United States v. Yulia Abair ( 2014 )


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  •                               In the
    United States Court of Appeals
    For the Seventh Circuit
    No. 13-2498
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,
    Plaintiff-Appellee,
    v.
    YULIA YUREVNA ABAIR,
    Defendant-Appellant.
    Appeal from the United States District Court for the
    Northern District of Indiana, South Bend Division.
    No. 3:12-cr-076 — Jon E. DeGuilio, Judge.
    ARGUED DECEMBER 9, 2013 — DECIDED MARCH 19, 2014
    Before WILLIAMS, SYKES, and HAMILTON, Circuit Judges.
    HAMILTON, Circuit Judge. Two weeks before she was
    planning to close on the purchase of a new home in Indiana,
    appellant Yulia Abair learned that her bank in Russia would
    not wire the purchase price from her account. She managed to
    secure the money before the closing by withdrawing a few
    hundred dollars at a time from ATMs up to her maximum
    daily limit and depositing the cash at her bank in Indiana. She
    was charged with violating a federal criminal statute that
    2                                                   No. 13-2498
    prohibits structuring currency transactions in order to evade
    federal reporting requirements for transactions involving more
    than $10,000 in currency. 
    31 U.S.C. § 5324
    (a)(3). Abair was
    convicted in a jury trial. She also agreed to sell her new home
    and to forfeit the entire proceeds to the government. She
    argues on appeal that the trial court erroneously applied
    Federal Rule of Evidence 608(b) by allowing the prosecutor to
    cross-examine her at length about alleged false statements on
    a tax return and student financial aid applications. We find that
    the government lacked a good faith basis for believing that
    Abair lied on the tax and financial aid forms and therefore
    conclude that the district court erred by allowing the prosecu-
    tor to ask a series of accusatory and prejudicial questions about
    them under Rule 608(b). We cannot say that the error was
    harmless in a trial that hinged on Abair’s credibility. We
    reverse Abair’s conviction and remand for a new trial. Abair
    also challenges the forfeiture of the entire proceeds of her
    home sale as an unconstitutionally excessive fine. We offer
    some guidance on that issue in case it arises again after
    remand.
    I. Factual Background
    Abair emigrated to the United States from Russia in 2005
    and married an American citizen. They lived together in
    Indiana, where Abair ran a massage therapy business and
    worked toward her nursing degree. During this time, Abair
    still owned her old apartment in Moscow. After being di-
    vorced, Abair sold the apartment in 2010 and deposited the
    proceeds in her account with Citibank Moscow. The next year,
    she signed a contract to buy a home for cash in South Bend,
    Indiana. That agreement set the closing for June 3, 2011.
    No. 13-2498                                                   3
    Several weeks after signing the contract, Abair asked
    Citibank Moscow to transfer the purchase price from her
    account. The bank refused, apparently because her local bank
    account was in her married name and the Citibank Moscow
    account used her maiden name. The only way to reach her
    money in time for the closing was by withdrawing it bit by bit
    from Citibank ATMs in Indiana. Abair did so over a frenetic
    two weeks in which she repeatedly withdrew the maximum
    daily amount of cash (this ceiling was set in rubles but hovered
    around $6400). Over the same period, Abair made eight
    deposits at her local bank in amounts ranging from $6400 to
    $9800—all below the $10,000 limit at which the currency
    reporting requirements kick in. See 
    31 U.S.C. § 5313
    (a);
    
    31 C.F.R. § 1010.311
    . The last of these deposits was on Tuesday,
    May 31. Because it immediately followed the Memorial Day
    weekend, her deposit was posted alongside one she had made
    on Saturday, pushing her “daily” deposit over the $10,000
    reporting threshold set by regulation. See 
    31 C.F.R. § 1010.313
    .
    The teller asked for her identification and filled out the
    required currency transaction report. We presume it was this
    report that led the government to investigate Abair.
    The U.S. Attorney’s Office decided Abair was worth
    prosecuting, and she was indicted by a grand jury on eight
    counts—later correctly merged into one—of structuring
    financial transactions for purposes of evading the reporting
    requirements. Abair went to trial. Because the parties stipu-
    lated that her local bank was a domestic financial institution,
    the only two elements the government had to prove were that
    Abair knew of the reporting requirements and that she had
    4                                                  No. 13-2498
    structured her transactions for the purpose of evading those
    requirements.
    During its case-in-chief, the government focused on Abair’s
    pattern of withdrawals and deposits. It showed that on each
    day Abair went to the bank, she had more than $10,000 in her
    possession yet always deposited less than that amount. The
    government called two IRS agents who had interviewed Abair.
    They testified that during the interview, which was not
    recorded, Abair revealed her knowledge of the reporting rules.
    The agents also testified that Abair told them outright that she
    had wanted to avoid the reporting rules because “she thought
    the government would look at her as though she was part of an
    organization or something, is what she said.”
    For her part, Abair did not dispute that she was aware of
    the $10,000 limit by the time she spoke with the agents. But she
    said she learned about it only after making the deposits, when
    she asked a friend why she had been asked to show identifica-
    tion at the bank. Abair’s version was that the agents asked her
    why she thought the requirements existed, and she “said
    probably of organization or something—something like this.”
    (Abair had arrived in the United States speaking very little
    English, and she testified to continuing difficulties with
    complex or technical conversations.) She said her deposit
    amounts were based on how much cash she had on hand at the
    time and how much would fit in her purse.
    In cross-examining Abair, the prosecutor sought to ask
    about her 2008 joint income tax return and the Free Application
    for Federal Student Aid (“FAFSA”) forms she filed while
    attending nursing school. Her attorney objected on relevance
    No. 13-2498                                                   5
    grounds. In a sidebar conference, the prosecutor said he
    believed Abair misrepresented her business expenses on the
    tax return and lied on her student aid applications about her
    business income and her assets. He intended to ask about the
    filings to attack Abair’s truthfulness under Federal Rule of
    Evidence 608(b), which allows cross-examination about specific
    instances of a witness’s conduct if they are probative of
    character for truthfulness, but prohibits extrinsic evidence to
    prove such instances. Abair’s attorney maintained his objec-
    tion, arguing that the documents had no bearing on truthful-
    ness. Abair’s ex-husband had testified that he was the one who
    filled out the disputed expense information on their joint tax
    return, and the online FAFSA allowed Abair to skip questions
    about assets. The judge ruled that the filings were probative of
    Abair’s truthfulness under Rule 608(b) and that the probative
    value of the evidence was not substantially outweighed by the
    danger of prejudice. See Fed. R. Evid. 403. The judge said the
    prosecutor was free to question Abair “in a very limited
    manner on these subjects,” provided the questioning stopped
    at the point she denied lying on the forms.
    Ask he did, though, repeatedly, and without stopping at
    the denials: “Isn’t it true that you helped make prior state-
    ments—false statements—in submissions that related to
    financial matters; both on your tax returns and on your
    financial aid applications, you made false statements?” Abair
    denied this, but the questioning continued. Didn’t the FAFSA
    form ask her to state her assets? No, not exactly. Didn’t she
    recall being asked about her assets? No, the computer let her
    skip that part.
    6                                                   No. 13-2498
    The questioning continued in the same vein. Wasn’t it true
    she also lied about her income on the FAFSA forms? Didn’t she
    lie on her taxes about her business’s losses? Didn’t she say
    expenses were double her gross receipts? Was she unaware
    that she gave her husband false numbers when he did their
    taxes? Abair denied having lied. She said she played almost no
    role in preparing her family’s tax returns and never signed
    them. Her attorney raised multiple objections. But although the
    trial court reined in the questioning somewhat, the prosecutor
    had achieved what he set out to do.
    The jury found Abair guilty on all counts. The court
    merged the eight counts into one, sentenced Abair to two years
    of probation, and ordered her to sell her new home and forfeit
    to the government all the proceeds of the sale, which
    amounted to $67,060.
    II. Analysis
    Abair argues that the district court abused its discretion in
    allowing the questions about her financial filings and claims
    the forfeiture was unconstitutionally excessive. Before dealing
    with those issues, though, we address briefly her argument
    that the original eight-count indictment was multiplicitous on
    the theory that her eight deposits together could support only
    one count of structuring. We have suggested as much before,
    United States v. Davenport, 
    929 F.2d 1169
    , 1171–72 (7th Cir.
    1991), but the district judge corrected any problem on this
    score by merging the counts at sentencing. The judge did not
    do so earlier because defense counsel waited until mid-trial to
    challenge the indictment under Federal Rule of Criminal
    Procedure 29 rather than doing so in a Rule 12 pre-trial motion.
    No. 13-2498                                                     7
    The delayed merger had no effect on Abair’s sentence, and
    nothing suggests the number of counts contributed to the
    jury’s verdict. The jury was instructed to consider the counts
    separately, and a rational jury could have found Abair guilty
    of each one based on the IRS agents’ testimony and the record
    of Abair’s transactions if it did not believe her testimony. We
    turn now to the principal issue on appeal.
    A. Cross-Examination Under Rule 608(b)
    Federal Rule of Evidence 608(b) limits the use of specific
    examples of a witness’s prior conduct to support or undermine
    the witness’s credibility. The rule bars extrinsic evidence of
    prior conduct but gives trial judges discretion to allow counsel
    to ask about it on cross-examination. Because “the possibilities
    of abuse are substantial,” however, the conduct must be
    sufficiently relevant to truthfulness before it can be the subject
    of cross-examination. Fed. R. Evid. 608(b) Advisory Committee
    Note for 1972. What questions are allowed remains subject to
    “the overriding protection of Rule 403,” which requires that
    their “probative value not be outweighed by danger of unfair
    prejudice, confusion of issues, or misleading the jury … .” Id.;
    see also United States v. Seymour, 
    472 F.3d 969
    , 971 (7th Cir.
    2007) (“Rule 403 establishes the standard for the exercise of the
    judge’s discretion in evidentiary matters, which of course
    includes cross-examination” under Rule 608(b)); United
    States v. Saunders, 
    166 F.3d 907
    , 920 (7th Cir. 1999) (“district
    court judges retain wide latitude to impose reasonable limita-
    tions on cross-examination based on concerns about harass-
    ment, prejudice, confusion of the issues or interrogation that is
    only marginally relevant”).
    8                                                    No. 13-2498
    In this case we conclude that the district court abused its
    discretion by allowing the cross-examination on Abair’s
    financial filings because the government did not provide a
    sufficient basis to believe the filings were probative of Abair’s
    character for truthfulness. Rule 608(b) requires that the cross-
    examiner have reason to believe the witness actually engaged
    in conduct that is relevant to her character for truthfulness. See
    United States v. Miles, 
    207 F.3d 988
    , 994 (7th Cir. 2000) (affirm-
    ing court’s refusal to allow attorney to cross-examine govern-
    ment witness about failure to register firearm; conduct violated
    local ordinance but was irrelevant to truthfulness); United
    States v. DeGeratto, 
    876 F.2d 576
    , 584 (7th Cir. 1989) (question-
    ing was improper under Rule 608(b) because government
    lacked sufficient evidence “to permit a good faith belief that
    DeGeratto knowingly helped the prostitution operation”); 1
    McCormick on Evidence § 41 (Kenneth S. Broun ed., 7th ed.
    2013) (“the cross-examiner must have a good faith basis in fact
    for the inquiry” under Rule 608(b)); 4 Jack B. Weinstein and
    Margaret A. Berger, Weinstein’s Federal Evidence,
    § 608.22[2][a] (Joseph M. McLaughlin ed., 2d ed. 2013). In this
    case, there simply was no reason—at least, none that the
    government has offered—to believe the filings had any
    material bearing on Abair’s truthfulness. As we have ex-
    plained, “a prosecutorial hunch” that the defendant engaged
    in dishonesty is not enough. DeGeratto, 
    876 F.2d at 583
    ; see
    generally United States v. Benabe, 
    436 F. App'x 639
    , 655 (7th Cir.
    2011) (unpublished) (“A prosecutor’s questions on
    cross-examination must be based on more than the prosecu-
    tor’s own suspicions.”); United States v. Elizondo, 
    920 F.2d 1308
    ,
    1313 (7th Cir. 1990) (same).
    No. 13-2498                                                    9
    As a general matter, lying on financial documents such as
    tax returns or financial aid applications would seem to be an
    archetype of conduct bearing on truthfulness. See United
    States v. Lynch, 
    699 F.2d 839
    , 845 (7th Cir. 1982) (per curiam);
    United States v. Sullivan, 
    803 F.2d 87
    , 90–91 (3d Cir. 1986); but
    see United States v. Dennis, 
    625 F.2d 782
    , 798 (8th Cir. 1980)
    (“civil tax problems cannot be regarded as indicating a lack of
    truthfulness under this standard”). The problem here, how-
    ever, is that the government did not demonstrate a sufficient
    reason to believe Abair herself actually lied. As her attorney
    explained at trial, and as Abair testified, the online FAFSA
    allowed her to skip questions about her assets that were
    irrelevant to her application. See, e.g., U.S. Dep’t of Ed.,
    2 0 1 0 – 2 0 1 1 FA F S A o n t h e We b Wo r k s h e e t ,
    available at http://ifap.ed.gov/eannouncements/attachments/
    FOTWWorkshEn1011.pdf (last visited March 19, 2014).
    The government acknowledged at sentencing that Abair
    could skip these questions, but it claimed she had nevertheless
    affirmatively reported having no assets. The government failed
    to explain why Abair would have done this, and the Depart-
    ment of Education printout on which the government relies is
    not enough to support its position. The printout shows a list of
    zeros next to items relating to the applicant’s assets, but that
    does not mean Abair actually entered those figures. The
    printout is an internal department record, and the government
    has provided no reason to think that such zeroes and similar
    answers reflect verbatim what an applicant typed on her form.
    (For example, Abair probably did not write “Not Been Selected
    For Random Verification” or enter “0” for her date of high
    school graduation.) The government has not pointed to
    10                                                   No. 13-2498
    anything in the record supporting its theory in the face of
    Abair’s testimony and other indications that she simply
    exercised her option to skip inapplicable questions about her
    assets. Without more, the government failed to establish a
    good faith basis to believe that Abair’s conduct in filling out
    the forms was relevant to her character for truthfulness.
    The government also lacked sufficient basis for believing
    Abair intentionally lied on her and her then-husband’s joint
    income tax return for 2008. The return listed $8,872 in vehicle
    expenses stemming from her massage business, a figure large
    enough to shift the business into the red. Abair acknowledged
    having provided her ex-husband most of the figures for her
    business, but he testified—in response to a question from the
    government—that he had calculated the vehicle numbers
    himself. In addition, the government never provided any
    reason for doubting Abair’s testimony that she not only did not
    see the tax return but never even signed it because her hus-
    band filed it electronically.
    Without more than the government has presented here, it
    has not established a good faith basis for attributing the vehicle
    figure to Abair or thinking it was the result of a deceitful act
    rather than an oversight. See Miles, 
    207 F.3d at 994
     (“facts
    strongly indicate that Contant’s failure to register his gun with
    the City was an oversight rather than a deceitful act which
    would bear on his truthfulness”); United States v. Manske, 
    186 F.3d 770
    , 775 (7th Cir. 1999) (reversing for new trial in part
    because of Rule 608(b) error; “closer inspection” into specifics
    of relevant conduct may be necessary to decide if it bears on
    witness’s truthfulness). In the absence of a good faith basis for
    No. 13-2498                                                   11
    asking Abair these accusatory questions at trial, it was an error
    for the court to allow the cross-examination.
    The error was not harmless. We could hold the error
    harmless only if the government persuaded us that we could
    say “with fair assurance that the error did not substantially
    sway the jury.” Barber v. City of Chicago, 
    725 F.3d 702
    , 715 (7th
    Cir. 2013). We find no such assurance here. The trial hinged on
    Abair’s credibility. The jurors could reasonably have inferred
    knowledge and intent from her pattern of transactions; they
    also could have considered them an innocent series of daily
    deposits by someone scrambling to save her house purchase.
    They could have believed the IRS agents’ account of Abair’s
    confession; they could equally have viewed any supposed
    confession as the result of a misunderstanding stemming from
    Abair’s nerves and/or her imperfect grasp of English. Against
    this backdrop, in a case alleging financial chicanery, the
    repeated accusations that Abair lied on her taxes and financial
    aid applications cannot be deemed harmless.
    This conclusion becomes compelling when one considers
    the extent and accusatory nature of the cross-examination. The
    repetitive questions about Abair’s FAFSA form, in particular,
    went far beyond simply identifying the specific conduct she
    was being asked about. The questioning recounted her various
    assets in such detail that the court worried aloud whether it
    was essentially “an attempt by the government to proffer her
    bad acts.” See Weinstein, § 608.22[2][c][ii] (warning that cross-
    examiner’s detailed questioning “can convey the theoretically
    barred information to the jury” and be so extensive “as to
    render the witness’s denials completely suspect”), citing United
    States v. Morales-Quinones, 
    812 F.2d 604
    , 614 (10th Cir. 1987)
    12                                                 No. 13-2498
    (affirming restrictions on excessive Rule 608(b) cross-examina-
    tion of government witness), and Watkins v. Foster, 
    570 F.2d 501
    , 506 (4th Cir. 1978) (affirming grant of habeas corpus
    petition where cross-examination to impeach defendant with
    prior acts went too far), among other cases. While we need not
    hold that the scope of the questioning itself was error under
    Rule 403 or under Rule 611’s bar on harassing or wasteful
    questioning, see United States v. Dawson, 
    434 F.3d 956
    , 959 (7th
    Cir. 2006) (“trial judge has a responsibility not to allow
    cross-examination to get out of hand, confuse the jury, and
    prolong the trial unnecessarily”), the cross-examination in this
    case went on so long and in such detail as to dispel any
    suggestion that the error was harmless. We note a few exam-
    ples to illustrate.
    At the beginning of the examination on the FAFSA forms,
    the prosecutor used a vague and confusing compound (triple)
    question to attack: “And on that form they ask you to state
    your family income; they ask you to state how much you earn
    from working and they ask you to state your assets; isn’t that
    true?” Abair answered (correctly) “Not exactly.” That prompt-
    ed the follow-up question: “Isn’t it true that when you were
    asked in the FAFSA application to state what your assets were,
    to list them, to state the value of your assets—” which drew the
    accurate objection that the question assumed facts not in
    evidence, namely that Abair was actually asked those ques-
    tions in the online form.
    The prosecutor then restated his question: “Don’t you
    recall, ma’am, that you were asked what the value of your
    assets were when you were filling out those FAFSA forms?”
    Abair answered: “When I was filling this forms, they asked
    No. 13-2498                                                      13
    questions how—about tax return—how much money you
    earn—and then it was giving me—it was saying—computer
    said that based on my answers I might skip question about my
    assets, and I did—I went to Mr. Stevens’ [defense counsel]
    office and we—all screens was—I did the same thing. …”
    Under Rule 608(b), the prosecutor should have been stuck
    with that denial. But he continued with the following highly
    improper compound question (at least twelve distinct factual
    assertions are built into it) that was just an accusatory speech:
    “In fact, you were asked what your assets were and you put in
    zero for the value of your assets in 2009, 2010, 2011. You did
    that in 2009 despite the fact that you owned a condominium
    and you held bank accounts and held assets in the United
    States. You did that in 2010 despite the fact that in the first part
    of 2010 you owned a condominium and in the second part of
    2010 you had proceeds of more than $130,000. Isn’t that
    correct?” (In addition to the compound question problem,
    which took things to an extreme, the confusing negative in the
    wrap-up, “Isn’t that correct?” meant that a yes or no answer
    would have been ambiguous.) Defense counsel objected and
    the judge called a sidebar conference. The judge cautioned the
    prosecutor that he was “pushing the envelope” but did not
    take any corrective action, leaving the long and accusatory
    “question” hanging.
    When questioning resumed, the prosecutor returned to the
    subject: “Isn’t it true, ma’am, that you lied not only about not
    having any assets during those three years—.” Defense counsel
    objected again, properly, for Abair had just denied having
    done so, but the prosecutor kept repeating the question. The
    judge was clearly attuned to the risk presented by this line of
    14                                                   No. 13-2498
    questioning, but he did not take effective action by stopping or
    rebuking the prosecutor or telling the jury to disregard these
    improper and accusatory questions. The result was that the
    prosecutor had excessive latitude not to ask questions but to
    state and repeat accusations in a way unmistakably intended
    to plant the accusations in the jurors’ minds. In this case, as we
    said in DeGeratto, “this cross-examination went much too far
    with too little.” 
    876 F.2d at 584
    . The government lacked a good
    faith basis for this line of questioning under Rule 608(b), and
    the extent of its cross-examination makes clear that the error
    was not harmless.
    B. Forfeiture
    Abair also challenges the forfeiture of her house’s entire
    value, arguing that it is so disproportionate to the crime as to
    amount to an unconstitutionally excessive fine under the
    Eighth Amendment. The forfeiture was ordered pursuant to
    
    31 U.S.C. § 5317
    (c)(1)(A), which provides in part that as part of
    a sentence for a violation of 
    31 U.S.C. § 5324
    , a court “shall
    order the defendant to forfeit all property, real or personal,
    involved in the offense and any property traceable thereto.”
    This statutory command is subject to the constitutional limit
    of the Eighth Amendment. United States v. Bajakajian, 
    524 U.S. 321
    , 337–39 (1998) (holding unconstitutionally excessive a
    similar forfeiture of currency that defendant was carrying out
    of U.S. without reporting, an offense not connected to other
    wrongdoing). In this appeal, the government has argued that
    Abair waived or forfeited her challenge to the amount of the
    forfeiture. Since we are remanding for a new trial on the
    merits, we need not resolve those procedural questions about
    No. 13-2498                                                   15
    the forfeiture. But because the issue may arise again on
    remand, we offer the following general guidance.
    Applying Bajakajian, an unconstitutionally excessive fine
    can be identified by looking to: (1) the nature of the defen-
    dant’s crime and its connection to other criminal activity, (2)
    whether the criminal statute is principally meant to reach
    people like the defendant, (3) the maximum punishment that
    could have been imposed, and (4) the harm caused by defen-
    dant’s conduct. United States v. Malewicka, 
    664 F.3d 1099
    , 1104
    (7th Cir. 2011).
    In Bajakajian, the Supreme Court held that $350,000 was an
    excessive punishment for the defendant’s failure to report
    taking that amount of currency out of the country. We distin-
    guished that case in Malewicka, affirming a $280,000 forfeiture
    for the same structuring offense Abair was charged with.
    Malewicka was a close case, however, and differed significantly
    from the facts here. Over the course of several years, defendant
    Malewicka withdrew millions of dollars from her business’s
    bank account through hundreds of cash transactions just below
    the $10,000 limit. 
    Id. at 1102
    . We upheld the forfeiture in large
    part based on the pervasiveness of the violations and the risk
    that a small-business owner in her position could structure
    transactions to facilitate tax evasion or other crimes. 
    Id.
     at
    1105–07.
    Malewicka recognized a limit on the logic of Bajakajian: even
    a reporting offense can warrant a large forfeiture when the
    forfeiture amount is sufficiently related to the “quality and
    quantity” of the criminal conduct. 
    Id. at 1104
    . Abair’s prosecu-
    tion involves the same criminal statute as did Malewicka but
    16                                                  No. 13-2498
    otherwise bears little resemblance to that case. Abair was
    sentenced on one count to Malewicka’s twenty-three. Abair
    made eight deposits over a week and a half, compared with
    Malewicka’s hundreds of cash withdrawals over six years.
    Because Malewicka was an employer who operated her
    business with cash, there was a special risk of tax evasion or
    money laundering not present in Abair’s case. There is no
    indication that Abair tried to avoid the reporting rules on other
    occasions or that her deposits were tied to any other criminal
    activity.
    We recognize that the government believes that Abair may
    have been involved in a range of other wrongdoing, but there
    is simply no evidence of other wrongdoing. For all that
    appears in this record, Abair is at most a one-time offender
    who committed an unusually minor violation of the structur-
    ing statute not tied to other wrongdoing. We therefore have
    serious doubts that the forfeiture of her home’s entire $67,000
    value comports with the “principle of proportionality” that is
    the “touchstone of the constitutional inquiry under the
    Excessive Fines Clause,” Bajakajian, 
    524 U.S. at 334
    , but further
    exploration of the issue can await a new trial.
    Abair’s conviction and sentence, including the forfeiture
    order, are REVERSED and the case is REMANDED to the
    district court for a new trial.
    No. 13-2498                                                  17
    SYKES, Circuit Judge, dissenting. Yulia Abair, a Russian
    immigrant and registered nurse, made an unusual series of
    large cash deposits into her account at a bank near South Bend,
    Indiana. This attracted the attention of IRS agents and eventu-
    ally the Department of Justice, but their investigation turned
    up no evidence of nefarious activity. Abair wasn’t evading
    taxes or laundering ill-gotten gains; she was buying a home
    and was having difficulty accessing funds in her Citibank
    Moscow account. To get around the problem, Abair resorted
    to the scheme my colleagues have described: She made
    repeated ATM withdrawals from her Russian bank account
    and deposited the cash with her local bank in a series of
    transactions just under the $10,000 threshold that triggers the
    bank’s reporting requirements for currency transactions. The
    withdrawals were legitimate, but the deposits landed Abair in
    big trouble.
    The bank tellers told investigators that the money had a
    “musty,” “mildewy,” or “dirty” odor, as if it had been kept in
    a basement rather than freshly drawn from an ATM. Prosecu-
    tors inferred from the odd smell that the money must have
    come from an illegitimate source and brought the full force of
    the federal criminal law down on Abair. The U.S. Attorney’s
    Office in South Bend indicted her on eight counts of structuring
    a money transaction to avoid currency reporting requirements.
    See 
    31 U.S.C. § 5324
    (a)(3). A jury convicted her on all counts.
    The prosecutor argued for a prison sentence, emphasizing the
    suspicious nature of the smelly money, but the district judge
    rejected the argument and placed Abair on probation. The
    prosecutor also sought a forfeiture of the entire amount at
    issue, which required Abair to sell her new home. For some
    18                                                 No. 13-2498
    unknown reason, before trial Abair agreed not to fight the
    forfeiture if she was convicted. Based on the pretrial
    stipulation, the judge entered the requested forfeiture order,
    and Abair lost the full value of her home—about $67,000—to
    the government.
    Abair raises four arguments on appeal: (1) the indictment
    was multiplicitous; (2) the district court committed an eviden-
    tiary error; (3) the evidence was insufficient to convict; and
    (4) the forfeiture was excessive in violation of the Eighth
    Amendment. Three of these arguments can be summarily
    rejected. The district court cured the multiplicity problem by
    merging the counts at sentencing. The evidence was sufficient
    to convict, even though the structuring violation was technical
    and not connected to any criminal activity. And because Abair
    stipulated to the forfeiture, she waived the Eighth Amendment
    challenge, which but for the waiver might have had substantial
    merit.
    That leaves the claim of evidentiary error. My colleagues
    hold that the judge should not have permitted the prosecutor
    to cross-examine Abair about specific instances of conduct
    bearing on her truthfulness under Rule 608(b)(1) and that the
    error warrants a new trial. I disagree. But my different take on
    this case should not be understood as an endorsement of the
    government’s decision to pursue Abair with every weapon in
    its arsenal. Perhaps there’s a good (or at least adequate)
    explanation for so disproportionate a deployment of criminal-
    justice resources. On the present record, however, this case
    shows every sign of being an overzealous prosecution for a
    technical violation of a criminal regulatory statute—the kind of
    rigid and severe exercise of law-enforcement discretion that
    No. 13-2498                                                       19
    would make Inspector Javert proud. Despite the prosecutorial
    overreaching, I find no legal error and so would affirm.
    Rule 608(b)(1) permits a cross-examiner to attack the
    credibility of a witness by asking leading questions about
    specific instances of conduct “if they are probative of the
    [witness’s] character for truthfulness or untruthfulness.” FED .
    R. EVID . 608(b)(1). But the rule also prohibits the use of extrinsic
    evidence to prove the witness’s character for truthfulness. So
    the cross-examiner is effectively bound by the witness’s
    answer; if she denies the conduct or equivocates, the rule
    against admitting extrinsic evidence eliminates the opportunity
    to rebut. See United States v. Bynum, 
    3 F.3d 769
    , 772 (4th Cir.
    1993) (explaining that under Rule 608(b)(1), the “cross-
    examiner may inquire into specific incidents of conduct, but
    does so at the peril of not being able to rebut the witness’[s]
    denials”); see also United States v. Whitmore, 
    359 F.3d 609
    , 618
    (D.C. Cir. 2004).
    As with other evidentiary questions, the trial judge has
    broad discretion to permit or exclude cross-examination under
    Rule 608(b)(1). Appellate review is deferential; we look only for
    an abuse of discretion. United States v. Holt, 
    486 F.3d 997
    ,
    1000–01 (7th Cir. 2007) (“We review the district court’s decision
    to limit the scope of cross-examination [under Rule 608(b)] for
    an abuse of discretion.”); United State v. Dawson, 
    434 F.3d 956
    ,
    959 (7th Cir. 2006) (“The important point is that the decision
    whether to allow a witness to be cross-examined [under
    Rule 608(b)] … is confided to the discretion of the trial
    judge … .”). What this means in practice is that close cases are
    resolved in favor of upholding the judge’s exercise of discre-
    tion to control the admission of evidence at trial; reversal is
    20                                                          No. 13-2498
    appropriate only if no reasonable judge would make the same
    decision. See United States v. Chapman, 
    692 F.3d 822
    , 827 (7th
    Cir. 2012); United States v. Vargas, 
    552 F.3d 550
    , 554 (7th Cir.
    2008) (“Only where no reasonable person could take the view
    adopted by the trial court will we reverse an evidentiary
    ruling.”).
    Here, the judge allowed the government to cross-examine
    Abair about apparent falsehoods in her 2010–2012 FAFSA
    forms (federal financial-aid applications) and in her 2008
    federal tax return. My colleagues conclude that this was an
    abuse of discretion because “the government did not demon-
    strate a sufficient reason to believe Abair herself actually lied”
    in these documents. Majority op. at 9. Respectfully, this
    conclusion sidesteps the applicable legal standard for
    Rule 608(b)(1) cross-examination and also the deferential
    standard of appellate review.
    To cross-examine a witness under Rule 608(b)(1), the cross-
    examiner need only have a good-faith factual basis to support
    the proposed line of questioning. See United States v. Holt,
    
    817 F.2d 1264
    , 1274 (7th Cir. 1987); see also United States v.
    Skelton, 
    514 F.3d 433
    , 444 (5th Cir. 2008); Whitmore, 
    359 F.3d at 622
    ; United States v. Cudlitz, 
    72 F.3d 992
    , 1001 (1st Cir. 1996).
    That standard was met here. Copies of the relevant documents
    are in the record.1 In each of Abair’s three FAFSA forms—for
    financial-aid years 2010, 2011, and 2012—a zero appears on the
    line asking about her cash assets, and another zero appears on
    1
    The documents were not offered or admitted as evidence before the jury,
    consistent with the bar on the use of extrinsic evidence to prove character
    for untruthfulness. See F ED . R. E V ID . 608(b)(1).
    No. 13-2498                                                  21
    the line asking for the value of any investments. But other
    evidence in the case showed that during these years, Abair had
    substantial equity in her apartment in Russia, and after the
    property was sold, held a substantial sum of money—about
    $100,000—in her Citibank Moscow account. In addition, on her
    2008 federal tax return, filed jointly with her husband, Abair
    claimed a business loss of $6,566 from her work as a massage
    therapist based in part on vehicle expenses totaling $8,872, a
    seemingly implausible figure given the nature of the business.
    Abair’s counsel vigorously objected to the government’s
    proposed cross-examination. After a lengthy sidebar, the judge
    overruled the objection and permitted the cross-examination
    to proceed, concluding that the documentary evidence estab-
    lished a good-faith basis for the prosecutor to ask Abair
    whether she provided false information in these financial
    filings. But the judge reminded the prosecutor that he could
    not use extrinsic evidence; if Abair denied that she lied on the
    documents, the government would be stuck with her answer.
    The judge also warned the prosecutor to keep the scope of his
    inquiry narrow.
    Cross-examination resumed but proceeded clumsily and
    was interrupted by several additional objections. Abair denied
    that she lied and offered a plausible explanation for how the
    misleading information wound up in these documents. She
    testified that the online program for the FAFSA permitted her
    to skip the questions about her assets based on other answers
    she gave earlier in the form. (Her counsel speculates that the
    program entered the zeroes automatically.) She also testified
    that her husband completed their 2008 tax return and filed it
    electronically. She acknowledged giving him financial informa-
    22                                                   No. 13-2498
    tion about her massage business, but said that she neither saw
    nor signed the return before it was filed.
    My colleagues credit Abair’s explanation and conclude that
    the cross-examination lacked a good-faith factual basis and
    should have been excluded. Majority op. at 8–11. This reason-
    ing misapplies the governing legal standard and overlooks the
    deference owed to a trial judge’s evidentiary determinations.
    The good-faith-basis standard for cross-examination under
    Rule 608(b)(1) is not a high bar; a “well[-]reasoned suspicion
    that a circumstance is true is sufficient.” Holt, 
    817 F.2d at 1274
    (quoting United States v. Sampol, 
    636 F.2d 621
    , 658 (D.C. Cir.
    1980)). Importantly, although the inquiry into specific instances
    of conduct must have a basis in fact, the cross-examiner is not
    required to prove the underlying factual basis for his questions.
    See Skelton, 
    514 F.3d at 444
    .
    It’s true that the documentary evidence in this case gave
    rise to competing inferences, but one permissible interpretation
    was that Abair provided false information on these important
    financial filings. That’s a sufficient factual basis for the
    Rule 608(b)(1) cross-examination. To be sure, Abair disputed
    the government’s interpretation of the documentary evidence
    and provided a plausible explanation for how the misleading
    figures might have found their way into her FAFSA forms and
    tax return. My colleagues fault the government for “not
    point[ing] to anything in the record supporting its theory in the
    face of Abair’s testimony and other indications that she simply
    exercised her option to skip inapplicable [FAFSA] questions
    about her assets.” Majority op. at 9–10. They also criticize the
    government for not “provid[ing] any reason for doubting
    No. 13-2498                                                   23
    Abair’s testimony that she not only did not see the tax return
    but never even signed it because her husband filed it electroni-
    cally.” Id. at 10.
    But this reasoning overlooks that the prosecutor did not
    have to disprove Abair’s explanation before getting the green
    light to proceed with his cross-examination. All he needed to
    do was establish a good-faith factual basis to ask the questions;
    here, the documents themselves provided that good-faith basis.
    Nothing required the judge to credit Abair’s proffered explana-
    tion when ruling on the defense attorney’s objection. Even
    accepting the factual premise that the online FAFSA program
    permits applicants to skip certain questions and that Abair in
    fact did so, we can only speculate about whether the program
    fills in zeroes automatically or leaves the skipped questions
    blank. Abair’s explanatory speculation may be plausible, but
    there’s no evidence one way or another. Her FAFSA forms
    contain both blanks and zeroes. What we do know with some
    certainty is that nothing in the caselaw applying Rule 608(b)
    requires the cross-examiner to produce evidence to rebut the
    witness’s explanation before gaining the judge’s approval to
    cross-examine her on the subject. Nor was the government
    required to prove that Abair knowingly filed a false tax return
    as a precondition to cross-examining her about whether she
    inflated her claimed business expenses.
    Simply put, the presence of a factual dispute about the
    specific instances of conduct does not defeat the cross-
    examiner’s good-faith factual basis to proceed with the cross-
    examination under Rule 608(b)(1). A shaky factual foundation
    may be a factor in the judge’s evaluation of the relative
    probative value and prejudicial effect of the cross-examination
    24                                                   No. 13-2498
    under Rule 403. But to justify exclusion under Rule 403, the
    evidence must be substantially more prejudicial than probative.
    See FED . R. EVID . 403 (providing that “[t]he court may exclude
    relevant evidence if its probative value is substantially out-
    weighed by a danger of … unfair prejudice”). Here, the judge
    made a specific finding that the government’s proposed cross-
    examination survived Rule 403 balancing.
    That ruling was sound. The disputed issues at trial were
    Abair’s knowledge of the $10,000 reporting limit and her intent
    to evade it. On the witness stand, she denied that she knew
    about the currency-transaction limit at the time of the offense
    and denied any intent to structure her transactions to evade it.
    Because her credibility was key, so was the government’s
    Rule 608(b)(1) cross-examination.
    As my colleagues have noted, providing false information
    on a financial-aid application or a tax return is “an archetype
    of conduct bearing on truthfulness.” Id. at 11. So the govern-
    ment’s proposed cross-examination was obviously highly
    probative. Of course, the prosecutor had to take the good with
    the bad; once the cross-examination was underway, he was
    stuck with Abair’s denial and her plausible explanation for
    what appeared to be false information in her FAFSA forms and
    tax return. That she would deny lying and make an effort to
    explain the information did not require the judge to sustain the
    defense attorney’s objection and disallow the cross-
    examination, either under Rule 608(b)(1) or Rule 403.
    Finally, the court’s holding fails to account for the deferen-
    tial standard of review that applies to evidentiary determina-
    tions. Cross-examination under Rule 608(b)(1) always carries
    No. 13-2498                                                   25
    the risk that the witness will deny the prior conduct or try to
    explain it away. Sometimes this happens in response to the
    cross-examiner’s accusatory questions, and sometimes the
    witness is rehabilitated on redirect examination. Either way,
    the fact that the witness denies or plausibly explains the prior
    conduct isn’t a basis for the reviewing court to find that the
    trial judge abused his discretion in allowing the cross-
    examination in the first place. The standard of review is
    deferential for good reason; the trial judge is in a superior
    position to evaluate evidentiary disputes and must rule on the
    basis of the information available at the time the objection is
    made. The abuse-of-discretion standard of review guards
    against appellate judges substituting their own views based on
    hindsight.
    When confronted with Abair’s objection, the trial judge’s
    obligation was simply to test the prosecutor’s good-faith
    factual basis for the proposed cross-examination. The judge did
    so here, conducting a proper inquiry under both Rule 608(b)(1)
    and Rule 403. The judge appropriately limited the scope of the
    cross-examination and closely monitored the prosecutor’s
    questions. True, the prosecutor asked compound and confus-
    ing questions, but that doesn’t call into question the judge’s
    initial decision to overrule the defense attorney’s objection and
    allow the cross-examination to proceed. Defense counsel
    interposed additional objections; some were sustained, some
    questions were cut off or left unanswered, and the material
    accusatory questions were met with denials and explanations
    from Abair.
    In short, I can find no reason to fault the district judge’s
    decision to permit this cross-examination or to criticize his
    26                                                            No. 13-2498
    refereeing of it once it was underway. Finding no error, I
    would affirm, although not without serious misgivings about
    the wisdom of this prosecution. It’s unclear to me how the
    interests of justice are served by saddling Abair with a felony
    conviction and forcing her to forfeit her home as punishment
    for a technical, trivial violation of the structuring statute.
    Without more, the government’s suspicions about the mal-
    odorous money do not support an inference that broader
    criminality was at work here. Abair has no criminal history,
    and at sentencing the judge noted that she is otherwise a
    responsible person, has a good employment history, is an
    excellent mother to her 11-year-old son, and has substantial
    community support. No doubt these observations contributed
    to the judge’s decision to place her on probation.
    For the foregoing reasons, I respectfully dissent.2
    2
    Despite our disagreement about the legal issue under Rule 608(b)(1), my
    colleagues’ decision to reverse and remand for a new trial has the salutary
    effect of permitting a fresh exercise of prosecutorial discretion. The
    executive branch may choose to moderate its strict enforcement stance
    against Abair and resolve not to sink further resources into prosecuting her.
    Under the circumstances, that might be the most prudent and just thing to
    do.