United States v. Matthew Jones ( 2020 )


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  •                                  In the
    United States Court of Appeals
    For the Seventh Circuit
    ____________________
    No. 19‐1287
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,
    Plaintiff‐Appellee,
    v.
    CARLOS MAEZ,
    Defendant‐Appellant.
    ____________________
    Appeal from the United States District Court for the
    Northern District of Indiana, South Bend Division.
    No. 3:16‐cr‐00057‐JD‐MGG‐1 — Jon E. DeGuilio, Judge.
    ____________________
    SUBMITTED MARCH 31, 2020* — DECIDED JUNE 1, 2020
    ____________________
    *This court granted the partiesʹ joint motion to waive oral argument.
    The case is therefore submitted on the briefs.
    2                              Nos. 19‐1287, 19‐1768, & 19‐2049
    No. 19‐1768
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,
    Plaintiff‐Appellee,
    v.
    MATTHEW R. JONES,
    Defendant‐Appellant.
    ____________________
    Appeal from the United States District Court for the
    Central District of Illinois, Urbana Division.
    No. 2:18‐cr‐20036‐HAB‐EIL‐1 — Harold A. Baker, Judge.
    ____________________
    No. 19‐2049
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,
    Plaintiff‐Appellee,
    v.
    CAMERON BATTISTE,
    Defendant‐Appellant.
    ____________________
    Appeal from the United States District Court for the
    Northern District of Illinois, Eastern Division.
    No. 1:17‐cr‐00220‐2 — Matthew F. Kennelly, Judge.
    ____________________
    ARGUED MARCH 31, 2020 — DECIDED JUNE 1, 2020
    ____________________
    Before WOOD, Chief Judge, and KANNE and HAMILTON, Cir‐
    cuit Judges.
    Nos. 19‐1287, 19‐1768, & 19‐2049                                3
    HAMILTON, Circuit Judge. In separate cases, juries found
    appellants Carlos Maez, Matthew Jones, and Cameron Bat‐
    tiste guilty of violating 18 U.S.C. § 922(g), which prohibits
    convicted felons and several other classes of people from pos‐
    sessing firearms or ammunition. In their appeals, the three de‐
    fendants raise overlapping issues relying on Rehaif v. United
    States, 
    139 S. Ct. 2191
    (2019), to challenge their convictions in
    trials held before Rehaif was decided. Before Rehaif, the federal
    courts of appeals had all held that § 922(g) required the gov‐
    ernment to prove a defendant knowingly possessed a firearm
    or ammunition, but not that the defendant knew he or she be‐
    longed to one of the prohibited classes. United States v. Wil‐
    liams, 
    946 F.3d 968
    , 970 (7th Cir. 2020). In Rehaif, the Supreme
    Court reached a different conclusion, holding that the statute
    requires the government to “show that the defendant knew
    he possessed a firearm and also that he knew he had the rele‐
    vant status when he possessed 
    it.” 139 S. Ct. at 2194
    .
    Courts across the nation are grappling with how Rehaif af‐
    fects cases pending on direct appeal when it came down. This
    court has already affirmed several pre‐Rehaif convictions
    based on guilty pleas, but this is our first precedential decision
    concerning convictions upon jury verdicts. See United States v.
    Ballard, 
    950 F.3d 434
    , 436 n.1 (7th Cir. 2020); United States v.
    Dowthard, 
    948 F.3d 814
    , 818 (7th Cir. 2020); 
    Williams, 946 F.3d at 975
    . The three appellants assert types of error that we have
    not yet addressed in light of Rehaif: a missing element in their
    indictments and jury instructions and—in Jones’s case—a de‐
    nied motion for a judgment of acquittal. Applying plain‐error
    review, we conclude that the asserted errors do not require
    reversing any of the convictions. We vacate Jones’s sentence,
    however. As the government acknowledges, the district court
    made what is known as a Tapia error, imposing a longer
    4                                  Nos. 19‐1287, 19‐1768, & 19‐2049
    prison term for purposes of rehabilitation through prison pro‐
    grams. See Tapia v. United States, 
    564 U.S. 319
    , 334 (2011).
    I. Factual and Procedural Background
    Carlos Maez robbed a bank at gunpoint in South Bend, In‐
    diana, on October 16, 2015. Police found firearms and ammu‐
    nition in Matthew Jones’s bedroom when executing a search
    warrant for his home in Kankakee, Illinois, on July 15, 2018.
    And when federal agents arrested Cameron Battiste and his
    girlfriend outside their apartment complex in Willowbrook,
    Illinois, on April 7, 2017, his girlfriend was carrying a laundry
    bag that contained two firearms. Each defendant stipulated at
    his trial that prior to the charged possession of a firearm, he
    had been convicted of a crime punishable by imprisonment
    for a term exceeding one year. Juries found each defendant
    guilty on one count of violating 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(1), and each
    was sentenced under § 924(a)(2).1
    On appeal, the defendants argue that Rehaif v. United
    States, 
    139 S. Ct. 2191
    , requires reversal of their § 922(g) con‐
    victions. All three defendants argue that their indictments
    were defective because they failed to allege that they knew of
    their felon status. All three argue that the jury instructions er‐
    roneously omitted this same element of knowledge. None of
    the defendants objected to the indictment or jury instructions
    in the district courts, on any grounds. Jones did, however,
    move for a judgment of acquittal at the close of evidence. See
    Fed. R. Crim. P. 29(a). He gave no specific grounds to support
    his oral motion, and the district court denied it without asking
    1 Maez was also convicted of one count of armed bank robbery and
    one count of using or carrying a firearm in relation to a crime of violence.
    See 18 U.S.C. §§ 2113(d), 924(c). He does not challenge those convictions.
    Nos. 19‐1287, 19‐1768, & 19‐2049                                         5
    for elaboration. Jones argues that this denial was also a Rehaif
    error because the trial evidence was insufficient to show that
    he knew he was a felon.2
    II. Legal Framework
    We first address the common legal issues raised by these
    jury verdicts before Rehaif was decided. Current law governs
    our review on direct appeal, including any issues reviewed
    for plain error. See Henderson v. United States, 
    568 U.S. 266
    ,
    276–77 (2013). This principle applies with full force where an
    intervening decision has effectively added an element to a
    crime. See Johnson v. United States, 
    520 U.S. 461
    , 467–68 (1997)
    (giving retroactive effect to United States v. Gaudin, 
    515 U.S. 506
    (1995), which required the jury to find materiality in per‐
    jury prosecutions); United States v. Ross, 
    77 F.3d 1525
    , 1539 (7th
    Cir. 1996) (same). Several questions arise concerning our re‐
    view of jury verdicts rendered before Rehaif was issued.
    A. Scope of Knowledge Required by Rehaif
    Jones and Battiste raise a threshold question concerning
    the scope of the Supreme Court’s holding in Rehaif. The Court
    held that “in a prosecution under 18 U.S.C. § 922(g) and
    § 924(a)(2), the Government must prove both that the defend‐
    ant knew he possessed a firearm and that he knew he be‐
    longed to the relevant category of persons barred from pos‐
    sessing a 
    firearm.” 139 S. Ct. at 2200
    . Does this language re‐
    quire only that defendants know their status—in these cases,
    having a felony conviction? Or, construing the decision more
    2 Battiste moved for a judgment of acquittal in the district court as
    well, but his written motion specifically targeted the government’s case
    that he possessed the firearms. On appeal, he does not challenge the denial
    of that motion.
    6                              Nos. 19‐1287, 19‐1768, & 19‐2049
    broadly, must defendants know that it was a crime to possess a
    firearm as a result of their prohibited status? Jones and Battiste
    press the broader interpretation. In effect, they argue that
    § 922(g), as interpreted in Rehaif, prohibits only criminally
    willful possession of firearms and ammunition—possession
    with knowledge that the law makes the possession a crime.
    See Bryan v. United States, 
    524 U.S. 184
    , 191–92 (1998) (“As a
    general matter, when used in the criminal context, … in order
    to establish a ‘willful’ violation of a statute, ‘the Government
    must prove that the defendant acted with knowledge that his
    conduct was unlawful.’”), quoting Ratzlaf v. United States, 
    510 U.S. 135
    , 137 (1994).
    We do not read Rehaif as imposing a willfulness require‐
    ment on § 922(g) prosecutions. First, the difference between
    requiring knowledge of status and knowledge of the criminal
    prohibition is so important in the practical workings of fed‐
    eral courts that the Supreme Court would not have adopted
    the broader reading without saying so with unmistakable
    clarity. More fundamental, the logic of the Court’s opinion
    supports only the narrower requirement of knowledge of sta‐
    tus. The textual analysis centered on Congress’s use of the
    word “knowingly” in § 924(a)(2), which spells out the punish‐
    ment for violations of § 
    922(g). 139 S. Ct. at 2195
    . This fact
    alone casts serious doubt on Jones and Battiste’s reading be‐
    cause, in criminal law, “knowing” connotes a lower level of
    scienter than does “willful.” In Bryan, the Court collected
    cases holding that defendants could be convicted of “know‐
    ing” crimes without proof that they knew their deliberate ac‐
    tions violated the 
    law. 524 U.S. at 192
    –93. Rehaif fits easily into
    that line of cases interpreting “knowing” requirements.
    Nos. 19‐1287, 19‐1768, & 19‐2049                               7
    Rehaif changed governing law in holding that “know‐
    ingly” in § 924(a)(2) applies not only to the “possession ele‐
    ment” of § 922(g) but also to its “status 
    element.” 139 S. Ct. at 2195
    –96. In other words, both elements require the same
    knowledge, an awareness of the fact. See Model Penal Code
    § 2.02(2)(b)(i) (Am. Law Inst. 1985). Before Rehaif, we consist‐
    ently held that the government needed to prove that § 922(g)
    defendants knew only that they possessed firearms or ammu‐
    nition, not that they knew their status or that their possession
    was unlawful. See, e.g., United States v. Stein, 
    712 F.3d 1038
    ,
    1041 (7th Cir. 2013) (“[T]he word ‘knowingly’ made applica‐
    ble to § 922(g) by § 924(a)(2) requires knowledge of the factual
    elements of the offense and nothing more.”); United States v.
    Wilson, 
    159 F.3d 280
    , 289 (7th Cir. 1998) (“[T]he fact that [the
    defendant] did not know about the statute does not mean that
    he could not have committed a ‘knowing’ violation of it.”).
    Rehaif did not overturn such holdings with respect to the pos‐
    session element; it applied the same knowledge requirement
    to the status element.
    Next, Rehaif’s discussion of “the well‐known maxim that
    ‘ignorance of the law’ (or a ‘mistake of law’) is no excuse”
    makes doubly clear that § 922(g) requires knowledge only of
    status, not knowledge of the § 922(g) prohibition itself. As the
    Court explained, the maxim means that a defendant normally
    cannot argue that he was “unaware of the existence of a stat‐
    ute proscribing his 
    conduct.” 139 S. Ct. at 2198
    , quoting 1
    Wayne R. LaFave & Austin W. Scott, Jr., Substantive Criminal
    Law § 5.1(a), at 575 (1986). But ignorance as to a “collateral
    matter,” even if that matter happens to be a legal fact, can
    “negat[e] an element of the offense.”
    Id. The Court
    concluded
    that a “defendant’s status” under one of the provisions of
    § 922(g) is a “‘collateral’ question of law,” so the “ignorance”
    8                                   Nos. 19‐1287, 19‐1768, & 19‐2049
    maxim does not apply.
    Id. The fact
    that § 922(g)(1) exists and
    prohibits certain conduct is not collateral, though. It is the
    prohibition itself. Because § 924(a)(2) does not require willful‐
    ness, ignorance of the statutory prohibition itself is not a de‐
    fense.3
    B. Standards of Review
    We next identify the standard of review for each type of
    error argued in these three appeals: a defective indictment, an
    element omitted from jury instructions, and a denied Rule 29
    motion. Although it is tempting to lump these Rehaif errors
    together, each has distinctive features we must consider.
    1. Incomplete Jury Instructions
    None of these defendants asked to have the jury instructed
    that the government was required to prove that, at the time
    he possessed the firearm, he knew that he had previously
    been convicted of a felony. Failing to raise an objection to the
    jury instructions before deliberations start “precludes appel‐
    late review, except as permitted under Rule 52(b).” Fed. R.
    Crim. P. 30(d). Rule 52(b) in turn allows for “plain‐error” re‐
    view: “A plain error that affects substantial rights may be con‐
    sidered even though it was not brought to the court’s atten‐
    tion.” We review for plain error even if the objection would
    3 The dissenting Justices in Rehaif also read the majority opinion this
    way. According to the dissent, no one, including Rehaif, argued for will‐
    fulness because “the pointed use of the term ‘knowingly,’ as opposed to
    ‘willfully,’ in § 922(g), provides a ground to infer that Congress did not
    mean to require knowledge of 
    illegality.” 139 S. Ct. at 2205
    (Alito, J., dis‐
    senting). Instead, the majority “require[d] knowledge of both the conduct
    and status elements of the offense.”
    Id. The majority
    did not object to this
    description of its holding.
    Nos. 19‐1287, 19‐1768, & 19‐2049                                   9
    have lacked merit at the time of trial, before an intervening
    change in the law. See 
    Johnson, 520 U.S. at 464
    –66 (applying
    plain‐error review to jury instructions rendered incomplete
    by a decision issued after conviction).
    Plain‐error review under Rule 52(b) has four elements:
    “[B]efore an appellate court can correct an error not raised at
    trial, there must be (1) ‘error,’ (2) that is ‘plain,’ and (3) that
    ‘affect[s] substantial rights.’ If all three conditions are met, an
    appellate court may then exercise its discretion to notice a for‐
    feited error, but only if (4) the error ‘seriously affect[s] the fair‐
    ness, integrity, or public reputation of judicial proceedings.’”
    
    Johnson, 520 U.S. at 466
    –67, quoting Olano v. United States, 
    507 U.S. 725
    , 732 (1993); see also United States v. Caira, 
    737 F.3d 455
    , 462–63 (7th Cir. 2013) (applying Olano test to forfeited ob‐
    jections to jury instructions).
    2. Defective Indictments
    None of these defendants objected to any defect in his in‐
    dictment before trial, as required by Rule 12(b)(3)(B)(v). In
    Jones and Battiste’s cases, the government argues that these
    failures waived any challenge to their indictments on appeal.
    As we recently made clear in United States v. Muresanu, indict‐
    ment defects are never jurisdictional so they may be waived if
    not properly presented. 
    951 F.3d 833
    , 837–39 (7th Cir. 2020),
    citing United States v. Cotton, 
    535 U.S. 625
    , 631 (2002). The de‐
    fendants here invoke Rule 12(c)(3), which allows a district
    court to consider untimely challenges to an indictment “if the
    party shows good cause.” We have interpreted this provision
    to permit new arguments on appeal as well, provided that
    “the district court would have abused its discretion if it had
    concluded that [the defendant] lacked good cause.” United
    States v. Thomas, 
    897 F.3d 807
    , 815 (7th Cir. 2018); see also
    10                                 Nos. 19‐1287, 19‐1768, & 19‐2049
    United States v. Lockett, 
    859 F.3d 425
    , 428 (7th Cir. 2017)
    (same).4
    An intervening legal decision that overturns settled law
    amounts to good cause for this purpose. The government has
    conceded as much in Maez’s appeal. In Thomas, we explained
    that the Supreme Court’s intervening decision in Carpenter v.
    United States, 
    138 S. Ct. 2206
    (2018), was not good cause for
    failing to move to suppress evidence because it resolved a cir‐
    cuit split on a “high‐profile issue,” so the defendant should
    have presented his argument to the district 
    court. 897 F.3d at 815
    . In contrast, Rehaif went counter to the settled views of
    every federal court of appeals on an issue affecting thousands
    of felon‐in‐possession prosecutions every year. 
    See 139 S. Ct. at 2210
    (Alito, J., dissenting). If Rehaif had come down while
    these cases remained in the district courts, it would have been
    an abuse of discretion for a judge to refuse to consider an un‐
    timely challenge to the indictment based on Rehaif.
    Although the intervening decision in Rehaif establishes
    good cause to avoid waiver, the issue was still not preserved
    in these cases, so we again review the indictments for plain
    error. See United States v. Grayson Enterprises, Inc., 
    950 F.3d 386
    , 403 (7th Cir. 2020) (showing of good cause under Rule
    12(c)(3) gives rise to plain‐error review). An alleged indict‐
    ment error is “plain,” satisfying the first two prongs of the
    Olano test, only if the indictment “is so obviously defective as
    not to charge the offense by any reasonable construction.”
    4The situation is different for a defendant who pleads guilty and
    waives “any argument that could have been raised in a pretrial motion.”
    United States v. Wheeler, 
    857 F.3d 742
    , 744 (7th Cir. 2017). The good‐cause
    proviso thus will usually help only defendants who went to trial.
    Nos. 19‐1287, 19‐1768, & 19‐2049                                 11
    United States v. Frank Smith, 
    223 F.3d 554
    , 571 (7th Cir. 2000);
    see also Grayson 
    Enterprises, 950 F.3d at 402
    (same).5
    One of the defendants’ principal arguments on appeal is
    that the omission of an element from the indictment is a
    “structural error” that, they argue, always requires reversal.
    As an initial matter, a finding of structural error would defin‐
    itively resolve only the third prong of the Olano plain‐error
    test, the effect on substantial rights. The Supreme Court has
    “noted the possibility that certain errors, termed ‘structural
    errors,’ might ‘affec[t] substantial rights’ regardless of their
    actual impact on an appellant’s trial.” United States v. Marcus,
    
    560 U.S. 258
    , 263 (2010); see also Arizona v. Fulminante, 
    499 U.S. 279
    , 309 (1991) (“structural defects in the constitution of the
    trial mechanism … defy analysis by ‘harmless‐error’ stand‐
    ards”). The Court has repeatedly assumed without deciding
    that such structural errors “automatically satisfy the third
    prong of the plain‐error test.” Puckett v. United States, 
    556 U.S. 129
    , 140 (2009) (emphasis added); see also 
    Cotton, 535 U.S. at 632
    ; 
    Johnson, 520 U.S. at 468
    –69; 
    Olano, 507 U.S. at 735
    . We
    have done the same. See United States v. Anderson, 
    881 F.3d 568
    , 573 (7th Cir. 2018) (“[T]here is a question as to whether
    the third prong of the plain error test is met automatically in
    cases of structural error.”); see also United States v. Gary, 
    954 F.3d 194
    , 205 (4th Cir. 2020) (“[I]f an error is determined to be
    structural, the third prong of Olano is satisfied.”). Even struc‐
    tural errors remain subject to the fourth and discretionary
    prong of the plain‐error test.
    5 We cite two different cases where the defendant’s last name was
    Smith, so we have included first names in the relevant citations.
    12                            Nos. 19‐1287, 19‐1768, & 19‐2049
    Still, a structural error would go a long way toward rever‐
    sal of these convictions, so we address the argument.
    “‘[S]tructural errors’ are ‘a very limited class’ of errors that
    affect the ‘framework within which the trial proceeds.’” Mar‐
    
    cus, 560 U.S. at 263
    , quoting 
    Johnson, 520 U.S. at 468
    . The Su‐
    preme Court has identified, in total, about a dozen forms of
    structural error, depending on how one counts. See 7 Wayne
    R. LaFave et al., Criminal Procedure § 27.6(d) (4th ed. 2019).
    Signal examples include the total deprivation of counsel, the
    lack of an impartial trial judge, a violation of the right to a
    public trial, and an erroneous reasonable‐doubt instruction.
    Mar
    cus, 560 U.S. at 263
    . That is not to say that previously un‐
    recognized forms of structural error cannot be newly identi‐
    fied. In Weaver v. Massachusetts, 
    137 S. Ct. 1899
    (2017), the
    Court listed three different qualities that can render an error
    structural: (1) “the right at issue is not designed to protect the
    defendant from erroneous conviction but instead protects
    some other interest;” (2) “the effects of the error are simply
    too hard to measure;” or (3) “the error always results in fun‐
    damental unfairness.”
    Id. at 1908.
    The defendants here argue
    that “an indictment that omits an essential element” satisfies
    the second and third criteria.
    In Cotton, the Supreme Court expressly reserved the ques‐
    tion whether indictment errors are structural. 
    See 535 U.S. at 632
    –33. Binding precedent in this circuit holds that they are
    not. In United States v. Nance, 
    236 F.3d 820
    (7th Cir. 2000), we
    reviewed a drug conviction after the Supreme Court decided
    Apprendi v. New Jersey, which required “any fact that increases
    the penalty for a crime beyond the prescribed statutory max‐
    imum” to be charged in an indictment and proved to a jury.
    
    530 U.S. 466
    , 490 (2000). Reviewing for plain error in Nance,
    Nos. 19‐1287, 19‐1768, & 19‐2049                               13
    we agreed with the defendant that his indictment was defec‐
    tive in light of 
    Apprendi. 236 F.3d at 825
    . We then asked
    whether this was “a structural error so fundamental that it
    cannot be left unremedied,” the same argument defendants
    make here. We concluded the error was not structural because
    an incomplete indictment was analogous to an error in the
    jury instructions.
    Id. We have
    also held in numerous cases that
    prejudice is required to reverse based on a preserved challenge
    to the indictment. See, e.g., United States v. Vaughn, 
    722 F.3d 918
    , 925 (7th Cir. 2013); United States v. Dooley, 
    578 F.3d 582
    ,
    590 (7th Cir. 2009); United States v. Webster, 
    125 F.3d 1024
    , 1029
    (7th Cir. 1997). By definition, though, a structural error does
    not require a showing of prejudice. See 
    Fulminante, 499 U.S. at 309
    . The defendants do not attempt to distinguish these cases.
    In effect, the defendants tacitly ask us to overrule multiple
    prior decisions based on the criteria identified in 
    Weaver, 137 S. Ct. at 1908
    . We decline to do so. First, the defendants mount
    no argument that the grand jury right “is not designed to pro‐
    tect the defendant,” and we can imagine none. Second, the ef‐
    fect of an indictment error is not “too hard to measure.” The
    potential effect depends on context, of course, but often turns
    on whether there is doubt that the defendant was put on no‐
    tice of the nature of the charges. See, e.g., 
    Dooley, 578 F.3d at 590
    (“It is clear from the record that Mr. Dooley and his coun‐
    sel understood the Government’s allegations and were able to
    mount a vigorous, albeit unsuccessful, defense at trial.”).
    Third, not every indictment error “results in fundamental un‐
    fairness.” Some may, but others raise no serious questions
    about the integrity of the criminal process. See Russell v.
    United States, 
    369 U.S. 749
    , 763 (1962) (praising the “salutary
    development in the criminal law” that “[c]onvictions are no
    longer reversed because of minor and technical deficiencies
    14                            Nos. 19‐1287, 19‐1768, & 19‐2049
    [in the indictment] which did not prejudice the accused”). De‐
    fendants who have suffered an effect on their substantial
    rights because of indictment error can still obtain relief under
    existing law.
    3. Denied Rule 29 Motion
    Jones moved for judgment of acquittal under Rule 29 in
    the district court. His motion was general. He asserted only
    that “the Government has not presented sufficient evidence
    to prove their case beyond a reasonable doubt.” Without ask‐
    ing Jones to elaborate, the district court denied the motion,
    which was clearly the correct decision under then‐governing
    circuit precedent.
    This short exchange preserved all possible challenges to
    the sufficiency of the evidence, including the post‐Rehaif ar‐
    gument that the government failed to prove that Jones knew
    his felony status. A motion under Rule 29 that makes specific
    arguments waives issues not presented, but a general motion
    preserves every objection. “Although a motion for judgment
    of acquittal need not spell out the particular basis for the chal‐
    lenge to the sufficiency of the evidence, when such a motion
    raises specific arguments, any claims not presented in the mo‐
    tion are waived.” United States v. Jones, 
    763 F.3d 777
    , 811–12
    (7th Cir. 2014), vacated on other grounds in United States v.
    Drake, 
    774 F.3d 1104
    (7th Cir. 2014), quoting United States v.
    Moore, 
    363 F.3d 631
    , 637 (7th Cir. 2004); see also United States
    v. Hammoude, 
    51 F.3d 288
    , 291 (D.C. Cir. 1995) (“Hammoude’s
    second motion for acquittal was broadly stated, without spe‐
    cific grounds, and was therefore sufficient to preserve the full
    range of challenges, whether stated or unstated, to the suffi‐
    ciency of the evidence.”). Cf. United States v. Huntsberry, 
    956 F.3d 270
    , 282–83 (5th Cir. 2020) (reviewing for plain error a
    Nos. 19‐1287, 19‐1768, & 19‐2049                                             15
    denied Rule 29 motion after Rehaif where original motion ar‐
    gued for acquittal on a different basis).6
    We therefore apply de novo review to Jones’s preserved
    challenge to the sufficiency of the evidence in light of Rehaif.
    We ask “whether any rational trier of fact could have found
    the essential elements of the crime beyond a reasonable
    doubt.” United States v. Hernandez, 
    952 F.3d 856
    , 859 (7th Cir.
    2020).
    C. Record for Plain‐Error Review
    A final question raised by these appeals from jury verdicts
    is the scope of the record we review for plain error. Must er‐
    rors in the jury instructions and indictments be evaluated
    solely against the trial record of evidence heard by the jury,
    or may we also consider information revealed at sentencing?
    The answer has important consequences for pending appeals
    after Rehaif. Nearly all felon‐in‐possession defendants who go
    to trial, including all three defendants here, stipulate to the
    fact of a prior conviction. Pursuant to Old Chief v. United States,
    
    519 U.S. 172
    (1997), that stipulation has barred the govern‐
    ment from offering more detailed evidence of their criminal
    6 This rule follows from the fact that parties to a criminal case—unlike
    civil parties—have no general obligation to support these motions with
    specific reasons. See Fed. R. Crim. P. 47 advisory committee’s note to 1944
    adoption (“This rule is substantially the same as the corresponding civil
    rule, except that it authorizes the court to permit motions to be made
    orally and does not require that the grounds upon which a motion is made
    shall be stated ‘with particularity,’ as is the case with the civil rule.” (cita‐
    tion omitted)); see also Peter J. Henning & Sarah N. Welling, 2A Federal
    Practice and Procedure: Criminal § 466 (4th ed. 2019) (“Specificity is not
    required by Rule 29 or by Rule 47.”).
    16                            Nos. 19‐1287, 19‐1768, & 19‐2049
    histories. (In the wake of Rehaif, defendants and the govern‐
    ment have begun agreeing to modified Old Chief stipulations
    that also include knowledge of felon status. See, e.g., United
    States v. Price, No. 1:18‐cr‐00348‐JMS‐MPB‐1, 
    2020 WL 2113410
    , at *3 (S.D. Ind. May 4, 2020); United States v. Garcia,
    No. 16‐cr‐00109‐1, 
    2020 WL 1663127
    , at *8 (N.D. Ill. Apr. 3,
    2020).) But trial records in cases tried before Rehaif was issued
    are likely to disclose little regarding defendants’ knowledge
    of felon status, due in part to the Old Chief bar. The appropri‐
    ate record on plain‐error review is important, and the courts
    of appeals have taken different approaches to this issue after
    Rehaif.
    As an initial matter, it is well established that, to review
    alleged errors in guilty plea proceedings, appellate courts con‐
    sider the entire record, not just the transcript of the plea hear‐
    ing: “in assessing the effect of Rule 11 error, a reviewing court
    must look to the entire record, not to the plea proceedings
    alone.” United States v. Dominguez Benitez, 
    542 U.S. 74
    , 80
    (2004), citing United States v. Vonn, 
    535 U.S. 55
    , 74–75 (2002).
    We have applied this approach to Rehaif claims. E.g., United
    States v. Williams, 
    946 F.3d 968
    , 974 (7th Cir. 2020) (consulting
    entire district court record to assess effect of Rehaif error in
    plea colloquy). But Vonn relied on an advisory committee note
    to Rule 11 for this holding. 
    See 535 U.S. at 74
    . The same logic
    does not apply to trial errors. To win reversal of a guilty plea
    on plain‐error review, a defendant “must show a reasonable
    probability that, but for the error, he would not have entered
    the plea.” Dominguez 
    Benitez, 542 U.S. at 83
    . This “cost‐benefit
    analysis” of the defendant’s options, United States v. Coleman,
    
    806 F.3d 941
    , 945 (7th Cir. 2015), would be impossible based
    on a plea‐hearing transcript alone.
    Nos. 19‐1287, 19‐1768, & 19‐2049                                17
    The circuits have taken different approaches to the record
    for plain‐error review of jury verdicts in light of Rehaif. Four
    circuits have freely consulted materials not before the jury—
    in particular, criminal histories from defendants’ presentence
    investigation reports (PSRs)—without discussing the propri‐
    ety of thus expanding the record. See United States v. Ward, 
    957 F.3d 691
    , 695 & n.1 (6th Cir. 2020) (citing Vonn for authority to
    consult non‐jury evidence without addressing Vonn’s limita‐
    tion to plea context); United States v. Reed, 
    941 F.3d 1018
    , 1021
    (11th Cir. 2019) (same); see also United States v. Hollingshed,
    
    940 F.3d 410
    , 415–16 (8th Cir. 2019) (assuming without analy‐
    sis that consulting non‐jury evidence is permissible); United
    States v. Benamor, 
    937 F.3d 1182
    , 1189 (9th Cir. 2019) (same).
    The Second Circuit took a more cautious approach in
    United States v. Miller, 
    954 F.3d 551
    (2d Cir. 2020). Like the de‐
    fendants here, the defendant in Miller was convicted by a jury
    of violating § 922(g)(1) after stipulating under Old Chief to the
    fact of a prior felony conviction. See
    id. at 556,
    559 & n.23. At
    the third prong of the plain‐error test—the effect on substan‐
    tial rights—Miller expressly limited itself “to the evidence ac‐
    tually presented to the jury.”
    Id. at 558
    & n.17, citing Neder v.
    United States, 
    527 U.S. 1
    , 19 (1999). It concluded that, on such
    a limited record, “the substantial‐rights analysis” was “a dif‐
    ficult one,” and declined to resolve it.
    Id. at 559.
    The court pro‐
    ceeded to the fourth prong. Citing the constraints that Old
    Chief had imposed on the government at trial, the Second Cir‐
    cuit concluded that “in the limited context of [its] fourth‐
    prong analysis,” it would “consider reliable evidence in the
    record on appeal that was not a part of the trial record,”
    namely the PSR.
    Id. at 560.
    18                             Nos. 19‐1287, 19‐1768, & 19‐2049
    The Fifth Circuit acknowledged this issue but declined to
    take a side in Huntsberry, 
    956 F.3d 270
    . The defendant in
    Huntsberry also had stipulated to a prior conviction under Old
    Chief.
    Id. at 285
    n.8. The Fifth Circuit noted that any use of sen‐
    tencing evidence “may be in tension with our precedent that
    ‘we review for plain error based on the record before the district
    court.’”
    Id. at 284,
    quoting United States v. Ceron, 
    775 F.3d 222
    ,
    226 (5th Cir. 2014). It concluded, however, that it could avoid
    the question through judicial notice of “the facts of Hunts‐
    berry’s prior felony conviction,” based not on the PSR but ra‐
    ther on the original “state court record of conviction,” as sub‐
    mitted on appeal.
    Id. at 284–85.
    In the appeals before us, the
    government provided state court records for potential judicial
    notice only in Jones’s case, so we cannot avoid the record is‐
    sue.
    We think the Second Circuit’s distinction between the
    third and fourth prongs of the Olano plain‐error test hews
    most closely to the governing precedents and best fits the
    problem posed by Rehaif claims. The third prong “calls for the
    same inquiry as ‘harmless error’ analysis, except that here the
    defendant bears the burden of persuasion with respect to prej‐
    udice.” 
    Ross, 77 F.3d at 1540
    , citing 
    Olano, 507 U.S. at 734
    –35;
    see also United States v. Turner, 
    651 F.3d 743
    , 748 (7th Cir. 2011)
    (“The third prong of the plain error test—whether the error
    affected the defendant’s substantial rights—calls for essen‐
    tially the same inquiry as harmless error analysis.”). The Su‐
    preme Court has made clear that harmless‐error analysis
    looks only to the trial record to measure the effect of trial er‐
    ror. See 
    Neder, 527 U.S. at 19
    (in assessing “whether the jury
    verdict would have been the same absent the error … a court,
    in typical appellate‐court fashion, asks whether the record
    Nos. 19‐1287, 19‐1768, & 19‐2049                               19
    contains evidence that could rationally lead to a contrary find‐
    ing with respect to the omitted element”); 
    Fulminante, 499 U.S. at 307
    –08 (“error which occurred during the presentation of
    the case to the jury … may therefore be quantitatively as‐
    sessed in the context of other evidence presented in order to
    determine whether its admission was harmless beyond a rea‐
    sonable doubt”).
    This restriction to the jury record flows logically from the
    nature of a substantial‐rights inquiry on direct review. The
    more abstract question of the defendant’s actual guilt or inno‐
    cence is not the issue. Rather, the appellate court asks what
    effect the error could have had on the verdict in the trial actu‐
    ally conducted. The Supreme Court explained in Sullivan v.
    Louisiana that the Sixth Amendment mandates this approach:
    The inquiry, in other words, is not whether, in a
    trial that occurred without the error, a guilty
    verdict would surely have been rendered, but
    whether the guilty verdict actually rendered in
    this trial was surely unattributable to the error.
    That must be so, because to hypothesize a guilty
    verdict that was never in fact rendered—no
    matter how inescapable the findings to support
    that verdict might be—would violate the jury‐
    trial guarantee.
    
    508 U.S. 275
    , 279 (1993); see also Kotteakos v. United States, 
    328 U.S. 750
    , 765 (1946) (“The inquiry cannot be merely whether
    there was enough to support the result, apart from the phase
    affected by the error. It is rather, even so, whether the error
    itself had substantial influence.”). A defendant “need not es‐
    tablish that in a trial without the error, a reasonable jury would
    have acquitted him; he must demonstrate that the jury verdict
    20                             Nos. 19‐1287, 19‐1768, & 19‐2049
    in this case was actually affected by the district court’s [error].”
    
    Ross, 77 F.3d at 1540
    (emphasis added). An effect on the ver‐
    dict can of course be measured only against what the jury
    saw, hence the restricted record for the substantial‐rights
    analysis.
    Putting these pieces together, because the substantial‐
    rights assessment is the same under either Rule 52(a) or Rule
    52(b), both harmless‐error analysis and the third prong of the
    plain‐error test look to the trial record when a defendant has
    exercised his right to a trial. Our prior cases concerning both
    instructional and indictment errors have respected this limit.
    See, e.g., United States v. Groce, 
    891 F.3d 260
    , 269–70 (7th Cir.
    2018) (on plain‐error review, upholding verdict despite error
    in jury instructions based on “overwhelming evidence” pre‐
    sented to the jury); United States v. Daniels, 
    803 F.3d 335
    , 340–
    41 (7th Cir. 2015) (“[A]n error involving [indictment] misjoin‐
    der ‘affects substantial rights’ and requires reversal only if the
    misjoinder results in actual prejudice because it ‘had substan‐
    tial and injurious effect or influence in determining the jury’s
    verdict.’”), quoting United States v. Lane, 
    474 U.S. 438
    , 449
    (1986); United States v. Peters, 
    435 F.3d 746
    , 754 (7th Cir. 2006)
    (reviewing jury instructions for plain error “in light of the
    facts of the case and the evidence presented”).
    But the Supreme Court drew a clear line in Olano between
    the first three prongs of the plain‐error test and the fourth,
    even devoting a separate section of the opinion to the fourth
    
    prong. 507 U.S. at 732
    –37. The Court described the first three
    prongs as “limitation[s] on appellate authority.”
    Id. at 732–34.
    They determine whether, under Rule 52(b), a “plain error”
    that an appellate court may correct occurred at all. Even if the
    Nos. 19‐1287, 19‐1768, & 19‐2049                               21
    first three prongs are satisfied, though, the appellate court re‐
    tains discretion to leave an error uncorrected: “Rule 52(b) is
    permissive, not mandatory. If the forfeited error is ‘plain’ and
    ‘affect[s] substantial rights,’ the court of appeals has authority
    to order correction, but is not required to do so.”
    Id. at 735.
    In
    later rulings, the Court has continued to emphasize the dis‐
    cretionary nature of prong four. See 
    Puckett, 556 U.S. at 135
    (“if the above three prongs are satisfied, the court of appeals
    has the discretion to remedy the error”); 
    Johnson, 520 U.S. at 467
    (same); see also United States v. Luepke, 
    495 F.3d 443
    , 451
    (7th Cir. 2007) (“Having determined that the elements of plain
    error are satisfied, we turn to our final inquiry, whether, in the
    exercise of discretion, we should correct the error.”).
    A court should exercise its discretion at the fourth prong
    only if “the error ‘seriously affect[s] the fairness, integrity or
    public reputation of judicial proceedings.’” 
    Olano, 507 U.S. at 736
    (alteration in original), quoting United States v. Atkinson,
    
    297 U.S. 157
    , 160 (1936). We explained the difference between
    “substantial rights,” on the one hand, and “fairness, integrity
    or public reputation,” on the other, in United States v. Paladino,
    
    401 F.3d 471
    (7th Cir. 2005). Crucially, only the latter has been
    compared to a “miscarriage of justice,” or in other words, “a
    substantial risk of convicting an innocent person.”
    Id. at 481,
    citing among others United States v. Frady, 
    456 U.S. 152
    , 163
    n.14 (1982). To be sure, an error need not “shock the con‐
    science” to satisfy prong four, and defendants can sometimes
    show an effect on fairness or integrity without a claim of in‐
    nocence. See Rosales‐Mireles v. United States, 
    138 S. Ct. 1897
    ,
    1906 (2018). Still, though a defendant’s likelihood of actual
    guilt or innocence does not necessarily control the third prong
    of plain‐error review, it may play a role at prong four: “the
    first element merely requires prejudice, in the sense that the
    22                                  Nos. 19‐1287, 19‐1768, & 19‐2049
    verdict might have been different, whereas the second re‐
    quires confidence that if the error is not corrected the result
    will be intolerable, such as the conviction of an innocent per‐
    son or subjecting a guilty person to an illegally long sen‐
    tence.” 
    Paladino, 401 F.3d at 481
    .7
    In sum, we have broad discretion under prong four to
    leave even plain errors uncorrected where we have no doubt
    as to the ultimate result of further proceedings. We agree with
    the Second Circuit that this discretion necessarily implies
    some power to look beyond the trial record to assess an error’s
    effect, at least for the errors argued here, where the governing
    law at the time of their trials (Old Chief) prevented the govern‐
    ment from offering a great deal of circumstantial evidence
    showing that these defendants knew they had been convicted
    of several felonies. See 
    Miller, 954 F.3d at 559
    –60. Our deci‐
    sions in the wake of Apprendi, 
    530 U.S. 466
    , adopted this ap‐
    proach. After Apprendi, we reviewed for plain error many sen‐
    tences that had been enhanced based on drug quantities
    found by a judge, which was no longer permissible. We often
    affirmed in reliance on overwhelming drug quantity evidence
    presented at sentencing, and we cited the discretionary fourth
    prong as the basis for affirmance. See, e.g., United States v.
    Martinez, 
    258 F.3d 582
    , 586–87 (7th Cir. 2001); United States v.
    7The likelihood of a defendant’s actual guilt is also often relevant on
    collateral review, which proceeds under distinct legal standards we have
    no need to address here. See 
    Olano, 507 U.S. at 736
    (“In our collateral‐re‐
    view jurisprudence, the term ‘miscarriage of justice’ means that the de‐
    fendant is actually innocent.”); Henry J. Friendly, Is Innocence Irrelevant?:
    Collateral Attack on Criminal Judgments, 38 U. Chi. L. Rev. 142, 142 (1970)
    (arguing that “convictions should be subject to collateral attack only when
    the prisoner supplements his constitutional plea with a colorable claim of
    innocence”).
    Nos. 19‐1287, 19‐1768, & 19‐2049                                23
    Patterson, 
    241 F.3d 912
    , 913–14 (7th Cir. 2001); 
    Nance, 236 F.3d at 826
    .
    In these appeals, we confine our inquiry to the trial records
    and a narrow category of highly reliable information outside
    the trial records: the defendants’ prior offenses and sentences
    served in prison, as reflected in undisputed portions of their
    PSRs. Considering these at prong four does not adversely af‐
    fect the fairness, integrity, or public reputation of judicial pro‐
    ceedings. First, the defendants had every incentive to chal‐
    lenge at sentencing any incorrect PSR information about prior
    felonies given its impact on Sentencing Guidelines calcula‐
    tions and factors under 18 U.S.C. § 3553(a). Second, the trial
    records were left bare of such information largely because Old
    Chief stipulations barred the government from offering it. Fi‐
    nally, the Supreme Court has long recognized that “the fact of
    a prior conviction” does not raise the same Sixth Amendment
    concerns as other facts. See 
    Apprendi, 530 U.S. at 490
    , interpret‐
    ing Almendarez‐Torres v. United States, 
    523 U.S. 224
    (1998). Few
    accused defendants wish to put their full felony records on
    display before a jury. We therefore conclude that we may con‐
    sider prior criminal convictions as reflected in PSRs in exer‐
    cising our discretion under prong four of the plain‐error test.
    III. Application to These Appeals
    We now apply the principles explained above to each of
    these three appeals. We conclude that the argued Rehaif errors
    do not require reversal of any of the § 922(g) convictions.
    A. Carlos Maez
    Maez argues that his jury instructions and indictment both
    omitted the element of knowledge of felon status, constituting
    plain error under Rehaif. We start with the jury instructions.
    24                            Nos. 19‐1287, 19‐1768, & 19‐2049
    1. Jury Instructions
    The jury instructions at Maez’s trial said in relevant part
    that the government had to prove the following facts beyond
    a reasonable doubt: “1. The defendant knowingly possessed a
    firearm; and 2. At the time of the charged act, the defendant
    had previously been convicted of a felony, meaning a crime
    punishable by more than a year of imprisonment.” This in‐
    struction tracked circuit precedent and the pattern jury in‐
    structions in use at the time, but the government concedes
    that the instruction was incomplete and that the error was
    plain in light of Rehaif. We agree with the parties that prongs
    one and two of the Olano plain‐error test are met here because
    the instruction’s second element did not include defendant’s
    knowledge of his status as a felon.
    The evidence from Maez’s trial, however, prevents him
    from satisfying Olano’s third prong, an effect on his substan‐
    tial rights. To decide whether “an instruction that omitted an
    element of the crime” affected substantial rights, the review‐
    ing court asks whether “it appeared ‘beyond a reasonable
    doubt that the error complained of did not contribute to the
    verdict obtained.’” United States v. Caira, 
    737 F.3d 455
    , 464 (7th
    Cir. 2013), quoting Neder v. United States, 
    527 U.S. 1
    , 15 (1999).
    If “overwhelming evidence” before the jury proved the omit‐
    ted element, we can usually conclude that the error did not
    contribute to the verdict. See, e.g., United States v. Groce, 
    891 F.3d 260
    , 269 (7th Cir. 2018); United States v. Matthews, 
    505 F.3d 698
    , 706 (7th Cir. 2007).
    Here, the jury heard several pieces of undisputed evidence
    that strongly support an inference that Maez knew he was a
    felon. First, Maez stipulated under Old Chief that at the time
    of the offense, he had “previously been convicted of a felony
    Nos. 19‐1287, 19‐1768, & 19‐2049                              25
    crime punishable by more than a year of imprisonment.” A
    jury could reasonably think that a felony conviction is a life
    experience unlikely to be forgotten. Second, Maez’s daughter
    testified at trial that she had no relationship with Maez until
    she was eighteen because he had been “incarcerated [her]
    whole life.” Finally, Maez’s parole officer testified that he su‐
    pervised Maez after his release from prison and that Maez
    was on parole at the time of the bank robbery. In the absence
    of any contradictory evidence, these facts provided powerful
    circumstantial evidence that Maez knew he had been con‐
    victed of at least one prior felony.
    Even if Maez could show prejudice at prong three, we
    would decline to exercise our discretion to correct any error
    under prong four of the Olano test. Undisputed portions of the
    PSR provide even more circumstantial evidence of Maez’s
    knowledge. Maez, now in his early forties, has spent most of
    his adult life in prison. He was convicted of his first two felo‐
    nies when he was seventeen and sentenced to three years in
    prison. After being released in 1999, he was convicted of an‐
    other felony five months later and sentenced to twelve years
    in prison. He was paroled for about a month in 2010 before he
    committed two more felonies and was sentenced to eight
    years in prison. We are thus confident that Maez knew he was
    a felon. Remand would not produce a different result. Affir‐
    mance in this instance protects rather than harms “the fair‐
    ness, integrity or public reputation of judicial proceedings.”
    As in Johnson v. United States, 
    520 U.S. 461
    , 470 (1997), “it
    would be the reversal of a conviction such as this which
    would have that effect.”
    26                             Nos. 19‐1287, 19‐1768, & 19‐2049
    2. Indictment
    An alleged flaw in the indictment is a plain error only
    when the indictment fails as a result “to charge the offense by
    any reasonable construction.” United States v. Frank Smith, 
    223 F.3d 554
    , 571 (7th Cir. 2000); see also Grayson 
    Enterprises, 950 F.3d at 402
    . Maez’s indictment read: “CARLOS MAEZ, de‐
    fendant herein, did knowingly possess a firearm, after having
    been convicted of a crime punishable by more than a year of
    imprisonment, that had travelled through interstate or for‐
    eign commerce.” This language closely tracked the statutes
    and has a reasonable construction that charges every element
    of a § 922(g) offense, even after Rehaif. The mens rea term
    “knowingly” came at the start of a series. A grammatically
    correct and natural reading of the text applies “knowingly” to
    each of the subsequent clauses. In fact, the Rehaif Court read
    § 922(g) and § 924(a)(2) in precisely this manner to require
    knowledge of prohibited status in the first place. 
    See 139 S. Ct. at 2196
    (“As a matter of ordinary English grammar, we nor‐
    mally read the statutory term ‘knowingly’ as applying to all
    the subsequently listed elements of the crime.” (citation omit‐
    ted)). That is not the only possible construction of the indict‐
    ment, but it is at least a reasonable one.
    Indictments that track the statutory language so closely
    are usually sufficient. See United States v. Craig Smith, 
    230 F.3d 300
    , 305 (7th Cir. 2000) (“[I]t is generally acceptable for the in‐
    dictment to ‘track’ the words of the statute itself, so long as
    those words expressly set forth all the elements necessary to
    constitute the offense intended to be punished.”); see also
    United States v. White, 
    610 F.3d 956
    , 958–59 (7th Cir. 2010)
    (same). In fact, in Frank Smith, we held that an indictment that
    omitted the mens rea term—“knowingly and intentionally”—
    Nos. 19‐1287, 19‐1768, & 19‐2049                                27
    still had a reasonable construction that charged the offense
    because it tracked the rest of the statutory 
    language. 223 F.3d at 571
    –72, discussing 21 U.S.C. § 861(a). Maez’s indictment
    did not contain a plain error.
    B. Cameron Battiste
    Battiste, too, challenges his jury instructions and indict‐
    ment. We affirm Battiste’s conviction with a few variations on
    our reasoning in Maez’s case.
    1. Jury Instructions
    As in Maez’s case, the government concedes that the jury
    instructions omitted knowledge of status, constituting an “er‐
    ror” that is “plain.” The third prong of the plain‐error test
    then asks whether Battiste’s substantial rights were affected
    based on the trial record. His trial focused on the knowing‐
    possession element, which was sharply disputed. The jury
    also heard some evidence relating to his status as a felon. Like
    Maez, he stipulated under Old Chief to a prior conviction. The
    jury also heard that Battiste attempted to flee from arresting
    agents. He then started gesturing toward men back in his
    apartment complex, apparently seeking to draw their atten‐
    tion to a bag of firearms lying on the lawn that the agents had
    not yet noticed. This testimony was at least probative of the
    fact that Battiste knew he had a prohibited status when he
    possessed the firearms. Still, the trial evidence was not over‐
    whelming on the new Rehaif element of knowledge of status
    as a felon. Cf. United States v. Miller, 
    954 F.3d 551
    , 559 (2d Cir.
    2020) (declining to resolve “difficult” substantial‐rights anal‐
    ysis on plain‐error review after Rehaif).
    Even if we assume Battiste could satisfy the third prong of
    plain‐error review, we decline to exercise our discretion to
    28                                  Nos. 19‐1287, 19‐1768, & 19‐2049
    correct this error under the fourth prong because there is no
    risk of a “miscarriage of justice” in Battiste’s case. See United
    States v. Paladino, 
    401 F.3d 471
    , 481 (7th Cir. 2005). Battiste’s
    PSR, to which he lodged no objection, shows that he had at
    least four prior felony convictions. He served a year or more
    in prison on three of those convictions. In fact, Battiste had
    once been charged under Illinois law on two counts of the
    crime at issue here, felon in possession of a firearm. There is
    no doubt that a jury permitted to hear such evidence would
    find Battiste knew his felon status. The plain error in the jury
    instructions did not seriously affect the fairness, integrity, or
    public reputation of judicial proceedings. 
    Olano, 507 U.S. at 736
    .
    2. Indictment
    Battiste’s indictment was phrased differently than Maez’s,
    with the word “knowingly” placed later in the sentence. Bat‐
    tiste’s indictment read: “CAMERON BATTISTE … having
    previously been convicted of a crime punishable by a term of
    imprisonment exceeding one year, did knowingly possess in
    and affecting interstate commerce a firearm … .” Here,
    “knowingly” came after the fact of the prior felony conviction,
    and a typical reader would not apply it to the earlier clause
    set off by commas. We are not sure it would be a “reasonable
    construction” to do so. Frank 
    Smith, 223 F.3d at 571
    . We as‐
    sume there was a plain error here.8
    8 The Second Circuit has held that similar indictment wording did not
    fail to confer jurisdiction on the district court since the language resembled
    what the Supreme Court was interpreting in Rehaif. See United States v.
    Balde, 
    943 F.3d 73
    , 89–90 (2d Cir. 2019). Unlike the Second Circuit, how‐
    ever, we do not recognize any indictment errors as jurisdictional, so Balde
    offers limited guidance. See United States v. Muresanu, 
    951 F.3d 833
    , 839
    Nos. 19‐1287, 19‐1768, & 19‐2049                                          29
    But even assuming a plain error in the indictment and
    even assuming an effect on Battiste’s substantial rights, we
    still decline to exercise our discretion to correct the error. As
    with the missing element in the jury instructions, it is clear
    that the wording of the indictment did not undermine the
    fairness or integrity of judicial proceedings. Considering the
    evidence heard by the trial jury and Battiste’s extensive prior
    criminal history laid out in detail in his PSR, “we can be con‐
    fident in retrospect that the grand jury (which acts under a
    lower burden of persuasion) would have reached the same
    conclusion.” United States v. Patterson, 
    241 F.3d 912
    , 914 (7th
    Cir. 2001). If we remanded, there is no chance the result would
    change.
    C. Matthew Jones
    Jones’s appeal raises challenges to his jury instructions
    and indictment parallel to those of Maez and Battiste. Jones
    also appeals the denial of his motion for a judgment of acquit‐
    tal at the close of evidence. He also challenges his sentence
    because the district court lengthened his prison term to allow
    more rehabilitation through prison programs.
    1. Rule 29 Motion
    We start with the denied Rule 29 motion for judgment of
    acquittal. As explained above, Jones preserved his challenge
    to the sufficiency of the evidence under Rehaif with a general
    motion. We thus review the district court’s denial de novo:
    “we do not defer to the district judge’s decision.” United States
    v. Garcia, 
    919 F.3d 489
    , 496 (7th Cir. 2019). Nevertheless, the
    (7th Cir. 2020) (“[D]efects in an indictment do not deprive the court of sub‐
    ject‐matter jurisdiction, and this is so even when the defect is a failure to
    state a federal offense.”).
    30                            Nos. 19‐1287, 19‐1768, & 19‐2049
    standard remains demanding for criminal defendants: “We
    ‘consider the evidence in the light most favorable to the Gov‐
    ernment,’ and will reverse ‘only when the record contains no
    evidence, regardless of how it is weighed, from which the jury
    could find guilt beyond a reasonable doubt.’” United States v.
    Dewitt, 
    943 F.3d 1092
    , 1096 (7th Cir. 2019), quoting United
    States v. Blassingame, 
    197 F.3d 271
    , 284 (7th Cir. 1999). This ap‐
    peal turns on whether the evidence presented to the jury per‐
    mits an inference beyond a reasonable doubt that Jones knew
    he had committed a felony. The government tried the case
    without knowing it needed to prove Jones had that
    knowledge, but we find that the evidence at trial did permit,
    but not require, such an inference.
    The first piece of evidence was the Old Chief stipulation,
    which said: “Prior to July 15, 2018, the defendant, Matthew R.
    Jones, had been convicted of a felony crime that was punish‐
    able by a term of imprisonment of more than one year.” A ju‐
    ror could apply her common sense and conclude that it was
    highly likely that Jones remembered having been convicted of
    a felony, a major life event. The other important evidence was
    Jones’s behavior at the time of the search and arrest. An officer
    testified at trial that when Jones was first presented with the
    search warrant for his house, he denied having a key. He in‐
    sisted it was his mother’s house. But the officers found that
    the keys in Jones’s hands opened not only the front door but
    also locked interior doors and a padlocked room that con‐
    tained the firearms. Without any contradicting or impeaching
    evidence on these points, the combination of the Old Chief
    stipulation and the false denials about the house where Jones
    possessed firearms was sufficient to permit the required infer‐
    ence of knowledge of his status as a felon.
    Nos. 19‐1287, 19‐1768, & 19‐2049                                31
    To be clear, we are not saying that an Old Chief stipulation,
    standing alone, would show conclusively that a Rehaif error in
    jury instructions did not affect substantial rights. See United
    States v. Hollingshed, 
    940 F.3d 410
    , 415 (8th Cir. 2019) (in plain‐
    error review of Rehaif error in jury instructions, “we will as‐
    sume that Hollingshed’s stipulation does not resolve the issue
    of whether he knew he was a felon”); United States v. Benamor,
    
    937 F.3d 1182
    , 1188–89 (9th Cir. 2019) (assuming “that the stip‐
    ulation does not end the discussion as to Defendant’s
    knowledge of his status as a felon,” but finding plain‐error test
    was not satisfied where PSR showed defendant had seven
    prior felony convictions).
    We also do not have to go quite so far as to hold that an
    Old Chief stipulation standing alone is sufficient to infer, be‐
    yond a reasonable doubt, a defendant’s knowledge of his sta‐
    tus as a felon at the time of the charged possession of the fire‐
    arm. Cf. United States v. Ward, 
    957 F.3d 691
    , 696 (6th Cir. 2020)
    (holding that stipulation alone is sufficient). We decide here
    that Jones’s Old Chief stipulation, combined with the evidence
    of his evasive behavior at the time of the search, was sufficient
    to permit that inference of his knowledge. See generally
    McFadden v. United States, 
    135 S. Ct. 2298
    , 2304 n.1 (2015) (not‐
    ing that for “most mens rea requirements, the Government can
    prove the requisite mental state through either direct evi‐
    dence or circumstantial evidence,” including “evasive behav‐
    ior with respect to law enforcement”). Although § 922(g) re‐
    quires that the government prove only knowledge of prohib‐
    ited status, not knowledge of the prohibition itself, see above
    at 5–8, facts suggesting the defendant knew that he could not
    lawfully possess firearms point toward knowledge of his sta‐
    tus.
    32                                Nos. 19‐1287, 19‐1768, & 19‐2049
    We have said that a “judge facing a Rule 29 motion in a
    criminal case might benefit from first asking whether, if the
    evidence had been presented in a civil case, it would be suffi‐
    cient to send the case to the jury,” in other words, sufficient to
    defeat a motion for summary judgment. 
    Garcia, 919 F.3d at 497
    –98. Jones’s evasive behavior, combined with his stipula‐
    tion to a prior felony conviction, would put the issue of his
    knowledge in the province of the jury even under Rehaif‐com‐
    pliant instructions. Denial of the Rule 29 motion was appro‐
    priate.9
    2. Jury Instructions and Indictment
    Jones’s challenges to the jury instructions and indictment
    are indistinguishable from Battiste’s. As to the jury instruc‐
    tions, we do not resolve whether the missing knowledge ele‐
    ment affected Jones’s substantial rights. The evidence at trial
    permitted a finding of guilt on the missing element, but it was
    not so overwhelming as to eliminate any possibility of an ef‐
    fect on the verdict. Instead, we decline to exercise our discre‐
    tion under prong four of the plain‐error test in light of our
    limited review of Jones’s PSR. His criminal history includes
    multiple felony convictions, at least one of which led to his
    spending over one year in prison. He had even been convicted
    before of unlawful possession of a weapon by a felon under
    Illinois law and sentenced to four years in prison on that
    charge. We are confident that when he possessed the charged
    9Because sufficient evidence supported the jury’s verdict, we do not
    address the government’s argument that Jones invited any error in the de‐
    nial of his Rule 29 motion. We also do not address Jones’s contention on
    appeal that his limited intellect rendered him unaware of his status be‐
    cause the jury heard no such evidence.
    Nos. 19‐1287, 19‐1768, & 19‐2049                              33
    firearms in this case, he knew he had been convicted of a prior
    felony.
    Like Battiste’s indictment, Jones’s indictment charged that
    he, “having been previously convicted in a court in the State
    of Illinois of a crime punishable by imprisonment for a term
    exceeding one year, did knowingly possess, in and affecting
    commerce, firearms … .” As in Battiste’s appeal, it might not
    be a “reasonable construction” of the indictment to apply the
    “knowingly” term to the preceding clause concerning the fact
    of a prior conviction. Frank 
    Smith, 223 F.3d at 571
    . But as sum‐
    marized above, Jones’s PSR shows an extensive criminal his‐
    tory that leaves no doubt as to his knowledge of his status as
    a felon or as to the result of impaneling a second grand jury.
    We decline to exercise our discretion to correct any error in
    the indictment.
    3. Sentence
    Finally, Jones challenges his sentence, arguing that the dis‐
    trict court committed a Tapia error. Sentencing courts are pro‐
    hibited from imposing a term of incarceration for rehabilita‐
    tive ends because “imprisonment is not an appropriate means
    of promoting correction and rehabilitation.” 18 U.S.C.
    § 3582(a). The Supreme Court held in Tapia v. United States,
    
    564 U.S. 319
    , 334 (2011), that this statute “prevents a sentenc‐
    ing court from imposing or lengthening a prison term because
    the court thinks an offender will benefit from a prison treat‐
    ment program.”
    Jones argues, and the government and we agree, that the
    judge’s explanation for his sentence showed a Tapia error. See
    Sent. Tr. at 21, 29. When a term of imprisonment is improperly
    imposed for rehabilitative purposes, remand for resentencing
    34                           Nos. 19‐1287, 19‐1768, & 19‐2049
    is the appropriate remedy. See United States v. Kopp, 
    922 F.3d 337
    , 343 (7th Cir. 2019).
    Conclusion
    The judgment of the district court in United States v. Maez,
    No. 19‐1287, is AFFIRMED. The conviction in United States v.
    Jones, No. 19‐1768, is AFFIRMED, but the sentence is
    VACATED and the case is remanded to the district court for
    resentencing. The judgment of the district court in United
    States v. Battiste, No. 19‐2049, is AFFIRMED.