Phillip Thompson v. United States ( 2018 )


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  •                NOT RECOMMENDED FOR FULL-TEXT PUBLICATION
    File Name: 18a0163n.06
    Case No. 16-6531
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE SIXTH CIRCUIT                               FILED
    Mar 28, 2018
    DEBORAH S. HUNT, Clerk
    PHILLIP THOMPSON,                                   )
    )        ON APPEAL FROM THE
    Petitioner-Appellant,                        )        UNITED STATES DISTRICT
    )        COURT FOR THE WESTERN
    v.                                                  )        DISTRICT OF TENNESSEE
    )
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,                           )                  OPINION
    )
    Respondent-Appellee.                         )
    BEFORE: COOK, McKEAGUE, and STRANCH, Circuit Judges.
    McKEAGUE, Circuit Judge. Appellant Phillip Thompson pleaded guilty to two bank
    robbery charges and three firearms offenses and was sentenced to forty years in prison.
    Thompson pleaded guilty to all five counts without a plea agreement. In the process, he alleges
    that he declined the prosecution’s offer of a 15-year plea deal. He refused the deal, against
    advice of counsel, in reliance on counsel’s estimate that he would otherwise likely face a
    sentence of just 16 to 19 years. By refusing to plead guilty pursuant to agreement, Thompson
    preserved the right to challenge his sentence on appeal and hoped to win a reduction of the
    sentence.   Had he known he was actually risking exposure to a 40-year prison sentence,
    Thompson contends he certainly would have accepted the prosecution’s offer. Because his
    attorney’s estimate was so wildly off-target, Thompson contends he was denied effective
    assistance of counsel. The district court denied Thompson’s motion to vacate his sentence under
    Case No. 16-6531, Thompson v. United States
    
    28 U.S.C. § 2255
    . On appeal, Thompson asks the court to vacate the judgment and remand with
    instructions ordering imposition of a sentence of fifteen years, in accordance with the
    prosecution’s original offer. Finding the record to be materially incomplete, we vacate and
    remand for an evidentiary hearing.
    I. BACKGROUND
    A five-count indictment was filed in the Western District of Tennessee on January 13,
    2010. Counts 1 and 3 charged defendant Phillip Thompson with two bank robberies, in violation
    of 
    18 U.S.C. § 2113
    (a); Count 2 charged him with knowingly using and carrying a firearm in
    relation to a crime of violence, in violation of 
    18 U.S.C. § 924
    (c); Counts 4 and 5 charged
    Thompson, having previously been convicted of a felony, with possession of a firearm and
    ammunition, respectively, in violation of 
    18 U.S.C. § 922
    (g). Thompson admitted that he
    committed two bank robberies in Memphis on December 17, 2009, that he possessed and used a
    firearm and ammunition in relation to the robberies, and that he fired shots from a rifle while
    police officers were chasing him before he was arrested.
    Eventually, plea negotiations between the government and Thompson’s attorney, Marty
    McAfee, came to revolve around the possibility of a Rule 11(c)(1)(C) agreement that would have
    resulted in a prison sentence of 15 years, if accepted by the district court. Attorney McAfee
    recommended that Thompson accept the offer, estimating that he could otherwise face a sentence
    of “70–87 months consecutive to 10 years.” McAfee advised Thompson that this was merely an
    estimate, but he had checked with a sentencing expert in the probation department for assurance
    that his estimate was reliable. Against counsel’s advice, Thompson rejected the offer and, when
    the government rejected Thompson’s counter-offer of a binding agreement for a ten-year
    sentence, Thompson pleaded guilty as charged without any agreement. Thompson explained in
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    Case No. 16-6531, Thompson v. United States
    his affidavit that, rather than accept the putative 15-year deal, he preferred to preserve his right to
    challenge the eventual sentence.
    Before Thompson tendered his guilty plea, the district court undertook the obligatory plea
    colloquy, advising Thompson of the potential penalties for the charged offenses. Specifically,
    the court advised Thompson that he was subject to a prison term of up to 20 years on each of the
    bank robbery counts; a prison term of seven years to life on the Count 2 charge of using a
    firearm in connection with a bank robbery; and a sentence of up to ten years on each of the felon-
    in-possession charges. The court further advised that the sentence would be imposed by the
    court after preparation of a presentence report, with reference to the advisory sentencing
    guidelines. The court inquired of Thompson whether he understood that the sentence actually
    imposed “may be different from any estimate of the sentence that your counsel, government
    counsel, or anyone else may have given to you?” Thompson said he understood.
    The district court then proceeded to receive the government’s proffer of evidence it
    expected to produce to establish the charged offenses. Thompson acknowledged and agreed,
    under oath, that the government would be able to present the proffered proofs, with one
    exception: he disagreed with the representation that he had fired the rifle at the pursuing officer.
    Nonetheless, Thompson confirmed that he still wanted to plead guilty to the charged offenses,
    whereupon the court accepted his plea and adjudged him guilty as charged, and referred the
    matter for preparation of the presentence report.
    The presentence report was prepared in January 2012. After Thompson received the
    report, indicating he faced a much longer prison sentence than anticipated, he had little contact
    with attorney McAfee before sentencing, in June and July 2012. Thompson avers that he tried to
    contact McAfee to discuss the possibility of withdrawing his plea, but received no response.
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    Case No. 16-6531, Thompson v. United States
    Otherwise, during this several-month interval, the record gives no indication of Thompson’s
    objection to the presentence report’s assessment, no indication of dissatisfaction with McAfee’s
    representation, and no indication of an effort to withdraw his plea. The sentencing hearing
    commenced on June 20, 2012, but sentence was not imposed because late objections were raised
    that suggested the need for additional fact finding. The sentencing hearing was continued on
    July 19, 2012.
    At issue in the second hearing, in relevant part, was the potential “official victim”
    offense-level adjustment based on Thompson’s having fired numerous rounds from a rifle at a
    pursuing officer following the second robbery. This version of events was confirmed by the
    testimony of the pursuing officer, Memphis Police Officer John Standridge. Standridge said he
    observed the driver of the robbery suspect’s vehicle lean out of the window with an assault rifle
    and fire at least a dozen shots in his direction from a distance of 70 to 75 feet. In response,
    Thompson relied on the written statement he’d given to police when arrested, indicating he had
    fired shots “to hopefully get the officer to stop or slow down so I could get away,” and adding,
    “I wasn’t trying to hit him.” R. 68 (No. 2:10-cr-20010), Sent. Tr. at 92, Page ID 221. The
    district court found the officer credible, found that Thompson had fired at the pursuing squad car,
    and applied a six-point offense-level adjustment, plus a two-point increase for reckless
    endangerment. And having found that Thompson made a false statement regarding his intent in
    firing the rifle, the court withdrew his acceptance-of-responsibility credit, further increasing the
    offense level.
    Consequently, the district court arrived at an advisory guidelines range of 324 to 405
    months for the Counts 1 and 3 bank robbery charges and imposed a sentence of 20 years on each
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    Case No. 16-6531, Thompson v. United States
    count, to run concurrently.1 The court determined that a ten-year mandatory minimum sentence
    applied to the Count 2 charge for use of the firearm in relation to a robbery, to run consecutively.
    Finally, the court imposed concurrent sentences of ten years for each of the Counts 4 and 5 felon-
    in-possession charges, to be served consecutively to the other (20-year and 10-year) sentences,
    resulting in a total term of 40 years’ imprisonment.
    Thompson’s sentence was affirmed on direct appeal. The court rejected Thompson’s
    only claim of error, i.e., that he was wrongly denied an offense-level reduction for acceptance of
    responsibility. United States v. Thompson, 531 F. App’x 549 (6th Cir. 2013). Again, there was
    no hint of dissatisfaction with McAfee’s representation in the district court proceedings or of a
    frustrated desire to withdraw his guilty plea.
    Less than two months later, Thompson, proceeding pro se, filed his motion to vacate the
    sentence under 
    28 U.S.C. § 2255
    . The district court allowed several amendments of the motion
    before denying it in its entirety on August 4, 2016. The district court also denied Thompson’s
    motion for an evidentiary hearing and declined to certify the case for appeal. We certified the
    following issues:
    whether counsel rendered ineffective assistance during plea negotiations, whether
    Thompson’s ultimate plea deal precludes his claim for ineffective assistance
    during those plea negotiations, and whether the district court should have
    conducted an evidentiary hearing on that ineffective-assistance claim.
    R. 12, Order, Apr. 13, 2017. We also appointed counsel to represent Thompson in this appeal.
    Of the three issues certified, only the first and third are actually disputed. The government has
    conceded that Thompson’s decision to plead guilty does not preclude his claim for ineffective
    assistance in plea negotiations leading up to that decision.
    1
    Also contributing to the disparity between this range and the 70 to 87 months originally
    estimated by McAfee was McAfee’s incorrect assumption that Thompson’s criminal history
    would place him in criminal history category I rather than III.
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    Case No. 16-6531, Thompson v. United States
    II. ANALYSIS
    A. Standard of Review
    The denial of Thompson’s § 2255 motion is, in its legal conclusions, reviewed de novo
    and, in its factual findings, reviewed for clear error. Hamblen v. United States, 
    591 F.3d 471
    ,
    473 (6th Cir. 2009). The denial of Thompson’s request for an evidentiary hearing is reviewed
    for abuse of discretion. Smith v. United States, 
    348 F.3d 545
    , 550 (6th Cir. 2003).
    B. Ineffective Assistance
    The relevant standards governing an ineffective-assistance claim are succinctly stated in
    Lafler v. Cooper, 
    566 U.S. 156
    , 162–63 (2012), confirming that a defendant is entitled to
    effective assistance of competent counsel in plea negotiations. To prevail on a claim that he was
    denied effective assistance, a defendant must meet the two-part test established in Strickland v.
    Washington, 
    466 U.S. 668
     (1984). The performance prong of the Strickland test requires a
    defendant to show that counsel’s representation fell below an objective standard of
    reasonableness. Lafler, 
    566 U.S. at 163
    . The prejudice prong requires a defendant to show that
    there is a reasonable probability the outcome of the plea process would have been different had
    he received competent advice. 
    Id.
    Thompson contends that attorney McAfee’s estimate of the likely length of his sentence,
    in the range of 16 to 18 years, being less than half as long as the sentence imposed, was so
    inaccurate as to have undermined his ability to intelligently evaluate the government’s offer of a
    15-year plea deal. Thompson acknowledges that McAfee advised him to accept the offer, but
    contends he had no idea he was risking exposure to a prison sentence of 40 years or more by
    rejecting it and pleading guilty without an agreement. Had McAfee given more accurate advice,
    Thompson attests in his affidavit that he would have accepted the government’s offer.
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    Case No. 16-6531, Thompson v. United States
    The district court rejected this claim even as it acknowledged that “[a] criminal
    defendant has a right to expect at least that his attorney will . . . explain the sentencing exposure
    the defendant will face as a consequence of exercising each of the options available.” R. 38 (No.
    2:13-cv-2737), Order at 28, Page ID 285 (quoting Smith, 
    348 F.3d at 553
    ). Yet, the court held
    that an erroneous sentencing guidelines prediction does not justify setting aside the guilty plea,
    citing United States v. Hicks, 
    4 F.3d 1358
    , 1363 n.3 (6th Cir. 1993). The court noted that,
    irrespective of McAfee’s miscalculation, he had recommended acceptance of the government’s
    offer. The decision to reject the offer was thus deemed to be Thompson’s, because he wanted to
    preserve his right to appeal the sentence. The court determined that McAfee’s representation
    was not deficient. Moreover, the court noted that the record did not substantiate Thompson’s
    allegation that the government had in fact offered him a valid plea agreement. And finally, the
    court held that the plea colloquy indicates Thompson understood that he could not rely on his
    attorney’s sentencing estimate and that he knowingly pleaded guilty. On appeal, Thompson
    challenges the district court’s ruling on several grounds.
    1. Deficient Performance
    First, Thompson contends, citing Magana v. Hofbauer, 
    263 F.3d 542
     (6th Cir. 2001), that
    McAfee’s miscalculation amounted to “gross misadvice” that “certainly fell below an objective
    standard of reasonableness under prevailing professional norms.” 
    Id. at 550
    . In Magana, the
    defendant was charged with two cocaine trafficking offenses. The prosecution offered to dismiss
    one count in exchange for a guilty plea on the other, which would have resulted in a mandatory
    minimum sentence of ten years. Magana’s counsel erroneously believed that, if his client were
    convicted of both offenses in trial, he would face the possibility of two ten-year sentences—that
    would, however, run concurrently. Seeing no practical advantage in pleading guilty, he advised
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    Case No. 16-6531, Thompson v. United States
    Magana to reject the offer. Magana rejected the offer, went to trial, was convicted of both
    offenses, and was sentenced to two ten-year sentences, to be served consecutively, per statutory
    mandate. 
    Id.
     at 544–45. In denying post-conviction relief on Magana’s ineffective-assistance
    claim, the state courts effectively assumed that his attorney’s performance was deficient.
    Magana was held to have not shown prejudice, however, because he believed he could win at
    trial and had not shown that he would have accepted the plea offer even if he had been better
    informed of the potential sentence. 
    Id. at 545
    , 548–50. In habeas review, Magana was held to
    have shown a “reasonable probability” that he would have accepted the prosecution’s plea offer
    if he had been afforded effective assistance. The writ was conditionally granted, requiring the
    state to grant Magana a new plea hearing. 
    Id.
     at 552–53.
    Magana is both analogous and distinguishable. In relation to the deficient performance
    prong, the magnitude of McAfee’s miscalculation is similar to Magana’s counsel’s. However,
    Magana’s counsel’s error was clearer and less defensible than McAfee’s. Magana’s counsel
    demonstrated “complete ignorance of the relevant law under which his client was charged.” 
    Id. at 550
    . In fact, Magana’s counsel resolutely—and erroneously—maintained that the maximum
    sentence Magana faced, whether he pleaded guilty to one offense or was found guilty of both
    offenses, was ten years.     
    Id.
       Magana relied on the misadvice, followed his attorney’s
    recommendation, and rejected the offered plea agreement.
    In contrast, McAfee, in counseling Thompson, made it “clear that the best [he] could
    provide, short of receipt of the PSI Report, was an estimate of his punishment exposure under the
    Guidelines.” R. 25 (No. 2:13-cv-2737), McAfee Aff. at 3, Page ID 168. Moreover, in reaching
    his estimate, McAfee had, quite reasonably, consulted with a sentencing expert in the probation
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    Case No. 16-6531, Thompson v. United States
    department for assurance that his estimate was reliable. Id.2 In those discussions, however,
    McAfee apparently failed to consider or mention the impending dispute regarding shots fired
    during the police chase. This oversight accounts for most of the disparity between McAfee’s
    estimate and the sentence actually imposed.3 While McAfee was aware of the impending factual
    dispute, his affidavit is devoid of explanation for his failure to factor it into his projected-
    sentence calculations.4 Yet, despite his error, McAfee did advise Thompson to accept the
    prosecution’s offer. Unlike Magana, who followed his attorney’s “gross misadvice” in rejecting
    the prosecution’s favorable plea offer and later regretted it, Thompson rejected McAfee’s
    recommendation to accept the plea offer and now regrets that he didn’t follow counsel’s advice.
    Hence, in comparison with counsel’s deficient performance in Magana, the shortcoming in
    McAfee’s performance does not fall as certainly below the objective standard of reasonableness.
    It follows that Magana does not compel the conclusion that McAfee’s performance was
    deficient in a constitutional sense. The instant facts pose a closer question. In Pough v. United
    States, 
    442 F.3d 959
     (6th Cir. 2006), we stated that to establish deficient performance in plea
    2
    Based on information provided by McAfee, Sentencing Guidelines Specialist Judy
    Palmer had arrived at an advisory guidelines range of 87 to 108 months, plus ten consecutive
    years—not substantially different from McAfee’s original estimate. R. 13-2 (No. 2:13-cv-2737),
    Email dated 10/13/11, Page ID 90.
    3
    McAfee failed to recognize the extent to which the potential adjustment for shots fired
    at an officer could result in a substantial offense-level increase. In addition, although McAfee
    advised Thompson that he could face a longer sentence if he engaged in a credibility contest with
    the pursuing officer over how he aimed the rifle when the shots were fired, he did not anticipate
    the loss of credit for acceptance of responsibility. Further, McAfee erroneously estimated that
    Thompson’s past misconduct placed him in criminal history category I rather than III. These
    three errors substantially account for the difference between the estimated guidelines range and
    the range arrived at by the district court.
    4
    McAfee’s affidavit confirms that he knew about the dispute, but implies his belief that
    the government might not be able to preponderate: “The testimony at the sentencing hearing
    regarding the shots fired at the officer pursuing him was much more graphic and detailed than
    what I had seen in the discovery.” R. 25 (No. 2:13-cv-2737) McAfee Aff. at 2–3, Page ID 167–
    68. Still, uncertainty regarding the facts hardly excuses McAfee’s failure to explore the
    sentencing possibilities with Thompson.
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    Case No. 16-6531, Thompson v. United States
    bargaining, the defendant “must show that counsel did not attempt to learn the facts of the case
    and failed to make a good-faith estimate of a likely sentence.” 
    Id. at 966
     (quoting United States
    v. Cieslowski, 
    410 F.3d 353
    , 358–59 (7th Cir. 2005)). On the present record, Thompson has
    hardly met this standard. McAfee learned the facts of the case—or at least most of them—and
    appears to have made a good-faith, albeit erroneous, estimate of the likely sentence.
    But the standard applied in Pough does not exclude the possibility that, considering the
    uncertain operation of the sentencing guidelines, a good-faith but markedly erroneous estimate of
    the likely sentence could be deemed objectively unreasonable. In this regard, Smith v. United
    States is instructive:
    A criminal defendant has a right to expect at least that his attorney will review the
    charges with him by explaining the elements necessary for the government to
    secure a conviction, discuss the evidence as it bears on those elements, and
    explain the sentencing exposure the defendant will face as a consequence of
    exercising each of the options available. In a system dominated by sentencing
    guidelines, we do not see how sentence exposure can be fully explained without
    completely exploring the ranges of penalties under likely guideline scoring
    scenarios, given the information available to the defendant and his lawyer at the
    time.
    Smith, 
    348 F.3d at 553
    . Competent representation thus demands that counsel explore the range
    of penalties a defendant is facing under likely guidelines calculation scenarios as completely as
    possible. “The failure of defense counsel to ‘provide professional guidance to a defendant
    regarding his sentence exposure prior to a plea may constitute deficient assistance.’” 
    Id.
     (quoting
    Moss v. United States, 
    323 F.3d 445
    , 474 (6th Cir. 2003)). Because the record was unclear as to
    whether Smith’s counsel had adequately explained his sentence exposure, the court vacated the
    denial of § 2255 relief and remanded for an evidentiary hearing. Id. at 553–54.
    Here, given that McAfee knew of the likelihood of enhancement for shots fired at an
    officer and admits that he did not completely explore the impact of an adverse finding on the
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    Case No. 16-6531, Thompson v. United States
    potential sentence—either in his own estimate or in his discussions with Thompson, his advice
    arguably fell short of the “professional guidance” standard set forth in Smith. Here, as in Smith,
    an evidentiary hearing would have permitted a fuller development of the facts, to fill the gaps left
    by McAfee’s and Thompson’s affidavits. The district court’s determination that McAfee’s
    representation was not objectively unreasonable thus appears to have been premature. Yet, the
    court’s refusal to grant Thompson a fuller opportunity to show deficient performance is
    immaterial unless he can also show that prejudice resulted—i.e., that the deficiency was a
    “decisive factor” in his decision to plead guilty as charged. Pough, 
    442 F.3d at 966
    .
    2. Prejudice
    Even if McAfee’s miscalculation is presumed to satisfy the Strickland deficient-
    performance prong, Thompson is not entitled to relief absent a showing of prejudice. Unlike the
    Magana situation, and despite his miscalculation, McAfee did advise Thompson to accept the
    plea offer. Thompson’s “injury” thus resulted most proximately from his disregard of counsel’s
    advice. It can hardly be denied, however, that McAfee’s recommendation to accept the plea deal
    would have been stronger had he more completely examined the potential sentence. Thompson
    avers that he would have followed McAfee’s advice and accepted the government’s offer had he
    been informed of his actual sentencing exposure. Thompson’s affidavit thus tends to support the
    requisite showing of a reasonable probability that McAfee’s estimate was a decisive factor and
    the outcome of the plea process would have been different if he had received competent
    assistance.
    But what if there was no valid offer of a plea agreement? The district court remarked that
    “[t]he greater weight of the evidence in the record suggests that the Government never offered
    Thompson a valid plea agreement.” R. 38 (No. 2:13-cv-2737), Order at 29, Page ID 286. If true,
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    Case No. 16-6531, Thompson v. United States
    Thompson’s showing of prejudice would be severely undermined. The accuracy of the district
    court’s characterization of the record, however, is questionable.
    Thompson’s affidavit states that the proposed 15-year plea agreement he ultimately
    rejected had been approved by the government and reduced to writing at the time of the October
    20, 2011 change-of-plea hearing.       McAfee’s affidavit acknowledges that there were plea
    negotiations, but states only that the 15-year plea offer had not been approved in October 2011,
    “as the guilty plea loomed,” when Thompson advised that he did not want to accept it. The
    government has neither acknowledged nor disputed the existence of the plea offer, either in
    preliminary or final approved form, and has offered no evidence or clarification of the status of
    any plea offer at the time of the change-of-plea hearing.           Instead, the government attacks
    Thompson’s affidavit as self-serving and otherwise unsubstantiated. This, essentially, is the sum
    total of record evidence going to the existence of a proposed plea agreement.
    In sum then, Thompson’s sworn representation that he was presented a written and
    approved copy of the 15-year plea agreement, albeit self-serving, stands unrefuted. Moreover, it
    is partially corroborated by McAfee’s confirmation that there were negotiations involving a 15-
    year plea deal that had not yet ripened into an approved agreement in the days leading up to the
    change-of-plea hearing. The record is artificially truncated due to the denial of Thompson’s
    motions for an evidentiary hearing and for discovery, but the weight of the extant evidence
    actually favors a finding that there was a proposed agreement.
    The government insists that the district court made a finding of fact that cannot be
    disturbed unless clearly erroneous. Not so. If the court had made a finding of fact, we would be
    constrained to find clear error. Yet, though the district court’s characterization of the record is
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    Case No. 16-6531, Thompson v. United States
    inaccurate, its observation of what the evidence “suggests” hardly amounts to a “finding.” Let’s
    consider the context of the observation. In the next paragraph of the opinion, the court reasoned:
    McAfee not only attempted to obtain a plea agreement for Thompson through
    negotiation with the Government, but counseled Thompson to accept an
    agreement if and when the Government approved one in light of sentencing range
    estimates he had made . . . .
    Id. at 30, Page ID 287. The court then quoted at length from the plea colloquy—demonstrating
    that Thompson understood the court could impose a sentence different from any estimate that
    McAfee or any other person may have given him—before summarily concluding that Thompson
    had failed to show McAfee’s performance was deficient.
    The district court’s observations are not irrelevant, but they have more to do with the
    prejudice prong than the performance prong.        If there never was a valid plea offer, then,
    irrespective of McAfee’s “gross misadvice” in estimating the sentence, Thompson would be
    hard-pressed to show a reasonable probability that the outcome of the plea process would have
    been different with competent advice. Yet, because the existing record is incomplete as to the
    status of the plea offer at the time of Thompson’s plea, the district court could hardly make a
    finding that there was no valid plea offer. The court was thus content to comment on what the
    evidence suggests—to buttress conclusions it would draw from the plea colloquy. And these
    conclusions, too, relate more to the prejudice prong than the performance prong.
    Indeed, as the government argues, the Sixth Circuit has consistently upheld the validity of
    the plea-colloquy advisement of rights to preclude later claims of misunderstanding alleged to
    result from misleading advice. Most recently, the court observed:
    When an ineffective-assistance claim is based on misleading information
    regarding the consequences of a plea, a proper plea colloquy is generally deemed
    to cure any misunderstanding the defendant may have had about the consequences
    of the plea. Ewing v. United States, 651 F. App’x. 405, 410 (6th Cir. 2016) (citing
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    Case No. 16-6531, Thompson v. United States
    Ramos v. Rogers, 
    170 F.3d 560
    , 565 (6th Cir. 1999)). The court’s proper
    advisement of rights is thus deemed to “foreclose” any showing of actual
    prejudice attributed to counsel’s erroneous advice, because the defendant is
    deemed bound by his statements in response to the court’s inquiry. 
    Id.
    Otherwise, the plea colloquy process would be rendered meaningless if a
    defendant could reopen the record by later asserting that actually, he
    misunderstood. Ramos, 
    170 F.3d at 566
    .
    United States v. Pola, 703 F. App’x 414, 423 (6th Cir. 2017). This rule would appear to apply,
    as Thompson alleges he misunderstood the potential consequences of his guilty plea due to
    McAfee’s erroneous advice. The plea colloquy appears to have been proper, clear and thorough.
    It establishes, based on Thompson’s own testimony under oath, that he understood the potential
    penalties for the charged offenses; that he had discussed the sentencing guidelines with attorney
    McAfee; and that the sentence ultimately imposed by the district court may be different from any
    estimate given to him by McAfee, government counsel, or anyone else.
    But Thompson contends the plea colloquy rule does not apply. He cites a footnote in
    Cadavid-Yepes v. United States, 635 F. App’x 291, 300 n.3 (6th Cir. 2016), for the proposition
    that there are exceptions to the rule. The note contains only dicta, however, and does little to
    help Thompson’s cause. In Cadavid-Yepes, the court faithfully applied the rule and noted that
    recent Supreme Court opinions said to have abrogated the rule are actually consistent with it.
    Thompson nonetheless maintains that because McAfee’s misadvice pertained to a plea
    deal distinct from the guilty plea he actually entered, the plea colloquy in the change-of-plea
    hearing was ineffective to cure McAfee’s earlier misadvice. He cites Missouri v. Frye, 
    566 U.S. 134
     (2012), as illustrative. The Cadavid-Yepes court addressed the argument as follows:
    [I]n Missouri v. Frye, Frye’s attorney never told Frye about a plea offer from the
    government and the offer expired. Frye later pleaded guilty without any plea
    agreement, unaware of the earlier offer. . . . Frye was never given a plea
    colloquy capable of curing his counsel’s deficient performance.
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    Case No. 16-6531, Thompson v. United States
    Cadavid-Yepes, 635 F. App’x at 300 n.3 (citations omitted). Because of the nature of Frye’s
    counsel’s nonfeasance and Frye’s ignorance thereof, the colloquy advisement of rights could not
    have the effect of curing or correcting Frye’s lack of knowledge.
    Here, in contrast, Thompson’s ineffective-assistance claim ultimately depends on his
    showing that, but for McAfee’s erroneous estimate of the likely sentence if he pleaded guilty
    without a plea agreement—which estimate McAfee undisputedly communicated and Thompson
    considered before rejecting McAfee’s advice—there’s a reasonable probability that he would not
    have pleaded guilty as charged. That is, Thompson’s claim hinges on his alleged reliance on
    McAfee’s erroneous estimate. And in the plea colloquy conducted on October 20, 2011, as
    Thompson proceeded to plead guilty without a plea agreement, the district court elicited
    Thompson’s testimony that he understood the potential penalties, had discussed the guidelines
    with McAfee, and understood the court could impose a sentence different from any estimate he
    had been given by McAfee or anyone else. The plea colloquy thus establishes Thompson’s
    understanding that McAfee’s estimate was not necessarily reliable; that it was the district court
    that had authority to impose sentence in its discretion, under the law and the guidelines, after
    considering the presentence report and the parties’ objections and arguments. Frye is thus
    materially distinguishable.
    It follows that the colloquy’s advisement of rights may be deemed to have cured any
    misunderstanding arising from McAfee’s miscalculation. But given the incompleteness of the
    record, we are ill-equipped to reach that conclusion without knowing more, if possible, about the
    nature and the cause of the misunderstanding. We do not fault Thompson for the sparse record
    on this issue; the district court denied his motions to conduct discovery and for an evidentiary
    hearing.
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    Case No. 16-6531, Thompson v. United States
    C. Evidentiary Hearing
    In his alternative argument, Thompson contends the denial of his ineffective-assistance
    claim was in error because it was premature. The ruling was premature, he argues, because the
    undeveloped record is marked by unresolved questions of material fact. The district court denied
    Thompson’s requests for discovery, for an evidentiary hearing, and for appointment of counsel
    because it concluded that his ineffective-assistance claim failed as a matter of law. R. 38 (No.
    2:13-cv-2737), Order at 34, Page ID 291. Thompson asks us to remand for an evidentiary
    hearing to complete the record.
    The denial of an evidentiary hearing is reviewed for abuse of discretion. Arrendondo v.
    United States, 
    178 F.3d 778
    , 782 (6th Cir. 1999). The burden, however, that Thompson must
    bear to show entitlement to a hearing is “relatively light.” Valentine v. United States, 
    488 F.3d 325
    , 333 (6th Cir. 2007) (quoting United States v. Turner, 
    183 F.3d 474
    , 477 (6th Cir. 1999)).
    “Unless the motion [for relief under § 2255] and the files and records of the case conclusively
    show that the prisoner is entitled to no relief, the court shall . . . grant a prompt hearing thereon .
    . . .” 
    28 U.S.C. § 2255
    (b). “[W]hen a defendant presents an affidavit containing ‘a factual
    narrative of the events that is neither contradicted by the record nor inherently incredible’ and the
    government offers nothing more than ‘contrary representations’ to contradict it, the defendant is
    entitled to an evidentiary hearing.” Huff v. United States, 
    734 F.3d 600
    , 607 (6th Cir. 2013)
    (quoting Valentine, 
    488 F.3d at 334
    ).
    As explained above, the existing record leaves fact questions unresolved. Thompson’s
    affidavit sets forth a narrative that is neither contradicted by the record nor inherently incredible.
    It is partially corroborated, not contradicted, by his attorney’s affidavit. We share the district
    court’s skepticism about the notion that the government would offer such a generous 15-year
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    Case No. 16-6531, Thompson v. United States
    deal to a defendant who was essentially “caught in the act.” Yet, the government has not even
    made “contrary representations,” much less adduced evidence, refuting Thompson’s affidavit.
    Nor are we persuaded, at this stage, that the record conclusively shows that Thompson is entitled
    to no relief. Under our precedents, analogous circumstances have been repeatedly held to
    warrant a hearing. See e.g., Pola v. United States, 
    778 F.3d 525
    , 532–35 (6th Cir. 2015); Huff,
    734 F.3d at 607–10; Valentine, 
    488 F.3d at
    333–34; Smith, 
    348 F.3d at
    550–54; Christopher v.
    United States, 605 F. App’x 533, 537–38 (6th Cir. 2015). The same approach is appropriate
    here, as Thompson has carried his “relatively light burden.”
    The district court’s denial of Thompson’s request for an evidentiary hearing was based on
    an inaccurate assessment of an incomplete factual record resulting in premature conclusions of
    law. Consequently, the court erred in its determination that the motion for an evidentiary hearing
    was moot. Among the unresolved questions warranting further development: whether the
    government offered a valid approved written 15-year plea agreement before Thompson entered
    his guilty plea; what justification McAfee may provide for having failed to completely explore
    the impact of the “shots fired” adjustment; and specific details regarding McAfee’s
    recommendation that Thompson accept the government’s plea offer, rather than pleading guilty
    as charged without a plea agreement. The answers to these and other questions could contribute
    significantly to a fair assessment of both prongs of Thompson’s ineffective-assistance claim.
    III. CONCLUSION
    Accordingly, finding that the existing record presents unresolved fact questions going to
    both the deficient-performance and prejudice prongs of Thompson’s ineffective-assistance-in-
    plea-negotiations claim, and concluding that denial of Thompson’s request for an evidentiary
    hearing was in error, the order denying Thompson’s § 2255 motion is VACATED only insofar
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    Case No. 16-6531, Thompson v. United States
    as it hinges on the issues certified in this appeal, and the case is REMANDED for an evidentiary
    hearing limited to the issues addressed in this opinion.
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