed rules for determining whether an
    offense is serious but various factors may be informative
    including, but not limited to, whether the crime poses a danger
    or risk of harm to self or others, whether the crime involves
    violence or threatened violence, the classification of the
    offense, the maximum penalty, the penalty imposed, and how
    other jurisdictions view the crimes. See id. at 351-52.10 If a
    (b) “the passage of time or evidence of rehabilitation will
    restore the Second Amendment rights of people who
    committed serious crimes,” id. at 349 (Ambro, J.); id. at 339
    n.1, or (c) that strict scrutiny rather than intermediate scrutiny
    applies at step two of the Marzzarella framework, id. at
    353, id. at 398 (Fuentes, J.); Dissenting Op. at 2, 6, 24.
    10
    In Binderup, Judge Ambro considered: (1) whether
    the crime of conviction was classified as a misdemeanor or
    felony, (2) whether the criminal offense involves violence or
    attempted violence as an element, (3) the sentence imposed,
    and (4) whether there is a cross-jurisdictional consensus as to
    the seriousness of the crime. See 836 F.3d at 351-52.
    13
    challenger makes a “strong” showing that the regulation
    burdens his Second Amendment rights and that he has not
    committed a “serious” crime, and thus is different from those
    historically barred from possessing firearms, then “the burden
    shifts to the Government to demonstrate that the regulation
    satisfies” intermediate scrutiny. Id. at 347.
    We apply this framework to determine whether
    § 922(g)(1) as applied to Holloway violates his Second
    Amendment rights.
    B
    At the first step of the analysis, we must determine
    whether the application of § 922(g)(1) burdens Holloway’s
    Second Amendment rights by considering the traditional
    justifications for denying certain criminals Second
    Amendment rights and then examining whether Holloway’s
    offense is disqualifying. We “presume the judgment of the
    legislature is correct and treat any crime subject to § 922(g)(1)
    as disqualifying unless there is a strong reason to do
    otherwise.” Id. at 351.
    No majority of judges in Binderup agreed on how to
    determine whether a particular offense is serious. That said,
    we have viewed, albeit in a non-precedential opinion, Judge
    Ambro’s factors as providing data points for determining
    whether a challenger’s prior conviction was serious, King v.
    Att’y Gen. U.S., 783 F. App’x 111, 113-14 (3d Cir. 2019), and
    we agree with the dissent that a multifactor test should be used
    to identify whether an offense is serious, at least as to
    misdemeanor offenses, Dissenting Op. at 6.
    14
    1
    As previously stated, Heller embraced the
    “longstanding prohibitions on the possession of firearms by
    felons.” 
    554 U.S. at 626
    . Because Holloway’s DUI
    misdemeanor conviction carries a maximum penalty of five
    years’ imprisonment, it is deemed a disqualifying felony under
    § 922(g)(1).    Thus, the application of § 922(g)(1) is
    presumptively lawful. See Binderup, 836 F.3d at 348 (Ambro,
    J.).
    2
    We next examine whether Holloway’s crime was
    nonetheless “not serious enough to strip [him] of [his] Second
    Amendment rights.” Id. at 351. Under Binderup, “a person
    who did not commit a serious crime retains his Second
    Amendment rights,” because “a non-serious crime does not
    demonstrate a lack of ‘virtue’ that disqualifies an offender from
    exercising those rights.” Id. at 349.
    A crime that presents a potential for danger and risk of
    harm to self and others is “serious.”11 See “Serious,” Black’s
    11
    The dissent asserts that our consideration of an
    offense’s dangerousness steps too far from Barton. Dissenting
    Op. at 16-17. Barton, however, has been overruled in nearly
    all respects. Among other things, seven Binderup judges
    agreed that Barton “defines too narrowly the traditional
    justification for why a criminal conviction may destroy the
    right to arms (i.e., it limits felon disarmament to only those
    criminals likely to commit a violent crime in the future) and,
    by extension, defines too broadly the class of offenders who
    15
    may bring successful as-applied Second Amendment
    challenges to § 922(g)(1) (i.e., it allows people convicted of
    serious crimes to regain their right to arms).” 836 F.3d at 347
    n.3 (Ambro, J.). Three other judges would have overruled
    Barton entirely. Id. at 339 n.1. Thus, ten judges rejected the
    dissent’s argument that our considerations of who falls within
    the historically barred class must be tied to Barton, and in
    particular, “the presence of force or violence in the
    challenger’s conduct.” Dissenting Op. at 16-17.
    Instead of Barton’s exclusive focus on violence,
    Binderup instructs that the Founders sought to permit only the
    virtuous citizen to possess a firearm. The historical record tells
    us that those who present a risk of danger lack virtue and the
    Founders considered danger in evaluating who had the right to
    bear arms. See Binderup, 836 F.3d at 348-49 (Ambro, J.); id.
    at 389-91 (Fuentes, J.).
    First, The Address and Reasons of Dissent of the
    Minority of the Convention of the States of Pennsylvania to
    Their Constituents (the “Address”), “a ‘highly influential’
    ‘precursor’ to the Second Amendment,” Binderup, 836 F.3d at
    349 (Ambro, J.) (quoting United States v. Skoien, 
    614 F.3d 638
    , 640 (7th Cir. 2010) (en banc) and Heller, 
    554 U.S. at 604
    ),
    stated “no law shall be passed for disarming the people or any
    of them unless for crimes committed, or real danger of public
    injury from individuals,” United States v. Bena, 
    664 F.3d 1180
    ,
    1184 (8th Cir. 2011) (emphasis omitted) (quoting the Address,
    reprinted in Bernard Schwartz, 2 The Bill of Rights: A
    Documentary History 662, 665 (1971)); see also Binderup, 836
    F.3d at 349 (quoting same passage). While the dissent
    proposes a narrow reading of the broad language “real danger
    of public injury,” Dissenting Op. at 13-15, we precedentially
    interpreted the Address to indicate that the legislature could
    16
    Law Dictionary (11th ed. 2019) (defining “serious” as, among
    other things, “dangerous; potentially resulting in death or other
    severe consequences”). “There is no question that drunk
    driving is a serious and potentially deadly crime . . . . The
    historically disarm those “considered dangerous to themselves
    and/or to the public at large,” Beers, 927 F.3d at 158. The
    dissent’s read is thus foreclosed by our precedent.
    Second, Samuel Adams’ proposed language for the
    Second Amendment would have expressly limited the right to
    “peaceable citizens.” Binderup, 836 F.3d at 367 (Hardiman,
    J.) (quoting Journal of Convention: Wednesday February 6,
    1788, reprinted in Debates and Proceedings in the Convention
    of the Commonwealth of Massachusetts Held in the Year 1788,
    at 86 (Boston, William White 1856)) (emphasis omitted). In
    Adams’ time, “peaceable” meant “free from tumult;” “quiet;
    undisturbed;” “[n]ot violent; not bloody;” “[n]ot quarrelsome;
    not turbulent.” 1 Samuel Johnson, A Dictionary of the English
    Language (5th ed. 1773). Relatedly, “[b]reaches of the peace
    comprise[d] not only cases of actual violence to the person of
    another, but any unlawful acts, tending to produce an actual
    breach of the peace; whether the peace of the public, or an
    individual, be in fact disturbed or not.” Pearce v. Atwood, 
    13 Mass. 324
    , 332 (1816). From these sources, judges have
    concluded that “founding-era legislatures categorically
    disarmed groups whom they judged to be a threat to the public
    safety.” Kanter v. Barr, 
    919 F.3d 437
    , 458 (7th Cir. 2019)
    (Barrett, J., dissenting).      Thus, the Pennsylvania and
    Massachusetts proposals show that any right to bear arms did
    not extend to those who posed a danger to the public. These
    historical sources therefore support considering risk of danger
    in determining whether an offense constitutes a serious crime
    that deprives an offender of Second Amendment protection.
    17
    imminence of the danger posed by drunk drivers exceeds that
    at issue in other types of cases.” Virginia v. Harris, 
    558 U.S. 978
    , 979-80 (2009) (Mem.) (Roberts, C.J., dissenting from
    denial of writ of certiorari); see Mitchell, 
    139 S. Ct. at 2541
    (Sotomayor, J., dissenting) (“[D]runk driving poses significant
    dangers that [states] must be able to curb.”); Begay, 
    553 U.S. at 141
     (“Drunk driving is an extremely dangerous crime.”).
    All three branches of the federal government have
    recognized as much. The Supreme Court has described
    individuals “who drive with a BAC significantly above
    the . . . limit of 0.08% and recidivists” as “the most dangerous
    offenders.” Birchfield v. North Dakota, 
    136 S. Ct. 2160
    , 2179
    (2016). Congress and the Executive Branch have also
    recognized the dangers posed by drunk driving. Congress
    requires states to implement highway safety programs “to
    reduce injuries and deaths resulting from persons driving
    motor vehicles while impaired by alcohol.” 
    23 U.S.C. § 402
    (a)(2)(A)(iii).      The Secretary of Transportation
    conditions the receipt of certain highway-related funds on
    states’ implementation of programs with impaired driving
    countermeasures that will “effective[ly]” “reduce driving
    under the influence of alcohol.” § 405(a)(3), (d). Thus, all
    branches of the federal government agree that DUIs are
    dangerous, and those who present a danger may be disarmed.
    While use or the threatened use of violence is not an
    element of a DUI offense, see 75 Pa. Cons. Stat. Ann.
    § 3802(c) (providing “[a]n individual may not drive, operate or
    be in actual physical control of the movement of a vehicle after
    imbibing a sufficient amount of alcohol such that the alcohol
    concentration in the individual’s blood or breath is 0.16% or
    higher”), a showing of violence is not necessary for a crime to
    18
    be deemed serious, see, e.g., Binderup, 836 F.3d at 348
    (Ambro, J.); id. at 390-91 (Fuentes, J.); Medina v. Whitaker,
    
    913 F.3d 152
    , 160 (D.C. Cir. 2019) (holding that fraud, by
    lying on mortgage documents, is “a serious crime”). Thus, the
    fact that an offense does not include the use or threatened use
    of violence does not mean it is not serious.
    Moreover, though labeled as a first-degree
    misdemeanor, Holloway’s DUI crime carries a three-month
    mandatory minimum prison term and a five-year maximum
    prison term. See 18 Pa. Cons. Stat. Ann. § 1104; 75 Pa. Cons.
    Stat. Ann. § 3803(b)(4); 75 Pa. Cons. Stat. Ann. § 3804(c)(2).
    While “generally the misdemeanor label . . . in the Second
    Amendment context, is . . . important” and is a “powerful
    expression” of the state legislature’s view, it is not dispositive.
    Binderup, 836 F.3d at 352. First, not only is the distinction
    “minor and often arbitrary,” Tennessee v. Garner, 
    471 U.S. 1
    ,
    14 (1985); see also Burgess v. United States, 
    553 U.S. 124
    , 132
    (2008), some states do not use the distinction at all, see, e.g.,
    N.J. Stat. Ann. § 2C:1-4 (dividing offenses into “crimes,”
    “disorderly persons offenses,” and “petty disorderly persons
    offenses”); § 2C:43-1(a) (dividing “crimes” further into four
    degrees); State v. Doyle, 
    200 A.2d 606
    , 613 (N.J. 1964)
    (“Criminal codes in New Jersey have not utilized the felony-
    misdemeanor nomenclature or classification of the English
    common law.”). Second, “numerous misdemeanors involve
    conduct more dangerous than many felonies.” Garner, 
    471 U.S. at 14
    . Indeed, giving dispositive weight to the
    felony/misdemeanor nomenclature for determining whether an
    offense is serious would mean that the following offenses,
    labeled under Pennsylvania law as misdemeanors and carrying
    a five-year maximum penalty (the maximum Holloway faced),
    18 Pa. Cons. Stat. Ann. § 1104(1), would not qualify as serious
    19
    crimes: involuntary manslaughter, § 2504(b), terrorism,
    § 2717(b)(1), assaulting a child, § 2701(b)(2), abusing a care-
    dependent person, § 2713.1(b)(1), making terroristic threats,
    § 2706(d), threatening to use weapons of mass destruction,
    § 2715(b)(1), shooting a fire bomb into public transportation,
    § 2707(a), indecent assault by forcible compulsion,
    § 3126(a)(2), concealing the murder of a child, § 4303(a),
    luring a child into a motor vehicle or structure, § 2910(a),
    restraining a person “in circumstances exposing him to risk of
    serious bodily injury,” § 2902(a)(1), and stalking,
    § 2709.1(c)(1). At bottom, Heller emphasized that the Second
    Amendment right belongs to “law-abiding, responsible
    citizens,” 
    554 U.S. at 635
    , and whether labeled a felon or
    misdemeanant, those who commit serious crimes are not “the
    kinds of ‘law-abiding’ citizens whose rights Heller
    vindicated,” Binderup, 836 F.3d at 392 (Fuentes, J.).
    Furthermore, the maximum penalty that may be
    imposed often reveals how the legislature views an offense.12
    12
    In addition to ascribing high value to the offense’s
    felony/misdemeanor label, the dissent favors focusing on the
    actual penalty imposed. While the penalty imposed may
    provide some insight into how a sentencing judge may have
    viewed an offender, it does not necessarily reflect how the
    offense itself is viewed. Binderup step one focuses on the
    offense and not the offender. See 856 F.3d at 349-50 (Ambro,
    J.); id. at 388 (Fuentes, J.). Because the actual sentence
    imposed can be influenced by many factors, such as
    cooperation, U.S.S.G. § 5K1.1, acceptance of responsibility,
    U.S.S.G. § 3E1.1, and offender-related variances, 
    18 U.S.C. § 3553
    , the actual penalty imposed does not necessarily show
    that the crime was not “serious.” Instead, the maximum
    20
    Put succinctly, “the maximum possible punishment is certainly
    probative of a misdemeanor’s seriousness.” 
    Id. at 352
     (Ambro,
    J.).13 “[T]he category of serious crimes changes over time as
    legislative judgments regarding virtue evolve,” 
    id. at 351
    , and
    here, the Pennsylvania legislature has demonstrated an
    evolution in judgment. Pennsylvania’s DUI laws were
    punishment is a more appropriate data point because it
    provides insight into how a state legislature views a crime—
    not how a sentencing judge views an individual. See Lewis v.
    United States, 
    518 U.S. 322
    , 325-26 (1996) (noting that an
    offense’s penalty “reveals the legislature’s judgment about the
    offense’s severity”); 
    id. at 328
     (noting that the maximum
    punishment is an “objective indication of the seriousness with
    which society regards the offense”); Binderup, 836 F.3d at
    351-52. For these reasons, it is proper to consider the
    maximum penalty an offender faces, and not simply the actual
    punishment imposed or whether the offense is designated as a
    misdemeanor or felony, to determine whether an offense is
    properly viewed as “serious.”
    13
    The dissent is mistaken to say that a majority in
    Binderup rejected consideration of a maximum penalty in
    favor of the felony/misdemeanor label. Judge Ambro’s
    opinion for three judges reasoned that “the maximum possible
    punishment is certainly probative of a misdemeanor’s
    seriousness” under the first factor. 836 F.3d at 352 (Ambro,
    J.). Seven judges stated that any crime which qualifies for
    § 922(g)(1) is serious. Id. at 388 (Fuentes, J.). That means that
    those seven judges would conclude that the penalty Holloway
    faced shows his offense is serious regardless of its
    misdemeanor classification. Combining the views of Judge
    Ambro’s and Judge Fuentes’ opinions, a majority of the
    Binderup court rejected the dissent’s view.
    21
    amended in 2003 when state legislators observed that “[t]oo
    many people have been injured and killed on our highways,”
    H.R. Legis. Journal, 187th Gen. Assemb., Reg. Sess. 1443 (Pa.
    2003) (statement of Rep. Turzai), and unlike in other states,
    which saw an eleven percent decrease in deaths caused by
    drunk drivers, such deaths “continue to rise” in Pennsylvania
    with a five percent increase, H.R. Legis. Journal, 187th Gen.
    Assemb., Reg. Sess. 1444 (Pa. 2003) (statement of Rep.
    Harper); S. Legis. Journal, 187th Gen. Assemb., Reg. Sess. 981
    (Pa. 2003) (statement of Sen. Williams). At the time of the
    amendment, thirteen individuals were killed every two weeks
    in Pennsylvania from alcohol-related accidents. H.R. Legis.
    Journal, 187th Gen. Assemb., Reg. Sess. 1445 (Pa. 2003)
    (statement of Rep. Harper). “[M]ore than half of all fatal
    alcohol-related accidents [were] caused by hardcore drunken
    drivers, those people whose BACs are .16 or above,” H.R.
    Legis. Journal, 187th Gen. Assemb., Reg. Sess. 1444 (Pa.
    2003) (statement of Rep. Harper), and “one-third of drunk
    driving arrests involve[d] repeat offenders,” S. Legis. Journal,
    187th Gen. Assemb., Reg. Sess. 981 (Pa. 2003) (statement of
    Sen. Williams). To address this “very serious matter,” H.R.
    Legis. Journal, 187th Gen. Assemb., Reg. Sess.1445 (Pa. 2003)
    (statement of Rep. Harper), the legislature “provid[ed] for
    tough civil and criminal penalties together with mandatory
    treatment,” H.R. Legis. Journal, 187th Gen. Assemb., Reg.
    Sess. 1443 (Pa. 2003) (statement of Rep. Turzai), to “mak[e] it
    clear that if you are under the influence of alcohol or drugs and
    behind the wheel in Pennsylvania, you will be punished,” H.R.
    Legis. Journal, 187th Gen. Assemb., Reg. Sess. 1445 (Pa.
    2003) (statement of Rep. Harper). Therefore, despite the
    misdemeanor label, Pennsylvania’s decision to impose a
    mandatory minimum jail term and a maximum penalty of up to
    22
    five years’ imprisonment for a second DUI at the highest BAC
    reflects the seriousness of the offense.14
    Holloway received the statutory minimum sentence of
    90 days’ imprisonment, 75 Pa. Cons. Stat. Ann. § 3804(c)(2),
    and although he was permitted to work, he received a custodial
    sentence unlike either of the challengers in Binderup. 836 F.3d
    at 352 (“With not a single day of jail time, the punishments
    here reflect the sentencing judges’ assessment of how minor
    the violations were.”). The legislature’s mandate that repeat
    DUI offenders receive at least three months in jail reflects its
    judgment that such offenses are serious.
    14
    As one district court analyzing an as-applied
    challenge under Binderup aptly observed,
    juxtaposing the Pennsylvania legislature’s use of
    the misdemeanor label with the legislature’s
    simultaneous imposition of a substantial
    imprisonment term creates an inherent
    contradiction: a five-year maximum prison term
    suggests that [the plaintiff’s] predicate offense is
    serious, while the misdemeanor label
    simultaneously undercuts the apparent severity
    by labeling the offense a non-serious.
    Laudenslager v. Sessions, 4:17-CV-00330, 
    2019 WL 587298
    ,
    at *4 (M.D. Pa. Feb. 13, 2019) (discussing the classification
    and maximum sentence for receiving stolen property under
    Pennsylvania law). We agree, and for the reasons described
    above, conclude that the legislative history elucidates this
    contradiction.
    23
    Pennsylvania is not alone in its decision to severely
    punish repeat DUI offenders. Mitchell, 
    139 S. Ct. at 2536
    (“[M]any States . . . have passed laws imposing increased
    penalties for recidivists or for drivers with a BAC level that
    exceeds a higher threshold.” (citations omitted)). Although
    most states do not impose penalties for second DUI offenses
    that subject an offender to disarmament under § 922(g)(1),
    three states impose penalties that subject misdemeanants who
    commit a second DUI at a higher BAC to § 922(g)(1)
    disarmament. Moreover, several states grade a second DUI
    offense as a felony, thus triggering disarmament. The absence
    of a cross-jurisdictional consensus regarding the punishment
    for such conduct does not mean the conduct is not serious.
    Indeed, states unanimously agree that DUIs are crimes subject
    to punishment.
    Holloway suggests that his crimes cannot be so serious
    to justify federal disarmament and that to apply § 922(g)(1) to
    him would be overinclusive because Pennsylvania law only
    disarms DUI offenders at their third offense and permits them
    to apply for relief after ten years. This argument ignores the
    gradations in Pennsylvania’s DUI laws.                In fact,
    Pennsylvania’s prohibition may be broader than § 922(g)(1)
    because it applies to all DUIs under 75 Pa. Cons. Stat. Ann.
    § 3802, regardless of punishment. For example, an individual
    who commits a third DUI, none at the high or highest BAC,
    within a five-year period, is convicted of a second-degree
    misdemeanor under 75 Pa. Cons. Stat. Ann. § 3803(a)(2) and
    subject to up to two years’ imprisonment under 18 Pa. Cons.
    Stat. Ann. § 1104(2). This individual’s third DUI triggers
    Pennsylvania’s disarmament statute under 18 Pa. Cons. Stat.
    Ann. § 6105(c), but does not trigger § 922(g)(1) because it falls
    within § 921(a)(20)(B)’s exception for state misdemeanors
    24
    subject to a term of imprisonment of two years or less.
    Holloway’s second DUI, however, subjects him to the federal
    provision but not the state provision because his offense was at
    the highest BAC, which enhanced the grading of his offense to
    a first-degree misdemeanor and exposed him to five years’
    imprisonment. Thus, Pennsylvania’s disarmament statute
    captures offenders who may not face § 922(g)(1)’s bar and
    shows that Pennsylvania meant to disarm a broader swath of
    offenders than § 922(g)(1).
    Together, these considerations demonstrate that
    Holloway’s DUI conviction constitutes a serious crime,
    placing him within the class of “persons historically excluded
    from Second Amendment protections.” Binderup, 836 F.3d at
    347. Because Holloway has not met his burden at the first step
    of the analysis to overcome the presumptive application of
    § 922(g)(1),15 § 922(g)(1) is constitutional as applied to him,
    and he is not entitled to relief.16
    15
    At the first step of our framework, we do not consider
    Holloway’s arguments that he has not committed any offenses
    since 2005 or the letters he offered in support of his character
    because “[t]here is no historical support for the view that the
    passage of time or evidence of rehabilitation can restore
    Second Amendment rights that were forfeited.” Binderup, 836
    F.3d at 350, 354 n.7.
    16
    Because Holloway has not carried his burden at step
    one to show he was not convicted of a serious offense, we need
    not move on to step two to determine whether the statute as
    applied to him survives intermediate scrutiny. We do note,
    however, that our precedent is cautious in applying the
    intermediate scrutiny test used in First Amendment cases.
    Compare N.J. Rifle, 910 F.3d at 122 n.28 (stating that we do
    25
    III
    For the foregoing reasons, we will reverse the order
    granting Holloway summary judgment, a declaratory
    judgment, and an injunction and remand for the entry of
    judgment in favor of the Government.
    not incorporate “wholesale” First Amendment jurisprudence
    when evaluating Second Amendment challenges), with
    Dissenting Op. at 26 (advocating that we import the Supreme
    Court’s test for commercial speech cases for Second
    Amendment challenges to § 922(g)(1)). In addition, the
    dissent’s application of intermediate scrutiny seemingly asks
    for a near-perfect fit between the challenged regulation and the
    objective, rather than a “reasonable” fit. Marzzarella, 
    614 F.3d at 98
     (stating that the “fit between the challenged regulation
    and the asserted objective be reasonable, not perfect”).
    26
    FISHER, Circuit Judge, dissenting.
    Driving under the influence of alcohol is undoubtedly a
    significant offense deserving of punishment. Yet the principal
    question in this case is not whether that offense is “serious” in
    the abstract or even as a matter of ordinary understanding.
    “Seriousness” here has a discrete legal meaning—that a
    conviction of the crime deprives in perpetuity an individual of
    an enumerated constitutional right. Under our precedent, these
    two categories are distinct, and they must be treated as such.
    Just because this question arises under the Second Amendment
    does not make our decision any less weighty. If the
    circumstances were different, we would assuredly consider
    very carefully the legal standard for depriving an individual of
    his right to free speech. The majority incorrectly, in my view,
    holds that Holloway has not carried his burden at Step One of
    the two-step framework established in United States v.
    Marzzarella, 
    614 F.3d 85
     (3d Cir. 2010). Further, because I
    conclude that at Step Two, 
    18 U.S.C. § 922
    (g)(1) as applied
    here does not survive intermediate scrutiny, I must respectfully
    dissent.
    I
    Under the Marzzarella framework, we first determine
    “whether the challenged law imposes a burden on conduct
    falling within the scope of the Second Amendment’s
    guarantee.” 614 F.3d at 89. In particular, our precedent requires
    the challenger to satisfy the two elements articulated in United
    States v. Barton, 
    633 F.3d 168
     (3d Cir. 2011). He must “identify
    the traditional justifications for excluding from Second
    Amendment protections the class of which he appears to be a
    member,” and then “present facts about himself and his
    background that distinguish his circumstances from those of
    persons in the historically barred class.” Binderup v. Attorney
    1
    Gen. United States of America, 
    836 F.3d 336
    , 347 (3d Cir.
    2016) (en banc) (plurality opinion) (citing Barton, 
    633 F.3d at 173-74
    ); see id. at 366 (Hardiman, J., concurring in part and
    concurring in the judgments); see also Beers v. Attorney Gen.
    United States of America, 
    927 F.3d 150
    , 157 (3d Cir. 2019)
    (adopting this test for an as-applied challenge to 
    18 U.S.C. § 922
    (g)(4)).
    In Binderup, ten judges on the fifteen-member en banc
    court agreed that, in the context of as-applied challenges to 
    18 U.S.C. § 922
    (g)(1), the “historically barred class” is those who
    are “unvirtuous” because they have “committed a serious
    criminal offense, violent or nonviolent.” 836 F.3d at 348
    (plurality opinion); see id. at 387 (Fuentes, J., concurring in
    part, dissenting in part, and dissenting from the judgments); see
    also United States v. Donovan, 
    661 F.3d 174
    , 182 (3d Cir.
    2011) (noting that when this Circuit confronts a fractured
    decision, we “look[] to the votes of dissenting [judges] if they,
    combined with votes from plurality or concurring opinions,
    establish a majority view on the relevant issue”).
    “Seriousness”—and by extension “unvirtuousness”—
    therefore has no independent legal significance. It is a gloss on
    the first part of the Barton test—a way of describing the
    offenses committed by those historically barred from
    possessing a firearm.1
    1
    The majority suggests that any discussion of Barton is
    misplaced because that decision “has been overruled in nearly
    all respects.” Majority Op. at II.B.2 n.11. Yet, even if that is
    true, my emphasis throughout this opinion is on a key respect
    in which it has not been overruled: that a challenger to the
    application of § 922(g)(1) must distinguish his circumstances
    from those of the historically barred class. The majority
    acknowledges that we must still conduct such an analysis. See
    2
    The principal question before us today concerns the
    application of Barton’s second prong in the § 922(g)(1)
    context—that is, how to evaluate whether a challenger’s crime
    is sufficiently similar to crimes of the historically barred class
    such that he is not entitled to Second Amendment protection.
    The Binderup Court divided on this issue, and, for the reasons
    detailed below, it remains an open question whether the
    multifactor test used in Binderup is binding precedent in our
    Circuit—despite the lower courts’ application of it as such. See,
    e.g., Williams v. Barr, 
    379 F. Supp. 3d 360
    , 370-74 (E.D. Pa.
    2019); Holloway v. Sessions, 
    349 F. Supp. 3d 451
    , 457-60
    (M.D. Pa. 2018). Nevertheless, for reasons I also state, the test
    is an appropriate means under our precedent of determining
    whether a challenger’s crime is “serious” for purposes of
    Marzzarella Step One.
    It is on this latter point—the application of the
    multifactor test—that I break with my colleagues in the
    majority. They interpret the test’s list of factors to be non-
    exhaustive, Majority Op. at II.A, and so they supplement their
    analysis of the factors with additional considerations. The
    majority appears to concede that at least three of the four
    Binderup factors are in Holloway’s favor, but still concludes
    that Holloway is not entitled to Second Amendment protection.
    Although I agree that we are not bound to consider the four
    factors exclusively, I disagree with my colleagues in how they
    have applied and supplemented those factors. Simply because
    our precedent does not require us to apply the four factors alone
    does not mean the determination of “seriousness” is open to
    
    id.
     at II.A & n.4; see also Binderup, 836 F.3d at 346-47
    (plurality opinion) (“At step one of the Marzzarella decision
    tree, a challenger must prove, per Barton, that a presumptively
    lawful regulation burdens his Second Amendment rights.”).
    3
    any legal content. Our precedent does require us to follow the
    doctrinal structure established in Barton and adopted in
    Binderup. The “seriousness” inquiry is a comparison of the
    challenger’s circumstances with those of the historically barred
    class. The majority’s analysis, in my view, diverges too far
    from this requirement.
    A
    As it was applied in Binderup, the multifactor test
    contains four factors for determining whether an individual’s
    crime is sufficiently “serious” to deprive him of his Second
    Amendment right. First, the court considers whether the state
    classifies the challenger’s disqualifying crime under §
    922(g)(1) as a felony or a misdemeanor. 836 F.3d at 351
    (opinion of Ambro, J.). Second, it determines whether the
    challenger’s crime “had the use or attempted use of force as an
    element.” Id. at 352. Third, also relevant is the sentence the
    challenger in fact received. Although the maximum possible
    sentence determines whether the crime triggers the § 922(g)(1)
    bar, the crime’s “seriousness” for purposes of Second
    Amendment analysis turns, in part, on the challenger’s actual
    punishment. Finally, the court considers whether there exists a
    “cross-jurisdictional consensus regarding the seriousness of
    the [challenger’s] crimes.” Id. Although this multifactor test
    garnered the support of only three judges, it was declared “the
    law of our Circuit” under the Supreme Court’s Marks rule. Id.
    at 356.
    My review of our case law leads me to question this
    conclusion. Courts and legal scholars disagree as to the nature
    4
    of the Marks rule and how it is to be applied.2 In particular,
    there are multiple possible versions of the rule, and the
    Supreme Court’s most recent statement on the matter
    acknowledged but declined to resolve this debate. See Hughes
    v. United States, 
    138 S. Ct. 1765
    , 1771-72 (2018). On my
    assessment, the multifactor test would be Circuit precedent
    under only one of these versions,3 and our Court has not
    adopted this interpretation of the Marks rule above the others.4
    2
    See Richard M. Re, Beyond the Marks Rule, 132 HARV. L.
    REV. 1942, 1947-65 (2019) (providing a helpful survey of the
    Marks debate).
    3
    This version holds that the concurring opinion representing
    the views of the median judge constitutes binding precedent.
    See Re, 
    supra,
     at 1977 (citing MAXWELL L. STEARNS,
    CONSTITUTIONAL PROCESS: A SOCIAL CHOICE ANALYSIS OF
    SUPREME COURT DECISION MAKING (2000)).
    4
    In fact, we have occasionally endorsed a different version of
    the rule, which construes it to apply only to those views in an
    opinion concurring in the judgment that constitute a logical
    subset of broader views expressed in another concurrence in
    the judgment. See, e.g., B.H. ex rel. Hawk v. Easton Area Sch.
    Dist., 
    725 F.3d 293
    , 310-13 (3d Cir. 2013) (en banc); Jackson
    v. Danberg, 
    594 F.3d 210
    , 222 (3d Cir. 2010) (“[T]he Marks
    framework applies where one opinion is clearly ‘narrower’
    than another, that is, where one opinion would always lead to
    the same result that a broader opinion would reach.”); Planned
    Parenthood of Se. Pa. v. Casey, 
    947 F.2d 682
    , 693-94 (3d Cir.
    1991), aff’d in part and rev’d in part on other grounds, 
    505 U.S. 833
     (1992); see also Re, supra, at 1980-84 (explaining
    this version of the Marks rule). Under this version of the rule,
    the multifactor test would have to constitute a logical subset of
    the views expressed in Judge Hardiman’s opinion, which was
    5
    As a result, despite the declaration in Binderup to the contrary,
    I do not think Marks requires us to treat the multifactor test as
    controlling authority.5
    B
    Nevertheless, like the District Court, I believe that the
    multifactor test should guide the Step One analysis in this case.
    On my reading, the four factors reflect an underlying logic that
    is consistent with our precedent in Barton and Binderup. Those
    cases require us to assess the relation between the challenger’s
    “circumstances [and] those of persons historically barred from
    Second Amendment protections.” Barton, 
    633 F.3d at 174
    ; see
    also Binderup, 836 F.3d at 346-47 (plurality opinion); id. at
    366 (Hardiman, J., concurring in part and concurring in the
    judgments). This comparative exercise demands certain
    measures of “seriousness,” and those measures should
    naturally be the features—the classification, elements, and
    punishments—common to the crimes that traditionally have
    qualified the individuals convicted of them for firearm
    dispossession. These crimes include felonies, crimes of
    the other concurring opinion in Binderup. It is difficult to see
    how this is the case.
    5
    Nor has any subsequent precedential opinion of this Court
    resolved this difficulty by adopting that test. Only three of this
    Court’s precedential opinions cite Binderup. None concerns an
    as-applied challenge to § 922(g)(1). See Beers, 
    927 F.3d 150
    ;
    United States v. Greenspan, 
    923 F.3d 138
     (3d Cir. 2019); Ass’n
    of N.J. Rifle & Pistol Clubs v. Attorney Gen. New Jersey, 
    910 F.3d 106
     (3d Cir. 2018). However, one recent non-precedential
    opinion confronting an as-applied challenge to § 922(g)(1) has
    declared the multifactor test controlling authority. See King v.
    Attorney Gen. of the United States, No. 18-2571, 
    2019 WL 3335135
    , at *2 & n.2 (3d Cir. July 25, 2019).
    6
    violence, and (as Binderup held)6 some nonviolent
    misdemeanors. Further, because neither courts nor scholars
    have agreed on the precise contours of this category—and in
    particular how “longstanding” a regulation must be for its
    violators to be considered part of the historically barred class,
    see, e.g., United States v. Skoien, 
    614 F.3d 638
    , 640-41 (7th Cir.
    2010) (en banc); C. Kevin Marshall, Why Can’t Martha
    Stewart Have a Gun?, 32 HARV. J.L. & PUB. POL’Y 695
    (2009)—the multifactor test has the virtue of permitting a
    number of different measures of “seriousness” without making
    any one factor dispositive.
    A methodical evaluation of each factor, consistent with
    this logic, compels the conclusion reached by the District
    Court: that Holloway’s conduct has not removed him from the
    scope of Second Amendment protection. In conducting this
    analysis, I shall also address the majority’s additional
    considerations—the “potential for danger and risk of harm”
    posed by the challenger’s crime, Majority Op. at II.B.2, and the
    maximum level of punishment Pennsylvania imposes for
    Holloway’s second DUI offense, 
    id.
     While, as noted, I do not
    dispute that the majority may supplement the four factors, any
    such additions must be—as the four factors are—consistent
    with the comparative exercise required by Barton and
    Binderup.7
    6
    See 836 F.3d at 348–49 (plurality opinion); id. at 387–88
    (Fuentes, J., concurring in part, dissenting in part, and
    dissenting from the judgments)
    7
    According to the majority, I argue that “our considerations of
    who falls within the historically barred class must be tied to
    Barton, and in particular ‘the presence of force or violence in
    the challenger’s conduct,’” Majority Op. at II.B.2 n.11. Yet that
    is not my argument. At multiple points in this opinion I note
    7
    1
    The first factor asks whether the challenger’s crime is a
    felony or a misdemeanor. The majority acknowledges that
    Pennsylvania classifies Holloway’s second DUI offense as a
    misdemeanor, but it points out that the offense “carries . . . a
    five-year maximum prison term.” Majority Op. at II.B.2. Yet,
    under our precedent, the potential prison term cannot nullify
    the relevance of the felony/misdemeanor distinction for
    determining whether a crime is “serious” enough to deprive an
    individual of his Second Amendment right. A common feature
    of the crimes that traditionally have barred an individual from
    owning a firearm is that they are classified as felonies.
    For example, in Heller, the Supreme Court warned
    specifically that its opinion should not be read to question
    “longstanding prohibitions on the possession of firearms by
    felons.” District of Columbia v. Heller, 
    554 U.S. 570
    , 626
    (2008) (emphasis added); see also McDonald v. City of
    Chicago, 
    561 U.S. 742
    , 786 (2010) (plurality opinion).
    that because of the indefinite nature of the historically barred
    class, no one factor can be dispositive. I assert, rather, that the
    relevant factors may not be any ones we choose—they must
    aid the determination of whether the challenger’s crime is
    sufficiently similar to those of the persons historically barred
    from firearm possession. This certainly involves historical
    analysis (which the majority also engages in), but, as I
    mentioned above and restate below, it additionally includes
    looking to other measures relevant to making the comparison.
    My point, as I go on to detail, is that the majority has given too
    much weight to considerations that, however compelling in
    other contexts, are irrelevant to the comparative analysis that
    the majority itself acknowledges we must conduct. See 
    id.
     at
    II.A & n.4.
    8
    Congress itself recognized the relevance of the distinction
    when it excluded from § 922(g)(1)’s reach misdemeanors
    punishable by imprisonment of two years or less. See 
    18 U.S.C. § 921
    (a)(20)(B). If, as the majority suggests, the maximum
    length of the sentence rather than the classification of the crime
    is what really matters, then Congress would never have made
    an exception for misdemeanors alone. It would either have
    amended § 922(g)(1) to cover all crimes punishable by more
    than two years’ incarceration or never added § 921(a)(20)(B)
    in the first place.8
    8
    To the extent one gives it validity, the legislative history
    confirms this interpretation. In 1961, Congress amended the
    precursor of § 922(g)(1) to prevent the transportation or receipt
    of a firearm by all persons convicted of any “crime punishable
    by imprisonment for a term exceeding one year”—not just
    persons convicted of a “crime of violence,” as had previously
    been the case. See Act of Oct. 3, 1961, Pub. L. No. 87-342, 
    75 Stat. 757
    , 757 (1961). In the Gun Control Act of 1968,
    however, Congress amended §§ 921 and 922 to their present
    form. See Pub. L. No. 90-618, 
    82 Stat. 1213
     (1968). The House
    bill would have maintained the existing broad language
    covering all crimes—both felonies and misdemeanors—
    punishable by more than one year of imprisonment. See H.R.
    17735, 90th Cong. § 2 (1968). By contrast, the Senate bill
    would have made it “unlawful for any person . . . convicted in
    any court of a crime punishable as a felony” to transport or
    receive any firearm. S. 3633, 90th Cong. § 102 (1968). The
    Conference Report noted this discrepancy, declaring the
    compromise to be the maintenance of the House language in §
    922(g)(1), but adding what became § 921(a)(20)(B). See H.R.
    REP. NO. 90-1956, at 28-29 (1968) (Conf. Rep.). Thus, in
    creating our current regime, Congress not only wanted to
    9
    Further, the classification of a crime as a felony has
    profound implications for whether a person may possess a
    firearm under state law. On my assessment, thirty-two out of
    fifty-one jurisdictions (the fifty states and the District of
    Columbia) disarm individuals because of a felony conviction.9
    That is, they bar for at least some time the possession of a
    include misdemeanors as well as felonies in the reach of the
    law, but also drew a distinction between the two types of
    crimes.
    9
    See ALASKA STAT. § 11.61.200(a)(1) (2019); ARIZ. REV.
    STAT. ANN. § 13-904(A)(5) (2019); ARK. CODE ANN. § 5-73-
    103(a)(1) (2019); CAL. PENAL CODE § 29800(a)(1) (West
    2019); COLO. REV. STAT. § 18-12-108(1) (2019); CONN. GEN.
    STAT. § 53a-217(a)(1) (2019); DEL. CODE ANN. tit. 11, §
    1448(a)(1) (2019); D.C. CODE § 7-2502.03(a)(2) (2019); FLA.
    STAT. § 790.23(1) (2019); HAW. REV. STAT. § 134-7(b) (2019);
    720 ILL. COMP. STAT. 5/24-1.1(a) (2019); IND. CODE § 35-47-
    2-3(h) (2019); IOWA CODE § 724.26(1) (2019); KAN. STAT.
    ANN. § 21-6304(a) (2019); KY. REV. STAT. ANN. § 527.040(1)
    (West 2019); MD. CODE ANN., CRIM. LAW § 5-622(b) (West
    2019); MASS. GEN. LAWS ch. 140, § 131(d)(i)(A) (2019);
    MICH. COMP. LAWS § 750.224f(1) (2019); MISS. CODE ANN. §
    97-37-5(1) (2019); MO. REV. STAT. § 571.070.1(1) (2019);
    NEB. REV. STAT. § 28-1206(1)(a)(i), (2) (2019); NEV. REV.
    STAT. § 202.360(1)(b) (2019); N.H. REV. STAT. ANN. § 159:3
    (2019); N.M. STAT. ANN. § 30-7-16(A)(1) (2019); 
    N.Y. PENAL LAW § 400.00
    (1)(c) (McKinney 2019); N.C. GEN. STAT. § 14-
    415.1(a) (2019); OKLA. STAT. tit. 21, § 1283(A) (2019); OR.
    REV. STAT. § 166.270 (2019); TEX. PENAL CODE ANN. §
    46.04(a) (West 2019); VA. CODE ANN. § 18.2-308.2(A) (2019);
    WASH. REV. CODE § 9.41.040(2)(a)(i) (2019); WIS. STAT. §
    941.29(1m) (2019).
    10
    firearm precisely because the person was convicted of a crime
    labeled a felony. The distinction therefore matters for defining
    the historically barred class, regardless of jurisdictional
    diversity in the sentence ranges for various crimes.
    As noted, in evaluating the relevance of the
    felony/misdemeanor distinction, the majority lends great
    weight to the maximum punishment that Pennsylvania imposes
    for Holloway’s offense. See Majority Op. at II.B.2. However,
    a majority of the en banc Court in Binderup rejected the
    significance of that consideration. As Judge Ambro noted
    there, prohibitions on the possession of firearms by criminals
    are only “presumptively lawful.” Binderup, 836 F.3d at 350
    (opinion of Ambro, J.) (emphasis added) (citing Heller, 
    554 U.S. at
    626-27 & n.26), and in the absence of an explicit
    declaration to the contrary, all presumptions are rebuttable. To
    hold otherwise would constitute “an end-run around the
    Second Amendment,” in effect subjecting such prohibitions to
    rational-basis review rather than the heightened scrutiny
    demanded when a constitutional right is at stake. Id. at 351-52.
    As a result, the maximum possible sentence for Holloway’s
    crime, although a valid consideration, cannot detract from the
    relevance of a factor that is consistent with our precedent in
    Barton and Binderup.10
    10
    I do not, as the majority suggests, read Binderup as
    “reject[ing] consideration of a maximum penalty in favor of
    the felony/misdemeanor label.” Majority Op. at II.B.2 n.13.
    Rather, my point is that the majority cannot invoke the
    maximum penalty to discount the relevance of a factor
    consistent with the comparative exercise Barton and Binderup
    require us to conduct. The dissent in Binderup would have held
    the challengers’ crimes “serious” simply because they carry
    maximum prison terms exceeding those provided in §§
    11
    In saying this, I do not question the Pennsylvania
    legislature’s judgment that an offense such as Holloway’s
    should be punishable by a lengthy prison term. But for the
    purposes of answering the question before us today—whether
    that offense is “serious” enough to deprive Holloway of his
    Second Amendment right—we must look to how his offense
    compares with those of the historically barred class. That
    involves giving weight to the felony/misdemeanor distinction.
    In addition to the sentence it permitted, the Pennsylvania
    legislature also chose to punish Holloway’s crime as a
    misdemeanor. Indeed, the sentence and the classification are
    inseparable—all such misdemeanors in Pennsylvania carry
    Holloway’s maximum possible prison term. See 18 PA. CONS.
    STAT. § 1104(1) (2019). Even as a simple matter of statutory
    interpretation, then, the classification of the crime matters. This
    factor therefore weighs in Holloway’s favor.
    921(a)(20)(B) and 922(g)(1). See 836 F.3d at 388 (Fuentes, J.,
    concurring in part, dissenting in part, and dissenting from the
    judgments). A majority of the judges rejected such a
    categorical approach—and that is a key reason why Binderup
    came out as it did. The maximum penalty and the
    felony/misdemeanor distinction cannot, therefore, be treated as
    mutually exclusive. For this same reason, I agree with the
    majority that the maximum punishment is probative of the
    offense’s “seriousness.” See Majority Op. at II.B.2. But I think
    that fact should be considered under the fourth factor—how
    United States jurisdictions generally punish the offense. It is
    important, for purposes of the Barton and Binderup
    comparison, whether the challenger’s maximum punishment
    reflects a jurisdictional consensus or is an outlier.
    12
    2
    The second factor asks whether the “[c]hallenger’s
    offense had the use or attempted use of force as an element.”
    Binderup, 836 F.3d at 352 (opinion of Ambro, J.). The majority
    concedes that Holloway’s DUI offense does not fulfill this
    criterion, see Majority Op. at II.B.2, but it supplements its
    analysis by considering the crime’s “potential for danger and
    risk of harm to self and others,” id. Although the Marks rule
    does not foreclose additions to the multifactor test by a panel
    majority, our precedent demands that the “seriousness” inquiry
    be a comparative exercise involving the challenger’s offense
    and the characteristic features of those crimes that traditionally
    have disqualified persons from owning firearms. The virtue of
    the second Binderup factor is that it crystallizes in a clear legal
    standard the evident historical concern with force and violence.
    By contrast, the relevant historical and contemporary
    authorities do not support a standard focusing on all conduct
    that poses a “potential for danger and risk of harm to self and
    others.” Id.
    The most prominent late eighteenth-century sources
    supporting legislative power to bar certain individuals from
    owning firearms are the proposals made in the ratifying
    conventions of Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, and
    Massachusetts. The first of these provides that “no law shall be
    passed for disarming the people or any of them, unless for
    crimes committed, or real danger of public injury from
    individuals.” THE ADDRESS AND REASONS OF DISSENT OF THE
    MINORITY OF THE CONVENTION, OF THE STATE OF
    PENNSYLVANIA, TO THEIR CONSTITUENTS 1 (Phila., E. Oswald
    1787), https://www.loc.gov/item/90898134. It is important to
    note that the two categories are interlocking—the provision
    captures both convicted criminals and those non-criminals who
    pose a “real danger of public injury.” Id. The inclusion of the
    13
    latter phrase in turn suggests that the drafters did not
    necessarily have in mind all crimes, but rather those that
    manifest a real danger to the public. To this extent, I agree with
    the majority’s reading of the text. See Majority Op. at II.B.2
    n.11.
    Yet the provision alone does not tell us what “real
    danger of public injury” means. Perhaps the best way of
    interpreting this historical term is to look to the dispossessory
    provisions proposed at the other two conventions. In voting to
    ratify the Federal Constitution, New Hampshire’s delegates
    also recommended certain amendments to it. Among these was
    a provision that “Congress shall never disarm any citizen,
    unless such as are or have been in actual rebellion.” 1
    JONATHAN ELLIOT, THE DEBATES IN THE SEVERAL STATE
    CONVENTIONS ON THE ADOPTION OF THE FEDERAL
    CONSTITUTION 326 (2d ed. 1836). Although the Pennsylvania
    minority’s “real danger of public injury” was likely meant to
    sweep more broadly than New Hampshire’s “in actual
    rebellion,” insofar as we are attempting to discover the
    limitations the ratifying public would have implicitly placed on
    the Second Amendment, the New Hampshire provision
    suggests a concern with armed conflict or violence against the
    government, rather than with all dangerous acts. In this
    context, it is noteworthy that the Pennsylvania minority speaks
    of the danger of public, rather than private, injury—a
    distinction it explicitly makes elsewhere in the document. See,
    e.g., ADDRESS AND REASONS OF DISSENT, at 3 (“The absolute
    unqualified command that congress have over the militia may
    be made instrumental to the destruction of all liberty, both
    public and private . . . .”). From this perspective, it appears the
    Pennsylvania antifederalists had in mind something narrower
    14
    than the majority’s standard of “risk of harm to self and
    others.”11
    11
    The majority does not discuss the New Hampshire proposal.
    Nevertheless, it declares this reading of the Pennsylvania
    minority’s Address “foreclosed by our precedent” in Beers.
    Majority Op. at II.B.2 n.11. It is unclear, though, how Beers’s
    interpretation constitutes binding precedent. Beers used the
    phrase “real danger of public injury” to hold in part “that the
    traditional justification for disarming mentally ill individuals
    was that they were considered dangerous to themselves and/or
    to the public at large.” 927 F.3d at 158. By its very terms, this
    holding applies to the mentally ill, not to those convicted of
    crimes. To the extent Beers found the phrase to apply to all
    persons who present a danger to themselves or the public at
    large, that finding is dicta. Alternatively, if an interpretation of
    “real danger of public injury” can apply precedentially beyond
    the context in which it is invoked, then Beers was in fact bound
    by Barton’s interpretation, which found the phrase to cover
    “those who were likely to commit violent offenses.” See 
    633 F.3d at 173
    . It cannot plausibly be argued that Binderup
    overruled this aspect of Barton, since the Binderup plurality
    opinion emphasized the phrase “crimes committed,” which
    precedes “real danger of public injury” in the Address, and
    suggested that it was the operative language covering
    nonviolent offenses. See 836 F.3d at 349 (plurality opinion).
    Further, the plurality opinion explicitly stated that it was
    overruling Barton “[t]o the extent” that Barton “holds that
    people convicted of serious crimes may regain their lost
    Second Amendment rights after not posing a threat to society
    for a period of time.” Id. at 350. On any reading, then, the
    majority is incorrect to suggest that Beers requires us to
    interpret “real danger of public injury” as it does.
    15
    This understanding is also found in Samuel Adams’s
    proposal to the Massachusetts ratifying convention. The
    Constitution, he suggested, should never be “construed to
    authorize Congress . . . to prevent the people of the United
    States who are peaceable citizens from keeping their own
    arms.” 3 WILLIAM V. WELLS, THE LIFE AND PUBLIC SERVICES
    OF SAMUEL ADAMS 267 (Bos., Little, Brown & Co. 1865).
    What Adams meant by “peaceable” can be determined from
    the rest of his proposal. He also thought the Constitution should
    not be construed “to prevent the people from petitioning, in a
    peaceable and orderly manner, the Federal Legislature for a
    redress of grievances.” Id. The right to keep arms was linked
    to the assembly and petitioning right not only in Adams’s
    proposal but also in the Bill of Rights itself. To many late-
    eighteenth-century Americans, the arms right in the Second
    Amendment helped to ensure that the liberties guaranteed in
    the First Amendment would not be eroded by a tyrannical
    central government. See AKHIL REED AMAR, THE BILL OF
    RIGHTS: CREATION AND RECONSTRUCTION 47-48 (1998).
    Thus, in both Adams’s proposal and the Bill of Rights, it is “the
    people” who are given the right to petition their government
    and to possess arms. That entity, of course, is the one that (as
    the Preamble declares) alone has the power to form the
    government, and concomitantly to alter or abolish it. In this
    context, “peaceable” refers to those individuals who remain a
    part of “the people,” and do not independently disturb or take
    up arms against its legitimate government. Only “the people”
    itself has that ability.
    In sum, the principal historical evidence from the
    Founding period suggests that the majority’s “risk of harm”
    standard is too broad to serve as a basis for comparison under
    our precedent. The correct standard appears to be something
    closer to the one used in Binderup, focusing on the presence of
    16
    force or violence in the challenger’s conduct. Notably, in a part
    of Barton that remains good law, our Court summarized the
    ratifying convention proposals as “confirm[ing] that the
    common law right to keep and bear arms did not extend to
    those who were likely to commit violent offenses.” 
    633 F.3d at 173
     (emphasis added); see also Kanter v. Barr, 
    919 F.3d 437
    ,
    456 (7th Cir. 2019) (Barrett, J., dissenting) (concluding that
    “[t]he concern common to all three” proposals is “threatened
    violence and the risk of public injury”).12
    Further, although the majority cites contemporary
    authorities to support its standard, these seem to me inapt for
    conducting the comparison required by Barton and Binderup.
    On my reading, the majority principally relies on an inference
    from a colloquial understanding of drunk driving’s
    12
    Additional historical evidence from after the Founding
    further undercuts the majority’s position. For one, scholars
    have found little evidence of categorical bans on firearm
    possession in the nineteenth century. The principal means of
    gun control in this period appear to have been public-carry
    laws. See Saul Cornell, The Right to Keep and Carry Arms in
    Anglo-American Law: Preserving Liberty and Keeping the
    Peace, 80 LAW & CONTEMP. PROBS. 11, 33-43 (2017);
    Marshall, supra, at 710-12. In addition, although firearm
    dispossession laws became increasingly prevalent in the early
    twentieth century, even these foundational statutes cannot
    support the majority’s standard. For example, the original
    version of § 922(g)(1) made it unlawful for any person
    “convicted of a crime of violence” to transport or receive a
    firearm. Federal Firearms Act, Pub. L. No. 75-785, § 2, 
    52 Stat. 1250
    , 1251 (1938) (codified at 
    15 U.S.C. § 902
     (1940)). On the
    background to the Federal Firearms Act’s “crime of violence”
    provision, see Marshall, supra, at 700-07.
    17
    “seriousness” to that offense’s “seriousness” for purposes of
    depriving a person of Second Amendment protection. See
    Majority Op. at II.B.2. This is a category mistake. If we
    conducted a poll of a representative sample of Americans,
    asking them whether drunk driving is a serious crime, it is
    likely that most would answer affirmatively. Such an appeal to
    ordinary meaning has legal purchase in the context of statutory
    interpretation because a court there confronts words as adopted
    by a procedurally established majority of the people’s elected
    representatives. But “serious” for present purposes is not a
    statutory, let alone a constitutional, term. It is how a majority
    of this Circuit’s judges in Binderup summarized the crimes that
    historically have deprived persons convicted of them of the
    right to own a firearm. “Serious,” therefore, has a discrete legal
    meaning, and the “seriousness” inquiry must be given content
    consistent with that meaning. It is a determination of whether
    a challenger’s offense is sufficiently similar to those committed
    by the historically barred class. Evaluation of the second factor
    should be grounded in this legal framework.
    Given the indeterminate nature of the historically barred
    class, I do not dispute that current authorities may assist us in
    measuring the “seriousness” of a challenger’s offense. But any
    such measurement must be consistent with our precedent. To
    me, the most relevant contemporary authorities for measuring
    “seriousness” are in fact included in the third and fourth
    factors: the actors within the criminal-justice system who
    confronted the challenger’s offense and imposed a punishment,
    and the jurisdictions that penalize the challenger’s conduct as
    a crime. As a result, I must conclude that the second factor
    weighs in Holloway’s favor.
    18
    3
    Although the preceding factors support Holloway, they
    are insufficient in themselves to establish whether he is entitled
    to Second Amendment protection. Because a majority of the
    judges in Binderup held that a nonviolent misdemeanor may
    be “serious,” the preceding factors, while probative measures
    of “seriousness,” are not dispositive. Yet in the absence of
    common features of “serious” nonviolent misdemeanors—and
    Binderup did not specify any—we must compare the
    punishment for the challenger’s crime with the punishments
    for the crimes of the historically barred class. See 836 F.3d at
    352 (opinion of Ambro, J.). The third and fourth Binderup
    factors both accomplish this end.13
    The third factor looks to the sentence the challenger
    received. It directs our attention to the unique circumstances of
    the challenger’s offense and conviction. Holloway was
    arrested in January 2005 after a police officer witnessed him
    driving the wrong way down a one-way street. Holloway, 349
    F. Supp. 3d at 454. He registered a blood alcohol concentration
    (BAC) at the “highest rate” under Pennsylvania law, and
    because this was his second DUI offense, he was convicted of
    13
    The majority says that “in addition to ascribing high value to
    the offense’s felony/misdemeanor label,” I “favor[]” a focus
    “on the actual penalty imposed.” Majority Op. at II.B.2 n.12. It
    contrasts this view with its own, declaring it “proper to
    consider the maximum penalty an offender faces, and not
    simply” these other factors. Id. As I have noted, however, I do
    not value any one factor above another, and in fact agree with
    the majority that the maximum penalty is relevant, though (for
    the reasons I state below) I think that such a penalty is most
    appropriately, for purposes of the Barton and Binderup
    comparison, considered under the fourth factor.
    19
    a first-degree misdemeanor, punishable by up to five years in
    prison. Id. However, he received the mandatory minimum
    sentence, which included three months of confinement on a
    work-release program. Id. 454-55.
    The majority finds this factor against Holloway,
    emphasizing that, unlike the challengers in Binderup, he
    received a punishment that deprived him of his liberty. See
    Majority Op. at II.B.2. While this fact is certainly evidence that
    Pennsylvania considers Holloway’s offense more significant
    than that of Binderup (which was also committed in
    Pennsylvania), it does not measure Holloway’s offense against
    those of the historically barred class. A factor that considers the
    punishment received suggests some deference to the decisions
    of those within the criminal-justice system. See Binderup, 836
    F.3d at 352 (opinion of Ambro, J.) (“[P]unishments are selected
    by judges who have firsthand knowledge of the facts and
    circumstances of the cases and who likely have the benefit of
    pre-sentence reports prepared by trained professionals.”).
    Here, the actors on the ground did not deem Holloway’s
    offense “serious” enough to warrant the maximum penalty that
    Pennsylvania law permitted. Rather, the sentencing judge
    imposed the lightest punishment that the law allowed—a term
    of imprisonment, with work release, considerably shorter than
    the qualifying sentences under either § 922(g)(1) or §
    921(a)(20)(B). As the District Court noted, Holloway’s
    assignment to a work-release program “undergirds the
    relatively minor nature of his sentence and suggests that the
    sentencing judge did not find Holloway to pose a significant
    risk to public safety.” Holloway, 349 F. Supp. 3d at 457.
    For the purposes of the Barton and Binderup
    comparison, then, I conclude that those who administered
    Pennsylvania’s law did not deem Holloway’s offense “serious”
    enough to merit imposition of a sentence on a par with those of
    20
    the historically barred class. The argument that Holloway’s
    punishment was greater than anything received by the
    Binderup challengers bears more on the final factor than on the
    present one. The latter supports Holloway’s claim to Second
    Amendment protection.
    4
    The fourth factor asks whether there is a “cross-
    jurisdictional consensus regarding the seriousness of the
    [challenger’s] crime[].” Id. Like the sentence actually received,
    the challenger’s maximum possible punishment similarly
    provides a point of comparison with the historically barred
    class, but it cannot be assessed by looking to the challenger’s
    jurisdiction alone. The fact that the challenger’s crime is
    punishable by more than one or two years is the very reason he
    is in court; it demonstrates only that one jurisdiction has chosen
    to punish his conduct on terms comparable to the punishments
    of the historically barred class. More significant is how
    jurisdictions generally punish the challenger’s conduct because
    such a measure permits a comparison of current appraisal of
    the significance of the challenger’s crime with the punishments
    imposed on the historical class.
    My review of the DUI laws in all fifty states and the
    District of Columbia reveals a notable consensus in how these
    jurisdictions punish Holloway’s conduct. Most importantly,
    only twelve of these jurisdictions punish such conduct with a
    maximum term of imprisonment exceeding one year.14 Of
    14
    See CONN. GEN. STAT. §§ 14-227a, 53a-25, 53a-26 (2019);
    DEL. CODE ANN. tit. 21, § 4177; tit. 11, § 233 (2019); IND.
    CODE §§ 9-30-5-1, 9-30-5-3 (2019); IOWA CODE § 321J.2
    (2019); MD. CODE ANN., TRANSP. §§ 21-902, 27-101 to -102
    (West 2019); MASS. GEN. LAWS ch. 90, § 24; ch. 274, § 1
    21
    these twelve jurisdictions, seven provide for a maximum
    punishment exceeding two years,15 and only four of these
    seven classify such a crime as a misdemeanor.16 The other three
    jurisdictions, as well as the remaining five that punish the
    crime by more than one year of imprisonment, classify it as a
    felony. Given these statistics, there is no cross-jurisdictional
    consensus that a second DUI offense with a BAC at 0.192% is
    “serious” for purposes of Second Amendment analysis. In fact,
    the consensus lies in the other direction: a significant majority
    of jurisdictions—thirty-nine out of fifty-one—do not consider
    Holloway’s second DUI offense to be a crime worthy of
    punishment in accord with that of a traditional felony.
    (2019); 
    N.Y. VEH. & TRAF. LAW §§ 1192-1193
     (McKinney
    2019); N.C. GEN. STAT. §§ 20-138.1, 20-138.5, 20-179 (2019);
    OKLA. STAT. tit. 47, § 11-902 (2019); 75 PA. CONS. STAT. §§
    3803(b)(4), 3804 (2019); 18 PA. CONS. STAT. § 1104 (2019);
    S.C. CODE ANN. §§ 56-5-2930, 56-5-2933, 16-1-20, 16-1-100
    (2019); VT. STAT. ANN. tit. 23, §§ 1201, 1210; tit. 13, § 1
    (2019).
    15
    See IND. CODE §§ 9-30-5-1, 9-30-5-3 (2019); MASS. GEN.
    LAWS ch. 90, § 24; ch. 274, § 1 (2019); 
    N.Y. VEH. & TRAF. LAW §§ 1192-1193
     (McKinney 2019); N.C. GEN. STAT. §§ 20-
    138.1, 20-138.5, 20-179 (2019); OKLA. STAT. tit. 47, § 11-902
    (2019); 75 PA. CONS. STAT. §§ 3803(b)(4), 3804 (2019); 18 PA.
    CONS. STAT. § 1104 (2019); S.C. CODE ANN. §§ 56-5-2930, 56-
    5-2933, 16-1-20, 16-1-100 (2019).
    16
    See MASS. GEN. LAWS ch. 90, § 24; ch. 274, § 1 (2019); N.C.
    GEN. STAT. §§ 20-138.1, 20-138.5, 20-179 (2019); 75 PA.
    CONS. STAT. §§ 3803(b)(4), 3804 (2019); 18 PA. CONS. STAT.
    § 1104 (2019); S.C. CODE ANN. §§ 56-5-2930, 56-5-2933, 16-
    1-20, 16-1-100 (2019).
    22
    The majority finds it sufficient that “states unanimously
    agree that DUIs are crimes subject to punishment.” Majority
    Op. at II.B.2. Yet as I have emphasized, our precedent dictates
    that the relevant measures of “seriousness” are those indicating
    how the challenger’s circumstances compare with the
    circumstances of the historically barred class. The fact of
    punishment alone should not render a crime “serious” enough
    to deprive an individual of a constitutional right. In the light of
    the evidence presented above, I must conclude that under the
    fourth factor, Holloway is not removed from the scope of
    Second Amendment protection.
    ***
    Drunk driving is a dangerous crime. Declaring it not
    “serious” for purposes of the Second Amendment in no way
    detracts from its “seriousness” in the ordinary understanding
    of that word. But that is my point—the two categories are
    distinct, and our analysis should reflect that fact. Although
    Binderup did not create controlling precedent on the nature of
    the “seriousness” inquiry, the legal content of that inquiry must
    fulfill the requirements established in Barton and Binderup.
    Properly understood and applied, the multifactor test meets
    these demands. And in the context of the present case, it leads
    me to agree with the District Court that § 922(g)(1) burdens
    Holloway’s constitutional right to own a firearm. In this way, I
    part with the majority in this case.
    II
    If a court determines, as I do here, that the challenged
    law burdens protected conduct, then Marzzarella’s second step
    requires the court to “evaluate the law under some form of
    means-ends scrutiny.” 614 F.3d at 89. In Binderup, the same
    ten judges who agreed to adopt Marzzarella’s two-step
    framework and the “seriousness” standard also accepted the
    23
    application of intermediate scrutiny in as-applied challenges to
    § 922(g)(1). See Binderup, 836 F.3d at 353 (opinion of Ambro,
    J.); id. at 398 (Fuentes, J., concurring in part, dissenting in part,
    and dissenting from the judgments). Therefore, our precedent
    requires the application of intermediate scrutiny in the present
    case. See Donovan, 
    661 F.3d at 182
    .
    Following a long line of Supreme Court case law,
    Marzzarella enumerated two elements of intermediate-scrutiny
    review. First, the government interest in the enforcement of the
    challenged regulation must be “significant, substantial, or
    important.” 614 F.3d at 98 (internal quotation marks omitted).
    Second, there must be a “reasonable” fit between the asserted
    government interest and the regulation as written or applied.
    Id.; see also Ass’n of N.J. Rifle & Pistol Clubs, Inc. v. Attorney
    Gen. New Jersey, 
    910 F.3d 106
    , 119 (3d Cir. 2018) (adopting
    this two-part test); Drake v. Filko, 
    724 F.3d 426
    , 436 (3d Cir.
    2013) (same). I will consider each in turn.
    A
    The parties do not contest that the government has a
    substantial interest in “protecting the public from people who
    cannot be trusted to use firearms responsibly.” Appellants’ Br.
    at 29. Neither Holloway’s brief nor the District Court’s opinion
    even mention this element. Thus, there is no reason to question
    whether the government has a substantial interest in enforcing
    § 922(g)(1).
    B
    Our primary difficulty lies in determining how to apply
    the second element of intermediate-scrutiny review to §
    922(g)(1). Binderup established no precedent for how to decide
    whether there is a “[reasonable] fit between [§ 922(g)(1)] and
    the asserted governmental end.” Marzzarella, 
    614 F.3d at 98
    .
    Moreover, the standards applied by the judges in that case are
    24
    not the same as the standard applied by the Court in
    Marzzarella. Yet as I detail in Section II.B.1, these standards
    are in fact doctrinally consistent with each other. If the
    government presents sufficient evidence to support its
    enforcement of the regulation at issue, we are then to evaluate
    how closely the regulation has been drawn to advance that
    interest. This is the standard I apply in Section II.B.2,
    concluding that § 922(g)(1) as applied in the present case fails
    intermediate scrutiny.
    1
    There is no binding precedent in our Circuit for the
    proper application of intermediate scrutiny to § 922(g)(1). In
    Binderup, the opinion announcing the Court’s judgment said
    the government “must ‘present some meaningful evidence, not
    mere assertions, to justify its predictive . . . judgments’”
    regarding the danger presented by the challengers and others
    like them. 836 F.3d at 354 (opinion of Ambro, J.) (quoting
    Heller v. District of Columbia, 
    670 F.3d 1244
    , 1259 (D.C. Cir.
    2011)). By contrast, in Marzzarella, the Court held that 
    18 U.S.C. § 922
    (k) “fits reasonably with [the government’s
    asserted] interest in that it reaches only conduct creating a
    substantial risk of rendering a firearm untraceable.” 614 F.3d
    at 98. Whereas in Binderup, then, the judges were concerned
    with the evidence the government put forward, in Marzzarella
    the Court focused on the relation between the government’s
    asserted interest and the statute’s actual operation.17
    Despite this ostensible difference, these standards are in
    fact consistent with each other as a doctrinal matter.
    17
    For the same reasons given above with regard to the
    multifactor test, I do not think the application of intermediate
    scrutiny in Binderup is binding precedent under the Marks rule.
    25
    Marzzarella followed Heller in looking to the Supreme Court’s
    First Amendment case law for guidance, calling that doctrine
    “the natural choice” for “evaluating Second Amendment
    challenges.” 614 F.3d at 89 n.4. In particular, for the second
    prong of intermediate-scrutiny review—that “the fit between
    the challenged regulation and the asserted objective be
    reasonable, not perfect”—Marzzarella referred to two of the
    Supreme Court’s commercial-speech cases. See id. at 98
    (citing Lorillard Tobacco Co. v. Reilly, 
    533 U.S. 525
    , 556
    (2001); and Bd. of Trs. of State Univ. of N.Y. v. Fox, 
    492 U.S. 469
    , 480 (1989)). A brief consideration of commercial-speech
    doctrine allows us to see how our Circuit’s Second Amendment
    precedent in fact dictates a single standard for subjecting §
    922(g)(1) to intermediate scrutiny.18
    The Supreme Court applies a four-step test for
    determining whether a regulation of commercial speech
    violates the First Amendment. A court must first “determine
    whether the expression is protected by the First Amendment,”
    and then “ask whether the asserted governmental interest is
    substantial.” Cent. Hudson Gas & Elec. Corp. v. Pub. Serv.
    Comm’n of N.Y., 
    447 U.S. 557
    , 566 (1980); see also Fox, 
    492 U.S. at 475
    . If the answer to both inquires is affirmative, the
    government must then show “that the statute directly advances
    a substantial governmental interest and that the measure is
    drawn to achieve that interest.” Sorrell v. IMS Health Inc., 564
    18
    The majority suggests that I am “advocating that we import”
    the commercial-speech standard into the § 922(g)(1) context.
    Majority Op. at II.B.2 n.16. To the contrary, I am simply
    applying our precedent, mindful that Marzzarella has “guided
    how we approach as-applied Second Amendment challenges.”
    Binderup, 836 F.3d at 346 (plurality opinion).
    
    26 U.S. 552
    , 572 (2011) (citing Fox, 
    492 U.S. at 480-81
    ; and Cent.
    Hudson, 
    447 U.S. at 566
    ).
    This test bears notable resemblance to our Circuit’s
    developing Second Amendment doctrine. For our purposes
    here, the third and fourth steps are especially remarkable: they
    resemble the standards applied in Binderup and Marzzarella,
    respectively. Both are essential means of measuring the fit
    between the interest and the regulation. Indeed, the Supreme
    Court has said that these steps are not necessarily distinct
    inquiries. In as-applied challenges, the question posed at step
    three “cannot be answered by limiting the inquiry to whether
    the governmental interest is directly advanced as applied to a
    single person or entity.” United States v. Edge Broad. Co., 
    509 U.S. 418
    , 427 (1993). The court must also consider “the
    regulation’s general application to others” with the same
    relevant characteristics as the challenger. 
    Id.
     As a result, the
    validity of the regulation’s application to the challenger
    “properly should be dealt with under the fourth factor of the
    Central Hudson test.” 
    Id.
     This means that, regardless of the
    nature of the challenge, the third and fourth steps “basically
    involve a consideration of the fit between the legislature’s ends
    and the means chosen to accomplish those ends.” 
    Id. at 427-28
    (internal quotation marks omitted).
    This background clarifies the standard to apply in the
    present case. In effect, Binderup concerned the correct
    application of the third step—whether the regulation “directly
    advances a substantial governmental interest.” Sorrell, 564
    U.S. at 572. The three-judge opinion announcing the judgment
    of the Court did not need to advance its inquiry any further,
    because it concluded that § 922(g)(1) already failed as applied.
    In Marzzarella, however, there was no question whether the
    government had presented sufficient evidence to justify its
    enforcement action, and so the Court looked to how closely §
    27
    922(k) was drawn to achieve the government’s stated interest,
    holding that the statute is not impermissibly overinclusive
    because “it reaches only conduct creating a substantial risk of
    rendering a firearm untraceable.” 614 F.3d at 98. As a result, to
    my mind Binderup and Marzzarella are doctrinally consistent,
    or at least reconcilable, in the light of how the Supreme Court
    has elaborated the final two steps of the commercial-speech
    test. At Marzzarella Step Two, if we are satisfied with the
    evidence supporting the statute’s application, we must then
    consider how closely the statute has been drawn to advance the
    government’s substantial interest.
    2
    Applying that standard in the present case, I conclude
    that § 922(g)(1) does not survive intermediate scrutiny. I
    disagree with the District Court, however, that the government
    has failed to produce evidence demonstrating that its
    enforcement of the statute directly advances its stated
    substantial interest. Rather, the flaw with the government’s
    case is that the statute as applied here is “wildly
    underinclusive.” Nat’l Inst. Fam. & Life Advocs. v. Becerra,
    
    138 S. Ct. 2361
    , 2375 (2018) (quoting Brown v. Entm’t Merchs.
    Ass’n, 
    564 U.S. 786
    , 802 (2011)).
    a
    In finding that § 922(g)(1)’s enforcement in this case
    does not directly advance the government’s substantial
    interest, the District Court demanded an excessively
    particularized connection between the evidence proffered and
    Holloway’s circumstances. Yet, as explained above, we should
    not limit our “inquiry to whether the governmental interest is
    directly advanced as applied to a single person or entity,” but
    also consider “the regulation’s general application to others.”
    Edge Broad. Co., 
    509 U.S. at 427
    . The government’s studies in
    28
    Binderup were “obviously distinguishable.” 836 F.3d at 354
    (opinion of Ambro, J.). They concerned the likelihood of
    incarcerated felons to reoffend, though the Binderup
    challengers were neither incarcerated nor felons under state
    law. And the studies cited recidivism rates not applicable to
    individuals in the challengers’ situation. More compelling
    studies would have presented evidence relating to individuals
    “with the Challengers’ backgrounds.” Id. at 355.
    The government’s expert report in the present case does
    exactly that. It offers evidence relating to the features of
    Holloway’s biography that are at issue in this case. It refers to
    the likelihood of drug and alcohol abuse among repeat DUI
    offenders. D. Ct. Docket No. 61-4, at 4. It refers to firearm
    purchasers with prior alcohol-related convictions. Id. at 9.
    These are the features of Holloway’s biography at issue here.
    For the purposes of government policy, barring individuals
    with those characteristics from possessing a firearm is
    reasonable.
    b
    As explained above, our inquiry into “reasonable fit”
    does not end here. The question is not merely whether it is
    reasonable to disarm the challenger because of his conviction,
    but whether “the fit between the challenged regulation and the
    asserted objective [is] reasonable.” Marzzarella, 614 F.3d at 98
    (emphasis added). As a result, we must consider, in the context
    of this as-applied challenge, how closely § 922(g)(1) has been
    drawn to achieve the government’s substantial interest.
    Under this standard, the law appears to be significantly
    underinclusive. Holloway’s crimes—a first DUI offense at a
    BAC of 0.131%, and a second DUI offense less than three
    years later with a BAC of 0.192%—implicate § 922(g)(1) in
    only eight of fifty-one jurisdictions (the fifty states and the
    29
    District of Columbia).19 These eight jurisdictions account for
    approximately 21% of the United States population.20 On
    average, then, only about one in five individuals behaving
    exactly as Holloway did would be barred from possessing a
    firearm under § 922(g)(1). The statute’s dependence on state
    criminal classifications and punishments results in an
    underinclusive application that raises constitutional concerns,
    regardless of the reasonableness of disarming recidivist DUI
    offenders.
    19
    See CONN. GEN. STAT. §§ 14-227a, 53a-25, 53a-26 (2019);
    IND. CODE §§ 9-30-5-1, 9-30-5-3 (2019); MASS. GEN. LAWS ch.
    90, § 24; ch. 274, § 1 (2019); 
    N.Y. VEH. & TRAF. LAW §§ 1192
    -
    1193 (McKinney 2019); N.C. GEN. STAT. §§ 20-138.1, 20-
    138.5, 20-179 (2019); OKLA. STAT. tit. 47, § 11-902 (2019); 75
    PA. CONS. STAT. § 3804 (2019); S.C. CODE ANN. §§ 56-5-2930,
    56-5-2933, 16-1-20, 16-1-100 (2019).
    20
    I base this number on the U.S. Census Bureau’s estimated
    2019 national and state populations. The estimated population
    of the fifty states and the District of Columbia on July 1, 2019
    was 328,239,523 persons. See U.S. Census Bureau, National
    Population Totals and Components of Change: 2010-2019,
    U.S.        DEP’T        COM.         (Dec.     23,       2019),
    https://www.census.gov/data/tables/time-
    series/demo/popest/2010s-national-total.html. On that same
    date, the total estimated population of the eight states where
    Holloway’s crimes would implicate § 922(g)(1) was
    69,039,328 persons. See U.S. Census Bureau, State Population
    Totals and Components of Change: 2010-2019, U.S. DEP’T
    COM.                  (Dec.               30,             2019),
    https://www.census.gov/data/tables/time-
    series/demo/popest/2010s-state-total.html.
    30
    c
    The next question is whether this underinclusivity
    renders § 922(g)(1) as applied here unconstitutional under
    intermediate scrutiny. To my mind, there are two principal
    counterarguments to answering this question affirmatively.
    Both of them fail.
    First, it might be argued that our precedent remains
    unsettled regarding whether underinclusivity is a valid
    consideration in the Second Amendment context. Although
    Marzzarella allowed that a regulation’s “underinclusiveness
    can be evidence that the interest is not significant enough to
    justify the regulation,” 614 F.3d at 99, the Court was there
    referring to underinclusivity in the context of strict, rather than
    intermediate, scrutiny. As a result, a future panel majority may
    reject a consideration of underinclusivity in intermediate-
    scrutiny review. See, e.g., Ass’n of N.J. Rifle & Pistol Clubs,
    910 F.3d at 122 n.28 (“While our Court has consulted First
    Amendment jurisprudence concerning the appropriate level of
    scrutiny to apply to a gun regulation, we have not wholesale
    incorporated it into the Second Amendment.” (citations
    omitted)).
    Yet, in constitutional law, underinclusivity follows
    necessarily from the evaluation of a fit between means and
    ends. And in Marzzarella we explicitly adopted a test that
    considers “the fit between the challenged regulation and the
    asserted objective.” 614 F.3d at 98; see also Reilly, 
    533 U.S. at 556
    ; Fla. Bar v. Went For It, Inc., 
    515 U.S. 618
    , 632 (1995);
    Fox, 
    492 U.S. at 480
    . The assessment of fit looks to the relation
    between the class of persons who come within the scope of the
    regulation’s stated objective, and the class of persons actually
    affected by the regulation. See, e.g., Joseph Tussman &
    Jacobus tenBroek, The Equal Protection of the Laws, 37 CALIF.
    31
    L. REV. 341, 344-53 (1949).21 Under this standard, what
    matters is not whether a regulation is specifically
    overinclusive, but rather by how much it is either over- or
    underinclusive. See, e.g., City of Cincinnati v. Discovery
    Network, Inc., 
    507 U.S. 410
    , 428 (1993) (holding a city
    ordinance intended to advance safety and aesthetic interests
    unconstitutional because it unjustifiably affected only a small
    fraction of operating newsracks, thus constituting an
    unreasonable fit between ends and means).
    This generalized inquiry encompasses both
    intermediate and strict scrutiny. The difference between those
    standards is the degree, rather than the type, of fit—whether
    the fit is either “reasonable” or “perfect.” Marzzarella, 
    614 F.3d at 98
    ; see McCutcheon v. Fed. Election Comm’n, 
    572 U.S. 185
    , 218 (2014) (plurality opinion) (“Even when the Court is
    not applying strict scrutiny, we still require ‘a fit that is not
    necessarily perfect, but reasonable; . . . that employs not
    necessarily the least restrictive means but . . . a means narrowly
    tailored to achieve the desired objective.’” (alterations in
    original) (quoting Fox, 
    492 U.S. at 480
    )). Intermediate scrutiny
    21
    The Court first developed this test in the equal-protection
    context, and subsequently imported it into First Amendment
    doctrine in the early 1970s. See, e.g., Police Dep’t of Chicago
    v. Mosley, 
    408 U.S. 92
     (1972); Kenneth L. Karst, Equality as a
    Central Principle in the First Amendment, 43 U. CHI. L. REV.
    20 (1975). It therefore makes sense that when our Court in
    Marzzarella began to formulate Second Amendment doctrine,
    it called for an evaluation of the challenged law “under some
    form of means-end scrutiny,” 614 F.3d at 89, and described that
    evaluation as an assessment of “the fit between the challenged
    regulation and the asserted objective,” id. at 98.
    32
    simply requires less of a fit between the governmental interest
    and the challenged regulation than strict scrutiny does.
    It would be contrary to the logic of this analysis to hold
    that under intermediate scrutiny alone a court may not consider
    a regulation’s underinclusivity. To be sure, there may be a
    compelling reason why the Second Amendment context
    precludes such a consideration, but, to my mind, even that
    determination must now be left either to this Court sitting en
    banc or to the Supreme Court. Because our Court in
    Marzzarella adopted a means-ends fit analysis, we have
    already decided that underinclusivity is at least a valid
    consideration.
    Second, it might be argued that § 922(g)(1) as applied
    here falls into one of the contexts in which the Supreme Court
    has upheld a regulation despite claims of underinclusivity. In
    particular, the Court has acknowledged two principal
    defenses—that a distinction drawn by a lawmaking body is in
    itself legitimate, and that a legislature is permitted to address a
    problem incrementally. See Williams-Yulee v. Fla. Bar, 
    135 S. Ct. 1656
    , 1668-69 (2015) (highlighting these two defenses);
    see also McConnell v. Fed. Election Comm’n, 
    540 U.S. 93
    ,
    207-08 (2003) (“[R]eform may take one step at a time,
    addressing itself to the phase of the problem which seems most
    acute to the legislative mind.” (quoting Buckley v. Valeo, 
    424 U.S. 1
    , 105 (1976))); Burson v. Freeman, 
    504 U.S. 191
    , 207
    (1992) (“States adopt laws to address the problems that
    confront them. The First Amendment does not require States to
    regulate for problems that do not exist.”).
    These defenses do not support § 922(g)(1) as applied in
    the present case. Congress has drawn no distinction between
    different types of conduct—the same behavior may activate §
    922(g)(1) or not based merely on where that behavior occurred.
    33
    See City of Cincinnati, 
    507 U.S. at 428
     (declaring a city
    ordinance       unconstitutionally       underinclusive      under
    intermediate scrutiny “[b]ecause the distinction [the city] has
    drawn has absolutely no bearing on the interests it has
    asserted”). For this same reason, it is hard to see how the statute
    represents Congress addressing problems as they arise. Section
    922(g)(1) sweeps so broadly, covering any person convicted
    under state law of a felony or a misdemeanor carrying a
    sentence that exceeds two years, that in particular applications
    it is underinclusive, curtailing the constitutional rights of some
    and not others for the exact same conduct. Far from regulating
    for problems that do not exist, Congress is here not even
    regulating the vast majority of conduct it apparently deems
    problematic.
    ***
    Ultimately at stake in this case is whether the
    government may arbitrarily burden the constitutional right of
    some citizens and not others. This equality concern goes to the
    heart of constitutional adjudication, regardless of the nature of
    the right at issue. As Justice Jackson put it in a different
    context:
    The framers of the Constitution knew, and we
    should not forget today, that there is no more
    effective practical guaranty against arbitrary and
    unreasonable government than to require that the
    principles of law which officials would impose
    upon a minority must be imposed
    generally. Conversely, nothing opens the door to
    arbitrary action so effectively as to allow those
    officials to pick and choose only a few to whom
    they will apply legislation and thus to escape the
    political retribution that might be visited upon
    34
    them if larger numbers were affected. Courts can
    take no better measure to assure that laws will be
    just than to require that laws be equal in
    operation.
    Ry. Express Agency v. New York, 
    336 U.S. 106
    , 112-13 (1949)
    (Jackson, J., concurring). When a law, for reasons unrelated to
    enforcement discretion, on average punishes the same conduct
    only one in five times, such that those chosen individuals are
    deprived in perpetuity of a constitutional right, there is not a
    reasonable fit between the legislature’s asserted interest and
    the challenged regulation.22 If Congress wants to bar all
    individuals convicted of a second DUI offense with a BAC
    above 0.16% of owning a firearm, then it must do so through
    the ordinary channels of democratic lawmaking. At least then
    all persons’ constitutional right will be treated equally.
    For these reasons, I respectfully dissent.
    22
    Although the majority does not reach Step Two, it observes
    that I “seemingly ask[] for a near-perfect fit.” Majority Op. at
    II.B.2 n.16. Reasonable minds may differ as to whether
    demanding a fit of greater than 21% is to demand near-
    perfection.
    35