Camelot Banquet Rooms, Inc. v. United States Small Business A ( 2022 )


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  •                                In the
    United States Court of Appeals
    For the Seventh Circuit
    ____________________
    No. 21-2589
    CAMELOT BANQUET ROOMS, INC., et al.,
    Plaintiffs-Appellees,
    v.
    UNITED STATES SMALL BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, et al.,
    Defendants-Appellants.
    ____________________
    Appeal from the United States District Court for the
    Eastern District of Wisconsin.
    No. 2:21-CV-00447-LA — Lynn Adelman, Judge.
    ____________________
    ARGUED NOVEMBER 1, 2021 — DECIDED JANUARY 26, 2022
    ____________________
    Before KANNE, ROVNER, and HAMILTON, Circuit Judges.
    HAMILTON, Circuit Judge. Plaintiffs-appellees in this case
    are twenty-three businesses all over the country that offer live
    adult entertainment in the form of nude or nearly nude danc-
    ing. They seek to obtain loans under the second round of the
    Paycheck Protection Program enacted by Congress to address
    economic disruption caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. By
    statute, Congress excluded plaintiffs and several other cate-
    gories of businesses from the second round of the Program.
    2                                                 No. 21-2589
    See 
    15 U.S.C. § 636
    (a)(37)(A)(iv)(III)(aa), incorporating 
    13 C.F.R. § 120.110
    , with two exceptions.
    Plaintiffs assert that their exclusion from the Program vio-
    lates their constitutional rights, primarily under the Free
    Speech Clause of the First Amendment. The district court
    agreed. It issued a preliminary injunction that enjoins the
    United States Small Business Administration (SBA) from
    denying plaintiffs eligibility for the loan program based on
    the statutory exclusion that incorporates 
    13 C.F.R. § 120.110
    .
    Camelot Banquet Rooms, Inc. v. U.S. Small Business Admin., — F.
    Supp. 3d —, 
    2021 WL 3680369
     (E.D. Wis. Aug. 19, 2021). We
    granted the government’s stay of the preliminary injunction,
    expedited briefing on the merits of this appeal, and held oral
    argument on November 1, 2021. We now conclude that the
    district court erred in granting the preliminary injunction.
    I. Applicable Legal Standards
    Plaintiffs who seek a preliminary injunction must show
    that (1) they will suffer irreparable harm in the absence of an
    injunction, (2) traditional legal remedies are inadequate to
    remedy the harm, and (3) they have some likelihood of suc-
    cess on the merits. If those elements are shown, the court must
    then balance the harm the moving parties would suffer if an
    injunction is denied against the harm the opposing parties
    would suffer if one is granted, and the court must consider
    the public interest, which takes into account the effects of a
    decision on non-parties. E.g., Courthouse News Service v.
    Brown, 
    908 F.3d 1063
    , 1068 (7th Cir. 2018).
    On the merits, the district court concluded that plaintiffs
    are likely to succeed on their free speech claim. The court
    viewed the exclusion of plaintiffs from the Program as an
    No. 21-2589                                                      3
    “attempt to suppress a dangerous idea” and a classification
    that was not rationally related to a legitimate government
    purpose. The court found that the other factors also sup-
    ported an injunction. Receiving funds under the Program
    only at the end of the lawsuit would likely come too late for
    plaintiffs’ businesses to survive, and if it turned out that their
    constitutional rights were violated, they would have no viable
    damages remedy against the government or any official. The
    court saw little harm to the government from an injunction,
    which it thought would also serve the public interest by aid-
    ing struggling businesses, consistent with the aims of the
    broader COVID relief legislation.
    On appeal, we review the district court’s issuance of a pre-
    liminary injunction for an abuse of discretion, though an error
    of law can often produce an abuse of discretion. E.g., Cooter &
    Gell v. Hartmarx Corp., 
    496 U.S. 384
    , 405 (1990); Ty, Inc. v. Jones
    Group, Inc., 
    237 F.3d 891
    , 896 (7th Cir. 2001); Abbott Labs. v.
    Mead Johnson & Co., 
    971 F.2d 6
    , 13 (7th Cir. 1992). In this ap-
    peal, we disagree with the district court’s pivotal conclusions
    about the applicable constitutional law and on that basis find
    an abuse of discretion. As we explain below, the SBA has
    shown a strong likelihood of success on the merits. The other
    injunction factors are essentially a wash, so the final result is
    driven by the likelihood of success on the merits.
    II. The Paycheck Protection Program
    No one who has lived through the COVID-19 pandemic
    will forget its devastating consequences for lives and health
    or the massive economic disruption it has caused. Congress
    responded with several rounds of massive economic assis-
    tance, including the Paycheck Protection Program. Under the
    Program, many small businesses became eligible for low-
    4                                                    No. 21-2589
    interest loans that would be guaranteed by the federal gov-
    ernment and even eligible for forgiveness if the businesses
    used them, in essence, to keep employees on the payroll dur-
    ing the economic downturn.
    The first round of legislation was drafted and enacted in
    just a few weeks. That legislation gave the SBA considerable
    discretion to decide eligibility for the Program. In doing so,
    the SBA borrowed from a regulation that identifies categories
    of businesses that are not eligible for all or nearly all SBA loan
    programs. See 
    13 C.F.R. § 120.110
    . The list includes non-profit
    enterprises, banks and other financial companies, life insur-
    ance companies, businesses located in foreign countries, pyr-
    amid sale distribution plans, casinos and other gambling
    businesses, loan packagers, political or lobbying businesses,
    and speculative businesses.
    Subsection (p) of that regulation excludes plaintiffs. It bars
    loans to businesses that:
    (1) Present live performances of a prurient sex-
    ual nature; or
    (2) Derive directly or indirectly more than de
    minimis gross revenue through the sale of prod-
    ucts or services, or the presentation of any de-
    pictions or displays, of a prurient sexual na-
    ture….
    
    13 C.F.R. § 120.110
    (p).
    In the first round of Paycheck Protection Program loans,
    the SBA made an exception for non-profits, which the statute
    expressly deemed eligible. See 
    85 Fed. Reg. 20811
    , 20812 (Apr.
    15, 2020). In an earlier related case brought by plaintiff Cam-
    elot Banquet Rooms in the Eastern District of Wisconsin, the
    No. 21-2589                                                                5
    district court issued a preliminary injunction barring denial of
    eligibility for the Program based on the regulation. That deci-
    sion relied on statutory, administrative-law, and constitu-
    tional grounds. Camelot Banquet Rooms, Inc. v. U.S. Small Busi-
    ness Admin., 
    458 F. Supp. 3d 1044
     (E.D. Wis. 2020). We denied
    a stay of that injunction in a conclusory order, and the gov-
    ernment soon dismissed the appeal. But see Pharaohs GC, Inc.
    v. U.S. Small Business Admin., 
    990 F.3d 217
     (2d Cir. 2021) (af-
    firming denial of injunction in similar first-round case
    brought by adult-entertainment club); American Ass’n of Polit-
    ical Consultants v. U.S. Small Business Admin., 810 F. App’x 8,
    9–10 (D.C. Cir. 2020) (affirming denial of injunctive relief in
    similar First Amendment challenge to first-round exclusion of
    lobbying and political consulting businesses).
    The second round of the Paycheck Protection Program
    was drafted with more time, and it took a different approach
    to eligibility. Congress adopted statutory language to exclude
    several categories of businesses, including plaintiffs’ adult-
    entertainment venues. It did so by incorporating into the stat-
    ute the terms of 
    13 C.F.R. § 120.110
    , the regulation that the
    SBA had used on its own initiative for the first round. 
    15 U.S.C. § 636
    (a)(37)(A)(iv)(III)(aa). 1
    1 Congress made exceptions for two categories of businesses in the
    regulation, not-for-profit businesses and businesses engaged principally
    in teaching, instructing, counseling, or indoctrinating religion or religious
    beliefs. 
    15 U.S.C. § 636
    (a)(37)(A)(iv)(III)(aa). The new exception for reli-
    gious businesses is easy to understand in light of Trinity Lutheran Church
    v. Comer, 
    137 S. Ct. 2012
     (2017) (religious school could not be excluded
    from government program to assist school playground construction). The
    Supreme Court has shown no indication that it would extend the Free Ex-
    ercise Clause reasoning of Trinity Lutheran to cases like this one.
    6                                                  No. 21-2589
    Accordingly, in this second round, the earlier issues of
    statutory interpretation and administrative law have fallen
    away. Plaintiffs can prevail only if denying them a subsidized
    loan under the Program violates the Constitution. Plaintiffs
    are unlikely to be able to make that showing.
    III. Plaintiffs’ First Amendment Theory
    Plaintiffs’ core claim is under the Free Speech Clause of the
    First Amendment. They contend that excluding them from
    the Program penalizes them for engaging in expressive activ-
    ity protected by the First Amendment. See generally Barnes v.
    Glen Theatre, Inc., 
    501 U.S. 560
    , 565–66 (1991) (plurality opin-
    ion) (treating nude dancing as “marginally” within outer pe-
    rimeters of First Amendment protection; affirming local ban
    on completely nude dancing).
    The problem with plaintiffs’ First Amendment claim and
    the preliminary injunction here is that Congress is not trying
    to regulate or suppress plaintiffs’ adult entertainment. It has
    simply chosen not to subsidize it. Such selective, categorical
    exclusions from a government subsidy do not offend the First
    Amendment.
    The Supreme Court has repeatedly drawn a line between
    government regulation of speech, on one hand, and govern-
    ment subsidy of speech, on the other. Its decisions show that
    the government is not required to subsidize activity simply
    because the activity is protected by the First Amendment.
    E.g., Ysursa v. Pocatello Education Ass’n, 
    555 U.S. 353
    , 358–59
    (2009) (“While in some contexts the government must accom-
    modate expression, it is not required to assist others in fund-
    ing the expression of particular ideas, including political
    ones;” state could choose not to carry out payroll deductions
    No. 21-2589                                                     7
    for political contributions to labor unions); Rust v. Sullivan,
    
    500 U.S. 173
    , 193 (1991) (“The Government can, without vio-
    lating the Constitution, selectively fund a program to encour-
    age certain activities it believes to be in the public interest,
    without at the same time funding an alternative program
    which seeks to deal with the problem in another way. In so
    doing, the Government has not discriminated on the basis of
    viewpoint; it has merely chosen to fund one activity to the ex-
    clusion of the other.”); Regan v. Taxation With Representation,
    
    461 U.S. 540
    , 549 (1983) (“[A] legislature’s decision not to sub-
    sidize the exercise of a fundamental right does not infringe
    the right….”); accord, e.g., Wisconsin Education Ass’n Council
    v. Walker, 
    705 F.3d 640
    , 646–47 (7th Cir. 2013).
    To avoid the controlling line of subsidy cases, plaintiffs fo-
    cus on language in Regan suggesting that a selective subsidy
    program may violate the First Amendment if it is “aim[ed] at
    the suppression of dangerous ideas.” 
    461 U.S. at 548
    . To take
    an easy example of such viewpoint discrimination, even if
    Congress can choose to exclude political lobbyists entirely
    from the Program’s subsidies, it could not choose to subsidize
    Democratic lobbyists while excluding Republicans. Plaintiffs’
    theory here is that Congress chose to exclude their businesses
    from the subsidy program because it deemed their “ideas”
    about sexuality to be dangerous.
    This theory fails to distinguish between government sup-
    pression of protected activity and denial of a subsidy. Plaintiffs’
    theory seems to be that the denial of a subsidy is itself the act
    of suppression. That theory loses sight of the difference be-
    tween regulation and denial of a subsidy—the difference at
    the heart of Regan, Rust, Ysursa, and the rest of the selective-
    subsidy line of cases. The only sign we see here of a supposed
    8                                                  No. 21-2589
    effort to “suppress” is the choice not to subsidize. Whatever
    door Regan left open—and as far as we can tell, the Supreme
    Court has never struck down a denial of subsidy on this
    ground—it surely requires something more, like viewpoint
    discrimination, than denial of the subsidy itself. See Wisconsin
    Education Ass’n, 705 F.3d at 650–52, and id. at 664–70 (Hamil-
    ton, J., dissenting in relevant part) (majority and dissent de-
    bating evidence of viewpoint discrimination in state’s choice
    to subsidize payroll deductions for dues for some public em-
    ployee unions but not others).
    IV. Rational-Relation Review
    Like any statutory classification, the statutory boundaries
    of the Paycheck Protection Program are subject to rational-re-
    lation review. See, e.g., Ysursa, 
    555 U.S. at 359
    , citing Regan,
    
    461 U.S. at
    546–51. The district court found here that the ex-
    clusion of plaintiffs’ adult-entertainment businesses failed the
    rational-relation test.
    The district court applied an erroneous and unduly rigor-
    ous form of judicial review, second-guessing legislative deci-
    sions and compromises on policy grounds, and concluding
    that the Program was both over- and under-inclusive in vari-
    ous respects. See Camelot Banquet Rooms, Inc., — F. Supp. 3d
    at —, 
    2021 WL 3680369
    , at *8–11. A government spending pro-
    gram, especially one responding to an economic emergency,
    is subject to the least rigorous form of judicial review. In en-
    acting such legislation, Congress must respond quickly to an
    emergency and must hammer together a coalition of majority
    votes in both houses. The need for compromises and trade-
    offs is never greater.
    No. 21-2589                                                     9
    When pressed in this suit to justify the exclusion of plain-
    tiffs from the Program’s subsidies, the government pointed to
    the “secondary effects” of sex-oriented businesses that can be
    used to justify time, place, and manner regulations of such
    businesses. See, e.g., City of Erie v. Pap’s A.M., 
    529 U.S. 277
    (2000) (plurality opinion); BBL, Inc. v. City of Angola, 
    809 F.3d 317
     (7th Cir. 2015). Plaintiffs and the district court responded
    by criticizing Congress for not having made a record on the
    subject at the time the legislation was enacted.
    Any expectation that Congress would have taken the time
    to make such a record is unrealistic, to put it mildly. And any
    requirement that Congress make such a record is contrary to
    constitutional doctrine. The rational-relation test requires a
    challenger in litigation to exclude any possible rational
    grounds that the legislature might have deemed sufficient for
    the statutory distinction. E.g., Heller v. Doe, 
    509 U.S. 312
    , 319–
    20 (1993). It does not require the legislature to have made a
    contemporaneous record on the subject. 
    Id.
     at 320–21, dis-
    cussed in Wisconsin Education Ass’n, 705 F.3d at 653 (rational
    basis for limit on government subsidies need not be in the rec-
    ord “so long as it finds ‘some footing in the realities of the
    subject addressed by the legislation’”).
    Similarly, the view that the rationale for excluding plain-
    tiffs is under-inclusive has little impact under the rational-re-
    lation test. All sorts of legislative classifications, exclusions,
    and compromises pass muster even if they are over- or under-
    inclusive. “[C]ourts are compelled under rational-basis re-
    view to accept a legislature’s generalizations even when there
    is an imperfect fit between means and ends. A classification
    does not fail rational-basis review because it ‘is not made with
    mathematical nicety or because in practice it results in some
    10                                                            No. 21-2589
    inequality,’” and “[t]he problems of government are practical
    ones and may justify, if they do not require, rough accommo-
    dations—illogical, it may be, and unscientific.” Heller, 
    509 U.S. at 321
    , first quoting Dandridge v. Williams, 
    397 U.S. 471
    , 485
    (1970), and then quoting Metropolis Theatre Co. v. City of Chi-
    cago, 
    228 U.S. 61
    , 69–70 (1913). 2
    Plaintiffs also suggest that the government’s defense
    based on secondary effects of sex-oriented businesses actually
    serves to condemn plaintiffs’ exclusion from the Program.
    They say the arguments show the government’s hostility to
    their “dangerous ideas.” This argument turns the rational-re-
    lation test upside down. Those secondary effects are well
    known and widely recognized in First Amendment litigation
    and doctrine. See generally, e.g., City of Erie, 
    529 U.S. at
    289–
    301 (plurality opinion). Actual evidence of them can serve to
    justify time, place, and manner restrictions on businesses that
    are subject to “intermediate” constitutional scrutiny. We do
    not see how relying on those effects shows animus toward
    any idea. If those secondary effects can support time, place,
    and manner regulations, they surely provide a rational basis
    for Congress to choose not to subsidize this group of busi-
    nesses.
    Plaintiffs’ arguments also lose sight of the fact that they
    were not singled out for this exclusion, even among
    2Illustrating the sorts of inconsistencies that are tolerated under the
    rational-relation test, five of the original plaintiffs-appellees withdrew
    from this case because defendant SBA funded their separate requests for
    COVID relief under the separate Restaurant Revitalization Fund estab-
    lished under 15 U.S.C. § 9009c as part of the American Rescue Plan Act of
    2021, which uses different eligibility standards. See Motion for Partial Dis-
    missal of Certain Appellees, Dkt. No. 45 (Nov. 23, 2021).
    No. 21-2589                                                   11
    businesses engaged primarily in activity protected by the
    First Amendment. Congress also chose to exclude from the
    Program businesses “primarily engaged in political or lobby-
    ing activities.” 
    13 C.F.R. § 120.110
    (r). Such business activities
    are much closer to the core of the First Amendment than the
    dances at plaintiffs’ bars and clubs. Yet lobbyists and political
    consultants were also excluded. Congress chose not to require
    taxpayers to subsidize them. We do not see a plausible consti-
    tutional basis for requiring government subsidies of lobbyists,
    at least as long as there is no viewpoint discrimination. Ac-
    cord, American Ass’n of Political Consultants, 810 F. App’x at 9–
    10.
    Congress also excluded many other categories of busi-
    nesses: banks, lenders, finance companies, and some pawn
    shops; life insurance companies; businesses located in foreign
    countries; pyramid sale distribution plans; businesses en-
    gaged in any illegal activity; private clubs; government-
    owned businesses; loan packagers; businesses with an “Asso-
    ciate” who is in prison, on probation, on parole, or who has
    been indicted for a felony or crime of moral turpitude; and
    businesses that have previously defaulted on SBA or other
    federally       assisted       loans.    See     
    15 U.S.C. § 636
    (a)(37)(A)(iv)(III)(aa), incorporating 
    13 C.F.R. § 120.110
    ,
    with two exceptions.
    These exclusions are not difficult to understand in terms
    of policy and politics. They all help defuse potential criticisms
    of a generous emergency program that might be used to un-
    dermine political support for the Program and the overall leg-
    islation. Such tailoring of legislation to build and maintain po-
    litical support is perfectly constitutional, at least in the
    12                                                          No. 21-2589
    absence of viewpoint or invidious discrimination, of which
    there is no sign here. 3
    V. Viewpoint Discrimination
    The district court was also persuaded to apply more strin-
    gent judicial review. The theory was that even if the exclusion
    of plaintiffs’ businesses from the Program was not “tradi-
    tional viewpoint discrimination,” the exclusion’s focus on
    “prurience” created a free-speech problem. The exclusion, as
    the court saw the issue, depends on prurience, which the
    court saw as the expressive, “sexually arousing” “message”
    of the adult entertainment. Camelot Banquet Rooms, Inc., — F.
    Supp. 3d at — & n.7, 
    2021 WL 3680369
    , at *9–10 & n.7. The
    court viewed the exclusion as thus an effort to use a subsidy
    exclusion to suppress a “dangerous idea,” which Regan sug-
    gested could violate the First Amendment. 
    461 U.S. at 548
    .
    Plaintiffs’ argument along these lines is creative but not
    consistent with the role that prurience plays in the larger
    sweep of First Amendment doctrine. The statutory exclusion
    from the Program of businesses with prurient live entertain-
    ment is better understood not as viewpoint discrimination but
    as a permissible classification based on subject matter. The Su-
    preme Court made this point in R.A.V. v. City of St. Paul:
    When the basis for the content discrimination
    consists entirely of the very reason the entire
    3The Constitution does not prohibit legislation on the basis of moral-
    ity. Consider, for example, the possibility that Congress might choose to
    exclude from this or other subsidy programs alcoholic beverage makers,
    casinos and other gambling businesses, weapons makers, and so on. Such
    line-drawing is left to the legislature, absent viewpoint or invidious dis-
    crimination.
    No. 21-2589                                                  13
    class of speech at issue is proscribable, no signif-
    icant danger of idea or viewpoint discrimina-
    tion exists. Such a reason, having been adjudged
    neutral enough to support exclusion of the en-
    tire class of speech from First Amendment pro-
    tection, is also neutral enough to form the basis
    of distinction within the class. To illustrate: A
    State might choose to prohibit only that obscen-
    ity which is the most patently offensive in its
    prurience—i.e., that which involves the most las-
    civious displays of sexual activity. But it may
    not prohibit, for example, only that obscenity
    which includes offensive political messages.
    
    505 U.S. 377
    , 388 (1992), citing Kucharek v. Hanaway, 
    902 F.2d 513
    , 517 (7th Cir. 1990).
    In effect, the Court was telling us, it would be a category
    mistake to think that prurience or lasciviousness reflects a
    “viewpoint” that the government may not discriminate
    against. The terms instead identify a category or subject mat-
    ter of expressive conduct that may be subject to some forms
    of government regulation. That’s the point we made in the
    Kucharek case cited in R.A.V. We said that a statute could pro-
    hibit obscene (prurient) material entirely (a subject matter)
    but could not “distort the marketplace of erotic discourse by
    suppressing only that obscenity which conveys a disfavored
    message.” 
    902 F.2d at 517
    .
    Accordingly, excluding the entire category or subject mat-
    ter of prurient live performances from a government subsidy
    program does not amount to viewpoint discrimination and
    does not violate the Free Speech Clause. See Pharaohs GC, 990
    F.3d at 231 (term “prurient” in SBA regulation describes
    14                                                    No. 21-2589
    subject matter, not viewpoint, for exclusion from Program);
    PMG Int’l Division L.L.C. v. Rumsfeld, 
    303 F.3d 1163
    , 1171 (9th
    Cir. 2002) (treating “lascivious” materials as articulating a
    “viewpoint” would “risk eviscerating altogether the line be-
    tween content and viewpoint”); General Media Communica-
    tions, Inc. v. Cohen, 
    131 F.3d 273
    , 282 (2d Cir. 1997) (“[H]ow,
    for example, would one go about discussing and considering
    the political issues of the day from a lascivious viewpoint?”).
    VI. Unconstitutional Conditions Doctrine
    Plaintiffs also rely on a line of First Amendment and other
    constitutional decisions in which the Supreme Court has held
    that a government may not condition certain government
    benefits upon a recipient’s agreement to refrain from exercis-
    ing her constitutional rights. For instance, in Speiser v. Randall,
    the Supreme Court declared unconstitutional a condition on
    a property tax exemption that required owners to sign decla-
    rations stating that they did not “advocate the overthrow of
    the Government of the United States … by force or violence.”
    
    357 U.S. 513
    , 515 (1958). As the Court explained: “To deny an
    exemption to claimants who engage in certain forms of speech
    is in effect to penalize them for such speech.” 
    Id. at 518
    . The
    condition was thus unconstitutional. See also, e.g., FCC v.
    League of Women Voters of California, 
    468 U.S. 364
     (1984) (fed-
    eral financial assistance to non-commercial radio and televi-
    sion stations conditioned on stations refraining from any edi-
    torializing; condition violated First Amendment).
    Plaintiffs argue here that the exclusion of prurient busi-
    nesses constitutes an unconstitutional condition on Program
    funding. As explained above, however, the Court has also
    said repeatedly that Congress is not required to “grant a
    No. 21-2589                                                     15
    benefit such as [a tax exemption] to a person who wishes to
    exercise a constitutional right.” Regan, 
    461 U.S. at 545
    .
    How does one tell the difference between an unconstitu-
    tional condition and a permissible congressional choice about
    whom to include in a government spending or subsidy pro-
    gram? It can be difficult in close cases, but the Supreme Court
    provided guidance in Agency for International Development v.
    Alliance for Open Society International, Inc., 
    570 U.S. 205
     (2013),
    where the Court addressed grants to non-governmental or-
    ganizations to combat HIV/AIDS around the world. Congress
    had prohibited using the money to promote legalization of
    prostitution or human trafficking. That condition was not
    even challenged in the case and posed no First Amendment
    problem. But the statute also required grant recipients to
    adopt a policy “explicitly opposing prostitution and sex traf-
    ficking.” 
    Id. at 210
    , quoting 
    22 U.S.C. § 7631
    (f). The Court
    struck down that policy requirement.
    The Court explained the familiar scope of the govern-
    ment’s spending power: “As a general matter, if a party ob-
    jects to a condition on the receipt of federal funding, its re-
    course is to decline the funds.” 570 U.S. at 214. “At the same
    time, however, we have held that the Government ‘may not
    deny a benefit to a person on a basis that infringes his consti-
    tutionally protected … freedom of speech even if he has no
    entitlement to that benefit.’” Id. (omission in original), quoting
    Rumsfeld v. Forum for Academic and Institutional Rights, Inc., 
    547 U.S. 47
    , 59 (2006). To distinguish between permissible limits
    on spending programs and unconstitutional conditions, the
    Court clarified that “the relevant distinction … is between
    conditions that define the limits of the government spending
    program—those that specify the activities Congress wants to
    16                                                No. 21-2589
    subsidize—and conditions that seek to leverage funding to
    regulate speech outside the contours of the program itself.”
    
    Id.
     at 214–15.
    The Court acknowledged that this line is “hardly clear”
    and should not turn the First Amendment into “a simple se-
    mantic exercise,” id. at 215 (citation omitted), but after dis-
    cussing Regan, along with League of Women Voters, 
    468 U.S. at
    399–401, and Rust, 
    500 U.S. at 193, 196
    , the Court found that
    the condition requiring recipients to adopt specific policy
    views about prostitution and sex trafficking was not permis-
    sible because it went “outside the scope of the federally
    funded program.” 570 U.S. at 218, quoting Rust, 
    500 U.S. at 197
    . The condition on the activities the government would
    fund, however, so as not to subsidize advocacy of prostitution
    or human trafficking, was not even challenged in the case, and
    we have no doubt it was permissible under the First Amend-
    ment.
    The Paycheck Protection Program limits at issue in this
    case fit comfortably on the permissible Regan, Rust, and Ysursa
    side of the line as conditions that limit the scope of the sub-
    sidy/loan program. Just as Congress was not trying to require
    lobbyists to stop lobbying as a condition of the Program, it
    was not trying to pressure plaintiffs to change their adult en-
    tertainment. Congress was instead simply choosing to ex-
    clude certain categories of businesses from the program. In
    the words of Regan, Congress “has not infringed any First
    Amendment rights or regulated any First Amendment activ-
    ity” by excluding prurient businesses from receiving Program
    funding. See 
    461 U.S. at 546
    . We thus agree with the Second
    and District of Columbia Circuits that the Program’s exclu-
    sions are not designed to regulate speech. See Pharaohs, 990
    No. 21-2589                                                  17
    F.3d at 229–30 (for Program’s first round of loans, the pruri-
    ence exclusion did not “improperly leverage[ ] the subsidy to
    regulate speech”); American Ass’n of Political Consultants, 810
    F. App’x at *9 (Program’s lobbying exclusion did not “seek to
    leverage funding to regulate speech outside the contours of
    the [Program] itself,” quoting Alliance for Open Society, 570
    U.S. at 214–15).
    VII.   Other Factors for Injunctive Relief
    Finally, the other factors for an injunction either favor the
    government or are neutral. Each side faces a threat of irrepa-
    rable harm, depending on whether an injunction is issued.
    If the government were erroneously required to guarantee
    subsidized loans to plaintiffs, there is no reason to expect that
    it could recover such funds. Because the government is likely
    to prevail on the merits, denying plaintiffs an injunction
    serves the public interest by implementing the policy chosen
    by Congress.
    On the other hand, if the government were unlikely to pre-
    vail on the merits, an injunction would serve the public inter-
    est by enforcing constitutional rights and allowing plaintiffs
    to take advantage of a generous program of emergency eco-
    nomic relief. If we are mistaken in denying injunctive relief
    to plaintiffs, they risk going out of business, and governmen-
    tal immunity would prevent any monetary recovery from the
    government or its officials. That risk is mitigated somewhat
    by the government’s assurances that it has set funds aside for
    plaintiffs during the course of this litigation, but we recognize
    that delay in providing those funds could prevent plaintiffs
    from benefiting at all. On balance, however, the government’s
    18                                                No. 21-2589
    strong likelihood of success on the merits weighs decisively
    against a preliminary injunction.
    For these reasons, the district court’s preliminary injunc-
    tion is VACATED and the case is REMANDED for further
    proceedings.