Erie County v. Morton Salt, Inc. , 702 F.3d 860 ( 2012 )


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  •                       RECOMMENDED FOR FULL-TEXT PUBLICATION
    Pursuant to Sixth Circuit I.O.P. 32.1(b)
    File Name: 12a0411p.06
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE SIXTH CIRCUIT
    _________________
    X
    -
    ERIE COUNTY, OHIO, individually and on
    Plaintiff-Appellant, --
    behalf of all entities similarly situated,
    -
    No. 11-4153
    ,
    >
    -
    v.
    -
    Defendants-Appellees. N-
    MORTON SALT, INC. and CARGILL, INC.,
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the Northern District of Ohio at Toledo.
    No. 3:11-cv-364—James G. Carr, District Judge.
    Argued: October 10, 2012
    Decided and Filed: December 18, 2012
    Before: GILMAN, GIBBONS, and ROGERS, Circuit Judges.
    _________________
    COUNSEL
    ARGUED: Dennis E. Murray, Jr., MURRAY & MURRAY CO., L.P.A., Sandusky,
    Ohio, for Appellant. David Marx, Jr., McDERMOTT WILL & EMERY LLP, Chicago,
    Illinois, for Appellees. ON BRIEF: Dennis E. Murray, Jr., Charles M. Murray,
    Margaret M. Murray, Michael J. Stewart, MURRAY & MURRAY CO., L.P.A.,
    Sandusky, Ohio, for Appellant. David Marx, Jr., McDERMOTT WILL & EMERY
    LLP, Chicago, Illinois, Hugh R. McCombs, Kristin W. Silverman, MAYER BROWN
    LLP, Chicago, Illinois, G. Jack Donson, Jr., John B. Nalbandian, TAFT STETTINIUS
    & HOLLISTER LLP, Cincinnati, Ohio, Brian J. Wong, MAYER BROWN, LLP,
    Washington, D.C., Richard T. Prasse, HAHN LOESER & PARKS LLP, Cleveland,
    Ohio, for Appellees.
    1
    No. 11-4153         Erie Cnty v. Morton, et al.                                      Page 2
    _________________
    OPINION
    _________________
    RONALD LEE GILMAN, Circuit Judge. This is a purported class action
    brought by Erie County, Ohio on behalf of itself and other counties in northern Ohio
    against Morton Salt, Inc. and Cargill, Inc. Erie County claims that Morton and Cargill
    have conspired to fix the price of rock salt in northern Ohio by geographically dividing
    the market and excluding competition, in violation of Ohio’s Valentine Act (Ohio
    Revised Code §§ 1331.01-1331.15), a state analogue to the federal antitrust statutes,
    including the Sherman Act (
    15 U.S.C. §§ 1-7
    ). The district court granted the defendants’
    motion to dismiss, finding that the facts alleged in the complaint are just as consistent
    with lawful parallel conduct as they are with a conspiracy. On appeal, Morton and
    Cargill defend the court’s dismissal of the complaint for failure to state a claim and argue
    that the court’s decision may also be affirmed on the independent basis that Erie County
    lacks standing to sue. Although we disagree with the analysis of the district court, we
    AFFIRM its judgment for the reasons set forth below.
    I. BACKGROUND
    A. Duopoly in the northern Ohio rock-salt market
    The following facts are taken from the Second Amended Class Action Complaint
    (the complaint) and the documents that it relies on, which documents both parties urge
    us to consider. See Bassett v. Nat’l Coll. Athletic Ass’n, 
    528 F.3d 426
    , 430 (6th Cir.
    2008) (holding that, on a motion to dismiss, a court “may consider the Complaint and
    any exhibits attached thereto, public records, items appearing in the record of the case
    and exhibits attached to defendant’s motion to dismiss so long as they are referred to in
    the Complaint and are central to the claims contained therein”).
    Rock salt, also known as road salt, is larger and heavier than table salt. Its size
    and weight keep it from being easily pushed off the road, and it is used to keep roads and
    bridges free of snow and ice during wintery weather. The market for rock salt in Ohio
    No. 11-4153        Erie Cnty v. Morton, et al.                                   Page 3
    has two distinct segments: a market encompassing the 54 northern counties (known as
    the “Lake [Erie] market”) and a market consisting of the southern 34 counties (known
    as the “[Ohio] River market”). Rock salt offered in the northern market comes primarily
    from mines near Lake Erie in Ohio, and rock salt offered in the southern market comes
    primarily from mines in Louisiana. The Ohio Department of Transportation (ODOT)
    is the largest purchaser of rock salt in Ohio. Members of the purported class—the
    northern Ohio counties—are, collectively, the second-largest in-state purchaser. ODOT
    is required to award contracts by soliciting sealed bids and choosing the lowest bid
    (subject to preferences for Ohio-mined salt, which will be discussed below). See
    generally Ohio Rev. Code § 125.11.
    Morton and Cargill are the only two companies that operate salt mines located
    in Ohio. Morton is headquartered in Chicago and operates a salt mine in Fairport, Ohio.
    Cargill is headquartered in North Olmstead, Ohio and operates a salt mine in Cleveland.
    Together, the two companies supply at least 60 percent of the rock salt purchased in
    Ohio. Between 2001 and 2008, they supplied almost all of the rock salt purchased by
    government entities in northern Ohio.
    During the fall and winter of 2008, the price of rock salt purchased by ODOT
    rose by as much as 300 percent compared to the previous year. (The Ohio Inspector
    General puts the price rise at between 19 and 236 percent; ODOT reports it as between
    50 and 300 percent.) Ohio Governor Ted Strickland asked ODOT to investigate the
    causes of this dramatic price hike. ODOT responded by preparing a Bid Analysis and
    Review Team Report (the BART Report), which it submitted to the Governor in
    December 2008. The BART Report identified several potential causes for the price
    spike, including increased demand for salt due to a harsh winter; high transportation
    costs due to increased energy prices; and the structure of the state’s contract system,
    which required suppliers to keep a large quantity of salt off the market and in reserve,
    thereby “suppress[ing] uncommitted supply” and increasing the price.
    More to the point for purposes of the present case, the BART Report found that
    Morton and Cargill elected not to compete with each other, preferring instead to keep
    No. 11-4153        Erie Cnty v. Morton, et al.                                    Page 4
    to their own turf. This in effect created “county-by-county monopolies” where higher
    prices prevailed. Each company “bid in a way that most easily segmented the Ohio
    market into two monopolies, preventing competition and ensuring that neither firm
    would end up over-committing its supplies.”
    The BART Report also found that the state’s “Buy Ohio” law favored Morton
    and Cargill, the only two companies offering salt mined in Ohio, over out-of-state
    competitors. According to the BART Report, when two firms offering Ohio-mined salt
    submitted a bid, ODOT’s practice under the Buy Ohio law was to accept one of
    them—even if out-of-state bidders submitted cheaper bids. This “lockout” effect
    excluded outside competition and resulted in higher prices.
    Prompted by the BART Report, the Ohio Office of the Inspector General initiated
    its own investigation in February 2009 and issued a report in January 2011 (the OIG
    Report). The OIG interviewed 27 people in conducting its investigation, including
    employees of Morton and Cargill, employees of their competitors, and state
    governmental officials. It also issued 14 subpoenas and other record requests to Morton
    and Cargill, and received nearly 190,000 pages of documents containing “road salt
    bidding, pricing, mine sourcing, stockpiling and transportation data” in response. The
    OIG consulted Dr. James T. McClave, a statistician and founder of Info Tech Inc., a
    company that the OIG Report described as “one of the nation’s premier bid-analysis
    consulting firms,” to help review and analyze this data. Because the complaint is largely
    based on the OIG Report, the Report’s key findings are set forth below.
    The OIG Report found that the exclusion of out-of-state competitors was not due
    to the Buy Ohio law itself, but was caused by ODOT’s erroneous interpretation of the
    law. Under this law, if two or more companies offering Ohio-mined salt submit a bid
    on a contract, ODOT is required to award the contract to one of them, even if other
    bidders offering non-Ohio-mined salt submit cheaper bids—but only if the lowest price
    for the Ohio-mined salt is no more than five percent above the lowest price for the non-
    Ohio-mined salt.      See Ohio Rev. Code § 125.11(B); Ohio Admin. Code
    § 123:5-1-06(C)(3).
    No. 11-4153        Erie Cnty v. Morton, et al.                                     Page 5
    From 2001 to 2008, ODOT gave no effect to this “excessive price” caveat. It
    instead read the law to require awarding the contract to one of two or more companies
    offering Ohio-mined salt, regardless of the price. Under this reading, if both Morton and
    Cargill, the only two companies offering Ohio-mined salt, submitted a bid, then all other
    companies were locked out of the competition, even if their bids were more than five
    percent lower. This lockout interpretation of the Buy Ohio law helped give rise to a
    duopoly in which Morton and Cargill ruled the northern Ohio market for state-
    government contracts in rock salt. “By applying the lockout interpretation when
    awarding salt contracts instead of the excessive-price interpretation,” concluded the OIG
    Report, “ODOT has been an enabler in its own victimization.”
    But the OIG Report did not lay all the blame for noncompetitive rock-salt prices
    at ODOT’s doorstep.       It also found that Morton and Cargill had “engaged in
    anti-competitive market allocation practices” by “carv[ing] up” the market into two
    zones, with each company ruling its own zone and failing to mount a competitive
    challenge in the other’s zone.
    The OIG Report relied on “five indicators” to support its market-allocation
    conclusion:
    1.      Stable market shares. In a competitive market, the market shares
    of firms would fluctuate as they win and lose in competition with
    rivals. Between 2000 and 2010, however, the market shares of
    Morton and Cargill were relatively stable. Morton’s share of the
    northern Ohio market for rock salt was between 18 and 31
    percent, and Cargill’s was between 68 and 82 percent (a
    fluctuation of 13-14 percent). By contrast, in the southern Ohio
    market, Morton’s share varied from 2 to 46 percent, and Cargill’s
    from 33 to 98 percent (a fluctuation of 44-65 percent).
    2.      High incumbency rates. In a competitive market, the rate of
    “incumbency” (the rate at which a bidder keeps winning the
    contracts it won last year) is not expected to be high, because
    business opportunities would attract entrants who seize the prize
    from the incumbent by offering better or cheaper products. But
    the 54 counties in the northern Ohio market experienced high
    incumbency rates: “Since 2000, the percentage of [northern]
    No. 11-4153       Erie Cnty v. Morton, et al.                                         Page 6
    Ohio counties with incumbent winning vendors has been as high
    as 98% (2009) and has never dropped below 68% (2008).” In
    some northern Ohio counties, the incumbency rate has been 100
    percent for all but one of the bidding cycles between 2000 and
    2010. By contrast, in the southern Ohio market, incumbency
    rates in the same period ranged from 95 to 20 percent.
    3.      Suspicious bidding patterns. Because transportation costs
    increase as one moves away from the location of a mine, and
    because the other costs of producing and mining salt are constant,
    each company would be expected to submit lower bids for
    counties that are closest to its mine and higher bids for counties
    that are farthest. Morton and Cargill would likewise be expected
    to each win more of the counties closest to its own mine. In fact,
    however, bidding patterns show that each company submitted
    lower bids in counties it had previously won and higher bids in
    counties the other company had won, regardless of the distance
    from its own mine, thereby cementing the geographic allocation
    of the market.
    4.      Sham bids. The bidding data showed that Morton and Cargill had
    each divided the northern Ohio market into “primary” and
    “secondary” counties. (Only Cargill used the “primary,
    secondary” terminology, but Morton followed the same two-
    tiered categorization.) Each company consistently bid low for its
    primary counties and high for its secondary counties. Indeed,
    they bid so high for their secondary counties that it seemed they
    were bidding to lose. The bids for secondary counties were so
    high that they would often lose even when the other company
    raised its prices by more than 25 percent. During the 2010-2011
    season, Cargill won its primary counties 86.9 percent of the time
    and its secondary counties only 7.4 percent of the time; Morton
    won the counties that Cargill deemed secondary 79.6 percent of
    the time. When questioned about the practice of submitting
    consistently higher bids for secondary counties, Cargill
    employees told the OIG that they pursued those customers
    “passively” and that winning them would be “accidental.”
    Similarly, Morton employees said that they bid for certain
    counties “more aggressively”; as for the other counties, they
    “would not expect to get” them and would be “surprised” if they
    did. Internal documents received from the companies also
    confirmed the practice of submitting consciously losing bids:
    “[B]id it high, let Morton . . . have it,” advised a Cargill official
    in a July 2008 bid strategy report. “Bid it high so Morton can get
    what they did last year and maybe some more.”
    No. 11-4153        Erie Cnty v. Morton, et al.                                     Page 7
    5.      High prices and profits. Data received from Cargill indicated
    that Cargill’s profit margins were as much as 4,000 percent
    higher in Ohio than in adjoining states. Moreover, prices offered
    by Morton and Cargill in certain counties in northern Ohio were
    much higher than prices offered in nearby counties in other
    states, even where the out-of-state counties were farther from
    mines and thus subject to higher transportation costs.
    Based on these five indicators, the OIG Report concluded that Morton and
    Cargill had geographically divided the northern Ohio market for rock salt, which drove
    up the price and ended up costing Ohio taxpayers between $47 million and $59 million
    in ODOT overpayments. The Report noted, however, that the OIG had “failed to find
    evidence that the two companies communicated on salt bids.”
    B. This action
    Two weeks after the OIG Report was issued, Erie County sued Morton and
    Cargill. The complaint is essentially a summary of the OIG Report, so the foregoing
    account of the Report adequately sets forth the thrust of the complaint. In evaluating the
    allegations of the complaint, however, one must keep in mind that ODOT purchases salt
    in each of the 54 northern Ohio counties, including Erie County, but each of the
    54 counties also makes separate purchases on its own behalf. The OIG Report was
    focused on ODOT’s purchases; this action, brought as it is by Erie County on behalf of
    all northern Ohio counties, focuses on the counties’ purchases. Accordingly, the
    complaint adds county-specific facts to those of the OIG Report. The complaint in
    essence alleges that the defendants carried over the same practices and pattern of
    anticompetitive market allocation from the ODOT market to the county market.
    Relying on the OIG Report, supplemented by county-specific information, the
    complaint asserts three claims against Morton and Cargill. Erie County’s first claim is
    that the defendants violated the Ohio Deceptive Trade Practices Act, Ohio Rev. Code
    § 4165.02, by misrepresenting the origin of their rock salt. Second, based on the OIG
    Report’s five indicators, the complaint asserts that the defendants conspired to fix the
    price of rock salt in northern Ohio in violation of the Valentine Act. The final claim is
    No. 11-4153        Erie Cnty v. Morton, et al.                                    Page 8
    that the defendants committed fraud by intentionally inflating the price of rock salt and
    by representing that they were engaged in fair and competitive bidding when in fact they
    had colluded.
    Erie County filed this action in Ohio state court. The defendants removed the
    case to the United States District Court for the Northern District of Ohio. They
    subsequently filed a motion under Rule 12(b)(6) of the Federal Rules of Civil Procedure
    to dismiss the complaint for failure to state a claim. The district court granted the
    defendants’ motion to dismiss. With respect to the price-fixing claim, the court found
    the allegations to be just as consistent with lawful parallel conduct as with an unlawful
    conspiracy. The court held that the five indicators in the OIG Report “describe at length
    signs of an anticompetitive marketplace, but do not provide indicia of illegal collusion
    within that marketplace.” And the defendants’ duopoly and attendant high profits were
    found to be the result of the “marketplace’s dysfunction” caused by ODOT’s erroneous
    interpretation of the Buy Ohio law, not of any wrongdoing by the defendants. In sum,
    the court concluded that the “defendants’ actions are at least as likely to be those of
    independent beneficiaries lawfully exploiting ODOT’s erroneous anticompetitive
    interpretation as they are of unlawful conspirators in that same marketplace.
    Metaphorically, they . . . took their own shares of the manna that kept falling from
    Heaven.” The court also dismissed the Deceptive Trade Practices claim for lack of
    standing and the fraud claim as vaguely pleaded and duplicative.
    After the district court dismissed the complaint, Erie County filed a motion for
    reconsideration. The motion noted that Erie County had recently discovered—contrary
    to its previous “information and belief”—that the counties have never been bound by the
    Buy Ohio law, and argued that this newly discovered fact should change the district
    court’s motion-to-dismiss ruling. But Erie County soon withdrew its motion for
    reconsideration and filed this appeal instead.
    On appeal, Erie County challenges the district court’s dismissal of the Valentine
    Act claim. It does not challenge the dismissal of the other two claims.
    No. 11-4153           Erie Cnty v. Morton, et al.                                       Page 9
    II. ANALYSIS
    A. Standard of review
    A district court’s decision to grant a motion to dismiss for failure to state a claim
    is reviewed de novo. Lambert v. Hartman, 
    517 F.3d 433
    , 438–39 (6th Cir. 2008). When
    deciding such a motion, we must construe the complaint in the light most favorable to
    the plaintiff and accept all factual allegations as true. 
    Id. at 439
    . We need not, however,
    accept conclusory allegations or conclusions of law dressed up as facts. Ashcroft v.
    Iqbal, 
    556 U.S. 662
    , 678 (2009).
    “To survive a motion to dismiss, a complaint must contain sufficient factual
    matter, accepted as true, to ‘state a claim to relief that is plausible on its face.’” 
    Id.
    (quoting Bell Atl. Corp. v. Twombly, 
    550 U.S. 544
    , 570 (2007)). This standard demands
    that the factual allegations “raise a right to relief above the speculative level” and
    “nudge[] the[] claims across the line from conceivable to plausible.” Twombly, 
    550 U.S. at 555, 570
    . It does not demand, however, that recovery be probable. Rather, “a well-
    pleaded complaint may proceed even if it strikes a savvy judge that actual proof of those
    facts is improbable, and that a recovery is very remote and unlikely.” 
    Id. at 556
     (internal
    quotation marks omitted). In the final analysis, “[d]etermining whether a complaint
    states a plausible claim for relief will . . . be a context-specific task that requires the
    reviewing court to draw on its judicial experience and common sense.” Iqbal, 
    556 U.S. at 679
    .
    B. Distinguishing motions to dismiss from summary judgment in the antitrust
    context
    “Ohio has long followed federal law in interpreting the Valentine Act,” Johnson
    v. Microsoft Corp., 
    834 N.E.2d 791
    , 795 (Ohio 2005), and both parties have cited
    exclusively to federal jurisprudence interpreting the Sherman Act. We will therefore
    analyze Erie County’s Valentine Act claims by reference to federal law.
    Section One of the Sherman Act, 
    15 U.S.C. § 1
    , prohibits unreasonable contracts,
    combinations, and conspiracies in restraint of trade. Leegin Creative Leather Prods.,
    No. 11-4153         Erie Cnty v. Morton, et al.                                    Page 10
    Inc. v. PSKS, Inc., 
    551 U.S. 877
    , 885 (2007). To state a Section One claim, a plaintiff
    must plead more than a restraint of trade; it must plead an agreement in restraint of trade.
    Twombly, 
    550 U.S. at 553
     (“[T]he crucial question is whether the challenged
    anticompetitive conduct stems from independent decision or from an agreement, tacit
    or express.”) (brackets and internal quotation marks omitted). An agreement, either tacit
    or express, may ultimately be proven either by direct evidence of communications
    between the defendants or by circumstantial evidence of conduct that, in the context,
    negates the likelihood of independent action and raises an inference of coordination.
    Brown v. Pro Football, Inc., 
    518 U.S. 231
    , 241 (1996); Monsanto Co. v. Spray-Rite Serv.
    Corp., 
    465 U.S. 752
    , 768 (1984).
    Although an agreement may be inferred from circumstantial evidence, the bare
    fact that defendants engaged in parallel conduct is not sufficient to establish a Sherman
    Act violation:
    While a showing of parallel business behavior is admissible
    circumstantial evidence from which the fact finder may infer agreement,
    it falls short of conclusively establishing agreement or itself constituting
    a Sherman Act offense. Even conscious parallelism, a common reaction
    of firms in a concentrated market that recognize their shared economic
    interests and their interdependence with respect to price and output
    decisions[,] is not in itself unlawful.
    Twombly, 
    550 U.S. at 553-54
     (brackets, citations, ellipsis, and internal quotation marks
    omitted).
    Accordingly, “an allegation of parallel conduct and a bare assertion of conspiracy
    will not suffice” to state an antitrust claim. 
    Id. at 556
    . Rather, allegations of parallel
    conduct “must be placed in a context that raises a suggestion of a preceding agreement.”
    
    Id. at 557
    . Examples of allegations that go beyond simple parallel conduct and that
    plausibly raise an inference of agreement include “parallel behavior that would probably
    not result from chance, coincidence, independent responses to common stimuli, or mere
    interdependence unaided by an advance understanding among the parties”; “conduct that
    indicates the sort of restricted freedom of action and sense of obligation that one
    generally associates with agreement”; and “complex and historically unprecedented
    No. 11-4153         Erie Cnty v. Morton, et al.                                      Page 11
    changes in pricing structure made at the very same time by multiple competitors, and
    made for no other discernible reason” than to conform to a prior agreement. 
    Id.
     at 556
    n.4 (brackets and internal quotation marks omitted).
    Of course, a plaintiff who states a plausible conspiracy claim is not guaranteed
    to survive a motion for summary judgment later in the case. “To survive a motion for
    summary judgment or for a directed verdict, a plaintiff seeking damages for a violation
    of § 1 must present evidence that tends to exclude the possibility that the alleged
    conspirators acted independently.” Matsushita Elec. Indus. Co. v. Zenith Radio Corp.,
    
    475 U.S. 574
    , 588 (1986) (internal quotation marks omitted).
    The district court did not clearly distinguish between the antitrust standards
    applicable on summary judgment and those that apply to a motion to dismiss. Two
    points of clarification are in order.
    First, at the pleading stage, the plaintiff is not required to allege facts showing
    that an unlawful agreement is more likely than lawful parallel conduct. The Supreme
    Court took pains to stress in both Twombly and Iqbal that what is required at the
    pleading stage is a plausible, not probable, entitlement to relief. See Twombly, 
    550 U.S. at 556
     (“Asking for plausible grounds to infer an agreement does not impose a
    probability requirement at the pleading stage; it simply calls for enough fact to raise a
    reasonable expectation that discovery will reveal evidence of illegal agreement.”)
    (internal quotation marks omitted); Iqbal, 
    556 U.S. at 678
     (“The plausibility standard is
    not akin to a ‘probability requirement,’ but it asks for more than a sheer possibility that
    a defendant has acted unlawfully.”); see also Watson Carpet & Floor Covering, Inc. v.
    Mohawk Indus., Inc., 
    648 F.3d 452
    , 458 (6th Cir. 2011) (“Ferreting out the most likely
    reason for the defendants’ actions is not appropriate at the pleadings stage. [T]he
    plausibility of [the defendants’] reason for the refusals to sell carpet does not render all
    other reasons implausible.”). A Section One complaint will survive a Rule 12(b)(6)
    motion to dismiss if it alleges facts sufficient to raise a plausible inference of an unlawful
    agreement to restrain trade.
    No. 11-4153        Erie Cnty v. Morton, et al.                                    Page 12
    Second, in order to state a Section One claim, a plaintiff need not allege a fact
    pattern that “tends to exclude the possibility” of lawful, independent conduct. The
    “tends to exclude” language traces its provenance to Monsanto Co. v. Spray-Rite Service
    Corp., 
    465 U.S. 752
    , 764 (1984), and Matsushita Electrical Industrial Co. v. Zenith
    Radio Corp., 
    475 U.S. 574
    , 588 (1986), which were both decisions dealing with
    summary judgment and the standard of proof required to submit an issue to the jury. In
    restating the same language, the Supreme Court in Twombly was mindful of those
    decisions’ procedural context, see 
    550 U.S. at 554
    , and nowhere held that the same
    standard applies on a motion to dismiss. And there is no authority cited by either the
    parties or the district court for extending the same standard to the pleading stage.
    To the contrary, the only circuit court of appeals that to our knowledge has
    considered such an extension has rejected it, and so has the leading treatise in the field.
    See Starr v. Sony BMG Music Entm’t, 
    592 F.3d 314
    , 325 (2d Cir. 2010) (“Defendants
    first argue that a plaintiff seeking damages under Section 1 of the Sherman act must
    allege facts that tend to exclude independent self-interested conduct as an explanation
    for defendants’ parallel behavior. This is incorrect.”) (brackets, citation, and internal
    quotation marks omitted); 2 Philip E. Areeda & Herbert Hovenkamp, Antitrust Law
    ¶ 307d1 at 118 (3d ed. 2010) (hereinafter Areeda & Hovenkamp) (“Observe that the
    Supreme Court [in Twombly] did not hold that the same standard applies to a complaint
    and a discovery record, with the only difference being that the former involves alleged
    facts while the latter involves facts in evidence. The ‘plausibly suggesting’ threshold
    for a conspiracy complaint remains considerably less than the ‘tends to rule out the
    possibility’ standard for summary judgment.”) (emphasis in original).
    The rationale for rejecting such an extension is clear: If a plaintiff were required
    to allege facts excluding the possibility of lawful conduct, almost no private plaintiff’s
    complaint could state a Section One claim. Rational people, after all, do not conspire
    in the open, and a plaintiff is very unlikely to have factual information that would
    exclude the possibility of non-conspiratorial explanations before discovery.
    Accordingly, the regular motion-to-dismiss standard should apply.
    No. 11-4153         Erie Cnty v. Morton, et al.                                    Page 13
    Under this standard, the question before us is: Do the factual allegations point
    to nothing more than parallel conduct of the sort that is the product of independent
    action, or do they plausibly raise an inference of unlawful agreement? See Twombly,
    
    550 U.S. at 553
    . That is the question to which we will now turn.
    C. Failure to state a claim
    As discussed above, Erie County claims that the five “indicators,” copied from
    the OIG Report, nudge this case over the line from mere parallel conduct to conspiracy:
    (1) stable market shares; (2) high incumbency; (3) suspicious bidding patterns (failing
    to bid lower in geographically closer locations); (4) sham bids (submitting high, losing
    bids in secondary territories); and (5) high prices and profits. We must consider these
    factors together, not in isolation, to determine whether they give rise to a plausible
    inference of conspiracy. See Continental Ore Co. v. Union Carbide & Carbon Corp.,
    
    370 U.S. 690
    , 698-99 (1962).
    The first, second, and fifth factors are simply descriptions of the market, not
    allegations of anything that the defendants did. Standing alone, they indicate only that
    the market is a duopoly, and do not give rise to an inference of an unlawful agreement
    (though they might, when combined with the other factors, strengthen the plausibility
    of such an inference).
    The third and fourth factors are the nub of the complaint. With respect to the
    third factor, Erie County faults the defendants for failing to grab allegedly plum business
    opportunities. As the complaint puts it, “[s]uspicious bidding patterns occurred when
    the Defendants failed to seek bids that would generate higher profit margins, i.e., when
    the Defendants would contract with a county that is farther from their mine or stockpile
    instead of a county that is closer to their salt source.” The argument, in other words, is
    that because the product being sold is homogenous and fungible, and because all costs
    except for transportation are constant, the defendants’ failure to aggressively compete
    and bid low for accounts that are closer to their respective mines signifies a “fail[ure] to
    seek bids that would generate higher profits.”
    No. 11-4153          Erie Cnty v. Morton, et al.                                    Page 14
    But this is exactly the sort of failure-to-compete claim that Twombly rejected.
    In that case, the plaintiffs attacked the defendant telecommunications firms’ “common
    failure meaningfully to pursue attractive business opportunities in contiguous markets
    where they possessed substantial competitive advantages.” 
    550 U.S. at 551
     (brackets
    and internal quotation marks omitted). The plaintiffs in Twombly claimed that the
    defendants’ decision to remain in their respective local telephone and Internet-services
    territories and to not encroach on each other’s territories, which resulted in a market that
    remained “highly compartmentalized geographically, with minimal competition,” was
    indicative of a prior agreement to restrain trade. 
    Id. at 551, 567
    . In holding that these
    allegations of failure to compete and geographical compartmentalization did not state
    a Section One claim, the Supreme Court reasoned:
    In a traditionally unregulated industry with low barriers to entry, sparse
    competition among large firms dominating separate geographical
    segments of the market could very well signify illegal agreement, but
    here we have an obvious alternative explanation. In the decade
    preceding the 1996 [Telecommunications] Act and well before that,
    monopoly was the norm in telecommunications, not the exception. [The
    defendants] were born in that world, doubtless liked the world the way
    it was, and surely knew the adage about him who lives by the sword.
    Hence, a natural explanation for the noncompetition alleged is that the
    former Government-sanctioned monopolists were sitting tight, expecting
    their neighbors to do the same thing.
    . . . Not only that, but even without a monopolistic tradition and the
    peculiar difficulty of mandating shared networks, “[f]irms do not expand
    without limit and none of them enters every market that an outside
    observer might regard as profitable, or even a small portion of such
    markets.”
    
    Id. at 567-69
     (citations omitted) (quoting Areeda & Hovenkamp ¶ 307d at 155 (Supp.
    2006)).
    Just as in Twombly, the failure to compete alleged in this case is indicative of no
    more than a natural and independent desire to avoid a turf war and preserve the profits
    guaranteed by regional dominance. Morton and Cargill presumably realize, like the
    defendants in Twombly, that their interests are best served by keeping to their own turf
    No. 11-4153        Erie Cnty v. Morton, et al.                                    Page 15
    and charging oligopoly prices rather than stepping on each other’s toes and provoking
    a bidding war that would lead to competitive prices and reduced profits. This is no more
    than an independent, self-interested failure to compete, which does not violate Section
    One. See, e.g., In re Text Messaging Antitrust Litig., 
    630 F.3d 622
    , 627 (7th Cir. 2010)
    (Posner, J.) (explaining that Section One “does not require sellers to compete; it just
    forbids their agreeing or conspiring not to compete”).
    But the fourth factor that the complaint takes from the OIG Report alleges
    something more. The claim is not only that Morton and Cargill failed to enter each
    other’s turf, but also that they helped each other rule their respective turf by submitting
    intentionally losing bids that served to exclude their out-of-state competitors. This is
    significant because, under the then-prevailing interpretation of the Buy Ohio law, all out-
    of-state bidders were locked out—their bids would not even be considered, no matter
    how much cheaper—if both Morton and Cargill submitted a bid for a particular contract.
    A crucial difference therefore existed between one of the two companies’ submitting a
    losing bid and not submitting a bid at all: only in the former case was the other company
    guaranteed to win the contract. The intentional submission of a losing bid under these
    circumstances does not make sense if it merely signifies a lack of interest in winning the
    contract; if that were the motivation, the company would presumably not bid at all. The
    practice makes sense only as a device to help the other company rule its territory.
    Not to compete with a fellow oligopolist is one thing; to actively assist the fellow
    oligopolist to preserve its oligopoly is quite another. Unlike the failure to compete, the
    submission of losing bids has no obvious independent justification. Why, after all,
    should Cargill care if Morton or some other company prevails in a county that is of no
    interest to Cargill anyway (and vice versa)? The most plausible explanation is the
    expectation of a “tit for tat”; i.e., that I will guarantee your dominance in your primary
    zone by submitting a high bid that is guaranteed to lose but will lock out your other
    competitors, and in return you will exclude my competitors by submitting a losing bid
    in my primary zone. This kind of tit-for-tat arrangement would be extremely difficult
    to sustain in the absence of at least a tacit agreement. See 6 Areeda & Hovenkamp
    No. 11-4153         Erie Cnty v. Morton, et al.                                  Page 16
    ¶ 1420b at 154 (“A strong inference of coordinated behavior arises when a participant
    actively seeks to lose a bid. Deliberate sacrifice of a contract implies an unusual
    confidence that the winning party will return the favor. Moreover, spurious bidding
    indicates an awareness of wrongdoing coupled with a desire to hide it by simulating
    normal bidding. A spurious bid is almost always anticompetitive.”); see also 
    id.
    ¶ 1420d1 at 158 (“Interdependent sham bids are unlikely to endure without some
    facilitating mechanism . . . .”).
    A sham-bidding conspiracy would therefore not be implausible. Its plausibility,
    however, hinges on the applicability of the Buy Ohio law. Without the Buy Ohio law,
    as then interpreted by ODOT, the incentive to collude evaporates because the sham
    bidding would not lock out any competitors.
    Although the complaint does not specifically allege that Erie County was bound
    by the Buy Ohio law, the district court and the defendants assumed that it was so bound,
    perhaps because the entire theory of the conspiracy laid out in the complaint rested on
    ODOT’s lockout interpretation of the Buy Ohio law. But, after the district court
    dismissed the complaint, Erie County acknowledged for the first time that in fact it was
    never bound by the Buy Ohio law.            In a subsequently withdrawn motion for
    reconsideration filed after the complaint was dismissed, Erie County stated:
    While indirectly harmed by Defendants’ lock-out bidding to ODOT that
    excluded out-of-state bidders, it is now clear that . . . Plaintiff’s
    “information and belief” about Class Members’ application of the Buy
    Ohio program was not correct. Subsequent to the preparation of the
    Complaint, Plaintiff has been collecting and analyzing additional bidding
    information from counties included in the purported class. To date, none
    of these counties, including Erie County, has indicated that they opted to
    participate in the equivalent of the Buy Ohio program.
    Erie County reiterated in its opening appellate brief that “[l]ocal governments are free
    to participate in ‘Buy Ohio,’ but are not required to.” And counsel for Erie County
    assured us again at oral argument that “they weren’t subject to the Buy Ohio” law.
    No. 11-4153         Erie Cnty v. Morton, et al.                                    Page 17
    Erie County’s concession that it was not bound by the Buy Ohio law dooms its
    conspiracy claim. As explained above, the allegation of sham bidding is the only thing
    that could save the present case from dismissal under Twombly. And the theory of sham
    bidding makes sense only in a market subject to the lockout interpretation of the Buy
    Ohio law. If a purchaser of rock salt is not bound by the Buy Ohio law, then it is free
    to solicit and receive bids from out-of-state companies without having its choices limited
    to Morton and Cargill, and sham bidding would therefore be an exercise in futility. The
    conspiracy claim, in other words, would be implausible in a market that is not subject
    to the Buy Ohio law.
    Erie County attempts to extricate itself from this predicament by arguing that,
    although it did not adopt ODOT’s interpretation of the Buy Ohio law, it was “indirectly”
    harmed by the defendants’ exploitation of that law because the defendants “were able
    to leverage the distortions created by Buy Ohio in state contracts into a similar allocation
    of county and municipal contracts.” “The resulting environment of high and distorted
    price[] levels combined with limited competition allowed the suppliers to carry out much
    the same scheme on the county and municipal level.”
    Erie County’s claim of indirect harm by “leveraging” is unpersuasive. Its
    arguments as to how this supposed leveraging worked are vague and do not spell out a
    meaningful theory. If the theory is that Morton and Cargill leveraged their monopoly
    power in segments of the ODOT market to create monopolies in segments of the county
    market, that would appear to be a Sherman Act Section Two (monopolization-type)
    claim, not a Section One claim. Such a claim would require elements that are not
    pleaded in the complaint, including “a dangerous probability of success in monopolizing
    a second market.” See Verizon Commc’ns Inc. v. Law Offices of Curtis V. Trinko, LLP,
    
    540 U.S. 398
    , 415 n.4 (2004) (internal quotation marks omitted).
    The complaint also advances the following claim of “indirect” harm:
    As a result [of ODOT’s continued misapplication of the Buy Ohio law],
    the majority of Ohio’s market for road salt was removed from
    competition by parties other than Defendants which made the remainder
    of the market less dense and therefore less susceptible to effective
    No. 11-4153         Erie Cnty v. Morton, et al.                                    Page 18
    competition. Because this allowed Defendants to dishonestly cite to
    supra-competitive prices paid by ODOT as really being competitive
    prices, Defendants made the rest of the market more susceptible to
    anticompetitive conduct including collusion, price-fixing and bid rigging.
    But none of this adds up to a Section One claim. The complaint’s theory that any
    sham bidding with respect to ODOT purchases made other markets (what Erie County
    calls “the remainder of the market”) “less dense and therefore less susceptible to
    effective competition” simply does not follow. After all, how are other markets linked
    to the ODOT market? Erie County does not tell us, and its conclusory say-so does not
    satisfy the standard of plausible pleading. See Ashcroft v. Iqbal, 
    556 U.S. 662
    , 678
    (2009) (holding that plausible pleading “does not require detailed factual allegations, but
    it demands more than an unadorned, the-defendant-unlawfully-harmed-me accusation”)
    (internal quotation marks omitted); Bell Atl. Corp. v. Twombly, 
    550 U.S. 544
    , 555, 555
    n.3 (2007) (“[A] plaintiff’s obligation to provide the grounds of his entitlement to relief
    requires more than labels and conclusions, and a formulaic recitation of the elements of
    a cause of action will not do . . . . Rule 8(a)(2) still requires a ‘showing,’ rather than a
    blanket assertion, of entitlement to relief.”) (brackets and internal quotation marks
    omitted).
    Nor is the complaint salvaged by the contention that sham bidding in the ODOT
    market “allowed Defendants to dishonestly cite to supra-competitive prices paid by
    ODOT as really being competitive prices.” “Dishonestly citing”—better known as
    misrepresentation—is not an antitrust claim. See generally Brooke Grp. Ltd. v. Brown
    & Williamson Tobacco Corp., 
    509 U.S. 209
    , 225 (1993) (“Even an act of pure malice
    by one business competitor against another does not, without more, state a claim under
    the federal antitrust laws; those laws do not create a federal law of unfair competition
    or purport to afford remedies for all torts committed by or against persons engaged in
    interstate commerce.”) (internal quotation marks omitted). The fraud claim was
    dismissed below and never appealed, and is therefore not before us. In short, because
    it is not bound by the Buy Ohio law, Erie County has failed to state a plausible
    conspiracy claim.
    No. 11-4153        Erie Cnty v. Morton, et al.                                    Page 19
    Although both parties have characterized Erie County’s not being bound by the
    Buy Ohio law as an issue of “standing,” we have elected to treat it as an issue of failing
    to state a claim because the significance of Erie County’s not being bound by the Buy
    Ohio law can be understood only after analysis of the complaint’s substantive allegations
    of conspiracy. In any event, the analysis and its outcome would be no different if
    conducted under the rubric of standing. Cf. Rakas v. Illinois, 
    439 U.S. 128
    , 139 (1978)
    (“We can think of no decided cases of this Court that would have come out differently
    had we concluded, as we do now, that the type of standing requirement discussed [in this
    case] is more properly subsumed under substantive Fourth Amendment doctrine. . . . The
    inquiry under either approach is the same. But we think the better analysis forthrightly
    focuses on the extent of a particular defendant’s rights under the Fourth Amendment,
    rather than on any theoretically separate, but invariably intertwined concept of
    standing.”).
    Finally, although the fact that Erie County is not bound by the Buy Ohio law
    came up after the district court’s decision, the impact of that fact is properly considered
    on appeal because the resolution of the case is beyond doubt. See DaimlerChrysler
    Corp. Healthcare Benefits Plan v. Durden, 
    448 F.3d 918
    , 922 (6th Cir. 2006) (holding
    that this court “will consider an issue not raised below” when “the proper resolution is
    beyond doubt”). With the outcome clear in light of this newly discovered fact, there is
    no point in wasting the resources of either the parties or the district court by ordering a
    remand. See, e.g., Sec. & Exch. Comm’n v. Chenery Corp., 
    318 U.S. 80
    , 88 (1943) (“It
    would be wasteful to send a case back to a lower court to reinstate a decision which it
    had already made but which the appellate court concluded should properly be based on
    another ground within the power of the appellate court to formulate.”); Beaty v. United
    States, 
    937 F.2d 288
    , 291 (6th Cir. 1991) (“Here, the record is complete, and it would
    be a waste of everyone’s time to remand to the district court what can be decided now
    as a matter of law.”).
    III. CONCLUSION
    For all of the reasons set forth above, we AFFIRM the judgment of the district court.