Elliot Ray v. Marc Clements , 700 F.3d 993 ( 2012 )


Menu:
  •                            In the
    United States Court of Appeals
    For the Seventh Circuit
    No. 11-3228
    E LLIOT D. R AY,
    Petitioner-Appellant,
    v.
    M ARC C LEMENTS,
    Respondent-Appellee.
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the Eastern District of Wisconsin.
    No. 1:07-cv-00190-WCG—William C. Griesbach, Judge.
    A RGUED A PRIL 20, 2012—D ECIDED N OVEMBER 19, 2012
    Before B AUER, M ANION, and W ILLIAMS, Circuit Judges.
    W ILLIAMS, Circuit Judge. In Elliot Don Ray’s first
    federal habeas appeal we found that his constitutional
    rights were violated when the state introduced out-of-
    court statements made by individuals who did not
    testify at his murder trial. But we remanded to give the
    state the opportunity to assert a defense that Ray’s state
    post-conviction motion was untimely. Ray v. Boatwright
    (Ray I), 
    592 F.3d 793
    , 798-99 (7th Cir.), as amended (Apr. 1,
    2                                              No. 11-3228
    2010). On remand, and after an evidentiary hearing, the
    district court placed the burden of proving timeliness on
    Ray, finding that he did not timely give his state post-
    conviction motion to a prison official for mailing, and
    dismissed the petition.
    On appeal, Ray argues that the district court erred by
    placing the burden of proof on him, by not requiring
    the state to put forth an affirmative case of untimeliness,
    and by not applying the mailbox rule, which supported
    his position that his state post-conviction motion had
    been “properly filed” for the purpose of tolling AEDPA’s
    limitations period. The state asserts that the mailbox
    rule does not apply because the state procedural rule
    under which Ray challenged his conviction does not
    have a timeliness requirement, and even if the mailbox
    rule does apply, the petitioner—not the state—bears the
    burden of proof, and that Ray did not carry his burden.
    We disagree and adopt the rule set forth by the majority
    of our sister circuits that the prisoner mailbox rule
    governs whether a state post-conviction document is
    “properly filed” under the AEDPA limitations period
    unless the state has clearly rejected it. Because Wisconsin
    has not clearly rejected it, the mailbox rule applies
    in this case.
    Having so found, we address the second issue, which
    is who has the burden of proof. Where a pro se prisoner’s
    filing is not received by the state court, the habeas peti-
    tioner must produce some evidence to support his
    sworn statement of timeliness, and if this showing is
    made, the burden shifts to the state to prove untimeliness.
    No. 11-3228                                               3
    Applying these rules to this case, we find that the state
    failed to present competent evidence contradicting
    Ray’s testimony and documents showing that he timely
    gave his state post-conviction motion to a prison official
    for mailing. The district court’s finding of untimeliness
    was clearly erroneous because it ignored this lack of
    evidence and was based on nothing more than con-
    jecture and speculative doubt, allowing the state’s
    conclusory arguments to carry the day. We therefore
    reverse and remand with instructions to grant Ray’s
    habeas petition unless the state elects to retry him
    within 120 days.
    I. BACKGROUND
    As we detailed more thoroughly in our previous
    opinion, Ray was convicted in Wisconsin on state
    counts of reckless homicide, party to a crime, and reck-
    lessly endangering the safety of another. Ray I, 
    592 F.3d at 794-96
    . His conviction resulted from a retaliatory
    shooting on 29th Street in Milwaukee, Wisconsin that
    left an eleven-year-old girl dead and two other people
    injured. At Ray’s criminal trial, the state called Detective
    Daniel Phillips to describe a signed statement that
    Ray gave during his interview with police. The detec-
    tive primarily read from Ray’s statement. But he also
    recounted his own out-of-court statements informing
    Ray that two co-actors had implicated Ray in the shoot-
    ings. Detective Phillips testified:
    Ray was then confronted with numerous state-
    ments made by co-actors that they were present
    [at the] shooting on 29th Street and so was Ray.
    4                                               No. 11-3228
    Ray then stated “those stupid niggers shouldn’t
    be talking and they can’t talk for me.”
    When confronted with statements by [Miriam
    Myles] that Ray was shooting a nine-millimeter
    on 29th Street [and] in a statement by Sylvester
    Townsend . . . that Ray had a .45-caliber pistol[,]
    Ray then said “tell me which gun killed the
    girl and I’ll tell you everything.”
    Neither Miriam Myles nor Sylvester Townsend testi-
    fied during Ray’s trial. But defense counsel did not object
    to this incredibly damaging testimony. After his con-
    viction, Ray raised five issues on direct appeal, including
    a claim that Detective Phillips’s testimony violated his
    right to be confronted with the witnesses against him.
    The state appellate court ignored this claim, decided
    that Detective Phillips’s testimony was not hearsay
    because it was not offered to prove the truth of the
    matter asserted, and affirmed Ray’s conviction. The
    Supreme Court of Wisconsin denied Ray’s petition for
    review on June 12, 2003.
    Ray then sought state post-conviction relief under
    Wisconsin Statute section 974.06. That statute provides:
    “After the time for appeal or postconviction remedy . . . has
    expired, a prisoner in custody . . . claiming the right to
    be released upon the ground that the sentence was im-
    posed in violation of the U.S. constitution . . . may
    move the court which imposed the sentence to vacate, set
    aside or correct the sentence.” 
    Wis. Stat. § 974.06
    (1).
    Importantly, a section 974.06 motion for relief “is part of
    the original criminal action, is not a separate proceeding
    No. 11-3228                                                     5
    and may be made at any time.” 
    Id.
     § 974.06(2). Ray’s
    request for relief under section 974.06 was eventually
    denied on October 16, 2006.
    Ray filed two separate pro se petitions for writ of
    habeas corpus in the federal district court on February 28,
    2007. The district court summarily dismissed Ray’s peti-
    tions, exercising its authority under Rule 4 of the
    Rules Governing Section 2254 Cases,1 finding that Ray
    did not set forth a cognizable constitutional or federal
    law claim. But the court granted Ray’s request for a
    certificate of appealability to resolve Ray’s confrontation
    clause claim. On appeal, we held that “the evidence
    presented by the prosecution delivered to the jury state-
    ments by named co-actors, not available for cross-exam-
    ination, accusing Ray of the very crimes with which
    he stood charged” and “the evidence was a clear viola-
    tion of Ray’s constitutional right of confrontation.” Ray I,
    
    592 F.3d at 795-96
    . The state petitioned for rehearing
    en banc, raising a timeliness defense. We denied the
    petition, but on April 1, 2010 we issued an amended
    opinion remanding this case to the district court “so that
    the government may have an opportunity to develop the
    record on this issue” because the record contained “no
    1
    Rule 4 “enables the district court to dismiss a petition sum-
    marily, without reviewing the record at all, if it determines
    that the petition and any attached exhibits either fail to state a
    claim or are factually frivolous.” Small v. Endicott, 
    998 F.2d 411
    , 414 (7th Cir. 1993). Under this procedure, the govern-
    ment might not learn about the petition until a certificate
    of appealability is granted.
    6                                                 No. 11-3228
    evidence . . . to support the government’s assertion” of
    untimeliness. Id. at 799.
    On remand, the district court held a status conference
    to decide how to proceed. The state did not request
    additional discovery or alert the district court of any
    difficulties it had experienced in obtaining relevant
    evidence. The state filed a motion to dismiss Ray’s
    petition as untimely. Ray countered with a motion for
    summary judgment. After reviewing the parties’ briefs,
    the district court denied both motions, scheduled an
    evidentiary hearing, and ordered Ray to testify in sup-
    port of his claim that “the mailbox rule exception to the
    statute of limitations defense applies.” The court also
    ruled that Ray bore the burden of proving that his
    petition was timely.
    The record before the district court, as it existed prior
    to the evidentiary hearing, included Ray’s sworn
    affidavit detailing his claim that on April 27, 2004 he
    gave his section 974.06 motion to Ms. Tamara Smith, a
    Diamondback Correctional Facility social worker. Ray
    averred that he gave Ms. Smith the motion, with prepaid
    postage, for mailing to the Wisconsin Circuit Court
    of Milwaukee County. He maintained that Ms. Smith,
    in turn, gave him two receipts: a “Certificate of Service
    by Mail” receipt, which he signed, and a “CCA Privileged
    Correspondence Receipt,” 2 which she signed. Ray’s
    affidavit also described his efforts to obtain informa-
    tion from Ms. Smith regarding the processing of his mail.
    2
    CCA” refers to Corrections Corporation of America.
    No. 11-3228                                              7
    On June 1, 2004 and September 9, 2004, Ray wrote letters
    to Ms. Smith asking her to verify that she sent his
    section 974.06 motion to the court. He then wrote her a
    third letter on June 15, 2005, requesting the same infor-
    mation. Finally, according to Ray, after not hearing
    back from Ms. Smith, he sent a notarized letter to the
    Milwaukee clerk of court on October 4, 2006 to determine
    the status of his motion. The court informed Ray that it
    had no record of his post-conviction motion ever being
    filed, so he immediately submitted a supplemental pro se
    motion, which the court denied on October 16, 2006.
    The pre-evidentiary-hearing record contained no evi-
    dence contradicting Ray’s sworn testimony.
    On July 28, 2011, the district court held an evidentiary
    hearing. Before beginning, the court clarified that even
    though the general rule is that the party asserting an
    affirmative defense, like untimeliness, bears the burden
    of proving the defense, Ray had invoked an exception
    to the defense so the burden rested with him to prove
    that the exception applied. The court noted that Ray
    “has made the required presentation of sufficient
    evidence . . . to conclude that he has raised [the mailbox
    rule] issue. . . . [T]he state disputed it, not based on
    specific facts but inferentially, they argued that the evi-
    dence he has supporting his position is not credible.
    I have concluded that we need a factual hearing on
    that.” The hearing, according to the court, was con-
    ducted to “assess [Ray’s] credibility.”
    The evidentiary hearing began with testimony from
    Corrections Officer John T. Nedbal. He worked in the
    library of New Lisbon prison, where Ray was incar-
    8                                                 No. 11-3228
    cerated when he allegedly lost the signed CCA receipt
    after giving it to the prison library staff for photocopy-
    ing. Officer Nedbal quoted the library policy as requiring
    inmates to “identify[] material to be copied,” which he
    understood to mean that inmates were expected to
    describe precisely what they wanted copied. Officer
    Nedbal testified that he would “look [] over” the descrip-
    tions and instructions provided by the prisoner and then
    “send it to . . . get their copies,” but if he noticed anything
    “suspicious” about the materials submitted he would talk
    to the prisoner and contact a supervisor if necessary.
    Officer Nedbal explained that he was only permitted to
    “glance” at a prisoner’s “legal stuff,” so he did not read
    prisoners’ legal materials. He stated that he had “glanced
    at” the disbursement form Ray provided with his copy
    request. That form contained a “reason for request sec-
    tion,” in which Ray wrote, “Two copies of a Corrections
    Corporation of America Privileged Correspondence
    Receipt form.”
    On cross-examination, Officer Nedbal explained that
    Ray’s copies were, to his knowledge, the first requested
    copies that had ever been lost during the three years
    that he worked in the library. He agreed that the only
    basis for believing that the copies had been lost was
    Ray’s claim that he did not receive them. Other than
    the “photocopy request,” which served as a de facto
    receipt for prisoners and the prison, Officer Nedbal had
    no other means of verifying that Ray’s original document
    and requested copies had never been delivered.
    Ray then called Lynn Martin to testify. Ms. Martin
    served as the librarian at New Lisbon since the fall of
    No. 11-3228                                             9
    2007. She explained that she would have screened the
    documents that Ray submitted for photocopying and
    flagged anything that looked suspicious for a supervisor’s
    review. According to Ms. Martin, if the materials “went
    over to be copied” then she did not notice anything
    suspicious about them. Ms. Martin admitted that she
    was not aware of any other prisoner’s copies being lost,
    but she said that the only way the library would know is
    if the “inmate came and let us know.” In her opinion,
    the prison would not have taken steps to look for the
    copies—including circulating an internal memo, and
    interviewing individuals who were responsible for
    the copying—if Ray’s copies had never been made.
    Ms. Martin stated that she checked the “lost in mail”
    option on an information request form she received
    because she believed that the photocopies were made
    and there was no evidence that Ray actually received them.
    During her cross-examination, Ms. Martin explained
    that she would identify a document as suspicious if it
    “had someone else’s name on it,” but she also looked at
    “various other” indicators of suspiciousness. She said
    she believed Ray’s documents were lost because his
    request was not flagged as suspicious and he claims to
    have never received the documents. The prison did not
    have an internal tracking procedure to verify receipt of
    requested copies, nor did it require prisoners to sign
    any type of receipt upon delivery. Looking at library
    records, Ms. Martin confirmed that an inmate with the
    initials “A.S.” completed Ray’s photocopy request on
    April 19, 2010. Finally, Ms. Martin testified that Ray
    had previously worked in the library between February
    and September 2008.
    10                                             No. 11-3228
    On redirect, Ms. Martin corroborated Officer Nedbal’s
    statement that prisoners were required to detail what
    they wanted copied, not just the number of copies they
    were requesting or their preference for how the copies
    would appear (e.g., double-sided, scaled, etc).
    The state solicited testimony from Michelle Highley, a
    financial specialist at Green Bay Correctional Institu-
    tion since September 2009. Her responsibilities included
    maintaining records on inmates’ trust accounts. Inmate
    trust accounts show purchases made during incarcera-
    tion. Ms. Highley testified that Ray’s account did not
    show any purchases between April 1 and June 14, 2004,
    so if he sent mail during that period, as he claims
    he directed Ms. Smith to do, he did not purchase the
    envelopes or postage from the prison’s “commissary.”
    Ms. Highley conceded, on cross-examination, however
    that Ray might have purchased those items before April 1,
    borrowed stamps and envelopes from other inmates,
    or received them by mail from family members. On
    redirect, Ms. Highley testified that Ray had been trans-
    ferred to Green Bay Correctional Institution on April 30,
    2004 and he had “zero” dollars “cash on arrival.”
    Ms. Highley did not dispute that he might have
    previously purchased stamps or obtained them by al-
    ternative means.
    Ray served as the final witness at the evidentiary hear-
    ing. He began by reaffirming the veracity of his previously
    submitted affidavit. He explained that in April 2004
    he was incarcerated at the Diamondback Correction
    Facility in Oklahoma. Diamondback did not have a sepa-
    No. 11-3228                                             11
    rate system for legal mail; inmates could give legal mail
    to the prison officials or put it directly in the regular
    mail. Ray explained that on April 27, 2004 he did not
    have access to the regular mail system because his
    prison unit was on “administrative confinement,” so
    prisoners were prohibited from leaving the unit. During
    lunchtime, Ms. Tamara Smith, one of the prison’s social
    workers, “came in the unit.” Seeing Ms. Smith, Ray
    “stopped eating went upstairs to [his] cell, grabbed
    [his] . . . manila envelope with [his section] 974.06
    [motion] in it and brought it downstairs” to give it to
    her. After telling Ms. Smith that he needed her to send
    “legal mail” on his behalf, Ray and Ms. Smith went into
    “the social worker office” where she proceeded to
    look through the cabinets before finding and giving
    Ray two forms to complete. The first form, according
    to Ray, was a certificate of service by mail. The second
    was a CCA privileged correspondences receipt, which
    Ms. Smith allegedly signed.
    Ray testified that he had been relying on fellow
    inmates for help with his legal affairs and that he did not
    produce the CCA receipt initially because one of those
    inmates had it when the inmate was transferred to
    another prison. Ray testified that, relying on the advice
    of other inmates, he only followed up with Ms. Smith—and
    not the state court directly—because he was concerned
    that the court might get irritated and summarily dismiss
    his petition. Ray allegedly sent Ms. Smith three letters
    to obtain information about his post-conviction motion,
    the first on June 1, 2004, the second on September 9, 2004,
    and the last on June 15, 2005. He retained copies of each.
    12                                               No. 11-3228
    But after not hearing back from Ms. Smith for nearly
    two years, Ray decided to contact the state court directly.
    He claims to have waited so long because he thought
    there might have been some sort of delay in his mail
    reaching Ms. Smith: “staff members in other institutions . . .
    [t]hey get a letter . . . from an inmate, they’ll put it to
    the side until they keep piling up. . . .” So in October 2006,
    Ray sent a notarized letter to the Circuit Court of Mil-
    waukee County requesting information about the status
    of his section 974.06 motion. After being informed that
    no such motion was received or pending, Ray filed a
    supplemental section 974.06 motion, which the court
    denied on October 14, 2006. Ray subsequently sent
    Ms. Smith a letter on November 1, 2006 asking about
    his original motion and explaining that the court had
    never received it. He also wrote the warden to
    complain about Ms. Smith’s mishandling of his mail.
    According to Ray, after we issued our opinion in
    April 2010, he began reaching out to try to find the
    inmate who had his CCA receipt. After finally tracking
    down the receipt, Ray sought to make copies for
    himself and his recently retained attorney. However, the
    prison library failed to deliver his requested copies and
    did not return his original document. So Ray sought
    advice from Ms. Martin. She apparently knew about
    Ray’s case because she “call[ed] him down to the library to
    show” him on “LexisNexis the decision” we issued in
    April 2010. Ray explained to Ms. Martin that he thought
    it was extremely important to find the document.
    The state confronted Ray with Diamondback’s “Com-
    munication Mail and Visiting” policy, which had been
    No. 11-3228                                              13
    in effect during April 2004. Section 6(a) of the policy
    states: “All inmate mail will be processed through
    the institutional mailroom. No person, either staff or
    visitors, is permitted to bring in or take out any mail or
    article for an inmate.” Ray maintained that he could
    not take mail to the mailroom because his unit was
    on administrative confinement, and despite the written
    policy, inmates were allowed to give mail to the prison
    officials. Although the policy said nothing about receipts
    for outgoing privileged mail—but it did describe such
    receipts for “incoming” correspondences—Ray swore
    that Ms. Smith gave him a receipt for his outgoing mail.
    Pointing to the prison mail logs to buttress his claim,
    Ray testified that all outgoing legal mail was supposed
    to be logged, prisoners do not have access to the mail
    logs, and the prison refused to produce (or submit into
    evidence) logs from the relevant dates, including the
    date he gave his motion to Ms. Smith.
    The district court offered both sides an opportunity to
    make closing arguments. Ray’s counsel summarized
    Ray’s evidence and argued that “[f]or the State to prevail
    in this situation, you have to believe that in October 2006,
    Mr. Ray had figured out . . . AEDPA and the tolling
    provisions . . . then began to manufacture evidence in
    2006 . . . to deal with the federal petition that had not
    even been filed assuming that a State petition, which
    he had just found out had not been received, was going
    to be denied. It is an extraordinary amount of prescience
    on the behalf of Mr. Ray who, until recently, did not
    even have his [general equivalency diploma].”
    14                                              No. 11-3228
    The state closed by raising a series of questions about
    Ray’s version of the events. It began by refuting a sug-
    gestion by Ray’s counsel that it had been derelict in
    obtaining evidence from Diamondback. Counsel ex-
    plained, “I have made numerous phone calls to CCA . . .
    [and have been] met with voicemails and unreturned
    calls for months now. I have done everything that I can
    think of to do to get more information from CCA on
    what their policies were.”
    The state then argued that Ray is “a very bright indi-
    vidual” and “it strains credibility” to believe that he
    could not understand AEDPA’s statute of limitations.
    Counsel continued, “So I do not think that it is beyond
    the realm of possibility that . . . Mr. Ray learned of the
    one year time limit, learned that he had passed it and
    started with his collateral stuff and then at some point
    made these letters . . . .” The state’s attorney further
    argued that “it seems incredible” that Ray would give
    Ms. Smith his section 974.06 motion right before he
    was going to be transferred to Wisconsin, and that “a
    Privileged Correspondence form would be given to an
    inmate in outgoing mail” and “a Certificate of Service . . .
    would be, you know, full of spelling and grammatical
    errors.” Counsel repeatedly stated that Ray’s evidence
    “does not make a lot of sense,” especially “given
    Diamondback’s policy, where it clearly states that mail
    is not to be given to staff members.” Before concluding,
    the state’s attorney reiterated that Ray has “shown
    through many filings that he is clearly a bright and
    capable individual” and “I do not think that these sup-
    posedly arcane rules of habeas corpus are lost on
    No. 11-3228                                                15
    him” because AEDPA “is not that complex” and “many
    prisoners, and certainly Mr. Ray” are capable of under-
    standing the statute. Finally, counsel in closing stated:
    We know only from Mr. Ray that the copies
    were missing or supposedly missing. We do not
    know what was copied. No one knows what
    was copied. The only statement about what was
    copied comes from Mr. Ray.
    The fact that he transferred between five prisons
    in however many years and suddenly came
    upon this form that was some sort of smoking
    gun that he did not give to his attorney but
    instead gave to prison officials, I just find all of
    that incredible.
    Hr’g Tr., 113-20, July 28, 2011.
    On August 23, 2011, the district court issued an
    order dismissing Ray’s habeas petition as untimely. The
    court found that “Ray’s version of the events concerning
    the filing of his state motion for post-conviction relief
    is not credible.” The court’s decision closely paralleled
    the state’s closing argument. Its findings were based on
    the following: (1) Ray allegedly gave Ms. Smith his
    motion “when he knew he was on his way back to Wis-
    consin in a matter of days”; (2) Ray waited until October 4,
    2006, to ask the clerk of the court” for information
    about his motion; (3) Ray failed to take any action other
    than sending Ms. Smith “nearly identical” letters; (4) the
    “somewhat curious” nature of Ray “retain[ing] a copy of
    a letter he sent only a month after he handed Smith
    16                                               No. 11-3228
    his motion for postconviction relief, but [he] did not
    retain a copy of the motion itself”; (5) Ray’s certificate
    of service “bears no signatures, other than Ray’s, and
    appears on plain white paper with no heading or other
    indication that it is an official prison form . . . [and]
    [e]ven when compared with the official property request
    form from Ray’s file, which also lacks an institutional
    heading and contains a grammatical error . . . the certificate
    looks more like the work product of a prisoner than a
    prison administration”; and (6) Ray’s “knowledge of not
    only the one-year limitations period for federal habeas
    petitions, but also the mailbox rule and the rules
    governing tolling of the one-year period” which was
    demonstrated by his “two or three boxes of legal materi-
    als.” Finally, the district court pinpointed Ray’s claim
    that the signed receipt had been lost by the prison:
    [I]t is clear that the document Ray handed CO
    Nedbal for photocopying could have been a docu-
    ment he created in an attempt to manufacture
    additional evidence to corroborate his claim that
    he handed his § 974.06 motion to Ms. Smith on
    April 27, 2004. The detail in which Ray described
    the document . . . suggests a purpose beyond a
    simple request for a thirty-cent disbursement for
    photocopying. . . . [Nedbal’s] signature . . . and
    acceptance of the document for copying, under
    the circumstances, cannot be reasonably viewed
    as proof of what the document was. Having
    worked in the library himself, Ray would have
    known as much.
    No. 11-3228                                                17
    The district court concluded that Ray was not credible,
    that he did not carry his burden of proving statutory
    tolling, and that his petition was time barred. Ray appeals.
    II. ANALYSIS
    This appeal raises two questions that we have yet
    to resolve in our circuit: first, whether the mailbox rule
    applies to toll AEDPA’s one-year limitations period
    when a prisoner delivers a Wisconsin section 974.06 post-
    conviction motion to a prison official for mailing to
    the state court; second, if the mailbox rule applies,
    which party bears the burden of proof on the matter of
    timeliness when the state court never receives the pris-
    oner’s motion. Our review of these unsettled legal issues
    is de novo. Simms v. Acevedo, 
    595 F.3d 774
    , 777 (7th Cir.
    2010). We will then decide if the district court clearly
    erred by finding that Ray did not give his section 974.06
    motion to Ms. Smith on April 27, 2004 and that Ray’s
    federal habeas petition was untimely. See Bintz v. Bertrand,
    
    403 F.3d 859
    , 865 (7th Cir. 2005).
    A. The Mailbox Rule Applies
    In Houston v. Lack, the Supreme Court established the
    “bright-line rule” that a pro se prisoner files a federal
    notice of appeal, a prerequisite to federal appellate juris-
    diction, at the moment the prisoner delivers it to a
    prison official for mailing to the court. 
    487 U.S. 266
    , 275-76
    (1988).This rule is colloquially known as the “Houston”
    or “prison” mailbox rule. Jones v. Bertrand, 
    171 F.3d 499
    ,
    18                                              No. 11-3228
    500 (7th Cir. 1999). The reasons for its existence are mani-
    fold.
    For starters, pro se prisoners occupy a unique position
    in litigation. Unlike others, pro se prisoners cannot ac-
    tively monitor their pending case, they cannot personally
    travel to the courthouse to ensure that their filings
    have been timely received, and they cannot freely track
    their mailings via consistent communication with the
    court, or the enlisted mail carrier, to determine if
    anything has gone awry. See Houston, 
    487 U.S. at 270-71
    .
    Instead, a pro se prisoner must almost blindly rely on
    “vagaries of the mail” and the scruples of prison offi-
    cials. 
    Id. at 271
    . “And if there is a delay the prisoner
    suspects is attributable to the prison authorities, he is
    unlikely to have any means of proving it, for his con-
    finement prevents him from monitoring the process
    sufficiently to distinguish delay on the part of prison
    authorities from slow mail service or the court clerk’s
    failure to stamp the notice on the date received.” 
    Id.
    In short, once a pro se prisoner’s filing leaves his
    hands he loses control over its processing. 
    Id.
    Additionally, prisons are (or should be) equipped with
    well-developed administrative procedures for “recording
    the date and time at which they receive papers for mail-
    ing.” 
    Id. at 275
    . In light of the inherent prison-prisoner
    power and information imbalance, prisons should be
    able to “readily dispute a prisoner’s assertions that he
    delivered the paper on a different date” by referencing
    “prison mail logs,” for example, or other reliable indica-
    tors of mailing established and controlled by the prison.
    
    Id.
     “The prison will be the only party with access to at
    No. 11-3228                                                19
    least some of the evidence needed to resolve such ques-
    tions—one of the vices the general rule is meant to
    avoid—and evidence on any of these issues will be
    hard to come by for the prisoner confined to his cell,
    who can usually only guess whether the prison
    authorities, the Postal Service, or the court clerk is to
    blame for any delay.” 
    Id. at 276
    .
    Finally, the mailbox rule ensures that justice will be
    properly served. See Jones, 
    171 F.3d at 502
    . Although
    not always, our judicial system does recognize the com-
    plexity of our prescriptive procedural rules and we often-
    times relax those rigid requirements when a litigant
    appears in federal court unrepresented. E.g., Erickson v.
    Pardus, 
    551 U.S. 89
    , 94 (2007) (per curiam) (“A document
    filed pro se is to be liberally construed and a pro se com-
    plaint, however inartfully pleaded, must be held to less
    stringent standards than formal pleadings drafted by
    lawyers.” (citation and internal quotation marks omit-
    ted)); Castro v. United States, 
    540 U.S. 375
    , 381-82
    (2003) (explaining that federal courts may recharacterize
    a pro se litigant’s filing to avoid “unnecessary dis-
    missal” and the “inappropriately stringent application” of
    labeling requirements, or to better correspond to the
    motion’s substance and legal basis). We have also taken
    significant steps to ensure that prisoners’ filings are not
    subject to the unrestrained whims of prison officials.
    See Fed. R. Civ. P. 4(c); see also United States v. Craig, 
    368 F.3d 738
    , 740 (7th Cir. 2004) (“Today the mailbox rule
    depends on Rule 4(c) . . . , [which] applies to ‘an inmate
    confined in an institution’ . . . . A court ought not pencil
    ‘unrepresented’ or any extra word into the text of
    Rule 4(c).”). The mailbox rule further counterbalances
    20                                             No. 11-3228
    the heavy weight that our procedural rules have
    stacked against pro se prison litigants. In a just judicial
    system, a pro se prisoner’s chance of success should not
    be inextricably tied to his or her understanding and
    familiarity with the nuance of procedure; it should
    depend primarily on the substantive merits of the claim
    being asserted. The mailbox rule facilitates merits ad-
    judication by, under certain circumstances, removing
    one—but not all—of the complex procedural hurdles
    standing in the pro se prisoner’s way. Because “[n]o
    matter how far in advance the pro se prisoner delivers
    his notice to the prison authorities, he can never be
    sure that it will ultimately get stamped ‘filed’ on time,”
    the mailbox rule renders this matter inconsequential in
    the interest of justice. See Houston, 
    487 U.S. at 271
    .
    With the rationale underlying the mailbox rule
    squarely in our sights, we must decide as a matter of
    first impression whether the rule applies to a Wisconsin
    pro se prisoner’s section 974.06 post-conviction motion.
    AEDPA requires a federal habeas petition to be filed
    within one year from “the date on which the [state]
    judgment became final by the conclusion of direct
    review or the expiration of the time for seeking such
    review.” 
    28 U.S.C. § 2244
    (d)(1)(A). “The one-year statute
    of limitations can be tolled, however, if the petitioner
    applies for ‘State post-conviction or other collateral
    review’ of the judgment.” Price v. Pierce, 
    617 F.3d 947
    ,
    950 (7th Cir. 2010) (quoting 
    28 U.S.C. §2244
    (d)(2)). For
    statutory tolling to apply, the state post-conviction
    motion must be “properly filed.” 
    28 U.S.C. § 2244
    (d)(2).
    No. 11-3228                                                 21
    That determination is governed by state procedural
    law. Artuz v. Bennett, 
    531 U.S. 4
    , 8 (2000).
    Ray filed his federal habeas petition on February 28,
    2007. His state conviction became final on or about Sep-
    tember 10, 2003, after the time expired for filing a petition
    for writ of certiorari in the Supreme Court for direct
    review of the state court’s judgment. See 
    28 U.S.C. § 2244
    (d)(1)(A); see also Anderson v. Litscher, 
    281 F.3d 672
    ,
    675 (7th Cir. 2002) (“[W]e believe that the ninety day
    period during which a petition for certiorari may be
    filed by a state prisoner falls within the meaning of
    section 2244(d)(1)(A) for purposes of calculating when
    the statute of limitations begins to run.”). Given the three-
    year time difference between the state court’s final judg-
    ment and Ray’s federal filing, Ray’s federal habeas
    petition would be time barred absent tolling.3
    The state, citing Wisconsin Statute sections 801.16(1)
    3
    Ray has not invoked the doctrine of equitable tolling, which
    can toll AEDPA’s one-year statute of limitations period, but
    demands that the petitioner demonstrate “(1) that he has been
    pursuing his rights diligently, and (2) that some extraordinary
    circumstance stood in his way.” Pace v. DiGuglielmo, 
    544 U.S. 408
    , 418 (2005). The “threshold necessary to trigger equitable
    tolling is very high” and the doctrine applies only when
    “extraordinary circumstances” outside of the petitioner’s
    control prevent timely filing. United States v. Marcello, 
    212 F.3d 1005
    , 1010 (7th Cir. 2000). “Equitable tolling . . . asks
    whether federal courts may excuse a petitioner’s failure to
    comply with federal timing rules, an inquiry that does not
    implicate a state court’s interpretation of state law.” Holland
    v. Florida, ___ U.S. ___, 
    130 S. Ct. 2549
    , 2563 (2010).
    22                                              No. 11-3228
    and 809.80(3), argues that Ray cannot benefit from the
    mailbox rule because Wisconsin requires “actual receipt”
    by the court clerk for a document to be “properly filed,”
    and Ray’s motion was not actually received before
    AEDPA’s limitations period expired. The state also
    argues that the mailbox rule should not apply where, as
    here, a prisoner’s post-conviction motion may be filed
    at any time. The state views section 974.06’s failure
    to include a filing deadline as proof that Wisconsin
    refuses to apply the mailbox rule in these circumstances.
    We do not find the state’s arguments persuasive.
    A majority of our sister circuits have held that unless
    a state clearly rejects it, the Houston mailbox rule
    governs whether a state post-conviction document is
    “properly filed” under AEDPA. Compare Campbell v.
    Henry, 
    614 F.3d 1056
    , 1059 (9th Cir. 2010) (California), and
    Stoot v. Cain, 
    570 F.3d 669
    , 671 (5th Cir. 2009) (Louisiana),
    with Howland v. Quarterman, 
    507 F.3d 840
    , 844-45 (5th
    Cir. 2007) (Texas), and Vroman v. Brigano, 
    346 F.3d 598
    , 603
    (6th Cir. 2003) (Ohio), and Adams v. LeMaster, 
    223 F.3d 1177
    , 1180 (10th Cir. 2000) (New Mexico). But see Fernandez
    v. Artuz, 
    402 F.3d 111
    , 113-15 (2d Cir. 2005) (“New York’s
    rejection of the mailbox rule does not preclude its ap-
    plication by a federal court in tolling a federal statute of
    limitations.” (emphasis original)); Anthony v. Cambra, 
    236 F.3d 568
    , 575 (9th Cir. 2000) (“the mailbox rule
    applies with equal force to the filing of state as well
    as federal petitions”). Two recent but divergent Fifth
    Circuit cases illustrate this point. In Stoot, the Fifth
    Circuit held that even though the Louisiana Supreme
    Court had not considered the precise issue of whether
    the mailbox rule applies when a pro se prisoner’s
    No. 11-3228                                               23
    pleading is mailed but not received, the state’s top
    court “has adopted the holding and reasoning of Hous-
    ton,” so the rule extended to that case. 
    570 F.3d at 671
    .
    Stoot is distinguishable from the Fifth Circuit’s earlier
    decision in Howland because Texas, the relevant state
    there, unlike Louisiana, had clearly rejected the
    mailbox rule. 
    507 F.3d at 844-45
    . The thread weaving
    these disparate outcomes together is the manner in
    which the underlying state’s procedural law treats pro se
    prisoners’ post-conviction filings. See Artuz, 
    531 U.S. at 8
    .
    We agree with the majority of our sister circuits and
    hold that the mailbox rule applies to a state pro se pris-
    oner’s post-conviction filings unless the state where the
    prisoner was convicted has clearly rejected the rule.
    Wisconsin procedural law is at issue here, and we
    think it is clear that Wisconsin has fully embraced the
    Houston mailbox rule. First, Wisconsin does not require
    “actual receipt” for a post-conviction motion to be
    deemed properly filed. The state’s principal citation,
    
    Wis. Stat. § 801.16
    (1), simply states that court filings
    “shall be made by filing them with the clerk of circuit
    court.” And Wisconsin Statute section 809.80(3), which
    says that the court clerk must “receive” a filing before
    the applicable deadline for it to be “timely,” does not
    apply to pro se prisoners. See Wis. Stat § 809.80(3)(e).
    Instead, a pro se prisoner’s petition is filed “on the
    date that the confined person delivers a correctly ad-
    dressed petition to the proper institution authorities
    for mailing,” provided that the prisoner files a “certifica-
    tion or affidavit setting forth the date on which the
    24                                              No. 11-3228
    petition was delivered to        the   proper   institution
    authorities for mailing.” Id.
    Second, the Supreme Court of Wisconsin made its
    endorsement of the Houston mailbox rule abundantly
    clear in State v. Nichols, 
    635 N.W.2d 292
    , 295-96 (Wis.
    2001). In that case, the court, persuaded by Houston’s
    rationale, applied the mailbox rule to a pro se prisoner’s
    state certiorari action. 
    Id. at 298
     (“We are persuaded by
    the rationale in Houston”). It doing so, the court
    explained that it was not “mandat[ing] any particular
    procedure that [pro se prisoner] litigants must follow,”
    but “a certificate of service or affidavit of mailing . . .
    would create a rebuttable presumption that the prisoner
    had delivered his or her petition to the proper prison
    authorities on the particular day certified.” 
    Id. at 299
    .
    The state dismisses Nichols because it addressed
    tolling the time for petitioning the state supreme court
    for review after an appellate court’s affirmance. The
    state correctly notes that section 974.06 motions are not
    subject to any time requirements, but this does not mat-
    ter. All of the concerns animating the Supreme
    Court’s decision in Houston and the Supreme Court of
    Wisconsin’s decision in Nichols apply with equal force to
    pro se prisoner filings not subject to a time requirement.
    A pro se prisoner’s unique litigation disadvantages do
    not disappear when filing deadlines are eliminated.
    Ray’s situation provides a perfect case in point—although
    he fully complied with section 974.06, the state has at-
    tacked his federal habeas petition as untimely. Notwith-
    standing Wisconsin’s generous acceptance of section 974.06
    No. 11-3228                                              25
    post-conviction motions at any time, there are practical
    (and in this case drastic) consequences for not filing
    the motion within one year of the final judgment.
    Suppose it was undisputed that Ray gave his post-
    conviction motion to a prison official within AEDPA’s one-
    year time frame but the state court received the docu-
    ment one year and one day later due to some honest
    oversight in the prison mail system. Accepting the
    state’s position would leave Ray without a federal
    forum to collaterally attack his conviction, unless he
    could prove his entitlement to equitable tolling. Statu-
    tory tolling would offer no reprieve because without the
    benefit of the mailbox rule, Ray’s state motion was not
    “properly filed” within AEDPA’s one-year period.
    The state is comfortable with this result because sec-
    tion 974.06 itself imposes no filing deadline. But we
    are not. In our hypothetical, Ray’s inability to control and
    monitor his mailings would be the reason for his habeas
    misfortune. The Supreme Court established the Houston
    mailbox rule to obviate such objectionable outcomes.
    The gravamen of the state’s argument is that the mail-
    box rule does not apply where a prisoner’s filing is not
    subject to a timeliness requirement. The state reasons
    as follows: the mailbox rule applies if there is a filing
    deadline; Ray could file his state post-conviction at any
    time, so the mailbox rule does not apply to Ray’s filing.
    We reject this reasoning. Just because a pro se prisoner
    can benefit from the mailbox rule to statutorily toll
    AEDPA’s one-year period if a state filing is subject to a
    deadline, it does not follow that the rule cannot apply
    26                                              No. 11-3228
    where the state imposes no such deadlines. A time limit
    is only one “condition to filing” that a pro se prisoner
    must abide to statutorily toll AEDPA with a “properly
    filed” state post-conviction pleading. See Allen v. Siebert,
    
    552 U.S. 3
    , 6 (2007) (“Whether a time limit is juris-
    dictional, an affirmative defense, or something in
    between, it is a ‘condition to filing’—it places a limit on
    how long a prisoner can wait before filing a postconvic-
    tion petition.” (citation omitted)). And the question of
    whether a petition is “properly filed” remains a matter
    of interpreting a federal statute. See Holland, 
    130 S. Ct. at 2563
    . We defer to a state court’s interpretation of its
    own procedural rules out of respect for the principles
    of federalism. But the absence of state-imposed condi-
    tions to filing under state law does not prevent us
    from recognizing a document as “properly filed” under
    AEDPA as a matter of federal law. See, e.g., Sulik v. Taney
    Cnty, 
    316 F.3d 813
    , 815 (8th Cir. 2003) (holding that
    Houston “applies regardless of the length of the limitation
    period”); Lewis v. Richmond City Police Dep’t, 
    947 F.2d 733
    , 736 (4th Cir. 1991) (holding that the Houston
    mailbox rule “provides that a statute of limitations has
    the same practical effect on every pro se prisoner litigant
    it governs” and “[t]he length of the time restriction in-
    volved is irrelevant”).
    Many courts, including the Supreme Court, have con-
    sistently conveyed concerns about the pro se prisoner’s
    unique litigation disadvantage, including his inability
    to control and monitor documents that he sends to the
    court. E.g., Houston, 
    487 U.S. at 270-71
    ; Jones, 
    171 F.3d at 500-01
    . As one means of addressing these concerns,
    No. 11-3228                                               27
    we will apply the mailbox rule to a prisoner’s state post-
    conviction filings unless the state has clearly rejected
    the rule. Because the Wisconsin Supreme Court held in
    Nichols that the mailbox rule operates to “file” a pro se
    prisoner’s court document when the prisoner delivers
    it to a prison official for mailing, that pronouncement
    governs. Nichols, 635 N.W.2d at 298. Ray, therefore, can
    rely on the Houston mailbox rule to statutorily toll
    AEDPA’s limitations period, even though Wisconsin
    permits section 974.06 post-conviction motions to be
    filed at any time.
    B. The State Bears the Burden of Proving Untimeliness
    Having decided that the Houston mailbox rule applies,
    we turn to the burden of proof. It is well-settled that
    AEDPA’s statute of limitations is a nonjurisdictional
    affirmative defense. Day v. McDonough, 
    547 U.S. 198
    ,
    205 (2006). Generally, the party raising an affirmative
    defense bears the burden of proof. See Gildon v. Bowen, 
    384 F.3d 883
    , 886 (7th Cir. 2004). The same is true in the
    habeas context. See 
    id.
     (“Since the period of limitations is
    an affirmative defense, the state has the burden of
    showing that the petition is untimely.”). Ray argues that
    this axiom should end our inquiry, and that the state
    should bear the burden of proving that his federal
    habeas petition is untimely. But resolution of this issue
    is not so straightforward.
    The state identifies two potential problems with
    applying the general rule to this case. First, tolling offers
    28                                                No. 11-3228
    one way around the statute of limitations and it makes
    intuitive sense to require the party requesting tolling
    to prove its appropriateness. The state finds support
    for this argument in how courts allocate the burden
    of proof in cases involving equitable tolling. E.g., Pace,
    
    544 U.S. at 418
    . Second, in cases like this one, where
    a petitioner’s purported filing is never received, the
    state would be required to prove a negative: that the
    petitioner did not give a prison official his petition
    before AEDPA’s one-year limitations period ran.
    We believe both concerns are overstated.
    It is certainly true that the petitioner bears the burden
    of proving “equitable tolling.” 
    Id.
     But equitable tolling,
    as its name suggests, is an appeal to equity. See Holland,
    
    130 S. Ct. at 2563
    . It is not a matter of statutory inter-
    pretation. As is almost always the case, the party seeking
    equity must prove its entitlement to equity. See, e.g.,
    Great-W. Life & Annuity Ins. Co. v. Knudson, 
    534 U.S. 204
    ,
    233 (2002) (Ginsburg, J., dissenting) (“As courts
    in the common-law realm have reaffirmed: ‘Principles of
    equity, we were all taught, were introduced by Lord
    Chancellors and their deputies . . . in order to provide
    relief from the inflexibility of common law rules.’ ” (citation
    omitted)); Keystone Driller Co. v. Gen. Excavator Co., 
    290 U.S. 240
    , 244-45 (1933) (“The governing principle is ‘that
    whenever a party who, as actor, seeks to set the judicial
    machinery in motion and obtain some remedy, has
    violated conscience, or good faith, or other equitable
    principle, in his prior conduct, then the doors of the
    court will be shut against him in limine . . . .’ ” (citation
    omitted)); see also Robertson v. Simpson, 
    624 F.3d 781
    , 784
    No. 11-3228                                                 29
    (6th Cir. 2010) (“The party seeking equitable tolling
    bears the burden of proving he is entitled to it.”).
    Statutory tolling, however, is quite different. Equity is
    not involved, and blameworthiness is not relevant. See
    Holland, 
    130 S. Ct. at 2561-62
     (describing § 2244(d)(2)
    tolling as of “a different kind” than equitable tolling).
    Regardless of how diligent or dilatory a federal habeas
    petitioner might be, AEDPA’s “one-year clock is
    stopped . . . during the time the petitioner’s ‘properly filed’
    application for state postconviction relief ‘is pending.’ ”
    Day, 
    547 U.S. at 201
     (quoting 
    28 U.S.C. § 2244
    (d)(2)).
    Equitable tolling can be invoked only after a finding or
    concession that the one-year period has expired. See
    Cross v. Sisto, 
    676 F.3d 1172
    , 1175-76 & n.2 (9th Cir.
    2012). So placing the burden on the party requesting
    equitable tolling is functionally equivalent to first
    finding that the federal petition is untimely and then
    requiring the petitioner to prove that “equity” should
    except or excuse such untimeliness. In this way, the
    burden is rightfully on the petitioner, as the party
    seeking application of an equitable exception to the
    timeliness rule. Cf. Knox v. Cook County Sheriff’s Police
    Dep’t, 
    866 F.2d 905
    , 907 (7th Cir. 1988) (“While the statute
    of limitations is an affirmative defense, the burden of
    establishing an exception thereto is on plaintiff.”).
    Our section 2244(d)(2) statutory tolling inquiry is one
    step removed from equitable tolling. It tells us which
    days count toward the one-year limitations period. As
    the statute itself puts it, the “time” that a properly filed
    petition “is pending shall not be counted” toward
    AEDPA’s limitations period. 
    28 U.S.C. § 2244
    (d)(2). We
    30                                                No. 11-3228
    think the state should have to prove that each of the
    365 days it relies on for its affirmative defense
    actually qualifies as a “countable” day under the stat-
    ute. See Fleming v. Evans, 
    481 F.3d 1249
    , 1257 (10th Cir.
    2007) (“The state bears the burden of proving that the
    AEDPA limitations period has expired.”); Griffin v.
    Rogers, 
    308 F.3d 647
    , 653 (6th Cir. 2002) (“[T]he party
    asserting statute of limitations as an affirmative
    defense has the burden of demonstrating that the statute
    has run.”). We are particularly persuaded by the fact
    that a petitioner “cannot bring a federal habeas claim
    without first exhausting state remedies—a process that
    frequently takes longer than one year,” so Congress, in
    enacting section 2244(d)(2)’s statutory tolling provision,
    explained “how the limitations statute accounts for the
    time during which such state proceedings are pending.”
    Holland, 
    130 S. Ct. at 2562
    . And “[t]o provide accurate
    information about prior state court proceedings, most
    habeas petitioners are forced to rely on state court
    records . . . , [and it] is not the petitioner, but rather the
    state that is in the best position to provide this informa-
    tion.” Kilgore v. Attorney Gen. of Colo., 
    519 F.3d 1084
    , 1088
    (10th Cir. 2008); see also R. Governing § 2254 Cases 5(d)
    (requiring a state to file, along with its answer, copies
    of “the opinions and dispositive orders of the appellate
    court relating to the conviction or the sentence”).
    Traditionally, courts have placed the burden of proof
    on the party in the best position to prove its case. See, e.g.,
    Alaska Dep’t of Envtl. Conservation v. EPA, 
    540 U.S. 461
    ,
    494 n.17 (2004) (“Among other considerations, alloca-
    tions of burdens of production and persuasion may
    No. 11-3228                                               31
    depend on which party—plaintiff or defendant, petitioner
    or respondent—has made the ‘affirmative allegation’ or
    ‘presumably has peculiar means of knowledge.’ ” (citation
    omitted)). This principle of practicality has roots in com-
    mon law. See United States v. Cont’l Ins. Co., 
    776 F.2d 962
    , 964 (11th Cir. 1985) (“[we adhere] to the common
    law guide that the party in the best position to present
    the requisite evidence should bear the burden of
    proof”). And it just “makes sense to place at least some
    of the burden on the parties with the best access to the
    information.” Saleem v. Keisler, 
    520 F. Supp. 2d 1048
    , 1059
    (W.D. Wis. 2007). So “all else being equal, the burden [of
    proof] is better placed on the party with easier access to
    relevant information.” Nat’l Commc’n Ass’n Inc. v.
    AT&T Corp., 
    238 F.3d 124
    , 130 (2d Cir. 2001). In the
    habeas context, the state is in the best position to prove
    that the limitations period has run. It will “usually be
    able to meet this burden by pointing to materials already
    before the district court, namely, by pointing [to] the
    petition itself,” or by presenting evidence that it can
    easily access from the prison. See Griffin, 
    308 F.3d at 653
    .
    When questions about AEDPA’s statutory tolling
    arise, many of our sister circuits have employed a
    “burden shifting” framework requiring the petitioner to
    make a threshold evidentiary showing before shifting the
    burden of proof to the state. E.g., Allen v. Culliver, 
    471 F.3d 1196
    , 1198 (11th Cir. 2006) (per curiam) (requiring
    petitioner to make a prima facie showing of delivery
    before shifting the burden to the state); Caldwell v. Amend,
    
    30 F.3d 1199
    , 1203 (9th Cir. 1994) (same); see also Grady
    v. United States, 
    269 F.3d 913
    , 916 (8th Cir. 2001) (“[u]nder
    32                                             No. 11-3228
    our jurisprudence, then, a prisoner seeking to benefit
    from the prison mailbox rule must satisfy the require-
    ments of Rule 4(c)”). Today, we follow their lead. If the
    state raises an AEDPA statute of limitations defense,
    the petitioner must come forward with some evidence
    to support his claim that, with the benefit of the
    Houston mailbox rule, 365 countable days have not
    elapsed from the time his state-court judgment became
    final to the time he filed his federal habeas petition. See
    Allen, 
    471 F.3d at 1198
    . After the petitioner makes this
    evidentiary showing, the burden shifts to the govern-
    ment to prove that the limitations period has run. See 
    id.
    The state argues that the burden shifting framework
    is inappropriate in cases like this one, where the court
    never receives the prisoner’s purported filing. The Fifth,
    Ninth, and Eleventh Circuits have each confronted this
    issue. See Huizar v. Carey, 
    273 F.3d 1220
    , 1222 (9th Cir.
    2001); Allen, 
    471 F.3d at 1198
    ; Stoot, 
    570 F.3d at 671
    . Not
    one has abandoned the burden shifting framework
    under similar circumstances. To the contrary, they
    each have applied the usual framework, limiting the
    petitioner’s burden to that of making a threshold evi-
    dentiary showing of timely delivery to a prison official
    regardless of whether the purported filing was received
    by the court. Allen, 
    471 F.3d at 1198
    . After the
    petitioner makes this showing, ordinarily via a sworn
    declaration or notarized statement, the burden shifts to
    the state to prove untimeliness. E.g., Huizar, 273 F.3d
    at 1223-24; Allen, 
    471 F.3d at 1198
    .
    In Huizar, the petitioner gave prison officials his state
    habeas petition for mailing. He wrote to the state court
    No. 11-3228                                                   33
    to get an update about two months later, but received
    no response. Twenty-one months later, he wrote again.
    In his second letter, he detailed his previous attempt to
    file his petition and requested that the court investigate
    the matter. One month later, the petitioner received the
    court’s response informing him that his petition had
    never been received. The petitioner then filed a supple-
    mental petition, which the court denied. The case
    required the Ninth Circuit to decide for the first time
    whether the mailbox rule “applies if the petition is never
    received or filed by the court.” Huizar, 273 F.3d at 1222.
    The petitioner argued that the “period from the date
    he gave his first state petition to prison officials . . . to the
    date it was denied . . . does not count toward AEDPA’s one-
    year period.” Id. at 1223 (emphasis added). Agreeing
    that Houston’s “rationale applies with equal force” in
    cases where the court does not receive the purported
    filing, the Ninth Circuit held that “[a] prisoner who
    delivers a document to prison authorities gets the
    benefit of the prison mailbox rule, so long as he diligently
    follows up once he has failed to receive a disposition
    from the court after a reasonable period of time.” Id.
    at 1224. The court found as a matter of law that twenty-one
    months is “not an unusually long time to wait for a
    court’s decision,” but remanded the case to the district
    court to give the “state . . . the chance to contest” whether
    the petitioner “handed over his petition” when he
    claimed to have done so. Id.
    In Allen, the Eleventh Circuit applied the mailbox
    rule despite the fact that the petitioner’s federal notice
    of appeal was not received by the court. 
    471 F.3d at 1198
    .
    34                                                 No. 11-3228
    The court disagreed with the Ninth Circuit’s imposition
    of a diligence requirement because “[o]nce there has been
    a finding of fact that a timely notice of appeal was in
    fact delivered to the proper prison authorities . . . , there is
    no room . . . for the operation of a diligence requirement.”
    
    Id.
     It remanded the case, however, so the district court
    could “inquire further as to the actual facts concerning
    whether . . . a notice of appeal was delivered to the
    prison authorities.” 
    Id.
     In so doing, the Eleventh Circuit
    explained that “both Houston and Fed. R. App. P. 4(c)”
    suggest that “the burden of proof should be placed
    upon the state if Allen files a sworn declaration or nota-
    rized statement setting forth the date of deposit and
    attesting that postage had been paid.” 
    Id.
     at 1198-99 & n.2.
    Notwithstanding the Ninth and Eleventh Circuits’ split
    on the “diligence” requirement, both recognize that
    Houston’s rationale supports placing the burden on the
    state to prove untimeliness. The Ninth Circuit ap-
    pealed to the practical disadvantages and fundamental
    unfairness of putting the burden on the prisoner because
    “ ‘prison officials may have an incentive to delay pris-
    oners’ court filings, and prisoners will have a hard
    time proving that the officials did so.’ ” Huizar, 273 F.3d
    at 1223 (quoting Houston, 
    487 U.S. at 270-71
    ). The
    Eleventh Circuit found those same factors persuasive.
    Allen, 
    471 F.3d at
    1198 n.2 (citing Houston for the proposi-
    tion that prisons have procedures in place and can
    readily dispute a prisoner’s assertions of delivery). We
    agree that the ultimate burden of proof in these cases
    should rest with the state because the pro se prisoner
    occupies a unique disadvantage, and he cannot control
    No. 11-3228                                               35
    or freely monitor documents that he directs to the court.
    See Houston, 
    487 U.S. at 275-76
    . The burden shifting frame-
    work we adopt today reflects the state’s “superior access
    to the proof.” Int’l Bros. of Teamsters v. United States, 
    431 U.S. 324
    , 359 n.45 (1977) (“Presumptions shifting
    the burden of proof are often created to reflect judicial
    evaluations of probabilities and to conform with a
    party’s superior access to the proof.”). It is also con-
    sistent with Congress’s overarching goals for AEDPA,
    which includes maintaining federal-state comity,
    securing the finality of the judicial process, and expedi-
    tiously handling habeas proceedings. As the Supreme
    Court recently made clear, AEDPA’s goals are often
    well served by empowering district court judges with
    discretion to reach the substantive merits of a habeas
    petition. Cf. Day, 
    547 U.S. at 208
     (holding that “consider-
    ations of comity, finality, and the expeditious handling
    of habeas proceedings” are better served by permitting
    judges to exercise discretion in each case to decide
    whether to sua sponte dismiss on statute of limitations
    grounds or reach the merits of the petition).
    We pause to address the state’s argument that our
    allocation of the burden in this way would require it
    to prove a negative. This argument has only superficial
    appeal. “Proving a negative” suggests requiring the
    state to do the impossible—that is, to exclude the peti-
    tioner’s delivery of his filing to a prison official from
    the realm of all possibility. But the state is not required
    to prove to a statistical certainty that the petitioner
    did not hand his document to a prison official on the
    date that he claims to have done so, and parties are re-
    36                                               No. 11-3228
    quired to make similar showings all the time in litiga-
    tion. Indeed, the very merits of a statute of limita-
    tions defense depends on a showing that the complainant
    did “not” file a lawsuit in time. See, e.g., Kilgore, 
    519 F.3d at 1088-89
     (“[A] heightened pleading requirement
    would be inconsistent with other aspects of the habeas
    scheme, which recognize the practical difficulties peti-
    tioners face in bringing their claims.”). There can be no
    doubt that the state is in a better position to show that
    a prisoner did not give his petition to a prison official
    for mailing than the prisoner is in to prove that he did.
    See Pliler v. Ford, 
    542 U.S. 225
    , 232 (2004) (“[Timeliness]
    calculations depend upon information contained in
    documents that do not necessarily accompany the peti-
    tions.”). As the Houston Court emphasized, the pro se
    prisoner hands his petition “over to prison authorities
    who have well-developed procedures for recording
    the date and time at which they receive papers for
    mailing and who can readily dispute a prisoner’s asser-
    tions that he delivered the paper on a different date.”
    Houston, 
    487 U.S. at 275-76
    . The state “will be the only
    party with access to at least some of the evidence needed
    to resolve such questions.” 
    Id.
     It could, for example,
    produce “prison mail logs” or present the (likely non-
    adverse) testimony of the prison official who allegedly
    handled the prisoner’s mail. As for the pro se prisoner
    confined to his cell, “evidence on any of these issues
    will be hard to come by” and he can “only guess
    whether the prison authorities, the Postal Service, or
    the court clerk is to blame for any delay.” 
    Id.
     This is “one
    of the vices the [mailbox] rule is meant to avoid.” 
    Id.
    No. 11-3228                                              37
    We should not forget that it is the state, vis-à-vis
    the prison, that determines how prison mail is handled
    in the first place. The state could require its prisons to
    implement detailed intake and outgoing procedures
    for prisoner mail, including signatures on receipt,
    copies of envelopes addressed to the court, or other
    mechanisms aimed at closely tracking prisoner mail. We
    see no reason why a prison’s failure to institute such
    procedures should serve to penalize pro se prison liti-
    gants. Instead, it reinforces our belief that “the
    prison [should bear] the burden of showing that
    the prisoner should not be entitled to the benefits of
    Houston’s dispensation.” See Thomas v. Gish, 
    64 F.3d 323
    ,
    325 (7th Cir. 1995). This is so because the prison could, if
    it wanted, adopt these or similar procedures. Its failure
    to do so leaves the pro se prisoner bearing the risk that
    his document will be mishandled, but without the
    means of proving his case. Since it has control over the
    prison mail policies, control over prisoner mail, and
    control over the prisoner himself, the state should bear
    the burden of proving that a pro se prisoner’s federal
    habeas petition is untimely. See Washington v. United
    States, 
    243 F.3d 1299
    , 1301 (11th Cir. 2001) (per curiam)
    (“[A] prisoner’s pro se § 2255 motion is deemed filed
    the date it is delivered to prison authorities for mail-
    ing” and “the burden is on prison authorities to prove
    the date a prisoner delivered his documents to be
    mailed. Absent evidence to the contrary in the form of
    prison logs or other records, we will assume [the peti-
    tioner’s claim is true].”). To the extent the state feels it
    is tasked with “proving a negative,” it can allay
    38                                                No. 11-3228
    those concerns by implementing procedures to better
    track and document its prisoners’ outgoing mail. See id.
    The partial dissent (hereinafter the “dissent”) suggests
    that placing the burden on the state is particularly trouble-
    some in this case because the prison policy forbade
    staff from handling mail for an inmate. (See post at 58-59.)
    But this interpretation of prison policy is simply incor-
    rect. The policy relied upon by the dissent, “All inmate
    mail will be processed through the institutional mailroom.
    No person, either staff or visitors, is permitted to bring in
    or take out any mail or article for an inmate,” is more
    naturally read to mean that mail coming in or out of the
    prison cannot be delivered through anything other than the
    institutional mailroom (i.e., inmates cannot directly give mail
    to visitors for placement into a mailbox outside of prison).
    Furthermore, another provision in the same section of
    the prison policy expressly provides, “At no time will
    an inmate/resident be involved in the collection,
    handling, or distribution of mail,” which necessarily
    means that staff are responsible for collecting or
    handling inmate mail, likely for security reasons. In
    any event, the state proffered no evidence to contradict
    Ray’s testimony that he was allowed to give outgoing
    mail to staff for delivery to the mailroom, which is
    entirely consistent with the above interpretation.
    We recognize the need to identify some limiting princi-
    ple. Otherwise, as the state correctly points out, a pris-
    oner’s purported filing might be “properly filed” or
    “pending” for years without anyone knowing. To
    avoid this, we think the petitioner’s requisite evidenti-
    No. 11-3228                                             39
    ary showing should be exacting. The prisoner’s sworn
    declaration should identify the who, what, when, where,
    how, and why of his alleged delivery to a prison offi-
    cial. And in cases where the purported filing is not re-
    ceived by the court, the petitioner must supply a
    sworn declaration attesting to these facts plus some
    other corroborating evidence. This “other evidence” can
    be documentary (for example, copies of the filing, post-
    marked envelope, or other correspondences). Or, it may
    be testimonial. But once the pro se prison litigant
    adduces such evidence, he has done all that is required.
    The burden then shifts to the state to show untimeliness.
    We also reject the Ninth Circuit’s “diligence” require-
    ment. We agree with the Eleventh Circuit that a
    prisoner’s lack of diligence cannot operate to unfile a
    filed document. See Allen, 
    471 F.3d at 1198
    . And re-
    quiring prisoner diligence is inconsistent with the
    spirit of the Houston mailbox rule. The whole point is that
    the prisoner is not at liberty to freely monitor his corre-
    spondences from mailing to delivery. How might a pris-
    oner follow up with the court? With additional mailings?
    If prison officials are dead set on preventing a prisoner
    from filing court documents, they probably will interfere
    with the prisoner’s ability to diligently follow up on
    previously sent but not received filings, and if they are
    completely incompetent the petitioner’s follow-up mail
    will also likely not be delivered. Under either circum-
    stance, the diligence requirement would nullify
    the rule. We do not accept results so inconsistent
    with Houston.
    40                                              No. 11-3228
    “[T]he potential for fraud does not justify obligating
    truthful prisoners to prove that they mailed their [court
    documents] when the prison authorities do not provide
    them with means for verification.” Dole v. Chandler,
    
    438 F.3d 804
    , 813 (7th Cir. 2006) (exhaustion of state
    grievance procedures in prisoner § 1983 case). Accord-
    ingly, we hold that in cases where the pro se prisoner’s
    post-conviction motion is not received, the petitioner
    must submit a sworn statement and some evidence to
    support his claim that he timely delivered the filing to
    a prison official, but once he satisfies this evidentiary
    showing, the burden shifts to the state to prove that
    his federal habeas petition is untimely.
    C. The State Did Not Carry Its Burden
    To summarize what we have accomplished so far, the
    Houston mailbox rule operates to “file” a pro se prisoner’s
    state post-conviction motion under AEDPA’s statutory
    tolling provision unless the state has clearly rejected the
    rule. This rule applies even if the filing is not subject to
    a deadline under state procedural rules and regardless
    of whether the petitioner’s purported filing is actually
    received by the court. But if the filing is not received, the
    petitioner bears the initial burden of identifying (by a
    sworn declaration in compliance with Fed. R. App. P. 4(c))
    the who, what, when, where, how, and why of his
    timely delivery to a prison official and providing some
    additional corroborative evidence. Once the petitioner
    makes this evidentiary showing, however, the burden
    shifts to the state to prove that the federal habeas
    No. 11-3228                                              41
    petition is untimely. With these legal issues settled, we
    now address the merits of Ray’s appeal.
    The district court found that Ray was “not credible” and
    that he did not give Ms. Smith his section 974.06 motion
    on April 27, 2004. It made this determination despite
    Ray’s sworn declaration, live testimony, myriad sup-
    porting documents, and the corroborating testimony of
    two prison employees. The court, adopting the state’s
    argument, dismissed Ray’s testimony and evidence as
    products of an elaborate fraud designed by a “sophisti-
    cated” individual to circumvent AEDPA’s one-year
    limitations period.
    We review the district court’s findings of fact for
    clear error. Bintz, 
    403 F.3d at 865
    . “A factual finding
    is clearly erroneous when, after reviewing the com-
    plete record, we are left with the definite and firm con-
    viction that a mistake has been committed.” Holleman
    v. Cotton, 
    301 F.3d 737
    , 741-42 (7th Cir. 2002) (citation
    and internal quotation marks omitted). We will reverse
    if the district court’s findings are “implausible in light
    of the record viewed in its entirety.” Gorham v. Franzen,
    
    760 F.2d 786
    , 790 (7th Cir. 1985) (citation and internal
    quotation marks omitted). But if there “are two
    permissible views of the evidence, the [district court’s]
    choice between them” will not be disturbed. Anderson
    v. City of Bessemer City, 
    470 U.S. 564
    , 573 (1985). The
    dissent notes that “ ‘[s]pecial deference is given to the
    district court’s factual determinations because the district
    court had the opportunity to hear the testimony and
    observe the demeanor of witnesses . . . .’ ” (Post at 61
    42                                              No. 11-3228
    (quoting United States v. Smith, 
    668 F.3d 427
    , 430 (7th Cir.
    2012)); see also id. at 100 (“the district court had the
    benefit of watching Ray’s demeanor . . .”).) We agree. But
    here the district court made no finding concerning Ray’s
    demeanor or presentation, and instead based its “credibil-
    ity” finding on nothing more than a string of speculative
    doubts, none of which were based on any competent
    contradictory evidence presented by the state, as
    we explain below.
    We begin by reviewing Ray’s evidence. Before the
    evidentiary hearing, Ray submitted a sworn declaration
    describing the who, what, where, where, why, and how
    of the events that made his filing timely under Houston.
    Ray swore, under penalty of perjury, that he gave his
    state post-conviction motion to Ms. Tamara Smith,
    an undisputed prison official, during “lunchtime” on
    April 27, 2004. He alleged that he gave Ms. Smith his
    motion “downstairs” in his prison unit and the two
    proceeded into the “social worker’s office” where she
    searched for, located, and provided him two docu-
    mentary receipts. He also explained “why” he gave
    Ms. Smith his motion instead of using the prison mail
    system: his unit was on administrative confinement
    and the prisoners had no access to the regular mail
    system at the time. The dissent asserts, “It is difficult to
    believe that a prisoner could roam with that much
    freedom and be able to walk to the social worker’s office,
    but be unable to walk with the social worker to the cen-
    trally located mailbox or the prison mailroom.”
    (Post at 73.) But this doubt is based purely on specula-
    tion about how Diamondback was configured, and what
    No. 11-3228                                               43
    its specific administrative confinement policies were.
    Absent actual evidence, it is not implausible to believe
    that prisoners are entitled to access their social workers
    during periods of administrative confinement but not the
    mailroom.
    The documents Ray provided corroborated his testi-
    mony. He kept and produced copies of the letters he
    allegedly sent Ms. Smith on June 1, 2004, September 9,
    2004, June 15, 2005, and November 1, 2006. He offered a
    copy of the certificate of service that she allegedly
    pulled from a cabinet in the social worker’s office and
    gave him to sign after he gave her his post-conviction
    motion. The dissent emphasizes the discrepancy be-
    tween Ray’s testimony that he filled out the certificate
    of service form, and other documents in which Ray
    refers to the certificate of service form as being filled out
    or signed by Ms. Smith. (See post at 70.) But this minor
    discrepancy does not render Ray’s story “so internally
    inconsistent or implausible on its face that a rea-
    sonable factfinder would not credit it.” Anderson, 
    470 U.S. at 575
    . The dissent argues that, “[h]ad [Ray] not
    changed his story, the State could have shown, through
    handwriting analysis, that Ray had completed the form.”
    (Post at 70.) But it makes no difference who tech-
    nically filled out that form, so long as it demonstrates
    that Ray had asked Ms. Smith to mail out his motion.
    The typos in the document, and its lack of any distin-
    guishing characteristics like a letterhead, were con-
    sistent with other official CCA documents, of unques-
    tioned authenticity, that Ray introduced into evidence
    bearing the same defects. And no one testified that
    44                                              No. 11-3228
    Ray’s certificate of service was phony. In comparing
    these forms, the district court “remain[ed] convinced
    that in both form and content the certificate looks more
    like the work product of a prisoner than a prison ad-
    ministrator,” and the dissent argues that we have improp-
    erly substituted our judgment for the district court’s.
    (See post at 69.) Such substitution might be improper if the
    district court had a sound basis for arriving at
    this conclusion, such as actual testimony about the
    falsity of the form or the high grammatical standards
    to which prison forms adhere. But the district court’s
    only basis was its own eyeball comparison of the docu-
    ments, and upon review of the documents on appeal,
    we conclude that they are not so inherently dissimilar
    that a factfinder could reasonably conclude that one is
    a fake, while the other is not.
    Although the CCA receipt that Ms. Smith reportedly
    signed was not in the record, Ray offered an essentially
    uncontested reason for his failure to produce it: the
    prison library or mail system lost the document after
    he gave it to the library staff for copying. The only evi-
    dence remotely contradictory was the testimony that
    this might have been the first time during both
    Officer Nedbal’s and Ms. Martin’s tenure that a
    prisoner’s copy request had been lost. But as both
    Officer Nedbal and Ms. Martin confirmed, the prison
    would only know if the prisoner reported it to the
    library staff or some other prison official. So it is
    certainly possible that Ray’s requested copies were not
    the first to be lost. Even if they were, that fact does not
    establish an evidentiary basis for finding that Ray manu-
    No. 11-3228                                               45
    factured the CCA receipt or fabricated a fictitious
    tale about it. The state could have, but did not, put
    Ms. Smith on the stand to dispute Ray’s claims.
    Finally, in addition to offering his own sworn testi-
    mony and corroborative documents, Ray presented the
    testimony of two prison employees, Officer Nedbal
    and Ms. Martin. While both admitted that they could
    not be certain that the documents that Ray claims to
    have been lost were actually lost or contained the
    original receipt that Ms. Smith allegedly signed, they
    also testified that prison policy required prisoners to
    describe in detail the documents they submit for copying
    and anything “suspicious” would be reviewed by a
    supervisor. Included on the list of “suspicious” requests
    were submissions with descriptions that did not match
    its contents. But no one flagged Ray’s submission for
    review. The testimony of both Officer Nedbal and
    Ms. Martin lent further credibility to Ray’s claim that
    he had, but lost, a CCA receipt signed by Ms. Smith.
    The dissent defends at length the district court’s specula-
    tive basis for finding that the privilege correspondence
    receipt was entirely fabricated. (See post at 74-89.) The
    following points of response are in order. First, it takes
    a speculative leap to go from the mere fact that Ray
    described the document in the disbursement request
    form in a lot of detail to the conclusion that he
    fabricated it. Second, the fact that librarians were not
    required to affirmatively verify the authenticity of docu-
    ments to be copied does not create a reasonable
    inference that the document was therefore a fake or
    nonexistent. Third, the dissent joins the district court
    46                                              No. 11-3228
    in critiquing Ray’s shortcomings as a pro se litigant,
    such as Ray’s less-than-perfect bookkeeping practices
    or failure to cite the most convincing pieces of evidence
    (e.g., the receipt) at specific stages of proceedings
    (see also id. at 94-97 (noting failure to have state motion
    notarized, failure to notify state court of prison transfers,
    and failure to retain copies of certain documents)), but
    that is simply insufficient to jump to the conclusion
    that the receipt must therefore not exist. Fourth,
    the dissent finds it incredible that upon obtaining rep-
    resentation, Ray would take it upon himself to track
    down the receipt, but as any pro bono attorney repre-
    senting an overly eager prisoner client can attest, that is
    not so inherently unusual, especially when attorney-
    client communication is neither quick nor easy when
    the client is in prison and can be transferred at any
    time with little notice if any to the attorney, further de-
    laying communication. Last, the dissent argues that it is
    implausible that Ray would have been able to obtain
    the receipt which was held by another inmate in
    another prison in less than 18 days. (See also id. at 98-99.)
    That theory is not without force, but unfortunately for
    the state, it did not actually produce any evidence
    to support it.
    Ray’s sworn declaration, live testimony, documentary
    evidence, and corroborating witnesses were more than
    sufficient to shift the burden of proving untimeliness to
    the state. The state’s evidence consisted of two things:
    Ms. Highley’s testimony and the Diamondback Correc-
    tion Facility’s prisoner mail policy. Ms. Highley had
    no record of Ray purchasing postage during April 2004.
    No. 11-3228                                                     47
    But her knowledge was limited to that specific time
    frame. She could not rule out the possibility that Ray
    had retained postage from earlier purchases, borrowed
    stamps from other prisoners, or received postage from
    family members or friends who were not incarcerated.4
    The prisoner mail policy added nothing of substance.
    Although Ray claims to have received a receipt for his
    outgoing legal mail and the policy does not mention
    issuance of receipts for such mail, the state did not
    produce Ms. Smith or some other prison official to
    counter Ray’s testimony that the prison had, and occa-
    sionally provided, receipts.
    The state did advance a number of arguments at
    the evidentiary hearing. First, it labeled Ray a “sophisti-
    cated” prisoner, with habeas expertise, because he had
    “boxes” of legal documents. Were these small shoe
    boxes or large moving boxes? Were they filled with
    distinct documents or multiple drafts or copies of only
    a handful unique ones? The record does not say. And
    unlike the dissent, we do not find it at all inconsistent
    4
    The dissent asserts that Ray’s testimony about postage was
    “inconsistent” with Ray’s affidavit attached to his habeas
    petition, and that this somehow meant that Ms. Highley’s
    testimony “supported the district court’s factual findings.”
    (Post at 72.) But the assertion in Ray’s affidavit that he gave Ms.
    Smith a disbursement request is not at all inconsistent with
    Ray’s testimony that he gave Ms. Smith a disbursement request
    and used stamps as postage. In any event, Ms. Highley’s
    testimony simply doesn’t support the district court’s factual
    findings as discussed above.
    48                                            No. 11-3228
    that Ray did not understand the law governing
    federal habeas corpus when he wrote the state court on
    October 4, 2006, but then filed a petition in federal
    court purportedly demonstrating sophisticated knowl-
    edge about habeas on November 27, 2006. (See post at 90-
    91.) It is not implausible that Ray would obtain a
    working knowledge of habeas in two months, especially
    after the need for such knowledge took on increased
    urgency when he learned that his state motion was
    never filed. It is also not at all unusual for pro se
    filings to contain sophisticated legal arguments, since
    prisoners routinely rely on templates created by other
    inmates when filing motions; indeed, Ray testified that
    he was “relying off inmates to help.”
    Second, the state accused Ray of concocting a sophisti-
    cated scheme in October 2006 to assert a mailbox rule
    claim and avert AEDPA’s one-year time bar. According
    to the state, Ray made up the whole story about giving
    his section 974.06 motion to Ms. Smith and receiving
    two receipts (one signed) from her. He manufactured the
    certificate of service and the letters that he swears he
    sent Ms. Smith in order to support his bogus claim. Ray
    then pursued his mailbox rule strategy in federal court
    after the state appellate court denied his post-conviction
    motion. Finally, after we found that his constitutional
    rights had been violated during his criminal trial and
    remanded to the district court to give the state an oppor-
    tunity to rebut Ray’s claim of timeliness, Ray tricked
    the prison staff into believing that they had copied and
    lost a CCA receipt signed by Ms. Smith.
    No. 11-3228                                             49
    What the state did not do, however, was present evi-
    dence in support of its theory. It did not produce Tamara
    Smith, nor deny her existence. It is certainly possible
    that, had she been called, Ms. Smith might have
    testified that she has no recollection of April 27, 2004.
    But it is equally likely that she might have flatly denied
    Ray’s account, or—worse for the state—confirmed it.
    Unfortunately, we can only speculate because the state
    did not produce her. Nor did the state produce any of
    Diamondback’s former employees to explain if and
    how the mail policy applied when prisoners were admin-
    istratively confined, whether receipts were provided
    for outgoing legal mail, whether prisoners at the
    facility would have known that they were slated to be
    transferred to a different prison and the scheduled date
    of transfer, or whether Ray’s supporting documents
    were fraudulent. And the Diamondback prison mail
    logs? Not in the record. None of this evidence is in the
    record. The dissent agrees that the state did not present
    the above evidence, but notes that the “law does not
    require direct evidence to prove a fact—circumstantial
    evidence will suffice.” (Post at 63; see also id. at 63 n.2
    (state’s “inability to obtain direct evidence of Ray’s
    fraud does not insulate Ray from a finding that he is not
    credible”).) But the state did not even present circum-
    stantial evidence upon which a factfinder could have
    reasonably based his doubts about Ray’s testimony.
    The dissent argues that, based on Ray’s testimony that
    he was in administrative confinement because “they
    was bringing Wisconsin prisoners back from Oklahoma
    back to Wisconsin,” the district court “could very rea-
    50                                             No. 11-3228
    sonably conclude that Ray knew he was returning to
    Wisconsin while in confinement and that it was
    strange that he would decide to mail the motion to a
    Wisconsin court from Oklahoma . . . .” (Post at 67-68.)
    But even if Ray did know that he was returning to Wis-
    consin (and nothing shows he knew when he would
    be transferred), the fact that a prisoner would want to
    mail an important state post-conviction motion as
    soon as it was ready is not so incredible such that the
    district court could have reasonably discredited his
    testimony. It is not clear how placing mail destined for
    a Wisconsin address in a Wisconsin mailbox is so
    superior to placing it in an Oklahoma mailbox, such
    that any normal prisoner would obviously delay filing
    such a critical motion (and consequently, delay his poten-
    tial release from prison) for an indefinite period of time,
    just for the opportunity to put that motion in a Wis-
    consin mailbox.
    In sum, the state prevailed in the district court by
    branding Ray a sophisticated prison litigant and a liar,
    without any evidence to support those accusations.
    We think Ray’s counsel hit the nail on the head in his
    briefs and at oral argument. The state’s argument
    requires us to believe that Ray knew in 2004 that the
    mailbox rule would apply to a section 974.06 post-convic-
    tion motion filed in Wisconsin, even when the motion
    is not received by the state court—issues that we
    decide today as a matter of first impression. In 2004,
    the only circuit authority for applying the mailbox rule
    to statutorily toll AEDPA were the cases decided by the
    Ninth Circuit. E.g., Caldwell, 
    30 F.3d at 1203
    . By that
    No. 11-3228                                              51
    time, however, the “diligence” requirement was also
    firmly established in that circuit’s law. E.g., Huizar, 273
    F.3d at 1222. But Ray does not argue that he diligently
    followed up with the state court during the two years
    that passed from the time he allegedly gave Ms. Smith
    his motion to the time he filed his second, supple-
    mental motion. We must also believe that Ray foresaw
    that neither Ms. Smith nor anyone else from the
    Diamondback Correctional Facility would testify at the
    inevitable evidentiary hearing—surely Ray would have
    known that Ms. Smith’s or another CCA official’s testi-
    mony contradicting his claims likely would have pro-
    vided evidence to support the district court’s dismissal
    of his petition as untimely. All of this might in fact be
    true, but without evidence there is no basis for
    believing any of it.
    There is no dispute that the district court placed the
    burden of proof on Ray. This was error. Our review of the
    record convinces us that the district court’s error was
    not limited to the law, however. The state did not
    submit any evidence to contradict Ray’s testimony and
    evidence. And it certainly did not carry its burden of
    proving that Ray’s federal habeas petition was un-
    timely. Yet the district court found that Ray had concocted
    an elaborate scheme to defraud the court and subvert
    AEDPA’s limitations period, and it concluded that Ray’s
    federal habeas petition was untimely filed. This conclusion
    lacks an evidentiary basis. We have a “definite and firm
    conviction” that the district court made a mistake; its
    findings are clearly erroneous. See Harris v. Reed, 
    894 F.2d 871
    , 878 (7th Cir. 1990) (finding clear error where the
    52                                               No. 11-3228
    district court “construct[ed] a trial strategy supporting
    [petitioner’s] counsel’s decision” not to call material
    witnesses at the petitioner’s trial); Gorham, 
    760 F.2d at 795
    (finding clear error in district court’s rejection of evidence
    related to the petitioner’s waiver of his Miranda rights
    because the state failed to “mention[] [the evidence] at the
    suppression hearing” during the petitioner’s trial). The
    dissent believes that we have “isolate[d] each piece of
    evidence and then one by one conclude[d] that the individ-
    ual inconsistency or implausibility is insufficient by itself
    to support the district court’s factual findings” (post at 66-
    67 n.4), but all we have done is demonstrate how the
    district court discredited each piece of Ray’s evidence
    based not on proof from the state, but on speculation.
    Speculation piled on top of speculation does not a
    factual finding make; zero plus zero still equals zero.
    Ray’s constitutional rights were violated during his
    criminal trial. There is no dispute about that. After we
    remanded this case to the district court to decide
    whether Ray’s federal habeas petition was untimely,
    the state had over one year from the time our mandate
    issued on April 13, 2010 until the evidentiary hearing.
    This was more than enough time for the state to cull
    together evidence sufficient to refute Ray’s claim and
    make a persuasive case for untimeliness. The state ap-
    parently “made numerous phone calls to . . . other CCA
    prisons still operating in Oklahoma” but was met “with
    voicemails and unreturned calls for months.” It did
    “everything” it could think of “to get more information
    from CCA on . . . their policies,” but was ultimately
    unsuccessful. So the state appeared at the evidentiary
    No. 11-3228                                              53
    hearing with one witness, who could only speculate
    about whether Ray might have had postage in April 2004,
    and a prison mail policy that did not contradict
    Ray’s testimony about the issuance of receipts for out-
    going mail. Without evidence, the state painted Ray as
    a “bright,” “sophisticated,” and experienced habeas
    litigant familiar with AEDPA’s one-year limitations
    period and the Houston mailbox rule’s applicability to a
    pro se prisoner’s purported filing that is not actually
    received by the court. Branded a liar, what was Ray to
    do? No amount of evidence could have overcome
    this hurdle. The district court sided with the state. But
    it did so only after incorrectly placing the burden of
    proof on Ray. We previously held that Ray’s constitu-
    tional rights were violated during his state court trial. So
    we now reverse the district court’s dismissal of Ray’s
    petition as untimely, reinstate the petition, and remand
    this case with instructions to grant the writ unless the
    state elects to retry him.
    In concluding, we highlight an interesting irony in
    this case that we think is relevant to our decision to
    place the burden of proving untimeliness on the state.
    The state notes the difficulty it has had in obtaining
    evidence from and about CCA and Diamondback; it
    was met with unreturned messages for “months.” This is
    the state’s attorney’s office. Imagine the difficulty, and
    possible resistance, that a pro se prisoner will likely
    face under similar circumstances. To ignore this prac-
    tical reality is to elevate form over substance, procedure
    over justice. Without a clear statutory command to
    that effect from AEDPA, and in light of the Supreme
    54                                              No. 11-3228
    Court’s dictates in Houston, we          reject the state’s
    request that we do so here.
    III. CONCLUSION
    For the above-stated reasons, we R EVERSE the
    district court’s dismissal of the petition for writ of habeas
    corpus, and R EMAND with instructions to grant the
    writ unless the state elects to retry the petitioner within
    120 days of issuance of our final mandate or of the Su-
    preme Court’s final mandate.
    M ANION, Circuit Judge, concurring in part, dissenting
    in part.
    I.
    Ray filed this habeas action in federal court on
    February 28, 2007. Opinion at 5. The district court denied
    Ray’s petition and he appealed to this court. This court
    held that Ray’s clearly established confrontation clause
    rights were violated when the state court admitted co-
    actors’ statements through a police detective’s testi-
    mony at trial. Ray v. Boatwright, 
    592 F.3d, 793
    , 798 (7th
    Cir.), as amended (Apr. 1, 2010). However, after holding
    that Ray’s constitutional rights had been violated, this
    court remanded the case to the district court to allow
    No. 11-3228                                                 55
    the district court to determine whether Ray’s habeas
    petition had been timely filed. The government had
    argued that Ray’s habeas petition had been filed after
    the one-year statute of limitations had run, but Ray
    had claimed in his habeas petition that the statute of
    limitations had been tolled because he had handed a
    state court petition to a prison social worker on April 27,
    2004 for mailing. This court concluded that because
    the district court had dismissed Ray’s habeas petition
    on the merits, before giving the government “an oppor-
    tunity to answer the petition and develop the record,”
    
    id. at 798-99
    , remand was required. Specifically, this
    court explained:
    the government has not yet had a chance to chal-
    lenge whether the documents Ray placed into
    the record are authentic; whether the state court
    petition was ever received by prison officials;
    whether the papers Ray filed were sufficient
    under state law to petition for post-conviction
    relief; or whether the individual to whom Ray
    allegedly gave his petition was a proper prison
    authority. Accordingly, we remand this case to
    the district court so that the government may
    have an opportunity to develop the record on this
    issue. If, after the record is fully developed, Ray’s
    petition is determined to be timely, this Court
    directs the district court to grant the petition for
    writ of habeas corpus unless the State chooses
    to retry Ray within 120 days.
    
    Id. at 799
    .
    56                                             No. 11-3228
    On remand, the district court followed our directive.
    He held an evidentiary hearing at which Ray testified,
    along with three state employees (two from the prison
    library and another involved with prisoner accounts).
    The documentary evidence Ray presented in support of
    his claims of timeliness was admitted into evidence, as
    were prison policies from Diamondback. Following the
    evidentiary hearing, based on the testimony and docu-
    mentary evidence, the district court concluded, as a
    factual matter, that the documents Ray presented were
    not genuine and that his testimony was not credible.
    The district court further found that Ray had not
    given Smith a state post-conviction motion on April 27,
    2004 for mailing.
    Notwithstanding that the district court did exactly
    what we directed, the court today holds that the
    district court’s credibility finding and its finding that
    Ray did not give the motion to a social worker on April 27,
    2004 were clearly erroneous. Opinion at 51. I disagree;
    the district court’s factual findings, far from being
    clearly erroneous, were compelled by contradictions and
    implausibilities in Ray’s story and the documentary
    evidence. Moreover, while I agree the prison mailbox
    rule applies (and thus I concur in Part II. A of the opin-
    ion), I disagree that the state bore the burden of proving
    that Ray had not given the purported state post-con-
    viction motion to a social worker on April 27, 2004.
    However, contrary to the court’s conclusion that “after
    an evidentiary hearing, the district court placed the
    burden of proving timeliness on Ray,” Opinion at 2, the
    district court did in fact place the burden of proof on the
    No. 11-3228                                              57
    state and then concluded that the state had met its bur-
    den. And that finding was not clearly erroneous. Ac-
    cordingly, I concur in part and dissent in part.
    II.
    A. Ray bears the burden of proving tolling.
    I agree that the state bears the burden of proving the
    affirmative defense of the statute of limitations. Gildon v.
    Bowen, 
    384 F.3d 883
    , 886 (7th Cir. 2004). But the state
    met this burden. The state established that Ray did not
    file his federal habeas petition until February 28, 2007,
    and that this filing was not within the one-year statute
    of limitations because Ray’s state conviction became
    final on or about September 10, 2003. The state further
    established that Ray had not filed a state post-conviction
    petition, which could toll the statute of limitations, until
    October 2007. Thus, the state proved that Ray’s habeas
    petition was untimely.
    It is Ray who is asserting an exception to the statute
    of limitations and it is he who should bear the burden
    of proving tolling. While this circuit has yet to address
    the issue of the burden of proof for tolling under 
    28 U.S.C. § 2244
    (d)(2), we have held that the habeas petitioner
    bears the burden of proving equitable tolling. Williams
    v. Buss, 
    538 F.3d 683
    , 685 (7th Cir. 2008). That this case
    involves statutory tolling and not equitable tolling is of
    no moment—the same principles apply: The party as-
    serting an exception to the statute of limitations’ affirma-
    tive defense bears the burden of proving that exception.
    58                                               No. 11-3228
    See also Zepeda v. Walker, 
    581 F.3d 1013
    , 1019 (9th Cir.
    2009) (stating that the habeas petitioner “bears the
    burden of demonstrating that the AEDPA limitation
    period was sufficiently tolled” under § 2244(d)(2)).
    In holding that the state bears the burden of proving
    tolling, the court reasons that “ ‘all else being equal, the
    burden [of proof] is better placed on the party with easier
    access to relevant information.’ E.g., Nat’l Commc’n Ass’n
    Inc. v. AT&T Corp., 
    238 F.3d 124
    , 130 (2d Cir. 2001).”
    Opinion at 31. But the court’s analysis ignores the re-
    mainder of what Nat’l Commc’n said: “The general rule
    is that the party that asserts the affirmative of an issue
    has the burden of proving the facts essential to its
    claim.” 
    Id.
     And “all else again being equal, courts
    should avoid requiring a party to shoulder the more
    difficult task of proving a negative.” 
    Id.
     In this case, it is
    Ray who is asserting the affirmative of an issue, namely
    that he gave Smith a state post-conviction motion on
    April 27, 2004. The court is thus placing on the state
    the more difficult task of proving a negative—that Ray
    did not give Smith the post-conviction motion. Finally,
    I would note that proving the negative in this context
    is even more difficult because Ray claims he handed the
    petition to Smith in violation of the prison policy
    which stated: “All inmate mail will be processed through
    the institutional mailroom. No person, either staff or
    visitors, is permitted to bring in or take out any mail
    No. 11-3228                                                     59
    or article for an inmate.” 1 Opinion at 13. No one has
    been able to find Smith, but if she was part of the prison
    staff, she would have known she was not permitted to
    handle prison mail. For these reasons, I dissent from
    the court’s holding that the state bore the burden of
    proving the statute of limitations was not tolled.
    1
    The court responds that the more natural reading of this rule
    is that no one can take mail into or out of the prison. Opinion at
    38. But in addition to specifying that the mail must be
    processed through the mailroom, the procedures also discuss
    the “posting of outgoing mail,” stating that: “OUTGOING
    MAIL WILL BE DELIVERED FROM THE INMATE/RESI-
    DENT TO THE FACILITY BY THE FOLLOWING PROCE-
    DURE: The mail clerk will pick up the mail from the centrally
    located mail box between 8:00 a.m. and 8:30 a.m. Mail will be
    delivered to the post office the same day it is received by the
    mail clerk in the Diamondback Correctional Facility mail
    room.” The policy reiterates this point stating later: “THE
    PROCEDURE AT THIS FACILITY FOR COLLECTION OF
    MAIL IS AS FOLLOWS: Mail will be collected from the
    centrally located mail box Monday through Friday, (excluding
    holidays) between 8:00 a.m. and 8:30 a.m.” See also Policy 16-1
    (“Outgoing mail will be posted within 24 hours of the time the
    mail was turned over to the facility by the inmate/resident, . . .”
    (emphasis added)). Taken as a whole, these procedures clarify
    that prisoners must deliver outgoing mail to the “facility,” and
    not a staff member, via the centrally located mailbox. No
    exception is listed for those in administrative confinement
    even though the policy includes a list of “ADDITIONAL
    PROCEDURES AT THIS FACILITY” related to mail collection.
    60                                             No. 11-3228
    B. The district court held that the State bore
    the burden of proof.
    After concluding that the state bore the burden of
    proof, the court concludes that the district court
    wrongly placed the burden of proof on Ray. Opinion
    at 51. However, the district court’s holding on the burden
    of proof is actually consistent with the court’s holding
    today. The district court did hold that the state did not
    initially carry the burden of proof on tolling. However,
    the district court also explained that a prisoner
    claiming the benefit of the mailbox rule had the
    “initial burden of presenting a sworn declaration setting
    forth the requirement of having hand[ed] the prison
    official the document to be filed with postage pre-
    paid.” The district court then agreed with Ray that at that
    point the burden shifted to the state, stating: “Ray is
    correct that once the prisoner presents such evidence,
    as Ray has here, the burden does shift to the respondent
    to refute it.” The district court, though, recognized
    that there was a split in the circuits on the burden-
    shifting approach, between the Ninth Circuit’s decision
    in Huizar v. Carey, 
    273 F.3d 1220
     (9th Cir. 2001) and
    the Eleventh Circuit’s decision in Allen v. Culliver, 
    471 F.3d 1196
     (11th Cir. 2006) (per curiam), but concluded
    that “regardless of which approach is applied here, the
    Court finds on the evidence presented that Ray’s petition
    was not filed within the one-year period allowed
    under § 2244(d)(1).” Thus, the district court did place
    the burden on the state and the court is wrong to say
    that “[t]here is no dispute that the district court placed
    the burden of proof on Ray.” Opinion at 51.
    No. 11-3228                                              61
    C. The district court did not commit clear error in
    finding that Ray was not credible and in finding
    that he had not given Smith a state post-conviction
    motion on April 27, 2004, for mailing.
    Even if the state bore the burden of proof, as this
    court and the district court held, Ray still cannot prevail
    because, as discussed below, the district court found,
    following an evidentiary hearing, that Ray’s testimony
    that he had given a state post-conviction motion to
    Tamara Smith on April 27, 2004, to mail was not credi-
    ble. The court holds that the district court com-
    mitted clear error in finding Ray’s testimony incredible
    and in finding that Ray had not given the social worker
    a state post-conviction motion on April 27, 2004, to mail.
    As the court notes, we will reverse a district court’s
    factual findings only if they are “implausible in light of
    the record viewed in its entirety.” Gorham v. Franzen, 
    760 F.2d 786
    , 790 (7th Cir. 1985). Moreover, as we recently
    explained in United States v. Smith, 
    668 F.3d 427
    , 430
    (7th Cir. 2012), “[s]pecial deference is given to the
    district court’s factual determinations because the dis-
    trict court had the opportunity to hear the testi-
    mony and observe the demeanor of witnesses . . . .” Thus,
    because “[d]eterminations of witness credibility are
    entitled to great deference [they] ‘can virtually never be
    clear error.’ ” United States v. Cox, 
    536 F.3d 723
    , 729 (7th
    Cir. 2008) (quoting United States v. Blalock, 
    321 F.3d 686
    ,
    690 (7th Cir. 2003)).
    Notwithstanding the extreme deference we owe the
    district court’s credibility and factual findings, the court
    62                                               No. 11-3228
    concludes that the district court clearly erred. The
    court justifies its conclusion in four main ways: (1) by
    stressing all of the evidence the state did not present;
    (2) by stating that the district court merely branded Ray
    a liar; (3) by disagreeing with the district court’s reasons
    for finding Ray and his story not credible; and (4) by
    positing that the state’s theory that Ray manufactured
    the evidence is implausible, or at least that there is no
    evidence in the record for believing Ray manufactured
    the evidence.
    1.   Evidence not presented by the state.
    I address first the court’s emphasis on the evidence the
    state did not present. The court first notes that Smith
    did not testify, Opinion at 49, and then adds:
    Nor did the state produce any of Diamondback’s
    former employees to explain if and how the mail
    policy applied when prisoners were administra-
    tively confined, whether receipts were provided
    for outgoing legal mail, whether prisoners at
    the facility would have known that they were
    slated to be transferred to a different prison and
    the scheduled date of transfer, or whether Ray’s
    supporting documents were fraudulent. And the
    Diamondback prison mail logs? Not in the re-
    cord. None of this evidence is in the record.
    Opinion at 49.
    No. 11-3228                                                      63
    It is true that the state did not present this evidence.2
    But the absence of this evidence is entirely irrelevant to
    the question of whether the district court was clearly
    erroneous in finding Ray incredible and his evidence
    and story contradictory and implausible. Yes, Smith or
    others from Diamondback might have contradicted
    Ray’s testimony, but the law does not require direct
    evidence to prove a fact—circumstantial evidence will
    suffice.3 See, e.g., Bloedorn v. Francisco Foods, Inc., 
    276 F.3d 2
     Diamondback has been closed and the state’s attempts to
    speak with former Diamondback staff have proved futile.
    Ray’s attorney indicated at oral argument that they have not
    made any efforts to find Smith because it is not their burden.
    While I disagree with that proposition, see supra at 57-59, even
    assuming the state bore the burden of proof, its inability to
    obtain direct evidence of Ray’s fraud does not insulate Ray
    from a finding that he is not credible.
    3
    The court responds that “the state did not even present
    circumstantial evidence upon which a factfinder could have
    reasonably based his doubts about Ray’s testimony.” Opinion
    at 49. If the court’s point is that most of the evidence contradict-
    ing Ray’s testimony came from Ray himself (and not the state),
    that objection is misplaced. See Marantz v. Permanente Medical
    Group, Inc. Long Term Disability Plan, 
    687 F.3d 320
    , 336-37 (7th
    Cir. 2012) (“We will not disturb the district court’s factual
    findings after it has weighed the evidence on both sides
    unless, after considering all of the evidence, this court is left
    with the definite and firm conviction that a mistake has been
    made.”) (emphasis added). If, on the other hand, the court
    believes that the evidence presented at the hearing does not
    (continued...)
    64                                                No. 11-3228
    270 (7th Cir. 2001) (“An employer’s motive is a factual
    matter which, like any other fact, may be proven by
    direct or circumstantial evidence.”). Moreover, the mail
    logs the court references, while not produced, would
    have been completely useless because Ray testified that
    he did not place the motion in the prison’s regular
    mail system.
    2. “Branding” Ray a liar.
    In addition to highlighting the evidence the state did
    not present, the court reasoned that: “The state prevailed
    in the district court by branding Ray a sophisticated
    prison litigant and a liar, without any evidence to
    support those accusations.” Opinion at 50. That is not so;
    the district court had ample circumstantial evidence,
    discussed at length below, to conclude that Ray was
    both a sophisticated prison litigant and a liar. Thus,
    contrary to the court’s portrayal, this is not a case of
    the district court merely branding Ray a liar.
    It is true, though, as the Supreme Court has made clear,
    that a court may not “insulate his findings from review
    3
    (...continued)
    support a reasonable inference that Ray lied about giving
    Smith a post-conviction motion, the court is wrong. As dis-
    cussed below, Ray’s testimony, the prison officials’ testimony,
    the Diamondback policies, and the extensive documentation
    Ray presented to prove his case, taken together created a
    reasonable inference that Ray never gave Smith a post-con-
    viction motion for filing.
    No. 11-3228                                              65
    by denominating them credibility determinations . . . .”
    Anderson v. City of Bessemer City, 
    470 U.S. 564
    , 575 (1985).
    But as the Supreme Court further explained in Anderson,
    there are “factors other than demeanor and inflec-
    tion [which] go into the decision whether or not to
    believe a witness. Documents or objective evidence
    may contradict the witness’ story; or the story itself may
    be so internally inconsistent or implausible on [their]
    face that a reasonable factfinder would not credit
    [them].” 
    Id.
     That is exactly what we have in this case
    and precisely what the district court found. The district
    court stated: “Taking into consideration all of the sur-
    rounding facts and circumstances of this case, the
    Court does not find Ray’s testimony that he handed his
    § 974.06 motion to Ms. Smith on April 27, 2004, credi-
    ble.” The district court further explained it was
    rejecting Ray’s version of events because of “[i]ncon-
    sistencies in his own documentation and further
    implausibilities concerning that documentation . . . .”
    The district court then detailed a substantial number of
    inconsistencies and implausibilities, a few of which
    the court simply mentions without examination or con-
    tradiction.
    3.   The court’s disagreement with the district
    court’s reasoning.
    As noted, the district court detailed a substantial
    number of the inconsistencies and implausibilities in
    Ray’s testimony and his evidence. In holding that the
    66                                                   No. 11-3228
    district court committed clear error, the court mentions
    these reasons but then presents its own view of this
    evidence, substituting its judgment for the district
    court’s. This is impermissible. United States v. Mancillas,
    
    183 F.3d 682
    , 695 (7th Cir. 1999) (“Factual findings are
    reviewed for clear error, and this Court will not
    substitute its judgment for that of the district court if
    there is support in the record for the trial court’s
    findings of fact.”) (internal citations omitted).4
    4
    The court’s response to the dissent illustrates two further
    flaws in the court’s review of the district court’s reasoning:
    First, the court quotes Anderson out of context to reason that
    (what the court perceives as) minor inconsistencies or im-
    plausibilities in Ray’s story cannot support the district court’s
    factual finding because they are not “so internally inconsistent
    or implausible on its face that a reasonable factfinder would not
    credit it.” Opinion at 43. But in Anderson, the Supreme Court
    was not discussing what was required to support a factual
    finding; rather, the Supreme Court was explaining when a
    credibility determination could be overturned as clearly er-
    roneous. Had the district court found Ray credible, the evidence
    might not reach the “so internally inconsistent or implausible
    on its face” threshold to conclude that the district court com-
    mitted clear error. But in this case the district court found Ray
    incredible and thus the court’s reliance on Anderson is mis-
    placed. Second, in concluding that the inconsistencies and
    implausibilities in Ray’s story and his evidence cannot
    support the district court’s factual finding, the court isolates
    each piece of evidence and then one by one concludes that
    the individual inconsistency or implausibility is insufficient
    (continued...)
    No. 11-3228                                                  67
    a. Ray’s impending transfer to Wisconsin.
    For instance, in response to the district court’s
    reasoning that it was curious that Ray gave his
    Wisconsin state court motion to Smith in Oklahoma for
    mailing to Wisconsin when he was about to be trans-
    ferred to Wisconsin, the court retorts: The state did not
    present any evidence on “whether prisoners at the
    facility would have known that they were slated to be
    transferred to a different prison . . . .” Opinion at 49. But
    Ray testified: “We was on administrative confinement
    to the unit. We weren’t—we weren’t allowed to leave
    the unit. . . . Because they was bringing Wisconsin pris-
    oners back from Oklahoma back to Wisconsin.” From
    this testimony, the district court could very reasonably
    conclude that Ray knew he was returning to Wisconsin
    while in confinement and that it was strange that he
    would decide to mail the motion to a Wisconsin court
    4
    (...continued)
    by itself to support the district court’s factual findings. See,
    e.g., Opinion at 45-46. However, no one piece of evidence
    must support a factual finding; rather the court must take the
    entire record as a whole. Cf. Huff v. UARCO, Inc., 
    122 F.3d 374
    , 385 (7th Cir. 1997) (discussing standard in a discrimina-
    tion case). Thus, that individually some of the vagaries are
    minor is of no moment; the court should have considered all
    of the inferences flowing from the evidence in total. And in
    total, the evidence was more than sufficient to support the
    district court’s factual findings that Ray was not credible and
    that Ray had not given a state post-conviction motion to
    Smith to mail.
    68                                                No. 11-3228
    from Oklahoma, especially when he                 supposedly
    couldn’t get to the mailbox in Oklahoma.5
    b. The Certificate of Service form.
    Regarding the Certificate of Service form Ray claimed
    Smith had given him, the district court believed the
    form looked like the work product of a prisoner, noting:
    “The certificate bears no signatures, other than Ray’s,
    and appears on plain white paper with no heading or
    other indication that it is an official prison form. It
    contains no space for the year of service, and contains
    numerous typographical errors.” The court first notes
    that “no one testified that Ray’s certificate of service
    was phony.” Opinion at 43-44. But as explained above,
    the state need not prove its case with direct evidence.
    The court then acknowledges that the form had typos
    and lacked any institutional markings, but excuses
    those problems by noting: “[t]he typos in the document,
    and its lack of any distinguishing characteristics like
    a letterhead, were consistent with other official CCA
    documents, of unquestioned authenticity, that Ray intro-
    duced into evidence bearing the same defects.” Opinion
    5
    The court responds that any normal prisoner would want to
    file such a critical motion without delay, to avoid any delay
    in his potential release from prison. Opinion at 50. If such an
    inference is reasonable, then it is even more reasonable for
    the district court to have inferred that had Ray truly filed a
    motion with the state court in April 2004, he would not
    have waited more than two years to inquire on its status.
    No. 11-3228                                                      69
    at 43. But the district court considered the other forms
    and found that “[e]ven when compared to other
    official forms which lack an institutional heading and
    contain a grammatical error, the court remains convinced
    that in both form and content the certificate looks more
    like the work product of a prisoner than a prison ad-
    ministration.” The court rejects this added finding
    based on its own eyeball comparison of the documents,
    but here the court is again improperly substituting its
    own judgment for the district court’s.6
    6
    Because the court relies on its own eyeball comparison of the
    two documents to reject the district court’s findings, attached
    as Appendix A is a copy of the Certificate of Service form
    Ray claims he received from Smith. This form appears to have
    been created on a typewriter and as the district court noted,
    it contains nothing to indicate it is an official prison document
    and it contains typographical errors. A reasonable inference
    from the appearance of this form is that it was not a prison
    form provided by Smith, but rather one created by Ray. This
    inference becomes stronger when the Certificate of Service form
    is placed next to some of the letters typed by Ray which the
    district court also admitted into evidence and which are
    included as Appendices B and C. (For instance, note the use of
    “[ ]” instead of the more appropriate “()” in all of the docu-
    ments.) Before the district court, Ray attempted to overcome the
    inference that he had created the Certificate of Service form
    by tendering a document he had received from the New Lisbon,
    Wisconsin prison (not from the CCA, as the court states).
    Opinion at 43. This New Lisbon form, reprinted as Appendix D,
    also has several typographical errors and has no official
    (continued...)
    70                                                 No. 11-3228
    Moreover, in addition to finding that the Certificate of
    Service looked more like a form created by a prisoner
    than a prison, the district court also found that Ray’s
    testimony concerning the Certificate of Service contra-
    dicted other documentary evidence. Specifically, Ray
    testified that Smith had given him the Certificate of
    Service and that he had filled it out. But as the district
    court noted, Ray referenced the “Certificate of Service
    by Mail” form in his supposed first letter to Smith on
    June 1, 2004, but in that letter he stated that she had
    filled it out. Ray also mentioned the Certificate of Service
    form in his “Motion for Protective Order Staying
    And Abeying [sic] Petitioner’s Petition for Writ of
    Habeas Corpus Filed Pursuant to 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    ,” and
    there he stated that Smith had signed the form.
    Ray’s change in story, i.e., from his original claim that
    Smith had filled out the Certificate of Service form, to
    his current version that he had filled out the form, is
    significant. Had he not changed his story, the state
    could have shown, through handwriting analysis, that
    Ray had completed the form.7
    6
    (...continued)
    prison heading. But its font and appearance differ significantly
    from the Certificate of Service form. And a reasonable fact-
    finder could infer that this form could not be created on a
    typewriter by a prisoner (given the font and the use of
    differing font sizes—some large and some small), while the
    Certificate of Service form could have been.
    7
    The court responds by first stating this is a minor inconsis-
    tency and then quoting Anderson, Opinion at 43. But, as dis-
    (continued...)
    No. 11-3228                                                  71
    c. Testimony concerning postage.
    The state also provided evidence, through the
    testimony of Highley, calling into question Ray’s story
    that he gave Smith the state post-conviction motion.
    She testified that during the time that Ray supposedly
    gave Smith the state court motion for mailing, he had
    not purchased any postage. The court responds that
    the state’s evidence, through testimony of Ms. Highley,
    that Ray did not purchase postage during April 2004
    did not establish that Ray did not provide Smith with
    the motion because Highley “could not rule out the
    possibility that Ray had retained postage from earlier
    purchases, borrowed stamps from other prisoners, or
    received postage from family members or friends who
    were not incarcerated.” Opinion at 47. It is true that
    during cross-examination Highley testified that she
    could not rule out that possibility, but it was one piece
    7
    (...continued)
    cussed above, Anderson is quoted out of context, see supra at 66
    n.4, and while it is a minor inconsistency, it adds to the
    other inferences supporting the district court’s factual
    finding that Ray’s testimony is incredible. The court also
    notes “it makes no difference who technically filled out
    that form, so long as it demonstrates that Ray had asked
    Ms. Smith to mail out his motion.” Opinion at 43. It is true
    that it wouldn’t matter who filled out the form if it were
    truly given to Ray by Smith in response to his request to mail
    out the motion. But that Ray’s story changed does support
    an inference that he is lying when he claimed that Smith
    had given him that form.
    72                                              No. 11-3228
    of evidence the district court could consider in evaluating
    Ray’s story. And when considered in light of other
    record evidence, Highley’s testimony supported the
    district court’s factual findings. Specifically, Ray’s testi-
    mony concerning the postage for the state post-conviction
    motion was inconsistent with other evidence. Before
    the district court, Ray testified that he used stamps for
    postage on the state post-conviction motion he pur-
    portedly gave Smith, stating he had some and borrowed
    a few to make sure there was enough postage on
    it and then gave Smith a disbursement request in case
    there wasn’t enough postage. However, this testimony
    was inconsistent with the affidavit Ray had filed in Feb-
    ruary 2007 with his petition for habeas relief: In that
    affidavit, Ray stated that he “personally placed [his]
    postconviction motion puruant (sic) to 974.06{4, (sic) along
    with disbursement request for postage in the hands of
    Tamara Smith, . . . . ” Ray made no mention of having
    affixed stamps to the envelope. Because Highley’s testi-
    mony ruled out the possibility that a disbursement was
    made for stamps around the time Ray claimed to have
    given Smith the motion, this change in story (i.e., Ray’s
    current claim that he had placed stamps on the motion)
    takes on a greater significance.
    d. Diamondback’s policies.
    The court also discounts the state’s evidence con-
    cerning the mail policies at Diamondback. First, the
    court reasons that nothing in the record explains whether
    the Diamondback policy that “[a]ll inmate mail will be
    processed through the institutional mailroom. No person,
    No. 11-3228                                                73
    either staff or visitors, is permitted to bring in or take out
    any mail or article for an inmate,” applies to prisoners
    while administratively confined. Opinion at 49. But the
    policy clearly states “[a]ll inmate mail.” Moreover, Ray’s
    testimony that he gave the motion to Smith because
    he could not go to the mailroom is implausible in light
    of his other testimony. Specifically, in explaining how
    he came to give the motion to Smith, Ray speaks of
    leaving his lunch table, going upstairs to his cell, bringing
    the envelope with the motion in it downstairs, and
    then going into a social worker’s office with her. It is
    difficult to believe that a prisoner could roam with
    that much freedom and be able to walk to the social
    worker’s office, but be unable to walk with the
    social worker to the centrally located mailbox or the
    prison mailroom.8
    The district court also found it “noteworthy that the CCA
    Corporate and Facility Policy governing Diamondback
    does not mention either a ‘Privileged Correspondence
    Receipt’ form or a ‘Certificate of Service By Mail’ form,
    but it does specify the form to be used when privileged
    correspondence is distributed to an inmate.” The court
    counters that while the prison mail policy does not men-
    tion the giving of a receipt for outgoing legal mail, the
    8
    The court responds that without knowing how Diamondback
    was configured, this is pure speculation. Opinion at 42. But
    Ray testified that when he approached Smith to give her the
    post-conviction motion, he had to wait because she had to
    take another prisoner “somewhere in the institution.” Based
    on this testimony, it is reasonable to infer that Smith could
    have likewise taken Ray to the central mailbox or mailroom.
    74                                              No. 11-3228
    state did not produce Smith or some other prison
    official to prove that forms were not given. Opinion at 47.
    But direct evidence is not required and Diamondback’s
    policy addressing the handling of privileged correspon-
    dence is circumstantial evidence that supports the
    district court’s factual findings. That policy stated that
    for incoming privileged correspondence “[a] staff
    member will distribute privileged correspondence to
    inmates using form 16-1D.” Conversely, the policy “AT
    THIS FACILITY” for mailing outgoing privileged corre-
    spondence provided that “[a]ll outgoing legal mail is
    logged in at the mailroom when it is received.” The
    district court could reasonably infer from the fact that
    the prison policy specified the use of a form to log in-
    coming privileged mail and its directive that out-
    going privileged mail be logged in the mailroom, that
    Diamondback did not give prisoners a Certificate of
    Service or a Privileged Correspondence Receipt form
    upon mailing privileged mail.
    e. The Privileged Correspondence Receipt.
    The court next attacks the district court’s findings
    concerning the Privileged Correspondence Receipt. The
    district court found that it was doubtful that Ray ever
    had a Privileged Correspondence Receipt form signed by
    Smith. In response, the court conclusorily states: “Ray
    offered an essentially uncontested reason for his failure
    to produce it: the prison library or mail system lost
    the document after he gave it to the library staff for copy-
    ing.” Opinion at 44. The court then adds that: “The
    No. 11-3228                                             75
    only evidence remotely contradictory was the testimony
    that this might have been the first time during both
    Officer Nedbal’s and Ms. Martin’s tenure that a
    prisoner’s copy request had been lost. But as Officer
    Nedbal and Ms. Martin confirmed, the prison would only
    know if the prisoner reported it to the library staff or
    some other prison official. So it is certainly possible
    that Ray’s requested copies were not the first to be lost.”
    Opinion at 44. The court continues, saying that even if
    Ray’s Privileged Correspondence Receipt was the first
    to be lost, “that fact does not establish an evidentiary
    basis for finding that Ray manufactured the [Privileged
    Correspondence Receipt] or fabricated a fictitious tale
    about it.” Opinion at 44-45. The court further reasons
    that Officer Nedbal and Ms. Martin “testified that prison
    policy required prisoners to describe in detail the docu-
    ments they submit for copying and anything ‘suspicious’
    would be reviewed by a supervisor,” and that sus-
    picious items included ones where the description did
    not match its content. But no one flagged Ray’s submis-
    sion for review. Opinion at 45. And this testimony “lent
    further credibility to Ray’s claim that he had, but lost, a
    CCA receipt signed by Ms. Smith.” Opinion at 45.
    Far from being “essentially uncontested,” the state
    strenuously challenged Ray’s story and the district court
    found that “Ray’s evidence that [prison officials] lost
    his Privileged Correspondence Receipt form [are] uncon-
    vincing.” The district court explained that “[b]ased
    on the testimony, it is clear that the document Ray
    handed [Corrections Officer] Nedbal for photocopying
    could have been a document he created in an attempt to
    76                                             No. 11-3228
    manufacture additional evidence to corroborate his
    claim that he handed his state post-conviction motion to
    Smith for mailing on April 27, 2004.” The district court
    further found “[t]he detail in which Ray described the
    document in the Disbursement Request form suggested
    a purpose beyond a simple request for a thirty-cent
    disbursement for photocopying.” And although the
    form requires “detailed instructions,” the librarian
    testified that “the detail required concerned the direc-
    tions for copying, i.e., number of copies, one or two
    sides, legal or letter size—not the document to be
    copied.” The district court added: “Library personnel were
    not expected to determine the authenticity of the docu-
    ments submitted for copying. They screened the material
    for appropriateness and to insure it did not relate to
    a different inmate.” Moreover, prison officials were not
    allowed to read legal materials—they mainly looked to
    ensure the name of the inmate matched the document.
    Based on this testimony, the district court found Ray’s
    claim that prison officials lost the Privileged Correspon-
    dence Receipt unconvincing. This finding was amply
    supported by the evidence.
    In response to the dissent, the court states: “[I]t takes
    a speculative leap to go from the mere fact that Ray
    described the document in the disbursement request
    form in a lot of detail to the conclusion that he
    fabricated it.” Opinion at 45. The court’s conclusion,
    though, flows from its misunderstanding of the record.
    Specifically, the court confuses the Disbursement Re-
    quest form with the Photocopy Request form. A prisoner
    requesting a photocopy must complete both forms, but
    No. 11-3228                                           77
    it is the Photocopy Request form, and not the Disburse-
    ment Request form, which must include “detailed in-
    structions as to what is to be copied.” But it was in the
    Disbursement Request form and not the Photocopy
    Request form that Ray described in excruciating detail
    the purported Privileged Correspondence Receipt, stating:
    TWO COPIES OF A CORRECTIONS CORPORA-
    TION OF AMERICA PRIVILEGED CORRESPON-
    DENCE RECEIPT FORM SIGNED BY CCA SO-
    CIAL WORKER SMITH, REGARDING MY PLAC-
    ING MY 974.06 MOTION IN HER HANDS
    APRIL 27, 2004.
    And Ray typed that detailed description of the content
    of the purported Privileged Correspondence Receipt
    form in the blank entitled: “Reason for Request.” The
    Disbursement Request form also required prisoners to
    state the “Individual Items Requested,” and here Ray
    merely typed “2 Copies of CCA Form.” Then in the Photo-
    copy Request form, Ray described the form simply as:
    “2 copies of a CCA Mail Form Receipt/’Please’ send the
    copies I have requested to me through the institutional
    mail. Thank you.”
    That Ray included such detail (including that the pur-
    ported Privileged Correspondence Receipt form was
    signed by Smith and stated that he placed the state court
    motion in her hands on April 27, 2004), in the Disburse-
    ment Request form when the form merely asked for
    the “Reason for Request,” and not in the Photocopy
    Request form, is significant for two reasons. First, and
    as the district court found, there is no reason to
    78                                              No. 11-3228
    provide such detail in the Disbursement Request
    which merely served to request a thirty-cent disburse-
    ment for photocopying. Second, while the librarian
    was responsible for reviewing the Photocopy Request
    form to ensure it was filled out correctly and to screen
    materials for copying for appropriateness, no similar
    review of the Disbursement Request form was required;
    rather, according to the library procedures (contained in
    the record), the librarian’s responsibility was merely to
    authorize the Disbursement Request form indicating
    the correct amount charged and then route it appropri-
    ately. Officer Nedbal and Librarian Martin’s testimony
    at the evidentiary hearing confirmed these facts. And
    Officer Nedbal, who approved the Disbursement
    Request form, said he merely “glanced at” the “Reason
    for Request.” Later, when the librarian screened the
    document Ray submitted for copying, the librarian would
    compare that document to the general description, i.e.,
    “CCA Mail Form Receipt,” Ray put in the Photocopy
    Request form. Moreover, as Librarian Martin further
    testified, while she would merely be scanning the docu-
    ment and description contained in the Photocopy
    Request form, “[t]he person making the copies would
    have to read that in more detail . . . .” Ray had previously
    worked in the library, so he knew how the forms
    were processed.
    The court’s response to this is “the fact that
    librarians were not required to affirmatively verify the
    authenticity of documents to be copied does not create
    a reasonable inference that the document was there-
    fore a fake or nonexistent.” Opinion at 45. I agree. The
    No. 11-3228                                             79
    mere fact that a librarian was not required to verify the
    authenticity of the document to be copied does not
    create an inference that the document was therefore a
    fake or nonexistent. But this fact does mean that the
    form submitted for copying might not have been the
    one described by Ray in the Disbursement Request form.
    Then the question is whether the other evidence
    allows for the reasonable inference that the Privileged
    Correspondence Receipt form was nonexistent or fake.
    And it does: Namely, the fact that Ray included the
    extensive details of the content of the document to be
    copied in the Disbursement Request form, but not in
    the Photocopy Request form, creates a reasonable
    inference that he did so to invent evidence to support
    the inference that there had once been in existence a
    Privileged Correspondence Request form signed by
    Smith stating that he had given her a state post-conviction
    motion for mailing in April 2004. This inference is even
    stronger given that in the Photocopy Request form Ray
    wrote “ ‘Please’ send the copies I have requested to
    me through the institutional mail.” There was no reason
    for Ray to state on the Photocopy Request form that
    he wanted the form returned to him through the institu-
    tional mail system, absent a premeditated plan to
    create a paper trail to establish that the purported Privi-
    leged Correspondence Request form existed and then
    was “lost in the mail.” First, the Photocopy Request
    form does not ask the prisoner to specify how he wants
    the photocopied materials returned. Second, the evi-
    dence creates a reasonable inference that the librarian
    had, in the past, personally handed Ray his completed
    80                                              No. 11-3228
    copies (and thus Ray needed to specify that he wanted
    the copies returned via institutional mail to avoid that
    possibility). The librarian knew about Ray’s case and
    testified “we did lots of copies for Mr. Ray.” Librarian
    Martin also testified that Ray had personally handed
    her copy requests in the past and that she usually
    picked up the completed copies. Ray also testified that,
    in the past when he had asked Librarian Martin for
    copies, “she screen them then she gonna make—she gonna
    make them, yes.” Third, Ray testified that once he got
    his hands on the Privileged Correspondence Receipt
    form, his first thought was to make a copy of the docu-
    ment and after it was supposedly lost, he explained
    how important the copy was. Yet, according to
    the record, Ray gave Officer Nedbal the Privileged Cor-
    respondence Receipt form, Disbursement Request
    form, and Photocopy Request form on April 18, 2010,
    which was a Sunday. Besides the fact that there is no
    mail delivery on Sunday (and thus Ray did not immedi-
    ately request a copy of it), Librarian Martin did not
    work on Sundays and because she needed to screen the
    copy requests, Ray’s paperwork would need to be
    held until Monday when she returned. And Ray had
    worked in the library and he testified at length about
    some of the procedures related to copy requests, so he
    knew full well how things would be processed.9 Thus
    9
    Besides working in the library and thus knowing the
    process for making copies, Ray also testified that Librarian
    Martin was not there on the day he brought the forms to the
    (continued...)
    No. 11-3228                                                  81
    under Ray’s version of things, he handed over
    possession of this extremely crucial document to
    Officer Nedbal so that it could be left sitting in a
    basket behind the library desk, as opposed to handing it
    personally to Librarian Martin and waiting for the copy
    to be made and handed back to him. And then, even
    though Ray recognized the importance of the purported
    Privileged Correspondence Receipt form, he wrote on
    the Photocopy Request form “ ‘Please’ send the copies
    I have requested to me through the institutional mail.”
    Given the importance Ray claimed for the purported
    document, it is reasonable to infer that Ray took
    the purported Privileged Correspondence Receipt form
    to the library on a Sunday because he knew that
    Librarian Martin was not there and couldn’t ask him
    about the form 10 or have the copy made for him while he
    waited; and that he requested the copies to be sent via
    institutional mail so that he could claim it was lost in
    the mail. These inferences are further strengthened
    when Ray’s response to the purported missing Privi-
    9
    (...continued)
    library—only Officer Nedbal was, and he put the paperwork
    in a basket.
    10
    That Librarian Martin might talk to Ray about the copy
    request if he handed it to her personally is reasonable to infer
    given the interest she had taken in Ray’s case. She had called
    Ray down to the library from his housing unit to show him
    this court’s decision on “LexisNexis.” Another time, she had
    printed off a “bio” and the Facebook page for Ray’s pro
    bono attorney and had given them to Ray.
    82                                                  No. 11-3228
    leged Correspondence Receipt form is considered: Ray
    filed an Information Request form seeking informa-
    tion about the supposed missing form, noting that
    Nedbal signed the Disbursement Form and Photocopy
    Request form “verifying that the document I placed in
    his hands matched what I wrote on those forms.” Ray
    later wrote the warden asking “for my original copy of
    the CCA form to be found and returned to me as soon
    as possible or be provided with a copy of the memo that
    Mr. Lines sent to staff about this matter, so I could forward the
    e-mail to my attorney, so he could prove that the copies alone
    [sic] with the original copy was some how missed placed [sic] or
    given to the wrong inmate.” (Emphasis added.) Taken
    together, all of this evidence adds up to create a very
    reasonable and natural inference that Ray had written
    a detailed description in the Disbursement Request
    form because he knew no one would review the detail
    contained in that form and then he requested the copies
    be returned through the prison mail system so that he
    could feign their disappearance and later use the prison
    forms as evidence that he had a Privileged Cor-
    respondence Receipt form signed by Smith which
    verified the purported mailing of the April 27, 2004
    state post-conviction motion. This conclusion is not a
    speculative leap, but rather is based on the reasonable
    inferences flowing from the various pieces of record
    evidence, which when put together form a pretty clear
    mosaic showing what happened.
    Moreover, it wasn’t just that Ray provided a detailed
    description of the supposed content of the purported
    Privileged Correspondence Receipt in the Disbursement
    No. 11-3228                                             83
    Request form. Also Ray’s strange request to have this
    important form returned through the prison mail
    system, and then its inexplicable disappearance, create
    an inference that the form never existed. There are
    several additional pieces of evidence which, when taken
    together, further create a reasonable inference that there
    was no Privileged Correspondence Receipt. In fact, the
    totality of the evidence makes Ray’s entire story utterly
    implausible. First, as the district court explained, Ray
    had never mentioned the Privileged Correspondence
    Receipt in any of his documentation until April 18,
    2010. And that was only after this court had granted
    his habeas petition on the merits, but remanded to the
    district court for a determination on whether the peti-
    tion was timely. Yet Ray had specifically referenced
    the “Certificate of Service by Mail” form in his first pur-
    ported letter to Smith on June 1, 2004, and in his “Motion
    for Protective Order Staying And Abeying [sic] Peti-
    tioner’s Petition for Writ of Habeas Corpus Filed
    Pursuant to 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    ,” which he filed with his
    habeas petition on February 28, 2007. Ray even noted
    in bold that he had attached a copy of the Certificate of
    Service to his motion (and stated that it was signed by
    Smith). Ray also attached copies of the three letters he
    claims he sent to Smith asking her to confirm that she had
    mailed his motion to the state court. The district court
    aptly stated the absurdity of this: “Yet, he failed to even
    reference the one document [the Privileged Correspon-
    dence Receipt] which supposedly corroborated his
    account that bore someone’s signature other than his
    own.” The district court reasonably inferred from the
    84                                                  No. 11-3228
    evidence that because Ray knew the importance of men-
    tioning the Certificate of Service by Mail form in the
    court filings, he surely would have also mentioned the
    Privileged Correspondence Receipt if one had truly
    existed.11
    11
    The court’s response: This evidence “is simply insufficient to
    jump to the conclusion that the receipt must therefore not
    exist.” Opinion at 46. But Ray’s failure to ever mention the
    supposed Privileged Correspondence Receipt through years
    of litigation and the fact that his first mention of the form
    came only after this court held that his constitutional rights
    had been violated, creates a very reasonable inference that
    there was no such receipt in the first instance. This is not
    jumping to conclusions but using inferential reasoning from
    the evidence presented. See United States v. An Article of Device,
    
    731 F.2d 1253
    , 1262 (7th Cir. 1984) (“[T]he reasoning process
    normally begins with known facts which form the basis for
    inferred facts from which further inferences can be drawn. So
    long as the finder of fact is reasonably certain of a pre-
    liminary inference, it is not unreasonable to use that inference
    as the basis for further reasoning.”) (internal quotation omit-
    ted); Wisconsin Memorial Park Co. v. C.I.R., 
    255 F.2d 751
    , 753
    (7th Cir. 1958) (“Frequently the ultimate issue is resolved as
    the result of drawing inferences from the evidence received
    during the trial. Trust in inference is simply the belief that
    if there is a firm basis for the starting point the derived judg-
    ment is acceptable. The difference between speculation and
    inference lies in the substantiality of the evidence constituting
    the premise. Inductive reasoning claims the premises con-
    stitute some evidence for the conclusions and in law we
    speak in terms of the probability and likelihood that the
    (continued...)
    No. 11-3228                                                  85
    There is more, though. The district court also found
    that Ray’s explanation for his failure to mention the
    “Privileged Correspondence Receipt” form earlier is
    inconsistent and not plausible. The district court
    explained that Ray had “testified that another inmate
    who was helping him had it in his possession when he
    was transferred to a different institution, and it
    wasn’t until later (he’s not sure when) that it was
    returned to him.” And Ray claimed he did not under-
    stand federal habeas law or the significance of the form,
    but Ray was well-versed in legal proceedings. The
    district court added that the fact that Ray “noted in
    bold in a motion filed contemporaneously with his
    petition that the ‘Certificate of Service’ was signed by
    ‘Tamara Smith,’ shows that he knew the importance of
    a document signed by someone on the prison staff.” And
    even if one accepts his testimony that he allowed one of
    his inmate helpers who was later transferred to a
    different institution to retain possession of such a
    crucial document, nothing prevented him from at
    least mentioning it in one of his previous filings.
    Ray’s failure to mention the Privileged Correspondence
    Receipt form until after this court remanded the case to
    11
    (...continued)
    premises buttress the conclusions.”) The court’s response
    also wrongly considers this fact in isolation, without reference
    to the several other facts which similarly created an infer-
    ence that there never was a Privileged Correspondence Receipt.
    86                                               No. 11-3228
    the district court is extremely suspect. But Ray’s excuse
    for not mentioning it earlier presents an even greater
    implausibility in Ray’s entire story than the district
    court recognized. Here, the district court misread the
    record when it stated that Ray had testified “that
    another inmate who was helping him had it in his pos-
    session when he was transferred to a different
    institution, and it wasn’t until later (he’s not sure
    when) that it was returned to him.” Actually, Ray
    testified on direct examination, under questioning
    from his own attorney, that once the Seventh Circuit’s
    opinion came down in April, he “started trying to
    reach out trying to find the inmate who was transferred
    from the institution with my receipt.” Ray further
    testified: “I was trying to get a copy for me and to mail
    you the original.” So, even though Ray was now repre-
    sented by very competent attorneys, we are supposed
    to believe that after reading the April 1, 2010 opinion,
    he took it upon himself to track down the form. Ray’s
    attorney even acknowledged he was out of the loop,
    stating in his closing argument that “quite frankly, when
    I found out what had happened [with the Privileged
    Correspondence Receipt] I was livid because I would
    have driven to Wisconsin myself to pick that form up
    and provide it to the Court.” 1 2
    12
    The court concludes that it is not unusual that Ray would
    attempt to track down the Privileged Correspondence Receipt
    himself, rather than elicit help from his attorney, stating
    “attorney-client communication is neither quick nor easy
    (continued...)
    No. 11-3228                                                    87
    The absurdity is even more obvious when the timing
    of everything is considered. Ray testified that the
    prisoner was transferred to another prison with the
    Privileged Correspondence Receipt form while helping
    Ray with his habeas petition, and that he (Ray) did not
    have the Privileged Correspondence Receipt at the time
    that he filed his habeas petition. Ray filed the habeas
    petition in February 2007, which means that under
    Ray’s version of events, he lost possession of the form
    sometime before February 27, 2007. It was April of
    2010—more than three years later—when Ray “started
    trying to reach out trying to find the inmate.” Even if
    Ray began that search immediately (Thursday, April 1,
    2010), that would have given Ray only 18 days to get
    the Privileged Correspondence Receipt back, since
    Ray supposedly dropped it off for copying on Sunday,
    12
    (...continued)
    when the client is in prison and can be transferred at any
    time with little notice if any to the attorney, further delaying
    communication.” Opinion at 46. That explanation might make
    sense if Ray were attempting to gather evidence located
    within the same prison. But, as noted above, Ray needed to
    track down a prisoner who had been transferred to another
    prison more than three years previously. If communications
    between a prisoner and his attorney are neither quick nor
    easy, as the court infers, it is entirely reasonable to infer that
    an overly eager prisoner would solicit help from his attorney
    to track down a prisoner in another unknown prison (also
    subject to a transfer to a new prison), because communica-
    tions between such prisoners would be even slower and more
    difficult.
    88                                           No. 11-3228
    April 18, 2010. Within those eighteen days, then, we are
    supposed to believe that Ray was first able to track
    down the other prisoner, even though that prisoner
    had been transferred more than three years previ-
    ously. That by itself would be a challenge given that in
    the two years surrounding Ray’s litigation, Ray himself
    was transferred to five different prisons.1 3 And
    remember Ray was the one “reaching out”—he didn’t say
    that he asked his top-notch attorneys for help, and if
    his attorneys were the ones tracking down the former
    prisoner, they never would have suggested that the
    form be mailed to Ray who was still in prison. Then
    Ray would have us believe that he was able to communi-
    cate with that prisoner; and that that prisoner still had
    a copy of his Privileged Correspondence Receipt from
    more than three years ago. And we are to further believe
    that that prisoner was able to send the document to
    Ray—leaving one prison and thus undergoing the delay
    caused by any screening procedures—and then be
    received at Ray’s prison, clear screening and be
    delivered to Ray. All of this in eighteen days, which
    13
    In April 2004, Ray was transferred from Diamondback to
    Green Bay and then in May 2005 from Green Bay to Dodge;
    followed by a transfer from Dodge to Columbia and then in
    February 2006, from Columbia to New Lisbon. Other
    than Diamondback, the other prisons were all located in
    Wisconsin.
    No. 11-3228                                                     89
    included three weekends. 1 4 And then the prison conve-
    niently lost it! This story is utterly unbelievable.
    f. Ray’s knowledge of habeas law.
    The final aspect of the district court’s reasoning that
    the court attacks is the district court’s finding that
    Ray’s assertion that he did not understand the law gov-
    erning habeas corpus is not plausible. The court reasons
    that there was no evidence to support the district
    court’s branding Ray a sophisticated prison litigant.
    14
    The court admits that this conclusion is “not without
    force,” but then says that “unfortunately for the state, it did not
    actually produce any evidence to support it.” Opinion at 46.
    However, this conclusion is proven by Ray’s testimony. Specifi-
    cally, as detailed above, Ray testified that once the Seventh
    Circuit’s opinion came down in April, he “started trying to
    reach out trying to find the inmate who was transferred from
    the institution with my receipt.” Thus, according to Ray’s
    own testimony, he neither had the purported Privileged
    Correspondence Receipt form on April 1, nor knew the
    location of the prisoner who supposedly had it. And then
    Ray claimed he sent that form for copying on Sunday, April 18,
    2010. Thus, under Ray’s own version of events, as he testified
    to at the evidentiary hearing, the Privileged Correspondence
    Receipt form was retrieved within eighteen days. It is more
    than reasonable to infer from the sheer implausibility of this
    timing that Ray made the whole thing up, especially in light
    of the delay and difficulty prisoners face when trying to com-
    municate with their own attorneys, as the court itself infers.
    See Opinion at 46.
    90                                            No. 11-3228
    Opinion at 50. The court first criticizes the district
    court’s statement that Ray had two or three boxes of
    legal materials when he was at Diamondback. The court
    then rhetorically asks: “Were these small shoe boxes
    or large moving boxes? Were they filled with distinct
    documents or multiple drafts or copies of only a
    handful unique ones?” before concluding “[t]he record
    does not say.” Opinion at 47.
    The court, though, gives short shrift to the district
    court’s other reason for rejecting Ray’s claim that he did
    not understand the law governing habeas corpus. Ray
    had testified before the district court that when he
    wrote the state court on October 4, 2006, to inquire on
    the status of the post-conviction motion, he knew
    nothing about federal habeas law and had talked to no
    one about it. The district court explained that “Ray’s
    initial filing in the district court came less than six
    months after he claims he first became aware that his
    original state post-conviction motion was not filed in
    state court and that filing demonstrates his ‘detailed
    knowledge of not only the one-year limitation period
    for federal habeas petitions, but also the mailbox rule
    and the rules governing tolling of the one-year period.’ ”
    In fact, though, the record is even more damning
    than what the district court found. While Ray filed his
    habeas petition in February 2007, Ray dated the signa-
    ture line of the pro se Petition for Protective Order
    Staying and Abeying (sic) Petitioner’s Writ of Habeas
    Corpus, which accompanied his habeas petition, Novem-
    ber 27. (And since Ray filed the Petition in Febru-
    No. 11-3228                                                   91
    ary 2007, November 27 must be November 27, 2006.)
    Ray signed that document less than two months after
    he sent the letter to the state court inquiring about his
    supposed missing post-conviction motion. In Ray’s
    pro se Petition for Protective Order Staying and Abeying
    (sic) Petitioner’s Writ of Habeas Corpus, Ray demon-
    strated his extensive knowledge of habeas law, including
    the one-year statute of limitations, the mailbox rule, and
    tolling principles. (Attached as Appendix E is that pro se
    petition so that there is no question of the depth of
    Ray’s knowledge.) Thus Ray clearly knew the importance
    of showing that he had given the state post-convic-
    tion motion to Smith for mailing on April 27, 2004, around
    the time he wrote to the Wisconsin state court. Given
    Ray’s detailed knowledge of habeas law in Novem-
    ber 2006, it is reasonable to infer that Ray had similarly
    detailed knowledge in October 2006, at the time he
    wrote the state court to supposedly inquire about the
    status of his state court petition.1 5
    15
    The court states that “[i]t is not implausible that Ray would
    obtain a working knowledge of habeas in two months,
    especially after the need for such knowledge took on in-
    creased urgency when he learned that his state motion was
    never filed.” Opinion at 48. While it might be plausible that
    Ray obtained working knowledge of habeas law in two
    months, it is equally plausible to infer that Ray had that knowl-
    edge in October of 2006 when he wrote the letter to the
    state court. And given the totality of the evidence in this case
    indicating that Ray concocted the entire story about giving
    the state post-conviction motion to Smith, this inference
    was more than reasonable.
    92                                                  No. 11-3228
    4.   The state’s theory that Ray manufactured evi-
    dence.
    The court’s last main rationale for rejecting the district
    court’s factual findings seems to be its view that the
    only way to find Ray’s testimony not credible is to
    believe that Ray “concoct[ed] a sophisticated scheme in
    October 2006 to assert a mailbox rule claim and avert
    AEDPA’s one-year time bar.” Opinion at 48. The court
    reiterates that view later, stating: “The state’s argument
    requires us to believe that Ray knew in 2004 that the
    mailbox rule would apply to a section 974.06 post-con-
    viction motion filed in Wisconsin, even when the motion
    is not received by the state court—issues that we
    decide today as a matter of first impression.” Opinion
    at 50.
    The state’s theory requires nothing of the sort. Rather,
    all we need to believe is that on October 4, 2006, Ray
    knew that he could not pursue habeas relief unless he
    had given a state post-conviction motion to a prison
    official within the one-year statute of limitations.1 6 And
    16
    There was also no need for Ray to foresee this court’s holding
    that the mailbox rule applied to a state post-conviction
    motion because Ray wasn’t relying on that theory but on the
    theory of equitable tolling. In this regard, the court is also
    wrong to say: “But Ray does not argue that he diligently
    followed up with the state court during the two years that
    passed from the time he allegedly gave Ms. Smith his motion
    to the time he filed his second, supplemental motion.” Opinion
    at 51. Actually, though, Ray did argue that he had been dili-
    (continued...)
    No. 11-3228                                                    93
    Ray undisputedly had that knowledge on November 27,
    because that is the date on the signature line of his
    signed pro se “Motion for Protective Order Staying And
    Abeying [sic] Petitioner’s Petition for Writ of Habeas
    Corpus Filed Pursuant to 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    .” 1 7 Everything
    else could have easily been back-filled: Ray could have
    created the letters he claimed to have mailed to Smith, as
    16
    (...continued)
    gent. In the affidavit he filed along with his pro se habeas
    petition, Ray stressed that he had written Smith on June 1, 2004,
    September 9, 2004, and June 15, 2005, and then again after he
    learned his state court motion had not been filed; he also
    added that he had then also written the prison warden. Ray
    then concluded that he “need only show that an ‘extra-
    ordinary circumstances’ (sic) beyond control of prisoner for
    application of equitable tolling to obtain the necessary
    federal habeas review and he demonstrated due diligence in
    trying to rectify the matter.” It was only after counsel was
    appointed that the theory of equitable tolling was abandoned.
    But equitable tolling was Ray’s theory back in October 2006
    when he sent the letter to the state court inquiring on the status
    of his post-conviction motion. This also explains why Ray
    would bother to send a letter to Smith and the warden after
    he “learned” that the state court had not received his let-
    ter—to bolster his claim of diligence.
    17
    In support of his Motion for Protective Order, Ray also
    submitted an undated affidavit, which argued that there
    were “extraordinary circumstances” beyond control of prisoner
    for application of equitable tolling to obtain the neces-
    sary federal habeas review. This affidavit also illustrated
    Ray’s knowledge of the tolling principle.
    94                                              No. 11-3228
    well as the Certificate of Service, and then merely dated
    them 2004. Similarly, it wouldn’t take much to come
    up with the idea of pretending the prison lost a
    “Privileged Correspondence Receipt” during copying.
    Moreover, contrary to the court’s conclusion that
    “without evidence there is no basis for believing” Ray
    concocted a scheme to avoid the statute of limitations,
    there is ample circumstantial evidence that Ray
    invented the April 27, 2004, mailing and the “loss” of the
    “Privileged Correspondence Receipt.” Much of this
    evidence was discussed above. But there is still more.
    For instance, the only document Ray had notarized was
    the October 4, 2006, letter he sent to the Wisconsin
    state court inquiring on the status of the motion he sup-
    posedly gave Smith in April 2004. When asked why
    he notarized the letter, he said “Because it’s a court docu-
    ment—it’s going to the court. It’s like a court document.”
    But this was merely a letter and he wanted it notarized.
    Yet he didn’t attempt to have the state post-conviction
    motion notarized. His explanation makes no sense and
    the existence of the notary seal on the October 4, 2006
    letter to the Wisconsin court shows that Ray was com-
    pletely aware of the significance of that letter and this
    supports the factual finding that Ray manufactured
    documentation to support a non-existent state post-con-
    viction motion.
    Additionally, the district court reasoned that Ray’s
    lack of diligence in following up with the state court
    clerk about the post-conviction motion he purported to
    file in April 2004, until October of 2006, also supports
    No. 11-3228                                                      95
    the idea that Ray made up the supposed April 27, 2004,
    motion. I agree. Had Ray truly filed a motion with
    the state court in April 2004, he would not have waited
    more than two years to inquire on its status. See Allen,
    
    471 F.3d at 1198
     (“The district court may take into
    account any and all relevant circumstances, including
    any lack of diligence on the part of Allen in fol-
    lowing up in a manner that would be expected of a rea-
    sonable person in his circumstances, in deciding
    whether the notice was delivered to the prison authori-
    ties.”).18 Ray tried to explain away his lack of diligence
    by saying that he was told by other prisoners not to
    bother the court. But as the district court also
    aptly noted, at the very least Ray would have had to
    contact the state court to let it know he had been trans-
    18
    Not only does Allen support the conclusion that it is reason-
    able to infer that Ray never gave Smith a state post-conviction
    motion from the fact that he didn’t inquire on the filing for
    more than two years, the court’s own reasoning demonstrates
    that this is a reasonable inference. In explaining why a
    prisoner might mail a state post-conviction motion from
    Oklahoma to a Wisconsin court, even though he knew he
    was being transferred to Wisconsin, the court reasons that a
    normal prisoner would not delay filing “such a critical motion
    (and consequently, delay his potential release from prison),
    for an indefinite period of time, . . . .” Opinion at 50. Similarly,
    it is reasonable to infer “a normal prisoner” would not delay
    inquiring on such a critical motion for more than two years.
    96                                                  No. 11-3228
    ferred.19 And Ray was trans-ferred not just once, but four
    times between the supposed mailing of the motion in
    April 2004 and the first time Ray contacted the state
    court to inquire of his petition in October 2006. See supra
    at 88 n.13.
    Moreover, the district court found implausible Ray’s
    claim that he sent three letters to Smith in an effort to
    confirm she mailed the motion to state court. Besides
    noting that there was no way to tell from the ap-
    pearance of the letters whether Ray mailed them, the
    district court also found it curious that Ray would retain
    a copy of a letter he supposedly sent to Smith only a
    month after he handed her his state motion, but did
    not keep a copy of the motion itself. The district court
    added that it was also curious that Ray stated in an af-
    fidavit that he also wrote Diamondback regarding his
    19
    The court characterizes Ray’s failure to notify the state
    court of his prison transfers as “Ray’s shortcomings as a pro se
    litigant” Opinion at 46, which is “simply insufficient to jump to
    the conclusion that the receipt must therefore not exist.”
    Opinion at 46. But under Ray’s version of things, he was
    concerned enough about the status of his motion to ask other
    prisoners what to do. And it is more than reasonable to
    infer from that fact that even a pro se litigant would at that
    point contact the court to notify the court of his prison
    transfers—not as a matter of civil procedure, but to assure that
    he received notice of what was happening to the motion. Like-
    wise, it is reasonable to infer that Ray did not contact the
    court, even to notify it of his transfers, because he had never
    filed a motion with the court.
    No. 11-3228                                                97
    lost property on the same dates that appear on his letters
    to Smith, but Ray couldn’t remember if he kept a copy
    of those letters. The district court was right that these
    inconsistencies all rendered Ray’s story questionable. It
    is also unbelievable that even though Ray heard nothing
    from Smith in response to his purported June 1, 2004,
    letter, he would continue to write to her on September 9,
    2004, and then even after he had not heard anything
    from Smith for over a year, he wrote to her a third time
    on June 15, 2005. And, then, after writing to the state
    court and supposedly learning for the first time that the
    motion was not filed, Ray claimed again that he wrote
    to Smith—from whom, under his version of events, he
    had never received a response—and also the prison
    warden, to find out what happened to his petition.2 0 It is
    utterly unbelievable that a prisoner would continue
    such a letter-writing campaign, absent a desire to give
    credence to his earlier story that he had given Smith
    the petition.
    In the end, yes, we have to believe that Ray concocted
    a story—but the evidence taken as a whole overwhelm-
    ingly supports, perhaps even compels, that finding. It is
    also not nearly the sophisticated scheme the court
    thinks it is and it also didn’t have to start back in 2004,
    20
    In both his letter to the warden and his fourth supposed
    letter to Smith, Ray stated that he had given Smith the post-
    conviction motion on April 29, 2004. In all of the other docu-
    ments, and in his testimony before the district court, Ray
    stated he had given Smith the motion on April 27, 2004.
    98                                              No. 11-3228
    but rather could have been hatched just a few months
    before Ray turned to federal court for habeas relief.
    III.
    As noted, the court holds that the district court’s factual
    findings (that Ray was not credible and that Ray had not
    given Smith a state post-conviction motion for mailing
    on April 27, 2004) were clearly erroneous. In reaching
    this conclusion, though, the court gives only passing
    mention to many of the inconsistencies and implausi-
    bilities in Ray’s story and his supposedly supporting
    documentation which the district court relied upon to
    justify its findings. But contrary to the court’s attempts
    to downplay those inconsistencies and implausibilities,
    they all did call Ray’s story into question. And two
    aspects of Ray’s story were so unbelievable that alone
    they justify the district court’s factual findings: (1) Ray’s
    claim of ignorance of habeas law on October 4, 2006, when
    he wrote to the state court, when just the next month
    he signed a habeas petition that detailed habeas law, the
    statute of limitations, the prisoner mailbox rule, and the
    principle of tolling; and (2) Ray’s claim that he never
    mentioned the “Privileged Correspondence Receipt”
    form in his habeas petition or other earlier documenta-
    tion because the prisoner who had been helping him
    with his habeas petition had been transferred to another
    prison with that form and then later that that form
    was lost. That would require, in eighteen days, Ray
    (and not his attorneys) to be able to track down the
    other prisoner who would still have a copy of the form
    No. 11-3228                                             99
    from more than three years, and have the form success-
    fully mailed out of one prison system and delivered
    into another, and once retrieved, lost in the prison mail.
    While I believe these two implausibilities alone are
    sufficient to affirm the district court’s factual findings,
    there were many other inconsistencies and implausi-
    bilities relied upon by the district court in reaching its
    finding that Ray was not credible and that Ray had not
    given a state post-conviction motion to Smith on April 27,
    2012. The court downplays or ignores these, but taken
    together they all demonstrate that the district court’s
    finding that Ray was not credible and that Ray had
    not given Smith a state post-conviction motion for
    mailing on April 27, 2004 was well-supported by the
    evidence. See, e.g., Anderson, 
    470 U.S. at 575
     (“Documents
    or objective evidence may contradict the witness’ story;
    or the story itself may be so internally inconsistent
    or implausible on its face that a reasonable factfinder
    would not credit it.”).
    I regret consuming everyone’s time in laying out the
    minutiae of the record. But given the court’s conclusion
    that the district court committed clear error in finding
    Ray incredible and in finding that he did not give Smith
    the state post-conviction motion on April 27, 2004, it is
    necessary to detail the many, many inconsistencies,
    contradictions, and omissions in Ray’s story, in addition
    to highlighting the sheer implausibility of several
    aspects of Ray’s story in light of the record. As these
    details show, Ray’s problem with the district court was
    not that the district court branded him a liar. Rather,
    Ray’s problem is that the district court reviewed all of
    100                                                   No. 11-3228
    the evidence and heard Ray testify in person and after
    this evidentiary hearing found that he was a liar. This
    conclusion was not based on improper speculation, but
    on the totality of the reasonable inferences flowing
    from the record evidence.2 1 A thorough review of the
    cold record verifies this assessment. But in addition to
    the record, the district court had the benefit of watching
    Ray’s demeanor and hearing him try to explain away all
    of the inconsistencies, vagaries, and implausibilities of
    his story. Our court should not substitute its judgment
    for the district court’s and by doing so at such great
    lengths today it creates dangerous precedent in general,
    and even more dangerous precedent when the prisoner
    mailbox rule is at issue and the court shifts the burden of
    21
    Grepke v. General Elec. Co., 
    280 F.2d 508
    , 511-12 (7th Cir. 1960)
    (quoting Lavender v. Kurn, 
    327 U.S. 645
    , 643 (1946) (“ ‘It is no
    answer to say that the jury’s verdict involved speculation
    and conjecture. Whenever facts are in dispute or the evidence
    is such that fair-minded men may draw different inferences,
    a measure of speculation and conjecture is required on the
    part of those whose duty it is to settle the dispute by choosing
    what seems to them to be the most reasonable inference.
    Only when there is a complete absence of probative facts
    to support the conclusion reached does a reversible error
    appear. But where, as here, there is an evidentiary basis for
    the jury’s verdict, the jury is free to discard or disbelieve
    whatever facts are inconsistent with its conclusion. And the
    appellate court’s function is exhausted when that evidentiary
    basis becomes apparent, it being immaterial that the court
    might draw a contrary inference or feel that another conclu-
    sion is more reasonable.’ ”).
    No. 11-3228                                           101
    proof to the state solely on the basis of a prisoner’s af-
    fidavit. Therefore, while I concur in the court’s
    holding that the prisoner mailbox rule applies to
    Wisconsin post-conviction filings, I dissent from the
    court’s holding that the state bore the burden of
    proving Ray had not given Smith a state post-conviction
    motion for mailing on April 27, 2004, and from its
    further holding that the district court committed clear
    error in finding that Ray had not given the motion
    to Smith.
    102                No. 11-3228
    APPENDIX A
    No. 11-3228                103
    APPENDIX B
    104                No. 11-3228
    APPENDIX C
    No. 11-3228                105
    APPENDIX D
    106                No. 11-3228
    APPENDIX E
    No. 11-3228   107
    108   No. 11-3228
    No. 11-3228              109
    11-19-12