Stephen Deck v. Mack Jenkins ( 2016 )


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  •                 FOR PUBLICATION
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE NINTH CIRCUIT
    STEPHEN ROBERT DECK,                    No. 13-55130
    Petitioner-Appellant,
    D.C. No.
    v.                      8:11-cv-01767-
    MWF-FFM
    MACK JENKINS, Chief Probation
    Officer,                                ORDER AND
    Respondent-Appellee.          AMENDED
    OPINION
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the Central District of California
    Michael W. Fitzgerald, District Judge, Presiding
    Argued and Submitted
    April 8, 2014—Pasadena, California
    Filed September 29, 2014
    Amended February 9, 2016
    Before: Sidney R. Thomas, Milan D. Smith, Jr.,
    and Morgan Christen, Circuit Judges.
    Order;
    Dissent to Order by Judge Bea;
    Opinion by Judge Christen;
    Dissent by Judge Milan D. Smith, Jr.
    2                        DECK V. JENKINS
    SUMMARY*
    Habeas Corpus
    The panel filed amended majority and dissenting
    opinions, denied a petition for panel rehearing, and denied on
    behalf of the court a petition for rehearing en banc, in a case
    in which the panel reversed the district court’s dismissal of a
    
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
     habeas corpus petition challenging a
    conviction for an attempted lewd act upon a child under the
    age of 14.
    The California Court of Appeal (CCA) established that a
    trial error occurred when the prosecutor, in closing argument,
    negated an essential element of intent under California law by
    “pushing defendant’s intent to commit a lewd act on ‘Amy’
    to, potentially, ‘next week’ or in ‘two weekends’ or ‘just
    some point in the future.’” The panel concluded that although
    the CCA did not independently evaluate the federal
    constitutional question, its harmlessness determination
    amounted to an implied ruling that the prosecutor’s error did
    not amount to a federal constitutional violation.
    The panel held that the CCA’s conclusion that no
    constitutional violation occurred was unreasonable because
    the prosecutor’s misstatements were not inadvertent or
    isolated; because the jury was never correctly instructed that,
    in order to convict, it had to find the petitioner had moved
    beyond preparation and would engage in a lewd act with Amy
    the night he was arrested; and because the evidence
    *
    This summary constitutes no part of the opinion of the court. It has
    been prepared by court staff for the convenience of the reader.
    DECK V. JENKINS                       3
    concerning the temporal aspect of the petitioner’s intent was
    not overwhelming. The panel concluded that no fairminded
    jurist could agree with the CCA’s harmlessness
    determination, and that the prosecutor’s misstatements
    resulted in actual prejudice.
    The panel remanded with instructions to grant the petition
    unless the State agrees to grant the petitioner a new trial
    within a reasonable period of time.
    Dissenting, Judge M. Smith wrote that the majority flouts
    clear AEDPA precedent, committing the same error the
    Supreme Court has criticized this court for making by
    collapsing the distinction between an unreasonable
    application of federal law and what the majority believes to
    be an incorrect or erroneous application of federal law.
    Judge Bea, joined by Judges O’Scannlain, Tallman,
    Bybee, Callahan, M. Smith, Ikuta, and N.R. Smith, dissented
    from the denial of rehearing en banc. He wrote that the
    majority disregarded the deference that AEDPA requires,
    rejecting a California appellate court’s reasoned and
    supported conclusion that prosecutorial misstatements made
    during the petitioner’s trial constituted harmless errors, in
    favor of its own determination that such statements were
    actually prejudicial.
    4                     DECK V. JENKINS
    COUNSEL
    Charles M. Sevilla (argued), Law Office of Charles Sevilla,
    San Diego, California, for Petitioner-Appellant.
    Kamala D. Harris, Julie L. Garland, Kevin Vienna (argued),
    and David Delgado-Rucci, Office of the Attorney General of
    California, San Diego, California, for Respondent-Appellee.
    ORDER
    The opinion filed on September 29, 2014, is amended and
    the amended majority and dissenting opinions are filed
    concurrently with this order. With these amendments, a
    majority of the panel has voted to deny the petition for panel
    rehearing. The full court has been advised of the petition for
    rehearing and rehearing en banc. A judge of the court
    requested a vote on whether to rehear the matter en banc. A
    majority of the nonrecused active judges did not vote in favor
    of rehearing en banc. Fed. R. App. P. 35(f). The petition for
    panel rehearing and the petition for rehearing en banc are
    DENIED. A dissent from denial of rehearing en banc is filed
    concurrrently with this order. No further petitions for
    rehearing or rehearing en banc may be filed.
    DECK V. JENKINS                                 5
    BEA, Circuit Judge, with whom O’SCANNLAIN,
    TALLMAN, BYBEE, CALLAHAN, M. SMITH, IKUTA,
    and N.R. SMITH, Circuit Judges, join, dissenting from the
    denial of rehearing en banc:
    The ink is hardly dry on the Supreme Court’s latest
    reversal of another of our judgments where we disregarded
    the deference the Antiterrorism and Effective Death Penalty
    Act (“AEDPA”)1 requires we give state court decisions that
    any trial court errors were harmless, thus precluding any
    entitlement to habeas relief.2 Yet here we have gone and
    done it again. The panel majority (the “Majority”) today
    rejects a California appellate court’s reasoned and supported
    conclusion that prosecutorial misstatements made during
    Defendant Deck’s trial constituted harmless errors, in favor
    of its own determination that such statements were actually
    prejudicial. As explained below, I find four major missteps
    in the Majority’s opinion.
    1
    Under AEDPA, a federal court may grant habeas relief based on trial
    error that a state court has previously determined to be harmless only if the
    state court’s determination involved an “unreasonable” application of
    “clearly established . . . law, as determined by the Supreme Court of the
    United States.” 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    (d)(1). The Supreme Court recently
    emphasized in Davis v. Ayala that “a state-court decision is not
    unreasonable if fairminded jurists could disagree on [its] correctness.”
    Davis v. Ayala, 
    135 S. Ct. 2187
    , 2199 (2015) (internal quotation marks
    omitted) (alteration in original).
    2
    See Ayala v. Wong, 
    756 F.3d 656
     (9th Cir. 2013), rev’d and remanded
    sub nom. Davis v. Ayala, 
    135 S. Ct. 2187
    , 2198 (2015). Ayala held that
    a petitioner cannot show “actual prejudice” under Brecht, nor a right to
    federal habeas relief, unless he first demonstrates that the
    Chapman/AEDPA standard is met, i.e., that no “fairminded jurist could
    agree” with the state court’s application of well-established Supreme
    Court precedent.
    6                          DECK V. JENKINS
    First, the Majority reads Davis v. Ayala to hold that a
    federal habeas court’s finding that a state trial court error was
    prejudicial under Brecht3 dispenses with AEDPA’s
    requirement that the federal habeas court must also find that
    the state court applied “well-established” Supreme Court
    precedent in an “unreasonable” manner when it found the
    same error harmless (a “Chapman/AEDPA” analysis).4 See
    Slip Op. at 63–64. This conclusion is illogical because
    Brecht requires only a finding by a federal court that (in its
    view) an error was not harmless—without any deference to,
    or evaluation of, the reasonableness of a prior state court
    determination. Under Chapman/AEDPA, conversely, we
    must accept a state court’s prior harmless error determination
    unless it involved such an “unreasonable” application of
    Supreme Court precedent that “no fairminded jurist” could
    agree with it. See Davis v. Ayala, 
    135 S. Ct. 2187
    , 2199
    (2015). Thus, though a Chapman/AEDPA finding would
    3
    In Brecht v. Abrahamson, 
    507 U.S. 619
     (1993), the Supreme Court
    held that a prisoner is not entitled to habeas relief unless he can show that
    he was “actual[ly] prejudice[d],” by a trial court error of constitutional
    magnitude, meaning that the trial court error had a “substantial and
    injurious effect or influence . . . [on] the jury’s verdict” (the “Brecht
    standard”). 
    Id. at 627, 637
    . The Court found that principles of “finality,”
    “comity,” and “federalism” justified such a deferential standard of review
    in federal habeas (i.e. collateral) proceedings. 
    Id. at 635
    .
    4
    On direct appeal, a state court applies the “Chapman test,” under
    which a petitioner is entitled relief unless the court finds that any federal
    constitutional error at trial was “harmless beyond a reasonable doubt.”
    Chapman v. California, 
    386 U.S. 18
    , 24 (1967). On collateral review by
    a federal habeas court, however, the Chapman test is combined with
    AEDPA deference, resulting in the “Chapman/AEDPA” test, under which
    a federal habeas court cannot disturb a state court’s finding of
    harmlessness unless the state court “rendered a decision with which no
    fairminded jurist could agree.” Ayala, 
    135 S. Ct. at 2208
    .
    DECK V. JENKINS                               7
    necessarily mean that a trial error was harmful (and thus also
    satisfy Brecht) the contrary is not necessarily true. Indeed,
    the panel Majority’s test got it precisely backwards.
    The Majority did so by committing its second error: It
    read Justice Alito’s statement that “the Brecht test subsumes
    the limitations imposed by AEDPA,” 
    id. at 2199
    , to mean that
    Brecht eliminated, rather than incorporated, AEDPA
    deference. But it is hard to see how that can be correct when
    the Brecht standard was developed in 1993—three years
    before AEDPA was enacted. And of course, were the
    Majority’s understanding the correct reading of the phrase,
    Ayala would necessarily have come out the other way.5 As a
    result of its misreading, the panel Majority’s decision is
    directly contradictory to the Court’s opinion in Ayala. In fact,
    it is consistent with Justice Sotomayor’s dissent in Ayala.
    Third, applying its faulty test, the panel Majority’s
    analysis fails to afford proper AEDPA deference to the state
    court’s harmless error determination. In the portions of the
    Majority’s opinion dedicated to finding the state court’s
    determination of harmless error unreasonable, the Majority
    considers only the evidence and arguments pointing to a
    prejudicial effect of the prosecutor’s misconduct, rather than
    (as AEDPA requires) whether any of the evidence and
    arguments put forth by the state court provided a reasonable
    basis for that court’s determination that any error was
    harmless.
    5
    Ayala specifically reversed our grant of habeas relief to Ayala based
    only on our finding of “actual prejudice” under Brecht, explaining that we
    had erred in failing to recognize that Chapman/AEDPA sets forth a
    “precondition” to habeas relief. Ayala, 
    135 S. Ct. at 2196, 2198
    .
    8                       DECK V. JENKINS
    Fourth, the legal basis for the Majority’s conclusion that
    “no fairminded jurist” could agree with the state court’s
    finding of harmless error under Darden v. Wainwright,
    
    477 U.S. 168
     (1986), in fact supports the opposite conclusion.
    That is, every Supreme Court precedent regarding
    prosecutorial misconduct cited by the Majority found not
    prejudicial error, but harmless error.
    As highlighted in Judge M. Smith’s dissent in Deck v.
    Jenkins, 
    768 F.3d 1015
    , 1031 & n.1 (9th Cir. 2014), the
    Majority’s approach to federal habeas review has been
    rejected by the Supreme Court not once, not twice, but
    upwards of a dozen times. See, e.g., Ayala, 
    supra,
     
    135 S. Ct. at
    2196–99, 2208; see also Richter v. Hickman, 
    578 F.3d 944
    (9th Cir. 2009) (en banc), rev’d and remanded by Harrington
    v. Richter, 
    562 U.S. 86
    , 101–02 (2011) (rejecting our
    conclusion that because we found a prejudicial Strickland
    violation under Brecht, the “state court’s decision to the
    contrary constituted an unreasonable application of
    Strickland,” and explaining that “AEDPA demands more”
    than the traditional Brecht test); Smith v. Mitchell, 
    624 F.3d 1235
     (9th Cir. 2010), rev’d and remanded sub nom. Cavazos
    v. Smith, 
    132 S. Ct. 2
    , 6–8 (2011) (per curiam) (reversing our
    grant of habeas relief and stating: “This Court vacated and
    remanded this judgment twice before, calling the panel’s
    attention to this Court’s opinions highlighting the necessity of
    deference to state courts in § 2254(d) habeas cases. Each
    time the panel persisted in its course, reinstating its judgment
    without seriously confronting the significance of the cases
    called to its attention . . . . Its refusal to do so necessitates this
    Court’s action today.” (emphasis added)).
    In sum, the Deck Majority’s application of Brecht without
    §2254(d)(1) deference flouts the Supreme Court’s recent
    DECK V. JENKINS                                9
    mintage in Davis v. Ayala by immediately reinstating the
    framework the Court had just rejected. Moreover, because
    the Ayala Court reversed and remanded that case back to the
    Ninth Circuit for proceedings consistent with its opinion, see
    Ayala, 
    135 S. Ct. at 2208
    , the Deck Majority’s issuance of a
    directly contradictory opinion will immediately create not
    only an intra-Circuit split, but also divergence between our
    own precedent and that of our sister Circuits. See Fed. R.
    App. P. 35(a)(1).6 This is why I called this case en banc.
    Unfortunately, the call failed.
    I.
    In Davis v. Ayala, the Supreme Court squarely addressed
    the proper interaction between Brecht’s “actual prejudice”
    standard, see n.3, supra, and AEDPA’s mandated deference
    (which post-dates Brecht),7 where the state court has
    previously decided a federal constitutional issue on its merits.
    Ayala, 
    135 S. Ct. at
    2187–98 (2015). In Ayala, the petitioner
    sought federal habeas relief after the California Supreme
    Court affirmed his murder conviction and death sentence.
    See 
    id.
     at 2194–95. During jury selection, Ayala (who is
    Hispanic) had objected to seven of the prosecutor’s eighteen
    preemptory challenges, which seven challenges had
    eliminated all potential black and Hispanic jurors on the
    panel. Ayala’s objection was that the challenges were
    6
    Re-hearing en banc is justified when “the panel decision conflicts with
    a decision of the United States Supreme Court,” Fed. R. App. P.
    35(b)(1)(A), and resolution of the conflict through “en banc consideration
    is necessary to secure or maintain uniformity of the court’s decisions,” id.
    35(a)(1).
    7
    AEDPA was enacted in 1996, see 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    (d)(1), three years
    after the Supreme Court’s 1993 decision in Brecht. See supra, n.3.
    10                         DECK V. JENKINS
    impermissibly race-based under Batson v. Kentucky, 
    476 U.S. 79
     (1986). See Ayala, 
    135 S. Ct. at
    2193–94. The trial judge
    had permitted the prosecutor to offer race-neutral reasons for
    each strike, but only in an ex parte hearing, because the
    prosecutor had claimed he did not want to reveal his trial
    strategy. 
    Id. at 2193
    . On direct appeal, the California
    Supreme Court held that the exclusion of Ayala’s counsel
    from the hearing on preemptory strikes was federal
    constitutional error,8 but that such error was “harmless
    beyond a reasonable doubt” under the Chapman test because
    nothing defense counsel could have said, had he been present
    when the trial judge required the prosecution to state reasons
    for his preemptory challenges, would have changed the trial
    court’s rulings. 
    Id. at 2195
    .
    The Ninth Circuit reversed, granting habeas relief. 
    Id. at 2193
    . It identified Brecht as the governing standard on
    collateral review, but added: “We apply the Brecht test
    without regard for the state court’s harmlessness
    determination.” 
    Id. at 2196
     (emphasis added). The court
    then concluded that the exclusion of defense counsel from ex
    parte communications by the prosecutor to the trial court
    judge was not harmless, but constituted prejudicial error
    under Brecht. 
    Id. at 2197
    .
    8
    The California Supreme Court suggested that the exclusion of defense
    counsel from hearings regarding a prosecutor’s use of preemptory strikes
    “may amount to a denial of due process.” People v. Ayala, 
    6 P.3d 193
    ,
    204 (Cal. 2000) (explaining, that “[t]he right of a criminal defendant to an
    adversary proceeding is fundamental to our system of justice. . . . This
    includes the right to be personally present and to be represented by
    counsel at critical stages during the course of the prosecution”).
    DECK V. JENKINS                              11
    The Supreme Court reversed us yet again,9 specifically
    rejecting our exclusive application of Brecht, without
    AEDPA deference to the state court’s harmless error
    determination. See id. at 2198. The Court explained that a
    prior state court harmless error adjudication triggered
    AEDPA deference within the traditional Brecht analysis. See
    id. at 2199 (“[A] prisoner who seeks federal habeas corpus
    relief must satisfy Brecht, and if the state court adjudicated
    his claim on the merits, the Brecht test subsumes the
    limitations imposed by AEDPA.”). If AEDPA deference has
    been triggered by a state court merits determination as to the
    claimed federal constitutional violation,
    Chapman/AEDPA—that is, a finding that the state court’s
    harmlessness determination was an “unreasonable”
    application of “clearly established” Supreme Court
    precedent—becomes an additional “precondition to the grant
    of habeas relief.” Id. at 2198–99 (A petitioner “must show
    that the state court’s decision to reject his claim ‘was so
    lacking in justification that there was an error well understood
    . . . in existing law beyond any possibility for fairminded
    disagreement.’” (quoting Harrington v. Richter, 
    562 U.S. 86
    ,
    103 (2011))). In fact, Chapman/AEDPA requires the federal
    court to consider not only the arguments that the state court
    actually made, but also those arguments that “could have
    supported[] the state court’s decision.” Harrington, 
    562 U.S. at 102
    .
    Consistent with this framework, the Supreme Court’s
    analysis in Ayala “beg[a]n with the prosecution’s
    explanation[s]” for striking each juror and concluded with
    9
    For a relation of our circuit’s history of reversals in AEDPA cases, see
    Judge M. Smith’s dissent, Deck v. Jenkins, 
    768 F.3d 1015
    , 1031 & n.1
    (9th Cir. 2014).
    12                    DECK V. JENKINS
    findings that the petitioner could show neither “actual
    prejudice” (Brecht) nor that “no fairminded jurist could agree
    with the state court’s application of Chapman.” See, e.g.,
    Ayala, 
    135 S. Ct. at 2203
    ; see also 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    (d)(1).
    The Court again chastised our court for failing to
    consider—without “substitut[ing] its own opinions”—
    whether “any fairminded jurist” could agree with the state
    court’s proffered reasons for finding any error was harmless.
    See, e.g., Ayala, 
    135 S. Ct. at 2202
     (“The role of a federal
    habeas court is to guard against extreme malfunctions in the
    state criminal justice systems . . . not to apply de novo review
    of factual findings and to substitute its own opinion for the
    [state court’s] determination . . . .” (internal quotation marks
    and citations omitted)); see also 
    id. at 2205
     (rejecting the
    Ninth Circuit’s “speculation” and “flight of fancy” about
    “extrarecord information defense counsel might have
    mentioned”).
    In her Ayala dissent, Justice Sotomayor argued that “[i]f
    a trial error is prejudicial under Brecht’s standard, a state
    court’s determination that the error was harmless beyond a
    reasonable doubt is necessarily unreasonable.” Ayala, 
    135 S. Ct. at 2211
     (2015) (Sotomayor, J., dissenting). But that
    proposition is exactly what the Davis v. Ayala majority had
    just rejected. See 
    id. at 2197, 2208
     (holding that the Ninth
    Circuit’s finding of actual prejudice under Brecht did not
    “necessarily” render the state court’s contrary finding
    “unreasonable”; a separate Chapman/AEDPA analysis was
    required to make that determination). As discussed below,
    however, the Deck panel Majority adopted Justice
    Sotomayor’s erroneous statement of law. In my view, this
    outright disregard for binding Supreme Court precedent,
    particularly in light of the Supreme Court’s recent reversal of
    DECK V. JENKINS                        13
    the Ninth Circuit on this very question, warranted en banc
    review. See Fed. R. App. P. 35(a)(1).
    II.
    With these principles in mind, I turn to the present federal
    habeas claim by 46-year-old Stephen Deck (“Deck”) arising
    from his California state court conviction of attempt to
    commit a lewd or lascivious act on a child under the age of
    14. See 
    Cal. Penal Code §§ 288
    (a); 664. Defendant Deck
    began chatting online with a fictitious 13-year-old girl named
    “Amy.” “Amy” was actually a volunteer working on a police
    sting operation targeted to identify and arrest adults using the
    internet to meet minors for sex. Deck identified himself in
    his online profile as a 46-year-old male who was “single and
    looking.” Deck initiated contact with Amy by sending her a
    message stating, “Older for younger here.” Amy responded
    positively, and the two began exchanging sexually suggestive
    messages nearly every day for a week. Throughout these
    chats, Deck called Amy “hot,” a “hottie,” “sexy,” and “a little
    slutty.” Deck said he wanted to “date” Amy, to take pictures
    of her, to “hold” her, and to “kiss” her. When Amy replied
    “that is what [boyfriends] and [girlfriends] do,” Deck
    interjected, “[m]mm, yessss . . . [a]ll that and more . . . .”
    Deck said he wanted to perform oral sex on Amy, promising
    that it would feel “so good.” Deck used the imagery of
    “eating pie” as an allusion to oral sex. Deck asked Amy
    about her own sexual experiences and how she “like[d]
    sucking cock?”
    In arranging their first date, Deck—a lieutenant in the
    California Highway Patrol—expressed trepidation about
    meeting at Amy’s apartment, indicating that he would “hate
    to walk into an apartment where I don’t know – really who’s
    14                    DECK V. JENKINS
    there” and told Amy that he needed to “make sure if it’s real
    . . . .” Ultimately, Amy and Deck decided to meet in a park
    next to Amy’s apartment. But in discussing what the pair
    would do on their first date, Deck agreed they would “eat pie
    and stuff and talk,” and repeatedly suggested they “see what’s
    on TV” (presumably at Amy’s house, not at the park). On the
    day of the planned rendezvous, Deck claimed to have a “sore
    throat.” When Amy told Deck they would have to wait two
    more weeks before Amy’s mom would be “working” on a
    weekend again (so that Amy would be home alone), Deck
    decided to come over despite his illness to “say hi and meet
    [Amy].” Just before signing off, Deck reminded Amy,
    “Remember I am sick so no kissing or nothing. Just bringing
    you your pie.” But Deck also announced, “I probably won’t
    be able to keep my hands off of you.” Deck drove 45 minutes
    to Amy’s house and arrived at 8:35 p.m. He parked in Amy’s
    apartment complex and walked to the park. Spotting a young
    female, Deck approached and asked whether she was “Amy.”
    The female responded by asking whether he was “Steve.”
    When Deck acknowledged his identity, police arrested him.
    Investigators searched Deck’s person and found a digital
    camera and a piece of pie. A search of Deck’s vehicle
    revealed a Mapquest printout with directions to Amy’s
    apartment and six expired condoms. Deck’s home computer
    contained sexually charged chat logs between Deck and two
    other young girls with whom Deck had attempted to arrange
    meetings.
    A.
    Deck was charged in California state court with attempt
    to commit a lewd or lascivious act upon a child. See 
    Cal. Penal Code §§ 288
    (a); 664. As applied to these facts,
    California law required that Deck intended to “touch” Amy
    DECK V. JENKINS                        15
    on the night of the “date,” though the touching need not
    appear sexual and could occur anywhere on Amy’s body or
    through clothing. Deck’s theory of defense at trial was that
    “like it or not the law [of attempt] is on Mr. Deck’s side,”
    because the prosecutor cannot show beyond a reasonable
    doubt that Deck intended to touch Amy that night. The
    prosecutor called the defense’s theory “baloney,” arguing that
    in the “defendant’s own words,” “he wouldn’t be able to keep
    his hand off of [Amy],” and thus he “definitely” intended to
    touch Amy that night. The prosecutor emphasized that
    something as apparently benign as giving Amy a goodbye
    “hug,” holding her hand, or posing her for photos would have
    qualified as “lewd” under § 288(a), given Deck’s sexual
    intent. But, at one point, the prosecutor also argued
    (improperly): “I don’t have to prove to you that [Deck] was
    going to commit a lewd act on . . . February 18th, 2006. . . .
    [E]ven if his intent was just to meet [Amy], get to know her,
    break the ice and follow up the next day, the next week,
    maybe [in] two weekends when Mom’s gone . . . that is all I
    need.” Defense counsel neither objected, nor moved to strike,
    nor asked for a curative instruction.
    At the end of the parties’ arguments, the judge properly
    instructed the jury that attempt in California requires an
    “immediate step” that “goes beyond planning or preparation”
    and “puts the [defendant’s] plan into motion so that the plan
    would have been completed [absent some ‘outside’
    circumstance].” On the first day of deliberations, a Thursday,
    the jury sent the judge a note, asking him to “clarify [the] law
    as it relates to whether defendant did not have to do anything
    that day only attempt to put it into play.” This question
    prompted debate between counsel regarding the immediacy
    element of attempt. The judge requested supplemental
    briefing and dismissed the jury pending resolution of the
    16                        DECK V. JENKINS
    issue. The jury reconvened the following Tuesday, December
    21, 2009, by which time one juror had fallen ill and been
    replaced by an alternate. The judge never answered the jury’s
    original question—instead instructing the “new” jury to begin
    deliberating anew and inviting it to submit any “questions” it
    “want[ed] answered.”10 After 22 minutes of deliberation and
    without submitting any questions, the jury rendered a guilty
    verdict.
    B.
    Deck appealed his conviction to the California Court of
    Appeal (“CCA”), arguing that the prosecutor’s misstatement
    of law negated an essential element of attempt: that the
    attempted act was to occur that night. Moreover, Deck
    argued, his arrangement to meet Amy in a public park,
    combined with his statements that he was “sick” and just
    wanted to “say hi,” made Deck’s intent to commit a lewd act
    on the night of the sting too ambiguous to render the
    prosecutor’s misstatement “harmless.”11 The CCA agreed
    that this small excerpt of the prosecutor’s closing statement
    10
    The judge said, “I know that there was a previous question sent out by
    the foreperson, Juror # 9. In light of the fact I have just given you this
    instruction that you have to start all over again, disregard past
    deliberations, you need to follow that instruction. If you have any further
    questions that you want answered once you start deliberating with the
    jury, send that out in the question format and we will answer it for you.”
    11
    He also asserted ineffective assistance of counsel based on defense
    counsel’s failure to object.
    DECK V. JENKINS                                17
    was legally incorrect,12 but found the error harmless for three
    reasons.
    First, the CCA emphasized that § 288(a)’s “touching”
    requirement could be satisfied by a range of apparently non-
    sexual touching, like a seemingly “innocent hug” or “other
    . . . public” touching. People v. Deck, No. G043434, 
    2011 WL 2001825
    , at *10 (Cal. Ct. App. May 24, 2011) (“The
    ‘controlling factor’ is the defendant’s intent when touching
    the minor, not the type of touching.’”). There was no reason
    why the requisite touching could not occur in a public park.
    
    Id.
     Nor did the fact that Deck planned to meet Amy in public
    mean that Deck intended to remain in public. 
    Id.
     Deck had
    explained that he wanted to “make sure if it’s real and you’re
    there.” Deck had told Amy earlier that day that the pair
    would watch TV on their date (presumably, not in the park)
    and eat “pie,” a double entendre for oral sex. Deck arrived
    after dark with a camera. The standard for attempt is also not
    particularly onerous: California courts have found attempt
    where the defendant showed up at a public bus station to meet
    a minor before going to a hotel. 
    Id.
     at *8 (citing People v.
    Crabtree, 
    169 Cal. App. 4th 1293
    , 1322–23 (2009)).
    12
    The CCA specifically held that only the italicized excerpts were
    improper: “But even if his intent was just to meet her, get to know her,
    break the ice and follow the next day, the next week, maybe [in] two
    weekends when mom’s gone . . . that is all I need. I don’t need to prove
    to you that [Deck] was going to commit a lewd act on that day, just some
    point in the future.” (alteration and italics in original)). The CCA held that
    the statement, “I do not have to prove to you that [Deck] was going to
    commit a lewd act on or about February 18th, 2006,” “present[s] no
    problem” under California law; “after all, lack of success defines attempt.”
    People v. Deck, No. G043434, 
    2011 WL 2001825
    , at *11 (Cal. Ct. App.
    May 24, 2011).
    18                   DECK V. JENKINS
    With these principles in mind, the CCA found “sufficient
    evidence” to prove that Deck intended to commit a lewd act
    on Amy on the night of the sting: Deck specifically sought
    out Amy because of her age (“Older for younger here”); Deck
    engaged in repeated, sexually explicit communications with
    Amy in which he indicated a clear desire to kiss, photograph,
    and perform oral sex on Amy (thus establishing that Deck
    possessed the requisite mental state to render any touching
    unlawful under § 288(a)); Deck used “eating pie” as a
    euphemism for oral sex, and told Amy on the day of the date
    that he would “bring her pie” and would probably not be able
    to keep his hands off her; Deck drove 45 minutes to Amy’s
    house, while Amy was home alone, and while “ill,” because
    he could not wait two more weeks to see her; Deck arrived at
    the park by Amy’s house with a camera and condoms. Id. at
    *9. Given the “jury’s role in assessing the credibility of
    Deck’s statements,” a “rational juror” could conclude that
    Deck’s claims of illness and his insistence on meeting Amy
    outside were merely a “ploy” to verify Amy’s age and
    identity. Id. Assuming “Amy” was real, Deck had every
    intention of “touching” her within the broad meaning of
    § 288(a). Id.
    Second, the CCA noted, the prosecutor’s closing
    argument properly focused “on Deck’s clear intent . . . to
    commit a lewd act with the victim on the weekend he actually
    met with her.” Id. at *12. The prosecutor’s “errant gloss on
    the law of attempt” was an “isolated departure in a few stray
    words” from that theme. Id.
    Third, the trial court properly instructed the jury, and
    California law presumes that the jury followed these
    instructions over any contrary statements by counsel. Id. at
    DECK V. JENKINS                           19
    *12–13.13 Indeed, the judge specifically instructed the jury:
    “You must follow the law as I explain it to you, even if you
    disagree with it. If you believe that the attorneys’ comments
    on the law conflict with my instructions, you must follow my
    instructions.” The jury’s question did not justify abandoning
    this presumption, the CCA explained, because the court could
    presume that “having taken a fresh look [after the
    weekend]—or a first look in the case of the new juror—at the
    trial court’s instructions, [the jury] had no further questions
    for the trial court and reached a verdict.” Id. at *13
    (“Consequently, there is no basis to conclude the jury
    disregarded the trial court’s instructions and instead fixated
    on an isolated comment by the prosecutor.”). A fairminded
    jurist could also conclude that, given the strong evidence
    against Deck, any error was harmless.
    13
    In full, the jury instructions regarding attempt provided:
    To prove that the defendant is guilty of [attempt to
    commit 288(a)], the People must prove that: (1) The
    defendant took a direct but ineffective step toward
    committing 288(a)[,] AND (2) [t]he defendant intended
    to commit 288(a). A direct step requires more than
    merely planning or preparing to commit 288(a) or
    obtaining or arranging for something needed to commit
    288(a). A direct step is one that goes beyond mere
    planning or preparation and shows that a person is
    putting his plan into action. A direct step indicates a
    definite and unambiguous intent to commit 288(a). It
    is a direct movement towards the commission of the
    crime after preparations are made. It is an immediate
    step that puts the plan in motion so that the plan would
    have been completed if some circumstance outside the
    plan had not interrupted the attempt.
    20                    DECK V. JENKINS
    For all these reasons, the CCA concluded, any
    misstatement by the prosecutor was harmless.
    C.
    On habeas appeal, a federal magistrate judge reviewed the
    CCA’s analysis at length and recommended that it was
    “neither an unreasonable application of, nor contrary to,
    clearly established federal law.” Deck v. Jenkins, No. SACV
    11-1767 MWF FFM, 
    2012 WL 6853245
    , at *11 (C.D. Cal.
    Nov. 7, 2012), report and recommendation adopted, No.
    SACV 11-1767 MWF FFM, 
    2013 WL 146351
     (C.D. Cal. Jan.
    14, 2013). The district court agreed and denied Deck’s
    petition for relief, but granted a Certificate of Appealability
    (“COA”) regarding the harmlessness of the prosecutor’s
    misstatement of law. Deck, 
    2013 WL 146351
    , at *1.
    A divided Ninth Circuit panel has reversed. Deck v.
    Jenkins, 
    768 F.3d 1015
    , 1017 (9th Cir. 2014). The Majority
    opined, as a threshold matter, that an error of constitutional
    magnitude had occurred (the prosecutor’s misstatement
    violated Deck’s right to due process under Darden). 
    Id. at 1031
    . The Majority also concluded that it had “grave doubt”
    as to whether the prosecutor’s misstatements were harmless
    under Brecht, and granted habeas relief on this basis. 
    Id.
    Issuance of the court’s mandate was thereafter stayed pending
    the outcome of Davis v. Ayala—which fundamentally
    contradicted the Majority’s analysis. Nonetheless, the
    Majority stayed its course, reading Justice Alito’s reversal of
    our grant of habeas relief in Ayala based on a bare application
    of Brecht as somehow affirming precisely the opposite: that
    the panel may grant habeas relief as long as it found “actual
    prejudice” under Brecht; no separate AEDPA analysis was
    required. See Slip Op. at 63–64. For the reasons set forth
    DECK V. JENKINS                       21
    below, neither the Majority’s statement of the applicable legal
    standard, nor its analysis, can be squared with binding
    Supreme Court precedent.
    III.
    A.
    The Majority’s first error lies in its adoption of an
    approach to federal habeas review plainly reminiscent of the
    Ayala dissent. The Deck Majority holds: “A determination
    that [a constitutional] error resulted in ‘actual prejudice’
    [under Brecht], necessarily means that the state court’s
    harmlessness determination was not merely incorrect, but
    objectively unreasonable. . . . A separate AEDPA/Chapman
    determination is not required.” Slip Op. at 63–64 (emphases
    added); cf. Ayala, 
    135 S. Ct. at 2211
     (Sotomayor, J.,
    dissenting) (“Fry expressly held that federal habeas courts
    need not first assess whether a state court unreasonably
    applied Chapman before deciding whether that error was
    prejudicial under Brecht. . . . If a trial error is prejudicial
    under Brecht’s standard, a state court’s determination that the
    error was harmless beyond a reasonable doubt is necessarily
    unreasonable.”).
    The legal standard Justice Sotomayor advanced in dissent
    is fundamentally inconsistent with that applied by the Ayala
    majority, and thus the Deck Majority erred in relying upon it.
    To start, Justice Sotomayor stated that the Ayala majority did
    nothing more than “simply restate[] the holding of Fry v.
    Pliler.” 
    Id. at 2211
    . That is simply not accurate—Fry did not
    involve an application of AEDPA. The issue in Fry was
    whether a federal habeas court should apply Chapman de
    novo (instead of Brecht de novo) where the state court had
    22                    DECK V. JENKINS
    “failed to recognize [any constitutional] error” and thus had
    not engaged in any harmless error analysis on direct review.
    Fry v. Pliler, 
    551 U.S. 112
    , 114 (2007). The Fry Court held
    that for reasons of “finality, comity, and federalism,” a
    federal habeas court must apply Brecht on habeas review,
    even where the state court never applied Chapman. 
    Id. at 116
    , 121–22. But the Fry Court had no occasion to consider
    the effect of AEDPA on Brecht where—as here—there has
    been a prior state-court finding of harmless error. Thus,
    Justice Sotomayor erroneously interpreted Fry when she
    suggested that the Court there held a finding of “prejudic[e]
    under Brecht . . . [renders] a state court’s determination that
    the error was harmless beyond a reasonable doubt . . .
    necessarily unreasonable.” Ayala, 
    135 S. Ct. at 2211
    .
    In fact, the Supreme Court squarely confronted and
    rejected this very contention in Davis v. Ayala, supra, and
    Harrington v. Richter, 
    562 U.S. 86
     (2011). In both cases, the
    Court emphasized that the Chapman/AEDPA standard
    requires something more than a traditional application of
    Brecht. See, e.g., Harrington, 
    562 U.S. at
    101–02 (rejecting
    this Circuit’s conclusion that a finding of actual prejudice
    under Brecht satisfied AEDPA/Chapman and explaining that
    such a proposition must be incorrect—to hold otherwise
    would render AEDPA a nullity). The Majority’s adoption of
    Justice Sotomayor’s statement that Chapman/AEDPA is
    wholly redundant of Brecht is directly contrary to the central
    rule of Davis v. Ayala that Chapman/AEDPA sets forth a
    mandatory “precondition” to habeas relief. Ayala, 
    135 S. Ct. at
    2198–99. It also contravenes the Supreme Court’s
    instruction that “[u]nder § 2254(d), a habeas court must
    determine what arguments or theories supported or . . . could
    have supported, the state court’s decision; and then it must
    ask whether it is possible fairminded jurists could disagree
    DECK V. JENKINS                             23
    that those arguments or theories are inconsistent with the
    holding in a prior decision of this Court. . . . [That is] the only
    question that matters under § 2254(d)(1).” Harrington,
    
    562 U.S. at
    101–02 (emphases added) (internal quotation
    marks omitted) (reversing the Ninth Circuit’s grant of habeas
    where the Ninth Circuit had applied Brecht de novo, found a
    Strickland violation, and “declared, without further
    explanation, that the ‘state court’s decision to the contrary
    constituted an unreasonable application of Strickland’”).
    True, as Justice Sotomayor and the Deck Majority have
    pointed out, the Fry Court did suggest that Chapman/AEDPA
    was “more liberal” (i.e. more petitioner-friendly) than Brecht.
    See Fry, 
    551 U.S. at
    119–20; see also Slip Op. at 63–64.14
    But not only was this dicta, it has since been discredited by
    Harrington and again by Ayala. Indeed, the Ayala majority
    stated point-blank: “The Fry Court did not hold—and would
    have had no possible basis for holding—that Brecht somehow
    abrogates the limitation on federal habeas relief that
    § 2254(d) plainly sets out. While a federal habeas court need
    not ‘formal[ly]’ apply both Brecht and ‘AEDPA/Chapman,’
    AEDPA nevertheless ‘sets forth a precondition to the grant of
    habeas relief.’” Ayala, 
    135 S. Ct. at 2198
    . That Fry’s dicta
    has not survived subsequent precedents is borne out by the
    fact that it would have mandated the opposite outcome in
    Davis v. Ayala. If—as Justice Sotomayor and the Deck
    14
    That is, in rejecting Ayala’s argument that AEDPA demonstrated a
    Congressional desire that federal courts apply Chapman de novo in the
    absence of a prior state court harmlessness analysis, the Fry Court
    suggested: “[I]t is implausible that, without saying so, AEDPA replaced
    the Brecht standard of ‘actual prejudice,’ . . . with the more liberal
    AEDPA/Chapman standard which requires only that the state court’s
    harmless-beyond-a-reasonable-doubt determination be unreasonable.” Fry
    v. Pliler, 
    551 U.S. 112
    , 119–20 (2007) (internal quotation marks omitted).
    24                         DECK V. JENKINS
    Majority insist—a finding of “actual prejudice” under Brecht
    “necessarily means” that the state’s court’s finding of
    harmlessness was unreasonable, then our Circuit’s finding of
    actual prejudice under Brecht would have entitled Ayala to
    habeas relief. Yet that is exactly what was rejected in
    Ayala.15    The Deck Majority’s reliance on Justice
    Sotomayor’s dissent is therefore fundamentally unsound.
    B.
    The Majority’s erroneous conclusion that we apply the
    same Brecht test irrespective of whether a state court has
    previously found a claimed constitutional error harmless
    beyond a reasonable doubt also appears to stem from a
    misinterpretation of the word “subsumes.” In delivering the
    opinion of the Ayala Court, Justice Alito explained that “a
    prisoner who seeks federal habeas corpus relief must satisfy
    Brecht, and if the state court adjudicated his claim on the
    merits, the Brecht test subsumes the limitations imposed by
    AEDPA.” Ayala, 
    135 S. Ct. at 2199
     (emphasis added). From
    the word “subsumes,” the Deck Majority concludes that
    Brecht somehow already incorporates AEDPA deference
    thereby eliminating the need to conduct an independent
    Chapman/AEDPA analysis. See Slip Op. at 63–64. But read
    in light of the Ayala Court’s reversal of our holding that a
    Brecht analysis alone could support a grant of habeas relief,
    the word “subsumes” cannot possibly have the meaning
    15
    I concede that there is tension between the dicta in Fry (though not its
    holding) and the holdings of Harrington and Ayala. As such, we are
    required to follow binding, on-point precedents (Ayala and Harrington)
    over stray, discredited dicta in an off-point case (Fry). Justice
    Sotomayor’s advancement of a standard based on a rejected statement in
    Fry—a non-AEDPA case—simply cannot be squared with the standard
    articulated and applied by the Ayala majority.
    DECK V. JENKINS                       25
    ascribed to it by the Deck Majority. Indeed, Brecht pre-dates
    AEDPA. It is thus historically and logically impossible that
    Brecht already incorporates AEDPA deference. And the very
    fact that Justice Alito distinguished between the traditional
    Brecht analysis and the analysis we must undertake “if the
    state court [has previously] adjudicated [the prisoner’s] claim
    on the merits” only confirms that the Majority’s interpretation
    of the word “subsumes” to mean “eliminates,” rather than
    “incorporates,” is incorrect. More fundamentally, the
    Majority ignores the common-sense meaning of the word,
    which Merriam Webster defines as “to include or place
    within something larger or more comprehensive, [e.g.,] . . .
    red, green, and yellow are subsumed under the term ‘color.’”
    See Subsume, Merriam-Webster Online Dictionary,
    http://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/subsume (last
    visited Nov. 6, 2015). Red, green, and yellow do not stop
    being individual and different colors simply because they are
    “subsumed” in the broader term “color.” Neither do AEDPA
    limitations cease to exist when “subsumed” under Brecht.
    True, as the Deck Majority also pointed out, the Court’s
    opinion in Ayala suggested that a habeas court need not
    “formally” apply both Brecht and Chapman/AEDPA. But as
    the Court’s analysis demonstrates, the lack of a procedural
    process does not make the Chapman/AEDPA standard any
    less of a requirement. See, e.g., Ayala, 
    135 S. Ct. at
    2202–05.
    C.
    As the Ayala Court made plain, Chapman/AEDPA
    provides a “precondition” to relief, see 
    id. at 2198
    , and it is
    Brecht’s standard that “necessarily” cannot be met “if a
    fairminded jurist could agree with the [CCA’s] decision that
    [the prosecutor’s error] met the Chapman standard of
    26                        DECK V. JENKINS
    harmlessness,” 
    id. at 2199
    .16 And unlike Brecht’s standard,
    which permits a grant of habeas relief as long as the appellate
    court would find harmful error, AEDPA deference requires
    a finding that the prosecutor’s misstatement was not harmless
    under “any reasonable application” of “clearly established”
    Supreme Court precedent before habeas relief may be
    afforded. See Panetti v. Quarterman, 
    551 U.S. 930
    , 948, 953
    (2007) (emphasis added). In other words, it is not enough
    that the state’s harmlessness determination was incorrect;
    Chapman/AEDPA requires that the application of Supreme
    Court precedent to the particular facts before the court be so
    clearly established that the state court’s determination was
    objectively “unreasonable.” 
    Id.
     And before a court of
    appeals may find unreasonableness, it must consider not only
    the many “arguments or theories” that the state court actually
    offered, but also any that “could have supported” its
    determination. See Harrington, 
    562 U.S. at 102
    . Here, the
    Majority did not do this. To be sure, it cursorily cited to parts
    of the CCA’s opinion, but only to lay a foundation for its own
    analysis and counterarguments—namely, that (1) the
    prosecutor’s misstatement went to the core of Deck’s defense,
    16
    Dissenting in Ayala, Justice Sotomayor argued that the Supreme Court
    in Fry had previously “expressly held that federal habeas courts need not
    first assess whether a state court unreasonably applied Chapman before
    deciding whether that error was prejudicial under Brecht.” Ayala, 
    135 S. Ct. at 2211
     (Sotomayor, J., dissenting). That is a distortion of Fry, where
    the only question presented was whether a federal habeas court should
    apply Brecht or Chapman where the state court “failed to recognize the
    error and did not review it for harmlessness under . . . Chapman.” Fry,
    
    551 U.S. at 114
    , 117–120 (emphases added). Because there had been no
    state court determination of harmless error, the Fry court had no occasion
    to consider the interaction between Brecht and AEDPA where a state court
    had made a Chapman harmlessness determination. That was the question
    put in Davis v. Ayala.
    DECK V. JENKINS                        27
    and (2) the jury’s question reflected confusion on that very
    issue. See Slip Op. at 51–60.
    For example, the Majority recognized that the CCA
    “emphasized that only minimal physical contact was required
    to support a conviction for a lewd act.” Id. at 61. It also
    acknowledged that “Deck conceded that although he wanted
    to meet in public for their first date and not engage in sexual
    activity, [he said,] ‘I probably won’t be able to keep my
    hands off of you.’” Id. at 61. But rather than asking whether
    any fairminded jurist could find the CCA’s arguments based
    on such evidence persuasive, the Majority stated, “[o]n the
    other hand, the same evidence suggests the jury could have
    based its verdict on the prosecutor’s alternative theory that
    Deck intended to commit lewd acts on Amy not on the night
    of the meeting, but on some unspecified future date.” Id. at
    61–62 (emphases added). The Majority therefore asked the
    wrong question: Whether the evidence “could be” susceptible
    to another determination is irrelevant where there has been a
    prior state court determination. See Harrington, 
    562 U.S. at 101
    . Rather, the only proper question on collateral review of
    a merits determination is whether any fairminded jurist could
    agree with the state court. 
    Id. at 102
    . When the state court’s
    reasons for finding harmlessness constitute a reasonable basis
    for the state court’s determination, a federal court’s review is
    accomplished: It must deny habeas relief. Here, the Deck
    Majority concluded that, because it thought that Deck’s trial
    was “fundamentally unfair,” no fairminded jurist could
    disagree. Slip Op. at 62, 63–64. This cursory citation to
    Chapman/AEDPA’s “fairminded jurist” test does not redeem
    the Majority’s analysis, which is bereft of any AEDPA
    deference, nor its adoption of a plainly erroneous legal
    standard.      In sum, the Deck Majority’s analysis is,
    28                         DECK V. JENKINS
    unfortunately, precisely backwards. That does not satisfy AEDPA.
    D.
    The Majority’s disregard for AEDPA is further belied by
    its failure to cite a single Supreme Court case that actually
    found constitutional error based on prosecutorial misconduct,
    particularly where the jury was properly instructed. See Slip
    Op. at 47–49. Indeed, every Supreme Court17 case involving
    prosecutorial misconduct cited by the Majority found such
    error harmless and denied habeas relief. See Boyde v.
    California, 
    494 U.S. 370
    , 386 (1990) (denying habeas relief
    based on prosecutorial commentary that might mislead jury
    to adopt an improperly narrow interpretation of jury
    instructions),18 Darden v. Wainwright, 
    477 U.S. 168
    , 181–82
    17
    The Majority also flouts AEDPA to the extent it purports to rely on
    Ninth Circuit precedent—which is inapposite under AEDPA. See Parker
    v. Matthews, 
    132 S. Ct. 2148
    , 2155 (2012) (For purposes of AEDPA,
    “circuit precedent does not constitute ‘clearly established Federal law, as
    determined by the Supreme Court.’”); see also 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    (d)(1)
    (expressly requiring that the state court’s determination involve an
    unreasonable application of “clearly established Federal law, as
    determined by the Supreme Court of the United States” (emphasis added)).
    18
    In Boyde, the jury instructions stated, in relevant part, that the jury
    could consider “[a]ny other circumstance which extenuates the gravity of
    the crime even though it is not a legal excuse for the crime.” Boyde v.
    California, 
    494 U.S. 370
    , 373–74 (1990). The petitioner argued that these
    instructions were ambiguous as to whether the jury could consider
    evidence of the defendant’s “background and character” (as opposed to
    only “crime-related” mitigation evidence) in sentencing proceedings. 
    Id. at 378, 384
    . The petitioner also urged that the prosecutor’s statements
    immediately before deliberations that “[n]othing I have heard lessens the
    seriousness of this crime” encouraged the narrower (and incorrect)
    understanding of the instruction. 
    Id. at 385, 404
    . In finding no
    constitutional violation and denying habeas relief, the Court noted that
    DECK V. JENKINS                              29
    (1986) (denying habeas relief and holding that numerous
    “undoubtedly” “improper” comments by the prosecutor were
    not enough to deprive the petitioner of a fair trial);19 Weeks v.
    Angelone, 
    528 U.S. 225
    , 227, 237 (2000) (denying habeas
    relief where, instead of answering the jury’s question, the
    judge directed the jury to a constitutionally sufficient
    instruction, thus arguably failing to resolve the jury’s
    confusion). It is a weak reed indeed to rely on precedents that
    found harmless error in analogous circumstances to urge they
    can render the same finding by the CCA “objectively
    unreasonable”—such that “no fairminded jurist could agree”
    with it.
    Ultimately, the Deck Majority appears to rely solely on
    the general principle that a prosecutor’s misstatement could
    amount to a prejudicial constitutional violation if it “so
    infected the trial with unfairness as to make the resulting
    conviction a denial of due process.” Darden, 
    477 U.S. at 181
    (nonetheless finding that the prosecutor’s numerous
    “improper” statements did not meet this standard). And while
    “arguments of counsel generally carry less weight with a jury than do
    instructions from the court . . . . [and] must be judged in the context in
    which they were made.” 
    Id.
     at 384–86 (passage cited by the Deck
    majority). Nothing about Boyde renders the CCA’s analysis “objectively
    unreasonable.”
    19
    In Darden, the prosecutor suggested that the death penalty would be
    the only guarantee that the defendant would not commit another heinous
    crime in the future, that the defendant was an “animal,” that the defendant
    should not be let out of his prison cell without a “leash,” and that the
    prosecutor wished the defendant’s face had been “blown off” by a
    shotgun. See Darden v. Wainwright, 
    477 U.S. 168
    , 179–80, nn.9–12
    (1986). These inflammatory statements, although clearly constituting
    prosecutorial misconduct, did not so irretrievably “infect” the trial with
    unfairness so as to violate due process.
    30                        DECK V. JENKINS
    the Majority is correct that Darden provides the relevant20
    law for purposes of AEDPA, see Slip Op. at 46–47, the
    question under AEDPA is whether the prosecutor’s
    misstatement violated Deck’s due process rights under “any
    reasonable application of [Darden].” See Panetti v.
    Quarterman, 
    551 U.S. 930
    , 948, 953 (2007).21 In other
    words, even assuming arguendo that the broad standard to be
    applied here is “clearly established,” its application to the
    present facts certainly is not. See supra, n.21.
    If anything, clearly established Supreme Court precedent
    supports the CCA’s application. For example, in denying
    habeas relief, Boyde explained that “arguments of counsel
    generally carry less weight with a jury than do instructions
    from the court. . . . [and] must be judged in the context in
    which they are made.” Boyde, 
    494 U.S. at
    384–85 (selection
    quoted by Deck Majority, Slip Op. at 49). Here, the CCA
    noted the overwhelming focus of the prosecutor’s lengthy
    closing argument: that Deck did intend to “touch” Amy on
    20
    The majority’s cherry-picked citation to Parker v. Matthews, 
    132 S. Ct. 2148
     (2012), to support its position that Darden’s “highly generalized”
    standard is “clearly established” for the purposes of AEDPA, is
    misleading. Parker merely affirmed that AEDPA’s reference to “clearly
    established law” refers only to Supreme Court precedent—not to any
    individual Circuit’s precedent. See Parker, 
    132 S. Ct. at 2153
     (“The
    ‘clearly established Federal law’ relevant here is our decision in Darden
    v. Wainwright . . . .”). Nothing about Parker suggests that Darden’s
    application to new fact patterns will always—or even often—be so
    “clearly established” as to render a state court’s opinion “unreasonable.”
    21
    Panetti provides an example of “clearly established” law where a state
    court’s application of law was “unreasonable” since the petitioner was
    indisputably incompetent and had been denied the process mandated by
    controlling Supreme Court precedent for incompetent defendants. Panetti,
    
    551 U.S. at
    952–53.
    DECK V. JENKINS                       31
    the night of their date. See Deck, 
    2011 WL 2001825
    , at *12.
    The CCA reasoned that the prosecutor’s misstatement was an
    “isolated departure [from that theme] in a few stray words.”
    
    Id.
     Its finding that, in context, the prosecutor’s misstatement
    was harmless is consistent with Boyde’s holding and analysis.
    
    Id.
    Likewise, it is clearly established that “[a] jury is
    presumed to follow its instructions.” Weeks, 
    528 U.S. at 234
    (selection also quoted by the Deck Majority). Here, it is
    undisputed that Deck’s jury was “properly instructed” on the
    relevant principles of attempt after the prosecutor’s
    misstatement regarding the law of attempt. The judge also
    instructed the jury to follow these instructions over
    “conflict[ing] statements of counsel.” True, the instructions
    did not expressly state that the jury must find an intent to
    touch Amy on the first night. But both Boyde and Weeks,
    held that a jury is presumed to have understood and correctly
    applied jury instructions that are “not concededly
    erroneous”—even if the instructions are not “pin point.” See,
    e.g., Boyde, 
    494 U.S. at 380
    , 384–86 (in a capital proceeding,
    the Eighth Amendment is not violated absent a “reasonable
    likelihood” that the jury incorrectly interpreted its jury
    instructions as precluding consideration of mitigating
    evidence). In Weeks, for example, the jury submitted a
    question about whether it had a “duty,” or merely discretion,
    to impose the death penalty. Weeks, 
    528 U.S. at 229
    . Instead
    of answering the jury’s question directly, the judge pointed
    the jury to “Instruction #2.” 
    Id.
     The Supreme Court found
    that, because the jury instructions were accurate and
    “constitutionally adequate,” the jury’s failure to seek
    additional clarification—even on an issue as important as
    whether or not to apply the death penalty—must be presumed
    to indicate that the jury understood and properly applied its
    32                        DECK V. JENKINS
    instructions. 
    Id. at 234
     (“To presume otherwise would
    require reversal every time a jury inquires about a matter of
    constitutional significance, regardless of the judge’s
    answer.”). The state court’s finding of no constitutional error
    was therefore not an unreasonable application of clearly
    established law under section 2254(d). 
    Id. at 237
    .
    Similarly in Deck’s case, the jury received accurate jury
    instructions.22 It is a reasonable reading of Weeks to hold that
    the failure of Deck’s newly constituted jury to re-submit its
    question regarding the immediacy element of attempt
    compels, or at least supports, a presumption that the jury
    understood its instructions and no longer needed clarification.
    See 
    id. at 234
     (reasoning that it is enough that “[h]ad the jury
    desired further information,” it “probably” would have
    submitted another question). In fact, the application of
    Weeks’ presumption is even more clear here, because the trial
    court actually invited Deck’s jury to re-submit its question,
    see supra, n.10, yet the jury still failed to do so.
    22
    It is worth noting that—notwithstanding the supposed centrality of the
    prosecutor’s misstatement to Deck’s defense—Deck’s counsel did not
    object to the misstatement, move to strike it, or request a pin-point
    instruction that the jury was required to find Deck had made an attempt to
    touch “Amy” that night. The defense’s failure to seek any corrective
    action corroborates the CCA’s view that the prosecutor’s misstatement of
    law was merely an “isolated departure . . . in a few stray words.” Deck,
    
    2011 WL 2001825
    , at *12. In fact, it was only after the jury’s question
    that the parties began debating this finer point of California law. Even
    then, the question was so close that, after briefing and significant
    argument, the trial judge was prepared to resolve it in the prosecutor’s
    favor. On appeal, the CCA disagreed, but held that only two short clauses
    of the prosecutor’s argument misstated California law. See 
    id.
     (“The
    prosecutor erred, however, by suggesting an intent to engage in a lewd act
    at ‘just some point in the future’ or ‘the next week, maybe [in] two
    weekends’ sufficed.” (alteration in original)).
    DECK V. JENKINS                        33
    In any event, the CCA could reasonably have concluded
    that the evidence against Deck was so strong that the jury
    would have found him guilty irrespective of the judge’s
    answer to its question. Darden itself emphasized that strong
    evidence against a petitioner “reduce[s] the likelihood that [a]
    jury’s decision was influenced by [a prosecutor’s improper]
    argument.” Darden, 
    477 U.S. at 182
    . Here, the CCA found
    “ample evidence . . . to support the jury’s finding [that] Deck
    attempted to commit a lewd act with ‘Amy’” on the night in
    question. Deck referred to Amy as “hot,” a “hottie,” “sexy,”
    and “slutty”; he told Amy he wanted to date her, to kiss her,
    to perform oral sex on her, and to do other sex acts that
    “boyfriends and girlfriends” do. Deck’s stated intention to
    “see what’s on TV” on the first date, coupled with his arrival
    after dark with a camera, strongly supports an inference that
    Deck intended to go to Amy’s apartment after he had
    confirmed that she was “real.”            Deck’s supposedly
    exculpatory statements that he was “sick” and that he was
    “just bringing [Amy] pie” do not compel a contrary
    conclusion. Deck had previously used “pie” as an allusion to
    oral sex. A fairminded juror could readily conclude that
    Deck—being a law enforcement officer—used the
    euphemism in setting up his first meeting with Amy to
    “create a defense” for himself (as the prosecutor argued) until
    he had confirmed that Amy was real. Likewise, a fairminded
    juror could be highly skeptical of Deck’s claim that he was
    “ill,” given Deck’s ensuing decision to drive 45 minutes to
    Amy’s house ostensibly just to “say hi.”
    In sum, the CCA’s analysis was a patently reasonable
    application of clearly established Supreme Court precedent.
    Had the Majority applied Ayala and AEDPA properly, it
    could not have reached its result. Of course, were it
    reviewing these facts de novo, the panel might disagree with
    34                    DECK V. JENKINS
    the CCA. In fact, the Deck Majority makes a good argument
    in that regard. But that is not the question on collateral,
    habeas review. As Judge M. Smith argues persuasively in his
    dissent, “an unreasonable application of federal law is
    different from an incorrect application of federal law” and
    that “the majority commits the same error the Supreme Court
    has criticized our court for making time after time by
    ‘collapsing th[is] distinction . . . .” Deck, 768 F.3d at 1031
    (quoting Nevada v. Jackson, 
    1133 S. Ct. 1990
    , 1994 (2013)).
    It is this kind of disregard for binding Supreme Court
    precedent, Judge M. Smith explained in dissent, that has led
    the Supreme Court “in its four most recent terms . . . [to]
    reverse[] us fourteen times in cases involving our application
    of AEDPA . . . ten of which reversals have been unanimous.”
    
    Id.
    As shown above, none of the precedents cited by the Deck
    Majority compel a finding that the prosecutor’s misstatement
    was prejudicial under “any reasonable application” of
    Darden’s very general standard, see Panetti, 
    551 U.S. at 948, 953
    , and all in fact support the CCA’s analysis. To reach a
    contrary conclusion, the Deck Majority adopts an analytical
    approach that the Supreme Court this year expressly
    rejected—adopting Justice Sotomayor’s dissent to hold that
    a federal court’s de novo finding of “actual prejudice”
    “necessarily” renders the state’s court’s contrary
    determination “unreasonable.”
    IV.
    The Deck Majority’s analysis cannot be squared with
    Davis v. Ayala, 
    135 S. Ct. 2187
     (2015). Because this Court’s
    failure to correct the Majority’s error through re-hearing en
    DECK V. JENKINS                       35
    banc perpetuates both an intracircuit and intercircuit split, I
    respectfully dissent from denial of re-hearing en banc.
    OPINION
    CHRISTEN, Circuit Judge:
    Stephen Deck was convicted in California of one count of
    an attempted lewd act upon a child under the age of 14. After
    exhausting review of his conviction in state court, he
    petitioned the federal district court for habeas relief under
    
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    , arguing that prosecutorial misstatements
    made during rebuttal closing argument deprived him of a fair
    trial. The district court dismissed Deck’s petition. We
    reverse the district court’s judgment and remand for further
    proceedings.
    BACKGROUND
    Under the Antiterrorism and Effective Death Penalty Act
    (AEDPA), “state court findings of fact are presumed correct
    unless rebutted by clear and convincing evidence.” Gonzales
    v. Pliler, 
    341 F.3d 897
    , 903 (9th Cir. 2003) (citing 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    (e)(1)). Both Deck and the State agree that the
    California Court of Appeal (CCA) correctly framed the
    underlying facts of the case. Our opinion relies on, and
    quotes at length from, the CCA’s opinion in People v. Deck,
    No. G043434, 
    2011 WL 2001825
     (Cal. Ct. App. May 24,
    2011).
    36                       DECK V. JENKINS
    The Alleged Crime
    In February 2006, the Laguna Beach Police Department
    collaborated with volunteers from an organization called
    Perverted Justice “on a sting operation to identify and arrest
    adults using the Internet to meet minors for sex.” 
    Id. at *1
    .
    “After online conversations confirmed the adult’s intent, . . .
    decoys arranged a meeting between the adult and fictitious
    minor at an apartment,” where the adult would be arrested.
    
    Id.
    Deck, who was then a lieutenant with the California
    Highway Patrol, began chatting online with a fictitious girl
    named “Amy.”1 
    Id.
     Amy represented to Deck that she was
    13 years old, and her online profile included a photograph of
    an actual 13-year-old girl. 
    Id.
     The two exchanged sexually
    suggestive messages, and Deck expressed an interest in
    taking photographs of Amy. 
    Id.
     at *1–2. They arranged a
    meeting for an upcoming Saturday. 
    Id. at *2
    . Amy asked
    Deck to come to her apartment, but Deck said he was “not
    comfortable meeting at your house” and proposed meeting in
    public. 
    Id.
     “Deck also suggested that after their first date, if
    their chemistry remained as good as it seemed during their
    chats, they would arrange another date and engage in some of
    the sexual activity they discussed online.” 
    Id.
     But he said:
    “‘I probably won’t be able to keep my hands off of you.’” 
    Id.
    On the day of their planned meeting, Deck claimed not to be
    feeling well but “promised to stop by [Amy’s] apartment for
    their first meeting,” at a time when Amy’s mother was not
    around. 
    Id. at *3
    . In a subsequent online chat, he asked Amy
    to meet him “in a public place close to her apartment.” 
    Id.
    1
    We use “Amy” to refer to the Perverted Justice volunteer who played
    this role.
    DECK V. JENKINS                          37
    He said he would be bringing her a piece of pie.2 
    Id.
     “Before
    signing off his computer, Deck added, ‘Remember I am sick
    so no kissing or nothing. Just bringing you your pie.’” 
    Id.
    The CCA opinion described what happened next:
    Deck made the 45 mile drive from his
    residence to “Amy’s” apartment, arriving
    around 8:35 p.m. He parked in the apartment
    complex’s parking lot and walked to the park
    for his rendezvous with “Amy.” Spotting a
    young female sitting at a picnic table in the
    park, Deck approached and asked whether she
    was “Amy.” The female responded by asking
    whether he was “Steve.” When Deck
    acknowledged his identity, the police arrested
    him.
    Investigators searched Deck and found a
    digital camera and the piece of pie he
    promised to bring “Amy.” They also searched
    Deck’s car, where they found a MapQuest
    printout with directions to “Amy’s” apartment
    and six packaged condoms past the listed
    expiration date.
    
    Id.
    2
    In online messages, Deck had repeatedly used the term “pie” as a
    euphemism for performing a sex act.
    38                    DECK V. JENKINS
    Procedural History
    Deck was charged with attempt to commit a lewd or
    lascivious act (“lewd act”) upon a child. The CCA explained
    that, under California law:
    An attempt to commit a lewd act upon a
    child requires both an intent to arouse, appeal
    to, or gratify “the lust, passions, or sexual
    desires of [the defendant] or the child” “and
    . . . a direct if possibly ineffectual step toward
    that goal . . . .”
    For an attempt, the overt act must go
    beyond mere preparation and show that the
    [defendant] is putting his or her plan into
    action; it need not be the last proximate or
    ultimate step toward commission of the crime
    or crimes, nor need it satisfy any element of
    the crime. However, as we have explained,
    “[b]etween preparation for the attempt and the
    attempt itself, there is a wide difference. The
    preparation consists in devising or arranging
    the means or measures necessary for the
    commission of the offense; the attempt is the
    direct movement toward the commission after
    the preparations are made.” “[I]t is sufficient
    if it is the first or some subsequent act
    directed towards that end after the
    preparations are made.”
    
    Id. at *7
     (alterations in original) (citations omitted). Deck
    was convicted after a jury trial and sentenced to 365 days in
    county jail and five years formal probation.
    DECK V. JENKINS                       39
    One of Deck’s arguments to the CCA was that the
    prosecutor’s rebuttal closing argument misstated the law of
    attempt. 
    Id. at *11
    . The CCA agreed, but held that the
    prosecutor’s “lone misstatement” of the law was rendered
    harmless by the trial court’s correct jury instructions. 
    Id.
    Because the issue in this appeal is highly fact-specific, it is
    worth providing the CCA’s description and analysis of the
    prosecutor’s error in (close to) its entirety.
    The CCA first summarized the prosecutor’s statements as
    follows:
    On rebuttal, the prosecutor agreed with
    defense counsel that “I need to prove to you
    that [Deck] took a direct, but ineffectual step
    on or about February 18, 2006.” Deck
    focuses on a handful of ensuing comments as
    the basis for his misconduct claim that the
    prosecutor misstated the law of attempt.
    Specifically, Deck zeroes in on four
    sentences, italicizing a few of the prosecutor’s
    words in just two sentences of his closing
    argument, as follows: “I don’t have to prove
    to you that he was going to commit a lewd act
    on or about February 18th, 2006 . . . . [¶] But
    even if his intent was just to meet her, get to
    know her, break the ice and follow the next
    day, the next week, maybe [in] two weekends
    when mom’s gone, again, as long as he took a
    direct, but ineffectual step towards that goal,
    that is all I need. [¶] I don’t need to prove to
    you that he was going to commit a lewd act on
    that day, just some point in the future direct
    40                     DECK V. JENKINS
    and ineffectual step that day [sic: garbled
    diction] . . . . He was on that day going to
    commit a lewd act with Amy.” (Italics
    added.)
    
    Id. at *11
     (alterations in original) (citations omitted).
    The CCA next discussed whether the prosecutor’s
    statements were erroneous:
    In this excerpt isolated by defendant, the
    prosecutor’s first and final sentences present
    no problem. First, the prosecutor did not have
    to prove Deck “was going to commit” a lewd
    act with “Amy” in the sense that he would be
    successful; after all, lack of success defines an
    attempt. As the prosecutor explained just a
    few sentences later: “I don’t have to prove to
    you that he was going to actually succeed in
    committing the lewd act on that day.” And, in
    defendant’s excerpt, the prosecutor’s final
    sentence properly focused the jury’s attention
    on the day he met with “Amy,” emphasizing,
    “He was on that day going to commit a lewd
    act with Amy.” (Italics added.) This was the
    prosecutor’s repeated emphasis, arguing
    several times, for example, that defendant was
    “[d]efinitely going down there to engage in a
    lewd act, lewd contact with Amy”; “If Amy
    was a real 13–year–old girl, [in] the
    defendant’s own[] words, he wouldn’t be able
    to keep his hands off of her”; “He was on that
    day going to commit a lewd act with Amy”;
    DECK V. JENKINS                    41
    and characterizing the idea that Deck would
    “just see her that day” as “baloney.”
    
    Id.
     (alterations in original).
    The CCA concluded that the prosecutor misstated the law:
    “Deck argues the prosecutor in his closing argument
    misstated the law of attempt. He did . . . .” 
    Id.
     The CCA
    explained:
    The prosecutor erred . . . by suggesting an
    intent to engage in a lewd act at “just some
    point in the future” or “the next week, maybe
    [in] two weekends” sufficed. As our Supreme
    Court has explained, to establish an attempt
    the defendant’s overt act “must go beyond
    mere preparation and show that the
    [defendant] is putting his or her plan into
    action.” Indeed, the acts of the defendant
    must go so far that they would result in the
    accomplishment of the crime unless frustrated
    by extraneous circumstances.
    ....
    Here, pushing defendant’s intent to
    commit a lewd act on “Amy” to, potentially,
    “next week” or in “two weekends” or to “just
    some point in the future” negates the essential
    element necessary to constitute an attempt
    . . . . The merely speculative possibility of a
    potential future rendezvous is inconsistent
    with the inevitable nature of an attempt, where
    the offense will be accomplished “‘unless
    42                        DECK V. JENKINS
    frustrated by extraneous circumstances’” or
    “‘absent an intervening force.’”
    
    Id. at *12
     (alterations in original) (citations omitted).
    Having decided that the prosecutor’s misstatements of
    California law negated an essential element of attempt, the
    CCA concluded that the misstatements were not prejudicial
    to Deck:
    [T]he prosecutor’s errant gloss on the law of
    attempt does not require reversal. First, it was
    an isolated departure in a few stray words and
    not the focus of the prosecutor’s argument,
    which properly remained on Deck’s clear
    intent, coupled with the steps he took, to
    commit a lewd act with the victim on the
    weekend he actually met with her.
    More importantly, the trial court properly
    instructed the jury on the relevant principles.
    The court instructed the jury the necessary
    “direct step” to constitute an attempt “requires
    more than merely planning or preparing to
    commit” the target offense, but instead “goes
    beyond planning or preparation” with a
    “direct movement towards the commission of
    the crime after preparations are made.”
    
    Id.
     (citation omitted).
    The CCA reasoned that, based solely on these jury
    instructions:
    DECK V. JENKINS                         43
    [T]he jury knew it was not enough to plan or
    prepare to commit a lewd act at a potential
    later rendezvous. Rather, the attempt must
    consist of “an immediate step that puts the
    plan in motion so that the plan would have
    been completed if some circumstance outside
    the plan had not interrupted the attempt.” We
    presume the jury followed these instructions.
    
    Id.
    The CCA recognized that Deck’s argument relied heavily
    on the jury’s request for clarification of the law relating to the
    prosecutor’s closing rebuttal argument:
    [A]bout an hour into deliberations, the jury
    sent the trial court a note asking it to
    “‘[c]larify [the] law as it relates to whether
    defendant did not have to do anything that
    day, only attempted [sic] to put it into play.’”
    The trial court excused the jury an hour early
    for the weekend recess to discuss the matter
    with counsel, and then excused the jury after
    only an hour of deliberation on Monday
    because defense counsel became ill. At the
    outset of deliberations on Tuesday, the trial
    court seated an alternate juror to replace a
    juror who had called in sick.
    The trial court had discussed with counsel
    how to respond to Friday’s jury note but,
    given deliberations had to begin anew with
    the substitute juror, the trial court instructed
    the jury as follows: “I know that there was a
    44                     DECK V. JENKINS
    previous question sent out by the foreperson,
    Juror # 9. In light of the fact I have just given
    you this instruction that you have to start all
    over again, disregard past deliberations, you
    need to follow that instruction. If you have
    any further questions that you want answered
    once you start deliberating with the jury, send
    that out in the question format and we will
    answer it for you.”
    
    Id. at *13
    .
    Finally, the CCA reasoned that the jury’s failure to
    resubmit its question (or a similar one) after restarting
    deliberations demonstrated the jury was not misled by the
    prosecutor’s misstatements:
    The jury, presumably having taken a fresh
    look—or a first look in the case of the new
    juror—at the trial court’s instructions, had no
    further questions for the trial court and
    reached a verdict. Deck does not dispute the
    trial court’s instructions concerning attempt
    correctly stated the law. We must presume
    the jury understood and followed those
    instructions. Consequently, there is no basis
    to conclude the jury disregarded the trial
    court’s instructions and instead fixated on an
    isolated comment by the prosecutor.
    
    Id.
    The CCA’s version of events contains most of the details
    relevant to this appeal, but three additional points are helpful.
    DECK V. JENKINS                         45
    First, Deck’s trial defense was that Deck, a California
    Highway Patrol Officer, approached his initial meeting with
    Amy cautiously and lacked the mental intent to engage in a
    lewd act “on that date.” Defense counsel emphasized this
    point heavily during his closing argument. The prosecutor
    recognized the importance of this defense argument and told
    the judge that the purpose of his rebuttal was to dispute it.
    Second, though the CCA described the prosecutor’s
    misstatements as an “isolated departure in a few stray words,”
    there was another important misstatement by the prosecutor
    during rebuttal: “Even if you buy this baloney just see her
    that day, not touching her, stay five feet away from her,
    follow up the next day if they got along, then commit the
    lewd act, that is sufficient under the law for the defendant to
    be guilty.” Third, the trial court never instructed the jury that,
    in order to convict, it was required to find beyond a
    reasonable doubt that Deck had moved beyond preparation on
    the night he was arrested and would have committed a lewd
    act that night, but for his arrest.
    Deck filed a petition for review to the California Supreme
    Court, which denied review. Deck then filed a petition in
    federal court for writ of habeas corpus pursuant to 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    . A federal magistrate judge recommended dismissal
    of the petition with prejudice, and the district court adopted
    the magistrate’s findings and recommendations. Deck
    appeals.
    JURISDICTION AND STANDARD OF REVIEW
    We have jurisdiction under 
    28 U.S.C. § 2253
    . We review
    the district court’s denial of Deck’s § 2254 habeas corpus
    petition de novo. Gonzalez v. Duncan, 
    551 F.3d 875
    , 879
    (9th Cir. 2008). Looking through the district court’s decision,
    46                    DECK V. JENKINS
    we examine the last reasoned state-court decision, which in
    this case is the opinion of the CCA. See Van Lynn v. Farmon,
    
    347 F.3d 735
    , 738 (9th Cir. 2003).
    The CCA decided that “pushing defendant’s intent to
    commit a lewd act on ‘Amy’ to, potentially, ‘next week’ or in
    ‘two weekends’ or ‘just some point in the future’ negate[d]
    the essential element necessary to constitute an attempt.”
    Deck, 
    2011 WL 2001825
    , at *12. In other words, the CCA
    established that a trial error occurred through the prosecutor’s
    misstatement of California law. See Wood v. Ryan, 
    693 F.3d 1104
    , 1113 (9th Cir. 2012) (prosecutorial misconduct is a trial
    error). We do not review this ruling, nor do we review the
    state court’s interpretation of the California law of attempt as
    applied to Deck’s case. See Bradshaw v. Richey, 
    546 U.S. 74
    ,
    76 (2005) (“[A] state court’s interpretation of state law,
    including one announced on direct appeal of the challenged
    conviction, binds a federal court sitting in habeas corpus.”).
    Whether a trial error amounts to a constitutional violation
    depends on the extent to which it renders the proceedings
    unfair. Darden v. Wainwright, 
    477 U.S. 168
    , 181 (1986). A
    constitutional trial error does not warrant reversal if “it was
    harmless beyond a reasonable doubt.” Chapman v.
    California, 
    386 U.S. 18
    , 24 (1967). On habeas review, we
    must evaluate whether the CCA’s decision “was contrary to,
    or involved an unreasonable application of, [this] clearly
    established Federal law, as determined by the Supreme Court
    of the United States.” 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    (d)(1).
    DECK V. JENKINS                              47
    DISCUSSION
    I. The CCA’s determination that no constitutional
    violation occurred was an unreasonable application of
    clearly established federal law.
    A. Clearly established federal law provides that a
    prosecutor’s improper comments amount to a
    constitutional violation if they rendered the trial
    fundamentally unfair.
    It is clearly established under Supreme Court precedent
    that a prosecutor’s “misleading . . . arguments” to the jury
    may rise to the level of a federal constitutional violation.
    Sechrest v. Ignacio, 
    549 F.3d 789
    , 807 (9th Cir. 2008) (citing
    Darden, 
    477 U.S. at
    181–82); see also Allen v. Woodford,
    
    395 F.3d 979
    , 997 (9th Cir. 2005) (citing Darden for
    conclusion that improper prosecutorial argument may violate
    federal constitutional rights). The Supreme Court recently
    reaffirmed that Darden is the “clearly established Federal
    law” relating to a “prosecutor’s improper comments” for
    purposes of AEDPA review. Parker v. Matthews, 
    132 S. Ct. 2148
    , 2153 (2012).3 The “clearly established Federal law”
    from Darden is that a prosecutor’s improper comments
    amount to a constitutional violation if they “so infected the
    trial with unfairness as to make the resulting conviction a
    denial of due process.” Darden, 
    477 U.S. at 181
     (quoting
    3
    The dissent suggests that we treat Parker itself as “clearly established
    Federal law.” In fact, we cite Parker to illustrate that the rule from
    Darden is clearly established—and was at the time of the state court’s
    decision. See Duhaime v. Ducharme, 
    200 F.3d 597
    , 600 (9th Cir. 2000)
    (recognizing that persuasive authority “may help us determine what
    [Supreme Court] law is ‘clearly established’”).
    48                    DECK V. JENKINS
    Donnelly v. DeChristoforo, 
    416 U.S. 637
    , 643 (1974)); see
    also Caldwell v. Mississippi, 
    472 U.S. 320
    , 340 (1985). The
    Court has acknowledged that “the Darden standard is a very
    general one,” Parker, 
    132 S. Ct. at 2155
    , but AEDPA
    “recognizes . . . that even a general standard may be applied
    in an unreasonable manner,” Panetti v. Quarterman, 
    551 U.S. 930
    , 953 (2007). A federal court may find “an application of
    a principle unreasonable when it involves a set of facts
    ‘different from those of the case in which the principle was
    announced.’” 
    Id.
     (quoting Lockyer v. Andrade, 
    538 U.S. 63
    ,
    76 (2003)).
    We recognize that “clearly established federal law” for
    purposes of AEDPA review includes only “the holdings, as
    opposed to the dicta, of [the Supreme] Court’s decisions.”
    White v. Woodall, 
    134 S. Ct. 1697
    , 1702 (2014) (quoting
    Howes v. Fields, 
    132 S. Ct. 1181
    , 1187 (2012)). Therefore,
    we do not construe the reasoning used in prior Supreme Court
    decisions as an “elaborate, multistep test.” Parker, 
    132 S. Ct. at 2155
    . No single consideration should be treated as either
    necessary or sufficient to reach a decision. See 
    id.
     at 2155–56
    (holding appellate court’s use of multistep test for
    unconstitutionality of prosecutorial misconduct improperly
    departed from the “highly generalized standard” in Darden).
    Holding that a condemnatory closing argument did not
    deprive the petitioner in Darden of a fair trial, the Supreme
    Court reasoned that the prosecutor “did not manipulate or
    misstate the evidence” and that the trial court properly
    instructed the jury “that the arguments of counsel were not
    evidence.” 
    477 U.S. at
    181–82. The Court also considered
    the “heavy” weight of the evidence against the petitioner,
    which “reduced the likelihood that the jury’s decision was
    influenced by argument.” 
    Id. at 182
    .
    DECK V. JENKINS                      49
    The Supreme Court elsewhere observed that:
    arguments of counsel generally carry less
    weight with a jury than do instructions from
    the court. The former are usually billed in
    advance to the jury as matters of argument,
    not evidence, and are likely viewed as the
    statements of advocates; the latter, we have
    often recognized, are viewed as definitive and
    binding statements of the law. Arguments of
    counsel which misstate the law are subject to
    objection and to correction by the court. This
    is not to say that prosecutorial
    misrepresentations may never have a decisive
    effect on the jury, but only that they are not to
    be judged as having the same force as an
    instruction from the court. And the arguments
    of counsel, like the instructions of the court,
    must be judged in the context in which they
    are made.
    Boyde v. California, 
    494 U.S. 370
    , 384–85 (1990) (emphasis
    added) (citations omitted). We recognize that “[a] slight
    misstatement of law by a prosecutor can be rendered harmless
    by the court’s proper instruction to the jury.” United States
    v. Mendoza, 
    244 F.3d 1037
    , 1045 (9th Cir. 2001). And under
    Supreme Court precedent, a jury is presumed to follow the
    trial court’s instructions. Weeks v. Angelone, 
    528 U.S. 225
    ,
    234 (2000).
    50                       DECK V. JENKINS
    B. The CCA implicitly ruled that the prosecutor’s
    misstatements did not amount to a constitutional
    violation.
    The heading of the relevant section of the CCA’s decision
    analyzing the prosecutor’s rebuttal closing argument was:
    “The Prosecutor’s Misstatement Concerning Attempt Was
    Harmless.” The CCA agreed with Deck that the prosecutor
    misstated the law of attempt but held that “this lone
    misstatement—counteracted by the trial court’s correct
    instructions—was harmless.”4 Deck, 
    2011 WL 2001825
    , at
    *11. We accept the CCA’s interpretation of California law
    and take as established that prosecutorial error occurred. The
    CCA did not expressly reach the question whether this error
    amounted to a violation of federal due process, so we must
    consider whether the CCA’s harmlessness determination
    amounted to an implied ruling that no federal constitutional
    violation took place.
    The Supreme Court has defined a “fair trial” as “a trial
    resulting in a verdict worthy of confidence.” Kyles v.
    Whitley, 
    514 U.S. 419
    , 434 (1995). In Hein v. Sullivan,
    
    601 F.3d 897
     (9th Cir. 2010), our court summarized the
    factors the Supreme Court evaluated in Darden to determine
    whether the petitioner’s trial was “fair,” and then observed
    that consideration of the Darden factors “appears to be
    equivalent to evaluating whether there was a ‘reasonable
    probability’ of a different result.” 
    Id.
     at 914–15. California
    courts use the “reasonable probability” standard to evaluate
    whether prosecutorial misconduct renders a trial
    fundamentally unfair under state law. See People v. Partida,
    4
    As explained below, the prosecutor’s error was more than a single
    “lone misstatement,” but this point is not relevant here.
    DECK V. JENKINS                  51
    
    122 P.3d 765
    , 771 (Cal. 2005); People v. Espinoza, 
    838 P.2d 204
    , 212 (Cal. 1992). We therefore conclude that, although
    the CCA did not independently evaluate the federal
    constitutional question, its harmlessness analysis can be seen
    as an implied ruling that no federal constitutional violation
    occurred because the prosecutor’s error was harmless.5
    C. The CCA’s conclusion was unreasonable.
    To be entitled to habeas relief, it is not enough for Deck
    to show that the CCA’s determination that no constitutional
    violation occurred was “incorrect or erroneous.” He must
    show the CCA’s determination was “objectively
    unreasonable.” Lockyer, 
    538 U.S. at 75
    . A state court
    determination is objectively unreasonable only when “there
    is no possibility fairminded jurists could disagree that the
    state court’s decision conflicts with th[e] [Supreme] Court’s
    precedents.” Harrington v. Richter, 
    562 U.S. 86
    , 102 (2011).
    Because the prosecutor’s misstatements were not inadvertent
    or isolated; because the jury was never correctly instructed
    that, in order to convict, it had to find Deck had moved
    beyond preparation and would have engaged in a lewd act
    with Amy the night he was arrested; and because the evidence
    concerning the temporal aspect of Deck’s intent was not
    overwhelming, we conclude this stringent standard has been
    met.
    1. The prosecutor’s misstatements were not
    inadvertent or isolated.
    In its analysis of prejudice, the CCA reasoned that “the
    prosecutor’s errant gloss on the law . . . . was an isolated
    5
    The dissent reaches the same conclusion.
    52                    DECK V. JENKINS
    departure in a few stray words and not the focus of the
    prosecutor’s argument.” Deck, 
    2011 WL 2001825
    , at *12.
    But it is clear the erroneous assertions of law in the
    prosecutor’s closing rebuttal argument were not mere “stray
    words,” they were a direct response to the central theory of
    Deck’s case. See 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    (e)(1).
    The contention that Deck did not intend to commit a lewd
    act on the night of the meeting was absolutely central to his
    defense. In closing argument, defense counsel told the jury
    that, while Deck’s conduct may have been reprehensible, it
    did not constitute attempt. He stressed that Deck’s defense
    was a technical one, telling the jury that this was a case where
    law and justice might not be “on the same side” and “don’t
    necessarily meet.” Defense counsel expressly argued to the
    jury that “Mr. Deck never had the intent in the first place to
    engage in a lewd act” on the date of the meeting, and that
    “Mr. Deck had a definite and unambiguous intent not to
    engage in a lewd act on that date” (emphasis added).
    Leaving no doubt that the jury would be required to examine
    the precise elements of the law of attempt in California,
    defense counsel argued: “Like it or not[,] the law is on Mr.
    Deck’s side in this case. Like it or not.” Whether Deck had
    advanced beyond mere preparation and intended to commit
    a lewd act on the night of the meeting was not a side issue in
    his trial; it went to the heart of Deck’s defense, and his
    counsel made this abundantly clear to the jury.
    The prosecutor’s statements about the purpose of his
    rebuttal closing argument contradict the CCA’s description of
    his misstatements as stray words. After the jury sent its note
    requesting clarification on the temporal requirement of
    Deck’s intent, the prosecutor claimed that his rebuttal was
    DECK V. JENKINS                       53
    necessary to convey the State’s position on what the law
    required the State to prove:
    The Court: You did not object at all to
    [defense counsel’s] argument. He clearly
    argued to the jury that [Deck] had to commit
    a lewd act that day, that he had the intent to do
    that.
    [Prosecutor]: That is what my rebuttal was
    for. I am arguing what the law is.
    (emphasis added). The prosecutor’s view that the law did not
    require him to prove Deck intended to engage in a lewd act
    on the night of the meeting is precisely the one the CCA later
    rejected.
    There is no doubt the trial court recognized that the
    defense and prosecution made directly conflicting statements
    to the jury regarding what the jury had to find to convict
    Deck, and that the court’s written instructions did not address
    the issue. Because this question was pivotal to Deck’s
    defense, the trial judge stated that he would “even entertain
    additional closing argument on [the] issue based on the fact
    that there were two different things argued to the jury.” The
    judge observed that it was “not surprising” that the jury asked
    for clarification in light of this difference.
    The CCA’s characterization of the prosecutor’s
    misstatements as brief and errant departures from an
    otherwise sound argument is contradicted by the record. The
    State’s rebuttal unambiguously repeated several erroneous
    statements regarding what California law required to convict
    Deck. The misstatements were the counterpunch to Deck’s
    54                    DECK V. JENKINS
    “like it or not” closing argument. The prosecutor told the
    jurors that although the evidence showed Deck intended to
    engage in lewd conduct that night, they could convict Deck
    even if they agreed with the defense that the evidence raised
    reasonable doubt about when Deck would have followed
    through:
    But even if his intent was just to meet her, get
    to know her, break the ice and follow up the
    next day, the next week, maybe two weekends
    when mom’s gone, again, as long as he took a
    direct, but ineffectual step towards that goal,
    that is all I need.
    I don’t need to prove to you that he was
    going to commit a lewd act on that day, just
    some point in the future [sic] direct and
    ineffectual step that day. So the best case
    scenario for the defense is baloney. . . . Even
    if you buy this baloney[,] just see her that day,
    not touching her, stay five feet away from her,
    follow up the next day if they got along, then
    commit the lewd act, that is sufficient under
    the law for the defendant to be guilty.
    The prosecutor’s repetition of the phrase “even if”
    unquestionably shows that he presented alternative theories
    of the case on which the jury could rely to convict Deck,
    rather than making a passing incorrect statement of his
    primary argument.          The prosecutor’s unequivocal
    assertions—“that is all I need” and “that is sufficient under
    the law for the defendant to be guilty”—leave no doubt he
    was arguing, incorrectly, that the jury could still convict Deck
    DECK V. JENKINS                        55
    even if it had doubt about whether Deck intended to engage
    in a lewd act on the night of the meeting.
    The unequivocal manner in which the prosecutor
    presented his alternative theory, using statements like
    “sufficient under the law,” created a significant likelihood
    that the comments would be “viewed as definitive and
    binding statements of the law,” rather than merely as
    argument. See Boyde, 
    494 U.S. at 384
    . We need not engage
    in speculative Monday morning quarterbacking to know the
    rebuttal argument may have seriously misled the jury; the
    jury’s note to the trial court after the start of deliberations
    went straight to this contested point of law. It asked the court
    to “[c]larify law as it relates to whether defendant did not
    have to do anything that day only attempt to put it into play.”
    In other words, the jury asked whether it needed to find that
    Deck would have committed a lewd act on the night of the
    meeting. But as explained in the next section, the trial court
    never clarified this point of California law.
    2. The trial court never correctly instructed the
    jury that, in order to convict, it had to find
    Deck had moved beyond preparation and
    intended to engage in a lewd act on the night of
    the meeting.
    “Arguments of counsel which misstate the law are subject
    to objection and to correction by the court,” 
    id.,
     but here the
    trial court did not correct the prosecutor’s misstatements; the
    written instructions said nothing about the temporal
    component of the State’s burden. Nor did the court answer
    the question posed in the jury’s note, because the jury was
    subsequently told to start deliberations over after a juror
    became sick and had to be excused. Notably, even the trial
    56                          DECK V. JENKINS
    court did not expect the jury to find the answer to its question
    in the written set of jury instructions. The record shows the
    judge anticipated the jury would ask the same question, and
    the court was diligently reviewing the applicable California
    case law and working with counsel to draft a response when
    the jury reached a verdict. That the trial court did not issue a
    correction before the verdict was returned weighs in favor of
    finding a constitutional violation, because, as we have
    recognized, improper prosecutorial statements cannot be
    neutralized by instructions that do not in any way address
    “the specific statements of the prosecutor.” United States v.
    Weatherspoon, 
    410 F.3d 1142
    , 1151 (9th Cir. 2005) (quoting
    United States v. Kerr, 
    981 F.2d 1050
    , 1054 (9th Cir. 1992)).
    The CCA emphasized that “the trial court properly
    instructed the jury on the relevant principles” of the law of
    attempt. Deck, 
    2011 WL 2001825
    , at *12. The written
    instructions made it clear that the State needed to prove Deck:
    (1) “took a direct but ineffective step toward committing” the
    crime; and (2) “intended to commit” the crime. The
    instructions explained that a direct step “is a direct movement
    towards the commission of the crime after preparations are
    made” (emphasis added). The CCA held that this instruction
    correctly stated the law, and we do not review this holding.6
    6
    The instructions elaborated in full:
    A direct step requires more than merely planning or
    preparing to commit [the offense] or obtaining or
    arranging for something needed to commit [the
    offense]. A direct step is one that goes beyond
    planning or preparation and shows that a person is
    putting his plan into action. A direct step indicates a
    definite and unambiguous intent to commit [the
    offense]. It is a direct movement towards the
    DECK V. JENKINS                          57
    See Bradshaw, 
    546 U.S. at 76
    .
    But the CCA went on to conclude, based on the written
    instructions alone, that “the jury knew it was not enough to
    plan or prepare to commit a lewd act at a potential later
    rendezvous.” Deck, 
    2011 WL 2001825
    , at *12. Reasonable
    jurists could not disagree that this conclusion does not
    comport with the record. The instructions entirely failed to
    address the specific misstatements made by the prosecutor.
    Counsel made diametrically opposing statements to the jury
    about whether the law required the State to show that Deck
    intended to commit a lewd act on the night of the meeting,
    and the instructions were silent on this point. The jury could
    have concluded that the instructions were perfectly
    compatible with the prosecutor’s repeated assertions that
    Deck could be found guilty even if the meeting was merely
    a step in a plan to commit a lewd act “the next day, the next
    week, maybe [in] two weekends” because the prosecutor told
    the jury that, under the State’s alternative theory, it was
    sufficient if the jury found the purpose of the initial meeting
    was to confirm Amy’s identity before arranging a future
    sexual encounter.
    The CCA’s conclusion that the jury correctly understood
    the law of attempt is further undermined by the differing
    interpretations of the law adhered to by the trial court and
    counsel. The prosecutor believed the instructions permitted
    his view of the law, but the CCA later held that the prosecutor
    commission of the crime after preparations are made.
    It is an immediate step that puts the plan in motion so
    that the plan would have been completed if some
    circumstances outside the plan had not interrupted the
    attempt.
    58                    DECK V. JENKINS
    was wrong. Defense counsel insisted the law required more.
    Tellingly, the trial judge sided with the prosecutor and not the
    defense. After going round and round on the issue with
    counsel outside the presence of the jury, the judge stated:
    [M]y analysis of it after reading [California]
    cases is that the People are correct in their
    analysis of the law. I do not think it has to be,
    the ultimate step, intend to commit it that day.
    He had to have the specific intent to commit
    the lewd act at or about the time he took the
    direct step. That doesn’t mean he had to have
    the intent to commit child abuse that day, on
    that particular day. I think that is accurate.
    But it’s very, very difficult to phrase that in an
    instruction format that it’s clean and that’s
    understandable. I mean if the lawyers can’t
    even agree, how do we expect jurors or
    layperson to grasp it[?]
    (emphases added). The italicized sentences in this statement
    encapsulate a separate problem with the CCA’s analysis. The
    CCA decided “the jury knew it was not enough to plan or
    prepare to commit a lewd act at a potential later rendezvous,”
    
    id.,
     but it is difficult to imagine “the jury knew” something
    from the jury instructions that even the trial judge who gave
    the instructions did not know.
    The trial judge and counsel plainly agreed that the jury’s
    question was not addressed by the court’s written
    instructions, and they expected the jury to come back with
    another version of its initial question after it restarted
    deliberations with the new juror. Working to craft an answer
    to the question when the bailiff announced there was a
    DECK V. JENKINS                        59
    verdict, the court seemed surprised that the jury could have
    reached a verdict without having its earlier question
    answered:
    The Bailiff: There’s a verdict, your Honor.
    The Court: There is a verdict?
    The Bailiff: Yes.
    The Court: Well, that solves that issue.
    The dissent relies on the presumption that a jury
    understands and follows the court’s instructions. We
    recognize the existence of this well-established presumption,
    but it is not dispositive here for a simple reason the dissent
    fails to acknowledge: the jury instructions on attempt did not
    address the temporal issue that was the gravamen of the
    prosecutor’s misstatements. The instructions did say that to
    be convicted of attempt, the defendant must put his “plan in
    motion so that the plan would have been completed if some
    circumstances outside the plan had not interrupted the
    attempt.” But this provided no guidance as to whether, in
    order to convict Deck, his plan would have to be completed
    that night, or, as the prosecutor incorrectly told the jury, Deck
    merely had to put in motion a plan to complete the act “the
    next day, the next week, maybe two weekends [later].” The
    trial judge’s interpretation of the instructions in a manner
    inconsistent with the CCA’s determination of California law
    vividly illustrates that, even if the jury read the instructions
    carefully and made their best effort to follow them, they
    could no more than guess at the correct rule of California law.
    To be clear, we do not believe the jury failed to follow the
    trial court’s directions in the sense that it disregarded the
    60                       DECK V. JENKINS
    court’s instructions. Rather, the record shows that the most
    diligent of juries would have had no way of divining whether
    the prosecutor’s interpretation of the law of attempt was
    incorrect from the instructions given to them.7
    3. The evidence concerning the temporal aspect
    of Deck’s intent was not overwhelming.
    In Darden, the Supreme Court reasoned that
    overwhelming evidence “reduced the likelihood that the
    jury’s decision was influenced by” the prosecutor’s improper
    argument in that case. 
    477 U.S. at 196
    . The weight of the
    evidence against Deck is an important consideration, but it
    does not change the outcome on the facts presented here.
    Because fairminded jurists could not disagree that the
    prosecutor’s misstatements went to the heart of Deck’s
    defense, and the trial court never correctly instructed the jury
    that—contrary to the prosecutor’s misstatements—in order to
    convict it had to find beyond a reasonable doubt that Deck
    had moved beyond preparation and intended to engage in a
    lewd act with Amy on the night of the meeting, fairminded
    jurists could reach no conclusion other than that the CCA’s
    finding of no constitutional violation was unreasonable. See
    Harrington, 
    562 U.S. at 102
    .
    7
    Deck’s case is analogous to cases where the jury has been “instructed
    on multiple theories of guilt, one of which is improper.” Hedgpeth v.
    Pulido, 
    555 U.S. 57
    , 61 (2008). Here, the prosecutor and defense counsel
    gave contradictory interpretations of the law of attempt, and the
    instructions themselves did not resolve the contradiction. Under these
    circumstances, we agree with what our dissenting colleague wrote in a
    previous decision: “While we presume jurors follow the instructions they
    are given, we cannot equally assume they can sort out legal
    contradictions.” Doe v. Busby, 
    661 F.3d 1001
    , 1023 (9th Cir. 2011) (M.
    Smith, authoring judge).
    DECK V. JENKINS                        61
    The jury could have found Deck intended to engage in
    lewd touching with Amy on the night of the meeting: he had
    previously discussed performing sexual acts with her in
    graphic detail, he knew that her mother was not at home, and
    he had condoms in his car. As the CCA observed, “A rational
    juror reasonably could conclude Deck’s comments [about
    feeling sick, wanting to meet in public, and cautioning ‘no
    kissing or nothing’ at the meeting] served merely as a ploy to
    convince ‘Amy’ to meet him or as a prudent precaution Deck
    took to verify ‘Amy’s’ age and identity.” Deck, 
    2011 WL 2001825
    , at *9. By bringing a piece of pie with him, Deck
    could argue that his earlier message was not intended to
    convey a sexual overtone. Deck’s background as a lieutenant
    with the California Highway Patrol made it more likely that
    he was playing it safe in his communications with Amy to
    avoid exactly this type of sting. The prosecutor argued along
    these lines in closing rebuttal that Deck “knew what the
    defense was” to the charge and “tried to create his own
    defense.”
    The CCA also emphasized that only minimal physical
    contact was required to support a conviction for committing
    a lewd act. The intended touching need not have been overtly
    sexualized to an outside observer. 
    Id. at *10
     (“[T]he jury
    need only have found Deck intended to touch ‘Amy’ with the
    intent to arouse himself or her.”). In an earlier chat
    discussion, Deck conceded that although he wanted to meet
    in public for their first date and not engage in sexual activity,
    “I probably won’t be able to keep my hands off of you.” 
    Id. at *2
    .
    On the other hand, the same evidence suggests the jury
    could have based its verdict on the prosecutor’s alternative
    theory that Deck intended to commit lewd acts with Amy not
    62                    DECK V. JENKINS
    on the night of the meeting, but on some unspecified future
    date. The jury may have believed Deck wanted to avoid
    contact with Amy on the night he was arrested because he
    was grooming Amy for future contacts and wanted to
    exercise caution by having a more limited first meeting, in
    public, to assess the situation and avoid a sting. The jury
    might even have believed that Deck did not intend contact or
    touching on that particular night because he was ill, as he
    claimed. That Deck was carrying a camera and had condoms
    in his car shows preparation, but these facts do not establish
    when he planned to follow through. The prosecutor’s
    assurance that the jury could convict “even if” it believed the
    prosecution’s alternative theory of the case may have
    influenced the jury to find “attempt” based on an anticipated
    future rendezvous with Amy. The jury’s note suggests at
    least some jurors were on the fence about this question. And
    as explained, the trial court never instructed the jury with
    respect to this issue.
    Based on the foregoing, we hold that fairminded jurists
    could reach only one conclusion: the prosecutor’s uncorrected
    misstatements of the law rendered Deck’s trial fundamentally
    unfair, in violation of his clearly established constitutional
    rights.
    II. The constitutional violation was prejudicial.
    Our inquiry does not end with the conclusion that the
    CCA’s finding of no constitutional error was unreasonable.
    As explained, even on direct review a constitutional trial error
    will not warrant reversal if it was harmless beyond a
    reasonable doubt. See Chapman, 
    386 U.S. at 24
    . In a
    collateral proceeding, the test is more forgiving to the
    prosecution. Habeas petitioners are not entitled to relief
    DECK V. JENKINS                        63
    based on trial error unless the error resulted in “actual
    prejudice.” Davis v. Ayala, 
    135 S. Ct. 2187
    , 2197 (2015)
    (quoting Brecht v. Abrahamson, 
    507 U.S. 619
    , 637 (1993)).
    “Under th[e] [Brecht] test, relief is proper only if the federal
    court has ‘grave doubt about whether a trial error of federal
    law had substantial and injurious effect or influence in
    determining the jury’s verdict.’” 
    Id.
     at 2197–98 (quoting
    O’Neal v. McAninch, 
    513 U.S. 432
    , 436 (1995)); see also
    O’Neal, 
    513 U.S. at 437
     (defining “grave doubt” as being in
    “virtual equipoise as to the harmlessness of the error”).
    Because it is more stringent, the Brecht test “subsumes”
    the AEDPA/Chapman standard for review of a state court
    determination of the harmlessness of a constitutional
    violation. Fry v. Pliler, 
    551 U.S. 112
    , 120 (2007). A federal
    habeas court therefore need not formally apply both the
    Brecht test and the AEDPA standard; it is sufficient to apply
    Brecht alone. 
    Id.
     A determination that the error resulted in
    “actual prejudice,” Brecht, 
    507 U.S. at 637
    , necessarily
    means that the state court’s harmlessness determination was
    not merely incorrect, but objectively unreasonable, Davis,
    
    135 S. Ct. at
    2198–99. A separate AEDPA/Chapman
    determination is not required.
    As explained, under clearly established Supreme Court
    law, the constitutional dimension of the prosecutor’s
    misstatements turns entirely on the issue of prejudice: the
    error rises to the level of Darden error only if there is a
    reasonable probability that it rendered the trial fundamentally
    unfair. Our analysis of prejudice therefore overlaps
    completely with our analysis of the CCA’s constitutional
    determination. We conclude no fairminded jurist could agree
    with the CCA’s harmlessness determination, and that the
    64                          DECK V. JENKINS
    prosecutor’s misstatements resulted in “actual prejudice.”
    See 
    id. at 2203
    .
    The CCA’s decision established that the prosecutor gave
    incorrect direction to the jury about an element of California
    law under which Deck was convicted. The record establishes
    that the comments were not inadvertent or isolated, and it
    cannot be questioned they went to the heart of Deck’s
    defense. The lawyers’ diametrically opposed statements of
    the law in closing arguments clearly confused the jury, as
    evidenced by the jury’s request for clarification. The jury’s
    note asked the trial court to “clarify [the] law as it relates to
    whether defendant did not have to do anything that day[,]
    only attempt to put it into play.”8 Even the State concedes on
    appeal that “on some level, [the prosecutor’s] statements
    resonated with the jury in that they provoked a question from
    the jury.”
    Rather than disputing that the prosecutor’s closing
    rebuttal argument perplexed the jury, the State contends the
    jury’s failure to resubmit its question to the trial court after
    restarting its deliberations suggests “the jury was satisfied
    with the original, correct instructions on the crime of attempt
    when it rendered its verdict.” The judge orally directed the
    jury:
    I know that there was a previous question sent
    out by the foreperson, Juror # 9. In light of
    the fact I have just given you this instruction
    8
    The jury’s request for clarification on the law of attempt also included
    the following language, which was crossed out near the top of the blank
    space: “In closing arguments, Prosecutor . . . [illegible] . . . we need it read
    back.”
    DECK V. JENKINS                       65
    that you have to start all over again, disregard
    past deliberations, you need to follow that
    instruction. If you have any further questions
    that you want answered once you start
    deliberating with the jury, send that out in the
    question format and we will answer it for you.
    Deck, 
    2011 WL 2001825
    , at *13. The CCA accepted that the
    jury satisfied itself about what Deck needed to have intended
    to do the night he met Amy by looking at the trial court’s
    written instructions. 
    Id.
     But when the jury resumed its
    deliberations, it worked from the same written instructions
    the original jury had, and they provided no guidance on the
    pivotal question.
    Without the benefit of a correct statement of the law, the
    jury may have arrived at the same erroneous legal conclusion
    that the trial judge reached: that Deck could be convicted
    even if the jury was not sure whether he intended to commit
    a lewd act on the night he met Amy. After all, that is
    precisely what the prosecutor told the jury in rebuttal. Under
    these circumstances, a fairminded jurist could not conclude
    that the jury found beyond a reasonable doubt that Deck
    moved beyond preparation to commit a lewd act with Amy on
    the night of the meeting. Further, we are left with “grave
    doubt” as to the harmlessness of the constitutional trial error
    that occurred in Deck’s case. See O’Neal, 
    513 U.S. at
    437–38.
    CONCLUSION
    The prosecutor’s misstatements regarding an element of
    the crime amounted to constitutional trial error under clearly
    established federal law as determined by the Supreme Court.
    66                      DECK V. JENKINS
    See Darden, 
    477 U.S. at 181
    . The misstatements lowered the
    prosecution’s burden of proof, and therefore resulted in
    “actual prejudice.” See Davis, 
    135 S. Ct. at 2197
    . In view of
    these conclusions, we REVERSE the judgment of the district
    court and REMAND with instructions to grant the petition
    unless the State agrees to grant Deck a new trial within a
    reasonable period of time. See Stark v. Hickman, 
    455 F.3d 1070
    , 1080 (9th Cir. 2006).
    REVERSE AND REMAND.
    M. SMITH, Circuit Judge, dissenting:
    I respectfully dissent.
    The Supreme Court has repeatedly—and often
    unanimously—reversed our circuit’s decisions granting
    § 2254 relief. For example, in its four most recent terms, the
    Supreme Court has reversed us fourteen times in cases
    involving our application of AEDPA, 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    , ten
    of which reversals have been unanimous. Most recently, the
    Supreme Court reversed us in Davis v. Ayala, 
    135 S. Ct. 2187
    (2015), reminding us of the difficult hurdle that petitioners
    must surmount in order for a federal court to reverse a state
    court’s determination that a trial error was harmless under
    Brecht v. Abrahamson, 
    507 U.S. 619
     (1993). In my view, this
    case is yet another candidate for reversal because the majority
    flouts clear Supreme Court AEDPA precedent in order to
    justify its holding that a state court’s decision is incorrect. In
    so doing, the majority commits the same error the Supreme
    Court has criticized our court for making time after time by
    “collapsing the distinction between ‘an unreasonable
    DECK V. JENKINS                                 67
    application of federal law’ and what [the majority] believes
    to be ‘an incorrect or erroneous application of federal law.’”
    Nevada v. Jackson, 
    133 S. Ct. 1990
    , 1994 (2013) (per curiam)
    (quoting Williams v. Taylor, 
    529 U.S. 362
    , 412 (2000))
    (unanimously reversing our grant of habeas relief).1
    1
    See also Marshall v. Rodgers, 
    133 S. Ct. 1446
    , 1450 (2013) (per
    curiam) (unanimously reversing our grant of habeas relief and criticizing
    our court for “[our] mistaken belief that circuit precedent may be used to
    refine or sharpen a general principle of Supreme Court jurisprudence into
    a specific legal rule that [the Supreme] Court has not announced”);
    Cavazos v. Smith, 
    132 S. Ct. 2
    , 6–8 (2011) (per curiam) (reversing our
    grant of habeas relief and stating: “This Court vacated and remanded this
    judgment twice before, calling the panel’s attention to this Court’s
    opinions highlighting the necessity of deference to state courts in
    § 2254(d) habeas cases. Each time the panel persisted in its course,
    reinstating its judgment without seriously confronting the significance of
    the cases called to its attention . . . . Its refusal to do so necessitates this
    Court’s action today.”); Swarthout v. Cooke, 
    562 U.S. 216
    , 222 (2011)
    (per curiam) (unanimously reversing our grant of habeas relief and stating:
    “The short of the matter is that the responsibility for assuring that the
    constitutionally adequate procedures governing California’s parole system
    are properly applied rests with California courts, and is no part of the
    Ninth Circuit’s business.”); Harrington v. Richter, 
    562 U.S. 86
    , 102
    (2011) (unanimously reversing our grant of habeas relief and criticizing
    us for “treat[ing] the unreasonableness question as a test of [our]
    confidence in the result [we] would reach under de novo review”); Premo
    v. Moore, 
    562 U.S. 115
    , 127 (2011) (unanimously reversing our grant of
    habeas relief and criticizing us for “transpos[ing]” Supreme Court
    precedent “into a novel context”); Knowles v. Mirzayance, 
    556 U.S. 111
    ,
    121–23 (2009) (unanimously reversing our grant of habeas relief and
    reminding us that “it is not an unreasonable application of clearly
    established Federal law for a state court to decline to apply a specific legal
    rule that has not been squarely established by [the Supreme] Court”
    (internal quotation marks omitted)); Brown v. Payton, 
    544 U.S. 133
    , 147
    (2005) (reversing our grant of habeas relief and commenting that we had
    “no basis for . . . concluding that the [state court’s] application of [the
    Supreme Court’s] precedents was objectively unreasonable” (internal
    quotation marks omitted)).
    68                    DECK V. JENKINS
    I. Background
    As the majority explains, Deck engaged in online
    conversations with a fictitious thirteen-year-old named Amy.
    The trial record shows that Deck and Amy exchanged
    sexually suggestive messages and that they planned to meet
    in person to “date” and to engage in sexual acts. Deck
    indicated that he would not feel safe meeting for the first time
    at Amy’s home, so they arranged to meet initially at a nearby
    park.
    The day of their planned meeting, Deck told Amy that he
    was sick, and said: “so no kissing or nothing. [I’m] [j]ust
    bringing you . . . pie.” During their prior online
    conversations, Deck had repeatedly used the term “pie” as a
    euphemism for performing oral sex on Amy. Moreover,
    although Deck stated that he and Amy would not engage in
    sexual conduct at their first meeting, he also told Amy “I
    probably won’t be able to keep my hands off of you.”
    On February 18, 2006, Deck drove forty-five minutes to
    meet Amy at the park near her home. Deck arrived around
    8:35 p.m., and when he identified himself to a teenage girl,
    the police arrested him. A subsequent search of Deck’s car
    revealed, among other things, MapQuest directions to Amy’s
    apartment, six packaged condoms, and a digital camera. Deck
    was charged with one count of an attempted lewd act on a
    child under the age of fourteen and tried before a jury.
    During his closing argument, the prosecutor argued that
    Deck was guilty of an attempted lewd act on a child because:
    (1) if Amy had been a real thirteen-year-old, Deck would
    have touched her on February 18, 2006, and (2) in light of
    Deck’s express intent to engage in sexual conduct with Amy,
    DECK V. JENKINS                          69
    “any touching” would have constituted a lewd act under
    California law.
    Throughout his closing argument, the prosecutor
    discussed his understanding of attempt under California law.
    The prosecutor’s explanation was not a model of clarity, nor
    was it entirely accurate. The prosecutor first stated,
    I need to prove to you that [Deck] took a
    direct, but ineffectual step . . . . First of all, his
    intent was to commit a lewd act. Definitely
    going down there to engage in a lewd act,
    lewd contact with Amy. But for that sting
    operation and Amy being fictitious . . . he
    would have [engaged in a lewd act].
    The prosecutor also stated: “But even if [Deck’s] intent was
    to just meet her, get to know her, break the ice and follow up
    the next day, the next week, maybe two weekends when
    mom’s gone, again, as long as he took a direct, but ineffectual
    step towards that goal, that is all I need.”
    Defense counsel did not object to the prosecutor’s closing
    argument, but instead offered his own explanation of attempt
    during his closing remarks. Before the jury started its
    deliberations, the presiding judge correctly instructed the jury
    concerning the law of attempt, as follows:
    A direct step requires more than merely
    planning or preparing to commit [the offense]
    or obtaining or arranging for something
    needed to commit [the offense]. A direct step
    is one that goes beyond planning and
    preparation and shows that a person is putting
    70                    DECK V. JENKINS
    his plan into action. A direct step indicates a
    definite and unambiguous intent to commit
    [the offense]. It is a direct movement towards
    the commission of the crime after
    preparations are made. It is an immediate step
    that puts the plan in motion so that the plan
    would have been completed if some
    circumstances outside the plan had not
    interrupted the attempt.
    (emphasis added).
    On direct appeal, Deck argued, among other things, that
    his conviction should be reversed because the prosecutor
    misstated the law of attempt in his closing argument. The
    California Court of Appeal for the Fourth District (Court of
    Appeal) agreed that the prosecutor was incorrect when he
    stated: “[E]ven if [Deck’s] intent was to just meet [Amy], get
    to know her, break the ice and follow up the next day, the
    next week, maybe two weekends when mom’s gone, again,
    as long as he took a direct, but ineffectual step towards that
    goal, that is all I need.” The Court of Appeal further
    explained that to be guilty of attempt under California law,
    “the acts of the defendant must go so far that they would
    result in the accomplishment of the crime unless frustrated by
    extraneous circumstances.”
    While the Court of Appeal held that the prosecutor
    misstated the law of attempt, the Court nevertheless affirmed
    Deck’s conviction. In so doing, the Court of Appeal held that
    the prosecutor’s legal error did not require reversal because
    the judge correctly instructed the jury. The Court explained:
    “[W]e presume the jury followed [the trial judge’s]
    instructions . . . . [Thus], the jury knew it was not enough to
    DECK V. JENKINS                        71
    plan or prepare to commit a lewd act at a potential later
    rendezvous[, and that] the attempt must consist of ‘an
    immediate step that puts the plan in motion so that the plan
    would have been completed if some circumstances outside
    the plan had not interrupted the attempt.’” According to the
    majority, the Court of Appeal’s holding is an unreasonable
    application of clearly established federal law. I respectfully
    disagree.
    II. Clearly Established Law
    The majority contends that Deck is entitled to habeas
    relief, because (1) the prosecutor inadvertently misstated
    California law in his closing argument, and (2) the majority
    has “grave doubt” as to whether this misstatement affected
    the outcome of Deck’s trial. But whether the majority has
    “grave doubt” about whether a trial error was harmless is only
    relevant if that error amounts to a constitutional violation. See
    O’Neal v. McAninch, 
    513 U.S. 432
    , 435–36 (1995). When a
    state court has previously determined that no such
    constitutional error occurred, a federal court “ha[s] no
    authority” to disrupt the state court’s holding unless the state
    court’s holding is “‘contrary to, or involved an unreasonable
    application of, clearly established Federal law, as determined
    by the Supreme Court of the United States.’” Parker v.
    Mathews, 
    132 S. Ct. 2148
    , 2151 (2012) (per curiam) (quoting
    
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    (d)).
    The Supreme Court has also emphasized that “an
    unreasonable application of federal law is different from an
    incorrect application of federal law.” See, e.g., Harrington,
    
    562 U.S. at 101
     (quoting Williams, 
    529 U.S. at 410
    ). “The
    critical point is that relief is available under § 2254(d)(1)’s
    unreasonable-application clause if, and only if, it is so
    72                     DECK V. JENKINS
    obvious that a clearly established rule applies to a given set
    of facts that there could be no ‘fairminded disagreement’ on
    the question.” White v. Woodall, 
    134 S. Ct. 1697
    , 1706–07
    (2014) (quoting Harrington, 
    562 U.S. at 102
    ).
    Importantly, even if a federal court would grant relief to
    a § 2254 petitioner under a de novo review, a state court’s
    denial of relief is not necessarily unreasonable. Harrington,
    
    562 U.S. at
    101–02. This is so, because “[u]nder § 2254(d),
    a habeas court must [first] determine what arguments or
    theories supported or . . . could have supported, the state
    court’s decision,” and then “‘[t]he only question that matters’
    . . . [is] whether it is possible [that] fairminded jurists could
    disagree that those arguments or theories are inconsistent
    with the holding in a prior decision of [the Supreme] Court.”
    Id. at 102 (quoting Lockyer v. Andrade, 
    538 U.S. 63
    , 71
    (2003)) (emphasis added).
    The majority’s opinion rests on its conclusion that a
    defendant’s right to due process of law is violated when the
    prosecutor misstates the law in his closing argument, even
    when the judge correctly instructs the jury on the relevant
    legal principles. While the majority may believe that federal
    law should protect a criminal defendant from prosecutorial
    errors of this nature, the Supreme Court has never announced
    such a rule.
    The majority correctly observes that the Supreme Court
    has stated that prosecutorial misconduct may deny a criminal
    defendant due process of law. But the only Supreme Court
    decisions the majority cites for this proposition are Parker,
    
    132 S. Ct. at
    2154–55 (holding that § 2254 relief was not
    proper because the alleged prosecutorial error was not a
    clearly established constitutional violation), Darden v.
    DECK V. JENKINS                        73
    Wainwright, 
    477 U.S. 168
    , 179–83 (1986) (same), and
    Caldwell v. Mississippi, 
    472 U.S. 320
    , 339–40 (1985)
    (holding that the Eighth Amendment is violated when the
    prosecutor and the court erroneously instruct the jury that the
    responsibility for determining whether a death sentence is
    appropriate lies with the court of appeals and not with the
    jury).
    While Parker, Darden, and Caldwell all state that
    prosecutorial misconduct could render a trial so unfair as to
    deny a defendant due process of law, in none of these cases
    did the Supreme Court actually hold that a prosecutor’s error
    denied a criminal defendant due process, nor did the Court
    establish what type of misconduct would cause a trial error of
    constitutional magnitude.
    Critically, the Supreme Court has never held, nor even
    suggested, that a defendant’s constitutional rights are
    violated where a prosecutor misstates the law in closing
    argument, but the trial judge correctly instructs the jury. In
    fact, the Supreme Court has indicated just the opposite.
    The Supreme Court has long held that “[a] jury is
    presumed to follow” a judge’s instructions. Weeks v.
    Angelone, 
    528 U.S. 225
    , 234 (2000). This is true even when
    a party provides contrary instructions. For example, in Brown
    v. Payton, 
    544 U.S. 133
     (2005), the prosecutor repeatedly and
    incorrectly argued to the jury that it could not consider certain
    mitigating evidence in the penalty phase of the defendant’s
    trial for capital murder. The court failed to provide a
    corrective instruction, but correctly instructed the jury on the
    applicable law before deliberations began. 
    Id.
     at 146–47. In
    so doing, the trial court did not instruct the jury that the
    prosecutor’s statements were incorrect. 
    Id.
     It merely provided
    74                     DECK V. JENKINS
    a correct explanation of the law, which was inconsistent with
    the prosecutor’s erroneous statements. 
    Id.
    The Brown Court (reversing our court, sitting en banc)
    held that the petitioner was not entitled to relief under § 2254.
    Although the Supreme Court acknowledged that the trial
    court “should have [explicitly] advised the jury that it could
    consider [the mitigating] evidence,” it was not unreasonable
    for the state court to conclude that the jury relied on the
    judge’s correct instructions, rather than on the prosecutor’s
    misstatements. Id. at 146–47. As in Brown, the state trial
    court here did not explicitly instruct the jury that the
    prosecutor was incorrect when he stated that the jury could
    convict Deck even if it concluded that Deck did not intend to
    touch Amy for several days or weeks after their initial
    meeting. Nonetheless, the court offered an instruction that
    directly contradicted the prosecutor’s erroneous explanation,
    when it explained that a defendant is only guilty of attempt if
    he “[makes a] direct movement towards the commission of
    the crime after preparations are made[, by] putt[ing his] plan
    in motion so that the plan would have been completed if some
    circumstances outside the plan had not interrupted the
    attempt.”
    Despite Brown, the majority concludes that the Supreme
    Court’s broad statements that a prosecutor’s comments can
    render a trial constitutionally infirm grant this court authority
    to set aside the Court of Appeal’s holding that no such error
    occurred in this case. This conclusion flouts AEDPA’s
    deferential standard.
    The majority is correct that under § 2254 even a general
    rule can be applied in an unreasonable manner. This is so,
    because “[c]ertain principles are fundamental enough that
    DECK V. JENKINS                          75
    when new factual permutations arise, the necessity to apply
    the earlier rule will be beyond doubt.” White, 
    134 S. Ct. at 1706
     (quoting Yarborough v. Alvarado, 
    541 U.S. 652
    , 666
    (2004)). But, even where a general rule is at issue, “relief is
    available under § 2254(d)[] . . . if, and only if, it is so obvious
    that [the] clearly established rule applies to a given set of
    facts that there could be no ‘fairminded disagreement’ on the
    question.” White, 
    134 S. Ct. at
    1706–07 (quoting Harrington,
    
    562 U.S. at 102
    ). “‘[I]f a habeas court must extend a rationale
    before it can apply to the facts at hand,’ then by definition the
    rationale was not ‘clearly established at the time of the state
    court decision.’” White, 
    134 S. Ct. at 1706
     (quoting
    Yarborough, 
    541 U.S. at 666
    ).
    Under the Supreme Court’s case law, it will rarely be “so
    obvious” that a prosecutorial error violated a defendant’s due
    process rights that there could be no “‘fairminded
    disagreement’ on the question.” White, 
    134 S. Ct. at
    1706–07
    (quoting Harrington, 
    562 U.S. at 102
    ). In Parker, the
    Supreme Court specifically addressed this issue and warned
    that because the standard for determining whether
    prosecutorial error amounts to a constitutional error “is a very
    general one . . . [we must give state] courts more leeway . . .
    in reaching outcomes in case-by-case determinations
    [concerning prosecutorial conduct].” 132 S. Ct. at 2155
    (internal quotation marks omitted); see also Harrington,
    
    562 U.S. at 101
     (“The more general the rule, the more leeway
    courts have in reaching outcomes in case-by-case
    determinations.”).
    Here, there is simply no Supreme Court precedent
    establishing “beyond fairminded disagreement” that Deck’s
    due process rights were violated. The Supreme Court has
    generally acknowledged that prosecutorial misconduct may,
    76                    DECK V. JENKINS
    under some circumstances, amount to a due process violation.
    But the Court has never suggested that a prosecutor’s
    inadvertent misstatement of state law creates such a
    circumstance, particularly where the judge later provides the
    jury with a correct explanation of the law. For this reason, the
    Court of Appeal’s holding that the prosecutor’s erroneous
    statements of law did not violate Deck’s constitutional rights
    is not “an unreasonable application of . . . clearly established
    law, as determined by the Supreme Court of the United
    States.” 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    (d).
    III.   Prejudice
    Not only does the majority grant habeas relief based on a
    new constitutional rule that it announces today, but it
    compounds its error by rejecting the Court of Appeal’s
    reasonable conclusion that any prosecutorial error was not
    prejudicial. This holding relies on an interpretation of the
    facts that is tenuous at best.
    It is well-settled law that “[a] jury is presumed to follow
    . . . [and] is [also] presumed to understand” a judge’s
    instructions. Weeks, 
    528 U.S. at 234
    . Here, it is undisputed
    that the presiding judge correctly instructed the jury that a
    defendant is only guilty of attempt if he “[makes a] direct
    movement towards the commission of the crime after
    preparations are made[, by] putt[ing his] plan in motion so
    that the plan would have been completed if some
    circumstances outside the plan had not interrupted the
    attempt.” In order to overcome the presumption that the jury
    understood and followed this instruction, and to show that the
    prosecutor’s statements were prejudicial, the majority adopts
    a strained interpretation of the record. With respect, the
    DECK V. JENKINS                        77
    majority’s interpretation is neither persuasive nor consistent
    with the scope of AEDPA review.
    The majority notes that during its deliberations, the jury
    asked the court to “clarify [the] law as it relates to whether
    defendant did not have to do anything that day only attempt
    to put it in play.” After the jury submitted this question, the
    jury adjourned for the day. When the jury reconvened, an
    alternate juror was substituted for a sick juror. The judge
    properly instructed the jury to begin its deliberations anew,
    and to submit any outstanding questions to the court. The new
    jury did not resubmit the original jury’s question, and it was
    never answered.
    According to the majority, the jury’s unanswered question
    proves that (1) despite the judge’s correct instruction, the jury
    believed the prosecutor’s conflicting statement that it could
    convict Deck even if it found that Deck did not intend to
    touch Amy for several days or weeks after their initial
    meeting, and (2) the jury convicted Deck on these grounds. In
    my view, the majority’s reading is unfounded and does
    nothing to overcome the presumption that a jury understands
    and follows a judge’s instructions. 
    Id.
    Inchoate offenses are undoubtedly confusing to a lay jury.
    Recognizing this potential for confusion, the fairest
    interpretation of the jury’s question is a simple request for
    confirmation that a defendant may be guilty under the law of
    attempt even if he does not complete a substantive
    offensive—“only attempt[s] to put it in play.” Contrary to the
    majority’s reading, nothing about the jury’s note indicates
    that the jury believed that Deck could be guilty of attempt
    even if he did not intend to touch Amy for several days or
    weeks following their initial meeting. Rather, the note focuses
    78                    DECK V. JENKINS
    on what actions one must take (i.e., what he must “do”) to be
    guilty of attempt.
    The majority points to no other record evidence indicating
    that the jury relied on the prosecutor’s erroneous statements,
    rather than on the judge’s correct explanation of the law.
    Thus, I find no reason to believe that these statements were
    prejudicial. Moreover, the record certainly does not show that
    in reaching this same conclusion, the Court of Appeal acted
    unreasonably or even erroneously. As the Supreme Court’s
    recent decision in Davis reminds us, and as the majority
    acknowledges, “a federal court may not award habeas relief
    under § 2254 unless the harmlessness determination itself
    was unreasonable.” 
    135 S. Ct. at 2199
     (2015) (quoting Fry
    v. Pliler, 
    551 U.S. 112
    , 119 (2007) (emphasis in original)).
    Deck “must show that the state court’s decision to reject his
    claim ‘was so lacking in justification that there was an error
    well understood and comprehended in existing law beyond
    any possibility for fair-minded disagreement.’” 
    Id.
     (quoting
    Harrington, 
    562 U.S. at 103
    ). The majority’s conclusion that
    “the [prosecutor’s] rebuttal argument may have seriously
    misled the jury” does not support a determination that the
    state court’s decision to reject Deck’s claim was so lacking in
    justification that no fair-minded jurist could have adopted the
    state court’s assessment that it did not.
    IV.    Conclusion
    Relief under § 2254(d) is appropriate only where the state
    court’s holding is “contrary to, or involved an unreasonable
    application of, clearly established Federal law, as determined
    by the Supreme Court of the United States.” 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    (d). The Supreme Court has specifically warned our
    court that, “[b]y framing [Supreme Court] precedents at [too]
    DECK V. JENKINS                              79
    high [a] level of generality, [we] could transform even the
    most imaginative extension of existing case law into ‘clearly
    established Federal law, as determined by the Supreme Court’
    . . .[, which] would defeat the substantial deference that
    AEDPA requires [to state courts].” Jackson, 
    133 S. Ct. at 1994
    . The majority flouts the Supreme Court’s clear
    directive, and in the absence of clearly applicable Supreme
    Court precedent, concludes that Deck is entitled to § 2254
    relief, merely because the majority believes that the Court of
    Appeal’s decision is incorrect.2 For these reasons, I
    2
    With regard to our treatment of petitions under § 2254, Justice Scalia
    recently observed:
    It is a regrettable reality that some federal judges like to
    second-guess state courts. The only way this Court can
    ensure observance of Congress’s abridgement of their
    habeas power is to perform the unaccustomed task of
    reviewing utterly fact-bound decisions that present no
    disputed issues of law. We have often not shrunk from
    that task, which we have found particularly needful
    with regard to decisions of the Ninth Circuit. See, e.g.,
    Cavazos v. Smith, 
    565 U.S. 1
    , 
    132 S. Ct. 2
    , — L.Ed.2d
    — (2011) (per curiam) (reinstating California
    conviction for assault on a child resulting in death);
    Felkner v. Jackson, 562 U.S. —, 
    131 S. Ct. 1305
    , 
    179 L.Ed.2d 374
     (2011) (per curiam) (reinstating California
    conviction for sexual attack on a 72–year–old woman);
    Premo v. Moore, 562 U.S. —, 
    131 S. Ct. 733
    , 
    178 L.Ed.2d 649
     (2011) (reinstating Oregon conviction for
    murder of a kidnapped victim); Knowles v. Mirzayance,
    
    556 U.S. 111
    , 
    129 S. Ct. 1411
    , 
    173 L.Ed.2d 251
     (2009)
    (reinstating California first-degree murder conviction);
    Rice v. Collins, 
    546 U.S. 333
    , 
    126 S. Ct. 969
    , 
    163 L.Ed.2d 824
     (2006) (reinstating California conviction
    for cocaine possession); Kane v. Garcia Espitia,
    
    546 U.S. 9
    , 
    126 S. Ct. 407
    , 
    163 L.Ed.2d 10
     (2005) (per
    curiam) (reinstating California conviction for
    80                       DECK V. JENKINS
    respectfully dissent.
    carjacking and other offenses); Yarborough v. Gentry,
    
    540 U.S. 1
    , 
    124 S. Ct. 1
    , 
    157 L.Ed.2d 1
     (2003) (per
    curiam) (reinstating California conviction for assault
    with a deadly weapon); Woodford v. Visciotti, 
    537 U.S. 19
    , 
    123 S. Ct. 357
    , 
    154 L.Ed.2d 279
     (2002) (per
    curiam) (reinstating capital sentence for California
    prisoner convicted of first-degree murder, attempted
    murder, and armed robbery).
    Cash v. Maxwell, 
    132 S. Ct. 611
    , 616–17 (2012) (Scalia, J., dissenting
    from the denial of certiorari).