City of Oakland v. Wells Fargo & Company ( 2021 )


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  •                 FOR PUBLICATION
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE NINTH CIRCUIT
    CITY OF OAKLAND, A Municipal              No. 19-15169
    Corporation,
    Plaintiff-Appellee,          D.C. No.
    3:15-cv-04321-
    v.                            EMC
    WELLS FARGO & COMPANY; WELLS
    FARGO BANK, N.A.,                           OPINION
    Defendants-Appellants.
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the Northern District of California
    Edward M. Chen, District Judge, Presiding
    Argued and Submitted En Banc June 23, 2021
    Pasadena, California
    Filed September 28, 2021
    Before: Sidney R. Thomas, Chief Judge, and M. Margaret
    McKeown, Kim McLane Wardlaw, Richard A. Paez,
    Consuelo M. Callahan, Sandra S. Ikuta, Jacqueline H.
    Nguyen, Andrew D. Hurwitz, Ryan D. Nelson, Bridget S.
    Bade, and Lawrence VanDyke, Circuit Judges.
    Opinion by Judge McKeown
    2        CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.
    SUMMARY *
    Fair Housing Act
    The en banc court affirmed in part and reversed in part
    the district court’s partial grant and partial denial of Wells
    Fargo’s motion to dismiss and remanded for dismissal of the
    City of Oakland’s claims under the Fair Housing Act,
    alleging that Wells Fargo’s discriminatory lending practices
    caused higher default rates, which in turn triggered higher
    foreclosure rates that drove down the assessed value of
    properties, and which ultimately resulted in lost property tax
    revenue and increased municipal expenditures.
    The en banc court held that under Bank of America
    Corp. v. City of Miami, 
    137 S. Ct. 1296
     (2017),
    foreseeability alone is not sufficient to establish proximate
    cause under the Fair Housing Act, and there must be “some
    direct relation between the injury asserted and the injurious
    conduct alleged.” The en banc court held that the
    downstream “ripples of harm” from Wells Fargo’s alleged
    lending practices were too attenuated and traveled too far
    beyond Wells Fargo’s alleged misconduct to establish
    proximate cause.
    The en banc court affirmed the district court’s dismissal
    of the City’s damages claim related to increased municipal
    expenditures and reversed the district court’s denial of Wells
    Fargo’s motion to dismiss the damages claim related to lost
    *
    This summary constitutes no part of the opinion of the court. It
    has been prepared by court staff for the convenience of the reader.
    CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.                3
    property tax revenue and claims for injunctive and
    declaratory relief.
    The en banc court held that the City of Oakland did not
    sufficiently plead proximate cause for its reduced tax
    revenue claim because its theory of harm went beyond the
    first step of the causal chain, which was the harm to minority
    buyers who received predatory loans. The en banc court
    concluded that the Fair Housing Act is not a statute that
    supports proximate cause for injuries further downstream,
    and the extension of proximate cause beyond the first step
    was not administratively possible and convenient. For the
    same reasons, the City also failed sufficiently to plead
    proximate cause for its increased municipal expenses claim.
    The en banc court held that, in addition to claims for
    damages, the proximate-cause requirement in Miami also
    applies to injunctive and declaratory relief. It therefore
    reversed the district court’s judgment to the contrary.
    COUNSEL
    Neal Kumar Katyal (argued), Colleen Roh Sinzdak,
    Benjamin A. Field, and Sean Marotta, Hogan Lovells US
    LLP, Washington, D.C.; Paul F. Hancock and Olivia
    Kelman, K&L Gates LLP, Miami, Florida; Edward P.
    Sangster and Daniel W. Fox, K&L Gates LLP, San
    Francisco, California; Terry E. Sanchez, Munger Tolles &
    Olson LLP, Los Angeles, California; Bart H. Williams and
    Manuel F. Cachan, Proskauer Rose LLP, Los Angeles,
    California; for Defendants-Appellants.
    4       CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.
    Robert S. Peck (argued), Center for Constitutional Litigation
    P.C., Washington, D.C.; Barbara J. Parker, Oakland City
    Attorney; Maria Bee, Chief Assistant City Attorney; Office
    of the City Attorney, Oakland, California; Joel Liberson,
    Trial & Appellate Resources P.C., Torrance, California;
    Yosef Peretz and Ruth Israely, Peretz & Associates, San
    Francisco, California; for Plaintiff-Appellee.
    D. Scott Change, Housing Rights Center, Los Angeles,
    California; Jamie Crook, American Civil Liberties Union
    Foundation of Northern California, San Francisco,
    California; David Loy, American Civil Liberties Union of
    San Diego & Imperial Counties, San Diego, California; Julia
    Devanthéry, American Civil Liberties Union of Southern
    California, Los Angeles, California; Sandra S. Park and
    Alejandro Ortiz, American Civil Liberties Union
    Foundation, New York, New York; Morgan Williams,
    National Fair Housing Alliance, Washington, D.C.; Ajmel
    Quereshi, NAACP Legal Defense & Education Fund Inc.,
    Washington, D.C.; for Amici Curiae American Civil
    Liberties Union Foundation, American Civil Liberties Union
    Foundation of Northern California, American Civil Liberties
    Union Foundation of Southern California, American Civil
    Liberties Union of San Diego & Imperial Counties, AARP,
    NAACP Legal Defense & Educational Fund Inc., National
    Fair Housing Alliance Inc., Poverty & Race Research Action
    Council, and Twelve Local Fair Housing Centers in the
    Ninth Circuit.
    Dennis J. Herrera, City Attorney; Aileen M. McGrath, Co-
    Chief of Appellate Litigation; City Attorney’s Office, San
    Francisco, California; for Amicus Curiae City and County of
    San Francisco.
    CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.              5
    Michael L. Newman, Senior Assistant Attorney General;
    Christine Chuang, Supervising Deputy Attorney General;
    Shubhra Shivpuri and Srividya Panchalam; California
    Department of Justice, Oakland, California; for Amicus
    Curiae State of California.
    Daniel P. Kearney Jr. and Matthew E. Vigeant, Wilmer
    Cutler Pickering Hale & Dorr LLP, Washington, D.C.;
    Steven P. Lehotsky and Emily J. Kennedy, U.S. Chamber
    Litigation Center, Washington, D.C.; for Amicus Curiae
    Chamber of Commerce of the United States of America.
    Micha Star Liberty, Liberty Law, Oakland, California;
    Marcus J. Jackson and David M. Arbogast, Jackson
    Litigation, Carlsbad, California; for Amicus Curiae
    California Black Chamber of Commerce.
    William Michael Cunningham, Washington, D.C., pro se
    Amicus Curiae.
    OPINION
    McKEOWN, Circuit Judge:
    Only a few years ago, the Supreme Court addressed the
    proximate-cause standard of the Fair Housing Act (“FHA”),
    
    42 U.S.C. §§ 3601
    –3619, 3631, in Bank of America Corp. v.
    City of Miami (“Miami”), 
    137 S. Ct. 1296
     (2017).
    Emphasizing that “foreseeability alone” is not sufficient to
    establish proximate cause, the Court required “some direct
    relation between the injury asserted and the injurious
    conduct alleged.” 
    Id.
     at 1305–06 (quoting Holmes v. Sec.
    Inv. Prot. Corp., 
    503 U.S. 258
    , 268 (1992)).              In
    acknowledging that “[t]he housing market is interconnected
    6       CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.
    with economic and social life,” the Court observed that “[a]
    violation of the FHA may, therefore, ‘be expected to cause
    ripples of harm to flow’ far beyond the defendant’s
    misconduct.”      Id. at 1306 (quoting Associated Gen.
    Contractors of Cal., Inc. v. Carpenters, 
    459 U.S. 519
    , 534
    (1983)).     Nonetheless, the Court limited the legal
    consequences of those ripples: “Nothing in the statute
    suggests that Congress intended to provide a remedy
    wherever those ripples travel.” 
    Id.
    The City of Oakland (“Oakland”) claims that Wells
    Fargo’s discriminatory lending practices caused higher
    default rates, which in turn triggered higher foreclosure rates
    that drove down the assessed value of properties, and which
    ultimately resulted in lost property tax revenue and increased
    municipal expenditures. These downstream “ripples of
    harm” are too attenuated and travel too “far beyond” Wells
    Fargo’s alleged misconduct to establish proximate cause. 
    Id.
    In this interlocutory appeal under 
    28 U.S.C. § 1292
    (b), we
    therefore reverse the district court’s partial denial of Wells
    Fargo’s motion to dismiss and remand for dismissal of the
    FHA claims.
    I. BACKGROUND
    A. FACTUAL BACKGROUND
    According to Oakland’s First Amended Complaint (the
    “Complaint”), Wells Fargo violated the FHA by engaging in
    mortgage-lending practices that discriminated against
    African-American and Latino borrowers. Oakland alleges
    that Wells Fargo had a longstanding “policy and practice of
    steering minority borrowers” into mortgage loans with
    “terms that have higher costs and risk features than more
    favorable and less expensive loans for which the borrower
    was eligible and which are regularly issued to similarly
    CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.                 7
    situated white borrowers.” Specifically, Oakland claims that
    Wells Fargo’s practices resulted in giving a higher
    proportion of riskier “adjustable rate loans to minority
    borrowers than white borrowers” and giving “very few . . .
    conventional 30-year fixed rate mortgages” to minority
    borrowers.
    According to Oakland, the discriminatory loans to
    minority borrowers increased default and foreclosure rates
    and decreased property values, which resulted in two
    economic harms: a decrease in property tax revenue and the
    simultaneous need for increased municipal expenditures to
    address public health and safety issues. Oakland also alleges
    that the discriminatory lending caused it non-economic
    injury by undermining its racial-integration goals.
    To support its allegations that the discriminatory lending
    caused these harms, Oakland conducted a series of
    regression analyses. As Oakland notes, a regression analysis
    is a statistical method that examines “the relationship that
    exists in a set of data between a variable to be explained—
    called the ‘dependent variable’—and one or more
    ‘explanatory variables.’”         Oakland “controll[ed] for
    borrower race and objective risk characteristics,” to ensure
    that borrowers being compared were similarly situated—that
    is, that they “posses[ed] similar underwriting and borrower
    characteristics.”
    Based on Wells Fargo’s own lending history data,
    Oakland found that, between 2004 and 2013, African-
    American and Latino borrowers were 2.583 and 3.312 times
    more likely, respectively, to receive loans with
    discriminatory terms than similarly situated white
    borrowers.       Again controlling for “objective risk
    characteristics,” Oakland found that the discriminatory loans
    were 1.753 times more likely to result in foreclosure than
    8       CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.
    non-discriminatory loans. These differences, according to
    Oakland, were statistically significant, meaning that there
    was less than a one percent chance that the observed
    differences would have occurred by chance. The Complaint
    alleges that the risky, expensive loans led to foreclosure at
    higher rates because “(1) the borrowers are required to make
    higher loan payments; and (2) as foreclosures begin to occur
    in a neighborhood, refinancing out of high-cost and high-risk
    loans becomes increasingly difficult due to suppressed loan-
    to-value ratios.”
    The higher default and foreclosure rates then allegedly
    decreased property values. The Complaint asserts that
    “[h]omes in foreclosure tend to experience a substantial
    decline in value,” which in turn reduces Oakland’s tax
    revenue.
    The foreclosures also allegedly required Oakland to
    spend and divert resources to, among others, the police and
    fire departments, the Oakland Building Services Division
    and Code Enforcement, and the Oakland City Attorney’s
    Office, to “remediate blighted conditions.”
    B. PROCEDURAL BACKGROUND
    Oakland sued Wells Fargo for damages as well as
    declaratory and injunctive relief. While the case was
    pending in the district court, the Supreme Court decided
    Miami and clarified the requirements for proximate cause
    under the FHA. 
    137 S. Ct. at
    1305–06. The district court
    accordingly instructed Oakland to amend its complaint in
    light of Miami. Oakland did so, and Wells Fargo moved to
    dismiss.
    The district court dismissed Oakland’s claims as to
    increased municipal expenditures but allowed Oakland’s
    CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.                 9
    claims as to decreased property tax revenue to proceed.
    With respect to non-economic injuries, namely that
    discriminatory lending practices undermined Oakland’s
    racial-integration goals, the district court dismissed
    Oakland’s claim on standing grounds. Finally, the court
    allowed all claims for declaratory and injunctive relief to
    proceed, reasoning that Miami’s directness requirement
    “does not appear to extend” to these claims.
    The district court certified two issues for interlocutory
    appeal under 
    28 U.S.C. § 1292
    (b): (1) whether Oakland’s
    claims for damages satisfy the FHA’s proximate-cause
    requirement, and (2) whether that proximate-cause
    requirement applies to claims for injunctive and declaratory
    relief.
    A panel of this court affirmed the district court’s
    determination that Oakland sufficiently pleaded proximate
    cause for the decreased property tax revenue claim; affirmed
    the district court’s determination that Oakland failed to plead
    proximate cause for the increased municipal expenditures
    claim; and reversed the district court’s determination that
    Miami’s proximate-cause requirement did not apply to
    injunctive and declaratory relief. City of Oakland v. Wells
    Fargo & Co., 
    972 F.3d 1112
    , 1137 (9th Cir. 2020), vacated,
    
    993 F.3d 1077
     (9th Cir. 2021). We voted to rehear the case
    en banc. City of Oakland v. Wells Fargo & Co., 
    993 F.3d 1077
     (9th Cir. 2021).
    II. ANALYSIS
    The FHA forbids “discriminat[ing] against any person in
    the terms, conditions, or privileges of sale or rental of a
    dwelling, or in the provision of services or facilities in
    connection therewith, because of race.”         
    42 U.S.C. § 3604
    (b). Apropos of the lending practices at issue here,
    10      CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.
    the statute also makes it unlawful for “any person or other
    entity whose business includes engaging in residential real
    estate-related transactions to discriminate against any person
    in making available such a transaction, or in the terms or
    conditions of such a transaction, because of race.” 
    Id.
    § 3605(a). Under the FHA, any “aggrieved person” may file
    a civil action seeking damages for a violation of the statute.
    Id. §§ 3613(a)(1)(A), (c)(1). An “aggrieved person” is
    defined to include “any person who . . . claims to have been
    injured by a discriminatory housing practice.”              Id.
    § 3602(i)(1).
    Benchmarking Oakland’s allegations against the
    requirements of the FHA, we review de novo whether
    Oakland adequately alleged proximate cause to survive a
    motion to dismiss under Federal Rule of Civil Procedure
    12(b)(6). See Pakootas v. Teck Cominco Metals, Ltd.,
    
    830 F.3d 975
    , 980 (9th Cir. 2016). To answer this question,
    we credit Oakland’s well-pleaded allegations as true and
    look to the Court’s guidance in Miami, along with its related
    proximate cause analysis in Lexmark International, Inc. v.
    Static Control Components, Inc., 
    572 U.S. 118
     (2014), and
    Holmes v. Securities Investor Protection Corp., 
    503 U.S. 258
     (1992), among other cases.
    A. UNDER MIAMI, PROXIMATE CAUSE UNDER THE
    FHA REQUIRES A DIRECT RELATION BETWEEN
    WELLS FARGO’S CHALLENGED PRACTICES AND
    OAKLAND’S ASSERTED INJURIES
    In Miami, the Supreme Court considered allegations
    almost identical to those made here. 
    137 S. Ct. at
    1300–01.
    The City of Miami alleged a series of predatory
    discriminatory practices by Bank of America and Wells
    Fargo, which resulted in higher default and foreclosure rates
    for minority borrowers than for similarly situated white
    CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.               11
    borrowers. 
    Id.
     In turn, “[h]igher foreclosure rates lowered
    property values and diminished property-tax revenue.” 
    Id.
    at 1301–02. The “[h]igher foreclosure rates—especially
    when accompanied by vacancies—also increased demand
    for municipal services” necessary “to remedy blight and
    unsafe and dangerous conditions.” 
    Id. at 1302
    .
    The Eleventh Circuit held that Miami had adequately
    pleaded proximate cause because the harm to the city was a
    foreseeable result of the discriminatory lending. City of
    Miami v. Bank of Am. Corp., 
    800 F.3d 1262
    , 1282 (11th Cir.
    2015), vacated, 
    137 S. Ct. 1296
     (2017). The Supreme Court
    squarely rejected the Eleventh Circuit’s foreseeability
    standard, explaining that “[i]n the context of the FHA,
    foreseeability alone does not ensure the close connection that
    proximate cause requires.” 
    137 S. Ct. at 1306
    . Instead, the
    Court instructed that the proper standard was the more
    stringent “direct relation” standard, which requires “some
    direct relation between the injury asserted and the injurious
    conduct alleged.” 
    Id.
     (quoting Holmes, 
    503 U.S. at 268
    ).
    This direct-relation standard previously had been applied by
    the Court to a number of common-law based statutes. See,
    e.g., Lexmark, 572 U.S. at 132–40 (applying the direct-
    relation standard to a claim brought under the Lanham Act);
    Holmes, 
    503 U.S. at
    268–74 (same, under the Racketeer
    Influenced and Corrupt Organizations Act (“RICO”));
    Associated Gen. Contractors of Cal., Inc., 
    459 U.S. at
    540–
    46 (same, under the Clayton Act). Citing to these cases,
    Miami held that the FHA “is no exception,” because a
    damages claim under the FHA is “akin to a ‘tort action.’”
    
    137 S. Ct. at 1305
     (quoting Meyer v. Holley, 
    537 U.S. 280
    ,
    285 (2003)).
    In explaining the mechanics of the direct-relation
    standard, the Court began by reaffirming “[t]he general
    12       CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.
    tendency . . . not to go beyond the first step” of the causal
    chain. Id. at 1306 (internal quotation marks omitted)
    (quoting Hemi Grp., LLC v. City of New York, 
    559 U.S. 1
    ,
    10 (2010)). The Court then noted, however, that “[w]hat
    falls within that ‘first step’ depends in part on the ‘nature of
    the statutory cause of action’ and an assessment ‘of what is
    administratively possible and convenient.’” 
    Id.
     (first
    quoting Lexmark, 572 U.S. at 133; and then Holmes,
    
    503 U.S. at 268
    ).
    Although the parties urged the Court to delineate
    “precise boundaries” and to determine whether Miami’s
    financial injuries met the direct-relation standard, the Court
    declined to do so and left it to “the lower courts [to] define,
    in the first instance, the contours of proximate cause under
    the FHA.” 
    Id.
     On remand, the Eleventh Circuit revisited the
    case and issued an opinion. City of Miami v. Wells Fargo &
    Co., 
    923 F.3d 1260
     (11th Cir. 2019), vacated as moot, 
    140 S. Ct. 1259
     (2020). However, while a petition for writ of
    certiorari was pending, Miami voluntarily dismissed its
    lawsuit against Bank of America and other financial
    institutions. See City of Miami v. Bank of Am. Corp., No.
    13-cv-24506, slip op. at 1 (S.D. Fla. Jan. 30, 2020) (order
    granting plaintiff’s unopposed motion for dismissal with
    prejudice); City of Miami v. Wells Fargo & Co., No. 13-cv-
    24508, slip op. at 1 (S.D. Fla. Jan. 30, 2020) (order granting
    plaintiff’s unopposed motion for dismissal with prejudice).
    The Court granted the petition and vacated the Eleventh
    Circuit’s judgment as moot. Wells Fargo & Co. v. City of
    Miami, 
    140 S. Ct. 1259
     (2020). Although there is no circuit
    precedent on the proximate-cause standard under the FHA,
    the Supreme Court’s binding directives in Miami and its
    earlier proximate-cause jurisprudence drive our analysis.
    CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.                13
    B. OAKLAND DID NOT SUFFICIENTLY PLEAD
    PROXIMATE CAUSE FOR ITS REDUCED TAX
    REVENUE CLAIM
    We begin where Miami began, with “[t]he general
    tendency . . . not to go beyond the first step.” 
    137 S. Ct. at 1306
     (internal quotation marks and citation omitted).
    There is no question that Oakland’s theory of harm goes
    beyond the first step—the harm to minority borrowers who
    receive predatory loans. Oakland’s theory of harm runs far
    beyond that—to depressed housing values, and ultimately to
    reduced tax revenue and increased municipal expenditures.
    Oakland thus fails “a strict application of the ‘general
    tendency’ not to stretch proximate causation ‘beyond the
    first step.’” Lexmark, 572 U.S. at 139 (quoting Holmes,
    
    503 U.S. at 271
    ).
    Oakland’s hope in this case—which turns out to be
    misplaced—is that there is some basis not to “conform[] . . .
    to the general tendency” not to go beyond the first step.
    Holmes, 
    503 U.S. at 272
    . Indeed, there is some give in the
    joints as to “[w]hat falls within that ‘first step.’” 
    137 S. Ct. at 1306
     (quoting Lexmark, 572 U.S. at 139). That is, there
    are times when a proximate-cause analysis may
    appropriately diverge from the general tendency.
    Historically, the Court has framed this as going “beyond the
    first step,” rather than expanding “what falls within” it. See,
    e.g., Lexmark, 572 U.S. at 139 (“beyond the first step”
    (citation omitted)); Hemi Grp., 
    559 U.S. at 10
     (same);
    Holmes, 
    503 U.S. at 271
     (same). We see no meaningful
    distinction between the historical framing of going “beyond”
    the first step and Miami’s framing of expanding what is
    considered to be “within” the first step. It is clear that both
    of these exceptions fall outside the norm and hinge on a
    statute-specific textual analysis of the “conduct the statute
    14      CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.
    prohibits.” Lexmark, 572 U.S. at 133. Whether conceived
    as an expansive first step or an extension beyond the first
    step, what matters doctrinally is that some direct relation is
    required and that, under certain limited circumstances,
    courts need not “conform[]” to the general first-step
    tendency. Holmes, 
    503 U.S. at
    271–72.
    The Court in Miami articulated that these circumstances
    rest in part on two considerations: “the ‘nature of the
    statutory cause of action’ and an assessment ‘of what is
    administratively possible and convenient.’” 
    137 S. Ct. at 1306
     (first quoting Lexmark, 572 U.S. at 133; and then
    Holmes, 
    503 U.S. at 268
    ). We thus turn to these
    considerations.
    1. The Nature of the Statutory Cause of Action
    The nature of a particular statutory cause of action
    implicates whether proximate cause can extend beyond the
    first step because some statutes support proximate cause for
    injuries further downstream. While the Supreme Court in
    Miami did not directly answer whether the FHA is such a
    statute, in our view the principles in Miami require us to
    conclude that it is not.
    To begin, we examine the “injurious conduct”
    encompassed by the FHA. 
    Id.
     (quoting Holmes, 
    503 U.S. at 268
    ). According to Miami, the FHA prohibits “lending to
    minority borrowers on worse terms than equally
    creditworthy nonminority borrowers and inducing defaults
    by failing to extend refinancing and loan modifications to
    minority borrowers on fair terms.” Id. at 1305. The harm
    that the statute guards against—issuing discriminatory loans
    that result in a default because of failure to refinance or
    modify the loans on fair terms—is thus situated at the first
    step: the issuance of the discriminatory loan. The harm to
    CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.                15
    the borrower has a clear direct relation to conduct prohibited
    by the FHA.
    By contrast, the situations in which the Court has
    countenanced a finding of proximate cause beyond the first
    step arise from statutes that themselves encompass harm
    beyond the first step. Two key cases illustrate this principle:
    Bridge v. Phoenix Bond & Indemnity Co., 
    553 U.S. 639
    (2008) and Lexmark, 
    572 U.S. 118
    .
    In Bridge, the Court held that proximate cause extended
    beyond the first step for a RICO claim predicated on mail
    fraud. 
    553 U.S. at 661
    . The case arose from a county auction
    of tax liens. 
    Id.
     at 642–44. Whenever there was a tie
    between the highest bidders, the county awarded the lien
    based on a fair rotation of which bidder received the last lien
    from a tie bid. 
    Id.
     at 642–43. To game the system, bidders
    began using multiple agents. 
    Id. at 643
    . The county banned
    that practice, but certain bidders allegedly continued using
    multiple agents and filed false attestations of compliance.
    
    Id.
     at 643–44. Upon learning of this scheme, competing
    bidders sued, alleging that the fraud to the county harmed
    their chances of being awarded liens. 
    Id.
     The wrinkle from
    a directness standpoint was that the first step was the false
    attestation to the county. The offending bidders challenged
    both standing and proximate cause on the ground that the
    competing bidders had not relied on the false attestation. 
    Id.
    at 645–46. The harm to the competing bidders did not come
    until later in the sequence. 
    Id.
    Nonetheless, based on the nature of the mail fraud
    statute, the Court held that reliance on the misrepresentations
    was not “a prerequisite to establishing proximate causation.”
    
    Id. at 661
    . Key to the Court’s analysis was a parsing of the
    statute and its conclusion that the statutory offense of mail
    fraud “does not require proof of reliance.” 
    Id. at 656
    . In this
    16      CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.
    way, the mail fraud statute permits proximate cause to
    extend beyond the first step to reach the harmed party—the
    competing bidder.         That extension was particularly
    necessary in Bridge, because the first-step party (the county)
    suffered no injury. 
    Id. at 658
     (explaining that “respondents
    and other losing bidders were the only parties injured by
    petitioners’ misrepresentations”). Contrasting this situation
    with Holmes and Anza v. Ideal Steel Supply Corp., 
    547 U.S. 451
     (2006), the Court underscored that the competing
    bidders’ “alleged injury—the loss of valuable liens—is the
    direct result of [the] fraud” and “there are no independent
    factors that account for [the] injury.” Bridge, 
    553 U.S. at 658
    .
    Just two years later, in Hemi Group, the Court took the
    opportunity to highlight the principles from Bridge.
    
    559 U.S. at 1
    . Under RICO, New York City sued the Hemi
    Group, an online cigarette seller, for failure to file certain
    reports of sales. 
    Id. at 4
    . New York’s causal theory was that
    without those reports, it was unable to go after direct
    cigarette purchasers to collect tax revenue. 
    Id.
     This theory
    was rejected because the city could not show that the failure
    to file reports “led directly to its injuries.” 
    Id. at 14
    . The
    city’s effort to rely on Bridge fell flat. 
    Id.
     at 14–15. Unlike
    the theory in Bridge, “the [c]ity’s theory . . . [was] anything
    but straightforward: Multiple steps . . . separate[d] the
    alleged fraud from the asserted injury.” 
    Id. at 15
    . The
    Court’s explanation that New York’s theory “rest[ed] on the
    independent actions of third and even fourth parties,” 
    id.,
    echoes the attenuated, multi-step causal chain proffered by
    Oakland.
    Consistent with Bridge, the Court in Lexmark considered
    another statute that permits proximate cause to extend
    beyond the first step: the false-advertising provisions of the
    CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.                     17
    Lanham Act. 572 U.S 118. Lexmark, a manufacturer and
    seller of laser printers and toner cartridges, dominated the
    market for cartridges compatible with its printers. 
    Id.
    at 120–21. The question was whether Lexmark’s alleged
    false advertising, which directly harmed certain printer
    cartridge “remanufacturing” companies, also proximately
    caused harm to Static Control, a company that made
    microchips exclusively for the remanufacturing companies. 1
    
    Id.
     at 132–40. Reasoning that proximate cause was satisfied,
    the Court rejected the view that consumer deception is an
    intervening step that breaks the proximate cause link. 
    Id. at 133, 140
    .
    In coming to this conclusion, the Court examined the
    common-law origins of the Lanham Act’s prohibition on
    false advertising, which justified a more flexible approach.
    
    Id. at 133
    . Typically, the first step in a false advertising
    claim results from injuries “suffered by consumers who are
    deceived by the advertising.” 
    Id.
     But, as the Court put it,
    because the Lanham Act “authorizes suit only for
    commercial injuries,” and because deceived consumers do
    not suffer commercial injuries, “the intervening step of
    consumer deception is not fatal to the showing of proximate
    causation required by the statute.” 
    Id.
     (citation omitted).
    Importantly, the Court did not jettison the directness
    requirement; rather, it noted that “a plaintiff can be directly
    injured by a misrepresentation even where ‘a third party, and
    not the plaintiff, . . . relied on’ it.” 
    Id.
     (quoting Bridge,
    
    553 U.S. at 656
    ). Even so, “the harm alleged” still must have
    1
    Remanufacturers “acquire used Lexmark toner cartridges,
    refurbish them, and sell them in competition with new and refurbished
    cartridges sold by Lexmark.” Id. at 121.
    18      CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.
    “a sufficiently close connection to the conduct the statute
    prohibits.” Id.
    Lexmark further held that proximate cause could be
    extended beyond the direct competitor to another injured
    party, in that case Static Control, because the harm flowed
    automatically from the direct competitor remanufacturing
    companies to Static Control. Id. at 139–40. “[I]f the
    remanufacturers sold 10,000 fewer refurbished cartridges
    because of Lexmark’s false advertising, then it would follow
    more or less automatically that Static Control sold 10,000
    fewer microchips for the same reason . . . .” Id. at 140
    (emphasis added). Because there was “something very close
    to a 1:1 relationship” between the number of cartridges sold
    (or not sold) by the remanufacturer and the number of
    microchips sold (or not sold) by the third-party chip
    manufacturer, the intervening step did not cut off proximate
    causation. Id. at 139. Emphasizing the “relatively unique
    circumstances,” the Court held that the remanufacturers
    were not “more immediate victim[s]” than Static Control.
    Id. at 140 (quoting Bridge, 
    553 U.S. at 658
    ).
    Unlike the statutes in Bridge and Lexmark, the FHA
    provides a direct link between the prohibited conduct and the
    borrower but does not support stretching proximate cause
    principles beyond the first step.
    Still, Oakland urges that Miami’s broad interpretation of
    the FHA for standing purposes is a reason to embrace a
    capacious proximate-cause standard. Before the district
    court, Oakland urged that “[i]t would be illogical for
    Oakland to have standing under the FHA to pursue lost
    property taxes and increased municipal expenses, but still be
    unable to state a claim for those very same injuries under the
    FHA’s causation standard.” The district court rejected that
    CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.               19
    argument, pointing out that statutory “[s]tanding is a
    separate issue from proximate cause.” We agree.
    Indeed, it is critical to separate Miami’s holdings on two
    distinct and independent questions—statutory standing and
    proximate cause. The Court first considered whether, for
    purposes of statutory standing, Miami was an “aggrieved
    person” under the FHA. 
    137 S. Ct. at
    1302–05. Giving that
    term a broad reading, the Court concluded that Miami
    alleged “economic injuries that arguably fall within the
    FHA’s zone of interests.” 
    Id. at 1305
    . But that conclusion
    in no way controls the separate inquiry into proximate cause.
    Put simply, “[p]roximate causation is not a requirement of
    Article III standing,” and they are not coextensive. Lexmark,
    572 U.S. at 134 n.6. And injury must have “a sufficiently
    close connection to the conduct the statute prohibits”—not
    simply any harm that Congress sought to target in enacting
    the statute. Miami, 
    137 S. Ct. at 1305
     (quoting Lexmark,
    572 U.S. at 133).
    2. Administrability
    Having determined that the nature of the statute does not
    warrant the extension of proximate cause beyond the first
    step, we turn to Miami’s second consideration: “what is
    administratively possible and convenient.” 
    137 S. Ct. at 1306
    . In articulating this inquiry, Miami cited to Holmes,
    where the Court laid out three factors relevant to
    administrability: (1) the ability to distinguish the “damages
    attributable to the violation, as distinct from other,
    independent, factors”; (2) “the risk of multiple recoveries”;
    and (3) whether more direct plaintiffs could “be counted on
    to vindicate the law as private attorneys general.” Holmes,
    
    503 U.S. at
    269–70 (citation omitted).
    20      CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.
    Before addressing the Holmes factors, we pause to
    clarify their role in the directness analysis. Holmes used
    these factors to determine whether the direct-relation
    standard applied to a particular statute, RICO. 
    Id.
     We
    recently used the factors in the same way when assessing
    whether the direct-relation standard applied to the Anti-
    Terrorism Act. Fields v. Twitter, Inc., 
    881 F.3d 739
    , 746
    (9th Cir. 2018) (“The ATA presents precisely the risks with
    which the Court was concerned in Holmes . . . .”). In
    addition to using the factors to determine whether the direct-
    relation standard applies, the Court—as well as our court—
    have also used the factors in applying the direct-relation
    standard. See Anza, 
    547 U.S. at
    456–60 (invoking the factors
    to “illustrate” an indirect injury); see also Hemi Grp.,
    
    559 U.S. at
    11–12; Bridge, 
    553 U.S. at
    657–58; Canyon
    County v. Syngenta Seeds, Inc., 
    519 F.3d 969
    , 982–83 (9th
    Cir. 2008) (using the factors to support failure of proximate
    cause). By citing to Holmes in its description of the
    administrability component of the direct-relation standard,
    Miami appears to endorse the use of the Holmes factors
    within the application of the direct-relation standard. Miami,
    
    137 S. Ct. at 1306
    . In light of this history, we view the
    Holmes factors as instructive, though not mandatory.
    Here, the Holmes factors reinforce our view that Oakland
    has not met the directness requirement of the proximate-
    cause standard. The first factor is the ability to distinguish
    the “damages attributable to the violation, as distinct from
    other, independent, factors.” Holmes, 
    503 U.S. at 269
    (citation omitted). Oakland’s theory of harm fails this test.
    To begin, Oakland does not allege that an increase in
    foreclosures is “surely attributable” to the discriminatory
    lending. Lexmark, 572 U.S. at 140. Oakland’s long and
    winding causal chain begins with the claim that Wells Fargo
    CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.                21
    initiated predatory loans to minority borrowers. Then, those
    borrowers were more likely to default on the loans. To
    trigger default, the borrower must quit making loan
    payments or violate some other term of the loan, such as
    maintaining mandatory insurance. The reason for default
    could be attributable to many independent factors, such as
    job loss, a medical hardship, a death in the family, a divorce,
    a fire or other catastrophe, Covid-19, broader economic
    trends, or any number of other unpredictable causes not
    present when the loan was made. And once default occurs,
    Oakland’s chain of events then requires the act of
    foreclosure. According to the Complaint, Wells Fargo may
    have “sold the loan or servicing rights to a third party,”
    which presumably initiated the foreclosures. Even in the
    face of default, whether to initiate foreclosure, renegotiate
    the loan, sell the loan, or even let it ride, is a decision that
    extends beyond Wells Fargo. (And even if Wells Fargo
    retained the loan, the same foreclosure decisions would
    inure.) The chain becomes even more attenuated when
    variables of property value (which could turn not only on
    foreclosure but neglect, criminal activity, changing
    demographics, and macroeconomic trends) and reduced tax
    revenues are piled on top of a cascading number of
    independent variables. Thus, Oakland’s “theory of liability
    rests not just on separate actions, but separate actions carried
    out by separate parties,” in some cases third, fourth, or fifth
    parties. Hemi Grp., 
    559 U.S. at 11
    .
    The difficulties in attributing damages here are a far cry
    from the situation in Lexmark, where the Court held that the
    harm flowed so “automatically” that there were no concerns
    about attributing damages. 572 U.S. at 140. Because
    Oakland only alleges that the discriminatory loans make
    foreclosure and decreased tax revenue more likely, there is
    not a 1:1 relationship between the discriminatory loan—the
    22       CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.
    conduct forbidden by the FHA—and decreased tax revenue.
    Oakland’s alleged injuries are more similar to those of an
    unpaid “landlord” or “electric company” whose misfortune
    stems from a third party’s “inability to meet [its] financial
    obligations.” Id. at 134 (quoting Anza, 
    547 U.S. at 458
    ).
    Any assessment of the actual relationship would require the
    “‘speculative . . . proceedings’ or ‘intricate, uncertain
    inquiries’” that Lexmark cautioned against. Id. at 140
    (quoting Anza, 
    547 U.S. at
    459–60); see also Anza, 
    547 U.S. at 460
     (“The element of proximate causation recognized in
    Holmes is meant to prevent these types of intricate, uncertain
    inquiries from overrunning . . . litigation.”).
    Oakland’s efforts to fill these gaps in the causal chain
    through regression analyses fall short. By their own terms,
    the regression analyses only “show whether the fact that a
    loan had discriminatory terms made that loan more likely to
    result in foreclosure.” They do not purport to show that
    discriminatory loans automatically result in decreased
    property values and then in decreased tax revenue. Thus,
    even accepting the results of the regression analyses as true,
    a court would be left with the unacceptable challenge of
    isolating the “damages attributable to the violation, as
    distinct from other, independent, factors.” Holmes, 
    503 U.S. at 269
     (citation omitted). Leaving aside whether statistical
    modeling could be used to buttress causation in the
    appropriate case—an issue we do not decide—Oakland’s
    multiple but disconnected analyses here cannot be glued
    together to satisfy the directness requirement.
    The second Holmes factor is whether allowing proximate
    cause to extend beyond the first step would require the court
    to “adopt complicated rules apportioning damages among
    plaintiffs removed at different levels of injury from the
    violative acts, to obviate the risk of multiple recoveries.” 
    Id.
    CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.                 23
    (citations omitted). That risk is not present here because
    only Oakland (or a related administrative authority) could
    recover lost property tax revenue. But while the presence of
    this risk can indicate the need to rigorously adhere to the first
    step analysis, nothing suggests that the absence of a risk of
    duplicative recoveries warrants extending beyond the first
    step. Anza, 
    547 U.S. at 459
    .
    The third Holmes factor is whether directly injured
    victims “can generally be counted on to vindicate the law as
    private attorneys general.” Holmes, 
    503 U.S. at
    269–70.
    Here, the answer is yes. Directly harmed borrowers can sue
    individually and are incentivized to do so through the
    availability of punitive damages, attorneys’ fees, and
    equitable relief. See 
    42 U.S.C. § 3613
    (c)(1)–(2) (describing
    the relief which may be granted under the FHA). Harmed
    borrowers can also sue as a class. See, e.g., Havens Realty
    Corp. v. Coleman, 
    455 U.S. 363
    , 366–67 & n.3 (1982).
    Organizations can sue under the FHA and do so. See, e.g.,
    Tex. Dep’t of Hous. & Cmty. Affs. v. Inclusive Cmtys.
    Project, 
    576 U.S. 519
    , 526 (2015); Havens, 
    455 U.S. at 367
    .
    It also bears noting that the Department of Justice (“DOJ”)
    can sue to enforce the FHA, 
    42 U.S.C. § 3614
    (a), and that
    the Department of Housing and Urban Development can
    refer certain FHA enforcement matters to the DOJ with a
    recommendation to sue, 
    42 U.S.C. § 3610
    (c). According to
    the Complaint, the DOJ in fact sued Wells Fargo, which paid
    $175 million to resolve FHA fair lending claims based on
    discrimination in residential mortgage lending. And, in a
    broader suit brought by the DOJ, Wells Fargo paid
    $1.2 billion for improper lending practices. In short,
    Oakland does not stand in the shoes of a party that cannot
    vindicate violations under the FHA, and nothing in this case
    counsels broadening the universe of actionable harms. See
    Anza, 
    547 U.S. at 460
    .
    24      CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.
    Having followed Miami to consider the nature of the
    statute and what is administratively possible and convenient,
    we conclude that Oakland’s claimed harm of reduced tax
    revenue is too remote from the cause of action and that
    nothing counsels going “beyond the first step” of proximate
    causation.
    C. OAKLAND DID NOT SUFFICIENTLY PLEAD
    PROXIMATE CAUSE FOR ITS INCREASED
    MUNICIPAL EXPENSES CLAIM
    The district court dismissed Oakland’s claim stemming
    from increased municipal expenditures. Although under
    
    28 U.S.C. § 1292
    (b) the court certified Oakland’s “claims
    for damages” in the plural, and without specificity as to
    which theory, in briefing the parties focused almost
    exclusively on the lost revenue claim. Nonetheless, because
    of the broad scope of certification, like the panel, we address
    this claim.
    Despite Oakland’s opportunity to amend the Complaint,
    its allegations are conclusory. The increased municipal
    expenditure claim is similar to the tax revenue theory, except
    that it introduces even more independent factors to the causal
    chain. For example, the theory relies not only on the fact
    that a home will be foreclosed upon and the other variables,
    but also that individual actors will commit civil and criminal
    violations, thus necessitating more city resources to avoid
    and remedy those harms. This claim, which lacks even a
    scintilla of directness between the FHA violation and the
    purported harm, is founded on speculation based on
    conjecture. Because this claim is even further afield from
    the alleged wrongdoing than the reduced tax revenue claim,
    it fails the proximate cause test for the same reasons.
    CITY OF OAKLAND V. WELLS FARGO & CO.                25
    D. THE PROXIMATE-CAUSE REQUIREMENT IN MIAMI
    APPLIES TO INJUNCTIVE AND DECLARATORY
    RELIEF
    The district court held that Oakland did not need to
    satisfy the proximate-cause requirement for the injunctive
    and declaratory relief claims. The district court erred in this
    regard—a point that, to its credit, Oakland does not contest
    on appeal. The Court in Miami held that proximate cause is
    required under the FHA, and in doing so, did not distinguish
    between claims for damages and those for declaratory and
    injunctive relief. 
    137 S. Ct. at
    1305–06. We read Miami to
    require a showing of proximate cause for all claims arising
    under the FHA. This conclusion is buttressed by the Court’s
    holding in Lexmark that proximate cause “is an element of
    the cause of action,” 572 U.S. at 134 n.6, that must be
    established “in every case,” id. at 135. Critically, Lexmark
    uniformly applied the proximate cause test without making
    any distinction between the damages and injunctive relief
    claims. Id. at 132–40. We reverse the district court’s
    judgment to the contrary.
    CONCLUSION
    We affirm the district court’s dismissal of the damages
    claim related to increased municipal expenditures and
    reverse the district court’s denial of Wells Fargo’s motion to
    dismiss the damages claim related to lost property tax
    revenue and the claims for injunctive and declaratory relief.
    AFFIRMED in PART, REVERSED in PART, and
    REMANDED for dismissal of the FHA claims and
    proceedings consistent with this opinion. Costs shall be
    awarded to Wells Fargo.