Nader, Ralph v. Keith, John R. ( 2004 )


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  •                               In the
    United States Court of Appeals
    For the Seventh Circuit
    ____________
    No. 04-3183
    RALPH NADER, et al.,
    Plaintiffs-Appellants,
    v.
    JOHN KEITH, et al.,
    Defendants-Appellees.
    ____________
    Appeal from the United States District Court for
    the Northern District of Illinois, Eastern Division.
    No. 04 C 4913—Matthew F. Kennelly, Judge.
    ____________
    ARGUED SEPTEMBER 20, 2004—DECIDED SEPTEMBER 22, 2004
    OPINION PUBLISHED SEPTEMBER 29, 2004
    ____________
    Before POSNER, WOOD, and EVANS, Circuit Judges.
    POSNER, Circuit Judge. Ralph Nader, joined by his cam-
    paign committee and two registered Illinois voters who
    support his candidacy, brought this suit to require the State
    of Illinois to place his name on the ballot for the forthcom-
    ing Presidential election. He appeals to us from the district
    court’s denial of a preliminary injunction that would order
    the state to do that. We have expedited the parties’ briefing
    and our consideration of the appeal because of the short
    time remaining to the election.
    2                                                     No. 04-3183
    The suit challenges, as violations of the First and Fourteenth
    Amendments, Munro v. Socialist Workers Party, 
    479 U.S. 189
    ,
    193 (1986); Anderson v. Celebrezze, 
    460 U.S. 780
    , 786-88 (1983);
    Bullock v. Carter, 
    405 U.S. 134
    , 142-44 (1972); Libertarian Party of
    Illinois v. Rednour, 
    108 F.3d 768
    , 772-73 (7th Cir. 1997), three
    provisions of the Illinois Election Code that have in combi-
    nation prevented Nader from qualifying for a place on the
    ballot. The first provision requires any candidate who has
    not been nominated by a party that received at least 5
    percent of the votes in the most recent statewide election to
    obtain nominating petitions signed by at least 25,000
    qualified voters. 10 ILCS 5/10-2, -3. The second provision
    requires that the address on each petition be the address at
    which the petitioner is registered to vote. 
    Id.,
     5/3-1.2. The
    third requires that the petitions be submitted to the state
    board of elections at least 134 days before the election. 
    Id.,
    5/10-6. The deadline this year was thus June 21. Only two
    states, Texas and Arizona, had earlier deadlines.
    Nader declared his candidacy on February 22, which gave
    him four months to drum up support for his presidential
    bid, though a provision of the election code that he does not
    challenge required him to wait until the ninetieth day before
    the expiration of the June 21 deadline to begin circulating
    the actual petition forms for signature. 10 ILCS 5/10-4. On
    June 21 he turned in 32,437 petitions. More than 19,000 of
    these were challenged by defendant John Tully, whom
    Nader describes as a “minion” of the Illinois Democratic
    Party. The principal ground for challenging a petition was
    that the petitioner wasn’t registered to vote at the address
    shown on it. After state administrative hearings, 12,327
    petitions were struck, which brought Nader’s total below
    25,000. Nader’s campaign continued to obtain petitions after
    the June 21 deadline, and by August 19, when the district
    court held a hearing on the motion for a preliminary
    No. 04-3183                                                     3
    injunction, another 7,000 or so had been collected, but the
    election board refused to consider them because they were
    untimely.
    Nader also sued in state court, where he sought a ruling
    that the board’s refusal to certify his candidacy violated
    Illinois state law. That proceeding is pending, and the board
    argues frivolously that its pendency requires dismissal of
    Nader’s federal suit by virtue of the doctrine of Younger v.
    Harris, 
    401 U.S. 37
     (1971). That decision and cases following
    it, such as our Majors case on which the board particularly
    relies, Majors v. Engelbrecht, 
    149 F.3d 709
     (7th Cir. 1998),
    hold (with irrelevant exceptions) that if a person is believed
    to have violated a state law, the state has instituted a criminal,
    disciplinary, or other enforcement proceeding against him,
    and he has a federal defense, he cannot scurry to federal
    court and plead that defense as a basis for enjoining the state
    proceeding. Ohio Civil Rights Comm’n v. Dayton Christian
    Schools, Inc., 
    477 U.S. 619
    , 626-28 (1986); Middlesex County
    Ethics Committee v. Garden State Bar Ass’n, 
    457 U.S. 423
    , 432
    (1982); Hoover v. Wagner, 
    47 F.3d 845
    , 848 (7th Cir. 1995);
    Storment v. O’Malley, 
    938 F.2d 86
     (7th Cir. 1991); Anthony v.
    Council, 
    316 F.3d 412
    , 419-22 (3d Cir. 2003). That is not this
    case. Nader is not accused of having violated any state law,
    and the state has not instituted any proceedings against him;
    he merely is pursuing parallel remedies against the state’s
    refusal to certify him as a candidate. Federal courts do some-
    times stay their hand when parallel state judicial or adminis-
    trative proceedings are pending (“Colorado River” abstention,
    see, e.g., Clark v. Lacy, 
    376 F.3d 682
    , 685 (7th Cir. 2004);
    CIGNA Healthcare of St. Louis, Inc. v. Kaiser, 
    294 F.3d 849
     (7th
    Cir. 2002), or “Burford” abstention, see, e.g., International
    College of Surgeons v. City of Chicago, 
    153 F.3d 356
    , 361-65 (7th
    Cir. 1998)), but the election board has made no effort to fit
    this case to that mold—and it couldn’t, if only because of the
    time factor. Abstention would almost certainly moot
    Nader’s case.
    4                                                 No. 04-3183
    Nader argues that the three rules that in combination
    ruled him off the ballot impose an unreasonable burden on
    third-party and independent (nonparty) candidacy (though
    the Libertarian Party’s candidate was able to qualify), and
    if this is so the rules are unconstitutional. Timmons v. Twin
    Cities Area New Party, 
    520 U.S. 351
    , 357-59 (1997); Burdick v.
    Takushi, 
    504 U.S. 428
    , 432-34 (1992); Schulz v. Williams, 
    44 F.3d 48
    , 56 (2d Cir. 1994); Cromer v. South Carolina, 
    917 F.2d 819
    , 822-23 (4th Cir. 1990). Nader emphasizes the role that
    third parties have played in American democracy. The
    Republican Party started as a third party; and such third par-
    ties as the Progressive Party of Theodore Roosevelt,
    LaFollette’s Progressive Party, and the Reform Party have
    made significant contributions to political competition,
    whether by injecting new ideas or, in the case of the Repub-
    lican Party, by actually displacing one of the major parties.
    So the barriers to the entry of third parties must not be set
    too high; yet the two major parties, who between them exert
    virtually complete control over American government, are apt
    to collude to do just that. For like other duopolists they
    would prefer not to be challenged by some upstart—
    although if a major party believes that a third party will take
    more votes from the other party than from itself, it will
    support that third party (surreptitiously, because it’s sup-
    porting an ideological opponent), and the other party will
    oppose it (also surreptitiously, because it’s opposing an
    ideological ally). That is why Nader assumes that Tully is a
    “minion” of the Democratic Party—but we should point out
    that there was no basis for joining him as a defendant. Tully
    is not a state actor, and he is not conspiring with the board
    of elections to keep Nader off the ballot.
    It doesn’t follow from what we said about the importance
    of preserving opportunities for the entry of new parties into
    the political arena that it would be a good thing if there
    No. 04-3183                                                 5
    were no barriers at all to third-party candidacies. A multi-
    plication of parties would make our politics more ideological
    by reducing the influence of the median voter (who in a
    two-party system determines the outcome of most elections),
    and this could be a very bad thing. More mundanely, terminal
    voter confusion might ensue from having a multiplicity of
    Presidential candidates on the ballot—for think of the con-
    fusion caused by the “butterfly” ballot used in Palm Beach
    County, Florida in the 2000 Presidential election. That fiasco
    was a consequence of the fact that the ballot listed ten
    Presidential candidates. The butterfly ballot was a folded
    punchcard ballot in which the ten candidates were listed on
    facing pages. This unusual design was innocently adopted in
    order to enable the candidates’ names to be printed in large
    type, in consideration of the number of elderly voters in the
    county, while at the same time placing all the candidates for
    each office in sight of the voter at one time so that he would
    be less likely to overvote. Another ballot design might have
    effectively disfranchised voters who had poor eyesight, or
    who cast their vote before realizing there were additional
    candidates for the same office on the next page of the ballot,
    or who cast two votes for candidates for the same office
    because they didn’t realize that candidates for the same
    office appeared on different pages. But with names on each
    side and the chads (the places in the ballot that the voter
    punches out in order to vote) in the middle, it was easy to
    punch the chad of the candidate on one of the facing pages
    meaning to vote for the candidate on the opposite page.
    Apparently a significant number of voters did just that:
    intending to vote for Al Gore, they voted for Patrick Bu-
    chanan. With fewer candidates, the “butterfly” design and
    resulting confusion would have been avoided.
    Less obviously, third-party candidates would themselves
    be harmed if there were no barriers to including such can-
    didates on the ballot. It is to the Libertarian Party’s advan-
    6                                                  No. 04-3183
    tage that if Nader’s challenge fails, its candidate will be the
    only independent candidate for President on the ballot. If
    there were 98 independent candidates, none could hope for
    a nontrivial vote.
    So there have to be hurdles to getting on the ballot and the
    requirement of submitting a minimum number of nom-
    inating petitions is a standard one. In a state the size of
    Illinois—the population exceeds 12 million, of whom more
    than 7 million are registered voters—requiring a third-party
    candidate to obtain 25,000 signed nominating petitions
    cannot be thought excessive. Jenness v. Fortson, 
    403 U.S. 431
    (1971), upheld a Georgia law that required petitions from 5
    percent of the registered voters—in Illinois that would mean
    350,000 petitions! Equally stringent requirements have been
    upheld in other cases. See American Party of Texas v. White,
    
    415 U.S. 767
    , 783-84 (1974); Libertarian Party of Illinois v.
    Rednour, 
    supra,
     
    108 F.3d at 775
    ; cf. Prestia v. O’Connor, 
    178 F.3d 86
    , 87-89 (2d Cir. 1999); compare Storer v. Brown, 
    415 U.S. 724
    , 739-40 (1974).
    And especially in a state as notorious for election fraud as
    Illinois is, see, e.g., “Voting Rights Act: Criminal Violations,”
    Hearings Before Subcomm. on the Constitution of the S. Comm.
    on the Judiciary, 98th Cong., 1st Sess. 4 (1983) (testimony of
    Dan Webb, U.S. Attorney for the Northern District of Illinois);
    Dayna L. Cunningham, “Who Are to Be the Electors? A
    Reflection on the History of Voter Registration in the United
    States,” 9 Yale L. & Policy Rev. 370, 396-97 (2001); Todd J.
    Zywicki, “The Law of Presidential Transitions and the 2000
    Election,” 2001 B.Y.U.L. Rev. 1573, 1607-08 (2001), the fact
    that the nominating petitions that a candidate submits have
    actually been signed by registered voters has to be verified.
    If the petition were not required to contain any identifying
    information (such as date of birth, mother’s maiden name,
    or, the identifier that Illinois has chosen, the address at
    No. 04-3183                                                  7
    which the petitioner is registered to vote), there would be no
    practical impediment to a person’s signing the name of
    anyone he knew to be a registered voter.
    Other states may be able to rely on an honor system.
    Oregon, for example, has switched to a system of all-mail
    voting. O.R.S. § 254.465. But “what works in the state of
    Oregon doesn’t necessarily work in Illinois, especially in
    light of the colorful history of vote fraud we’ve seen,”
    Andrew Zajac, “Wider Access to Absentee Ballots Sought;
    Lawsuit Challenges Illinois Voting Law,” Chi. Tribune, Sept.
    8, 2004, p. 11 (quoting the general counsel of the state
    election board); for voting by mail makes vote fraud much
    easier to commit. Michael Moss, “Absentee Votes Worry
    Officials As Nov. 2 Nears,” N.Y. Times, Sept. 13, 2004, p. A1.
    An additional reason to insist that a nominating petitioner
    list his current address is that if he has moved out of the
    county in which he is registered without re-registering, he
    may be ineligible to vote and therefore ineligible to execute a
    nominating petition.
    Of course a law requiring verification could require so
    much or such esoteric information that most petitions would
    be invalidated. The best way of evaluating this danger is to
    determine the total number of petitions that a third party
    would have to submit in order to be reasonably confident of
    having enough valid ones to get on the ballot. Almost one-
    third of the Nader petitions were invalidated. So if instead
    of 32,000 petitions his campaign had collected 37,500 and a
    third had been invalidated, there would have been 25,000
    valid petitions, and Nader would be on the ballot. If 25,000
    is not an excessive number to require, neither is 40,000 (to
    provide an extra margin of error), for that is only slightly
    more than one-half of one percent of the number of regis-
    tered voters in Illinois.
    8                                                 No. 04-3183
    But is it reasonable to require that the minimum number
    of nominating petitions all be collected by June 21 when the
    election is not until November 2? June 21 preceded both major
    parties’ conventions, and depending on what occurred there
    a third-party candidacy might generate a degree of support
    that it could not have attracted earlier. The problem is that
    time has to be allowed between the deadline for petitions
    and the election to enable challenges to the validity of the
    petitions to be made and adjudicated and then to enable a
    ballot to be printed and distributed that will contain the
    names of all the candidates—and the ballot must be printed
    well before the election so that it can be distributed to regis-
    tered voters who vote by absentee ballot.
    But how much time? One hundred thirty-four days—
    almost four and a half months—seems awfully long. Too
    long, seems to be the judgment of 47 of the other 49 states.
    A 120-day deadline was upheld in American Party of Texas v.
    White, 
    supra,
     415 U.S. at 787 n. 18, but it had not been sepa-
    rately challenged and it was not separately discussed. In
    Anderson v. Celebrezze, 
    supra,
     on which the plaintiffs primarily
    rely, the Court invalidated a seven-month deadline, and
    though it was much longer than Illinois’s 134 days and Ohio
    had not argued that it needed that much time “to allow peti-
    tion signatures to be counted and verified or to permit
    November general election ballots to be printed,” 
    id. at 800
    ,
    the Court noted, though noncommittally, that the district
    court had found that 75 days should be enough. 
    Id.
     at 800 n.
    28. The Court also emphasized that deadlines that states set
    for qualifying a candidate in a national election must be
    scrutinized with particular care because they have effects out-
    side the states imposing them; a strong third-party showing
    could sway the outcome of the Presidential election. 
    Id. at 794-95
    .
    Restrictions on candidacy must, moreover, be considered
    together rather than separately. Wood v. Meadows, 207 F.3d
    No. 04-3183                                                    9
    708, 711 (4th Cir. 2000). (This, incidentally, makes it difficult
    to rely heavily on precedent in evaluating such restrictions,
    because there is great variance among the states’ schemes.)
    The fewer nominating petitions required to put a candidate
    on the ballot and the harder it is to challenge a petition (and
    so the lower the number of petitions above the minimum
    that a candidate must submit in order to be on the safe side),
    the shorter the deadline for submitting petitions can be
    made without unduly burdening aspiring candidates.
    Illinois requires a substantial though not paralyzing number
    of petitions, makes challenges easy rather than hard (since a
    discrepancy between the address on the petition and the ad-
    dress at which the petitioner is registered is likely to be
    pretty common even without fraud), and sets a tight dead-
    line for submitting a qualifying number. In these circum-
    stances, the tightness of the deadline can be questioned.
    But we must not overlook another variable in a system of
    ballot access, and that is the procedure for resolving chal-
    lenges to nominating petitions. The more extensive the pro-
    cedure that a state provides, the more time the state will need
    in order to determine whether a candidate has qualified.
    Illinois, perhaps out of sensitivity to the state’s history of
    voting fraud, has decided to allow candidates to respond to
    challenges, and this decision requires pushing back the
    deadline for submitting petitions by increasing the amount
    of time required to determine whether the candidate has
    obtained the requisite number of valid petitions. A state that
    employed a purely ex parte procedure for resolving chal-
    lenges could set a later deadline for submission of petitions.
    But Nader does not question the appropriateness of the
    state’s entitling him to rebut challenges to his nominating
    petitions. With 19,000 challenges to consider one by one and
    the Nader campaign entitled to rebut all 19,000, the board of
    elections needed a significant amount of time for resolving
    challenges and only after doing so could it print up the
    10                                                 No. 04-3183
    ballots (unless it printed a double set of ballots—one with,
    one without, Nader’s name, an expedient that has not been
    suggested). At argument Nader’s lawyer claimed that the
    19,000 challenges could all have been resolved within five
    to eight days. That seems preposterous and in any event no
    attempt has been made to substantiate the figure.
    Well, even given the expanded procedure, is 134 days
    really a reasonable period for resolving challenges and
    printing and distributing ballots? Couldn’t that be done
    quicker? Maybe so, but Nader has not presented evidence
    that would enable a court to prescribe a shorter period. We
    cannot micromanage the regulation of the electoral process
    to the degree he seeks.
    Even if he has a better case on the merits than we think, he
    has not made a persuasive case for the extraordinary remedy
    of a preliminary injunction against a state agency. Remem-
    ber that between the expiration of the statutory deadline
    and August 19, his campaign collected another 7,000 peti-
    tions. Were August 19 the deadline instead of June 21, we
    do not think it would be argued that the deadline was still
    too tight; nor do we understand Nader to be making such
    an argument, or to be arguing that if that were the deadline
    he would have collected more than 39,437 petitions (32,437
    + 7,000). If a third of those are invalid, he is perilously close
    to the 25,000 minimum. Yet he argues not that the state
    election board should verify the 7,000, but that that number,
    though it undoubtedly includes many invalid petitions,
    should be added to his 20,182 total of verified petitions, car-
    rying him above the 25,000 threshold. That is an improper
    procedure; his proposing it suggests that he is pessimistic
    that he actually has 25,000 valid petitions.
    It also is unlikely that the 134-day rule, though it could
    prevent some third-party candidates, and perhaps even
    Nader in different circumstances, from having a reasonable
    No. 04-3183                                                  11
    shot at collecting the qualifying number of nominating peti-
    tions, could have made a difference to Nader’s ability to
    collect petitions in this year’s election campaign. Long
    before the June deadline it was not only certain who the
    major parties’ candidates would be but their positions were
    well known, the candidates were campaigning vigorously,
    there was a high level of public interest in the campaign,
    Nader himself had been campaigning since February, and
    he has long been a well-known national figure with more
    name recognition than Senator Kerry had before Kerry entered
    the Democratic primary. If Nader could not obtain nominating
    petitions from (realistically, to supply a comfortable margin of
    error) 40,000 of Illinois’s 7 million registered voters, the im-
    plication is that his popular appeal in Illinois in the forth-
    coming election is slight. With 90 days to collect the 40,000
    petitions, and 100 canvassers working to collect them, each
    canvasser would have to collect an average of only 4 to 5 a
    day (40,000 ÷ 90 ÷ 100 = 4.44). If Nader could not recruit 100
    canvassers in Illinois, his electoral prospects were dismal
    indeed.
    Moreover, it would be inequitable to order preliminary
    relief in a suit filed so gratuitously late in the campaign sea-
    son. It wasn’t filed until June 27, only a little more than four
    months before the election. If when he declared his candi-
    dacy back in February Nader had thought as he now does
    that the Illinois Election Code unconstitutionally impaired
    his chances of getting a place on the ballot, he could easily
    have filed suit at the same time that he declared his candi-
    dacy—especially as he had filed a similar suit the last time
    he ran for President, in 2000, when he obtained a preliminary
    injunction that got him on the Illinois ballot by allowing him
    to submit petitions collected after the deadline, Nader 2000
    Primary Committee v. Illinois State Board of Elections, No. 00 C
    4401 (N.D. Ill. 2000), though no final judgment was ever
    entered. There would be no question of his standing to seek
    12                                                   No. 04-3183
    such relief in advance of the submission or even collection
    of any petitions. Krislov v. Rednour, 
    226 F.3d 851
    , 857-58 (7th
    Cir. 2000); cf. Jenness v. Fortson, 
    supra,
     
    403 U.S. at 432
    (assuming standing). For while he could not have known
    before June 21 whether he could comply with the election
    code, it was certain that it would cost him more to do so
    than if the challenged provisions were invalidated.
    By waiting as long as he did to sue, and despite the stren-
    uous efforts by the district court and this court to expedite
    the litigation, Nader created a situation in which any remedial
    order would throw the state’s preparations for the election
    into turmoil. Absentee ballots have already been mailed to
    voters who will be overseas on election day, see 42 U.S.C.
    § 1973ff-2(e)(2), and the remaining absentee ballots will be
    mailed on September 23. 10 ILCS 5/19-4, 5/16-5.01; State
    Board of Elections, State of Illinois Election and Campaign Finance
    Calendar 2004, pp. 27-30, http://www.elections.state.il.us/
    ElecInfo/Pages/Downloads/ PDF/2004cal.pdf. At argument
    Nader’s lawyer offered no reason for the delay in filing the
    suit.
    We are mindful that the right to stand for office is to some
    extent derivative from the right of the people to express
    their opinions by voting, e.g., Munro v. Socialist Workers
    Party, supra, 
    479 U.S. at 193
    ; it was doubtless to remind us of
    this that Nader’s lawyers added two prospective voters as
    plaintiffs. But nothing is more common than for the denial
    of an injunction to harm innocent nonparties, such as people
    who would like to vote for Nader but unlike the two voter
    plaintiffs are not complicit in his decision on the timing of
    the suit. But there are innocents on the other side as
    well—the people who will be harmed if a last-minute in-
    junction disrupts the Presidential election in Illinois. And
    Nader’s supporters can cast write-in votes for him in
    November.
    No. 04-3183                                                13
    So, all things considered, we cannot say that the district
    judge abused his discretion in refusing to issue a prelimi-
    nary injunction.
    AFFIRMED.
    A true Copy:
    Teste:
    _____________________________
    Clerk of the United States Court of
    Appeals for the Seventh Circuit
    USCA-02-C-0072—9-29-04