BCCA Appeal Group v. United States Environmental Protection Agency , 355 F.3d 817 ( 2003 )


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  •                                                              United States Court of Appeals
    Fifth Circuit
    F I L E D
    October 28, 2003
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE FIFTH CIRCUIT
    Charles R. Fulbruge III
    _______________________________                    Clerk
    No. 02-60017
    _______________________________
    BCCA APPEAL GROUP; NATIONAL RESOURCES DEFENSE COUNCIL;
    ENVIRONMENTAL DEFENSE; DAVID MARRACK; JANE W. ELIOSEFF;
    GALVESTON-HOUSTON ASSOCIATION FOR SMOG PREVENTION (GHASP);
    GALVESTON BAY CONSERVATION AND PRESERVATION ASSOCIATION (GBCPA);
    SIERRA CLUB; AND BRAZORIA COUNTY, TEXAS,
    Petitioners,
    v.
    UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY;
    CHRISTINE T. WHITMAN, ADMINISTRATOR; AND
    GREGG A. COOKE, ADMINISTRATOR UNITED STATE ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
    REGION 6,
    Respondents,
    v.
    STATE OF TEXAS; HARRIS COUNTY, TEXAS;
    BCCA APPEAL GROUP; ENVIRONMENTAL DEFENSE;
    DAVID MARRACK; JANE W. ELIOSEFF; GALVESTON-
    HOUSTON ASSOCIATION FOR SMOG PREVENTION;
    GALVESTON BAY CONSERVATION AND PRESERVATION
    ASSOCIATION; HOUSTON-GALVESTON AREA COUNCIL;
    CITY OF HOUSTON; AND SIERRA CLUB,
    Intervenors.
    _____________________________________________________
    On Petitions for Review of Final Rule
    of the United States Environmental Protection Agency
    ______________________________________________________
    1
    Before DAVIS and BENAVIDES, Circuit Judges, and RESTANI,* Judge
    DAVIS, Circuit Judge and RESTANI, Judge:
    Before the court are consolidated petitions for direct review of a decision of the United
    States Environmental Protection Agency (“EPA”) approving (1) the State of Texas’s one-hour
    ozone attainment demonstration state implementation plan (“SIP”) for the Houston-Galveston
    severe ozone nonattainment area, and (2) the state’s control strategy (collectively referred to as
    the “Houston SIP”). See Approval and Promulgation of Implementation Plans, 
    66 Fed. Reg. 57,160
     (EPA Nov. 14, 2001) (final rule). Petitioners consist primarily of industries subject to the
    emissions controls in the Houston SIP, a county government affected by some of the SIP’s
    provisions, environmental groups, and individuals who live and work in the Houston-Galveston
    area. Finding that the EPA’s final rule approving the Houston SIP is not arbitrary, capricious, or
    otherwise not in accordance with law, we deny the petitions for review.
    I. BACKGROUND
    A.     Statutory Background
    The Clean Air Act (“CAA” or “the Act”), 
    42 U.S.C. §§ 7401
    –7671q (2000), establishes a
    comprehensive program for controlling and improving the nation’s air quality through state and
    federal regulation. The EPA is responsible for, among other things, identifying air pollutants that
    endanger the public health and welfare and formulating National Ambient Air Quality Standards
    (“NAAQS”) that specify the maximum permissible concentrations of those pollutants in the
    *
    The Honorable Jane A. Restani, U.S. Court of International Trade, sitting
    by designation.
    2
    ambient air. 
    Id.
     §§ 7408–7409. The EPA administrator has promulgated NAAQS for various
    pollutants, including ozone. See 
    40 C.F.R. § 50.9
    (a) (promulgating the one-hour ozone standard
    relevant to the present dispute). The one-hour NAAQS for ozone is .12 parts per million
    (although EPA often refers to it as 124.5 parts per billion (“ppb”)), and an area attains the
    standard when maximum measured hourly average ozone concentrations exceed the NAAQS no
    more than one day per calendar year. See 
    id.
     subsection (b).
    While the EPA determines the standards of air quality, the CAA imposes upon the states
    the primary responsibility for ensuring that the ambient air meets the NAAQS for the identified
    pollutants. 
    42 U.S.C. § 7407
    (a). The Act requires each state to prepare a one-hour ozone
    attainment demonstration SIP providing for the implementation, maintenance, and enforcement of
    the NAAQS for each air quality control region within the state. 
    Id.
     § 7410(a)(1). The CAA
    requires each SIP to, among other things: (1) “include enforceable emission limitations and other
    control measures, means, or techniques . . . as may be necessary or appropriate” to meet the
    statutory attainment deadline; (2) establish and operate “appropriate devices, methods, systems,
    and procedures” to “monitor, compile, and analyze data on ambient air quality;” (3) include an
    enforcement program; (4) contain “adequate provisions” to prohibit emissions activity that will
    significantly interfere with attainment or deteriorate air quality; (5) provide “necessary
    assurances” that the state has adequate resources “and authority under State (and, as appropriate,
    local) law to carry out [its] implementation plan;” (6) require owners and operators of stationary
    sources to monitor emissions and provide reports to the state; (7) provide for revision of the SIP
    as may be necessary to comply with revised NAAQS or to implement improved methods of
    attaining such standard; and (8) provide for the performance of air quality modeling as the EPA
    3
    directs in order to predict an air pollutant’s effect on ambient air quality. 
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (a)(2);
    see 
    id.
     § 7502(c)(6) (requiring attainment of the NAAQS by the statutory deadline in designated
    nonattainment areas like Houston-Galveston).
    Thus, the CAA supplies the goals and basic requirements of state implementation plans,
    but the states have broad authority to determine the methods and particular control strategies they
    will use to achieve the statutory requirements. See Union Elec. Co. v. EPA, 
    427 U.S. 246
    , 266
    (1976) (“So long as the national standards are met, the state may select whatever mix of control
    devices it desires”). After reasonable notice and public hearings, a state must adopt the SIP and
    submit it to the EPA for review and approval. 
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (a)(1). The EPA in turn must
    approve the SIP if it meets all of the CAA’s requirements. 
    Id.
     § 7410(k)(3).
    B.     Facts and Procedural History
    The Houston-Galveston area, a large geographic area consisting of eight counties, is one
    air quality control region in Texas. Houston-Galveston has one of the most serious ozone
    problems in the country. In order to comply with the CAA’s requirement for attainment of the
    one-hour ozone standard by 2007, Texas adopted the attainment demonstration SIP at issue in
    this case, which the EPA approved in its final rule.
    An “attainment demonstration SIP” has two components: (1) the attainment
    demonstration, which is based on computer modeling that predicts whether the area will meet the
    ozone standard by the statutory deadline of 2007; and (2) the state’s control strategy, which is its
    plan for achieving the actual emissions reductions needed for attainment. Modeling efforts for the
    Houston-Galveston SIP were complicated by a number of unique environmental factors and a
    4
    shortage of readily-available control options sufficient to provide the needed reductions.1
    Nevertheless, Texas developed an attainment demonstration and control strategy that its analyses
    confirmed would reach attainment by 2007.2
    The EPA evaluated the State’s modeling and associated analyses and determined that they
    were consistent with the CAA and EPA’s implementing regulations. EPA also conducted an
    exhaustive review of the State’s control strategy and found that it was as stringent or more
    stringent than any other SIP in the country. See 66 Fed. Reg. at 57,178. Because the EPA
    determined that the control strategy would reach attainment by 2007 and that the SIP met other
    applicable requirements of the Act, EPA fully approved the Houston SIP as required by federal
    law. Id. at 57,160; see 
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (k)(3).
    1
    The Houston-Galveston area’s unique “land-sea breeze” meteorological
    condition affects ozone formation and movement around the region, adding a “level
    of complexity . . . not seen anywhere else in the country.” 66 Fed. Reg. at 57,164.
    This condition causes emissions in the Houston-Galveston to begin to form ozone in
    the local atmosphere, “later emissions and ozone formed are transported out over
    the warm air over the Gulf of Mexico where the warmer temperatures further
    activate the chemistry to form more ozone which is then transported back inland
    over the area.” Id. In addition to overcoming this meteorological complexity, the
    Houston SIP had to reduce nitrogen oxide (“NOx”) emissions by 71 percent to
    reach attainment by 2007, despite a shortage of control options. Id. at 57,174.
    2
    The State’s sophisticated computer modeling simulated ozone formation in
    the Houston-Galveston area despite the land-sea breeze phenomenon, and additional
    analyses confirmed that the control strategy would achieve attainment by the
    statutory deadline.
    5
    Petitioners, most of whom participated in the underlying administrative proceedings, now
    challenge EPA’s approval of the Houston SIP and Texas’s control strategy.3 Two petitioners,
    BCCA Appeal Group (“BCCA”)4 and Brazoria County,5 essentially oppose the Houston SIP
    because they believe some of its control measures are too stringent and will nevertheless fail to
    attain the NAAQS for ozone. BCCA raises numerous legal challenges to the EPA’s approval of
    Texas’s modeling and the State’s use of other analytical methods used to demonstrate attainment,
    claims that the control strategy will not achieve the statutory standard, and asserts that the EPA
    erred in approving the SIP while withholding final action on certain state-adopted rule provisions
    integral to the SIP’s control strategy. Brazoria County maintains that certain components of
    Texas’s emissions control strategy violate state law and that EPA’s approval of those measures
    was arbitrary and capricious.
    Conversely, the environmental petitioners believe the Houston SIP does not go far enough
    in adopting sufficient control measures to achieve attainment by the statutory deadline.
    Petitioners Environmental Defense, David Marrack, Jane Elioseff, Galveston-Houston
    Association for Smog Prevention, and the Galveston Bay Conservation and Preservation
    Association (collectively “Environmental Defense” or “ED”) challenge Texas’s attainment
    3
    Petitioners apparently divided up the issues for briefing, and the
    environmental petitioners generally adopt each other’s arguments.
    4
    BCCA Appeal Group is comprised of owners and operators of stationary
    sources of air pollution that are subject to Texas’s control measures.
    5
    Brazoria County is one of eight counties within the Houston-Galveston area.
    Fort Bend County initially joined Brazoria County’s petition for review, but later
    voluntarily withdrew from the action. Fort Bend County’s petition was terminated
    on November 26, 2002.
    6
    demonstration, the SIP’s inclusion of an enforceable commitment to adopt additional control
    measures in order to achieve attainment, and the motor vehicle emissions budgets (“MVEB”)
    included in the SIP. Petitioner Natural Resources Defense Counsel (“NRDC”) raises various
    challenges to EPA’s approval of the SIP’s Voluntary Mobile Emissions Reductions Program
    (“VMEP”) and the Texas Emissions Reduction Program (“TERP”). Petitioner Sierra Club’s
    claims focus on the Houston SIP’s treatment of reasonably available control measures (“RACM”).
    II. JURISDICTION AND STANDARD OF REVIEW
    The court has jurisdiction to review the EPA’s approval of the Houston SIP pursuant to
    section 307(b)(1) of the CAA, 
    42 U.S.C. § 7607
    (b)(1). The court must uphold the EPA’s
    findings, conclusions, and ultimate action approving the Houston SIP unless “arbitrary,
    capricious, an abuse of discretion, or otherwise not in accordance with law.” Administrative
    Procedure Act, 
    5 U.S.C. § 706
    (2)(A) (2000); see Sierra Club v. United States EPA, 
    314 F.3d 735
    , 739 (5th Cir. 2002).
    III. DISCUSSION
    The APA’s standard of review is narrow. A rule is “arbitrary and capricious” only where
    the agency has considered impermissible factors, failed to consider important aspects of the
    problem, offered an explanation for its decision that is contrary to the record evidence, or is so
    irrational that it could not be attributed to a difference in opinion or the result of agency expertise.
    Motor Vehicle Mfrs. Ass’n v. State Farm Mut. Auto. Ins. Co., 
    463 U.S. 29
    , 43 (1983). Thus,
    agency decisions will be upheld so long as the agency “examine[s] the relevant data and
    articulate[s] a satisfactory explanation for its action including a ‘rational connection between the
    facts found and the choice made.’” Burlington Truck Lines v. United States, 
    371 U.S. 156
    , 168
    7
    (1962) (citation omitted). A reviewing court must be “most deferential” to the agency where, as
    here, its decision is based upon its evaluation of complex scientific data within its technical
    expertise. Baltimore Gas & Elec. Co. v. NRDC, 
    462 U.S. 87
    , 103 (1983).
    The court applies the two-step Chevron analysis to questions involving the EPA’s
    interpretations of the statutes it administers. See Chevron U.S.A., Inc. v. NRDC, 
    467 U.S. 837
    ,
    842–43 (1984); Texas Office of Pub. Util. Counsel v. FCC, 
    265 F.3d 313
    , 320 (5th Cir. 2001). If
    Congress “has directly spoken to the precise question at issue,” the agency and the court “must
    give effect to the unambiguously expressed intent of Congress.” Chevron, 
    467 U.S. at
    842–43.
    If the statute, however, is “silent or ambiguous with respect to the specific issue,” 
    id. at 843
    , the
    court must first assess the administrative decision-making process itself to determine whether the
    agency’s action is entitled to Chevron deference. United States v. Mead Corp., 
    533 U.S. 218
    ,
    226–31 (2001). Under Mead, Congress must have “delegated authority to the agency generally
    to make rules carrying the force of law,” and the agency interpretation claiming deference must
    have been promulgated in the exercise of that authority. 
    Id.
     at 226–27. If the agency’s decision is
    a result of a sufficiently formal and deliberative process to warrant deference, see 
    id. at 230
    , the
    second step of Chevron requires the court to assess whether the agency’s interpretation is “based
    on a permissible construction of the statute.” Chevron, 
    467 U.S. at 843
    . If the agency’s
    interpretation is reasonable, it will be upheld. See Smiley v. Citibank, N.A., 
    517 U.S. 735
    ,
    744–45 (1996) (explaining that a “permissible” interpretation is a “reasonable” one); Texas Office
    of Pub. Util. Counsel, 
    265 F.3d at 320
     (“The question is not whether we might have preferred
    another way to interpret the statute, but whether the agency’s decision was a reasonable one.”).
    8
    Federal courts accord “great deference” to the EPA’s construction of the Clean Air Act. Union
    Elec. Co. v. EPA, 
    427 U.S. 246
    , 256 (1976) (citing Train v. NRDC, 
    421 U.S. 60
    , 75 (1975)).
    In the present case, Congress’s enactment of the CAA delegated authority to the EPA to
    review SIPs for their compliance with the statute and EPA’s implementing regulations. 
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (k). The EPA exercised its statutory authority in approving the Houston SIP through
    notice-and-comment rulemaking proceedings. Because notice-and-comment rulemaking is a
    formal process, EPA’s final rules approving the Houston SIP, to the extent they involve the
    reasonable resolution of ambiguities in the CAA, will be afforded Chevron deference. See
    Whitman v. Am. Trucking Ass’ns, 
    531 U.S. 457
    , 484 (2001) (citations omitted).
    A.      Whether BCCA Has Standing to Challenge the SIP Approval
    As an initial matter, EPA argues that BCCA lacks standing to challenge EPA’s approval
    of the attainment demonstration. BCCA bears the burden of establishing Article III standing. See
    Lujan v. Defenders of Wildlife, 
    504 U.S. 555
    , 561 (1992); Am. Forest & Paper Ass’n v. United
    States EPA, 
    137 F.3d 291
    , 296 (5th Cir. 1998). BCCA must demonstrate that (1) it has suffered
    an “injury in fact” that is (2) fairly traceable to the defendant’s conduct and not “some third party
    not before the court,” and (3) it is “likely . . . that the injury will be redressed by a favorable
    decision.” Lujan, 
    504 U.S. at
    560–61 (citations omitted).
    According to the EPA, BCCA is injured, if at all, as a result of the specific control
    measures Texas adopted in the Houston SIP. Accordingly, EPA argues that BCCA’s injury is not
    fairly traceable to EPA and would not be redressed by a favorable decision. EPA also claims that
    BCCA has not suffered an injury in fact with respect to certain point source NOx control
    provisions and, therefore, lacks standing to challenge those provisions. BCCA accuses the EPA
    9
    of mis-characterizing the legal nature of its claims by confusing its motive with its method. While
    BCCA’s motive may be to alter the mix of various air quality control measures in the Houston
    SIP, its legal challenge is based on the EPA’s statutory authority to approve a SIP when it is
    allegedly based on flawed modeling, fails to demonstrate attainment of the ozone standard, and
    materially differs from the proposed SIP. Thus, BCCA maintains that its injury, being subject to a
    SIP that fails to meet minimum statutory standards, was caused by the EPA and would be
    redressed by a decision in its favor. We agree.
    This court has held that companies forced to comply with EPA regulatory requirements
    meet each prong of the standing test. American Forest & Paper Association involved a group of
    industries that were subject to a state’s pollutant discharge permit requirements. 
    137 F.3d at 294
    .
    Although permitting authority was statutorily vested in the EPA, the agency could delegate its
    authority to a state if the state’s program demonstrated compliance with statutorily enumerated
    requirements. The court noted that “EPA does not enjoy wide latitude in deciding whether to
    approve or reject a state’s proposed permit program. ‘Unless the Administrator . . . determines
    that the proposed state program does not meet [the specified] requirements, he must approve the
    proposal.’” 
    Id. at 294
     (quoting Save the Bay, Inc. v. EPA, 
    556 F.2d 1282
    , 1285 (5th Cir. 1977)).
    The court held that petitioners subject to the EPA-approved permit program had standing to
    challenge the EPA’s approval of the program. Id. at 296.
    The present case is analogous to that in American Forest & Paper. Like the permitting
    program at issue there, the EPA’s role in approving air pollution control plans is limited. The
    EPA must approve a plan if it meets minimum statutory requirements, and states are free to
    impose stricter measures. See 
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (k)(3); Union Elec. Co., 
    427 U.S. at 257
     (“the
    10
    Administrator ‘shall approve’ the proposed state plan” if it satisfies the statutory criteria, and the
    Administrator “is not to be concerned with factors other than those specified”). If, however, the
    EPA approves a plan that does not meet the statutory standards, the regulated industry has
    standing to challenge that action.
    Contrary to EPA’s characterization of BCCA’s claims, the legal basis for BCCA’s
    challenge is the SIP’s compliance with the minimum requirements of the CAA, not the SIP’s
    stringency.6 BCCA has suffered an injury in fact in the form of the costs of compliance with the
    Houston SIP’s control measures, along with the added risk that its members will be responsible
    for any penalties assessed for the Houston SIP’s failure to attain the ozone standard by the
    statutory deadline. BCCA’s injury is fairly traceable to EPA because, if BCCA’s claims are true,
    EPA unlawfully approved a SIP that failed to meet minimum statutory requirements. Finally,
    BCCA’s injury is redressable by a decision in its favor because EPA would be forced to
    disapprove the portions of the Houston SIP the court finds incompatible with the CAA. See 
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (k)(3). In addition, the approved SIP is federally enforceable against BCCA’s
    members, so that a favorable decision would redress that threat of injury as well. See 
    id.
     §
    6
    Thus, this case is distinguishable from cases where petitioners attempted to
    challenge SIPs that not only met the CAA’s minimum requirements, but also
    exceeded them. Because the states can adopt more stringent air pollution control
    measures than federal law requires, the EPA is empowered to disapprove state plans
    only when they fall below the level of stringency required by federal law. See, e.g.,
    Duquesne Light Co. v. United States EPA, 
    166 F.3d 609
    , 611, 613 (3d Cir. 1999)
    (holding that petitioner lacked standing to sue the EPA when its injury was being
    subject to state control measures that were more stringent than the CAA requires).
    11
    7413(b)–(c) (subjecting violators to civil and criminal penalties). Accordingly, the court finds that
    BCCA has established its right to sue the EPA under Article III.
    B.      Whether BCCA and Brazoria County Waived Arguments Not Properly Raised
    During the Administrative Process
    EPA argues that even if BCCA has standing to pursue its challenge to EPA’s action,
    BCCA failed to raise, or properly present, its challenges to the Houston SIP during the comment
    period. EPA also asserts that, because none of the arguments advanced by petitioner Brazoria
    County were raised in the administrative proceedings before the EPA, the County is prohibited
    from seeking judicial review of these matters.
    1.      BCCA
    Although the EPA has an obligation to give full consideration to significant comments
    raised during the administrative proceedings, “it is still incumbent upon intervenors who wish to
    participate [in the proceeding] to structure their participation so that it is meaningful, so that it
    alerts the agency to the intervenors’ position and contentions.” Vermont Yankee Nuclear Power
    Corp. v. NRDC, 
    435 U.S. 519
    , 533 (1978). A commenter in administrative proceedings before
    the EPA has the burden of clarifying its position by specifying “why and how” the submitted
    documentation is relevant to its position. Northside Sanitary Landfill, Inc. v. Thomas, 
    849 F.2d 1516
    , 1520 (D.C. Cir. 1988). In Northside, the D.C. Circuit held that a commenter who
    submitted 420 pages of technical documentation without explaining the relevancy of the
    documents, or the “specific relationship between any of the documents and Northside’s
    objections,” had not properly raised the objections during the comment period. 
    849 F.2d at
    12
    1518–20. “[T]he mere submission of voluminous documentation to the EPA” is not enough. 
    Id. at 1519
    . As the Supreme Court has explained,
    administrative proceedings should not be a game or forum to engage in unjustified
    obstructionism by making cryptic and obscure references to matters that “ought to be”
    considered and then, after failing to do more to bring the matter to the agency’s
    attention, seeking to have that agency determination vacated on the ground that the
    agency failed to consider matters “forcefully presented.”
    Vermont Yankee, 
    435 U.S. at
    553–54.
    EPA concedes that the documentation supporting BCCA’s challenges to its approval of
    the Houston SIP—deposition transcripts, hearing transcripts, and exhibits compiled in connection
    with a state court action—was submitted to the EPA during the comment period. EPA argues,
    however, that BCCA, like the commenter in Northside, failed to alert the EPA to the relevant
    portions of the voluminous material it submitted to the agency and to explain how that material
    relates to the specific objections in its comments. EPA maintains that BCCA’s comments, much
    like those in Northside, provided only cursory descriptions of the documents themselves. EPA
    provides only one concrete example of this phenomena in its brief, claiming that the only direction
    in BCCA’s comments with regard to more than 1,000 pages of hearing transcripts was: “In
    particular, the Group points to the testimony, and related exhibits, of Dr. Harvey Jeffries and Dr.
    Tom Tesche.” BCCA Comments, J.A. Tab 1a, at 3. EPA claims that this vague reference to two
    experts’ testimony fails to explain how the referenced testimony is relevant to the issues BCCA
    raised in its comments, where the testimony could be located in the voluminous transcripts, or
    which “related exhibits” were relevant and where they could be found.
    The court has reviewed BCCA’s comments and finds that petitioner sufficiently clarified
    its position for the EPA. BCCA expressed the Group’s “very serious concerns . . . about the
    13
    feasibility and economic consequences of the . . . NOx point source controls,” stated that the
    photochemical grid modeling that formed the basis for the State’s control strategy was
    “fundamentally flawed,” and that the proposed control strategy “will not attain the standard.”
    BCCA Comments, J.A. Tab 1a, at 2. Contrary to EPA’s characterization of the comments
    regarding the expert testimony, the court finds that BCCA sufficiently explained the issue to
    which the testimony was relevant. See id. at 3. It is apparent when reading the entire paragraph
    from which the EPA cherry picks its argument that the testimony relates to BCCA’s objections to
    the SIP’s NOx controls, which were based on the photochemical modeling results. BCCA raised
    objections to the modeling as well, claiming that its failure to account for ozone “spikes” rendered
    it fundamentally flawed, and BCCA commented on the statistical and graphical tests used to
    validate the model. See infra Part III.C. The comments also criticized the EPA’s approval of the
    supplemental analyses Texas employed in formulating its control strategy, i.e., the quadratic
    equation and its inputs, as well as the EPA’s weight-of-evidence analysis. Accordingly, the court
    concludes that BCCA was a meaningful participant in the administrative proceedings, and EPA’s
    arguments to the contrary fail.
    2.      Brazoria County
    Petitioner Brazoria County challenges for the first time speed limit reductions,7 vehicle
    inspection/maintenance provisions, and lawn equipment operating restrictions8 in the Houston
    7
    Under the SIP, the speed limit would be lowered to 55 mph effective May 1,
    2002.
    8
    Use of lawn equipment would be limited to certain afternoon hours between
    April 1 and October 31 of each year.
    14
    SIP. The County’s central argument is that these provisions were adopted by Texas in violation
    of state law and, therefore, the EPA’s approval of the SIP is arbitrary and capricious. EPA
    responds that, because the County, or any other petitioner, failed to raise these issues during the
    administrative proceedings, the arguments are waived.9 The court agrees.
    Generally, in considering a petition for review from a final agency order, this court will not
    consider questions of law which were neither presented to nor passed on by the agency. E.g.,
    Bass v. United States Dep’t of Agriculture, 
    211 F.3d 959
    , 964 (5th Cir. 2000); Southwestern Bell
    Tel. Co. v. Public Util. Comm’n, 
    208 F.3d 475
     (5th Cir. 2000); Myron v. Martin, 
    670 F.2d 49
    , 51
    (5th Cir. 1982); Inst. for Tech. Dev. v. Brown, 
    63 F.3d 445
    , 449 n.3 (5th Cir. 1995). In 1998,
    the court specifically held that challenges to EPA action are waived by the “failure to raise the
    objections during the notice and comment period.” Texas Oil & Gas Ass’n v. United States EPA,
    
    161 F.3d 923
    , 933 n.7 (5th Cir. 1998) (citing United States v. L.A. Tucker Truck Lines, Inc., 
    344 U.S. 33
    , 35–37 (1952)).10 For the federal courts to review a petitioner’s claims in the first
    9
    The City of Houston and the State of Texas, intervenors in this action,
    concur with EPA’s waiver argument. These intervenors also argue that this court
    lacks jurisdiction to consider the alleged errors of state law raised by the County’s
    petition for review. Because Brazoria County’s claims can be disposed of upon the
    court’s finding of waiver, see discussion infra, the difficult question of whether the
    federal courts should properly adjudicate state law issues relating to state
    implemention plan development need not be addressed.
    10
    Circuit precedent does conflict in this area, see City of Seabrook v. United
    States EPA, 
    659 F.2d 1349
     (5th Cir. 1981) (concluding that a party’s failure to raise
    challenges to a SIP during the administrative process did not waive those arguments
    on appeal) and Am. Forest & Paper Ass’n v. EPA, 
    137 F.3d 291
    , 295 (5th Cir.
    1998) (following City of Seabrook), but the court chooses to follow Texas Oil &
    Gas as the most closely analogous case and the better rule of law. In Seabrook, the
    (continued...)
    15
    instance would “usurp[] the agency’s function” and “deprive the [EPA] of an opportunity to
    consider the matter, make its ruling, and state the reasons for its action.” Unemployment Comp.
    Comm’n v. Aragan, 
    329 U.S. 143
    , 155 (1946). This is a basic tenent of administrative law
    generally. E.g., L.A. Tucker Truck Lines, 
    344 U.S. at 37
     (“Simple fairness . . . requires as a
    general rule that courts should not topple over administrative decisions unless the administrative
    10
    (...continued)
    court’s primary basis for finding no waiver was that “[t]he EPA has cited no
    authority for the proposition that an argument not raised during the comment period
    may not be raised on review.” 
    659 F.2d at
    1361 n.17. This is not the case here. In
    addition, the question presented in Seabrook was a purely legal one, requiring the
    appellate court’s evaluation of whether EPA complied with the statute. The court
    reasoned, “Since the EPA is required by statute to make these determinations in
    approving or disapproving a state plan, we do not think that petitioners needed to
    notify the agency that it had acted arbitrarily.” 
    Id. at 1361
    . By contrast, in the
    present case Brazoria County argues that EPA was arbitrary and capricious in
    failing to independently verify that the Houston SIP complied with state law. As
    this is not an obligation expressly imposed by the CAA, the County needed to raise
    its objections during the administrative proceeding and provide EPA an opportunity
    to consider the issue before asserting, after the fact, that EPA was arbitrary for
    failing to do so. Therefore, Seabrook is distinguishable from this case on its facts
    and the law. Furthermore, in recent years the court has stepped back from
    Seabrook’s holding on waiver, and has even applied the waiver doctrine to bar its
    consideration of claims that were not raised before the EPA in similar situations as
    the present dispute. See Texas Oil & Gas Ass’n, 
    161 F.3d at
    933 n.7 (recognizing,
    without mentioning Seabrook, that petitions for review of EPA decisions may not
    raise issues for the first time on appeal based on Supreme Court precedent); but see
    Am. Forest & Paper Ass’n, 
    137 F.3d at 295
     (following Seabrook earlier that year).
    Other federal circuits have specifically questioned Seabrook’s reasoning in light of
    the general consensus in other circuits that the waiver doctrine applies to EPA
    decisions. See 1000 Friends of Maryland v. Browner, 
    265 F.3d 216
    , 228 n.7 (4th
    Cir. 2001). Because the present case is distinguishable from Seabrook on the law
    and the facts, the court need not resolve the conflict in the circuit at this time.
    Rather, the court finds Texas Oil & Gas controlling here.
    16
    body not only has erred but has erred against objection made at the time appropriate under its
    practice.”); Myron, 
    670 F.2d at 51
     (“Practical notions of judicial efficiency, administrative
    autonomy and encouraging effective agency procedures provide the basis for the general rule”)
    (citing McKart v. United States, 
    395 U.S. 185
    , 195 (1969)).
    Therefore, only in exceptional circumstances should a court review for the first time on
    appeal a particular challenge to the EPA’s approval of a state implementation plan that was not
    raised during the agency proceedings. See, e.g., 1000 Friends, 
    265 F.3d at
    227–28; Michigan
    Dep’t of Envtl. Quality v. Browner, 
    230 F.3d 181
    , 183 n.1 (6th Cir. 2000); Military Toxics
    Project v. EPA, 
    146 F.3d 948
    , 956–57 (D.C. Cir. 1998); NRDC v. United States EPA, 
    25 F.3d 1063
    , 1073–74 (D.C. Cir. 1994).
    Brazoria County does not dispute that it failed to raise its arguments before the EPA. The
    County provides no justification for its failure to properly raise these claims during the
    administrative proceedings. In addition, rather than challenging EPA’s failure to perform a
    statutory duty, the County asks us to declare that the EPA acted arbitrarily in failing to perform a
    function not mandated by statute. See supra n.11. We decline the invitation. The County has
    waived its state law-based arguments by failing to present them to the EPA.11
    11
    As mentioned above, the County claims that certain provisions in the
    Houston SIP were invalid under Texas state law and, therefore, EPA’s approval of
    those provisions was arbitrary and capricious. The court notes that the CAA only
    requires that the states provide “necessary assurances that the State . . . will have
    adequate . . . authority under State (and, as appropriate, local) law to carry out such
    implementation plan (and is not prohibited by any provision of . . . State law from
    carrying out such implementation plan or portion thereof).” 
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (a)(2)(E)(i). There is no statutory requirement that the EPA review SIP
    (continued...)
    17
    C.     Whether EPA’s Approval of Texas’s Attainment Demonstration Is Supported by the
    Record and Consistent with the CAA
    Section 182(c)(2)(A) of the CAA requires Texas to demonstrate that the Houston SIP will
    achieve attainment of the ozone NAAQS by the statutory deadline. 42 U.S.C. § 7511a(c)(2)(A).
    “This attainment demonstration must be based on photochemical grid modeling12 or any other
    analytical method determined . . . to be at least as effective.” Id. (footnote added). EPA
    approved Texas’s attainment demonstration for the Houston-Galveston area because the agency
    concluded, based on all the evidence, that the area would reach attainment of the NAAQS for
    11
    (...continued)
    submissions to ensure compliance with state law, contrary to the County’s position
    in this litigation. Such a requirement would be extremely burdensome and negate
    the rationale for having the state provide assurances in the first instance. The EPA
    is entitled to rely on a state’s certification unless it is clear that the SIP violates state
    law, and proof thereof, such as a state court decision, is presented to the EPA during
    the SIP approval process. See Ohio Envtl. Council v. United States EPA, 
    593 F.2d 24
    , 27–29 (6th Cir. 1979) (holding that EPA was not arbitrary and capricious in
    relying upon a state’s certification that its action was lawful and enforceable under
    state law).
    12
    Photochemical grid modeling is computerized air quality modeling “that
    evaluates how emissions from various sources combine in the atmosphere and
    predicts the concentration of pollutants that likely will result.” 1000 Friends, 265
    F.3d at 220 n.4. This technique employs complex computer models that can predict
    ozone levels as of the statutory attainment date based on monitoring data,
    meteorology, the area’s projected growth, planned emission reductions, and other
    factors. Id. (citation omitted).
    The photochemical grid model overlays a grid on the geographical area being
    studied and simulates emissions and ozone concentrations in each “cell” of the grid.
    66 Fed. Reg. at 57,165. Each cell is a three-dimensional block of space, about 4
    kilometers by 4 kilometers in area, with a depth of 50 meters. Id. For each grid
    cell, the model simulates the average air quality conditions present in that space. Id.
    18
    ozone by 2007 and that no additional measures would advance the attainment date. See 66 Fed.
    Reg. at 57,160.
    Texas’s attainment demonstration includes both photochemical grid modeling and
    supplemental analyses that EPA considered in its “weight-of-evidence” analysis. As an initial
    matter, BCCA contends that Texas’s photochemical grid modeling was flawed because it failed to
    simulate rapidly-forming ozone peaks, known as “spikes,”13 and overestimated ozone formation in
    other parts of the Houston-Galveston area.14 Thus, BCCA argues that EPA’s reliance on the
    faulty modeling renders its approval of the Houston SIP arbitrary and capricious. In addition,
    BCCA and Environmental Defense both question the legality of EPA’s weight-of-evidence
    approach that considers other analytical methods in addition to the attainment demonstration
    itself. Part 1 of this section discusses petitioners’ challenges to Texas’s photochemical grid
    modeling and EPA’s approval thereof. Part 2 addresses the legality of EPA’s decision to approve
    13
    Ozone “spikes” are dramatic increases in measured ozone over short
    periods of time, ranging from several minutes to an hour. BCCA points out in its
    brief that from 1990 to 1998, there were 106 instances of ozone spikes measured by
    monitors in the Houston-Galveston area. That amounts to approximately one spike
    per month in an area covering 220,000 square kilometers. BCCA argues that the
    model’s failure to predict the exact location of spikes renders it irreparably flawed.
    BCCA similarly argues that the EPA’s approval of the Houston SIP was contrary to
    law because the control strategy does not control for spikes and, therefore, cannot
    bring the area into attainment with the ozone standard. Id. at 51. These arguments
    are rejected for the reasons explained in Part III.C.1, infra.
    14
    The agency’s final rule considered, but rejected, identical criticisms of
    Texas’s modeling raised during the comment period. See 66 Fed. Reg. at
    57,164–65.
    19
    the Houston SIP after determining that, based on all the record evidence, the SIP would achieve
    attainment of the ozone NAAQS by 2007.
    1.      EPA’s Approval of Texas’s Attainment Demonstration
    Texas used an EPA-approved photochemical grid model, the Comprehensive Air Quality
    Model with Extensions, in its attainment demonstration for the Houston-Galveston area. Texas
    applied the model to a large geographic region, covering over 220,000 square kilometers, to
    ensure that all the major emission sources were included in the model’s results. Texas adjusted
    the model to account for the unique land-sea breeze phenomenon conducive to ozone formation
    in the region. See supra n.1 and accompanying text. Before using the model to predict future
    ozone concentrations, however, Texas validated the model by performing a test run (“the base
    case”) that compared the model’s predictions with actual air quality data for a chosen time period.
    The base time period covered four days, September 8–11, 1993, that featured both high ozone
    concentrations and the land-sea breeze weather patterns characteristic of the Houston-Galveston
    area. Following EPA-accepted protocols, Texas then entered emissions data into the model for
    the base time period, ran the model, and compared the predicted results with actual ozone
    concentrations measured at 34 air quality monitors in Houston-Galveston during the base time
    period. Texas then applied a battery of tests and analyses set forth in EPA guidance, including
    diagnostic and sensitivity analyses, graphical displays, and statistical tests, which collectively
    demonstrated that the model’s base case performance was acceptable. See 66 Fed. Reg. at
    57,164.
    Once it validated the model, Texas used it to predict ozone concentrations for the 2007
    attainment date based on anticipated changes in the number and type of emissions sources. The
    20
    state then introduced its proposed control strategy and ran the model’s “attainment test,” which
    compared the predicted ozone levels to the NAAQS for ozone for all the grid cells in the selected
    episode. The model showed that Texas’s proposed strategy would significantly reduce ozone
    concentrations in the Houston-Galveston area, but not enough to meet the applicable ozone
    standard.
    In response, Texas, following an approach set forth in EPA guidance, estimated the
    additional emissions reductions necessary to bring the area into attainment, and adopted a revised
    control strategy that would provide for attainment by 2007. 66 Fed. Reg. at 57,160. The revised
    control strategy includes additional control measures and an enforceable commitment15 to adopt
    even more control measures after a mid-course review in 2004 and submission of a SIP revision
    to the EPA. Id. EPA approved the attainment demonstration, including the photochemical grid
    modeling, as part of the final rule under review in these petitions. See id.
    While photochemical grid models are imperfect tools for predicting future air quality, a
    modeled attainment demonstration “provide[s] a reasonable expectation that the measures and
    procedures outlined will result in attainment of the NAAQS by [the statutory deadline].” 1996
    Modeling Guidance, J.A. Tab 43, at 3. “[A] reviewing court must remember that the [agency] is
    making predictions, within its area of special expertise, at the frontiers of science. When
    examining this kind of scientific determination, as opposed to simple findings of fact, a reviewing
    court must generally be at its most deferential.” Baltimore Gas & Elec. Co. v. NRDC, 
    462 U.S. 87
    , 103 (1983). The court’s role is to evaluate whether the EPA’s projections represent arbitrary
    15
    The legality of the state’s enforceable commitment is discussed infra Part
    III.E.
    21
    or capricious exercises of its authority, not whether they are accurate. Texas v. EPA, 
    499 F.2d 289
    , 301 (5th Cir. 1974). Finally, there is a presumption of regularity to the EPA’s choice of
    analytical methodology, so challenging parties must overcome a “considerable burden.” Am.
    Petroleum Inst. v. EPA, 
    787 F.2d 965
    , 983 (5th Cir. 1986).
    The court finds that EPA’s reliance on the model’s results was not arbitrary, capricious, or
    contrary to law. In its final rule, the EPA addressed BCCA’s concern that the model fails to
    account for ozone spikes. See 66 Fed. Reg. at 57,165. EPA explained that while air quality
    monitors measure ozone concentration at one fixed point in space, ozone concentrations can vary
    significantly over a grid cell. Id. The photochemical grid model, by definition, averages natural
    conditions over the volume of each grid cell. Id. As such, EPA does not expect comparisons
    between model predictions and monitor observations to exactly match. Id. The EPA found that
    while the Texas model has difficulty replicating rapid increases in ozone, “[t]his is to be expected
    and does not necessarily call into question the model’s utility as a tool to predict the level of
    emission reductions needed to reach attainment.” Id. EPA determined that the Texas model
    “provides reasonable predictions of ozone levels as confirmed by comparisons with monitoring
    data and therefore can provide an acceptable estimate of the amount of emissions needed for
    attainment.” Id. This explanation is reasonable and is supported by the record, and, therefore,
    EPA’s determination is entitled to deference.
    The EPA’s final rule also addressed BCCA’s concern that the photochemical grid model
    both over- and under-predicted ozone in some areas. See id. at 57,164. EPA’s final rule explains
    that the model was validated by a battery of diagnostic and sensitivity analyses and graphical and
    22
    statistical performance measures. Id. The model’s “Unpaired Peak Accuracy,”16 “Normalized
    Bias,”17 and “Gross Error”18 statistical test results were all within the suggested limits in the EPA
    16
    The “Unpaired Peak Accuracy” test measures the difference between the
    highest observed ozone concentration at any time at any monitoring station and the
    highest model-predicted ozone concentration at any time in any grid cell. 1991
    Modeling Guidance, J.A. Tab 42, at 54 & 81. BCCA asserts that Texas’s passing
    statistic for this test was achieved by manipulating the model between 1997 and
    2000. EPA responds that this point was not raised, and that BCCA relies upon
    matierials and testimony not properly identified, during the comment period.
    Regardless, the record reflects only that Texas improved its modeling in 1997,
    which resulted in an overprediction of ozone concentrations in one grid cell. As
    discussed infra, EPA found that the overprediction resulted from the model’s
    difficulty in simulating wind speed and direction, and that opinion is entitled to
    deference.
    Furthermore, BCCA’s claim that the model should not have passed the
    Unpaired Peak Accuracy test because it predicted an ozone peak approximately 45
    miles from the actual peak location is misplaced. This test measures the difference
    between the highest observed ozone value and the highest model-predicted value
    over all hours and monitoring stations. Geographic location is simply not a factor in
    that test. Rather, the Normalized Bias and Gross Error tests take geographic
    proximity into account, and the model passed those tests for all days in the base
    time period.
    17
    The “Normalized Bias” test measures the model’s ability to replicate
    observed patterns during times when available monitored data and modeling data
    are most likely to represent similar spatial scales. 1991 Modeling Guidance, J.A.
    Tab 42, at 54. EPA concluded that Texas’s model performed acceptably on the
    Normalized Bias test because it produced results within EPA’s suggested ranges for
    all days in the base time period. BCCA argues that these passing statistics mask
    “compensating errors” in the model, i.e., an ozone over-prediction in one area
    compensates for an under-prediction in another area. EPA’s Modeling Guidance
    recognizes that this test can be subject to compensating errors. 1991 Modeling
    Guidance, J.A. Tab 42, at 82. This is why EPA recommends that states apply a
    variety of statistical and other tests to validate models. See id. at 49–50, 53–57.
    (continued...)
    23
    Guideline for each day of the base case period, which demonstrated that the model was predicting
    ozone concentrations in the Houston-Galveston area with a reasonable degree of accuracy. 66
    Fed. Reg. at 57,164. EPA considered all model performance measures and concluded that the
    model performed well. Id. While the EPA recognized that the graphical model performance for
    one day of the base period indicated that the model underestimated ozone at some locations and
    overestimated ozone at others, the EPA attributed the error to the model’s difficulty replicating
    wind speed and direction due to the area’s unique land-sea breeze phenomenon.19 Id.; see supra
    n.1. Nevertheless, because the diagnostic and sensitivity tests revealed no flaws in model
    formulations, and statistical measures confirmed that the model generally predicted the right
    magnitude of ozone peaks, the EPA determined that the model provided an acceptable tool for
    17
    (...continued)
    Regardless, the notion that the Texas model masked compensating errors in the
    Normalized Bias test is directly refuted by the fact that the model passed the Gross
    Error statistical test. See infra n.18.
    18
    The “Gross Error” test provides an overall assessment of the model’s
    precision. 1991 Modeling Guidance, J.A. Tab 42, at 54. In contrast to the
    Unpaired Peak Accuracy test, the Gross Error test compares predicted and
    monitored ozone values in the same geographic area. Under-predictions and over-
    predictions do not offset each other in the Gross Error test because the test assigns
    positive values to both. Id. at 83. The Texas model passed the Gross Error test for
    each of the four days in the modeled episode, which showed that the model was
    estimating ozone concentrations with an acceptable degree of geographic precision.
    19
    Although it apparently did not raise the issue during the comment period,
    BCCA now asserts that Texas should have considered two additional graphical
    tests. The court declines to address the issue as EPA did not have the opportunity
    to do so in the first instance. See supra Part III.B.2 (applying the waiver doctrine to
    bar our consideration of issues not raised during the administrative proceedings).
    24
    estimating the amount of emissions reductions needed for attainment. 66 Fed. Reg. at 57,165–66.
    Because EPA considered BCCA’s arguments during the administrative process and
    offered a rational explanation for its reliance on the model despite the model’s inability to exactly
    replicate Houston-Galveston’s unique meteorological conditions, the court upholds EPA’s
    approval of Texas’s photochemical grid model. See Burlington Truck Lines, 
    371 U.S. at 168
    ;
    Motor Vehicle Mfrs. Ass’n, 
    463 U.S. at 43
    . EPA recognized the model’s shortcomings in the
    final rule and provided plausible explanations that were supported by the record. In light of the
    reasonable explanation for the model’s discrepancies, and given the fact that the model
    nevertheless performed well on the full battery of validation tests, EPA’s acceptance of Texas’s
    modeling was neither arbitrary nor capricious. Furthermore, because EPA’s decision was based
    upon its evaluation of complex scientific data within its technical expertise, the court is mindful of
    its obligation to be “most deferential” to the EPA’s approval of Texas’s photochemical grid
    modeling. See Baltimore Gas & Elec. Co., 
    462 U.S. at 103
    . Therefore, the court concludes that
    EPA’s acceptance of Texas’s photochemical grid model is supported by substantial record
    evidence and is otherwise in accordance with law.
    2.      EPA’s Weight-of-Evidence Analysis
    The statute requires that an attainment demonstration be “based on photochemical grid
    modeling or any other analytical method determined . . . to be at least as effective.” 42 U.S.C. §
    7511a(c)(2)(A). Due to the inherent uncertainties in air quality modeling, EPA has interpreted the
    statute to allow states to supplement their photochemical modeling results with additional
    evidence to demonstrate attainment. 66 Fed. Reg. at 57,170; see 40 C.F.R. 51.112(a)(1)
    25
    (referencing Appendix W as listing the applicable requirements for gauging the adequacy of a
    control strategy); 40 C.F.R. Pt. 51 App. W § 10.0 (recognizing limitations of modeling and
    allowing consideration of evidence in addition to modeled attainment demonstrations). EPA’s
    modeling guidance was updated in 1996, and again in 1999, to permit states to use the weight-of-
    evidence approach to assess additional emissions reductions that are part of its SIP but were not
    modeled. See 1996 Modeling Guidance, J.A. Tab 43, at 1–2; 1999 Modeling Guidance, J.A. Tab
    44, at 1–2. According to EPA, this approach is consistent with the statute “because the modeling
    results constitute the principal component of EPA’s analysis, with supplemental information
    designed to account for uncertainties in the model.” 66 Fed. Reg. at 57,170. The question is
    whether EPA’s interpretation of the statute it administers is entitled to deference under Chevron
    and its progeny.
    As previously discussed, Texas’s modeled control strategy alone did not demonstrate
    attainment of the NAAQS for ozone by the 2007 statutory deadline. In accordance with EPA
    guidance, Texas supplemented its modeling with other evidence to show that the area would
    reach attainment by 2007. Texas first used a quadratic equation to calculate the “gap” in NOx
    emissions reductions between those achieved by the modeled control strategy and the levels
    required to achieve the NAAQS.20 See 66 Fed. Reg. at 57,172. Texas then revised its final
    20
    A commenter before the EPA, and petitioners here, criticize EPA’s
    technique for estimating the ambient impact of additional emissions reductions not
    modeled on grounds that EPA employed a rollback modeling technique that is
    precluded under EPA regulations. See 66 Fed. Reg. at 57,172. The “proportional
    rollback” approach is derived from a purely empirical/mathematical relationship that
    assumes that if emissions from each source are decreased by the same percentage,
    (continued...)
    26
    control strategy to eliminate that gap and provide for attainment by 2007. EPA weighed all of the
    evidence and concluded that the control measures Texas adopted would more likely than not lead
    to attainment. Id. EPA’s final rule indicated that a majority of the control measures were
    modeled, and EPA evaluated the impact of additional emissions reductions that were not modeled
    by reviewing the model’s response to changes in emissions and observed air quality changes. Id.
    EPA viewed its decision as “strengthened by the state’s commitment to check progress towards
    attainment in 2004 and to adopt additional measures, if the anticipated progress is not being
    made.” Id. Petitioners BCCA and Environmental Defense challenge the EPA’s approval of the
    Houston SIP based on its weight-of-evidence determination. The court finds, however, that the
    20
    (...continued)
    ambient air quality concentrations decrease proportionately. Id. Thus, if 20 percent
    improvement in ozone is needed for attainment, it is assumed that a 20 percent
    reduction in emissions would be required. Id.
    EPA did not rely on this approach in its evaluation of the Houston-Galveston
    attainment demonstration. Id. EPA used a locally-derived relationship between
    emissions reductions and improvement in ozone levels as determined by the model
    and/or observed changes in air quality. Id. For example, if modeled or monitored
    results indicated that ozone was reduced by 25 ppb during a particular period, and
    that VOC emissions fell by 20 tons per day and NOx emissions fell by 10 tons per
    day during that period, EPA would develop a relationship for ozone improvement
    related to those reductions in emissions. Id. While the formula assumes a quadratic
    relationship between the emissions and ozone for a relatively small amount of ozone
    improvement, this is not a “proportional rollback” technique. Id. Furthermore, EPA
    makes limited use of these locally-derived adjustment factors to estimate the extent
    in which additional emissions reductions, not Texas’s core control strategies, would
    reduce ozone levels. Id. The state’s commitment to perform a mid-course review
    further convinced the EPA that Texas’s overall plan would result in attainment by
    2007. Id. at 57,173.
    27
    EPA properly interprets the CAA to allow for a weight-of-evidence analysis, and that the EPA’s
    conclusions in its determination here were reasonable and entitled to deference.
    The statute requires that an attainment demonstration be “based on photochemical grid
    modeling;” the statute does not require that an attainment demonstration be based solely or
    directly on photochemical grid modeling. See 42 U.S.C. § 7511a(c)(2)(A). As such, the statute
    is ambiguous as to how the photochemical grid modeling may be used. As the statute does not
    specifically govern the precise question at issue, the court must determine whether EPA’s
    interpretation of it is entitled to deference.
    EPA’s weight-of-evidence approach to approving the Houston SIP was set forth in notice-
    and-comment rulemaking, and as such it is entitled to deference if it is reasonable. See Mead, 
    533 U.S. at
    227–31. EPA has interpreted the “based on” language to allow for the assessment of
    additional emissions controls, not modeled, as part of the weight-of-evidence analysis.21 See 66
    Fed. Reg. at 57,171. The model’s results are the “principal component” of EPA’s weight-of-
    evidence determination, but the weight-of-evidence approach allows Texas to supplement the
    modeled results with additional control measures. Id. at 57,170; 1996 Modeling Guidance, J.A.
    Tab 43, at S-1 (“In a weight of evidence determination, model results are weighed heavily.”).
    Furthermore, because the statute also grants EPA the broad authority to approve equally effective
    alternatives to photochemical grid modeling, Congress could not have intended to bar EPA from
    21
    Contrary to Environmental Defense’s suggestion to the contrary, nothing in
    the CAA or in EPA’s regulations or guidance requires a state to model its entire
    control strategy. See 1000 Friends, 
    265 F.3d at 230
     (concluding that the CAA does
    not require a state to model its entire control strategy so long as EPA reasonably
    concludes that attainment is likely based on the weight of the evidence).
    28
    considering data in addition to modeled results. See 42 U.S.C. § 7511a(c)(2)(A) (giving EPA
    Administrator broad discretion to approve “other analytical method[s]”).22 As such, EPA’s
    conclusion that the weight-of-evidence approach to approving attainment demonstrations is
    consistent with the CAA is reasonable and is entitled to deference. See 1000 Friends, 
    265 F.3d at 234
     (upholding EPA’s weight-of-evidence analysis and explicitly rejecting the argument that the
    CAA requires new modeling upon the state’s revision of a SIP).
    Texas modeled 88 percent of the emissions reductions necessary for attainment, and the
    results from Texas’s modeling formed the starting point for EPA’s weight-of-evidence analysis.
    Petitioners contest EPA’s approval of Texas’s use of the quadratic equation to calculate the
    additional reductions needed for attainment. Texas, however, followed the general approach
    described in EPA’s 1999 Modeling Guidance to identify the amount of additional emissions
    reductions needed for attainment. Texas evaluated the model’s reaction to three hypothetical
    control strategies imposed on the modeled episode day with the highest ozone levels. Dec. 2000
    SIP, J.A. Tab 12a, at 3-47. Based upon the results, Texas and EPA developed a quadratic
    equation that represented the relationship between NOx emissions and ozone levels. 66 Fed. Reg.
    at 57,174. Thus, the quadratic equation used in Texas’s supplemental analysis was “based on,”
    and was an extension of, actual photochemical grid modeling results from Houston-Galveston,
    22
    Environmental Defense asserts that the weight-of-evidence determination is
    an improper “other analytical method” under 42 U.S.C. § 7511a(c)(2)(A) because
    the EPA Administrator did not make a specific determination that this approach is
    “at least as effective” as photochemical grid modeling. Because weight-of-evidence
    analysis is based on photochemical grid modeling, EPA did not use an “other
    analytical method” that would have required the Administrator’s effectiveness
    determination.
    29
    and it was used only to assess the 12 percent portion of the state’s control strategy that was not
    included in the modeling. See id. at 57,172. Accordingly, EPA found that the quadratic equation
    was a sound scientific method for estimating the additional NOx reductions, beyond the modeled
    controls, that would be necessary for the Houston-Galveston area to reach attainment. Id. at
    57,174.
    As discussed, the quadratic equation was used to estimate what the model would predict
    to be the peak ozone concentration for the future episode if Texas had modeled its complete
    control strategy. Because the EPA’s approval of the model itself was reasonable, see supra Part
    III.C.1, EPA reasonably concluded that additional analyses based on and derived from the model
    also predicted peak ozone levels with reasonable accuracy. Petitioners have not met their
    “considerable burden” of overcoming the presumption of regularity that attaches to EPA’s choice
    of analytical methodology. See Am. Petroleum Inst., 
    787 F.2d at 983
    . As Petitioners have failed
    to establish that the weight-of-evidence approach to approving the Houston SIP’s attainment
    demonstration is arbitrary, capricious, or otherwise not in accordance with law, we reject their
    general and as applied challenges to the EPA’s weight-of-evidence determination.
    D.     Whether EPA Erred in Withholding Action on Certain Provisions of the Houston
    SIP
    On November 14, 2001, the EPA approved the Texas Mass Emissions Cap and Trade
    program, one element of Texas’s control strategy, as a revision to the Houston SIP. Approval
    and Promulgation of Air Quality State Implementation Plans (SIP), 
    66 Fed. Reg. 57,252
     (EPA
    Nov. 14, 2001) (final rule). The program is mandatory for stationary facilities that emit NOx in
    the Houston-Galveston area, and facilities are required to meet annual maximum NOx allowances.
    30
    
    Id.
     Facilities may bank, sell, or purchase their allowances. 
    Id.
     In addition, the program has a
    provision that allows facilities to use emission reduction credits, discrete emission reduction
    credits (“DERCs”), and mobile discrete emission reduction credits (“MDERCs”) “in lieu of
    allowances if they are generated in the [Houston-Galveston] area.” 
    Id.
     However, EPA deferred
    action on DERCs and MDERCs so that neither credit can be used until EPA approves of those
    measures. See 
    id. n.1
    .
    BCCA argues that EPA acted contrary to law and failed to observe proper procedure in
    approving the Houston SIP while withholding final action on the DERC and MDERC provisions,
    which would allow compliance with the mandated NOx reductions through the use of emissions
    reductions credits.23 EPA responds that its decision to withhold action on the DERC and
    23
    BCCA’s opening brief also challenges EPA’s failure to act on an alternate
    80 percent reduction in emissions from industrial point sources (“ESADs”), as
    opposed to the EPA-approved 90 percent reduction. The use of the lower
    reductions in the Texas SIP was expressly conditioned upon further study and
    submission of a SIP revision to EPA. EPA’s final rule approving the SIP therefore
    found that the issue was not ripe for its review because the record did not provide
    the needed scientific data or modeling to show that the alternate ESAD would
    achieve the NAAQS for ozone. 66 Fed. Reg. at 57,232. This is a reasonable
    explanation and EPA did not err in withholding action on the alternate ESAD
    reduction. Regardless, as a result of a consent order entered into between TNRCC
    and BCCA in a related state court proceeding, TNRCC recently substituted the 90
    percent ESAD with the 80 percent rate. TNRCC submitted the new regulations to
    the EPA as a proposed revision to the Houston SIP on January 28, 2003. Letter
    from Savage to Fulbruge of 5/7/2003, at 1–2. While EPA contests BCCA’s
    submission of these materials and argues that they do not qualify as appropriate
    supplemental authorities under Fed. R. App. P. 28(j), see Letter from Amaditz to
    Fulbruge of 5/20/2003, as a result of these recent developments, the court need only
    address the question of whether EPA erred in deferring action on the DERC and
    (continued...)
    31
    MDERC rules was within the agency’s authority under the CAA. In responding to comments
    advanced during the administrative process, EPA explained that the DERC and MDERC rules are
    “separate and independent” from the cap-and-trade program because they were not submitted by
    the State of Texas for emission credit in the attainment demonstration. 66 Fed. Reg. at 57,255.
    Further, EPA found that the use of DERCs and MDERCs is not necessary for the cap-and-trade
    program to achieve emissions reductions necessary to reach attainment. Id. Rather, EPA
    explained that the purpose of the DERC and MDERC provisions, as defined in the Texas
    Administrative Code, is to provide emission point sources with a “voluntary compliance option.”
    Id. The rules will be evaluated for compliance with the CAA and may be approved as a SIP
    revision after notice and comment. Id.
    The court finds BCCA’s reasoning unpersuasive and its reliance on case law from other
    circuits misplaced. Riverside Cement Co. v. Thomas, 
    843 F.2d 1246
    , 1247 (9th Cir. 1988),
    concerned a state rule regulating the permissible NOx emissions from cement kilns that also
    provided that, prior to the rule’s effective date, a feasibility hearing would be held to evaluate the
    efficacy of the proposed emissions limits. EPA, however, approved the rule without waiting for
    the feasibility hearing, thereby imposing an absolute emissions limit without regard to the
    contingency the state built into the rule. 
    Id.
     The Ninth Circuit held that this action was an
    arbitrary and capricious amendment of the state’s proposal. 
    Id. at 1248
    . Similarly, in Indiana &
    Michigan Elec. v. EPA, 
    733 F.2d 489
    , 491 (7th Cir. 1984), EPA approved a SIP provision while
    23
    (...continued)
    MDERC provisions.
    32
    deferring action on an exception to its application, which effectively revised the state’s plan in a
    manner that made it more stringent than the state intended. See also Bethlehem Steel Corp. v.
    Gorsuch, 
    742 F.2d 1028
    , 1036 (7th Cir. 1984) (finding impermissible the EPA’s action on an
    emissions limitation that eliminated a “blow-off allowance,” thereby increasing the stringency of
    that control strategy).
    These cases are inapposite to support BCCA’s position. Unlike the situation in Riverside
    Cement and Indiana & Michigan Elec., EPA did not, in effect, amend Texas’s proposal in a way
    that eliminated a prerequisite to, or an exception to, the approved rule’s application. In fact,
    Indiana & Michigan Elec. actually supports EPA’s action because the court stated, “if some
    provisions in a plan are independent of others, there is no reason why the agency must consider all
    of the provisions at the same time.” 
    733 F.2d at 492
    . The EPA’s final rule characterized the
    DERC and MDERC provisions as “separate and independent” from the cap-and-trade program it
    approved, 66 Fed. Reg. at 57,255, and BCCA did not contest this finding in either its comments
    before the agency or its brief to this court. Finally, the postponement of action on DERCs and
    MDERCs did not make the SIP more stringent than the state intended, as was the case in
    Bethlehem Steel.24 Therefore, BCCA failed to demonstrate that EPA’s action was arbitrary,
    capricious, or otherwise not in accordance with law. Thus, EPA’s deferral of action on these
    provisions is upheld.
    24
    While EPA’s action may take away one option for compliance, it does not
    alter the obligation to reduce emissions to specified levels. This view is supported
    Texas’s express agreement to the timetable EPA proposed for considering the
    DERC and MDERC provisions. See Approval and Promulgation of Implementation
    Plans, 
    66 Fed. Reg. 38,231
    , 38,232 (EPA July 23, 2001).
    33
    E.     Whether EPA’s Approval of the SIP’s “Enforceable Commitment” to Adopt
    Additional Controls on a Fixed Schedule is Consistent with the CAA
    The EPA-approved control measures in the Houston SIP achieve 94 percent of the NOx
    reductions needed for attainment. 66 Fed. Reg. at 57,178 (explaining that adopted measures
    include, among other things, industrial point source NOx controls and the TERP and VMEP
    programs, see infra Part III.G–H). The final element of Texas’s control strategy is an enforceable
    commitment25 to adopt and implement additional NOx controls on a fixed schedule to achieve an
    additional 56 tons/day of NOx reductions.26 Id. at 57,161, 57,178. Thus, the commitment
    25
    These commitments are enforced by the EPA and citizens under the CAA.
    See 
    42 U.S.C. §§ 7413
     (federal enforcement) and 7604 (citizen suits). EPA has
    approved enforceable commitments in the past and courts have enforced them, as
    well as SIP provisions generally, against the states that failed to comply with those
    commitments. See, e.g., 1000 Friends, 
    265 F.3d at
    236–37 (upholding EPA’s
    approval of a SIP provision “when considered with the emissions reduction
    programs in place and when considered with Maryland’s enforceable commitment
    to implement all other control measures necessary to reach attainment.”) (emphasis
    added)); Am. Lung Ass’n v. Kean, 
    670 F. Supp. 1285
     (D.N.J. 1987), aff’d, 
    871 F.2d 319
     (3d Cir. 1989) (concluding that the court has jurisdiction to adjudicate
    citizen suits against the state in its regulatory capacity and enforcing state’s SIP
    commitments); Friends of the Earth v. Carey, 
    535 F.2d 165
     (2d Cir. 1976)
    (enforcing provisions of state implementation plan in citizen suit); NRDC v. New
    York State Dept. of Envtl. Conservation, 
    668 F. Supp. 848
     (S.D.N.Y. 1987)
    (finding state agency liable for failure to implement control strategies by the
    timetable set in an enforceable commitment). Finally, if a state fails to meet its
    commitments, EPA could find a failure to implement the SIP under section 179(a) of
    the CAA, which would trigger an 18-month period for the state to begin
    implementation before mandatory sanctions are imposed. 66 Fed. Reg. at 57,177
    n.11.
    26
    Under the schedule, Texas was required to adopt additional controls to
    provide 25 percent of the reductions covered by the enforceable commitment, or 14
    (continued...)
    34
    addresses only 6 percent of the emission reductions necessary to attain the NAAQS for ozone.
    Id. at 57,178. Petitioner Environmental Defense asserts that the EPA lacks authority under the
    CAA and EPA’s regulations and guidance to approve a SIP containing an enforceable
    commitment to adopt unspecified control measures. EPA maintains that the SIP’s limited use of
    the enforceable commitment is permissible under the statute.27
    Nothing in the CAA speaks directly to enforceable commitments. The CAA does,
    however, provide EPA with great flexibility in approving SIPs. A SIP may contain “enforceable
    emission limitations and other control measures, means, or techniques . . . as well as schedules
    and timetables for compliance, as may be necessary or appropriate” to meet the CAA’s
    requirements. 
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (a)(2)(A) (emphasis added); see 
    42 U.S.C. § 7502
    (c)(6) (using
    the same language to describe nonattainment area plan requirements).28 Thus, according to the
    26
    (...continued)
    tons/day of NOx, by December 2002. 66 Fed. Reg. at 57,161. Texas must adopt
    the remainder of the necessary controls by May 1, 2004. Id.
    27
    The City of Houston and BCCA Appeal Group support EPA’s position in
    their intervenor briefs.
    28
    Environmental Defense claims that 
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (k)(4), which was
    enacted in 1990 amendments to the CAA and gives EPA discretionary authority to
    conditionally approve a SIP “based on a commitment of the State to adopt specific
    enforceable measures by a date certain,” was meant to supplant EPA’s practice of
    using enforceable commitments under § 7410(a)(2)(A). There is nothing in the
    statute or in the legislative history, however, to support this theory. Furthermore,
    the cases Environmental Defense relies upon, which address conditional SIP
    approvals or construe statutory provisions before the 1990 amendments, are
    inapposite.
    The legislative history of the 1990 amendments of § 7410(a)(2)(A)
    (continued...)
    35
    plain language of the statute, SIPs may contain “means,” “techniques,” and/or “schedules and
    timetables for compliance” that the EPA considers “appropriate” for attainment so long as they
    are “enforceable.” See id. § 7410(a)(2)(A). “Schedules and timetables” is broadly defined as “a
    schedule of required measures including an enforceable sequence of actions or operations leading
    to compliance with an emission limitation, prohibition or standard.” 
    42 U.S.C. § 7602
    (p). The
    remaining terms are not defined by the Act. Because the statute is silent on the issue of whether
    enforceable commitments are appropriate means, techniques, or schedules for attainment, EPA’s
    interpretation allowing limited use of an enforceable commitment in the Houston SIP must be
    upheld if reasonable.
    EPA interprets § 7410(a)(2)(A) to mean that enforceable emission limitations and other
    control measures do not necessarily need to generate reductions in the full amount needed to
    attain. Rather, EPA interprets the statutory language to allow limited use of other “means” and
    “techniques,” such as enforceable commitments, so long as the entire package of measures and
    28
    (...continued)
    acknowledged EPA’s practice of fully approving SIPs that contained limited
    enforceable commitments, yet Congress made no changes to that section precluding
    the practice. See H.R. Rep. No. 101-490, pt. 1 at 218 (1990). In fact, the 1990
    amendments expanded EPA’s authority under § 7410(a)(2)(A) by adding the
    “means” and “techniques” and “as . . . appropriate” language. This strengthens,
    rather than limits, the statutory basis for EPA’s practice of fully approving SIPs that
    contain enforceable commitments as part of an overall control strategy. Finally,
    because § 7410(a)(2)(A) is silent on the issue of whether an enforceable
    commitment is an “appropriate” “means” or “technique” to reach attainment, EPA’s
    interpretation must be upheld if the court finds it a permissible construction of the
    statute.
    36
    rules provides for attainment.29 66 Fed. Reg. at 57,177. EPA generally considers three factors in
    determining whether to approve a SIP’s enforceable commitment: (1) whether the commitment
    addresses a limited portion of the statutorily-required implementation plan; (2) whether the state
    is capable of fulfilling its commitment; and (3) whether the commitment is for a reasonable and
    appropriate period of time. Id. (explaining that, based upon its consideration of these factors,
    present circumstances in Houston-Galveston, along with New York City, Philadelphia, and
    Baltimore, warrant EPA’s consideration of enforceable commitments).
    In the present case, EPA determined that Texas’s limited use of the enforceable
    commitment as part of its overall control strategy was appropriate within the meaning of CAA
    sections 110(a)(2)(A) and 172(c)(6), 
    42 U.S.C. §§ 7410
    (a)(2)(A) and 7502(c)(6). See 66 Fed.
    Reg. at 57,177. In applying the three-factor test to the Houston SIP, the EPA found that the first
    29
    Environmental Defense argues that EPA’s regulations and guidance
    preclude the use of enforceable commitments. ED bases this argument in part on
    the agency’s definitions in the Code of Federal Regulations of “control strategy”
    and “control measures.” The defintion of control stragegy is broad and does not
    support ED’s position, see 
    40 C.F.R. § 51.100
    (n)(1)–(8), and EPA has never
    construed the enforceable commitment to be a “control measure” within the
    meaning of the CAA. It is, rather, a “means” or “technique” specifically permitted
    under the Act. ED also claims that the enforceable commitment does not constitute
    a “measure[], rule[], or regulation[],” and therefore violates EPA’s regulation
    requiring each SIP to “demonstrate that the measures, rules, and regulations
    contained in it are adequate to provide for the timely attainment and maintenance of
    the national standard it implements.” See 
    40 C.F.R. § 51.112
    (a). Contrary to ED’s
    contention, however, the enforceable commitment is a “rule” as defined by the
    Administrative Procedure Act. See 
    5 U.S.C. § 551
    (4). It creates specific rights,
    imposes specific obligations on, and is enforceable against the State of Texas.
    Therefore, we reject ED’s arguments that EPA lacks discretion under EPA
    regulations and guidance to approve enforceable commitments.
    37
    factor supported the use of an enforceable commitment here because it only addressed a small
    portion of the overall plan. In fact, the enforceable commitment addresses only six percent of the
    total emission reductions needed to attain the standard. See 
    id. at 57,178
    . The second factor also
    weighed in favor of approving the commitment because Texas “provided EPA with sufficient
    information to assure EPA that it will be capable of adopting controls to achieve the necessary
    level of emission reductions.” 
    Id.
     Texas provided EPA with a list of soon-to-be-available,
    cutting-edge technologies that would achieve at least 56 tons/day of NOx emission reductions by
    the statutory deadline,30 thereby justifying its use of the enforceable commitment as opposed to
    adopted control measures. See 
    id.
     Finally, because Texas was in the process of exploring,
    developing, and assessing the capabilities of those cutting-edge technologies, some of which were
    further along in the development process than others, EPA approved the two-tiered timetable for
    adopting the additional controls covered by the commitment. Id.; see supra n.26. EPA
    considered this timetable to be as expeditious as possible given the technological circumstances, in
    addition to the time Texas would need to adopt the measures that would achieve the necessary
    emission reductions. 66 Fed. Reg. at 57,178. Finally, such a commitment is enforceable and
    binding upon the State of Texas. See supra n.25. Therefore, EPA determined that the
    enforceable commitment was an appropriate mean, technique, or timetable for compliance that
    would provide for attainment by 2007. See 66 Fed. Reg. at 57,177.
    30
    The developing technologies submitted to EPA included, for example,
    diesel emulsion, fuel cells, diesel NOx reductions systems, energy efficiency
    measures, and several innovative ideas, such as marine loading operations and
    episodic emission controls, all of which required further scientific study. Approval
    and Promulgation of Implementation Plans, 
    66 Fed. Reg. 36,656
    , 36,665 (EPA July
    12, 2001) (proposed rule).
    38
    The court finds that EPA reasonably concluded that an enforceable commitment to adopt
    additional control measures on a fixed schedule was an “appropriate” means, technique, or
    schedule or timetable for compliance under the statute.31 See 
    42 U.S.C. §§ 7410
    (a)(2)(A) and
    7502(c)(6). The statute is silent or ambiguous on this issue. Because the EPA’s approval of the
    enforceable commitment in the Houston SIP was promulgated under notice-and-comment
    rulemaking, EPA’s interpretation is entitled to Chevron deference if it is based on a permissible
    construction of the statute. EPA’s three-factor test reasonably evaluates whether an enforceable
    commitment would be “appropriate” in a given situation. This test guarantees that a state’s use of
    an enforceable commitment as part of its overall control strategy is limited in scope and that the
    state is capable of fulfilling the commitment pursuant to an expeditious, yet practicable, schedule.
    In the present case, EPA carefully considered each factor and found that Texas’s use of the
    commitment was appropriate. Despite the uncertainty as to the exact technologies Texas will
    actually employ to achieve attainment by 2007, EPA considered the possibilities Texas submitted
    with its SIP and determined that the state is capable of adopting these “cutting-edge” controls to
    achieve the standard. See 66 Fed. Reg. at 57,178. Because that determination was a reasonable
    31
    For over 20 years, EPA has consistently maintained its interpretation of the
    CAA as allowing states to submit, and EPA to approve in appropriate
    circumstances, a SIP that contains an enforceable commitment to adopt additional
    controls as part of an overall control strategy. See 66 Fed. Reg. at 57,177 (citing
    the use of such commitments in Arizona, California, New Jersey, and New York).
    Therefore, Environmental Defense’s assertion in its brief that EPA “conjured up
    ‘enforceable commitments’ as a new theory” to allow its approval of the Houston
    SIP is completely false.
    39
    one given the facts and circumstances of the severity of the ozone problem in Houston-Galveston,
    it is entitled to deference.
    F.      Whether EPA Properly Approved the Motor Vehicle Emissions Budget in the
    Houston SIP
    A Motor Vehicle Emissions Budget or MVEB establishes the maximum level of on-road
    emissions that, when considered with emissions from all other sources, still provides for
    attainment of the ozone NAAQS by the statutory deadline.32 
    40 C.F.R. § 93.101
    ; 66 Fed. Reg. at
    36,666. The MVEB is a necessary component of a SIP that demonstrates attainment because it
    identifies those vehicle emissions that can be produced without jeopardizing an area’s attainment
    status. The Act’s conformity provisions integrate the MVEB with the transportation planning
    process. 
    42 U.S.C. § 7506
    (c)(1). Transportation activities may only receive federal approval and
    funding upon a demonstration of compliance with the SIP. 
    Id.
     An activity conforms with the SIP
    only if it is consistent with eliminating or reducing the severity and number of air quality violations
    and achieves expeditious attainment. 
    Id.
     subsection (c)(1)(A). Once the EPA approves the
    MVEBs or issues an adequacy determination,33 state agencies may rely on that budget when
    32
    The EPA’s regulations specifically define the motor vehicle emission budget
    as “that portion of the total allowable emissions defined in the submitted or
    approved control strategy implementation plan revision or maintenance plan for a
    certain date for the purpose of meeting reasonable further progress milestones or
    demonstrating attainment or maintenance of the NAAQS, for any criteria pollutant
    or its precursors, allocated to highway and transit vehicle use and emissions.” 
    40 C.F.R. § 93.101
    .
    33
    An adequacy determination allows transportation planners to use the
    MVEBs in a submitted, but not yet approved, SIP for conformity purposes. E.g.,
    1000 Friends, 
    265 F.3d at 222
    .
    40
    determining if a proposed transportation project conforms to the relevant SIP. 1000 Friends, 
    265 F.3d at 222
    . The Houston SIP contains two MVEBs, one for NOx and one for VOCs.34 66 Fed.
    Reg. at 36,666. The EPA determined that the budgets, when considered with all other measures,
    provided for attainment by the statutory deadline.35 Id. at 57,180.
    Plaintiff Environmental Defense disagrees with the EPA’s approval of the MVEB for the
    Houston SIP, claiming that (1) the EPA could not approve the budgets because the Houston SIP
    does not provide for attainment, and (2) the EPA violated the transportation conformity
    provisions of the CAA and its regulations. For the reasons that follow, these arguments fail.
    First, because we have already affirmed the EPA’s approval of the Houston SIP’s
    attainment demonstration, which includes an enforceable commitment to adopt additional control
    measures on a fixed schedule, Environmental Defense’s first challenge to the EPA’s approval of
    the MVEBs must similarly be rejected. See 1000 Friends, 
    265 F.3d at
    236–37 (upholding EPA’s
    approval of the MVEB “when considered with the emissions reduction programs in place and
    when considered with Maryland’s enforceable commitment to implement all other control
    measures necessary to reach attainment . . . .”) (emphasis added)).
    34
    The budgets for the 2007 attainment demonstration SIP are 79.5 tons/day
    for VOCs and 156.7 tons/day for NOx. 66 Fed. Reg. at 57,179. Approval of the
    attainment budgets was based on the current control measures in the SIP and the
    enforceable commitments made for additional controls. Id. at 57,180. EPA
    recognized that the budgets would have to be revised upon Texas’s adoption of
    additional transportation measures as part of the enforceable commitment. Id. at
    57,161.
    35
    Intervenors Houston-Galveston Area Council, a transportation and air
    quality planning agency of the State of Texas, and Harris County support EPA’s
    approval of the MVEB in the Houston SIP.
    41
    Environmental Defense’s arguments based on the transportation conformity provisions of
    the CAA and its implementing regulations are equally without merit. Environmental Defense
    incorrectly argues that a budget that does not provide for attainment, does not provide the
    “necessary emissions reductions” required by 7506(c)(2)(A). The statute cited requires a
    transportation plan or transportation improvement program to be consistent with an approved
    MVEB; it has nothing to do with EPA’s preceding action of approving the MVEB itself. See 
    42 U.S.C. § 7506
    (c)(2)(A). Moreover, 
    40 C.F.R. § 93.118
    (e)(4)(iv) provides that the EPA will not
    find a MVEB adequate for transportation conformity purposes unless “the motor vehicle
    emissions budget(s), when considered together with all other emissions sources, is consistent with
    applicable requirements for . . . attainment.” 
    Id.
     EPA’s adequacy finding36 here was consistent
    with the regulation because EPA reasonably found that the Houston SIP’s MVEB would achieve
    attainment when considered with all other sources. 66 Fed. Reg. at 57,178. Therefore,
    Environmental Defense’s arguments based on this statute and its corresponding regulations are
    meritless. Because EPA acted in conformity with the CAA and its own regulations, EPA’s action
    approving the MVEB was not arbitrary or capricious and must be upheld.
    G.     Whether EPA’s Approval of the Texas Emissions Reduction Plan is Supported by
    the Record
    The Texas Emissions Reduction Plan or TERP is a discretionary economic incentive
    program to reduce emissions. At issue is TERP’s diesel emission reduction program that provides
    36
    EPA approved the budgets after conducting a detailed examination of the
    SIP’s control measures and technical analyses. See 66 Fed. Reg. at 57,180.
    Because the process for approving a MVEB in a SIP is more stringent than an
    adequacy determination, by approving the budgets, EPA necessarily found them to
    be adequate.
    42
    financial incentives to help private and public entities purchase or lease cleaner diesel technology
    for mobile sources. Tex. Health & Safety Code Ann., Title 5, Subtitle C, Ch. 386, SubChap. C.
    Texas’s program is modeled after the Carl Moyer Program in California, which was very
    successful. Economic incentives, like TERP, are explicitly allowed under the Act as one tool to
    achieve attainment. See 
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (a)(2)(A). Congress directed EPA to promulgate
    regulations for economic incentive programs, 
    id.
     § 7511a(g)(4), and EPA did so by enacting
    regulations for statutory incentive programs and by issuing guidelines for discretionary incentive
    programs. 40 C.F.R. Pt. 51, Subpt. U.
    NRDC alleges that EPA’s approval of the TERP diesel program is arbitrary and capricious
    because the state did not provide adequate information about resources, implementation, and legal
    authority. We agree with the EPA that the state did provide all of the information required by the
    Act and that its approval of the program was reasonable on the record.
    In considering TERP, the EPA reviewed the state’s estimated costs, funding mechanisms,
    funding allocations, and estimated emission reductions from this program. 66 Fed. Reg. at
    57,175. Texas’s TERP program was designed to generate 18.9 tons/day of NOx reductions at an
    estimated average cost of $5000 per ton. (The California program projected emissions reductions
    at an average cost of $3000 per ton based on data collected through 1999). Id.; 66 Fed. Reg. at
    36,665. Funding was to be provided by various fees and surcharges on vehicles. It was
    ultimately determined that the Houston area would be allocated $25 million for its diesel emission
    reduction program for fiscal year 2002. 66 Fed. Reg. at 57,193. The EPA determined that Texas
    would achieve at least 25 tons/day of NOx reductions in Houston from TERP, an amount the
    EPA determined to be sufficient to offset the emission reduction shortfall created by the Texas
    43
    legislature in enacting TERP. Id. at 57,157. The EPA’s past experience with this type of diesel
    emission program in California supported its conclusion that substantial NOx reductions could be
    achieved with the allocated funds.
    NRDC argues that the state did not comply with certain provisions of the CAA. Section
    110(a)(2)(E) of the CAA requires a SIP to “provide . . . necessary assurances that the State . . .
    will have adequate personnel, funding, and authority . . . to carry out such implementation plan.”
    
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (a)(2)(E)(I). The NRDC submits that this section requires a state to do so as to
    each specific control measure, mean, or technique in a state’s SIP. This would mean that Texas
    would have to make the “necessary assurances” for its TERP program. We disagree. The plain
    language of the statute only requires a state to give assurances that it has the funding, personnel,
    and authority to implement the plan as a whole (“such implementation plan”). It does not require
    such assurances for each specific control measure.
    While the Act does not define “necessary assurances,” other circuits have held that
    “Congress has left to the Administrator’s sound discretion determination of what assurances are
    ‘necessary.’” NRDC v. EPA, 
    478 F.2d 875
    , 884 (1st Cir. 1973); see Friends of the Earth v.
    United States EPA, 
    499 F.2d 1118
    , 1126 (2d Cir. 1974) (following First Circuit); NRDC v.
    United States EPA, 
    494 F.2d 519
    , 527 (2d Cir. 1974) (same). Texas provided a general
    assurance that its fiscal and manpower resources were adequate to implement the SIP as a whole.
    Dec. 2000 Plan at 1-6. In adopting the SIP as a state rule, Texas also certified that “[l]egal
    counsel has reviewed and certified that this rule, as adopted, is a valid exercise of the [TNRCC’s]
    legal authority.” TNRCC Order No. 2001-0410-RUL (Dec. 20, 2000); TNRCC Order No. 2001-
    0410-RUL (Oct. 2, 2001). The EPA was entitled to rely on this certification. See Ohio Envtl.
    44
    Council v. EPA, 
    593 F.2d 24
    , 28 (6th Cir. 1979). The Houston SIP also provided a detailed
    discussion about the legal authority of state and local agencies to implement, maintain, and
    enforce the plan as a whole, including citations to applicable law. Dec. 2000 Plan at iii. Based on
    its past experience with Texas’s air quality program and its relationship with the state, the EPA
    determined that these assurances regarding funding, resources, and legal authority met the
    minimum requirements of § 7410(a)(2)(E). Furthermore, as discussed above, the EPA also
    independently examined TERP’s funding and resources and determined they were adequate.37 As
    37
    The EPA approved the TERP based on, among other things, its evaluation
    of Texas’s revised funding projections allocating $25 million to the diesel emission
    reduction program in Houston. 66 Fed. Reg. at 57,175. NRDC’s claim that EPA
    should not have approved TERP because a state court invalidated one of its funding
    mechanisms is without merit. At the time the EPA approved the plan, a judge had
    entered a stipulated order temporarily enjoining the disputed funding provision
    pending trial. The court made no findings whatsoever on the merits of plaintiffs’
    claims. See H.M. Dodd Motor Co. v. Texas Dep’t of Public Safety, No. GN
    102585 (200th Judicial District, Travis Co., Oct. 4, 2001). EPA was not aware of
    the order when it approved TERP as part of the SIP on October 15, 2001. EPA’s
    final rule acknowledged the pending state court litigation, but specifically stated that
    EPA cannot “anticipate a court’s findings. If a court finds the funding mechanism
    illegal, Texas will have to revise the SIP at that time to address the loss in emission
    reductions or find alternative funding sources.” 66 Fed. Reg. at 57,175. Thus, EPA
    did respond to NRDC’s comments questioning TERP’s funding because of state
    litigation. Therefore, based on the record before the EPA at the time it approved the
    SIP, EPA reasonably approved the state’s funding estimates.
    In 2002, plaintiffs in the TERP funding challenge prevailed on the merits.
    The state court found that a $225 inspection fee on out-of-state vehicles violated the
    Commerce Clause of the U.S. Constitution. H.M. Dodd Motor Co. v. Texas Dep’t
    of Public Safety, No. GN 102585 (200th Judicial District, Travis Co., Feb. 21,
    2002). EPA then issued a proposed rulemaking finding that the state had failed to
    implement the SIP for the Houston Area. Finding of Failure to Implement a State
    (continued...)
    45
    such, the EPA’s approval of TERP was in compliance with the CAA and not arbitrary and
    capricious.
    NRDC also argues that the CAA requires a state or local agency to provide a step-by-step
    description of implementation and an implementation schedule. The statute includes no such
    requirements. The Act simply requires state and local agencies to make an early allocation of
    responsibility for SIP planning and implementation and that a properly authorized agency prepares
    and submits the SIP. See 
    42 U.S.C. § 7504
    (a). There is no requirement that states must provide
    a step-by-step description of how specific SIP provisions will be implemented or a specific
    schedule for each measure’s implementation. See 
    id.
     NRDC’s argument that 
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (a)(2)(E) requires an implementation commitment on the part of state must also fail. This
    section provides that where a local or regional entity is responsible for implementation of any
    portion of a SIP, the state must ultimately ensure “adequate implementation” of that provision.
    As the State of Texas is responsible for TERP, not a local or regional entity, this statute is
    inapplicable.
    H.     Whether EPA Reasonably Interpreted the CAA as Allowing Emission Reductions
    from the Voluntary Mobile Emission Reduction Program to be Considered in
    Reaching Attainment, and Whether the Record Supports EPA’s Approval of the
    Program in the Houston SIP
    37
    (...continued)
    Implementation Plan, 
    67 Fed. Reg. 49,895
     (EPA Aug. 1, 2002) (proposed rule). If
    this rule becomes final as proposed, the state will have 18 months to provide
    adequate funds for TERP or revise its SIP before sanctions are imposed. 
    Id.
     EPA’s
    proposed rule does not, however, provide grounds for invalidating its prior approval
    of the SIP before the funding mechanism was invalidated.
    46
    The EPA encourages states to develop voluntary measures to reduce air pollution caused
    by vehicle emissions, such as trip reduction programs or growth management strategies, by
    granting limited SIP credit in appropriate circumstances for Voluntary Mobile Emission
    Reduction Programs or VMEP. See Guidance on Incorporating Voluntary Mobile Source
    Emission Reduction Programs in State Implementation Plans at 1 (Oct. 24, 1997) (“VMEP
    Guidance”). The EPA believes that such voluntary measures, which rely on the discretionary
    actions of public or private parties, can provide emissions reductions that would not be available
    through traditional state regulatory programs. 
    Id. at 3, 5
    . The EPA’s VMEP Guidance provides
    a framework for states to obtain credit for such emission reductions. States must identify and
    describe the voluntary measures in its VMEP and include supportable projections of emissions
    reductions associated with the measures. 
    Id. at 2
    , 6–7. The state must also make an enforceable
    commitment to monitor, assess, and report on the implementation and emissions effects of the
    VMEPs, as well as to timely remedy any shortfall in emissions reductions that do not meet the
    projected levels. Id.; see 66 Fed. Reg. at 57,190–91. The EPA requires that VMEP emissions
    reductions be quantifiable, surplus (i.e., they are not credited twice), enforceable, permanent, and
    adequately supported by the states. VMEP Guidance at 6–7. If these requirements are met, the
    emission reductions that can reasonably be attributed to VMEPs are included in a state’s control
    strategy.38
    38
    EPA’s guidance limits the SIP credit to three percent of the total future year
    emissions necessary to reach attainment until EPA gains additional experience in
    calculating credits for such voluntary measures. VMEP Guidance at 5.
    47
    The EPA’s authority for the VMEP program is § 7410(a)(2)(A), which, as previously
    discussed, allows “enforceable . . . control measures, means or techniques . . . as may be necessary
    or appropriate to meet the applicable requirements of this chapter.” Due to increasing levels of
    mobile emissions despite improved technology, the EPA determined that limited voluntary
    measures that reduce emissions are “appropriate” measures under the CAA if enforceable against
    the states as described above. VMEP Guidance at 3–4. Additional authority for EPA’s VMEP
    policy can be found in 
    42 U.S.C. § 7408
    (f)(1)(B), which allows EPA to publish “information on
    additional methods or strategies that will contribute to the reduction of mobile source related
    pollutants during periods in which any primary ambient air quality standard will be exceeded.”
    The EPA is allowed substantial discretion in its assessment of what constitutes an approvable SIP
    and whether the control measures, means, or techniques contained in the SIP are necessary and
    appropriate. Based on our review of the record, the EPA’s VMEP Guidance is a reasonable
    exercise of that discretion consistent with the CAA.
    The Texas VMEP consists of 14 voluntary measures designed to achieve 23 tons/day of
    NOx reductions. The state’s decision to use voluntary measures was necessary due to the large
    magnitude of reductions needed for attainment.39 Many of the measures in the VMEP were
    existing voluntary programs that the state wanted to take SIP credit for towards its attainment
    demonstration. The VMEP added a few new programs that were already in development by
    Houston-Galveston Area Council, the regional transportation agency.
    39
    Additionally, vehicle emissions are expected to be the largest category of
    NOx emissions in 2007. Dec. 2000 Plan at 6-1.
    48
    NRDC argues that the EPA’s approval of Houston’s VMEP is arbitrary and capricious
    because the state did not provide adequate information about resources, implementation and legal
    authority for the program. Again, we agree with the EPA that the state did provide all of the
    information required by the Act and that its approval of the program was consistent with the CAA
    and reasonable on the record.
    The state provided supporting documentation for each voluntary measure that included a
    description of the measure, the identified or predicted participants, the basis for the quantified
    emission reductions, and commitments to monitor, assess, and report emission reductions for the
    voluntary measures. While the state did not make a separate specific commitment to remedy any
    shortfall in the VMEPs, it believed that the existing enforceable commitment regarding adoption
    of additional NOx controls also applied to any shortfall in reductions from VMEPs.40 Based on
    its review of each VMEP measure and the SIP’s recognition of the state’s commitment to
    “monitor, evaluate, and report” on the VMEP, as well as “to remedy in a timely manner any SIP
    credit shortfall if the VMEP program does not achieve projected emission reductions,” the EPA
    believed that Texas had fulfilled its requirements for VMEP submissions. The EPA’s final rule
    40
    To reinforce its commitment to VMEPs, the state later submitted a SIP
    revision subsequent to EPA’s approval of the SIP clarifying that it has a specific
    enforceable commitment to remedy, by the attainment date, any shortfall in
    reductions credited to VMEPs. EPA proposed approval of this revision on
    September 18, 2002. See Proposed Approval and Promulgation of Implementation
    Plans, 
    67 Fed. Reg. 60,633
     (EPA Sept. 26, 2002) (proposed rule). After the EPA
    received public comments on its proposal, it responded to comments and approved
    the state’s clarification of its enforceable commitment for VMEP. See Approval
    and Promulgation of Implementation Plans, 
    67 Fed. Reg. 68,941
     (EPA Nov. 14,
    2002) (final rule).
    49
    included a detailed discussion of the state’s commitments. See 66 Fed. Reg. at 57,190–92. The
    EPA determined that Texas had made the required commitments to monitor, assess, report, and
    remedy any credit shortfall from the VMEP measures in accordance with EPA guidance and that
    these commitments satisfied the enforceability requirements of the CAA. Id. at 57,191.
    In summary, the EPA’s VMEP policy is a reasonable interpretation of the statute and the
    EPA’s approval of the Texas VMEP is upheld as reasonable on the record. To the extent this
    challenge to VMEP is based on a contention that the CAA requires a state to provide necessary
    assurances as to each specific measure, mean, or technique or on a contention that the CAA
    requires a state or local agency to provide a step-by-step description of implementation and an
    implementation schedule, we reject those positions as discussed above.
    I.     Whether EPA’s Findings on “Reasonably Available Control Measures” in the
    Houston SIP Were in Accordance with the CAA and Supported by the Record
    All nonattainment area SIPs must provide for implementation of “all reasonably available
    control measures as expeditiously as practicable.” 
    42 U.S.C. § 7502
    (c)(1). The EPA interprets
    this section as imposing a duty to implement only those control measures that contribute to
    attainment as expeditiously as practicable. See Sierra Club v. United States EPA, 
    314 F.3d 735
    ,
    743 (5th Cir. 2003). In the present case, EPA concluded that Houston’s ozone attainment
    demonstration contained all reasonably available control measures (“RACM”) required by the
    CAA and, therefore, EPA approved the demonstration.41 66 Fed. Reg. at 57,182.
    41
    BCCA Appeal Group, City of Houston, and Harris County, intervenors on
    this issue, support EPA’s interpretation of RACM and approval of Texas’s RACM
    demonstration.
    50
    Sierra Club challenges EPA’s approval of the RACM analysis on essentially two grounds.
    First, Sierra Club argues that EPA’s interpretation of RACM is contrary to the CAA. This court,
    however, recently held that EPA’s interpretation of RACM is reasonable. Sierra Club, 
    314 F.3d at 744
    . The court found that EPA “need not require an analysis of all transport control measures”
    (“TCMs”) specifically listed in 
    42 U.S.C. § 7408
    (f), and that EPA could properly conclude that
    the CAA only requires transport control measures that would contribute to expeditious
    attainment. 
    Id.
     The court also affirmed EPA’s interpretation that “potential measures requiring
    intensive and costly implementation were not RACMs because they could not be readily
    implemented due to excessive administrative burden or local conditions such as high costs.” 
    Id.
    Therefore, Sierra Club’s challenge to EPA’s interpretation of “reasonably available control
    measures” must be rejected.
    Second, Sierra Club argues that EPA’s approval of a RACM-deficient plan was arbitrary
    and capricious. EPA reviewed what the state submitted and agreed that all RACMs were
    included in the Houston SIP. 66 Fed. Reg. at 57,183. EPA even performed its own analysis of
    transportation control measures to confirm Texas’s conclusions as to mobile measures. 66 Fed.
    Reg. at 57,183. The EPA’s RACM analysis included tables listing potential transportation control
    measures, associated potential emissions reductions, and evidence showing that these measures
    either would not advance attainment in Houston or were too costly to be considered “reasonably
    available.” See 66 Fed. Reg. at 57,184. Based on Texas’s and EPA’s analyses, EPA concluded
    that the state’s submission contained sufficient control measures to meet the statutory RACM
    requirement. Id. at 57,183.
    51
    EPA’s consideration of whether the potential RACM were economically feasible and
    would advance attainment is permitted under the statute. Sierra Club, 
    314 F.3d at 744
    . EPA
    provided a detailed evaluation of the RACM issue in its approval of the SIP and appropriately
    responded to numerous comments challenging Texas’s RACM in the SIP. See 66 Fed. Reg. at
    57,181–90. As such, it can hardly be said that EPA’s approval of the Texas SIP’s RACM, after
    its own independent analysis of the TCMs, is arbitrary and capricious.
    IV. CONCLUSION
    For the foregoing reasons, the court denies the petitions for review and upholds EPA’s
    action approving the Houston SIP.
    DENIED.
    52
    

Document Info

Docket Number: 02-60017

Citation Numbers: 355 F.3d 817, 57 ERC (BNA) 1257, 2003 U.S. App. LEXIS 27773

Judges: Davis, Benavides, Restani

Filed Date: 10/28/2003

Precedential Status: Precedential

Modified Date: 10/19/2024

Authorities (38)

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