United States v. Van Eyl, Paul M. ( 2006 )


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  •                               In the
    United States Court of Appeals
    For the Seventh Circuit
    ____________
    No. 05-1785
    UNITED STATES      OF   AMERICA,
    Plaintiff-Appellant,
    v.
    PAUL VAN EYL,
    Defendant-Appellee.
    ____________
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the Northern District of Illinois, Eastern Division.
    No. 02 CR 287—James B. Zagel, Judge.
    ____________
    ARGUED MAY 8, 2006—DECIDED OCTOBER 2, 2006
    AMENDED OCTOBER 5, 2006Œ
    ____________
    Before BAUER, RIPPLE and ROVNER, Circuit Judges.
    ROVNER, Circuit Judge. Paul Van Eyl went to trial on
    a twelve-count indictment for various financial crimes.
    The jury hung on ten of the counts and returned a verdict
    of guilty on the other two. The district court granted Van
    Eyl’s subsequent motion for a new trial because the govern-
    ment’s closing argument contained a damaging theory of
    guilt that the court had earlier excluded in response to a
    motion in limine. Although the argument was made in good
    faith, and although the court overruled the defendant’s
    Œ
    The opinion is hereby amended to include the inadvertently
    omitted concurrence by Judge Bauer.
    2                                               No. 05-1785
    objection in the heat of the closing arguments, the court
    later determined that the argument was improper and
    likely had a substantial effect on the verdict in this very
    close case. The government appeals the grant of a new trial.
    Because of the deferential review we accord such decisions,
    we affirm.
    I.
    Van Eyl worked for First Merchants Acceptance Corpora-
    tion (“FMAC”), a finance company specializing in the
    subprime auto lending market. Van Eyl served as vice
    president for strategic planning and risk management.
    Mitchell Kahn, a lawyer who co-founded FMAC and served
    as its chief executive officer, was Van Eyl’s co-defendant.
    Kahn pled guilty and cooperated with the government in its
    prosecution of Van Eyl. FMAC was in the business
    of lending money at above-market interest rates to
    people with problematic credit histories so that they could
    purchase cars. The company’s primary asset was its
    accounts receivable, which FMAC used to secure a line of
    credit with LaSalle Bank, the company’s primary source
    of funds. Given the nature of FMAC’s business, not all of
    the customer accounts were current at any given time, with
    some customers being so late in their payments that their
    accounts were charged off as a loss. Because of delinquent
    accounts, two important aspects of FMAC’s business were
    collections and repossessions. Accounts receivable were
    tracked by a computer system called Norwest, which was
    run by an outside contractor. The Norwest system grouped
    delinquent accounts into thirty-day increments (called
    “buckets” in the system) depending on how late the custom-
    ers were in paying. For example, the thirty-day bucket
    contained accounts that were thirty-one to sixty days late in
    payment, the sixty-day bucket was comprised of accounts
    that were sixty-one to ninety days late, and the ninety-day
    No. 05-1785                                                3
    bucket contained accounts more than ninety-one days
    delinquent. Tracking the lateness of payments was a crucial
    function because only relatively current accounts receivable
    could serve as collateral when FMAC needed financing.
    LaSalle Bank extended to FMAC a line of credit capped at
    $205 million, secured by accounts receivable, and permit-
    ting a monthly draw equal to 80% of eligible receivables.
    These loans were repaid out of incoming cash when FMAC
    customers made their monthly car payments. FMAC was a
    publicly traded company and shareholders and potential
    investors relied on company policies and the value of
    accounts receivable in making investment decisions. These
    policies and values were revealed in SEC filings that listed
    assets and liabilities. In its SEC filing for the year ending
    December 31, 1996, for example, FMAC reported that
    it charged off as a loss the balance left on any account
    that was more than ninety days delinquent. In some
    instances, FMAC was able to repossess the car and recover
    some of the outstanding balance of a loan; in other cases,
    the car disappeared along with the borrower and the
    account was a total loss.
    Van Eyl interacted with a number of other FMAC employ-
    ees in the course of his job. Julie Freisinger was FMAC’s
    liaison to the contractor that ran the Norwest system. Tom
    Ehmann was the chief financial officer, Brian Hausman
    (who co-founded the company with Kahn) was in charge of
    operations, and Peter Gorman was a specialist in collec-
    tions. Van Eyl also worked closely with Kahn. Part of Van
    Eyl’s job was to compile data from Norwest and keep track
    of delinquent accounts and charge-off rates on a monthly
    basis, and to use that data to project future charge-offs on
    an annualized basis. Van Eyl regularly submitted this
    information to Kahn. Some of this information was reported
    in FMAC’s SEC filings and was also used in presentations
    to investment bankers to promote investment in FMAC.
    The charge-off rate was a very important number to
    4                                               No. 05-1785
    potential investors because it was highly correlated to
    profitability, potential future earnings, and the value of
    FMAC’s stock.
    Early in 1996, senior management responsible for
    reviewing this data noticed that the charge-off rate was
    steadily climbing. The norm in the industry was 6-8% and
    FMAC was charging off 9-10% of its loans. Collection
    efforts, directed by Gorman, were slipping and delinquency
    rates were rising. Van Eyl conceded at trial the events
    that ensued from the rising delinquencies but vigorously
    contested the issue of his involvement and intent in these
    events. According to the government, Ehmann suggested to
    Kahn that in order to hide FMAC’s problems, they should
    manipulate FMAC’s financial reporting. At first, Kahn and
    Ehmann tried keeping the books open, that is, posting
    payments received in one month to the previous month in
    order to minimize the delinquency rate for the previous
    month. They soon realized that this practice merely delayed
    the inevitable. Kahn then approached Van Eyl about
    manipulating the accounting. Kahn, Ehmann and Van Eyl
    discussed several strategies and decided to postpone
    charging off accounts that were more than ninety-one days
    overdue, to grant deferrals on some accounts and to treat
    “skips” as if they were “repos.” “Skips” were delinquent
    accounts where neither the customer nor the car could be
    located. FMAC’s policy was to charge-off as a loss the entire
    balance of these accounts. “Repos,” shorthand for reposses-
    sions, were delinquent accounts where the car could be
    located, recovered and re-sold. Repossessions typically
    resulted in recovery of approximately 55% of the remaining
    balance of an account, and for this reason, FMAC’s policy
    was to charge-off as a loss 45% of the balance on a reposses-
    sion. Treating a “skip” as if it were a repossession on the
    company books meant that only 45% rather than 100% of
    the balance was written off as a loss even though the
    remaining 55% was virtually uncollectible. In order to
    No. 05-1785                                                 5
    implement these changes, Van Eyl directed Freisinger (the
    Norwest system liaison) not to enter skips and repos into
    the system until he instructed her to do so. Van Eyl then
    told Freisinger to place some skips into repo status and
    charge off others. Van Eyl did not specify which accounts to
    treat differently but rather gave Freisinger a dollar amount
    of skips to charge off and a dollar amount to change to repo
    status and left it to her to determine which accounts to
    change to achieve the desired accounting results. Charge-off
    decisions were thus based not on collectibility but on
    achieving certain accounting numbers.
    According to the government, this practice continued from
    June 1996 through January 1997. During that time, Kahn,
    Ehmann and Van Eyl represented publicly that accounts
    more than ninety-one days delinquent were being charged
    off. Nonetheless, delinquencies continued to rise and Kahn
    discussed new strategies with Van Eyl. Out of these
    discussions came the customer service deferral program. A
    deferral was an agreement between FMAC and the bor-
    rower to defer a monthly payment to the end of the loan
    period. Deferrals are a legitimate practice in the lending
    business, typically used to assist borrowers through a brief
    period of money trouble without having the account re-
    ported as delinquent. FMAC’s original informal policy was
    to grant deferrals for good cause, but FMAC’s lenders
    placed limits on the practice. Accounts that received three
    one-month deferrals over the life of the loan or two deferrals
    in a single year could no longer serve as collateral. Accounts
    that were more than ninety days delinquent were not
    eligible for deferral. In its short existence, the customer
    service program accorded deferrals to approximately 9,300
    ineligible accounts with balances totaling more than $109
    million.
    In March 1997, Ehmann, the CFO, was replaced by
    Norman Smagley. Soon thereafter, Brian Hake, FMAC’s
    treasurer, told Smagley that the high number of deferrals
    granted in 1996 violated FMAC’s agreements with outside
    6                                               No. 05-1785
    lenders. Hake tendered his resignation over the manipula-
    tion of the charge-off figures. Richard Zielinski, FMAC’s
    internal auditor, also approached Smagley to report that he
    had discovered that skips were being entered into the
    Norwest system as repos and that seriously delinquent
    accounts were not being charged off. Zielinski demanded
    that Smagley report these findings to the audit committee
    of the board of trustees. Smagley did so and an investi-
    gation followed. As a result, the board terminated Kahn,
    Ehmann, Freisinger and Van Eyl, and issued a press
    release stating that FMAC’s financial reporting was not
    accurate. The company issued restatements of its SEC
    filings for 1996, bankruptcy ensued, and FMAC’s creditors
    ultimately lost $13 million.
    Van Eyl had a completely different view of these events.
    According to Van Eyl, FMAC’s ninety-one day charge-off
    policy was very conservative by industry standards. That
    policy was changed to 121 days in late 1996, and this
    change was fully disclosed to FMAC’s outside auditors
    and was revealed in SEC filings. Van Eyl believed that
    the rising delinquency rates were more related to poor
    efforts in the collections area than to the quality of FMAC’s
    loan portfolio. Of the many possible solutions to these
    problems, the customer service program was selected to
    remedy some of the problems created by poor collec-
    tion efforts. Van Eyl, who was in his late twenties at the
    time of these events and who had no prior experience in the
    industry, believed Kahn when he assured Van Eyl that the
    changes made were legitimate business practices that had
    been cleared with the board of directors and with the
    company’s lenders. Although the government portrayed the
    customer service program as a sham, Van Eyl’s theory of
    defense was that there were ample reasons for Van Eyl and
    others to believe that the program was a legitimate and
    appropriate means to address the collections problems.
    According to Van Eyl, the customer service program was
    No. 05-1785                                                 7
    fully disclosed, all deferrals were recorded in the Norwest
    system, all the relevant records were provided to outside
    auditors, and all relevant information was disclosed in the
    SEC filings.
    At trial, Kahn testified against Van Eyl, claiming that he
    discussed with Van Eyl hiding the fact that delinquency
    rates were rising along with charge-off rates. Kahn admit-
    ted that he made the decision to manipulate the financial
    data but that Van Eyl had operational control over charge-
    offs with the help of Steve Zemaitis, an FMAC analyst who
    reported to Van Eyl, and Freisinger. Gorman testified that
    he told Van Eyl that the customer service program did not
    make sense to him and that he thought “somebody is going
    to have some issues at the Securities and Exchange Com-
    mission, is going to have issues with this and in my mind
    somebody is going to go to jail for this.” Tr. at 1941. Gorman
    testified that Van Eyl’s response to this was that the
    program was a common and acceptable practice in the
    industry. According to Gorman, at the end of this conversa-
    tion, Van Eyl went down the hallway to Kahn’s office. Tr. at
    1942.
    Before trial, Van Eyl moved in limine to exclude lay
    opinion testimony or evidence on issues of law or conclu-
    sions of fraud. Van Eyl was concerned that many of the
    government’s lay witnesses would express opinions about
    the “fraudulent” or “improper” nature of Van Eyl’s conduct
    and the customer service program, or offer opinions
    about his intent. In reviewing FBI reports produced by
    the government, Van Eyl cited many statements by wit-
    nesses that he believed crossed this line. For example,
    Zemaitis told investigators that some of the financial
    scenarios Zemaitis created and gave to Kahn and Van Eyl
    were “clearly improper treatments of the accounts,” and
    that “the most egregious fraudulent activity that took place”
    involved the deferrals granted in December 1996. Zemaitis
    also opined that Kahn and Van Eyl “were attempting to
    manipulate the charge-off statistics” presented to the board
    8                                                No. 05-1785
    of trustees and to the public. Zemaitis’ language to investi-
    gators was replete with words indicative of legal conclusions
    like “fraud,” “improper elements,” “improper balance
    adjustments,” “manipulations,” and “fraudulent activity.”
    Similarly, Zielinski spoke about “fraudulently-treated
    previous month’s transactions,” and “improper activity” in
    handling the accounts. Citing Federal Rules of Evidence
    701, 401 and 403, Van Eyl sought to exclude any lay opinion
    testimony regarding issues of law. In its written response
    to the motion, the government agreed with Van Eyl that lay
    opinion on the unlawfulness of Van Eyl’s conduct or
    whether the conduct violated particular statutes was
    properly excluded. The government assured the court that
    with one exception that we discuss below, it did not intend
    to solicit such lay opinion testimony. The government
    argued, though that lay testimony “concerning the wrong-
    fulness or dishonesty” of Van Eyl’s conduct was not a legal
    conclusion but rather was within the daily experience and
    common knowledge of ordinary people. As such, the govern-
    ment argued, it should not be excluded. The government
    reasoned that if Van Eyl intended to rely on a defense of
    good faith, it should be allowed to present the testimony
    of his co-workers to help the jury gauge the reasonable-
    ness of Van Eyl’s belief that his conduct was permissible.
    The government expected this kind of testimony to come
    from Robert Mark, the FMAC employee in charge of the
    company’s repossession efforts, Steve Zemaitis, the FMAC
    analyst who reported to Van Eyl, and Richard Zielinski, the
    internal auditor. The government cited Gorman as a special
    case because he had told Van Eyl directly that the deferrals
    were improper, that the SEC would investigate and that
    someone would be going to jail. The government contended
    that his testimony was directly relevant to prove notice to
    Van Eyl that his conduct was unlawful and to rebut his
    contentions that he was acting in good faith.
    The district court noted that, in some lay witness testi-
    mony, there is a fine line between fact and opinion. Tr. at 3.
    No. 05-1785                                                 9
    The court therefore directed Van Eyl’s attorney to raise his
    concerns about each government witness. Using expected
    witness Zielinski as an example, Van Eyl’s counsel objected
    because this witness had little first-hand knowledge of the
    underlying facts. Tr. at 4. The government informed the
    court that Zielinski would testify about non-conformance
    with the company’s announced policies, and would testify
    that the company books were improperly affected, prompt-
    ing him to approach the new CFO with his concerns. The
    court warned the government, “Well, the words matter. The
    words matter. The words he is going to utter matter.” Tr. at
    5. The prosecutor assured the court, “I certainly do not
    intend to ask him whether it was unlawful,” but instead
    wished to ask the witness if certain conduct complied with
    general accounting principles and with company policy. Tr.
    at 6-7. The court noted that the witness could explain his
    conduct of going to the CFO by stating that he noticed an
    irregularity in the books or that he thought something was
    not in compliance with company policy. In such a case, the
    court noted, the statement would not be offered for the
    truth of the matter (i.e., the jury could not use the state-
    ment as substantive evidence of irregularity or improper
    conduct) but to show why the witness approached the CFO.
    Tr. at 7-8. With this understanding, the trial proceeded.
    During the trial, defense counsel objected each time the
    prosecutor crossed the line of the in limine ruling. The court
    sustained an objection to the prosecutor asking Zemaitis,
    “Do you need to be a CPA to tell the difference between the
    truth and a lie?” Tr. at 442. The prosecutor also attempted
    to elicit testimony from Freisinger that she lost a great deal
    of weight during this time period because of the long hours
    she was working and because she had anxiety that what she
    was doing was not right. Tr. at 732-25. The court sustained
    defense counsel’s objection to this line of questioning,
    allowing the witness to testify only that she lost weight due
    to her long hours. Tr. at 734-35. The court allowed this
    10                                             No. 05-1785
    limited testimony because the defense intended to question
    Freisinger’s ability to recall these events and the extreme
    weight loss caused by long hours bolstered why she remem-
    bered the time period. The court did not allow the govern-
    ment to elicit testimony that Freisinger had anxiety that
    what she was doing was not right. The government later
    asked an FMAC manager whether he was “suspicious” of
    the customer service program, and the court sustained the
    defense objection. Tr. at 602. The court instructed the
    government that even Gorman was not allowed to opine on
    the law, but could testify that he went to Van Eyl to tell
    him that he thought the program was improper. Tr. at
    1925-27. When Kahn testified, the district court ruled that
    the “gloves are off with respect to this particular witness”
    because he was a co-defendant who had pled guilty. Tr. at
    1433. The court therefore allowed him to testify that he
    believed certain conduct was fraudulent or illegal.
    In closing argument, the defense argued that the gov-
    ernment failed to prove that Van Eyl acted with the intent
    to defraud. Specifically, defense counsel argued that the
    evidence supported a finding of good faith because the
    customer service program was not hidden but was well-
    known throughout the company, that criteria were devel-
    oped for the program and a task force was assigned to
    implement it, that the program was successful in returning
    defaulted borrowers to regular payment schedules, and that
    Van Eyl had been assured by Kahn that the board of
    directors and the company’s lenders knew about and
    approved the program. Moreover, the large number
    of deferrals in the fall of 1996 had been voluntarily dis-
    closed in the company’s SEC filings and to FMAC’s bank
    group well before allegations of misconduct surfaced.
    In rebuttal, the prosecutor attempted to utilize the
    opinions of lay witnesses about the fraudulent nature of the
    conduct in order to demonstrate Van Eyl’s intent. The
    prosecutor stated that Zemaitis “could recognize right from
    No. 05-1785                                                    11
    wrong. He became so nervous at having to . . .” Tr. at 121.1
    Defense counsel interjected, “Your Honor, I am going to
    object to this. That testimony was for a limited purpose, not
    for this type of argument, your Honor.” Tr. at 121. The court
    overruled the objection and the prosecutor went on to make
    similar comments about other witnesses. Specifically, the
    prosecutor argued that Zielinski “was able to tell right from
    wrong. He was able to tell a fraud is a fraud.” Tr. at 122.
    Addressing the testimony of Gorman, the prosecutor argued
    that “it is not necessary to have a college education to tell
    right from wrong, truth from false, a fraud from a good
    business deal. Mr. Gorman has not lost his moral sense. He
    could tell that.” Tr. at 123. Hammering the point home, the
    prosecutor said that Brian Hake could “tell right from
    wrong. He could tell truth from false. He could tell fraud
    when he saw one.” Tr. at 123-24. As to Smagley, the
    prosecutor stated that “he could tell there was a fraud”
    because he “could tell right from wrong. He could tell truth
    from false and he went to the audit committee.” Tr. at 124.
    The prosecutor also contended that the members of the
    audit committee “could tell truth from false,” and that the
    board of directors “could tell right from wrong.” Tr. at 124-
    25. Referring to the board of directors, the prosecutor closed
    the circle on this line of argument:
    [T]hey could tell what any reasonable person can tell,
    with or without a college education. They could tell
    what Peter Gorman could tell, what Rich Zielinski could
    tell, what Norman Smagley could tell, what Steve
    Zemaitis could tell. They could tell that this was a
    fraud. There is no valid business reason for doing this.
    Tr. at 126.
    1
    For closing arguments, the pagination of the transcript be-
    gins anew at page 1. All references to closing arguments are to the
    April 29, 2003, transcript.
    12                                              No. 05-1785
    The jury could not reach a verdict on ten of the twelve
    counts against Van Eyl but found him guilty of Counts I
    (wire fraud) and Count III (filing a false and misleading
    statement with the SEC). Van Eyl moved for a new trial
    on the grounds that the prosecutor’s rebuttal argument was
    improper, prejudicial and in violation of the court’s in
    limine ruling. He also moved for a judgment of acquittal.
    The district court denied the motion for a judgment of
    acquittal but granted the motion for a new trial. The court
    rejected the government’s motion for reconsideration. The
    government now appeals.
    II.
    On appeal, the government argues that the rebuttal
    argument did not violate the court’s in limine ruling, that
    the argument drew fair inferences from admissible evi-
    dence, that the rebuttal was invited by Van Eyl’s closing
    argument, and that any error was harmless. The govern-
    ment also contends that Van Eyl did not adequately
    preserve his objection to most of the comments and that
    we should review the district court’s ruling during clos-
    ing argument for plain error. Under the plain error stan-
    dard, the government continues, a new trial should not have
    been granted unless the defendant probably would not have
    been convicted but for the alleged error. Because this is not
    the standard the district court applied in granting the new
    trial, the government urges us to find that the court erred,
    and asks that we reinstate the verdicts on Counts I and III.
    A.
    The government argues that Van Eyl forfeited his objec-
    tions to most of the government’s rebuttal argument by not
    continuing to object after the district court overruled the
    first objection to this line of argument. The district court
    disagreed:
    No. 05-1785                                                 13
    When the prosecutor violated that in limine ruling
    during closing argument, I overruled the objection.
    While the objection was not as full as it should have
    been, not as sufficient as it could have been, and
    perhaps deficient in giving me all the information
    I needed, I am reluctant to find waiver because I did
    understand the objection to refer to the form of argu-
    ment that was being made. I overruled it, I recall,
    because I thought the door had been opened by the
    defense argument and, more importantly, because
    I thought the focus of the argument would be on the
    testimony of Peter Gorman.
    United States v. Van Eyl, Case No. 02 CR 287, Memoran-
    dum Opinion and Order, at 5 (N. D. Ill. July 13, 2004)
    (hereafter “Memorandum Opinion”). The government
    concedes that, at worst, this failure to continue objecting
    would be a forfeiture rather than a waiver, and contends
    that we should therefore review the issue for plain error
    only. Van Eyl correctly points out that the purpose of the
    rule on forfeitures is to give the district court the first
    opportunity to correct any errors that might arise. United
    States v. Rogers, 
    382 F.3d 648
    , 650 (7th Cir. 2004). The
    district court understood Van Eyl’s objection to be to the
    entire line of argument and thus no purpose would have
    been served by forcing Van Eyl’s lawyer to continue to
    object. The objection was thus adequately preserved.
    Moreover, Van Eyl had raised the issue in a motion
    in limine and the district court’s ruling on that motion
    was definitive, not provisional or tentative in any way.
    See Wilson v. Williams, 
    182 F.3d 562
    , 563 (7th Cir. 1999)
    (en banc) (once an in limine ruling is definitive, the function
    of the objection requirement has been served and no further
    objection need be made at trial). By any standard, the issue
    was preserved.
    On the defendant’s motion, a district court may grant
    a new trial “if the interest of justice so requires.” Fed. R.
    14                                               No. 05-1785
    Crim. P. 33(a). We review the district court’s decision to
    grant a new trial for abuse of discretion. United States v.
    Gillaum, 
    372 F.3d 848
    , 857 (7th Cir.), cert. denied, 
    543 U.S. 969
     (2004). If the judge in the course of analyzing the
    motion resolves a pure issue of law, our review is plenary.
    See United States v. Boyd, 
    55 F.3d 239
    , 242 (7th Cir. 1995).
    A defendant is entitled to a new trial if there is a rea-
    sonable possibility that a trial error had a prejudicial effect
    upon the jury’s verdict. United States v. Berry, 
    92 F.3d 597
    ,
    600 (7th Cir. 1996). The district court judge is always in a
    better position than appellate judges to assess the probable
    reactions of jurors in a case over which that district judge
    has presided. Berry, 
    92 F.3d at 600
    . For this reason, we will
    not overturn that decision unless we are strongly convinced
    that it is incorrect. Berry, 
    92 F.3d at 600
    ; Boyd, 
    55 F.3d at 242
    . We noted in Boyd that this is not only the rule; it is the
    dictate of common sense. Boyd, 
    55 F.3d at 242
    . The trial
    judge has heard and watched the testimony of the trial
    witnesses and the arguments of counsel. The trial judge had
    the opportunity to observe the jurors as they listened to the
    testimony and arguments and could gauge the impact of the
    testimony and arguments on the jurors. We are confined to
    reading the transcript and cannot duplicate the trial judge’s
    experience of the trial. Boyd, 
    55 F.3d at 242
    . The trial judge
    “may have been mistaken; we might suspect that he was
    mistaken; but unless we are convinced that he was mis-
    taken, we have no warrant to reverse.” Boyd, 
    55 F.3d at 242
    (emphasis in original). With those standards in mind, we
    turn to the government’s arguments.
    B.
    The government first contends that the rebuttal argument
    did not violate the court’s in limine ruling. The government
    argues that Van Eyl’s motion sought only to bar opinion
    testimony by lay witnesses on the legality of Van Eyl’s
    No. 05-1785                                                15
    conduct and did not apply to argument on that same subject
    matter. There was nothing in the court’s ruling, according
    to the government, that prohibited the prosecutor from
    drawing inferences in the closing argument from testimony
    that was admitted without objection. The government
    contends that the prosecutor drew a fair inference that
    various witnesses could tell right from wrong and truth
    from falsity based on their testimony that they had con-
    cerns about inappropriate actions and irregularities.
    Moreover, the government believed this argument might be
    permissible because the district court commented that there
    was little difference between offering these witness state-
    ments about irregularities for the truth of the matter
    (which the court did not allow) and offering them to show
    why the witnesses took certain actions (which the court did
    allow). The government also faulted the district court for
    stating that its original in limine ruling excluded the moral
    as well as the legal opinions of witnesses.
    The district court noted that its ruling should not be
    interpreted as a judgment that the prosecutor violated
    any standards of professional ethics, characterizing the
    rebuttal errors as “honest mistakes made in good faith by a
    lawyer who has in his appearances . . . demonstrated a high
    standard of professional ethics and a sense of fairness
    toward opposing parties.” Memorandum Opinion at 10-11
    n.3. We echo that sentiment; there is certainly nothing in
    the record to indicate otherwise and on this matter we defer
    to the trial judge. That said, none of these scattershot
    arguments hit the mark. The difference between offering
    testimony for the truth of the matter asserted and offering
    it to demonstrate why a person took a particular action is a
    subtle distinction that might be lost on jurors, but that was
    all the more reason to keep the lines clear, not a reason to
    cross or blur the line. Nor is there any logic to a contention
    that the court meant to allow in the rebuttal argument
    what it found unfairly prejudicial in testimony. The court
    16                                               No. 05-1785
    did not wish to allow lay witnesses to testify about their
    beliefs that Van Eyl’s actions were unlawful because the
    court believed the jury would inappropriately use those
    witnesses’ opinions to determine Van Eyl’s state of mind.
    Having barred that testimony, the court did not intend to
    allow the government to bring that theory in through the
    back door of closing argument unless the defendant invited
    this response, a theory we will address and reject shortly.
    Nor did the district court mischaracterize its own ruling by
    stating it barred moral as well as legal opinions from lay
    witnesses. When we read the district court’s ruling on the
    motion, it is clear that the court did not wish to allow lay
    witnesses to offer their opinions about the wrongness (in
    any sense of that word) of Van Eyl’s conduct. Again, the
    court feared the jury would conclude that if others thought
    the conduct was wrong, then Van Eyl must have possessed
    the intent to defraud. For the purposes of the court’s ruling,
    there was no distinction between moral opinions and legal
    opinions. And it was well within the district court’s discre-
    tion to exclude lay opinion testimony (and argument
    utilizing lay opinion testimony) about Van Eyl’s state of
    mind. United States v. Hauert, 
    40 F.3d 197
    , 200-01 (7th Cir.
    1994), cert. denied, 
    514 U.S. 1095
     (1995).
    The government also argues that the argument was
    invited by Van Eyl’s closing argument. Indeed, when the
    court ruled on Van Eyl’s objection to the government’s
    rebuttal, the court believed that Van Eyl’s lawyer had
    “opened the door.” After further reflection, the district court
    changed course:
    After further consideration, however, I think the door
    had not been opened. Substantially, the focus of the
    defense argument was not that others thought every-
    thing was all right; rather, the focus was that Van Eyl
    was not told it was wrong. The prosecution was not
    forced to make the argument it did in rebuttal.
    No. 05-1785                                                17
    Memorandum Opinion at 5 (emphasis in original). We have
    reviewed the closing arguments of both the government and
    the defense. Defense counsel’s closing argument focused on
    the lack of government evidence proving beyond a reason-
    able doubt that Van Eyl had an intent to defraud. Counsel
    also argued that Van Eyl was not at all involved in the
    preparation of certain financial statements. Van Eyl’s
    lawyer did not comment on what others at the company
    thought about the customer service program or other
    conduct, and thus there were no misimpressions to correct.
    In short, we think the district court did not err in determin-
    ing that the rebuttal argument was not invited.
    C.
    Finally, the district court found that the error prejudiced
    Van Eyl enough to warrant a new trial. The government
    argues that Van Eyl was not prejudiced, and that any error
    was harmless. The government again urges us to use the
    plain error standard. Under that standard, the government
    maintains that Van Eyl is not entitled to a new trial unless
    he probably would not have been convicted but for the error.
    As we explained above, plain error review is inappropriate
    here because Van Eyl properly preserved his objection. The
    applicable standard for the prejudice finding is whether
    there is a reasonable possibility that a trial error had a
    prejudicial effect upon the jury’s verdict. Berry, 
    92 F.3d at 600
    . The district court determined that it did. In particular,
    the district court noted that Van Eyl never disputed what
    happened at FMAC; rather, his defense was that the
    government did not prove that he possessed the intent to
    defraud. The prosecutor’s argument in rebuttal amounted
    to “if everyone else could see a fraud, then Van Eyl saw it
    too.” Memorandum Opinion, at 4. The court commented,
    “The prosecutor should not have made this argument. It
    was powerful and persuasive, and it is impossible for me to
    18                                               No. 05-1785
    conclude that it, standing alone, did not affect the verdict.”
    Memorandum Opinion, at 6. The court weighed this error
    against the strength of the evidence at trial. This was a
    close case, with the jury unable to reach a verdict on ten of
    the twelve counts. The government’s best evidence of Van
    Eyl’s intent was Gorman’s testimony that he told Van Eyl
    that the conduct was wrong and that someone was going to
    go to jail for it. The court very carefully parsed the cross-
    examination of Gorman, who was impeached on a number
    of key points. Carefully weighing the effect of the prosecu-
    tor’s powerful (albeit erroneous) argument against rela-
    tively weak evidence from an impeached Gorman and an
    even less credible Kahn, the court found the error suffi-
    ciently prejudicial to warrant a new trial. This is precisely
    the type of determination that is owed our deference on
    appeal. The district court heard all the evidence, watched
    both the witnesses and the jury, and was in a much better
    position to judge whether the improper argument tipped the
    scale against Van Eyl in the verdict on those two counts.
    There was, in short, a reasonable possibility that a trial
    error had a prejudicial effect upon the jury’s verdict. Berry,
    
    92 F.3d at 600
    . In reviewing the trial judge’s determination
    to grant Van Eyl a new trial, we are not “convinced that he
    was mistaken,” and thus “we have no warrant to reverse.”
    Boyd, 
    55 F.3d at 242
    . We therefore affirm the district
    court’s judgment.
    AFFIRMED.
    BAUER, Circuit Judge, concurring. I submit a reluctant
    concurrence. I believe, overall, the defendant received a fair
    trial and the verdict was amply supported by the evidence.
    And, in a case like this, opinion evidence of accounting
    practices and procedures, and how legitimate business
    differs from illegal or fraudulent business practices, almost
    No. 05-1785                                               19
    necessarily carries expert testimony—and prosecution
    comments on it—into what I consider to be
    not inappropriate areas.
    Nevertheless, the opinion of the majority is quite correct:
    Our standard of review over the decision of the district
    court to grant a new trial is exceedingly deferential.
    I emphasize that the prosecutor was not to blame and, had
    the trial court denied the motion for a new trial, a guilty
    verdict would have been easy to sustain.
    A true Copy:
    Teste:
    ________________________________
    Clerk of the United States Court of
    Appeals for the Seventh Circuit
    USCA-02-C-0072—10-5-06