Christopher Mosley v. Mike Atchison , 689 F.3d 838 ( 2012 )


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  •                              In the
    United States Court of Appeals
    For the Seventh Circuit
    No. 12-1083
    C HRISTOPHER M OSLEY,
    Petitioner-Appellee,
    v.
    M IKE A TCHISON, Warden,
    Respondent-Appellant.
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the Northern District of Illinois, Eastern Division.
    No. 1:05-cv-00248—Joan B. Gottschall, Judge.
    A RGUED JUNE 5, 2012—D ECIDED A UGUST 6, 2012
    Before B AUER, R OVNER, and H AMILTON, Circuit Judges.
    H AMILTON, Circuit Judge. Following a bench trial,
    petitioner-appellee Christopher Mosley was found
    guilty of first-degree murder and aggravated arson. He
    was sentenced to consecutive prison terms of 60 years
    on the murder charge and 15 years on the arson charge.
    After exhausting his post-conviction remedies in the
    Illinois state courts, Mosley filed a habeas corpus peti-
    tion in federal court alleging ineffective assistance of
    2                                                No. 12-1083
    counsel at trial. The district court granted his petition
    and directed the State to release Mosley unless within
    30 days it either filed an appeal or announced its inten-
    tion to retry him. U.S. ex rel. Mosley v. Hinsley, 
    2011 WL 3840332
     (N.D. Ill. Aug. 26, 2011). The State has
    appealed, and Mosley challenges our jurisdiction over
    this appeal.
    We have jurisdiction to hear this appeal, and we
    agree with the district court’s determination that the
    state court’s summary dismissal of Mosley’s ineffective
    assistance of counsel claim was contrary to federal law
    clearly established by the Supreme Court of the United
    States. The district court had to make that decision based
    on the record before the state courts. See Cullen v.
    Pinholster, 
    131 S. Ct. 1388
    , 1398 (2011); 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    (d).
    The record before the state courts consisted of the
    original trial record and the affidavits of two potential
    alibi witnesses whom Mosley’s defense lawyer did not
    call to testify at trial. We agree with the district court
    that if those affidavits are true, then Mosley’s lawyer
    provided ineffective assistance.
    That determination does not, however, entitle Mosley
    to the grant of his petition. We also must ask whether
    the affidavits are in fact true, and whether there is
    other evidence relevant to the lawyer’s decision not to
    call those witnesses and the prejudice that might have
    resulted. The district court heard additional evidence
    that contradicted the affidavits, but the court did not
    make findings on the conflicting evidence. The court
    believed that Cullen v. Pinholster prohibited consideration
    No. 12-1083                                                3
    of that evidence in deciding whether Mosley’s convic-
    tion was actually unconstitutional. The district court
    read Pinholster too broadly. Pinholster limits a district
    court to consideration of the state record in deciding
    under § 2254(d)(1) whether a state court’s decision was
    “contrary to, or involved an unreasonable application
    of, clearly established Federal law . . . .” Where a district
    court properly finds that a state court’s decision was
    contrary to or involved an unreasonable application
    of clearly established federal law, it must still answer
    the question underlying § 2254(a): whether a petitioner
    is actually “in custody in violation of the Constitution
    or laws or treaties of the United States.” Pinholster
    does not confine a district court’s decision on that
    ultimate question under § 2254(a) to a limited state
    court record. A state court’s mistake in summarily
    rejecting a petition, i.e., without fully evaluating con-
    flicting evidence on disputed factual issues, does not
    necessarily mean the petitioner is ultimately entitled
    to relief.
    The basic point is familiar from ordinary civil cases. If
    a trial court has erroneously granted summary judg-
    ment to one side in a civil case, that error does not neces-
    sarily mean that the other side is entitled to judgment
    in its favor. Similarly here, relevant evidence was never
    presented to the state court before it summarily, and
    erroneously, dismissed the petition. The new evidence
    must be considered to decide the ultimate merits of the
    petitioner’s claim. We vacate the district court’s grant
    of Mosley’s petition and remand for an evaluation of
    whether Mosley’s counsel was in fact constitutionally
    4                                              No. 12-1083
    ineffective. In making that evaluation, the district court
    shall consider any relevant evidence, whether it was
    presented to the state court or not. The district court
    should exercise its discretion in deciding whether
    to review the evidence the court heard in its prior evi-
    dentiary hearing, to hold a new evidentiary hearing,
    or both.
    I. Appellate Jurisdiction
    Before addressing the merits, we must consider our
    jurisdiction over this appeal. Mosley argues that this
    court lacks jurisdiction because there is actually no pend-
    ing appeal to decide. When the district court granted
    Mosley’s petition for a writ of habeas corpus, its opinion
    ordered the State of Illinois to release Mosley from
    custody unless, within 30 days from the entry of
    that opinion, the State announced its intention to
    retry Mosley or filed its notice of appeal. The separate
    Rule 58 judgment accompanying the order, however,
    omitted the 30-days language. It said only: “IT IS
    HEREBY ORDERED AND ADJUDGED that the court
    grants Christopher Mosley’s petition for a writ of
    habeas corpus.” After the district court denied the
    State’s Rule 59 motion to alter or amend the judgment,
    the State filed a timely notice of appeal.
    Shortly thereafter, the State noticed that the order and
    the judgment did not contain the same language. On
    motion by the State, we remanded the case to the
    district court for the limited purpose of modifying the
    judgment nunc pro tunc to bring it into line with the
    No. 12-1083                                                5
    district court’s opinion. On February 3, 2012, the district
    court entered an amended judgment nunc pro tunc to
    conform the judgment to the opinion. Nunc pro tunc is a
    Latin phrase that means “now for then.” A judge can
    issue a nunc pro tunc order to change records to reflect
    what actually happened, though not to rewrite history.
    Justice v. Town of Cicero, 
    682 F.3d 662
    , 664 (7th Cir. 2012).
    Although the State had filed a timely notice of appeal
    from the district court’s original judgment, it did not
    file a new notice of appeal from the February 3, 2012 judg-
    ment. Mosley argues that Circuit Rule 57 requires that
    a new notice of appeal be filed under these circum-
    stances. Circuit Rule 57 provides:
    A party who during the pendency of an appeal has
    filed a motion under Fed. R. Civ. P. 60(a) or 60(b),
    Fed. R. Crim. P. 35(b), or any other rule that permits
    the modification of a final judgment, should
    request the district court to indicate whether it is
    inclined to grant the motion. If the district court so
    indicates, this court will remand the case for
    the purpose of modifying the judgment. Any party
    dissatisfied with the judgment as modified must file
    a fresh notice of appeal.
    Mosley argues that the State is still “dissatisfied with
    the judgment as modified” and should have filed a
    new notice of appeal, so that its failure to do so bars our
    jurisdiction over this appeal. Fogel v. Gordon & Glickson,
    P.C., 
    393 F.3d 727
    , 733 (7th Cir. 2004) (to challenge an
    amended judgment, appellant must file a new notice of
    appeal); Fed. R. App. P. 12.1 advisory committee note
    6                                              No. 12-1083
    (“When relief is sought in the district court during the
    pendency of an appeal, litigants should bear in mind
    the likelihood that a new or amended notice of appeal
    will be necessary in order to challenge the district
    court’s disposition of the motion.”).
    The State responds that because the district court
    amended its judgment nunc pro tunc, the original notice
    of appeal remains effective. The State relies on Johnson
    v. Acevedo, 
    572 F.3d 398
     (7th Cir. 2009), and the
    related district court proceedings following a Circuit
    Rule 57 remand in that case. In Johnson, the district
    court’s Rule 58 judgment was defective because it
    stated only that the writ of habeas corpus was “condition-
    ally granted” without specifying the condition. 
    Id. at 400
    .
    Upon learning of this jurisdictional issue, we “put the
    appeal in stasis while the parties returned to the
    district court and obtained a proper final judgment.” 
    Id.
    To cure the jurisdictional defect in Johnson, the State
    filed in the district court a motion requesting an order
    stating the court’s inclination to correct its judgment
    nunc pro tunc, which the district court granted. We
    granted the State’s Circuit Rule 57 motion and remanded
    for the limited purpose of allowing the district court
    to correct the judgment nunc pro tunc. The State filed
    its motion to correct the judgment nunc pro tunc. The
    district court granted the motion and then entered
    an amended judgment. With the conclusion of that
    process, the parties had “obtained a proper final judg-
    ment” and the appeal could proceed.
    The same procedure was followed here, and under the
    reasoning of Johnson, we have jurisdiction over this
    No. 12-1083                                                7
    appeal. As in Johnson, the district court’s judgment in
    this case was inconsistent with its opinion because the
    judgment failed to include the conditions that could
    delay or prevent Mosley’s release. After we had already
    taken jurisdiction of its appeal, the State noted the
    error and brought it to our attention. The district court
    stated its inclination to correct its judgment nunc
    pro tunc, that is, to retroactively amend its judgment
    through its inherent power, and we remanded for
    the limited purpose of allowing it to do so, but
    retained jurisdiction, as permitted by Rule 12.1(b) of the
    Federal Rules of Appellate Procedure. See Fed. R. App. P.
    12.1 advisory committee note (“The court of appeals
    may instead choose to remand for the sole purpose of
    ruling on the motion while retaining jurisdiction to pro-
    ceed with the appeal after the district court rules on the
    motion . . . .”). The district court’s February 3, 2012 judg-
    ment thus had retroactive legal effect back to August 26,
    2011, and this appeal remained pending. A new notice
    of appeal was unnecessary. The State’s January 12, 2012
    notice of appeal was therefore effective, and this Court
    has jurisdiction over this appeal.
    II. The Merits of the Petition
    Our determination that we have jurisdiction over
    this appeal brings us to the merits: Mosley’s petition for
    a writ of habeas corpus. The statutory authority of
    federal courts to issue habeas corpus relief for persons
    in state custody is provided by 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    , as
    8                                                 No. 12-1083
    amended by the Antiterrorism and Effective Death
    Penalty Act of 1996 (AEDPA). Section § 2254(d) states:
    An application for a writ of habeas corpus on behalf
    of a person in custody pursuant to the judgment of
    a State court shall not be granted with respect to
    any claim that was adjudicated on the merits in
    State court proceedings unless the adjudication of the
    claim —
    (1) resulted in a decision that was contrary to,
    or involved an unreasonable application of,
    clearly established Federal law, as determined
    by the Supreme Court of the United States; or
    (2) resulted in a decision that was based on an
    unreasonable determination of the facts in light
    of the evidence presented in the State court pro-
    ceeding.
    This provision means that on habeas review, federal
    courts are usually limited to a deferential review of the
    reasonableness, rather than the absolute correctness, of
    a state court decision. E.g., Harrington v. Richter, 
    131 S. Ct. 770
    , 785 (2011). For purposes of reasonableness review,
    “a state prisoner must show that the state court’s ruling
    on the claim being presented in federal court was
    so lacking in justification that there was an error
    well understood and comprehended in existing law
    beyond any possibility for fairminded disagreement.”
    
    Id. at 786-87
    .
    Where the state court’s decision is “contrary to” federal
    law, that decision is not entitled to the usual AEDPA
    No. 12-1083                                                  9
    deference and is therefore reviewed de novo with the
    reviewing court applying the correct legal standard.
    Martin v. Grosshans, 
    424 F.3d 588
    , 592 (7th Cir. 2005). A
    state court’s decision is “contrary to” clearly established
    federal law where it is “substantially different from
    the relevant precedent” of the Supreme Court. Williams
    v. Taylor, 
    529 U.S. 362
    , 405 (2000).
    Federal review of a claim governed by § 2254(d)(1) “is
    limited to the record that was before the state court
    that adjudicated the claim on the merits.” Pinholster, 
    131 S. Ct. at 1398
    . “It would be strange to ask federal courts
    to analyze whether a state court’s adjudication resulted
    in a decision that unreasonably applied federal law to
    facts not before the state court.” 
    Id. at 1399
    . Thus, under
    § 2254(d)(1), “evidence later introduced in federal court
    is irrelevant.” Id. at 1400. If § 2254(d) does not bar
    relief, then an evidentiary hearing may be needed. Id. at
    1412 (Breyer, J., concurring in part and dissenting in part).1
    1
    Before the Supreme Court decided Pinholster, the district
    court in this case had already held a two-day evidentiary
    hearing. After Pinholster was decided, the State brought the
    decision to the district court’s attention, arguing that for
    purposes of § 2254(d), the district court had to determine
    whether the state court’s decision was contrary to or an unrea-
    sonable application of federal law based only on the evidence
    available to the state court when it made its decision. The
    district court agreed with the State and disregarded the evi-
    dentiary hearing when conducting its § 2254(d) analysis.
    Mosley, the State, and we agree that after Pinholster, the
    district court was correct to limit its review.
    10                                              No. 12-1083
    A. Factual and Procedural Background
    Mosley’s claim is that his trial counsel was constitution-
    ally ineffective, which requires him to show that coun-
    sel’s performance fell below an objective standard of rea-
    sonableness and he was prejudiced as a result. See Strick-
    land v. Washington, 
    466 U.S. 668
    , 687 (1984) (establishing
    the familiar two-part “performance” and “prejudice” test
    for ineffective assistance of counsel claims). Because
    Mosley’s claim relates to the effectiveness of his trial
    counsel, we begin by summarizing the State’s case
    against Mosley and the details of his bench trial, then
    the post-conviction state court proceedings, and then
    the district court proceedings.
    1. State Court Conviction
    Mosley was a member of the Gangster Disciples
    street gang and sold drugs from the corner of 71st and
    Rhodes on the south side of Chicago. Marlo Fernando, a
    competitor of Mosley’s, lived in an apartment building
    located at 7108 S. Rhodes and sold drugs out of her
    second-floor apartment. In June or July 1997, Mosley told
    Fernando that she would have to pay “taxes” to the
    Gangster Disciples since she was selling drugs out of the
    building. After Fernando refused, her car window
    was smashed. Fernando demanded reimbursement for
    replacing the window from Mosley, who told her she
    would be paid but only if she stopped selling drugs.
    When Fernando did not receive money for her window,
    she began calling the police every time she saw Mosley
    and his friends in front of her building.
    No. 12-1083                                            11
    On August 15, 1997, at around 10:30 p.m., fire was set
    to Fernando’s apartment building. The fire killed one
    resident of the building, Zulean Wilson. The fire was
    arson, so Wilson’s death was murder. Expert testimony
    at trial established that gasoline was poured on stairwell
    doors located on the building’s second floor and was lit
    with a match or a cigarette lighter. Mosley was arrested
    and charged with murder and arson based on a theory
    of accountability. Under Illinois law, Mosley was “ac-
    countable” for the murder and arson if, either before
    or during the commission of the offense, he solicited,
    aided, abetted, agreed, or attempted to aid another in
    the planning or the commission of the offense. 720 ILCS
    5/5-2; People v. Perez, 
    725 N.E.2d 1258
    , 1264 (Ill. 2000).
    The State’s theory was that Mosley had ordered two
    younger gang associates, then 14 and 13 years old, to
    set the building on fire.
    At Mosley’s trial, Fernando testified that after she
    began calling the police about two weeks before the fire,
    she heard Mosley say on at least five occasions that he
    was going to kill her. Earlier on the day of the fire,
    Fernando testified, she heard Mosley say he was going
    to “kill that B.” Then immediately before she realized
    her building was on fire, she heard Mosley say “burn this
    motherfucker down.” Nailal Ledbetter, a friend of
    Fernando’s, testified that she was at Fernando’s apart-
    ment on the evening of the fire. According to Ledbetter,
    when the fire started between 10:00 and 10:30 p.m.,
    Mosley ran past the window, looked up and said, “burn
    this motherfucker down.” Officer Robert Tovar testi-
    fied that Mosley, after being brought into the police
    12                                                No. 12-1083
    station the day after the fire, admitted that he said “let
    it burn” before he saw people being injured as a result
    of the fire.
    The sole defense witness was Ishi Coward. She testified
    that on the evening of the fire, she, Mosley, and a group
    of people were in the schoolyard at 70th Street and
    Rhodes Avenue between 7:00 and 7:30 p.m. She testified
    that Mosley was in the schoolyard the entire time until
    the fire occurred at about 10:30 p.m. When she, Mosley,
    and the others saw a fire at the building, they all ran
    across the street. Coward testified that she never heard
    Mosley tell anyone to burn the building down or to let
    the building burn.
    The judge found Mosley guilty of first-degree murder
    and aggravated arson based on accountability, and sen-
    tenced him to consecutive prison terms of 60 and
    15 years, respectively. Mosley appealed his convictions,
    which were affirmed on February 6, 2002. Mosley did
    not seek further direct review of his convictions.
    2. Post-Conviction State Court Proceedings
    Five years after the fatal fire, on September 5, 2002,
    Mosley filed a post-conviction petition in state court,
    pursuant to the Illinois Post-Conviction Hearing Act of
    1998, 725 ILCS 5/122 et seq., claiming that he was denied
    the effective assistance of trial counsel. Mosley alleged
    that his counsel was ineffective for failing to present
    the testimony of two alibi witnesses, Keely Jones and
    Sharon Taylor. In support of his petition, Mosley at-
    tached affidavits from Jones and Taylor.
    No. 12-1083                                            13
    Jones stated that on August 15, 1997, she arrived at the
    schoolyard at about 7:45 or 8:00 p.m. and met with
    several people, including Mosley. The group had been
    there a couple of hours when they heard someone
    shouting about a fire and they saw the building was
    on fire. Everyone ran across the street to the building to
    see if they could help, and Mosley assisted some of
    the people in the fire to safety. When Jones learned a
    couple of days after the incident that Mosley was
    arrested in connection with the fire, she went to visit
    him and was told he was accused of telling someone
    to burn the building down or of saying to let the
    building burn. Jones told Mosley that she would testify
    on his behalf, and Mosley gave Jones his attorney’s
    contact information. Jones was unable to reach the
    attorney by phone but spoke with him on three separate
    occasions in the courtroom, telling him that she would
    testify for Mosley. Mosley’s attorney told her that he
    would need her to testify, but he never contacted Jones
    and never called her as a witness even though she was
    present for Mosley’s trial.
    Sharon Taylor’s apartment was directly above
    Fernando’s. Taylor stated in her affidavit that she was
    in her apartment sitting on a couch by an open window
    with her son. She saw Mosley and a group of people
    running from the schoolyard yelling that the building
    was on fire, but she never heard Mosley tell someone
    to burn down the building. Mosley helped people to
    safety, including her son, whom Taylor dropped into
    Mosley’s arms from her window. Taylor later learned
    that Mosley was arrested for the fire and that he was
    14                                            No. 12-1083
    accused of telling someone to burn down the building or
    saying to let the building burn. Taylor stated that the
    allegations were not true because she witnessed
    Mosley run across the street from the schoolyard with
    other people. Taylor suggested to Mosley that she testify
    on his behalf, and he gave her his attorney’s contact in-
    formation. She was unable to reach the attorney by
    phone, but approached him in court and told him that
    she would like to testify for Mosley. The attorney
    assured Taylor that she would be called as a witness,
    but she was never called to testify even though she was
    present during Mosley’s trial.
    After reviewing the trial record and the affidavits of
    Jones and Taylor, the Illinois trial court summarily
    denied Mosley’s post-conviction petition as frivolous
    and without merit, finding that Mosley’s attorney did
    not call Jones and Taylor as a matter of trial strategy
    and that if they had been called to testify, the result of
    the trial would not have been different.
    Mosley appealed that ruling, and, after reviewing
    de novo the ineffective assistance of counsel claim, the
    Illinois Appellate Court affirmed. On the performance
    prong, the appellate court found that the trial attorney’s
    decision not to call Taylor and Jones as alibi witnesses
    was reasonable and a matter of trial strategy. The
    appellate court also found that Mosley had failed to
    satisfy the prejudice prong of Strickland, “as the record
    shows that the outcome of the trial would not have
    differed if Jones and Taylor had testified.” Mosley’s
    petition for leave to appeal to the Illinois Supreme
    Court was denied without opinion.
    No. 12-1083                                              15
    3. Federal Habeas Proceedings
    Mosley then filed a petition for writ of habeas corpus
    in the federal district court, again asserting ineffective
    assistance of counsel, and the district court held an evi-
    dentiary hearing. Shortly after that hearing, the Supreme
    Court issued Cullen v. Pinholster, 
    131 S. Ct. 1388
     (2011),
    which the State argued required the district court to
    confine its review to the record before the state court.
    The district court accepted this argument and disre-
    garded the evidence from the evidentiary hearing,
    limiting its analysis to the state trial record and the af-
    fidavits from Jones and Taylor, for that was the evidence
    available to the state court when it reviewed Mosley’s
    ineffective assistance of counsel claim. Mosley, 
    2011 WL 3840332
    , at *1 n.2.
    Based on that review, the district court determined
    that Mosley’s claim met the requirements of § 2254(d) in
    two ways. On the performance prong of Strickland, the
    district court determined that it was unreasonable for
    the state court to find that trial counsel’s decision not
    to call Jones and Taylor was a matter of trial strategy.
    On the prejudice prong, the district court found
    that the state court’s decision was contrary to estab-
    lished Supreme Court precedent because it required
    Mosley to show that the outcome would have been dif-
    ferent, rather than only a “reasonable probability” of a
    different outcome required under the Strickland stan-
    dard. Thus, the district court conducted a de novo review of
    the prejudice inquiry and determined that there was a
    reasonable probability that, but for the unprofessional
    16                                              No. 12-1083
    errors of counsel, the outcome of the trial would have
    been different.
    The State has     appealed the district court’s grant of
    Mosley’s habeas     petition. We review de novo the district
    court’s decision     to grant habeas relief. Suh v. Pierce,
    
    630 F.3d 685
    , 690   (7th Cir. 2011).
    B. § 2254(d)
    Our first task is to determine whether the Illinois Ap-
    pellate Court’s rejection of Mosley’s ineffective assistance
    of counsel claim was either “contrary to, or involved
    an unreasonable application of” the federal law clearly
    established by the Supreme Court in Strickland v. Wash-
    ington. See 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    (d)(1). To demonstrate inef-
    fective assistance under Strickland, a prisoner must
    show both that counsel’s performance was deficient
    and that the prisoner was prejudiced as a result. 
    466 U.S. at 687
    .
    1. Performance
    The performance standard provides significant
    latitude for permissible attorney conduct, and a
    prisoner “must overcome the presumption that, under
    the circumstances, the challenged action might be consid-
    ered sound trial strategy.” Strickland, 
    466 U.S. at 689
    (internal quotation marks omitted). If the prisoner has
    identified specific errors or omissions, the court must
    determine “whether, in light of all the circumstances,
    No. 12-1083                                             17
    the identified acts or omissions were outside the wide
    range of professionally competent assistance.” 
    Id. at 690
    .
    In its post-conviction review of Mosley’s case, the
    Illinois Appellate Court concluded that trial counsel’s
    decision not to call Taylor and Jones as alibi witnesses
    was reasonable and a matter of trial strategy because
    (1) their testimony would have been cumulative to that
    of Ishi Coward and (2) their testimony would have bol-
    stered the state’s case against Mosley on a theory of
    accountability by reinforcing the fact that he was across
    the street when the fire began.
    The state court’s analysis was an unreasonable applica-
    tion of Strickland for two reasons. First, on the limited
    record before the state courts, it was unreasonable to
    find summarily that trial counsel chose not to call Jones
    and Taylor as a matter of strategy. According to their
    affidavits, which were treated as true for purposes of
    the state courts’ summary disposition, Mosley’s lawyer
    never even interviewed them to learn what they might
    say. On that limited record before the state courts, the
    courts had to assume the lawyer was not aware of
    the specifics of their potential testimony. To avoid the
    inevitable temptation to evaluate a lawyer’s performance
    through the distorting lens of hindsight, Strickland estab-
    lishes a deferential presumption that strategic judg-
    ments made by defense counsel are reasonable. 
    466 U.S. at 690-91
    . But the presumption applies only if the
    lawyer actually exercised judgment. See 
    id.
     (“strategic
    choices made after less than complete investigation
    are reasonable precisely to the extent that reasonable
    professional judgments support the limitations on in-
    18                                               No. 12-1083
    vestigation”). The consequences of inattention rather
    than reasoned strategic decisions are not entitled to the
    presumption of reasonableness. Rompilla v. Beard, 
    545 U.S. 374
    , 395-96 (2005); Wiggins v. Smith, 
    539 U.S. 510
    , 533-
    34 (2003). If, as Jones and Taylor claimed in their af-
    fidavits, Mosley’s lawyer never found out what their
    testimony would be, he could not possibly have made
    a reasonable professional judgment that their testi-
    mony would have been cumulative or bolstered the
    State’s case and could not have chosen not to call Jones
    and Taylor as a matter of strategy.
    It was also unreasonable to find that Jones’s and
    Taylor’s testimony would have been cumulative and
    bolstered the State’s case on a theory of accountability.
    Evidence is cumulative when it “goes to prove what has
    already been established by other evidence.” Smith v.
    Secretary of New Mexico Dep’t of Corrections, 
    50 F.3d 801
    ,
    829 (10th Cir. 1995); Watkins v. Miller, 
    92 F. Supp. 2d 824
    ,
    837 (S.D. Ind. 2000). Whether evidence is cumulative or
    not is a particular type of problem in evaluating the
    probative value of evidence, and it requires judgment.
    Evidence that provides corroborating support to
    one side’s sole witness on a central and hotly con-
    tested factual issue cannot reasonably be described as
    cumulative. See, e.g., United States v. Vickers, 442 Fed.
    App’x 79, 84 (5th Cir. 2011); United States v. Stevens, 277
    Fed. App’x 898, 900-01 (11th Cir. 2008); Vasquez v. Jones, 
    496 F.3d 564
    , 576 (6th Cir. 2007); see generally Arizona v.
    Fulminante, 
    499 U.S. 279
    , 299 (1991) (second defendant’s
    confession was not merely cumulative of first defendant’s
    confession where they could reinforce and corroborate
    each other).
    No. 12-1083                                                 19
    Here, Mosley’s location when the fire was started was
    the critical issue in the case. Fernando testified that
    Mosley was underneath her window, ordering the two
    younger boys to burn down the building. According to
    their affidavits, Jones and Taylor would have testified
    that Mosley was in the schoolyard across the street.
    That testimony would not have been cumulative to the
    testimony of Ishi Coward, who was confused by the
    trial judge’s questioning and seemed to testify (incor-
    rectly) at one point that no one from the schoolyard,
    including Mosley, ever left to go to the burning building.
    “[T]estimony of additional witnesses cannot auto-
    matically be categorized as cumulative and unnecessary.”
    Crisp v. Duckworth, 
    743 F.2d 580
    , 585 (7th Cir. 1984).
    Where, as here, the location of the defendant is critical
    to the case and there were problems with the testimony
    of the sole alibi witness, additional witnesses may well
    be critical for effective representation. See, e.g., Washington
    v. Smith, 
    219 F.3d 620
    , 634 (7th Cir. 2000) (finding
    counsel’s failure to investigate and call additional wit-
    nesses was deficient due in part to the fact that the one
    alibi witness who was called had questionable credibility
    because of prior convictions); Montgomery v. Petersen,
    
    846 F.2d 407
    , 411-15 (7th Cir. 1988) (finding counsel
    ineffective for not calling additional, disinterested alibi
    witnesses not subject to the same impeachment as
    family members).
    The state court said that Jones’s and Taylor’s testimony
    “would have reinforced that defendant was across the
    street from the fire at the time that it occurred, thereby
    strengthening the State’s case against him based on
    20                                           No. 12-1083
    accountability.” That determination was not reasonable.
    As the district court correctly noted, it is exactly the
    ability of Jones and Taylor to place Mosley across the
    street (and not under Fernando’s window ordering the
    boys to set the fire) that could have made a difference.
    The lynchpin of the prosecution’s case, tying Mosley to
    the actions of the younger boys, was the “burn this
    motherfucker down” comment that Fernando and
    Ledbetter claimed to have heard. To say that the state
    trial judge relied heavily on that comment would be an
    understatement — he quoted it numerous times in pro-
    nouncing guilt and sentencing Mosley. When discussing
    defense counsel’s assertion that any statement made
    by Mosley was made after coming upon a fire already
    set, the judge specifically found that Mosley was
    below Fernando’s window before the fire was set and
    that the comment was indeed a directive to the two
    boys. Additional witnesses placing Mosley across the
    street and not in front of the building at the time the
    fire was set would have bolstered the defense’s theory,
    not the prosecution’s.
    Because, according to the affidavits that had to be
    taken as true in the state courts’ summary disposition,
    trial counsel failed even to interview Jones and Taylor
    to learn the content of their potential testimony, it
    was unreasonable for the state appellate court to find
    summarily that trial counsel made a strategic decision
    not to call them as witnesses. In addition, it was unrea-
    sonable for the state appellate court to find summarily
    that their potential testimony would have been cumula-
    tive or would have bolstered the state’s case.
    No. 12-1083                                                    21
    2. Prejudice
    To succeed on a Strickland ineffective assistance of
    counsel claim, Mosley must also show that he suffered
    prejudice as a result of his counsel’s poor performance.
    The state court found that Mosley had not satisfied the
    prejudice prong. The problem is that the state court
    repeatedly misstated the controlling constitutional stan-
    dard under Strickland. For example, citing Strickland
    itself, the Illinois Appellate Court set out the prejudice
    prong as “he must show that . . . he was prejudiced, that
    is, the result of the proceedings would have differed but
    for defense counsel’s deficient performance.” App. 32
    (emphasis added). Later, the court reiterated: “As the
    trial court stated, had defense counsel called Taylor and
    Jones to testify, the result of the trial would not have differed,
    as they merely would have placed defendant across the
    street at the time of the offense.” App. 36 (emphasis
    added).
    The district court found that the state appellate court’s
    decision was, in the terms of § 2254(d)(1), “contrary to”
    Strickland because it required Mosley to show that the
    result would have been different. We agree. Strickland’s
    prejudice prong actually requires that the defendant
    show “there is a reasonable probability that, but for
    counsel’s unprofessional errors, the result of the pro-
    ceeding would have been different.” Strickland, 
    466 U.S. at 694
     (emphasis added). This is not a mere detail or a
    quibble over word-smithing. The Supreme Court has
    used this precise discrepancy to illustrate how a state
    court’s decision may be “contrary to” clearly established
    federal law under § 2254(d)(1):
    22                                              No. 12-1083
    A state-court decision will certainly be contrary to
    our clearly established precedent if the state court
    applies a rule that contradicts the governing law set
    forth in our cases. Take, for example, our decision
    in Strickland v. Washington, 
    466 U.S. 668
     (1984). If a
    state court were to reject a prisoner’s claim of inef-
    fective assistance of counsel on the grounds that
    the prisoner had not established by a preponderance
    of the evidence that the result of his criminal pro-
    ceeding would have been different, that decision
    would be “diametrically different,” “opposite in
    character or nature,” and “mutually opposed” to
    our clearly established precedent because we held
    in Strickland that the prisoner need only demon-
    strate a “reasonable probability that . . . the result
    of the proceeding would have been different.” 
    Id. at 694
    .
    Williams v. Taylor, 
    529 U.S. 362
    , 405-06 (2000). The state
    court’s formulation in this case is also nearly identical
    in wording to one we have found “contrary to”
    Strickland: “but for defense counsel’s unprofessional
    errors, the result of the proceeding would have been
    different.” Martin v. Grosshans, 
    424 F.3d 588
    , 592 (7th
    Cir. 2005).
    The State argues that this case is similar to Sussman
    v. Jenkins, 
    636 F.3d 329
     (7th Cir. 2011), where we found
    that a state court’s omission of the “reasonable proba-
    bility” language was not contrary to Strickland. 
    Id.
     at 359-
    60. As the State points out, the state courts here and
    in Sussman cited cases that in turn cited the proper stan-
    No. 12-1083                                               23
    dard, but that is where the similarities end. In Sussman,
    we held that it was clear from the state court’s opinion
    that the state court did not believe that the evidence
    in question had a reasonable probability of altering the
    jury’s verdict because it would have added little to the
    information received by the jury and would have been
    insignificant in impeaching the victim’s credibility. 
    Id. at 360
    . As a result, we found the use of a “shorthand”
    version of the Strickland prejudice test did not suggest
    that the state court employed the wrong standard. 
    Id.
    In this case, though, the State’s case against Mosley was
    far from unassailable, and “a verdict or conclusion
    only weakly supported by the record is more likely to
    have been affected by errors than one with over-
    whelming record support.” Strickland, 
    466 U.S. at 696
    .
    The state appellate court did not merely recite the
    wrong standard or use an inapt shorthand expression of
    the standard. It applied an incorrect and more onerous
    standard, and the difference may well have been deci-
    sive. Because the state appellate court’s analysis was
    contrary to Strickland, this court reviews the prejudice
    prong de novo. Grosshans, 
    424 F.3d at 592
    .
    So now we examine whether there was a reasonable
    probability the outcome would have been different,
    again limiting our review to the evidence before the
    state court. A reasonable probability is “a probability
    sufficient to undermine confidence in the outcome.”
    Strickland, 
    466 U.S. at 694
    . “In weighing the effect of coun-
    sel’s errors, the court must consider the totality of the
    evidence before the judge or jury. Consequently, a
    verdict or conclusion that is overwhelmingly supported
    24                                                No. 12-1083
    by the record is less likely to have been affected by
    errors than one that is only weakly supported by the
    record.” Hough v. Anderson, 
    272 F.3d 878
    , 891 (7th Cir.
    2001); see also Stanley v. Bartley, 
    465 F.3d 810
    , 814 (7th
    Cir. 2006) (“For the issue is not whether [petitioner]
    is innocent, but whether if he had had a competent
    lawyer he would have had a reasonable chance (it needn’t
    be a 50 percent or greater chance) of being acquitted . . . .”)
    (internal citation omitted).
    Given the importance of Jones’s and Taylor’s potential
    testimony, at least according to their affidavits, and
    given that the evidence against Mosley was not over-
    whelming, we agree with the district court that if the
    Jones and Taylor affidavits are taken at face value, Mosley
    was prejudiced by his counsel’s failure to call the
    two witnesses. Fernando, the primary witness against
    Mosley, had a clear motive to lie. She admitted she
    was involved in an ongoing dispute with Mosley
    over the sale of illegal drugs in the neighborhood. She
    also claimed that he and his fellow gang members were
    threatening her as a result of her refusal to pay the
    gang’s “tax,” and she called the police every time they
    gathered on the corner. Fernando had a strong motive
    for wanting Mosley incarcerated, so her credibility was
    suspect.
    Further, Fernando’s testimony regarding the “burn
    this motherfucker down” comment leads to more
    questions than answers. According to her testimony at
    trial, Fernando was in her apartment doing her hair
    with her friend. She went to her bathroom to get condi-
    No. 12-1083                                             25
    tioner for her hair when, she claimed, she heard Mosley
    say “burn this motherfucker down.” This comment was
    the State’s key piece of evidence for holding Mosley
    accountable for the younger boys’ starting of the fire.
    She then testified that she walked from the bathroom to
    her living room, looked out an open window, and
    saw Mosley standing outside alone. She then looked
    up and saw a group of individuals running from the
    schoolyard on the corner yelling that the building was
    on fire. She opened her front door, saw smoke in the
    hallway, and saw the two younger boys running
    down the hall. The district court described the problem
    persuasively:
    Fernando’s testimony presents an almost impossible
    factual scenario. First of all, if Fernando’s version of
    events is to be believed, the following must have
    happened: in the time it took her to walk from her
    bathroom (where she allegedly heard Mosley say
    “burn the motherfucker down”) to her living room,
    the two boys who lit the fire ran from below her
    window (where they were allegedly getting the direc-
    tive from Mosley to start the fire) into the apart-
    ment building, ran up the stairs to the second floor,
    poured gasoline in the opening to the second floor
    hallway, and lit the fire. Fernando claimed that when
    she looked out her living room window and identified
    Mosley, she saw a group of people running towards
    her building from the schoolyard yelling that the
    building was on fire. So, in the time it took Fernando
    to walk from her bathroom to her living room,
    Mosley gave the directive, the boys ran into the build-
    26                                               No. 12-1083
    ing, threw the gasoline, lit the fire, and the fire pro-
    gressed so that smoke was visible to the crowd of
    people across the street in the schoolyard.
    
    2011 WL 3840332
    , at *4. Not even Ledbetter’s testimony
    supports this version of the events: She testified that she
    noticed “people were yelling fire, fire, fire,” and then she
    went to the window and saw Mosley standing below
    “yelling burn this down.”
    The State argues that Mosley was not prejudiced by
    trial counsel’s decision not to call Jones and Taylor
    because their evidence was not exculpatory — it could
    not negate Mosley’s guilt on an accountability theory.
    Essentially, the State seems to be arguing that even if
    Mosley had not made the statement at issue and was
    indeed across the street at the time the fire was set, he
    still would have been found guilty. We agree that if
    the judge had rejected Fernando’s and Ledbetter’s testi-
    mony, it still would have been possible to find Mosley
    guilty under that reasoning, at least in theory. But the
    theoretical possibility does not defeat Mosley’s showing
    of prejudice under Strickland. The trial judge gave
    detailed reasons for finding Mosley guilty. Those com-
    ments show that two findings were central to the
    verdict: (1) Mosley was in fact under Fernando’s window
    before the fire was set, and (2) he in fact told the
    two younger boys to “burn this motherfucker down.”
    The State also reiterates its argument that the testi-
    mony of Jones and Taylor would have been merely cumu-
    lative to that of Ishi Coward. As explained above
    regarding the performance prong, Jones’s and Taylor’s
    No. 12-1083                                            27
    substantially similar testimony, at least as set out in
    their affidavits, would not have been cumulative.
    Coward’s testimony was confused and was not corrobo-
    rated. It is clear from the transcript that Mosley’s loca-
    tion at the time the fire was set was the key issue to the
    judge. Additional alibi witnesses can add “a great deal
    of substance and credibility to [the defendant’s] alibi.”
    Washington, 
    219 F.3d at 634
    . Thus, if the Jones and
    Taylor affidavits are taken at face value, we agree with
    the district court that there is a reasonable probability
    that the result of the trial would have been different
    with the addition of two alibi witnesses to con-
    tradict Fernando’s testimony and support Coward’s. We
    affirm the district court’s holding that, based on the
    state court record, Mosley has met the requirements of
    § 2254(d).
    C. §2254(a)
    Mosley argues that the inquiry should end there: based
    on the evidence available to the state court, his counsel
    was ineffective and thus his habeas petition should
    be granted to give him a new trial. Mosley further
    argues (and the district court agreed) that the State
    waived its right to ask the district court to examine the
    evidence from the evidentiary hearing when it cited
    Pinholster for the proposition that new evidence could not
    be considered in deciding under § 2254(d) whether
    the state court’s decision had been contrary to or an
    unreasonable application of clearly established federal
    law. The State did not mention in that filing that it
    28                                               No. 12-1083
    thought the new evidence should be considered if the
    district court found that Mosley had met the require-
    ments of § 2254(d).
    We disagree with this finding of waiver. Mosley’s
    waiver theory assumes that the State needed to think
    through every possible implication of Pinholster to avoid
    waiver on any of the possible permutations and errors that
    might be made in the district court’s ultimate decision.
    We believe that the theory expects too much of lawyers.
    The State’s lawyers certainly did not invite or en-
    courage the critical error that was made here. The State
    simply made no mention of considering the testimony
    from the evidentiary hearing if the district court found
    that the state court decision was contrary to or an unrea-
    sonable application of federal law.
    Where a habeas petitioner shows that a state court’s
    decision denying relief was contrary to or an unrea-
    sonable application of federal law, that will often show
    that the petitioner is entitled to relief, but the critical
    point here is that it will not do so always and automati-
    cally. Whether the petitioner is actually entitled to re-
    lief — whether under § 2254(a) he is in custody in
    violation of the Constitution or laws or treaties of the
    United States — is a separate question.
    The procedures the state court used in reaching its
    erroneous decision must be considered in deciding how
    far the federal court’s § 2254(d) finding reaches toward
    a final decision to grant or deny relief. Where a state
    court considered conflicting evidence and made factual
    findings, a district court may be able to decide the § 2254(a)
    No. 12-1083                                             29
    question based on its analysis of the state court’s
    decision under § 2254(d). What happened here was
    very different. The state courts rejected Mosley’s post-
    conviction petition summarily, assuming that the Jones
    and Taylor affidavits are true. The district court and we
    agree that the state courts erred in that decision, but
    that does not mean the Jones and Taylor affidavits are
    actually true or that they provide the complete picture
    of the facts relevant to Mosley’s claim of ineffective
    assistance of counsel.
    The situation here is similar to that when a trial court
    erroneously grants a defendant’s motion for summary
    judgment. An appellate court will assume that the plain-
    tiff’s evidence was true and will reverse the summary
    judgment if there are genuine issues of material fact. The
    appellate court’s reversal, though, usually will not order
    that a final judgment be entered in favor of the plaintiff,
    but will remand for a trial to resolve those disputed
    issues of fact.
    In this case, the district court heard extensive evi-
    dence that could lead a reasonable finder of fact to
    reject many of the important elements of the Jones and
    Taylor affidavits. Pinholster did not instruct lower courts
    to ignore such evidence after determining that a state
    court’s denial of relief was erroneous under the strict
    standards of § 2254(d)(1). In fact, in his separate opinion
    in Pinholster, Justice Breyer explained this problem and
    its correct solution:
    For example, if the state-court rejection assumed
    the habeas petitioner’s facts (deciding that, even if
    30                                               No. 12-1083
    those facts were true, federal law was not violated),
    then (after finding the state court wrong on a (d)
    ground) an (e) hearing [under § 2254(e)] might be
    needed to determine whether the facts alleged were
    indeed true. Or if the state-court rejection rested on
    a state ground, which a federal habeas court found
    inadequate, then an (e) hearing might be needed
    to consider the petitioner’s (now unblocked) substan-
    tive federal claim. Or if the state-court rejection
    rested on only one of several related federal
    grounds (e.g., that counsel’s assistance was not “inade-
    quate”), then, if the federal court found that the
    state court’s decision in respect to the ground in
    deciding violated (d), an (e) hearing might be
    needed to consider other related parts of the whole
    constitutional claim (e.g., whether the counsel’s
    “inadequate” assistance was also prejudicial). There
    may be other situations in which an (e) hearing is
    needed as well.
    131 S. Ct. at 1412 (Breyer, J., concurring in part and dis-
    senting in part). Mosley’s situation fits neatly within
    Justice Breyer’s first hypothetical. The state court
    evaluated Mosley’s claim as supported by the Jones
    and Taylor affidavits and decided that even if those
    affidavits were true, Mosley had not stated a claim for
    ineffective assistance of counsel. The district court
    correctly found that the state court was wrong on two
    (d) grounds. (The state court’s performance analysis
    was unreasonable and its prejudice analysis was
    contrary to clearly established federal law.) So Mosley
    cleared the § 2254(d) hurdle. That leaves Justice Breyer’s
    No. 12-1083                                                     31
    final and most basic question: are the facts alleged in
    the affidavits indeed true? To answer that question,
    the district court needed to hold an evidentiary hearing,
    as it did, but also to make findings on the disputed
    facts, which it did not.2
    We thus vacate the district court’s grant of Mosley’s
    petition for habeas corpus. The district court already
    held an evidentiary hearing, and in light of Pinholster, it
    properly did not rely on that evidence in its § 2254(d)
    analysis. The State now urges that we consider the evi-
    dence presented at that hearing and make a § 2254(a)
    determination as to whether the allegations in the affida-
    vits were true and, by extension, whether petitioner is in
    custody in violation of federal law (and urges that the
    answer to that question is no). Mosley, likewise, argues
    that if we were to consider the evidence presented at
    the evidentiary hearing, we would find that it supports
    his claim that he is entitled to habeas relief.
    We decline the invitations to review the testimony
    from the evidentiary hearing and to make a § 2254(a)
    2
    We agree with Mosley that “[t]he power of a court to grant
    a petition without an evidentiary hearing is unchanged by
    the Court’s ruling in Pinholster.” But that is beside the point. It
    is not Pinholster that compels the evidentiary hearing, but
    the fact that evidence relevant to the merits of Mosley’s
    claim, and tending to undermine it, was never presented to
    the state court because of its summary dismissal of
    the claim. The district court is obliged to consider such
    evidence, like all other relevant evidence, before ruling on
    the merits of the claim.
    32                                              No. 12-1083
    determination ourselves. That would require the judges
    of this court to resolve issues of credibility and to act
    as triers of fact. We could not do that job on the basis of
    a written transcript. We instead remand the matter to
    the district court. Reviewing new evidence and making
    findings of fact is properly the responsibility of the
    district court. We must remand and direct the district
    court to consider the evidence presented in the
    evidentiary hearing, to hold a new hearing, or both, to
    determine whether Mosley’s trial counsel was in fact
    constitutionally ineffective such that Mosley’s petition
    for habeas corpus should be granted under § 2254(a).
    III. Conclusion
    The state appellate court’s decision that Mosley
    was not denied effective assistance of counsel was
    contrary to and an unreasonable application of clearly
    established federal law. We affirm the district court’s
    determination that Mosley has met the requirements
    of 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    (d). We vacate, however, the district
    court’s grant of Mosley’s habeas petition and remand for
    a determination of whether, based on new evidence not
    available to the state appellate court, Mosley’s trial
    counsel was in fact constitutionally ineffective. The
    district court may rely on the evidentiary hearing held
    July 29 and August 3, 2010, or may hold a new evi-
    dentiary hearing, or both.
    V ACATED AND R EMANDED
    8-6-12