Felipe Betansos v. William Barr , 928 F.3d 1133 ( 2019 )


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  •                      FOR PUBLICATION
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE NINTH CIRCUIT
    FELIPE CRUZ BETANSOS,                              No. 15-72347
    Petitioner,
    Agency No.
    v.                            A077-310-010
    WILLIAM P. BARR, Attorney General,
    Respondent.                   OPINION
    On Petition for Review of an Order of the
    Board of Immigration Appeals
    Argued and Submitted April 12, 2018
    Pasadena, California
    Filed July 5, 2019
    Before: Carlos T. Bea and Mary H. Murguia, Circuit
    Judges, and Stanley Allen Bastian, * District Judge.
    Opinion by Judge Murguia;
    Concurrence by Judge Murguia
    *
    The Honorable Stanley Allen Bastian, United States District Judge
    for the Eastern District of Washington, sitting by designation.
    2                       BETANSOS V. BARR
    SUMMARY **
    Immigration
    Denying Felipe Cruz Betansos’s petition for review of a
    decision of the Board of Immigration Appeals, the panel
    deferred to the BIA’s decision in Matter of Cortes Medina
    that a conviction for indecent exposure under California
    Penal Code § 314(1) is categorically a crime involving moral
    turpitude (“CIMT”) and held that Cortes Medina applied
    retroactively to Betansos’s case such that his § 314(1)
    conviction was a CIMT that made him ineligible for
    cancellation of removal.
    In concluding that Betansos’s indecent exposure
    conviction under § 314(1) was a CIMT, the BIA relied on its
    published decision in Matter of Cortes Medina, 
    26 I. & N. Dec. 79
     (BIA 2013). However, the BIA’s decision in Cortes
    Medina contradicted this court’s earlier decision, Nunez v.
    Holder, 
    594 F.3d 1124
     (9th Cir. 2010), in which the court
    held that indecent exposure under § 314(1) was not
    categorically a CIMT. In Nunez, the court determined that
    the BIA’s unpublished decision did not merit deference and
    adopted a definition of moral turpitude that required the
    infliction of harm or the involvement of a protected class. In
    Cortes Medina, the BIA disagreed with Nunez’s generic
    definition as being too narrow, concluding that the defining
    characteristic of a CIMT in the indecent exposure context is
    whether the offense includes “lewd intent.”
    **
    This summary constitutes no part of the opinion of the court. It
    has been prepared by court staff for the convenience of the reader.
    BETANSOS V. BARR                          3
    The panel concluded that it must defer to Cortes Medina
    under National Cable & Telecommunications Association v.
    Brand X Internet Services, 
    545 U.S. 967
     (2005). The panel
    noted that, unlike in Nunez, the BIA in Cortes Medina
    presented analysis explaining how it arrived at its generic
    definition of moral turpitude and explained why violations
    of § 314(1) are a categorical match to that generic definition.
    Because Cortes Medina did not misrepresent the authorities
    it relied on, it relied on published BIA authority, and its
    analysis was reasoned and thorough, the panel concluded
    that it could not say that the BIA’s decision was
    unreasonable.
    Applying the five-factor retroactivity framework from
    Montgomery Ward &. Co., Inc. v. FTC, 
    691 F.2d 1322
     (9th
    Cir. 1982), the panel also concluded that Cortes Medina
    applied retroactively to Betansos. The panel concluded that
    the first factor was not in play in this case, and that the fourth
    factor—the burden imposed by retroactive application—
    clearly favored Betansos, but that the fifth factor—the
    statutory interest in applying a new rule—leaned in the
    government’s direction. Noting that the second factor—
    whether the new rule represents an abrupt departure from
    well established practice—arguably favored Betansos, the
    panel concluded that overall the factors supported
    retroactive application because factor three—reliance on the
    new rule—weighed against Betansos. Specifically, the
    panel concluded that Betansos did not show that he in fact
    relied on Nunez prior to the BIA’s decision in Cortes
    Medina.
    Specially concurring, Judge Murguia, joined by Judge
    Bastian, wrote separately to note a tension between the
    realities of criminal prosecutions and the tools the court
    applies in immigration cases involving the categorical
    4                   BETANSOS V. BARR
    approach. Judge Murguia wrote that, because the vast
    majority—and nearly all—of criminal cases are resolved
    through plea bargains, a gap remains in the approaches for
    demonstrating a “realistic probability” of prosecution for
    conduct that falls outside the generic definition of a crime.
    Accordingly, Judge Murguia noted that it would be worth
    developing a mechanism for considering what conduct
    prosecutors charge and results in defendants accepting pleas.
    COUNSEL
    Robert Francis Jacobs (argued), Robert F. Jacobs &
    Associates, Santa Fe Springs, California, for Petitioner.
    Erica Miles (argued), Trial Attorney; John W. Blakeley,
    Assistant Director; Office of Immigration Litigation, Civil
    Division, United States Department of Justice, Washington,
    D.C.; for Respondent.
    BETANSOS V. BARR                       5
    OPINION
    MURGUIA, Circuit Judge:
    Felipe Cruz Betansos, a native and citizen of Mexico,
    appeals the Board of Immigration Appeals’ (“BIA”)
    dismissal of his application for cancellation of removal. In
    dismissing his appeal, the BIA affirmed the Immigration
    Judge’s (“IJ”) conclusion that Betansos’s conviction for
    indecent exposure under California Penal Code § 314(1) is
    categorically a crime involving moral turpitude (“CIMT”).
    Betansos’s criminal record also includes a petty theft
    conviction, which he does not dispute is a CIMT. Therefore,
    if Betansos’s indecent exposure conviction is a CIMT,
    Betansos is ineligible for cancellation of removal because
    aliens convicted of two CIMTs are ineligible for cancellation
    of removal. 8 U.S.C. § 1229b(b)(1)(C).
    In affirming the IJ’s determination that Betansos’s
    indecent exposure conviction is a CIMT, the BIA relied on
    its published decision in Matter of Cortes Medina, 
    26 I. & N. Dec. 79
     (BIA 2013), which held that a conviction under
    § 314(1) is categorically a CIMT. Cortes Medina contradicts
    our 2010 decision, Nunez v. Holder, 
    594 F.3d 1124
     (9th Cir.
    2010), in which we rejected the BIA’s determination that
    § 314(1) is categorically a CIMT because the BIA decision
    we reviewed in Nunez rested entirely on an unproven
    statement that § 314(1) requires sexual motivation. Nunez,
    
    594 F.3d at 1133
    . In Nunez, we held that indecent exposure
    under § 314(1) is not categorically a CIMT. Id. at 1138.
    We must now decide whether to defer to the BIA’s more
    recent determination in Cortes Medina that a violation of
    § 314(1) categorically constitutes a CIMT. If we defer to
    Cortes Medina, we must also decide whether we will do so
    retroactively. For the reasons explained below, we conclude
    6                       BETANSOS V. BARR
    that we must defer to Cortes Medina pursuant to the
    framework      outlined    in     National     Cable     &
    Telecommunications Association v. Brand X Internet
    Services, 
    545 U.S. 967
    , 982 (2005). We also conclude that
    Cortes Medina applies retroactively in Betansos’s case. We
    therefore deny Betansos’s petition for review.
    I.
    Betansos entered the United States in 1989 and has
    resided here since. He is unmarried, but he lives with his
    longtime girlfriend with whom he has a 17-year-old daughter
    who is a United States citizen.
    Betansos has five criminal convictions in California.
    Relevant here are his 1989 petty theft, 
    Cal. Penal Code § 484
    (a), and 2002 indecent exposure, 
    Cal. Penal Code § 314
    (1), convictions. 1
    On April 22, 2010, the Department of Homeland
    Security (“DHS”) served Betansos with a Notice to Appear,
    which initiated his removal proceedings. At that time,
    Betansos was in custody. On May 11, 2012, Betansos,
    represented by counsel, admitted that he is not lawfully
    present in the United States and is a citizen of Mexico and
    conceded removability. On September 14, 2012, Betansos
    and his attorney appeared before the IJ to file his application
    for cancellation of removal. About a year later, in October
    2013, the IJ held another hearing and denied Betansos’s
    application for relief.
    1
    Betansos was also convicted in 1994 for driving with a blood
    alcohol level of .08 or more, 
    Cal. Veh. Code § 23152
    (b), and in 2003 and
    2007, for domestic battery, 
    Cal. Penal Code § 243
    (e)(1).
    BETANSOS V. BARR                             7
    A.
    Betansos requested cancellation of removal as relief
    from deportation. To be eligible for cancellation of removal,
    Betansos had to demonstrate, among other things, that he
    was not convicted of certain enumerated offenses. 2 8 U.S.C.
    § 1229b(b)(1)(C).
    In denying Betansos’s application for cancellation of
    removal, the IJ concluded that because Betansos had been
    convicted of two CIMTs—petty theft and indecent
    exposure—he was statutorily ineligible for cancellation of
    removal. 8 U.S.C. § 1229b(b)(1)(B), (C). The IJ relied on
    Cortes Medina to conclude that indecent exposure
    constitutes a CIMT, noting that Cortes Medina held that
    indecent exposure under § 314(1) includes “the element of
    lewd intent.” Cortes Medina was decided on January 8,
    2013, after Betansos applied for cancellation of removal but
    before the IJ held the October 2013 hearing. Because
    Betansos sought no other form of relief, the IJ ordered
    Betansos removed to Mexico. Betansos timely appealed the
    IJ’s decision to the BIA.
    B.
    The BIA dismissed Betansos’s appeal on June 29, 2015.
    In dismissing the appeal, the BIA agreed with the IJ that
    Betansos was ineligible for cancellation of removal because
    he was convicted of two CIMTs. The BIA noted that
    2
    Betansos also had to demonstrate that: (1) he had been
    continuously physically present in the United States for not less than
    10 years immediately before his application was filed, (2) he was a
    “person of good moral character” during that time, and (3) his removal
    would “result in exceptional and extremely unusual hardship” to his
    United States citizen daughter. 8 U.S.C. § 1229b(b)(1)(A)–(D).
    8                         BETANSOS V. BARR
    Betansos did not contest that his petty theft conviction is a
    CIMT. Then, citing to Cortes Medina, the BIA affirmed the
    IJ’s conclusion that Betansos’s indecent exposure conviction
    was categorically a CIMT. In explaining why the BIA
    affirmed the IJ’s decision, the BIA noted that Betansos bears
    the burden of demonstrating he is eligible for relief. The BIA
    found that Betansos had not met his burden of showing that
    “under current law a realistic probability exists that
    California would apply the [indecent exposure] statute,
    either in his case or generically, to conduct that would not
    involve moral turpitude.” 3 In other words, Betansos failed to
    show that California would prosecute non-morally
    turpitudinous conduct under § 314(1). The BIA also
    highlighted that it found no published or unpublished
    California cases since Nunez applying § 314(1) to non-
    morally turpitudinous conduct. Accordingly, the BIA
    concluded that Cortes Medina applied, that the IJ did not err
    in relying on Cortes Medina, and that Betansos’s conviction
    under § 314(1) was a CIMT.
    Betansos timely appealed the BIA’s decision.
    II.
    We lack jurisdiction to review a final order of removal
    based on a petitioner’s conviction of a CIMT. See
    Marmolejo-Campos v. Holder, 
    558 F.3d 903
    , 907 (9th Cir.
    2009) (en banc) (citing 
    8 U.S.C. § 1252
    (a)(2)(C)). However,
    we retain jurisdiction to determine whether a petitioner’s
    3
    For a state statute of conviction to be categorically broader than
    the generic definition of a crime, “a realistic probability, not a theoretical
    possibility, [must exist] that the State would apply its statute to conduct
    that falls outside the generic definition of a crime.” Gonzales v. Duenas-
    Alvarez, 
    549 U.S. 183
    , 193 (2007).
    BETANSOS V. BARR                        9
    conviction is in fact a CIMT as defined in the Immigration
    and Nationality Act (“INA”). 
    Id.
    III.
    Generally, when determining whether a petitioner’s
    conviction is categorically a CIMT, we undertake a two-step
    process. See Rivera v. Lynch, 
    816 F.3d 1064
    , 1070 (9th Cir.
    2016) (citing Marmolejo-Campos, 
    558 F.3d at
    907–11).
    “First, we identify the elements of the statute of conviction,
    reviewing the BIA’s conclusions on this point de novo.”
    Vinh Tan Nguyen v. Holder, 
    763 F.3d 1022
    , 1027 (9th Cir.
    2014); see also Marmolejo-Campos, 
    558 F.3d at 907
    .
    Second, after identifying the elements of the statute of
    conviction, we engage in the categorical approach and
    “compare the elements of the statute of conviction to the
    generic definition of a [CIMT] and decide whether the
    conviction meets that definition.” Castrijon-Garcia v.
    Holder, 
    704 F.3d 1205
    , 1208 (9th Cir. 2013). In so doing,
    “[w]e rely on our own generalized definition of moral
    turpitude, which divides almost all CIMTs into two basic
    types: those involving fraud and those involving grave acts
    of baseness or depravity.” Rivera, 816 F.3d at 1070 (internal
    quotation marks omitted).
    However, our review of the BIA’s conclusion that a
    statute of conviction is categorically a CIMT is “governed
    by the same traditional principles of administrative
    deference we apply to the [BIA’s] interpretation of other
    ambiguous terms in the INA.” Marmolejo-Campos,
    
    558 F.3d at 911
    . Accordingly, where “the [BIA] determines
    that certain conduct is morally turpitudinous in a
    precedential decision, we apply Chevron deference
    regardless of whether the order under review is the
    precedential decision itself or a subsequent unpublished
    10                   BETANSOS V. BARR
    order that relies upon it.” 
    Id. at 911
    . Under Chevron, U.S.A.,
    Inc. v. Natural Resources Defense Council, Inc., 
    467 U.S. 837
     (1984), we defer to an agency’s interpretation of
    ambiguous language in a statute where Congress has
    delegated authority to the agency to enforce the statute
    containing the ambiguous text. 
    Id.
     at 908–09. Nevertheless,
    where the BIA issues a precedential decision with “no
    reasoned explanation for its conclusion,” Chevron deference
    is unwarranted. Rivera, 816 F.3d at 1070. Instances where
    we do not defer to the BIA’s interpretation of ambiguous
    statutory language, however, are rare. Id. at 1071.
    A.
    We first interpret the statute of conviction to identify its
    essential elements. In relevant part, 
    Cal. Penal Code § 314
    (1)
    states, “[e]very person who willfully and lewdly . . .
    [e]xposes his person, or the private parts thereof, in any
    public place, or in any place where there are present other
    persons to be offended or annoyed thereby . . . is guilty of a
    misdemeanor.” 
    Cal. Penal Code § 314
    (1), (2). California
    Jury Instructions provide that to find a defendant guilty
    under § 314, the government must prove:
    (1) The defendant willfully exposed (his/her)
    genitals in the presence of another person or
    persons who might be offended or annoyed
    by the defendant’s actions; [AND] (2) [w]hen
    the defendant exposed (himself/herself),
    (he/she) acted lewdly by intending to direct
    public attention to (his/her) genitals for the
    purpose of sexually arousing or gratifying
    (himself/herself) or another person, or
    sexually offending another person.
    BETANSOS V. BARR                       11
    Judicial Council of Cal. Crim. Jury Instr. No. 1160, Indecent
    Exposure (2018). Further, under California law,
    [A] person does not expose his private parts
    “lewdly” within the meaning of section 314
    unless his conduct is sexually motivated.
    Accordingly, a conviction of that offense
    requires proof beyond a reasonable doubt that
    the actor not only meant to expose himself,
    but intended by his conduct to direct public
    attention to his genitals for purposes of sexual
    arousal, gratification, or affront.
    People v. Archer, 
    119 Cal. Rptr. 2d 783
    , 785 (Ct. App. 2002)
    (citing In re Smith, 
    7 Cal. 3d 362
    , 366 (1972)); see also
    People v. Ballard, 
    16 Cal. Rptr. 2d 624
    , 630 (Ct. App. 1993)
    (“This requirement of lewdness, which is needed for a
    conviction of indecent exposure in California, supplies the
    assurance that a conviction for indecent exposure is one
    which necessarily involves moral turpitude.”); People v.
    Carbajal, 
    8 Cal. Rptr. 3d 206
    , 208 (Ct. App. 2003).
    Based on the above authorities and reviewing de novo, it
    is clear that for a person to be convicted under § 314(1), the
    following three elements are required: (1) the person must
    have willfully exposed his or her genitals in the presence of
    others who could be “offended or annoyed”; (2) such
    exposure must have been sexually motivated, or “lewd”; and
    (3) the exposure must have been made with the intent to
    sexually arouse, gratify, or affront the offender or another
    person.
    B.
    With this background in mind, we next consider whether
    the BIA’s conclusion in Cortes Medina that a violation of
    12                   BETANSOS V. BARR
    § 314(1) categorically constitutes a CIMT is reasonable and
    therefore entitled to Chevron deference. See Brand X,
    
    545 U.S. at 980
    ; Garfias-Rodriguez v. Holder, 
    702 F.3d 504
    ,
    507 (9th Cir. 2012) (en banc).
    Under Chevron’s familiar two-step analysis, we first ask
    if Congress has directly spoken to the issue; step two asks
    whether the agency’s interpretation of ambiguous language
    in the statute the agency is charged with administering is
    reasonable. Garfias-Rodriguez, 702 F.3d at 508 n.2 (citing
    Chevron, 
    467 U.S. at
    842–44). We have stated that the term
    “moral turpitude” “falls well short of clarity” and “is perhaps
    the quintessential example of an ambiguous phrase.”
    Marmolejo-Campos, 
    558 F.3d at 909
    ; see also Nunez,
    
    594 F.3d at 1130
    . Congress has not clearly defined “moral
    turpitude,” and we move to Chevron’s second step.
    We have hesitated to defer to the BIA’s general
    understanding of the term “moral turpitude” because the
    BIA’s “general definition of moral turpitude fails to
    particularize the term in any meaningful way.” See
    Marmolejo-Campos, 
    558 F.3d at 910
     (internal quotation
    marks omitted). Instead, “[w]e [have] rel[ied] on our own
    generalized definition of moral turpitude, which divides
    almost all CIMTs into two basic types: those involving fraud
    and those involving grave acts of baseness or depravity.”
    Rivera, 816 F.3d at 1071 (internal quotation marks omitted).
    Our understanding of moral turpitude, we have stated, does
    not differ materially from the BIA’s understanding.
    Marmolejo-Campos, 
    558 F.3d at 910
    .
    In Cortes Medina, the BIA explicitly invoked its
    authority pursuant to Chevron and reaffirmed in Brand X to
    interpret ambiguous language in the INA, and re-assessed
    our definition of moral turpitude in Nunez. Cortes Medina,
    26 I. & N. Dec. at 81. We turn to determining if the BIA’s
    BETANSOS V. BARR                              13
    reassessment was reasonable. We begin our analysis with
    Nunez.
    1.
    In 2010, we considered whether a conviction under the
    same state statute of conviction at issue here, § 314(1), is
    categorically a CIMT and concluded that it is not. Nunez,
    
    594 F.3d at 1128
    . In so deciding, we reviewed the generic
    definition of moral turpitude in the indecent exposure
    context and determined that “actual infliction of harm or a
    protected class of victim” or both is required for a sexual
    offense to involve moral turpitude. 
    Id. at 1132
    . We further
    explained that the conduct at issue needed to be more than
    just offensive in order for it to be morally turpitudinous. 
    Id.
    at 1132–33. Indeed, we noted that contemporary sexual
    attitudes cannot dictate whether conduct is morally
    turpitudinous. 
    Id. at 1132
    .
    Importantly, because Nunez reviewed an unpublished
    BIA decision that provided scant analysis, and we defer to
    such decisions to the extent they have the “power to
    persuade,” we did not defer to the BIA’s unpersuasive and
    limited explanation. 
    Id.
     at 1133 (citing Skidmore v. Swift &
    Co., 
    323 U.S. 134
    , 139 (1944)). The BIA only provided one
    paragraph of analysis that rested on an unsupported
    statement that because § 314(1) requires sexual motivation,
    a conviction under § 314(1) is a CIMT. Id.
    Turning to how California has applied § 314(1), 4 Nunez
    recognized that public exposure is not necessarily lewd, id.
    4
    This discussion addressed the need to show that there is a “realistic
    probability, not a theoretical possibility, that the State would apply [the
    indecent exposure] statute to conduct that falls outside the generic
    definition of [moral turpitude].” Duenas-Alvarez, 
    549 U.S. at 193
    .
    14                      BETANSOS V. BARR
    at 1133, and discussed California state court cases. Nunez
    divided California state court cases concerning § 314(1) into
    those dealing with “exposure for sexual gratification” and
    “exposure for sexual affront.” Id. at 1134–38. Addressing
    the exposure for sexual gratification cases, we identified a
    case where California courts upheld a conviction for
    violating § 314 for nude dancing at bars. Id. at 1135–36
    (citing People v. Conway, 
    162 Cal. Rptr. 877
     (Cal. App.
    Dep’t Super. Ct. 1979)). We concluded that “[w]hatever
    one’s view of the merits of [nude dancing], it is simply not
    base, vile, and depraved” and therefore California courts
    have applied § 314(1) to non-morally turpitudinous conduct.
    Id. at 1135–36. 5
    Nunez also identified exposure-for-sexual-affront cases
    in California that fell outside the ambit of morally
    turpitudinous conduct. Id. at 1136–38. We noted two cases
    in which the conduct did not rise to a CIMT. Id. at 1137
    (citing Archer, 119 Cal. Rptr. 2d at 786–87, and People v.
    Lionel M., No. H031030, 
    2007 WL 2924052
     (Cal. Ct. App.
    2007) (unpublished)). In both instances, the male defendant
    exposed his genitalia to female observers. 
    Id.
     We determined
    that the conduct was “crass” and “inappropriate,” but not
    “inherently base, vile, and depraved.” Id. at 1138.
    Based on these two types of cases, we concluded that
    because nude dancers and people who have made sexual
    insults have been convicted under § 314(1), there was a
    realistic probability that California would apply § 314(1) to
    5
    The dissent, however, challenged the majority’s reliance upon the
    nude dancing conviction in Conway because that case has been expressly
    disapproved by subsequent California courts, thereby undermining the
    conclusion that there was a realistic probability that California would
    apply § 314(1) to conduct falling outside the generic definition of a
    CIMT. Nunez, 
    594 F.3d at 1139
     (Bybee, J., dissenting).
    BETANSOS V. BARR                        15
    non-morally turpitudinous conduct. 
    Id.
     (citing Gonzales v.
    Duenas-Alvarez, 
    549 U.S. 183
    , 193 (2007)).
    2.
    Three years later in 2013, the BIA again addressed
    whether a conviction under § 314(1) categorically
    constitutes a CIMT, invoking its authority to revisit the
    question under Brand X. Cortes Medina, 26 I. & N. Dec. at
    80–81. The BIA recognized that determining whether a state
    statute of conviction categorically is not a CIMT requires
    demonstrating that a “‘realistic probability, not a theoretical
    possibility,’ [exists] that the State would apply the statute to
    prosecute conduct that falls outside the definition of moral
    turpitude.” Id. at 82 (quoting Duenas-Alvarez, 
    549 U.S. at 193
    ). While acknowledging that “there is not a single
    comprehensive definition of [CIMT],” the BIA identified
    what it considers the two “essential elements” of CIMTs: a
    culpable mental state and reprehensible conduct. 
    Id.
    (citations omitted). Citing its own case law, the BIA stated
    that moral turpitude refers to “‘conduct which is inherently
    base, vile, or depraved, and contrary to the accepted rules of
    morality and duties owed between persons or to society in
    general.’” 
    Id.
     (quoting Matter of Ajami, 
    22 I. & N. Dec. 949
    ,
    950 (1999)). According to the BIA, “lewd or lascivious
    intent” is required for indecent exposure to be morally
    turpitudinous. 
    Id.
     The BIA, therefore, disagreed with
    Nunez’s generic definition of a CIMT in the indecent
    exposure context. 
    Id. at 84
     (explaining that the BIA
    considered Nunez’s definition of moral turpitude—which
    required the infliction of harm or the involvement of a
    protected class of victim—too narrow).
    The BIA concluded that Nunez’s generic definition of a
    CIMT is too narrow after analyzing prior BIA case law.
    Pointing to Matter of P-, 
    2 I. & N. Dec. 117
     (1944), and
    16                  BETANSOS V. BARR
    Matter of Mueller, 
    11 I. & N. Dec. 268
     (1965), Cortes
    Medina considered cases where conduct did not constitute
    CIMTs. 
    Id.
     at 82–83. In Matter of P-, the BIA concluded that
    the indecent exposure offense at issue—indecent exposure
    in the presence of minor children in violation of Washington
    State law—was not a CIMT because the exposure was not
    intended to arouse sexual desires or made with lewd or
    lascivious intent. Matter of P-, 2 I. & N. Dec. at 119, 121.
    Likewise, in Matter of Mueller, the BIA determined the
    crime there—Mueller’s public exposure of his genitals in
    violation of Wisconsin law—did not constitute a CIMT
    because a conviction under the state statute at issue in that
    case could be secured without any demonstration of intent.
    Cortes Medina, 26 I. & N. Dec. at 83 (citing Matter of
    Mueller, 11 I. & N. Dec. at 270).
    In contrast, the BIA pointed to Matter of Lambert, 
    11 I. & N. Dec. 340
     (1965), as a case where a violation of a state
    statute constituted a CIMT. 
    Id.
     Lambert was convicted under
    Florida state law for renting rooms knowing that the rooms
    would be used for lewdness or prostitution. Matter of
    Lambert, 11 I. & N. Dec. at 340. The BIA concluded that
    Lambert’s conviction was a CIMT. Id. at 342. Based on its
    review of these three cases, the BIA also concluded that a
    person convicted under § 314(1) commits a CIMT because a
    conviction under this statute requires a finding of
    “lewdness.” Cortes Medina, 26 I. & N. Dec. at 84.
    The BIA, however, agreed with Nunez’s identification of
    two types of cases prosecuted under § 314(1) that illustrate
    whether violations of § 314(1) are categorically overbroad.
    Id. Discussing the “sexual affront” cases first, the BIA
    disagreed with our description in Nunez of the conduct in
    Archer as a “tasteless prank.” Id. at 84–85 (citing Archer,
    
    119 Cal. Rptr. 2d 783
    ). The BIA viewed the driver’s
    BETANSOS V. BARR                       17
    exposure of himself as a lewd act and therefore a CIMT. 
    Id.
    As to the sexual gratification, or nude dancing, type of cases,
    here too the BIA focused on lewdness. 
    Id. at 85
    .
    Differentiating between “simple public nudity” and
    “indecent exposure with a lewd intent,” the BIA determined
    that California courts require lewd intent to uphold a
    conviction. 
    Id.
     (citations omitted).
    Importantly, the BIA also considered whether there was
    a “realistic probability” that a person would be convicted
    under § 314(1) for “nude dancing or other conduct that does
    not involve moral turpitude.” Id. at 86. Indeed, the BIA cited
    to the California Supreme Court’s express disavowal of
    considering nude dancing a violation of § 314(1), and Cortes
    Medina’s failure to show that there is a realistic probability
    that California would apply § 314(1) to conduct not
    involving moral turpitude, to conclude that a realistic
    probability did not exist. Id. at 85–86 (citing Morris v.
    Municipal Court, 
    652 P.2d 51
    , 59, n.13 (Cal. 1982)).
    Therefore, the BIA concluded that a violation of § 314(1) is
    categorically a CIMT. Id. at 86.
    Although Cortes Medina reviewed the same California
    state cases Nunez considered, the BIA arrived at a different
    conclusion because its generic definition of a CIMT is
    broader than the definition Nunez adopted. In other words,
    because Cortes Medina concluded that “lewd intent” makes
    indecent exposure a CIMT, the offenses in the California
    state cases discussed in Nunez as non-categorical matches of
    § 314(1) fit under the BIA’s broader definition once the BIA
    identified lewd intent in each of the California cases. Id. at
    84–85 (citing Archer, 
    119 Cal. Rptr. 2d 783
    , and Conway,
    
    162 Cal. Rptr. 877
    ).
    18                  BETANSOS V. BARR
    3.
    Under Brand X, we must defer to the BIA’s
    interpretation of CIMT in Cortes Medina unless its
    conclusion is unreasonable. See Brand X, 
    545 U.S. at 982
    (“A court’s prior judicial construction of a statute trumps an
    agency construction otherwise entitled to Chevron deference
    only if the prior court decision holds that its construction
    follows from the unambiguous terms of the statute and thus
    leaves no room for agency discretion.”). As is clear, the
    BIA’s conclusion in Cortes Medina contradicts our decision
    in Nunez. We are now tasked with deciding whether we
    should defer to Cortes Medina.
    In Nunez, we determined that we defer to an unpublished
    BIA decision with limited reasoning “only to the extent that
    it has the ‘power to persuade.’” Nunez, 
    594 F.3d at
    1133
    (citing Skidmore, 
    323 U.S. at 139
    ). The BIA’s unpublished
    decision there did not merit deference because we reviewed
    a decision that only provided one paragraph of analysis
    containing an unsupported statement “that because § 314
    requires a sexual motivation, it is a crime of moral
    turpitude.” Id.
    Unlike in Nunez, we are presented with Cortes Medina’s
    analysis explaining how the BIA arrived at its generic
    definition of moral turpitude. The key difference between
    Nunez and Cortes Medina is the BIA’s conclusion that the
    generic definition of moral turpitude in Nunez is too narrow.
    Cortes Medina, 26 I. & N. Dec. at 84. Instead, according to
    the BIA, the defining characteristic of a CIMT in the
    indecent exposure context is whether the offense conduct
    includes “lewd intent.” Id. at 83. The BIA arrived at this
    conclusion in Cortes Medina after considering BIA case law
    and supported it by reviewing California state court cases.
    Id. at 83–86. The BIA also explained why violations of
    BETANSOS V. BARR                        19
    § 314(1) are a categorical match to its generic definition of a
    CIMT by reviewing the same cases we considered in Nunez.
    Cortes Medina does not misrepresent these authorities, its
    analysis is reasoned and thorough, and it relies on published
    BIA authority. Accordingly, we cannot say that the BIA’s
    decision is unreasonable. Cf. Mellouli v. Lynch, 
    135 S. Ct. 1980
    , 1989 (2015) (holding that the BIA’s decision was not
    owed deference because it “makes scant sense”); Rivera,
    816 F.3d at 1071 (holding that the BIA’s decision was not
    entitled to deference where it provided “no reasoning
    whatsoever”); Coquico v. Lynch, 
    789 F.3d 1049
    , 1052–53
    (9th Cir. 2015) (holding that the BIA’s decision was not
    entitled to deference where it misunderstood the elements of
    a crime under California law); Uppal v. Holder, 
    605 F.3d 712
    , 715 (9th Cir. 2010) (“Because the BIA failed to identify
    the elements of § 268 [aggravated assault] correctly, its
    CIMT analysis, in which it compares the elements it has
    identified to the generic definition of moral turpitude, is
    misdirected and so merits no deference from this Court.”).
    Moreover, the fact that the BIA intended to provide an
    interpretation of moral turpitude in the indecent exposure
    context in Cortes Medina provides further support for
    deferring to Cortes Medina. See Lagandaon v. Ashcroft,
    
    383 F.3d 983
    , 987 (9th Cir. 2004) (“As long as the BIA
    intended to issue an interpretation of a statute it enforces, its
    interpretation of ambiguities in that statute is generally
    accorded deference under [Chevron].” (internal quotation
    marks omitted)); Cortes Medina, 26 I. & N. Dec. at 81
    (invoking Chevron to determine whether a violation of
    § 314(1) is a CIMT). In reaching this decision, we recognize
    that we defer to the BIA because it has exercised its
    delegated policymaking judgment, and not because it is
    better situated to interpret the INA. Garfias-Rodriguez,
    702 F.3d at 515. Reasonable minds can differ when deciding
    20                   BETANSOS V. BARR
    whether certain crimes are morally turpitudinous. Indeed, we
    did so in Nunez. However, pursuant to Brand X, we must
    defer to the BIA’s decision in Cortes Medina.
    C.
    Having concluded that we must defer to the BIA’s
    decision in Cortes Medina, we now consider whether our
    holding applies retroactively. In Garfias-Rodriguez, we held
    that when “we overturn our own precedent following a
    contrary statutory interpretation by an agency authorized
    under Brand X, we analyze whether the agency’s statutory
    interpretation (to which we defer) applies retroactively under
    the test we adopted in Montgomery Ward [&. Co., Inc. v.
    FTC, 
    691 F.2d 1322
     (9th Cir. 1982)].” Id. at 520. We
    conduct this analysis on a case-by-case basis. Id.
    The five-factor Montgomery Ward framework asks,
    (1) whether the particular case is one of first
    impression, (2) whether the new rule
    represents an abrupt departure from well
    established practice or merely attempts to fill
    a void in an unsettled area of law, (3) the
    extent to which the party against whom the
    new rule is applied relied on the former rule,
    (4) the degree of the burden which a
    retroactive order imposes on a party, and
    (5) the statutory interest in applying a new
    rule despite the reliance of a party on the old
    standard.
    Id. at 518 (quoting Montgomery Ward, 
    691 F.2d at 1333
    ).
    This analysis, however, should be conducted with “the
    presumption of prospectivity” that accompanies exercises of
    legislative power because a court’s decision to defer to an
    BETANSOS V. BARR                       21
    agency’s decision under Brand X follows from the agency’s
    “exercise of delegated legislative policymaking authority.”
    Gutierrez-Brizuela v. Lynch, 
    834 F.3d 1142
    , 1144 (10th Cir.
    2016) (explaining that a court’s deference to agency
    interpretations of ambiguous statutes under Brand X, even
    after a court declares what the law is, is rooted in the
    assumption “that Congress had delegated legislative
    authority to the BIA to make a ‘reasonable’ policy choice in
    the face of [] statutory ambiguity”); see also Garfias-
    Rodriguez, 702 F.3d at 519 (“[B]ecause Chevron and Brand
    X are grounded in the deference we owe to agency
    policymaking, . . . the presumption in favor of retroactive
    application” does not apply.).
    1.
    For the first Montgomery Ward factor, we have stated
    that whether an issue is one of first impression may not be
    well suited to the immigration context because this factor
    was developed in the National Labor Relations Board
    (“NLRB”) context, which differs significantly from
    immigration. Garfias-Rodriguez, 702 F.3d at 521
    (explaining that because the NLRB is a unique agency that
    relies on the common-law method to adjudicate cases,
    immigration petitioners are not similarly situated to litigants
    in NLRB proceedings, and cases of “first impression” are
    captured in the second and third Montgomery Ward factors).
    Accordingly, this factor is inapplicable here.
    2.
    “The second and the third factors are closely
    intertwined.” Id. In Garfias-Rodriguez we explained that
    “these two factors will favor retroactivity if a party could
    reasonably have anticipated the change in the law such that
    22                    BETANSOS V. BARR
    the new ‘requirement would not be a complete surprise.’” Id.
    (quoting Montgomery Ward, 
    691 F.2d at
    1333–34).
    The second factor favors Betansos because Cortes
    Medina represents an “abrupt departure” from Nunez. Prior
    to Nunez, the BIA had no published opinion addressing
    whether a conviction under § 314(1) constituted a CIMT.
    See Nunez, 
    594 F.3d at 1133
     (noting that the BIA’s decision
    deeming the petitioner’s § 314(1) conviction a CIMT was
    “an unpublished opinion that [did] not rely on prior
    precedential decisions”). In February 2010, Nunez
    established, in the first precedential opinion on the issue, that
    such a conviction does not constitute a CIMT. Id. at 1138.
    Nunez remained the authoritative, settled policy on this issue
    for almost three years, until the BIA decided Cortes Medina
    in January 2013 and took the exact opposite position—that a
    conviction under § 314(1) categorically does constitute a
    CIMT. See Cortes Medina, 26 I. & N. Dec. at 81 (explicitly
    invoking authority under Brand X to disagree with Nunez).
    Cortes Medina is fairly characterized as a “complete
    surprise.” Garfias-Rodriguez, 702 F.3d at 521. The
    government has identified nothing that would have put
    Betansos on notice that relying on Nunez was unreasonable
    or risky. This is not a case where there was an ongoing
    conversation or a back-and-forth between this Court and the
    BIA about the proper interpretation. See Lemus v. Lynch,
    
    842 F.3d 641
    , 649 (9th Cir. 2016) (“[Petitioner] was on
    notice that our approach was vulnerable based upon repeated
    contrary decisions, not only from the BIA but from other
    circuits as well.”). Nor is this a case where the former rule
    was only in place for a short period of time or the rule was
    subject to ongoing challenges or revisions. See Garfias-
    Rodriguez, 702 F.3d at 521–22 (discussing factors that
    diminish the reasonableness of reliance, including where the
    BETANSOS V. BARR                       23
    rule was only in place for six months, there were “multiple
    changes in the agency’s position regarding the proper rule,”
    or the rule was subject to “ongoing legal challenges”).
    Nunez was well-settled policy in this Circuit from
    February 10, 2010, the date on which Nunez was decided,
    until January 8, 2013, the date on which Cortes Medina was
    decided. See Acosta-Olivarria v. Lynch, 
    799 F.3d 1271
    ,
    1276 (9th Cir. 2015) (holding that it was reasonable for the
    petitioner to rely on a Ninth Circuit rule because the rule was
    announced in a published opinion, “there was no contrary
    BIA decision[,]” and “[p]eople within the Ninth Circuit
    should be able to rely on our opinions in making decisions”);
    see also Garfias-Rodriguez, 702 F.3d at 515 (explaining that
    the former precedential Ninth Circuit rule “was authoritative
    in this circuit at least until the agency issued a reasonable
    interpretation to the contrary”).
    In sum, Cortes Medina did not “fill a void.” Nunez had
    already filled the void, years earlier. Instead, Cortes Medina
    “abruptly departed” from Nunez, announcing a directly
    contrary interpretation without reasonably clear warning.
    Therefore, the second factor, analyzed in isolation, weighs
    in Betansos’s favor.
    3.
    However, as noted above, the second and third factors
    are closely intertwined. And, here, the third factor—the
    extent to which Betansos relied on the former rule—weighs
    against Betansos.
    To demonstrate reliance, Betansos must identify a
    specific “reliance interest.” See Garfias-Rodriguez, 702 F.3d
    at 522 (finding that the third factor weighed against the
    petitioner because he identified “only two specific reliance
    24                   BETANSOS V. BARR
    interests” and neither was sufficient). In the context of a
    criminal conviction that has immigration consequences, we
    have held that reliance is presumed if the former, favorable
    rule was in place at the time the petitioner pleaded guilty or
    was convicted. Garcia-Martinez v. Sessions, 
    886 F.3d 1291
    ,
    1295 (9th Cir. 2018) (presuming, for purposes of
    retroactivity analysis, that the petitioner was aware of the
    relevant BIA interpretation at the time he pleaded guilty to
    theft crimes); see also I.N.S. v. St. Cyr, 
    533 U.S. 289
    , 322
    (2001) (“There can be little doubt that, as a general matter,
    alien defendants considering whether to enter into a plea
    agreement are acutely aware of the immigration
    consequences of their convictions.”). But Betansos could not
    have relied on Nunez when he pleaded guilty in 2002
    because Nunez had not yet been decided.
    We have also held that a petitioner’s expenditure of fees
    in reliance on favorable, well-settled precedent may
    constitute a sufficient reliance interest. See Acosta-
    Olivarria, 799 F.3d at 1276 (holding that petitioner
    reasonably relied on the Ninth Circuit rule that made him
    eligible for adjustment of status because he applied for
    adjustment and paid the accompanying $1,000 fee, and
    “[r]etroactive application of the [BIA’s new rule] would
    cause [petitioner’s] application for adjustment of status to be
    denied, without any refund of the $1,000 fee”). But Betansos
    does not assert that he paid fees during his immigration
    proceedings in reliance on Nunez. Nor does Betansos assert
    that he made strategic decisions or chose not to apply for
    other forms of relief because he relied on the availability of
    cancellation of removal under Nunez. See id. (petitioner
    argued that he gave up the opportunity to voluntarily depart
    in reliance on the former rule making him eligible for
    adjustment of status).
    BETANSOS V. BARR                        25
    Indeed, Betansos’s entire argument regarding reliance is
    that he “clearly relied” on Nunez because “at all stages of
    proceedings before the IJ, until the October 31, 2013 merits
    hearing, [Betansos] was statutorily eligible for relief.” In
    other words, Betansos believes that “reliance” simply means
    that he cited the rule during his legal proceedings. This is not
    the type of specific reliance interest we have generally held
    sufficient. Betansos needed to identify a specific event or
    action that he took (or failed to take) in the past in reliance
    on Nunez that now carries new consequences or burdens
    under Cortes Medina. See Garfias-Rodriguez, 702 F.3d
    at 522 (“[R]etroactivity law . . . is meant to avoid new
    burdens imposed on completed acts, not all difficult choices
    occasioned by new law[.]”) (quoting Fernandez-Vargas v.
    Gonzales, 
    548 U.S. 30
    , 46 (2006)). Betansos has not done
    so.
    In sum, although it would have been reasonable to rely
    on Nunez between February 2010 and January 2013 (under
    Montgomery Ward factor two), Betansos has not shown that
    he in fact relied on Nunez (under Montgomery Ward factor
    three).
    4.
    The fourth factor, the degree of the burden that a
    retroactive order imposes on a party, weighs in Betansos’s
    favor because “deportation alone is a substantial burden that
    weighs against retroactive application of an agency
    adjudication.” Garfias-Rodriguez, 702 F.3d at 523 (internal
    quotation marks omitted).
    5.
    Finally, the statutory interest in applying a new rule tips
    in the government’s favor because “non-retroactivity
    26                      BETANSOS V. BARR
    impairs the uniformity of a statutory scheme, and the
    importance of uniformity in immigration law is well
    established.” Id. However, because the new rule announced
    in Cortes Medina does not follow from the “plain language
    of the statute,” this factor “only leans in the government’s
    direction.” Id.
    6.
    On balance, we find that Cortes Medina should apply to
    Betansos. The first factor is not in play. The fourth factor
    clearly favors Betansos. The fifth factor favors the
    government, but not strongly. And, although the second
    factor arguably favors Betansos, we have held that factors
    two and three are “intertwined.” Because factor three weighs
    against Betansos in this case, we hold that overall the factors
    support retroactive application against Betansos. See
    Garfias-Rodriguez, 702 F.3d at 518 (noting that the overall
    purpose of the Montgomery Ward test is to balance the
    agency’s interest in changing its rule against the “regulated
    party’s interest in being able to rely on the terms of a rule”)
    (emphasis added). 6 Accordingly, the IJ properly applied
    Cortes Medina and denied Betansos’s application for
    cancellation of removal because Betansos is statutorily
    ineligible. See 8 U.S.C. § 1229b(b)(1)(C).
    IV.
    We defer to the BIA’s decision in Cortes Medina that
    § 314(1) constitutes a CIMT. And we hold that Cortes
    6
    We note that the reliance analysis is highly fact dependent and
    conducted on a case-by-case basis. See Garfias-Rodriguez, 702 F.3d
    at 519–20. Although Betansos has not identified a specific reliance
    interest that arose for him during the period that Nunez was well-settled
    law, another petitioner might do so.
    BETANSOS V. BARR                       27
    Medina applies retroactively to Betansos’s case. We
    therefore deny Betansos’s petition.
    PETITION DENIED.
    MURGUIA, Circuit Judge, specially concurring, joined by
    BASTIAN, District Judge:
    While Brand X requires us to defer to the BIA’s decision
    in Cortes Medina in the present case, I write separately to
    note a tension between the realities of criminal prosecutions
    and the tools we apply in immigration cases in which we
    undertake the categorical approach. This tension concerns
    the requirement that petitioners show a “‘realistic
    probability’ of prosecution for conduct that falls outside the
    generic definition” of a crime. Chavez-Solis v. Lynch,
    
    803 F.3d 1004
    , 1009 (9th Cir. 2015) (quoting Gonzales v.
    Duenas-Alvarez, 
    549 U.S. 183
    , 193 (2007)).
    The Supreme Court has clarified that in conducting the
    categorical inquiry:
    [T]o find that a state statute creates a crime
    outside the generic definition of a listed crime
    in a federal statute requires more than the
    application of legal imagination to a state
    statute’s language. It requires a realistic
    probability, not a theoretical possibility, that
    the State would apply its statute to conduct
    that falls outside the generic definition of a
    crime.
    Duenas-Alvarez, 
    549 U.S. at 193
    . We have explained that
    petitioners can make the requisite “realistic probability”
    28                       BETANSOS V. BARR
    showing by pointing to state court decisions that apply the
    statute to broader conduct than permitted in the generic
    definition of a crime or by looking at the text of the state
    statute itself. See Chavez-Solis, 803 F.3d at 1009–10.
    However, a gap remains in the two approaches we have
    so far endorsed for demonstrating that a “realistic
    probability” of prosecution exists. The vast majority—and
    nearly all—of criminal cases are resolved through plea
    bargains. 1 These agreements between prosecutors and
    defendants are not published, nor are they readily accessible
    for review, yet they would illuminate the possibly broader
    conduct for which individuals are prosecuted pursuant to
    various state statutes. If we are to determine accurately
    whether there is a “realistic probability” that a state would
    charge an offense for broader conduct than that permitted by
    the generic definitions of crimes, accounting for the vast
    majority of criminal prosecutions makes sense. We currently
    lack a mechanism for considering criminal plea bargains
    when conducting a categorical analysis. However, it is worth
    exploring how courts can account for plea deals. Developing
    a mechanism for considering what conduct prosecutors
    charge and results in defendants accepting pleas may be
    1
    See, e.g., United States v. Booker, 
    543 U.S. 220
    , 273–74 (2005)
    (Stevens, J., dissenting in part) (noting that over 95 percent of criminal
    prosecutions end in a plea bargain); U.S. Sentencing Comm’n, Overview
    of Federal Criminal Cases, Fiscal Year 2017, at 5 (2018),
    https://www.ussc.gov/sites/default/files/pdf/research-and-publications/r
    esearch-publications/2018/FY17_Overview_Federal_Criminal_Cases.p
    df (“In fiscal year 2017, the vast majority of offenders (97.2 [percent])
    pleaded guilty. This high rate has been consistent for more than
    15 years.”); Judicial Council of Cal., Court Statistics Report, at 114
    (2016),      http://www.courts.ca.gov/documents/2016-Court-Statistics-
    Report.pdf (in California, 96.8 percent of state criminal felony cases
    were resolved before trial, including 79.9 percent guilty pleas).
    BETANSOS V. BARR                     29
    particularly helpful in cases such as this one where the BIA
    relies on decades-old cases to assess whether present-day
    conduct is morally turpitudinous. See Matter of Cortes
    Medina, 
    26 I. & N. Dec. 79
    , 82–83 (2013) (discussing BIA
    decisions from 1944, 1956, and 1965 in analyzing what
    makes indecent exposure a crime of moral turpitude).
    Therefore, we should be careful to consider all information
    that could help us develop a full picture of what conduct
    states prosecute under particular statutes.