United States v. Adel Daoud ( 2020 )


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  •                                In the
    United States Court of Appeals
    For the Seventh Circuit
    ____________________
    Nos. 19-2174, 19-2185 & 19-2186
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,
    Plaintiff-Appellant,
    v.
    ADEL DAOUD,
    Defendant-Appellee.
    ____________________
    Appeals from the United States District Court for the
    Northern District of Illinois, Eastern Division.
    Nos. 1:12-cr-00723, 1:13-cr-00703 & 1:15-cr-00487
    Sharon Johnson Coleman, Judge.
    ____________________
    ARGUED SEPTEMBER 25, 2020 — DECIDED NOVEMBER 17, 2020
    ____________________
    Before RIPPLE, BRENNAN, and ST. EVE, Circuit Judges.
    ST. EVE, Circuit Judge. Adel Daoud pressed the button to
    detonate a bomb that would have killed hundreds of innocent
    people in the name of Islam. Fortunately, the bomb was fake,
    and the FBI arrested him on the spot. Two months later, while
    in pretrial custody, Daoud solicited the murder of the FBI
    agent who supplied the fake bomb. Two and a half years later,
    while awaiting trial on the first two charges, Daoud tried to
    2                              Nos. 19-2174, 19-2185 & 19-2186
    stab another inmate to death using makeshift weapons after
    the inmate drew a picture of the Prophet Muhammad. Daoud
    eventually entered an Alford plea, and the cases were consoli-
    dated for sentencing. The district court sentenced Daoud to a
    combined total of 16 years’ imprisonment for the crimes. The
    government appeals that sentence on the ground that it was
    substantively unreasonable. We agree. We vacate the sentence
    and remand for resentencing.
    I. Background
    A. FBI Investigation and Bomb Plot
    Daoud came to the FBI’s attention after a series of online
    posts, communications, and searches that evinced a desire to
    engage in violent jihad (terrorist attacks in the name of Islam).
    This online activity began as early as September 2011, the
    month that Daoud turned 18. At the time, Daoud was living
    with his parents in a suburb of Chicago. In his online posts
    and communications, Daoud described himself as a “terror-
    ist;” wrote that he wanted to die a martyr; shared songs about
    violent jihad; and encouraged killing and dying in the name
    of Allah and committing violent acts of jihad against the
    United States as revenge for its killing of Muslims. Daoud also
    sought out, consumed, and shared violent jihadist materials,
    including Inspire magazine, an English-language publication
    by al-Qaeda that promotes violent jihad and teaches readers
    how to create and use weapons and destructive devices like
    bombs.
    In May 2012, to assess Daoud’s threat level, two under-
    cover FBI agents initiated online contact with him using ficti-
    tious identifies. One of the agents posed as a 17-year-old Arab
    youth living in Australia. The other posed as an older Arab
    Nos. 19-2174, 19-2185 & 19-2186                              3
    man living in Saudi Arabia. One of the agents contacted
    Daoud by email to praise a song that Daoud had posted on
    Yahoo Answers and described as “Terrorist Music.” The other
    agent initiated contact a few days later. With the agents’
    (false) interest and encouragement, Daoud began sharing ji-
    hadist materials with them, including Inspire. He also con-
    veyed his interest in engaging in violent jihad and referenced
    his recruitment efforts and plans for an attack in the United
    States or overseas. When one of the agents questioned the pro-
    priety of taking lives, Daoud explained why it was justified.
    At one point, Daoud said: “I want to be even worse to the
    Americans, the [sic] Osama bin Laden and sheikh Anwar al-
    Awlaki put together. I want to be a great terrorist … and be
    great encouragement for Muslims to do the same.” Other
    times, though, Daoud himself questioned the propriety of ter-
    rorism. He also referenced his “procrastination” and “lazi-
    ness,” saying, “All I do is talk.” Sometimes he mentioned
    plans to go to college abroad. While communicating with the
    undercover agents, Daoud continued researching and sharing
    jihadist materials. For example, he inquired about the price of
    an AK-47 and sought information about the propriety of
    blowing up a train, bringing down a flight, and assembling
    explosives.
    In conversations with Daoud, one of the agents referenced
    a fictitious cousin named “Mudafar,” who was supposedly an
    operational terrorist living in the United States. Eventually,
    the agent connected Daoud with a third undercover FBI agent
    posing as Mudafar. Between July and September 2012, Daoud
    and the 38-year-old Mudafar communicated electronically
    and met in person six times. At their first meeting, Daoud
    identified himself as a terrorist and expressed his interest in
    committing a terrorist attack in the United States or overseas.
    4                             Nos. 19-2174, 19-2185 & 19-2186
    He suggested using “flying cars” or driving a truck with
    knives on it through a crowded area. At Mudafar’s urging,
    Daoud compiled a list of potential locations for a terrorist at-
    tack. The list included shopping malls, nightclubs, bars, liq-
    uor stores, and military bases. Daoud shared the list with
    Mudafar at their second meeting. He also latched onto
    Mudafar’s idea of using a car bomb. Daoud emphasized the
    importance of inflicting mass casualties, making international
    news, and ensuring that people knew “Muslim extremists”
    were responsible for the attack. When Mudafar questioned
    Daoud’s resolution, Daoud assured him, “this is in my heart.”
    Nevertheless, Daoud wavered at some points and sought re-
    ligious guidance from Mudafar and Mudafar’s fictional
    sheikh (leader) about the propriety of killing people. Daoud
    also clarified his personal limitations, saying he could not
    make a bomb or “do anything” by himself, and describing his
    ideas as “crazy fantasies.”
    Eventually, Daoud found “the perfect place” for a car-
    bomb attack: Cactus Bar & Grill in Chicago. Daoud explained
    that Cactus was a prime target because it was a crowded
    night-time destination. Daoud and Mudafar began planning
    the attack. Daoud surveilled and photographed the location
    and picked a site for the car bomb. Mudafar described the
    bomb that he would supply and the mass carnage it would
    cause. Daoud expressed pleasure with the bomb’s size. On the
    day before the planned attack, Mudafar showed Daoud the
    (fake) 1,000-pound car bomb, which he had installed in a Jeep
    Cherokee. Daoud said he wanted to have “direct action” in
    the attack and asked if he could press the button to detonate
    the bomb.
    Nos. 19-2174, 19-2185 & 19-2186                               5
    On the night of September 14, 2012, Mudafar and Daoud
    met to carry out the planned attack. On the drive over, Daoud
    prayed aloud for the many people who would be killed. He
    also prayed for the attack to make international news, and
    that it not be his last operation. Once there, Daoud parked the
    Jeep in front of the Cactus bar. In a nearby alley, Mudafar told
    Daoud that there were 200 people in the area. Daoud re-
    sponded: “[T]his is like the lottery.” Shortly before pressing
    the button, Daoud asked if women could be killed in the
    United States. Mudafar said yes. Daoud was arrested upon
    pressing the button.
    Daoud was charged with attempting to use a weapon of
    mass destruction, in violation of 18 U.S.C. § 2332a(a)(2)(D)
    (Count 1) and attempting to destroy a building used in inter-
    state commerce with an explosive, in violation of 18 U.S.C.
    § 844(i) (Count 2).
    B. Solicitation of FBI Agent’s Murder
    Approximately two months later, while Daoud was in pre-
    trial custody, he solicited the murder of the undercover FBI
    agent who had posed as Mudafar. Daoud offered to pay his
    cellmate, a gang member, to enlist one of his gang associates
    to kill the undercover agent. He gave his cellmate the agent’s
    phone number to help track him down. Daoud’s cellmate re-
    ported the offer to federal authorities and agreed to record fu-
    ture conversations with Daoud. In exchange for his coopera-
    tion, authorities paid the cellmate $15,000, which he used to
    pay his bond and get out of jail.
    In recorded conversations, Daoud called the undercover
    agent a “spy” and suggested different ways of killing him. He
    asked that the killing be quick and untraceable. More than
    6                             Nos. 19-2174, 19-2185 & 19-2186
    once, Daoud’s cellmate asked Daoud if was sure he wanted to
    go through with the plan. Daoud said yes. Daoud’s cellmate
    purportedly made the arrangements and confirmed the target
    by showing Daoud a photograph of the undercover agent
    (supposedly taken by his associates but actually provided by
    authorities). Finally, the cellmate instructed Daoud to make a
    phone call authorizing the killing, which Daoud did. When
    the job was done (or so Daoud thought), Daoud asked for the
    “gory details.” Daoud’s cellmate asked Daoud if he regretted
    the decision and Daoud said, “Hell no.”
    On August 29, 2013, Daoud was charged with soliciting a
    crime of violence, in violation of 18 U.S.C. § 373(a) (Count 1);
    murder-for-hire, in violation of 18 U.S.C. § 1958(a) (Count 2);
    and obstruction of justice, in violation of 18 U.S.C.
    § 1512(a)(1)(A) (Count 3).
    The recorded conversations between Daoud and his cell-
    mate reveal that Daoud’s cellmate was verbally abusive to-
    ward him. For example, he mocked Daoud’s religious beliefs,
    called him homosexual as an insult, and threatened to hurt
    him.
    C. Assault on Another Inmate
    In December 2014, a little over two years after soliciting
    the FBI agent’s murder, Daoud physically attacked a fellow
    inmate because the inmate drew a picture of the Prophet Mu-
    hammad. Daoud jumped on the inmate and punched him. Be-
    fore his September 2012 arrest, Daoud had suggested in
    online posts that people who drew pictures of the Prophet
    Muhammad should be killed.
    Daoud and the other inmate later reconciled. But in May
    2015, Daoud sent the same inmate to the hospital after
    Nos. 19-2174, 19-2185 & 19-2186                              7
    approaching him in his sleep and stabbing him repeatedly in
    the throat and head using sharpened toothbrushes and a
    toothbrush with a razor blade attached to it. The attack ended
    when the inmate’s cellmate intervened.
    The day before the attack, a news story had aired on the
    jail television about violence toward individuals who drew
    pictures of the Prophet Muhammad. According to another in-
    mate, Daoud was near the television when the story aired and
    seemed agitated. An inmate who witnessed the attacked de-
    scribed Daoud as “zoned out” and “not there.” Daoud de-
    scribed experiencing hallucinations before the attack.
    In August 2015, Daoud was charged with assault with in-
    tent to commit murder, in violation of 18 U.S.C. § 113(a)(1)
    (Count 1); assault with a dangerous weapon with intent to do
    bodily harm, in violation of 18 U.S.C. § 113(a)(6) (Count 2);
    assault resulting in serious bodily injury, in violation of 18
    U.S.C. § 113(a)(6) (Count 3); possession of a weapon by an in-
    mate, in violation of 18 U.S.C. §§ 1791(a)(2) and (b)(3) (Count
    4); and simple assault, in violation of 18 U.S.C. § 113(a)(4)
    (Count 5).
    As a result of the assault, Daoud spent seven continuous
    months in the jail’s segregated housing unit. In January 2016,
    while in segregated housing, Daoud witnessed his cellmate
    commit suicide. In total, Daoud spent over 400 days in the
    segregated housing unit during his period of pretrial incar-
    ceration.
    D. Pretrial Proceedings and Guilty Plea
    The three criminal cases against Daoud were consolidated
    amidst lengthy pretrial proceedings. In August 2013, after the
    government gave notice of its intent to present evidence
    8                             Nos. 19-2174, 19-2185 & 19-2186
    obtained under the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act
    (FISA), Daoud moved for disclosure of the government’s
    FISA-related materials. The district court granted Daoud’s
    motion in part and ordered disclosure. This Court reversed
    that decision, holding that “there was no basis for disclosure.”
    United States v. Daoud, 
    755 F.3d 479
    , 485 (7th Cir. 2014).
    In December 2015, Daoud’s counsel moved for a compe-
    tency hearing based on Daoud’s assault on a fellow inmate
    and his erratic in-court behavior. At one hearing, for example,
    Daoud told the district court: “I would with the following
    condition be willing to plead guilty to like whatever the hell
    you want to charge me for if you all admit that you’re part of
    the Illuminati and that you arrested me because I’m a Mus-
    lim.” Daoud also blamed the district court for his cellmate’s
    suicide.
    After hearing competing psychological testimony, the dis-
    trict court found Daoud incompetent to stand trial because he
    “lack[ed] a rational understanding of the proceedings.” The
    court ordered Daoud to undergo psychological treatment.
    While in treatment, Daoud was diagnosed with unspecified
    schizophrenia and other psychotic disorder (a rule-out diag-
    nosis), and antisocial personality disorder. With medication,
    Daoud’s condition improved significantly. On March 12,
    2018, the court found Daoud competent to stand trial.
    The court scheduled Daoud’s trial for November 26, 2018.
    On the eve of trial, however, Daoud moved to plead guilty
    while maintaining his innocence, pursuant to North Carolina
    v. Alford, 
    400 U.S. 25
    (1970). The court granted his motion over
    the government’s objection. Daoud pled guilty to all the
    counts against him, admitting that the government’s evidence
    Nos. 19-2174, 19-2185 & 19-2186                              9
    supported a conviction on each count but denying culpability
    and persisting in his innocence.
    E. Sentencing
    The parties agreed that the advisory Guidelines range was
    life imprisonment. The government recommended 40 years’
    imprisonment, stressing Daoud’s predisposition to commit
    acts of terrorism, the seriousness of his three interrelated
    crimes, and sentences imposed in similar cases. Daoud’s law-
    yer asked for nine years’ imprisonment, with credit for the
    seven years that Daoud had already served. He stressed
    Daoud’s age, mental health issues, the harsh conditions of his
    pretrial confinement, his susceptibility to influence, and the
    government’s “imperfect entrapment.” Without the FBI’s in-
    volvement, he argued, Daoud would have lacked the ability
    and drive to attempt an act of mass terrorism. Daoud’s proba-
    tion officer recommended a sentence of 15 years.
    The court held an evidentiary hearing that spanned four
    days. The government called two FBI agents, including the
    undercover agent who had posed as Mudafar, to testify about
    the investigation. The government also presented video testi-
    mony from the inmate whom Daoud had attacked. The in-
    mate testified to his belief that Daoud would have killed him
    if his cellmate had not intervened. Daoud introduced video
    recordings from his former teacher, counselor, and sheikh
    about their positive interactions with him. Daoud’s father tes-
    tified about Daoud’s mental health and the impact of Daoud’s
    crimes on their family.
    After the parties presented evidence, Daoud presented his
    allocution. He told the court, “I can’t express how sorry I am
    for my actions.” Upon reflection, Daoud concluded that he
    10                            Nos. 19-2174, 19-2185 & 19-2186
    had been “naive, gullible, and confused” in his beliefs about
    fighting for Islam. He attributed those views to a misinterpre-
    tation of the teachings of Islam. With respect to the bomb plot,
    he stated that he “should have been more assertive” with
    Mudafar. “I learned that I have to make my own decisions
    and not let someone else make them for me.” Still, he apolo-
    gized for “whatever part I took in the events.” He disavowed
    any intent to engage in terrorism. “I don’t want to kill people
    or join a terrorist group whether it’s something condoned by
    my religion or not.” On the topic of his online postings, he
    stated, “the way I see myself in 2012 is some idiot trying to
    make friends.” He apologized for the inmate attack, adding,
    “I do not think I would have done that if I was on the medi-
    cation I’m taking.” “Now that I’m aware of my mental disor-
    ders, I’m working to make better decisions.” He closed by
    apologizing to the court, his parents, the Muslim community,
    and the United States.
    The court sentenced Daoud to a total of 192 months (16
    years) of prison, with 45 years of supervised release to follow.
    The breakdown of prison terms was: 192 months for both
    counts in the attempted-bombing case, to run concurrently;
    120 months on counts 1 and 2 and 140 months on count 3 in
    the solicitation case, all to run concurrently with each other
    and the other sentences; and 120 months on counts 1 through
    3, 60 months on count 4, and 12 months on count 5 in the as-
    sault case, all to run concurrently with each other and the
    other sentences.
    The court explained the factors that it had considered in
    arriving at its sentence. It began with the nature and circum-
    stances of the offense. It described the bomb plot as “a violent
    and heinous act to kill or harm others,” the seriousness of
    Nos. 19-2174, 19-2185 & 19-2186                               11
    which “cannot be understated or downplayed.” “[S]uch an at-
    tempt clearly deserves the possibility of a prolonged sentence,
    including life in prison.” Similarly, on the solicitation offense,
    the court remarked that “[a]ny attempt to harm the law en-
    forcement personnel for doing to job they swore to do must
    be addressed with serious consequences.” Turning to the in-
    mate assault, the court noted that “the harm caused to the in-
    mate was serious and violent.” In short, “the crimes the de-
    fendant has pled guilty to are all serious and deserve serious
    sentences.”
    The court next addressed Daoud’s history and character-
    istics. The court described Daoud in 2012 as an “awkward”
    and “immature” youth “with few friends” who “giggled con-
    stantly.” As such, he was “immediately drawn” to the under-
    cover agents, who validated his political and religious beliefs.
    The court described Daoud’s misguided and sometimes fan-
    tastical comments (about flying cars, for example) as “bra-
    vado,” and credited Daoud’s argument that it was the FBI,
    and not Daoud, that chose the 1,000-pound bomb, when it
    could have selected a less severe option. After all, Daoud “did
    not know how to build a bomb.” At the same time, Daoud’s
    “teenage goofiness” and sometimes “nonsensical comments”
    did “not equal a finding that in 2012 the defendant was men-
    tally ill.” “Clearly he believed he was detonating a bomb that
    would cause human deaths and injuries and would put him
    in a place of favor with the Prophet Muhammad, Allah him-
    self, or his religion.”
    With respect to the solicitation offense, the court stressed
    that Daoud was sharing a cell with a “multi-convicted gang-
    banger” who verbally abused him. Still, Daoud admitted “to
    following through on some of the steps directed by [the
    12                             Nos. 19-2174, 19-2185 & 19-2186
    cellmate] that support his conviction and a sentence for deter-
    rence.” “Cellmate banter should not outweigh the seriousness
    of threats on the lives of law enforcement.” Prior to inmate the
    assault, the court noted that Daoud “had been in restrictive
    confinement for more than one year.” Nonetheless, Daoud’s
    “inability to control himself where someone is not physically
    attacking him deserves punishment,” even if Daoud was
    “zoned out” during the attack.
    The court moved next to deterrence and public safety. It
    discussed the need for both general and specific deterrence
    for each of Daoud’s crimes. It was hopeful that Daoud would
    not reoffend, given his maturity, remorse toward his parents,
    and improvement with medication. But “[t]he possibility that
    Daoud could be co-opted or persuaded again is one that can-
    not be ignored. At least not at this time.”
    The court then turned to additional mitigating factors.
    These included Daoud’s “laudable” college aspirations, his
    diagnosed mental illness, his family and teacher support, and
    his long and “traumatizing” period of pretrial incarceration,
    which began when he was only 18. The court also noted that
    Daoud had generally “been respectful and pleasant to this
    Court at all times. More so than probably any defendant in
    custody I have had.” Finally, the court emphasized that it did
    “not consider the Alford plea that [Daoud] made in November
    a failure to take responsibility. In fact, through the plea on the
    eve of trial and his allocution this Court finds that Mr. Daoud
    has taken responsibility.”
    Before finalizing its sentence, the court addressed the par-
    ties’ sentencing recommendations. It stressed that the cases
    cited by the parties in support of their recommendations were
    all distinguishable “on one very important point that the
    Nos. 19-2174, 19-2185 & 19-2186                               13
    Court is going to rely on, and that is the lengthy detention that
    Daoud has endured,” ever since he was first detained at the
    age of 18. The court responded to the government’s argument
    (which the government disputes making) that Daoud’s three
    convictions were for “one course of conduct” by saying, “the
    Court will continue to consider it so even though they came
    at different times and must receive different sentences. But the
    Court does not see one case as being aggravating of the other
    case.”
    After imposing its sentence, the court walked through the
    terms of Daoud’s supervised release. Those conditions in-
    cluded mental health treatment, electronic monitoring, and
    “violent extremism counseling.” Daoud’s counsel clarified on
    the record that violent extremism counseling did not cur-
    rently exist but “it’s the intention of the government that it’s
    going to exist.”
    After the sentencing hearing, the court issued a written
    statement of reasons for its sentence:
    This sentence addresses the safety of Americans and
    the future of Adel Daoud who has spent his entire
    adulthood in the bureau of prisons including more
    than a year in the Special Housing Unit. Daoud com-
    mitted 3 violent or potentially violent offenses born out
    of immaturity, bad judgment and the problems with
    growing up in an intensely anti-Muslim environment
    where violence against Muslims is referred to directly
    or indirectly by Americans. The federal undercover
    employee sympathized with Daoud’s angst and en-
    couraged his feelings. Most of all, the [agent] was a
    friend who had no friends. The line between teenaged
    awkwardness and zealot violent Jihad can be grey but
    14                             Nos. 19-2174, 19-2185 & 19-2186
    clearly this young man might have been susceptible to
    a much less violent method of revolution if it had been
    presented instead of a 1000 lb. bomb. During his time
    in federal custody he has also witnessed a cellmate’s
    suicide, been cellmates with a truly hardened and abu-
    sive prisoner and been taunted by others about his re-
    ligion and faith while being separated from his close
    family for 7 years. During this incarceration he has
    mentally deteriorated requiring constant psychotropic
    drugs after violent outbursts or no responsiveness.
    Daoud entered prison barely 18 and won’t leave until
    mid-30s. Supervised Release for 45 years of monitoring
    should address the safety of the public with the possi-
    bility of salvaging the life of a young man.
    The government appeals the district court’s sentence as sub-
    stantively unreasonable.
    II. Discussion
    The government argues that the district court’s 16-year
    sentence was substantively unreasonable given Daoud’s “ex-
    ceptionally serious” criminal conduct and the corresponding
    need to protect the public. It faults the district court for rely-
    ing on mitigating factors that could not “bear the weight” that
    it assigned to them, and for failing to sentence Daoud in ac-
    cordance with similar offenders.
    District courts must impose sentences that are “‘sufficient,
    but not greater than necessary, to comply with’ the basic aims
    of sentencing.” Rita v. United States, 
    551 U.S. 338
    , 348 (2007)
    (quoting 18 U.S.C. § 3553(a)). Those “basic aims” are just pun-
    ishment, deterrence, incapacitation, and rehabilitation.
    Id. at 347–48.
    Before selecting a sentence, a district court must
    Nos. 19-2174, 19-2185 & 19-2186                               15
    consider the factors set forth in § 3553(a): the nature and cir-
    cumstances of the offense; the defendant’s history and char-
    acteristics; the need for the sentence to reflect the seriousness
    of the offense, promote respect for the law, provide just pun-
    ishment, deter crime, protect the public, and provide the de-
    fendant with training, medical care, or other correctional
    treatment; the kinds of sentences available; the United States
    Sentencing Commission’s recommended sentencing ranges
    and policy statements; the need to avoid unwarranted sen-
    tencing disparities among similar defendants; and the need
    for victim restitution. § 3553(a).
    We review the substantive reasonableness of the district
    court’s sentence for abuse of discretion. Gall v. United States,
    
    552 U.S. 38
    , 51 (2007). “When conducting this review, the
    court will, of course, take into account the totality of the cir-
    cumstances, including the extent of any variance from the
    Guidelines range.”
    Id. A “major departure”
    from the advisory
    Guidelines range “should be supported by a more significant
    justification than a minor one.”
    Id. at 50.
    “In reviewing sen-
    tences for substantive reasonableness, we do not substitute
    our judgment for that of a district judge, who is better situated
    to make individualized sentencing decisions.” United States v.
    Porraz, 
    943 F.3d 1099
    , 1104 (7th Cir. 2019). We will not reverse
    unless the district court’s sentence falls outside “the broad
    range of objectively reasonable sentences in the circum-
    stances.” United States v. Warner, 
    792 F.3d 847
    , 856 (7th Cir.
    2015) (internal quotation marks and citation omitted).
    For several reasons, the district court’s sentence in this
    case fell outside the range of reasonable sentences. First, the
    court downplayed the extreme seriousness of Daoud’s of-
    fenses in ways that conflict with the undisputed facts. Second,
    16                             Nos. 19-2174, 19-2185 & 19-2186
    the court failed to account for the need to protect the public
    from Daoud’s demonstrably high risk of reoffending. Third,
    the court improperly distinguished the sentences of similar
    offenders by relying on Daoud’s long period of pretrial con-
    finement. Finally, the court premised its well-below-Guide-
    lines sentence on mitigating factors that could not bear the
    heavy weight that it assigned to them, given the facts in this
    case.
    A. Seriousness of the Offenses
    Section 3553(a)(2)(A) instructs district courts to consider
    the need for the sentence imposed to reflect the seriousness of
    the offense. In this case, the district court’s sentence failed to
    account for the extreme seriousness of Daoud’s offenses.
    To be sure, the district court acknowledged that Daoud
    committed three serious crimes that “deserve[d] serious sen-
    tences.” It described the bomb plot as “a violent and heinous
    act to kill or harm others” that “clearly deserve[d] the possi-
    bility of a prolonged sentence, including life imprisonment.”
    And it recognized that Daoud “believed he was detonating a
    bomb that would cause human deaths and injuries and would
    put him in a place of favor with the Prophet Muhammad, Al-
    lah himself, or his religion.” Similarly, the court remarked
    that any attempt to harm law enforcement “must be ad-
    dressed with serious consequences,” and that light sentences
    for threats on the lives of law enforcement put law enforce-
    ment at risk. It also called Daoud’s assault on a fellow inmate
    “serious and violent.”
    Yet the court went on to effectively negate these statements
    and the severity of the violent crimes by characterizing
    Daoud’s crimes as the misguided actions of an
    Nos. 19-2174, 19-2185 & 19-2186                              17
    impressionable teenager who let others get the best of him.
    The court portrayed Daoud as an “awkward” and “imma-
    ture” young man “with few friends” who was trying to im-
    press his false friends, the undercover FBI agents. It credited
    Daoud’s argument that he lacked the capacity to carry out a
    terrorist attack by himself, thus minimizing Daoud’s agency
    in the bomb plot. The court described at length the verbal
    abuse and intimidation that Daoud’s gang-member cellmate
    visited upon him, and then acknowledged in passing that
    Daoud admitted “to following through on some of the steps
    directed by [the cellmate] that support his conviction and a
    sentence for deterrence.” It blamed the inmate assault on
    Daoud’s mental health issues and the conditions of jail, which
    make “physical altercations” inevitable, while allowing that
    “Daoud’s inability to control himself where someone is not
    physically attacking him deserves punishment.” More
    broadly, the court framed Daoud’s risk of reoffending as a
    risk that he would be “co-opted or persuaded again.”
    These sanitized accounts are impossible to square with the
    undisputed offense conduct and the objective seriousness and
    violent nature of the crimes to which Daoud pled guilty.
    Daoud committed three discrete, premeditated criminal acts
    that exhibited an extraordinary disregard for human life.
    First, he excitedly participated in a plot to detonate a bomb
    that would have killed hundreds of innocent people. In the
    year leading up to the attempted bombing, Daoud vora-
    ciously consumed violent jihadist materials, shared them
    with others, and repeatedly expressed his desire to commit a
    terrorist attack. He took an active role in the bomb plot, help-
    ing to plan it over the course of months and then asking to
    press the button to detonate the bomb that he anticipated
    would kill hundreds of people and receive national attention.
    18                            Nos. 19-2174, 19-2185 & 19-2186
    He had countless opportunities to back out, yet he continually
    reaffirmed his commitment. These are not the actions of an
    immature and impressionable youth trying to impress his
    friends. Although he occasionally expressed some doubts
    along the way, Daoud willingly and proactively participated
    in a plot to commit mass terrorism from start to finish, includ-
    ing pressing the button of what he thought was a 1,000-pound
    bomb.
    Next, Daoud solicited the murder of the FBI agent who
    acted in the undercover capacity in the bomb plot. The record
    is not clear as to whether Daoud or his cellmate first broached
    the subject of murdering the FBI agent. But either way, Daoud
    played a central role. He gave his cellmate the FBI agent’s
    phone number to help track him down. He gave instructions
    for how the murder should be carried out. He confirmed the
    target by photograph. He made a phone call authorizing the
    murder. And he expressed satisfaction, asked for the grue-
    some details, and disclaimed regret when he thought it was
    over. Undoubtedly, Daoud’s cellmate had an interest in help-
    ing Daoud commit the offense. But the record does not reflect
    that Daoud’s cellmate somehow pressured him into commit-
    ting the crime. To the contrary, Daoud’s cellmate gave him
    multiple attempts to back out, which Daoud rejected. Daoud’s
    cellmate may have mistreated Daoud and had a long criminal
    history, but that does not detract from Daoud’s full and active
    participation in the attempted murder of an FBI agent.
    Finally, Daoud brutally attacked a fellow inmate with
    makeshift weapons while he was sleeping. He stabbed him
    repeatedly in the throat and head. The inmate testified that he
    thought he would have died absent quick intervention. The
    district court’s view of this crime—embodied in its comment
    Nos. 19-2174, 19-2185 & 19-2186                                19
    that “Daoud’s inability to control himself where someone is
    not physically attacking him deserves punishment”—reflects
    a misunderstanding of its severity. Daoud did not simply “fail
    to control himself.” He planned and executed a deliberate at-
    tempt to murder a fellow inmate in his sleep.
    In short, while the district court paid lip service to the se-
    riousness of the offenses, it undercut its own statements by
    unreasonably downplaying Daoud’s role in each offense. Dis-
    trict courts have broad discretion as to how to weigh the
    § 3553(a) factors, but a district court’s sentence must reflect a
    reasonable view of the facts and a reasonable weighing of the
    § 3553(a) factors. See 
    Warner, 792 F.3d at 856
    ; United States v.
    Goldberg, 
    491 F.3d 668
    , 673 (7th Cir. 2007). Here, the district
    court sterilized Daoud’s offense conduct in ways that cannot
    be reconciled with the objective facts of these violent offenses.
    That unreasonable view of the facts prevented the district
    court from properly weighing the seriousness of the offenses
    when selecting its sentence. See United States v. Mumuni Saleh,
    
    946 F.3d 97
    , 106 (2d Cir. 2019) (holding that a district court’s
    sentence was substantively unreasonable because the court
    “drastically discounted the seriousness of Mumuni’s offense
    conduct based on a sterilized and revisionist interpretation of
    the record”).
    B. Need to Protect the Public
    Section 3553(a)(2)(C) instructs district courts to consider
    the need for the sentence imposed to protect the public from
    the defendant’s future crimes. Although the district court ref-
    erenced this factor in the abstract, it failed to account for the
    need to protect the public from Daoud’s demonstrably high
    risk of recidivism.
    20                            Nos. 19-2174, 19-2185 & 19-2186
    The court acknowledged that it needed to fashion a sen-
    tence that would protect the public, but its discussion of pub-
    lic safety was otherwise perfunctory. It considered the need
    to protect the public alongside the related factor of deterring
    future crimes. See § 3553(a)(2)(B). It described Daoud as “con-
    trite at causing his family so much pain,” and said it did not
    think he would risk causing them pain again. The court ex-
    pressed hope that Daoud’s improvement with medication,
    along with his continued maturity, would prevent him from
    reoffending. Still, it acknowledged that the “possibility that
    Daoud could be co-opted or persuaded again is one that can-
    not be ignored. At least not at this time.”
    Noticeably absent from the court’s discussion of protect-
    ing the public was any acknowledgment of Daoud’s demon-
    strated commitment to reoffending in extremely serious
    ways. Daoud recidivated twice over a short period of time
    while he was in jail pending trial in the attempted-bombing
    case. He solicited the murder of an FBI agent, then he tried to
    stab another inmate to death. These additional life-threaten-
    ing crimes—committed while in pretrial detention, under
    government supervision—show a remarkable propensity for
    criminal activity. Yet the court somehow thought that Daoud
    posed a minimal risk of recidivism and did not “see one case
    as being aggravating of the other case.” The court apparently
    blamed Daoud’s third offense partially on the conditions of
    confinement. But if Daoud was able to continue his streak of
    gravely serious criminal activity while detained, one can only
    imagine what he might have done if released.
    To be sure, mental health issues may present a mitigating
    factor and “a sentencing judge may consider whether mental
    health treatment will succeed in reducing the defendant’s
    Nos. 19-2174, 19-2185 & 19-2186                                      21
    dangerousness or propensity to commit further crimes.”
    United States v. Kluball, 
    843 F.3d 716
    , 718 (7th Cir. 2016). But,
    as Daoud concedes, there is no evidence that he was mentally
    ill when he committed the first two crimes. His improved
    mental health is thus no guarantee that he will not reoffend.
    The need to protect the public was an especially relevant
    factor in this case. The court gave short shrift to it and essen-
    tially ignored facts showing that Daoud “plainly pose[d] a
    heightened risk of recidivism.” United States v. Jordan, 
    435 F.3d 693
    , 697 (7th Cir. 2006). The court’s analysis of this § 3553(a)
    factor was unreasonable.
    C. Need to Avoid Sentencing Disparities
    Section 3553(a)(6) instructs district courts to consider “the
    need to avoid unwarranted sentence disparities among de-
    fendants with similar records who have been found guilty of
    similar conduct.” Here, both parties brought the sentences of
    similar offenders to the district court’s attention. But the court
    found them all distinguishable, largely because of Daoud’s
    lengthy pretrial detention. That was legal error. No matter
    what sentence he receives, Daoud will receive credit for his
    time in pretrial detention for his charged offenses. 18 U.S.C.
    § 3585(b); United States v. Wilson, 
    503 U.S. 329
    , 333 (1992). As
    such, there was no reason for the court here to consider the
    length* of pretrial confinement as a reason to impose a sub-
    stantially lower sentence. See United States v. Jayyousi, 
    657 F.3d 1085
    , 1119 n.6 (11th Cir. 2011). Doing so could only result in a
    * We discuss below the separate issue of whether the court properly
    considered the conditions of Daoud’s pretrial confinement in mitigation.
    22                              Nos. 19-2174, 19-2185 & 19-2186
    windfall for Daoud, who would receive double credit for his
    time in pretrial detention.
    Daoud’s period of pretrial detention was not a valid basis
    for distinguishing the sentences of similar offenders. The
    court’s legal error prevented it from appropriately weighing
    this § 3553(a) factor.
    D. Mitigating Factors
    Daoud’s 16-year sentence was a significant downward de-
    parture from the advisory Guidelines range. Whereas the
    Guidelines recommended life imprisonment, the court’s sen-
    tence would have released Daoud from prison around his
    35th birthday (without regard to the possibility of good-time
    credit). A major departure from the Guidelines range requires
    a major justification. See 
    Gall, 552 U.S. at 51
    . The district court
    spent most of its time discussing mitigating factors, but the
    factors it relied on do not justify its significant downward de-
    parture.
    In the district court’s telling, Daoud’s age, mental health,
    and general awkwardness and impressionability converged
    to render him uniquely susceptible to criminal influence. A
    sentencing court is well within its rights to consider a defend-
    ant’s mental limitations in mitigation. See, e.g., United States v.
    Cunningham, 
    429 F.3d 673
    , 678 (7th Cir. 2005). But that factor
    only goes so far in this case. Daoud committed the attempted
    bombing around his 19th birthday. He was 19 when he solic-
    ited the FBI agent’s murder and 21 when he tried to stab a
    fellow inmate to death. In other words, he was college aged at
    all relevant times. He may have been immature, but, as the
    court recognized, he was old enough to know what he was
    doing. As for mental health, the court properly considered
    Nos. 19-2174, 19-2185 & 19-2186                                 23
    Daoud’s diagnosed mental illness as a mitigating factor in the
    inmate assault. See
    id. But there is
    no evidence that Daoud suf-
    fered from a mental illness at the time of the first two offenses,
    so that factor had limited significance as well. The court’s
    more general emphasis on Daoud’s awkwardness, goofiness,
    and impressionability is puzzling. We do not see how social
    ineptitude could excuse repeated violent criminal behavior
    that reflected an extraordinary disregard for human life. And
    even if it could, the record does not support the court’s appar-
    ent conclusion that Daoud’s crimes were the product of his
    social shortcomings and impressionability. Daoud had help
    from others in committing the first two crimes, but he played
    a very active role in both offenses and his motivation to com-
    mit serious criminal conduct, including deadly terrorist at-
    tacks, preceded his interactions with the FBI and his cellmate.
    In a similar vein, the court accepted Daoud’s argument
    that the FBI shared responsibility for the seriousness of the
    attempted bombing because it chose to supply a 1,000-pound
    bomb when it could have selected a less severe option. But the
    FBI agent who supplied the bomb testified that he chose a
    large bomb to ensure that Daoud understood the gravity of
    the crime that they were plotting. The FBI agent repeatedly
    reminded Daoud of the mass casualties that the bomb would
    cause. Far from deterring him, the undisputed record shows
    that the possibility of mass casualties excited and motivated
    Daoud. He described the prospect of killing hundreds of peo-
    ple as “like the lottery.” At best, the size of the bomb is a “two-
    edged” factor. United States v. Roberson, 
    474 F.3d 432
    , 435 (7th
    Cir. 2007), abrogated on other grounds by Dean v. United States,
    
    137 S. Ct. 1170
    (2017). On one hand, the government could
    have supplied a smaller bomb. On the other hand, the large
    24                             Nos. 19-2174, 19-2185 & 19-2186
    bomb illustrates that Daoud had an apparently large appetite
    for mass carnage.
    Another factor that the court found mitigating was
    Daoud’s harsh experience in pretrial confinement—which in-
    cluded more than a year in the segregated housing unit. “Pre-
    trial conditions of confinement are not included in the
    § 3553(a) factors,” and the Seventh Circuit has “not decided
    whether extraordinarily harsh conditions of confinement
    could ever justify a reduced sentence.” United States v. Cam-
    pos, 
    541 F.3d 735
    , 751 (7th Cir. 2008). Other circuits have held
    that extreme conditions of pretrial confinement may allow for
    a downward departure. See, e.g., United States v. Pressley, 
    345 F.3d 1205
    , 1219 (11th Cir. 2003) (holding that five years spent
    in 23-hour-a-day lockdown with no outside access permitted
    a two-and-a-half-year downward departure).
    We need not decide in this case whether harsh conditions
    of pretrial confinement could ever justify a downward depar-
    ture. We decide only that Daoud should not receive credit for
    his time in segregated housing. The record does not support
    the conclusion that Daoud’s time in segregated housing in-
    volved extraordinarily harsh conditions. Moreover, Daoud
    earned his time in segregated housing by committing violent
    offenses while housed in the general jail population. Daoud
    spent seven months in segregated housing because he tried to
    murder a fellow inmate with makeshift weapons. All told, it
    appears that he spent more than a year in segregated housing.
    Although the record is not entirely clear, it appears that all of
    Daoud’s time in segregated housing resulted from his own
    dangerous and criminal behavior that he engaged in while in-
    carcerated. Under these circumstances, Daoud’s time in seg-
    regated housing is not a mitigating factor. At the same time,
    Nos. 19-2174, 19-2185 & 19-2186                               25
    we do not fault the district court for considering the effect that
    Daoud’s cellmate’s suicide may have had on Daoud’s mental
    health.
    Finally, the other factors that the court found mitigating
    do not justify its substantial downward departure. The court
    found, for example, that Daoud had accepted responsibility
    for his crimes. Even if that were true, it would have limited
    relevance in mitigation. Acceptance of responsibility nor-
    mally factors into the advisory Guidelines calculation if a de-
    fendant pleads guilty. See USSG § 3E1.1. Here, Daoud did not
    receive this benefit because he pled guilty while maintaining
    his innocence. The court was entitled to credit Daoud’s state-
    ments of remorse in allocution. But a defendant’s apology,
    even if sincere, does not justify a significant downward depar-
    ture in a case involving such extremely serious criminal con-
    duct that reflects a disdain toward other human lives. Even
    less relevant was Daoud’s polite in-court behavior. A defend-
    ant’s good behavior in court has minimal value in mitigation.
    Cf. 
    Mumuni, 946 F.3d at 112
    (“[N]o substantially mitigating
    weight can be borne here by the fact that Mumuni did what
    was plainly required of him—that is, behaving himself in
    prison.”). And the other factors that the court found mitigat-
    ing—Daoud’s college aspirations and family support—were
    not weighty enough to justify the extent of the downward de-
    parture.
    In sum, the district court relied on factors that could not
    “bear the mitigating weight assigned to them.” 
    Mumuni, 946 F.3d at 112
    . As a result, the court’s mitigation analysis did not
    justify its substantial downward departure from the advisory
    Guidelines range.
    26                             Nos. 19-2174, 19-2185 & 19-2186
    For his part, Daoud defends the district court’s sentence
    because it was higher than probation’s recommended sen-
    tence of 15 years, and because it included 45 years of super-
    vised release. But probation’s sentencing recommendations
    only inform a judge’s sentencing decision—they do not bind
    a judge or otherwise limit the judge’s discretion. United States
    v. Schuler, 
    34 F.3d 457
    , 461 (7th Cir. 1994). And while super-
    vised release is part of a sentence, and an appellate court
    should consider it when reviewing the sentence, see 
    Gall, 552 U.S. at 48
    , a long term of supervised release cannot save a sen-
    tence that rests on an unreasonable application of the
    § 3553(a) factors.
    III. Conclusion
    We do not call into question a district court’s broad discre-
    tion in fashioning sentences. District courts are best situated
    to develop sentences that fit the facts of a crime and the char-
    acteristics of a defendant. We substantively review sentences
    only to ensure that they fall within the wide range of options
    that are reasonable under the circumstances. We find that this
    is one of those rare cases where the district court stepped out-
    side of what was permissible under the circumstances. Ac-
    cordingly, we VACATE the district court’s sentence and
    REMAND for resentencing. Circuit Rule 36 will apply on re-
    mand.