Jeydi Herrera-Reyes v. Attorney General United States ( 2020 )


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  •                                      PRECEDENTIAL
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE THIRD CIRCUIT
    ________________
    No. 19-2255
    ________________
    JEYDI L. HERRERA-REYES,
    Petitioner
    v.
    ATTORNEY GENERAL OF THE UNITED STATES of
    AMERICA,
    Respondent
    ________________
    On Petition for Review of
    a Decision of the Board of Immigration Appeals
    (BIA No. A216-587-697)
    Immigration Judge: John B. Carle
    ________________
    Submitted Under Third Circuit L.A.R. 34.1(a)
    November 13, 2019
    Before: AMBRO, KRAUSE, and BIBAS, Circuit Judges
    (Opinion filed: February 28, 2020)
    Karen L. Hoffmann, Esq.
    Syrena Law
    128 Chestnut Street, Room 301a
    Philadelphia, PA 19106
    Attorney for Petitioner
    Katherine A. Smith, Esq.
    United States Department of Justice
    Office of Immigration Litigation, Room 2245
    P.O. Box 878
    Ben Franklin Station
    Washington, DC 20044
    Attorney for Respondent
    ________________
    OPINION
    ________________
    KRAUSE, Circuit Judge.
    This case presents the question whether and under what
    circumstances threats of violence may contribute to a
    cumulative pattern of past persecution when not coupled with
    physical harm to the asylum-seeker or her family. We
    conclude the Immigration Judge and the Board of Immigration
    Appeals erred in holding that Petitioner Jeydi Herrera-Reyes—
    a Nicaraguan national who received death threats from
    members of the governing Sandinista Party after her home was
    burned down, a convoy in which she was traveling came under
    gunfire, and a political meeting she was organizing was robbed
    at gunpoint—had not suffered past persecution within the
    2
    meaning of the asylum statute. We will therefore grant the
    petition for review and vacate and remand to the BIA.
    I.     FACTUAL AND PROCEDURAL BACKGROUND
    Petitioner claimed she experienced past persecution as
    an active opponent of the Nicaraguan government. As
    reflected in the record and before the IJ, that government has a
    “de facto concentration of power in a single party”—the
    Sandinistas—“with an authoritarian executive branch
    exercising significant control over the legislative, judicial, and
    electoral functions.” A.R. 55 (quoting a U.S. Department of
    State Human Rights Report for Nicaragua). Sandinista
    government officials and security personnel, with widespread
    impunity, have imposed “arbitrary arrest and detention of
    suspects; . . . multiple obstacles to freedom of speech and the
    press, including government intimidation; . . . and partisan
    restrictions on freedom of peaceful assembly.” 
    Id. (same). In
    recent years, according to a report by human rights observers,
    “police generally protected or otherwise gave preferential
    treatment to progovernment [Sandinista] demonstrations while
    disrupting or denying registration for opposition groups” and
    “did not protect opposition protesters when progovernment
    supporters harassed or attacked them.” A.R. 56.
    Petitioner’s experience, according to testimony the IJ
    deemed credible, was a case in point. Before she fled to the
    United States, Petitioner was the leader and president of an
    opposition group for Liberal Party youth and was “deeply
    involved” in local politics. A.R. 183. As a result, she was
    subjected to a pattern of threatening words and conduct that
    she claimed rose to the level of persecution.
    3
    The first occurred during the 2017 mayoral election in
    her town, when Petitioner was working at a polling station and
    armed Sandinistas gathered outside threatening to “kill” or
    “steal” from Petitioner and the other Liberal Party workers
    inside. A.R. 162. Despite this intimidation, the Liberal Party
    candidate won the election, but that only escalated the conflict.
    The same evening, while Petitioner was out celebrating the
    candidate’s victory, Sandinistas burned down her family’s
    home.
    The following day, faced with this and other similar acts
    of violence, Petitioner and other Liberal Party activists traveled
    in a two-truck convoy to spread the word of the attacks to
    opposition-group colleagues in neighboring towns. But
    violence followed them: On their way home, Sandinistas shot
    at the convoy and killed the mayor-elect’s nephew. And when
    Petitioner returned to her hometown and began preparing the
    local auditorium for the mayor’s inauguration, armed
    Sandinistas attacked the gathering and stole computers and the
    town’s radio transmitter at gunpoint.
    Petitioner also learned of two attacks that had recently
    occurred in her provincial department in which Sandinistas
    ransacked Liberal Party towns and murdered or critically
    injured its members. Considering this news, the incidents she
    had witnessed, and the threats she had received to that point,
    Petitioner believed she “could be next,” A.R. 174, and was
    “afraid” to leave her house because she thought “[the
    Sandinistas] might do something bad to [her].” A.R. 180.
    Her fear intensified a few months later when Petitioner
    left her home to go to the supermarket and was confronted by
    Sandinistas who told her to “be thankful [that] there were many
    people there” and that they would kill her if they found her
    4
    alone because her political advocacy had caused them to lose
    the mayoral election. A.R. 180–81. At that point, Petitioner
    concluded she would be killed for her leadership role in the
    Liberal Party if she stayed in the country and that she “had no
    other alternative” but to flee Nicaragua. A.R. 181. Even after
    she left, Sandinistas repeatedly visited her family’s home
    demanding to know where she had gone.
    Petitioner arrived in the United States the following
    month and filed a claim for political asylum, alleging she had
    been subjected to past persecution and thus was entitled to a
    presumption of future persecution necessary to establish an
    asylum claim. The evidence consisted primarily of her
    testimony. Of the three elements of a claim of past
    persecution—“(1) an incident, or incidents, that rise to the level
    of persecution; (2) that is on account of one of the statutorily-
    protected grounds; and (3) is committed by the government or
    forces the government is either unable or unwilling to control,”
    Sheriff v. Att’y Gen., 
    587 F.3d 584
    , 589 (3d Cir. 2009) (internal
    quotation marks and citation omitted)—there was no dispute
    that the latter two were satisfied. The Government did not
    dispute that Petitioner was targeted on account of her political
    opinion, see 8 U.S.C. § 1101(a)(42), or by members of the
    ruling Sandinista Party, see Shardar v. Att’y Gen., 
    503 F.3d 308
    , 311, 318 (3d Cir. 2007) (finding that the petitioner made
    out a prima facie case for asylum where he was menaced by
    the “ruling party”).
    As to the first prong, however, the IJ concluded that
    Petitioner’s experiences did not “rise to the level of past
    persecution.” A.R. 53.        Although he did “not doubt
    [Petitioner’s] support of the Liberal party and her subjective
    fear of returning to Nicaragua as a result of her political
    opinion,” A.R. 52, the IJ held as a matter of law that Petitioner
    5
    was not “persecuted” because she “was never physically
    harmed,” “never arrested or imprisoned by authorities,” and
    “[n]ever threatened by a government official.” A.R. 53–54, 56.
    Acknowledging the truck-convoy shooting was “harrowing”
    and the threats were “not insignificant,” the IJ deemed them
    insufficient, because they were “not so menacing as to cause
    actual physical suffering or harm.” A.R. 53.
    The BIA adopted the IJ’s analysis and likewise held that
    Petitioner’s experiences did not constitute “past persecution.”
    A.R. 3. Citing precedent in which we described threats
    sufficient to constitute “persecution” as “sufficiently
    imminent,” “concrete,” and “menacing,” the BIA likewise
    concluded “the threats [she] faced here were [not] so menacing
    as to cause significant actual suffering or harm.” A.R. 4 (citing
    Gomez-Zuluaga v. Att’y Gen., 
    527 F.3d 330
    , 343 (3d Cir.
    2008)). Herrera-Reyes timely petitioned for review.
    II.    JURISDICTION AND STANDARD OF REVIEW
    We have jurisdiction over Herrera-Reyes’s petition for
    review of her final order of removal under 8 U.S.C.
    § 1252(a)(5), and the “final order we review is that of the BIA.”
    Abdulai v. Ashcroft, 
    239 F.3d 542
    , 549 (3d Cir. 2001) (internal
    quotation marks omitted). “Because here ‘the BIA adopted
    and affirmed the IJ’s decisions and orders as well as
    [conducted] an independent analysis, we review both the IJ’s
    and the BIA’s decisions and orders.’” S.E.R.L. v. Att’y Gen.,
    
    894 F.3d 535
    , 543 (3d Cir. 2018) (quoting Ordonez-Tevalan v.
    Att’y Gen., 
    837 F.3d 331
    , 340–41 (3d Cir. 2016)). We look to
    the IJ’s opinion “where the BIA has substantially relied on that
    opinion.” 
    Id. (quoting Camara
    v. Att’y Gen., 
    580 F.3d 196
    , 201
    (3d Cir. 2009)).
    6
    While we review for substantial evidence the BIA’s
    factual findings, INS v. Elias-Zacarias, 
    502 U.S. 478
    , 481
    (1992), we review the BIA’s legal determinations de novo,
    “including both pure questions of law and applications of law
    to undisputed facts,” Rranci v. Att’y Gen., 
    540 F.3d 165
    , 171
    (3d Cir. 2008). Neither party disputes the facts underlying
    Petitioner’s past-persecution claim. So we will review the
    BIA’s application of our past-persecution standard to those
    facts de novo.
    III.   DISCUSSION
    The IJ and BIA erred when they held that the threats
    experienced by Petitioner did not meet our standard for past
    persecution. By finding it dispositive that Petitioner “was
    never physically harmed,” A.R. 53, and “the threats [she] faced
    here were [not] so menacing as to cause significant actual
    suffering or harm,” A.R. 4 (emphasis added), the IJ and BIA
    treated our approach to unfulfilled threats as an exception to
    the general rule that incidents of alleged past persecution must
    be considered cumulatively. And by purporting to ground that
    treatment in cases where we described threats as “imminent
    [or] concrete” and “menacing,” A.R. 4, the IJ and BIA
    suggested the test for persecution in a threat case is different
    from the one used in other persecution cases. See A.R. 4 (citing
    
    Gomez-Zuluaga, 527 F.3d at 343
    ); A.R. 53 (citing Chavarria
    v. Gonzalez, 
    446 F.3d 508
    , 518 (3d. Cir. 2006), and Zhen Hua
    Li v. Att’y Gen., 
    400 F.3d 157
    , 164–65 (3d Cir. 2005)). Neither
    proposition is supported by our precedent.
    We first review our threat cases in the context of our
    past persecution case law. We then examine how the BIA’s
    misconception of our threat cases resulted in two legal errors.
    And finally, correcting for those errors, we turn to the
    7
    implications of our case law for the proper disposition of this
    case.
    A. Our Threat Cases in the Context of Broader
    Precedent
    As a general matter, we have described “persecution” as
    including “treatment like death threats, involuntary
    confinement, [and] torture” that rises to the level of a “severe
    affront[] to the life or freedom of the applicant.” Gomez-
    
    Zuluaga, 527 F.3d at 341
    . To determine whether a set of
    experiences rises to the level of a “severe affront[] to the life
    or freedom of the applicant,” 
    id., the “cumulative
    effect of the
    applicant’s experience must be taken into account because
    [t]aking isolated incidents out of context may be misleading.”
    Fei Mei Cheng v. Att’y Gen., 
    623 F.3d 175
    , 192 (3d Cir. 2010)
    (alteration in original) (internal quotation marks and citation
    omitted). “[M]istreatment amount[ing] to persecution” may be
    “actual or threatened,” and “[e]ven if one incident of
    mistreatment is not, in and of itself, severe enough to constitute
    persecution, a series of incidents of physical or economic
    mistreatment could, taken together, be sufficiently abusive to
    amount to persecution.” 
    Id. at 192–93.
    Pursuant to this
    principle, each incident must be “weigh[ed] . . . in conjunction
    with . . . prior incidents,” Toure v. Att’y Gen., 
    443 F.3d 310
    ,
    318 (3d Cir. 2006), and “assessed within the ‘overall trajectory
    of the harassment,’” Fei Mei 
    Cheng, 623 F.3d at 193
    (quoting
    
    Gomez-Zuluaga, 527 F.3d at 343
    ).
    We have had three occasions to consider the
    significance of threats in making that assessment. The first was
    Zhen Hua Li v. Attorney General, where we considered
    whether verbal threats, “standing alone,” constituted past
    persecution. 
    See 400 F.3d at 164
    –65. In that case, government
    8
    officials threatened that the petitioner would be captured and
    beaten for violating China’s one-child policy. 
    Id. at 164.
    As a
    threshold matter, we noted that this threat was “unfulfilled”
    because the petitioner was never actually captured or beaten.
    
    Id. We then
    observed that, to constitute past persecution,
    unfulfilled threats must be “of a highly . . . menacing nature”
    as well as “sufficiently imminent or concrete,” 
    id. at 164–65
    (citing Boykov v. INS, 
    109 F.3d 413
    , 416–17 (7th Cir. 1997)),
    and that the threat in that case—uncorroborated by the
    surrounding circumstances—fell short: “neither [petitioner]
    nor any of [his] family members were actually . . . physically
    harmed,” and petitioner’s only evidence that the threat was
    more than bluster was that one worker at a neighboring factory
    had allegedly been arrested and beaten for violating the one-
    child policy. 
    Id. By contrast,
    in Chavarria v. Gonzalez, the petitioner did
    suffer past persecution when he was threatened within the
    surrounding context of violent 
    conduct. 446 F.3d at 519
    –20.
    An initial incident in which paramilitary troops simply
    surveilled the petitioner’s home was not a “concrete and
    menacing” threat, 
    id., but that
    threshold was crossed when
    armed men forced the petitioner into a car, robbed him at
    gunpoint, and threatened to kill him if they ever saw him again.
    
    Id. at 520.
    Together, these experiences constituted past
    persecution because the petitioner had not experienced a
    “merely verbal” threat but a threat that, in the context of the
    surrounding mistreatment, was sufficiently substantiated for
    petitioner to “suffer[] harm.” 
    Id. We described
    a threat
    meeting that threshold as “concrete and menacing.” 
    Id. In our
    third threat case—Gomez-Zuluaga v. Attorney
    General—we built on Chavarria to hold that a threat was
    sufficiently concrete and menacing when substantiated by both
    9
    contemporaneous physical violence and by the petitioner’s
    previous encounters with her persecutors. 
    See 527 F.3d at 342
    –34. The first two incidents—during which guerrillas
    verbally threatened the petitioner at gunpoint during a “brief”
    detention, the petitioner “was not physically injured or
    robbed,” and “the guns were [not] brandished or used in . . . [a]
    threatening manner,” 
    id. at 342—were
    “more similar to the
    situation in Li, where the threats were oblique and not
    imminent, and the petitioner was not appreciably harmed.” 
    Id. But the
    third and final incident—in which the petitioner was
    abducted, confined for eight days while blindfolded and bound,
    and threatened repeatedly—did rise to the level of persecution.
    
    Id. Taking into
    account both the contemporaneous abduction
    and the previous threats and looking to the “overall trajectory
    of the harassment against [the petitioner],” we held the final
    threat sufficiently “concrete and menacing” to constitute past
    persecution. 
    Id. at 342–43.
    From Chavarria, Zhen Hua Li, and Gomez-Zuluaga, we
    draw three lessons. First, our threat cases are not an exception
    to the general rule of cumulative analysis but simply
    applications of it. In Zhen Hua Li, the lack of any
    corroborating harm to the petitioner or those close to him
    generally was 
    dispositive, 400 F.3d at 165
    ; in Chavarria, the
    threat was made concrete by the violent context in which it
    
    occurred, 446 F.3d at 520
    ; and in Gomez-Zuluaga, the final
    threat was substantiated by the “overall trajectory” of the
    petitioner’s 
    mistreatment, 527 F.3d at 343
    .
    Second, in evaluating whether a threat within that
    “overall trajectory” suffices to establish persecution, we
    consider whether the threat is “concrete” and “menacing.”
    True, we have sometimes used the phrase “highly imminent,
    concrete and menacing,” 
    Chavarria, 446 F.3d at 520
    10
    (emphasis added), but more frequently we have used the terms
    “concrete” and “imminent” interchangeably or in the
    disjunctive—describing a threat amounting to persecution as
    “menacing” and “sufficiently imminent or concrete,” Zhen
    Hua 
    Li, 400 F.3d at 164
    –65 (emphasis added); Gomez-
    
    Zuluaga, 527 F.3d at 341
    (emphasis added). And on
    inspection, that is with good reason: “Imminence” is a
    misnomer here. We have neither required that the threat
    portend immediate harm nor that it be in close temporal
    proximity to other acts of mistreatment. See infra Section
    III.B.2. Indeed, our interest is not the imminence of the threat
    at all, but rather the likelihood of the harm threatened—a
    concept subsumed in the inquiry as to whether the threat is
    “concrete.” We therefore refer to the standard going forward
    simply as “concrete and menacing.”
    Third, our cases teach that “concrete and menacing” is
    not a unique persecution standard for threat cases, but rather a
    term that reflects the court’s ultimate determination that the
    cumulative effect of the threat and its corroboration presents a
    “real threat to [a petitioner’s] life or freedom,” Chang v. INS,
    
    119 F.3d 1055
    , 1066 (3d Cir. 1997). A threat is “concrete”
    when it is “not abstract or ideal,” Concrete, Merriam-Webster
    Unabridged,                           https://unabridged.merriam-
    webster.com/unabridged/concrete (last visited Feb. 5, 2020),
    but is corroborated by credible evidence, see, e.g., Gomez-
    
    Zuluaga, 527 F.3d at 343
    (finding a threat corroborated by
    “[t]he overall trajectory of the harassment against [the
    petitioner]”). And a threat is “menacing” where it “show[s] . .
    . intention to inflict harm,” see Menace, Merriam-Webster
    Unabridged,                           https://unabridged.merriam-
    webster.com/unabridged/menace (last visited Feb. 5, 2020).
    See, e.g., 
    Chavarria, 446 F.3d at 520
    (finding a threat
    11
    “menacing” because the petitioner was threatened with death
    at gunpoint). Thus, a threat is “concrete and menacing,”
    constituting past persecution, where the aggregate effect of a
    petitioner’s experiences, including or culminating in the threat
    in question, placed a petitioner’s life in peril or created an
    atmosphere of fear so oppressive that it severely curtailed the
    petitioner’s liberty. In short, a threat that is “concrete and
    menacing” is simply one that—considered in the context of the
    full record—poses a “severe affront[] to the [petitioner’s] life
    or freedom.” Gomez-
    Zuluaga, 527 F.3d at 341
    .
    With these principles in mind, we turn now to the
    analyses of the IJ and BIA.
    B. The Agency’s Legal Errors
    We conclude the IJ and BIA misapplied our precedent
    in two respects: First, although they purported to consider the
    incidents “cumulatively,” A.R. 3, 53, in practice they evaluated
    the threats to Petitioner in isolation and without accounting for
    the broader campaign of intimidation, harassment, and
    violence substantiated by the record; second, they treated the
    absence of physical harm to Petitioner herself as fatal to her
    claim without acknowledging the significance of violence to
    Petitioner’s property and close associates. 1
    1
    While we sometimes accord Chevron deference to the
    BIA’s interpretation of statutory terms, see, e.g., S.E.R.L. v.
    Att’y Gen., 
    894 F.3d 535
    , 542 (3d Cir. 2018), we do not where,
    as here, the BIA’s opinion is “unpublished, non-precedential[,
    and] issued by a single BIA member,” Mahn v. Att’y Gen., 
    767 F.3d 170
    , 173 (3d. Cir. 2014); and the government concedes as
    much. In this case, moreover, the BIA based its threat analysis
    12
    1. The IJ and BIA Failed to Consider the Aggregate
    Effect of Petitioner’s Mistreatment.
    Both the IJ and BIA failed to give the proper weight to
    the cumulative effect of Petitioner’s experiences. The IJ’s
    analysis began by considering the incidents one at a time and
    concluding that none of the incidents, standing alone, rose to
    the level of past persecution. First, the IJ, without elaboration,
    concluded that the Sandinistas’ burning of Petitioner’s family’s
    home, although “a terrible loss,” did not “rise[] to a level of
    persecution.” A.R. 53. The IJ then considered the incident in
    which the Sandinistas shot Petitioner’s convoy and killed her
    compatriot and determined that, because this incident was a
    “physical attack that d[id] not result in serious injury” to
    Petitioner, it was not past persecution. 
    Id. With respect
    to the
    verbal threats Petitioner received—including the final incident
    in which Sandinistas threatened to kill her at the grocery
    store—the IJ purported to consider the record “cumulatively,”
    but concluded that because “[s]he was never physically
    harmed” and the threats “were not so menacing as to cause
    actual physical suffering or harm,” these too did not amount
    to past persecution. 
    Id. 2 exclusively
    on our precedent—a body of authority we create
    and are well qualified to interpret.
    2
    The IJ also relied on the fact that Petitioner was
    “[n]ever threatened by a government official or anyone other
    than Sandinista citizens who were in disagreement with her
    over her political beliefs.” A.R. 54. But persecution includes
    mistreatment by both the government and “forces the
    government is either unable or unwilling to control.” 
    Sheriff, 587 F.3d at 589
    (internal quotation marks and citation omitted).
    13
    That was not a faithful application of our cumulative
    approach to past persecution. Even if the IJ was correct that no
    single incident in isolation rose to the level of past persecution,
    he was still required to analyze whether the cumulative effect
    of these incidents constituted a severe “threat to life or
    freedom.” Fei Mei 
    Cheng, 623 F.3d at 192
    –93 (citation
    omitted). A cursory invocation of the word “cumulative” is
    insufficient. By finding it dispositive that Petitioner herself
    “was never physically harmed” and “never arrested or
    imprisoned,” A.R. 53–54, and by failing to factor in the
    cumulative effect of the destruction of Petitioner’s home, the
    shooting of her convoy, the murder of her political compatriot,
    the armed robbery of the inauguration preparations, and the
    verbal death threat, the IJ erred.
    The BIA similarly erred. It endorsed the IJ’s approach,
    finding no erroneous conclusions of law or findings of fact and
    agreeing that Petitioner did not experience past persecution.
    Like the IJ, the BIA professed to have considered Petitioner’s
    experiences “cumulatively,” A.R. 3, but did not acknowledge
    or even discuss how the various instances of mistreatment
    together might substantiate the threats and constitute past
    persecution. Instead, it summarily concluded that “these
    events were [not] so extreme as to rise to the level of past
    Here, the record is replete with undisputed facts showing the
    Nicaraguan government cannot or will not control the
    Sandinistas. E.g., A.R. 55–56. So on de novo review, for the
    reasons explained below, we conclude that Petitioner was
    mistreated by forces the Nicaraguan government cannot
    control. Indeed, the Government here concedes as much by
    failing to dispute that Petitioner’s persecutors met this
    requirement.
    14
    persecution.” 
    Id. The BIA,
    like the IJ, thus paid lip service to
    our cumulative approach, but determining past persecution
    requires more than considering whether individual incidents
    are sufficiently “extreme”; it requires meaningful
    consideration of whether their aggregate effect poses a “severe
    affront[] to the [petitioner’s] life or freedom,” Gomez-
    Zuluaga, 527 F.3d at 341
    . Petitioner’s experiences did not receive that
    consideration here.
    2. Persecution Can Be Established Without Physical
    Harm to Petitioner.
    The agency’s second error flows from its first: In failing
    to look to the surrounding context of the threat, the IJ and BIA
    placed undue emphasis on whether Petitioner herself
    experienced physical harm and found its absence fatal to her
    claim. See A.R. 4 (BIA opinion) (finding that the death threat
    Petitioner received was insufficiently menacing because
    Petitioner did not experience the same physical violence as the
    petitioner in Gomez-Zuluaga); A.R. 53 (IJ opinion) (finding no
    past persecution because, although Petitioner “faced some
    threats,” she “was never physically harmed”). That was
    contrary to our case law.
    We have never reduced our persecution analysis to a
    checklist or suggested that physical violence—or any other
    single type of mistreatment—is a required element of the past
    persecution determination. Instead, we have approached
    asylum claims on a case-by-case basis and engaged in a fact-
    specific analysis to determine whether a petitioner’s
    cumulative experience amounts to a “severe affront[] to [that
    petitioner’s] life or freedom,” Gomez-
    Zuluaga, 527 F.3d at 341
    . Neither our “concrete and menacing” standard for when
    verbal threats constitute past persecution nor our other
    15
    persecution law suggests physical violence to the petitioner is
    a prerequisite to a finding of past persecution. To the contrary,
    both make clear it is not. 3
    In evaluating whether a threat is “concrete and
    menacing” in the absence of physical harm to a petitioner, we
    have considered more broadly whether surrounding acts of
    mistreatment had corroborated that threat with the ultimate
    effect of placing the petitioner’s life or liberty in peril. See,
    e.g., 
    Gomez-Zuluaga, 527 F.3d at 342
    –43. We have not
    required there to be physical harm when the petitioner is
    threatened with imminent violence, see, e.g., 
    Chavarria, 446 F.3d at 519
    –20 (finding a threat concrete and menacing where
    the petitioner was forced into a car and threatened at gunpoint
    but not physically injured), or that there be a threat that
    physical harm will be inflicted in the immediate future, see,
    e.g., 
    id. (finding armed
    men’s threat that they would kill
    petitioner if they “ever ca[ught] [him] again” concrete and
    menacing). And we have not insisted that all surrounding
    mistreatment be in close temporal proximity to the verbal
    threat. See, e.g., Voci v. Gonzales, 
    409 F.3d 607
    , 614 (3d Cir.
    3
    Our sister circuits have likewise recognized that verbal
    threats substantiated by other kinds of mistreatment may be
    sufficient. See, e.g., De Santamaria v. U.S. Att’y Gen., 
    525 F.3d 999
    , 1009 (11th Cir. 2008) (“[W]e have not required
    serious physical injury where the petitioner demonstrates
    repeated threats combined with other forms of severe
    mistreatment.”); Tamara-Gomez v. Gonzales, 
    447 F.3d 343
    ,
    348, 349 n.8 (5th Cir. 2006) (holding that the petitioner was
    persecuted when threats were “considered in context” and
    noting that “physical harm is not always a requirement for
    asylum”).
    16
    2005) (finding that verbal threats to the petitioner and his
    family unaccompanied by physical violence contributed to a
    pattern of persecution when those threats were made credible
    by separate incidents of physical violence to the petitioner).
    Nor have we limited that mistreatment to physical as opposed
    to, for instance, economic harm. See, e.g., Fei Mei 
    Cheng, 623 F.3d at 193
    –95 (finding past persecution where the petitioner
    experienced a pattern of “escalating and consummated threats”
    involving both verbal threats and the seizure of her family
    farm). And while past mistreatment of a petitioner or her
    property may be sufficiently corroborative and substantiating,
    depending on the facts of the case, e.g., 
    Gomez-Zuluaga, 527 F.3d at 342
    –43 (previous threats of violence), so too may be
    mistreatment of a petitioner’s family members, e.g., Camara v.
    Att’y Gen., 
    580 F.3d 196
    , 204–05 (3d Cir. 2009) (threats
    corroborated by the “forcible seizure and removal” of the
    petitioner’s father); Fei Mei 
    Cheng, 623 F.3d at 193
    –95
    (threats corroborated by economic sanctions of the petitioner’s
    family).
    As relevant to this case and as logically flows from this
    precedent, physical harm to a petitioner’s close associates may
    also, in combination with verbal threats, establish past
    persecution. This harm—no less than destruction of personal
    property and physical or economic harm to a petitioner’s
    family—can contribute to an overall experience of past
    persecution by rendering verbal threats “concrete and
    menacing,” establishing a “severe affront[] to the [petitioner’s]
    life or freedom,” Gomez-
    Zuluaga, 527 F.3d at 341
    –42; see
    Tamara-Gomez v. Gonzales, 
    447 F.3d 343
    , 346, 348–49 (5th
    Cir. 2006) (finding that a petitioner suffered past persecution
    when verbal threats were corroborated by the murders of his
    compatriots); see also Caushi v. Att’y Gen., 
    436 F.3d 220
    , 227
    17
    (3d Cir. 2006) (finding that “the violence, intimidation, and
    assassinations” directed at the petitioner’s political party
    contributed to his experience of past persecution); Li Wu Lin v.
    INS, 
    238 F.3d 239
    , 244 (3d Cir. 2001) (finding that the
    government’s attempt to arrest the petitioner was more likely
    to be political persecution because his fellow student activists
    “were beaten, incarcerated, and subjected to forced labor ‘for
    their student movement activities’”). 4
    In sum, the IJ and BIA erred in failing to meaningfully
    consider the combined effect of the incidents in the record and
    in conditioning a finding of past persecution based on verbal
    threats on a showing of physical violence to Petitioner. When
    a petitioner has suffered a pattern of conduct that includes
    threats that are “concrete and menacing” because they are
    substantiated by physical or economic harm to herself, her
    family, her property, or those in a close relationship to her, the
    cumulative effect of that conduct “constitute[s] a real threat to
    life or freedom,” 
    Chang, 119 F.3d at 1066
    , and she has suffered
    past persecution.
    4
    Our decision in Zhen Hua Li is not to the contrary. In
    that case, we found that petitioner had received unfulfilled
    threats that did not rise to the level of past persecution despite
    the petitioner’s testimony that someone in his community who
    engaged in the same activity as the petitioner had been arrested
    and beaten for this conduct. Zhen Hua 
    Li, 400 F.3d at 164
    . But
    the petitioner in that case did not actually witness the
    mistreatment; he only had anecdotal knowledge of it. 
    Id. And the
    alleged harm did not befall anyone with whom the
    petitioner was closely associated, but merely someone in his
    community. 
    Id. 18 C.
    Application to Petitioner’s Case
    Applying our case law to the undisputed facts here,
    Petitioner suffered past persecution.
    Considered within the entire context of Petitioner’s
    experience, the Sandinistas’ threat to Petitioner that they would
    murder her if she were ever caught alone was undoubtedly
    “concrete and menacing.”           That context included the
    Sandinistas’ verbal threats to Petitioner while she was
    volunteering at a polling table on the day of the election; the
    burning of her family’s home after the election; the shooting of
    her convoy and the murder of her close compatriot, the mayor’s
    nephew; and the robbery of her workspace at gunpoint while
    she was preparing for the mayor’s inauguration. These
    incidents, like those in 
    Gomez-Zuluaga, 527 F.3d at 342
    –43,
    and Fei Mei 
    Cheng, 623 F.3d at 193
    –95, reflect an escalating
    pattern of mistreatment toward both Petitioner herself and the
    other local leaders of the Liberal Party that placed Petitioner in
    a constant state of oppressive fear and that culminated in the
    final death threat she received in the supermarket.
    We need not decide whether those prior incidents,
    individually or collectively, would suffice to establish
    persecution because the final death threat, considered in that
    context, surely did. That death threat to Petitioner was
    “concrete” because it was substantiated by a pattern of
    harassment encompassing property damage, threats of
    violence, and actual violence; and it was “menacing” because
    the Sandinistas’ murder of her political compatriot showed
    Petitioner that they were willing and able to add murder to the
    abuse they inflicted on her. The pattern of incidents, in other
    words, constituted a “severe affront[] to . . . life or freedom,”
    Gomez-
    Zuluaga, 527 F.3d at 341
    .
    19
    *      *       *
    Because Petitioner was subjected to past persecution,
    she was entitled to a rebuttable presumption of a well-founded
    fear of future persecution. 8 C.F.R. § 208.13(b)(1). But as the
    IJ erroneously found to the contrary and the BIA affirmed,
    neither determined whether the presumption of future
    persecution could be rebutted, and that determination lies with
    the agency in the first instance. See 
    id. § 208.13(b)(1)(i).
    We
    will therefore grant Herrera-Reyes’s petition, vacate the BIA’s
    order below, and remand to the agency for further proceedings
    consistent with our opinion. 5
    5
    We will also vacate the BIA’s order affirming the
    denial of Petitioner’s CAT claim for the “reasons provided in
    [the IJ’s] decision.” A.R. 5. The IJ erred in failing to consider
    and discuss why the record did not suffice to establish the
    element of government acquiescence as we have required. See
    Myrie v. Att’y Gen., 
    855 F.3d 509
    , 517–18 (3d Cir.
    2017). Although the record here demonstrates that
    government officials routinely acquiesce in severe
    mistreatment of political opponents, the IJ simply stated that
    Petitioner failed to “present[] persuasive evidence that the
    government of Nicaragua would consent, acquiesce or exercise
    willful blindness to any hypothetical torture.” A.R. 64. In
    addition, in concluding that Petitioner had not “suffered past
    ‘severe physical or mental pain or suffering’” and failed to
    demonstrate a greater than fifty percent likelihood of torture
    upon removal, the IJ appears to have relied, at least in part, on
    his observation that Petitioner “lived without harm or threat in
    Nicaragua in December of 2017 up to April of 2018 and only
    faced on[e] verbal threat in April shortly before her
    departure.” A.R. 63–64. As with the IJ’s asylum analysis, this
    20
    explanation misses the mark to the extent the IJ considered this
    fact in isolation and without accounting for its significance in
    context. Specifically, the IJ’s analysis does not acknowledge
    Petitioner’s credible testimony that she was afraid to leave her
    house during that period due to the escalating pattern of threats
    and violence and that when she did leave the house at the end
    of that period, she received the death threat that prompted her
    to finally flee the country. On reconsideration of Petitioner’s
    CAT claim on remand, the agency should consider the record
    in its entirety and in context and should provide the explanation
    required for the decision it ultimately reaches.