Kurt Meister v. U.S. Department of Agriculture ( 2010 )


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  •                       RECOMMENDED FOR FULL-TEXT PUBLICATION
    Pursuant to Sixth Circuit Rule 206
    File Name: 10a0318p.06
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE SIXTH CIRCUIT
    _________________
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    KURT JAY MEISTER,
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    Plaintiff-Appellant,
    -
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    No. 09-1712
    v.
    ,
    >
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    U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE and
    Defendants-Appellees. -
    UNITED STATES FOREST SERVICE,
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    N
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the Eastern District of Michigan at Detroit.
    No. 07-13008—Gerald E. Rosen, Chief District Judge.
    Argued: March 8, 2010
    Decided and Filed: September 29, 2010
    Before: MERRITT, COOK, and KETHLEDGE, Circuit Judges.
    _________________
    COUNSEL
    ARGUED: Kurt J. Meister, Novi, Michigan, for Appellant. Brian C. Toth, UNITED
    STATES DEPARTMENT OF JUSTICE, Washington, D.C., for Appellee. ON BRIEF:
    Kurt J. Meister, Novi, Michigan, for Appellant. Brian C. Toth, UNITED STATES
    DEPARTMENT OF JUSTICE, Washington, D.C., for Appellee.
    _________________
    OPINION
    _________________
    KETHLEDGE, Circuit Judge. An agency is not entitled to deference simply
    because it is an agency. It is true that agencies are more specialized than courts are. But
    for courts to defer to them, agencies must do more than announce the fact of their
    comparative advantage; they must actually use it. And that means, among many other
    1
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    things, that the agency must apply—rather than disregard—the relevant statutory and
    regulatory criteria.
    Kurt Meister, a Michigan attorney appearing pro se, argues that the United States
    Forest Service disregarded the relevant criteria here. Specifically, he claims that the
    Service failed to comply with several of its own regulations and one federal statute in
    developing its 2006 management plan for the Huron-Manistee National Forests in
    Northern Michigan. For the most part, we agree with him; and to that extent we reverse
    the district court’s entry of judgment in the Service’s favor and remand the case so that
    the Service may comply with those requirements forthwith.
    I.
    A.
    This case concerns the Service’s management of recreational activities in the
    Huron-Manistee National Forests (the “Forests” or “Forest”). The Forests occupy about
    970,000 acres on each side of the northern one-third of Michigan’s Lower Peninsula.
    In the east, the Huron National Forest ranges between 12 and 30 miles long from north
    to south, and stretches 60 miles wide from west to east, reaching the shores of Lake
    Huron. In the west, the Manistee National Forest is about 75 miles long and 40 miles
    wide, reaching Lake Michigan near Manistee. The Forests serve a variety of interests,
    including recreation, timber harvesting, and wildlife habitat. They lie within a two-hour
    drive of 7.4 million residents of Michigan, and draw visitors from beyond the State.
    Although technically separate, the Forests have been managed as a single unit since
    1945.
    1.
    Every national forest is subject to a “land and resource management plan[.]”
    
    16 U.S.C. § 1604
    (a). The National Forest Management Act requires each forest’s plan
    to be revised every fifteen years, 
    id.
     § 1604(f)(5), but in practice the interval often
    stretches to twenty. Developing a plan is a formidable process: “The Service must
    develop its management plans in conjunction with coordinated planning by a specially-
    No. 09-1712        Meister v. U.S. Dep’t of Agric., et al.                          Page 3
    designated interdisciplinary team, extensive public participation and comment, and
    related efforts of other federal agencies, state and local governments, and Indian tribes.”
    Sierra Club v. Marita, 
    46 F.3d 606
    , 609 (7th Cir. 1995) (citing 
    36 C.F.R. §§ 219.4
    -
    219.7). The Service’s own regulations prescribe in great detail the procedures the
    Service must follow in developing a forest plan. Those regulations make clear, as the
    Service itself states in this appeal, that the Service must balance competing uses of the
    Forests. See 
    36 C.F.R. § 219.4
    (a), (b); 
    16 U.S.C. § 1604
    (e)(1). (We cite the 2000
    version of the regulations throughout, which is what the Service used in developing the
    Plan.) Under the National Environmental Policy Act, the Service must also discuss a
    range of alternative plans and assess the environmental impact of the alternative that it
    proposes to adopt. 
    42 U.S.C. § 4332
    (2)(C)(i), (iii).
    Once the development process is complete, a proposed final plan and final
    environmental impact statement “are sent to the Regional Forester, who directs one of
    four national forest regions, for review.” Marita, 
    46 F.3d at 609
    . If the Regional
    Forester approves the plan and the impact statement, he issues both documents along
    with a Record of Decision explaining his reasoning. The approved plan and impact
    statement may be appealed to the Chief of the Forest Service, whose ruling becomes a
    final administrative decision if the Secretary of Agriculture chooses not to review it.
    
    36 C.F.R. §§ 219.10
    (d), 211.18.
    2.
    The Service issued a management plan for the Forests in 1986. In 2003, the
    Service published a notice of intent to revise the plan. The Service thereafter held public
    meetings and solicited public comments as to how to revise the plan. In 2005, the
    Service published a draft environmental impact statement that described three alternative
    plans and designated a preferred one. After receiving additional public comments for
    three months, the Service prepared a final plan (the “Plan”) and a final environmental
    impact statement for the Forests. In a Record of Decision dated March 2006, the
    responsible Regional Forester approved both documents. See 
    71 Fed. Reg. 30399
    .
    No. 09-1712        Meister v. U.S. Dep’t of Agric., et al.                         Page 4
    3.
    Meister commented on the Plan throughout its development. Those comments
    reveal fluency with the language of the relevant statutes and regulations; and they
    explained in considerable detail why Meister thought the Service was not meeting its
    obligations under the law. His principal comment was that, in developing the Plan, the
    Service had disregarded certain processes prescribed in its own regulations, so as to
    favor gun hunters and snowmobile users over other persons—for example, hikers and
    birdwatchers—who use the Forests for quiet, solitary activities. He also commented
    that the Service should close more areas of the Forests to motorized activity than the
    Service seemed likely to close in the Plan. It appears that the Service disagreed with all
    of Meister’s comments.
    Meister thereafter appealed the Plan administratively. The Service Chief issued
    a decision that upheld the Plan in all but one respect: the Service was prohibited from
    expanding snowmobiling to all open, unplowed roads in the Forests. The Secretary of
    Agriculture declined to review the Reviewing Officer’s decision.
    Meister then filed suit in the district court, challenging the Plan under the
    Administrative Procedures Act. See 
    5 U.S.C. § 706
    . He and the Service each filed
    motions for summary judgment. The district court granted the Service’s motion, holding
    in general terms that the Service had complied with the applicable regulations. The
    district court denied Meister’s motion.
    This appeal followed.
    II.
    A.
    The Service does not argue before us that Meister lacks standing to assert his
    claims. But standing and ripeness have proved uncertain in cases like this one. See,
    e.g., Ohio Forestry Ass’n, Inc. v. Sierra Club, 
    523 U.S. 726
     (1998). So we pause to
    address those issues here.
    No. 09-1712         Meister v. U.S. Dep’t of Agric., et al.                           Page 5
    Standing has three elements. “First, the plaintiff must have suffered an ‘injury
    in fact’—an invasion of a legally protected interest which is (a) concrete and
    particularized, and (b) actual or imminent, not conjectural or hypothetical.” Lujan v.
    Defenders of Wildlife, 
    504 U.S. 555
    , 560 (1992) (internal citations and quotation marks
    omitted). Second, the injury must be “fairly traceable to the challenged action of the
    defendant.” 
    Id.
     (internal alterations omitted). Third, it must be likely that the injury will
    be “redressed by a favorable decision.” 
    Id. at 561
    .
    The Supreme Court has “held that environmental plaintiffs adequately allege
    injury in fact when they aver that they use the affected area and are persons for whom
    the aesthetic and recreational values of the area will be lessened by the challenged
    activity.” Friends of the Earth, Inc. v. Laidlaw Envtl. Servs. (TOC), Inc., 
    528 U.S. 167
    ,
    183 (2000) (internal quotation marks omitted). Here, Meister alleges that he uses the
    Forests and that the Service’s failures to follow certain procedures in developing the
    Plan have resulted in more widespread gun hunting and snowmobile usage than there
    would be had the Service complied with the procedures. Consequently, Meister
    contends, the Service’s failures have “substantially diminishe[d] Plaintiff’s walking,
    hiking, mountain biking, kayaking, cross country skiing, and snowshoeing experiences”
    in the Forests. Per Friends of the Earth, that contention states an injury in fact.
    There remains the question of ripeness. The doctrine seeks “avoidance of
    premature adjudication”; and, in cases involving challenges to agency action, ripeness
    depends on whether the “administrative decision has been formalized and its effects felt
    in a concrete way by the challenging parties. Ohio Forestry, 
    523 U.S. at 732-33
    (internal quotation marks omitted).
    In Ohio Forestry, the Sierra Club sought to challenge provisions of a forest-
    management plan that designated certain areas as open to logging. The Supreme Court
    did not question that the aesthetic harm alleged by the Club would amount to an injury
    in fact. But the Court observed that the Plan itself “does not give anyone a legal right
    to cut trees, nor does it abolish anyone’s legal authority to object to trees being cut.” 
    Id. at 733
    . To the contrary, additional agency action—namely, issuance of a site-specific
    No. 09-1712        Meister v. U.S. Dep’t of Agric., et al.                          Page 6
    permit—was required before anyone could engage in the logging that the Sierra Club
    said would harm its interests. Thus, the Court held, the plan had not yet “inflict[ed]
    significant practical harm upon the interests that the Sierra Club advance[d.]” 
    Id.
     Hence
    the case was not ripe.
    Meister’s case is different. Unlike logging, the activities about which Meister
    complains—gun hunting and snowmobile use—do not require further action by the
    Service before they can occur. To the contrary, they have in fact occurred ever since the
    Plan’s issuance, with the resultant harms that Meister now alleges. Thus, the Plan itself
    has harmed him in concrete ways. His claims are ripe.
    B.
    We turn next to our standard of review. As an initial matter, we do not defer to
    the district court’s decision, but instead review the administrative decision as if we were
    the first reviewing court. Schuck v. Frank, 
    27 F.3d 194
    , 197 (6th Cir. 1994). Our review
    of the agency’s decision is governed by the Administrative Procedure Act. The APA’s
    relevant section provides in relevant part:
    The reviewing court shall—
    (2) hold unlawful and set aside agency action, findings, and
    conclusions found to be—
    (A) arbitrary, capricious, an abuse of discretion, or
    otherwise not in accordance with law; [or] . . .
    (D) without observance of procedure required by law[.]
    
    5 U.S.C. § 706
    .
    Meister’s claims arise in part under § 706(2)(D), since he contends that the
    Service failed to follow certain procedures in implementing the Plan. Under that
    subsection we review agency action de novo. Coalition for Gov’t Procurement v. Fed.
    Prison Indus., Inc., 
    365 F.3d 435
    , 457 (6th Cir. 2004). But even in cases arising under
    § 706(2)(D), our review as a practical matter is often more deferential than that. The
    reason is that the question whether a certain procedure is required in a particular
    No. 09-1712         Meister v. U.S. Dep’t of Agric., et al.                         Page 7
    circumstance, or whether a certain methodology satisfies the procedure, is often left to
    the agency’s discretion. See, e.g., Save Our Cumberland Mountains v. Kempthorne, 
    453 F.3d 334
    , 339 (6th Cir. 2006) (stating that we review an agency’s “decision that an
    environmental impact statement need not be prepared, under the deferential ‘arbitrary
    and capricious’ standard”); Hughes River Watershed Conservancy v. Johnson, 
    165 F.3d 283
    , 289 (4th Cir. 1999) (“[a]gencies are entitled to select their own methodology as
    long as that methodology is reasonable”). So even in cases arising under § 706(2)(D),
    the arbitrary-and-capricious standard frequently governs.
    Meister’s claims also arise to some extent under § 706(2)(A), since he contends
    that certain aspects of the Plan were arbitrary. As a general matter, agency action is
    arbitrary or capricious if
    the agency has relied on factors which Congress has not intended it to
    consider, entirely failed to consider an important aspect of the problem,
    offered an explanation for its decision that runs counter to the evidence
    before the agency, or is so implausible that it could not be ascribed to a
    difference in view or the product of agency expertise.
    Motor Vehicle Mfrs. Ass’n of U.S., Inc. v. State Farm Mut. Auto. Ins. Co., 
    463 U.S. 29
    ,
    43 (1983).
    Applying these standards, we turn to the merits of Meister’s claims.
    III.
    A.
    “It is an elemental principle of administrative law that agencies are bound to
    follow their own regulations.” Wilson v. Comm’r of Soc. Sec., 
    378 F.3d 541
    , 545 (6th
    Cir. 2004). Meister claims that the Forest Service violated three of its own procedural
    regulations in developing the Plan.
    No. 09-1712         Meister v. U.S. Dep’t of Agric., et al.                          Page 8
    1.
    Meister first claims that the Forest Service failed to comply with § 219.21(a)(2)
    of its regulations when it developed the Plan. That subsection provides:
    (a)    Forest planning shall identify—
    ...
    (2)    The recreational preferences of user groups and the settings
    needed to provide quality recreation opportunities[.]
    The parties disagree about what this provision means. The Forest Service reads
    “recreational preferences” to mean “activities,” so that this regulation requires
    “essentially, a demand/supply analysis.” Gov’t Br. at 15. Under this interpretation, the
    Service must estimate the demand for various activities in the Forest—e.g., camping,
    cross-country skiing, and snowmobiling—and then assess the quantity of Forest lands
    “needed” to meet the demand for each activity.
    Meister disagrees, arguing that a different provision, § 219.21(b), requires a
    demand-supply analysis. (It does, but of a type not relevant here—namely, for
    “developed recreational facilities[.]”) Under Meister’s interpretation, the identification
    required by subsection (a)(2) would lay the foundation for a demand-supply analysis,
    rather than constitute the analysis itself. Specifically, he reads “recreational preferences
    of user groups” to mean not the users’ preferred activities themselves, but rather what
    those users seek to obtain from those activities; as, for example, “cross-country skiers
    desire a quiet recreation experience.” Meister Reply at 7-8. So in Meister’s view, the
    Service must determine the kinds of physical settings in which various users would
    prefer to engage in their activities, rather than merely the settings in which those
    activities can occur. Thus, for example, the Service should determine that cross-country
    skiers, for a variety of reasons, do not want their trails located in close proximity to
    snowmobile trails.      Meister’s ultimate concern seems to be that the Service’s
    interpretation allows it to consider subjectively unsatisfactory settings, rather than the
    users’ preferred ones, in determining whether an adequate supply of Forest lands exists
    for a particular activity.
    No. 09-1712         Meister v. U.S. Dep’t of Agric., et al.                           Page 9
    We defer to an agency’s plausible interpretation of its own regulation. Auer v.
    Robbins, 
    519 U.S. 452
    , 461 (1997).             “Recreational preferences,” as used in
    § 219.21(a)(2), can just as easily be read to mean the activities that users prefer, as it can
    the physical settings in which they prefer to do them. And though not as easily, “settings
    needed” can be read to mean the quantity of lands necessary to support an activity. So
    the Service’s interpretation of this subsection lies within its discretion; and thus the
    subsection does require essentially a demand-supply analysis. But the question remains:
    Supply of what? The regulation provides a straightforward answer: The supply of lands
    “needed to provide quality recreation opportunities[.]” 
    36 C.F.R. § 219.21
    (a)(2)
    (emphasis added). It is not enough, therefore, for the Service merely to identify the
    supply of lands on which an activity can occur. It must instead identify the supply of
    lands on which participants in that activity are afforded a “quality recreation
    opportunit[y.]” So Meister has a point after all.
    With this interpretation in hand, we consider the substance of Meister’s claim.
    He has two complaints. First, he says the Service failed to identify “the settings needed
    to provide quality recreation opportunities for hikers, backpackers, and cross-country
    skiers[.]” Meister Br. at 18. The Service responds that a methodology it calls the
    “Recreation Opportunity Spectrum” (“ROS”) accomplishes that identification for those
    activities and many more. The ROS classifies forest lands into seven types, depending
    on their degree of development. The classifications are: Primitive, Semiprimitive
    Nonmotorized, Semiprimitive Motorized, Roaded Natural, Rural, and Urban. ROS
    Users Guide at 2. The ROS contains a detailed description of each classification.
    “The Service is entitled to use its own methodology, unless it is irrational.”
    Marita, 
    46 F.3d at 621
    ; see also California v. Watt, 
    712 F.2d 584
    , 597 (D.C. Cir. 1983).
    The ROS easily passes that test: It is not an irrational, but a thoughtful methodology for
    matching settings and activities, among other planning purposes. Suffice it to say that
    we agree with the Service on this point.
    But Meister’s other complaint is more problematic. He contends that, as a part
    of its demand-supply analysis, the Service significantly overestimated snowmobile use
    No. 09-1712        Meister v. U.S. Dep’t of Agric., et al.                        Page 10
    and underestimated cross-country ski activity in the Forests. The issue begins with the
    fact that the Service’s methodology for measuring the intensity of different activities in
    the Forests—the “National Visitor Use Monitoring” (“NVUM”) survey—indicated that
    no visitors to the Forests reported snowmobiling or cross-country skiing as the primary
    purpose of their visit in the year 2000. Recreational Supply and Demand Analysis (Oct.
    2004) (“Demand Analysis”) at 11. “[B]ased upon discussions with Dr. Daniel Stynes,
    Professor, Michigan State University[,]” however, and the “professional judgment of the
    Huron-Manistee’s staff and management,” the Service adjusted its estimate of annual
    snowmobile visits from zero to 120,000 for the year 2000 and to 138,000 for the year
    2010. Final Environmental Impact Statement (March 2006) (“Final Statement”) at III-
    337, 287; Demand Analysis at 21. But the Service made no parallel adjustment for
    cross-country visitors, notwithstanding its recognition that demand “for this activity is
    projected to increase approximately 50 percent over the next 50 years[,]” a rate “faster
    than the rate of population growth.” Demand Analysis at 30, 23. The estimates of cross-
    country visitors, for the years 2000 to 2050, were left at zero.
    Meister says this treatment of the numbers amounts to “everything imaginable
    short of making up the data about snowmobile use.” Meister Br. at 17 n.4. The Service
    responds that it “documented its methodology” in the Demand Analysis and that
    “[c]ommunications with the Michigan State researcher and internal discussions about
    his opinions were also well-documented in the administrative record.” Gov’t Br. at 22.
    The whole episode debases the coinage of agency deference. We begin with the
    discussions with Dr. Stynes. So far as the record is concerned, the discussions are in fact
    nothing more than an single email exchange comprising several pages. The exchange
    is informal—Dr. Stynes himself says at the outset that “I’m not ready to present formal
    estimates for a peer review”—and the exchange actually focuses almost entirely on Dr.
    Stynes’ belief that the total number of annual visits (as opposed to just snowmobile
    visits) to the Forests should be adjusted from 1.3 million (the number suggested by the
    NVUM) to 3 million. A Forest Service Social Scientist, Dr. Donald English, expressed
    serious concerns about that proposed adjustment, stating that “I reiterate that I think it
    No. 09-1712         Meister v. U.S. Dep’t of Agric., et al.                         Page 11
    would require a fair bit of work to justify using some other visitation estimate other than
    the NVUM estimate.” So far as we can tell, no further work was done—another Service
    official said simply to choose either number, “[j]ust make sure it’s something
    defensible”—and the Service chose the estimate of 3 million. But the validity of that
    number is not before us today.
    What is before us is the snowmobile number, which as noted above was adjusted
    from zero to 120,000 for the year 2000. According to the Service’s Demand Analysis,
    “Stynes estimated that snowmobile visits on the National Forest were approximately
    120,000” for that year. Demand Analysis at 11. But that characterization is unfair to Dr.
    Stynes: He made no such estimate. What he does say—in a passage comprising three
    sentences—is that the NVUM survey was surely wrong in estimating zero snowmobile
    visits to the Forest, that a earlier State study estimated about 1.2 million snowmobile
    user-days in the entire northern lower peninsula of Michigan in 1996, and that if “10%
    of the activity is on the Forests, we get 120,000 [National Forests] snowmobile visits.”
    There is nothing more. Those three sentences, so far as we can tell from the record, are
    the entire basis of the Service’s adjustment of the snowmobile estimate from zero to
    120,000.
    So we see two serious problems with the Service’s estimates of snowmobile and
    cross-country visitors. The first is that there is scarcely any basis for the snowmobile
    estimate. Behind all of the Service’s invocations of communications, discussions, and
    professional judgment, there lie only those three sentences. Those sentences themselves
    contain not an estimate, but a hypothetical. The record otherwise contains not a hint of
    professional judgment on the Service’s part as to why the 120,000 number, as opposed
    to some other number, is reasonable. We mean no criticism of Dr. Stynes, since in this
    respect his email was put to a use that he appears not to have contemplated. But we do
    say that the nation’s forests deserve better than this as the basis for significant decisions
    regarding their management.
    The second problem is the disparate treatment of the cross-country estimate.
    Most, if not all, of the Service’s rationales for boosting the snowmobile numbers
    No. 09-1712         Meister v. U.S. Dep’t of Agric., et al.                        Page 12
    generally (as opposed to pegging them at 120,000 specifically)—namely, “abnormally
    low snowfall” during the survey year, high gas prices, and that participants in the activity
    typically enter the Forests via trails rather than at developed sites where the survey forms
    were located—apply fully to cross-country visitors. Meister quite reasonably asks why
    snowmobile visits received an upward adjustment, but cross-country visits did not. The
    Service responds that there was “[i]nsufficient data” from which to make an estimate of
    cross-country visitors. Given the data found sufficient for the snowmobile estimate, that
    response is hardly persuasive. And given that the Demand Analysis contains reliable
    (and likely peer-reviewed) data showing the participation rate in cross-country skiing to
    be about half that for snowmobiling in the parts of the nation near the Forests, see
    Demand Analysis at 23, it would seem that once the Service had a snowmobile estimate
    in hand, a cross-country estimate would soon follow. But there is none: So far as the
    tables in the Demand Analysis are concerned, the Forests have seen their last cross-
    country skier.
    Deference must be earned. Kadia v. Gonzales, 
    501 F.3d 817
    , 821 (7th Cir.
    2007). It was not earned in the two respects that we discuss here. The Service’s
    estimates of snowmobile and cross-country visitors to the Forests are entirely arbitrary.
    And—under the Service’s own interpretation of § 219.21(a)(2)—those estimates are
    integral to the demand-supply analysis required under that subsection. To that extent,
    the Service’s issuance of the Plan was arbitrary and without observance of procedure
    required by law. 
    5 U.S.C. § 706
    (2)(A), (D).
    2.
    Meister also claims that, in developing the Plan, the Service did not coordinate
    with Michigan’s recreational planning as required by § 219.21(e). That subsection
    provides that the Service’s planning efforts
    shall be coordinated to the extent feasible with present and proposed
    recreation activities of local and State land use or outdoor recreation
    plans, particularly the State Comprehensive Outdoor Recreation Plan,
    and recreation opportunities already present and available on other public
    No. 09-1712        Meister v. U.S. Dep’t of Agric., et al.                       Page 13
    and private lands, with the aim of reducing duplication in meeting
    recreation demands.
    
    36 C.F.R. § 219.21
    (e). In plainer English, the subsection requires the Service, “to the
    extent feasible, to coordinate with the State in eliminating duplicate recreation
    opportunities on state and national forests.” Gov’t Br. at 16. Plainer still: The acreage
    already dedicated to a particular activity on state land should be considered in deciding
    how much federal land to allocate to the activity.
    Meister claims that the Service failed to coordinate in this manner with respect
    to gun hunting and snowmobiling. The first step in this coordination, it would seem,
    would be simply to determine how much land is already available for these activities on
    state lands. The Service has not done that. In its Answer to Meister’s Complaint, the
    Forest Service admitted—long after the Plan had been approved—that it “lack[s]
    sufficient knowledge or information to respond to the allegations concerning firearm
    hunting on state forest lands managed by the State of Michigan[.]” The Service made
    essentially the same admission with respect to snowmobiling on state lands. It is hard
    to see how the Service could even attempt to reduce duplication of hunting and
    snowmobiling opportunities on state lands without that basic information.
    Meister also seeks to show actual duplication as a means of proving that the
    Service made no attempt to reduce it. Specifically, he notes—and the Service does not
    dispute—that “[h]unting is permitted on approximately 3.8 million acres of state forest
    land and over 340,000 acres of state game and wildlife areas in the State of Michigan[,]”
    and that “there are more than 6,500 miles of snowmobile trails in the State[.]” Meister
    Br. at 14, 15. He further notes that hunting is permitted virtually everywhere in the
    Forests, save perhaps the parking lots—meaning that the Forests’ duplication of state-
    land hunting opportunities, to the extent there is any within the meaning of the rule,
    literally could not be greater. And he asks specifically why it was not feasible to reduce
    duplication by prohibiting gun hunting (as opposed to bow hunting, which is largely
    silent, and to which Meister seems not to object) and snowmobiling in at least the
    Primitive and Semiprimitive Nonmotorized areas of the Forest. Those areas, as defined
    No. 09-1712         Meister v. U.S. Dep’t of Agric., et al.                        Page 14
    by the ROS, are supposed to bring an “extremely high probability” and a “high
    probability,” respectively, “of experiencing isolation from the sights and sounds of
    humans.” ROS Users Guide, Table 1 (“Experience Characterization”). Firearm and
    snowmobile use, as the Service itself recognizes, involve high-intensity noises created
    by humans. Primitive and Semiprimitive areas together comprise less than 66,000 acres
    of the 970,000 acres occupied by the Forests, or just 6.75% of the Forests’ acreage. See
    Final Statement at III-275. Meister therefore contends that the Service’s failure to
    restrict these activities in even these areas—particularly in light of the circa 4.1 million
    acres open to hunting on state land, and the 6,500 miles of snowmobile trails there—is
    strong evidence that the Service did not comply with the coordination procedures
    mandated by § 219.21(e) so far as gun hunting and snowmobiling are concerned.
    The Service’s response is insubstantial. First, it says that it uses the State
    Comprehensive Outdoor Recreation Plan as a tool to monitor recreation demand. But
    that only means the Service has done half of what its regulation requires.
    Section 219.21(e), as shown above, requires consideration of the extent to which the
    supply of state lands already meets that demand. And the Service admits it lacks
    knowledge on that point. Second, the Service again tells us that it consulted with Dr.
    Stynes, and that its “communications” with him and “internal discussions” regarding his
    opinions are “well-documented.” Gov’t Br. at 25. We are referred to the same email
    exchange. The exchange has even less to say about duplication (that is, nothing) than
    it does about snowmobile visits. Finally, the Service cites a letter from the Michigan
    Department of Natural Resources, in which the State says that the Plan’s increases in
    Semiprimitive Nonmotorized and Semiprimitive Motorized areas “work[] to meet the
    demand” for those areas and “may supplement existing inter-agency recreational efforts
    that address recreation demand in a cooperative manner (i.e. ORV trails, pathways,
    campground placement).” Final Statement at J-157-58. The State’s comments speak
    well of the Service’s decision to increase Semiprimitive acreage in the Forests. But they
    simply have nothing to do with whether hunting and snowmobiling opportunities on
    Forest lands duplicate those on state lands.
    No. 09-1712        Meister v. U.S. Dep’t of Agric., et al.                        Page 15
    Thus, with respect to hunting and snowmobiling, there is no evidence that the
    Service complied with § 219.21(e), and ample evidence that it did not. In that respect
    as well, therefore, the Plan’s approval was “without observance of procedure required
    by law.” 
    5 U.S.C. § 706
    (2)(D).
    3.
    Meister’s remaining claim under the Management Act is that the Service failed
    to comply with 
    36 C.F.R. § 219.21
    (g). That regulation provides:
    Off-road vehicle use shall be planned and implemented to protect land
    and other resources, promote public safety, and minimize conflicts with
    other uses of the National Forest System lands. Forest planning shall
    evaluate the potential effects of vehicle use off roads and, on the basis of
    the requirements of 36 CFR part 295 of this chapter, classify areas and
    trails of National Forest System lands as to whether or not off-road
    vehicle use may be permitted.
    This regulation plainly contemplates that off-road vehicle use may conflict with
    other interests and uses of the Forests. In Meister’s view, the regulation means that, “if
    there is a conflict between off-road vehicles and other uses, off-road vehicles lose.”
    Meister Br. at 19. The Service disagrees. We agree with the Service: The regulation
    requires it only to “minimize conflicts” between off-road vehicles and other uses, not to
    eliminate them.
    But the mandate to minimize remains. Meister contends it was not met. He is
    concerned about snowmobiles in particular; and the basis of his claim is that—as the
    Service itself states— snowmobile activities “have continued to occur in or near several
    existing semiprimitive nonmotorized management areas.” Final Statement at III-313.
    Those areas, as noted above, are supposed to be characterized by “a large probability of
    isolation from the sights and sounds of others.” 
    Id.
     at III-312. Therein lies the conflict;
    and Meister suggests that its elimination was feasible enough to fall within the mandate
    to minimize.
    The Service offers several responses. First, it says that “the forest plan is not an
    appropriate vehicle for making individualized trail closure decisions.” Gov’t Br. at 26.
    No. 09-1712         Meister v. U.S. Dep’t of Agric., et al.                         Page 16
    That is true so far as it goes; once the Service decides that an area should generally be
    open to off-road vehicle usage, the decision whether to close trails within it can properly
    be made on an individualized basis at the field level. But § 219.21(g) by its plain terms
    imposes the bulk of its obligations at the planning stage; and one such obligation, as we
    read the regulation, is to determine whether certain classes of areas and trails ought to
    be altogether off-limits to off-road vehicle use. Meister says that one such class are trails
    that the Service itself admits are “in or near” Semiprimitive Nonmotorized areas. That
    claim is properly presented at the Plan level.
    The Service’s other responses go to the merits. One is that “[s]ome of the
    nonconformities result because the snowmobile trail coincides with a county road that
    the Service does not have jurisdiction to close.” Gov’t Br. at 27. That is a good answer
    as to those trails. Less good is that other trails (which we call “pre-designation trails”)
    “existed prior to their designation or proposal for designation.” Final Statement at III-
    313. The argument seems to be that these trails were used by off-road vehicles before
    being designated for that use, and thus should be grandfathered in. But elsewhere in the
    Plan documents, the Service repeatedly emphasizes the importance of limiting off-road
    vehicle usage to “designated routes only.” Record of Decision at 10. So off-road
    vehicle use on undesignated trails is a bad thing; and thus it hardly seems rational to say
    that a trail should remain open to off-road vehicles simply because the trail was used by
    them before its designation. And it is likewise incoherent to say—as a basis for keeping
    other trails (“club trails”) open to off-road vehicles—that “[s]nowmobile clubs use
    motorized equipment to groom snowmobile trails on roads within several of the current
    semiprimitive nonmotorized management areas.” Final Statement at III-313. The mere
    fact of a nonconformity is no reason to allow it to continue.
    There conceivably might be reasons for keeping pre-designation and club trails
    open to off-road vehicle usage—though presumably the reasons should be good ones,
    given the Service’s own recognition that these uses are “nonconformities.” If the
    Service were to articulate good reasons, we would defer to them. As the record now
    stands with respect to these trails, however, the Service has not “articulate[d] a
    No. 09-1712        Meister v. U.S. Dep’t of Agric., et al.                        Page 17
    satisfactory explanation for its action including a rational connection between the facts
    found and the choice made.” Motor Vehicle Mfrs. Ass’n of U.S., 
    463 U.S. at 43
     (internal
    quotation marks omitted).
    Thus, as matters now stand, the Service has not complied with § 219.21(g)’s
    mandate to minimize conflicts between off-road vehicle use and other uses and interests
    of the Forests. To that extent, the Plan’s approval was arbitrary and without observance
    of procedure required by law. 
    5 U.S.C. § 706
    (2)(A), (D).
    B.
    Meister’s remaining two claims arise under the National Environmental Policy
    Act. The Act “serves procedural rather than substantive goals.” Save Our Cumberland
    Mountains, 
    453 F.3d at 338
    . The Act has a specialized standard of review for
    arbitrariness: “In deciding whether the agency acted arbitrarily, we will not substitute
    our own judgment” for that of the agency, “but we will insist that the agency has, in fact,
    adequately studied the issue and taken a hard look at the environmental consequences
    of its decision.” 
    Id. at 339
     (internal quotation marks omitted).
    The Act requires, among other things, that an agency “study, develop, and
    describe appropriate alternatives to recommended courses of action in any proposal
    which involves unresolved conflicts concerning alternative uses of available resources.”
    
    42 U.S.C. § 4332
    (2)(E). Meister argues that there were unresolved conflicts between
    different recreational uses of the Forests here, and that the Service should have, but did
    not, consider his proposed alternatives to resolve them.
    1.
    Meister’s first claim is based upon a conflict between the high-intensity noise
    generated by gun hunting and snowmobile use, on the one hand, and the quiet
    recreational activities that Primitive and Semiprimitive Nonmotorized areas are
    supposed to support, on the other. He argues that the Service should have, but did not,
    consider the alternative of closing these areas to gun hunting and snowmobiling as a
    No. 09-1712         Meister v. U.S. Dep’t of Agric., et al.                        Page 18
    means of resolving this conflict.        Meister proposed this alternative during the
    administrative process, but the Service rejected it out of hand.
    “As a general matter, the range of alternatives that must be discussed under the
    National Environmental Policy Act is a matter within an agency’s discretion.” Save Our
    Cumberland Mountains, 
    453 F.3d at 342
     (internal quotation marks omitted). Thus, an
    “agency may apply a ‘rule of reason’ in this area and discuss only ‘reasonable’
    alternatives to the proposed action.” 
    Id. at 346
    . The question, then, is whether the
    Service acted within its discretion in rejecting Meister’s alternative without any
    discussion.
    That rejection was based on a series of factual and legal errors. The principal
    factual error is that, during both the administrative and now the legal process, the Service
    has treated Meister’s proposed restriction on hunting as something it obviously is not:
    Namely, a proposal that the Service impose “[a] complete ban on hunting in the
    Forests[.]” Gov’t Br. at 31; see also May 27, 2007 letter from Forest Supervisor Leanne
    Marten to Kurt Meister (“it is my determination that a general closure” of the Forests
    to hunting “is not justifiable”); Final Statement at J-93 (same).
    All but one paragraph of the government’s briefing of this claim is dedicated to
    ruling out such a complete ban. (The Service did accurately characterize Meister’s
    proposal in its decision rejecting this part of his administrative appeal, but in doing so
    merely adopted Supervisor Marten’s complete-ban rationale.) But a complete ban is not
    what Meister proposes. He proposes that gun hunting and snowmobiling be prohibited
    only in Primitive and Semiprimitive Nonmotorized areas (the “challenged areas”), which
    as noted above comprise only 6.75% of the Forests. See, e.g., Meister Br. at 21 (arguing
    that the Service “impermissibly failed to consider alternatives to a general closure such
    as only closing Wilderness and Semi-Primitive Non-Motorized areas to hunting and
    snowmobiling”); Feb. 28, 2003 letter from Kurt Meister to James Schuler (stating that
    gun hunting and snowmobiling “should be banned in all Primitive and Semi-Primitive
    Non-Motorized areas”). And the Service has compounded (no pun intended) its error
    by overlooking that Meister proposes to restrict only gun hunting, not bow hunting.
    No. 09-1712        Meister v. U.S. Dep’t of Agric., et al.                        Page 19
    These aspects of Meister’s proposal are hardly abstruse; and they narrow the
    proposal’s scope both qualitatively (so that it concerns only gun hunting rather than
    bow) and quantitatively (so that it concerns only 6.75% of the Forests’ acreage rather
    than 100%). An agency cannot reject a proposed alternative by treating it as something
    it is not. To exercise discretion with respect to a proposed alternative, the agency must
    treat the alternative on its own terms. The Service has not done that here.
    In its brief to this court, the Service does briefly discuss the more narrow closure
    (although it still overlooks the gun versus bow distinction). In doing so the Service
    makes different contentions with respect to snowmobiles and gun hunting. As to the
    former, the Service essentially contends that Congress did not require it to close the
    challenged areas to snowmobiling. But Congress did not prohibit such a closure either;
    and the mere fact that Congress left the adoption of that alternative to the agency’s
    judgment does not mean that the agency was free not to consider the alternative at all.
    The National Environmental Policy Act and its regulations say precisely the contrary.
    As to gun hunting, the Service contends that Congressional policy favors leaving
    the entire Forest open to hunting, so that even the narrow closure that Meister proposes
    is beyond its authority. Specifically, the Service notes that the Multiple-Use Sustained-
    Yield Act of 1960, 
    16 U.S.C. § 528
    , the Wilderness Act, 
    16 U.S.C. § 1133
    (d)(7), and the
    Federal Land Policy and Management Act, 
    43 U.S.C. § 1732
    (b), each make clear that
    they do not affect “the jurisdiction or responsibilities of the several States with respect
    to wildlife and fish on the national forests.” 
    16 U.S.C. § 528
    . But there are clear
    exceptions to that rule. The Federal Land Policy and Management Act expressly
    provides that the Service “may designate areas of public land and of lands in the
    National Forest System where, and establish periods when, no hunting or fishing will be
    permitted for reasons of public safety, administration, or compliance with provisions of
    applicable law.” 
    43 U.S.C. § 1732
    (b) (emphasis added). The Service’s own guidelines
    echo the point:
    Hunting, fishing, and trapping of fish and wildlife and associated
    practices on National Forest System lands are subject to State fish and
    wildlife laws and regulations, unless one or both of the following apply:
    No. 09-1712        Meister v. U.S. Dep’t of Agric., et al.                        Page 20
    1. State fish and wildlife laws and regulations conflict with
    Federal laws; or
    2. State laws and regulations would permit activities that conflict
    with land and resource management responsibilities of the Forest
    Service or that are inconsistent with direction in forest plans.
    Forest Service Manual § 2643.1 (emphasis added).
    Gun hunting is inconsistent with the “direction in forest plans” as set forth in the
    ROS descriptions of the challenged areas, since those areas are supposed to present little
    chance of encountering noise by humans. The Service cannot expect us to defer to its
    ROS descriptions when they support its decision (which we have done above), but then
    to disregard those same descriptions when they conflict with its decision. And the
    descriptions conflict with the decision here. Meister has cited precisely that conflict
    throughout the administrative and now legal process. The question whether the
    Service’s own specific descriptions of the challenged areas, on the one hand, should
    prevail over the State’s much more general rules permitting gun hunting, on the other,
    is one that warrants a careful answer under the National Environmental Policy Act. See
    Save Our Cumberland Mountains, 
    453 F.3d at 347
    .
    Meister’s alternative likewise warrants consideration on grounds of compliance
    with applicable law. 
    43 U.S.C. § 1732
    (b). The Service, to its credit, forthrightly
    recognizes in its brief that it “has been charged by Congress with balancing a variety of
    competing interests in its land use planning.” Gov’t Br. at 28 (citing 
    16 U.S.C. § 1604
    (e)(1) and 
    36 C.F.R. § 219.1
    (a), (b)). But striking a balance typically involves
    some give on each side. We think that should be especially true for participants in
    activities that do not conform to the area descriptions in the ROS. One might at least
    expect them not to have the run of the areas. And so, in striking a balance between
    competing uses of the Forests, one might expect the Service seriously to consider
    whether, say, birdwatchers in fall should be able to enjoy their pastime, in 6.75% of the
    Forests, without ducking for the occasional gunshot. Or whether, in some corner of the
    Forest—especially an ostensibly “nonmotorized” one—a snowshoer should be able to
    walk a trail without hearing the whine of snowmobile engines. The Service is charged
    No. 09-1712        Meister v. U.S. Dep’t of Agric., et al.                        Page 21
    with balancing competing uses of the Forests, rather than favoring one or two uses above
    all others. And if that balance requires closure of certain areas to certain activities,
    Congress has granted the Service that authority. There is no lawful policy that ties the
    Service’s hands in this regard.
    “[A]n alternative within the ambit of an existing standard . . . generally may not
    be abandoned without any consideration whatsoever.”             Save Our Cumberland
    Mountains, 
    453 F.3d at 347
     (internal quotation marks omitted). The Service was
    incorrect to conclude that Meister’s proposed alternative fell outside the ambit of the
    relevant standards here. It seems more likely to us that the Service’s decision not to
    balance these competing uses, and to disregard its own ROS descriptions, is what fell
    outside the relevant standards.      Meister’s proposed alternative deserves serious
    consideration under the National Environmental Policy Act.
    2.
    Meister’s final claim is that the Service should have considered designating
    substantially more areas as Semiprimitive Nonmotorized than it did in the Plan. Unlike
    Meister’s other proposed alternative, the Service did consider something akin to this one,
    but concluded that the alternative was not viable. It had rational reasons for that
    conclusion. See, e.g., Final Statement at III-313 (“[a]fter reviewing such things as
    Recreation Opportunity Spectrum, road densities, old growth and the management and
    ownership of adjoining private lands, no new areas were identified for consideration as
    semiprimitive management areas”). We defer to those reasons, and reject this claim.
    IV.
    We summarize our holdings today. First, the Service’s estimates of snowmobile
    and cross-country visitors to the Forests are arbitrary. Thus, the Service has not
    complied with § 219.21(a)(2)’s requirement of a demand-supply analysis.
    Second, the Service has not complied with the requirement that it coordinate its
    recreational planning with that of the State of Michigan with the aim (to the extent
    No. 09-1712        Meister v. U.S. Dep’t of Agric., et al.                       Page 22
    feasible) of “reducing duplication in meeting recreation demands” with respect to gun
    hunting and snowmobiling. 
    36 C.F.R. § 219.21
    (e)(2000).
    Third, the Service’s reasons for keeping pre-designation and club trails open to
    snowmobile use are arbitrary. Thus, the Service has not complied with § 219.21(g)’s
    mandate to minimize conflicts between off-road vehicle use and other uses and interests
    of the Forests.
    Fourth, the Service violated the National Environmental Policy Act when it
    failed to consider whether to close Primitive and Semiprimitive Nonmotorized areas to
    gun hunting and snowmobile use, as Meister has proposed.
    Each of these failures was material to the Plan’s development. To that extent,
    the Plan’s approval was arbitrary or without observance of procedures required by law.
    Given that holding, we have authority to “set aside” the Plan. See 
    5 U.S.C. § 706
    (2)(A), (D). We choose not to exercise that authority today, but instead grant the
    Service a reasonable time to adopt a plan that complies with the law. Ninety days from
    the date of our mandate seems to us ample time for that compliance. The district court
    may extend that period upon some showing that the court finds compelling; but in any
    event the Service shall comply forthwith.
    The district court’s judgment is reversed with respect to the claims summarized
    in Part IV of this opinion. Meister is entitled to judgment on those claims to the extent
    described in that Part; and the claims are remanded to the district court for further
    proceedings consistent with this opinion. The district court’s judgment is otherwise
    affirmed.