Hoyt Crace v. Robert Herzog ( 2015 )


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  •                 FOR PUBLICATION
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE NINTH CIRCUIT
    HOYT CRACE,                              No. 13-35650
    Petitioner-Appellee,
    D.C. No.
    v.                    3:12-cv-05672-RBL
    ROBERT HERZOG,
    Respondent-Appellant.             OPINION
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the Western District of Washington
    Ronald B. Leighton, District Judge, Presiding
    Argued and Submitted
    October 7, 2014—Seattle, Washington
    Filed August 14, 2015
    Before: Richard A. Paez, Jay S. Bybee,
    and Consuelo M. Callahan, Circuit Judges.
    Opinion by Judge Bybee;
    Dissent by Judge Callahan
    2                       CRACE V. HERZOG
    SUMMARY*
    Habeas Corpus
    The panel affirmed the district court’s judgment granting
    a habeas corpus petition brought by a Washington state
    prisoner who was convicted by a jury of two misdemeanor
    offenses and one count of attempted second degree assault, a
    felony, and received a life sentence without the possibility of
    parole under Washington’s three-strikes law.
    Petitioner claimed that his trial counsel was deficient for
    failing to request a jury instruction on “unlawful display of a
    weapon,” a lesser included offense of second degree assault,
    because, had he been convicted of unlawful display of a
    weapon, rather than attempted second degree assault, he
    would have avoided a third strike.
    Agreeing with the Third Circuit, the panel held that the
    Washington Supreme Court’s rejection of petitioner’s claim
    under Strickland v. Washington was an unreasonable
    application of clearly established federal law under the Anti-
    Terrorism and Effective Death Penalty Act. The panel held
    that, in determining whether there was a reasonable
    probability that the outcome of the proceeding would have
    been different if counsel had performed adequately,
    Strickland’s prejudice prong required an assessment of the
    likelihood that petitioner’s jury would have convicted only on
    the lesser included offense, rather than an assessment of
    whether sufficient evidence supported the jury’s verdict.
    *
    This summary constitutes no part of the opinion of the court. It has
    been prepared by court staff for the convenience of the reader.
    CRACE V. HERZOG                        3
    On de novo review, the panel concluded that petitioner’s
    claim of ineffective assistance of counsel warranted relief.
    The panel concluded that it was reasonably probable that, if
    given an additional option, the jury would have convicted the
    petitioner only of unlawful display of a weapon. The panel
    also concluded that counsel’s failure to request the lesser
    included offense instruction constituted deficient performance
    under Strickland.
    Dissenting, Judge Callahan wrote that the Washington
    Supreme Court’s decision was not contrary to or an
    unreasonable application of clearly established federal law,
    and so AEDPA compelled deference to the state court.
    Accordingly, she would reverse the district court’s grant of
    habeas relief.
    COUNSEL
    Robert W. Ferguson, Attorney General, Paul D. Weisser
    (argued), Senior Counsel, Attorney General’s Office,
    Corrections Division, Olympia, Washington, for Respondent-
    Appellant.
    Jeffrey Erwin Ellis (argued), Law Offices of Alsept & Ellis,
    Portland, Oregon, for Petitioner-Appellee.
    4                     CRACE V. HERZOG
    OPINION
    BYBEE, Circuit Judge:
    In 2004, a Washington jury convicted Hoyt Crace of two
    misdemeanor offenses and one count of attempted second-
    degree assault—a felony—stemming from an incident in
    which he brandished a sword at a police officer. The
    attempted assault conviction constituted Crace’s third strike
    under Washington’s three-strikes law, and he received a life
    sentence without the possibility of parole.
    After Crace’s conviction became final, he brought a claim
    for postconviction relief under Strickland v. Washington,
    
    466 U.S. 668
    (1984), arguing that his trial counsel was
    deficient for failing to request a jury instruction on “unlawful
    display of a weapon,” a lesser included offense of second
    degree assault. Had Crace been convicted of unlawful
    display of a weapon, rather than attempted second-degree
    assault, he would have avoided a third strike.
    The Washington Supreme Court rejected Crace’s
    Strickland claim. The court held that, because Crace’s jury
    had found him guilty beyond a reasonable doubt of attempted
    second-degree assault, Strickland required a reviewing court
    to presume that the jury would have reached the same verdict
    even if instructed on a lesser offense. In light of that
    presumption, the court concluded that defense counsel’s
    failure to request a lesser-included-offense instruction caused
    no prejudice to Crace.
    We hold that the Washington Supreme Court’s decision
    was an unreasonable application of clearly established federal
    law under AEDPA and, on de novo review, we conclude that
    CRACE V. HERZOG                                 5
    Crace’s claim of ineffective assistance of counsel warrants
    relief. We therefore affirm the district court’s judgment
    granting Crace’s petition for a writ of habeas corpus.
    I
    Hoyt Crace spent the morning of August 16, 2003, doing
    repairs to the windows of a mobile home owned by an
    acquaintance of his in Tacoma, Washington.1 Crace was
    living in this trailer while its owner was away. Sometime
    around ten in the morning, a neighbor who lived in the same
    trailer park came by and asked Crace if he ever “g[o]t high”;
    Crace, who has a history of drug use, responded that he did.
    The two began drinking together and, over the next several
    hours, Crace consumed eight to ten alcoholic coolers, roughly
    a gram of cocaine, two painkillers, and a “quarter piece” of
    heroin. Around one or two in the afternoon, the neighbor
    departed. Crace lay down to watch a video and soon fell
    asleep.
    Crace awoke around 2:00 a.m. in a panicked state. He
    was “hearing voices and seeing things” and felt that someone
    or something was “going to brutally murder” him and that he
    needed to escape. He left the trailer where he was staying in
    an attempt to locate the trailer of two women whom he knew,
    where he hoped to find “safe haven” from his pursuers.
    Crace mistakenly entered the trailer of a neighbor, Rita
    Whitten. After screaming and then rifling through Whitten’s
    1
    We take this narrative from the various witnesses, including Crace,
    who testified at trial. Our account derives from the testimony offered that
    the jury might have credited. We do not adopt any particular theory of
    what, in fact, occurred.
    6                    CRACE V. HERZOG
    kitchen cabinets, he ran back outside. Crace eventually made
    his way back to the trailer where he was staying; he went
    inside, grabbed a sword off of the wall, and began running
    down the street, screaming for help.
    Theron Hardesty, a Pierce County sheriff’s deputy,
    arrived at the trailer park around 2:30 a.m. after receiving a
    call regarding a potential burglary. A resident informed
    Hardesty that a man armed with a sword was at large in the
    trailer park. Hardesty quickly located Crace, who was
    jumping up and down in the middle of the street and
    screaming.
    Crace saw Hardesty’s flashlight beam and, although he
    could not tell who was holding the flashlight, began running
    towards it, “trying to find somebody to be around” for
    protection. As Crace approached, Hardesty drew his handgun
    and ordered Crace to drop the sword. Crace did not comply
    immediately, but when he got within about 50 feet away from
    Hardesty, he realized Hardesty was a police officer and
    dropped the sword.
    Hardesty then ordered Crace to get down on the ground.
    Crace continued to run toward Hardesty, however, because he
    feared that if he were to lie down in the middle of the street,
    he would be killed. Crace ran until he was about seven feet
    from Hardesty, at which point he complied with Hardesty’s
    orders and got down on the ground.
    Hardesty put Crace in handcuffs, placed him in the back
    of his patrol car, and went to interview Rita Whitten. During
    the interview, Hardesty heard bystanders “screaming” in the
    parking lot, and he returned to find that Crace had kicked out
    the left rear window of the car. Crace was terrified at having
    CRACE V. HERZOG                         7
    been left alone and had kicked out the window in a desperate
    attempt to get Hardesty to return. Several additional deputies
    arrived soon afterwards and helped restrain Crace. Hardesty
    read Crace his Miranda rights, and Crace told him that he had
    been chased by “four or five” pursuers. Hardesty determined
    that Crace was “obviously on some type of street drug.”
    Crace was subsequently charged with first-degree
    criminal trespass, second-degree malicious mischief, and
    second-degree assault. The trial court ordered an evaluation
    of Crace’s competency to stand trial, and two
    psychologists—one employed by the state and one by the
    defense—examined Crace.             The court found Crace
    competent, and the case proceeded to trial. Crace’s theory of
    defense at trial was that he suffered from diminished capacity
    on the night of August 16 due to the influence of the alcohol
    and drugs he had consumed, leaving him unable to form the
    intent required for any of the charged offenses.
    After the close of the evidence, the trial court instructed
    the jury on the three charged offenses and on attempted
    second-degree assault, a lesser included offense of second-
    degree assault. The jury deadlocked on the second-degree
    assault charge, but it convicted Crace of attempted second-
    degree assault. It also convicted on first-degree criminal
    trespass and second-degree malicious mischief. The latter
    two offenses are misdemeanors, but the attempted second-
    degree assault conviction—a felony—counted as Crace’s
    third strike under Washington’s three-strikes law. Crace
    received a life sentence without the possibility of parole for
    that offense.
    After the Washington courts affirmed his conviction on
    direct appeal, Crace filed a “personal restraint petition” with
    8                        CRACE V. HERZOG
    the Washington Court of Appeals, alleging, among other
    things, that his trial attorney was ineffective for failing to
    request a jury instruction on “unlawful display of a weapon,”
    which is another lesser included offense of second-degree
    assault.2 A conviction for unlawful display of a weapon,
    which is a misdemeanor, would not have resulted in Crace’s
    receiving a third strike.
    The Court of Appeals initially denied Crace’s personal
    restraint petition in an unpublished opinion. Crace moved for
    reconsideration, and the court, in a divided opinion, granted
    that motion and subsequently issued a new decision granting
    Crace’s petition. In re Crace, 
    236 P.3d 914
    (Wash. Ct. App.
    2010), rev’d, 
    280 P.3d 1102
    (Wash. 2012). The court applied
    Strickland’s test for ineffective assistance of counsel and held
    that Crace had satisfied both prongs of that test. First, the
    court held that Crace’s trial counsel had performed
    deficiently by failing to request an instruction on unlawful
    display of a weapon, given that a conviction for that offense
    rather than for attempted assault would have saved Crace
    from a third strike and a life sentence. 
    Id. at 930–31.
    Second, it held that Crace had shown that he was prejudiced
    by his counsel’s failure because, under Washington law,
    Crace would have been entitled to an instruction on the
    offense of unlawful display of a weapon if his attorney had
    requested it, and there was a reasonable probability that the
    2
    A person commits the offense of unlawful display of a weapon by
    “carry[ing]” or “display[ing] . . . any firearm, dagger, sword, knife or
    other . . . weapon apparently capable of producing bodily harm, in a
    manner, under circumstances, and at a time and place that either manifests
    an intent to intimidate another or that warrants alarm for the safety of
    other persons.” Wash. Rev. Code § 9.41.270(1) (emphasis added).
    CRACE V. HERZOG                         9
    outcome of the trial would have been different if that
    additional instruction had been given. 
    Id. at 931–33.
    The state appealed, and the Washington Supreme Court
    reversed by a vote of 7–2. In re 
    Crace, 280 P.3d at 1102
    .
    The high court did not decide whether Crace’s attorney’s
    performance was deficient because it determined that Crace
    could not satisfy Strickland’s prejudice prong. The court
    explained that, when reviewing a claim of ineffective
    assistance of counsel, it was required to “assume that the jury
    would not have convicted the defendant unless the State had
    met its burden of proof” and that “the availability of a
    compromise verdict [thus] would not have changed the
    outcome of the trial.” 
    Id. at 1109.
    The court determined that,
    “in light of” these presumptions and of the fact that there was
    sufficient evidence to support the jury’s verdict, it could not
    “say in all reasonable probability that counsel’s error . . .
    contributed to Crace’s conviction on attempted second degree
    assault.” 
    Id. Crace next
    filed a habeas corpus petition in the Western
    District of Washington. A magistrate judge of that court
    recommended granting Crace’s petition. The magistrate
    judge agreed with the Washington Court of Appeals’
    conclusion that Crace’s attorney’s performance had been
    deficient. Turning to the issue of prejudice, she explained
    that the Washington Supreme Court’s prejudice analysis
    involved an “incomplete and unreasonable application of
    Strickland.” She explained that the Washington Supreme
    Court had “completely avoided the [prejudice] prong of
    Strickland”; rather than analyzing “what difference an
    instruction on the lesser crime of unlawful display of a
    weapon would have had on the outcome of” the trial, the
    Washington Supreme Court had simply assumed that such an
    10                   CRACE V. HERZOG
    instruction would have made no difference. The magistrate
    judge noted that, under such an approach, “no defendant
    could ever show prejudice when counsel failed to offer a
    lesser included offense instruction,” as long as sufficient
    evidence supported the jury’s verdict. On de novo review,
    she concluded that Crace had shown that he was prejudiced
    by his attorney’s failure and recommended granting relief.
    In a separate opinion resting on the same reasoning, the
    district court adopted the magistrate judge’s Report and
    Recommendation and granted Crace’s habeas corpus petition.
    This appeal followed.
    II
    We review the district court’s order granting a writ of
    habeas corpus de novo. Merolillo v. Yates, 
    663 F.3d 444
    , 453
    (9th Cir. 2011). Our review of the Washington Supreme
    Court’s decision, however, is constrained by AEDPA; we
    must defer to that decision unless it was “contrary to, or
    involved an unreasonable application of, clearly established
    Federal law, as determined by the Supreme Court of the
    United States.” 28 U.S.C. § 2254(d)(1). If we determine that
    “the requirements of AEDPA have been met, we must also
    determine, applying a de novo review standard, [that] there
    has been a constitutional violation” before we may grant
    habeas corpus relief. See Butler v. Curry, 
    528 F.3d 624
    , 641
    (9th Cir. 2008).
    III
    The “clearly established” Supreme Court law at issue in
    this case is Strickland v. Washington, in which the Court held
    that a claim of ineffective assistance of counsel has “two
    CRACE V. HERZOG                        11
    components”: First, a defendant must show that his
    attorney’s performance was “deficient,” in that it “fell below
    an objective standard of reasonableness.” 
    Strickland, 466 U.S. at 687
    –88. Second, he must show that he was
    prejudiced by his attorney’s actions or omissions, by
    demonstrating that there is a “reasonable probability that, but
    for counsel’s unprofessional errors, the result of the
    proceeding would have been different.” 
    Id. at 694.
    We analyze the question of prejudice first, since it is the
    only prong of Strickland that the Washington Supreme Court
    addressed.
    A. AEDPA Review of the Washington Supreme Court’s
    Prejudice Determination
    The Washington Supreme Court’s conclusion that Crace’s
    attorney’s failure to request an instruction on unlawful
    display of a weapon did not prejudice Crace was based on the
    court’s holding in an earlier case, State v. Grier, 
    246 P.3d 1260
    (Wash. 2011). In Grier, a defendant convicted of
    second-degree murder argued on appeal that her trial counsel
    had been ineffective by failing to request a jury instruction on
    the lesser included offense of manslaughter. 
    Id. at 1266.
    The
    court rejected this claim on the grounds that the defendant
    could not show any prejudice caused by her attorney’s failure.
    
    Id. at 1274.
    The Grier court quoted Strickland for the proposition that,
    when analyzing prejudice, a reviewing court “should
    presume, absent challenge to the judgment on grounds of
    evidentiary insufficiency, that the judge or jury acted
    according to law.” 
    Id. at 1272
    (quoting 
    Strickland, 466 U.S. at 694
    ). The court interpreted this language to mean that it
    12                   CRACE V. HERZOG
    was required to presume that the defendant’s jury had
    convicted her of murder because the jury found that the
    elements of murder had been proved beyond a reasonable
    doubt.      The court then concluded that, given that
    presumption, it could also assume that “the availability of a
    compromise verdict would not have changed the outcome” of
    the trial, 
    id. at 1274;
    if the jury had thought the defendant
    guilty of murder beyond a reasonable doubt, it necessarily
    would have reached the same verdict even if it had been
    instructed on lesser included offenses.
    In Crace’s case, the Washington Supreme Court applied
    both of the presumptions “recognized in Grier.” It first
    presumed that Crace’s jury must have found that each of the
    elements of attempted second-degree assault had been proved
    beyond a reasonable doubt when it convicted him. It then
    determined that the evidence was sufficient to support such
    a verdict and presumed, on that basis, that an instruction on
    the lesser included offense of unlawful display of a weapon
    would have made no difference to the outcome of the trial;
    the jury would still have convicted Crace of attempted
    second-degree assault even if it had been instructed on
    another lesser included offense.
    The Washington Supreme Court’s methodology is a
    patently unreasonable application of Strickland, and its
    decision in this case is thus unworthy of deference under
    AEDPA. Strickland did instruct reviewing courts to presume
    that trial juries act “according to law,” but the Washington
    Supreme Court (both in Grier and in this case) has read far
    more into that instruction than it fairly supports and, as a
    result, has sanctioned an approach to Strickland that sidesteps
    the reasonable-probability analysis that Strickland’s prejudice
    prong explicitly requires.
    CRACE V. HERZOG                        13
    In counseling reviewing courts to presume that juries act
    according to law, the Strickland Court sought to prohibit
    lower courts from basing findings of prejudice on the
    possibility of freak acts of “lawless[ness]” by judges and
    juries that are outside the ordinary course of criminal justice.
    The passage immediately following the language quoted in
    Grier explains this point:
    An assessment of the likelihood of a result
    more favorable to the defendant must exclude
    the possibility of arbitrariness, whimsy,
    caprice, “nullification,” and the like. A
    defendant has no entitlement to the luck of a
    lawless decisionmaker, even if a lawless
    decision cannot be 
    reviewed. 466 U.S. at 695
    . In other words, a court may not find
    Strickland prejudice by concluding that a different choice of
    tactics by defense counsel could have persuaded the judge or
    jury to make an arbitrary and improper decision in the
    defendant’s favor. Rather, “[t]he assessment of prejudice
    should proceed on the assumption that the decisionmaker is
    reasonably, conscientiously, and impartially applying the
    standards that govern the decision.” 
    Id. The Washington
    Supreme Court’s decisions in Grier and
    in this case overextended the foregoing principle. That
    principle forbids a reviewing court from finding prejudice by
    speculating that, if the defendant is permitted to roll the dice
    again, the jury might convict on a lesser included offense
    merely as a means of jury nullification, without regard for
    whether that verdict is consistent with the evidence. But it
    does not require a court to presume—as the Washington
    Supreme Court did—that, because a jury convicted the
    14                    CRACE V. HERZOG
    defendant of a particular offense at trial, the jury could not
    have convicted the defendant on a lesser included offense
    based upon evidence that was consistent with the elements of
    both. To think that a jury, if presented with the option, might
    have convicted on a lesser included offense is not to suggest
    that the jury would have ignored its instructions. On the
    contrary, it would be perfectly consistent with those
    instructions for the jury to conclude that the evidence
    presented was a better fit for the lesser included offense. The
    Washington Supreme Court thus was wrong to assume that,
    because there was sufficient evidence to support the original
    verdict, the jury necessarily would have reached the same
    verdict even if instructed on an additional lesser included
    offense.
    As the Supreme Court has recognized in a related context,
    a jury presented with only two options—convicting on a
    single charged offense or acquitting the defendant
    altogether—“is likely to resolve its doubts in favor of
    conviction” even if it has reservations about one of the
    elements of the charged offense, on the thinking that “the
    defendant is plainly guilty of some offense.” Keeble v.
    United States, 
    412 U.S. 205
    , 212–13 (1973) (construing the
    Major Crimes Act of 1885 not to preclude lesser-included-
    offense instructions, in order to avoid constitutional
    concerns); see also Hopper v. Evans, 
    456 U.S. 605
    , 611
    (1982). It is therefore perfectly plausible that a jury that
    convicted on a particular offense at trial did so despite doubts
    about the proof of that offense—doubts that, with “the
    availability of a third option,” could have led it to convict on
    a lesser included offense. See 
    Keeble, 412 U.S. at 213
    .
    Making this observation does not require us to speculate that
    the jury would have acted “lawless[ly]” if instructed on an
    additional, lesser included offense or to question the validity
    CRACE V. HERZOG                               15
    of the actual verdict.        Rather, it merely involves
    acknowledging that the jury could “rationally” have found
    conviction on a lesser included offense to be the verdict best
    supported by the evidence. See 
    id. In Grier
    (and, implicitly, in this case), the Washington
    Supreme Court brushed Keeble aside as “inapposite in the
    context of ineffective assistance of counsel.” 
    Grier, 246 P.3d at 1272
    . In that court’s view, applying Keeble’s reasoning in
    a Strickland case requires a court to posit that “the jury would
    not hold the State to its burden in the absence of a lesser
    included offense instruction”—the kind of jury
    “lawless[ness]” that Strickland precludes a court from
    considering. 
    Id. Not so.
    Keeble’s logic does not rest on the
    proposition that juries deliberately and improperly choose to
    convict in the absence of reasonable doubt. What Keeble
    teaches us is that a lesser-included-offense instruction can
    affect a jury’s perception of reasonable doubt: the same
    scrupulous and conscientious jury that convicts on a greater
    offense when that offense is the only one available could
    decide to convict on a lesser included offense if given more
    choices.3
    3
    The dissent is thus mistaken in claiming that “there is some tension”
    between Strickland and Keeble and that fairminded jurists could
    reasonably “resolve[]” this tension “in favor of Strickland.” Dissenting
    Op. at 31–35 (citing Harrington v. Richter, 
    562 U.S. 86
    , 103, 105 (2011)).
    Properly understood, Strickland and Keeble are entirely harmonious:
    Strickland requires courts to presume that juries follow the law, and
    Keeble acknowledges that a jury—even one following the law to the
    letter—might reach a different verdict when presented with additional
    options.
    Our conviction on this point is not shaken by the dissent’s observation
    that sixteen state-court judges, including the eight Washington judges who
    ruled against Crace at various stages below, have agreed with its view of
    16                        CRACE V. HERZOG
    Nothing in Strickland, therefore, forbids courts from
    considering the possibility that a jury would have convicted
    on a lesser included offense if given the option to do so.
    Indeed, just the opposite is true: in ineffective-assistance
    cases involving a failure to request a lesser-included-offense
    instruction, Strickland requires a reviewing court to assess
    the likelihood that the defendant’s jury would have convicted
    only on the lesser included offense. Cf. 
    Keeble, 412 U.S. at 213
    (“We cannot say that the availability of a third option . . .
    could not have resulted in a different verdict.”). Only by
    performing that assessment can a court answer the question
    expressly posed by Strickland: whether there is a reasonable
    probability that, if the defendant’s lawyer had performed
    adequately, the outcome of the proceeding would have been
    different. 
    Strickland, 466 U.S. at 694
    .4
    Strickland and Keeble. 
    Id. at 36
    n.8. Although we do not impugn either
    the character or the abilities of those judges, their rulings do not
    automatically establish that “fairminded disagreement” on this question
    is possible. The assessment of whether a question admits of fairminded
    disagreement among jurists is not simply a matter of counting noses; after
    all, in every federal habeas corpus case, there must be at least a few state-
    court judges who have decided an issue adversely to the petitioner in order
    for the case to come before us. Rather, a federal habeas court must decide
    whether the applicable Supreme Court law leaves the issue raised by the
    petitioner open or resolves it conclusively. We hold that Strickland and
    Keeble demonstrate beyond doubt that the Washington Supreme Court’s
    decision was wrong and that the requirements of AEDPA have therefore
    been met.
    4
    Nothing we have said here affects a defense attorney’s ability to make
    a strategic decision to forgo a lesser-included-offense instruction in order
    to force the jury into an “all-or-nothing” decision. The reasonableness of
    that decision would be examined under the performance prong of
    Strickland.
    CRACE V. HERZOG                         17
    The Washington Supreme Court in essence converted
    Strickland’s prejudice inquiry into a sufficiency-of-the-
    evidence question—an entirely different inquiry separately
    prescribed by Jackson v. Virginia, 
    443 U.S. 307
    , 324 (1979).
    This is so because, under the Washington Supreme Court’s
    approach, a defendant can only show Strickland prejudice
    when the evidence is insufficient to support the jury’s
    verdict—a circumstance in which the defendant does not need
    to rely on Strickland at all because Jackson already provides
    a basis for habeas relief. See 
    id. (a petitioner
    “is entitled to
    habeas corpus relief if it is found that upon the record
    evidence adduced at the trial no rational trier of fact could
    have found proof of guilt beyond a reasonable doubt”). And
    conversely, if the evidence is sufficient to support the verdict,
    there is categorically no Strickland error, according to the
    Washington Supreme Court’s logic. By reducing the
    question to sufficiency of the evidence, the Washington
    Supreme Court has focused on the wrong question here—one
    that has nothing to do with Strickland.
    In the only other reported court of appeals decision on this
    issue that we have found, the Third Circuit came to the same
    conclusion that we do. Breakiron v. Horn, 
    642 F.3d 126
    (3d
    Cir. 2011). In that case, a defendant convicted of robbery
    raised an ineffective-assistance-of-counsel claim based on his
    attorney’s failure to request an instruction on the lesser
    included offense of theft. 
    Id. at 136.
    The Pennsylvania
    Supreme Court rejected that claim, reasoning that no
    prejudice occurred because sufficient evidence supported the
    jury’s conviction on the robbery charge. 
    Id. at 139.
    The
    Third Circuit held that this decision was an unreasonable
    application of Strickland, explaining that Strickland required
    a court to “weigh all the evidence of record . . . to determine
    whether there was a reasonable probability that the jury
    18                       CRACE V. HERZOG
    would have convicted [the defendant] only of theft if it had
    been given that option. Merely noting that the evidence was
    sufficient to convict does not accomplish that task.” 
    Id. at 140.
    So too here. By pronouncing as a matter of law that, as
    long as there is sufficient evidence to support the jury’s
    verdict, no prejudice results from a defense attorney’s failure
    to request a lesser-included-offense instruction, the
    Washington Supreme Court has licensed Washington courts
    to avoid analyzing prejudice in the way that ?Strickland
    requires.5 This approach to Strickland is not merely wrong,
    but “objectively unreasonable” under AEDPA.
    B. De Novo Prejudice Analysis
    Having determined that the Washington Supreme Court’s
    decision on prejudice should receive no AEDPA deference,
    we consider the issue of prejudice de novo.
    We note, first, that Crace was legally entitled to a lesser-
    included-offense instruction on unlawful display of a weapon.
    Under Washington law, “a defendant is entitled to an
    instruction on a lesser included offense if two conditions are
    met. First, each of the elements of the lesser offense must be
    a necessary element of the offense charged.” State v.
    5
    The dissent notes that the Washington court recited the proper
    Strickland test before applying it. Dissent at 38–39. But the court’s
    application of the law—not its recitation of the legal standard—is what we
    hold to be objectively unreasonable. The dissent also argues that we
    should presume the state court did not err in applying clearly established
    law. 
    Id. at 39–40.
    While we agree with this general proposition, a
    presumption cannot save the Washington court’s patently unreasonable
    application of the law here.
    CRACE V. HERZOG                        19
    Workman, 
    584 P.2d 382
    , 385 (Wash. 1978). Second, “the
    evidence must raise an inference that only the lesser
    included/inferior degree offense was committed to the
    exclusion of the charged offense.” State v. Fernandez-
    Medina, 
    6 P.3d 1150
    , 1154 (Wash. 2000).
    Both of these requirements are satisfied here. The
    Washington courts have held that every element of unlawful
    display of a weapon is a necessary element of second-degree
    assault. State v. Ward, 
    104 P.3d 670
    , 672 (Wash. App. 2004),
    abrogated on other grounds by 
    Grier, 246 P.3d at 1271
    . And
    as the Washington Court of Appeals concluded, there was
    evidence to “support an inference that Crace only displayed
    the sword and that he had no intent to create reasonable fear
    or apprehension of bodily injury,” which is the specific intent
    required for assault and attempted assault.
    Crace testified that, when he grabbed his sword and ran
    out into the street, he had no intent to harm anyone, but
    simply was “scared” and “wanted people to come out.”
    Crace’s actions when Deputy Hardesty arrived on the scene
    did not clearly suggest that he intended to harm or frighten
    Hardesty, and Crace testified that he lacked such intent.
    Crace also presented testimony by a psychologist, Dr.
    Vincent Gollogly, who explained that Crace’s mental
    capacity had been so impaired on the night of August 16 that
    he was not “able to realize the nature of what he was doing.”
    Dr. Gollogly acknowledged that some of Crace’s actions
    could be described as purposeful, but he explained that
    Crace’s actions were not intentional because Crace had been
    in the throes of a “substance induced psychotic disorder” that
    affected his perceptions and prevented him from forming
    20                        CRACE V. HERZOG
    criminal intent.6 Hardesty’s testimony that it was “obvious[]”
    that Crace was under the influence of drugs that night
    provided support for Dr. Gollogly’s assessment.
    Based on Dr. Gollogly’s opinion and the testimony of
    Crace and Hardesty, a jury could rationally choose to convict
    Crace only of unlawful display of a weapon. Indeed, that
    offense appears to be tailor-made to apply to Crace’s conduct
    as he and Dr. Gollogly described it. See Wash. Rev. Code
    § 9.41.270(1) (prohibiting “carry[ing] . . . any . . . sword . . .
    in a manner, under circumstances, and at a time and place that
    either manifests an intent to intimidate another or that
    warrants alarm for the safety of other persons” (emphasis
    added)).
    Because both factors of the Washington test are satisfied,
    the trial court would have been obligated to instruct the jury
    on the lesser included offense of unlawful display of a
    weapon if Crace’s counsel had requested such an instruction.
    And had that instruction been given, there is a reasonable
    probability that the jury would have convicted Crace only of
    that offense. As we have explained, the evidence could well
    have led Crace’s jury to question whether he acted with the
    specific intent required for attempted second-degree
    assault—the only lesser included offense of second-degree
    assault on which the jury was instructed and the only felony
    6
    Dr. Steven Marquez, the state’s psychologist, took the opposite
    position, testifying that Crace showed an ability to engage in “goal-
    directed” behavior at the time of his arrest and that he believed that Crace
    was a malingerer whose account of his own mental state was not
    completely credible. This testimony, although in conflict with Dr.
    Gollogly’s, does nothing to alter our conclusion that there is at least a
    reasonable probability that the jury would have convicted Crace only of
    unlawful display of a weapon.
    CRACE V. HERZOG                               21
    of which Crace was convicted. See Wash. Rev. Code
    §§ 9A.28.020(1), 9A.36.021(1). At trial, however, the jury’s
    only option short of convicting on attempted assault was to
    acquit Crace outright. The fact that the jury “resolve[d] its
    doubts in favor of conviction” on attempted assault, rather
    than in favor of acquittal, does not imply that it was firmly
    convinced of Crace’s capacity to form criminal intent. See
    
    Keeble, 412 U.S. at 212
    –13.
    We think it reasonably probable that, if given an
    additional option, the jury would have convicted Crace only
    of unlawful display of a weapon—which, unlike assault and
    attempted assault, has no intent requirement.7 See Wash.
    Rev. Code § 9.41.270. This probability is “sufficient to
    undermine [our] confidence in the outcome” of the trial and
    satisfies the prejudice prong of 
    Strickland. 466 U.S. at 694
    .8
    7
    Contrary to the dissent’s suggestion, Dissenting Op. at 44, our
    prejudice analysis does not depend in any way on the assumption that the
    jury knew about the sentencing consequences of the various possible
    verdicts. We refer to the sentencing consequences of the different charges
    only in connection with our conclusion that Crace’s attorney—who, unlike
    the jury, either knew or should have known about the implications of the
    charges under Washington’s three-strikes law—performed deficiently by
    failing to request an instruction on unlawful display of a weapon. See Part
    IV, infra.
    8
    The dissent argues that Schad v. Arizona, 
    501 U.S. 624
    (1991),
    compels a contrary conclusion. Dissenting Op. at 40–44. In Schad, the
    Supreme Court held that no due process violation occurred at a murder
    trial where the defendant’s jury was instructed on both first- and second-
    degree murder but was not instructed on the lesser included offense of
    robbery. (The defendant was convicted of first-degree murder). 
    Schad, 501 U.S. at 648
    . The Court explained that because the jury had been
    instructed on one lesser included offense—second-degree murder—it had
    not been presented with an all-or-nothing choice between conviction on
    first-degree murder and acquittal. Thus, the due process rule of Beck v.
    22                        CRACE V. HERZOG
    IV
    It remains for us to decide whether Crace’s attorney’s
    failure to request the lesser-included-offense instruction
    constituted deficient performance under Strickland. Because
    the Washington Supreme Court explicitly declined to reach
    this issue, we review it de novo. See, e.g., Rompilla v. Beard,
    
    545 U.S. 374
    , 390 (2005); Reynoso v. Giurbino, 
    462 F.3d 1099
    , 1109 (9th Cir. 2006). We conclude that Crace’s
    attorney’s performance was clearly deficient.
    We are mindful that judicial review of an attorney’s
    performance under Strickland must ordinarily be “highly
    deferential” and incorporate a “strong presumption that
    counsel’s conduct falls within the wide range of reasonable
    professional assistance which, under the circumstances, might
    be considered sound trial strategy.” United States v. Span,
    
    75 F.3d 1383
    , 1387 (9th Cir. 1996). A trial attorney’s failure
    to request a jury instruction receives no deference, however,
    Alabama, 
    447 U.S. 625
    (1980), which requires that a jury in a capital case
    be instructed on a lesser included noncapital offense that is supported by
    the evidence, was inapplicable. 
    Schad, 501 U.S. at 645
    –48.
    We do not agree with the dissent that Schad—which simply held that,
    where one lesser included offense instruction has been given, a court need
    not take the drastic step of vacating a conviction under Beck—establishes
    that a conviction is per se “reliable” as long as one lesser included offense
    instruction was given. Moreover, even if the dissent is right that, under
    Schad’s logic, Crace’s conviction is marginally more “reliable” because
    a lesser included instruction on attempted assault was given at his trial,
    Dissenting Op. at 42, there remains a reasonable probability that Crace’s
    jury would have convicted him only of unlawful display of a weapon if
    instructed on that offense. That probability establishes that Crace was
    prejudiced by his attorney’s failure to request such an instruction. See
    
    Strickland, 466 U.S. at 694
    .
    CRACE V. HERZOG                        23
    when it is based on “a misunderstanding of the law” rather
    than “a strategic decision to for[]go one defense in favor of
    another.” See 
    id. at 1390;
    accord Richards v. Quarterman,
    
    566 F.3d 553
    , 569 (5th Cir. 2009) (finding ineffective
    assistance of counsel based on failure to request lesser-
    included-offense instruction, where such failure was
    “deficient and not a strategic decision”); United States v.
    Alferahin, 
    433 F.3d 1148
    , 1161 (9th Cir. 2006) (holding that
    trial counsel was deficient, where he “did not intend
    strategically to for[]go [a] materiality instruction” but rather
    “had no idea that such an instruction was available to his
    client as a matter of right”); United States ex rel. Barnard v.
    Lane, 
    819 F.2d 798
    , 805 (7th Cir. 1987) (holding that failure
    to request an instruction on a lesser included offense
    constituted deficient performance, where such failure was not
    within the “spectrum of counsel’s legitimate tactical
    choices”).
    Crace’s attorney’s failure to request the instruction was
    neither strategic nor deliberate. In a declaration submitted to
    the Washington Supreme Court, he explicitly stated that the
    “only reason [he] did not offer a lesser included instruction
    for unlawful display of a weapon was because [he] did not
    consider it.” The Washington Supreme Court did not
    consider this declaration because it did not reach the
    performance prong of Strickland, but the declaration is
    properly before us and the state has made no attempt to
    dispute its assertions. We therefore conclude that Crace’s
    counsel made no strategic decision to forgo a lesser included
    offense instruction that commands our deference, and we
    hold that his outright failure even to consider the possibility
    of requesting a lesser included offense constituted deficient
    performance.
    24                    CRACE V. HERZOG
    Indeed, we would find that Crace’s attorney’s actions
    were manifestly unreasonable even if we thought that he had
    consciously chosen not to request the instruction. In certain
    circumstances, it may be reasonable for a defense attorney to
    opt for an “all-or-nothing” strategy, forcing the jury to choose
    between convicting on a severe offense and acquitting the
    defendant altogether. But once the trial court decided to
    instruct the jury on one lesser included offense—i.e.,
    attempted second-degree assault—there was no longer any
    conceivable reason for Crace’s counsel not to request an
    instruction on a second lesser included offense. An all-or-
    nothing strategy was also clearly inappropriate in this case,
    given that a conviction only for unlawful display of a weapon
    would have spared Crace a third strike and thus decades of
    prison time.
    We conclude that Crace’s attorney’s performance “fell
    below an objective standard of reasonableness.” 
    Strickland, 466 U.S. at 687
    –88. Because Crace has satisfied both prongs
    of Strickland, his conviction for attempted second-degree
    assault cannot stand.
    V
    We hold that the Washington Supreme Court’s
    application of Strickland was objectively unreasonable, which
    removes its decision from the protection of AEDPA. We also
    conclude, on de novo review, that Crace’s claim of ineffective
    assistance of counsel merits habeas corpus relief. We
    therefore affirm the judgment of the district court.
    AFFIRMED.
    CRACE V. HERZOG                        25
    CALLAHAN, Circuit Judge, dissenting:
    The Washington Supreme Court had to decide what
    effect, if any, defense counsel’s failure to request a jury
    instruction on a lesser included offense had on Crace’s
    conviction for attempted assault. The Washington Supreme
    Court held that because sufficient evidence supported Crace’s
    conviction for attempted assault, the presence of a second
    lesser included offense instruction would not have changed
    the outcome of his trial. My review of the applicable
    Supreme Court law and the conflicting decisions by other
    courts on this issue compels me to conclude that the
    Washington Supreme Court’s decision was not contrary to or
    an unreasonable application of clearly established Supreme
    Court law. See 28 U.S.C. § 2254(d)(1). Therefore, as
    AEDPA compels us to defer to the state court, I respectfully
    dissent.
    I
    Robert Crace is a persistent offender in Washington. His
    rap sheet discloses a burglary in 1981, robbery in 1981, two
    counts of robbery in 1988, robbery in 1991, burglary and
    possession of stolen property in 1995, burglary in 1999, and
    attempting to elude a police officer in 2002. The robberies in
    1988 and 1991 were violent crimes that constituted “strikes”
    under Washington’s three strikes law.
    It is against this backdrop that we consider the largely
    undisputed facts in this instant case: Crace was arrested again
    in 2003 after he consumed several legal and illegal drugs and
    ran toward a police officer with a drawn sword. He was
    charged with second degree assault, first degree criminal
    trespass, and second degree malicious mischief. At trial, the
    26                   CRACE V. HERZOG
    jury was instructed on assault with a deadly weapon and its
    lesser included offense, attempted assault with a deadly
    weapon. That instruction read:
    If you are not satisfied beyond a
    reasonable doubt that the defendant is guilty
    of Assault in the Second Degree, the
    defendant may be found guilty of any lesser
    crime, the commission of which is necessarily
    included in the crime charged, if the evidence
    is sufficient to establish the defendant’s guilt
    of such lesser crime beyond a reasonable
    doubt.
    The crime of Assault in the Second
    Degree necessarily includes the lesser crime
    of Attempted Assault in the Second Degree.
    When a crime has been proven against a
    person and there exists a reasonable doubt as
    to which of two or more crimes that person is
    guilty, he or she shall be convicted only of the
    lowest crime.
    The jury was also instructed as to first degree criminal
    trespass and second degree malicious mischief. The jury
    deadlocked on assault but convicted Crace of attempted
    assault with a deadly weapon. The jury also convicted Crace
    of first degree criminal trespass and second degree malicious
    mischief.
    Trespass and malicious mischief are not felonies under
    Washington state law, but assault and attempted assault are.
    Thus, Crace’s conviction for attempted assault resulted in a
    CRACE V. HERZOG                               27
    third strike, and Crace was sentenced to life without the
    possibility of parole under Washington’s three strikes law.1
    Crace filed a direct appeal, which was unsuccessful.2
    Crace then filed a personal restraint petition in
    Washington State Court, asserting, among other things, that
    his counsel was ineffective for failing to request a second
    lesser included offense instruction for unlawful display of a
    weapon. See Wash. Rev. Code § 9.41.270. A conviction of
    unlawful display of a weapon would have been a gross
    misdemeanor and would not have constituted Crace’s third
    strike. 
    Id. In an
    unpublished decision dated January 20,
    2010, the Washington Court of Appeals denied Crace’s
    petition, reasoning that the evidence did not support a lesser
    included offense instruction. In re Crace, 
    154 Wash. App. 1016
    (2010) (unpublished). However, on July 28, 2010, the
    1
    In November 1993, Washington state voters approved Initiative 593,
    commonly referred to as the “three strikes law.” The law requires trial
    courts to sentence “persistent offenders” to life imprisonment without
    possibility of parole. A “persistent offender” is defined as one convicted
    of three felonies considered a “most serious offense” under the Revised
    Code of Washington § 9.94A.570. Despite vigorous debate about the
    wisdom of three strikes laws, the law has been upheld against
    constitutional challenge. See, e.g., State v. Manussier, 
    921 P.2d 473
    (Wash. 1996) (en banc) (holding three strikes law is constitutional), cert.
    denied, 
    520 U.S. 1201
    (1997); State v. Thorne, 
    921 P.2d 514
    (Wash.
    1996); and State v. Rivers, 
    921 P.2d 495
    (Wash. 1996).
    2
    On direct appeal, Crace challenged the sufficiency of the evidence of
    his attempted assault conviction. The Washington Court of Appeal upheld
    his conviction, reasoning that a jury could reasonably conclude that Crace
    intended to hurt the officer or to instill fear of harm in him. State v.
    Crace, 
    128 Wash. App. 1021
    (2005) (unpublished). The court also noted
    that he had waived objections to the second and third definitions of
    assault. 
    Id. at *6.
    Crace has not challenged these rulings in his habeas
    petitions.
    28                     CRACE V. HERZOG
    Court of Appeals reversed itself, holding that Crace’s counsel
    was deficient for failing to request an instruction for the
    lesser included offense of unlawful display of a weapon and
    that Crace was prejudiced by his counsel’s failure. In re
    Crace, 
    236 P.3d 914
    , 932–33 (Wash. Ct. App. 2010). One
    judge dissented.
    The Washington Supreme Court en banc reversed the
    Court of Appeals in another divided opinion. The court
    assumed, without holding, that the failure of Crace’s counsel
    to request a lesser included offense instruction for unlawful
    display of a weapon was deficient, but held that Crace could
    not have been prejudiced. Because there was sufficient
    evidence to convict Crace of the greater offense, attempted
    assault, there was no reasonable probability that the outcome
    would have been different had the lesser included offense
    instruction had been given. Two judges dissented. In re
    Crace, 
    280 P.3d 1102
    , 1110 (Wash. 2012).
    Crace then filed this habeas petition in federal district
    court. The district court granted relief, and the State3 timely
    appealed.
    II
    The majority errs by failing to defer to the Washington
    Supreme Court’s decision under AEDPA. Title 28 U.S.C.
    § 2254(d)(1) prohibits a court from granting an application
    for a writ of habeas corpus unless the state court’s
    “adjudication of the claim resulted in a decision that was
    contrary to, or involved an unreasonable application of,
    3
    Respondent-Appellant is Robert Herzog, the Superintendent of the
    Monroe Correctional Complex in Monroe, Washington.
    CRACE V. HERZOG                        29
    clearly established Federal law, as determined by the
    Supreme Court of the United States.” The clearly established
    law in this case includes Strickland v. Washington, 
    466 U.S. 668
    (1984), which sets forth the standard governing
    ineffective assistance of counsel claims in habeas
    proceedings. Under Strickland, a claim of ineffective
    assistance of counsel has two components. First, a defendant
    must show that his attorney’s performance was “deficient,”
    in that it “fell below an objective standard of reasonableness.”
    
    Strickland, 466 U.S. at 687
    –88. Second, he must show that
    he was prejudiced by his attorney’s actions or omissions, by
    demonstrating that there is a “reasonable probability that, but
    for counsel’s unprofessional errors, the result of the
    proceeding would have been different.” 
    Id. at 694.
    Here, the Washington Supreme Court considered the
    second prong of Strickland: whether Crace’s counsel’s failure
    to request a jury instruction for a lesser included offense was
    prejudicial such that a “reasonable probability” existed that,
    if the instruction had been given, the result of the proceeding
    would have been different.
    Notably, the question presented to the Washington
    Supreme Court differs from ineffective of assistance of
    counsel claims in which habeas petitioners allege that they
    have been prejudiced by their counsels’ failure to present
    certain evidence. In those instances, the relevant question is
    how the factual findings would have been affected if defense
    counsel had introduced the additional evidence, considering
    the “totality of the evidence before the judge or jury.”
    Strickland, 
    466 U.S. 695
    –96. But Crace’s petition has
    nothing to do with the evidence presented in his case. He
    does not allege that he would have introduced any other
    evidence to support his innocence. He does not allege that
    30                       CRACE V. HERZOG
    the evidence was insufficient to support his conviction of
    attempted assault. Nor does he contend that the jury was
    erroneously instructed as to the law. Rather, he contends that
    the jury should have been provided additional law: his
    counsel failed to request a jury instruction on unlawful
    display of a weapon, a lesser included offense.4 In this
    context, the Washington Supreme Court found there was no
    reasonable probability that the outcome would have been
    different had the lesser included offense instruction been
    given.
    We, in turn, must determine, through the lens of AEDPA,
    whether the Washington Supreme Court’s decision was
    contrary to or an unreasonable application of Strickland. The
    majority does not hold that the state court decision was
    contrary to Strickland. Rather, the majority holds that the
    Washington Supreme Court’s decision was an unreasonable
    application of Strickland. Maj. Op. 4–5. Even if this were a
    close issue, Supreme Court authority compels us to defer to
    the state court decision. Davis v. Ayala, 
    135 S. Ct. 2187
    ,
    2198 (2015) (citing Harrington v. Richter, 
    562 U.S. 86
    , 101
    (2011)). When evaluating a state court’s application of
    federal law, the Supreme Court instructs:
    Under § 2254(d), a habeas court must
    determine what arguments or theories
    supported or [] could have supported, the state
    court’s decision; and then it must ask whether
    it is possible fairminded jurists could disagree
    that those arguments or theories are
    4
    As discussed in Part III, a jury instruction for unlawful display of a
    weapon would have been Crace’s second jury instruction on a lesser
    included offense, as the jury was already instructed on attempted assault.
    CRACE V. HERZOG                        31
    inconsistent with the holding in a prior
    decision of this Court.
    
    Harrington, 562 U.S. at 102
    ; 
    id. at 103
    (“[T]he state court’s
    ruling on the claim . . . [must be] so lacking in justification
    that there was an error well understood and comprehended in
    existing law beyond any possibility for fairminded
    disagreement.”).
    The Washington Supreme Court’s decision is not
    objectively unreasonable. As the majority notes, the
    Washington Supreme Court relied on its previous decision in
    State v. Grier, 
    246 P.3d 1206
    (Wash. 2011) (en banc), cert.
    denied, 
    135 S. Ct. 153
    (2014). Grier interpreted Strickland
    as providing that when analyzing prejudice a reviewing court
    “should presume, absent challenge to the judgment on
    grounds of evidentiary insufficiency, that the judge or jury
    acted according to law.” 
    Id. at 1272
    (quoting 
    Strickland, 466 U.S. at 694
    ). In other words, Grier held that because the
    jury had returned a guilty verdict, the court was required to
    presume the jury had found each of the elements of second
    degree murder had been proven beyond a reasonable doubt.
    
    Id. at 1273.
    Grier noted that Strickland’s holding that jurors are
    presumed to follow the law is in tension with Keeble v.
    United States, 
    412 U.S. 205
    (1973), which recognized that
    jurors may disregard the law. 
    Grier, 246 P.3d at 1272
    –73.
    At issue in Keeble was whether an Indian prosecuted under
    the Major Crimes Act was entitled to a jury instruction on a
    lesser included offense when that lesser offense was not one
    of the crimes enumerated in the 
    Act. 412 U.S. at 205
    –06.
    The government argued that the Act prohibited inclusion of
    a lesser included offense instruction and also suggested that
    32                   CRACE V. HERZOG
    the defendant could actually benefit from the exclusion of a
    lesser included offense instruction, as the omission might
    result in acquittal. 
    Id. at 209,
    212–13. The Court, however,
    held that the defendant was entitled to the lesser included
    offense notwithstanding its omission in the Act noting:
    True, if the prosecution has not established
    beyond a reasonable doubt every element of
    the offense charged, and if no lesser offense
    instruction is offered, the jury must, as a
    theoretical matter, return a verdict of
    acquittal. But a defendant is entitled to a
    lesser offense instruction—in this context or
    any other—precisely because he should not be
    exposed to the substantial risk that the jury’s
    practice will diverge from theory. Where one
    of the elements of the offense charged
    remains in doubt, but the defendant is plainly
    guilty of some offense, the jury is likely to
    resolve its doubts in favor of conviction. In
    the case before us, for example, an intent to
    commit serious bodily injury is a necessary
    element of the crime with which petitioner
    was charged, but not of the crime of simple
    assault. Since the nature of petitioner’s intent
    was very much in dispute at trial, the jury
    could rationally have convicted him of simple
    assault if that option had been presented. But
    the jury was presented with only two options:
    convicting the defendant of assault with intent
    to commit great bodily injury, or acquitting
    him outright. We cannot say that the
    availability of a third option—convicting the
    CRACE V. HERZOG                        33
    defendant of simple assault—could not have
    resulted in a different verdict.
    
    Id. at 212–13.
    Thus, the Washington Supreme Court could reasonably
    find some tension in the Supreme Court guidance. Strickland
    holds that a court is to assume that the jury follows the law
    and, therefore, that juries only convict defendants if they find
    all elements of a crime beyond a reasonable doubt, while
    Keeble instructs that a defendant should not be exposed to the
    substantial risk that a “jury’s practice will diverge from
    theory” and “resolve its doubts in favor of conviction” where
    the only other option is acquittal. 
    Keeble, 412 U.S. at 212
    –13.
    Grier resolved the tension between Strickland and Keeble
    in favor of Strickland, the more recent Supreme Court
    opinion. The Washington Supreme Court held that “Keeble
    is inapposite in the context of ineffective assistance of
    counsel” and “skews the Strickland standard” that presumes
    jurors follow the law. 
    Grier, 246 P.3d at 1273
    . The court
    explained that the proposed instruction would have directed
    the jury not to consider a lesser included offense if it was
    convinced that the defendant was guilty of the greater
    offense. 
    Id. at 1272
    –73. Thus, because the jury returned a
    guilty verdict on the greater offense of second degree murder,
    a proposed instruction on manslaughter would not have
    changed the result: Grier was not prejudiced. 
    Id. at 1272
    –74.
    Applying Grier’s holding here, the Washington Supreme
    Court held that Crace had failed to demonstrate any prejudice
    from his counsel’s failure to request a second lesser included
    instruction on unlawful display of a weapon in light of his
    34                          CRACE V. HERZOG
    conviction of the greater offense, attempted assault. In re
    
    Crace, 280 P.3d at 1109
    .5
    Similar positions have been espoused by the Supreme
    Court of Florida in Sanders v. State, 
    946 So. 2d 953
    (Fla.
    2006), reh’g denied, and by Judge Wilson of the Supreme
    Court of Missouri, albeit in a dissenting opinion, in McNeal
    v. State, 
    412 S.W.3d 886
    (Mo. 2013) (en banc), cert. denied
    
    134 S. Ct. 2292
    (May 19, 2014).6 In Sanders, the Florida
    Supreme Court explained that “any finding of prejudice
    5
    Strickland informs us that if the petitioner challenges the sufficiency
    of the evidence, then jurors are no longer presumed to follow the 
    law. 466 U.S. at 694
    . Although Crace challenged the sufficiency of evidence
    on direct appeal, he did not renew that argument in his habeas petitions.
    Additionally, no direct evidence suggests that the jury did not follow the
    law here.
    6
    Judge Wilson ably explained in his dissent in McNeal:
    Because McNeal’s jury found him guilty of burglary
    . . . there are only two ways to conclude that this lesser-
    included offense instruction likely would have changed
    the outcome . . . . They are: (1) that the jury did not
    believe the evidence was sufficient to prove McNeal
    guilty of burglary beyond a reasonable doubt but,
    because it was placed in an all-or-nothing position by
    the absence of the trespass instruction, the jury
    improperly convicted McNeal despite its oath and the
    court's instructions, or (2) that the jury did believe the
    evidence was sufficient to prove McNeal guilty of
    burglary beyond a reasonable doubt but, if it had been
    given the lesser-included offense instruction, the jury
    would have improperly ignored the evidence (as well as
    its oath) and convicted McNeal of the lesser offense as
    an act of leniency, grace, or other form of nullification.
    
    McNeal, 412 S.W.3d at 895
    (Wilson, J. dissenting).
    CRACE V. HERZOG                              35
    resulting from defense counsel’s failure to request an
    instruction on lesser-included offenses necessarily would be
    based on a faulty premise” that, “if given the choice, a jury
    would violate its oath, disregard the law, and ignore the trial
    court’s instructions.” 
    Sanders, 946 So. 2d at 959
    . Because
    Strickland prohibits this type of speculation, the court held
    that the defendant was not prejudiced by a refusal to give an
    instruction of a lesser included offense.7
    Our case presents a similar situation. Crace’s jury found
    him guilty of attempted assault. The only way a lesser
    included instruction for unlawful display of a weapon could
    have changed the outcome is if the jury improperly convicted
    him of attempted assault or if the jury would have convicted
    him of unlawful display of a weapon as an act of “leniency,
    grace, or other form of nullification.” See 
    McNeal, 412 S.W.3d at 895
    (Wilson, J., dissenting).
    The majority and the Third Circuit disagree with the
    approach taken by the Washington Supreme Court, the
    Florida Supreme Court, and Judge Wilson in Missouri. See
    Maj. Op. and Breakiron v. Horn, 
    642 F.3d 126
    (3d Cir. 2011).
    But this only illustrates that fairminded jurists disagree on
    whether counsel’s failure to request a lesser included offense
    instruction prejudices the defendant. Therefore, the majority
    has not shown that the Washington Supreme Court’s ruling
    “‘was so lacking in justification that there was an error well
    understood and comprehended in existing law beyond any
    possibility for fairminded disagreement.’” Davis, 
    135 S. Ct. 7
        The Eleventh Circuit, in an unpublished decision, has held that the
    Florida Supreme Court’s reasoning in Sanders was not an unreasonable
    application of Strickland. Santiago v. Sec’y, Fla. Dept. of Corr., 472 F.
    App’x 888, 889 (11th Cir. 2012).
    36                        CRACE V. HERZOG
    at 2199 (quoting 
    Harrington, 562 U.S. at 103
    ). Far from it:
    fairminded jurists can and do disagree as to whether the
    failure to request an instruction on a lesser included offense
    can be prejudicial when the jury convicts on the greater
    offense and there is no question as to the sufficiency of the
    evidence.8 As the Supreme Court has not reconciled the
    statements in Strickland and Keeble, it is not objectively
    unreasonable for the Washington Supreme Court to read
    Strickland as limiting Keeble.9 See 
    Harrington, 562 U.S. at 8
         A preliminary count reveals that judges who have considered this
    issue—whether the failure to request an instruction on a lesser included
    offense can be prejudicial when the jury convicts on the greater
    offense—are equally divided. At least 16 judges would find that the
    petitioner has not shown a reasonable probability that but for counsel’s
    failure to request a lesser included offense instruction, the outcome of the
    proceeding would have been different. See discussion infra; In re 
    Crace, 280 P.3d at 1109
    –10 (seven judges in the majority); In re 
    Crace, 236 P.3d at 933
    (one judge dissenting); 
    Sanders, 847 So. 2d at 960
    (five justices
    concurring in opinion); 
    McNeal, 412 S.W.3d at 893
    (two judges
    dissenting). But at least 16 others judges would. See Maj. Op.; Crace v.
    Herzog, No. C12-5672 RBL/KLS, 
    2013 WL 3338498
    (W.D. Wash. July
    2, 2013) (district judge adopting magistrate judge’s recommendation of
    grant of habeas relief); In re Crace, 280 P.3d. at 1110 (two Washington
    Supreme Court justices dissenting); In re 
    Crace, 236 P.3d at 933
    (two
    Washington appellate judges in majority); 
    Breakiron, 642 F.3d at 128
    (three circuit judges); 
    McNeal, 412 S.W.3d at 893
    (five judges in
    majority). Although not dispositive, the fact that so many other
    conscientious jurists have reached the same conclusion as the Washington
    Supreme Court certainly bears some relevance as to whether the state
    court’s reasoning was “so lacking in justification that there was an error
    well understood and comprehended in existing law beyond any possibility
    for fairminded disagreement.” 
    Harrington, 562 U.S. at 103
    .
    9
    A somewhat similar, and hence instructive, situation confronted the
    Supreme Court in Lockyer v. Andrade, 
    538 U.S. 63
    (2003), in which the
    Court held that it had not established a “clear or consistent path for courts
    to follow” in determining “whether a particular sentence for a term of
    CRACE V. HERZOG                              37
    105 (“The Strickland standard is a general one, so the range
    of reasonable applications is substantial.”).
    The majority nonetheless suggests that the Washington
    Supreme Court’s decision was unreasonable because it
    converted Strickland’s prejudice inquiry into a sufficiency-of-
    the-evidence question prescribed by Jackson v. Virginia, 
    443 U.S. 307
    (1979). Maj. Op. 17. The majority’s conclusion is
    based on the following text in the state court’s opinion:
    Assuming without deciding that counsel was
    deficient, consistent with Grier, we cannot say
    in all reasonable probability that counsel’s
    error—failure to seek the lesser included
    offense—contributed to Crace’s conviction on
    attempted second degree assault. There was
    sufficient evidence from which a juror could
    conclude Crace committed this offense.
    Evidence established he intended to cause
    Deputy Hardesty fear and apprehension. RP
    at 143–45 (cross-examination of Crace
    suggesting that he rushed the deputy thinking
    Hardesty might be an assailant); RP at 208–17
    (testimony from State’s psychologist
    suggesting Crace was not only capable of
    forming intent, but was also malingering,
    which might have undermined his credibility
    with the jury). Indeed, if failing to request the
    years can violate the Eighth Amendment.” 
    Id. at 72.
    Because the precise
    contours of the Eighth Amendment’s disproportionality principle were
    unclear, it was not objectively unreasonable for the California Court of
    Appeals to conclude that a three strikes sentence of 50 years to life for
    petty theft was not grossly disproportionate. 
    Id. at 70,
    75–77.
    38                    CRACE V. HERZOG
    lesser-included instruction was deficient
    performance, it occurred during an otherwise
    strategic and tactically driven presentation by
    counsel. In light of the presumptions we
    recognized in Grier, it would be difficult to
    show prejudice in such a context, and Crace
    has failed to do so here.
    In re 
    Crace, 280 P.3d at 1109
    .
    There is no dispute that the Washington court recited the
    correct Strickland standard at length in the preceding sections
    of the opinion. See, e.g., 
    id. at 1106
    (“Strickland arrived at a
    measure of prejudice that requires the defendant to show a
    ‘reasonable probability’ that but for counsel’s deficient
    representation, the outcome of the proceeding would have
    been different.”); 
    id. at 1107
    (“Strickland’s test is ultimately
    concerned with ‘the fundamental fairness of the proceeding
    whose result is being challenged.’” (quoting 
    Strickland, 466 U.S. at 696
    )); 
    id. (“‘In every
    case the court should be
    concerned with whether, despite the strong presumption of
    reliability, the result of the particular proceeding is unreliable
    because of a breakdown in the adversarial process that our
    system counts on to produce just results.’” (quoting
    
    Strickland, 466 U.S. at 696
    )).
    In its application of Strickland, the Washington Supreme
    Court considered the sufficiency of the evidence against
    Crace for attempted assault and concluded it was presumptive
    evidence that Crace could not show a reasonable probability
    of a different outcome if the jury had been instructed on the
    lesser included offense of unlawful display of a weapon. The
    court’s review of the sufficiency of the evidence supporting
    Crace’s conviction is not inconsistent with Strickland; to the
    CRACE V. HERZOG                                39
    contrary, the court would have been remiss if it did not
    evaluate the sufficiency of the evidence supporting the
    verdict. See 
    Strickland, 466 U.S. at 695
    –96 (“[A] court
    hearing an ineffectiveness claim must consider the totality of
    the evidence before the judge or jury. . . . [A] verdict or
    conclusion only weakly supported by the record is more
    likely to have been affected by errors than one with
    overwhelming record support.”). Thus, the Washington
    court’s consideration of the sufficiency of the evidence is not
    enough to overcome the presumption that the court knew and
    followed the applicable clearly established law. See
    Woodford v. Visciotti, 
    537 U.S. 19
    , 24 (2002) (per curiam)
    (holding that a “readiness to attribute error is inconsistent
    with the presumption that state courts know and follow the
    law”); see also Woods v. Donald, 
    135 S. Ct. 1372
    , 1376
    (2015) (per curiam); Poyson v. Ryan, 
    743 F.3d 1185
    , 1198–99
    (9th Cir. 2013), cert. denied, 
    134 S. Ct. 2302
    (2014).; Lopez
    v. Schriro, 
    491 F.3d 1029
    , 1037 (9th Cir. 2007), cert denied,
    
    128 S. Ct. 1227
    (2008). Accordingly, I would hold the
    court’s decision was a reasonable application of Strickland.10
    10
    The majority’s concern that the Washington Supreme Court created
    a categorical rule such that no prejudice can ever be found for failing to
    request a lesser included offense instruction if there is sufficient evidence
    of the greater offense is overstated. See Maj. Op. 18. First, the court’s
    language disclaims a categorical rule: “in light of the presumptions we
    recognized in Grier, it would be difficult to show prejudice in such a
    context, and Crace has failed to do so here.” In re 
    Crace, 280 P.3d at 1109
    (emphasis added). Second, even if the Washington Supreme Court
    was creating a categorical rule, such a rule may be sound in these limited
    circumstances in which the only error Crace asserts is that his counsel did
    not request a jury instruction on a second lesser included offense when the
    jury was already instructed as to one lesser included offense. See also
    infra Part III.
    40                       CRACE V. HERZOG
    As Supreme Court authority compels deference to the
    decision of the Washington Supreme Court, I would reverse
    the district court’s grant of habeas relief.11
    III
    The reasonableness of the Washington Supreme Court’s
    perspective is buttressed by the fact that the jury was
    presented with one lesser included offense instruction. This
    enhances the verdict’s reliability and compels the conclusion
    that the Washington Supreme Court decision was not
    unreasonable. See Beck v. Alabama, 
    447 U.S. 625
    , 636
    (1980); Schad v. Arizona, 
    501 U.S. 624
    , 645–47 (1991). Beck
    concerned an Alabama statute that precluded giving the jury
    any lesser included offense instructions in capital cases. 
    Id. at 628–29,
    n.3. The Court invalidated the statute, holding that
    due process entitles a defendant to a lesser included offense
    instruction in a capital case to protect against the risk of an
    unwarranted conviction. 
    Id. at 637
    (“Such a risk cannot be
    tolerated in a case in which the defendant’s life is at stake.”).
    The Court subsequently limited Beck’s reach in Schad,
    holding that, even in a capital case, a defendant is not entitled
    to every lesser included offense jury instruction supported by
    the 
    evidence. 501 U.S. at 645
    –47. In Schad, the habeas
    11
    To be sure, some of my colleagues disagree with the Court’s
    interpretation of AEDPA. See, e.g., Stephen R. Reinhardt, The Demise of
    Habeas Corpus and the Rise of Qualified Immunity: The Court’s Ever
    Increasing Limitations on the Development and Enforcement of
    Constitutional Rights and Some Particularly Unfortunate Consequences,
    
    113 Mich. L
    . Rev. 1219 (2015). But even those colleagues concede that
    we are “bound to follow [the Court’s] rulings . . . because the system of
    law that we so admire and respect contains a hierarchy in which the
    Supreme Court rests at the top.” 
    Id. at 1254.
                         CRACE V. HERZOG                        41
    petitioner was charged with and convicted of first degree
    murder and was sentenced to death. 
    Id. at 629.
    Although the
    jury was instructed on a lesser included offense of second
    degree murder, the petitioner argued that he was entitled to a
    jury instruction for a second lesser included offense, robbery.
    
    Id. at 629,
    645. The Court rejected this argument, explaining
    that the defendant was not faced with an “all-or-nothing”
    situation where the jury had to convict him of a capital crime
    or acquit him.
    The goal of the Beck rule, in other words, is to
    eliminate the distortion of the factfinding
    process that is created when the jury is forced
    into an all-or-nothing choice between capital
    murder and innocence. This central concern
    of Beck simply is not implicated in the present
    case, for petitioner’s jury was not faced with
    an all-or-nothing choice between the offense
    of conviction (capital murder) and innocence.
    
    Id. at 646–47
    (internal citations and quotation marks
    omitted). Schad’s theory of defense at trial was that he
    merely stole the victim’s property but did not murder him.
    He complained that refusing a lesser included instruction for
    robbery or theft deprived the jurors of the “opportunity to
    return a verdict in conformity with their reasonable view of
    the evidence.” 
    Id. at 647.
    The Court rejected this argument:
    [T]he fact that the jury’s “third option” was
    second-degree murder rather than robbery
    does not diminish the reliability of the jury’s
    capital murder verdict.       To accept the
    contention advanced by petitioner and the
    dissent, we would have to assume that a jury
    42                   CRACE V. HERZOG
    unconvinced that petitioner was guilty of
    either capital or second-degree murder, but
    loath to acquit him completely (because it was
    convinced he was guilty of robbery), might
    choose capital murder rather than
    second-degree murder as its means of keeping
    him off the streets. Because we can see no
    basis to assume such irrationality, we are
    satisfied that the second-degree murder
    instruction in this case sufficed to ensure the
    verdict’s reliability.
    
    Id. Thus, following
    Schad, once one lesser included offense
    instruction is given, the risk of a compromise verdict is
    diminished. See Murtishaw v. Woodford, 
    255 F.3d 926
    , 955
    (9th Cir. 2001) (“Beck does not require trial courts to provide
    sua sponte instructions on each theory that could justify a
    lesser included offense. Rather, it merely requires courts to
    provide instructions on the lesser included offenses, thus
    preventing the State from forcing juries to make an ‘all or
    nothing’ choice between acquittal and capital murder.”); cf.
    People v. Horning, 
    102 P.3d 228
    , 252 (Cal. 2004) (“‘Beck’s
    principles [are] satisfied if the jury [i]s provided some
    noncapital third option between the capital charge and
    acquittal.’”) (quoting People v. Sakarias, 
    995 P.2d 152
    (Cal.
    2000)).
    Keeble, Beck, and Schad support the conclusion that
    Crace’s conviction for attempted assault was not a
    compromise verdict. Crace’s jury was not presented with an
    “all-or-nothing choice” between conviction and innocence.
    Rather, Crace’s jury was instructed on a number of potential
    verdicts, including the greater offense of assault and the
    lesser included offense of attempted assault, as well as
    CRACE V. HERZOG                               43
    malicious mischief and trespass. The jury’s mixed verdict,
    acquitting Crace of assault, but finding him guilty of
    attempted assault, mischief, and trespass suggests that it had
    no misgivings about acquitting Crace when it deemed
    appropriate to do so.12
    Moreover, Crace’s counsel’s failure to request a second
    lesser included offense instruction for unlawful display of a
    weapon was not prejudicial because the jury was not
    presented with the all-or-nothing choice contemplated in
    Keeble and Beck. As the Supreme Court held in Schad,
    where a jury has been instructed on both a greater and lesser
    included offense, the conviction is 
    reliable. 501 U.S. at 647
    –48.13 Reliability is the touchstone of Strickland’s
    prejudice analysis. Williams v. Taylor, 
    529 U.S. 362
    , 393 n.
    17 (2000) (Strickland’s prejudice component “focuses on the
    question [of] whether counsel’s deficient performance renders
    the result of the trial unreliable or the proceeding
    fundamentally unfair”); cf. Kyles v. Whitley, 
    514 U.S. 419
    ,
    434 (1995) (“The question is not whether the defendant
    would more likely than not have received a different verdict
    with the evidence, but whether in its absence he received a
    12
    Indeed, the jury’s inability to reach a verdict on assault may be the
    result of the jury rejecting Crace’s defense that he lacked the requisite
    intent required for both assault and attempted assault, and instead
    determining that the government had not shown the required actus reus for
    assault.
    13
    The majority dismisses Schad as a due process case that did not
    squarely address ineffective assistance of counsel, but neither did Keeble.
    In any event, the point is that Schad and Keeble shed light on the question
    of whether the absence of a second lesser included offense instruction
    renders Crace’s verdict unreliable. While the majority concludes to the
    contrary, I would defer to the Washington Supreme Court’s reconciliation
    of Keeble and Strickland in light of Beck and Schad.
    44                    CRACE V. HERZOG
    fair trial, understood as a trial resulting in a verdict worthy of
    confidence.”). Thus, there is no basis under Strickland to
    conclude that if Crace’s counsel had requested another lesser
    included offense instruction, the jury would have returned a
    different verdict.
    Even if I could agree that defense counsel’s failure to
    request a jury instruction for one lesser included offense
    created a reasonable probability that the outcome could be
    different, I cannot agree with the majority that defense
    counsel’s failure to request a second lesser included offense
    instruction created a reasonable probability that the outcome
    would have been different. Taken to its logical conclusion,
    defense counsel would be obligated to request all potentially
    relevant lesser included offense instructions to avoid a
    compromise verdict. Therefore, I would hold that Crace has
    not shown that the Washington Supreme Court decision was
    unreasonable.
    IV
    The majority’s reluctance to accept that counsel’s failure
    to request an instruction on the lesser included offense of
    unlawful display of a weapon may reasonably be considered
    harmless may stem from the stark fact that attempted assault
    is a felony while unlawful display of a weapon is a
    misdemeanor and, thus, not a “strike” under Washington’s
    three strikes law. But the jury did not know the sentencing
    consequences of its verdict on the various charges. Nor is
    there any suggestion that if the jury had been provided with
    an instruction for the lesser included offense of unlawful
    display of a weapon that the jurors would have understood
    CRACE V. HERZOG                              45
    that charge to be a misdemeanor.14 Washington law prohibits
    a jury from considering matters related to sentencing in non-
    capital cases. See State v. Hicks, 
    181 P.3d 831
    , 836 (Wash.
    2008) (en banc) (“[W]here the jury has no sentencing
    function, it should not be informed on matters that relate only
    to sentencing.”); see also Shannon v. United States, 
    512 U.S. 573
    , 579 (1994) (“[P]roviding jurors sentencing information
    invites them to ponder matters that are not within their
    province, distracts them from their factfinding
    responsibilities, and creates a strong possibility of
    confusion.”). In accordance with these principles, Crace’s
    jury was instructed:
    You have nothing whatever to do with any
    punishment that might be imposed in case of
    a violation of the law. The fact that
    punishment may follow conviction cannot be
    considered by you except insofar as it may
    tend to make you careful.
    You are officers of the court and must act
    impartially and with an earnest desire to
    determine and declare the proper verdict.
    Throughout your deliberations you will permit
    neither sympathy nor prejudice to influence
    your verdict.15
    14
    Apparently one juror on Crace’s jury wrote an article in a local
    newspaper about the experience, and said that she “came to consider the
    possibility that Mr. Crace was facing a third strike” because she “had read
    about the law and understood the process.” She, however, “did not
    discuss [her third strike theory] with anyone else.” In re 
    Crace, 236 P.3d at 922
    .
    15
    There is no indication that Crace objected to this instruction.
    46                    CRACE V. HERZOG
    Thus, the fact that Crace’s conviction for attempted assault
    was a felony that triggered Washington’s three strikes law
    neither undermines the jury’s verdict nor provides any
    support for the argument that the verdict would have been
    different if the jury was been instructed on another lesser
    included offense that was a misdemeanor.
    *    *   *
    The wisdom of Washington’s three strikes law is not
    before us, nor are we called upon to determine the correctness
    of the Washington Supreme Court’s interpretation of
    Strickland and Keeble. Rather, pursuant to AEDPA, we are
    limited to inquiring whether the Washington Supreme Court’s
    decision is unreasonable. Davis, 
    2015 WL 2473373
    , at *9.
    I would find the Washington court’s interpretation of U.S.
    Supreme Court opinions neither contrary to nor an
    unreasonable application of clearly established law.
    Fairminded jurists may conclude that the jury’s conviction of
    Crace on the lesser included offense of attempted assault on
    sufficient evidence renders his counsel’s failure to seek an
    instruction on another lesser included offense harmless.
    Accordingly, I respectfully dissent.