United States v. Adelfo Pamatmat ( 2018 )


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  •                        NOT RECOMMENDED FOR PUBLICATION
    File Name: 18a0583n.06
    No. 17-1611
    FILED
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS                          Nov 26, 2018
    FOR THE SIXTH CIRCUIT                          DEBORAH S. HUNT, Clerk
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,                               )
    )
    ON APPEAL FROM THE
    Plaintiff-Appellee,                              )
    UNITED STATES DISTRICT
    )
    COURT FOR THE EASTERN
    v.                                                      )
    DISTRICT OF MICHIGAN
    )
    ADELFO PAMATMAT,                                        )
    OPINION
    )
    Defendant-Appellant.                             )
    BEFORE: THAPAR, BUSH, and NALBANDIAN, Circuit Judges.
    JOHN K. BUSH, Circuit Judge. Adelfo Pamatmat, a medical doctor, was convicted of
    conspiracy to distribute and possess with intent to distribute controlled substances in violation of
    21 U.S.C. §§ 841(a)(1), (b)(1)(C) and 846 (Count I), and of health care fraud conspiracy in
    violation of 18 U.S.C. §§ 1347 and 1349 (Count II). Following his convictions, Pamatmat was
    sentenced to 228 months of imprisonment on Count I and a concurrent term of 120 months on
    Count II.
    Pamatmat now appeals the district court’s denial of his new trial motion and challenges his
    sentences as procedurally unreasonable. For the reasons that follow, we AFFIRM.
    I. FACTS
    A. The Conspiracy
    Pamatmat was employed from 2007 to 2009 at a corporation called Compassionate
    Doctors, P.C. (“Compassionate”). Although serving a small number of legitimate patients,
    1
    No. 17-1611, United States v. Pamatmat
    Compassionate mostly engaged in prescribing controlled substances and expensive non-controlled
    substances to patients who did not need them, and its doctors sometimes performed unnecessary
    home visits for the purpose of prescribing these substances. Compassionate billed Medicare over
    $10 million for its fraudulent services. The pharmacies that filled the prescriptions also billed
    insurance companies and retained the payments.
    Pamatmat was involved in the illicit activities of Compassionate and a similar group,
    Visiting Doctors of America (“VDA”), through signing prescriptions for controlled and expensive
    non-controlled substances and signing patient charts for patients he did not examine. Pamatmat
    was paid for signing the charts. In addition, he signed a number of blank prescription pads—
    without a patient name or a medication name—and sold them to another employee of
    Compassionate, an unlicensed medical-school graduate named Javar Myatt-Jones. Myatt-Jones
    filled in the pads with prescriptions for narcotics, which he sold on the street after he obtained
    them.
    Some of Pamatmat’s activities continued after he left the employment of Compassionate.
    He continued to sign charts for patients he had never seen and to sign blank prescription pads and
    sell them to Myatt-Jones, who had gone to work for VDA. Pamatmat also referred the patients of
    “street marketers” to several home health care companies, which billed Medicare for physical
    therapy that was never performed. Pamatmat was paid for these referrals as well.
    In early 2009, the Drug Enforcement Administration (“DEA”) began investigating
    Compassionate’s and VDA’s (among other companies’) activities. The investigation led officers
    to Pamatmat, who in December 2010 gave a Mirandized statement confessing to his participation
    in the conspiracy. In his statement, Pamatmat admitted that he signed “approximately 30 charts
    and 20 [blank] prescriptions” per month for Myatt-Jones; that most of his prescriptions were for
    2
    No. 17-1611, United States v. Pamatmat
    OxyContin 80 milligrams, although “he felt that there was no medical justification” for prescribing
    it; that for each patient he signed two prescriptions (one for a controlled substance that a marketer,
    rather than a legitimate patient, would use to obtain the drugs and then sell them on the street, and
    one for “maintenance drugs” for which a conspirator pharmacy could bill Medicare, regardless of
    whether the pharmacy actually filled the prescription); “that he knew his activities were illegal;”
    that, although he did not profess to know for certain what the marketers were doing with the
    narcotics prescriptions, “[h]e felt that they were selling [the drugs obtained through the
    prescriptions] on the street;” and that he was paid fifty dollars per home visit for those patients he
    did see. (R. 1466, Page ID## 14574–79.)
    B. The Trial
    Pamatmat was indicted on charges of conspiracy to distribute and possess with intent to
    distribute controlled substances in violation of 21 U.S.C. §§ 841(a)(1), (b)(1)(C) and 846 (Count
    I), and of health care fraud conspiracy in violation of 18 U.S.C. §§ 1347(a) and 1349 (Count II).
    He entered a plea of not guilty and his case was tried to a jury.
    At Pamatmat’s trial, former DEA task force agent Patrick DeBottis testified to the contents
    of Pamatmat’s confession. Among the other evidence presented by the government was an
    undercover video, recorded by Myatt-Jones (who had agreed to cooperate with the government),
    of Pamatmat signing blank prescription forms and falsified patient charts and stating that he had
    never seen many of his patients. Also admitted into evidence was a recording made by Myatt-
    Jones of a phone conversation with Pamatmat in which Pamatmat admitted he had signed
    prescriptions for patients he had not seen. In addition, two marketers testified about Pamatmat’s
    involvement in writing prescriptions for controlled substances. The government also presented
    physical evidence seized at Pamatmat’s home, including patient charts, lists of patient names for
    3
    No. 17-1611, United States v. Pamatmat
    home visits, and printouts from the Michigan Automatic Prescription Service (“MAPS”), a
    prescription-data-compilation system that records the prescriptions for controlled substances filled
    by all Michigan pharmacies. MAPS contains records of which doctor authorizes each prescription.
    The government presented several exhibits summarizing data obtained from MAPS and
    from STARS, a database of Medicare claim information. Scott O’Connell, the analyst who
    prepared the exhibits, testified that one of them summarized MAPS data on the number of dosage
    units prescribed by Pamatmat. These data showed that pharmacies had filled over 3.4 million
    dosage units of Pamatmat prescriptions for controlled substances between January 2008 and
    January 2013. Although Pamatmat’s trial counsel, Arthur Landau,1 cross-examined O’Connell on
    the MAPS exhibit, Landau did not have the underlying data from the MAPS system. When Landau
    attempted to cross-examine O’Connell on certain aspects of the raw data, the trial judge paused
    the examination to remind the jury that Landau’s adverting to information about the raw data was
    not evidence.
    One of Pamatmat’s co-conspirators, Dr. Ravi Iyer, testified that only about five percent of
    Compassionate’s patients had a legitimate need for the controlled substances prescribed for them.
    The government also presented expert testimony from Dr. Eugene Mitchell, who testified that pre-
    signing prescription pads was “not remotely related to any legitimate medical practice.” (R. 1454,
    Page ID# 12986.)
    In an attempt to discredit the government’s evidence as to the amount of illegal activity he
    engaged in, Pamatmat presented testimony that he worked “full-time” at an emergency room in
    Caro, Michigan from December 2007 to mid-2010. (R. 1458, Page ID# 13865.)
    1
    Pamatmat was also represented by Kevin Landau. We refer to the Landaus collectively as Pamatmat’s “trial counsel”
    in analyzing his ineffective-assistance-of-counsel claim.
    4
    No. 17-1611, United States v. Pamatmat
    Pamatmat also called a handwriting expert to attempt to show that some of the signatures
    on prescription pads and patient files that the government presented were forged. The expert,
    Wendy Carlson, was permitted to give her opinion only as to nineteen signatures (of thirty-two
    total that she examined when preparing for trial). Carlson’s testimony was limited to those
    nineteen signatures as a result of a stipulation reached by the government and Pamatmat’s trial
    counsel. Because Pamatmat’s trial counsel had disclosed Carlson’s credentials and her report over
    twenty-four hours past the court’s deadline, all of her testimony could have been excluded under
    Federal Rule of Criminal Procedure 16. Notwithstanding this, the government agreed not to
    challenge Carlson’s testimony as to the nineteen signatures in exchange for Pamatmat’s trial
    counsel’s agreement not to argue to the jury the government’s failure to retain its own handwriting
    expert. However, the government still sought, and the court granted, exclusion of Carlson’s
    testimony as to all but the first nineteen signatures, because Pamatmat’s trial counsel had disclosed
    Carlson’s opinions as to the remaining signatures even later: roughly eighteen hours before trial.
    The court found that the last-minute batch of opinions was “too late to be acceptable.” (R. 1458,
    Page ID# 13724.)
    In preparing for trial, Carlson examined copies of the signed documents instead of
    originals. At trial, she testified that in her opinion, each of the nineteen signatures she had
    examined was a forgery.       On cross-examination, the prosecutor showed Carlson videos of
    Pamatmat appearing to sign prescription pads and patient charts; some of those documents
    corresponded to copies that Carlson had examined and declared were forgeries. Carlson responded
    in the negative to the prosecutor’s question whether seeing the video changed her opinion about
    the validity of the signatures. By contrast, “Myatt-Jones testified that he had never forged
    [Pamatmat’s] signature on a prescription.” (R. 1648, Page ID# 16707.)
    5
    No. 17-1611, United States v. Pamatmat
    At the conclusion of the trial, the jury convicted Pamatmat of both Counts. On Count I,
    the jury found Pamatmat guilty of prescribing illegally Schedule II, III, IV, and V drugs.2
    C. Post-Trial Proceedings
    Pamatmat moved for judgment of acquittal and for a new trial. Subsequently, Pamatmat’s
    trial counsel withdrew, and new counsel was appointed to represent him. Through his new
    attorney, Pamatmat then filed a second motion for a new trial. In addition, he filed objections to
    the United States Probation Office’s calculation of his Guidelines sentencing range. The district
    court denied the first new trial motion and upheld the Guidelines calculation. Then the district
    court sentenced Pamatmat to 228 months of imprisonment on Count I and a concurrent term of
    120 months on Count II. These sentences corresponded to the Guidelines ranges for Pamatmat’s
    two convictions.
    In sentencing Pamatmat on Count I, the district court considered Iyer’s testimony that only
    about five percent of Compassionate’s practice of patient visits for the purpose of prescribing
    controlled substances was legitimate. Based on this evidence, the government’s sentencing
    memorandum—the recommendations of which the district court adopted—made an “extremely
    conservative estimate” of Pamatmat’s illegal controlled substances prescriptions by doubling the
    estimated percentage of legitimate patient visits to ten percent. (R. 1553-7, Page ID# 15832.) The
    district court therefore determined that ninety percent of Pamatmat’s controlled substances
    prescriptions for the relevant time period should be considered for sentencing purposes.3 This
    determination resulted in an offense level of 38 under the Guidelines.
    2
    According to the verdict form’s classifications, Schedule II drugs include OxyContin, Oxycodone, and Opana;
    Schedule III drugs include Vicodin, Lortab, and hydrocodone; Schedule IV drugs include Xanax/Alprazolam; and the
    Schedule V drug is Promethazine with codeine cough syrup.
    3
    The government’s sentencing memorandum noted that data were unavailable for nine months of the period, from
    January 2008 to January 2013, during which trial testimony established that Pamatmat was involved in the conspiracy.
    6
    No. 17-1611, United States v. Pamatmat
    In determining the range for Count II, the district court found that, per the Guidelines,
    Pamatmat deserved an eighteen-level addition to his offense level because the loss amount from
    his involvement in the conspiracy was between $2.5 million and $7 million.                               Pamatmat’s
    Guidelines offense level for the fraud count was therefore 28 (including enhancements not disputed
    on appeal). The district court based this determination on evidence of two separate areas of illegal
    activity. The first area was Pamatmat’s referrals to two home health care companies owned by
    marketer and co-conspirator Deepak Kumar. These referrals resulted in payments on fraudulent
    Medicare claims totaling $1,944,830.18 for referrals to one of the companies and $698,002.41 for
    referrals to the other. The second area of illegal activity was Pamatmat’s patient visits made while
    he worked at Compassionate. The district court found that at least $900,216.87 in false claims had
    been based on these visits. Adding this number to the number of fraudulent Medicare claims from
    the home health care referrals resulted in an estimated $3,543,049.46 in false claims attributable
    to Pamatmat.
    After sentencing, the district court denied both Pamatmat’s second new trial motion and
    his motion for judgment of acquittal. Pamatmat appealed the denial of his second new trial motion
    to this court.
    On appeal, Pamatmat argues that he is entitled to a new trial under Federal Rule of Criminal
    Procedure 33 because he received ineffective assistance of trial counsel and was prejudiced as a
    result, and the district court erred in denying his motion without an evidentiary hearing. Appellant
    Br. at 16.
    Pamatmat also challenges his sentence as procedurally unreasonable. Because the district
    court relied on the government’s estimate of the number of prescriptions Pamatmat wrote illegally,
    Thus, the government stated that the prescription amounts in its sentencing exhibits were “significantly understate[d],”
    even before doubling the estimated five-percent-legitimate rate. (R. 1553-7, Page ID# 15831.)
    7
    No. 17-1611, United States v. Pamatmat
    and because it relied on fraud amounts that included Medicare claims made after Pamatmat left
    Compassionate’s employ, Pamatmat argues that the district court’s calculation of his Guidelines
    sentencing ranges was not supported by the evidence and not reasonably foreseeable. 
    Id. at 33.
    He asks this court to vacate his sentence and remand for resentencing. 
    Id. at 44.
    II. DISCUSSION
    Pamatmat was convicted of two charges: (1) conspiracy to distribute and possess with
    intent to distribute controlled substances and (2) health care fraud conspiracy. The elements of
    conspiracy to commit drug-related offenses under 21 U.S.C. § 846 are (1) “the existence of an
    agreement to violate the drug laws” and (2) knowledge of, intent to join, and participation in the
    conspiracy. United States v. Pearce, 
    912 F.2d 159
    , 161 (6th Cir. 1990). “Proof of a formal
    agreement is unnecessary, and a tacit or material understanding among the parties is sufficient to
    show a conspiracy.” 
    Id. (citation omitted).
    The elements of health care fraud conspiracy under 18 U.S.C. § 1349 are (1) an agreement
    between two or more persons to (2) “knowingly and willfully execute[], or attempt[] to execute, a
    scheme or artifice . . . to defraud any health care benefit program; or . . . to obtain, by means of
    false or fraudulent pretenses, representations, or promises, any of the money or property owned
    by, or under the custody or control of, any health care benefit program, in connection with the
    delivery of or payment for health care benefits, items, or services.” United States v. Patel, 579 F.
    App’x 449, 460 (6th Cir. 2014); 18 U.S.C. § 1347(a). A defendant may be convicted of health
    care fraud under § 1347 without having “actual knowledge of [§ 1347] or specific intent to commit
    a violation of [§ 1347].” 18 U.S.C. § 1347(b).
    8
    No. 17-1611, United States v. Pamatmat
    A. Pamatmat’s Rule 33 Motion for a New Trial
    We review a district court’s denial of a motion for a new trial under Federal Rule of
    Criminal Procedure 33 for abuse of discretion. United States v. Arny, 
    831 F.3d 725
    , 730 (6th Cir.
    2016). An abuse of discretion occurs when the district court “relies on clearly erroneous findings
    of fact, uses an erroneous legal standard, or improperly applies the law.” 
    Id. (citation omitted).
    Rule 33 provides that a “court may vacate any judgment and grant a new trial if the interest of
    justice so requires.” Fed. R. Crim. P. 33(a).
    Pamatmat argues that the interest of justice requires a new trial under Rule 33 because he
    received ineffective assistance of trial counsel. See United States v. Munoz, 
    605 F.3d 359
    , 373
    (6th Cir. 2010) (“A violation of [the] Sixth Amendment right to effective assistance of counsel
    clearly meets [the Rule 33] standard.” (citations omitted)). A claim based on ineffective assistance
    of counsel involves a mixed question of law and fact, which we review de novo. 
    Arny, 831 F.3d at 730
    . Under Strickland v. Washington, 
    466 U.S. 668
    , 688, 692 (1984), an ineffective-assistance
    claim requires showing both deficiency and prejudice. Counsel’s performance was deficient if it
    “fell below an objective standard of reasonableness.” 
    Id. at 688.
    To show prejudice, the defendant
    must establish “a reasonable probability that, but for counsel’s unprofessional errors, the result of
    the proceeding would have been different.” 
    Id. at 694.
    Pamatmat argues that his trial counsel were ineffective in the following ways: they did not
    “investigate and obtain the underlying raw data” from MAPS that the government’s witness, Scott
    O’Connell, used in preparing exhibits to demonstrate the number of dosage units Pamatmat
    illegally prescribed; they did not “present a witness to challenge” those data or O’Connell’s
    findings; they did not present evidence that Pamatmat was in a coma from January 19, 2012 to
    March 14, 2012, a period during which the government argued Pamatmat engaged in illegal
    9
    No. 17-1611, United States v. Pamatmat
    activity; and they failed to comply with Federal Rule of Criminal Procedure 16 and the district
    court’s scheduling order when they missed the deadline for disclosing Wendy Carlson’s
    qualifications and conclusions as a handwriting expert. Appellant Br. at 19–20. We find that even
    if trial counsel were ineffective in one or all of the alleged ways, their ineffectiveness did not
    prejudice Pamatmat as required by Strickland, and therefore the district court correctly denied
    Pamatmat’s motion for a new trial. We address each of trial counsel’s alleged inadequacies in
    turn.
    As mentioned, the prejudice standard from Strickland requires “a reasonable probability
    that, but for counsel’s unprofessional errors, the result of the proceeding would have been
    
    different.” 466 U.S. at 694
    . Pamatmat has not shown that, if his trial counsel had obtained the
    raw data underlying the MAPS information that O’Connell used to prepare the government’s
    exhibits and had hired an expert to examine those data, the jury would have been reasonably likely
    to have acquitted him of either of the conspiracy charges.         The raw data at issue are the
    prescriptions apparently signed by Pamatmat, as opposed to the information stored in MAPS about
    each prescription, which includes “the name and address of the person receiving the prescription,
    the name of the pharmacy filling the prescription, the date the prescription was written and the
    date it was filled.” Appellant Br. at 23; (see R. 1538-1, Page ID# 15631). Pamatmat’s trial counsel
    objected to the use of the MAPS information as hearsay, and the district court overruled that
    objection, finding that the business records exception applied. Therefore, even if his trial counsel
    had accessed and presented raw data, the jury would still have seen the government’s presentation
    of compilations of those data, showing that Pamatmat had prescribed, and pharmacies had filled,
    roughly 3.4 million dosage units of controlled substances from 2008 to 2013.
    10
    No. 17-1611, United States v. Pamatmat
    However, Pamatmat argues that because many of the pharmacies reporting data to MAPS
    were “allegedly involved in the conspiracy,” the “veracity” of the prescriptions is “call[ed] into
    question.” Appellant Br. at 23. In particular, Pamatmat argues that had his trial counsel obtained
    the prescriptions, along with an expert to examine them, they might have been able to show that
    Pamatmat’s signatures had been forged on the prescriptions. 
    Id. at 24.
    But Pamatmat does not
    give us any reason to believe that those signatures may have been forged, other than Carlson’s
    having identified nineteen copies of signed prescriptions and patient charts as forgeries. Indeed,
    Pamatmat’s Mirandized confession, which the government introduced at trial, included his
    admission that he had signed prescriptions and patient charts in furtherance of the conspiracy.
    Furthermore, the government introduced video evidence of Pamatmat signing prescription pads
    and patient charts.4
    Even had Pamatmat’s trial counsel obtained the prescription forms underlying the MAPS
    compilations, Pamatmat has not shown a reasonable probability that (1) an expert would have
    determined any of the signatures on those prescriptions were forgeries; (2) a jury would have
    believed expert testimony that the signatures were forgeries; (3) the jury would have
    correspondingly discounted the government’s evidence regarding the legitimacy of the signatures,
    including Pamatmat’s confession, the video, and Myatt-Jones’s testimony that he had never forged
    Pamatmat’s signature; and (4) finding that some or all of the signatures had been forged, the jury
    would have acquitted Pamatmat despite the existence of separate evidence of Pamatmat’s
    involvement in the conspiracy. Therefore, we find that Pamatmat has not demonstrated a
    reasonable probability that either obtaining the underlying data or retaining an expert to examine
    those data would have affected the outcome of his trial.
    4
    Pamatmat does not argue—nor does he assert that his trial counsel should have argued—that he was not the person
    in the video or that the video was unreliable evidence in any way.
    11
    No. 17-1611, United States v. Pamatmat
    Next, Pamatmat claims his trial counsel were ineffective in failing to present evidence that
    he was in a coma for nearly two months in early 2012 and therefore could not have signed
    prescriptions during that time (or, indeed, at any time between January 16 and December 31, 2012,
    since Pamatmat argues that he was “physically unable to work” all year). 
    Id. at 23.
    He argues that
    his attorneys should have objected to the government’s introduction of MAPS data based on
    prescriptions filled during this time period. 
    Id. at 24,
    26. In addition, he asserts that his attorneys
    should have argued, based on Pamatmat’s having been ill, that any prescriptions purportedly
    signed by him during 2012 were forgeries. 
    Id. at 24.
    But Pamatmat again fails to show prejudice because his having been sick while
    prescriptions signed in his name continued to be filled is consistent with evidence that he pre-
    signed blank prescription forms and sold them to Myatt-Jones. Myatt-Jones testified before the
    jury that Pamatmat pre-signed blank forms. Therefore, even had the jury known that Pamatmat
    was sick in 2012, Pamatmat has not shown a reasonable probability the jury would have concluded
    that no genuine Pamatmat-signed prescriptions could have been filled during 2012. Even had the
    jury concluded that, moreover, Pamatmat has not shown that the outcome of his trial would have
    been different. Without the evidence of 2012 activity, the jury still would have heard evidence of
    several years’ involvement in a conspiracy, which would have been sufficient to convict Pamatmat
    of the charges.
    However, Pamatmat argues that the inclusion of 2012 prescriptions in the MAPS
    compilations indicates the general unreliability of the MAPS data. 
    Id. at 26.
    To the extent
    Pamatmat may be using this argument to reiterate that his counsel should have obtained the
    underlying prescription forms and hired an expert to examine them, he still has not shown prejudice
    because he does not present any evidence to indicate that the data are unreliable. He simply asserts
    12
    No. 17-1611, United States v. Pamatmat
    that the Pamatmat signatures on 2012 prescriptions were forged. But as the government points
    out, far fewer Pamatmat-signed prescriptions were filled in 2012 than in the preceding two years.
    The MAPS compilations showed that 1,399,836 dosage units were filled based on Pamatmat
    prescriptions in 2010; 1,713,526 in 2011; and 343,457 in 2012. Appellee Br. at 17–18. Such a
    reduction is consistent with Pamatmat’s having been unable to sign new prescriptions in 2012,
    meaning the other conspirators would have had to use the limited number of pre-signed
    prescription forms that Pamatmat had sold before his hospitalization. Therefore, Pamatmat has
    failed to show a reasonable probability the jury would have acquitted him of the conspiracy charges
    had his attorneys presented evidence that he was sick and did not work in 2012.
    Finally, Pamatmat argues he was prejudiced by his trial counsel’s failure to retain a
    handwriting expert in a timely fashion and to disclose the expert’s qualifications and report to the
    court before the deadline.5 Appellant Br. at 26. Pamatmat asserts that his trial counsel did not hire
    Carlson “until the last week of the jury trial.” 
    Id. As a
    result, she had time to examine only thirty-
    two signatures. Pamatmat argues that “[h]ad [c]ounsel . . . timely hired a handwriting expert, she
    could have analyzed every single exhibit offered by the Government during the multi-week trial.”
    
    Id. at 27.
    Because his argument that his signature had been forged on prescription pads and patient
    charts was “[a] cornerstone” of his defense, Pamatmat also argues that he was prejudiced when his
    trial counsel were forced—by their tardiness in retaining an expert—to strike an agreement with
    5
    Pamatmat argues that his trial counsel “initially violated [Rule] 16’s deadlines, and subsequently violated the
    [district] [c]ourt’s deadline of Friday at 4:00 p m. to provide Ms. Carlson’s report . . . .” Appellant Br. at 27. Rule
    16(b)(1)(C), governing the defendant’s disclosure of expert qualifications, opinions, and bases for opinion, does not
    establish a deadline. However, the district court had set deadlines in this case that Pamatmat’s trial counsel failed to
    meet.
    13
    No. 17-1611, United States v. Pamatmat
    the government that precluded Pamatmat from arguing that the government had not retained its
    own handwriting expert to testify to the signatures’ authenticity. 
    Id. at 26;
    see also 
    id. at 27.
    To prove prejudice, however, Pamatmat needs to show that, had his expert been permitted
    to examine and testify about a greater number of signatures than the nineteen she actually testified
    about, the jury would have been reasonably likely to acquit. See 
    Strickland, 466 U.S. at 694
    .
    Pamatmat argues that his “defense was largely based on the fact that any involvement in the drug
    conspiracy . . . was due to his signature being forged.” Appellant Br. at 28. If that is true, though,
    Pamatmat fails to explain how an expert’s testifying that more than nineteen of the signatures had
    been forged would have altered the jury’s conclusion about his involvement in the conspiracy.
    After all, the jury did hear Pamatmat’s expert say she thought all nineteen of the signatures she
    reviewed had been forged. The jury may have inferred from that testimony that many more of
    Pamatmat’s alleged signatures were forgeries, or it may simply have accepted Carlson’s opinion
    as to the nineteen. Alternatively, it may not have believed her at all. In any event, the jury did not
    find that Carlson’s testimony outweighed Pamatmat’s confession, the video of Pamatmat signing
    prescription pads and patient charts, and Myatt-Jones’s testimony that he had never forged
    Pamatmat’s signature. And Pamatmat has not made any arguments indicating why Carlson’s
    testifying as to the inauthenticity of more signatures would have weighed more heavily with the
    jury.6 As to the government’s failure to retain its own handwriting expert, the jury could see that
    the government had no expert regardless of whether Pamatmat’s counsel stressed the point in
    6
    The government asserts that Pamatmat’s expert was “simply not a credible witness” because of the nature of her
    credentials and training, so her testimony as to more signatures would not have helped Pamatmat’s defense. Appellee
    Br. at 18–19. We agree that Pamatmat does not show that more Carlson testimony would have aided him, but we also
    note that Pamatmat does not argue his counsel should have retained a different expert who might have been more
    credible. Therefore, we make no comment on Carlson’s credibility beyond noting that the jury did not appear to find
    her more credible than the various pieces of evidence the government presented to demonstrate the validity of
    Pamatmat’s signatures.
    14
    No. 17-1611, United States v. Pamatmat
    argument. Pamatmat offers us no reason to believe that his counsel’s inability to argue the point
    was reasonably likely to have influenced the outcome of his trial.
    Although we find that none of counsel’s alleged errors prejudiced Pamatmat, Pamatmat
    argues that the district court should have “consider[ed] the combined effect of all acts of counsel
    found to be constitutionally deficient, in light of the totality of the evidence in the case,” to
    determine whether all of his counsel’s allegedly deficient acts combined to prejudice him. 
    Id. at 29
    (quoting United States v. Dado, 
    759 F.3d 550
    , 563 (6th Cir. 2014)). Pamatmat argues that the
    district court “summarily” disposed of his new trial motion and request for an evidentiary hearing
    on the motion. 
    Id. Summary or
    not, the district court’s analysis directly addressed Pamatmat’s contention that
    his counsel’s alleged errors, taken as a whole, prejudiced his defense. After addressing each of
    Pamatmat’s arguments regarding his counsel’s alleged individual errors, the district court stated:
    To justify the extraordinary remedy of a new trial based on cumulative error,
    Defendant must show that . . . the aggregate effect of the “individually harmless
    errors was so prejudicial as to render his trial fundamentally unfair.” Given the
    weight of the evidence against Defendant, including his oral confession, the court
    is not persuaded that his retained trial counsel’s arguably sub-optimal performance
    actually prejudiced Defendant to that degree.
    (R. 1648, Page ID# 16708 (emphases added) (quoting United States v. Trujillo, 
    376 F.3d 593
    , 614
    (6th Cir. 2004)).). Although we must review the district court’s ineffective-assistance analysis de
    novo, we do not require the district court to state its conclusion at any particular length. If we are
    satisfied that the district court’s conclusion was correct, we must affirm.
    We are satisfied. Although Trujillo, which the district court cited to establish the standard
    a defendant must satisfy to show cumulative prejudicial error, was a case about alleged errors by
    a court, not trial counsel, the Strickland standard for assessing cumulative error is not materially
    different. See 
    Strickland, 466 U.S. at 696
    (“Taking the unaffected findings as a given, and taking
    15
    No. 17-1611, United States v. Pamatmat
    due account of the effect of the errors on the remaining findings, a court making the prejudice
    inquiry must ask if the defendant has met the burden of showing that the decision reached would
    reasonably likely have been different absent the errors.”); see also 
    id. at 686
    (stating that the
    purpose of the constitutional requirement of effective assistance of counsel is “to ensure a fair
    trial”); Stewart v. Wolfenbarger, 
    468 F.3d 338
    , 361 (6th Cir. 2006) (“When determining prejudice,
    the [c]ourt must consider the errors of counsel in total, against the totality of the evidence in the
    case.”).
    Furthermore, we find that the district court reached the correct conclusion under Strickland.
    Considered in the aggregate, the alleged errors of Pamatmat’s trial counsel were not reasonably
    likely to have affected the outcome of his prosecution. Suppose trial counsel had done everything
    Pamatmat claims they should have done: obtain the raw data underlying the MAPS compilations
    of Pamatmat prescription information, hire an expert to analyze those data, present evidence to
    show that Pamatmat was sick in 2012 and did not work, and comply with the district court’s
    deadline for disclosure of the handwriting expert’s qualifications and report so they could argue
    that the government had failed to retain its own handwriting expert. Even then, the jury would
    still have been presented with evidence of Pamatmat’s confession, with evidence that Pamatmat
    pre-signed prescription forms to be filled in later, with Myatt-Jones’s testimony that he never
    forged any of Pamatmat’s signatures on those pre-signed forms, with Dr. Ravi Iyer’s testimony
    that only about five percent of Compassionate’s patients were legitimate, with Dr. Eugene
    Mitchell’s testimony that signing blank prescription forms was unrelated to legitimate medical
    practice, and with the rest of the proof the government presented at trial. Pamatmat does not argue
    that he has learned anything about the MAPS data suggesting they are unreliable; nor does he now
    present any evidence suggesting the Pamatmat prescriptions from 2012 were not attributable to
    16
    No. 17-1611, United States v. Pamatmat
    pre-signed prescription forms. And he does not give us any basis to believe that his handwriting
    expert’s testimony as to more than nineteen signatures would have influenced the jury in his favor.
    Consequently, we do not find it reasonably probable that, had trial counsel conducted themselves
    in the ways Pamatmat suggests, he would have been acquitted of either conspiracy charge.
    Pamatmat argues prejudice from his trial counsel’s alleged deficiency by relying on Arny,
    where we affirmed the district court’s grant of a new trial, based on ineffective assistance of trial
    counsel, to a doctor who had been convicted of similar crimes to those at issue 
    here. 831 F.3d at 736
    . But this case is not like Arny. In Arny, the defendant’s counsel had made misrepresentations
    to him, including about the availability of a potentially key witness who could have testified that
    Arny took over her practice and was engaged in legitimately prescribing controlled substances.
    
    Id. at 729.
    Arny had “repeatedly asked trial counsel to call” this witness, but they had not done
    so, and they had not even interviewed her to determine whether her testimony would be valuable
    to Arny’s defense. 
    Id. at 729,
    732–33. In addition, Arny’s counsel had failed to meet with one of
    their other witnesses before trial and had presented the testimony of one witness who made several
    statements on the stand that were directly prejudicial to Arny’s defense.            
    Id. at 729–30.
    Furthermore, counsel failed to present testimony by any of Arny’s legitimate patients; within a
    short time after trial, Arny secured affidavits from six of these patients, who were prepared to
    testify to their real need of the controlled substances he had prescribed for them. 
    Id. at 730.
    Meanwhile, the government had presented testimony by four of Arny’s patients, who testified that
    they had not needed the drugs he prescribed for them. 
    Id. at 729.
    The government also presented
    the testimony of one expert who opined that Arny’s practice was illegitimate, and it called ten
    additional witnesses. 
    Id. Arny’s attorneys
    called only three witnesses, including Arny himself.
    
    Id. 17 No.
    17-1611, United States v. Pamatmat
    By contrast, Pamatmat does not allege that his trial counsel failed to communicate with
    him regarding key aspects of his defense or failed to follow his instructions about investigating
    particular meritorious avenues of argument. Although he argues his trial counsel should have
    obtained the data underlying the MAPS calculations, he does not assert that he asked them to do
    so during the trial process or give any reason beyond speculation for believing obtaining the data
    would have helped his defense. Neither does he assert that his trial counsel overlooked key
    witnesses (other than, as he argues, an expert to examine the MAPS data) or made
    misrepresentations to him or to the court. He does not argue his trial counsel did not call enough
    witnesses or did not call credible witnesses. In no way does he argue that he received inadequate
    counseling regarding what plea to enter or what defense to assert. And he does not offer us any
    reason to believe that his trial counsel could have called a witness to testify that Pamatmat was
    engaged in a legitimate medical practice at Compassionate, and in his work with Myatt-Jones and
    the other conspirators, and counter Iyer’s testimony that there was nothing legitimate about
    Pamatmat’s signing blank prescriptions.
    Pamatmat’s trial counsel did attempt to discredit the possibility that Pamatmat was engaged
    in illegal activity for several years during the alleged scheme by presenting testimony that
    Pamatmat worked “full-time” at an emergency room in Caro, Michigan from December 2007 to
    mid-2010. (R. 1458, Page ID# 13865.) Although this may seem like the kind of testimony
    regarding legitimate medical practice that could have helped Pamatmat, it was not inconsistent
    with the government’s evidence that Pamatmat also worked for Compassionate during part of that
    time and continued to illegally sign prescription forms and participate in fraudulent referral
    schemes after leaving Compassionate.
    18
    No. 17-1611, United States v. Pamatmat
    In support of his argument that his counsel should have conducted a more rigorous
    investigation before trial, Pamatmat points to an affidavit his new counsel obtained from a former
    FBI Agent, James Hoppe. Appellant Br. at 23. Hoppe’s affidavit states that “Pamatmat did write
    [prescriptions] to individuals that he examined as an emergency room physician at Caro Hospital.”
    
    Id. (citing R.
    1538-1, Page ID## 15630–32). However, Pamatmat fails to explain how hearing
    testimony to this effect would have persuaded the jury that Pamatmat was too busy tending
    legitimate patients in Caro to be writing fraudulent prescriptions for the conspiracy. He also
    neglects to mention that after trial, government witness O’Connell analyzed prescriptions
    Pamatmat wrote during the time he was employed as an ER doctor and found “that none of the
    Schedule II prescriptions—the most powerful prescriptions sold by the marketers—were filled at
    pharmacies near Caro . . . .” Appellee Br. at 16–17 (citing R. 1684, Page ID## 17102–03).
    Presumably, had Pamatmat presented testimony by a witness like Hoppe, the government would
    have had the opportunity to present testimony along the lines of O’Connell’s post-trial analysis,
    suggesting that Pamatmat’s Schedule II prescriptions, at least, were all illegitimate. Pamatmat
    does not persuade us that this exchange of testimony would have aided his defense.
    Most importantly, Pamatmat does not assert that his Mirandized confession was defective
    or subject to being discredited by another hypothetical witness’s testimony at trial.7 He does not
    explain why the jury would have been likely to find him not guilty after hearing his confession,
    which included his admission that he signed blank prescription forms and his admission that he
    knew his conduct was illegal. In sum, Pamatmat has failed to convince us, either by analogy to
    7
    Pamatmat moved to suppress his confession before trial, but the district court denied the motion, and Pamatmat does
    not now argue that his trial counsel should have made any additional efforts to mute the effect of government witness
    DeBottis’s testifying to the contents of that confession at trial.
    19
    No. 17-1611, United States v. Pamatmat
    Arny or in any other way, that his trial counsel’s conduct prejudiced him such that his trial would
    have been reasonably likely to have ended differently absent their alleged errors.8
    Therefore, the district court did not abuse its discretion in denying Pamatmat’s motion for
    a new trial under Federal Rule of Criminal Procedure 33.
    B. Pamatmat’s Challenge to His Sentencing
    Pamatmat also challenges his sentencing as procedurally unreasonable. We review the
    procedural reasonableness of a district court’s sentencing decisions for abuse of discretion.9 Gall
    v. United States, 
    552 U.S. 38
    , 51 (2007). This review requires the following inquiry:
    [T]he appellate court . . . must . . . ensure that the district court committed no
    significant procedural error, such as failing to calculate (or improperly calculating)
    the Guidelines range, treating the Guidelines as mandatory, failing to consider the
    [18 U.S.C.] § 3553(a) factors, selecting a sentence based on clearly erroneous facts,
    or failing to adequately explain the chosen sentence . . . .
    
    Id. We will
    address first Pamatmat’s challenge to the district court’s determination of drug
    quantities for his sentence as to Count I and second his challenge to its determination of actual or
    intended loss for his sentence as to Count II.
    1. Drug Quantity Determination
    Where the Guidelines range is based on a calculation of drug quantities, we review the
    district court’s determination of quantity for clear error. United States v. Jeross, 
    521 F.3d 562
    ,
    570 (6th Cir. 2008). “A district court may not ‘hold a defendant responsible for a specific quantity
    of drugs unless the court can conclude the defendant is more likely than not actually responsible
    for a quantity greater than or equal to the quantity for which the defendant is being held
    8
    We hold only that Pamatmat has not established that his trial would have been reasonably likely to have ended in
    acquittal on either conspiracy charge had his trial counsel conducted his defense in the ways he thinks they should
    have. Pamatmat does not appear to base his ineffective-assistance claim on any alleged prejudice at sentencing, and
    he notes that “the jury did not determine any drug quantities.” Appellant Br. at 3 (citing R. 1160, Page ID# 8142).
    9
    In his brief, Pamatmat also states the Gall standard for review of a sentence’s substantive reasonableness. Appellant
    Br. at 34. However, he does not argue that his sentence was substantively unreasonable, so we address only the
    procedural reasonableness of his sentence.
    20
    No. 17-1611, United States v. Pamatmat
    responsible.’” 
    Id. (quoting United
    States v. Walton, 
    908 F.3d 1289
    , 1302 (6th Cir. 1990)). In other
    words, a district court may estimate the amount of drugs for which a defendant is responsible, as
    long as a preponderance of the evidence supports the estimate. 
    Id. Pamatmat argues
    that the district court improperly calculated his Guidelines range.
    Appellant Br. at 34. As with his ineffective-assistance claim, Pamatmat argues that the MAPS
    data regarding how many dosage units of controlled substances he prescribed are “unreliable”
    because they are not raw data. 
    Id. at 38.
    Although Pamatmat cites Hoppe’s affidavit to support
    this claim, the affidavit does not state that the MAPS data are unreliable. It simply states Hoppe’s
    “belie[f] that this data is [sic] second hand data, not original data or raw data, and was [sic] most
    likely compiled by someone at the State of Michigan from information received by the State of
    Michigan from reporting pharmacies.” (R. 1538-1, Page ID# 15631.) Pamatmat fails to explain
    why the data’s having been compiled from pharmacies’ reports makes them unreliable.
    Indeed, this court has previously determined, in response to a challenge by one of
    Pamatmat’s convicted co-conspirators, that the MAPS data are reliable enough to support
    sentencing determinations. United States v. Geralt, 682 F. App’x 394, 406–07 (6th Cir. 2017).
    The co-conspirator, John Geralt, had also argued “that some of the prescriptions attributed to him
    may have been forgeries” and that the data compilations “lack[ed] trustworthiness . . . because the
    state prescription database depends on information reported by pharmacies, including those that
    participated in the conspiracy.” 
    Id. at 407
    (internal quotation marks omitted). We found that
    because Geralt presented no evidence of “actual forgeries or misreported prescriptions . . . it was
    not clear error for the district court to find that O’Connell’s [the same O’Connell who testified at
    Pamatmat’s trial] testimony and the state database accurately reflected the number and type of
    prescriptions written by Geralt.” 
    Id. We find
    that the same analysis applies in Pamatmat’s case.
    21
    No. 17-1611, United States v. Pamatmat
    Although Pamatmat contends that (unlike Geralt) he has presented evidence of actual forgeries
    through Carlson’s testimony, that testimony was contradicted by Pamatmat’s confession and other
    government evidence tending to show that Pamatmat had signed many prescription forms illegally.
    Pamatmat offers no other reason, beyond those Geralt also argued, to doubt the validity of the
    MAPS data. Therefore, we adopt our reasoning in Geralt with respect to these data’s reliability.
    But Pamatmat argues that the district court should not have used an estimate of the
    percentage of controlled substances that were attributable to illegal, as opposed to legitimate,
    prescriptions. Appellant Br. at 41. He claims that the district court was wrong to adopt the
    government’s estimate, which was based on testimony that only five percent of Compassionate’s
    controlled-substances prescription practice was legitimate. 
    Id. That estimate
    led the district court
    to sentence based on the assumption that ninety percent of the controlled substances that Pamatmat
    prescribed between January 2008 and January 2013 were prescribed illegally. Far from being “a
    completely arbitrary figure,” 
    id. at 42,
    this drug amount calculation was based on the government’s
    conservative estimate of the percentage of Pamatmat’s prescription practice that was illegitimate.
    Indeed, by adopting the government’s recommendation, the district court did exactly what
    Pamatmat argues it should have done: it “err[ed] on the side of caution and only h[e]ld the
    defendant responsible for that quantity of drugs for which the defendant is more likely than not
    actually responsible.” 
    Id. (quoting United
    States v. Meacham, 
    27 F.3d 214
    , 216 (6th Cir. 1994)).
    As the prosecutor mentioned at the sentencing hearing, if one considered ninety percent of the
    prescriptions of oxycodone alone, for the one-year period from 2008 to 2009, that would have
    produced an offense level of 38. (R. 1684, Page ID# 17103.)
    Pamatmat has given us no reason to doubt that the district court made a reasonable and
    conservative estimate, which our precedent permits, in determining the drug quantities underlying
    22
    No. 17-1611, United States v. Pamatmat
    his sentencing. See 
    Jeross, 521 F.3d at 570
    . Therefore, he has not shown that the district court
    made a clearly erroneous determination of drug quantities, and he has not shown that the district
    court abused its sentencing discretion in a way that would render his sentence procedurally
    unreasonable. See 
    Gall, 552 U.S. at 51
    .
    2. Fraud Loss Amount
    Pamatmat also challenges his sentencing for the fraud conviction, arguing that the district
    court erred in considering loss amounts that occurred after 2009—in other words, after Pamatmat
    had left Compassionate.10 In reviewing a Guidelines calculation based on a loss amount in a fraud
    case, we ask whether a preponderance of the evidence supports the district court’s determination
    of loss, United States v. Wendlandt, 
    714 F.3d 388
    , 393 (6th Cir. 2013), and we may affirm if the
    district court made a “reasonable estimate of actual or intended loss within broad ranges,” United
    States v. Howley, 
    707 F.3d 575
    , 583 (6th Cir. 2013) (citations and internal quotation marks
    omitted).
    Pamatmat argues that “[w]hile Compassionate continued to bill under . . . Pamatmat’s
    identification numbers” after he left Compassionate’s employ, “there was no way . . . Pamatmat
    would have known that was what” the Compassionate conspirators were doing. Appellant Br. at
    36. Therefore, Pamatmat argues that “it was not foreseeable” that Compassionate would continue
    to make fraudulent gains by using his identification numbers. 
    Id. at 37.
    These arguments are
    unavailing. The government established at trial that Pamatmat continued to engage in fraudulent
    activity after he left Compassionate. Even excluding the estimated loss amount attributable to
    10
    The government suggests we should apply plain-error review instead of abuse-of-discretion review to this argument
    because Pamatmat did not make an objection at sentencing that was “specific enough to afford the district court an
    opportunity to address the particular claim.” Appellee Br. at 34 (quoting United States v. Simmons, 
    587 F.3d 348
    , 356
    (6th Cir. 2009)). However, the government does not develop this argument, and we find that the district court did not
    abuse its discretion, so we need not decide whether the less rigorous plain-error standard of review should apply.
    23
    No. 17-1611, United States v. Pamatmat
    Pamatmat’s work at Compassionate, his fraudulent home health care referrals continued after his
    employment with Compassionate ended, and the estimated totals from Pamatmat’s home health
    care referrals alone still resulted in a fraud loss amount of between $2.5 million and $7 million—
    the amount that resulted in the eighteen-level addition that Pamatmat disputes. (R. 1553-7, Page
    ID## 15832–33.) As the government points out, these home health care referrals formed “[t]he
    major component of the fraud calculation,” Appellee Br. at 33, but Pamatmat does not assert that
    the district court made an error in considering them. Instead, Pamatmat focuses on the post-2009
    Compassionate activity of which he claims he was unaware.
    But we find it hard to accept Pamatmat’s argument that “it was not foreseeable” that
    Compassionate would continue to use his billing number to obtain fraudulent prescriptions,
    Appellant Br. at 37, when he knew he was engaged in illegal activity while employed at
    Compassionate and presumably knew that only five percent of Compassionate’s patients (at most)
    were legitimate. We also note that although the district court’s estimate of Compassionate patient
    visits for which Pamatmat billed controlled-substance prescriptions was based on visits between
    the years 2007 and 2013—and Pamatmat left Compassionate in 2009—the district court applied a
    very conservative estimate of the total number of Medicare billings attributable to Pamatmat.
    Specifically, the district court relied on the government’s fraud calculation, which
    estimated that—based on billing number data—Pamatmat had prescribed over twenty-five percent
    of Compassionate’s controlled-substance prescriptions, stemming from patient visits, between
    2007 and 2013. The district court reduced the estimated percentage of patients attributable to
    Pamatmat to ten percent and then reduced that estimate by another ten percent to account (liberally)
    for possible legitimate patients. Finally, based on this significantly reduced estimate of the number
    of illegitimate patient visits attributable to Pamatmat, the district court found Pamatmat responsible
    24
    No. 17-1611, United States v. Pamatmat
    for $900,216.87 in fraudulent Medicare claims. (R. 1553-7, Page ID## 15382–33.) The district
    court then added this number to the totals attributable to Pamatmat’s participation in the fraudulent
    home health care referral program and determined the result was a fraud loss between $2.5 million
    and $7 million, making Pamatmat eligible for an eighteen-level addition to his offense level.
    Pamatmat does not argue that the district court’s method of discounting Pamatmat’s involvement
    in patient visits was inadequate to deal with the possibility that Pamatmat’s billing number was
    used after he left Compassionate and without his knowledge.11
    Because Pamatmat has not shown that the district court’s estimate of the actual fraud loss
    was unreasonable, he has not shown that the district court made a clearly erroneous finding of fact,
    as we must find under Gall to hold that a Guidelines calculation is procedurally unreasonable. 
    See 552 U.S. at 51
    . We find that a preponderance of the evidence supports the district court’s
    reasonable estimate of the fraud loss amount. Therefore, the district court did not abuse its
    discretion in sentencing Pamatmat based on a Guidelines level of 28 on his fraud conviction.
    III. CONCLUSION
    For the foregoing reasons, we AFFIRM the district court’s denial of Pamatmat’s motion
    for a new trial and AFFIRM his sentences.
    11
    It is arguable that even if Pamatmat’s billing number was used by Compassionate without his specific knowledge,
    he could be held responsible for prescriptions written after he left Compassionate because they were foreseeable as a
    result of his involvement in the conspiracy. See U.S.S.G. 1B1.3(a)(1)(B). We need not analyze this question because
    we find that regardless of whether Pamatmat’s billing number was used without his knowledge, the district court did
    not commit clear error in calculating his Guidelines range.
    25