United States v. Seals, Edward ( 2005 )


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  •                            In the
    United States Court of Appeals
    For the Seventh Circuit
    ____________
    Nos. 02-4235 & 03-2483
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,
    Plaintiff-Appellee,
    v.
    EDWARD SEALS and
    EARNEST D’MARCO JOHNSON,
    Defendants-Appellants.
    ____________
    Appeals from the United States District Court
    for the Southern District of Illinois.
    No. 01 CR 30140—Michael J. Reagan, Judge.
    ____________
    ARGUED FEBRUARY 25, 2005—DECIDED AUGUST 16, 2005
    ____________
    Before BAUER, POSNER, and RIPPLE, Circuit Judges.
    BAUER, Circuit Judge. A jury found defendants-appel-
    lants Edward Seals and Earnest D’Marco Johnson guilty of
    one count of aggravated bank robbery in violation of 
    18 U.S.C. § 2113
    (a) and one count of using a firearm during a
    crime of violence in violation of 
    18 U.S.C. § 924
    (c)(1) (A)(ii).
    The district court sentenced Seals to 360 months’ imprison-
    ment and ordered restitution in the amount of $42,169.87.
    Johnson was sentenced to 162 months’ imprisonment and
    ordered to pay restitution in the amount of $42,882.59. The
    2                                   Nos. 02-4235 & 03-2483
    defendants appeal the district court’s decision to exclude
    reverse 404(b) evidence, their sentences, and the orders of
    restitution. We affirm the district court’s evidentiary ruling
    and orders of restitution, but order a limited remand on the
    defendants’ sentences pursuant to United States v.
    Paladino, 
    401 F.3d 471
     (7th Cir. 2005).
    I. Background
    On June 11, 2001, four masked, African-American men in
    camouflage fatigues robbed the Metro East Credit Union
    (“Credit Union”) in Cahokia, Illinois. An investigation led to
    the arrests of Jonah Paschal and Rasheed Townsend. Both
    men gave statements and proffers admitting their involve-
    ment, explaining the planning and preparation for the
    robbery, and identifying their fellow robbers as co-defen-
    dants Johnson and Seals. On July 16, 2002, a superseding
    indictment was returned charging Seals and Johnson with
    aggravated bank robbery and using a firearm in a crime of
    violence.
    On June 17, 2002, about one month before the trial, the
    district court ordered the government to produce police re-
    ports pertaining to another bank robbery that had occurred
    on June 25, 2001, in New Baden, Illinois. Seals’ counsel
    claimed that the defense needed the New Baden robbery
    reports to explore whether a similar modus operandi existed
    between the two robberies. New Baden is 31 miles from
    Cahokia. The bank there was robbed by five African-
    American men wearing disguises; one wore a woman’s dress
    and another was dressed as a construction worker. The
    robbers were armed with handguns, and they directed a
    bank employee to obtain cash and hand it over at gunpoint.
    The perpetrators of the New Baden robbery were caught
    and convicted. See United States v. Wingate, Criminal
    No. 01-30103-MJR (S.D. Ill. 2001). The government pro-
    duced the reports but later made a motion in limine to
    Nos. 02-4235 & 03-2483                                    3
    exclude evidence of the New Baden robberies from trial. On
    August 20, 2002, the district court granted the government’s
    motion; it ruled that there was not enough similarity
    between the two robberies to make the New Baden evidence
    relevant and that the evidence would confuse the jury.
    The case proceeded to trial, where Paschal and Townsend
    testified as to how the robbery of the Credit Union in
    Cahokia was planned and executed. Paschal identified Seals
    and Johnson at trial, stating that he had been friends with
    Johnson for several years and had known Seals since high
    school. Johnson, he recalled, introduced him to Townsend.
    The four of them agreed to rob a bank. In furtherance of
    that end, he, Johnson, and Seals stole a utility van with
    “Weir Cooling” printed on the side. Detective Michael Bailey
    testified that the owners of the Weir Cooling van reported
    it stolen or missing on or about June 11, 2001, the day of
    the robbery.
    Paschal testified that on the day of the robbery, the four
    men developed their plan at his house. He recalled that his
    cousin, Tiffany Paschal, who also lived at the house, was
    present, and that he told her they intended to rob a bank.
    Jonah Paschal provided everyone with the military fatigues
    they wore during the robbery. Townsend supplied the rifle
    and handguns they used, along with a blond wig.
    Paschal recalled that he and the others drove the stolen
    van to the Credit Union. He and Johnson covered their
    faces with nylons, and then the four men entered the bank.
    Paschal and Seals stayed in the lobby during the robbery;
    a surveillance camera took their photograph, and he iden-
    tified Seals and himself in one of the pictures. Townsend
    and Johnson jumped the teller counter. When they re-
    turned, they had metal containers and zipper bags in their
    hands. The four men then ran out to the van and drove off.
    Both Detective Bailey and Credit Union customer Michelle
    Accord testified that the robbers escaped in a Weir Cooling
    4                                   Nos. 02-4235 & 03-2483
    van.
    Paschal testified that they drove to the south end of
    East St. Louis, where they abandoned the van in some tall
    weeds and bushes. They removed their fatigues, emptied
    the metal containers of money, and hid the rifle used during
    the robbery. They then walked to a house owned by
    Townsend’s grandmother to split up the money. Paschal
    stated that he, Seals, and Johnson each took $10,000 of the
    robbery proceeds, and Townsend received the balance. The
    Credit Union determined that $39,976.15 was stolen.
    Paschal testified that after the robbery he left town and
    did not return until later that summer. Upon his return,
    Johnson came to his house to ask where the rifle from the
    robbery was hidden. Paschal recalled that Johnson was
    driving a Bonneville he had bought with his share of the
    robbery proceeds. The two of them returned to where they
    had left the van and other items and recovered the rifle.
    The van was no longer there; Johnson told Paschal he had
    burned it. Detective Bailey testified that the Weir Cooling
    van was recovered after the robbery. It had been burned,
    but several items inside could be identified, including a
    camouflage top, nylons, and a melted gas can.
    Finally, Paschal testified that on June 13, 2002, while he
    was being held in the Marshal’s holdover cells at the court-
    house, Seals threatened to kill him or his family if he testi-
    fied. Three other inmates—John Mielke, Frederick Evans,
    and Undra Seawood—testified at trial that they overheard
    the threat, and all three identified Seals as the person who
    uttered it. Seawood further testified that he later spoke
    with Seals, who confided, “If the two guys would have just
    kept their mouth closed, they wouldn’t have no case on
    [me].”
    Townsend’s testimony at trial supported Paschal’s version
    of the events. He testified that during the summer of 2001
    Nos. 02-4235 & 03-2483                                     5
    he was friends with Seals and Johnson, who introduced him
    to Paschal. The morning of the robbery, Johnson and
    Paschal picked him up in a stolen van, and together they
    picked up Seals. He acknowledged that he provided the
    guns, ammunition, and blond wig that were used in the
    robbery. Townsend stated that they drove to Paschal’s
    house to plan the robbery, that Tiffany Paschal was there,
    and that she saw the four leave in the van, dressed in
    fatigues. During the robbery, he and Johnson retrieved
    metal containers from a safe in the back of the Credit
    Union. Townsend identified Johnson wearing a wig in a
    surveillance camera photograph taken at the Credit Union,
    and identified Seals and Paschal in other images. He also
    identified both Seals and Johnson in court. He stated that
    they left the van in East St. Louis and walked to his grand-
    mother’s house to divide the money.
    Townsend recalled that some time after the robbery he
    spoke with Johnson, who told him he had burned the van.
    Johnson also told him that he had bought a Bonneville with
    the proceeds from the robbery. In addition, Townsend saw
    Seals driving a white Oldsmobile that he had not known
    Seals to have owned before the robbery. Finally, Townsend
    stated that Seals threatened him when they were being held
    with other prisoners in the Marshal’s holdover cells. Seals
    told him that if he testified against him he would kill
    Townsend’s family. Inmates Mielke and Seawood testified
    that they overheard Seals make threatening remarks to an
    African-American male who fit Townsend’s description.
    Tiffany Paschal also testified at trial. She confirmed that
    she lived in the same house as her cousin, Jonah Paschal,
    and that she recognized Seals and Johnson as friends of his;
    she also identified Seals and Johnson in court. On June 11,
    2001, she came home from school to find Jonah Paschal,
    Seals, and Johnson with a smaller, light-skinned African-
    6                                     Nos. 02-4235 & 03-2483
    American male who lived near the Princess Motel.1 Jonah
    Pascal told her they were going to rob a bank. She testified
    to having seen a blond wig in the room, and that the four
    men left the house dressed in fatigues. She saw them drive
    away in a van with writing on its side, which at trial she
    identified as a Weir Cooling van.
    According to Tiffany Paschal, Jonah Paschal returned to
    the house after the robbery, showed her his share of the
    money, and assured her that she “didn’t have to worry
    about nothing no more.” She stated that a few weeks after
    the robbery, Johnson stopped by the house in a gray
    Bonneville. Tiffany Paschal also recalled that Seals came by
    the house in a white car which she had not known him to
    have owned before the robbery. After the robbery, she
    received a phone call from a man she was certain was Seals,
    asking if she had talked to police and was she going to
    testify. He told her that his life was on the line and that she
    should stay quiet.
    Jerry Dinges, who owns a used car lot in Belleville,
    Illinois, also testified at trial. He stated that a couple of
    days before June 12, 2001, a young, African-American man
    came to his business to look at automobiles and discuss
    financing. The man was looking at a 1987 Oldsmobile Model
    98. Dinges told the man that he did not provide financing,
    and the man replied that he would be back later. On June
    12, 2001, the man returned with his mother, purchased the
    Oldsmobile with $2,500 cash, and drove the car off the lot
    that day. Dinges identified the man as Seals.
    Ghassan Saffaf, who operates “Brotherhood Motors,” a
    used car lot in St. Louis, Missouri, also testified for the
    government. He stated that on June 11, 2001, two African-
    American men came to look at cars. One of them made a
    $1,500 cash down payment for a 1986 Chevrolet
    1
    Townsend lived behind the Princess Motel.
    Nos. 02-4235 & 03-2483                                     7
    Monte Carlo. At trial, Saffaf identified the name Ernestine
    Johnson of Cahokia, Illinois, as the purchaser on the bill of
    sale and the name D’Marco Johnson in the signature block.
    The second man provided Saffaf with a U.S. Treasury check
    made out to Terry Taylor as proof of income. Saffaf stated
    that the purchaser of the Monte Carlo returned a few days
    later because the car had broken down and paid an addi-
    tional $2,200 in cash to exchange it for a silver Bonneville.
    The bill of sale for the Bonneville had the name Earnest D.
    Johnson on it.
    Terry Taylor testified at trial. He stated that he is a
    barber who lives in East St. Louis and that he knows
    Johnson, Seals, Paschal, and Townsend. On the night be-
    fore the robbery, Johnson, Townsend, and Paschal stopped
    by his house in an old work van. On the day of the robbery,
    sometime between 3:00 p.m. and 5:00 p.m., Johnson and
    Seals stopped by again. After Seals left, Taylor and Johnson
    took the Metro Link to Brotherhood Motors in St. Louis,
    where Johnson bought a used Monte Carlo. He provided a
    U.S. Treasury check as proof of income for Johnson. Taylor
    also testified that he was incarcerated from May 11, 2002,
    until July 23, 2002, during which time he cut hair. He cut
    Johnson’s hair on at least one occasion, during which time
    Johnson passed him notes that outlined a false version of
    the events the day of the robbery and suggested that he
    “just keep it plain and simple and don’t remember too
    much.” These notes were admitted into evidence, and a
    handwriting expert testified that Johnson wrote them.
    On August 23, 2002, the jury found Seals and Johnson
    guilty of the bank robbery and firearm charges. The district
    court sentenced the defendants and ordered restitution. The
    defendants timely appealed.
    II. Discussion
    Seals and Johnson first challenge the district court’s
    8                                   Nos. 02-4235 & 03-2483
    decision to exclude evidence pertaining to the New Baden
    bank robbery. They argue that the district court abused its
    discretion by applying the wrong legal rule and that this
    error was not harmless. They also contend that the district
    judge violated their Sixth Amendment rights as interpreted
    in United States v. Booker, 
    125 S.Ct. 738
     (2005), by making
    impermissible findings of fact at sentencing and ordering
    restitution in an amount that had not been determined by
    the jury. We address these issues in turn.
    A. Defendants’ Evidentiary Challenge
    This court reviews a district court’s evidentiary decisions
    for abuse of discretion. United States v. Reed, 
    259 F.3d 631
    ,
    634 (7th Cir. 2001). Generally, we afford great deference to
    a district court’s determinations in this area. United States
    v. Wilson, 
    307 F.3d 596
    , 601 (7th Cir. 2002) (citing
    United States v. Walton, 
    217 F.3d 443
    , 450 (7th Cir. 2000)).
    If the district court’s decision rested on an error of law,
    however, then it is clear that an abuse of discretion has
    occurred because it is always an abuse of discretion to base
    a decision on an incorrect view of law. United States v.
    Mietus, 
    237 F.3d 866
    , 870 (7th Cir. 2001) (citing Cooter &
    Gell v. Hartmarx Corp., 
    496 U.S. 384
    , 405 (1990)); see also
    United States v. Wesela, 
    223 F.3d 656
    , 664 (7th Cir. 2000).
    We review the district court’s determination of the appro-
    priate legal standard de novo. United States v. Cotnam, 
    88 F.3d 487
    , 498 (7th Cir. 1996).
    Rule 404(b) of the Federal Rules of Evidence is typically
    used by prosecutors seeking to introduce evidence of a crim-
    inal defendant’s prior misconduct as proof of motive or plan
    to commit the crime at issue. Reed, 
    259 F.3d at 634
    .
    However, a defendant can seek to admit evidence of other
    crimes under this rule if it tends to negate the defendant’s
    guilt of the crime charged against him. United States v.
    Della Rose, 
    403 F.3d 891
    , 901 (7th Cir. 2005). This is
    Nos. 02-4235 & 03-2483                                      9
    commonly referred to as reverse 404(b) evidence. In deter-
    mining whether to admit reverse 404(b) evidence, a district
    court must balance “the evidence’s probative value under
    Rule 401 against considerations such as prejudice, undue
    waste of time, and confusion of the issues under Rule 403.”
    Reed, 
    259 F.3d at 634
    ; see also Della Reese, 
    403 F.3d at
    901-
    02; Wilson, 
    307 F.3d at 601
    . We adopted this rule from a
    decision by the Third Circuit, United States v. Stevens, 
    935 F.2d 1380
     (3d Cir. 1991), which distinguished between the
    standards that govern admissibility of standard 404(b) and
    reverse 404(b) evidence. 
    Id. at 1404-05
    . See also Reed, 
    259 F.3d at
    634 (citing Stevens); Walton, 
    217 F.3d at 449
     (same);
    Agushi v. Duerr, 
    196 F.3d 754
    , 760 (7th Cir. 1999) (same).
    Stevens held that “a lower standard of similarity should
    govern reverse 404(b) evidence because prejudice to the
    defendant is not a factor.” Stevens, 
    935 F.2d at 1404
    .
    The district court in the instant case did not reference any
    case law involving reverse 404(b) issues in its analysis.
    Rather, the district judge stated that Huddleston v.
    United States, 
    485 U.S. 681
     (1988), “instructs what I need
    to look at in terms of 404(b) evidence and the ability of the
    Government to bring out ‘prior bad acts.’ ” Trial Transcript,
    9:8. Huddleston involved the admissibility of standard
    404(b) evidence. The district court explained:
    One of the prongs in the Huddleston case requires a
    similarity of the prior bad act such that it would be fair
    to use it in the instant case. It seems to me that that
    same logic applies in determining whether or not the
    defense can bring out a separate crime committed by
    separate individuals to allege that those individuals are
    the ones who committed the instant crime. I am going
    to hold the defense to the same standard that I held the
    Government, and that is there has to be enough similar-
    ity that the jury is not confused and that the evidence
    becomes relevant.
    10                                  Nos. 02-4235 & 03-2483
    Id. at 9:8-9 (emphasis added). Contrary to the district
    judge’s statement, the defense is not held to as rigorous of
    a standard as the government in introducing reverse 404(b)
    evidence. Agushi, 
    196 F.3d at
    760 (citing Stevens, 
    935 F.2d at 1404
    ). By applying the wrong legal standard, the district
    court abused its discretion. Mietus, 
    237 F.3d at 870
    .
    This is not to say that the evidence proffered by Seals and
    Johnson should have been admitted. It was irrelevant, and
    thus inadmissible. FED. R. EVID. 402. The similarities
    between the two robberies were generic. Many robbers dis-
    guise their identities, carry firearms, and use a stolen ve-
    hicle in their getaway. Moreover, the facts underlying the
    two robberies were dissimilar. The number of robbers was
    different. The disguises they wore were different. The
    defendants contend that both robberies involved a man
    disguised as a woman, but there is nothing similar about
    the Cahokia robber wearing a blond wig and fatigues and
    the New Baden robber wearing a woman’s dress. The guns
    the robbers used were different. Finally, the robbers’ modus
    operandi was different; while the robbers of the Cahokia
    Credit Union vaulted over the teller counter to retrieve the
    money themselves, the New Baden robbers waited on the
    customer side of the tellers station for bank employees to
    bring them the money at gunpoint. The defendants rely on
    a note that Detective Bailey made in a report dated June
    25, 2001, that the modus operandi of the New Baden
    robbers appeared similar to that of the Cahokia Credit
    Union robbers. Although that may have appeared true to
    the detective at first blush the afternoon of the New Baden
    robbery, the differences between the robberies are apparent.
    The defendants rely heavily on the fact that the robberies
    occurred two weeks and 31 miles apart. Thirty-one miles
    might not appear very far on a globe, but in practical terms
    these two robberies occurred in separate counties. If this is
    all it took to admit evidence of other crimes, district courts
    would be reluctant to exclude evidence of dissimilar bank
    Nos. 02-4235 & 03-2483                                   11
    robberies in neighboring counties for weeks thereafter.
    Although we appreciate the fact that the legal standard for
    admitting reverse 404(b) evidence is relatively lenient, the
    evidence must still be relevant. Here, it was not.
    Even if the evidence involving the New Baden robbery
    should have been admitted, its exclusion was harmless in
    light of the overwhelming evidence presented by the govern-
    ment at trial. We employ the harmless error standard
    because the defendants preserved their objection on this
    issue when they challenged the government’s motion in
    limine. See FED. R. EVID. 103; see also Wilson v. Williams,
    
    182 F.3d 562
    , 563 (7th Cir. 1999) (en banc) (holding that “a
    definitive ruling in limine preserves an issue for appellate
    review, without the need for later objection.”). This court
    will only reverse a defendant’s conviction if the erroneous
    decision by the district court to exclude evidence “had a
    substantial influence over the jury and the result reached
    was inconsistent with substantial justice.” Reed, 
    259 F.3d at 634
     (quoting Walton, 
    217 F.3d at 449
    ) (internal quotes
    omitted); see also Agushi, 
    196 F.3d at 759
     (quoting
    Palmquist v. Selvik, 
    111 F.3d 1332
    , 1339 (7th Cir. 1997)).
    We consider the “overall strength of the prosecution’s case
    against the defendant[s]” in assessing the harmlessness of
    the district court’s evidentiary ruling. United States v.
    Manske, 
    186 F.3d 770
    , 779 (7th Cir. 1999).
    The government’s case was strong enough that the admis-
    sion of evidence pertaining to the New Baden robbery would
    not have exonerated Seals or Johnson. The testimony given
    at trial by the defendants’ erstwhile collaborators, Paschal
    and Townsend, was highly incriminating. The defendants
    argue that this testimony was unreliable because it was
    motivated by a desire to secure reduced sentences, but we
    disagree. The testimony by Paschal and Townsend was
    detailed and highly consistent. What is more, it was
    consonant with testimony given by Tiffany Paschal at trial.
    It was corroborated by the testimony of Credit Union
    12                                  Nos. 02-4235 & 03-2483
    employees. It was corroborated by the used car dealers who
    testified that Seals and Johnson paid cash for their automo-
    biles the day of or after the robbery. And it was corroborated
    by the other inmates and acquaintances who testified that
    the defendants tried to coerce them or Paschal and
    Townsend not to testify. The overwhelming evidence
    eliminates any doubt that the exclusion of evidence of the
    New Baden robbery led to a result that was inconsistent
    with substantial justice.
    The defendants argue that the exclusion of evidence in-
    volving the New Baden robbery must have had a substan-
    tial impact on the jury because it denied them the primary
    evidence in support of their defense. In United States v.
    Byrd, 
    208 F.3d 592
     (7th Cir. 2000), we recognized that
    “[e]xclusion of evidence which is the only or the primary
    evidence in support of a defense is deemed to have had a
    substantial effect on the jury.” 
    Id. at 594
    . In Byrd, the
    defendant, a federal prisoner, was convicted of assaulting a
    police officer who was trying to secure him in the back seat
    of a squad car. 
    Id. at 593
    . His defense at trial was that the
    shackles he wore made attacking the officer impossible. 
    Id. at 594
    . The district court denied his request to present his
    shackles and restraints to the jury. 
    Id. at 595
    . We reversed,
    holding that because the evidence was central to his
    defense, its exclusion affected his substantial rights and
    was not harmless. 
    Id. at 596
    . In so ruling, we emphasized
    that the holding should be construed narrowly in light of
    the “peculiar facts of this case.” 
    Id.
    Byrd is distinguishable from the instant case. Perhaps
    most importantly, the evidence pertaining to the
    New Baden robbery was neither the only nor the primary
    evidence in support of the defendants’ claim that they were
    not present at the robbery. Seals called three witnesses who
    testified that he was at a friend’s birthday party at the time
    of the robbery. His mother, who was among these witnesses,
    also testified that she bought the used Oldsmobile for him
    Nos. 02-4235 & 03-2483                                       13
    the day after the robbery as a gift. By contrast, the defen-
    dant in Byrd called no witnesses. Although Johnson
    declined to testify on his own behalf or call witnesses, he
    tried to recruit Terry Taylor to provide a false alibi.2 What
    is more, he stood to benefit from statements made by Seals’
    witnesses which challenged the government’s assertion that
    he and Seals were together the day of the robbery.
    Furthermore, in Byrd the only evidence that the
    defendant assaulted the police officer came from the police
    officer himself and his partner, both of whom the court
    noted had a history of unpleasant dealings with the defen-
    dant. That was not the case here. Seals and Johnson argue
    that Paschal and Townsend testified out of self-interest, but
    they cannot say the same about the many other witnesses
    whose testimony corroborated their stories. In sum, we do
    not believe that the exclusion of the New Baden robbery
    evidence was so fundamental to Seals’ and Johnson’s
    defense that the trial was not fair in its absence.
    B. Defendants’ Sentencing Challenges
    Both Seals and Johnson point out that their sentences
    and the amounts they were ordered to pay in restitution
    were based upon judge-made findings of fact and argue that
    these findings violated their Sixth Amendment rights as
    interpreted in Booker. Seals’ sentence of 360 months’
    imprisonment included a term of 276 months for the count
    of aggravated robbery and a term of 84 months for the
    count of using a firearm during the robbery, to be served
    consecutively. Johnson’s sentence of 162 months’ impris-
    onment included a term of 78 months for the count of
    2
    Taylor’s testimony about Johnson’s efforts to instruct him how
    to testify was the basis for the district judge’s finding that
    Johnson obstructed justice.
    14                                  Nos. 02-4235 & 03-2483
    aggravated robbery and 84 months for the count of using a
    firearm during the robbery, to be served consecutively. Both
    defendants’ sentences for the first count included enhance-
    ments based on the district court’s findings of fact that they
    had robbed a financial institution, acquired over $10,000 in
    proceeds from the robbery, and obstructed justice. As for the
    second count, the Sentencing Guidelines directed the
    district judge to impose the statutory minimum for the
    offense, which he did in both of their cases. In addition, the
    district judge determined that Seals qualified as a career
    offender under § 4B1.1 of the Sentencing Guidelines and
    adjusted his sentence accordingly. Because neither defen-
    dant raised a challenge below invoking the Sixth Amend-
    ment or the line of cases that began with Apprendi v. New
    Jersey, 
    530 U.S. 466
     (2000), we review for plain error.
    United States v. Olano, 
    507 U.S. 725
    , 734-35 (1993).
    We begin by addressing Seals’ challenges to the district
    judge’s finding that he qualified as a career offender under
    § 4B1.1 of the Sentencing Guidelines. First, he argues that
    his career offender sentence must be vacated because the
    jury did not find that he was represented by counsel during
    his two predicate convictions. Seals acknowledges that his
    prior convictions were obtained in full compliance with this
    Constitutional prerequisite, but contends that the jury was
    required to make that finding. We disagree. Section 4B1.1
    does not specifically require such a finding. Moreover, there
    is a strong presumption that prior convictions are constitu-
    tionally valid which Seals has not overcome. United States
    v. Redding, 
    104 F.3d 96
    , 99 (7th Cir. 1996) (citing Cuppett
    v. Duckworth, 
    8 F.3d 1132
    , 1136 (7th Cir. 1993) (en banc)).
    Seals also contends that his career offender sentence
    must be vacated because the jury did not find that he was
    18 years old at the time of the robbery, which is a prerequi-
    site for application of § 4B1.1. U.S.S.G. § 4B1.1(a)(1). Seals
    does not dispute that he actually was 18 at the time of the
    robbery; in fact, his presentencing report indicated he was
    Nos. 02-4235 & 03-2483                                       15
    21. His argument is that the jury’s failure to make this
    threshold determination violated his Sixth Amendment
    rights. In United States v. Pittman, 
    388 F.3d 1104
     (2004),
    we held on this same issue that any error that occurred as
    a result of the judge—as opposed to the jury—finding for
    purposes of § 4B1.1(a)(1) that a defendant was at least
    18 years old at the time of his offense was harmless. Id. at
    1109. Pittman, however, was recently vacated by the
    Supreme Court and remanded for further consideration in
    light of Booker. Pittman v. United States, 
    125 S.Ct. 1946
    (U.S. Apr. 25, 2005), reh’g denied, 
    125 S.Ct. 2539
     (U.S. June
    6, 2005). Our reconsideration of the matter is pending.
    There is no need to resolve the Pittman issue today be-
    cause both Seals and Johnson are otherwise entitled to a
    limited remand pursuant to the procedure set forth in
    Paladino. United States v. White, 
    406 F.3d 827
    , 835 (7th
    Cir. 2005) (holding that “the mere mandatory application of
    the Guidelines—the district court’s belief that it was
    required to impose a Guidelines sentence—constitutes er-
    ror.”). We will vacate and remand the case for resentencing
    if the district judge indicates that he would have imposed
    different sentences had he known that the Guidelines were
    merely advisory. 
    Id.
     If the district judge tells us that his
    sentences would have been no different under an advisory
    sentencing regime, we will affirm the original sentences
    provided they are reasonable. 
    Id.
    Both defendants also contend that the district court’s
    order of restitution violated their Sixth Amendment rights
    because Booker requires that juries, not judges, determine
    restitution. We disagree. This court has ruled that the Sixth
    Amendment does not apply to restitution because it is a
    civil remedy, and one for which there is no statutory
    maximum. United States v. George, 
    403 F.3d 470
    , 473 (7th
    Cir. 2005). Therefore, the district court’s order of restitution
    was unaffected by Booker.
    16                                  Nos. 02-4235 & 03-2483
    III. Conclusion
    For the reasons stated above, we AFFIRM the district
    court’s decision to grant the government’s motion in limine
    and its order of restitution, but order a LIMITED REMAND
    with respect to the defendants’ sentences.
    POSNER, Circuit Judge, concurring. I agree that the con-
    victions should be affirmed, but only because the exclusion
    of evidence about the other bank robbery was a harmless
    error in view of all the other evidence of the defendants’
    guilt. I don’t agree that the evidence was irrelevant. I also
    think that more needs to be said about “reverse 404(b)
    evidence”—an unhappy formula.
    Within a two-week period two bank robberies were com-
    mitted within 31 miles of each other in a rural area of
    southwestern Illinois. Besides proximity in time and space
    (31 miles and 2 weeks might be the perfect distance/interval
    between robberies by the same gang because immediately
    after an armed bank robbery other banks in the immediate
    vicinity would be worried and increase their protective
    measures) and the fact that the target in each robbery was
    a bank, both robberies took place in towns rather than cities
    (the robbery of which the defendants were accused took
    place in Cahokia, population 16,000, and the other in New
    Baden, population 3,000). Both involved several robbers
    rather than just one and in both the robbers were black and
    brandished guns and, though they were male, one robber
    was disguised as a woman (wearing either a woman’s wig
    or a dress). And on both occasions the robbers escaped in a
    recently stolen van. The defendants in our case wanted to
    introduce the evidence of the other robbery to show that the
    Nos. 02-4235 & 03-2483                                    17
    other gang might have perpetrated the robbery of which
    they were accused.
    They were entitled to do this if the evidence was relevant,
    Fed. R. Evid. 402, unless its probative value was substan-
    tially outweighed by (so far as bears on this case) its pro-
    pensity to confuse the jury or needlessly prolong the trial.
    Fed. R. Evid. 403. The district judge was wrong to think
    that the applicable standard was given not by Rule 403 but
    by Rule 404(b), which forbids placing the defendant’s prior
    crimes (or his other bad acts) in evidence in order to
    demonstrate that he has a propensity to commit crimes.
    United States v. Paladino, 
    401 F.3d 471
    , 474-75 (7th Cir.
    2005); United States v. Tse, 
    375 F.3d 148
    , 155 (1st Cir.
    2004); United States v. Stevens, 
    935 F.2d 1380
    , 1401-06 (3d
    Cir. 1991). The defendants were trying to exculpate them-
    selves by pinning the crimes of which they were accused on
    other criminals. Such a tactic is outside the scope of
    Rule 404(b) unless they are trying show that those they are
    accusing have a “propensity” to commit crimes, as demon-
    strated by their other crime or crimes—which is to say that
    they have a bad character and this is reason enough for the
    jury to deem them guilty of the present crime as well.
    Rule 404(b) is not limited to the case in which the defen-
    dant seeks its protection, United States v. Della Rose, 
    403 F.3d 891
    , 901-02 (7th Cir. 2005); Agushi v. Duerr, 
    196 F.3d 754
    , 760-61 (7th Cir. 1999); United States v. Lucas, 
    357 F.3d 599
    , 604-05 (4th Cir. 2001), though that is the usual case
    (hence our initial description of the rule). But its only
    purpose, whoever is invoking it, is to prevent the facile
    expedient of claiming that since X (whether the defendant
    or anyone else) committed crime a on some previous
    occasion, probably he committed crime b on this occasion,
    even if there is no reason to suppose this other than his
    having demonstrated by his previous crime a proclivity for
    committing criminal acts. 
    Id. at 605-06
    . The defendants
    were not arguing that the New Baden robbers had shown by
    18                                   Nos. 02-4235 & 03-2483
    their criminal act a proclivity to commit robberies, such as
    the Cahokia robbery of which the defendants were accused.
    They were trying to show, from the similarity of the two
    crimes, that the New Baden robbers were likely to have
    committed the Cahokia robbery as well. Such a use of other-
    crimes evidence is allowed by the exception in Rule 404(b)
    for proof of identity (i.e., the identity of the Cahokia
    robbers). United States v. Puckett, 
    405 F.3d 589
    , 596 (7th
    Cir. 2005); cf. United States v. Lawson, 
    410 F.3d 735
    , 741
    (D.C. Cir. 2005). Its admissibility is therefore governed by
    Rules 402 and 403; Rule 404(b) falls out.
    Evidence is relevant, and therefore not barred by
    Rule 402, if it increases the strength of the case of the party
    who wishes to present the evidence at trial. Fed. R. Evid.
    401; Old Chief v. United States, 
    519 U.S. 172
    , 178-79 (1997);
    United States v. Hodges, 
    315 F.3d 794
    , 800 (7th Cir. 2003);
    United States v. Stevens, 
    supra,
     
    935 F.2d at 1401-06
    . That
    criterion is satisfied here, my colleagues to the contrary
    notwithstanding. If believed, evidence that the New Baden
    robbers committed the Cahokia robbery as well would be
    evidence that would help the party that wants to present it
    and would therefore be relevant. United States v. Bedonie,
    
    913 F.2d 782
    , 801 (10th Cir. 1990); United States v. Day,
    
    591 F.2d 861
    , 880-81 (D.C. Cir. 1978). The similarity
    between the robberies suggested that they might have been
    committed by the same gang, and as it was conceded that
    the defendants had not committed the New Baden robbery
    (those robbers were caught; the conviction of one of them
    was affirmed in United States v. Donaby, 
    349 F.3d 1046
    ,
    1047 (7th Cir. 2003)), it followed that if the robberies were
    committed by the same gang the defendants were innocent
    of the Cahokia robbery. The police report on that robbery
    described the robbers’ modus operandi as similar to that of
    the New Baden robbers. Had the evidence of the New
    Baden robbery been admitted, it would have strengthened
    the case for an acquittal. It was therefore relevant. United
    Nos. 02-4235 & 03-2483                                     19
    States v. Green, 
    786 F.2d 247
    , 252 (7th Cir. 1986); United
    States v. Crosby, 
    75 F.3d 1343
    , 1347 (9th Cir. 1996); United
    States v. Stevens, 
    supra,
     
    935 F.2d at 1401-06
    ; United States
    v. Armstrong, 
    621 F.2d 951
    , 953 (9th Cir. 1980).
    No single one of the similarities between the two robber-
    ies (the race of the perpetrators, the use of a stolen van as
    a getaway vehicle, etc.) established a high likelihood that
    the same gang committed both. But to the extent that the
    similarities were independent of each other, the probability
    that all were coincidences was much smaller than the prob-
    ability that each one, taken separately, was. The probability
    that a series of independent observations are all false is the
    multiple of the probability that each is. Suppose the proba-
    bility that each of five similarities between the two robber-
    ies was not due to the robbers being the identical people was
    90 percent; nevertheless the probability that all five
    similarities were not due to their being identical would be
    only 50 percent. The numbers are arbitrary; the principle is
    not: a number of weak similarities if they point in the same
    direction can constitute respectable evidence. The majority’s
    reason for denying the “relevance” of the evidence in this
    case—that the similarities between the New Baden robbery
    and the Cahokia robbery are “generic”—has to do not with
    relevance but with the probative value of the evidence.
    By making relevant evidence excludable only if its pro-
    bative value is substantially outweighed by competing con-
    siderations such as the risk that the evidence will confuse
    the jury, Rule 403 establishes a presumption in favor of the
    admissibility of relevant evidence. E.g., United States v.
    Krenzelok, 
    874 F.2d 480
    , 482-83 (7th Cir. 1989); Rubert-
    Torres v. Hospital San Pablo, Inc., 
    205 F.3d 472
    , 478-80 (1st
    Cir. 2000); United States v. Terzado-Madruga, 
    897 F.2d 1099
    , 1117 (11th Cir. 1990). The district judge did not rule
    that the presumption was rebutted; misled by Rule 404(b),
    he never mentioned Rule 403. I find nothing to indicate that
    the presumption was rebutted. The jury could no more have
    20                                 Nos. 02-4235 & 03-2483
    been confused by the evidence concerning the New Baden
    robbery than it could have been confused by an alibi
    witness who testified that the defendants were somewhere
    else when the Cahokia bank was robbed. The evidence that
    the defendants wanted to present was similar to alibi
    evidence; it tended to show that they were somewhere else
    when the bank was robbed because the robbery was com-
    mitted by another gang. That is better evidence than an
    alibi; if believed, it solves the crime.
    Of course at some point the resemblance between two
    crimes becomes so attenuated that a jury would scratch its
    collective head in puzzlement were it given evidence of a
    second crime to cogitate over—suppose the defendants had
    argued that the modus operandi of the Cahokia robbers was
    identical to that of the robbery of a bank in Yokohama in
    1946. But the proximity and resemblance of the two crimes
    were sufficiently close that a jury would have realized why
    the New Baden crime was being injected into the case and
    would have weighed it rationally against the other evidence.
    E.g., United States v. Crosby, 
    supra,
     
    75 F.3d at 1348-49
    . It
    is shortsighted of the government to deny this, since if the
    defendants had committed the New Baden robbery the
    government would undoubtedly be arguing that the evi-
    dence of that robbery should be admissible in the present
    case to prove the defendants guilty of the Cahokia heist,
    under the identity and modus operandi exceptions to Rule
    404(b)’s exclusion of prior-crimes evidence when offered to
    show guilt rather than innocence. E.g., United States v.
    Robinson, 
    161 F.3d 463
    , 466-68 (7th Cir. 1998); United
    States v. Moore, 
    115 F.3d 1348
    , 1353-56 (7th Cir. 1997);
    United States v. Smith, 
    103 F.3d 600
    , 602-04 (7th Cir.
    1996); United States v. Almendares, 
    397 F.3d 653
    , 661-63
    (8th Cir. 2005). What is sauce for the goose should be sauce
    for the gander. Evidence admissible under Rule 404(b) to
    establish modus operandi should be admissible under Rule
    403 to show that another set of criminals employed the
    Nos. 02-4235 & 03-2483                                     21
    same modus operandi that was used in the crime of which
    the defendants are accused.
    The less probative a piece of evidence is, and thus the less
    the benefit to the truth-determining function of the jury of
    admitting it at trial, and the more trial time the presenta-
    tion of the evidence would consume and the likelier the
    evidence would be to confuse the jurors by distracting them
    from more probative evidence, the stronger the argument
    for exclusion. United States v. Urfer, 
    287 F.3d 663
    , 665 (7th
    Cir. 2002); Coleman v. Home Depot, Inc., 
    306 F.3d 1333
    ,
    1343-47 (3d Cir. 2002); 22 Charles Alan Wright & Kenneth
    W. Graham, Jr., Federal Practice and Procedure: Evidence
    § 5216 (1978 ed. & 2004 supp.). Evidence that takes time to
    present and digest but contributes little to the jurors’
    understanding of the real issues in the case is a kind of
    noise, obstructing rather than advancing understanding.
    Manuel v. City of Chicago, 
    335 F.3d 592
    , 596-97 (7th Cir.
    2003); United States v. Reed, 
    259 F.3d 631
    , 634-35 (7th Cir.
    2001); United States v. Johnson, 
    605 F.2d 1025
    , 1030 (7th
    Cir. 1979); United States v. Layton, 
    767 F.2d 549
    , 551, 556
    (9th Cir. 1985). It should be kept out. But the trial in this
    case lasted only four days and the evidence concerning the
    New Baden robbery would have required only an hour or
    two to put before the jury.
    Preventing a defendant from offering relevant evidence on
    the basis of vague and implausible concerns with jury
    confusion and the burden of a longer trial violates Rule 403.
    The error is especially clear when the balance required by
    Rule 403 is struck by the court of appeals without the
    benefit of the district judge’s view of the matter; review of
    district judges’ rulings on the admissibility of evidence is
    deferential precisely because the trial judge has a better
    opportunity to assess the particular jury’s ability to assimi-
    late particular types of evidence. United States v. Van Dreel,
    
    155 F.3d 902
    , 905-06 (7th Cir. 1998); United States v.
    Russell, 
    971 F.2d 1098
    , 1104 (4th Cir. 1992). For appellate
    22                                   Nos. 02-4235 & 03-2483
    judges to exercise discretion vested in district judges is
    particularly gratuitous when as in this case there is a
    perfectly adequate alternative ground of decision: the error
    in excluding the New Baden evidence was harmless because
    the evidence of the defendants’ guilt was crushing. The two
    other members of the gang that robbed the Cahokia bank,
    Paschal and Townsend, pleaded guilty and testified against
    our two defendants, Seals and Johnson, furnishing detailed
    accounts of the role each of the two had played in the
    offense. A relative of Paschal testified that on the day of the
    robbery she had seen all four leaving her house together
    carrying guns and wearing fatigues (the attire of the
    Cahokia robbers), that Paschal had told her they planned to
    rob a bank, and that he had returned to the house later
    with wads of cash. Seals and Johnson bought cars for cash
    shortly after the robbery and neither of them offered a
    plausible alternative explanation for where they’d gotten
    the cash. Seals’s mother testified that she had bought one
    of the cars as a present for her son, but on cross-examina-
    tion admitted to earning only $8 an hour, and though the
    sales invoices listed her as the purchaser of the car the
    salesman testified that the actual purchaser had been a
    young black male.
    All this evidence of guilt means that the defendants’
    evidence concerning the other gang of robbers was unlikely
    to be believed. That is relevant to harmlessness but is not
    the test of relevance; the test of relevance is whether, if
    believed, the evidence would help the party that wants to
    present it. United States v. Bedonie, 
    913 F.2d 782
    , 801 (10th
    Cir. 1990); United States v. Day, supra, 591 F.2d at 880-81.
    “The judge cannot make decisions as to the weight of the
    evidence under the guise of determining relevance.” 22
    Wright & Graham, supra, § 5165; see also United States v.
    Hubbard, 
    61 F.3d 1261
    , 1274 (7th Cir. 1995); Robinson v.
    Runyon, 
    149 F.3d 507
    , 512-13 (6th Cir. 1998). The judge can
    and indeed must make such a decision when a serious Rule
    Nos. 02-4235 & 03-2483                                    23
    403 issue is raised, but it wasn’t here; as I said, there was
    no danger that evidence of the New Baden robbery would
    confuse the jury or protract the trial unreasonably, unless
    the judge allowed the evidence to be presented in tedious
    detail, which he need not and would not have done.
    A true Copy:
    Teste:
    ________________________________
    Clerk of the United States Court of
    Appeals for the Seventh Circuit
    USCA-02-C-0072—8-16-05