United States v. Sean Sowards , 690 F.3d 583 ( 2012 )


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  •                                                Filed:   June 26, 2012
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE FOURTH CIRCUIT
    No. 10-4133
    (5:06-cr-00024-RLV-DSC-1)
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,
    Plaintiff - Appellee,
    v.
    SEAN C. SOWARDS,
    Defendant - Appellant.
    O R D E R
    The Court amends its opinion filed June 26, 2012, as
    follows:
    On page 33, section II.B., second line of text, and on
    page 46, section III.D., third line of text -- the word “than”
    is corrected to read “that.”
    For the Court – By Direction
    /s/ Patricia S. Connor
    Clerk
    PUBLISHED
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE FOURTH CIRCUIT
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,             
    Plaintiff-Appellee,
    v.                          No. 10-4133
    SEAN C. SOWARDS,
    Defendant-Appellant.
    
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the Western District of North Carolina, at Statesville.
    Richard L. Voorhees, District Judge.
    (5:06-cr-00024-RLV-DSC-1)
    Argued: December 9, 2011
    Decided: June 26, 2012
    Before TRAXLER, Chief Judge, and
    GREGORY and WYNN, Circuit Judges.
    Reversed and remanded by published opinion. Judge Wynn
    wrote the majority opinion, in which Judge Gregory con-
    curred. Chief Judge Traxler wrote a dissenting opinion.
    COUNSEL
    ARGUED: C. Dennis Gibson, II, DENNIS GIBSON LAW,
    PLLC, Ridgecrest, North Carolina, for Appellant. Melissa
    Louise Rikard, OFFICE OF THE UNITED STATES
    2                  UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS
    ATTORNEY, Charlotte, North Carolina, for Appellee. ON
    BRIEF: Anne M. Tompkins, United States Attorney, Char-
    lotte, North Carolina, for Appellee.
    OPINION
    WYNN, Circuit Judge:
    On appeal, Sean C. Sowards argues that the district court
    erred in denying his motion to suppress because the police
    lacked probable cause to initiate a traffic stop based exclu-
    sively on an officer’s visual estimate—uncorroborated by
    radar or pacing and unsupported by any other indicia of
    reliability—that Sowards’s vehicle was traveling 75 miles per
    hour ("mph") in a 70-mph zone. We agree and therefore
    reverse the district court.
    I.
    Deputy James Elliott stopped Sowards for speeding along
    North Carolina’s Interstate 77 after visually estimating that
    Sowards’s vehicle was traveling 75 mph in a 70-mph zone.
    Although Deputy Elliott’s patrol car was equipped with radar,
    he had intentionally positioned his patrol car at an angle that
    rendered an accurate radar reading impossible. During the
    traffic stop, Deputy Elliott had a canine trained in drug detec-
    tion, Ringo, sniff the outside of Sowards’s vehicle. When
    Ringo signaled the possible presence of a controlled sub-
    stance, Deputy Elliott, along with other officers, searched
    Sowards’s vehicle and discovered approximately 10 kilo-
    grams of cocaine. Subsequently, a grand jury charged Sow-
    ards with possession of at least 5 kilograms of cocaine with
    intent to distribute, in violation of 
    21 U.S.C. §§ 841
    (a)(1),
    (b)(1)(A).
    Before trial, Sowards moved to suppress the evidence on
    UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS                               3
    the basis that Deputy Elliott lacked probable cause to initiate
    the traffic stop in violation of the Fourth Amendment.1 At the
    suppression hearing, Deputy Elliott testified that he was certi-
    fied in the use of radar equipment in North Carolina. As a
    condition of obtaining radar certification, Deputy Elliott was
    required to visually estimate the speed of twelve separate
    vehicles and then have his visual speed estimates verified
    with radar. To pass the road test, Deputy Elliott’s visual speed
    estimates could not vary from the radar by greater than a total
    of 42-mph for all twelve vehicles combined. Deputy Elliott
    testified, however, that, for any one vehicle, his visual speed
    estimate could have been off by as much as 12 mph, so long
    as he did not exceed the 42 mph total for all twelve vehicles
    combined.
    Over the objection of defense counsel, Deputy Elliott testi-
    fied that he had visually estimated that Sowards’s vehicle was
    traveling 75 mph. Deputy Elliott further testified that the
    posted speed limit was 70 mph and that, therefore, Sowards’s
    vehicle was exceeding the legal speed limit by 5 mph. Deputy
    Elliott also stated that he did not attempt to verify, or other-
    wise corroborate, his visual speed estimate with his radar unit;
    he did not attempt to pace Sowards’s vehicle with his patrol
    car to gauge the speed; and he had not been trained on, and
    therefore did not use, the VASCAR system, which utilizes a
    stopwatch to approximate the time it takes a vehicle to travel
    over a predetermined distance.
    When asked what technique, if any, he used to estimate the
    speed of Sowards’s vehicle, Deputy Elliott testified as fol-
    lows:
    1
    Sowards also challenged, among other things, the open-air dog sniff on
    the basis that the officers lacked the necessary reasonable suspicion that
    illegal activity was afoot to continue his detention beyond the time
    required to issue a traffic citation. Because our disposition rests on Deputy
    Elliott’s lack of probable cause to initiate the traffic stop in the first place,
    we need not reach these issues and have, accordingly, omitted the related
    facts.
    4                UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS
    Q. [Government counsel] And do you learn certain
    techniques in visually determining the speed of the
    vehicle?
    A. [Deputy Elliott] There’s not really a technique.
    I’ve been measuring speeds all my life.
    Q. And the radar serves what function in relation to
    your visual observation of the speed of the vehicle?
    A. It’s just a second opinion that already corrobo-
    rates what you already know.
    J.A. 24.
    Q. [Defense counsel] You testified earlier that there
    was no technique to estimating speed. You use no
    technique; is that correct?
    A. [Deputy Elliott] You don’t need a technique. It’s
    all based on your training and experience. As long as
    you have a tracking history and you have experience
    in observing speeds.
    Q. So you can just basically look at a vehicle and
    guess.
    A. There’s no guessing about it. It’s an estimation
    based on tracking history and my training and expe-
    rience.
    Q. Based on tracking history.
    A. That’s correct.
    Q. Which would be?
    UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS                  5
    A. Being able to sufficiently see that vehicle, that
    vehicle coming towards me, that vehicle passing me,
    me being able to estimate that vehicle’s speed.
    Q. And generally how long [did] you watch [Sow-
    ards’s] vehicle?
    A. At this point in time [Sowards] was approxi-
    mately a hundred yards out before he was in front of
    me.
    Q. Football field.
    A. Approximately.
    Q. Approximately. So you can estimate distance.
    J.A. 80-81.
    Subsequently, however, Deputy Elliott testified that he did
    not measure the distance that he tracked Sowards’s vehicle
    and that his testimony of 100 yards of tracking history was an
    approximation rather than a certainty. Furthermore, on cross-
    examination, and when questioned directly by the district
    court about his knowledge of distances, Deputy Elliott gave
    several inconsistent and incorrect answers regarding measure-
    ments:
    Q. [Government counsel] And how many feet are in
    a hundred yards?
    A. [Deputy Elliott] There’s 12 feet in a yard.
    Q. So 300 feet?
    A. Correct.
    J.A. 109.
    6                 UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS
    THE COURT: And how many feet are in a yard?
    [Deputy Elliott]: How many feet? There’s 12 feet in
    a yard.
    THE COURT: Well, do you know what a yardstick
    is?
    [Deputy Elliott]: Yes, sir.
    THE COURT: How many inches in a yardstick?
    [Deputy Elliott]: Well, on a yardstick there’s 12
    inches. Well, it depends on the yard stick that . . .
    you have.
    THE COURT: Use your hands to indicate a yard-
    stick.
    [Deputy Elliott]: A yardstick is about that long (indi-
    cating).
    THE COURT: All right. And how many inches are
    in it?
    THE WITNESS: Four foot in a yard.
    J.A. 116.
    Thereafter, Deputy Elliott testified that his visual estima-
    tion of the speed of Sowards’s vehicle was not dependent on
    his ability to estimate the distance that it traveled.
    Q. [Defense counsel] So how can you estimate speed
    without knowing the distance?
    A. [Deputy Elliott] Because of my visual observa-
    tion. I know that it takes a quicker time for vehicles
    UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS                     7
    to come at me at 75 miles per hour versus the 70
    miles per hour zone in that area. The reason why I
    know that is because I’ve been working that area for
    approximately four and a half years. I’ve conducted
    radar enforcement. I’ve also conducted speed esti-
    mations upon my estimation of vehicles that I see
    that I work that area on a daily basis.
    J.A. 80.
    Q. Well, how can you be certain that [Sowards’s
    vehicle] was going 75 miles an hour?
    A. My training and experience.
    ...
    Q. Could you explain the specifics of your visual
    estimation training as far as how you arrive at a
    speed.
    A. Because I know a vehicle traveling 75 miles per
    hour, it gets faster to me than a vehicle that’s travel-
    ing 70 miles per hour by my visual observation.
    J.A. 93-94.
    The district court denied Sowards’s motion to suppress,
    rejecting Sowards’s arguments and finding that Deputy Elliott
    had probable cause to initiate the traffic stop of Sowards’s
    vehicle:
    Officer Elliott had probable cause to believe a traffic
    violation had occurred based on speed. He’s trained
    to estimate speeds. His difficulty with measurements
    is immaterial to his estimate of speed as that did not
    depend on time or distance. And the certification that
    he received, I believe three times, depended on accu-
    8                     UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS
    racy in estimating speeds. So he had a particularized
    and objective basis for suspecting that a traffic viola-
    tion had occurred.
    J.A. 121. Subsequently, Sowards entered a conditional guilty
    plea, reserving the right to appeal any issues related to his
    suppression motion. At the sentencing hearing, the district
    court sentenced Sowards to 70 months’ imprisonment, which
    was the low end of the Sentencing Guidelines range.2 Sowards
    filed a timely notice of appeal.
    II.
    A.
    The issue on appeal is whether Deputy Elliott’s traffic stop
    of Sowards’s vehicle was supported by probable cause and,
    accordingly, whether the district court properly denied Sow-
    ards’s motion to suppress the evidence seized from the car as
    a result of the traffic stop.
    We review the district court’s legal determinations de novo
    and its factual determinations for clear error. United States v.
    Moreland, 
    437 F.3d 424
    , 429 (4th Cir. 2006). Under the clear
    error standard, "[a] factual finding by the district court may be
    reversed only if, ‘although there is evidence to support it, the
    reviewing court on the entire evidence is left with the definite
    and firm conviction that a mistake has been committed.’"
    Walton v. Johnson, 
    440 F.3d 160
    , 173-74 (4th Cir. 2006) (en
    banc) (quoting United States v. U.S. Gypsum Co., 
    333 U.S. 364
    , 395 (1948)). The evidence is construed in the light most
    favorable to the Government, the prevailing party below.
    United States v. Seidman, 
    156 F.3d 542
    , 547 (4th Cir. 1998).
    Our review of the district court’s docket reveals that Sowards served
    2
    his entire prison sentence and began a three year period of supervised
    release on May 20, 2011.
    UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS                            9
    The Fourth Amendment guarantees "[t]he right of the peo-
    ple to be secure in their persons, houses, papers, and effects,
    against unreasonable searches and seizures." U.S. Const.
    amend. IV. "When a police officer stops an automobile and
    detains the occupants briefly, the stop amounts to a seizure
    within the meaning of the Fourth Amendment." United States
    v. Digiovanni, 
    650 F.3d 498
    , 506 (4th Cir. 2011) (citing
    Whren v. United States, 
    517 U.S. 806
    , 809-10 (1996)). "[T]he
    underlying command of the Fourth Amendment is always that
    searches and seizures be reasonable." Wilson v. Arkansas, 
    514 U.S. 927
    , 931 (1995); see also Whren, 
    517 U.S. at 810
     ("An
    automobile stop is thus subject to the constitutional impera-
    tive that it not be ‘unreasonable’ under the circumstances.").
    "As a general matter, the decision to stop an automobile is
    reasonable where the police have probable cause to believe
    that a traffic violation has occurred." 
    Id.
     Probable cause exists
    if, given the totality of the circumstances, the officer "had rea-
    sonably trustworthy information . . . sufficient to warrant a
    prudent [person] in believing that the petitioner had commit-
    ted or was committing an offense." Beck v. Ohio, 
    379 U.S. 89
    ,
    91 (1964); see also Porterfield v. Lott, 
    156 F.3d 563
    , 569 (4th
    Cir. 1998).
    Accordingly, our inquiry here is whether, given the totality
    of the circumstances, Deputy Elliott had reasonably trustwor-
    thy information sufficient to support a prudent person’s belief
    that Sowards was speeding.3
    3
    To appreciate the difference in view expressed by our colleague in dis-
    sent, it is worthy to note that the dissenting opinion urges this Court to
    undertake a probable cause inquiry by reference to what probable cause
    is not. See post at 32 ("The probable-cause standard does not even require
    that the officer’s belief be more likely true than false." (quotation marks
    omitted)). We, however, decline to adopt this analytical approach; proba-
    ble cause is the threshold that protects citizens from unreasonable searches
    and seizures that violate the Fourth Amendment to the Constitution and,
    therefore, our focus is on what probable cause does require. For probable
    cause to mean anything, it has to mean something. See Brinegar v. United
    States, 
    338 U.S. 160
    , 175-76 (1949) ("The substance of all the definitions
    10                    UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS
    B.
    The district court found that "Officer Elliott had probable
    cause to believe a traffic violation had occurred" because
    Officer Elliott was "trained to estimate speeds" and because
    "the certification that he received . . . depended on accuracy
    in estimating speeds." J.A. 121. The district court also found
    that Officer Elliott’s "difficulty with measurements is immate-
    rial to his estimate of speed as that did not depend on time or
    distance." 
    Id.
     Based on these findings, the district court con-
    cluded that Officer Elliott "had a particularized and objective
    basis for suspecting that a traffic violation had occurred." 
    Id.
    We hold, based on the record before us, that several of the
    district court’s material factual findings were clearly errone-
    ous.
    First, it was clear error for the district court to find that
    Deputy Elliott was "trained to estimate speeds." J.A. 121.
    Contrary to this finding, the record indicates that Deputy
    Elliott was trained to use a radar unit. Rather than being
    "trained to estimate speeds," Deputy Elliott was given the
    opportunity to "guess" the speed of twelve vehicles and, in
    doing so, he demonstrated the proficiency of guessing within
    a total margin of error of 42 mph for all twelve of those vehi-
    cles. There was no testimony or evidence that Deputy Elliott
    received any specialized training in the estimation of vehicle
    speeds. In fact, Deputy Elliott’s testimony confirmed that he
    used absolutely no technique or method to visually guess
    vehicle speeds. Given this testimony, and the absence of con-
    of probable cause is a reasonable ground for belief of guilt. . . . To allow
    less would be to leave law-abiding citizens at the mercy of the officers’
    whim or caprice."); Wong Sun v. United States, 
    371 U.S. 471
    , 479 (1963)
    ("The history of the use, and not infrequent abuse, of the power to arrest
    cautions that a relaxation of the fundamental requirements of probable
    cause would leave law-abiding citizens at the mercy of the officers’ whim
    or caprice." (quotation marks omitted)).
    UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS                             11
    trary evidence in the record, it was clearly erroneous for the
    district court to find that Deputy Elliott was trained to esti-
    mate speeds.4 Cf. State v. Estes, 
    223 P.3d 287
    , 290-91 (Idaho
    Ct. App. 2009) (holding that certified officer’s visual speed
    estimate was insufficient to convict defendant of speeding,
    where officer’s testimony failed to reveal precise accuracy
    rates and margin of error for his visual speed estimates during
    certification).5
    Second, it was clear error for the district court to find that
    Deputy Elliott’s "difficulty with measurements is immaterial
    to his estimate of speed as that did not depend on time or dis-
    4
    Our colleague in dissent disputes this conclusion by noting Deputy
    Elliott’s "uncontradicted testimony" that "a certified instructor . . .
    ‘showed him how to estimate the speeds’ of vehicles." Post at 49 ("That
    sounds like training to me."). The record does not support the dissent’s
    view. First, the "certified instructor" Deputy Elliott identified was a "certi-
    fied radar operator" who "show[ed Deputy Elliott] how to work the
    radar." J.A. 23 (emphasis added). There is no evidence that this instructor
    was certified or otherwise qualified to "train" Deputy Elliott in how to
    visually estimate the speeds of vehicles. Second, immediately after giving
    this "uncontradicted testimony," post at 49, Deputy Elliott directly contra-
    dicted it. See J.A. 24 ("Q: And do you learn certain techniques in visually
    determining the speed of the vehicle?" A: "There’s not really a tech-
    nique.").
    5
    The district court’s decision to qualify Deputy Elliott as an expert in
    the unaided visual estimation of vehicle speed was clearly inconsistent
    with the requirement of Rule 702 of the Federal Rules of Evidence "that
    [expert] testimony . . . be the product of reliable principles and methods."
    United States v. Baptiste, 
    596 F.3d 214
    , 222 (4th Cir. 2010); see also
    United States v. Johnson, 
    617 F.3d 286
    , 294 (4th Cir. 2010) (stating that
    experts "must use reliable principles and methods, and apply those princi-
    ples and methods reliably to the facts of the case."). Although the court’s
    role as "gatekeeper," in ensuring that expert testimony is "reliable and rel-
    evant," Kumho Tire Co. v. Carmichael, 
    526 U.S. 137
    , 149 (1999), is cons-
    tant throughout all judicial proceedings, we recognize that the "Federal
    Rules of Evidence[, apart from testimonial privileges,] do not apply at
    suppression hearings." United States v. Schaefer, 
    87 F.3d 562
    , 570 (1st
    Cir. 1996); Fed. R. Evid. 104(a). As such, we need not and do not address
    the district court’s inexplicable determination to qualify Deputy Elliott as
    an expert.
    12                    UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS
    tance." J.A. 121. This finding rings in the absurd because one
    cannot discern a speed of a vehicle measured in miles-per-
    hour without discerning both the increment of distance trav-
    eled and the increment of time passed. Indeed, the very defini-
    tion of speed derives from the mathematical formula of
    distance divided by time. See, e.g., Warboys v. Proulx, 
    303 F. Supp. 2d 111
    , 116 n.6 (D. Conn. 2004) ("To calculate average
    speed, one divides the distance traveled by the time it took to
    travel this distance. [distance ÷ time = speed . . .]"). This
    Court may properly take judicial notice of this formula. See,
    e.g., Ballantine v. Cent. R.R. of New Jersey, 
    460 F.2d 540
    ,
    543 (3rd Cir. 1972).6
    Furthermore, the materiality of Deputy Elliott’s "difficulty
    with measurements" was established by Deputy Elliott’s own
    testimony. During the suppression hearing, Deputy Elliott
    exhibited a notable absence of fluency in his knowledge of
    distance measurements. Deputy Elliott testified that: (1)
    "There’s 12 feet in a yard," J.A. 109, 116; (2) "300 yards
    would be a [100] yards," J.A. 109; and (3) "on a yardstick
    there’s 12 inches." J.A. 116. Deputy Elliott also testified that
    the number of inches on a yard stick "depends on the yard
    stick," J.A. 116, and that math could change "depend[ing] on
    the person who’s behind it." J.A. 88. In light of this testi-
    mony, it is material—and indeed troubling—that Deputy
    6
    Our dissenting colleague contends that "there is no evidence [in the
    record] that the reliability of an officer’s visual estimation of speed is or
    should be tied to a specific or minimum distance or time." Post at 49. If
    the dissent believes estimation of speed is not tied to distance or time,
    what then would be the dissent’s mathematical formula for speed? With-
    out a consideration of a specific distance and time, we are left with Deputy
    Elliott’s purely speculative guess of the speed of Sowards’s vehicle.
    That’s not enough to establish probable cause. See, e.g., Terry v. Ohio,
    
    392 U.S. 1
    , 21-22 (1968) (predicating reasonable suspicion—a less robust
    standard than probable cause—on the existence of "specific and articul-
    able facts" and "rational inferences from those facts" because "[a]nything
    less would invite intrusions upon constitutionally guaranteed rights based
    on nothing more substantial than inarticulate hunches, a result this Court
    has consistently refused to sanction." (emphasis added)).
    UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS                             13
    Elliott asserted that his visual estimates of speed are depen-
    dent on his observation of the "tracking history" of a vehicle.
    See, e.g., J.A. 81 (testifying that: (1) a technique is not
    required to estimate speeds "[a]s long as you have a tracking
    history . . . ."; and (2) his method of estimating speed is not
    a guess because "[i]t’s an estimation based on tracking history
    . . . ."). Given that Deputy Elliott further testified that he had
    "a hundred yards" of tracking history on Sowards’s vehicle to
    estimate its speed, J.A. 81, it was clearly erroneous for the
    district court to find that Deputy Elliott’s difficulty with mea-
    surements was immaterial to his estimate of the speed of Sow-
    ards’s vehicle.7
    C.
    Notwithstanding these two clearly erroneous factual find-
    ings by the district court, the Government contends that Dep-
    uty Elliott’s visual speed estimate, standing alone, provided
    probable cause for Deputy Elliott to initiate a traffic stop of
    Sowards’s vehicle for speeding.8
    7
    The dissent points to the absence of "evidence [in the record] that
    North Carolina’s certification procedure for estimating speeds is depen-
    dent upon distance or time." Post at 49-50. This assertion is misleading
    and misplaced; the former because, rather than a "certification" for "esti-
    mating speeds," Deputy Elliott’s certification was for the use of radar; the
    latter because, if not distance and time, then on what basis would a hypo-
    thetical certification in visual speed estimation in miles (distance) per hour
    (time) depend?
    8
    The Government relies on an unpublished opinion of this Court—
    decided without oral argument and issued per curiam. See United States
    v. Daras, No. 98-4286, 
    1998 WL 726748
    , at *2 (4th Cir. Oct. 16, 1998)
    (per curiam) ("[T]he Government correctly points out that the officer’s
    visual estimate is also sufficient, by itself, to support a conviction."). This
    case is not binding. The Government also relies on a non-binding and
    materially distinguishable decision issued by a district court in United
    States v. Wornom, 
    754 F. Supp. 517
    , 519 (W.D.Va. 1991) (where radar
    evidence was suppressed, affirming conviction of defendant for speeding
    based on officer’s visual speed estimate).
    14                    UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS
    However, the Fourth Amendment does not allow, and the
    case law does not support, blanket approval for the proposi-
    tion that an officer’s visual speed estimate, in and of itself,
    will always suffice as a basis for probable cause to initiate a
    traffic stop. Instead, for the purposes of the Fourth Amend-
    ment, the question remains one of reasonableness. Critically,
    and as further explained below, the reasonableness of an offi-
    cer’s visual speed estimate depends, in the first instance, on
    whether a vehicle’s speed is estimated to be in significant
    excess or slight excess of the legal speed limit. If slight, then
    additional indicia of reliability are necessary to support the
    reasonableness of the officer’s visual estimate.9
    The standard for evidence to convict is more exacting than the standard
    sufficient to support probable cause. See Porterfield, 
    156 F.3d at 569
    .
    However, a speeding violation presents a unique circumstance, see United
    States v. Moore, No. 10 Cr. 971 (RJH), slip op. at *5 (S.D.N.Y. Dec. 19,
    2011), because reliable evidence of the vehicle’s speed generally provides
    the objectively reasonable basis for probable cause to initiate the traffic
    stop. Although our discussion of the permissible uses of visual speed esti-
    mates relies on probable cause cases, we also include references to a lim-
    ited number of conviction cases where comparisons are useful.
    9
    Our colleague in dissent expresses the policy view that this reasonable-
    ness requirement "ignores the realities of traffic enforcement and unduly
    ties the hands of officers" because "as a practical matter" the requirement
    is "unworkable for police officers." Post at 36-37, 50. Such policy consid-
    erations are best left to the legislative branch of government, which is bet-
    ter suited to decide them.
    When a state legislature does decide to take up this issue, it may want
    to take note of some of the troubling implications of the dissent’s view.
    For instance, allowing police officers to rely, without support, exclusively
    on their subjective impressions that a vehicle is traveling in slight excess
    of the legal speed limit may disincentivize the use of verifiable methods
    and technology. Indeed, in this case, Deputy Elliot’s vehicle was equipped
    with radar and he intentionally positioned himself such that it could not
    be used.
    Furthermore, because an officer’s subjective intentions for initiating a
    traffic stop are not relevant, see Whren, 
    517 U.S. at 813
     ("Subjective
    intentions play no role in ordinary, probable-cause Fourth Amendment
    UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS                          15
    1.
    In United States v. Ludwig, our sister Circuit framed this
    analysis similarly in holding that "an officer’s visual estima-
    tion can supply probable cause to support a traffic stop for
    speeding in appropriate circumstances." 
    641 F.3d 1243
    , 1247
    (10th Cir.) (emphasis added), cert. denied, 
    132 S. Ct. 306
    (2011). Although Ludwig did not elaborate on the circum-
    stances that may make a visual speed estimate appropriate to
    supply probable cause, we find that at a minimum there must
    be sufficient indicia of reliability for a court to credit as rea-
    sonable an officer’s visual estimate of speed.
    Thus, where an officer estimates that a vehicle is traveling
    in significant excess of the legal speed limit, the speed
    differential—i.e., the percentage difference between the esti-
    mated speed and the legal speed limit—may itself provide
    sufficient "indicia of reliability" to support an officer’s proba-
    ble cause determination. See, e.g., United States v. Banks, No.
    2:08-cr-19-FtM-29SPC, 
    2008 WL 4194847
    , at *1, *4
    (M.D.Fla. Sep. 11, 2008) (finding probable cause where offi-
    cer observed vehicle "traveling at a high rate of speed," esti-
    mated to be 50-60 mph in a 30-mph zone, making it
    "extremely obvious to [the officer] that the vehicle was speed-
    ing"); State v. Butts, 
    269 P.3d 862
    , 873 (Kan. Ct. App. 2012)
    analysis."), erosion of the Fourth Amendment’s objective reasonableness
    requirement effectively eliminates any protection against profiling and
    arbitrary detentions. Cf. Chicago v. Morales, 
    527 U.S. 41
    , 71 (1999)
    (Breyer, J., concurring) ("The ordinance is unconstitutional, not because
    a policeman applied []his discretion wisely or poorly in a particular case,
    but rather because the policeman enjoys too much discretion in every
    case") (emphasis in original); United States v. Sokolow, 
    490 U.S. 1
    , 12
    (1989) (Marshall, J., dissenting) ("[T]he Fourth Amendment protects inno-
    cent persons from being subjected to "overbearing or harassing" police
    conduct carried out solely on the basis of imprecise stereotypes of what
    criminals look like, or on the basis of irrelevant personal characteristics
    such as race.") (quoting Terry v. Ohio, 
    392 U.S. 1
    , 14-15, and n.11
    (1968)).
    16                 UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS
    (finding reasonable suspicion where officer "estimated vehi-
    cle speed [was 45 mph in a 30-mph zone, which was] signifi-
    cantly higher than the posted speed limit and, as a result, a
    difference that would be discernable to an observant and
    trained law enforcement officer"); cf. People v. Olsen, 
    239 N.E.2d 354
    , 355 (N.Y. 1968) (holding officer’s visual speed
    estimate of vehicle traveling 50-55 mph in a 30-mph zone suf-
    ficient to support speeding conviction).
    However, where an officer estimates that a vehicle is trav-
    eling in only slight excess of the legal speed limit, and partic-
    ularly where the alleged violation is at a speed differential
    difficult for the naked eye to discern, an officer’s visual speed
    estimate requires additional indicia of reliability to support
    probable cause. See United States v. Moore, No. 10 Cr. 971
    (RJH), slip op. at *6 (S.D.N.Y. Dec. 19, 2011) (finding that
    stop was unsupported by probable cause and explaining that,
    absent an officer’s estimate that a vehicle is traveling "signifi-
    cantly in excess" of the legal speed limit, "courts will credit
    an officer’s testimony regarding firsthand observation of a
    speeding vehicle if additional, specific details of his or her
    account confirm that the officer’s observation and belief were
    reasonable"); cf. City of Kansas City v. Oxley, 
    579 S.W.2d 113
    , 116 (Mo. 1979) (holding that officer’s uncorroborated
    opinion evidence of defendant’s 45-mph speed in a 35-mph
    zone was insufficient evidence to allow trier of fact to find
    that defendant was speeding); Olsen, 239 N.E.2d at 355
    ("[A]bsent mechanical corroboration, [testimony] that a vehi-
    cle was proceeding at 35 or 40 miles per hour in [a 30-mph]
    zone might for obvious reason be insufficient [to sustain a
    conviction for speeding], since it must be assumed that only
    a mechanical device could detect such a slight variance with
    [sufficient] accuracy."); State v. Kimes, 
    234 S.W.3d 584
    , 589
    (Mo. Ct. App. 2007) ("[W]here an officer’s estimation of
    speed is 60 m.p.h., a fact-finder cannot conclude with any
    degree of certainty that a defendant was exceeding a 55 m.p.h.
    speed limit because the accuracy of human estimation of
    speed cannot easily, readily, and accurately discriminate
    UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS                  17
    between such small variations in speed."); Peoples Drug
    Stores v. Windham, 
    12 A.2d 532
    , 537 (Md. 1940) ("[A]n esti-
    mate is necessarily approximate and not exact for without
    mechanical aides it is manifestly impossible for any one . . .
    to estimate precisely the speed of a moving object, and that
    fact is assumed by every one possessing ordinary common
    sense.").
    The reasonableness of an officer’s visual estimate that a
    vehicle is traveling in slight excess of the legal speed limit
    may be supported by radar, pacing methods, or other indicia
    of reliability that establish, in the totality of the circum-
    stances, the reasonableness of the officer’s visual speed esti-
    mate. See e.g., United States v. Gomez Valdez, No.
    4:10CR3100, 
    2011 WL 5037190
    , at *4 (D.Neb. Sept. 12,
    2011) (finding probable cause where officer’s visual estimate
    was verified by radar confirming that defendant was traveling
    70-mph in a 65-mph zone); United States v. Nunez, No. 1:10-
    CR-127, 
    2011 WL 2357832
    , at *1 (D.Utah June 9, 2011)
    (finding reasonable suspicion where officer’s visual estimate
    was supported by pacing, which confirmed that defendant was
    traveling 85 mph in a 75-mph zone); United States v. Colden,
    No. 11-M-989-SKG, 
    2011 WL 5039777
    , at *1, *2 (D.Md.
    Oct. 21, 2011) (holding that officer’s "visual estimation of
    defendant’s speed, in combination with the officer’s observa-
    tions that his car shook [when defendant’s car passed] and
    that defendant tapped his brakes, amounts to a reasonable
    articulable suspicion that defendant was speeding"); United
    States v. Fuentes, No. 09 Cr. 860, 
    2010 WL 707424
    , at *3
    (S.D.Tex. Feb. 23, 2010) (finding reasonable suspicion where
    officer’s visual speed was supported by additional
    observations—i.e., vehicle’s relative speed and roaring engine
    —and such observations were corroborated by patrol car’s
    video camera); United States v. Riley, No. 07 Cr. 226, 
    2007 WL 3204063
    , at *4 (D.Neb. Oct. 30, 2007) (finding reason-
    able suspicion where officer’s visual speed estimate was sup-
    ported by separate radio dispatch indicating defendant’s
    vehicle was driving recklessly).
    18                     UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS
    Such additional indicia of reliability need not require great
    exactions of time and mathematical skill that an officer may
    not have, but they do require some factual circumstance that
    supports a reasonable belief that a traffic violation has
    occurred. In the absence of sufficient additional indicia of
    reliability, an officer’s visual approximation that a vehicle is
    traveling in slight excess of the legal speed limit is a guess
    that is merely conclusory and which lacks the necessary fac-
    tual foundation to provide an officer with reasonably trust-
    worthy information to initiate a traffic stop.10 See Moore,
    
    2011 WL 6325973
    , at *8; State v. Petzoldt, No. 10-0861,
    
    2011 WL 2556961
    , at *3–4 (Iowa Ct. App. June 29, 2011)
    (holding that "[w]ithout the facts upon which [the police offi-
    cer] formed his belief that [defendant’s] truck was speeding,
    we cannot determine whether his belief was reasonable", not-
    withstanding officer’s testimony that "he believed [defendant]
    was traveling at a speed greater than the posted speed limit"
    and officer’s 31 years of experience).
    2.
    Here, Deputy Elliott opined, based on his visual observa-
    tion alone, that Sowards’s vehicle was traveling 75 mph in a
    70-mph zone. Deputy Elliott did not corroborate his opinion
    with radar, pacing, or otherwise. Furthermore, Deputy
    Elliott’s opinion was not supported by sufficient additional
    10
    Our colleague in dissent contends that any requirement for corrobora-
    tion of an officer’s unaided visual approximation of a slight speeding vio-
    lation is an unprecedented gloss on the traditional totality of the
    circumstances test. This Court, however, has held that where the basis for
    probable cause is inherently unreliable, then this basis must be corrobo-
    rated such that it exhibits sufficient indicia of reliability. See, e.g., United
    States v. Massenburg, 
    654 F.3d 480
    , 486 (4th Cir. 2011) ("Reliance on an
    anonymous tip may be reasonable [for Terry frisk] where, suitably corrob-
    orated, it exhibits sufficient indicia of reliability." (quotation marks omit-
    ted)); United States v. Reaves, 
    512 F.3d 123
    , 126 (4th Cir. 2008) ("When
    the police rely on an anonymous tip to support reasonable suspicion, the
    tip must be accompanied by some corroborative elements that establish its
    reliability." (quotation marks omitted)).
    UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS                            19
    indicia of reliability. Therefore, standing alone, Deputy
    Elliott’s visual speed estimate—made at a speed differential
    of only 5 mph at a high rate of speed11—did not provide Dep-
    uty Elliott with "reasonably trustworthy information . . . suffi-
    cient to warrant a prudent [person] in believing that [Sowards]
    had committed" a speeding violation. Beck, 
    379 U.S. at 91
    .
    We agree that "the accuracy of human estimation of speed
    cannot easily, readily, and accurately discriminate between
    such small variations in speed."12 Kimes, 
    234 S.W.3d at 589
    ;
    11
    To illustrate the slight differential in the time to travel a distance of
    100 yards at a speed of 75 mph versus 70 mph, we need only calculate the
    yards per second for each speed. At 70 mph, a vehicle travels 34.22 yards
    per second and, thus, 100 yards in 2.92 seconds, whereas at 75 mph a
    vehicle travels 36.67 yards per second and, thus, 100 yards in 2.73 sec-
    onds. [yards per second = (miles per hour x 1760) ÷ 3600, where 1760
    is the number of yards in a mile, and where 3600 is the number of seconds
    in an hour. Therefore: (a) 34.22 yd/sec = (70 mph x 1760) ÷ 3600 and,
    thus, 2.92 seconds = 100 yards ÷ 34.22 yd/sec; and (b) 36.67 yd/sec = (75
    mph x 1760) ÷ 3600; and, thus, 2.73 seconds = 100 yards ÷ 36.67 yd/sec]
    To accept the conclusion that Deputy Elliott can visually discern that a
    vehicle is traveling at 75 mph in a 70-mph zone is to accept the conclusion
    that he can visually discern a differential in time of less than one-fifth of
    one second for a vehicle traveling 75 mph versus 70 mph over a distance
    that he could only approximate to be about 100 yards. Of course, this is
    also assuming—which the evidence does not support—that the distance
    traveled by Sowards’s vehicle was indeed 100 yards, and, moreover, this
    is without consideration of Deputy Elliott’s notable and material difficul-
    ties with measurements in yards.
    12
    Our colleague in dissent contends this conclusion is unsupported by
    "expert testimony, or other evidence." Post at 38. However, in United
    States v. Foster, 
    662 F.3d 291
    , 295 (4th Cir. 2011), petition for cert. filed,
    ___ U.S.L.W. ___ (U.S. June 4, 2012) (No. 11-10744), this Court
    approved the use of "common sense" in "draw[ing] reasonable inferences"
    from the record because, as Senior Judge Hamilton explained, "[t]he use
    of common sense is not the equivalent of fact-finding." 
    662 F.3d at 298
    (Hamilton, J., concurring). Indeed, "[e]ven appellate judges are endowed
    with brains in the hope and expectation that they will be used to obvious
    purpose. . . . There are worse fates for a judicial decision than to have it
    align with the practical virtues of logic and common sense." United States
    20                    UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS
    see also Olsen, 239 N.E.2d at 355. Unlike Ludwig, where the
    court noted that there was "no affirmative reason to think that
    the trooper[’s] . . . estimate should be discredited," 
    641 F.3d at 1247
    , here the record reflects myriad reasons to discredit,
    and no reason to credit, Deputy Elliott’s estimate.
    Therefore, we conclude that Deputy Elliott’s visual speed
    estimate was in fact a guess that was merely conclusory, with-
    out an appropriate factual foundation, and simply lacking in
    the necessary indicia of reliability to be an objectively reason-
    able basis for probable cause to initiate a traffic stop.
    III.
    We address separately our dissenting colleague’s primary
    contention that the record supports a finding of Deputy
    Elliott’s expertise in the visual estimation of vehicle speeds
    within an average 3.5-mph margin of error. Post at 26, 28,
    33-34, 38, 47, 51-52. On the basis of this contention, the dis-
    sent "believe[s] the government has easily established that
    Deputy Elliott . . . had probable cause to stop Sowards’s vehi-
    cle" for traveling 75 mph in a 70-mph zone. Post at 35. Thus,
    in the view of the dissent, Sowards’s constitutional right to be
    free from unreasonable seizures is overcome by Deputy
    Elliott’s purported "expertise," which in turn depends on the
    "road test" Deputy Elliott satisfied as part of his radar certifi-
    cation.
    v. Foster, 
    674 F.3d 391
     (4th Cir. 2012) (Wilkinson, J., concurring in the
    denial of rehearing en banc).
    This is particularly appropriate in this context because probable cause
    "is not defined by bright lines and rigid boundaries" but "allows a [judicial
    officer] to review the facts and circumstances as a whole and make a com-
    mon sense determination" whether an objectively reasonable basis exists
    for the challenged search or seizure. United States v. Henry, 
    673 F.3d 285
    ,
    290 (4th Cir. 2012) (quotation marks omitted), petition for cert. filed, ___
    U.S.L.W. ___ (U.S. May 30, 2012) (No.11-10610).
    UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS                  21
    We accord Deputy Elliott no such expertise, as there is no
    indication in the record that this road test was designed or
    intended as an evaluation of Deputy Elliott’s ability to esti-
    mate vehicle speeds in any context other than in conjunction
    with radar. Indeed, one thing we know about the road test is
    that Deputy Elliott was required to estimate the speeds of "12
    separate vehicles . . . and then corroborate [his] visual calcu-
    lations with the use of a radar[.]" J.A. 24-25 (emphasis
    added) (A: "[T]hat’s when the certified [radar] instructor
    takes off the piece of paper off your radar unit and advises
    you what the actual clock was."). Thus, to the extent that the
    road test prepared Deputy Elliott to visually estimate vehicle
    speeds, it did so only to the extent subsequently corroborated
    by radar, which, in this case, Deputy Elliott failed to do.
    The record also reflects that Deputy Elliott may have
    passed the road test but nonetheless "be[en] off up to 12 miles
    an hour on [any] one vehicle" and "42 miles per hour" on all
    twelve vehicles. J.A. 26. Consequently, it is entirely possible
    that Deputy Elliott’s visual estimates were off by six mph on
    seven vehicles and perfect on the other five vehicles. In such
    case, although Deputy Elliott’s "average" or "mean" margin
    of error would have been only 3.5-mph per vehicle, his "me-
    dian" and "mode" margin of error would have been six mph
    per vehicle. Given that we are faced here with a mere five
    mph differential, those hypothetical results—as equally possi-
    ble as those presented by the dissent—would seem to call into
    question the dissent’s probable cause analysis concerning the
    inherent reliability of Deputy Elliott’s unaided visual estimate
    of speed.
    The record further shows that Deputy Elliott made his
    visual speed estimates, not "in a test environment . . . where
    the situation is controlled," but instead "on the street with
    actual drivers." J.A. 25. Presumably—although, again, this is
    unknown—the vehicle speeds of these "actual drivers" were
    impacted by the speed limit in the area tested, as well as the
    presence of police officers conducting a radar test. In any
    22                    UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS
    case, to the extent one would allow Deputy Elliott to use the
    results of this road test to overcome Sowards’s constitutional
    right to be free from unreasonable seizures, prudency dictates
    the consideration of these and other questions relevant to the
    road test’s design and reliability. Cf. People v. Palermo, 
    2009 WL 8474301
     (N.Y. City Ct. Sept. 28, 2009) (notwithstanding
    officer’s testimony "that he passed an examination," finding
    that traffic stop lacked probable cause because officer failed
    to testify about type of training, length of training, or content
    of training); Estes, 
    223 P.3d at 290-91
     (same).
    The dissent overlooks these and other shortcomings, and
    would instead find probable cause on the basis of Deputy
    Elliott’s "demonstrated an[d] uncontradicted ability to visu-
    ally estimate the speed of vehicles within an average margin
    of error of 3.5 mph per vehicle." Post at 33-34. Indeed, under
    this line of reasoning, our colleague in dissent would appar-
    ently permit traffic stops on the basis of an officer’s uncorrob-
    orated and unsupported visual estimate that a vehicle is
    traveling 71 mph in a 70-mph zone.13 See post at 39 (citing
    with approval State v. Singh, No. F-98-022, 
    1999 WL 355270
    ,
    at *1 (Ohio Ct. App. 1999), where court noted officer’s testi-
    mony that his visual estimates were accurate within 1-2 mph).14
    Following the dissent’s approach to its logical conclusion, we
    see no limits upon an officer’s, such as Deputy Elliott’s, pow-
    ers of speed estimation. Nevertheless, it defies all reason to
    believe that Deputy Elliott, particularly in light of his diffi-
    culty with distances, would be able to accurately estimate
    with his vision alone, within the same 3.5-mph margin of
    13
    It is worth noting that the dissent has not cited—nor have we found—
    a single case issued by any court at any time, whether state or federal,
    finding probable cause exists to initiate a traffic stop for speeding on the
    sole basis of an officer’s unaided visual estimate that a vehicle was
    exceeding the speed limit by five mph or less.
    14
    As discussed, this and other cases in Ohio standing for the proposition
    that officers may use unaided visual estimates of speed for arrest, charg-
    ing, and conviction have been superseded and overruled by legislation. See
    Ohio Rev. Code § 4511.091(C)(1).
    UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS                  23
    error, the speed of a car traveling ten mph, 25 mph, 50 mph,
    75 mph, 100 mph, 150 mph, or, presumably, a plane traveling
    700 mph.
    A short example from our national pastime seems particu-
    larly apt here. One year ago, the fastest pitch in the annals of
    baseball history was recorded: 106 mph, by Cincinnati Reds
    left-handed pitcher Aroldis Chapman. See Jeff Passan, Chap-
    man’s 106-mph fastball was likely bogus, YAHOO SPORTS,
    April 19, 2011, HTTP://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news?
    slug=jp-passan_aroldis_chapman_106_radar_reds_fastball_
    controversy_041911 (last visited April 26, 2012). While the
    pitch itself is remarkable in its own right, a sports reporter
    noted a perhaps even more interesting phenomenon associated
    with the actual measurement of that pitch as "three nuggets of
    information started to parade themselves as facts." Id. Specifi-
    cally, the radar connected to the scoreboard showed the speed
    as 106 mph, the television broadcast’s radar reflected that it
    was 105 mph, while the radar system used by Major League
    Baseball, which utilizes three cameras on a single pitch that
    calculate each pitch’s speed more than 50 times, pegged the
    pitch at only 102.4 mph. Id. In light of three seemingly unim-
    peachable, entirely reliable sources, the writer was left with
    the inevitable question, "How can one pitch travel three dif-
    ferent velocities?" Id. The writer went on to surmise that
    "[u]nless one of Chapman’s fastballs voyaged through the
    Matrix, another in the Source Code and the third in reality, it
    leaves us with a question more appropriate for a philosophy
    class than a baseball discussion." Id.
    Indeed, in the world of baseball, there are even more abso-
    lutes than the facts presented in this case. For example, the
    distance between the pitcher’s mound and home plate is fixed
    at 60 feet 6 inches; likewise, the clip of Chapman’s fastball
    has now been viewed more than 500,000 times online. See,
    e.g., http://www.youtube.com/watch?v= HbBh0NsNisQ (last
    visited April 26, 2012). Even so, and presumably despite
    24                    UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS
    efforts by so-called experts like Deputy Elliott in visual speed
    estimation, the controversy remains.
    Here, the dissent’s contention that Deputy Elliott’s estimate
    may be unreliable, uncorroborated and unsupported and yet
    still comport with the "reasonableness" threshold of the
    Fourth Amendment, is not—and cannot be—the law. We hold
    that the objective unreliability of Deputy Elliott’s uncorrobo-
    rated and unsupported visual estimate is categorically irrecon-
    cilable with Beck’s requirement for "reasonably trustworthy
    information" to serve as the foundation for probable cause.
    
    379 U.S. at 91
    . Deputy Elliott’s visual estimate that Sow-
    ards’s vehicle was traveling 75 mph was the sole basis of his
    probable cause to initiate the traffic stop and subsequent sei-
    zure of Sowards’s vehicle. As such, the seizure was constitu-
    tionally unreasonable, and the evidence gathered pursuant to
    the search must be suppressed.
    Notwithstanding the dissent’s protestations, the sky will not
    fall as a result of today’s majority decision.15 According to the
    dissent it is "[i]ronic[ that] while a lay person can estimate the
    speed of [ ] a vehicle based upon his or her personal observa-
    tions, an experienced and trained police officer no longer
    15
    Indeed, in the wake of Ohio Supreme Court’s decision in City of Bar-
    berton v. Jenney, 
    929 N.E.2d 1047
     (Ohio 2010), cert. denied, 
    131 S. Ct. 517
     (2010), which would have allowed a police officer’s unaided visual
    estimation to suffice for the purposes of a speeding conviction, the Ohio
    legislature moved swiftly to amend its existing laws to provide, subject to
    limited exception: "No person shall be arrested, charged, or convicted of
    a violation of any [speeding ordinance] based on a peace officer’s unaided
    visual estimation of the speed of a motor vehicle." Ohio Rev. Code
    § 4511.091(C)(1); see also 
    2011 Ohio Laws 29
    .
    The Ohio Legislature recognized, as a practical matter, that police offi-
    cers can enforce traffic safety laws in a way that simultaneously safe-
    guards our most fundamental constitutional rights. Because our
    consideration here today concerns probable cause, we adhere to the tradi-
    tional reasonableness standard which is far less restrictive than the per se
    prohibition adopted by the Ohio legislature addressing the arrest, charging,
    or conviction of an individual.
    UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS                    25
    can." Post at 26. But the irony, if any, of the dissent’s com-
    parison is lost when one recognizes that lay persons do not
    use their estimates to stop vehicles on public highways.
    Because police officers do stop vehicles, their estimates must
    satisfy the Fourth Amendment’s probable cause requirement.
    Next, the dissent contends that "the majority completely
    invalidates the road test North Carolina has employed for its
    traffic officers to demonstrate their ability to estimate the
    speed of cars." Post at 52. Setting aside that it is wholly
    unclear why such a policy consideration would have any rele-
    vance to a Fourth Amendment probable cause analysis,
    today’s majority opinion makes no such holding that invali-
    dates North Carolina’s radar certification test for its intended
    purpose: namely to instruct officers on the use of radar instru-
    ments.
    The dissent further contends that today’s majority opinion
    creates a "heightened evidentiary burden" for traffic stops
    based solely on an officer’s estimate of a vehicle’s slight
    speeding. Post at 27. However, Beck’s requirement that "rea-
    sonably trustworthy information" must serve as the founda-
    tion for probable cause dates to 1964, and, indeed, the Fourth
    Amendment specifically protects persons against unreason-
    able searches and seizures; we see nothing "heightened" in
    requiring a police officer to have probable cause based on
    "reasonably trustworthy information" prior to stopping a
    motor vehicle for speeding. 
    379 U.S. at 91
    .
    IV.
    For the foregoing reasons, we hold that the district court
    erred in denying Sowards’s motion to suppress because Dep-
    uty Elliott lacked probable cause to initiate a traffic stop based
    exclusively on his uncorroborated and unsupported belief that
    Sowards was traveling 75 mph in a 70-mph zone.
    REVERSED AND REMANDED
    26                 UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS
    TRAXLER, Chief Judge, dissenting:
    Today, we establish that a police officer cannot legally stop
    a speeding vehicle based only upon his visual estimate unless
    the vehicle is traveling in "significant excess" of the speed
    limit or the officer has the time and practical ability to con-
    firm his belief that the vehicle is speeding through radar, pac-
    ing, or some other corroborating evidence. No longer will the
    officer’s professional judgment alone be adequate, and the
    prohibition applies regardless of the extent of the officer’s
    training, experience, or certified ability to accurately estimate
    vehicle speeds within a very narrow margin of error. Ironi-
    cally, while a lay person can estimate the speed of such a
    vehicle based upon his or her personal observations, an expe-
    rienced and trained police officer no longer can.
    Deputy Elliott has more than eight years of experience in
    the daily enforcement of North Carolina’s traffic laws, and
    has three times demonstrated through North Carolina’s radar
    certification procedures an ability to accurately estimate the
    speed of moving vehicles within an average 3.5-mph margin
    of error. These facts are uncontradicted. Yet the majority
    holds that Deputy Elliott’s visual estimate that Sowards’s
    vehicle was traveling 5 mph over the posted speed limit is
    inherently unreliable and, without corroborating evidence,
    insufficient as a matter of law — not to sustain a conviction,
    but rather to provide probable cause to stop the vehicle. In
    doing so, the majority also effectively holds that North Caroli-
    na’s certification test required to demonstrate an officer’s
    ability to estimate the speed of vehicles, like similar programs
    employed by a number of states across our country, is invalid
    as a matter of law. Even though a motorist is speeding, knows
    he is speeding, and may well admit that he is speeding if
    stopped, an officer working alone and without radar cannot
    even pull the car over for a warning as long as the driver is
    reasonably believed to be only breaking the law slightly as
    opposed to significantly — a distinction this circuit has never
    made for unlawful behavior.
    UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS                            27
    In adopting its inflexible corroboration requirement for
    "slight" speeding violations, I believe the majority has unnec-
    essarily distorted the well-established "totality of the circum-
    stances" test normally applicable to all probable-cause
    determinations, and has effectively required that an officer
    have evidence sufficient for a jury to convict beyond a reason-
    able doubt before he may stop the vehicle. And it does so
    based upon its belief, mistaken in my view, that speeding vio-
    lations present some kind of "unique circumstance" requiring
    this heightened evidentiary burden. Because I cannot agree
    with this unwarranted limitation on probable-cause jurispru-
    dence, I respectfully dissent.
    I.
    Deputy Elliott is a ten-year veteran in law enforcement in
    North Carolina, the last eight of which included as a regular
    part of his duties "the enforcement of traffic laws, including
    speeding." J.A. 20. After working three years in the patrol
    division, he was selected for placement on the Governor’s
    Highway Safety Program ("GHSP") highway interdiction
    team.1 Deputy Elliott’s qualifications to visually estimate the
    speed of vehicles, however, is not limited to his years of expe-
    rience in speed enforcement. He also "received specialized
    training as it relates to the enforcement of the traffic laws in
    the state of North Carolina," J.A. 20, including "specialized
    training in radar certification," J.A. 21.
    Deputy Elliott described in some detail the training and
    testing involved in North Carolina’s certification process. As
    a prerequisite, the certification candidate first trains with a
    1
    The Governor’s Highway Safety Program stems from a state-wide
    grant designed to facilitate enforcement of North Carolina’s traffic laws on
    the interstate systems and reduce the number of traffic crashes and fatali-
    ties. In the course of traffic enforcement, the officers also enforce narcot-
    ics and money laundering laws. See J.A. 20; North Carolina Department
    of Transportation, Governor’s Highway Safety Program, http://
    www.ncdot.org/programs/ghsp (last visited Mar. 31, 2012).
    28                    UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS
    certified operator who "show[s] you how to work the radar"
    and "show[s] you how to estimate the speed[]" of vehicles.
    J.A. 23. Although there is "not really a technique [to] measur-
    ing speeds," J.A. 24, it is nonetheless a skill developed by
    practice and experience. Indeed, in North Carolina, it is a crit-
    ical one, as radar alone cannot support a conviction for speed-
    ing as a matter of law. See State v. Jenkins, 
    342 S.E.2d 550
    ,
    552 (N.C. Ct. App. 1986) ("By the express provisions of
    [North Carolina’s] statute, . . . the speed of a vehicle may not
    be proved by the results of radar measurement alone and . . .
    such evidence may be used only to corroborate the opinion of
    a witness as to speed, which opinion is based upon actual
    observation."); see also J.A. 78-79 (testimony of Deputy
    Elliott confirming that "you cannot run a radar unit at all
    unless you have a visual estimation" and that "[t]he radar unit
    is only there to corroborate what you already know").
    After training, candidates must pass a written test and a
    road-course test. To pass the road-course test, candidates
    observe twelve vehicles, "estimate their speed, and then cor-
    roborate [the] visual calculations with the use of [the] radar,"
    all under the supervision of a certified instructor. J.A. 25.2 The
    margin of error is a combined 42 mph, or an average of 3.5
    mph per vehicle. However, the candidate will automatically
    fail if he varies more than 12 mph on any single vehicle. Dep-
    uty Elliott successfully passed the tests and received certifica-
    tion in May 1998, April 2000, and February 2004. His
    certification was current when he stopped Sowards.
    2
    Deputy Elliott testified that the instructor "cover[s] up the . . . radar
    unit, the target speed. And then at that point in time you’re formulating
    your opinion, you’re making a visual estimation. Once you make that
    visual estimation, then you are allowed to run the radar. At that point in
    time you make a clock with that radar. And once you confirm that that’s
    what . . . has happened, that’s when the certified instructor takes . . . the
    piece of paper off your radar unit and advises you what the actual clock
    was." J.A. 25.
    UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS                            29
    On April 11, 2006, Deputy Elliott positioned his vehicle in
    the median of Interstate 77, pointed south so as to provide him
    with an unobstructed view of approaching northbound traffic
    and a tracking history of approximately 100 yards, or the
    length of a football field. Deputy Elliott had been working
    this specific stretch of I-77 on a daily basis for more than 4
    years. The posted speed limit was 70 mph.3
    While so positioned, Deputy Elliott continuously observed
    Sowards’s vehicle as it approached and passed him. He esti-
    mated the vehicle’s speed to be 75 mph. After stopping the
    vehicle, Deputy Elliott advised Sowards that he had been
    stopped for traveling 75 mph and that he should be driving the
    speed limit to be safe. Sowards does not contest that he was
    speeding.
    Sowards presented Deputy Elliott with an Ohio driver’s
    license and said that he had traveled from Ohio to Atlanta by
    bus to pick up the car and return to Ohio. He claimed that his
    girlfriend "Deanna" owned the vehicle, but that he "didn’t
    really know her last name." J.A. 38. According to the registra-
    tion, however, the vehicle belonged to "Retcha Daily" from
    Georgia. J.A. 36. Due to the discrepancies, Deputy Elliott
    contacted the Blue Lighting Operations Center ("BLOC") to
    obtain additional information on the license and vehicle, and
    advised Sowards that he would issue a warning ticket for
    speeding if everything checked out. While waiting for the
    response, Deputy Elliott observed that Sowards was sweating
    profusely and had a pre-paid cellular phone, and Deputy
    Elliott decided to have his drug dog perform an open-air sniff
    of the exterior of the vehicle. The dog alerted at the trunk.
    During the ensuing search, the officers detected the smell of
    3
    To obtain a reliable reading, the radar unit can be at no more than a 20-
    degree angle. Deputy Elliott parked his car at a 25- to 30-degree angle
    because on a previous occasion his car had almost been hit by a tire that
    had come off a passing trailer. After that incident, Deputy Elliott posi-
    tioned his car farther from the road and at the broader angle.
    30                    UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS
    laundry detergent, which is often used to mask the scent of
    narcotics, and discovered a compartment containing 10 kilo-
    grams of cocaine.
    Prior to pleading guilty to the resulting drug charges, Sow-
    ards filed a motion to suppress the evidence obtained during
    the search. Sowards argued that Deputy Elliott’s visual esti-
    mate of his speed was insufficient to establish probable cause
    to stop his vehicle and that the dog sniff occurred during a
    period of unlawful detention.
    Deputy Elliott was the only witness who testified at the
    suppression hearing and his testimony is uncontradicted.
    Although lay witnesses may offer opinions as to speed esti-
    mates, the district court found that Deputy Elliott’s "consider-
    able training in estimating speeds" and the "foundation [laid]
    to testify as a law enforcement officer trained in estimating
    speeds" also qualified him as an expert. J.A. 31. At the con-
    clusion of the hearing, the court denied the motion to sup-
    press. With regard to the question of whether there was
    probable cause to initially stop Sowards’s vehicle, the court
    held as follows:
    [Deputy] Elliott had probable cause to believe a traf-
    fic violation had occurred based on speed. He’s
    trained to estimate speeds. His difficulty with mea-
    surements is immaterial to his estimate of speed as
    that did not depend on time or distance. And the cer-
    tification that he received . . . three times, depended
    on accuracy in estimating speeds. So he had a partic-
    ularized and objective basis for suspecting that a
    traffic violation had occurred.
    J.A. 121.4 I would affirm.
    4
    During the hearing, Deputy Elliott had difficulty answering questions
    regarding the measurements in feet and yards. The majority concludes that
    the district court clearly erred in finding that this difficulty with small
    UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS                            31
    II.
    A.
    The Fourth Amendment guarantees the right of persons to
    be free from "unreasonable searches and seizures." U.S.
    Const. amend. IV. A law enforcement officer’s decision to
    stop a motorist constitutes a seizure within the Fourth Amend-
    ment, see Whren v. United States, 
    517 U.S. 806
    , 809-10
    (1996), and will be reasonable so long as the officer has
    "probable cause to believe that a traffic violation has
    occurred," 
    id. at 810
    .
    Whether an officer has probable cause to believe that a traf-
    fic offense has occurred is determined by the "totality of the
    circumstances." Maryland v. Pringle, 
    540 U.S. 366
    , 371
    (2003). We examine all events leading up to the stop and
    decide "whether these historical facts, viewed from the stand-
    point of an objectively reasonable police officer, amount to
    probable cause." 
    Id.
     (internal quotation marks omitted). In
    doing so, we must also consider the officer’s practical experi-
    ence and specialized training. Police may "draw on their own
    experience and specialized training to make inferences from
    and deductions about the cumulative information available to
    them that might well elude an untrained person." United
    measurements was immaterial to Deputy Elliott’s ability to estimate the
    speed of Sowards’s vehicle, and in finding that Deputy Elliott was trained
    to estimate speeds. For reasons discussed infra, I disagree. At the outset,
    however, I am compelled to point out that the majority does not ultimately
    reverse the district court based upon any perceived lack of confidence in
    Deputy Elliott’s personal ability to offer a reliable opinion as to the speed
    of Sowards’s vehicle. Rather, the majority reverses because Deputy
    Elliott’s visual estimate fell within the slight-excess-of-the-speed-limit
    category and was not corroborated by other evidence. At no point does
    the majority explicitly indicate that the corroboration requirement was
    triggered by a lack of confidence in Deputy Elliott personally, nor does it
    expressly reverse the district court’s denial of the motion to suppress
    based upon the district court’s findings of fact. See Majority Op. at 18-19.
    32                    UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS
    States v. Johnson, 
    599 F.3d 339
    , 343 (4th Cir. 2010) (internal
    quotation marks omitted); see also United States v. Humph-
    ries, 
    372 F.3d 653
    , 657 (4th Cir. 2004).
    Probable cause to stop a vehicle based upon a suspected
    traffic violation exists when the facts and circumstances
    within the officer’s knowledge are sufficient to warrant a pru-
    dent person in believing that the suspect has committed a vio-
    lation of a traffic law. See Michigan v. DeFillippo, 
    443 U.S. 31
    , 37 (1979). "The substance of all the definitions of proba-
    ble cause is a reasonable ground for belief of guilt," but this
    means far "less than evidence which would justify condemna-
    tion or conviction," Brinegar v. United States, 
    338 U.S. 160
    ,
    175 (1949) (internal quotation marks omitted), and even less
    than that required by the preponderance-of-the-evidence stan-
    dard, see Illinois v. Gates, 
    462 U.S. 213
    , 235 (1983); Humph-
    ries, 
    372 F.3d at 660
    . "[T]he probable-cause standard does not
    [even] require that the officer’s belief be more likely true than
    false." Humphries, 
    372 F.3d at 660
    ; see also United States v.
    Ortiz, 
    669 F.3d 439
    , 446 (4th Cir. 2012) ("A ‘reasonable
    ground’ for belief [of guilt] is less demanding than a standard
    requiring a preponderance of the evidence for the belief.");
    United States v. Jones, 
    31 F.3d 1304
    , 1313 (4th Cir. 1994)
    ("The probable cause standard does not demand any showing
    that such a belief be correct or more likely true than false."
    (internal quotation marks omitted)).5
    5
    In its response to the dissent, the majority seizes upon my citation of
    this latter portion of our established precedent comparing the probable-
    cause standard to the preponderance standard to charge that I advance a
    new "analytical approach" to probable-cause jurisprudence. Of course, this
    is no analytical approach at all; it is a well-established holding designed
    to ensure that police officers and courts do not conflate the probable-cause
    standard with those requiring much more in the way of evidence—
    specifically, the beyond-a-reasonable-doubt standard and the
    preponderance-of-the-evidence standard. To the extent I emphasize this
    portion of our precedent, it is because it is particularly apt in the case at
    hand, in which the majority imports into our probable-cause inquiry a cor-
    roboration requirement that originated in a handful of state court speeding
    UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS                          33
    B.
    As the Tenth Circuit recently recognized, "[i]t’s long been
    the case that an officer’s visual estimation can supply proba-
    ble cause to support a traffic stop for speeding in appropriate
    circumstances," and a radar reading or other such objective or
    mechanical corroboration is not required. United States v.
    Ludwig, 
    641 F.3d 1243
    , 1247 (10th Cir. 2011) (affirming dis-
    trict court’s denial of motion to suppress illegal drugs found
    in search of vehicle stopped for traveling 10 mph over the
    speed limit); see also United States v. Pierce, 
    23 F.3d 404
    ,
    
    1994 WL 159767
    , at *2 (4th Cir. Apr. 28, 1994) (per curiam)
    (affirming denial of motion to suppress where officer visually
    estimated that vehicle was traveling 75 mph on interstate, but
    was blocked from obtaining a radar reading by a tractor-
    trailer); State v. Barnhill, 
    601 S.E.2d 215
    , 218 (N.C. Ct. App.
    2004) (rejecting trial court’s requirement that an officer’s
    visual estimate of speed must be corroborated by "objective
    facts" or "objective criteria" as contrary to North Carolina
    law, and noting that such a ruling "would have [had] the
    effect of preventing an officer from stopping a vehicle based
    solely upon the officer’s observations").
    In my opinion, the facts and circumstances known to Dep-
    uty Elliott, coupled with his practical experience, training, and
    the reasonable inferences drawn therefrom, were more than
    sufficient to warrant an objectively reasonable belief on his
    part that Sowards was speeding. Deputy Elliott is an experi-
    enced officer who has been engaged in the enforcement of
    traffic laws as a regular part of his duties for eight years. As
    a part of his training, certification, and recertification, he has
    conviction cases, discussed infra, based upon its view that "a speeding
    violation presents a unique circumstance" necessitating evidence for prob-
    able cause equivalent to that sufficient to sustain a conviction. Majority
    Op. at 14 n.7. As I have clearly set forth above, probable cause does mean
    something, but, even in traffic-stop cases, it surely does not mean "beyond
    a reasonable doubt" or by "a preponderance of the evidence."
    34                 UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS
    demonstrated an uncontradicted ability to visually estimate
    the speed of vehicles within an average margin of error of 3.5
    mph per vehicle. He had worked this particular stretch of I-77
    for over four years, at times in a position to corroborate his
    visual estimates with radar; had become familiar with the
    speed at which cars approached him; and had a clear, unob-
    structed view of Sowards’s vehicle as it approached and
    passed him.
    In a number of places, the majority takes issue with my rep-
    resentation that North Carolina’s certification and training
    procedures for police officers encompass both the officer’s
    use of radar equipment and the officer’s ability to estimate
    vehicle speeds within narrow margins of error. The majority
    instead appears to believe that North Carolina’s procedures
    are somehow limited to the use of radar equipment, and goes
    so far as to state that the officer was merely "given the oppor-
    tunity to ‘guess’ the speed of twelve vehicles" during his
    training. Majority Op. at 10. However, the majority’s view
    that the visual-estimate test is little more than an "opportunity
    to guess," rather than a requirement to pass, is contradicted by
    the record. The officers are instructed how to operate the par-
    ticular radar equipment, but there is no basis upon which we
    could conclude that the visual-estimate portion of the test is
    somehow a less-crucial component or, worse, some form of
    a guessing game. Deputy Elliott’s description of the training
    and the requirements to pass the course is fully consistent
    with what North Carolina law requires in order to obtain
    speeding convictions. An officer’s visual estimate of the
    speed of a vehicle is required to convict as a matter of law;
    radar, assuming it is able to be used and is not excluded for
    some reason, can only corroborate the officer’s observations.
    Thus, to the extent we should pass judgment upon North Car-
    olina’s training and certification program, I am confident that
    North Carolina law enforcement would have the most interest
    in ensuring that their officers are trained in and develop the
    actual skill of accurately estimating the speed of vehicles in
    case radar equipment is unavailable, blocked by other vehi-
    UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS                    35
    cles or obstructions, or is otherwise excluded for lack of cali-
    bration or other deficiencies.
    Under these uncontradicted facts, which in any event we
    must construe in the light most favorable to the government,
    see United States v. Seidman, 
    156 F.3d 542
    , 547 (4th Cir.
    1998), I believe the government has easily established that
    Deputy Elliott had an objectively reasonable belief that Sow-
    ards was speeding and, therefore, that he had probable cause
    to stop Sowards’s vehicle for the suspected violation.
    III. The Corroboration Requirement
    The majority opines that "the Fourth Amendment does not
    allow, and the case law does not support, blanket approval for
    the proposition that an officer’s visual speed estimate, in and
    of itself, will always suffice as a basis for an officer’s proba-
    ble cause to initiate the traffic stop." Majority Op. at 14
    (emphasis added). I agree. Such an inflexible rule would
    ignore the totality-of-the-circumstances test and, in particular,
    the mandate that we evaluate reasonableness based upon all
    of the facts which led to the stop, including the officer’s train-
    ing and experience. I disagree, however, with the majority’s
    equally inflexible rule that an officer’s visual speed estimate
    can never alone suffice as probable cause to stop a vehicle
    that the officer estimates to be traveling only in "slight
    excess" of the speed limit. Majority Op. at 14.
    The majority’s holding is clear: "[T]he reasonableness of
    an officer’s visual speed estimate depends, in the first
    instance, on whether a vehicle’s speed is estimated to be in
    significant excess or slight excess of the legal speed limit."
    Majority Op. at 14 (emphasis added). Where the officer visu-
    ally estimates that a vehicle is traveling "in significant excess
    of the legal speed limit," a visual estimate may "provide suffi-
    cient ‘indicia of reliability’ to support an officer’s probable
    cause." Majority Op. at 15 (emphasis added). But if the offi-
    cer estimates that a vehicle is traveling only in "slight excess"
    36                 UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS
    of the speed limit, that estimate alone can never be enough;
    the "officer’s visual speed estimate requires additional indicia
    of reliability to support probable cause." Majority Op. at 16
    (emphasis added); see also Majority Op. at 14 ("If slight, then
    additional indicia of reliability are necessary to support the
    reasonableness of the officer’s visual estimate." (emphasis
    added)).
    A "slight excess" of the speed limit is defined only as a
    "speed differential difficult for the naked eye to discern,"
    Majority Op. at 16, or perhaps one that is otherwise believed
    to be beyond the abilities of humans to accurately determine,
    see Majority Op. at 19-20 (agreeing that "‘the accuracy of
    human estimation of speed cannot easily, readily and accu-
    rately discriminate between such small variations in speed’")
    (quoting State v. Kimes, 
    234 S.W.3d 584
    , 588 (Mo. Ct. App.
    2007)). Accordingly, the corroboration rule fashioned by the
    majority applies regardless of the extent of any officer’s expe-
    rience, specialized training, or demonstrated ability to accu-
    rately estimate vehicle speeds within a narrow margin of
    error. For the reasons set forth below, I do not think we
    should impose this threshold inquiry upon the normal
    probable-cause determination and hinge upon it an inflexible
    requirement of corroboration every time a police officer stops
    a vehicle for speeding in "slight excess" of the speed limit.
    A.
    At the outset, I find the threshold inquiry, and the basis for
    the significant/slight distinction used to trigger the
    corroborative-evidence requirement, to be unsupported by the
    record in this case and unworkable for police officers.
    Courts routinely allowed lay witnesses, with no training or
    experience, to offer opinion testimony of their estimate of
    speed provided they have had a sufficient opportunity to
    observe the moving vehicle. And so long as that ability to
    observe is established, I have found no opinion restricting the
    UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS                            37
    reliability or admissibility of the opinion testimony based
    upon the time/distance mathematical formula for speed.6 Yet,
    under the majority’s decision, a police officer’s identical
    opinion will be deemed unreliable as a matter of law and,
    therefore, insufficient to establish probable cause to believe
    that a violation has occurred, unless the officer also estimates
    the speed differential to have been a "significant" one.7
    6
    See State v. Barnhill, 
    601 S.E.2d 215
    , 217, 218 (N.C. Ct. App. 2004)
    (noting "well established [rule], that any person of ordinary intelligence,
    who had a reasonable opportunity to observe a vehicle in motion and
    judge its speed may testify as to his estimation of the speed of that vehi-
    cle," and that "it is not necessary that an officer have specialized training
    to be able to visually estimate the speed of a vehicle"); Walker v. State,
    
    295 S.E.2d 574
    , 575 (Ga. Ct. App. 1982) (allowing lay witness’s testi-
    mony as to speed of a vehicle to support vehicular homicide conviction);
    see also Asplundh Mfg. Div. v. Benton Harbor Eng’g, 
    57 F.3d 1190
    , 1197
    (3d Cir. 1995) (noting that one example "of quintessential Rule 701 opin-
    ion testimony [is] . . . the speed of a vehicle (footnote omitted)); Fed. R.
    Evid. 701 advisory committee’s note (citing Asplundh for examples of
    opinion testimony by lay witnesses); United States v. Conn, 
    297 F.3d 548
    ,
    554 n.2 (7th Cir. 2002) (same); State v. McLean, 
    16 A.3d 332
    , 343 (N.J.
    2011) ("Traditional examples of permissible lay opinions include the
    speed at which a vehicle was traveling."); Pierson v. Frederickson, 
    245 A.2d 524
    , 527 (N.J. Super. Ct. App. Div. 1968) ("It is clear that based on
    adequate visual observation an ordinary witness can state his conclusion
    of whether a car was moving fast or slow or give an estimate of its
    speed."); State v. Clayton, 
    158 S.E.2d 557
    , 561 (N.C. 1968) ("Absolute
    accuracy . . . is not required to make a witness competent to testify as to
    speed.").
    7
    Although the majority denies that it has created a heightened evidenti-
    ary burden for probable-cause in speeding cases, it sees no irony in the
    fact that there will now be two different standards governing the use of
    opinion testimony as to the speed of a vehicle — one for lay witnesses and
    another for law enforcement officers. My colleagues justify this difference
    by pointing out that a police officer uses his opinion as probable cause to
    stop and detain motorists. To this I would simply point out that the opin-
    ion of a lay person as to speed, admissible to support a criminal convic-
    tion, should surely be sufficient to establish probable cause. Cf. Barnhill,
    
    601 S.E.2d at 232
     ("[I]f an ordinary citizen can estimate the speed of a
    vehicle, so can Officer Malone.")
    38                 UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS
    Additionally, the majority provides no clear numerical or
    percentage division between driving in "slight excess" or "sig-
    nificant excess" of the speed limit. The majority explains that
    a "slight excess" is "a speed differential difficult for the naked
    eye to discern," Majority Op. at 16, and ultimately declares
    that no human could accurately estimate a 5-mph variation of
    speed at 70-75 mph, see Majority Op. at 19-20 (citing Kimes,
    
    234 S.W.3d at 589
    ). However, there are no studies, expert tes-
    timony, or other evidence to support this conclusion or to
    enlighten law enforcement officers as to what speeding viola-
    tion should be considered "slight" because it falls within that
    which is difficult for the naked eye to discern or otherwise
    beyond the capabilities of human estimation. Nor is there evi-
    dence to support the majority’s finding that uncorroborated,
    visual estimates of speeds in the "slight" category must be
    presumed to be unreliable for purposes of the probable-cause
    determination.
    As support for its holding that the officer’s visual estimate
    of speed is inherently unreliable, the majority instead relies
    upon "common sense," along with two cases involving anony-
    mous tips, which we have held require additional corrobora-
    tion or indicia of reliability. See United States v. Massenburg,
    
    654 F.3d 480
    , 486 (4th Cir. 2011); United States v. Reaves,
    
    512 F.3d 123
    , 126 (4th Cir. 2008). In this case, however, the
    evidence consists not of hearsay statements of anonymous
    witnesses regarding unlawful behavior, but rather the personal
    observation and resulting opinion of a trained and certified
    police officer, which the majority concludes is "inherently
    unreliable" based upon nothing more than its own view,
    unsupported by any evidence and contradicted by that which
    was presented, that such estimates are beyond the capabilities
    of any human being.
    Deputy Elliott demonstrated an actual ability to visually
    estimate the speed of vehicles within an average, 3.5-mph
    margin of error, in accordance with the requirements for radar
    certification in North Carolina. And however remarkable one
    UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS                          39
    might believe this skill to be at first blush, it appears to be a
    common one among experienced traffic officers across the
    United States. See e.g., State v. Carter, No. 2CA-CR2008-
    0013, 
    2009 WL 1717812
    , at *3 (Ariz. Ct. App. June 18, 2009)
    (noting testimony that officer had completed a radar certifica-
    tion class which required officers to accurately estimate the
    speed of moving vehicles within 5 mph); State v. Estes, 
    223 P.3d 287
    , 288 (Idaho Ct. App. 2009) (noting that the officer
    "had been trained in visually estimating the speed of vehicles
    and had received certification of the ability to make estimates
    within 5 miles per hour of the actual speed"); State v. McPart-
    land, 
    36 A.3d 881
    , 887 n.5 (Me. 2012) (Jabar, J., dissenting)
    (noting officer’s testimony that, as part of her radar training
    course, "she was trained and certified to make visual esti-
    mates of speed ‘within five miles per hour’"); State v. Ali, 
    679 N.W.2d 359
    , 368 (Minn. Ct. App. 2004) (noting that officer
    had been "trained . . . to accurately estimate the speed of a
    moving vehicle within five mph"); Barberton v. Jenney, 
    929 N.E.2d 1047
    , 1049 (Ohio 2010) (noting that, in order to be
    certified under Ohio’s requirements, the officer "was required
    to show that he could visually estimate a vehicle’s speed to
    within three to four miles per hour of the vehicle’s actual
    speed"); State v. Singh, No. F-98-022, 
    1999 WL 355270
    , at *1
    (Ohio Ct. App. 1999) (noting trooper’s testimony that he had
    been trained to visually estimate the speed of vehicles and
    was generally accurate within one or two miles per hour);
    Columbia County v. Kassens, 
    795 N.W.2d 492
    , 
    2011 WL 102598
    , at *1 (Wisc. Ct. App. Jan. 13, 2011) (noting officer’s
    testimony that he "ha[d] been trained to visually estimate a
    vehicle’s speed within three miles per hour").8
    8
    The majority agrees that no evidence exists to support its view of the
    capabilities of human beings, but asserts that an evidentiary foundation is
    unnecessary because it is "common sense" that no human can accurately
    discriminate between such small variations of speed. In my view, the
    majority’s conclusion concerning the limits of the abilities of trained
    police officers falls well outside the realm of "common sense" and clearly
    within the category of a factual finding necessitating evidentiary support.
    40                    UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS
    In sum, I do not find the majority’s observations regarding
    the capabilities of law enforcement officers to be supported
    by the record. Moreover, I question how law enforcement
    officers, particularly those who have met their state certifica-
    tion requirements for visually estimating the speeds of vehi-
    cles within narrow margins of error, will know when they
    must forego stopping a speeding vehicle unless and until they
    observe the vehicle cross into the "significantly speeding" cat-
    egory or they are able to obtain other, corroborating evidence.
    B.
    Beyond these problems, I believe that the majority’s adop-
    tion of the corroboration requirement for slight speeding vio-
    lations has no place in the probable-cause context. The origin
    of this new requirement is a handful of state court conviction
    cases which have held or implied that a police officer’s visual
    estimate of speed, standing alone, may not constitute suffi-
    cient evidence to prove a defendant guilty beyond a reason-
    able doubt if the variance between the visually estimated
    speed and the speed limit is determined to have been "slight"
    as opposed to "wide." State v. Kimes, 
    234 S.W.3d 584
    , 588
    (Mo. Ct. App. 2007) (internal quotation marks omitted); City
    of Kansas City v. Oxley, 
    579 S.W.2d 113
    , 116 (Mo. 1979);
    see also State v. Estes, 
    223 P.3d 287
    , 289-91 (Idaho Ct. App.
    2009); People v. Olsen, 
    239 N.E.2d 354
    , 355 (N.Y. 1968).9
    Further, I do not see how we can make such a factual finding in the
    absence of supporting evidence. Regardless of one’s view as to when logic
    and common sense may be relied upon in the absence of actual evidence
    of a particular fact, there is no absence of evidence in this case. Instead,
    the only evidence in the record contradicts the majority’s finding. The evi-
    dence of Sowards’s actual, demonstrated ability to accurately discriminate
    between speeds within a 3.5-mph margin of error during three separate
    tests was unchallenged by Sowards below, and cases from across the
    country show that many police officers are similarly trained in visually
    estimating speeds within such narrow margins of error.
    9
    In Kimes, the Missouri Court of Appeals affirmed a speeding convic-
    tion based upon a 15-mph differential (a 75% variance) because it was
    UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS                            41
    To date, our circuit has not adopted a corroboration rule in
    conviction cases. See e.g., United States v. Daras, 
    164 F.3d 626
    , 
    1998 WL 726748
    , at *2 (4th Cir. Oct. 16, 1998) (per
    curiam) (noting that "the Government correctly points out that
    the officer’s visual estimate is also sufficient, by itself, to sup-
    port a conviction"); see also United States v. Wornom, 
    754 F. Supp. 517
    , 519 (W.D. Va. 1991) (affirming conviction based
    upon an officer’s visual estimate where radar evidence was
    deemed "not slight." In doing so, it was compelled to distinguish the ear-
    lier Missouri Supreme Court opinion in Oxley, which had reversed a
    speeding conviction based upon a 10-mph differential (a 29% variance).
    By way of example, the Kimes court made a number of unsupported
    assumptions:
    Where an officer’s estimation of speed is 60 m.p.h., a fact-finder
    cannot conclude with any degree of certainty that a defendant
    was exceeding a 55 m.p.h. speed limit, because the accuracy of
    human estimation of speed cannot easily, readily, and accurately
    discriminate between such small variations in speed. Yet the
    same fact-finder, based upon that same 60 m.p.h. estimation of
    speed, could conclude beyond a reasonable doubt that a defen-
    dant was exceeding a 20 m.p.h limit. This is so because the vari-
    ance between the estimated speed and the speed limit falls within
    the margin of error of accuracy within which an experienced per-
    son can discriminate between the two speeds.
    Kimes, 
    234 S.W.3d at 589
     (emphasis added). In support of Kimes’ blanket
    statement regarding human capabilities (with which the majority here
    agrees), Kimes also cites no studies, expert testimony, or other evidence.
    However, there is also no indication that the officers in Oxley or Kimes
    had developed or demonstrated any specialized ability to estimate the
    speed of vehicles. In my view, the finding regarding human abilities
    adopted by the majority is directly contradicted by the only evidence that
    was presented on the point in this case, as well as by observations to the
    contrary made by many other courts throughout the country. It appears
    that police officers work and train to develop this ability, and become very
    adept at estimating speeds within quite narrow margins of error. See also
    City of Rockford v. Custer, 
    936 N.E.2d 773
    , 776-77 (Ill. Ct. App. 2010)
    (discussing this line of speeding-conviction cases but indicating that a con-
    viction might still be affirmed where the officer gives a visual estimate of
    the defendant’s actual speed that falls within the appropriate margin of
    error).
    42                    UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS
    suppressed). In my view, such matters should ordinarily be
    left for the jury or other factfinder to consider and weigh.10
    But even if we had seen fit to require corroboration in con-
    viction cases involving a slight speed differential, I do not
    think it prudent to import this reasoning into the probable-
    cause context and superimpose an inflexible corroboration
    requirement upon the totality-of-the-circumstances test. "The
    Supreme Court has repeatedly admonished that the standard
    for probable cause is not ‘finely tuned’ or capable of ‘precise
    definition or quantification into percentages.’" Humphries,
    
    372 F.3d at 660
    . Rather, the officer need only have an objec-
    tively reasonable belief that the defendant is speeding, and
    that belief need not even "be more likely true than false." 
    Id.
    Thus, even in those states that have required more than just
    the officer’s visual observation to sustain a conviction for
    speeding where there is a "slight variance," the courts have
    pointed out the important distinction between the evidence
    10
    Other state courts have also expressed similar views in the conviction
    context. See e.g., Ferguson v. State, 
    587 S.E.2d 195
    , 196 (Ga. Ct. App.
    2003) (holding that an officer’s visual estimation of a vehicle’s speed is
    sufficient to support a conviction for speeding); Jackson v. State, 
    477 S.E.2d 28
    , 29 (Ga. Ct. App. 1996) (affirming conviction for speeding
    based solely upon the officer’s visual speed estimate, and noting that
    "opinion testimony of an eyewitness may be used to establish speed, its
    credibility being for the jury to determine" (citation and alterations omit-
    ted)); State v. Ali, 
    679 N.W.2d 359
    , 368 (Minn. Ct. App. 2004) (holding
    that trained officer’s visual estimate that defendant was traveling 11 mph
    above the speed limit was sufficient by itself to support a conviction for
    speeding); Barberton v. Jenny, 
    929 N.E.2d 1047
    , 1049, 1051 (Ohio 2010)
    (rejecting "a bright line rule that an officer’s visual estimation of speed,
    without other evidence to support it, is insufficient to sustain a conviction
    for speeding" and "hold[ing] that a police officer’s unaided visual estima-
    tion of a vehicle’s speed is sufficient evidence to support a conviction for
    speeding . . . without independent verification of the vehicle’s speed if the
    officer is trained [and] certified by [an] organization that develops and
    implements training programs to meet the needs of law-enforcement pro-
    fessionals and the communities they serve, and is experienced in visually
    estimating vehicle speed").
    UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS                  43
    needed to establish probable cause and that needed to sustain
    a conviction. Of particular note, in State v. Ostdiek, 
    351 S.W.3d 758
    , 768-69 & 769 n.10 (Mo. Ct. App 2011), the Mis-
    souri Court of Appeals, citing its earlier opinion in Kimes,
    recently reversed a defendant’s speeding conviction based
    solely upon the officer’s testimony that it "just appeared" that
    the vehicle was going faster than her vehicle and the others
    on the road. However, the court took care to point out that
    "[t]he reversal of the speeding conviction does not affect the
    legitimacy of the initial traffic stop or any evidence which
    resulted from that stop," the latter of which implicates a much
    different standard of review than the "beyond a reasonable
    doubt" determination necessary for a conviction. 
    Id.
     at 769
    n.10; see also Estes, 223 P.2d at 289 n.1 (noting that the issue
    of whether an officer’s visual estimate of a vehicle’s speed
    constitutes sufficient proof of speed beyond a reasonable
    doubt to sustain a conviction "should not be confused with the
    admissibility of an officer’s estimate of speed nor with the
    sufficiency of an estimate to provide reasonable suspicion to
    stop a vehicle, reasonable suspicion being a much less exact-
    ing standard than proof beyond a reasonable doubt" (emphasis
    omitted)). Thus, it appears that even the state courts in Mis-
    souri and Idaho would not import their corroboration require-
    ment for "slight variance" speeding convictions into the
    probable-cause context.
    C.
    Finally, I turn to the two unpublished "probable cause"
    cases cited by the majority in support of its holding: United
    States v. Moore, No. 10cr971(RJH), 
    2011 WL 6325973
    (S.D.N.Y. Dec. 19, 2011), and State v. Petzoldt, 
    803 N.W.2d 128
    , 
    2011 WL 2556961
     (Iowa Ct. App. June 29, 2011). Both
    involve a court’s determination that an officer’s visual speed
    estimate was insufficient to establish probable cause to stop
    a vehicle under the totality of the circumstances, but neither
    counsels our adoption of an absolute rule requiring corrobo-
    rating evidence to establish probable cause in every case
    44                 UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS
    where the officer observes a slight violation of the legal speed
    limit.
    In Moore, the two officers involved were anti-crime offi-
    cers whose primary duties were "to respond to violent felonies
    rather than to enforce traffic laws." Moore, 
    2011 WL 6325973
    , at *1. The first officer testified that the vehicle in
    question was "traveling in excess of the speed limit," but he
    "did not describe how much experience he had had conduct-
    ing traffic stops or estimating the speeds of traveling cars." 
    Id. at *2
     (internal quotation marks omitted). The second officer
    likewise "did not describe his experience in enforcing speed-
    ing violations or in identifying the speed of vehicles by sight."
    
    Id. at *3
    . Although noting that courts "will credit the observa-
    tions of officers that a car was speeding when the officer has
    had special training [and experience] in detecting the speeds
    of vehicles," 
    id. at *5
    , the district court found no such founda-
    tion for the officer’s opinion in its case:
    By contrast, here, there is no suggestion that the
    officers have received any such training. Moreover,
    nothing about the officers’ experience — nor their
    assigned duties on the night in question — suggests
    that they would have had the opportunity to become
    adept at estimating the speeds of vehicles. It seems
    likely that some police officers — such as state
    troopers who, as part of their regular duties, rou-
    tinely estimate how fast particular cars are driving
    and test such an estimate by using a radar gun —
    might become very adept at judging a car’s speed.
    Here, however, the Court has no such reason for
    confidence, based on the officers’ training or experi-
    ence . . . , in the officer’s estimation — an "estima-
    tion," the Court notes, that hardly qualifies as such,
    given the vagueness of the officers’ responses and
    their inability to give even a range of speeds at
    which the cab might have been traveling. The offi-
    cers did not state that they had received specialized
    UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS                   45
    training in estimating the speed of moving vehicles,
    nor did they state that they had previously . . .
    worked an assignment where their main responsibil-
    ity was to apprehend violators of traffic laws. The
    officers both stated that on the night in issue, they
    were assigned to the Bronx Anti-Crime Unit, whose
    mission is not to enforce the Vehicle and Traffic
    Laws, but rather to focus on violent felonies. The
    officers were not even carrying books of summonses
    to issue in the event that they observed a traffic
    infraction.
    
    Id.
     a *6. Thus, the Moore officers had no training or demon-
    strated ability to estimate the speed of vehicles, had no experi-
    ence doing so, and offered no opinion as to the speed
    differential at all.
    The majority’s reliance upon Petzoldt is similarly mis-
    placed. In Petzoldt, the officer had "resorted to playing Soli-
    taire on his computer to break the monotony of a very slow
    night" when "the stillness was broken [by] a pickup truck"
    passing by his location. Petzoldt, 
    2011 WL 2556961
    , at *1.
    "Believing the truck was speeding," the officer pursued the
    vehicle. 
    Id.
     As in Moore, the court held that "with proper
    foundation, an officer’s visual estimation of speed may be
    sufficient to supply probable cause to stop a vehicle for speed-
    ing." 
    Id. at *3
    . It did not, however, adopt a corroboration
    requirement based upon the degree of the estimated speed dif-
    ferential. Rather, it reversed the trial court’s denial of defen-
    dant’s motion to suppress because the officer did not have the
    requisite foundation for his opinion:
    Here, Officer King testified he was playing Soli-
    taire when he observed Petzoldt’s pickup truck
    briefly as it passed in front of his patrol car.
    Although he testified he believed the truck was
    [speeding], Officer King made no estimate as to how
    fast the truck was travelling or how much over the
    46                 UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS
    posted limit he thought [it] was travelling. The
    posted speed limit is not even in the record before
    us. Officer King’s visual estimate of speed was not
    confirmed by any other means of corroboration of
    the speed, such as radar or pacing. Officer King
    observed no other traffic infractions or driving ano-
    malies by the pickup.
    
    Id.
     (footnotes omitted). Thus, the Petzoldt officer had no
    tracking history, had no training or demonstrated ability to
    visually estimate the speed of vehicles, and made no estimate
    of the speed differential.
    Neither Moore nor Petzoldt support adoption of an absolute
    requirement for corroborating evidence in the probable-cause
    context where an experienced traffic officer has visually esti-
    mated the speed of a vehicle to be in only "slight excess" of
    the speed limit. The contrast between Deputy Elliott and the
    officers involved in Moore and Petzoldt could not be more
    stark. Deputy Elliott was trained and certified in radar
    enforcement, experienced in traffic enforcement, and had
    demonstrated through certification and testing procedures his
    adeptness at judging the speed of vehicles. His testimony was
    specific, both as to his estimate and as to the speed limit, and
    he had a continuous and unobstructed view of Sowards’s
    vehicle as it approached him. The facts of this case are simply
    not analogous.
    D.
    To summarize, neither the state-court conviction cases nor
    the unpublished probable-cause cases relied upon by the
    majority support its broad holding that an officer’s visual
    speed estimate can never suffice as a basis for an officer’s
    probable cause to initiate a traffic stop unless the suspect is
    estimated to be traveling in significant excess of the speed
    limit or the officer has the time and ability to corroborate his
    visual estimate through some other objective technique or cir-
    UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS                   47
    cumstance. And the majority’s apparent basis for the rule—
    that "‘the accuracy of human estimation of speed cannot eas-
    ily, readily, and accurately discriminate between such small
    variations in speed," Majority Op. at 19-20 (internal quotation
    marks omitted)—is not supported by the evidence in this case,
    which we must view in the light most favorable to the govern-
    ment.
    In my opinion, an experienced officer such as Deputy
    Elliott, who has demonstrated an ability to estimate speed
    within a 3.5-mph margin of error, has all of the qualifications
    needed to form a reasonable belief that a speeding violation
    of 5 mph or more has occurred. Under today’s holding, how-
    ever, such an experienced, trained and certified police officer
    cannot legally stop a vehicle that he legitimately and reason-
    ably believes is traveling in "slight excess" of the speed limit
    and posing a potential threat to others based solely upon his
    visual estimate and professional opinion. I do not believe our
    probable-cause jurisprudence, which requires no more than
    that a law enforcement officer have such a reasonable belief,
    counsels or even permits that result.
    IV.   Factual Findings
    A.
    I turn now to the majority’s conclusion that the district
    court clearly erred in finding that Deputy Elliott "is trained to
    estimate speeds" and that "[h]is difficulty with measurements
    is immaterial to his estimate of speed as they did not depend
    on time or distance." J.A. 121. As noted earlier, these factual
    findings, whether "clearly erroneous" or not, do not serve as
    the basis for the majority’s decision. No explanation is ever
    given by the majority to show how the rejection of the district
    court’s factual findings factors into the ultimate holding in the
    case. See Majority Op. at 19-20. But no explanation probably
    needs to be given, as the corroboration requirement alone is
    all that the majority needs to reverse the district court as a
    48                 UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS
    matter of law. Although I strive to find otherwise, the majori-
    ty’s holding seems clear to me: as a matter of law, a police
    officer can never premise probable cause solely on his or her
    visual estimate of speed if the speed differential is "slight" as
    opposed to "significant"—no matter the officer’s training,
    knowledge, experience, certification, or demonstrated ability
    to estimate speeds or recite measurements. And this is
    because the majority "agree[s] that ‘the accuracy of human
    estimation of speed cannot easily, readily, and accurately dis-
    criminate between such small variations in speed.’" Majority
    Op. at 19-20 (quoting Kimes, 234 S.W.2d at 589). Thus, it
    matters not at all to the result whether Deputy Elliott was
    "trained" to visually estimate speed, as opposed to having
    developed and demonstrated the skill to do so during his train-
    ing and certification, nor is there any indication that the result
    in this case would have been any different if Deputy Elliott
    had correctly recited the lengths of rulers and yardsticks.
    In sum, Sowards’s difficulties with measurements—no
    matter how silly they seem or what fodder they would have
    made for cross-examination at trial — are irrelevant to the
    rule adopted today, and the district court’s factual findings,
    whether clearly erroneous or not, are not relevant to the legal
    determination that troubles me most.
    B.
    Had the majority relied upon Deputy Elliott’s lack of suffi-
    cient training or his inability to accurately recite measure-
    ments as a basis for determining that his visual estimate was
    unreliable, and therefore in need of corroboration, my dissent
    would remain. But it would rest on a much narrower basis: I
    disagree with the majority’s conclusion that the district court
    clearly erred in finding that Deputy Elliott was "trained to
    estimate speeds" and that his "difficulty with measurements
    [was] immaterial to his estimate of speed [because] they did
    not depend on time or distance." J.A. 121.
    UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS                  49
    Under the clear-error standard, "[a] factual finding by the
    district court may be reversed only if, although there is evi-
    dence to support it, the reviewing court on the entire evidence
    is left with the definite and firm conviction that a mistake has
    been committed." Walton v. Johnson, 
    440 F.3d 160
    , 173-74
    (4th Cir. 2006) (en banc) (internal quotation marks omitted).
    "Where there are two permissible views of the evidence, the
    factfinder’s choice between them cannot be clearly errone-
    ous." Walker v. Kelly, 
    589 F.3d 127
    , 141 (4th Cir. 2009)
    (internal quotation marks omitted).
    First, Deputy Elliott’s uncontradicted testimony is that he
    was required, as a part of his preparation for radar certifica-
    tion in North Carolina, to work with a certified instructor who
    "show[ed] [him] how to estimate the speeds" of vehicles. J.A.
    23. That sounds like training to me. I do not know what else
    it could mean. At the conclusion of the course, Deputy Elliott
    was also required to demonstrate to his instructor the ability
    to accurately estimate speeds within an average 3.5-mph mar-
    gin of error. In my view, the district court’s choice of words
    — that Deputy Elliott was "trained to estimate speeds" — is
    accurate.
    Second, Deputy Elliott inexplicably became confused when
    he was questioned about the measurements of feet and yards.
    He may well not know the correct answers to those questions,
    or he may just have had difficulty quickly recalling or con-
    verting such measurements on the witness stand. Unlike
    VASCAR, however, which involves a distance determination
    and timing mechanism to approximate speed according to the
    time/distance formula, there is no evidence that the reliability
    of an officer’s visual estimation of speed is or should be tied
    to a specific or minimum distance or time. See McBee v.
    State, 
    673 S.E.2d 569
    , 571 (Ga. Ct. App. 2009) (rejecting
    defendant’s argument that his motion to suppress should have
    been granted based upon the officer’s "failure to use mathe-
    matical calculations or radar to estimate [the vehicle’s] speed"
    because "an officer’s visual estimate may be used to establish
    50                     UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS
    speed"); Barberton, 929 N.E.2d at 1051 ("Visual observation
    has long been held a valid means of determining the speed of
    a moving vehicle as long as the witness has a reliable oppor-
    tunity to view the vehicle." (internal quotation marks omit-
    ted)). There was likewise no evidence that North Carolina’s
    certification procedure for estimating speeds is dependent
    upon distance or time.
    In my view, conditioning the materiality of a visual esti-
    mate of speed on the existence of a mathematical calculation
    ignores the realities of traffic enforcement and unduly ties the
    hands of officers who must have the freedom to exercise their
    judgment. Indeed, as a practical matter, it seems likely that
    visual estimates would perhaps most often come into play
    where police officers observe a speeding vehicle while
    engaged in their routine patrol duties and not while positioned
    where they can check speeds utilizing a time/distance mathe-
    matical calculation.11
    11
    The majority additionally charges that the district court’s finding
    "rings in the absurd," because no one can "discern the speed of a vehicle
    . . . without discerning both the increment of distance travelled and the
    increment of time passed." Majority Op. at 11-12. To answer the majori-
    ty’s question, I do not quibble with the mathematical formula for speed,
    and express no opinion as to whether we should take judicial notice of it.
    However, I do disagree with the majority’s holding that witnesses cannot
    offer an estimate of speed without knowing precisely the distance traveled
    and time elapsed. This is not a classroom or a laboratory, nor are the roads
    upon which police officers patrol. District courts are often called upon to
    make determinations as to a witness’s ability to offer opinion testimony,
    based upon the witness’s personal observations. Estimates of speed fall
    squarely and historically within the realm of opinion testimony that may
    be received even from lay witnesses, and which fall within the province
    of the factfinder (be that the district court or a jury) to evaluate and weigh.
    Credibility determinations must be made, which likewise rest with the
    factfinder and not with us.
    In sum, a lay witness’s estimation of speed, as opposed to an expert’s
    mathematical calculation of speed, is not tied to distance or time, or con-
    tingent upon a mathematical formula, when offered in a court of law, and
    the majority points to no case in which it has been. It is instead tied to the
    UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS                            51
    Finally, and to the extent the majority’s determination on
    this factual finding or its holding at all rests upon Deputy
    Elliott’s personal competency, I note that whatever difficulties
    Deputy Elliott might have had in recalling the measurements
    of feet and yards while being questioned in a courtroom, these
    difficulties have not prevented him from passing the certifica-
    tion tests nor prevented him from accurately determining the
    speed of moving vehicles while on the street and engaged in
    his normal law enforcement duties.
    The uncontradicted evidence in this case demonstrates that
    Deputy Elliott’s ability to estimate vehicle speeds was based
    upon his experience, training, and opportunity to observe the
    vehicle as it approached and passed him, rather than upon a
    known distance or minimum time. In my view, the evidence
    was more than sufficient to provide a foundation for his opin-
    ion in this case and to support his objectively reasonable
    belief that Sowards was speeding. For the same reasons, I am
    not left with a definite and firm conviction that the district
    judge, who had the opportunity to observe Deputy Elliott,
    made a mistake in finding that Deputy Elliott’s testimony
    regarding small measurements was immaterial to his estimate
    of the speed of Sowards’s vehicle, or in concluding that Dep-
    uty Elliott had probable cause to stop him.
    V.
    In my opinion, the majority’s decision today strikes a blow
    to the professional judgment of police officers, substitutes our
    opinion regarding the ability of officers to accurately assess
    "witness’s perception," and, in particular, his fair opportunity to personally
    observe the moving object. See e.g. Fed. R. Evid. 701. It is an estimate,
    not "a guess," based upon the witness’s personal observation, and the type
    of opinion evidence routinely received by courts. When evaluated in the
    context of probable cause, it is further evaluated with reference to the
    training and experience of the police officer, which, as it happens in this
    case, was quite substantial.
    52                 UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS
    the speed of vehicles for the facts presented, and severely ties
    the hands of trained and experienced police officers to enforce
    traffic safety laws. Whether, and to what extent, we might
    require corroborating evidence for slight speed differentials
    for purposes of sustaining a conviction should remain for
    another day. Whether visual estimates of speed within a slight
    speed differential are sufficiently reliable to prove that a vehi-
    cle was speeding "by a preponderance of the evidence" in the
    civil context is likewise not before us today. For purposes of
    the probable-cause determination, the officer need only have
    a "reasonable ground for belief of guilt." Brinegar, 
    338 U.S. at 175
     (internal quotation marks omitted), which need not
    even "be more likely true than false," Humphries, 
    372 F.3d at 660
    .
    Additionally, the majority completely invalidates the road
    test North Carolina has employed for its traffic officers to
    demonstrate their ability to estimate the speed of cars. From
    pages 20 to 23 of the majority opinion, my colleagues give
    their reasons for finding the test inadequate to demonstrate an
    officer’s expertise to judge speed without the use of radar.
    Although my colleagues summarily deny that they have taken
    this step, they nonetheless set forth in some detail the per-
    ceived "shortcomings" of North Carolina’s test for the pur-
    pose of discrediting Deputy Elliott’s demonstrated abilities in
    this area and rendering his opinion, and all others like it, unre-
    liable as a matter of law. Majority Op. at 22. Consequently,
    it seems clear to me that trained and certified police officers
    can no longer stop a speeding vehicle based only on their
    visual speed estimates unless satisfied that the vehicle falls
    within the as yet undefined "significant speeding" category.
    Given that it is only such "significant" speed differentials that
    do not require corroboration or other indicia of reliability
    under the majority’s holding, I can only view this as a whole-
    sale rejection of North Carolina’s testing and visual-estimate
    certification procedures as they would apply to "slight" speed-
    ing violations. Yet the certification procedure was never chal-
    lenged below or on appeal, and there is no evidence to support
    UNITED STATES v. SOWARDS                             53
    its invalidation. There is no telling what the ramifications will
    be in North Carolina and the other states of our circuit now
    that this certification procedure has been found insufficient.12
    Based upon his substantial training, experience, multiple
    certifications, and personal observations, Deputy Elliott had
    an objectively reasonable belief that Sowards was speeding,
    and thus had probable cause to stop him. Accordingly, I
    would affirm the district court’s denial of his motion to sup-
    press and respectfully dissent from the majority’s decision.13
    12
    The majority asserts that my concern regarding North Carolina’s certi-
    fication test is nothing more than a policy consideration. I express no pol-
    icy view as to whether North Carolina, Ohio, or any other state should
    certify officers in this manner, or what their legislatures should require in
    the way of traffic stops and convictions. My concern is that the majority
    has invalidated what appears to be a well-accepted test for police officers
    to demonstrate their proficiency in this area, without any evidentiary sup-
    port and based instead upon their common sense and judicial notice of the
    mathematical formula for speed. If the reliability of North Carolina’s certi-
    fication procedure is to be challenged, I believe we should leave it to a
    defendant who chooses to challenge it and who introduces evidence in
    support of that challenge, and that the government should be given the
    opportunity to defend it.
    13
    I would also affirm the district court’s decision that Deputy Elliott had
    reasonable suspicion sufficient to prolong the stop and perform a canine
    sniff while waiting for the BLOC information, and that he had probable
    cause to conduct a search of the vehicle once the canine alerted to illegal
    drugs.