Daniel Larsen v. John Soto ( 2013 )


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  •                   FOR PUBLICATION
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE NINTH CIRCUIT
    DANIEL LARSEN,                        No. 10-56118
    Petitioner-Appellee,
    D.C. No.
    v.                  2:08-cv-04610-CAS-SS
    JOHN SOTO,
    Respondent-Appellant.       ORDER AND
    AMENDED OPINION
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the Central District of California
    Christina A. Snyder, District Judge, Presiding
    Argued and Submitted
    July 30, 2013—Pasadena, California
    Filed September 16, 2013
    Amended November 20, 2013
    Before: William C. Canby, Jr., Stephen Reinhardt,
    and Kim McLane Wardlaw, Circuit Judges.
    Order;
    Opinion by Judge Wardlaw
    2                         LARSEN V. SOTO
    SUMMARY*
    Habeas Corpus
    The panel affirmed the district court’s denial of a
    warden’s motion to dismiss a facially untimely 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
     habeas corpus petition based on a showing of actual
    innocence.
    After concluding that remand for consideration of the
    Supreme Court’s recent decision in McQuiggin v. Perkins,
    
    133 S. Ct. 1924
     (2013), was unnecessary because the district
    court already undertook the analysis that Perkins prescribes,
    and after rejecting the warden’s arguments regarding the
    credibility of petitioner’s evidence, the panel held that
    petitioner satisfied the demanding standard of producing
    proof of innocence sufficient to undermine a court’s
    confidence in his conviction.
    COUNSEL
    Stephanie C. Brenan (argued), Deputy Attorney General;
    Xiomara Costello, Supervising Deputy Attorney General;
    Dane R. Gillette, Chief Assistant Attorney General; Kamala
    D. Harris, Attorney General; Michael R. Johnsen,
    Supervising Deputy Attorney General; Richard S.
    Moskowitz, Deputy Attorney General; and Lance E. Winters,
    Senior Assistant Attorney General, Los Angeles, California,
    for Respondent-Appellant.
    *
    This summary constitutes no part of the opinion of the court. It has
    been prepared by court staff for the convenience of the reader.
    LARSEN V. SOTO                       3
    Jan Stiglitz (argued), Alissa Bjerkhoel, Justin Brooks, and
    Alexander Simpson, California Innocence Project, San Diego,
    California, for Petitioner-Appellee.
    Benjamin G. Damstedt and Lori R. Mason, Cooley LLP, Palo
    Alto, California; Scott A. Cole, Cooley LLP, Reston,
    Virginia, for Amicus Curiae.
    ORDER
    The opinion filed September 16, 2013, is hereby
    AMENDED as follows:
    1. At page 9, line 9, of the slip opinion, delete  and replace it with .
    2. At page 19, lines 9–10, of the slip opinion, delete  and replace it with .
    3. At page 19, line 20, of the slip opinion, delete  and replace it with
    .
    4. At page 19, line 24, of the slip opinion, delete
    .
    5. At page 19, lines 26–27, of the slip opinion, delete
     and replace it with
    .
    4                      LARSEN V. SOTO
    With the opinion thus amended, the panel has
    unanimously voted to deny the petition for rehearing. Judges
    Reinhardt and Wardlaw have voted to deny the suggestion for
    rehearing en banc, and Judge Canby has recommended
    denial.
    The full court has been advised of the petition for
    rehearing en banc. No active judge has requested a vote on
    whether to rehear the matter en banc. Fed. R. App. P. 35.
    The petition for rehearing and suggestion for rehearing en
    banc are DENIED. No future petitions for rehearing or
    petitions for rehearing en banc will be entertained.
    OPINION
    WARDLAW, Circuit Judge:
    Warden John Soto appeals the denial of his motion to
    dismiss Daniel Larsen’s petition for a writ of habeas corpus.
    The district court held that Larsen’s claims could be
    considered on the merits despite the facial untimeliness of his
    petition, on the ground that Larsen presented compelling
    evidence that he is actually innocent. Notwithstanding the
    one-year limitations period imposed on the filing of federal
    habeas petitions by the Antiterrorism and Effective Death
    Penalty Act of 1996 (“AEDPA”), see 
    28 U.S.C. § 2244
    (d), a
    habeas petitioner who convincingly demonstrates that he is
    innocent is entitled to present his claims for relief in federal
    court. McQuiggin v. Perkins, 
    133 S. Ct. 1924
    , 1928 (2013).
    We conclude that Larsen has made the requisite showing of
    innocence, and we affirm.
    LARSEN V. SOTO                              5
    I.
    A.
    On the night of June 6, 1998, Los Angeles police
    responded to a report of an assault with a deadly weapon with
    shots fired at the Gold Apple bar1 in Los Angeles’s San
    Fernando Valley. The suspect was identified as a man
    wearing a green flannel shirt and his hair in a ponytail.
    LAPD Officers Michael Rex and Thomas Townsend
    responded to the scene. According to the officers, they
    approached the bar with their headlights and sirens turned off
    to avoid alerting any possible suspects of their arrival. They
    approached the bar through a back driveway and turned on
    overhead floodlamps, side spotlights, and high beams.
    Officer Townsend would later testify (at Larsen’s 1999
    trial) that he and Officer Rex quickly noticed a man in the
    bar’s parking lot who matched the earlier description of the
    suspect. Both officers would testify that the man pulled a
    linear object, about five or six inches long, from his
    waistband and threw it underneath a nearby car, and that this
    man, who wore a green flannel shirt, was Daniel Larsen.
    That night, after seeing the man in the parking lot, the
    officers ordered everyone in the parking lot to get down on
    their knees with their hands on their heads and detained a
    number of them in handcuffs. They placed Larsen in the back
    of a police car, and Officer Townsend then set out to search
    for the object that he testified Larsen had thrown. Officer
    1
    Various parts of the record refer to both the “Gold Apple” and “Golden
    Apple.” We use the former appellation throughout this opinion for
    consistency.
    6                        LARSEN V. SOTO
    Townsend found a double-edged knife with a weighted
    handle and a finger guard underneath a pickup truck. He also
    found a copper cylinder ten to thirty feet from where Larsen
    had been standing, but in the opposite direction from where
    he said he had seen Larsen throw the object. Officer Rex also
    testified that the object Larsen threw was noticeably bigger
    than the copper bar. Larsen was arrested at the scene. When
    Rex asked for his name, Larsen falsely replied that his name
    was “Anthony Vant.”
    Larsen was charged with possession of a deadly weapon
    under former California Penal Code § 12020(a) and convicted
    after a jury trial.2 The prosecution chose to charge the
    offense as a felony. Because Larsen had several prior felony
    convictions, he was sentenced to twenty-eight years to life
    imprisonment under California’s Three Strikes Law. The
    California Court of Appeal affirmed Larsen’s conviction on
    direct review on June 1, 2000, and the California Supreme
    Court denied review on August 9, 2000.
    B.
    In May 2005, Larsen filed a habeas petition in Los
    Angeles County Superior Court. He argued that he had
    received ineffective assistance of counsel at his trial because
    his defense attorney, who has since been disbarred, failed to
    2
    California’s Deadly Weapons Recodification Act of 2010 recodified
    the penal statutes relating to the control of deadly weapons without
    substantive change. See 
    Cal. Penal Code § 16005
    . The specific provision
    under which Larsen was charged is now codified at California Penal Code
    § 21310, which provides that “any person in this state who carries
    concealed upon the person any dirk or dagger is punishable by
    imprisonment in a county jail not exceeding one year or imprisonment
    pursuant to subdivision (h) of Section 1170.”
    LARSEN V. SOTO                         7
    conduct an adequate investigation of his case, did not call
    several potentially exculpatory witnesses, failed to request
    that the knife be examined for fingerprints, and did not
    present a theory of third-party culpability.
    Larsen attached thirteen exhibits to his petition, including
    several declarations from individuals who witnessed the
    events at the bar who declared that Larsen was not the
    individual who threw the knife. For example, Larsen
    submitted a declaration from James McNutt, a retired Army
    Sergeant First Class and former police chief. Mr. McNutt
    declared that he was in the parking lot of the bar with his wife
    on the night in question. There, he saw “a man nicknamed
    ‘Bunker’” arguing with Mr. McNutt’s stepson, Daniel
    Harrison. When the police began to arrive, Mr. McNutt “saw
    Bunker reach into the waistband of his pants. He took
    something out that looked like a knife. He threw it under a
    car that was parked to the left of my son’s car.” Mr. McNutt
    saw another man, who he later learned was Larsen, being
    detained and “wondered why he had been arrested.” Mr.
    McNutt’s wife, Elinore, who accompanied him that night,
    also declared that she “observed Bunker reach into the
    waistband of his pants and remove and throw a shiny object.
    He threw it under a car that was parked to the left of my son’s
    car.” She specifically declared that “Daniel Larsen had
    nothing in his hands, nor had he made any movements at this
    time.” Both McNutts stated that they did not believe Larsen
    did anything on the night in question that warranted his arrest.
    They had moved to North Carolina and did not know that
    Larsen had been tried or convicted for any crime.
    Larsen submitted another declaration from Jorji Owen,
    the girlfriend of a man named William Hewitt, also known as
    “Bunker.” She declared that after the incident at the Gold
    8                     LARSEN V. SOTO
    Apple bar, “Hewitt told me that Larsen had been arrested for
    possession of his (Hewitt’s) knife, and that he (Hewitt) had
    tossed the knife under a truck when the police arrived at the
    bar.” According to Owen, Hewitt sold his motorcycle to bail
    Larsen out of jail “because the knife belonged to him, he was
    the individual who had thrown the knife when the police
    arrived, and he felt responsible for Larsen being in jail.”
    Larsen also submitted a declaration from Hewitt himself,
    which stated: “I know that the knife was not [Larsen’s],
    because it was mine.” Hewitt stated that he “did not testify
    in the trial in which Daniel Larsen was convicted, because no
    one subpoenaed me.”
    Larsen raised similar claims in habeas petitions before the
    California Court of Appeal in March 2006 and before the
    California Supreme Court in May 2006. All three courts
    denied relief.
    C.
    Larsen filed his federal habeas petition on July 15, 2008,
    and filed the operative First Amended Petition on October 27,
    2008. His sole claim for relief is that his trial counsel was
    unconstitutionally ineffective because he failed to locate,
    investigate, and present exculpatory witnesses or to present
    a third-party culpability theory to the jury.
    AEDPA generally imposes a one-year period of
    limitations on a federal habeas petition, commencing on the
    date when the challenged conviction becomes final.
    
    28 U.S.C. § 2244
    (d)(1)(A). It is undisputed that Larsen’s
    federal petition was filed in 2008, well over a year after his
    1999 conviction became final. See Bowen v. Roe, 
    188 F.3d 1157
    , 1159 (9th Cir. 1999) (noting that a state court criminal
    LARSEN V. SOTO                                9
    judgment is “final” for purposes of collateral attack at the
    conclusion of review in the United States Supreme Court or
    when the time for seeking certiorari review expires).
    Although the one-year limitation period is tolled during the
    pendency of a proper state habeas petition, see 
    28 U.S.C. § 2244
    (d)(2), Larsen did not file his state petition until May
    18, 2005. We have held “that section 2244(d) does not
    permit the reinitiation of the limitations period that has ended
    before the state petition was filed.” Ferguson v. Palmateer,
    
    321 F.3d 820
    , 823 (9th Cir. 2003). Thus, it is clear that
    Larsen’s petition is facially untimely under § 2244(d).
    However, the Supreme Court has long recognized that in
    a “narrow class of cases . . . implicating a fundamental
    miscarriage of justice,” Schlup v. Delo, 
    513 U.S. 298
    , 314–15
    (1995) (quoting McCleskey v. Zant, 
    499 U.S. 467
    , 494
    (1991)), federal courts may hear the merits of a habeas
    petition despite an otherwise applicable procedural bar.
    Larsen contends, and the district court concluded, that his
    ineffective-assistance-of-counsel claim should be considered
    on the merits despite its untimeliness because he is innocent.
    “[P]risoners asserting innocence as a gateway to defaulted
    claims must establish that, in light of new evidence, ‘it is
    more likely than not that no reasonable juror would have
    found petitioner guilty beyond a reasonable doubt.’” House
    v. Bell, 
    547 U.S. 518
    , 536–37 (2006) (quoting Schlup,
    
    513 U.S. at 327
    ). If Larsen satisfies this demanding standard,
    then he is entitled to have his federal claim heard on the
    merits notwithstanding the statute of limitations prescribed by
    § 2244(d). Perkins, 
    133 S. Ct. at 1932
    .3
    3
    The Warden initially argued that the innocence exception recognized
    in Schlup was not available to excuse the untimeliness of a federal habeas
    petition under § 2244(d). However, in Perkins the Supreme Court held,
    10                        LARSEN V. SOTO
    D.
    Magistrate Judge Suzanne H. Segal held two evidentiary
    hearings related to Larsen’s petition, on May 19 and
    November 17, 2009. The first hearing concerned the State’s
    motion to dismiss the petition, and thus focused solely on
    whether Larsen could make the showing of factual innocence
    required to excuse the time bar to consideration of the merits
    of his petition. Larsen called three witnesses at the
    evidentiary hearing: James McNutt, Elinor McNutt, and Brian
    McCracken. He had also attached to his federal habeas
    petition declarations from Jorji Owen and William Hewitt
    that he had submitted with his state habeas petition. See supra
    p. 7.
    James McNutt testified that he is a 22-year veteran of the
    military and a former police officer. At the time of the
    hearing, he was a correctional officer in Tennessee. He
    testified that he was present in the parking lot of the Gold
    Apple on the night Larsen was arrested. He and his wife
    were meeting his stepson, Danny; he estimated they arrived
    at 7:30, though he was “not positive of the time.” After his
    wife heard “a loud noise down where Danny’s car was
    parked, some arguing going on,” Mr. McNutt went to
    investigate the situation. Danny was arguing with a man
    whom he repeatedly referred to as “Bunker,” and Bunker was
    as we had previously concluded in Lee v. Lampert, 
    653 F.3d 929
    , 932
    (9th Cir. 2011) (en banc), that Schlup’s innocence exception to ordinary
    rules of procedural default is applicable “when the impediment is
    AEDPA’s statute of limitations.” 
    133 S. Ct. at 1932
    . Thus, the Warden’s
    argument that no such exception to the statute of limitations exists is
    foreclosed.
    LARSEN V. SOTO                              11
    “doing all the talking.” Larsen was also present, but was not
    participating in the argument.
    Within about two minutes, Mr. McNutt observed
    “approximately 20, 25 LAPD that were coming from all
    different directions.” McNutt saw Bunker throw a metallic
    object underneath a nearby vehicle; he stated that “from [his]
    professional experience” the object likely was not a gun, and
    he assumed it was a knife based on “the way it sounded
    underneath the vehicle.” In contrast to Bunker, Larsen
    “didn’t say one word . . . . His hands were at the side the
    whole time, and he was just standing there, listening.”
    Subsequently, a police officer handcuffed and frisked
    McNutt, “massaging” his penis for about five or six seconds
    in the process. When the officers realized that McNutt was
    affiliated with law enforcement, they released him.
    Mr. McNutt witnessed Larsen’s arrest. However, it was
    not until two and a half years later4 that an attorney contacted
    him about providing testimony on Larsen’s behalf. Mr.
    McNutt would have testified on Larsen’s behalf, but the
    attorney never provided a specific time or place to go to give
    his testimony. If he had been called to testify at Larsen’s
    trial, his testimony would have been consistent with his
    statements at the evidentiary hearing.
    On cross-examination, Mr. McNutt testified that he did
    not notice any flood lights or hear a helicopter during the
    4
    The record reflects that around this time, Larsen was attempting to
    obtain representation to challenge his conviction. Though he had some
    false starts with various attorneys who it appeared might take his case, it
    was not until after the California Innocence Project began representing
    Larsen in 2002 that he pursued habeas relief.
    12                        LARSEN V. SOTO
    events in the parking lot. He never actually made it into the
    bar that night, and all the events he witnessed occurred
    around 7:30 p.m., though he was “not sure of the exact time.”
    When asked, he specifically stated that a copper weight
    would not have made the sound he heard when Bunker threw
    the object. He also stated that he “was a nervous wreck, all
    these police officers and shotguns and everything,” and that
    he felt the officers were rude and rough.
    Elinore McNutt began her testimony by recounting that
    she had had several back surgeries and suffered from
    neuropathy, diabetes, and fibromyalgia; she indicated that
    these conditions would make it difficult for her to sit for a
    long period of time. She went with her husband to the Gold
    Apple bar on the night in question to meet her son, but she
    could not remember what time they went. She “saw a couple
    of guys walking right up to [her] son’s car, kind of in a
    hurry,” and she recognized one of them as a man known by
    the nickname Bunker. Larsen was also present. Because it
    appeared that “something [was] going on,” her husband
    walked over to where the confrontation was taking place
    while Mrs. McNutt waited at the tailgate of her truck. Bunker
    exchanged words with her son while Larsen stood by silently.
    Within three or four minutes, the police arrived. When the
    police began to approach, Bunker “reached in his pants
    pocket or shirt and tossed a knife under [a] car”5 near where
    he was standing. Meanwhile, Larsen “just stood there, kind
    of, dumbfounded. Then turned and walked away.” She
    testified that she could see him well and that she did not see
    anything in his hands.
    5
    Mrs. McNutt then corrected herself, stating: “I don’t know if it was a
    knife. I’m just hearing something hit through – a metal, clank, skidding,
    you know, noise, but I don’t know what it was.”
    LARSEN V. SOTO                        13
    Although she saw Larsen being placed in a patrol car,
    Mrs. McNutt did not make inquiries because the officers were
    busy and “were telling people to leave.” Had she known that
    the officers were arresting Larsen for throwing the object
    under the car, she would have corrected their mistake.
    However, the officers did not take a statement from her. She
    would have been willing to testify in Larsen’s defense at trial
    had she been asked to do so.
    On cross-examination, Mrs. McNutt clarified that it was
    just beginning to get dark when she arrived at the bar;
    because it was June, she estimated that would have been
    around 8:00. She thought that they had gone into the bar for
    one or two drinks after the police left, though she “[couldn’t]
    be positive that far, long ago”; in any event, she did not
    “think [they] were there a long time, because [her] husband
    was, pretty, you know, upset.” She recalled the parking lot
    being lit by street lights, but did not recall any flood lights
    from police cars or the presence of any helicopters. She also
    saw that her husband was “fondled” by a police officer, and
    could not believe what was happening. She stated that an
    officer grabbed her by the hair, but she did not complain
    through any official channels because “it doesn’t do a lot of
    good to call LAPD, from what I heard.” She also testified
    that her eyes were not on Bunker or Larsen for the entire
    incident, because she “scanned” the area to see everything
    that was going on.
    Finally, Larsen called Brian McCracken to testify.
    McCracken began by revealing that he was convicted of
    conspiracy in 1990 and then in 1998 for being a felon in
    possession of a firearm. He has not been arrested since 2001,
    and at the time of the hearing was employed making aircraft
    components. McCracken was alone at the Gold Apple bar on
    14                    LARSEN V. SOTO
    the night in question. He knows Daniel Larsen, who was also
    at the bar that night. He recounted that a man other than
    Larsen approached him in the bar; they exchanged words, and
    the man “flashed a knife.” The man said, “You know, I could
    kill you right now.” McCracken described the knife as
    double-edged and about four to five inches long. It had
    “something that could have come over your thumb and index
    finger”–“a hand protector.” He was then shown a photograph
    of a knife that was found in Larsen’s trial counsel’s file, and
    testified that it “looks pretty similar” to the knife he saw at
    the bar. He never saw Daniel Larsen with a knife that
    evening. Though McCracken and the man with the knife
    resolved their dispute without an altercation, the bartender
    informed McCracken that she had called the police. He was
    not in the parking lot when Larsen was arrested. McCracken
    testified that Larsen later called him from jail, and he told
    Larsen, “I know you didn’t have the knife that night. Have
    your lawyer get a hold of me.”
    On cross-examination, when asked what the man with the
    knife looked like, McCracken stated that he was short with
    brown hair and a medium build. After McCracken stated that
    he could not remember certain details about the man’s
    appearance because ten years had elapsed, he was asked
    whether “it would be hard to also remember what the knife
    looked like”; he responded, “No, I remember the blade
    distinctly because when somebody says, you know: I could
    kill you right now, and then they show you something, that
    one particular moment just stuck in my mind.” He had
    known Larsen for about fifteen years, but they were not close
    friends. Larsen presumably called him from jail only because
    Larsen was aware that McCracken would have known that
    Larsen did not have the knife on the night of the arrest. He
    admitted that he had not seen anyone in the parking lot throw
    LARSEN V. SOTO                         15
    an object and was not present when the police arrived.
    McCracken thought he may have had one beer before seeing
    the knife, and had drunk one or two beers total that night. He
    waited to leave the bar until he was certain the police had left,
    and ultimately left around 9:30.
    Based on the evidence before her, Magistrate Judge Segal
    recommended that the district court deny the Warden’s
    motion to dismiss Larsen’s habeas petition as untimely. She
    concluded that, in light of the evidence Larsen presented, “no
    reasonable juror would have found Petitioner guilty beyond
    a reasonable doubt.” The district court adopted that
    recommendation.
    Magistrate Judge Segal then held a second evidentiary
    hearing on Larsen’s ineffective assistance of counsel claim.
    Finding that Larsen “clearly received ineffective assistance of
    counsel” because his trial counsel failed to present any
    evidence in Larsen’s defense, she recommended that the
    district court grant the First Amended Petition and order the
    Warden to release Larsen or retry him within ninety days.
    Over the State’s objections, the district court granted the First
    Amended Petition, remanding Larsen’s case for a new trial in
    state court within ninety days, unless the state decided not to
    retry him. The Warden appealed.
    II.
    We review de novo the district court’s decision to grant
    or deny a petition for a writ of habeas corpus. Lambert v.
    Blodgett, 
    393 F.3d 943
    , 964 (9th Cir. 2004). “Factual
    findings and credibility determinations made by the district
    16                          LARSEN V. SOTO
    court in the context of granting or denying the petition are
    reviewed for clear error.” Id.6
    The Warden does not appeal the district court’s grant of
    relief on the merits of Larsen’s ineffective assistance claim.
    Nor does he pursue a claim that the evidentiary hearings held
    before Magistrate Judge Segal were improper under Cullen v.
    Pinholster, 
    131 S. Ct. 1388
     (2011). The Warden has
    therefore waived those issues. See Trest v. Cain, 
    522 U.S. 87
    ,
    89 (1997) (observing that a State can waive non-jurisdictional
    defenses in habeas proceedings). Thus, the only issue before
    us is whether the district court properly denied the Warden’s
    motion to dismiss Larsen’s petition as beyond AEDPA’s
    limitation period.
    III.
    A.
    As an initial matter, we must determine the effect, if any,
    of the Supreme Court’s recent decision in Perkins on
    Larsen’s appeal. The Court held that “actual innocence, if
    proved, serves as a gateway through which a petitioner may
    6
    We reject the Warden’s suggestion that we should somehow review the
    district court’s credibility determinations de novo. While it is true that the
    question whether Larsen has satisfied the Schlup standard is a legal
    question that we review de novo, that is a distinct inquiry from the
    question whether the witnesses testified credibly to facts within their
    knowledge. The district court is entitled to deference on the latter point.
    See Anderson v. City of Bessemer City, 
    470 U.S. 564
    , 575 (1985). The
    district court determined “that the McNutts were credible and persuasive
    witnesses” and that “McCracken also gave credible testimony.” The
    Warden provides no reason to conclude that these determinations were
    clearly erroneous, and thus we leave them undisturbed.
    LARSEN V. SOTO                        17
    pass” to present otherwise time-barred claims in federal court.
    
    133 S. Ct. at 1928
    . The Court also “clarifie[d] that a federal
    habeas court, faced with an actual-innocence gateway claim,
    should count unjustifiable delay on a habeas petitioner’s part,
    not as an absolute barrier to relief, but as a factor in
    determining whether actual innocence has been reliably
    shown.” 
    Id.
     Seizing on this language, the Warden urges us
    to remand to the district court for reconsideration of Larsen’s
    claim in light of Perkins. He argues that, because it did not
    have the benefit of the Court’s ruling at the time it considered
    Larsen’s petition, the district court ran afoul of Perkins by
    considering Larsen’s diligence “discretely” and not as a factor
    going to the credibility of his new evidence. Cf. 
    id. at 1936
    .
    We are not persuaded that remand is necessary. Were the
    district court’s reasoning tainted by legal error that prevented
    it from properly analyzing the question before it, remand
    would be proper. See Johnson v. Bay Area Rapid Transit
    Dist., — F.3d —, 
    2013 WL 3888840
     at *10 (9th Cir. July 30,
    2013). But that is not the case here. Rather, the Report and
    Recommendation approved by the district court expressly
    analyzed whether Larsen’s delay in filing his federal habeas
    petition undermined the credibility of his new evidence, and
    concluded that it did not. The Magistrate Judge rejected the
    Warden’s argument that Larsen’s actual innocence claim was
    not credible because “no petitioner who is actually innocent
    would choose to remain silent about his federal habeas claims
    for more than a year.” Even without the benefit of Perkins,
    the Magistrate Judge recognized that a belated assertion of
    innocence, coupled with new evidence, could undermine an
    actual innocence claim. However, she rejected that argument
    in Larsen’s case because he “did not remain silent about his
    innocence.” The Magistrate Judge found:
    18                    LARSEN V. SOTO
    At trial, [Larsen] pled not guilty. In his
    declaration in support of his Petition, [Larsen]
    stated that he asked his trial attorney to
    present exculpatory evidence from Hewitt,
    Owen, and others. When [Larsen] became
    aware of the McNutts’ exculpatory testimony,
    he asked his trial attorney to move for a new
    trial and unequivocally stated, “I’m innocent.”
    [Larsen] continued to assert his innocence
    after his conviction. Between his conviction
    in 1999 and the start of the California
    Innocence Project’s representation in 2002,
    [Larsen] contacted nine different attorneys or
    legal organizations for assistance in proving
    his innocence.
    The Magistrate Judge also evaluated the witness testimony
    supporting Larsen’s evidence and found it credible:
    Not only has [Larsen] consistently proclaimed
    his own innocence, but Petitioner’s supporting
    witnesses have as well. The McNutts, who
    appear to have no other connection with
    [Larsen], have testified credibly to [Larsen]’s
    innocence for approximately eight years. In
    statements made informally, under oath in a
    declaration, and under oath in live testimony
    before the Court, the McNutts have
    maintained a consistent version of events.
    The district court considered this reasoning and adopted the
    Magistrate Judge’s conclusion that:
    LARSEN V. SOTO                        19
    This appears to be one of the “extraordinary
    cases where the petitioner asserts his
    innocence and establishes that the court
    cannot have confidence in the contrary finding
    of guilt.” Johnson[ v. Knowles], 541 F.3d
    [933,] 937 [(9th Cir. 2008)].
    Contrary to the Warden’s argument, the analysis in the
    Report and Recommendation demonstrates that diligence was
    not considered “only discretely.” The Magistrate Judge made
    findings upon which she and the district court concluded that
    Larsen’s delay in filing did not show that his evidence was
    unreliable, but was rather explained by his defense attorney’s
    failures and his subsequent attempts to acquire appropriate
    legal representation. The Magistrate Judge then concluded
    that Larsen’s evidence was reliable because it has remained
    substantively consistent for over a decade. This is perfectly
    consistent with the Court’s teaching in Perkins that
    “[u]nexplained delay in presenting new evidence bears on the
    determination whether the petitioner has made the requisite
    showing.” 
    133 S. Ct. at 1935
     (emphasis added). In short, it
    is simply implausible that Perkins would alter the district
    court’s conclusions about the credibility of Larsen’s evidence,
    because the district court already undertook the precise
    analysis that Perkins prescribes.
    B.
    Alternatively, the Warden urges us to independently
    conclude, on the basis of Perkins, that Larsen’s delay in filing
    a federal habeas petition diminishes the credibility of his
    “new” evidence. He contends that Larsen has failed to
    explain why he delayed from his conviction in 1999 until his
    20                     LARSEN V. SOTO
    first state habeas petition in 2005 to present his new evidence.
    We disagree.
    First, the evidence is not really new. As discussed supra,
    Larsen’s federal habeas petition was the culmination of his
    unbroken efforts over many years to prove his innocence
    using evidence he knew could exonerate him but which his
    attorney incompetently failed to present at trial. Second, the
    Warden stretches the record by claiming that, by 1999 or
    2000, Larsen had all the information he needed (and all the
    legal assistance required) to collaterally attack his conviction
    on the basis of actual innocence. The Warden notes that
    Larsen averred in a declaration submitted to the California
    Supreme Court that he was aware of the McNutts “after [his]
    conviction but before [he] was sentenced.” He also points out
    that in his First Amended Petition in federal court, Larsen
    stated that the McNutts gave a written statement to Larsen’s
    girlfriend “dated September 21, 2001.” Further, the Warden
    notes that Larsen declared before the California Supreme
    Court that he “had engaged a civil attorney . . . to help [him]
    prove [his] innocence” as of September 2000, and that the
    civil attorney, Bradley Gage, helped him find another
    attorney named Charles Linder to “write [his] habeas
    petition.” Given Larsen’s awareness of exculpatory witnesses
    and the fact that he had the assistance of counsel during the
    relevant period, the Warden contends that Larsen should have
    presented his evidence of innocence earlier than 2005 and has
    not explained his failure to do so.
    This argument is unavailing. First, as the Warden
    acknowledges, Linder only agreed to prepare Larsen’s habeas
    petition “in exchange for five percent of the proceeds of [his]
    civil case” against the State. Linder and Gage then
    abandoned Larsen after “a California Supreme Court case
    LARSEN V. SOTO                          21
    came down that made it impossible for us to win a civil suit
    until after [Larsen’s] innocence was proven in an evidentiary
    hearing.” Thus, it is misleading for the Warden to suggest the
    record shows Larsen “had counsel helping him to prove his
    innocence as early as 2000” based on his retention of Gage
    and Linder. Second, as the Magistrate Judge found, Larsen
    contacted numerous legal organizations between 1999 and the
    start of the California Innocence Project’s representation in
    2002. That it took Larsen several years to find attorneys to
    properly develop and present his claims does not undermine
    the credibility of his evidence.
    Next, the Warden argues that Larsen has not explained
    why it took the California Innocence Project three years from
    2002 (when it began representing him) until 2005 to file his
    habeas petition. The Warden suggests that Larsen’s “timing
    is all the more suspect because he waited to present his
    evidence of a third-party perpetrator . . . until after the statute
    of limitations expired for prosecuting that person for carrying
    a concealed weapon.” These arguments are likewise
    unpersuasive. First, it is inexplicable that Larsen would have
    willingly allowed the limitations period on his own habeas
    petition to expire while he remained incarcerated in order to
    spare William Hewitt from charges of carrying a concealed
    weapon, and the Warden does not even attempt to offer an
    explanation. When Larsen filed his state petition in 2005, Lee
    and Perkins had not been decided, so a choice to delay filing
    the petition carried the strong likelihood that federal law
    could have developed to bar untimely filings notwithstanding
    a credible claim of actual innocence. Furthermore, three
    years to locate witnesses scattered across the country, gather
    declarations, and file Larsen’s petition is not so lengthy a
    time as to be unreasonable. Certainly, that his attorneys were
    thorough in preparing his petition does not undermine the
    22                     LARSEN V. SOTO
    reliability of Larsen’s evidence. And at any rate, the Warden
    has not explained why the California Innocence Project
    would choose to become complicit in Larsen’s supposed
    scheme to spare Hewitt from prosecution by delaying in filing
    the petition.
    Most importantly, the Warden has not explained how any
    delay in filing by Larsen has prejudiced the State or
    benefitted Larsen. In fact, as Larsen’s counsel pointed out at
    oral argument, even the Warden’s own argument suggests
    that Larsen is in fact innocent: if Larsen delayed filing his
    petition to protect Hewitt, then Hewitt (and not Larsen) must
    in fact be the guilty party. None of the Warden’s arguments
    in any way diminish the credibility of Larsen’s evidence. For
    example, the Warden has not argued that any prosecution
    witnesses who testified at Larsen’s trial have since died or
    become unavailable. Cf. Perkins, 
    133 S. Ct. at 1936
    . In
    essence, the Warden’s position amounts to an argument that
    delay is a per se indication that Larsen’s evidence is not
    credible. That is a close cousin of the argument the State of
    Michigan advanced in Perkins that petitioners claiming actual
    innocence should be subjected to a “threshold diligence
    requirement”—an argument the Supreme Court concluded
    “makes scant sense.” 
    Id. at 1935
    .
    In short, delay is relevant if it is “[u]nexplained” or
    “unjustified,” 
    id.,
     and if it “bear[s] on the probable reliability
    of [the petitioner’s] evidence,” Schlup, 
    513 U.S. at 332
    .
    Larsen’s alleged “delay” is explained and readily
    understandable, and the Warden presents no plausible reason
    why his late filing detracts from the credibility of his
    witnesses, who have never deviated from their description of
    events on June 6 at the Gold Apple bar. The Magistrate
    Judge who oversaw the evidentiary hearings in the district
    LARSEN V. SOTO                          23
    court concluded just the opposite, finding that Larsen’s
    consistent and dogged attempts to prove his innocence and
    the consistency of his witnesses’ testimony over a period of
    years bolstered the reliability of his innocence claim. These
    findings are not clearly erroneous, and nothing in Perkins
    points to a different conclusion. We thus turn to the question
    whether Larsen’s new evidence of innocence is enough to
    permit consideration of his federal claim on the merits.
    IV.
    A.
    To present otherwise time-barred claims in federal court,
    a petitioner must produce proof of his innocence that is
    sufficient to convince a federal court that a failure to entertain
    his claim would constitute a fundamental miscarriage of
    justice. Lee, 
    653 F.3d at
    937–38. This “fundamental
    miscarriage of justice” doctrine has been described as “a
    gateway through which a habeas petitioner must pass to have
    his otherwise barred constitutional claim considered on the
    merits.” Herrera v. Collins, 
    506 U.S. 390
    , 404 (1993).
    “To pass through the Schlup gateway, a ‘petitioner must
    show that it is more likely than not that no reasonable juror
    would have convicted him in the light of the new evidence.’”
    Lee, 
    653 F.3d at 938
     (quoting Schlup, 
    513 U.S. at 327
    ). “This
    exacting standard ‘permits review only in the ‘extraordinary’
    case,’ but it ‘does not require absolute certainty about the
    petitioner’s guilt or innocence.’ 
    Id.
     (quoting House, 
    547 U.S. at 538
    ). “To be credible, such a claim requires petitioner to
    support his allegations of constitutional error with new
    reliable evidence—whether it be exculpatory scientific
    evidence, trustworthy eyewitness accounts, or critical
    24                    LARSEN V. SOTO
    physical evidence—that was not presented at trial.” Schlup,
    
    513 U.S. at 324
    . We have held that “where post-conviction
    evidence casts doubt on the conviction by undercutting the
    reliability of the proof of guilt, but not by affirmatively
    proving innocence, that can be enough to pass through the
    Schlup gateway to allow consideration of otherwise barred
    claims.” Sistrunk v. Armenakis, 
    292 F.3d 669
    , 673 (9th Cir.
    2002) (en banc) (citing Carriger v. Stewart, 
    132 F.3d 463
    ,
    478–79 (9th Cir. 1997) (en banc)).
    The Schlup standard “is demanding,” Perkins, 
    133 S. Ct. at 1936
    , and precedents holding that a habeas petitioner
    satisfied its strictures have typically involved dramatic new
    evidence of innocence. In House, for instance, DNA
    evidence established that semen found on a murder victim
    came from the victim’s husband and not from House, see
    
    547 U.S. at
    540–41, and there was evidence that the husband
    had a history of violence toward his wife, raising an inference
    that he “could have been the murderer,” 
    id. at 548
    . In
    Carriger, the prosecution’s chief trial witness had confessed
    in open court that he himself (and not Carriger) had
    committed the murder for which Carriger had been convicted.
    See 
    132 F.3d at
    471–72. In contrast, we have denied access
    to the Schlup gateway where a petitioner’s evidence of
    innocence was merely cumulative or speculative or was
    insufficient to overcome otherwise convincing proof of guilt.
    See, e.g., Lee, 
    653 F.3d at
    943–46; Sistrunk, 
    292 F.3d at
    675–77. Thus, to satisfy Schlup, the petitioner’s new
    evidence must convincingly undermine the State’s case.
    However, definitive, affirmative proof of innocence is not
    strictly required. As we explained in Carriger, a Schlup
    claim “is procedural, not substantive”: a petitioner’s new
    evidence must be sufficient to undermine a court’s confidence
    LARSEN V. SOTO                         25
    in his conviction, but not to erase any possibility of guilt. 
    132 F.3d at 478
    .
    B.
    Larsen has satisfied this demanding standard. None of the
    Warden’s arguments can overcome the simple, crucial fact
    that Larsen produced witnesses who were never called to
    speak on his behalf at his trial and who gave credible
    testimony that someone other than Larsen committed the acts
    for which he was convicted and sentenced, while Larsen
    stood nearby and did nothing at all, much less a criminal act.
    Larsen’s claim of innocence lies at the core of the
    “miscarriage of justice” doctrine: it generates “sufficient
    doubt about the validity of his conviction to satisfy Schlup
    and permit consideration of his constitutional claims.” 
    Id.
    We conclude that it is more likely than not that no reasonable
    juror hearing all of the evidence Larsen presented in federal
    court would vote to convict him under the beyond-a-
    reasonable-doubt standard.
    The Warden fails to offer any contradictory evidence. He
    merely offers several different arguments in a weak attempt
    to show that Larsen has not met his burden. First, he claims
    that the Magistrate Judge misapplied the applicable legal
    standards by resting her recommendation on her own
    subjective lack of confidence in the verdict, rather than an
    objective determination of what a reasonable jury would do
    given the newly supplanted record. In Schlup, the Supreme
    Court observed that “[i]t is not the district court’s
    independent judgment as to whether reasonable doubt exists
    that the standard addresses; rather the standard requires the
    district court to make a probabilistic determination about
    what reasonable, properly instructed jurors would do.”
    26                      LARSEN V. SOTO
    
    513 U.S. at 329
    . However, the Magistrate Judge made an
    objective determination when she concluded that, “had the
    jury been able to consider” the evidence presented at the
    evidentiary hearing, “‘no reasonable juror would have found
    Petitioner guilty beyond a reasonable doubt.”
    That the Magistrate Judge also referenced her own lack of
    confidence in the verdict does not render her analysis legally
    erroneous. Indeed, this same language has been employed
    both by the Supreme Court and by us in describing the Schlup
    standard. See, e.g., Schlup, 
    513 U.S. at 316
     (“However, if a
    petitioner such as Schlup presents evidence of innocence so
    strong that a court cannot have confidence in the outcome of
    the trial unless the court is also satisfied that the trial was free
    of nonharmless constitutional error, the petitioner should be
    allowed to pass through the gateway and argue the merits of
    his underlying claims.” (emphasis added)); accord Majoy v.
    Roe, 
    296 F.3d 770
    , 775–76 (9th Cir. 2002). This “confidence
    in the outcome” formulation is simply another way of
    describing Schlup’s “no reasonable juror” standard, and one
    that courts have used for decades. Certainly, it was not
    reversible error for the district court to employ language that
    has been endorsed both by the Supreme Court and by our
    court.
    Next, the Warden argues that Larsen has failed to satisfy
    Schlup because nothing in the evidentiary hearing testimony
    is incompatible with his conviction. This argument by the
    Warden appears to have evolved over the life of his appeal.
    In his opening brief, the Warden argued that the McNutts
    may have been relating a completely separate incident from
    that discussed by the police officers in their trial testimony.
    For instance, while the McNutts testified that the events they
    witnessed occurred around 7:30 or 8:00 p.m., Officer Rex
    LARSEN V. SOTO                        27
    testified at trial that Larsen was arrested at 12:30 a.m. The
    Warden contends that it “strains credulity” to think that a
    middle-aged couple would meet their adult son at a bar that
    late at night. Coupled with the fact that the McNutts did not
    recall seeing flood lights or helicopters, the Warden contends,
    the McNutts’ testimony about the time suggests that they may
    not have been present at all for the events in question.
    It is the Warden’s argument here that “strains credulity.”
    Both McNutts testified that while they were at the Gold
    Apple bar, they witnessed an altercation in the parking lot,
    that numerous police officers thereafter arrived on the scene,
    that someone threw a metallic object under a nearby car, and
    that Daniel Larsen was placed in the back of a patrol car. For
    the McNutts to have witnessed a separate incident, all of
    these occurrences would have had to repeat themselves within
    a period of a few hours at the same exact location; indeed,
    this version of events would require Larsen to have been
    arrested twice on the same day at the same bar. It is far more
    likely that the McNutts witnessed the same incident discussed
    at Larsen’s trial. Both McNutts expressed uncertainty about
    the time of night in their testimony, and did not purport to be
    definitive about the time of the incident. Similarly, they
    stated that they did not recall hearing helicopters or seeing
    floodlights, but as the Magistrate Judge noted, that “[t]he
    McNutts, eleven years later, did not remember what lights
    they saw or what sirens they heard” constituted “minor
    discrepancies that do not cast doubt on the McNutts’ clear
    and consistent memories of seeing Bunker, not Petitioner,
    throw the object.”
    In his post-Perkins supplemental brief, the Warden argued
    that the evidentiary hearing testimony is not inconsistent with
    Larsen’s conviction because none of his witnesses actually
    28                          LARSEN V. SOTO
    testified that they saw Hewitt throw a knife. It is true that
    while both McNutts testified that Hewitt threw a metallic
    object under a car in the parking lot, neither testified with
    certainty that the object was a knife. However, both McNutts
    testified that Larsen had nothing in his hands and did not
    throw any object, while Hewitt did throw an object that Mr.
    McNutt specifically said could not have been a copper
    weight—the only other object found in the parking lot that
    night. The Warden further points to Mrs. McNutt’s
    admission that she “looked at every direction, like what was
    going on,” when the police arrived at the scene, and argues
    that a reasonable juror could have inferred that Mr. McNutt
    was probably not paying much attention to Larsen during the
    commotion. But that it may have been physically possible for
    Larsen to throw a knife during a split second when neither of
    the McNutts was paying attention does not defeat Larsen’s
    Schlup claim. Rather, that multiple credible witnesses saw a
    different person take the same actions that Larsen was
    accused of taking—throwing a metallic object under a nearby
    car—suggests that the police were mistaken about the identity
    of the person who threw the knife. No reasonable juror
    confronted with such evidence would be convinced beyond
    a reasonable doubt of Larsen’s guilt.7
    7
    The Warden also argues that the McNutts may have been biased, either
    against the LAPD (because of certain officers’ alleged mistreatment of the
    McNutts at the scene) or against Hewitt (whom they testified was acting
    in a hostile manner toward their son). But as the Magistrate Judge found,
    a reasonable juror would be much more likely to conclude that a former
    law enforcement official and military veteran and a woman with
    degenerative health problems would not spend a decade consistently
    providing exculpatory testimony on behalf of someone with whom they
    lacked any meaningful personal ties, culminating with a cross-country trip
    to testify at the evidentiary hearing, in order to retaliate against Bunker or
    the LAPD for a decade-old slight.
    LARSEN V. SOTO                       29
    The Warden also argues that McCracken’s admission that
    he was previously convicted of felonies would have
    undermined his credibility in the eyes of the jury, especially
    in comparison to the police officers who testified for the
    prosecution. Even assuming that McCracken’s convictions
    suggest that he is generally dishonest, the testimony of
    individuals who have been convicted of felony offenses is not
    always to be disbelieved. McCracken’s testimony is to be
    viewed not only in light of the contradictory testimony of the
    police offers, but also in light of the clear testimony of the
    McNutts and, to a lesser extent, the declarations of Jorji
    Owen and William Hewitt. Moreover, the Warden does not
    offer any reason why McCracken would risk criminal
    consequences by perjuring himself for Larsen’s benefit.
    Indeed, McCracken gave uncontradicted testimony that he
    was not a close friend of Larsen’s.
    The Warden also argues that “none of the evidence
    presented at the federal evidentiary hearing adequately
    accounts for the fact that Petitioner, when arrested at the
    scene, gave the police a false name.” But beyond a
    perfunctory reference to the notion that “a truly innocent man
    would have had no reason to lie to police about his identity,”
    the Warden does not explain why this false statement
    undermines any of the newly presented evidence of innocence
    adduced at the evidentiary hearing. Even if Larsen’s use of
    a pseudonym suggests consciousness of guilt in some general
    sense, it cannot independently support a finding of guilt
    beyond a reasonable doubt for the specific crime of which
    Larsen was convicted. Moreover, it is undisputed that Larsen
    had prior convictions, and he may have had any number of
    reasons to try to avoid providing his true identity to the
    police. These might include averting arrest for a crime he did
    not commit.
    30                     LARSEN V. SOTO
    Finally, the Warden argues that none of Larsen’s new
    evidence undermines the trial testimony of Officers Rex and
    Townsend, who identified Larsen as the man who threw the
    knife. However, despite the Warden’s repeated arguments
    that a “swearing match” between prosecution and defense
    witnesses is insufficient to satisfy Schlup, it never
    meaningfully explains how a jury faced with evidence from
    five different witnesses that a different person threw the knife
    could nonetheless have concluded that Larsen was guilty
    beyond a reasonable doubt. If the fact that prosecution
    witnesses testified against the defendant at trial were
    sufficient to defeat any actual innocence claim, the Schlup
    doctrine would be meaningless.
    Indeed, Schlup itself is to the contrary. In that case, two
    corrections officers, Flowers and Maylee, testified that
    Schlup was involved in a jailhouse murder. See Schlup,
    
    513 U.S. at 302
     (“The State produced no physical evidence
    connecting Schlup to the killing, and no witness other than
    Flowers and Maylee testified to Schlup’s involvement in the
    murder.”). Like Larsen’s, “Schlup’s defense was that the
    State had the wrong man.” 
    Id. at 303
    . The district court had
    “concluded that the affidavits presented by Schlup,” in which
    prisoners who had witnessed the crime contradicted the
    officers, “when considered against the positive identifications
    made by Flowers and Maylee, failed to constitute a
    sufficiently persuasive showing of actual innocence.” 
    Id.
     at
    309 n.19. The Supreme Court disagreed and remanded for
    further proceedings, expressly holding that a “petitioner’s
    showing of innocence is not insufficient solely because the
    trial record contained sufficient evidence to support the jury’s
    verdict.” 
    Id. at 331
    . Likewise, Larsen’s “post-conviction
    evidence casts doubt on the conviction by undercutting the
    reliability of the proof of guilt,” even if it does not
    LARSEN V. SOTO                        31
    “affirmatively prov[e] innocence”; “that can be enough to
    pass through the Schlup gateway to allow consideration of
    otherwise barred claims.” Sistrunk, 
    292 F.3d at 673
    .
    Larsen’s evidence more than suffices.
    The district court already held that Larsen’s conviction is
    constitutionally untenable because he received ineffective
    assistance of counsel at trial, and the Warden has not
    appealed that ruling. Rather, the Warden has argued only that
    Larsen’s habeas petition should not have been considered at
    all because it was untimely. Because we hold otherwise,
    Larsen is entitled to the writ of habeas corpus entered by the
    district court.
    V.
    When a state prisoner challenges his conviction in federal
    court, we must be “careful to limit the scope of federal
    intrusion into state criminal adjudications and to safeguard
    the States’ interest in the integrity of their criminal and
    collateral proceedings.” Williams v. Taylor, 
    529 U.S. 420
    ,
    436 (2000). Congress passed AEDPA, including its stringent
    statute-of-limitations provision, to “further [these] principles
    of comity, finality, and federalism.” 
    Id.
    However, as the Supreme Court has repeatedly
    recognized, “in appropriate cases [these] principles of comity
    and finality . . . must yield to the imperative of correcting a
    fundamentally unjust incarceration.” Murray v. Carrier,
    
    477 U.S. 478
    , 495 (1986) (internal quotation marks omitted).
    This is such a case. Because we conclude that Larsen has met
    the demanding Schlup standard, we must exercise the
    “‘equitable discretion’ of habeas courts to see that federal
    constitutional errors do not result in the incarceration of
    32                LARSEN V. SOTO
    innocent persons.” Herrera, 
    506 U.S. at 404
     (quoting
    McCleskey, 
    499 U.S. at 502
    ).
    AFFIRMED.