United States v. Mario Lomax ( 2013 )


Menu:
  •                            In the
    United States Court of Appeals
    For the Seventh Circuit
    No. 12-1148
    S HUN W ARREN,
    Petitioner-Appellant,
    v.
    M ICHAEL B AENEN, W ARDEN,
    Respondent-Appellee.
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the Eastern District of Wisconsin.
    No. 09-C-0919—Charles N. Clevert, Jr., Judge.
    A RGUED O CTOBER 29, 2012—D ECIDED A PRIL 3, 2013
    Before P OSNER, K ANNE, and R OVNER, Circuit Judges.
    K ANNE, Circuit Judge. Shun Warren shot and killed
    Deshan Morrow on June 3, 2002, during a marijuana
    sale that went tragically wrong. Although Warren
    was originally charged in state court with first-
    degree intentional homicide, he eventually pled no con-
    test to first-degree reckless homicide, a reduced charge.
    Soon after entering the plea, Warren began attempting
    to withdraw it, a process that continues here. Warren
    2                                             No. 12-1148
    appears before us as a habeas corpus petitioner, having
    fought his 40-year sentence through the Wisconsin
    court system and in federal district court. He argues
    that the state trial court’s refusal to allow him to
    withdraw his plea deprived him of due process and that
    he received unconstitutionally ineffective assistance of
    counsel throughout his state court proceedings. Like
    every other court to consider Warren’s arguments, we
    find that they lack merit.
    I. B ACKGROUND
    The events of June 3, 2002, are, to this day, a bit
    unclear. It suffices to say that at some point during the
    day Shun Warren acquired a handgun from his friend,
    Stormi Dixon, and arranged to buy marijuana from
    Deshan Morrow, a source he had used before. Warren
    met Morrow in Morrow’s car around 5 p.m. that day.
    Before the sale could be completed, a scuffle broke out.
    Morrow was shot multiple times. Warren fled the scene
    with the marijuana and the gun; Morrow was discovered
    and pronounced dead on the scene later that evening.
    Warren was arrested in Chicago on June 24, 2002.
    Prosecutors originally charged Warren with first-
    degree intentional homicide, Wis. Stat. § 940.01, a charge
    to which he pled not guilty on July 16, 2002. (R. 21-10.)
    The criminal complaint included allegations that Warren
    acquired the gun and arranged the marijuana sale with
    the express intention of robbing Morrow and that Mor-
    row’s death was the result of a heist gone wrong. The
    court assigned a public defender, Cynthia Wynn, to
    represent Warren.
    No. 12-1148                                                3
    From early in her representation, Wynn focused War-
    ren’s attention on the possibility of a plea bargain. As
    Warren now tells it, the only advice that Wynn gave
    him prior to entering his plea was that if he went to
    trial he would, in all likelihood, be found guilty and
    sentenced to life in prison. Warren, with Wynn’s assis-
    tance, ultimately came to an agreement on a plea deal
    with the prosecutors. He agreed to plead no contest to
    the reduced charge of first-degree reckless homicide
    as party to a crime, while armed. Wis. Stat. §§ 939.05,
    939.63, 940.02(1). According to the transcript of the plea
    hearing, all parties understood that Warren pled “no
    contest” rather than “guilty” because he was intoxicated
    on the day in question and could not “recall all of the
    facts surrounding the incident.” (R. 21-11 at 6); (id. at 13,
    18.) He did agree (despite having been intoxicated) that
    he brought the gun into Morrow’s car, that there was a
    scuffle while in the car, and that the gun was fired
    several times. (Id. at 13-15.) Warren additionally acknowl-
    edged that Morrow was killed “as a result of [War-
    ren’s] actions.” (Id. at 15.)
    Soon after entering his plea, however, Warren began
    attempting to withdraw it and expressing displeasure
    with Wynn’s representation. The court granted Wynn’s
    request to withdraw as counsel and appointed attorney
    Theodore Nantz in her place. With Nantz as Warren’s
    counsel, the court heard a motion to withdraw Warren’s
    no contest plea and, on March 20, 2003, rejected the
    motion as not meeting Wisconsin’s “fair and just rea-
    son” standard. (R. 21-13.)
    4                                               No. 12-1148
    Warren appealed this decision to the Wisconsin Court
    of Appeals with the help of Anne Bowe, yet another
    appointed attorney. The Court of Appeals rejected War-
    ren’s appeal in April 2005. (R. 21-6.) Warren next
    petitioned the Wisconsin Supreme Court for review; the
    court denied the petition in August 2005.
    Warren continued his quest to withdraw the plea
    through Wisconsin’s collateral review process. See Wis.
    Stat. § 974.06. This time, Warren alleged ineffective assis-
    tance of his various attorneys and that his sentence was
    too harsh because his attempt to withdraw his plea
    was held against him. The state trial and appellate
    courts denied his petitions, and the Wisconsin Supreme
    Court denied his request for review.
    After exhausting his state court remedies, Warren
    filed a pro se petition for a writ of habeas corpus in the
    federal district court. Warren again alleged a mix of
    ineffective assistance and due process claims. Like the
    state courts, the district court denied relief. Warren v.
    Pollard, No. 09-C-919, 
    2011 WL 6016630
    , at *1 (E.D. Wis.
    Nov. 30, 2011). The district court did, however, grant
    Warren a certificate of appealability on five of the
    eight claims he raised: (1) whether trial counsel Wynn
    provided effective assistance; (2) whether Warren
    was denied due process when he was not allowed to
    withdraw his plea; (3) whether sentencing counsel
    Nantz provided effective assistance; (4) whether Warren
    was denied due process at his sentencing hearing; and
    (5) whether appellate counsel Bowe provided effective
    assistance. (R. 34.) Warren timely appealed the denial of
    No. 12-1148                                              5
    his petition to this court. Accordingly, we review each
    of the five issues raised in rough chronological order.
    II. A NALYSIS
    Although we review all questions of law from a dis-
    trict court’s denial of a habeas corpus petition de novo,
    Emerson v. Shaw, 
    575 F.3d 680
    , 685 (7th Cir. 2009), our
    consideration of Warren’s petition is tightly circum-
    scribed. The Antiterrorism and Effective Death Penalty
    Act of 1996 (“AEDPA”) provides that we may grant a
    writ of habeas corpus to a petitioner whose claim has
    been adjudicated on the merits in state court if the
    state court decision “was contrary to, or involved an
    unreasonable application of, clearly established Federal
    law, as determined by the Supreme Court of the United
    States,” 28 U.S.C. § 2254(d)(1), or if the relevant
    state court decision “was based on an unreasonable
    determination of the facts,” 28 U.S.C. § 2254(d)(2). Warren
    roots his challenges in § 2254(d)(1). A state court deci-
    sion is “contrary to . . . clearly established Federal law”
    if the court did not apply the proper legal rule, or, in
    applying the proper rule, reached the opposite result as
    the Supreme Court on “materially indistinguishable”
    facts. Brown v. Payton, 
    544 U.S. 133
    , 141 (2005). A state
    court decision is an “unreasonable application of . . .
    clearly established Federal law” when the court applied
    Supreme Court precedent in “an objectively unrea-
    sonable manner.” Id.
    This standard is particularly exacting. “[A] state
    prisoner must show that the state court’s ruling on the
    6                                              No. 12-1148
    claim being presented in federal court was so lacking
    in justification that there was an error well understood
    and comprehended in existing law beyond any pos-
    sibility for fairminded disagreement.” Harrington v.
    Richter, 
    131 S. Ct. 770
    , 786-87 (2011). “[A] federal habeas
    court may not issue the writ simply because that court
    concludes in its independent judgment that the
    relevant state-court decision applied clearly established
    federal law erroneously or incorrectly. Rather, that ap-
    plication must be objectively unreasonable.” Lockyer v.
    Andrade, 
    538 U.S. 63
    , 75-76 (2003) (internal citation and
    quotation marks omitted). “If this standard is difficult
    to meet, that is because it was meant to be.” Richter, 131
    S. Ct. at 786.
    However, AEDPA’s deferential standard only applies
    to claims that were actually “adjudicated on the merits
    in State court proceedings.” 28 U.S.C. § 2254(d). In that
    case, the decision we review “is that of the last state
    court to address a given claim on the merits.” Harris
    v. Thompson, 
    698 F.3d 609
    , 623 (7th Cir. 2012). “When a
    federal claim has been presented to a state court and
    the state court has denied relief, it may be presumed
    that the state court adjudicated the claim on the merits
    in the absence of any indication or state-law procedural
    principles to the contrary.” Richter, 131 S. Ct. at 784-85.
    But that “presumption may be overcome when there
    is reason to think some other explanation for the state
    court’s decision is more likely.” Id. at 785. When no
    state court has addressed the merits of the federal con-
    stitutional issue, “the claim is reviewed de novo.” Cone
    v. Bell, 
    556 U.S. 449
    , 472 (2009).
    No. 12-1148                                                  7
    A. Ineffective Assistance of Trial Counsel
    Whether trial counsel Wynn provided Warren with
    effective assistance is a question that echoes through
    each of the other issues in this case. Accordingly we take
    it up first. In brief, we agree with the district court that
    we cannot grant Warren’s petition on this ground.
    The standard governing Warren’s ineffective assist-
    ance of counsel claim is the familiar two-prong Strickland
    v. Washington test. 
    466 U.S. 668
     (1984). To demonstrate
    that Wynn violated Warren’s Sixth Amendment right
    to effective assistance of counsel, he must show first
    that her performance fell below “an objective standard
    of reasonableness,” id. at 688, and that she committed
    “errors so serious that [she] was not functioning as the
    ‘counsel’ guaranteed [Warren] by the Sixth Amendment,”
    id. at 687. In evaluating Warren’s argument, we “must
    indulge a strong presumption that counsel’s conduct
    falls within the wide range of reasonable professional
    assistance.” Id. at 689. And to satisfy the second
    prong, Warren must prove that Wynn’s constitutionally
    deficient performance (if any) prejudiced him, i.e., that
    her “errors were so serious as to deprive [Warren] of a
    fair trial, a trial whose result is reliable.” Id. at 687. This
    means that Warren “must show that there is a rea-
    sonable probability that, but for counsel’s unprofessional
    errors, the result of the proceeding would have been
    different.” Id. at 694.
    With that backdrop in mind, we proceed to the specifics
    of Warren’s case. He alleges two broad categories of
    error on Wynn’s part: a failure to investigate and a
    8                                               No. 12-1148
    failure to communicate. We address those alleged failures
    in turn.
    1. Failure to investigate
    Warren alleges that Wynn failed to investigate wit-
    nesses that potentially could have showed that Warren
    had a valid self-defense claim, and additionally that
    Wynn failed to investigate Warren’s mental competence
    to enter his plea. In a failure to investigate case, a defen-
    dant must prove that evidence uncovered during that
    investigation would have led the attorney to change
    her recommendation to accept the plea offer. Hill
    v. Lockhart, 
    474 U.S. 52
    , 59 (1985). “This is an objective
    analysis that requires us to examine what a reasonable
    person would do.” Richardson v. United States, 
    379 F.3d 485
    , 488 (7th Cir. 2004) (per curiam) (citing Hill, 474 U.S.
    at 60).
    a. Witness statements
    Warren first argues that Wynn was ineffective be-
    cause she failed to investigate a statement included in
    the police report on Morrow’s killing. The statement at
    issue was a third-hand description of some of the events
    that led to Morrow’s death. Mary Washington, a local
    resident, apparently observed two people struggling in
    the front seat of Morrow’s car as she arrived home
    after work. Mary relayed this story to her sister, Linda
    Washington, the next day when she discovered that a
    killing had taken place. Linda, in turn, gave a statement
    No. 12-1148                                                  9
    to the police. Warren characterizes Mary Washington
    (and perhaps Linda) as a “potential witness who could
    corroborate a self defense claim.” (Appellant’s Br. at 10.)
    Warren argued to the Wisconsin state court on post-
    conviction review, and argues to us here, that Wynn’s
    failure to further investigate this statement in the police
    report constituted ineffective assistance of counsel.
    We begin by looking for “the last state court [opinion]
    to address a given claim on the merits.” Harris, 698
    F.3d at 623. The Wisconsin Court of Appeals rejected
    Warren’s motion for post-conviction relief on res judicata
    grounds, describing his ineffective assistance claims as
    a mere “re-characterization” of the arguments he had
    made (and that were rejected) on direct appeal. (R. 21-1
    at 6) (citing State v. Witkowski, 
    473 N.W.2d 512
    , 514 (Wis.
    Ct. App. 1991)). Following the court’s implicit instruc-
    tion, then, to look to the Court of Appeals’s decision on
    direct appeal for a decision on the merits, we find that
    this court decided a related, but distinct, issue. Specif-
    ically, it held that Warren’s knowledge of the availability
    of self-defense as an affirmative defense to first-degree
    intentional homicide did not provide a “fair and just
    reason” to withdraw his plea to first-degree reckless
    homicide. Because there is no such defense to reckless
    homicide, Warren’s intent at the time of the crime was,
    according to the court, irrelevant. As a determination
    of Wisconsin state law, we must presume that is correct.
    See, e.g., Wainwright v. Sykes, 
    433 U.S. 72
    , 81 (1977) (“in the
    context of a federal habeas proceeding [courts are] ex-
    cluded from consider[ing] any questions of state sub-
    stantive law”). But it does not fully address the ineffec-
    10                                                No. 12-1148
    tive assistance issue. Recall that the relevant ineffective
    assistance question is whether evidence that an attorney
    failed to investigate would have led the attorney to
    change her plea recommendation. Hill, 474 U.S. at 59.
    Knowing about a potential self-defense claim might not
    be directly relevant to reckless homicide; indeed the
    state court definitively held that it was not. But self-
    defense evidence would be relevant to the decision on
    whether to plead to reckless homicide to avoid prosecu-
    tion for intentional homicide. The self-defense evidence
    might make an intentional homicide conviction much
    less likely. And without the threat of an intentional homi-
    cide conviction hanging over her client’s head, an
    attorney might be much less likely to recommend that
    the client plead to a lesser charge.
    Thus, the state court’s opinions did not actually
    address the constitutional issue at stake here. Cone v. Bell
    is an apt guide for this circumstance. 
    556 U.S. 449
    . There,
    the state post-conviction court bypassed a Brady claim
    because it erroneously believed that the issue had been
    addressed on direct appeal. Id. at 460. Because the state
    courts did not reach the merits, AEDPA deference did
    not apply and de novo review was proper. Id. at 472.
    Similarly, we review this aspect of Warren’s ineffec-
    tive assistance of counsel claim de novo.1 Even with
    1
    The additional wrinkle in this case is that the state trial
    court did address Warren’s Strickland claim on post-conviction
    review. We are loathe to defer to that decision, however,
    (continued...)
    No. 12-1148                                               11
    de novo review, however, Warren’s arguments are
    not convincing.
    Warren essentially makes the argument we have laid
    out above. It matters, says Warren, that the initial charge
    he was facing, first-degree intentional homicide, has a
    mens rea requirement. Therefore, the availability of
    a witness who could testify that Warren was defending
    himself would have changed Wynn’s advice, and conse-
    quently Warren’s decision to plead. As we have dis-
    cussed already, this argument is not without force.
    One could imagine evidence that might have changed,
    perhaps dramatically, Warren’s bargaining position vis-à-
    vis the prosecution in pre-trial negotiations. Such evi-
    dence might have led a reasonable attorney to change
    her recommendation to plead.
    Here, however, we are not persuaded that Warren
    overcomes the initial hurdle of proving that, “but for
    [Wynn]’s unprofessional errors, the result of the proceed-
    ing would have been different.” Strickland, 466 U.S. at 694.
    There was nothing in the Washingtons’ statements that
    would support Warren’s self-defense claim. The descrip-
    tion of a “struggle” in the car could have just as easily
    described the version of events presented by the prosecu-
    1
    (...continued)
    because it was superceded, albeit, we think, erroneously, by
    the subsequent Wisconsin Court of Appeals opinion. We
    think addressing the issue de novo strikes the proper note of
    respect for the Wisconsin courts, while still ensuring that
    we fulfill our appropriate function on habeas corpus review.
    12                                            No. 12-1148
    tion. Indeed, all parties already agreed that some sort of
    struggle occurred in Morrow’s car; the Washingtons’
    statements did not add anything new to Warren’s hypo-
    thetical defense. While one could imagine evidence
    that would have changed the plea calculus, the
    Washingtons’ statements are not that evidence. On the
    basis of the Washingtons’ statements it is profoundly
    unlikely that Wynn would have changed her advice
    that Warren plead to first-degree reckless homicide—and
    that is the rub. See Hill, 474 U.S. at 59 (stating that
    the prejudice inquiry in a failure to investigate/plea
    scenario “will depend on the likelihood that discovery
    of the evidence would have led counsel to change his
    recommendation as to the plea. This assessment, in turn,
    will depend in large part on a prediction whether the
    evidence likely would have changed the outcome of a
    trial.”). Thus, we do not think that Warren is able
    to show prejudice from Wynn’s alleged failure to inves-
    tigate the Washingtons’ statements. Accordingly, we
    cannot grant Warren’s petition on this basis.
    b. Investigation into Warren’s competence
    Warren also alleges that Wynn’s failure to investigate
    his mental competence amounted to unconstitutionally
    ineffective assistance of counsel. Warren bases this argu-
    ment primarily on a pre-sentencing psychiatric evalua-
    tion that Wynn commissioned. The evaluating doctor,
    Dr. Robert Rawski, diagnosed Warren with “Major De-
    pression with Psychotic Features” and “Polysubstance
    Dependence”; he also said that Warren was possibly “suf-
    No. 12-1148                                                  13
    fering from the early stages of Schizophrenia.” (R. 21-3
    at 58.) Warren argues that Wynn should have requested
    an evaluation prior to the plea hearing for the purpose
    of determining whether Warren was competent to enter
    his plea and that Wynn’s failure to do so was uncon-
    stitutionally deficient. Requesting a competence evalua-
    tion and hearing, Warren contends, would have led to
    a “reasonable probability that . . . the court would have
    found that Warren was not competent to stand trial.”
    (Appellant’s Br. at 31.) We disagree.
    As an initial matter, it is not clear that Warren raised
    this issue in the state courts. Rather, Warren made the
    related, though distinct, argument that Wynn was inef-
    fective for failing to further investigate his mental health
    at the time of the offense as a potential defense at trial.
    Normally, on habeas appeals, we do not consider claims
    that have not been fairly presented to state courts and
    would now be procedurally barred by those courts. Ward
    v. Jenkins, 
    613 F.3d 692
    , 696 (7th Cir. 2010). That said,
    we also construe pro se petitions, such as Warren’s
    during state post-conviction review, liberally when de-
    termining whether a claim has been fairly presented. Id.
    at 697. Furthermore, the state does not argue default
    here, and, as such, has forfeited the argument. See
    Perruquet v. Briley, 
    390 F.3d 505
    , 519 (7th Cir. 2004) (“failure
    to raise the defense [of procedural default] in a timely
    manner will result in a forfeiture”). Because the Wisconsin
    state courts have not addressed the merits of this claim,
    our review is de novo. Cone, 556 U.S. at 472.
    Again, we turn to the two-pronged Strickland test, and
    note that “[c]ounsel has an obligation either to investi-
    14                                              No. 12-1148
    gate possible defenses or make reasonable decisions
    that particular investigations are unnecessary.” Burt v.
    Uchtman, 
    422 F.3d 557
    , 566 (7th Cir. 2005) (citing Kimmel-
    man v. Morrison, 
    477 U.S. 365
    , 385 (1986)). In cases where
    a defendant contends that he received ineffective
    assistance because his attorney failed to request a com-
    petency hearing, “we have interpreted the [Strickland]
    prejudice inquiry as asking whether there is a rea-
    sonable probability the defendant would have been
    found unfit had a hearing been held.” Id. at 567. To de-
    termine whether a defendant is competent, we ask
    “whether he has sufficient present ability to consult
    with his lawyer with a reasonable degree of rational
    understanding—and whether he has a rational as well
    as factual understanding of the proceedings against him.”
    Id. at 564 (quoting Dusky v. United States, 
    362 U.S. 402
    , 402
    (1960)).2
    We find nothing in the evidence that Warren
    marshaled to suggest that there was reasonable prob-
    ability that he would have been found unfit. Though
    Dr. Rawski’s report indeed diagnosed Warren with
    mental illnesses and prescribed medication, it did not
    describe him as not competent to understand the legal
    proceedings. Rather, Dr. Rawski described Warren as
    “articulate” and “goal-directed.” (R. 21-3 at 58.) Dr. Rawski
    also reported that Warren’s “[c]ognition was intact”
    2
    We note too that the constitutional standard for competence
    to enter a plea is the same as the standard to go to trial.
    Godinez v. Moran, 
    509 U.S. 389
    , 398-99 (1993).
    No. 12-1148                                            15
    and that his “[i]ntelligence is average.” (Id.) Warren
    offers us no other evidence—such as affidavits from
    those who interacted with him or previous medical
    records—that would show that he was incapable of
    understanding the legal proceedings or assisting his
    lawyer at the time he made his plea. The plea colloquy
    evidences that Warren had rationally considered his
    options with his attorney, (R. 21-11), as does the tran-
    script of the pre-plea scheduling conference, (R. 21-10).
    Indeed, Warren has also presented us with letters he
    wrote soon after his plea, in which he requested new
    counsel and that he be allowed to change his plea. All
    this evidence suggests a rather advanced understanding
    of the legal process and that Warren had a “rational as
    well as factual understanding of the proceedings.” Burt,
    422 F.3d at 564. Lacking any basis for the proposition
    that Warren was unfit to enter his plea, we cannot
    find that there was any prejudice to Warren in Wynn’s
    failure to request a pre-plea competency hearing.
    Warren offers us Burt to support his argument that
    Wynn was ineffective. Rather than providing support,
    however, Burt illuminates what we find lacking in War-
    ren’s petition. In Burt, an Illinois statute mandated that
    any defendant taking psychotropic medication at the
    time of trial (a population that included Burt) receive
    a fitness hearing. Burt’s lawyers were unaware of this
    mandate. Id. at 567. Further, Burt’s attorneys had many
    first-hand experiences with their client that should
    have led them to question his competence, even absent
    Illinois’s requirement, including: they found it necessary
    to meet with him every day prior to court to “evaluate
    16                                            No. 12-1148
    his mental state”; they were concerned that the county
    jail was administering his psychotropic medications
    irregularly; Burt “demonstrated belligerent or explosive
    behavior,” both in and out of the courtroom; and his
    attorneys were “continually afraid that Burt would
    commit violent acts in court.” Id. at 568. One attorney
    even stated in an affidavit that he believed “Burt did not
    fully comprehend legal advice and that his behavior
    throughout the trial, particularly his decision to change
    his plea to guilty, was not rational.” Id. All of these
    facts, and several others in the same vein, led us to con-
    clude that Burt’s attorneys were deficient for failing
    to request a competency hearing and “establish[ed] a
    reasonable probability that Burt would have been found
    incompetent at the time he pleaded guilty.” Id. at 569.
    Warren has not offered any such evidence here.
    Unlike Illinois, paragraph (2) of the Wisconsin statute
    specifically provides that “[a] defendant shall not be
    determined incompetent to proceed solely because med-
    ication has been or is being administered to restore
    or maintain competency.” Wis. Stat. § 971.13(2). And
    indeed the record, rather than establishing a rea-
    sonable probability that Warren would have been found
    incompetent, shows that Warren met the constitutional
    standard for competence to enter a plea. Dr. Rawski’s
    report described Warren’s cognition as “intact,” (R. 21-3
    at 58), and Warren evinced a thorough understanding
    of the proceedings against him throughout. We therefore
    cannot find Wynn ineffective for failing to request a pre-
    plea competency hearing and cannot grant Warren’s
    petition on this ground.
    No. 12-1148                                               17
    2. Failure to communicate
    Warren next alleges a variety of communication-
    based errors. He says that Wynn did not adequately
    explain the original intentional homicide charge. Warren
    also alleges that Wynn neither provided him with
    a copy of the police report containing the Washing-
    tons’ statements nor explained the possibility of
    mounting a self-defense affirmative defense with him.
    As with the initial failure to investigate claim, the state
    court bypassed Warren’s claim, so our review is de novo.
    Cone, 556 U.S. at 472. Strickland itself provides that
    an attorney can fall below the objectively reasonable
    level of performance by failing to “keep the defendant
    informed of important developments in the course of
    the prosecution.” 466 U.S. at 688. But, even assuming
    that Wynn’s performance failed to meet the standard
    in this case (and we need not opine on that), to find
    a constitutional violation, we must find prejudice to the
    defendant. Id. at 687. “[I]n order to satisfy the ‘prejudice’
    requirement, the defendant must show that there is a
    reasonable probability that, but for counsel’s errors,
    he would not have pleaded guilty and would have in-
    sisted on going to trial.” Hill, 474 U.S. at 59. The crux of
    Warren’s argument is that, had he been aware of the
    information he alleges Wynn withheld, he would have
    gone to trial and claimed self-defense. When a petitioner
    makes that claim, our prejudice analysis “will depend
    largely on whether the affirmative defense likely would
    have succeeded at trial.” Id. Moreover, this analysis
    “should be made objectively, without regard for the idio-
    syncrasies of the particular decisionmaker.” Id. at 60
    18                                             No. 12-1148
    (internal quotation marks omitted). As we described
    above, there is simply nothing that would lead us to
    conclude that it is reasonably probable that the self-
    defense argument would have succeeded or that it
    would have been objectively reasonable to reject the
    plea deal. Accordingly, Warren cannot prove preju-
    dice, and therefore cannot prevail on this ineffective
    assistance claim.
    B. Due Process Violation for Plea Withdrawal
    Warren next complains that his due process rights
    were violated when the state trial court refused to let
    him withdraw his no contest plea. This claim is closely
    related to Warren’s complaints about the representation
    he received from Wynn. Specifically, he argues that
    his plea was not knowing or voluntary due to Wynn’s
    ineffective assistance, and additionally that he may
    not have been competent to even enter the plea. We
    cannot find merit in either argument.
    As with his claim that Wynn was ineffective for failing
    to request a competency hearing prior to the plea, it is
    not clear to us that Warren presented a due process
    argument to the state courts with regard to his plea.
    While Warren repeatedly petitioned the Wisconsin
    courts to withdraw his plea, his pro se arguments were
    couched in state law rather than federal constitutional
    protections. To be sure, the Wisconsin standard that a
    plea must be knowingly, intelligently, and voluntarily
    entered is the same as the constitutional due process
    No. 12-1148                                             19
    standard. See Wis. Stat. § 971.08; see also Parke v. Raley,
    
    506 U.S. 20
    , 28-29 (1992). But here again, the state does
    not argue default and so any default argument has
    been forfeited. Perruquet, 390 F.3d at 519. Regardless,
    even under the more permissive de novo standard
    of review, Warren’s arguments fail.
    To survive a due process challenge, a plea must be
    knowing, voluntary, and intelligently entered. Id. The
    defendant bears the burden of proving that a plea did
    not meet those requirements. Virsnieks v. Smith, 
    521 F.3d 707
    , 714-15 (7th Cir. 2008). Generally, “pleas are
    accorded a great measure of finality because they are
    important components of this country’s criminal justice
    system.” Id. at 714 (internal quotation marks omitted).
    To determine whether a plea was knowing and
    voluntary, a court must look at “all of the relevant cir-
    cumstances surrounding it.” Id. “To enter a voluntary
    and intelligent plea, a defendant must have full
    awareness of the plea’s direct consequences, real notice
    of the true nature of the charge against him, and under-
    stand the law in relation to the facts.” Id. (in-
    ternal quotation marks and citations omitted). “How-
    ever, lawyers need not inform their clients of every pos-
    sible defense, argument, or tactic, especially one not
    suggested by any evidence at the time.” St. Pierre
    v. Walls, 
    297 F.3d 617
    , 635 (7th Cir. 2002) (emphasis omit-
    ted).
    20                                            No. 12-1148
    1. Trial counsel’s assistance and the plea
    Warren presents three potential reasons that his plea
    could have been unknowing based on Wynn’s assistance:
    he claims that he was unaware that he had the ability
    to pursue a self-defense claim at an intentional homicide
    trial; he says that he was unaware that there were wit-
    nesses who could support a self-defense claim; and
    he says that he did not know that the basis for the in-
    tentional homicide charge was wrong. The record does
    not support Warren on any of these points. Instead, it
    shows a defendant who understood the bargain he
    was making and who was informed of his rights.
    Warren agreed during the plea colloquy that he under-
    stood the defenses he was relinquishing. (R. 21-11 at 10.)
    He now contends, without additional support, that his
    statement was incorrect, or at least incomplete as it
    related to self-defense and the original intentional homi-
    cide charge. It strains our credulity to believe that
    Warren did not know that self-defense could be pre-
    sented as a defense to intentional homicide. We need
    not rely on our instincts, however. During the plea
    hearing (and before the plea was finalized), Wynn, the
    trial judge, and the prosecutor had a discussion re-
    garding self-defense considerations, noting that Wynn
    had discussed the defense with Warren, and even citing
    a recent Wisconsin case as a motivating factor for the
    charge being reduced and the acceptance of the plea
    deal. (R. 21-11 at 18-19.) Therefore, Warren asks us to
    ignore not only his statements to the court and common
    sense, but also a discussion that occurred in open court,
    No. 12-1148                                             21
    in his presence. That we will not do. We refuse to find
    that Warren’s plea was unknowing because he lacked
    knowledge of a potential defense that had been dis-
    cussed in his presence immediately before his plea
    was accepted.
    As for the claim of the supposed supporting wit-
    nesses, we have already addressed the issue. There is
    nothing in the police report, and Warren has presented
    nothing since, that indicates that the Washingtons ac-
    tually could have supported any claim of self-defense.
    Given that, Warren’s alleged lack of knowledge cannot
    be the basis for overturning his plea.
    Warren’s next argument—that he did not know the
    basis for the intentional homicide charge was wrong—is
    also unsupported by the record. Warren argues that
    the original charge was based on the incorrect allega-
    tion that he planned to rob Morrow. He says that, had
    he been aware of the allegation, he would not have
    agreed to plead to a lesser charge. The argument that
    he was unaware of the robbery allegation is simply not
    true. The police report reflects the fact that officers ex-
    plicitly presented Warren with the allegation after his
    arrest and that he denied it. (R. 21-8 at 47.) Warren does
    not challenge the report’s veracity (nor did he at any
    other time). Furthermore, the transcript of the plea
    hearing indicates that Wynn discussed the robbery
    theory with Warren. (R. 21-11 at 12-15, 18-19.) Indeed,
    nothing that Warren asserts leads us to the conclusion
    that the plea was unknowing, involuntary, or unintel-
    ligent on account of Wynn’s assistance.
    22                                                No. 12-1148
    2. Competence to enter the plea
    Similarly, we cannot find a due process violation in
    the plea based on Warren’s alleged lack of mental capac-
    ity. Again, we look at “all of the relevant circumstances
    surrounding” the plea. See Brady v. United States, 
    397 U.S. 742
    , 749 (1970). Here, Warren does not allege that
    he actually lacked the capacity to enter a knowing
    and voluntary plea, however, and offers no evidence
    other than Dr. Rawski’s report on the issue. Instead, he
    argues that he was denied due process because his
    capacity was not determined and the report raises
    “serious questions.” (Appellant’s Br. at 35.) Warren “might
    not” have been competent to enter his plea as he
    argues, (id. at 36), but given all of the available evidence
    (including Dr. Rawski’s report), that possibility appears
    very unlikely. To recap: Dr. Rawski described Warren
    as “articulate” and “goal-directed” and stated that War-
    ren’s “[c]ognition was intact.” (R. 21-3 at 58.) Warren
    ably participated throughout the legal proceedings. As
    Warren correctly notes, due process requires a court
    to order a competency hearing when there is “bona fide
    doubt as to the defendant’s competency.” Burt, 422 F.3d
    at 564. We cannot find any such doubt in the evidence
    Warren presents. Some theoretical uncertainty is not
    enough to form the basis of a due process violation.
    C. Ineffective Assistance of Sentencing Counsel
    Warren next alleges that Theodore Nantz, the court-
    appointed attorney who succeeded Wynn, was also
    unconstitutionally ineffective. Warren argues that Nantz
    No. 12-1148                                               23
    was ineffective for failing to raise the same issues he
    claims Wynn should have raised: that the court could
    not be certain Warren was competent to enter the plea,
    and that Warren’s alleged lack of knowledge of the
    Washingtons’ statements led to his plea being unknow-
    ing. Again, the state court bypassed this argument, and
    we review it de novo. Cone, 556 U.S. at 472. Setting aside
    the fact that a defendant is not entitled to have coun-
    sel raise every non-frivolous claim, Jones v. Barnes, 
    463 U.S. 745
    , 754 (1983), we have found that these argu-
    ments lack merit. Counsel is not ineffective for failing to
    raise meritless claims. United States v. Stewart, 
    388 F.3d 1079
    , 1085 (7th Cir. 2004); Steward v. Gilmore, 
    80 F.3d 1205
    ,
    1212 (7th Cir. 1996).
    D. Due Process Violation for Sentencing
    Warren next argues that the state trial court violated
    his due process rights by considering his attempted plea
    withdrawal against him. Specifically, the court character-
    ized Warren as attempting to “weasel out of” his plea
    bargain. (Appellant’s Br. at 43.) The government urges
    us to refrain from considering this claim because the
    Wisconsin state courts held that it was procedurally
    defaulted. (Appellee’s Br. at 59); (R. 21-2 at 7). Warren
    counters by arguing that, if the claim has merit, Bowe’s
    ineffective assistance, for failing to raise the claim on
    direct appeal, could potentially excuse his procedural
    default. (Appellant’s Reply Br. at 18) (citing Martinez
    v. Ryan, 
    132 S. Ct. 1309
    , 1316 (2012)).
    24                                            No. 12-1148
    We note first that Warren has certainly defaulted
    this argument by failing to comply with proper
    Wisconsin procedure. See Farmer v. Litscher, 
    303 F.3d 840
    , 846 (7th Cir. 2002) (“A federal court will not review
    a question of federal law decided by a state court if
    the state-court decision rests on a state procedural
    ground that is independent of the federal question and
    adequate to support the judgment”); State v. Escalona-
    Naranjo, 
    517 N.W.2d 157
    , 162 (Wis. 1994) (claims that the
    defendant failed to raise may not be the basis for post-
    conviction relief, unless the court determines that there
    was a “sufficient reason” for the failure). Because we
    must consider the possibility of excuse, though, we take
    up the merits of Warren’s due process argument here
    and find that the claim lacks merit. Again, no state
    court considered the merits of Warren’s argument, so
    we review the issue de novo. Cone, 556 U.S. at 472.
    A defendant is entitled to have sentencing determina-
    tions made based on reliable evidence rather than specu-
    lation or unfounded allegations. See, e.g., United States
    v. England, 
    555 F.3d 616
    , 622 (7th Cir. 2009). Because the
    judge is the factfinder at sentencing, however, he may
    draw reasonable conclusions about the testimony and
    evidence presented. United States v. Hankton, 
    432 F.3d 779
    , 786 n.14 (7th Cir. 2005). The “key inquiry” posed by
    a due process challenge to a sentencing determination
    is whether the court’s findings “were sufficiently based
    on reliable evidence to satisfy due process, or if they
    amount to speculation.” England, 555 F.3d at 622
    (internal quotation marks omitted). “Evidence will
    satisfy the reliability requirement if it bears sufficient
    No. 12-1148                                                25
    indicia of reliability to support its probable accuracy.”
    Id. (internal brackets and quotation marks omitted).3
    During sentencing, while discussing whether Warren
    accepted responsibility for his crimes, the state trial
    court judge made the following remark:
    So far as taking responsibility is concerned, it
    seems to be whatever suits you and whatever is
    in your best interest at the time. And it appeared
    a week or two ago it was in your best interest to
    try to weasel out of this plea, so-to-speak, and not
    take responsibility because you didn’t really
    like the recommendation of the presentence writer.
    (R. 21-14 at 12.) Warren characterizes this as an instance
    where the court relied on an incorrect assumption to
    determine the sentence, an error that might warrant
    overturning the sentence. We think this misconstrues
    the record, and as such, is not a basis for granting
    Warren’s petition.
    The court’s comment that Warren was trying to
    “weasel out of” his no contest plea came during
    the court’s appraisal of Warren’s acceptance of responsi-
    3
    The district court interpreted Warren’s pro se petition to
    implicate judicial bias. Warren, 
    2011 WL 6016630
    , at *3 (dis-
    cussing Franklin v. McCaughtry, 
    398 F.3d 955
     (7th Cir. 2005)).
    Warren has clarified on appeal that his due process con-
    cern relates to reliability, and, accordingly, we address
    that argument.
    26                                              No. 12-1148
    bility. Read in that context, we think the court was at-
    tempting to explain, if perhaps inartfully, why it did not
    credit the reliability of Warren’s expressions of remorse.
    Warren’s statements of acceptance flatly contradicted
    the arguments he made to the court in attempting to
    withdraw his plea. This, understandably, caused the
    court to be skeptical of both Warren’s purported accep-
    tance of responsibility as well as his motives for at-
    tempting to withdraw the plea.
    When we are called upon to review a federal district
    court’s appraisal of a defendant’s acceptance of responsi-
    bility, we give great deference to the trial court. See
    United States v. Gilbertson, 
    435 F.3d 790
    , 798-99 (7th Cir.
    2006). We do so because the trial judge is uniquely posi-
    tioned to assess the credibility of the defendant before
    her. See United States v. Cunningham, 
    103 F.3d 596
    , 598
    (7th Cir. 1996). Such deference is also appropriate here.
    The state trial judge was in a much better position to
    gauge whether Warren was “motivated by genuine ac-
    ceptance of responsibility or by a self-serving desire to
    minimize his own punishment,” a task that appellate
    judges are “ill-equipped” to carry out. Id. The incon-
    sistency between Warren’s argument to withdraw his
    plea and his ostensible acceptance of responsibility is
    a sufficient indicium of reliability to satisfy due process.
    Because this claim lacks merit, Bowe could not have
    been ineffective for failing to raise it, and Warren’s pro-
    cedural default in the state court is not excused.
    No. 12-1148                                             27
    E. Ineffective Assistance of Appellate Counsel
    Finally, Warren argues that his counsel on direct
    appeal—Bowe—was also unconstitutionally ineffective
    for failing to raise the ineffective assistance claims re-
    garding Wynn and Nantz. This is yet another claim that
    the state court bypassed, and our review is again de novo.
    Cone, 556 U.S. at 472. The framework for assessing the
    constitutional effectiveness of appellate counsel is the
    same two-pronged Strickland test as for effectiveness
    of trial counsel. Smith v. Robbins, 
    528 U.S. 259
    , 285
    (2000); Howard v. Gramley, 
    225 F.3d 784
    , 789-90 (7th Cir.
    2000). Because we did not find merit in the previous
    two ineffective assistance claims (or in the due pro-
    cess claim), we cannot find Bowe unconstitutionally
    deficient for failing to raise them. It is axiomatic that
    Warren was not prejudiced by this failure. See Johnson
    v. Thurmer, 
    624 F.3d 786
    , 793 (7th Cir. 2010). Accord-
    ingly, we cannot grant Warren’s petition on this ground
    either.
    III. C ONCLUSION
    For the foregoing reasons, we A FFIRM the district
    court’s denial of the petition for a writ of habeas corpus.
    4-3-13